Kincaid in America: An AFC East Preview

8 Jul 2026 · 1 h 30 min · 23 chapters

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In short

An AFC East preview focused on roster changes and matchup implications for the Patriots, Jets, and Bills, with discussion of how offenses/defenses may perform versus man/zone and pressure.

Guests

Anthony Prohaska (Cover One; podcast Disguised Coverage). He’s a league-wide analyst who primarily covers the Bills and also evaluates teams across the NFL.

Key claims (Patriots)

AJ Brown + Romeo Dobbs create a “tremendous one-two” at receiver; Matt Collins becomes a “dirty work” grinder/TE role; the offense gains flexibility in personnel (11/12/13, heavies with Reggie Gilliam fullback). Drake May’s deep-ball efficiency should benefit, and lighter boxes should improve the run game. Main concern is offensive line health, especially Elijah Vera-Tucker staying healthy; Caleb Lomu is insurance. Defensively, they may need more exotic pressure because outside pass rush is a question; they’ll likely keep man coverage but add simulated-pressure creativity via Shame Bowen.

Notable examples (Jets)

Geno Smith’s 2023 “dumpster fire” is attributed to Chip Kelly circumstances/line/execution, not just Geno; Reich’s offense could stabilize him. Jets’ defense adds speed/edge with Jermaine Johnson out to “Vandre Sweat,” plus pass rush depth; cornerback outside is the weak link (Brandon Stevens/To Sean Wright coverage concerns).

Notable examples (Bills)

DJ Moore is framed as an upgrade for man-coverage issues; Dalton Kincaid’s man-coverage EPA per target is highlighted, contingent on health.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Overview of the AFC East

0:00 to 0:26

Discussion on the contrasting states of the AFC East teams.

“As soccer takes center stage this summer, Comcast helps bring the experience home to America.”

Overview of the AFC East

0:50 to 2:09

Discussion on the contrasting states of the AFC East teams.

“And to do so, I have a first-time guest, which is so exciting.”

In-Depth on the Patriots

2:09 to 3:07

Exploring the strengths and weaknesses of the Patriots' roster.

“I think I'm interested in getting to the rebuild, the players, the young players, the core, what they're going to get out of Malik Willis.”

Patriots' Offensive Improvements

3:07 to 4:59

Analyzing improvements in the Patriots' receiving corps and offensive strategy.

“But Anthony, one would assume the addition of an A.J.”

Offensive Line Challenges

4:59 to 7:35

Examining the challenges facing the Patriots' offensive line.

“And then I like where it slots in everyone else.”

Future Prospects for the Patriots

7:35 to 14:01

Speculating on the potential for improvement in the Patriots' performance.

“If you want to go condensed, if you want to go spread, if you want to do some power spread stuff, you can do that.”

Assessing the Patriots Defense

14:01 to 23:31

The discussion centers around the Patriots' defensive performance, its strengths, and areas of concern heading into the new season.

“Like, you know, like I think it's definitely within the realm of possibility that both get better next year.”

Evaluating the Jets Offense

23:31 to 28:01

The hosts analyze the potential of the Jets' offense, highlighting key players, past performance, and future expectations.

“Running backs are still Brees Hall and Allen.”

Evaluating Quarterbacks: Geno Smith and Frank Reich

28:01 to 31:06

An analysis of Geno Smith's performance and Frank Reich's coaching impact.

“Because Reich is kind of the same question with him that you have for Gina, which is the last time we saw you, is that who you are?”

Jets Offense: Potential and Young Talent

31:06 to 34:29

Discussion on the Jets' offensive potential with young talent and coaching adjustments.

“in Seattle to all of a sudden just being part of this absolute dumpster fire with the Raiders.”
Show all 23 chapters

Defensive Changes and Strategies

34:29 to 38:39

Insights on the Jets' defensive changes and strategies for improvement.

“young core because when you have a really bad quarterback play, all of the players we talked about will get frustrated.”

Concerns in the Secondary and Coverage Issues

38:39 to 42:00

Examining the weaknesses in the Jets' secondary and potential coverage problems.

“And part of that was Demario Davis kind of like running the show and translating everything.”

Analyzing Defensive Strategies

42:00 to 43:04

Discussion on the effectiveness of different defensive strategies and players.

“But is the front good enough to do that?”

Analyzing Defensive Strategies

43:46 to 44:06

Discussion on the effectiveness of different defensive strategies and players.

“And let me tell you, game day is serious business at my house.”

Buffalo Bills Offense Overview

44:50 to 48:01

Examining the Buffalo Bills' offensive lineup and effectiveness against man coverage.

“They went from first NBA per play versus zone to 15th versus man.”

Impact of Offensive Line Changes

48:02 to 55:12

Discussion on the Buffalo Bills' offensive line and its stability amid player changes.

“I think, you know, I talked about this, but Moore's...”

Potential of Dalton Kincaid

55:13 to 56:00

Analyzing Dalton Kincaid's role and potential impact on the Bills' offense.

“Spencer Brown hurt for the majority of the start of his career that reared its head last year where he started pickup injuries again.”

Evaluating the Bills' Defense

56:00 to 1:09:30

Explore the changes in the Bills' defense and their impact on run defense.

“tight ends and running best that had at least 45 targets.”

Miami Dolphins Season Preview

1:11:14 to 1:23:17

An in-depth discussion on the Miami Dolphins' objectives and player evaluations for the upcoming season.

“All right, Miami Dolphins, very different objectives for this season with them.”

Evaluating Success for the Dolphins

1:23:17 to 1:24:00

A conversation about what constitutes a successful season for the Miami Dolphins in 2026.

“to be something like a light in the dark.”

Evaluating the Dolphins' Success in 2026

1:24:00 to 1:27:15

Learn what a successful season looks like for the Miami Dolphins in 2026.

“What is a successful 2026 season for the Miami Dolphins look like to you?”

Anthony's Work and Insights

1:27:15 to 1:28:22

Discover where to find Anthony's work and insights into football analysis.

“That's got to be the most any national podcast talking about the Dolphins right now.”

Ranking the AFC East

1:28:22 to 1:30:25

Listen to the hosts rank the AFC East teams and discuss their predictions.

“just like the bloggers and the beat reporters.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00As soccer takes center stage this summer, Comcast helps bring the experience home to America. As the exclusive Spanish-language home of the tournament in the U.S., Telemundo is set to present its most expansive coverage ever. 700 hours of programming, live on-site presence at all 104 matches, and with multi-view and real-time 4K, Xfinity will deliver the most innovative and immersive sports viewing experience for fans watching on Telemundo, Peacock, Fox, and FS1. Learn more at ComcastCorporation.com.

0:33Welcome back to the Munich I'm show featuring Lenny only NFL podcast. One of the hosts heard Keon Coleman is in the doghouse and said, me too. That's Lenny. I mean, it comes. We're gonna be talking to Keon Coleman today because we are talking about the bills. We're also talking about the Patriots, the Dolphins, the Jets. It's time to preview the AFC East. And to do so, I have a first-time guest, which is so exciting. I have gone on his podcast. He does an excellent job covering the Bills, but I also believe he is phenomenal at covering the entire league, which is why I asked him to do this. It is Anthony Prohaska from Cover One.

1:09His podcast there is called Disguised Coverage. Welcome to the show. Thank you very much for having me. I'm pumped to be here after having you a couple times on my show. I tried to come up with a dog pun in my head, like you lead off these with, but I didn't come up with anything good. Yours was good. Well done. Well done. It's hard. You know, I always, uh, relish new people coming into the league because I need new names to play well off of, by the way, are you bringing an arrested development shirt? I just noticed that. Yeah. It's a blue, blue bananas. Yeah. Thank you. Um, all right. So last week we did the NFC East, AFC East, very different.

1:43Uh, it is very much a division of the haves and the have nots. There are two teams that are, you know, One was in the Super Bowl. One is a perennial Super Bowl contender as of late. And then there are two teams who are rebuilding. One of them is a little bit more confusing. Or not confusing, but... Okay, well, obviously I'm talking about the Jets and the Dolphins. The Dolphins, we know, are rebuilding. I have some... There's stuff to talk about with them. I think I'm interested in getting to the rebuild, the players, the young players, the core, what they're going to get out of Malik Willis. The Jets are a little bit like, I don't know, man.

2:18You look at them and they might not be that bad, but they also could be. So we'll talk about them. We're going to talk about the Patriots first. And look, I'm trying not to spend too much time on this one because I had the Patriots both in my top 10 offenses and my top 10 defenses pod. I had the Bills, I think, as the number two offense. So we'll obviously get to that in depth. That's your account. And I have a lot of questions for you about the Bills. But starting with the Patriots, yeah, the defense kind of snuck in for me at 10 the offense um i i don't know it's funny because i think i had them four or something uh which seemed to take nate by surprise and and talking about the pats on espn uh it feels like everybody is convinced this team is going to take a step back with the harder schedule.

3:13But Anthony, one would assume the addition of an A.J. Brown would mitigate that to some degree. So we should just start there. That's the big change. The receiving group is completely revamped. We've got A.J. Brown, Romeo Dobbs, some combination of Demario Douglas, Kayshawn Booty, Matt Collins, Kyle Williams. They drafted a tight end to pair with Hunter Henry. Unfortunately, it lost Julian Hill to injury. The backs are the same. Stevenson, Henderson. They added Reggie Gilliam. Is that a fill in your face for you? bringing back Josh McDaniel's beloved fullback. And then the offensive line, they did draft Caleb Lomu, but it's unclear if he'll see the field this year.

3:51Will Campbell staying at left tackle. They signed Elisha Vera Tucker to play guard, who is a good player when he's been healthy. But let's focus on the receiving group first. How improved is this in your mind? I think significantly. I personally like Romeo Dobbs a lot. I, you know, not to even get into the bills already. Like I value is a separate conversation. I would have had rather had Romeo Dobbs and his contract and DJ more and everything that the bills paid for DJ more, but you know, separate conversation, but Dobbs, I mean, really good elite separator in the low red zone technician, you know, good on outbreakers, just the process of how he operates in and of itself, I think is good.

