In short
The episode argues that Donald Trump’s claims about a new Iran deal are false and that the “Strait of Hormuz is open” narrative is contradicted by Iran’s control and by market activity. It claims Tehran Square protests show backlash, that Iran’s Revolutionary Guard controls passage via approved corridors, tolls, and restrictions, and that Trump’s “no tolls/no restrictions” statements are lies. It also alleges “market manipulation” around Trump’s announcement, citing large Brent crude futures trades. It highlights Trump’s threats to resume attacks if no deal by Wednesday, and his proposal to have U.S. and Iranian forces jointly retrieve “nuclear dust,” which Iran rejects as impossible. It further claims Treasury extended Russian oil sanctions despite earlier statements, and cites Lukashenko mocking U.S. weakness.
Guests
none identified in the transcript.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOTrump's Iran Strategy Backfires
2:53 to 6:26
Examine how Trump's plans regarding Iran are failing and the implications.
“What you saw right there at the outset of this video is Tehran Square.”
Trump's False Claims on Nuclear Negotiations
6:26 to 9:29
Learn about Trump's misleading statements on US-Iran nuclear discussions.
“Now, Donald Trump was on Air Force One yesterday, ranting and raving like a lunatic.”
Media and Public Perception of Trump's Claims
9:29 to 12:37
Investigate the media's role in reporting Trump's claims about Iran.
“Trump's like, yeah, they just have to say that so they look good at home.”
Sanctions and International Relations
12:37 to 14:00
Understand the implications of recent sanctions and international diplomacy.
“It's not really tied, but you could say maybe psychologically tied, but we're going to help Lebanon become a country again.”
Lukashenko's Perspective on U.S. Power
14:00 to 15:18
Discussion on Lukashenko's remarks about U.S. strength and foreign policy weaknesses.
“By the way, previously, Treasury Secretary Besant did that to Lukashenko.”
Iran's Strategic Calculations
15:18 to 18:09
Analysis of Iran's perspective on Trump's actions and potential military implications.
“But despite some foolishness and some impulsiveness, Trump did a lot for this.”
Trust in Information Sources
18:09 to 19:54
Examining trust in information from Trump, Iran, and the implications of misinformation.
“war against Iran are actually quite high.”
Transcript
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2:52Ben Meiselas:Donald Trump is panicking as his Iran fraud stunt backfires in his face. What you saw right there at the outset of this video is Tehran Square. You have tens of thousands of Iranians out there who are protesting Donald Trump and his regime, and they right there are rallying around the Iranian regime, the exact opposite result of what Donald Trump wanted. I mean, remember back in January when there were tens of thousands of pro-democracy protesters taking to the street and Donald Trump said, we've got your back, we will help you out, and then Donald Trump abandoned them? Right now, we're seeing the opposite as Donald Trump is out there claiming that there was a great deal with Iran and the Strait of Hormuz is totally open and that American military forces are joining forces with the Iranian military and they will be collecting the nuclear material that so-called nuclear dust together at the various Iranian nuclear facilities and that Iran's no longer going to be funding any proxy groups, any of the access of resistance, whether it's Hezbollah or the Houthis or the Shiite militia groups in Iraq.
4:11Ben Meiselas:Donald Trump says they've given me their word that they will not be funding any of those groups. And Iran's like, none of that is true. Like quite literally everything that Donald Trump said on Friday is 100 % a lie. And if you just take a look at the Strait of Hormuz, you see it's under Iran's control. It's not open. There were some tankers when Donald Trump made the announcement that tried to get out of the Strait of Ramos, but they were told by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. Nope, that's not the deal. What Iran said is that they will open it only to the extent you get permission from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard.
4:50Ben Meiselas:It has to be a commercial ship, not a military ship. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard determines which ships pass. You have to pay a toll. You have to go through the Iranian approved corridor and Iran has asserted its dominance and control over the Strait of Hormuz, which did not exist before Donald Trump and Netanyahu went on this unlawful invasion and unlawful war of Iran. That's the status of where things actually are right now. So when Donald Trump posts from the official White House account and on his social media, when he calls up reporters who just spread his message like stenographers versus actually looking at what's happening, it needs to be called out.
