In short
Whether Trevor Lawrence, Bryce Young, and Daniel Jones are actually good, given mixed performances and playoff relevance.
Guests
Billy Gill (Ringer NFL; new to the show). Host: Sheil Kapadia.
Guest backgrounds
Gill is a Ringer writer/producer (also referenced as working with Ringer Fantasy). No playing career details given in transcript.
Key claims
- Trevor Lawrence: “No” on him right now—mistake-prone, inaccurate, “bloopers,” chaotic negative plays; only one memorable highlight (tripping, scoring vs Chiefs). Coach/supporting cast not enough to explain issues.
- Bryce Young: “Soft spot” and rooting for him; needs better situation (notably rookie WR Thielen/McMillan mentioned). Believed he can be a “normal” QB; statistically unlikely to be top-10, but hopes for a breakout.
- Daniel Jones: “Worried” after 10-game stretch—possible “Sam Darnold of the year” turnaround that fades; hardest remaining defensive schedule; PFF turnover-worthy play rate suggests bounces may stop.
Notable examples
- Lawrence: late-game fumble/incompletion vs Chargers; Chiefs birthday win; “cakes in the house” quote.
- Young: Panthers 6-5, plus-370 odds; career game breaking Cam Newton passing records; questioned pre-draft due to small stature photo.
- Jones: 8-2 this season after 2-8 last year; wins vs Dolphins/Broncos/Titans/Raiders/etc.; losses to Rams/Steelers; upcoming Chiefs/Texans/Jaguars/Seahawks/49ers.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VODiscussion on Trevor Lawrence's Performance
2:06 to 2:36
Hosts dive into the ongoing debate about Trevor Lawrence's abilities as a quarterback.
“Billy, first of all, let me formally say welcome to the Ringer.”
Evaluating Trevor Lawrence and Bryce Young
2:39 to 11:12
The hosts discuss the strengths and weaknesses of Trevor Lawrence and then transition to Bryce Young's performance.
“You can watch a highlight reel of like 12 plays and you're like, huh, they look awesome.”
Discussion on Bryce Young's Potential
11:14 to 14:00
The conversation continues with an analysis of Bryce Young's capabilities and public perception.
“And, you know, it's kind of like if you were ever in a relationship or had a friend in a relationship where it's like there's nothing wrong with the other person.”
Discussing the Normality of QBs
14:00 to 21:44
The hosts explore the concept of what makes a quarterback a 'normal guy' versus a 'fraud.'
“Whereas if you said that for almost any other quarterback, hey, this guy's coming, you'd be like, oh God, you know, that guy was terrible.”
Transition to Ad Break
21:56 to 23:51
The hosts signal a break before discussing another quarterback.
“Give great jeans this holiday season with American Eagle.”
Analyzing Daniel Jones' Performance
24:00 to 28:00
The hosts assess Daniel Jones' current performance and future prospects.
“Probably my favorite detour since we started doing the Ringer NFL show, quite honestly.”
Comparing Quarterbacks: Lawrence, Jones, and Love
28:00 to 30:05
Explore the similarities between Trevor Lawrence, Daniel Jones, and Jordan Love as quarterbacks at similar career stages.
“And maybe he's not going to end the season on a high note.”
Show Wrap-Up and Guest Reflection
30:05 to 30:24
Reflect on the discussion with guest Billy Gill and the decision to forego the closing segment due to an engaging conversation.
“We're bagging the hurry up today because we were having too good of a time, too good conversation.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Ooh, welcome to the Ringer NFL show. I'm your host, Sheil Kapadia. Today we are asking the simple question, are they good? Are they good as it pertains to three quarterbacks who are relevant this season? Trevor Lawrence, Bryce Young, and Daniel Jones. They're all in the playoff mix yet. They're all kind of polarizing. Are we sure they're the reason for their team success this year? Do we feel like they have high ceilings? What's it going to look like at the end of the year? We're going to talk about all of that with our new friend from the Ringer, Billy Gill. This one went in a bunch of different directions.