4:33And then you pair him with AJ Brown, who might not be the AJ Brown of old or prime AJ Brown, or I mean, who knows if we're reading the tea leaves, maybe, you know, everything else that was going on in Philly was, you know, kind of contributing to him, not being the full version of himself, but physical monster, even if he is not the prime version of himself and you add what he can be down the field from a size and speed and explosion perspective. So him and Dobbs at the top is a tremendous one, two. And then I like where it slots in everyone else. Matt Collins now gets to be more of the dirty work grinder, kind of like what he was with the bills a couple of years ago.

5:07like a tight end yeah he essentially is and you can use him if you want to go 11 or if you want to go 12 or 13 to have him be the receiver you can slot him in attach to the formation and let him insert and pick up guys but you know he's also underrated as a pass catcher and i'm gonna speak out of both sides of my mouth a little here but now instead of having him be like a primary guy for drake may down the field now that primary guy is aj brown which feels like an upgrade and then the two behind him is Dobbs and then it's Hollins and Kayshawn Booty has Derek Stingley's number apparently and he's like your three and then Kyle Williams is there.

5:44I think it's a good group. You still got pop Douglas. I think it's a significantly upgraded group which is scary to think because Drake May was in the MVP conversation with a lesser group the year before. What I actually find interesting too is that right now they have embarrassment or riches might sound a little bit extreme but this is a very deep receiving group at the moment. Brown and Dobbs are your one and two but every single other receiver I named, I imagine being useful, right? Like, and they're very different types, different body types, as you outlined. You can put your speed guy on the field and Williams.

6:12You got bigger bodies. Booty also is a downfield threat, et cetera. I think what's interesting for Josh McDaniels is whether or not he decides to use heavier personnel groupings, meaning the fullback and the tight ends, given that he has all of these receivers, right? Because acquiring Gilliam feels very deliberate. I think acquiring Hill, maybe that throws a little bit of a wrench in that plan. But they did spend, you know, Eli Raritan, I think they want to play. Hunter Henry is very reliable. And, you know, I think there's the potential here to sort of follow the trends of the league and put tight ends on the field and play action off of that or put Gilliam on the field, which is something the Bills did with great success.

6:58So there's that on one hand. but then on the other hand and maybe compensate for potential offensive line problems which we can talk about that's probably the one area where i have some questions but also you got all these girly good receivers so i mcdaniel really is given a lot to work with um and yeah i think there i guess what i'm saying is what i love about this group of skill players now is yeah josh mcdaniels has the ability to change the patriots use of personnel groupings based on their opponents. You know what I mean? Like there's, he has that sort of flexibility because of all the players that they've added.

7:341000%. And what you can do, even if like you want to stay in 11, you can run the ball a bit from 11. You can pass the ball out of 11. If you want to go condensed, if you want to go spread, if you want to do some power spread stuff, you can do that. And then, yeah, if you want to go with the heavies, I think Gilliam is, Gilliam is interesting, right? Cause that does seem purposeful, but then obviously like Dobbs and AJ Brown is purposeful. And so it's like, do you really just want to be different from week to week? Like, what do you lean into? And even last year, 17.5%, 21 personnel rate. They ran the ball 56 % of the time from 21 personnel.

8:11They had the third most run plays in the league from 21. And then they were 14th in EPA per rush from 21 and 11th in success rate, which kind of ties into, I think, the addition of Gilliam and then the weapons on the outside from a pass catching standpoint. point the receivers are better like we talked about I think that helps Drake May and then I wonder just how much the new bodies that are in there on offense Gilliam and even some of the pass catchers how much does it help a run game that was kind of below average last year like 21st and rushing DVOA but you're you're third overall in DVOA for your offense second in passing DVOA Drake May has one of the most ridiculous EPA per drop backs on deep ball throws in the past like five six years seven years but then you look at that run game and there's questions about it and we know like you said Josh McDaniel he wants to be a little little heavy he wants to run the ball he wants to establish that go under center what do you lean into knowing you got the superstar quarterback some pass catchers and heavies that's McDaniel's identity right like that's what he is known for you know everyone remembers from his first Patriots stint like he He wants that power run game.

9:20He wants to put two backs on the field. And then he wants to work off of that. And I think to your point, like the run game was extremely mid at best last season. And there's like a litany of reasons for that. I think what I found so interesting going back and looking at some of the numbers is despite the fact that the Patriots had from an efficiency explosive, pretty much everything, one of the, if not the best pass games in football, really the best, honestly. defenses still stack the box against them. And I think that was one of the reasons why the run game wasn't better is that even though they had this incredible pass game that should have lightened the load for the run game, defenses really were not afraid of the Patriots receivers.

10:02Maybe they should have been more afraid, but now if you put AJ Brown on the field, defenses don't want to play man coverage against him. Now imagine having, so you're going to see more split safety. You're going to see lighter boxes. It should be easier, right, for Travion Henderson and Stevenson. Imagine having, like, A.J. Brown and Gilliam on the field at the same time. Like, what are you doing, right? Because if you, like, if the Patriots go heavy, but then they have A.J. Brown as the receiver and defenses respond in kind, you're going to get those one-on-ones that we know A.J. Brown has feasted on over the entire, you know, his entire career.

10:37So I think just taking a step back, Just everything works together and makes this offense able to attack your weaknesses, get favorable coverages or get favorable looks on the ground. It's a really great group. If I had one concern, it really is just the offensive line. And I want to ask you what you think of that. Will Campbell obviously struggled in the postseason coming off of the injury. He was better before the injury. Patriots are sticking with him at left tackle, but they did draft Caleb Lomu, potentially as a successor to either him or Morgan Moses on the right side. How do you feel about, you know, Jared Wilson's now playing center?

11:15Do you think that this group can be better than what we saw in the playoffs because it kind of was their undoing? I think if Elijah Vera Tucker stays healthy, I really think he's kind of the straw that stirs the drink because he's such a, almost like an important linchpin there because if he goes down, then what's nice is now you have Lomu who kind of is this like can plug multiple spots say Vera Tucker goes down you could kick Will Campbell into left guard you could put Lomu at left tackle if there's anything with Moses you could put Lomu potentially at right tackle but I like that Jared Wilson's at center I think with his size and his skill set his playing profile the move to center helps him a bit Elijah Vera Tucker if he can stay healthy can legitimately be like one of the better offensive linemen in the league and I feel like we all say this every off season.

12:02And then he gets hit with some injury that keeps him out for the entirety of the year. And it's just kind of like this, like he's trying to be the defense against the dark arts teacher at Hogwarts. And it's just like not meant to be for him. Um, but I think this offensive line should be better, especially from a self-scouting standpoint. I think so many of us are, are, and rightfully so etched into our brain of how they got picked apart by the Seahawks in the Superbowl from a rule standpoint and a plan standpoint and free runners and Devin Witherspoon just running through the B and the C gap left and right, like relentlessly attacking Drake May.

12:38And that's on top of a year where Drake May was pressured at the sixth highest pressure rate in the NFL at 38.6%. He was the fourth most sack quarterback, um, 47 times granted. He was like first in passer rating when under pressure and fourth in EPA per drop back when blitz. Cause he's phenomenal but yeah i do think they'll be better but how much better they are i think it's tied to whether or not elijah vera tucker stays healthy but that could even if you wanted to spin it positively you could even say well maybe if he goes down will campbell find exactly and that's better for him like you know i just i think the low mood draft pick was really astute on their part um for that reason because you look at the scene you're like well you already have tackles but But do you?

13:20Like, you know, you never know. I think it's interesting from a profile standpoint because I think of Lomu as like light, a little bit light in the pants, athletic zone blocking tackle. And it's a little bit different from when we think about like these Josh McDaniels offenses and sort of the past. But, you know, I think maybe it signals kind of a little bit like where they want to go. I don't know. But yeah, I think it would be my number one concern looking at his offense, but I do think he gives them some insurance there that is encouraging. Also, you know, Campbell and Jared Wilson, that was their first season, man.

14:01Like, you know, like I think it's definitely within the realm of possibility that both get better next year. A thousand percent. So, you know, that would be exciting too for them. And one more thing at Campbell for me, like I know the short arms, they're short, but I feel like so many people kind of attributed the struggles in the Super Bowl to back. Well, look at his arms. They're short. He's never going to succeed. And for me, it was more of his feet and his punch timing, like being off. And those things can be corrected. He's never going to have the longest arms. It's always going to be something that he has to adjust for.

14:33But yeah, his first year in the league, let's see himself scout. I think the bigger part too is does Doug Marone kind of self scout and think, OK, like we got picked apart from a rule standpoint. We got embarrassed. that was also kind of happening during the year a little bit what do i need to do to not just individually develop the guys but get better from a holistic rules standpoint and and not get picked apart well it should be noted that it wasn't just a super bowl the patriots offensive line got cooked the entire season now they did face very challenging like it was like the gauntlet of nfl pass rushes but even like the charger like i you know i'm sorry i'm thinking of uh the Broncos.

15:12Sorry, this is what I had in mind. Like I was like, you guys could be doing a little better job than this. That's okay. So the Patriots defense is a little bit more questionable to me, even though I did ultimately put them in the top 10. This is another unit where I think the postseason introduces some like interesting questions. You know, I talked about this in my top 10 defenses pod, but I think the question of, is this the defense we saw at the end or is it, It's kind of the inverse of the Patriots. It's why the Patriots became a very frustrating team to talk about because it felt like at the end of the year, everyone looked back in the season.

15:48It was like the offense was hit or miss, and the defense was elite, which was just not at all true as to what happened during the regular season. But then they flipped, and the defense was quite good in the postseason. However, they've lost some players. I mentioned that. Role players, but guys who I thought were pretty good for them, chase on Hawkins. Uh, they did add Draymond Jones and Gabe Akis who had been hurt during the off season. Um, otherwise, and then, uh, Hawkins is out. Kevin Bayard, who's honestly pretty good last year, uh, is in for them at safety. Um, you know, I've talked about last year, I think when Milton Williams and Christian Barmore were on the field together, you kind of saw the promise of this defense, which is elite defensive tackles, elite corners.

