Hour 3: Jordan Love and Jim Harbaugh Pressure, plus Aaron Rai’s Improbable PGA Championship Win

18 May 2026 · 47 min · 19 chapters

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In short

Sports talk focused on NFL season outlooks (win-loss predictions, division races, Jordan Love and Jim Harbaugh pressure) plus a deep dive on Aaron Rai’s improbable PGA Championship win.

Guests (and who they are)

Tom Pelissero (guest host, NFL writer). Mike Garofalo (NFL Network insider; discussed but not reached in this excerpt). Callers provide team win-loss predictions.

Guest backgrounds

Pelissero is an ESPN/NFL writer and longtime NFL reporter. Garofalo is an NFL Network insider covering league news. Callers are fans predicting schedules for Patriots, Bears, Packers, Browns, Chiefs.

Key claims

Aaron Rai’s win was historic—he improved each major round (70, 69, 67, 65) and shot better every day; only seven times in major history has that happened. Jim Harbaugh’s “success” hinges on winning a playoff game; Chargers’ health is the main variable. Jordan Love is “important” but not make-or-break; he’s viewed as not consistently top-10.

Notable examples

Rai’s 70-foot birdie, eagle on No. 9, and a 31 on the back nine; comparisons to Nick Foles’ shocked Super Bowl run. NFL schedule examples include Patriots projecting 10-7 and Chiefs projecting 13-4.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

NFL Predictions and Team Discussions

1:00 to 4:00

Engage in a discussion about NFL team predictions and performances.

“Live from The Rich Eisen Show studio in Los Angeles.”

Aaron Rye's Historic PGA Championship Win

4:00 to 6:40

Explore the incredible story of Aaron Rye and his PGA win.

“continue what they did last year, which felt like they got a ton of juice injected with that new staff there.”

Gameplay Analysis and Course Challenges

6:40 to 10:00

Analyze the gameplay and challenges faced by golfers during the tournament.

Comparing Aaron Rye to NFL's Nick Foles

10:00 to 13:00

Draw parallels between Aaron Rye's golfing journey and NFL's Nick Foles success.

“He only gets his opportunity because Carson Wentz gets his knee obliterated when he's an MVP candidate in December.”

Golf Commentary Insights and Team Dynamics

13:00 to 14:01

Delve into the dynamics of golf commentary and team strategies during the tournament.

Eagles and A.J. Brown Speculation

14:01 to 15:30

Discussion about A.J. Brown and the excitement around the Eagles' season.

“Or it's like a Beatles album if we play it backwards it says A.J.”

NFL Storylines with Mike Garofalo

18:20 to 22:22

Discussion with Mike Garofalo on major NFL storylines and team predictions.

“Let's do this thing and find the Patriots.”

New England Patriots Season Outlook

22:22 to 23:40

Analyzing the New England Patriots' upcoming schedule and potential outcomes.

“I mean, they're second place in the division at worst.”

Chicago Bears Season Predictions

23:40 to 25:43

Predictions on the Chicago Bears' season schedule and outcomes.

“Week three, home against the Eagles on Monday Night Football.”

Green Bay Packers Schedule Predictions

25:43 to 28:00

Predictions regarding the Packers' season games and outcomes.

“a secret Packers fan given the Bears' schedule.”
Show all 19 chapters

Assessing Jordan Love's Future

28:00 to 29:10

Discussion on whether this season is make-or-break for Jordan Love.

“That would be, I believe, the best record of the Jordan Love era.”

Jordan Love vs. Jalen Hurts

29:10 to 30:40

Comparative analysis of Jordan Love's and Jalen Hurts' performance.

“But when they're in it and they're running the football effectively, remember Josh Jacobs was really beat up in the second half of last year.”

Jim Harbaugh's Pressure in Coaching

30:40 to 34:10

Discussion about Jim Harbaugh's coaching success and expectations.

“I mean, if you're if you're tearing it out and this is an entire other segment to do, But if you're putting it there, like Jordan Love is, I wouldn't say, in the number one tier.”

Evaluating the Chargers' Prospects

34:10 to 37:30

Analyzing the Los Angeles Chargers' potential for the upcoming season.

“They are both different personalities, but they're not the same type of different.”

Browns' Schedule Predictions

39:28 to 42:00

Listeners predict the win-loss record for the Cleveland Browns.

“A lot of people in the NFL schedule game today.”

Predicting NFL Win-Loss Records

42:00 to 43:08

The hosts discuss predictions for NFL teams' win-loss records based on caller insights.

“All right, so at this point, 9-7 with one to go.”

Analyzing the Chiefs' Schedule

43:08 to 45:25

A detailed breakdown of the Kansas City Chiefs' upcoming schedule and predicted outcomes.

“Bears and Patriots are similar in so many ways.”

Continuing Chiefs' Game Predictions

45:25 to 46:28

Continuing the analysis of the Chiefs' games, highlighting potential wins and losses.

“just because I'm not sure who's going to be the starting quarterback.”

Chiefs' Easy Start to the Season

46:28 to 47:02

Discussion on the favorable start to the Kansas City Chiefs' season with a light schedule.

