NFL Week 15: Chiefs' Dynasty Done? Micah Injury Impact, Rivers' Return

15 Dec 2025 · 41 min · 12 chapters

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In short

Week 15 NFL “Overreaction Monday” discussion—Denver’s Bo Nix breakout vs Green Bay, Micah Parsons’ season-ending injury impact on the Packers, whether the Chiefs’ dynasty is over after Patrick Mahomes’ torn ACL, plus AFC East/ South and NFC North/West playoff seeding scenarios.

Guests

None (hosts are Rich Eisen and Chris Brockman).

Guest backgrounds

Not applicable.

Key claims

Broncos showed “complete four-quarter” complementary football; Bo Nix tied career high with four passing TDs and has 22 wins in two seasons. Parsons’ 83 QB pressures (Next Gen Stats) removal changes Green Bay’s playoff outlook. Mahomes’ torn ACL likely drops Kansas City’s near-term ceiling, but Eisen calls it an overreaction to declare a rebuild. Patriots’ “one-and-done” take is disputed; Jacksonville is a dangerous AFC South playoff team.

Notable examples

Pat Surtain interception vs Jordan Love; Broncos defense needing 15 more sacks to break 1984 Bears record; Seattle concern: 2-for-13 third down vs Colts and low third-down conversion rates. Phillip Rivers’ return—managed game, nearly threw a TD.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Week 15 NFL Overview

0:45 to 5:24

Discussion on NFL Week 15 games, focusing on standout performances.

“After spending almost a full week in the warm embrace of the ESPN studios in lower Manhattan.”

Impact of Micah Parsons Injury

5:24 to 8:27

Analyzing the effects of Micah Parsons' injury on the Packers' season.

“yeah at a time when they knew the patriots had just lost and they also know they have a tie break on the Patriots.”

Chiefs' Future After Mahomes Injury

8:27 to 12:21

Discussion on the implications of Patrick Mahomes' injury for the Chiefs.

“I might choose a different combo for Super Bowl 60 than Packers, Broncos.”

End of the Chiefs' Dynasty?

12:21 to 14:01

Debate about the potential end of the Chiefs' dynasty and how they'll cope moving forward.

“I'll just call this an overreaction and say, Andy Reid is probably not going to go anywhere.”

Reflecting on the Chiefs' Future

14:01 to 14:44

Discussion on the potential decline of the Chiefs and the emptiness that may follow.

“The people wanting them to lose, people wanting them to win.”

Patriots' Playoff Prospects

15:30 to 17:41

Analyzing the Patriots' chances in the playoffs and their upcoming games.

“And then it wasn't great after you blow a 21-0 lead at home to lock up the division.”

Jaguars and the AFC South Landscape

17:41 to 22:40

Exploring the Jaguars' impressive performance and the competitive AFC South.

“You're at the Jets and you're home for Miami.”

NFC North Dynamics and Upcoming Challenges

24:18 to 28:00

Discussing the current NFC North standings and the challenges ahead for teams.

“If they win the NFC North, they will have earned it.”

NFC Playoff Picture and Predictions

28:00 to 31:39

Discussing the current state of the NFC playoff race and team performances.

“So so much is wide open in the NFC right now.”

Seattle's Third Down Struggles

31:40 to 33:55

Analyzing Seattle's poor third down conversion rates and their impact on playoff chances.

“Like somebody who's on the north side of 30 going right down like that.”
Show all 12 chapters

Phillip Rivers' Performance and Future

33:56 to 36:51

Evaluating Phillip Rivers' recent game performance and discussing his potential NFL future.

“And I think he's going to be in the NFL in 2026.”

Rethinking NFL Playoff Divisions

36:52 to 40:05

Debating the necessity of divisions in NFL playoffs and advocating for a top-seven format.

“I'm watching the Panthers and Saints game.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Rich Eisen:So good, so good, so good. New markdowns up to 70 % off are at Nordstrom Rack stores now. Stock up and stay big on shoes, tops, dresses, accessories, and more must-haves for summer. Join the Nordi Club to unlock exclusive discounts, shop new arrivals first, and more. Plus, buy online and pick up at your favorite rack store for free. Great brands, great prices. That's why you rack.

0:31Rich Eisen:All right, everybody. It is another edition of Overreaction Monday. It's time for the Week 15 edition. Rich Eisenlong with Chris Brockman. How are you, sir? What's up, brother? What a weekend. Yeah, thrilled to be back from New York City. Absolutely. After spending almost a full week in the warm embrace of the ESPN studios in lower Manhattan. We're back in Los Angeles. Yeah, only the studios were warm in New York. You know, it's warm in Los Angeles. Not just the weather, but both football teams here, sir. Hey, look at you turn the face. Rams and Chargers. taking care of business. Lots to talk about, so let's hit it.

