Trump Gets Catastrophic News With War Poll

23 Jul 2026 · 22 min · 9 chapters

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In short

The episode argues that Donald Trump is getting “catastrophic” polling news tied to a U.S. war escalation against Iran, and that this is worrying Republicans ahead of midterms. It cites new polls: Washington Post says only 28% think fighting Iran is worth it (68% say not), and MAGA voters who say the war is worth the economic cost drop from 50% (May) to 37% (July). A Fox/State Regime Media generic midterm poll shows Democrats leading 53% to 46% (highest since 1996). It also claims 69% disapprove of Trump’s handling. Notable examples include strikes involving CENTCOM, Houthi attacks on Saudi ships, and commentary from Brit Hume/Brett Baier warning Republicans are “down” on affordability/economy.

Guests

none mentioned; the transcript is commentary with quoted political figures (e.g., Steve Bannon, Nancy Mace, Tom Emmer, Carlos Jimenez, Brit Hume/Brett Baier, Daniel Davis).

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Trump's Unprecedented Polling Decline

1:52 to 2:30

Explore the latest alarming polling data for Donald Trump.

“See what Superhuman Go can do at superhuman.com.”

Republicans Face Dire Polling Results

2:30 to 4:49

Delve into Republican polling challenges and economic concerns.

“And on Fox, they said, don't know how else to really say this, but this is really, really bad for Republicans.”

Trump's War Decisions Under Scrutiny

4:49 to 5:48

Examine Trump's military actions and their implications for the U.S.

“Now, while they're doing that, Donald Trump was posting photos of himself looking like the deranged lunatic piece of trash, human walking piece of trash that he is.”

Impacts of War on Republican Midterm Strategy

5:48 to 7:46

Discuss how the ongoing war might affect Republican strategies in midterms.

“They're really hitting Kuwait hard and they're hitting Bahrain.”

Consequences of Trump's Military Strategy

9:25 to 10:41

Analyze the negative consequences of Trump's military approach.

“Now, the analysis here by Daniel Davis Deep Dive, I think, is on point here.”

MAGA Supporters' Economic Perception

10:41 to 14:02

Investigate how MAGA supporters perceive the economy and the war.

“Even his boy, Steve Bannon, even his buddy, Steve Bannon, went on his podcast, brought in someone from Politico and watch what they said.”

Economic Perceptions and Reality

14:02 to 16:05

Discussing how economic perceptions are shifting and the impact on voters.

“We're going to hold the Senate and we're going to finish out Trump's term in style.”

War Rhetoric and Public Opinion

16:06 to 18:06

Exploring the disconnect between Trump's statements and public polling on war.

“sure, this war may be unpopular, but so was World War II before it started.”

Congressman’s Views on War and Moon Landing

18:07 to 18:55

A lighthearted yet serious take on the Congressman’s beliefs about war and conspiracy theories.

“We don't need the Hormuz street, but we do it because we have to do it because we cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

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2:00Ben Meiselas:It gets even worse for Donald Trump. As I previously reported, Donald Trump's net approval is the worst in presidential history. So how does it get worse? Well, he beats his own record. He gets more bad polls, the least popular ever. And there were three new polls that just dropped, one from Washington Post, one from Politico, and one from state regime media, which calls itself Fox. And on Fox, they said, don't know how else to really say this, but this is really, really bad for Republicans. And the data from Fox shows in a generic matchup for the midterms, Democrats are also surging ahead right now as Donald Trump gets us deeper and deeper into this catastrophic and unlawful war in Iran.

2:55Ben Meiselas:Let's go through this polling data right now. Washington Post, the percentage of Americans who say it's worth fighting? Only 28%. Not worth fighting? 68%. How about the share of MAGA voters who think the war is worth the economic cost? These are MAGA voters, hardcore MAGA voters. That fell from 50 % in May to 37 % in July in the latest polling. So the share of MAGA voters who think the war is worth the economic cost fell from 50 % in May to 37 % in July, while more now say the U.S. should only stay involved if costs don't rise further or end the war altogether. We're talking about some of Donald Trump's most hardcore supporters.