16:35And in the postseason they were blitzing like crazy playing a ton of man coverage so I think that raises interesting questions not just of how good they'll be this year but what their defensive identity will be uh because Zach Kerr now gets the entire season right to be the you know well he started coaching pretty quickly last year but it was obviously transitional so what do you think this defense will look like this season for me this is this is like a tiny little nugget or maybe kind of a deep pull um so they they bring on shame bowen as a defensive analyst for them this year and kerr kind of studied under him for a bit in tennessee when vrabel was still there as well bowen with his time in tennessee was really good with simulated pressures like the design the scheme of them and that's such kind of like the in vogue thing for defenses like sims and creepers and what can we do and changing the math and changing the picture and so on and so forth but he was creative and effective with them use them as at a significant clip in Tennessee not so much with the Giants the past couple of years but him being brought in as an analyst and I wonder like do they want to lean into more of that look instead of just being more of a hey we're gonna play a bunch of cover one hey we're gonna play some cover three we're kind of rock and roll our safeties but you know to your point good luck beating Christian Gonzalez who is one of the best corners in football.

17:54Good luck beating Carlton Davis, who's a tremendous number two. I think they're going to stay with the man coverage aspect or even from a match perspective, which makes sense. You've got Gonzo, let him lock down a side, continue on his trajectory. Carlton Davis is a good number two, but I feel like maybe they start to dip into some more schematic creativity from a front perspective. I mean, I think it might be kind of necessary because if there's one thing I question about this defense and the thing that made me a little bit nervous about putting them in the top 10, it is the pass rush outside of those defensive tackles.

18:29Right now, adding Jones and Akis, they have these, it's a very power-oriented rush, pocket pushers, guys who can set an edge. I expect this to be a very good run defense, which it was when Robert Spillane, although they did lose Tonga, I want to know that, so Corey Jordan will be taking his place. But yeah, I look at this team and I kind of wonder if they're going to be able to affect the quarterback with just a standard rush, which is part of the reason I think the Blitz became such a weapon for them in the postseason, recognizing, hey, we have these corners who we trust. Let's just send pressure.

19:08And so, yeah, I think it's going to require a little creativity, right? They didn't invest a lot in this. Draymond Jones was kind of good in Baltimore after being traded. so it's not like I'm saying they have no one or the cupboard is bare or you know in Harold Andrews opposite him hopefully healthy Akis is a you know he's like a cool player who has a kind of a specific role but I just feel like Zach Kerr is gonna have to go in his bag a little bit to try to generate pressure and so the Bowen point is an interesting one to that end because yeah I think one side of that is blitzing another side of it is getting a little bit of exotic in terms of trying kind of confused quarterbacks.

19:48You know, I'm optimistic. I think obviously, I think last year injuries hurt them at various points to different players and they have decent depth at multiple positions. I think my only question is just, especially like if, yeah, well, again, with a harder slate of opposing quarterbacks and what, because last year, the defense really benefited from weak competition more so than the offense a thousand percent and especially when you look at like i know we look at a lot of the same same things like epa per play and success rate and dvoa it's funny seeing like so epa per play the defense as a whole they're third in epa per play allowed third in epa per pass allowed um you know 13th in success rate allowed overall and then if you look at dvoa they're 23rd in dvoa like 25th and passing dvoa 17th and rushing DVO.

20:43And so like the, the DVO metrics was kind of puts everyone on an even plane and accounts for all situation and opponent dinged them big time. But if you're looking at kind of the, you know, straightforward advanced metrics, they were phenomenal. And I'm wondering to kind of see, yeah, where, where do they fall? Is it closer to that EPA and success rate metric? Is it closer to the DVO aspect to now that there's kind of more of a target on their back? And maybe people are aware like okay the Patriots are back we have to pay more attention to the Patriots our team's gunning for them a little bit and where do they slot in with the deep from the DVOA and the regular advanced metric standpoint and I think it's that's such a great point too with the pressure aspect and kind of scheming it up and how you tie it in and it what I think what does help them so much is how good Milton Williams was as a pass rusher last year and you might not get the traditional one-on-one winning from the outside because like you said it is more power compression set the edge.

21:41Um, but Milton Williams on the interior amongst 112 qualifying interior defenders last year, seventh and win rate, third and pressure rate, third and pass rush productivity tied for sixth and sacks. So maybe it's okay. Let's game some guys up. Let's try and get him isolated when on the interior. Yeah. And then we can win with some scheme and then no, we have Gonzo and then we can, I mentioned Gonzo Gonzalez and, um, Davis so much, but then you, like you mentioned with the addition of Bayard, all those picks last year for the bears, him patrolling center field, playing in tandem with kind of how they want to operate.

22:15I, yeah, I think it's a, it's a good defense. It'll be interesting to see where they slot in, but I think like the floor is a top 10 ish defense where if they fall out of it, it's like 12th or 13th. Yeah. I think if you tell me that the defensive tackles and the corners will be healthy, I feel fine. Cause that's exactly, you got two elite duos, even though, again, I have questions about the pass rushers. I really wish they had someone with speed because when you talk about the defensive tackles and all the attention they combine, and also the fact that because they're there, you're not really reducing guys inside like Draymond Jones, who's played inside-outside.

22:50You don't need him to play inside. It's fine, but I wish they had someone who I really trusted to turn the corner or on stunts or things like that. And I'm not sure. I look at this group and I see that per se. So solid. Are you trying to get more, like is Harold Landry your juice guy? If you're looking at it, he probably is the juice guy. And that's still kind of like, eh, like what? Yeah, kind of man. Up in the ears, yeah. Yeah. But I think like, again, I think this will be a really good run defense. So that gives them. And if the offense is as good as we've been discussing, that combination, elite run defense, creative coaching top five offense or around there it's probably good enough uh okay let's do the jets next uh so let's start with the offense very different very interesting um so we've got geno smith at quarterback backed up by bailey zappi and kate clubnik the receiving group is now garrett wilson omar cooper jr ad mitchell uh tim patrick tight ends kenyan sadiq mason taylor Jeremy Ruckert at the third tight end.

24:01Running backs are still Brees Hall and Allen. And then your offensive line is mostly the same, right? Fushanu, Parham, Myers, Tippman, Armin, Membu. Young, awesome slide. So let's just start with the elephant in the room, Gina Smith. And I think this is kind of the question that will determine whether the Jets have the number one pick or they're not in that range competing with the likes of the Cardinals and whatnot, Browns, you know. And the question is pretty simple. Was last year, how much, if you're putting the blame pie for the absolute travesty that was, if you're slicing it up, the Raiders offense, what portion goes to Chip Kelly?

24:45What portion goes to the offensive line? What portion goes to the receivers? What portion goes to the quarterback? Very difficult question, Anthony, because the truth is all of the above is the correct answer. It was an absolute nightmare. But like what when you watch so, Gino, I, you know, for those who do the most intersections with football, sack the most in football, you know, really struggled. So so when you watched him, how much would you pin on his decline, mental arm, all of it versus his circumstances? It starts with the circumstances, because like you said, he definitely deserves blame in that pie.

25:22but I just kind of refuse to believe that he's that bad and fell off that hard from Seattle. Granted, right at this time last year, a lot of the discourse was Seattle made a big mistake letting Geno go and they brought in Darnold and then Darnold had obviously a phenomenal year. So then it's like, okay, was it more of the scheme uplifting Geno than kind of what Geno was doing? Or the inverse, right? Did the Seahawks scheme get much better? Did the offensive line get much better? or is the quarterback like and again it's a it's a complicated it's why quarterback play is so hard to isolate because there's so many things that matter yeah but him being you know out of 33 qualifying quarterbacks being 30th in epa per drop back last year i don't believe he's that guy i think his his play was poor but i think it started with the circumstances i think chip kelly was kind of just like hey man whatever unchecked out let's just kind of call stuff and see whatever happens.

26:18Crazy bad offense. And I, I've never been a big Chip Kelly guy, but I really kind of drank the Kool-Aid with him coming back from college in Ohio State. Cool stuff in college. I was like, oh, this is cool. Like, exciting things are going to happen. Yeah. And then I was like, okay. And like, now they got Geno. Okay. And like, I know Ashton Gentry, like, maybe shouldn't have been the pick there, but Gentry's sweet. I was like, okay. I know there's some questions everywhere else, but we got maybe the bones of something. And then it was the exact opposite of that. But I think it starts with Chip and the circumstances and the ecosystem and the environment not being right for Gino.

26:52Because not only did Gino fall off, pretty much everything was a mess there. They couldn't block. They couldn't execute. There were missed assignments, kind of lack of urgency at times from everyone. And so I think Gino does deserve part of that blame because you still got to put your best foot forward. But I think at a certain point, I'm not going to say he checked out because I don't know that and I don't want to put that on anybody. But I think it starts with the circumstance and he kind of fell into it. And that's why I'm kind of excited to see what he can do with the Jets because I think it's a much different set of circumstances, though.

27:23You know, Aaron Glenn, how long is he here? And does that kind of creep into anybody's mind or into the waters there a little bit? But purely from a build standpoint, you've got at minimum three really good offensive linemen. And if Omar Cooper, you know, rookies, we never know what they're going to be. But if he can be something, if A.D. Mitchell can catch the football, you've got a true wide receiver one in Garrett Wilson, and you've got a cool top two in your tight end room with Mason Taylor and Kenyon Sadiq and a guy in Frank Reich who knows how to use tight ends and like to do it back at his time in Indianapolis.

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27:59I think you could have something that could kind of work. It's funny, right? Because Reich is kind of the same question with him that you have for Gina, which is the last time we saw you, is that who you are? Or was your circumstances, which was, you know, the kind of disastrous Bryce Young year, his initials. And like Reich was not good in Carolina, and the offense was not, I felt like it wasn't suited for Young, but Young also wasn't good, and it wasn't the greatest group of skilled players. So, yeah, I think, you know, you can go back to Indianapolis and obviously Philadelphia, and Frank Reich has been a good NFL play caller.

28:36But similarly, Geno, it's kind of like, okay, well, which one are you? Did we see the version that we're going to get this season? To go back to Geno for a second, so if Jets fans are looking for some coke, I have it for you. Because last year you said he was near the bottom or bottom in most meaningful quarterback metrics. But something I thought was interesting was he was still extremely accurate. He was eighth in on-target rate league-wide, and even when you expanded that to over 10 yards and over 20, he still ranked high in terms of his accuracy. Even under pressure, he wasn't that bad. And he had a relatively fast time to throw, so it wasn't like he was holding onto the ball and taking that many egregious sacks.