1:03Rich Eisen:Boom. That was terrible. That was crap. That was garbage. This place sucks. Overreaction Mondays. Monday. I don't know why I just said boom, but I just, that's the first time I've ever done that. No, it was fantastic. Maybe that was an overreaction. Yeah, Berman-esque. Boom. Boom. Let's go. Hey, very good. Let's go. What do you got over there? Right out of the gate, I gotta start with, man, so many good games. I'm gonna call this the game of the day. We talked about it on Friday as possibly being a Super Bowl 60 preview Denver and Green Bay Sunday was the best game of Bo Nix's career and Broncos AFC championship game I don't think that's an overreaction how does that sound this is what we were waiting to see out of this Denver team a complete four-quarter game they came from behind best game of Bo Nix's career four touchdowns he looked awesome and before the season when Sean Payton was like we have a Super Bowl team I think they finally finally showed it on well Well, to have the Packers come in off of what they did against the Bears and what they did against the Lions on Thanksgiving, to come in to their home stadium and put the four quarters together, as you said, complementary football, which is another way to, it's a football version of pound for pound boxer, where you got to figure out what it is other than the fact is like, you can run it and you can pass it as well.

2:23Rich Eisen:Bo Nix with a four touchdown game. game did you know not to go full did you know on you but where's the music I know Bo Nix um tied a career high with that four touchdown um four passing touchdown game it's his fourth career game with four or more touchdowns so I know we've been waiting to see it but maybe we've been waiting to see it in a situation where the Broncos are expected to take that next step if you think they have that ability and they went ahead and showed it and nicks now has 22 career wins through his first two seasons that is tied with big ben andrew luck and dac prescott for the most um since 1950 and if they went out the rest of the way which is now possible because that christmas game in arrowhead looks a lot more winnable sure does um and there is that chargers game at the end of the game at the end of the season and this big one against jacksonville coming up in week 16 very difficult games i know that so um if they win their home games is what i'm saying i guess now that we're looking at the schedule and that game and arrowhead is now against gardner minshu against the chiefs team that doesn't know what to do in a game that doesn't matter in the regular season when they're playing a game that doesn't matter in the regular season because they're not benching their starters for the playoffs, then Bo Nix would set the record all-time, breaking Russell Wilson's 24, most wins by a player in his first two seasons at quarterback in the National Football League since the middle of last century.

4:03So Bo Nix is ascending and slowly building

4:09Rich Eisen:in a way that this ascension feels a lot more real than perhaps any other second year flash in the pan type situation. And even just earlier in the season, you know, we've been talking about, look, they look like crap for three and a half quarters and then pull it out at the end. Or, you know, they have a weird penalty. I mean, you could make a case. Denver could be undefeated in this game, but I just think he put it all together. Huge game, the home field. It looks like they're going to lock up the one seat if they kind of handle business the rest of the season. And, you know, everyone's saying, you know, Denver didn't win the Super Bowl.

4:42The bandwagon was full.

4:43Rich Eisen:They really showed it. Well, Pat Sertan, with one of the interceptions of the year, that was incredible when he jumped in front of a Jordan Love pass. And the defense then tacked on three more sacks. They needed 15 more sacks in the final three games to break the 84 Bears record of 72 in a season. So they're playing the complimentary football, although they're not running the ball all that well they're 89 rush yards um i guess doesn't matter because would you believe in games that they've ran for fewer than 90 rush yards is the fifth such game they're five and oh in those contests so they're playing terrific football yeah at a time when they knew the patriots had just lost and they also know they have a tie break on the Patriots.

5:35Rich Eisen:So they're close to clinching a one seed if they keep on winning these games. Now, Jacksonville is red hot, and that's going to be a fabulous week 16 contest between the one and three seeds right now. Yeah, we'll talk about them in a minute. But I thought for a second you were saying that this was still a Super Bowl preview and the fact that Micah Parsons is now down for the season. Can you hold that thought? I will put a pin in that for the moment. Ten seconds. Ah, what's next then, Chris? Let's just go to the other half of that game the packers side of it it was actually was i was i thought you had one more thing to add before you where you tossed it but right the packers super bowl chances ended with micah parsons i can't say ended i can't say ended although micah parsons leaves the 2025 playing field and campaign with 83 quarterback pressures according to next gen stats on a heater of all heaters that leads the national football league so removing him and that from the defense will absolutely change the dynamic and revert the packers to the team that we've seen over the last few years coming in and to the playoffs which is a pretty darn good defensive unit but potentially without a unicorn in the middle of that line wherever he wants to play in the middle of that front seven wherever he wants to play.

