In short
The episode analyzes Donald Trump’s primetime “election integrity” speech, arguing it lays groundwork to contest 2026 midterm results by recycling unproven 2020 fraud claims, undermining trust in elections, and potentially enabling interference. It also discusses related actions: DOJ efforts to access voter rolls and investigate election officials, pressure/intimidation of election workers, and threats to media outlets. The hosts connect this to broader political risk for Republicans, plus separate coverage of Trump’s Iran policy (collapsed “deal,” Strait of Hormuz toll talk/backtrack, unpopular war posture) and ICE traffic-stop killings affecting Senate races.
Guests
Susan Glasser (host, New Yorker); Evan Osnos (New Yorker colleague, journalist); Jane Maron (New Yorker colleague, journalist).
Key claims
Trump is seeking an excuse for midterm losses and a “tonic” for MAGA; he targets the intelligence community and election administration rather than proving vote theft; personnel is policy—loyalists like Tulsi Gabbard’s successor nominee Jay Clayton and attorney general nominee Todd Blanche could help federalize/contest elections.
Notable examples
Venezuela “stolen election” claim; China mentioned ~20 times but no specific U.S. vote changes; Ossoff grilling Jay Clayton (“Who won the 2020 election?”); DOJ lawsuits for voter-roll access; Georgia ballot rechecks; Trump threat to revoke network licenses; ICE killings in Texas and Maine; Strait of Hormuz toll proposal then reversal.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOTrump's Address on Election Integrity
1:05 to 2:08
Discussion of Trump's speech and its implications for upcoming elections.
“If your team is dealing with more support tickets, more channels, and higher expectations from customers, you've probably thought about using AI for customer support.”
Trump's Address on Election Integrity
2:22 to 3:16
Discussion of Trump's speech and its implications for upcoming elections.
“It could be chronic migraine, 15 or more headache days a month, each lasting four hours or more.”
Trump's Address on Election Integrity
4:00 to 5:05
Discussion of Trump's speech and its implications for upcoming elections.
“I'm Susan Glasser, and I'm joined by my colleagues, Evan Osnos and Jane Maron.”
Analyzing the Claims Made by Trump
5:05 to 6:16
The hosts analyze the claims made by Trump regarding election fraud.
“Just as disturbingly this vital information has for many years been covered up and hidden from you, the American people are beautiful, are great American people.”
The Political Stakes of Trump's Speech
6:16 to 7:20
Discussion of the political implications of Trump's ongoing narrative.
“It's clear that Trump gave the speech under real political pressure.”
Conspiracy Theories and Their Impact
7:20 to 11:36
Exploring the role of conspiracy theories in Trump's narrative and their potential consequences.
“You might not have tuned in for the whole 25 minutes, but in case you didn't, we've got you covered here.”
Trump's Strategy: Shifting Blame to China
14:00 to 18:25
Examination of Trump's narrative linking China to the 2020 election and its implications.
“And as so often happens, something that starts as a joke eventually ends up as something that he says straight faced.”
Trump's Strategy: Shifting Blame to China
19:52 to 20:56
Examination of Trump's narrative linking China to the 2020 election and its implications.
“My daughter graduated middle school and will start high school in the fall.”
Trump's Strategy: Shifting Blame to China
21:02 to 22:13
Examination of Trump's narrative linking China to the 2020 election and its implications.
“When I think about my relationship to money, the phrase that comes to mind is superstitious dread.”
Trump and the Deep State: An Obsession
22:13 to 28:00
Discussion on Trump's fixation with the 2020 election and the implications for governance.
“His preoccupation with the 2020 election has now extended to saying that this grand conspiracy, when he himself was president, was covered up from him.”
Show all 15 chapters
Trump's Legal Strategy and DOJ Influence
28:00 to 36:54
Explore how Trump may use the Justice Department to influence election outcomes.
“personal attorney, to be the attorney general of the United States.”
The Unfolding Situation in the Middle East
36:54 to 42:04
Discuss the implications of Trump's rhetoric and decisions regarding the Middle East conflict.
“And when we come back, we'll talk about the things that Donald Trump didn't talk about in his address, very notably the fact that the United States is at war once again.”
The U.S. and Freedom of Navigation
42:04 to 43:46
Discussion on the U.S. role in international order and recent policy shifts.
“You know, that was one of the core elements of, you know, what we used to refer to as the U.S.-led international order was protecting freedom of navigation.”