29:22The problem was he just took a ton of sacks. Another number I'll highlight is on throws over 10 yards, Sometimes I like to look this up. He had a 35 % tight window rate, which was first in the NFL. And tight window rate is always interesting because some of it is like some quarterbacks just like throwing those balls. Dak Prescott always ranks really high in that regard. Geno likes throwing tight window throws, so he's always going to rank higher. But I also think it reflects just how crappy the spacing and the passing offense was and how tight everything felt generally. the other final piece of cope yes he had a 3.8 percent interception rate last year but if you go back just two years in Seattle he went 1.9 very low 1.8 very low 2.6 which was not great his final year in Seattle so the things I think there's he can still throw the football I did feel like his arm strength showed a little bit of decline last season and then his mobility like he took a lot of sacks now again some of that was on a lot of that was on the offensive line and the offense but he's not going to give you quarterback mobility at this point in his career his pressure to sacrate was the worst in the nfl uh so decision making he's got to make better choices he's got to take fewer sacks but i do think per our conversation this is a much better offense that he's walking into in the jets so yeah i don't know like sorry i know i want to like Like, I do not think at this point he is going to be a top 15 quarterback, but I think what I don't know is, is he going to be in the 15 to 25 range versus the 25 to 32 range that Anthony, I feel like I don't know because last year was so insane.

31:05Yeah, it really was such a kind of going from everyone's darling the past couple of years in Seattle to all of a sudden just being part of this absolute dumpster fire with the Raiders. and I think what does help him a bit and Reich being there and you know kind of having pieces to implement the offense that he had success with from his time in Philly and Indianapolis like the pieces around like we've talked about a little bit I do think there's enough to insulate Gino to help him be the best version of himself like if you if you made me decide right now I think Gino will be in like the 15 to 20 range more so than the 25 to 32.

31:44I think, especially if that offensive line stays healthy. And then with Brees Hall, I think you're going to get a good running game. Like Frank Reich's going to bring all the inside zone and the outside zone. They'll run duo. They'll run some cool gap scheme stuff with trap and power encounter. So I think they'll have a, yeah, is where you're thinking about the usage similar to Jonathan Taylor. Yes. Yeah. that's the first thing I thought of with like thinking of Frank Reich was when you know his Colts teams were the first time uh I ever saw the crunch play which is like trap mixed with wham and they ran it so much against the Bills and Jonathan Taylor just ate with that play um and I was always thought the run game designs were cool and I think you can do that that was you know really going back and watching focusing on Geno with the Raiders and then watching the Jets offense last year.

32:30I came away, you know, I think Olu Fashano gets his credit and then Membow, Tippman just got paid. So maybe he's getting acknowledged a bit more, but I came away really impressed with Joe Tippman. And then knowing like, okay, Josh Myers is the center. The weakest guy on that line is Parham. That's not a bad weakest link considering what the other strengths are. So let Brees Hall do fun Brees Hall things, catching the ball, running the ball, Garrett Wilson, you have a true wide receiver one and you have a solid offensive line that could actually be very good. If those younger guys continue to take jumps, which is a very likely thing.

33:05I think they kind of price themselves into the range of like a seven to eight win type of team, or maybe six to nine, if we extend it and get to the defense. Yeah. Yeah. Like it's, it's interesting with what the offense could be just focused totally there. I like this group of steel players. I mean, you outlined it, but I also just like how Cooper Jr. and Mitchell slash Sadiq Taylor, et cetera, bit with Wilson. It really shows you the benefits of having a true number one, right? Like the Patriots. Yeah. We'll get to the bills. But like Garrett Wilson is a true three level threat. You can play him inside, outside.

33:41He can do everything with him. And because of that, son, you look at a player like Cooper Jr., who was so solid at Indiana and gets you yards after the catch. We'll do the dirty work over the middle field is pretty smooth and then adi mitchell can be explosive and you really saw flashes of that by the way as this near the end of the season last year with him and and then you think about like okay if they want to use you talked about reich and his use of tight ends sadique and taylor and you're putting them on the field and maybe record as well and 13 suddenly you can just use two of those receivers like it it's a it's a fun young core and i think if you're a jets fan I understand you don't want to win too many games, but I think the upside case of having a professional quarterback, assuming you get that version of Smith is you can actually develop the young core because when you have a really bad quarterback play, all of the players we talked about will get frustrated.

34:37Won't, you know what I mean? Like, so I think there is, there is a case for bringing in like a competent veteran. If you're the rest of your offense is really young, which is a very, very young. I mean, it's got to be like the youngest offense in football. I mean, just looking at the group and the line and the play. So I think we'll see. I feel like if you're a Jets fan, it's like you're talking about that young core. And it's like, man, that's a really great young core to like pair with Arch Manning. And then it's like, oh, but like also to your point, though, will they get there? Well, I think the defense will help them get to the defense.

35:13uh no i i they did make i think some addition this is defense by the way it was 30 second dvoa against the pass they were actually average against the run uh big changes up front jermaine johnson out to vandre sweat and i really like that move especially when you consider them drafting david bailey so now you have a pair of head pass rushers in will mcdonald and david bailey who are, you know, guys who are, they're better rushing the passer than defending the run. McDonald has improved some, but I think both bring a lot of speed. They both have great get-offs. So having those stout defensive tackles really helps.

35:53And I think that was the thinking, right? I almost wonder if they already had their eye on David Bailey when they went out. Well, they knew they were going to take a pass rusher, obviously. But they got at Sweat and Phillips. and then Jameon Sherwood struggled last year. So after getting paid, so you bring back DeBario Davis to kind of settle the linebacker group and have him wear the green dot. And also you add a lot of depth. I was surprised. I think I'd forgotten all the pass rushers they signed. Kingsley Anikbari, Joseph Asai, not stars, but competent pass rushers. And it's something like, you know what?

36:29It's impressive. I don't think it's going to be the best, you know, near like a top 10 front seven. But I like the way they've started to put this thing. Darren Mugee started to like assemble this. We'll get to the back end in a second. But I like that front seven. I do. Yeah, I agree. I you know, one of my favorite free agents in this class was David on Yamada and they picked him up as well. Like I. Yeah. Yeah. Especially with, you know, they're being kind of an odd front base, but he allows you to do so many things. and he can be effective anywhere from like outside, you know, the shoulder of the tackle.

37:02So from a five all the way inside and your odd front stuff, you can put them in a four, a four eye, but then he can line up as a one tech or a three and some even front stuff. You can even put them at nose from time to time. And I think he's a really good kind of microcosm for what they did for the defense. Like you said, like they didn't add any stars, but I thought they added a lot of usefulness and a lot of effective like pro NFL players that raise the floor and make you at worst like a competent group and even the pairing at edge right now you guys you kind of got like the speed the speed juice guys in mcdonald and bailey but then you've got an igbari and a sigh who can rush a little bit but also can set the edge it's kind of you got like two of each you can play off one another and go from there i love your comment about demario davis you know he's not the all pro that he was you know with the saints but he's still for like i don't know lack of a better term like the adult in the room on the defense who will get against the run he's still like he sees things he's just and he he is a player too when you watch him you you can feel his acute sense of like he has an awareness of his own athletic capabilities at this point and he's really such an intelligent player um and yeah and then you can you can just kind of unleash sherwood a little bit more yeah you know go get the ball like i just think yeah i i they also brought back by the way their defensive line coach who's been with the Steelers, Carl Dunbar, who obviously the Steelers pass rushers have been not just TJ Watt, but they've done a really good job developing young players as well.

38:29Yeah, Herbig and Highsmith and their kind of - You might get some, yeah, benefits from that. Their attention to detail, everything they've done. And also too, Demario Davis, your point there, like the Saints were actually a sneaky good defense, especially down the stretch last year. And part of that was Demario Davis kind of like running the show and translating everything. So again, another floor raiser, Like, is this going to be the best defense? No, but are they good enough to kind of get in your way and get you too many wins to get you out of the number one pick? Maybe. Well, the, the front seven, I had nice words for, I'm a little bit more concerned about this cornerback.

39:03It's still Brandon Stevens. They, they signed to Sean Wright, who, despite I had like five or six interceptions. Yeah. Didn't command much of a market. They drafted D 'Angelo Pons is a really fun player. I view him as slot only. He's like my size, And then you've got Azaria Thomas, who they drafted last year, I believe. Minka Fitzpatrick, who honestly, Minka Fitzpatrick and Andre Sisco is not a bad safety duo, I will say. So that's improved. I do think, though, that corner room is not strong. So I do worry about them. Because, you know, it's like Wright and Fitzpatrick at points to his career have gotten their hands in the football.

39:44But Wright also gave up a lot of big plays. or, you know, like he was not as great in coverage last season, which I think was reflected in the market. So, and then Brandon Stevens, I don't know, man. Man, Brandon Stevens has been like, from a metric standpoint, it's like a bad corner going back to his last year in Baltimore. And it's, and knowing that they're going to get, trot him out as of now in that room. I think that, yeah, it really starts with the corner spot. I think safety, again, fine floor, you know, this isn't prime Minka, but that's fine. Cisco is fine. I've never been a big Cisco guy, but, you know, fine, take them.

40:20Ponds can be fun. Like maybe he gets his hands on the ball and blows some stuff up in the run or gets his hands on balls in the air. But just, yeah, if you're looking purely at the outside, and then especially on top of that, knowing what Aaron Glenn wants to be from a coverage standpoint, like this is the team last year that, you know, this goes back to his time in Detroit. Like you're going to get a bunch of single high. You're going to get a bunch of man coverage. They had the fifth highest cover one rate in the league last year, 24.1%. But then, I'm sorry to laugh, but then in cover one. Horrendous.

40:53Yeah, so fifth highest cover one rate, but then they were 32nd at EPA per pass allowed in cover one and 31st in success rate at 52.7%, which is terrible. And then their most played coverage was cover three, and they were 31st in EPA per pass in cover three and 29th in success rate there at 54.5 % allowed. and it's just like, that's who Aaron Glenn wants to be. So does he tweak that? Or is he going to leave Wright and Stevens on islands? Because I think that's very suspect. Even if we're just keeping it in the division, that can kind of get suspect. Maybe not for Miami as much, but yeah, that's just an easy way to kind of pick at this team.