“You can calculate the aggregate percentage right there, Brockman, but I still think we're hovering in the 700 winning percentage.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Your summer starts now with Memorial Day deals at The Home Depot. It's time to fire up summer cookouts with the Nexgrill 4-Burner Gas Grill on special buy for only$199. And entertain all season with the Hampton Bay West Grove 7-Piece Outdoor Dining Set for only$499. This Memorial Day, get low prices guaranteed at The Home Depot. While supplies last, price invalid May 14th through May 27th. U.S. only exclusions apply. See homedepot.com slash price match for details. This is the Rich Eisen Show. Hey, everybody. Can't get enough of the Rich Eisen Show? You're in luck. You can find us everywhere. Watch us weekdays on Disney Plus from noon to 3 Eastern.

0:43Miss the show? We've got a podcast so you can listen anytime. But here's the best part. Our YouTube channel. Subscribe at youtube.com slash richeisenshow and you'll never miss a moment. Now, on with the show. This is The Rich Eisen Show. What was that? The Rich Eisen Show. With guest host Tom Pelissero. Live from The Rich Eisen Show studio in Los Angeles. Earlier on the show, senior NBA writer for ESPN, Vincent Goodwill. Coming up, NFL Network insider Mike Garofalo. Your phone calls, latest news, and more. And now, sitting in for Rich, it's Tom Pelissero.

1:31Tom Pelissero:Welcome back to the Rich Eyes and List show. Tom Pellicero in for Rich. It is the middle of May, so you know we've been talking about Aaron Rodgers showing up for work on the practice field earlier today. Schedule game heating up, but Brockman and TJ still refuse to participate. 844-204-RICH. I'm not sure how this works, Tom. Yeah, I really take umbrage with how this is being phrased. We'll get to the Rams, the 49ers, the Patriots. So both your teams will have had predictions made, just not by you. Well, we shouldn't have taken callers that took our team. That was the first place that we. I think they actually are actively calling in because you won't talk about your teams.

2:12Tom Pelissero:Put your name on something at this particular state. I want to get the lay of the land first. You know what I mean? I want to hear a few other people go, see how they're viewing the season. We've already had people really caught up. I got to say all three that we've done today, Darren, Jason, and Tanner, have all got caught up. That's the thing about playing the win-loss game. We had the 14-3 Vikings. We know this. You kind of get on a roll, and then all of a sudden, like, oh, my team's 10-3 already. I'm going to throw some losses in there. 14-3 Cowboys. Let me ask you this. Let's play a little What's More Likely Monday.

2:4514-3 Cowboys from Darren. 11-6 Titans from Jason and Chattanooga. and Tanner had the Vikings 14-3. Who is more likely to actually have one of these outrageous seasons?

2:59Tom Pelissero:The most shocking one there would be the Titans at 11-6. Even though they spent a ton of money in free agency, they put pieces around Cam Ward, new coaching staff, that still would be a surprising result. Like, the Vikings and Cowboys have plenty of talent. Can they actually do it consistently is the question. Vikings have had two of those types of seasons under Kevin O 'Connell. and Dallas last year couldn't figure out how to play any defense whatsoever until like halfway through the year so Christian Parker new DC in they made moves in the offseason I don't think it's outlandish to say but you're gonna have to have some things fall into place there's no question about that who's more likely to win their division Cowboys Titans or Vikings well I mean I'd say the Cowboys of those three just because you know we'll see what the Eagles look like.

3:46Tom Pelissero:They're obviously overhauling things. A.J. Brown's situation's still not resolved. Mike Garofalo will join us. Talk about that in a little bit. Titans to win that division. I mean, the AFC South has kind of been wide open. Probably depends in part on which C.J. Stroud shows up. And can the Jaguars continue what they did last year, which felt like they got a ton of juice injected with that new staff there. Sometimes there's kind of a regression to the mean in year two. We'll see if that happens. They also won all those games with Travis Hunter, the number two pick, their first round pick last year and this year, not really being a factor and then getting hurt and he'll be back.

4:22Tom Pelissero:We'll get more into that when Mike joins us in just a little bit, but I would be remiss if I didn't point out we have talked more about Aaron Rodgers than Aaron Rye for the first two hours of this show, which seems unfair. One of the more improbable PGA championship winners we've had, Brockman. But give me the frame of reference here. If you're not as familiar with Aaron Rye's game, and all you know about him is he wears two gloves and covers his irons. Right. And I think that's probably before yesterday. That's probably all you really knew about Aaron Rye. And I think one of the cool things about coming out of his PGA Championship win yesterday is that nobody has a bad thing to say about him.

5:01That's what Rory said. Everyone says he's the greatest guy. He's one of the hardest workers. He's the most quiet and humble. I think Xander told, Zernus Shoffley told a great story of a few years ago being at one of the majors, and he thought it would be fun to go out and putt late at night. Not with the daughter of the dean, but putting, putting late at night. And Rye was already out there, but actually grinding, not like night putting, putting at night. And not grinding, I mean, not having fun with his boys, but like grinding and practicing and then went to the gym super late night. This is just who he is, and the fact that he is now a major champion is unbelievable.