3:49Ben Meiselas:Let's take a look at what they just said on state regime media, which calls itself Fox, Brit Hume, Brett Baer. They are panicking right now. Let's play this clip. You look at our polls and you look at the condition of the economy, and this is the one for midterms we look at closely, and that is excellent or good, 24%, only fair or poor, or 76%. And that has got to have Republicans, Senate and House, concerned. Absolutely, Brad. And the truth is, there's not much good news for Republicans in this whole poll we did. Underwater on the economy, as you showed, underwater on affordability. Those two issues are front and center for sure.

4:38Republicans have a little bit of a lead on national security and I guess law enforcement, but everywhere you look, Republicans are down. Now, there is one, there is a bit of good news. As you mentioned, the redistricting will help them with seats in the house and they will probably need every one of them they can get from that.

4:54Ben Meiselas:Now, while they're doing that, Donald Trump was posting photos of himself looking like the deranged lunatic piece of trash, human walking piece of trash that he is. Donald Trump posts, Trump orders CENTCOM to open the gates of hell after U.S. troops killed launches strikes on Iran, to which the Houthis immediately responded by striking Saudi Arabian tankers. And then in the Strait of Hormuz, the Iranians responded by striking a tanker there and having others turn around. And as Decoding Fox News, hat tip to Decoding Fox News, want to give a hat tip to her, support her work. She's got a great sub stack also at Decoding Fox News.

5:35Ben Meiselas:The folks at Fox News are openly criticizing Trump's war in Iran. They explain it decoding Fox News. They know he watches it all day long. So here's what they're saying. Let's take a look. Let's play it. Nine straight days. They're really hitting Kuwait hard and they're hitting Bahrain. And but Jordan is the biggest surprise. Yes. Yes. We got your missile defense there. Simple as that. But I can I do expect that we're going to be there a long time. You know, Operation Northern Southern Watch went on for almost 20 years, I think. So one of the things that's really alarming right now is that those strikes on Jordan were pretty advanced weapons.

6:11And we certainly felt like a lot of the strikes previously had taken out their a lot of their missile capabilities. So that is definitely alarming. We have to do Mark Warner's right. Bombing along may not work. We do not, nor have we ever controlled the Straits of Hormuz. Because, you know, there aren't too many approaches. There aren't too many choices left available. Unfortunately, once you've started something like this, the way you finish it is with American ground troops. And, you know, we're saddened and disgusted to hear about those newly minted gold star families. That is not what we want.

6:49But if we see a ground invasion, you're going to see a lot more than that. And you're going to you know, you're going to have young people whose lives are destroyed. and you know we're not going to be saying their names every day on tv and it's not just politically costly it's at some point it gets to be immoral the only other option is another deal and the deal is probably i hate to say this this is not a political comment but it may be worse than the deal obama struck because you're going to have to unfreeze all of that money if we don't want to put troops on the ground because guess who else knows we don't want to put troops on the ground the iranians yeah so again this is not what i want to have happen but and mark warner loves this country Coming up, the U.S.

7:27launching more strikes tonight in Iran, a live report from the region. Plus, what's this going to do to Republicans in the midterms? Three members of our military were killed over the weekend. Tragedy. And with the midterm elections a little more than 100 days away, the clock is ticking for President Trump to get out of this war before voters head to the polls. It's making a lot of Republicans nervous. It's already, as we know, unpopular. According to the New Washington Post-Ipsos polls, 69 % of Americans disapprove of the handling of this conflict. Republicans cannot let this become an endless distraction, especially if they want to win in November.

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9:25Ben Meiselas:Now, the analysis here by Daniel Davis Deep Dive, I think, is on point here. He says, shortly before Ansar Allah fire, that's the Houthis in Yemen, fired on two Saudi Arabian ships yesterday evening in the Red Sea, Trump posted on his truth social, open the gates of hell. It should be painfully evident to everyone, even Trump, that these threats and military actions will never compel Iran or the Yemen rebels to submit to his will. It will do the opposite. Now Trump is starting to face the reality that the application of firepower is not only failing to achieve positive results, it is making our situation worse, hardening the resolve of our adversaries and deepening the cost of our increasing strategic failure.