The Impact of ICE Incidents
43:46 to 45:46
Analyzing recent ICE actions and their implications for upcoming elections.
“What did you take from that back and forth?”
Trump's Electoral Challenges
45:46 to 47:42
Exploring how Trump's actions are affecting his party's electability.
“And the Democrats have just suffered through a big mess with Graham Plattner, and it looked like it was going to strengthen the hand of Susan Collins're-election bid.”
Transcript
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3:23The Washington Roundtable:Did you know that True Social, Donald Trump's social media network, that they were going to sell early access to the posts? Yes.
3:31Jane Mayer:Now, if you pay him, you can hear earlier than other people the market-moving news that he's about to make when he announces something. I mean, I just want to know, like, is there an option where you can pay not to hear his truth socials? Because if there is, I'm in. That's the premium product, is the ability to not hear anything at all.
3:59The Washington Roundtable:Welcome to The Political Scene from The New Yorker, a weekly discussion about the big questions in American politics. I'm Susan Glasser, and I'm joined by my colleagues, Evan Osnos and Jane Maron. Hi, Evan.
4:12Jane Mayer:Good morning, guys.
4:13The Washington Roundtable:Hey there, Jane. Hey there. So great to be with you. So much to discuss. I'm going to channel my inner Stephanie Rule here because we are 109 days out from the midterm elections. Not a vote has been cast yet. But Donald Trump is already laying the groundwork to question the results pretty much since the moment he returned to the White House. Here is a clip of the president from Thursday night.
5:08The Washington Roundtable:foreign interference. Just as disturbingly this vital information has for many years been covered up and hidden from you, the American people are beautiful, are great American people. But that all changes right now. Donald Trump in full, folks. That was the president of the United States delivering a rare primetime address to the nation last night, focusing on what he calls, quote-unquote, election integrity. In this speech, he told reporters ahead of time it would include really, really big news. But it didn't. It really was a rehash, in many ways, of his longstanding claims of election fraud about 2020.
5:57The Washington Roundtable:The question I have is, what about 2026? Is this Donald Trump looking back, trying to prove that he wasn't a loser after all, or a data point along the way to what we'll look back on as a major effort to challenge the outcome of the midterm elections? It's clear that Trump gave the speech under real political pressure. Fallout from the Iran war, which he restarted this week. voter anxiety over the economy and inflation, backlash to data centers, and more. His approval rating, according to the latest Washington Post poll, is stuck at 37 % with 61 % disapproving. There are even signs that support among his base is starting to soften.
6:46The Washington Roundtable:So the stakes could hardly be higher. Republicans at this point are expected to lose the House of Representatives and possibly even the Senate in the midterms. This is the Republican Party staring down a difficult election cycle, and yet the president is choosing this particular moment to relitigate the past. Is the aim to meddle with the next election? Today, we'll discuss that and more. Let's start off with what was actually in the speech, because I strongly suspect that if you weren't people like us who had to listen to this speech for your jobs, You might not have tuned in for the whole 25 minutes, but in case you didn't, we've got you covered here.
7:28The Washington Roundtable:Jane, let's talk a little bit about what the president actually said. Well, this speech was, from my standpoint, basically pretextual.
7:39Jane Mayer:He is laying the groundwork for a potential loss in the midterms and potentially for interfering with the outcome of the next election. So he's stirring fear and potentially claiming there's some kind of almost verging on national emergency that requires some kind of intervention. And what did he describe? I mean, he described interference in the election in alarming terms that involved almost everything but little green Martians, honestly. The only other missing personnel were Russians, who he only mentioned once. But basically, he said there was foreign interference, particularly from China in the 2020 election.
8:21Jane Mayer:He suggested illegal aliens of some sort had been registered to vote illegally. He used words, I just jotted down a few of them. He talked about how the election integrity had fallen catastrophically short, that there were shocking vulnerabilities that had been dangerously exposed, but covered up and kept from him by the deep state, that elections had been hacked. There was an attempt to manufacture illegal ballots for Biden. I mean, you name it, he claimed it, but there was absolutely no final bottom line where he was able to prove that a single vote was stolen in the election.
9:08The Washington Roundtable:Jane, that is really an interesting point, actually, Evan, is that he used these really like hot button words and phrases. Jane's listed them. But I was really struck by the fact that actually the only election he made a specific claim about that he said there were specifically was actually stolen was not the United States election, but the election last time in Venezuela. He actually didn't say that the Chinese, he said the Chinese hacked and obtained millions of voter registration files. He said that there were inappropriate examples, hundreds of thousands of alleged illegal aliens who were registered to vote.