5:43He played last week, was a dual week on the PGA Tour with an elevated event, and then kind of, to put it bluntly, an event for everyone else who's not in the elevated events, kind of a scrub event. He was in the scrub event last week in the final group, and then the week before didn't make the cut, and now he's winning the PGA Championship with an unbelievable 31 on the back nine with some heavy, heavy hitters, multiple major winners chasing him. He made a 70-foot putt for Birdie. 78 and a half. And then just kind of reacted like,

6:24Tom Pelissero:yeah, I meant to do that. He looked shocked. Honestly, it was pure shock. It's also one of the only times you see another player who's still in the tournament go over and fist bump him like, what a pot unbelievable he looked stunned but i think if we make something like that we are losing our minds and then immediately rip some shots and he's like i gotta finish this and close out my first major championship and yeah look he wears two gloves because it's comfortable and it's it makes him comfortable out on the out on the course so this teddy bridgewater and gives him a peace of mind and he has iron cover covers on his irons which is you know something you'd see at your local muni but he does it because of the way he was brought up his father they weren't they didn't come from means he's a british kid he his father grinded and saved all this money to buy him his first set of really nice irons and he wants to take care of them because that's what he does and that's what he did growing up his story is phenomenal i couldn't think of a better major champ than aaron rye really happy for i think that there's people who root a lot of people who root for let's see Rory make that run right there at the end right like everyone let's see yeah Scotty the name yeah I think the beauty of this tournament and watching it play out yesterday wherever you know the little score bug in the bottom right hand corner on CBS and it's like everyone was between four and six under for like through 14 holes like ever no one was moving I enjoy that because you watch it and it feels relatable they are missing shots left and right they are missing putts rory's not able to drain a putt people are putting it in the bunker over and over there were several like dead shank drives on the back nine by players in contention which to me says the course is clearly getting to certain people they're trying to do too much trying to cut the ball too much around a corner and all of a sudden you just completely snap hook it i also i don't recall and maybe this is just grown and i hadn't noticed it but it felt like the commentary was especially harsh on some of those it'd be like you know t shot on a par three and they end up on the upper shelf it's like a bizarre shot there it's like well yeah he you know missed misjudgers oh that was that was humiliating right there yeah a lot of conversation about the setup and where the pins are and the way the rough was grown i mean rory had some comments before this week of like look i'm just gonna hit it as far as i can and and figure it out that's my strategy this week whereas you know scotty was like you know trying to be a little more creative and careful but it was firm it was hot uh the pins were in a spot where you know if you wanted to stay in it you kind of had to take your medicine where hit it to the middle of the green and two putt from 30 feet you know but go after it and win it and when guys tried to do that They kind of failed.

9:10And Aaron Rye made eagle on nine. And then you're like, whoa, he can win this. He's now one back. And he went out and took it. He shut the door on every single person, every single big name, future Hall of Famer trying to charge and win another major. And he's like, no, it's my time to win his first. And it was really, really cool.

9:33Tom Pelissero:I didn't think there was anything unfair about the course setup. I didn't think so either. those this is you know the u.s open 15 20 years ago when like they'd grow waist-high grass well and if you're three feet off the fairway you're just you're dead to rights this was just it was a tough golf course yeah but you didn't see you know the greens weren't sloped where it was like oh if you don't land it in this little tiny bit it's rolling off the green like you didn't have that right you just had guys who were having to make tough golf shots yeah and they really struggled which is why you didn't see that run other than rye i mean the guy plays the two best rounds of his life when they put up the graphic about the major best rounds in a major and it was like saturday sunday top two i think he had another one that was 67 but 65 67 it's you posed the question this morning off air of like what is the nfl equivalent yeah of this the the best one i could come up with is is this nick foals is this in that realm where a good player nick foals was a good player long before he won that super bowl with the eagles you remember the seven touchdowns The year that he played with Chip.

10:34Tom Pelissero:Chip Kelly year. He was unbelievable. And then he kind of bounced around. He thought about retirement. He was in some bad places. Comes back. He only gets his opportunity because Carson Wentz gets his knee obliterated when he's an MVP candidate in December. And he puts together those couple of games. Like the putt on 16 or 17 that he makes, the long putt, that was like the Philly special where it was like, this guy's actually going to do this. And no one's more shocked than the guy doing it. Nick Foles is a very confident guy, but just the way that it played out, Tom Brady dropping a pass in that same game.

11:10Tom Pelissero:The best players, the Rorys, the Schefflers are not, they're not delivering in those moments, and Aaron Rye does. To me, that was Nick Foles in that run in January, February 28th. Yeah, and you talk about the Liv guys a lot. Cam Smith had a really nice showing, and he had not been playing very well on the Liv tour or in the majors of late. Jon Rahm has not played well in the majors of late. He was there. It really felt like going into the back nine yesterday. He was going to win this tournament. He was the betting favorite on the live odds. But Aaron Ride just gets it done. Yeah, the Nick Foles thing, that's really good.

11:45This does not happen, what he did. You talked about the 67-65 or the weekend. He got better every round. He shot a 70. Then he shot a 69 on Friday, 67 on Saturday. 65. That's only happened seven times in the history of major championship golf where a player shot better every single day. So what he did is historic and he should be rightly celebrated as a major champion.