6:56Rich Eisen:9-4-1 is maybe not going to be good enough to go into the last three weeks to come out with the one seed. Maybe not. With the Rams and the Seahawks playing each other this weekend, barring a tie, or this week on Thursday night to kick off week 16, barring a tie uh in that game somebody's gonna have 12 wins with two to go which means the Packers would need to win out to get to that so the one seed might have just gone out the window for Green Bay but the two seed isn't the two seeds not and if they're the two seed welcoming in somebody like the Rams Seahawks Niners Lions Bears oh my that's the mix of I think teams that would come in as the seven seed in the NFC, which are stout seven seeds, man.

7:57Rich Eisen:NFC is stacked. They are like, you know, when, when the seven seed was invented a few years ago, it was always that team that barely made it. Right. That was running on fumes or had no business being in the playoffs. Otherwise, eight and eight team, something like that. So it's going to be a, it's, it's not going to be an easy road, but I don't think anybody's road in the NFC is going to be easy anyway. I can't sit here and say that their Super Bowl chances ended. You can't say that. I'll call that an overreaction. But the likelihood of it is less, which is why I was sitting here saying I might choose a different combo for Super Bowl 60 than Packers, Broncos.

8:40Rich Eisen:Thought about it even in the middle of that game. Parsons goes down and it changes things. I know I'm contradicting myself here, but I'll just call this an overreaction because I just gave you the scenario under which the Packers, who have the Bears this Saturday, to try and sweep them, which would be a great reinvigoration of a team that had won four in a row prior to this past week's loss. Then they're home for Baltimore, which is entirely winnable, and then against my guy, J.J. McCarthy, who was dealing on Sunday night. He was. He was balling. Never know what that's going to look like. But there are some winnable games the rest of the way, if not all three of them, for a team that is really talented all over the place.

9:21Rich Eisen:That tie is just sticking out like a sore thumb for a team that otherwise, if that was a win, would still have a chance to win the conference. But that tie means they'd have to win out to match the 12 wins of whoever wins between the Rams and Seattle to kick off week 16 with two games to go for both of them. So I'll just call this an overreaction for the moment and say, what a bummer that both Micah and Patrick Mahomes suffered on Sunday. Yeah. We need me right into the, to our next topic. Major bummer in Casey Patrick Mahomes going down, torn ACL. He posted about it. It looks like it's going to be next season before we see him probably middle of next season.

10:07Are you now prepared to say that the chiefs are done? Yeah. You know what? I don't appreciate that snark from you. Okay, great. The next time the Chiefs make the playoffs, Andy Reid will not be the head coach. What an overreaction.

10:20Rich Eisen:What an overreaction. I think we're ready for a complete and total rebuild next year for Kansas City. And then Andy Reid's going to be 70. Well, Kelsey's going to retire now, right? I can't sit here and say that. Chris Jones is up there. I can't sit here and say that. I can't also sit here and say that Mahomes, if he doesn't get surgery, fast and doesn't rehab fast enough. I mean, I know nine months, we've seen a nine, ten month turnaround. Yeah, but we've also seen how players look coming back in that, you know, the nine to ten month period. He might not run around as much or have the escapability, the Mahomes magic.

10:55Rich Eisen:He's not going to be the Chiefs best running back next year, is that what you're saying? Well, that's the one thing the Chiefs need to do, is address that situation. But Andy Reid teams, as you know, never really had that. Brian Westbrook. Well, Brian Westbrook was always the guy coming out of the backfield too. He was a dual threat guy. I understand that. Of the highest order. I understand that. I'm saying Andy Reid is going to be... It would be great to see the Chiefs just bang on you sometimes, man. It would. He's 68 years old, right? That's the oldest coach has ever won the Super Bowl. Bruce Arians was 68.

11:27Say gap year next year, rebuild year, then he's 70. Why is next year a gap year? Because your best player just had a very serious knee injury.

11:36Rich Eisen:I understand what it looks like right now. but I'm not ready to quit the chiefs on next year. That is preposterous. Why is it preposterous? Why is it preposterous? Because why quitting on, why would I quit on the chiefs for next year to help into the locker? Because that's just how it works. What works that way? Just knees and knees bodies. He's down in his thirties. Your, your hall of fame tight end is probably at the end of the line. Your defensive best defensive player is on the wrong side of 30 as well. Yes, they have no roster is aging. There's no doubt. They have no plausible wide receiver one.

12:12Like, the Chiefs are in big trouble. They're an absolute cap hell next year. They're a$40 million plus over the cap. Like, this is going to be a very different looking Kansas City Chiefs team next season.