10:10Ben Meiselas:Now, it ain't just the Strait of Hormuz that's closed. It's Bob El-Mondab. Things are going to get worse for the United States financially. Trump does not appear to be even close to the point where he realizes that more lethal power equals a worsening position for him. I think we can expect that he'll probably escalate even more in the coming days, making our position even more intractable and raising the cost on our country before possible reality will compel him to change course. Even his boy, Steve Bannon, even his buddy, Steve Bannon, went on his podcast, brought in someone from Politico and watch what they said.

10:51Ben Meiselas:This is Bannon. Let's play it. Megan, this poll, walk us through it because it's just not the absolute number in the poll. It's about the trend of the poll. This poll was taken and a part of the highlight of this is President Trump's most ardent supporters, the mega base. And these numbers are pretty shocking. I mean, they would be pretty shocking to people that didn't listen to the war room every day or weren't part of the cadre. Can you walk us through it? Yeah, I think this comes as no surprise to anyone who is, you know, part of the MAGA base and has been hearing these perpetual concerns about the war and having concerns themselves about the war and its costs.

11:30And what we really find here is that, you know, as of May and our political poll, half of the MAGA base thought that the war was worth the economic cost. Obviously, folks very supportive of the president, inclined to trust him, you know, receptive to the argument that this was about, you know, stopping Iran from having nuclear weapons. Now we see, as we are, you know, now entering the fifth month of war here, that only a little more than a third of the MAGA base still believes that the war is worth the economic cost here. So that's a 13-point dip. And at the same time, 37 % self-identified MAGA Trump voters say the U.S.

12:08should only continue being in the war if it doesn't increase costs. And one in five MAGA voters believe the U.S. should actually just end the war in Iran regardless of the cost, right? There's some pretty shocking numbers here to folks who haven't been watching this, but to your point, not surprising to folks who have been having these concerns themselves.

12:24Ben Meiselas:So that's what Bannon said. What about Nancy Mace? What did Nancy Mace say? I mean, We're talking about ultra MAGA right here. Let's play this clip to show you what Nancy Mace had to say. Let's play it. What are you hearing from your constituents about affordability? Oh, people can't afford. I mean, they're getting taxed on everything. Groceries are up. Electricity is up. Their mortgages, the interest rates, rent is up in Mount Pleasant in my district for a three-bedroom apartment. It's going to cost you$5 ,000 a month. Nobody can afford that. It's Trump had said that he was going to bring down electricity prices.

13:00Ben Meiselas:By 50 % hasn't happened yet, has it? No, it hasn't. Thank you, Matt. Yeah, thank you. Again, you take a look at that state regime media poll one more time. The generic poll by Fox shows Democrats taking a huge lead, 53 % to 46%. This is the highest either party has hit in a Fox generic poll since 1996. Since 1996. So what is MAGA Republican Congress member Tom Emmer saying? He's one of the leaders of the MAGA Republicans in Congress. He said, look, the economy is now working for everyone. Things are looking great. And he said that when people feel bad, their feelings are wrong. And by September, the MAGA say that people will realize their feelings are wrong and that their reality is actually an economic golden age.

13:52Ben Meiselas:they're just they feel incorrectly because everything's so amazing that's what mag is going with let's play it southern border it's about an economy that is starting to work for everyone you look at real wages are growing faster than inflation you look at the lower rungs of the prosperity ladder in this country they are actually catching up for the first time in years their spending is up about six percent right now they are feeling better about the economy and if their perception is they're in a better place than they were under joe biden and they see a bright future. Guess what, guys? We're going to hold the House.

14:24We're going to hold the Senate and we're going to finish out Trump's term in style. And Congressman, I do have to point out, though, that there still are many Americans on both sides of the aisle who are feeling financial pressure, financial strain on various levels, whether it be because of the war in Iran or maybe inflation not going down as quickly as we had hoped. What is your message to them? Because we keep telling them to be patient and they may feel that they just don't have patience left well katrina i guess i'm pushing back on that by telling you that while there are people and there always will that are going to be struggling what they're saying compared to what is happening is not matching and what you're going to see i believe is by early september those two things the perception of their economic reality and they're they're literally the economic reality are going to be intersecting the economy nobody's talking about 99 cent eggs and you're correct by the way when you talk about uh for instance gas prices gas prices because of the war in iran i have been definitely impacted and people see that on a daily basis but i would argue to you that with the uh the president of peace what he tried to do with iran and he told everybody that once he got to that point you were going to see gas prices come tumbling down, Katrina.