12:14Tom Pelissero:Cameron Smith was the one that I as always found myself rooting for when he was like, he kept having opportunities like Cam Smith. You want to talk about relatable. He is in every way he has a bad body he always looks like he just rolled out of bed the hair is everywhere the mustache is just like it looks like an accident and he's never in the fairway everything yesterday was like he's driving it into the rough then he's hitting into the trap that he's he's getting out of the trap and then he's having to make a putt and it happened over and over and over i'm like this is exactly how i play he got up and down from everywhere it's the closest thing to me winning a major would be cameron smith being able to deliver on on that type of a stage yeah it's cool i also laughed again like the announcing like i don't know how they organize it like it's amazing because they'll show like we have 10 people we've got obviously got nance and immelman but then you've got the here's our three whole reporters and then our four on course reporters and here's our interview you get 10 different people right and i feel like they're almost battling at times like as much as yeah some of the comments like oh bizarre shot choice there and boy that was an embarrassing effort but then also they kind of are going at each other a little bit there was one where it was somewhere on the back nine and the on-course reporter's contribution was you know cam smith is lining up like a 12-foot putty i think he's gonna make this there's silence putts and he missed like thanks for that the other one was like oh there's that driving he's gonna get the turbo go well he didn't get the turbo go because he's in the rough there's a lot of there's a there's way more opportunities for just sniping you got 10 people who are all fighting for airtime i enjoy the by play that's good the predictions you know we're getting a little tony robowish like i think he's gonna make the pot okay yeah yeah i'd rather i think guys are gonna make every part i'd rather know how it's sloping what what is the degree where's the where's the grain going is he playing it outside left inside right i think he's gonna make this pot yeah cbs though they they do a great job and yes and the golf was phenomenal and philly is having a sports moment you know hosting a major and the phillies can't lose now tj like i don't know what's going on don mattingly takes over and they're 15 and 4 and you got jeffrey lurie big dom reading intros for the broadcast coverage the big dom-assance let's go i'm here for it i love it let's talk about everything except aj brown did anyone like try to go back and read the first letter in each word that they said in those golf intros to piece it together like a serial killer sending you magazine bits or something.

14:47Or it's like a Beatles album if we play it backwards it says A.J. Brown is traded. A.J. Brown's a Patriot. Not an eagle. Yeah, exactly.

14:53Tom Pelissero:I was looking for little bits and pieces of that. We're like three weeks away from knowing exactly what the final thing. Well, I've been told June 1st by you people the whole time, Tom. Post-June 1. Okay, great. After this, let's bring in a guy who's from Philly, covers the Eagles as closely as anyone has as good a relationships as anybody is on that team. Mike Garofalo, my colleague at the NFL Network. It's been all over A.J. Brown. We'll talk about A.J. We'll talk about the other big storylines left. And, oh, yeah, probably about Aaron Rodgers as well. Imagine that. Let's take a quick break.

15:30Tom Pelissero:Mike Garofalo, NFL Network insider, coming up right after this on The Rich Eisen Show. Tom Pellicero in for Rich.

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17:35Tom Pelissero:Welcome back to the Rich Eisen Show. Mike Garofalo is supposed to join us in just a few minutes here. Talk about some of the other major storylines around the NFL. Do we have Mike? We have Mike Del Tufo. We don't have Mike Garofalo. Not Mike G. He's probably getting out of the team. Not Mike G. You know? Yeah. So we'll... That was realistic. You see that last guy? I thought so. That's realistic. That's how you play the game. That's how you play the game. You don't go 14-3 just because you think you're going to go 14-3. We still have an 800 winning percentage across the league. That's what I mean.

18:11Tom Pelissero:Everyone's not going to do that. Let's do another one here. Let's get in Tom in Lafayette, California. He wants to do the 49ers. The Niners. Let's see this one. Tom, you ready to go? Oh, Tom, hang on. Oh, my God. Was that you? No, no. Fat finger Tom? I can't give you dial tone. Did we lose Tom? He dropped. He dropped. Let's go. You want to go? All right. How about Denny in Florida? Patriots. We got Denny. Are you with us? There we go. Tom, call back. I got back from Boston. All right, Denny. Let's do this thing and find the Patriots. Here we go. Week one at Seattle on Wednesday night. Lost. Week two, home against the Steelers.

18:51Win.

18:52Tom Pelissero:Week three at Jacksonville. Win. Week four at Buffalo. Loss. Week five, home against the Raiders. Win. Week six, home against the Jets. Win. Week seven at Chicago on Thursday night. That's fun. Loss. Week eight at Miami. I stink in Miami. That's true. That's true. Weird stuff happens in Miami. We could play quarterback in Miami. they'd lose. I'm going to go with a win. It's going to change. We're able, yeah. It's going to be a long year in Miami. Week 9, home against the Packers. My wife's a Packer fan, so lost. I thought you were going to say, so win. Week 10 against the Lions in Munich. Well, the thing is, everyone I've listened to has had the Lions losing.

19:50I don't know what their thing is, but I think What are we at for a record right now?

19:56Tom Pelissero:You're 5-4 at this point. Oh, God. I think they'll pull that out if they have A.J. Brown. Yeah. All right, 6-4. Week 12 at the Chargers. Oh, they've got to go cross-country. That's a loss. All right, week 13, home against the Bills. They're going to win that one. Week 14, short week Thursday night, home against the Vikings. It's a short week, though. They're going to win that. It's going to be electric there. Week 15 at Kansas City, Monday night football. Massey, that's a loss. Week 16 at the Jets. Win. All right. Week 17, home against the Broncos. Oh, my God. What's up?

20:55Tom Pelissero:Depends on playoff positioning. What is our record right now? Six losses, right? So you're at... Six losses, yeah. Nine and six? Nine and six right now, yes. Loss. Because I know the last game was a game, right? Wow, now this... So now Week 18, home against the Dolphins. This might be to sneak in as a wild card. Yeah. That's what I'm thinking. 10-7. We are given the gauntlet schedule. 10-7 for the Patriots. We're coming back to earth here. Denny, thank you very much. Well, back to earth is... I'm saying from the initial predictions, now we're getting some very straightforward... Yeah, I mean, this is a relatively...