5:30Ben Meiselas:I mean, Donald Trump's post was, the Strait of Hormuz is completely open and ready for business in full passage, but the naval blockade will remain in full force in effect as it pertains to Iran, only until such time as our transaction with Iran is 100 % complete. This process should go very quickly and the most of the points are already negotiated. What? You've agreed to Iran's 10-point framework where you've basically given up everything. And when we talk about what really went down on Friday. Let's call it what it was. It was market manipulation Friday. Just 20 minutes before Trump's announcement that the Strait of Hormuz was open, which it was not open, massive trades hit the market.
6:09Ben Meiselas:Investors sold a combined 7 ,990 lots of Brent crude futures, a$760 million bet that oil would go down. These orders were much larger than anything else at the time, these traders made huge gains, more market manipulation. Now, Donald Trump was on Air Force One yesterday, ranting and raving like a lunatic. And when reporters asked him, so what happens if you don't have a deal by Wednesday with Iran? Trump's like, well, I guess we'll start dropping bombs again. Here, play this clip. Excuse me, excuse me, but in any event, we'll get it. Go ahead. If you don't have a deal by Wednesday when the ceasefire ends, will you extend the ceasefire or will you start attacks again?
6:54Maybe I won't extend it, but the blockade is going to remain, but maybe I won't extend it. So you have a blockade and unfortunately we'll have to start dropping bombs again. Thank you very much, everybody. Thank you. I think it's going to happen. What about the UFOs, Mr. President?
7:11Ben Meiselas:Then Donald Trump said regarding the uranium enrichment and blocking the uranium enrichment in Iran, Donald Trump goes, we'll go in with Iran and we'll just take it together. That's the game plan. American troops, Iranian troops will hold hands together and we'll go collect the uranium together and we'll bring it back to the United States. Iran says it's not just false, it's laughably false that he thinks that that's something that's going to happen. Iran says our uranium is sacred. You're not touching it. We're not bringing American troops to go into the nuclear facilities. What are you talking about?
7:48Ben Meiselas:Here, play this clip.
8:16Ben Meiselas:Then Donald Trump is asked again, well, what do you mean that you're just going to take the dust from Iran? Play this clip.
8:49100 % of it back to the United States. If we don't do that, we will get it in a different form, in a much more unfriendly form. But in any event, excuse me, excuse me, but in any event, we'll get it. Go ahead.
9:05Ben Meiselas:Just to be very clear, Iran says all of this is false. And you may be saying, what do you mean all of it is fault? Every aspect, just 100 % making this up. It's not tethered to any reality. And Iran has said before what its non-negotiables are, would it put in its 10-point framework. A reporter then says, so you told me that everything has been agreed to, but Iran says that none of this has been agreed to, that you've made up everything. Trump's like, yeah, they just have to say that so they look good at home. And it's all projection and confession because this is what Donald Trump's doing to manipulate the markets.
9:38Ben Meiselas:Here, play this clip. You told me on the phone earlier that everything has been agreed to.
9:46Iran was saying something different. So what has been worked out in that time? I want to say something different because they have people that they have to cater to also. I really don't. I'm just doing the thing that's right. I'm just saying it like it is. We have a situation I think that is going to be very beneficial. And the main thing is that Iran will not have a nuclear weapon. You cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon and that supersedes everything else.
10:13Ben Meiselas:Then a reporter says, are there going to be any restrictions and tolls in the strait by Iran? Trump's like, no, they've agreed no tolls, no restrictions. All ships can pass through the strait of Hormuz. Quite literally the opposite of true. Like you couldn't be more false from what Iran's saying. Here play this clip. I don't think we'll have to. Sir, in the strait, are there going to be restrictions and tolls managed by Iran for ships and vessels passing through? No way. None at all? Nope. No restrictions? You talk to me, FISA, Mr. President. Restrictions, yeah, there'll be restrictions. You can't do the tolls.