15:48We, in fact, saw that until the Iranians balked on the deal. I would say the IRGC balked on the deal. Also, inflation came down shortly after that. That's right. Yes.

16:00Ben Meiselas:Yep. Congressman Tom Emerson, we got to leave it there. Then you have MAGA Republican Congress member Carlos Jimenez from Florida saying, sure, this war may be unpopular, but so was World War II before it started. Just like World War II, this may become popular soon. You want us to be involved in World War? Oh, wait, you know, we're kind of are involved in World War III. You take a look at Russia's invasion of Ukraine every day there. You've got these dark mushroom cloud looking things over the facilities that are being destroyed both in Russia now and in Kiev. That's going there. The Middle East has been lit on fire.

16:39Ben Meiselas:Every Africa, there's wars everywhere. You know, Venezuela, I mean, threatening war on Cuba. Anyway, here's what Carlos Jimena says. Let's play it. President Trump this morning said that Americans, quote, aren't against the war, end quote, despite a lot of polling to the contrary. In a recent Washington Post-Ipso survey, 68 % of Americans said the war was not worth fighting, while 28 % said it was. How do you explain the disconnect between what the president says and how Americans feel, according to almost all of these most recent polls? Well, you know, I'm not going to speak for the president that I think that I'm not going to dispute the polls either.

17:18But I also know that, you know, prior to World War Two, 85 percent of Americans were not in favor of entering that war. And then it all changed in one day. I think the president and frankly, us, we have to explain why it is that we are we are hitting Iran, that we don't we want to make sure Iran never gets a nuclear weapon. Iran has been saying for 47 years death to America death to Israel when somebody's been talking like that for 47 years I tend to you know listen and and think that they're serious about it so this war is really not about us this war war is really about protecting our children and our grandchildren and I'm willing to make that investment and so while many Americans may think that it's we shouldn't be doing this I believe we should because I want to protect my children and my grandchildren in the future from a nuclear armed Iran.

18:06Ben Meiselas:But Donald Trump says, we don't need the Hormuz street. We don't need them streets in Hormuz. Let's play this clip. We don't need anything. We don't need the Hormuz street, but we do it because we have to do it because we cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon. It's very... And then just for the hell of it, I'll just show you what Lauren Boebert had to say about that she believes that the moon landing was done in Amazon warehouses. Let's play. Here's what I got a real important question from you from the fellows at Minus Touch. They want to know where you're at on the moon landing, which the anniversary of it was yesterday.

18:43I don't know. I think it was done in an Amazon warehouse. Oh, they didn't have those in a different warehouse. So you're not convinced that we landed on the moon? No. I'm not convinced of half the things the government tells us. Have a great day.

18:55Ben Meiselas:Thank you, Congressman. There you have it, everybody. Let me know what you think. Hit subscribe. Let's get to 7 million subscribers and check out WTF. Pre-order it right now. It's the book I did with my brothers. Check it out. I think somewhere there's the QR code. Hit the QR code. If you do the pre-order now, it really, really, really helps. And then if you did pre-order, put in the comment WTF. Say WTF ban if you did the pre-order. Thanks for watching. Breaking news right now. My brothers and I wrote a book. It's called WTF America. And well, Doesn't that just say it all? It comes out officially this October, but you can pre-order your copy today.

19:32Just scan the QR code or click the link in the description below.

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20:18May slow when network is busy. See terms. The people who seem to get more done than everyone else, They're not working longer hours or running on more caffeine. They've just stopped wasting time on the stuff that doesn't move work forward. Switching apps, re-explaining context, hunting for files. Those aren't small inefficiencies. They're hours wasted every week. Superhuman Go gives you those hours back. From the makers of Grammarly, Go is an AI chat that sits inside every tab and tool you already use. Always available and ready to help you with what you're working on. Ask it to draft something, summarize a long thread, pull up a file or prep you for a meeting.

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From the publisher

MeidasTouch host Ben Meiselas reports on Donald Trump getting horrible polling on the war from Fox, Politico, and Washington Post all on the same day.

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