21:33Realistic. Level-headed, well-thought-out, realistic. I mean, that first four games is kind of a gauntlet for New England when I was looking at the schedule over the weekend. coming out of that two and two i think is a must at worse but also very realistic two and two

21:52Tom Pelissero:i mean that's a you look at the early part of the schedule like that is tough that is rough now you then catch the raiders jets week five six we're playing four home four playoff teams from a year ago right three on the road buffalo's got a new stadium that place is going to be rocking got to win you know got to win the home game and got to steal one no I think Denny is kind of on to it at 10 and 7 last year I was a little optimistic when I did it and I said 11 and 6 and you know I never would have imagined that I was underselling them you know three wins but 10 and 7 feels about right I mean I've seen predictions saying New New England's going to miss the playoffs.

22:36I really can't see it. I mean, they're second place in the division at worst. And, you know, just look at some of the other teams across the league. I don't know. They're still very well coached. You've got a quarterback on the rise. You're going to get A.J. Brown. The defense is better through the draft. Offensive line got better through the draft. They're going to be a better team than last year. Collectively, they're just playing a much more difficult schedule. so that's where you're going to see the regression but i still think team wise and skill wise they're

23:09Tom Pelissero:going to be better yeah they're not going to beat themselves that's the biggest thing right that you're going to get from them and drake may should be even better right it's an evolved receiving core you're hoping will camel rebounds the way that they're better receiving room better receiving room aj brown's coming and now romeo dobbs is there that's a good receiving room assuming that aj brown comes you know he's coming i know he's coming aj brown knows he's coming he got married over the weekend. I think he had a Patriot on the inside of his coat. Don't quote me, but I think he was wearing New England socks.

23:41That's a Josh in Wisconsin here.

23:43Tom Pelissero:Bears win-loss game. Josh, you ready to roll? Josh. Let's go. Alright, week one at Carolina. Win. Week two, home against the Vikings. Win. Week three, home against the Eagles on Monday Night Football. Lost. Week four, home against the Jets. Win. Week five at Green Bay. Loss. Week six at Atlanta. I'm going to go loss. Week seven, home against the Patriots, Thursday night football. Short week. That'll be a win. Week eight at Seattle, Monday night football. That's going to be a loss. Week nine, their short week, Sunday home against the Bucs. Win. All right, so we got four and four. Or it should be 5-4 at the bye.

24:34Tom Pelissero:Week 11, come out of it home against the Saints. Also a win. Week 12 at Detroit. That is Thursday game, Thanksgiving. Loss. Week 13, home against the Jaguars. I'm going to give them a win. Week 14 at Miami. Also a win. Week 15 at Buffalo on a Saturday night. Saturday night. That's a loss. Week 16 against the Packers on a Friday, Christmas Day. We're going to play Grinch, Bah humbug to Green Bay, so a win. Week 17, home against the Lions. Win. All right, so 10-6 going into week 18 against the Vikings at Minnesota. You're probably still playing your starters at 10-6 here. What do you got, week 18?

25:31I'm going to go lost.

25:33Tom Pelissero:That is a 10-7 finish. All the breakthrough teams from a year ago, we're getting a little bit of regression. Thank you very much for the call. Josh in Wisconsin, who might have been sandbagging a secret Packers fan given the Bears' schedule. Can't say for sure. We do have Jack in Milwaukee who wants to do the Packers win-loss game, though, so let's keep it rolling, huh? Jack, you ready to rock this thing? Yeah, let's do it. All right. Week one at Minnesota. I'm going to say a loss. Week two at the Jets. Blowout win. Blowout win. That seemed unnecessary. Week three, Thursday night football. Short week against the Falcons.

Read the full transcript

26:17Tom Pelissero:That's at home, right? That is at home. Yeah, that's a win. Week four at Tampa. That's a win. Week five, home against the Bears. Micah Parsons' comeback game. That's a win. Week six, home against the Cowboys. We own them, so that's a win. Five-game winning streak here. Week seven at Detroit. That's a loss. Week eight, short week, home against the Panthers on Thursday night. That's a win. Week nine at New England.

26:57Tom Pelissero:That's a loss. Week 10, home against the Vikings. That's a win. All right, so we got 7-3 at the bye for the Packers. Come out of it Wednesday night at Rams. That's a loss. Thanksgiving Eve. Week 13 at the Saints. That's a win. Week 14, home against the Bills. That's a loss. Week 15, home against the Dolphins. Win. Week 16, at Chicago, that is Christmas on a Friday. I will never say the Bears will win, so Packers. Week 17, Monday Night Football, home against the Texans. Worried about their defense. I feel good about this offense coming into this year. I think we can beat them. I'll say a win. All right, now Lee's home against the Lions Week 18.

27:59Tom Pelissero:Might be for the division. Quite possibly. Give us a win. 12-5 for the Packers. That would be, I believe, the best record of the Jordan Love era. Thank you very much for the call there as well from Jack. This has been pretty solid so far. Oh, boy. We got a Browns schedule game to play here. Is this a make-or-break season for Jordan Love? For Jordan Love? Yeah. No. Is it a make-or-break year? Yeah. Where do we stand on him right now? He's in year seven, I believe, in the NFL. He's played a lot of good football. He's had injuries. That's set him back. That's made things more complicated. You get banged up early in the season.