10:51No, they're not going to be tolls.
10:53Ben Meiselas:I'm FISA, Mr. President. And why? He said it. How do we know? I mean, you could be saying, well, Ben, why are you believing Iran? First off, Donald Trump lies about everything. But then still, it's a good point to say, why would I believe? I don't believe Iran. I don't. I believe what's happening in the Strait of Hormuz right now. If the ships were leaving through the Strait of Hormuz, if they were able to leave and there was no tolls and it was actually happening, I would say it's actually happening. But that's not. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively controlled 100 % by Iran. Iran and the ships that have to go have to use the straight of her have to use the approved corridor by Iran.
11:37Ben Meiselas:More reporters asking him about what do you mean that they're turning over nuclear dust? Play this clip. So you guys, when you say that Iran has agreed to turn over their nuclear dust, what does that mean? Are they destroying their nuclear material? They're turning it over. Can you walk us through what that process looks like, sir? We're taking it. Very simple. We're taking it. Yeah. With Iran. We're going in with Iran. Does that mean you guys are on the ground to get that? I don't call up which I do. I will take it after the agreement decides. After that, there's a big difference before and after BC.
12:10It's before and after. Sir, in the street, are there going to be restrictions? After the agreement decides a lot different than before. We would have taken it. If we didn't have an agreement, we would take it. But I don't think we'll have to.
12:22Ben Meiselas:Then a reporter asked Donald Trump, is Lebanon part of the deal with Iran? And Trump's like, no, maybe psychologically it is. Here, play this clip. Exceptions. Ceasefire in Lebanon need to happen for you to get to a deal with Iran. It's not really tied, but you could say maybe psychologically tied, but we're going to help Lebanon become a country again. You know, it's been a long time for them. They've gone through a lot and we're going to help them be a country again. What do you mean psychologically? It's a part of the deal. or within Lebanon, Hezbollah is part of what Iran calls the access of resistance.
12:59Ben Meiselas:And it is inextricably intertwined into whatever the ultimate outcome is. That's one of the 10 points of the 10 point framework. But anyway, Donald Trump lies about everything. While Donald Trump wants us all to be distracted by his ridiculous statements, pay attention to what It also happened last night, though. Two days after saying the U.S. would not, would never renew sanction waivers on Russia or Iranian oil, Treasury Secretary Besant quietly extended a license allowing Russian oil transactions for another month not to have sanctions. Let me repeat that. Two days after saying the U.S. would not renew sanctions waivers on Russian or Iranian oil, Besant's Treasury quietly extended the license allowing Russian oil transactions for another month.
13:53Ben Meiselas:You can see right here the general license allowing Russia to sell its previously sanctioned oil. By the way, previously, Treasury Secretary Besant did that to Lukashenko. Lukashenko is the president of Belarus, a Putin bootlicker, a Putin sycophant right there. And you can see the removal of sanctions from Belarusian banks and sanctioned banks. Lukashenko signed a document about Belarus joining the Board of Peace back in January of 2026. Why am I bringing that up right now? Because you know how Donald Trump is like, these other countries are laughing at us. They're laughing at us. Now they think we're strong.
14:38Ben Meiselas:Okay, Lukashenko and Putin are laughing in your face as you remove these sanctions against them. Okay. Lukashenko just gave an interview to RT, to Russia's propaganda network. And here's what he said about Donald Trump. He said, if the U.S. can't even stop Iran, you think they'll be able to stop Russia and China or any other country? This is Lukashenko literally laughing in Donald Trump's face while Donald Trump removes oil sanctions against Belarus, against Russia. Banking sanctions are removed against Belarus and Russia. And then they're mocking Donald Trump. This was from an interview that just took place.