0:32Was a lot of fun. Let's take a break. We come back and we talk about those three quarterbacks. This is the Ringer NFL show presented by FanDuel, the best place to bet the NFL all season long. FanDuel's got it all. Same game parlays, quick bets for jumping in live and your way so you can build the bet that fits your play. And Missouri, get excited because FanDuel is coming your way December 1st. Download thefanduel.com slash RingerNFL to get started. Must be 21 plus and present in select states and 18 plus in DC, Kentucky, and Wyoming. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit rg-help.com. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Connecticut.
1:23I sold my car in Carvana last night. Well, that's cool. No, you don't understand. It went perfectly. Real offer, down to the penny. They're picking it up tomorrow. Nothing went wrong. So, what's the problem? That is the problem. Nothing in my life goes to smoothie. I'm waiting for the catch. Maybe there's no catch. That's exactly what a catch would want me to think. Wow, you need to relax. I need to knock on wood. Do we have wood? Is this table wood? I think it's laminate. Okay, yeah, that's good. That's close enough. Car selling without a catch. Sell your car today on Carvana. Pick up fees may apply.
2:05All right, we are back on the Ringer NFL show with Billy Gill. We're talking quarterbacks. Are they good is the basic premise. Billy, first of all, let me formally say welcome to the Ringer.
2:17Sheil Kapadia:Thank you. Thanks for having me. Thanks for being so welcoming both on and off air. as I'm kind of like starting this new adventure here. It's exciting. I heard you with Bill telling the story about the Tua jersey and the Chris Sims jersey so everybody can go back and listen to that. But we were trying to decide, you know, hey, what should we talk about today? And you guys were talking about some quarterbacks. You can watch a highlight reel of like 12 plays and you're like, huh, they look awesome. And then you watch a full game and you're like, I don't think they're good at all. So we're trying to identify some of these guys where opinions vary.
2:49are they good? Are they not good? And the guy who we felt like we have to talk about today is Trevor Lawrence. And all these guys are, you know, relevant this season. They all have a chance to make the playoffs. They're all relevant here down the stretch, but Trevor Lawrence is a very polarizing quarterback. I feel Billy. So, um, where are you on? Is he good? Is he not good? Where are we with this guy?
3:11Sheil Kapadia:It's a good question. He's a, he's a mystery. And I feel like this is a good week to be doing? Is he good? Is he not good? Because next week is all about, you know, Thanksgiving. What are we grateful for? What are we thankful for? And you kind of say like overly nice things about everyone where now this is like the good time to maybe sneak in like the backhanded compliments or the, Hey, is this person actually good at their job or not? And by next week, people will forget about it. And then we're not kind of being insensitive or inappropriate or whatever. So Trevor Lawrence, Hmm. Here's the thing about Trevor Lawrence, as I've kind of like experienced it.
3:44Sheil Kapadia:I feel like this is not the first time we have this conversation with Trevor Lawrence. I feel like in his five seasons that he's been in the NFL, this is probably the fourth time that we've had this conversation about Trevor Lawrence. I think that's right. It's ongoing. It's absolutely ongoing. And you're like, well, is it the coach? Is it the supporting cast? And he had the one good year in 2022 where you just felt like, hey, the arrow's pointing up. It's only going to go up from here and it hasn't really gone up from there. So I am probably in the camp of, I don't think so. You know, I wouldn't be like, I'm in on him.
4:18Like, let me give you his defense. I just feel like sometimes watching him, it feels like a blooper reel. You know, I don't, I, you're younger than me. So I don't know if you remember it, like it would be a baseball rain delay or something. You remember those, right?
4:31Sheil Kapadia:Yeah. Like this week in baseball would have like the bloopers. I remember there was like a famous one. Do you remember VHS is, I know I'm probably not sounding like I'm older than you. I remember. Yeah. Yeah. But like the VHS is that you would get. And then like at the end of like the, you know, major league baseball productions, VHS from like 1994 or whatever, they'd have like blooper reels and it'd be like, Oh, look, here's like a ball bouncing off someone's head. Or here's, you know, I remember one of my favorite bloopers was a grounds crew where they completely like messed up putting the tarp out on the field.