41:34Blake Washington disrespect. Sorry, apologies to Blake Washington. We'll get to the Dolphins receiver group. But yeah, maybe the front is about AJ Brown and how you shouldn't play man coverage. Yeah. Right. What are you going to do? And maybe the front is the front is stout enough that you can play more too high structures and protect the corners a little bit more. But then, you know, even last year, their third most played coverage was cover two. So maybe Glenn would lean into that a little more if the front can hold up. But is the front good enough to do that? Or is it just? Yeah, I think sweat.

42:07I think the defensive tackle group that we talked about, combined with having Davis, who's still good against the run, I think you can trust this group. You need to protect those edges. It's funny, similar to the conversation we had about New York where we talked about how last year their linebackers just did not protect the edges at all, who are similar, like a similar build, speed, speed, right? Brian Burns and Abdul Carter. This group can, I think. So, yeah, I think that he should consider playing a bit more split safety. I think his hope is that they upgraded the pass rush, which was bottom five in just every metric, right?

42:44So we'll see. But it was a big offseason for Darren Mugey. I like the players that he added. I really do. I think it's a little bit of a hard team to get your arms around without knowing what version of Geno Smith or how much of the decline will continue if that or if he'll rebound a bit. All right, let's take a break and then come back and talk about a team that we have no quarterback questions about, the Buffalo Bills. Buster Olney here for La Quinta by Wyndham. Summer mornings move fast, whether you're heading to the job site or catching the first pitch. But not every hotel makes it easy to start your day right.

43:21At La Quinta by Wyndham, you can wake up to a free bright side breakfast, including hot waffles, fresh fruit, eggs, yogurt, and more. It's the kind of lineup that helps you knock your morning out of the park. And while you're at it, book your next work trip at LaQuinta.com to earn Wyndham Rewards points with your qualified stay. Tonight, La Quinta, tomorrow you shine. Terms and conditions apply. It's Charles Barkley here with Wayfair. And let me tell you, game day is serious business at my house. If I'm grilling, chilling, and watching hoops, my outdoor setup better be ready to play. That's what Wayfair wins.

43:57From patio seating and umbrellas to grills and grill accessories, Wayfair's got it all, and it shows up fast. I'm talking fast and easy delivery. So level up your grill game and your outdoor chill game and head to Wayfair.com to get your outdoor space ready for the season. Wayfair, every style, every home. I like things my way, my coffee, my schedule, and my treatment. So I talked to my doctor about self-injecting with the Vivgard Hytrulo Pre-Filled Syringe, which contains F-Gartigamide Alpha and Hyaluronidase QVFC. It's injected under your skin subcutaneously. It means I can inject in my space on my time.

44:35It's my treatment, my way. Visit VivgardMyWay.com. That's V-Y-V-G-A-R-T MyWay.com. And talk to your doctor about Vivgard Hytrulo. Brought to you by Argenics. All right, we're back. um so let's just jump right into it I'm gonna ask you I think the defining question of the bills offense those offense despite frustration at times still top three and everything yeah very good last year however uh and I mentioned this on my pod with Nate uh big discrepancy between they faced man and zone. They went from first NBA per play versus zone to 15th versus man. And they also struggled against the Blitz. Similar reasons there.

45:26So my question for you is this. Does the addition of DJ Moore, the potential health of Kincaid and Palmer, make you think that this offense can be better against man coverage this season? yes the the addition of dj more again the value and i i believe you said something similar to what i'm about to say when you when you spoke with nate um your value i think is a separate conversation like what you gave up for him what you paid for him so on and so forth his contract you're not gonna yeah forget that but at the end of the day yeah no i don't either but he's a significant upgrade at the wide receiver spot and he allows everybody to kind of slot differently i don't think he's prime DJ more.

46:15Um, and I'm not going to allow myself to get sucked into the whole, like, well, look what, you know, Joe Brady did with him. Cause I played that game with Curtis. He was four than yards per route run versus man coverage. If he can get close to that, like, sure. I think what scares me a little with DJ more is knowing, and I know him leaving Chicago was tied to the emergence of their younger guys in the wide receiver room and the tight end room. And then what DJ more cost, but it scares me a little bit knowing like a team like the bears that wants to surround their franchise quarterback with as much guys and an offensive genius like Ben Johnson is so willing to just be like, no, you can go.

46:49And then hearing him not being into some of the detail things, and that's why it wasn't a great fit with Ben Johnson. So I do think there are some underlying worries. But at the end of the day, he's the best receiver on this Bills team. He's an upgrade from last year. He gives them vertical stretch, horizontal stretch. He can do gadget stuff. He's not a precise route runner, but he's good downfield. He's good at the catch point. I think he is an upgrade piece. And then if you compare that with Dalton Kincaid, hopefully staying healthy, who was their best player last year in terms of EPA per target versus man coverage.

47:21Like he was, he was second on the team behind James cook. If you're including all the skill position players there at 0.53 EPA per target, the next receiver behind him was Elijah Moore, but he only had five targets behind him was Tyrell Shavers who had nine, but he's like two tenths below that. Hey, I love Tyrell Shavers. There was nobody in that wide receiver room that could really do it. Palmer was hurt, but when he was in there, he was still banged up and not as effective, but I kind of blame that more on the roster construction because why are you trying to make Josh Palmer like your true wide receiver one?

47:54He's not built for that world. So yeah, I think more in and of himself, let alone kind of how he helps everyone slot. I do think so. I agree with you. I think, you know, I talked about this, but Moore's... season last year it's kind of similar to what we're talking about with Gino and Reagan where it's a little bit of like how much of this was him versus how much of it was his usage and circumstances and maybe less less about Ben Johnson and more about the quarterback and his style of play candidly um but he became just like a sacrificial ex at the end of the year you know they were just asking him to like clear stuff out and he honestly I know he gets a lot of be crap for loafing and but for the most part he did it um i i think there's real potential maybe he won't achieve those 2023 numbers i talked about where he was so dynamite against man coverage but i do think his skill set the athleticism the ability to win at three levels the yards after the catch which is a big part of this offense um you know i think all of it is kind of what they're looking for it helps everyone slot into a better place and it also um i think brings up a possibility that I brought up to you and I asked you some questions about, which is more multiple tight end sets.

49:06You said something really, you know, I asked you, why don't you think the bills have really fun tight ends? They also have tight ends who are great together. You have Knox as your all around guy, Haas is your blocker, Kincaid as your field stretcher, man coverage, beater slot. It's nice, right? This is the league. This is what everybody's doing. 12, 13 personnel. And the Bills, when they did use multiple tight ends, I did 12 and 13, first in EPA per play tied with the Rams and the Colts. But they barely used it. Not barely, but they didn't use it a lot, which also helped those rankings, obviously.

49:42And you said something really fascinating to me, which is, you know, Khalil Shakir was their best receiver and he doesn't play outside. So I think my next question for you about DJ Moore is, do you think DJ Moore might actually allow them to lean more on those multiple tight end sets? Yes, I think so, because he gives you somebody on the outside that, no disrespect to other Bills receivers from previous years, but he gives them someone that you have to account for on the outside in some capacity. He can still win one-on-one, whether it's down the field or, like you said, underneath. It could be in the intermediate.

50:15He gives you someone that you have to account for in some way. And if you don't, that's fine. Then he can beat you one-on-one, and the Bills can take that. I do think he helps uptick that. You know, with we talk about Reggie Gilliam with the Patriots, he's no longer with the Bills anymore, obviously. The Bills had a 12.7 % 22 personnel rate last year, which was first in the league, and then an 8.9 % 21 personnel rate, which was 10th. Both of those are going to drop just because Gilliam isn't there. And so your next thought would be, OK, then your other main ones, 11 personnel is going to go up.

50:4912 is going to go up. 13 is going to go up. If Kincaid is healthy, 12 and 13 should probably go up even more. I also think you could get Jackson Hawes in some fullback type stuff like he did at Georgia Tech. And he's such a fun player. Like that'll skew the personnel usage because he's doing fullback stuff. Even though it's he's a de facto. Yeah, right. Yeah, it'll be like 22 in name only. Exactly. But he functions well with that. And I do think, you know, they'll be better in 11 personnel this year because now you can go with 11 and trot out more Palmer and Shakir. We'll see what you get from Skylar Bell.

51:23See what you get from Keon. but not only with this being like the meta of the league with more tight ends and heavy personnel, I think the bills need to live in more 12 and 13 because with this 12 and 13 grouping, plus the addition of DJ more, you can go condensed and run the football. You can go condensed and pass it. You can also go spread and run the ball out of spread or go true spread empty. There's so much multiplicity. Well, it's just, you know, this is always the conversation about the, we talk about this a lot when we talk about the Rams and the Seahawks and the multiple by 10. Look, I'm sorry.

51:58If Jackson Haas is on the, if those tight ends are on the field with this bills run game, the power run game, what is a defense? You're not going to play light. You only light against that group. Fine. Joe Brady's proven that he is willing to take those 5.5 yards a clip. And so then that's going to lead to explosives. Cause they're going to get those guys on linebackers. They're going to face, you know, get the matchups that they want. I just think, which by the way, was the one area where the Spills offense struggled. They were not explosive. Josh Allen, look how they massacred my boy.

52:34I think that similar to you saw Seattle really and LA hit explosives when they put tight ends on the field. There's real potential for that with, imagine Moore as your receiver, Kincaid. You're facing a base defense. Like, it's, you know, I think, yeah, look, to kind of put a pin on this, do I think DJ Moore is top 10, 15 receiver in the league? No, I don't. But I think his skill set is what they desperately needed. My final question about the offense, the line has been such a – it has been the biggest strength of this team outside the quarterback and James Cook, who I'm a huge James Cook respecter, and it bothers me that I feel like at times he has not gotten his appropriate – I just think he's become such a special running back, and I love the way he runs.

53:24I love his vision. Literally everything but the fumbling. But the offensive line did lose a guard, Edwards. Otherwise, it's the same. Do you have any concerns about this group taking? Because they've been so healthy and so steady and so the identity of this offense outside of Allen. Do you worry at all? Out of pure superstition, yes, because they have largely been healthy. And I'm like, eventually that other shoe has to drop a little bit. I do worry to some degree aside from that, just because you are changing it to a degree, even though it is only one position. You know, David Edwards gets paid, goes to New Orleans.