28:47Tom Pelissero:You're never fully healthy. I think that always has a trickle-down effect. But no, I don't think it's a make-or-break year. Matt LaFleur loves Jordan Love. They have to be more consistent in terms of who's making plays for him. Listen, that offense was rolling pretty good last year until Tucker Craft gets hurt. His torn ACL, that's where all of a sudden they had that game-and-a-half, two-game stretch. It was really rough offensively. But when they're in it and they're running the football effectively, remember Josh Jacobs was really beat up in the second half of last year. They had a rotation on the offensive line because guys were getting banged up.

29:21Tom Pelissero:There were a lot of different factors here. I would not say make or break for Jordan Love. Certainly an important season for him, though. Important is sort of, you know, make or break adjacent. You know what I mean? When you say make or break, what do you think that, like, if he has an off year now, he's no longer going to be a starter? No, no, no. 27 and 20. No, but I'm talking about us thinking about him as, you know, elite, you know, knocking on the door of being an elite player in this league. I don't know. I feel like Packer fans are kind of iffy. He's got 83 touchdowns and 31 picks. He's missed four games over the last three years.

30:02Tom Pelissero:27 wins in these three years. I think he was a make or break. I think we talk about Jordan Love like he is one of the top 10 quarterbacks in the league. We definitely do not. We don't? Definitely not. Jordan Love's name never gets mentioned. And I'm not saying whether he is or not. But I'm just saying on all of these shows, his name is never mentioned. It's always the same list of people. It's the Allens. It's the Jacksons. It's the Herberts. It's Jordan Love's name isn't usually. All I'm saying is Jordan Love has one playoff win. Let's go, man. Let's go. And the following week, I mean, they have a chance to win and he throws a late pick.

30:38Tom Pelissero:Yeah. But up until that point, he'd played pretty well in that game. I mean, if you're if you're tearing it out and this is an entire other segment to do, But if you're putting it there, like Jordan Love is, I wouldn't say, in the number one tier. That's a pretty clear-cut group. I'm not saying he's number one tier or even the second tier. But I think he's a borderline top 10 quarterback in the NFL. I don't know that borderline top 10 quarterbacks are ever in a make-or-break type of year. Jalen Hurts, only by virtue of the fact that there's so much stuff going on around him at any given time. The guy won the Super Bowl 16 months ago as the MVP of the Super Bowl, but also is coming into a new offense that doesn't necessarily seem like it's geared toward his skill set.

31:21Tom Pelissero:It's a I mean, I won't say make or break for him. Jalen Hurts is again, he's shown what he can do. But coming into this offense, if it doesn't click, they clearly are pivoting in an entirely different direction with Sean Mannion coming in and running a McVay, Shanahan, Kevin O 'Connell, that style of offense. I would say that it's much closer to a breaking point, for lack of a better term, with Jalen Hurts than it is for Jordan Love. Even though we've seen Hurts win a ton of games, and even though if he became available, he would be starting somewhere else immediately. This is what I'm saying.

31:54I think people think that Love is here and Hurts is here. One guy has been the best player on the field in two Super Bowls, and the other guy has one playoff win. I can't disagree with you more on that, bro. I'm still getting back to that. Jordan Love's name is not thrown in. If we do a straw poll, I think fans think that Love is a better QB than Hurts.

32:16Tom Pelissero:There's no way. If you polled 10 fans on Justin Herbert versus Jordan Love, you'd probably get nine Justin Herbert responses. I don't think Jordan Love in the broader universe is regarded up there. Love versus Hurts. No, I'm saying, I'm changing the question. If it were Justin Herbert, another player who has not won in the playoffs, has not been able to advance, has one playoff win, and that was that crazy comeback. Oh, no, they lost that game. Excuse me. They lost that game to Jacksonville in the crazy comeback game. So you have another player who has not had that success. Oh, Herbert has zero playoff.

32:53Tom Pelissero:Correct. I was thinking, I had it backwards in my head. We also really need to see it from him. Yep. He skates to TJ. I know you love to hammer this. he skates on a lot of this like under the most pressure. Rich hates it. Under the most pressure, we gotta see it lists. He skates on a lot of these. No, we need to see it from him too and I think we need to like we're getting close to having that conversation about Jordan Love. That's all I'm talking about. Well, Justin Herbert to me, it's as much about the fact that his entire offensive line was decimated last year. He's having to play. He's hurt.

33:27Tom Pelissero:He plays with a lot of injuries apart because he gets hit. He's a tough dude. He's played through a severe high ankle sprain, among other things in the past. He's got to be able to stay healthy. He's got to deliver down the stretch. I think we're much closer to a is it make or break for Jim Harbaugh than for Justin Herbert. Harbaugh, right? Let me write that down. Wow. Jim Harbaugh is one of the highest paid coaches in the league. You didn't shell out top money for Jim Harbaugh to come in and not have a playoff win for three years in a row. Now he's got McDaniels. We've been to the playoffs two years, and we'll see how that relationship develops.

34:00Tom Pelissero:That's going to be a big deal. I feel like we've got Rick Dalton's flamethrower right now. No, no, no. You guys are torching. I got that written down. Mike is a really smart offensive mind. He comes from a completely different school of thought than Jim Harbaugh. They are both different personalities, but they're not the same type of different. They see the game differently, and Jim wants to be involved in everything. Jim has opinions on a lot of different things here. I think the Chargers are going to be good this year. I don't think that there's a lot of question about that. It's hard to imagine they're going to be less healthy than they were a year ago when they got absolutely killed going all the way back to training camp where Sean Slater suffers a season-ending injury.