5:00Sheil Kapadia:Then the air gets underneath it. Then they had to go back out to the outfield. They cover the outfield. Outfield's dried. By the time they finally cover the infield completely, it's a puddle. Then it stops raining. Oh, blooper reels. I miss them. That's what society is missing these days is blooper reels, Sheel. I agree. Not only do I remember those, if I went to my parents' house right now, they've still got the bookshelf with some of their son's old VHSs. And we definitely have some baseball bloopers on there. I'll take a picture next time I'm there and send it to you. Well, do you remember also like when DVDs first came out?
5:31Sheil Kapadia:Like DVDs did not want to get rid of the blooper reels either. Like you'd have like the movies and then there was always like the extra section in the movies. So exciting. And then there was always like the extended scenes, the deleted scenes. And then there was like the bloopers and you're like, Oh man, then you start wondering, like being a cynical person, like, is this actually a blooper? Is this like, they were just doing this to kind of fill out the blooper reel? Yeah. No, I'm with you that we've, we've all had those questions. And so Trevor Lawrence is the blooper reel quarterback. back.
5:59And I don't think he's doing it, uh, on purpose where you just watch him. Even you watch him last week, you know, they blow out the chargers, but you watch that game. There's an interception like the last one of the last plays is like a fourth down and he's like trying to, they're up by like 30 points or whatever it is. And he's like scrambling and tries to throw it and they're like fumble. No, it's incomplete. But there are too many of those plays with Trevor Lawrence where I feel like he's, he's all, even the, his best play of the season, you know, Again, not his best play, but his most memorable against the Chiefs.
6:28He literally tripped, picked up the ball, ran it into the end zone, and that could be the play that puts them in the playoffs. So I guess that's my way of saying I don't really trust him. I don't think he's the most accurate quarterback. I think he's mistake-prone. I know he still has the tools. I think there could be a year down the road where he's in a great situation and you say, hey, his numbers look great. He's made the leap, and we think about him differently. but right now I'm not I may I think I'm a no on Trevor Lawrence what do we think it is about him
6:58Sheil Kapadia:though right because he came in and he was supposed to be the next Andrew Luck essentially right which Andrew Luck just obviously because of the injuries his career ended earlier and like he was he didn't live up to what everyone thought he would be just because of the fact that he couldn't stay healthy but Trevor Lawrence he doesn't exactly have those issues in terms of like why things aren't working like you can look at him and you could say he hasn't really had the weapons over the years. His best receivers have been, you know, Christian Kirk and Zay Jones and Calvin Ridley. And, you know, now he has Brian Thomas Jr., but he doesn't have the best weapons, but he doesn't have the worst weapons.
7:35Sheil Kapadia:And like, if he's that guy, that generational talent that's supposed to take you to the next level, he should make some of these guys, you know, pro bowl caliber receivers, I would think. Yeah, I agree with that. Especially this year, Liam Cohen is his coach. And last year, like Liam Cohen was great with Baker Mayfield. And this Jaguars offense is nowhere nearly as good as last year's Bucs offense. So I, yeah, I think he misses a lot of throws, you know, that's backed up by the numbers that's backed up by just watching him on a Sunday. And then I do think it's the negative plays, you know, it's, it's not necessarily sacks, but it's just like, Oh, you know, what was he thinking there?
8:11Uh, type things where everything feels chaotic with Trevor Lawrence and you catch him on the right possession or the right quarter or the right game. And you're like, this guy's got it. But then you watch the full game. You know, the one thing with Lawrence, I can't get out of my head from this year. So they beat the chiefs. If you remember that primetime game, a big win for them. And it was his birthday. Do you remember that? Like the big thing was like, Oh, what a nice win on his birthday. And they interviewed him afterwards, Billy. And they asked him like, all right, now you get to like go home and have some cake.