12:23Rich Eisen:I'll just call this an overreaction and say, Andy Reid is probably not going to go anywhere. Unless there's something larger underneath the surface that's a large ass iceberg, and they're going to want to go into this market right now for a new head coach. And it's not like there's anybody that's, I mean, will somebody grab spags? I know everybody keeps mentioning Matt Nagy as a head coaching candidate. They might get some coaches rated. They didn't get coaches rated after Super Bowl wins in a row. Why would they get their coaching staff rated after a six and whatever or seven whatever season, Chris?

13:04Well, that might feel like it was their personal decision to keep the run going.

13:08Rich Eisen:I just don't know. You may wind up being right, but I'm just going to call this an overreaction for the moment and just say this to you. Just throw it out there. Let me just say this to you. Just in advance of what I'm going to say. Is this recording so we can play this back in like a year and a half? No, if we play it back in a year and a half, I'm going to say this on the flagship show. Great. And I'm not just saving material. So we're doubling down. Well, yeah. you're going to miss the Kansas City Chiefs in the playoffs. Absolutely not. You're 100 % going to miss them. What are we going to miss?

13:41Rich Eisen:The star quality, the ugly football, the on the edge of your seat. Is this the end of the dynasty? Is this the end? Could they pull it out out of nowhere? There's going to be a lot of first-time quarterbacks, second-time quarterbacks doing it that don't have the same pizzazz or jazz as Mahomes and the rest of this Chiefs team. The people wanting them to lose, people wanting them to win. I mean, I know all about what that's like. You can be as, again, New England snarky as you want right now. I'm not being snarky. It's just the real situation. I'm just saying it's basically going to be like when LeBron leaves.

14:25Rich Eisen:You're going to miss him. You're going to miss. There's going to be a void. You're going to be sitting around saying, why am I somewhat empty inside? You're going to miss them. I think there's other reasons why I'm empty inside. You're going to miss them. Most of them were from yesterday. I'm just going to repeat, you're going to miss them. I'm not. As you know, managing maintenance, repair, and operations is never easy. But for the ones who always rise to the challenge, Grainger has your back. From professional-grade products you can count on to fast, dependable delivery, they're there to help you keep things running smoothly.

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15:10Rich Eisen:Call 1-800-GRAINGER, click grainger.com, or just stop by. Save money on your next oil change with O 'Reilly Auto Parts. Get a$15 O 'Reilly gift card after rebate when you buy 5 quarts of Mobile One full synthetic motor oil for just$35.95. Stop by your local O 'Reilly Auto Parts. But that's okay. We move on. It wasn't great for my team yesterday. Oh, it was great. And then it wasn't great after you blow a 21-0 lead at home to lock up the division. That's never good. The Patriots are going to be one and done in the playoffs. Wow, you're really putting this up for grabs, huh? I don't love what I saw in the second half, especially.

15:47Really need Milton Williams to come back healthy. You know, Pat's run D has been pretty bad since he's been down. Robert Spillane. Was it a soft benching? He wasn't fast enough in this game. Where is Stefan Diggs? Well, Trayvon can't do it all by himself. It would be nice to have a little help. Trayvon Henderson, obviously a monster, very, very fast, but he can't do that on every play. He can't hit a home run on every play.

16:10Rich Eisen:Let me ask you this question. So that whole win streak, was it really the benefit of a soft schedule? Perhaps, but you can only play who you play. Who have we really beaten from? You can only play who you play, and they did dominate those teams, and they were dominating for a half. You did throw a pretty damn good punch at the Bills. Against Buffalo. Just couldn't finish. We won a close game at their side. They won a close game on our side. And I feel good about finishing up the season. What do you think? You're not going to win the division? You're still up. You're still one up. You're still one up.

16:43I think you kind of need to fall down before you can really get up and rise to the top. And I think maybe that was a good loss. Hold on a second. But I think one and done in the playoffs, that's fair. That's a fair take after watching them on Sunday. Hold on. Hold on.

16:57Rich Eisen:So you're saying, again, are you aware that the Patriots have a better division record against the AFC East than the Bills have? Yeah, I'm aware. So all you've got to do is beat the Dolphins and the Jets. It doesn't matter if you lose to the Ravens because the next tie break after head-to-head in division is division record. You've only lost once there. That's it. so beat the Dolphins and beat the Jets doesn't matter what you do against the Ravens if you suddenly have the Bills having the same record as you you have got a better division record that's the tie break so you could you're still probably going to win this division Chris unless you lose two of the last three I mean you don't have to lose at Baltimore and then against the Dolphins or the Jets the Jets aren't beating anybody right now they just fired their defensive coordinator before we sat down here Tua's got a great track record against the Patriots.