54:01but not only was he a starter and a good player he meant a lot to Deion Dawkins next to him at left tackle he did a lot of communicating and adjusting he was a really smart player he was kind of part of that brain trust along with Connor McGovern there uh next to him at center so I think losing Edwards isn't just losing a guard it is kind of losing it's almost like a force multiplier but in reverse like you are losing a bit more than that and so I'm interested to see what that trickle down looks like. And that matters because exactly your point for as much as, you know, Josh Allen wins the MVP and Josh Allen is Josh Allen.

54:35And you know, the conversations around him, what's really made the bills offense go the past couple of years has been the offensive line in the run game. It's been the emergence of James cook and James cook getting better every year with vision and contact balance and yards after contact and power and still being, you know, the speedy guy who can house it in any moment. Um, so I do have some trepidation, uh, just because of that change and what the trickle down will be. But I think on the whole, you know, some maybe, you know, from a ceiling perspective, they don't end up being, you know, a top five offensive line, like the potentially been the past couple of years.

55:07But I still think this is probably and likely a top 10 group if they stay healthy, which also may be a question. Spencer Brown hurt for the majority of the start of his career that reared its head last year where he started pickup injuries again. Um, but if they're healthy, I think they're solid and strong. they're going to mash people and then protect yeah the other thing i'll add is joe brady switching to head coach you know sometimes that can be a little challenging as well right because now he's got i i i think that'll be fine but can i give you some uh can i give you some dalton kincaid propaganda that i feel like you'll like i love dalton kincaid i i think he's top seven tight end i don't know i'd have to do the rankings but yeah i i know you know and i he's limited in line we You know what he is as a blocker, what you can and can't do with him.

55:52But granted the sample size, you know, he was hurt last year, you know, playing, but banged up on a pitch count. But out of 141 players last year across wide receivers, tight ends and running best that had at least 45 targets. He was second in EPA per target at 0.72. He was third in yards per route run. He was third in yards per target. And he was also first in a QB passer rating on those throws when targeted. So he, that explosive guy, I wanted to bring that up because it tied into one of your points there of, you know, go heavy and then trying to tack down field and generate explosives. He can be that guy if he's healthy, even if they're not like going heavy, he can still be that because he's the mismatch creator.

56:31But if you can get into those heavy looks, makes in some play action or just straight under center drop back type stuff. He's shown that propensity before he just has to stay healthy, which is a big question mark. Yeah. And his, he missed a few games last year. I don't remember how many, it was five maybe. Yeah, I think roughly. I think he played in 12, but even the ones he played, he was still hurt and banged up and played on a pitch count. Then that's another part of the reason why they didn't have a higher usage of multiple tight end sets, of course, in addition to the makeup of the team. All right, the defense did not make my top 10, unlike the offense, and is undergoing a lot of changes.

57:08So this is interesting. Personal wise, you have added some defensive linemen, pass rushers, Bradley Chubb, TJ Parker, player they drafted, really like him. Greg Russo is still the, you know, old reliable. Linebacker remains Dorian Williams, Terrell Bernard, but they did draft Caleb Elarm's or corners pretty much the same. Benford, Hairston, Taron Johnson's gone now, though, and we'll talk about that in a second. D Alford at nickel. They drafted the Ohio state corner, Ibanez son. And then safeties, Cole Bishop still there. TJ Garner Johnson added. Most notably, not mostly, but very notably new defensive coordinator, new defense.

57:59And I think this is so interesting. So Jim Leonard comes over from Denver. He is a guy who really, really smart people around the league have been talking about for a long time as like the next dude like one of what he did in college nate tice friend of the show loves him he was in wisconsin for a bit um so he has a very very exciting reputation for bills fans but also i bring some questions which i'll start here um this is they're switching to a three four will be multiple what does that mean whatever uh it doesn't however raise questions for me when i look at this depth chart which is yeah do they have a nose oh man that is uh because you got a lot of like ed oliver who i love uh tj sanders deon walker i guess lana jackson's probably gonna play more outside linebacker right hill i think he might kick into one of like the actual like full like a four eye like a traditional defensive end that he's going to put on more weight and do okay fair enough and it's an important question because the biggest problem with this team last year and nothing is close was they were horrendous against the run 32nd and DVO a bad in just about every metric except for the explosives the Giants and the bagels and stuff but they were manhandled at the line of scrimmage.

59:31It felt like every third and short was automatic. So I think that's why I want to focus here on the nose and the front, because my question for you is, can this defense be better against the run? Because last year that was, that was ultimately their undoing. It was their undoing to also throw another stat out there. They were 32nd in yards after contact per rush allowed at 3.93. That's the highest per next gen of any defense since 2019. So absolutely terrible. Yeah, that's the question. Can they stop the run? And if they do, how? Jim Leonard comes on, and one of the first times he speaks, he talks about how you build the defense.

1:00:14Kind of the MO or the starting point is stopping the run. And knowing they were moving to more of an odd front base, although, again, multiple, we're still going to see nickel, we're still going to see four down, all that stuff. but knowing what the bills have been to your point, knowing that they were going to be more multiple, I expected some nose addition. I hope for someone like Roy Lopez or Kairos Tonga, or it could have been just anybody. It could have been a one year, $3 million role player. Brandon Bean has talked before multiple years in a row about how those, those roles are so easy to acquire.

1:00:46Yeah. He continues not to get one, which makes you think he doesn't value it. I think if they're going to stop the run, it's going to have to be with more of a movement-based, schemed-up type of attack, courtesy of Jim Leonard, which is possible. You can operate with run blitzes and run stunts in games and try and cut things off and make an offense run through a phone booth and play in that, but there is a risk-reward. If you call the wrong rush at the wrong time or the wrong game, you're caught out, and all of a sudden, a hole becomes an alley that you could drive a bus through and you're screwed.

1:01:14I just don't look at this front right now and see, you know whether it's TJ Sanders or Landon Jackson at one you know four-eye spot and then kicking it into Deion Walker at nose Ed Oliver at the other your bookends are fine with the edge grouping I just don't see how you have a lot of point of attack strength on the interior with guys who are just not going to get moved at a certain point you have to be able to withstand teams trying to run through your face and that's going to be the big question and for as much as people have pointed to Leonard's time in Wisconsin and we're like, oh, like one of his best noses was Keanu Benton.

1:01:48And Keanu Benton can move and slash. You go watch the tape. And for as much as they're doing movement stuff, Keanu Benton and the rest of the guys on that front, they're playing gap and a half. They're two gapping. They're playing at the point of attack and holding strong and dropping the knee and splitting double teams or reducing surface area. Similar thing in Denver. People pointing like, oh, DJ Jones isn't a monster. DJ Jones can play the run. Like DJ. He's very good against the run. Yeah. I was just about to mention him because I was pulling up the depth. So Denver's defense was top five against the run success rate, all that.

1:02:19They allowed 1.98 yards before contact per carry last year, which was second best in the NFL. The bills were 27th in that. So it is right. Like when we think about Denver and that defense, we think about all the blitzing and the pressure and the speed and the man coverage, but the run defense is the foundation on which that, you know, allowed them to do all of that. And I think that's the big question with like, you know, we can get to, Hey, like, well, first of all, it's so interesting too, because the players are so different in Buffalo. Like this is a defense that's built for Sean McDermott fall, not what we saw in Denver.

1:02:57So I think it's a unique, I don't want to sound like I'm saying it's a miscast. I just think it's a unique challenge for Leonard, right? Which is what are you going to do with the players at your disposal? Because Nick Bonito is not walking through that door. Patrick Sertan is not walking through that door. Christian Benford is an awesome zone corner. Are you going to play more, man? Yeah. And I think he can't. I'm not saying he can't, but like. That's a fair question. My point, these rushers that you have are more like their games, like Rousseau, TJ Parker, who's a player I really liked, by the way, who they drafted.

1:03:25I was very, I talked about him in my draft pod with Dominique. I ended up really liking his game, but he's a power guy a little bit more. You know, like, so. Just like the Sean McDermott rushers of old, like Bradley Chubb. It's the same thing. Power compression. undersized defensive lineman power edges corner your best corners and zone i so i'm just kind of intrigued by how it all comes together i think you could argue harrison might be better with a little bit more man um and then you know i uh i thought cole bishop was fantastic last season hopefully safety is a bit of an upgrade with garner johnson but i i this is an event where i just i'm very intrigued i think of all the coaching changes around the nfl this one might be up there in terms of, I'm like, damn, like, what are you, what are you gonna do with these guys?

1:04:12I, I sounds, no, no, that's, and I mean, granted I'm, I'm hyper fixated on this team, but I, I, I personally have loved Jim Leonard since his time at Wisconsin. I just, he was so ahead of the curve with when it came to philosophy and identity and simulated pressures and creepers and attacking. And a lot of this comes from, you know, his time with Rex Ryan and learning from him, but attacking formation and rules and protections and alignment. And it could be, you know, where the back is. We're focusing every time the back is here. We're doing a, if the back is here, we're doing B. And he's so good at teaching that.

1:04:48I had a tweet. I found it when they hired him. I had a tweet back in like 2022 or 2021 where I was like, man, it'd be great if Jim Leonard could become the bills defensive coordinator. Cause I just thought he's, he's so much the antithesis of Sean McDermott from a matchup standpoint where each each week he's crafting a game plan based off of the opponent's strengths and he's trying to mitigate what you do best amplify your weaknesses and like he says after every drive make the offense go back to the tablets and look up and be like what's going on out there how do we adjust he doesn't want to be a counter puncher he wants to punch first and make you have to counter which has been the opposite of what sean mcdermott has done for a lot of his tenure in buffalo though he's had success but in the playoffs it's been rough but yeah like i i love all that in theory and I value Jim Leonard my biggest question is with the body types they have and the archetypes that they still have defensively how much of that ceiling can be reached I think he's a floor raiser but I think the ceiling is a bit capped this year um and I think if they have success against the run like if they quote-unquote fix the run defense and if they have the success that they need to have for this team to accomplish its championship goals a lot of that heavy lifting is going to be done by Jim Leonard schematically.