34:41Tom Pelissero:Then all gets hurt. They're down to like they're playing with their fifth tackle. What do you want them to do? I think they had like 30 different line combinations last year. But if it's three straight years, you have to start asking the question. Jim Harbaugh has been a highly successful coach everywhere he's been. Maybe this is the year they make the breakthrough and they make the run. But if you're just sitting here objectively speaking or if you're looking at the odds, I don't know that you're sitting there going, the Chargers are the number one team in the division. You might not say they're the number two team in the division.

35:10Tom Pelissero:They can be two. With Denver and Kansas City. Chiefs are coming off a down year and the quarterback's coming off an injury. Top three odds, pretty even. Chiefs plus 170, Chargers plus 185, Broncos plus 210. All I would say is... And this is not a slight at Jim in any way. But if they don't win a playoff game, in Jim's mind, this will not be a success. Three straight years without a playoff win? Playoff? He was immediately. In San Francisco, he stepped in and immediately took them to the playoffs in his first year. They were in the NCAA championship game his first three years in a row. So it's not up to Jim Harbaugh's standards where they've been so far.

35:50Tom Pelissero:If they get healthy, there's no reason to believe this isn't going to be a really good team in 2026. But they got their work cut out just to get out of their division. Because the Broncos were in the AFC Championship game last year. Well, could have been in the Super Bowl if Bo Nix doesn't get hurt. And the Chiefs, there's no reason to believe that last year is not an anomaly. Yes, they had to change some things, and you saw them do it. In terms of what they put into Kenneth Walker III, in terms of how they turned over the back end of their defense. They made a lot of changes. but Mahomes whether he's ready at 100 % week one or not he's not going to play that way the offense is not going to look like that Eric Biennemi's back in the building which people can you know laugh about and how much of an impact that's going to make but like look at the quotes you've seen on players about EB being back and the difference that can make I would just say don't overlook the Chiefs in this season I know that's not like breaking news but I have no doubt that the Chiefs They're going to be back in the playoffs in 2026.

36:48Tom Pelissero:The Broncos are set up as one of the best young rosters in the NFL. Where does that leave the Chargers? If they're healthy, they should be right there with those two teams as the odds reflect. If they don't win a playoff game, if they don't advance, there's going to be a lot of disappointed people, especially because you made the biggest swing maybe in Chargers franchise history to go and get Jim Harbaugh, bring him back to the NFL, Make yourself the biggest story in sports for a period there. And then three straight playoffs with no wins? Jim Harbaugh himself is not going to be happy about that.

37:23Tom Pelissero:That, to me, is a lot closer to the make or break than a still 20-something Justin Herbert who's got a lot of time out there ahead of him. Let's take another break. We still have more win-loss fun coming up on this show. More NFL as well. Tom Pelissero in for Rich on The Rich Eisen Show. The Rich Eisen Show. The podcast.

37:50The NFL schedule dropped and it is time to settle up, people. There's road trips to plan, hotels to book, tickets to split, tailgates to cover, scores to settle. All the things for the season. But now, when you send$10 or more to a friend with PayPal by May 28th, you could win two tickets to every home game of your favorite team. Yep, the whole season. Visit paypal.com slash p2psweeps. No purchase necessary. See website for details, including how to enter by mail brought to you by PayPal, official peer to peer payment sponsor of the NFL. Rich Eisen here. You ever notice what happens when something big rolls into your city?

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39:28Tom Pelissero:I hope you have more than 10. Welcome back to the Rich Eisen show. Tom Pellicero in for Rich. A lot of people in the NFL schedule game today. Not you guys. Hey, Tom, listen. You're going to stop trying to first. Both of you sitting there refusing to participate. It's not a refusal, Tom. My team has barely gone to OTAs. I don't know who the full 53 men are. I need a little more time. So you're not going to pick until the day before the season begins? As I said at the beginning of the show, normally Rich always makes me go first, and then I get held to that standard. Did I go first? Last year, you may have went first.

40:04Tom Pelissero:But every year before that was me. All right. Let's get back to the phones here. We got a few more. We're going to dare to go here. There's no more J.D. in Cleveland wants to do the Browns. It's Browns time. This will be a great test of how people approach this. Are you ready to roll here? Ready to roll. Yeah, I'm ready. How's it going? Let's do it. You're doing great, man. All right. Week one at Jacksonville. I lost. Week two at Tampa. Baker's going to get us with a loss. Week three, home against the Panthers. I think the Panthers are overrated. I'll take a win.

40:46Tom Pelissero:Week four, short week, home against the Steelers Thursday night football. We'll beat them at home. Two and two, week five at the Jets. That's a win. Week six, home against the Ravens. That's a loss. Week 7 at Tennessee. Love Cam Ward, but that's a win for us. Week 8 at Pittsburgh. We can't win at Pittsburgh. That's a loss. Week 9 at New Orleans. I'll take a win. Week 10 home against the Texans. That's my birthday, but they're better. That's a loss. If I'm not mistaken, we're 5-5 here, correct, Brockman? Brown's 5-5 at the 5? Yeah, 5-5. All right. Relevant. Still in it. Week 12, home against the Raiders.