17:55Rich Eisen:You're at the Jets and you're home for Miami. The last one, Tua's got to come in on like 10 degree weather and probably have the U-Haul backed up. Come on, man. They might be fighting for a playoff spot. So you'll be the two seed. You'll be the two seed or the three seed if Jacksonville can leapfrog you or Houston leapfrogs you, which would still have to be significant. One of those two teams coming in New England, they're more skilled offensively. I don't think either one of those teams will be coming into New England. It might be the Chargers. Could be the Bills. I think Chargers is best-case scenario for the Pats, but don't want to see the Bills again in the playoffs.

18:26Don't want to see Houston in that defense and the way C.J. Stroud has been playing.

18:29Rich Eisen:All right, would it make you feel better if I said this is not an overreaction? Now I'm going to try and drill down on your New England psyche. Would it be better for you if I'm like, no? Or I'm like, you know what, you're right. To give an honest answer. You're right, you're finished. What do you think of this take? I think this is an overreaction. I think you've arrived. I'm a little worried. I'm not, and I am going high register, but I think you've arrived. I think you're not one and done in the playoffs. Dude, you just won like 10 in a row. Then you lose a half of football. You needed to finish that.

19:01Rich Eisen:I totally agree. Couldn't do anything. But this kid's unbelievable. And I mean, I think he should definitely start out snapping Ramondre by a nice margin too. Well, it's been a long time since the Patriots had a true home run hitter every time he touches the ball. That's right. And that's what he is. Excuse me. You've got a lot of them from Pop Douglas to that kid Williams. You got some. It's just, you know, the bills are who we sometimes think they are. They got the best player on the planet. They certainly have one. He put on his cape, man, in that second half. Doesn't hurt when you got 17. It's an overreaction.

19:37Chris, don't worry. Okay, great. All right, I feel better. Not really. You know who should feel really good? Jacksonville Duvall. Yes. The Jaguars are the team nobody wants to see. or play come January.

19:50Rich Eisen:How about this? How about the top two in the AFC South are that way right now? How about that? Because that's the first game on Saturday, wildcard weekend division. No, I know we always have our fun with that. No one respects them. Jacksonville. They're balling, man. They are. And they're just, you know, what they're in right now is in the vortex of the who have they really beaten lately situation, which is always so funny. Who have they really beaten? It doesn't matter. In the NFL, the other professionals across from you think you're taking food off their table. That's the way NFL players approach games.

20:30Rich Eisen:The same thing with all these Eagle fans that are pushing back at me for saying, I told you to relax. You're now three games left in the season, and you're one game away, one win, one magic, Your magic number to win your division and host a playoff game, if not maybe wind up the two seed in the NFC playoffs, is one. One. You're going to beat the Washington Commanders once out of two times in the final three weeks. That's it. And you're like, well, and even some people who, you know, know better in the NFL covering the NFL are like, it's the Raiders, Rich. They beat the Raiders. Well, if they hadn't beaten the Raiders, they struggled beating the Raiders, you'd be like, they're still in the crapper.

21:12Rich Eisen:But no, they eviscerate the Raiders. It's like, yeah, but who have they really beaten? Jacksonville has beaten up on people, and they were 19 up on the Texans before they blew that lead. So anybody's like, yeah, but who have they really beaten? They've got Denver this week. Let's see. But they destroyed the Jets. They destroyed the Colts. They basically brought Phillip Rivers out of retirement, right? They took care of business at Tennessee, which is definitely a trap game for anybody in division. They won at Arizona. You know, the Chargers, they destroyed them. Destroyed the Chargers. And the Chargers are a team that is going to end Dallas' season next week because they are tough and they are physical, and they were up at Houston, and they beat Vegas in overtime after a bye week after a London game I called when they couldn't tie their shoes properly.

22:07Rich Eisen:They were shooting themselves in the foot so badly with all of these cell phones and these mistakes. So Liam Cohen, by the way, has also gotten the game out of Trevor Lawrence that everybody saw him doing Clemson and thought, that's why he's a first bout first overall choice without question, bar none. One of the more valuable first overall selected quarterback. No doubt. No doubt. And he's finally getting those games out of Trevor Lawrence. Brian Thomas looked back trivia. The Travis NTN has been unbelievable this year. Jacoby Myers has been huge. And, you know, so ETN is dynamite as well. Yep.

22:43Rich Eisen:So, yeah, I'll say this is a proper reaction, but the same thing is with the Texans too right now. Yeah. So everybody's overlooking and disrespecting two teams in the AFC South if Duval has company for that sort of disrespect. We were talking about the NFC North earlier, and you think you're talking about the Green Bay could be in the right. It's not their division. It's the Bears division. The Bears are going to win the NFC North. I'm going to push back on that and say, yeah, with three to go, they've got the half game lead. I see you. This episode is brought to you by Google Chrome. You think you know a browser, but Gemini and Chrome, that's new.