9:48The Washington Roundtable:But he didn't claim that any votes were changed. He made no specific claims. He released more than 270 pages of documents. Nothing in there either makes specific allegations of specific votes being stolen. So what happened? And was this actually Donald Trump walking back from some of the wilder claims? He didn't say that John Ossoff and Raphael Warnock were illegally elected, as was a rumor early in the week. I mean, I saw even Politico called this an anti-climax.
10:17Jane Mayer:Yeah, look, this was him reaching the throw spaghetti against the wall phase of the 2026 midterms. And the only thing sadder than watching somebody do that is when none of the spaghetti sticks. He literally just kind of unspooled a fairly nonsensical array of well-examined, deeply familiar claims about the 2020 election, which, by the way, let's remind ourselves, who was president in the 2020 election? It was Donald J. Trump. So it was his own agencies that were, by his description, so incapable of either policing the election or then alerting him to what had happened. So, look, I think to be perfectly frank about this, this was one of those, you know, you don't know whether to laugh or cry, frankly, because it's deeply disturbing in how strange the presentation was.
11:10Jane Mayer:And it was also, as Jane so rightly said, really the preamble, perhaps, to a story rather than him just nursing the same grievances. He was recycling them, but it was to what end? And that's really our discussion today is how will he enlist all of this over the course of the next hundred plus days as we go into the election? That's the source of genuine concern that makes this deeply unfunny.
11:35The Washington Roundtable:Exactly. It's so rattling. Jane, I want to ask you about the purpose of all of this conspiracy theorizing. For me, the big insight of the speech was actually watching it on Fox and came five minutes before Donald Trump even opened his mouth in the lead-in show, which was the Jesse Waters show, right before they cut to the president giving this primetime address to the nation. And they were sort of rambling on and they started talking about a conspiracy theory I'd never heard of, a conspiracy theory in which actually the makers of sunscreen are trying to kill us and give us cancer, according to RFK Jr.
12:14The Washington Roundtable:And I thought, wow, that sort of explains this. It doesn't really matter what it is. This is the conspiracy theory network of the conspiracy theory party. and the point is to so distrust by throwing out all those words that you read off for us before. I'm curious, like, what did you make of the purpose of Donald Trump saying all this stuff without really having the goods to prove it?
12:38Jane Mayer:Well, I mean, what I fear, even though, you know, we're kind of mocking it, is that it has a nefarious purpose. We know in 2026, his party is deeply challenged, and they may very well do very poorly. And this is creating an excuse for why that might be to say that it's not a referendum on him. It was rigged and stolen from him. It also is setting the stage for something potentially worse, which is that they will themselves try to take some kinds of actions to stop people from voting against him. And that's what we're all really worried about. And we've seen that he has recently dissolved the EAC, the Election Assistance Commission, which helps coordinate the administration of elections.
13:30Jane Mayer:People in the community that watches elections closely are worried that there might even be an attempt to sort of take the voting machines. He has expressed regret that he did not do that in 2020. So there are actual concerns that are for real, that when you stir this kind of fear and undermine faith in the process the way he's trying to do, it is a dangerous thing to do. I will say, I think not long ago, I remember on the show, I made a joke offhand that the reflecting pool thing was going so badly that he was pretty soon going to start blaming communists for it. And as so often happens, something that starts as a joke eventually ends up as something that he says straight faced.
14:16Jane Mayer:And I think we've now reached the phase where the effort to say this was a Chinese communist plot in 2020 is him trying to find language and an issue that can motivate Republicans who are themselves quite disillusioned and are really falling out amongst themselves. And so in advance, you heard Steve Bannon, as he so often does, kind of say the essence of what was really happening, which was this effort to find what Bannon called a tonic for the MAGA base, meaning something that can bring them back to fervor. And by invoking this idea of the Chinese Communist Party meddling in the 2020 election, which, to be clear, this has been studied many, many times over inside government and outside.
15:08Jane Mayer:And most of the efforts in 2020, the Chinese interfered on both sides, but they generally heavily favored Trump. So it's an effort to find language. You know, this is Trump's business. It's always been about finding the piece of the political vocabulary that can break through and get people motivated again. And that's the fear here is that I think he recognizes that Democrats have a language to stay involved in this midterm election. And it's not clear that he has found that yet for Republicans. And so this was an effort to try to use this very unique pulpit and do that. But I don't think, frankly, that it achieved that purpose.