8:42And I actually looked this up on YouTube, but this was my pod prep today. Cause I was like, did I remember that correctly? Cause I remember that being weird, his response. And his response was, yeah, we've got a lot of cakes in the house. So there will be plenty to choose from. And I remember watching that at the time and rewatching it thinking, this is what an alien would say if they're trying to fit in and be like, yes, birthday celebration, a lot of cakes in the house. Am I the only one who we do one cake? he's doing a lot of cakes in the house what's going on yes normal humans eat cake i will be
9:14Sheil Kapadia:eating cake for my birthday um do you think that maybe do you remember a couple years ago when justin herbert shaved his head and you said you know what this guy means business now do you think that maybe this is a situation because like as far back as i can remember in clemson he had it i think he came out of cartersville georgia he's like the pride of cartersville i'm assuming that his hair was long back then too. You don't just grow that wonderful hair. Do we think that maybe if he changes up his look a little bit, maybe his attitude that this will change things for him? This is our friend Danny Heifetz from the Ringer Fantasy.
9:46This is his theory. I mean, I've heard him say it a million times. I'm not fully there on board, but I would like to see it for content's sake. Just he shows up one day, short hair, buzz. Now, having all said this, you know, we've been kind of, like you said, we're doing, I do like this tradition. Let's make this a tradition, Billy. We talk every year, the week before Thanksgiving and we're just kind of backhand complimenting some guys because I do think we have the start of something special here. They are in the playoffs. If the playoffs started today, they're six and four. They've got the fourth easiest remaining schedule.
10:16They're minus 188 to make the playoffs. So it would require like some kind of choke job. I mean, they've got the Titans twice. They've got the Jets. If they win just those games, they've got nine wins. If they win one more, they've got 10. And I think 10 gets you in in the AFC. So maybe Trevor Lawrence goes on a heater here. The rest of the way, we revisit this in January, February, and we do a me a couple.
10:42Sheil Kapadia:Well, we'll see. If I were a betting man, I would say we will not be having that conversation at the end of the season. But maybe, I think the frustrating thing about him too, right, is that he's in the AFC South, which is such a winnable division for the years that he's been in there. There's no reason that he can't go out there and dominate if he's actually what we thought he was. And I think this probably might be our fault to a certain extent where we just thought he was going to be so much better than he is. He's not bad. He's definitely a starting quarterback in the league. But when you come in and it's like, this is the next coming, this is the Messiah, this is going to be the next big thing.
11:18Sheil Kapadia:It's a hard standard to live up to. And he just hasn't at this point. Yeah, I agree. Competent. And, you know, it's kind of like if you were ever in a relationship or had a friend in a relationship where it's like there's nothing wrong with the other person. You know, they're not like cheating on them or doing anything egregious. But you're kind of like, I feel like they could do better, you know, but until something happens, you're not going to move on there. So, yeah, I think that's the category I would put Trevor Lawrence in. All right, let's get to the next guy, Billy. Next guy on our list, Bryce Young, who was awesome last week against the Atlanta Falcons.
11:52I feel like no one is acknowledging that the Panthers are six and five. They're one game out of a playoff spot here in the NFC South. Yet you look at the odds, they're plus 370. So I would think that speaks to maybe a lack of belief from the betting public in Bryce Young. So Bryce Young now with Dave Canales got the wide receiver McMillan this year. Is Bryce Young good? Where are you with Bryce Young?
12:16Sheil Kapadia:Okay, so you mentioned Tett McMillan, which was a good move by them, obviously, because prior to this, his only weapon essentially was Adam Thielen, right? I have a soft spot for Bryce Young. I don't know what it is. I don't know why I want him to succeed. I feel like there was all the hype around him. And if we're going to be honest, and people may not remember this, but I'm sure you will remember this. What really had people starting to question him was before he was even drafted. And it was like Super Bowl week, the year that he was going to get drafted. And it wasn't anything that he did. And it wasn't anything that he said.