1:05:58It's why too, or like we go back to the more acquisition, like you already had a top three offense and this could be the thing that puts you over the top, but from an, like an allocation of resources standpoint, um, I do wonder if perhaps you could have given Leonard's, you know, like I think gotten made a, I wonder if it is a team that should have done their big swing on defense instead of offense because the offense is already But, you know, no, I did the same. I did around that time, like one of my episodes in free agency, I was just playing this game of like all the money they allocated to certain guys in free agency and who they could have had instead at like I was like, you could have had Roy Lopez and Leo Chanel instead of this and all these different combinations that I felt would have in the long term fixed what they needed.

1:06:44but I trust Jim Leonard more than I trust myself. But I do have, I do have a lot of questions because exactly to your point, I think your question and what I'm asking and what a lot of folks are asking is like, okay, you had this glaring weakness in this glaring hole and you didn't really address it unless you're addressing it by bringing Jim Leonard in. And he's like, no, don't worry about it. I can fix it. I don't need this piece and that piece. I can fix it some other way, which is possible. Again, they can do it with scheme. that's just a heavy ask to constantly have to win with movement to have to constantly win with calls it's tough it's tough to just be x's and o's as opposed to jimmies and joes and i know that makes the it sound like the bills have no players on defense which they don't they've got some good guys i just don't think they necessarily have the archetypes i'd like or the top tier guys yeah they have a lot of good russo is like always good yes uh brentford is really good yes and Oliver can be really good if he stays healthy.

1:07:42Like his, his high highs. He was so sick. He was so good. And that goes back. I forgot that he didn't like that. He was in massive absence. Yeah. He was great last year when he played the single best game of any safety against Kansas city. Just balling out. I think I was watching with NFL. I feel like, what is happening? Like, why? Like, what did the spirit of Ed Reed, like freaky Friday, cold vicious body was insane. But no, I'm high on him. I think he's a really good player. Gar Johnson, you know, he'll be good for the year before everyone turns on him. Right. He's a wild card man with what he can do.

1:08:16But that's a great call with Bishop because I think Bishop and Terrell Bernard, I think, are two players that and I think Michael Hoyt as well. We'll see how healthy Michael Hoyt is coming off the Achilles. But I think Hoyt, Bishop and Bernard are the three individual players that would see the biggest uptick in performance because of what Jim Leonard is going to ask them to do. he's gonna blitz those linebackers a bunch whether it's in sims creepers or true blitzes whether it's run or pass blitzes benford's a really good blitzer don't let guys get to the second level and maul him and then letting cole bishop come down to the box more they're probably going to play more single high coverage it allows cole bishop to be more of that box safety like he was in utah oliver like hypothetically could benefit from it right everyone's making the zach allen comp, but DJ Joe didn't go with, so it's like, yeah.

1:09:08Leonard did mention that Oliver, though, on one of his pressers, talking about, like, getting him opportunities to play one-on-one, which I think will happen. Like, Leonard's going to get opportunities to face guards one-on-one, maybe some tackles. They can do some stuff with him. He's a really effective player. He just has to stay healthy, and he's another question mark for the defense full of question marks. As you know, managing maintenance, repair, and operations is never easy, But for the ones who always rise to the challenge, Grainger has your back. From professional-grade products you can count on to fast, dependable delivery, they're there to help you keep things running smoothly.

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1:10:55Take 10 minutes to get covered today with life insurance through Ethos. Get your free quote at ethos.com slash sports. That's E-T-H-O-S dot com slash sports. Application times may vary, rates may vary. Trustpilot rating as of June 1st, 2025. All right, Miami Dolphins, very different objectives for this season with them. this is a rebuilding I I said this when I taped with Ryan I will be honest with you when I got to the defense I was learning about some of these players for the very first time I don't know about your experience like the corners and I was like not I know Chris Johnson Juju but like some of the depth some of the it was a it was a ride uh this has been kind of widely seen as the worst receiver group in football uh i so just that group jalen tolbert tutu atwell malik washington they drafted chris spell who is a player i liked a lot but probably won't play until midseason because the injury tight ends are greg dulcich who i've always liked uh will cast mark who they drafted a chance still there um and then the offensive line is very interesting to me it's probably the most interesting part of this group outside of Malik Willis.

1:12:12Patrick Paul, who's been very good at left tackle. They drafted Caden Proctor, who's going to play guard Aaron Brewer, who's one of the best centers in the NFL. Savanaya kicks over to the right side. They're hoping that'll help things. And then Austin Jackson really just needs to stay healthy. All right. So here's where I think I'm conflicted a little bit because I look at this offense sorry by the way an offense that was did I write it down very good like they were 11th and run DVOA last year in 25th and pass right with Mike McDaniel notably um however okay so I look at this offense and when I think about like what would it take for it to not be horrendous and from Lake Willis to have a chance out there I think power run game, quarterback, you know, put him on the move, and then you get play action opportunities off of that.

1:13:12Think about Malik Willis in Green Bay, big throws outside the numbers, but it's all oriented around this creative and downhill run game. Speaker 1 The office coordinator is Bobby slow. Speaker 2 I was waiting. Speaker 2 I'm like, I, I think that's where I'm like struggling a little bit because I do think there's a world in which this is a decent to good run game. The offensive line, which has good players comes together. Willis is part of that run game and he's explosive. This is going to be more, he's got a great arm, but I don't, I I'm sure what I'm struggling with Anthony is to see how what we have seen from Bobby Slowick, who is the offensive coordinator in Houston, comes from the Shanahan school.

1:13:56I struggle to see like how that meshes with the players that they have on their roster. This is not a Shanahan offense. Like the depth chart does not demand a Shanahan offense is what I'm saying. Yeah, that's fair. I'm in a similar boat. I've loved for so many years what Mike McDaniel did as a run game designer and caller and for as much as his time in Miami you know so much of it was and understandably so conversations around Tua and Tyreek and Waddle and when everything was bad that was the focus when everything was good that was the focus but like you said like he their offense their run game has been really creative like how McDaniel would create leverage how he'd use motion and personnel and then you know kind to use his own tendencies against defenses and manipulate them and confuse that run game was so good and if I dropped Malik Willis into that offense I'd be like you know what even without the receivers I might feel kind of decent but then with Bobby Slowick yeah I just don't know what they lean into I think what what you said makes the most sense you essentially kind of trot out Malik Willis into a similar offense that he had with with Green Bay you know although So Green Bay has some really, LeFleur and what his crew were doing last year and really the past couple of years, really creativity with some of their gap scheme stuff, the spinner stuff that they would do with Love and get to the run game.

1:15:20But I think you pound the rock as much as you can, lean into Devin A. Chan, who I don't know if this is hot takey. Like I personally think if Devin A. Chan has a successful year this year, I think he should be locked into one of the top five running backs in the league. Like I think he's phenomenal. Well, 2025, for as much as he's a speed guy, you know, third in explosive runs, and he's so fast. He was first in yards after contact in 2025, and he was in a similar spot his rookie year in 2023. You know, yards per carry, just everything he does, and so much of it is tied to the speed. But that's what I think you lean into.

1:15:54You pay Devin Achan. You've got Aaron Brewer, who really exploded last year. Lean into the zone run game. Let Aaron Brewer climb to the second level. Seven Nia is fine as a run blocker. You guys should be okay on the ground. And then you just pound, pound, pound. And then you go play action, try to set up explosives, let Malik Willis do some stuff with his legs. And I think slow, it can do that. But I think the dressing of it and the creativity of it is kind of lackluster at this stage. It's funny. Cause Kevin Petulo is also there. And I, I have consistently said Malik Willis reminds me of Jalen hurts.

1:16:28Um, but Eagles fans are hearing that and being like upset. You want our 2025 offense? Yeah, because, you know, again, to kind of elaborate on what I was saying, like, you know, with Sloic and that offense, he wants to attack the middle of the field. Like, that's not Malik Willis' game. I'm not saying he's incapable of it, and I think one cool thing in Green Bay with him was you saw him evolve as a quarterback from over the – but it's just not who he – like, you know, it's similar to Hurts, where it's like his superpowers as a quarterback are those go balls outside the numbers, and then it more so than her it's more so that i mean malik willis is a special runner and this was a huge part of the reason why i was high on him in the draft and i took a lot of heat for this um and i was miss like the there's a video saying i wanted the seahawks to draft him which everybody is like points to it was day two the video is from day two and everybody pretends like it was ahead of the first round.

1:17:29Sorry to get defensive here. It was on day two and I was like, this dude's fallen. Take him in the third round. That's what I was saying. Whatever. The internet remembers everything forever. Misremembers. Yeah, misremembers. He is a really, really special runner. He is explosive. He has good vision. He is strong as hell. If that's not a massive part of this offense, what are you doing? push push it man like bring that over yeah lean into the legs and I don't care if it's design stuff I don't care if it's a big ass offensive line I'm looking at it right now outside of Brewers Caden Practor have you seen that guy he's huge huge but also explosive and can move so mash teams on the ground and then play action bootleg stuff which is Shanahan system stuff all day slow it can do that all day you get Willis on the move let him throw or just tuck it and run take advantage of the legs if you can create some explosives downfield or even on granted I know Lafleur is a good um I know he's kind of taking some flack but I still value him a lot as a play caller and designer there were some throws last year from Lequel especially in that first game that he took over against Chicago where he's hitting some outbreakers like 15 20 yards down field and the timing is perfect some of the ball placement isn't great but I was like this is real progress and then that same game he's dropping back play action nothing's there let me tuck it Let me shake this guy, run through this guy, 10 yards, nine yards here and there.

1:18:54I think there's a way for them to cobble some stuff on the ground and just kind of leaning into the legs of Willis and HN and the offensive line, which isn't a horrible way to go. I hope Chris Bell plays because I liked him a lot. Big, true X, can get you yards after the catch, really hard to bring down. I think he'd be a really nice fit with Willis if he plays. And then suddenly you're like, all right, I don't need Tutu Amo as my number two. if they have no could be that he bell was one of those dudes that as soon as you saw like him in college at louisville it was just one of those like oh yeah he looks like he's in the nfl already like he's just looks different yeah different um all right defensively oh boy it's funny because it's like um it's a funny defense because it's like bad bad bad bad and then they randomly are just stacked at linebacker oh jordan brooks was so good last year but they also have brooks Dodson they drafted everybody's favorite linebacker Jacob Rodriguez they signed Willie Gay Jr.