15:50The Washington Roundtable:You could say in a way that Trump has moved from Russia, Russia, Russia to China, China, China. In fact, he used the word China or Chinese 20 times in this speech far more than he said anything else. And yet even Trump stopped short of making any specific claim that China had done anything except obtain voter records, millions of them. He called it the largest such breach ever, but didn't say what, if anything, they did with it. And that's because the U.S. intelligence had already looked at this in 2020, released a version of their findings to the public actually in 2021. But I want to ask you, Evan, because you've been writing about this for the magazine.
16:32The Washington Roundtable:Donald Trump has been busy sucking up to the Chinese. He's got Xi Jinping coming to the United States later this year. He just had a visit himself to Beijing. How is this going to be looked on? You know, are the Chinese just going to laugh at this and say, well, you know, it's Donald Trump speaking to a domestic political audience or does it actually will be an actual rift with the Chinese? Are we back at a trade war?
16:55Jane Mayer:Well, so far, they have been conspicuously muted in how they've responded to it. I mean, they have a whole array of registers of alarm. And so far, they've just done the lowest level, which is they had a government spokesman come out and say that these claims are vilifying China. And so what they're trying to do, historically, they always try to say, okay, what is actually substantive to the U.S.-China relationship versus what is just U.S. election season language? And at the moment, they're perfectly happy to just dump this in the election bucket because they have gotten so much, frankly, out of Trump's posture of abject friendship, if I can use that term, say, you know, rank friendship.
17:40Jane Mayer:So they don't want to damage that. And so at the moment, and it could change if he really turns this into a centerpiece. But for the moment, they are more than happy to let this in some ways wash over them much the way that the American public did last night, because they are getting so much out of him in other ways. I just think in a way what Trump was vilifying as much as China was the intelligence community. He's saying they kept it from me. And that's really his target.
18:14The Washington Roundtable:So we're going to take a quick break. And when we come back, Donald Trump, the deep state, and whether or not the president of the United States is out to undermine American confidence in the midterm elections. The political scene from The New Yorker. We'll be back in just a moment.
18:37The Washington Roundtable:If you've been enjoying the show, please leave us a rating and review on the podcast platform of your choice. And while you're there, don't forget to hit the follow button so you never miss an episode.
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22:12The Washington Roundtable:All right, Jane, let's pick up on that question of Donald Trump versus the deep state. His preoccupation with the 2020 election has now extended to saying that this grand conspiracy, when he himself was president, was covered up from him. before he got rid of her. He sent Tulsi Gabbard, his director of national intelligence, to be present for an FBI search of an election center in Fulton County, Georgia, looking for information about an election that occurred six years ago. He's issued two different executive orders since he came back to office about elections. He's brought countless failed lawsuits.
22:57The Washington Roundtable:This is Donald Trump's obsession. I saw someone quoted in my husband's piece in the New York Times today saying this is his Captain Ahab moment. The election of 2020 is his white whale. What is it that Donald Trump thinks he's doing here with this obsession? He seems to be determined to appoint people to senior positions in the U.S. government whose sole job it is is to relitigate an election that happened six years ago.
23:24Jane Mayer:Well, and it's become the requirement for being hired by him for any major job is you have to first bend a knee and say he's right. He was not defeated in 2020 by Joe Biden. He won. So you have to accept the delusion and pay homage to it in order to serve in his administration, which is a very interesting thing because what happens is he's surrounding himself with loyalists who will not tell him the truth about things that are uncomfortable to hear.
23:53The Washington Roundtable:All right, well, let's play, in fact, I think the most interesting clip of the week in some ways, not in Donald Trump's fulminating speech, but in the confirmation hearing for Jay Clayton, President Trump's nominee to succeed Tulsi Gabbard as head of the Office of Director of National Intelligence. Let's listen to Senator John Ossoff from Georgia ask this question. Who won the 2020 election? You know, I'm not going to do this with you. This is a job interview. We've established that you have an obligation to be honest and forthright with the committee. Yes, you do have an obligation to be honest and forthright with the committee?
24:33The Washington Roundtable:Yes. Who won the 2020 election? Like I said, I'm not going to get into that with you. But you do have an obligation to be honest and forthright with the committee? Is anything that I just said not honest or forthright? Yes, you're not being honest or forthright. Who won the 2020 election? I think I've answered the question. We can keep doing this.
24:50Jane Mayer:Well, we're going to keep doing it because you're not being honest and forthright.