12:48Sheil Kapadia:It was simply a picture that came out on social media where he was just being a nice guy. And he took a picture with Mina Kimes. And a lot of people saw this picture with Mina Kimes. And they said, oh my gosh, Bryce Young is tiny. He is not that big. I don't know that this guy should be the number one pick in the draft. Yes, I do remember that. And I think you're right. I think Mina has talked about that before. But when you said you had a soft spot, like when I was doing notes and press, I have a soft spot too. And I was trying to think of why do I have a soft spot? So here are some of the...
13:21One is a little guy. You always root for the little guy, right? So that's easy. He's like the underdog. Oh my gosh. He can't control it. Yeah, he can't control it. He didn't choose to be this small. So you got that. I think he's a handsome guy. You know, there's something about each other. Yeah, nice smile. And then here's what I actually think it is. Quarterbacks are among the weirdest people in professional sports. You cannot find a normal quarterback. I feel like Bryce Young has a chance to be a normal quarterback. Like if you were just, if your friend called you up and was like, hey, yeah, we're doing this, you know, guy's trip this weekend.
13:53Bryce Young's going to come along. I bet you would come back from that thing being like, man, Bryce, I'm such a Bryce Young fan. Whereas if you said that for almost any other quarterback, hey, this guy's coming, you'd be like, oh God, you know, that guy was terrible. So that's why I think you and I have a soft spot for Bryce Young.
14:10Sheil Kapadia:You know who I think is the exception to that rule just because like he's great is I feel like Josh Allen is a normal guy. And I could be wrong about that. Oh, wow. I don't know. Oh, you think it's a put on? Okay. No, I do think he seems like he would be a nice guy. But come on. He's like so famous. He's married to an actress and he's like a freak show athlete. I think you have to have some dings on you to be a normal guy. Like he's living too high a life for me to come back and be like, oh, that, you know. But I do agree with you. He knows how to at least, I feel like. Present a normal guy. Present as a normal guy.
14:43I would agree with that.
14:44Sheil Kapadia:Okay, so we're going to put this now out there for the public to see. Josh Allen fraud, according to you, is what you're saying. Just public fraud. He's not a nice guy. All that stuff he does with pediatric cancer, it's all to put on just to be accepted as a nice guy. Nice guy, yes. Normal, I said. Okay, fine. Normal versus nice. Normal. I actually think Darnold would be on my podium for normal guy quarterback. Really? Yeah. You don't think so? Normal guy. Seems like a likable guy. Now, does it have to be a starter when we're talking about normal guys? Yeah, I mean, come on, the backups. Their own careers are built on being normal.
15:20Sheil Kapadia:Yeah. So you don't have like a Jay Cutler type as a normal guy. Well, I would say I think I would come back with some stories going on the guy's trip with Jay Cutler. I think that a trip with Jay Cutler involves stories that you can't or wouldn't want to repeat because you're like, I don't want to be implicated in any of what happened this past weekend. I definitely not on a microphone. I would agree with that. That wouldn't be grounds for a podcast. So, all right. So Bryce Young, I say normal guy. We both say we're rooting for him. Well, he also lost his job last year, right? Like they made the decision after they drafted him with the number one pick.
15:58Sheil Kapadia:You know what? We're moving on. And the solution to this problem is Andy Dalton, which is like rarely the solution to the problem at this stage in his career. Right. And a lot of people wrote him off. They're like, you know what? This guy's career is over. He just couldn't get it done the first season. Second season, he was struggling. This guy's just not an NFL starter. And it seemed like that was it. If he wanted to get another starting gig, he was going to have to go and do like the Darnold route or the Baker route where he's going to have to bounce around from team to team. He's going to have to put in his reps, hope that there was an opportunity with an injury.
16:29Sheil Kapadia:And then maybe two years down the road, he catches on somewhere. And then sure enough, Andy Dalton gets in a car accident, hurts his hand. He's right back out there. And he's having a great season. Oh, by his standards, he's having a good season. He's having probably the best season that he's had so far. He had a career game. He broke Cam Newton's franchise passing records for the Panthers. Like, I'll tell you one thing. That's one thing they're never going to take away from him. Like it or not, right now, Carolina Panthers, Bryce Young is your career leader in single game passing yards. That's great.