41:38Tom Pelissero:That's a win. Week 13, home against the Bengals. We'll go two in a row. That's a win for us. Okay. In it. Week 14, home against the Falcons. Make that three in a row. That's a win. Let's go. Week 15 at the Giants. That's a loss. Week 16 at the Ravens. That's a loss for us. Week 17 home against the Colts. Final home game, I'll take a win. All right, so at this point, 9-7 with one to go. This could be for the wild card, Week 18 at Cincinnati. It could be for the division. We'll take a win. Let's go. 10-7 rounds. Oh, I see. Right there, Corey, to JD. Thank you very much for the call. Quarterback play.

42:26And then just want to say one last thing, Cavs and six, baby. Just want to let everyone know. Call it a shot. Cavs and a shot. Tipping off Tuesday night. Okay, hold on. We just did three teams. All predicted 10 and 7. Patriots, Bears, Browns. Who has the most wins out of that 3-0? 3-0. I just made up a new one. Of who? That trio. Patriots, Bears, Browns. All were predicted 10 and 7 by callers today.

42:59Tom Pelissero:I mean, for the Patriots and the Bears, that would be a disappointment. For the Browns, that would be caused to celebrate in the streets. That's not an answer to the question. Of those three which has the most wins? Yeah. At the end? Yeah. Bears and Patriots are similar in so many ways. They are. There's the young quarterbacks, first-year coaches. You got the juice going in. Probably had some holes that you covered up. Yep, yep, yep. Still waiting for an answer. Thinking who's in the division. I'll go with the Patriots solely because there's not an easy win in the NFC North. Right. Dolphins and Jets, that's four of the games for the Patriots.

43:37Tom Pelissero:Jets should be better. Dolphins are going to be competitive with Jeff Halfley. They're just not there from a talent standpoint at this point. This is going to be a multi-year build for them. So I'll take the Patriots. All right. We've got time for one more here. Rich in Missouri. Chiefs win-loss. I've already stuck my neck out and said I believe they will be. back in the playoffs this season as I try to find that division. Here we go. Chiefs win, loss. Rich, you ready to roll? Chiefs. Yeah, I'm ready, Tom. Let's do it. Alright, week one, Monday night football home against the Broncos. Yeah, Patrick will be back.

44:16Tom Pelissero:I don't think Bo Nix will, so I'm taking the Chiefs. Week two, home against the Colts. Yep, Chiefs again. Week three at Miami. Yeah, I'm not sure Dolphins are winning two games this year. Kansas City. Week four at the Raiders. Fernando ain't playing yet, so we'll take down Kirk. 4-0 at the bye. Very early bye. Week six, home against the Chargers. Yeah, I think the Chargers are going to regress this year. I don't think they're going to be as good as everybody thinks they are. So Kansas City wins again at home. Make or break. Win week seven at Seattle. Yeah, that's when the first loss is coming, unfortunately.

45:01Tom Pelissero:Seattle's defense is unbelievable. All right, it's 5-1 here. Week 8 at Denver. Yeah, no. We'll take Kansas City. Broncos aren't beating us this year. Week 9, home against the Jets. Yeah, Kansas City. Jets don't have a quarterback. Week 10 at Atlanta. Yeah, I was kind of back and forth on this one, just because I'm not sure who's going to be the starting quarterback. But I'll take Kansas City. All right, we've got 60 seconds left here. Week 11, home against the Cardinals. Okay. Chiefs. Week 12 at Buffalo Thursday night, Thanksgiving. Yeah, we're terrible at Buffalo, so I'll give it to the Bills.

45:45Tom Pelissero:Week 13 at the Rams on Thursday night. Short week.

45:55Tom Pelissero:I'll take the Rams, unfortunately. Yeah. All right. Week 14 at Cincinnati. Yeah, Kansas City. Week 15, home against the Patriots. Monday night. I'll take the Chiefs. All right. Week 16, rapid fire, 49ers at home. Yep. Niners, unfortunately. Week 17 at Chargers. Chiefs. Week 18, home against the Raiders. Yeah, close out with the Chiefs. 13-4, Chiefs. Thank you very much, Rich, for the call. A lot of wins. You can calculate the aggregate percentage right there, Brockman, but I still think we're hovering in the 700 winning percentage. That schedule sets up about as good as you could possibly. Especially if Mahomes plays against the Broncos.

46:43Tom Pelissero:Oh, really? That's starting. Oh, an easy start to the season for the Chiefs. I wonder who could have predicted that. Me on overreaction Monday two weeks ago. Did it. He did it. Shocking. What, do you want a medal? Three cupcakes, a bye week, and then a home Monday night game. All right. No way. Radio audience, we are back tomorrow. Thanks, everybody, for watching and listening. Thanks for listening to the Rich Eisen Show podcast. You can watch and listen to the Rich Eisen Show live weekdays from noon to 3 Eastern on ESPN Radio, Disney Plus, and on the ESPN app. The Rich Eisen Show. the podcast.

From the publisher

Guest host Tom Pelissero and Brockman react to Aaron Rai’s feel-good win at the PGA Championship.

The guys debate if this is a make-or-break year for Green Bay Packers QB Jordan Love, and Tom explains why Los Angeles Chargers HC Jim Harbaugh might be the NFL head coach under the most pressure heading into the new season.

Tom plays the ‘NFL Win-Loss Game’ with a Cleveland Browns fan and a Kansas City Chiefs fan.
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