24:54The Washington Roundtable:I'm not going to engage in the theater. Answer it. What is your answer? I've given you my answer. What is your answer? Okay, guys, that is a stunning exchange by any measure for a man whose job, again, is to be the director of national intelligence, not the director of the Republican National Committee. Evan.
25:17Jane Mayer:You know what I thought was amazing about that was when Clayton used the word theater, because what he was doing was he was he was explicitly describing reality as theater, saying, I'm not going to get into this question of acknowledging the reality of the 2020 election, because in his mind, or shall I say more specifically, in the president's mind, it's an unbearable. performance to have to inhabit the reality of the 2020 election, which gets into the sort of core of what we're talking about, which is the narcissistic impossibility for Donald Trump of bearing the facts of that election, which then becomes the defining framework for him experiencing what he is capable of discerning, which is that he's walking into a wood chipper in the 2026 midterms.
26:14Jane Mayer:That's what I took away from that. But Jane, I'm curious what you made of it, because that was a heck of a moment. Honestly, it's so shocking. Clayton is not a disrespected figure. He's a major lawyer in the New York scene. You know, he has a good reputation. And to see someone supposedly successful person bow like that to Trump, to Trump's lies, and he's right on the edge of parroting them. He's not saying that Trump won, but he won't admit the truth. It's just shocking corruption of the truth. And it brings back to me something that actually Susan said to me, I have to say, early on, right before this last election, having watched what happens in Russia when you get a strong man in power, she said, one of the things that's going to happen is you will not believe the people who will become complicit with the corrupt power.
27:15Jane Mayer:And I think what we're watching is an act of complicity. It's like some kind of show trial where people confess and you know that they're lying. It's just a horrible moment for American democracy.
27:28The Washington Roundtable:Well, speaking of complicity and whether personnel is policy of a sort in a regime, a government like this. There was another hearing this week, Todd Blanche's hearing to become attorney general. Republican Senator John Kennedy asked Blanche if he was Trump's friend. Blanche said no, quote, I'm his lawyer, then corrected himself and said, was his lawyer. And now I'm deputy attorney general. Such another revealing moment, it seems to me, when you appoint your personal attorney, to be the attorney general of the United States. What do you think, if Todd Blanche gets confirmed, or even if he just remains as acting attorney general, guys, what is it that Blanche and the Justice Department can do to further any Trump campaign to undermine or challenge the results of the 2026 midterm elections?
28:26The Washington Roundtable:I'm very mindful that in 2020, when Donald Trump made his false claims about the election. It was his own very conservative attorney general, William Barr, who refused to go along with it and said, no, there is no evidence of widespread fraud. When you guys looked at that hearing this week, did you say, oh yeah, Todd Blanche, he's gonna stand up to Donald Trump and say, I'm sorry, sir, there's no evidence of widespread fraud here.
28:51Jane Mayer:No, this was like id week in Washington where everybody's underlying psychology just poured out. You know, Todd Blanche perceives himself as Trump's lawyer, and that is his self-identity. And that becomes operationally hugely significant because what we've already seen is that under his control, the DOJ has sued states to get access to their voter rolls. Right. He's already taking steps that would significantly raise the possibility of interference. The DOJ under his control has tried to get information about specific election officials in Georgia. That was blocked by the courts. But it is a real piece of evidence to understand why it's so important to Donald Trump to have his people there.
29:38Jane Mayer:This is the stage that we've entered, which is that, you know, the courts are now responding in some piecemeal fashion, but occasionally with great substance that prevents Trump from doing what he wants. The Congress now, even Republicans have interfered with his ability to get his SAVE Act passed. And so he is needing to put individuals into the essential positions that would allow him to interfere perhaps with the election. That's the stage that's significant. I mean, it's not as if Pam Bondi was exactly, you know, a pillar of integrity in the job before. So he's just moving further into that line of thinking, getting somebody who's even more his personal lawyer there.
30:19Jane Mayer:It's also something that I can't say we have not seen before. To me, it reminds me of John Mitchell in some ways, who was the campaign lawyer for Nixon and who stuck with Nixon through the Watergate scandal. And John Mitchell, as we remember, eventually ended up in jail. It has happened that there have been attorney generals who have themselves colluded in crimes with presidents. So what could he do? I mean, I sort of defer to you. What are you thinking that he could do, Susan?