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24:21Rich Eisen:Home for the Lions. If they win the NFC North, they will have earned it. They will have earned it. their defense is just stupendous it's been terrific Dennis Allen is the DC there yep um you know when you bring in your offensive guru head coach and you get rid of the head coach who's also the defensive side of the football guy and Matt Eberflus who you know Bears fans I know always kind of push back whenever Eberflus is mentioned in a positive light but Eberflus is a darn good defensive coach. All right. The Cowboys defense got lit up by JJ McCarthy last night. It did. Quinn and Williams went out.

25:05Rich Eisen:They're still, listen, I think they showed in that three game winning stretch that they have some ability and I don't, I'm not placing it on Eberflus' feet. And I'm sorry to keep mentioning that guy's name when the bears are brought up here as a possible NFC North champion. and that Ben Johnson did just come up with a 10-win season in his first year as head coach. The last guy to do that for the Bears was Matt Nagy. So it's been a while since the Bears have seen this, but they've got the Packers coming in this week. Yeah, who are stumbling a little bit. Now no Micah. I understand. Christian Watson might be hurt again.

25:50Rich Eisen:And if they, let's just say this, if they don't win it, they could still win the division because they're only a half game behind Green Bay, having been swept by them. And that tie for Green Bay removes their ability to put that tiebreaker on the table and eliminate Chicago. So even if Chicago loses this game, they would need to be just one game better than Green Bay the rest of the way, and Green Bay is home for Baltimore and at Minnesota to finish the season. So even if they lose this game, they could still win the NFC North. But at San Francisco, if Chicago drops this one, you put up the NFC standings.

26:31Rich Eisen:And I know that they are in first place in the NFC North and second overall. But that final two games could be a big, big tumble. Because they could fall right out of the playoffs. Because the Lions have that tie break on them from week two. And if the Bears lose out to go 10-7, the Lions can finish up and beat them. Because Detroit as well, I'm just talking real stuff here. Detroit's got Pittsburgh at home, at Minnesota, at Chicago. And the way they were playing midway through that game against the Rams, they looked tremendous. But I think we're going to find out at the end of the day, Detroit once again has lost too many people on defense.

27:21Rich Eisen:I don't know what they have to do to sort of break that injury curse on that side of the football. But long story short is it looks good for the Bears, but their final three are really tough. They will have earned it. That week 17 Monday night football game to finish up the Monday night season, San Francisco hosting Chicago is monumental because San Francisco still has a shot at the one seed to somebody in their division is going to have the same record as them at the end of the week. If San Francisco goes into Indianapolis and beats Philip Rivers. Unreal. Unreal. So so much is wide open in the NFC right now.

28:11Rich Eisen:including the north including the conference including the west including the south the nfc east is really the only thing that's a wrap right but eagles fans should be on their ledge because of the way they played for the previous month get out of here i'm gonna die on that hill too pal it's fine they're gonna win the division probably but they'll lose to the five seed who will be an nfc west they're not gonna be a five seed they're not gonna be four the eagles won't before this four seasons, whoever wins the South, that division. All right. I have solution for that at the end. Hold on a second.

28:44Okay. Let's talk West rich. Just to skip ahead and look ahead to Thursday night, this Ram Seahawks game is going to be an absolute slobber knocker. Winner of that is going to be the one seat in the NFC. I think that's an easy thing to say. Yeah.

28:59Rich Eisen:Easy. Yeah. Cause the winner of it's going to have 12 wins, you know, the Niners and by the way, nine of the Niners finished the season home for Seattle. So if Seattle wins this one, San Francisco stays right behind them. Don't forget that's how the season began with Brock Purdy and that injured toe finding Jake Tonjes in the end zone to beat Seattle. So they could wind up being the one seed also. That's the only thing that I think can catch them. I don't know if the Bears are going to win so much over those final three who just established how difficult that stretch is for them. So I think the winner of the NFC West is going to be the one seed.

29:38Rich Eisen:And obviously, whoever wins this game to kick off week 16 has a better chance of doing that than the Niners, who are a game behind them. Don't forget the Rams and the Niners split. So if I'm the Niners, I'm rooting for Seattle to win this game. They stay one game right behind them. And they stay one game right behind them the rest of the way and beat Seattle. Either way, Seattle is going to be in a situation, Sam Darnold looks like he's going to be in a situation where he's either the one seed or he's the five seed. Just like last year? Just like last year. Except this time, the four seed is not going to be somebody like the Rams.