17:02And you know what? It was beautiful. That's why I can't quit him because of that game. I watched that game and I'm like, he's got it. He's accurate. He's moving in the pocket. And this isn't the best supporting cast aside from McMillan. So listen, if you look at it statistically, the chances of him being like an actual guy, like a top 10 guy are very slim. I'm holding out hope that he's a guy where we say, hey, right situation, you know, good offensive line, add a couple more wide receivers where he can at least have one of those seasons where you're like, Bryce Young's having a moment right now.
17:34So I think we're on board. We want to see it happen.
17:36Sheil Kapadia:Can I ask you an etiquette question real quick? Because we mentioned Mina earlier. So I had a conversation with Mina last week and I'm wondering what you do here. And the basis of the conversation, I'm friendly with Mina. I wouldn't say we're best friends or we text all the time or talk all the time. So I was talking to her because I was in Minnesota at Mall of America. And Mina on the show that I used to work for when the Super Bowl was in Mall of America, we got her to do a number of things. And one of the things that we got her to do was go on the zip line at Mall of America and give us her game prediction while she was going down the zip line.
18:13And she, somewhat beknownst to us,
18:16Sheil Kapadia:but not completely unbeknownst to us, was terrified of heights and is not exact. I know you see Mina and you're probably like, that's a thrill seeker. Turns out, not the case. So she was horrified at the idea of this situation, right? So she goes down the zip line at Mall of America. She gives us her Super Bowl prediction. And for whatever reason, that has always stuck out in my head, even though that Super Bowl was like in 2018 or 2019, right? So I'm walking around the Mall of America. I see the zip line. So I take a picture and I send it to her. She's like, oh, you're Mall of America? I was like, yeah, I'm here because I'm doing this thing for work.
18:47Sheil Kapadia:Zach Lowe's in town. So we're going to do this. And then she tells me, say hello to Zach Lowe for me. Now, here's the etiquette question that I have for you. How would you handle that situation? And I'll tell you how I handled the situation. I am anti say hello to someone for me. especially I would imagine that she has Zach Lowe's contact information, right? So if she wants to say hello, check in on Zach Lowe, then I feel like she should do it directly. Now she's putting you in a tough spot. You just started at the ringer. I assume you're just getting to know Zach Lowe. You're trying to build a relationship on your own.
Read the full transcript
19:24And now it almost looks like you're trying to be a bit, Oh, Mina, my friend, Mina Kime says, hello, you know, now you're acting all hoity-toity. So yeah, I don't like that.
19:32Sheil Kapadia:All hoity-toity or I do what I just did with you where like, I wasn't even comfortable like speaking on our relationship, saying we were friends. So then I'm talking to Zach Lowe and I'm boring him with stories about malls and zip lines. And he's like, who the hell is this guy? So this is what I did when I was interacting with Zach Lowe. Cause again, you know, I'm new to the company. These are my first interaction with him. He's been very pleasant in the interactions that I've had. I did not mention it. And I felt like it was the right thing to do not to come in and say, Hey, Mina Kimes says hello.
19:59Sheil Kapadia:Cause it could on the positive column be a good icebreaker. Like, Hey, we know some of the same people, but I said, you know what? I'm not going to bother him with this because then he could also think the other way. Well, why hasn't Mina been talking to me? Where's Mina been? Why hasn't she reached out? She can't say hello herself. Yeah, exactly. And then it's like, wow, big shot Mina Kimes won't even talk to me anymore. We used to be closer than we are. And now in something that was intended to be a nice gesture has now fractured a relationship. And I can't have that on my conscience. And now you're involved because you were the middleman.
20:32Now I'm involved. Because you had agency there. If you would have read the situation properly, it doesn't get to that point. So I think you made the right call. By the way, Billy, Mina Ka, I'm scheduled to be on the show this week. So we might have to, I don't know if it's a social breakout or what, but I am going to have to get her take on the situation.