30:51The Washington Roundtable:I mean, look, I just think there's a playbook. Donald Trump, at the age of 80, doesn't get a lot of, you know, big new ideas. What he's doing is he's running the same play over and over again and hoping with different people he'll get different results, hoping, you know, with more willingness to just plunge ahead, he'll get different results. So what's the playbook he ran in 2020? It seems to me that's, you know, a version of which he's going to run right now. And one of the things he wanted is he wanted to install, after Barr left, thinking that everything was OK and they weren't going forward, there was an acting attorney general.
31:25The Washington Roundtable:Trump tried to steamroll over him. When that didn't work, he tried to put in his own person. Why was the Justice Department so important? Trump wants to federalize these elections. He wants to take control, whether it's to federalize the ballots or the voting machines. He wants to say there was illegalities that need to be looked into. He had his candidate that he wanted to install as attorney general after the 2020 elections write a letter that was essentially going to say that the state should not certify the results of the elections because the Justice Department was investigating it and was concerned about improprieties and potential illegalities.
32:06The Washington Roundtable:That wasn't true. The Justice Department had already decided there wasn't anything to investigate. And basically, Donald Trump only stopped from sending out this letter because his entire class of political appointees at the Justice Department came into him, an extraordinary scene on Sunday before January 6th, meeting in the Oval Office, and his entire political appointees, all Republicans, said they would all quit en masse if he went ahead with that plot. So obviously, Trump thinks the Justice Department, if only they'd done that in 2020, maybe they would have, you know, stopped Congress from certifying the election.
32:42The Washington Roundtable:So I don't exactly know, you know, what Todd Blanchard, what Trump has in mind. But clearly, it seems to me the president envisions a significant role potentially for the Justice Department in persuading states not to certify certain elections that might tip the balance of power in either the U.S. House or the U.S. Senate. Does my scenario, what do you guys think of that?
33:04Jane Mayer:Yes, and that was Jeffrey Clark, who he was trying to install. And the particular election he was trying to decertify or deny was Georgia. And of course, he's back focusing on Georgia again, sending the FBI down there to try to take a second look at the ballots, spreading weird conspiracy theories about it yet again. You're right. That makes a lot of sense. Jane, I'm curious, do you look at this as an attempt to try to intimidate election officials on the ground into doing things or at least holding back or frankly, just not wanting to work on this election at all? Or is this about laying a predicate so that after the fact, he can go in and use some of these tools to try to either prevent certification of an election or try to muddy the result?
33:58Jane Mayer:I think both. Honestly, I mean, Evan, I think both. I mean, and a good point you raise about the intimidation because the Trump administration has sent out letters to election officials in every state warning them that they could be arrested and criminally charged if they allow non-citizens to vote. I mean, they're basically saying you're on the edge of committing crimes if you don't do what we want in elections, which is, I mean, first of all, let's just put this out on the table. It's already a crime for non-citizens to vote, and there's no evidence that this is an actual problem. And it's a trumped up, so to speak, problem.
34:39Jane Mayer:But it is an incredibly intimidating thing to send such letters to election officials.
34:46The Washington Roundtable:And speaking of intimidation, Donald Trump, you had to note, was so angry at major networks, ABC, NBC, for not carrying his primetime speech last night that he explicitly perhaps ad-libbed a threat to them. He said networks that didn't carry his very important speech, they should have their licenses revoked. That is almost the very definition of presidential intimidation.
35:13Jane Mayer:I'll tell you one thing that really did strike me, guys, is you probably had a similar reaction was, you know, I'm a child of the 70s and the 80s. And it used to be that when a president would call a primetime address, this was a big deal. And it was just one of these little markers of the strange degraded quality of this presidency that I think to the network's credit, they realized, no, we're just not going to be enlisted into this charade. And so they made choices. They made journalistic choices despite facing what is quite a credible business threat that he was issuing. It's worth just pausing and taking note of how different that is from 40 or 50 years ago.
35:54The Washington Roundtable:Yeah, a historical note. Interestingly, when Joe Biden gave an address in the midterm election season, you might remember it with the dramatically blood red backdrop in Philadelphia about Donald Trump's threat to democracy. The networks, many of them did not carry that live. And so they were able to cite that precedent. If they didn't carry Joe Biden talking about the threat to democracy, they didn't need to carry Donald Trump threatening democracy. So there you have it. We've come full circle in just a few years.
36:26Jane Mayer:The interesting difference, though, is that Joe Biden didn't then say the FCC is going to pull your licenses to the networks. And so, I mean, it's a journalistic dilemma how much attention to give to a speech filled with lies. Because you don't want to spread his lies, but at the same time, the lies themselves are so newsworthy, you know, you don't want to normalize them either.