15:17Ben Meiselas:Let's play it. But despite some foolishness and some impulsiveness, Trump did a lot for this. Trump showed the whole world that your United States, America, is not always powerful. By its power, it is a superpower, but not a super force. Everyone has understood this. And America's main enemy is China. If the Americans couldn't handle Iran, as I've said long ago, then they should not mess with China. They will never be able to deal with that kind of power. The U.S. leadership understood that they are a superpower, but not a super force. This understanding gives hope that once the Americans realize this, they will have to consider not only China and Russia.
15:58Russia is such a vast territory that they won't achieve anything with missiles. The missiles will run out faster than the territory of Russia. Iran has shown this too. I'm not even talking about the consequences. The Middle East, the global economy and so on, they've suffered from this reckless adventure in Iran. I'm not going to discuss that. The facts are clear. They've shown that you Americans need to stop and understand that beyond U.S. interests, Greenland, Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua, the Panama Canal and other parts of the Western Hemisphere, there are countries with their own interests, even within your hemisphere.
16:30But Trump has done a lot. Bad things, as we understand, and you do too. But he's also revealed the true face of the United States and its capabilities to the world. They are not limitless. This situation may lead to Americans being forced to consider other interests, which means that a bright future isn't far off.
16:50Ben Meiselas:And then finally, let me share with you what Professor Miranda says. He's an Iranian professor who travels with the Iranian negotiating team. This guy is in the inner circle of the Iran negotiating team. He's there for their internal deliberations. And just so you're clear, like what the Iranians are thinking about what Donald Trump is doing. Here's the perspective from Iran. Let's play it. I think that there is a significant chance that Trump is, of course, making up all this stuff, which he is, that Iran agreed to this, Iran agreed to that, which is all nonsense. so that perhaps that when the, in three or four days, he can say Iran promised all these things, but now they've refused to abide by their commitments, non-existent commitments.
17:45You get what I'm saying? So he'll say, he's saying that the Iranians have agreed to A, B, C, D, E, and F. And then in two, three days, he said they promised all these things, which they didn't. but they're not doing them. So what happens next? A military assault. I think that the chances for a renewed U.S. war against Iran are actually quite high. And I think that the language used by Trump, and I may be completely wrong, because Trump says lots of nonsense. And he's constantly contradicting himself. He's constantly making things up. He says something one hour and then something completely different the next hour.
18:32And I've said repeatedly to people, I do try never to interpret Trump because I can't. I just don't know what goes on in his head. Probably pretty smart.
18:44But if one was to conclude that there is something behind these texts, it could just be another string of like crazy texts, crazy tweets, or social, true social posts. But if it isn't, if they are, let's say for once we take him, say that he has some real strategy lying behind this, I would say that he's trying to make it seem like Iran agreed to something so that later on he can say that Iran refrained from carrying out what it promised to do, thus justifying another war.
19:25Ben Meiselas:There you have it, folks. I gave you what Trump's saying. I gave you what the Iranians saying. I gave you what Lukashenko's saying. I'm going to do a video in a little bit about what Europe, what Asia, what Gulf states are saying. So you have a full picture and then decide for yourself. But let's focus on the objective facts. I don't trust what Iran's saying. I trust my eyes and ears of what I'm seeing in this trade-up for moves. If that lines up with Iran saying, so be it. If that lines up with what Trump's saying, so be it. But it ain't lining up with Trump. And then there's also just common sense.
19:56Ben Meiselas:American soldiers aren't going into Iran and collecting nuclear material with Iranian soldiers. What world? What are you talking about? What does it even mean? It's not happening. Hit subscribe. Let's get to 7 million subscribers. Thanks for watching. Want to stay plugged in? Become a subscriber to our sub stack at MidasPlus.com. You'll get daily recaps from Ron Filipkowski, ad-free episodes of our podcast, and more exclusive content only available at MidasPlus.com.
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From the publisher
MeidasTouch host Ben Meiselas reports on Donald Trump crashing out on Air Force One as his lies about yet another deal with Iran have completely backfired in his face.
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