20:48Sheil Kapadia:I didn't tell her that I didn't say hello either. That's kind of where the conversation ended. I think I may have, and I could be wrong. I either did like a will do or like a thumbs up. And then the conversation ended right after that. So I kind of felt like, okay, now I don't have exactly the responsibility here to do it. But I have definitely not updated her on whether or not I did say hello to Zach Lowe. Now, here's another situation. She could be thinking, what if he did say hi to Zach Lowe? Why didn't Zach Lowe say hi back to me? And now, you know what? By Mina's, this was unfair what Mina did to me.
21:21Sheil Kapadia:Because now I'm in the middle of this relationship with them that I had no part in being. Because the other thing would be, let's say you did tell us it's Zach Lowe. And then he, what's he going to say? Tell her I said hello? Yeah. Who are you? You're their butler? Like the old school person who's punching the lines, connecting people, a phone operator. Like what's going on here? Anyway, so Bryce Young. We're for Bryce Young. We're rooting for Bryce Young. All right, let's take a break. We come back and we get to one more. This episode is brought to you by American Eagle. Gift, gift, hooray! Give great jeans this holiday season with American Eagle.
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23:51Call 1-800-545-5979 or visit zepbounce.lily.com. All right, we're back on the Ringer NFL. Probably my favorite detour since we started doing the Ringer NFL show, quite honestly. I was more engaged in that conversation than almost anything I've done here at the Ringer. All due respect to everything, of course, I've done here. Take that, Nick Tice. All right. All right. Okay. All right. Last guy here, Billy, is Daniel Jones. Okay. Daniel Jones. He's having a moment. You know, they got the Chiefs this weekend. You look at any statistic, Daniel Jones is up there. The Colts have the best offense in the NFL.
24:32But I do have to ask you, are we sure after this 10-game stretch that Daniel Jones is good? Where are you with Daniel Jones?
24:39Sheil Kapadia:Okay, so for the audience, for you, for all of us involved, let's remember this is our tradition now, the week before Thanksgiving, where we can say not so nice things. Next week, we will say we're thankful for Daniel Jones. We'll talk about him as comeback player of the year, as potential MVP. All of that can start next week. this week, I'm worried about him. I think, and I could be wrong. I think this may be my Sam Darnold of the year candidate. And what I mean by that is I mean that this could be the guy like Sam Darnold last year, right around this time is when you started looking at Sam Darnold, like this is a totally different guy.
25:15Sheil Kapadia:They found something with him. It was coaching. It was just, they didn't have the right system for him. Look what he can do with weapons. And then comes December and then we started seeing the Sam Darnold of old and then that carries into the playoffs and now that's carried over to this year with Seattle I'm worried that at some point with Daniel Jones we're going to kind of hit that breaking point where we say oh this is kind of who Daniel Jones is because if you look at the games that they've won obviously they have an incredible record they've done great but their win so far this year Dolphins Broncos was an impressive win granted Broncos is pretty much the only impressive win that they had and it was a one point win it was early on they had the Titans they had the Raiders they had the Cardinals the Chargers who we don't really know about the Chargers the Titans and the Falcons last week then the losses that they've had have been the Rams and the Steelers is not a good loss if you're Daniel Jones so I feel like this may be one of those situations where it's been a good start but now the schedule starts getting tough for them because they have the Chiefs they have the Texans twice.
26:19Sheil Kapadia:They have the Jaguars twice, which it could be good for them, right? The Jaguars twice. You have the Seahawks of 49ers. It could be a situation where they get fat on some of these games and they have a great record and then they get to the playoffs and kind of reality sets in. So there are two things to build on what you said there. One is it's the hardest remaining schedule in the NFL, if you look at it. And just if you look at the opposing defenses, like the defenses Daniel Jones has to face, according to DVOA, hardest opposing schedule of defenses remaining for any team. So there is that chance that Daniel Jones turns into a pumpkin.
26:57And then there's some nerd stats. Are you familiar with this turnover-worthy play percentage? Billy, does that get on like the group chats with your buddies? Or do you like to have more of a fun time than talk about stuff like turnover-worthy play percentage?