36:53The Washington Roundtable:Well, on that note, we're going to take a quick break. And when we come back, we'll talk about the things that Donald Trump didn't talk about in his address, very notably the fact that the United States is at war once again. The political scene from The New Yorker. We'll be back in just a moment.
37:24The Washington Roundtable:Let's talk for a second here about the war in the Middle East that Donald Trump has said is over, I don't know, 80, 90, 100 times before it coming right back in his speech. I noted there was one line about it. He said, we won in Venezuela and we're winning again. Very, very big in Iran. More on that later. And then never said a word about it again. Again, why doesn't Donald Trump want to talk about this war against Iran, Evan, if he's winning it so big?
37:56Jane Mayer:Because it's profoundly unpopular. And the data on this is just thundering at him. I mean, even he knows in his own secluded way that, look, according to a new Washington Post poll, only 29 percent of Americans approve of the situation with Iran right now. And the war has been consistently unpopular from the beginning. And even his handling of the military, which is amazing, guys, because he kind of comes in with this cultural head start in terms of being a Republican president who has made this such a big piece of his identity. Even that is down into the 30s. It's like 38 % approval. So he is facing this profound structural problem that he can't dig out of.
38:44Jane Mayer:And he's got his chosen team of envoys, Jared Kushner and Steve Whitcoff and J.D. Vance, who are over there. but they are by their own description sort of almost strangely flamboyantly uneducated when it comes to dealing with Middle East negotiations. This is like really, I'm not making that up. This is like part of their self-advertisement is that we're not burdened by all the expertise of having done this for years and years, but they found themselves announcing a deal, quote unquote, on Iran that was a non-entity and has now collapsed. The Iranians are very experienced at driving trucks through any hole in the arrangement.
39:27Jane Mayer:I don't even want to call it a deal. In the arrangement, and sure enough, now the Strait of Hormuz is back into their control.
39:34The Washington Roundtable:Evan, I want to pick up on this point about the Strait of Hormuz because, Jane, we're still in the position of getting back to the status quo ante before the war. I guess they've fired all the lawyers, except for Todd Bland, in the Trump administration, because from the very beginning, I highly recommend, there's a great piece by the, I think it was the State Department correspondent to the New York Times this week. Go back and read this. It talks about this memorandum of misunderstanding, and that when I read this, I thought it's going to collapse from the very beginning, because Donald Trump, Marco Rubio, they said, well, we've got this great deal with Iran, and it's going to reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately.
40:13The Washington Roundtable:And it's, you know, they're not going to charge any tools and it's going to be back. And then the Iranians from day one said, no, no, no, actually, this solidifies and confirms our control of the Strait of Hormuz. So it was always destined, it seemed to me, Jane, to collapse. But even by Trump's standards this week has been dizzying and embarrassing, right? He said he's going to charge tolls for the Strait of Hormuz, which, of course, is a complete violation of international law, is absolutely, you know, freedom of navigation, the idea that the U.S. is going to be some rogue pirate power charging people to pass.
40:51The Washington Roundtable:Within hours, by the next day, he backed off of that plan. What does it say about America's superpower status right now?
41:00Jane Mayer:Oh, it's just an embarrassment. The amateurism of the people conducting this policy is just glaring, and that's what we're all seeing. I mean, honestly, the flip-flop on the toll-taking at the Strait of Hormuz, it's sort of unthinkable. I mean, one minute we're charging, the next we're not, and we're accusing Iran of doing exactly what we've just said that we were going to do. It's ridiculous. I mean, of all the lies that were said last night in Trump's speech, one of the biggest ones maybe was the very beginning of his speech. It had nothing to do with the election. It was when he said, we are more respected in the world than we have ever been before.
41:41Jane Mayer:I mean, there are polls out, there's a new poll out that shows you can just see the numbers cratering in terms of respect for the United States because of this kind of amateur hour performance. And I hate to say it because it seems, you know, it's horrible for our country, but it seems that he has walked us into the Q word, the quagmire in Iran. You know, Susan, I think your point, too, about freedom of navigation is specifically important because it's such a signifier of the way that the United States has inverted precisely the role that it played essentially for six or seven decades. You know, that was one of the core elements of, you know, what we used to refer to as the U.S.-led international order was protecting freedom of navigation.