1:19:53I'm looking at I'm like damn y 'all like build they drafted guys I like Chris Johnson who I loved out of San Diego State at corner I mean I did not know like all right safety Lonnie Johnson Dante Trader Michael Tagg I don't know Halfley's calling the place he's their head coach they brought in Sean Dugan as a defensive coordinator I think for there's the questions I have for this defense are and this is really what matters just can you develop the young players and and have a group you feel good about can you get Chop Robison back to how he looked as a rookie can Kenneth Grant who's your first round draft pick take a step forward Zach Seeler is good we know that um can Jacob Rodriguez become a starter because that would be really helpful especially if they decide to trade Jordan Brooks which is a possibility uh can Chris Johnson hit the ground running if the answer to half of those questions is yes then that's a success this season to me because this is not a good defense that's super fair i and then tying it into halfley the packers defense especially in 2024 like they but even in last year too they had some of like really cool cover two and tampa two rotations and spins they do like inverted tampa two stuff and the safeties are holding their spot literally until the snap and you're watching Evan Williams come screaming down and McKinney and everything they were doing they had so many cool coverage rotations and looks and even some sim pressures and blitzes and then they got Parsons and I was like man this is gonna be great and then they lose Parsons and like all the the on-off splits are crazy like the whole defense fell apart which made me question Halfley significantly and now he goes to Miami where there is a talent discrepancy on this defense and so I'm not like okay how much do we get some cool designer stuff on the back end does he have the guys that can do that cool designer stuff and so I'm in a similar boat with you to just get to the the base the baseline basic level of okay you've got some young guys who could be but more importantly need to be pieces for you you need chop Robinson to be something you would it'd be great if Kenneth Grant could be something.

1:22:07Chris Johnson needs to be a guy for you. Jordan Brooks is your best defender and again was absolutely phenomenal last year. Uh, tie for six and stops first and total tackles, second and solo tackles. And then he only had a 4.6 % missed tackle rate, which was the second lowest among 94 qualifying linebackers. But if you're going to ship him out a guy who did pretty well for you and helped you kind of, let's take a pause though, because that's a, would you or because you got to have a young a core at some point i'm i'm personally going to keep i'm keeping jordan brooks yeah i would keep him i'd use him to kind of steady the ship right the ship and also there's teach jacob origa yes kind of bring him along and there was a stretch last year where and i think it was going into that the pittsburgh game in pittsburgh the dolphins kind of started to put to put a run together and it was like are they going to come back from the great and make a push to the playoffs and part of that was is this gonna happen and part of it was the defense was playing really well and a good chunk of that was Jordan Brooks week after week setting everybody up making stops against the pass and against the run at a certain point when you're rebuilding even if you're like some guys yes you need somebody to show everybody the way to be something like a light in the dark.

1:23:24And I love having a veteran linebacker. Yeah. Because he's, you know, generally it's a position that takes guys a second in the NFL. I'm not, I liked Rodriguez, but he might have his ups and downs. He probably will early on. So I feel like if there's one position, you know, where you're like, let's keep him. So then you've got Seeler, you got Brooks. Those are your two guys. Good start, yeah. And all the other stuff I talked about, the young players like let's see if we can get robson grant johnson you know juju brents is an interesting guy because he was i think he's got he's very athletic he's at points with indiana yeah he was in indiapolis i think he was like a pretty high traffic if i remember correctly it was a second rounder if i believe i liked him so much at kansas state he was so fast dude he was just such a good player and i he went to indianapolis and he had some flashes where i was like oh solid top two corner and then fell out of favor there and now he's in miami All right, let's wrap with a quick question on the Dolphins.

1:24:23What is a successful 2026 season for the Miami Dolphins look like to you? Oh, man. I think from a fan perspective, it's like getting the first pick. I think it's not. But the Willis thing is so complicated. Yes, that's what I'm saying. The Willis thing complicates. It's the one thing that makes no sense with everything else they did. No. You're like, what are we doing here? let's get rid of waddle and then like pay a chan and then bring in willis like how do we evaluate willis but would it be good if willis is a hit because then you already have your quarterback maybe and you can dip into other stuff um i think success for them is the run game continues to succeed you know and the foundation of the offense becomes hey we have a good offensive line and a top five running back and we can fit some other stuff around that that's a great place to start and then success on defense, the young guys start to take a jump, right?

1:25:15You've got, like you said, Seeler and Brooks, I think are both within your spine and both solidified guys that are good players. Be on your defense. Can you get the young guys around them to also, like you said, who becomes part of that core right now? It's Brooks and Seeler. Is it also chop and grant? Is it one of them? Is it Chris Johnson? Is it Jacob Rodriguez starting to emerge? And now it's Rodriguez and Brooks, like does Juju Brent's kind of get some more of that early Indianapolis form and Kansas state form. And you might have something at corner a little bit and you maybe him and Johnson both work out.

1:25:48It's gotta be the offensive line and the run game and HN are solid and you can build around that going forward. And then the defense, some guys start to emerge that can become part of your young core. Yeah, I think all of that. And it would be great if you watch the season from Malik Willis. First of all, what I said earlier, I think it would be great if Bobby Slovic showed some creativity in the run game in particular, because that should be the strength of this team. And then using that run game to then get those one-on-ones outside and let Willis shine and doing what he does, which is pushing the other field.

1:26:21But I think from a kind of 30 ,000-foot perspective, a great feeling as a Dolphins fan would be to see Malik Willis and think, man, even in spite of this receiving group, he still showed some stuff. So that, because he's on a super affordable contract, if he looks even decent this year, given his circumstances, I think that's a huge win because then next year you can upgrade those circumstances without having to pick quarterback and everyone else is going to want a quarterback. Imagine then you get a decent season from Willis and then you add a true right receiver one next year. And if the run game looks as good as that, to me, would be a win because this is not going to be a top 10.

1:27:01Like you just, you know, everyone's realistic about what is going on here and what he's up against. But if he shows something this year in spite of that, that would be massive. So I think that's what you're hoping for if you're a Dolphins fan. All right, Dolphins. That's got to be the most any national podcast talking about the Dolphins right now. Which is, again, a shame. Devin A. Chan is really sick on offense, and it's going to be tough. Anthony, can you tell folks where they can check out your work? Sure. Uh, you can find me on Twitter at pro underscore underscore ant. That's pro two underscores.

1:27:35A N T. You can find me on blue sky at pro ant. No underscores there. Just P R O A N T. And then I, yeah, I wanted to just play off my, uh, my first and last name. I would always annoyed at the Twitter one. Cause I just wanted to do pro ant, but apparently there already is one. And then I was like, I'll do one underscore. There was also a person with one underscore. I was like, that's a nice, I got to add two. Um, and then I, I host a show, like you mentioned at the beginning called the Sky's coverage live every Tuesday night, 9 p.m. Eastern on YouTube. And then it's uploaded to all the podcasting apps and platforms after.

1:28:04I also co-host a show called The Film Room that's on Wednesdays. Everything I do is film-based, analytics-based, X's and O's, scheme and structure, and all that kind of stuff. If you're a Bills fan, I really recommend checking out Cover 1 in general and all of the content that you guys put out is really, really good. Bills fans are blessed, man. Bills might have sneakily one of the best media, just like the bloggers and the beat reporters. Not surprising because the fans are so crazy, but there's a lot of really good stuff to listen to and read if you're Bills fans, but Cover One is certainly amongst the best.

1:28:39All right, before we wrap, as always, we will be ranking the AFC East. I'll go first to make it easier for you. Thank you. So like I said, it's obviously a tale of two halves. So Pats versus Bills, this is going to sound like a cop-out answer, but I'm going to go Bills over Pats because of the schedule. Okay. With the caveat that I think these two teams split when they play and are very evenly matched. And then Jets Dolphins, for me, is very easy. I appreciate you going first. This helps me out immensely. I'm so superstitious. It's in my social bios, not superstitious, but a little stitious, but I am very superstitious.

1:29:22Um, yeah, I'm gonna start from the bottom. So Dolphins for jets, three

1:29:31Patriots to bills. One, I just think, yeah, just, I just think the, and it's more from a sample size perspective, like you, and you even mentioned it with the bills. Even I was very frustrated with the bills offense, even at spurts last year. And it's still, any way you slice it, they were still like a top four across the entire board for all these things. So if DJ Moore is just halfway decent if don't engage just stays halfway healthy they're probably even better than they were last year and i think jim leonard raises the floor but i'm in the same boat i think they split with the patriots and i think it's close there's maybe like a one or two game difference at the top one or way i don't think they're uh or either way i don't think they're going to get too far away from each other i can just see the imaginal world in which that patriots run game is improved and the bills yeah i really want to know but these rankings aren't about playing each other We're literally trying to project how the division shakes now.

1:30:21And I just feel the Patriots schedules. Schedules a big one. Yeah. All right. Well, that's the AFC East. I will be back next week to do the NFC West. Ooh, dog fight. Big dogs. Yeah. Also, if you are a fan of Love Island, my coverage continues with David Dennis Jr. Check out viewer discretion on YouTube, wherever you get pods. Thank you, as always, to my friends at Omaha Productions who make this show. Kirsten Sivecki, Owen Saylor, Tucker Tashin, and Jack Foster.

1:31:16We have fallen back, there are many perfect skeletons. And you can enjoy it twelve annual. Um, and do you have anycillors?

From the publisher

Mina is joined by Anthony Prohaska to preview the AFC East ahead of the 2026 NFL season. We break down the Patriots, Jets, Bills, and Dolphins, highlighting each team's biggest strengths, weaknesses, and questions on both offense and defense. Then, they rank the division from top to bottom and make our predictions for who comes out on top.

Timecodes:

0:00 Welcome to The Mina Kimes show featuring Lenny!

1:10 AFC East Preview

2:15 Patriots Offense Preview

14:48 Patriots Defense Preview

23:07 Jets Offense Preview

34:45 Jets Defense Preview

42:35 Bill Offense Preview

54:42 Bills Defense Preview

1:07:08 Dolphins Offense Preview

1:15:25 Dolphins Defense Preview

1:20:15 What Does Success Look Like For The Dolphins?

1:24:31 Ranking the AFC East
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