30:15It's going to be a team like the Bucs or the Panthers,

30:18Rich Eisen:who I think somebody could go west to east and take care of. But I will just say this is an overreaction because the Niners are still sitting there. And if the Seahawks, I just gave you the scenario under which the Niners could be the one seed and the winner of the NFC West and the one seed at the end of the day, which would be unbelievable. Because the Niners, again, they're at Indianapolis. They're home for Chicago. They win those two games. And if Seattle beats the Rams, they could stay right behind Seattle, which is in Carolina in week 17, a big game for both. I mean, the Niners could have a real shot at winning the division and the one seed.

30:56Rich Eisen:If Seattle wins this, it's better off for them because they don't have the tie break on the Rams to put on the table at the end of the day. And the Rams at the end of the day, after this Thursday night game, are at Atlanta and home for Arizona. No bueno for the Niners to capture them. So if the Rams have, like I've just talked myself. If the Rams win this, then this is not an overreaction. If Seattle wins this, the Niners have a good shot to just upset, just ruin the buffet at the last second. So we don't know the extent of Devontae Adams' hamstring injury. I think it's you could – I was there, and I saw it.

31:34Rich Eisen:I'm obviously not in the MRI machine with him, but I turned to Cooper. It worked pretty bad. And I'm like, you won't see him to the playoffs. Yeah. You know what I mean? Like somebody who's on the north side of 30 going right down like that. Hamstrings, as you know, take a long time to figure it out. The Rams punched their ticket to the playoffs by beating the Lions, so they're in. just don't know what their status as in is going to be. And they have enough weapons to basically tell Devante Adams, Hey man, just chill. Just chill. And if they keep winning, they got the one seed too. They can give them an extra week off on that front too.

32:09Rich Eisen:And have a full month of rest, rehab, relaxation, come out and be full strength division round of the playoffs. That's the way that one looked to me, unless they come out of the old MRI machine and it's something that is less significant. And Puka took some big hits too, man. He did, but he came back in the game. Yeah. What else you got over there? Any concerns with Seattle, just the way they barely escaped? Here, I'll give you the one stat on that front. Okay. And before we get to the last two topics. Then we'll get to the last two topics here. I'll give you the one stat on it. This is what is concerning to me because this is the difference between settling for field goals or not.

32:46Rich Eisen:We all know that was their problem in losing to the Rams is they settled for too many field goals. This is also the way that you lose playoff games. They went two for 13 on third down against the Colts. Seattle has the three lowest third down conversion rates of any team in a win in 2025. The three wins with a third down conversion rate under 20 % in 2025 is leading the NFL. The rest of the NFL has four such wins. Jeez. Okay? and they're tied with the 2024 Dolphins. You don't want to be tied with them. And the 2010 Ravens for most such wins in a season since 2000. And that's it. Obviously, they've got terrific defense.

33:30Rich Eisen:They have a quarterback who can wing it when he's protected. And they got a guy who can catch it in Jackson Smith and Jig, but they got running backs. They got some other tight ends and wide receivers that just probably aren't on your fantasy team. We're sitting on a waiver wire. But third down conversions. If they can't stay on the field, that's a problem when you're in win or go home games. So that's the one stat that would concern me. All right, last two. Let's talk about the other big story from that game in Seattle. Phillip Rivers, man, it was good. He almost did it. He threw a touchdown pass.

34:04He really managed the game really well. And I think he's going to be in the NFL in 2026. I knew that would be a topic here.

34:12Rich Eisen:I don't know about that, pal. I mean, maybe, well, he'll stick around in case Daniel Jones isn't ready to start the season. I think Daniel Jones probably won't be ready to start the season. And do you really trust if it's a spring training, if it's a training camp quarterback battle between Rivers and Anthony Richardson, who are you picking?

34:40Rich Eisen:i'm however assuming by this title this this uh topic bar here is you're saying that it may not be with the colts you think another like he would stick around bounce around with another team i'm sure i doubt that i'm sure it's going to be the colts but i don't want to lock it lock it in but i mean part of the reason why he did this is because he and stein can go way back buddies he's He's running their offense at his high school. Exactly. So, you know, his high school players told Ian Rappaport that they would be running the plays in the film that he would show the team, Rivers. We're the Colts.

35:17Rich Eisen:So, I want to say, yeah, man, you're right. There's three more weeks in this carriage ride. Did he look a little round out there? Yeah, sure. Oh, come on, though, man. But he took care of himself. Yeah, you can get that weight off. It's funny, you know, we were watching the game on my phone at SoFi Stadium, you know, because there were massive games going on. There was Lions Rams game. The afternoon slate was incredible. So we're watching the game, and somebody says, how's Phillip Rivers doing? It was the third quarter. I said, well, he's alive, and he has the lead. And those are the two things about Phillip Rivers that were clearly needed to be box checked yesterday.