42:28Jane Mayer:And here you had a president, to use your good language on this, you know, acting, essentially threatening to be a pirate power. That is as clear as you can get of how the United States has taken an order that was of its own creation and to its own benefit and has now flipped it upside down. It's frankly further than I would have even imagined. But even as pirates, they're not successful pirates. Instead, they're not taking tolls. Instead, everybody else is paying more for gas. You know, it's... They're pirates. They're pirates stealing from our pockets. Yeah, so...
43:07The Washington Roundtable:Well, okay, one quick other flip-flop from the Trump administration before we end it today. Evan, just quickly, because to me, this is really important. And obviously, it might actually have a real impact on the elections here. ICE back in the news this week, killing two people in traffic stops, one in Texas, one in Maine, not coincidentally, both places of major Senate races this fall. In the immediate aftermath of those horrific incidents, you saw DHS actually walk back and say, well, we're going to halt traffic stops for now. And then just, again, a day or so later, Donald Trump saying, absolutely not.
43:43The Washington Roundtable:No, we're not going to do that. You know, when in doubt, look for Trump to want to continue the extreme action. What did you take from that back and forth? I just, for Americans, I think there's just nothing more upsetting than remembering, you know, the trauma in Minnesota earlier this year to see this visuals of, you know, this family losing their father, a mistaken identity. He wasn't even the person that these ICE agents were going after. I mean, it's horrible.
44:13Jane Mayer:It is a revival of a real set of sensations that I think we all had months ago that because of the sheer volume and pace of new issues that come on top, it's easy for people to kind of memory hole things and to have it now come roaring back. I think what it does is partly drive home this fundamental question, which is who asked for this? Who wanted this? Did anybody really, if you look at the range of things we've been talking about today, who set out in the 2024 election and said, this is the world I want to create. And perhaps, yes, there were some tiny fringe of extremist voters who were seeking this kind of violent turn in America.
44:56Jane Mayer:But for most people, this is not anything that anybody asked for. And I think it's genuinely horrifying, even to people who might be inclined to say, I want to give him a break because it suits my other interests. But Jane, do you think this is the kind of thing that is significant or that people just are so demoralized that doesn't even produce a response anymore? Honestly, I think, you know, of the things that I've read in terms of recent analysis of what's going on right now, David Frum had a piece overnight that I thought was very good about how Trump is digging his own grave in terms of making the next election, the midterms, even harder for his side.
45:34Jane Mayer:And this is one more example of that. Maine is a must-win state for both parties in terms of the Senate election and in terms of who dominates the Senate after this election. And the Democrats have just suffered through a big mess with Graham Plattner, and it looked like it was going to strengthen the hand of Susan Collins're-election bid. And now in Maine, of all places, the Trump administration has created a kind of a nightmarish, scary, unacceptable situation where it appears that an innocent person was gunned down by an ICE officer who information's coming out saying he has a history of mental instability and violence, someone who should never have been hired in the first place.
46:24Jane Mayer:The Trump administration is making itself less electable every day and creating more and more problems for its own side. And it's done that in Maine, as well as in Iran, and as well as with some of this election denial stuff, which, you know, last time it suppressed the vote in Georgia when he came out doing this. and there was a special election. The Republicans stayed home because Trump had convinced people that the elections were rigged and the Democrats poured out. And that's how we got John Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. So in issue after issue, Trump's making it worse for his own side.
47:04The Washington Roundtable:The dashboard is blinking red for Trump. I think that is an important takeaway of the moment. I really was struck by the latest Washington Post poll, not just Trump's high disapproval ratings, The fact that they are only 15 percent support, that's strong support for Donald Trump right now. That's the lowest number he's ever gotten. It means that even his core MAGA base, they don't have that tonic that Steve Bannon was talking about, Evan. This is a world that it seems even most Republicans didn't want. And I think that's an important note to end it on here. Guys, great to be with you.
47:43Jane Mayer:So good to be with you guys. Always is. Thank you, Susan. Jane, great to see you guys.
48:15Thank you.
From the publisher
The Washington Roundtable discusses Donald Trump’s latest attempt to relitigate the 2020 election. In a prime-time speech on Thursday, he argued that newly declassified documents suggest that U.S. election systems are vulnerable. “He described interference in the election in alarming terms,” the staff writer Jane Mayer says. “But there was absolutely no final bottom line where he was able to prove that a single vote was stolen.” The panel explores how false claims about past elections could serve as a pretext for federal intervention in the midterms, especially if issues like the war with Iran continue to depress the President’s approval rating and hurt Republicans’ chances.
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