27:08Sheil Kapadia:Listen, I'm an aspiring smart person, okay? I'm not saying that I am. I'm not saying that my group chats like consist of that. I will say this every year I go and I buy my football almanac and I go through it and I take my notes and I start reading it and I get lost very early on as to what it is that I'm reading. And then I realized, okay, once the season starts, like this is fun for the off season. And then like everything changes once there's injuries and everything starts playing. So I am open to smart football discourse, but I would not classify myself as a leader on that front. Okay. I like that.
27:42Good honesty here. It's just basically counting. If you throw an intercept, if you throw a pass and the guy should have intercepted it, it's in his hands, but he drops it. Let's count that as a play that really could have been a turnover. That's all. Pro football focus does it. Daniel Jones is 28th in this category. So that would suggest that some of the bounces have been going their way. Things are going to get tougher here. And maybe he's not going to end the season on a high note. So I actually had this thought as I was prepping and I looked at, all right, we're doing these quarterbacks. I thought, are Trevor Lawrence and Daniel Jones the same guy?
28:14Is that controversial?
28:16Sheil Kapadia:Okay. I don't think that it is. And this is kind of where there's certain quarterbacks that are right around like this era of their career where there are a lot of similarities, right? So Daniel Jones famously got his big contract extension after one career playoff win, right? So he signs his four-year$160 million deal signed by Joe Shane. Joe Shane is still there, but he is not going to be there for very much longer, I wouldn't think. Brian Dable has already been fired after they got rid of Daniel Jones. But he signs that after one playoff win, right? Who is someone that was in a very similar situation?
28:55Sheil Kapadia:Not someone we've talked about yet. Jordan Love is one that had the same situation where he basically was behind Aaron Rodgers. So like a lot of those first two seasons of Mulligan years, right, where he only started a couple games. He has that one season, that one playoff win. He signs that big extension. Then you start questioning, you know, is Jordan Love the guy or not, which we'll do maybe next year. We'll see how things are going. But Trevor Lawrence is another one who has one playoff win. Then he has a playoff loss. He signs the extension. It's not the very next season, but he signs the extension.
29:26Sheil Kapadia:There's a lot of similarities between the two of them. And granted, it's also like this is the time, you know, in a player's career where you have to make a decision as to whether or not you're going to sign them or not. But they're not that dissimilar. And I feel bad. I feel bad because it's been such a turnaround for Daniel Jones. He's 8-2 this season. Last year, he was 2-8 when they decided to release him. So this is basically like the anniversary of Daniel Jones being freed from the Giants and then making his way over to Minnesota. Not ever sniffing the field because he couldn't get past Sam Darnold.
29:59Sheil Kapadia:But there are similarities there, and I'm worried about Daniel Jones. So there you go. We got through it. Daniel Jones, Bryce Young, Trevor Lawrence. You know what? We're bagging the hurry up today because we were having too good of a time, too good conversation. We don't need to do the closing segment. The hurry up today. We got through all those quarterbacks. It was a blast having Billy Gill on the Ringer NFL show, his debut on the show. Now we're going to have to get him back for some of these follow-ups, see what Mina Kimes has to say. So we'll definitely have him back soon. Tell me and I say hi.
30:29Oh yeah, I will, of course. All right. Thank you to Christopher Sutton for producing Kiara Gibbons on social and additional production supervision by Connor Nevins and Arjuna Ramgopal. I'm Shil Kapadia. We'll talk to you next time on the Ringer NFL Show.
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From the publisher
Sheil and The Ringer’s own Billy Gil take a hard look at some of the QBs around the league who may be on a hot streak now but have flaws that they’ve displayed in the past that could come back to bite their respective teams as we head down the stretch of the season.
(00:00) Are these QBs actually good?(1:34) Trevor Lawrence(11:17) Bryce Young(21:58) Daniel Jones
This episode is brought to you by American Eagle.
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Host: Sheil KapadiaGuest: Billy GilProducer: Chris SuttonSocial: Kiera Givens and Brian WatersProduction Supervision: Conor Nevins and Arjuna Ramgopowell
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