35:58Rich Eisen:Right? It was 13-3. For it to be a good day for him. Come out alive, win the game. And he checked the most important box on that front. And almost checked the second one. That's right. All right. So, yeah, that was great. And his message after the game saying, I wanted to show kids, my kids, any kids out there that you should try. Go for it in this world. Don't be afraid of what might go negative, what might go wrong. Think about, like, just shoot. Go for it. I love it. I love his message. I love his essence. I love his play. I love all of it. And she looked like he could take care of himself.

36:33Rich Eisen:Get rid of it. Neck up abilities. He's deciphering the defense. He gave the Colts the chance to win. They definitely wouldn't have had if they just went into this week without him. So, but back in the NFL in 2026, I will just call this an overreaction. Chris. All right. What do you got to finish up here? All right, let's finish up. I'm watching the Panthers and Saints game. First off, this isn't the topic, but it does seem like Tyler Shuck can play. Yes. And I'm thinking about nobody really wants to win this division. And then we got to watch the Steelers tonight and how, you know, the Ravens.

37:12It's time to get rid of divisions for playoffs. Make it the top seven. And that's that.

37:17Rich Eisen:That's just stupid. Come on, man. Divisions have got to. You want to make this the NBA where you don't even know who's in what division anymore? I want the top seven based on record and tiebreakers. When you look at the NBA standings, when was the last time you looked at it in a division-by-division breakdown? Never. Ever again. Anymore. And these division games matter. You can tell that they matter. You can tell that they're tougher to win on the road. You can tell that it is truly throw the records out. And that is a thing that is 100 % slowly but surely a fingerprint that is 100 % an NFL fingerprint.

38:00Rich Eisen:Take a look at baseball now with the interleague play. You can't even tell anymore he's in what league. Yeah, but the best teams make the playoffs. Don't you want the 14 best teams? Well, who's not making the playoffs this year that deserves to be in? You think the playoffs will be, the Lions may not make the playoffs or the Bears. You just said it. Do you think they're not a better team than whoever wins the South? But the South is 100%. I guess I hear you on that front. It's tough for me to push back on it, but I don't think the answer is to just get rid of divisions. That stinks, man. You might want to realign them a little bit.

38:47Rich Eisen:I don't know, but I don't think you should touch this golden goose that is laying eggs that are more valuable than gold. Like we're undervaluing, I say this all the time, we're undervaluing the eggs by calling them just gold. There's more valuable precious metals. Still have the divisions, still set up the schedule in that way, but when it comes to the playoffs, top seven in each conference. Don't touch it, man. Don't touch it. let's just call it the NFL's version of college football teams being snubbed because people sit in a room and whiff on who should make it and who should not. You know, it's just an egg you got to crack to make the omelet.

39:31Rich Eisen:And then you need to be better to win your division. You need to be better to make the playoffs if you're going to lose out to a team that, you know, and then one year you're like, why is this team even making the playoffs? And then Marshawn Lynch goes on a beast quake run and eliminates a Drew breeze quarterback, Sean Payton coach saints team. You know what I mean? Saying man, this is an overreaction. Yeah. 10 win lions or bears teams when he left at home. So we could watch the Panthers or bucks. Come on. Potentially win a playoff game. Potentially. Let's see how it plays out. Let's put a pin in this one.

40:06Rich Eisen:All right. Good stuff, Christopher. Great to see you, buddy. All right. That'll wrap it up for this edition of the rich Eisen show beckons. okay so that wraps up this show we got to head over there and shoot that show do that show we'll do we're gonna do it live don't threaten me with a good time very good um no guests on a monday as always but frank caliendo's coming in studio on tuesday for some laughs we got a great guest list for one and all thanks for taking in this edition of overreaction monday for chris i'm rich peace out

40:45turn it up storm has zero sugar and 200 milligrams of caffeine so you can turn that workout up a notch good energy in good energy out energy for life

From the publisher

A weekly staple on 'The Rich Eisen Show' since 2018, 'Overreaction Monday' is now also an extended podcast with Rich and Chris Brockman debating the latest in the NFL. Today's topics: 

:45 - Sunday was the best game of Bo Nix's career, and the Broncos will be in the AFC Championship Game

5:30 - The Packers' Super Bowl chances ended with Micah Parsons' knee injury

9:30 - Andy Reid will not be the head coach the next time the Chiefs make the playoffs

14:19 - The Patriots will be 1-and-done in the playoffs

18:30 - The Jaguars are the team nobody wants to play come January

21:45 - The Bears are winning the NFC North

26:35 - The winner of Thursday Night Football's Rams vs Seahawks game will be the #1 seed in the NFC

31:45 - Philip Rivers will be in the NFL in 2026

34:45 - It's time to get rid of divisions for playoffs... the top seven make it and that's that!
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