In short
The Town episode “How Larry Ellison’s Trump Bromance Is Helping WarnerMount” focuses on the Paramount–Warner Bros. merger (described as “Warnermount”) and argues that Larry Ellison, Oracle’s founder, is a major driver behind the deal’s political momentum.
Key claims
Ellison made at least $45 million in undisclosed donations to Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign before Skydance pursued Paramount; he later donated more and met Trump multiple times. The episode says Trump and Ellison have a genuine friendship and shared ideological ties (including Israel-related interests and disdain for mainstream media coverage). Notable example: a reported Paramount director call where David Ellison sought to settle a Trump-related lawsuit; Paramount later settled for $16 million.
Guest
Emily Glazer, Pulitzer Prize-winning Wall Street Journal reporter (enterprise/powerful people beat), co-writer of the Ellison story.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOLarry Ellison: The Power Behind the Scenes
2:48 to 5:20
Discussion about Larry Ellison's financial influence and his relationship with Donald Trump.
“All right, we are here with Emily Glazer, who is an enterprise reporter at The Wall Street Journal and a genuine, honest-to-God Pulitzer Prize winner.”
Understanding the Ellison-Trump Relationship
5:20 to 7:35
Insights into the friendship and ideological similarities between Larry Ellison and Donald Trump.
“I mean, you know, there's always the nuances around it, but here I would say Larry is not just the money man, although he obviously has an insane amount of money and the money has helped.”
Larry's Media Ambitions and Political Shifts
7:35 to 9:56
Exploration of Larry Ellison's past political affiliations and current media ambitions.
“what's the deal with Paramount, you better believe that they were on the phone around a lot of the ins and outs and shenanigans as that went down.”
The Psychology Behind the Paramount Deal
9:56 to 14:00
Analyzing whether Larry Ellison's involvement in the Paramount deal is driven by family or strategy.
“So it's not always been a pretty friendship.”
Larry Ellison's Strategic Mind in Media
14:00 to 19:06
Explore Larry Ellison's influential role and strategy in the media landscape.
“combined with what he is building with TikTok now.”
Larry Ellison's Strategic Mind in Media
19:26 to 20:48
Explore Larry Ellison's influential role and strategy in the media landscape.
“Are you looking for support in your weight management journey?”
Larry Ellison's Strategic Mind in Media
20:56 to 21:27
Explore Larry Ellison's influential role and strategy in the media landscape.
“This summer, FanDuel is the best place to bet on goals.”
David Ellison's Involvement with Trump and Paramount
21:27 to 28:00
Delve into David Ellison's connections with Trump and the implications for Paramount.
“some of the additional things that were surprising to me about Larry and David.”
Larry Ellison's Influence on Antitrust Issues
28:00 to 31:02
Explore how Larry Ellison's connections may influence antitrust actions affecting Warner Bros.
“But like the underlying antitrust case is like from everything I've read, like not that strong.”
The State of Superhero Movies
31:02 to 35:46
Discuss the current challenges facing superhero films and the impact of quality on box office performance.
“Big squeaker last weekend with Toy Story.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Matt Belloni:Adobe Firefly is the all-in-one creative studio with AI-powered image and video editing for today's creative process. Built for creators of every kind, Firefly helps you generate, edit, and experiment fast. Because the asks aren't getting smaller, the budgets aren't getting bigger, and the timelines, oh yeah, still tight. With all the best creative AI models in one place, Firefly brings your ideas to life. Unlock a better way to make with Adobe Firefly.
0:34Matt Belloni:This episode of The Town is presented by HBO Max. For your awards consideration, Max presents Hacks, the Emmy award-winning series starring Gene Smart and Hannah Einbinder. In the aftermath of mistaken news reports that Debra passed away, she and Ava returned to Las Vegas determined to secure Debra's legacy as a comedian. Don't miss the series Variety is calling one of TV's best comedies ever. Hacks is streaming on HBO Max. Watch now. It is Friday, June 26th. Throughout the ongoing saga of Paramount buying Warner Brothers, there's been one figure quietly hovering over everything. Larry Ellison.
1:11Matt Belloni:He does no media interviews and is rarely photographed, yet he's been one of the richest men in the world for decades now as the founder of Oracle. Ellison used to make headlines for his extravagant Malibu homes, or buying a Hawaiian island, or bankrolling the Indian Wells Tennis Tournament, America's Cup sailing competition. But these days, at 81 years old, he's in the news mostly because he's helping his son, David, buy two legacy Hollywood studios and roll them up into what the Ellisons hope will be a technology-empowered media megastudio that can credibly take on Netflix, Amazon, Disney, and the others.
1:44Matt Belloni:And to do so, Larry has leaned hard into his relationship with Donald Trump. He's always been a Republican donor, but we learned in the Wall Street Journal this week that just before David's Skydance Media went after Paramount, Larry quietly made more than$45 million in donations to Trump's election campaign. He's donated more since, and he's also cultivated a close friendship with the fellow octogenarian billionaire who seems to share a political and social worldview with the elder Ellison. So much so that to understand the Trump-Larry relationship is to sort of understand why the president has been such a cheerleader for the Ellisons owning Paramount, and why the Trump Justice Department just gave an okay to the Warnamount merger pretty much sight unseen.
2:27Matt Belloni:I've been curious about the Larry angle, so I asked Emily Glazer to come on the show. She's a Pulitzer Prize-winning reporter at the Wall Street Journal, our second journal reporter this week, sort of a coincidence. She co-wrote that story on Larry Ellison, and she covers powerful people as her beat. So today, it's the Larry angle on the Warnermount merger and the personal relationship behind the biggest deal in Hollywood history. From The Ringer and Puck, I'm Matt Bellany, and this is The Town.
2:55Matt Belloni:All right, we are here with Emily Glazer, who is an enterprise reporter at The Wall Street Journal and a genuine, honest-to-God Pulitzer Prize winner. Welcome. I'll take that welcome any day. Thanks, Matt. You know, the Pulitzer committee never gets back to us. We submit our box office draft every year and nothing. I'm still waiting. Lucas is very disappointed. I wish I could tell you I had an amazing in, but I'm not that powerful. Someday. Maybe this episode. Someday. We'll use your clout. Right. It could all change after this. All right. So we have you on today because I want to talk about the Larry angle in the Paramount Warner Brothers merger.
3:37Matt Belloni:And by Larry, I mean Larry Ellison. Where is he now on the list of richest people? Is he still top 10? He is still top 10. So for a hot second, he was number one. As you can imagine with Elon and the SpaceX IPO, he is not number one anymore. But you and I are on the same page because I did pull up the Bloomberg Billionaires Index before this podcast. And he's number six, according to them, behind Elon, Larry Page, the other Larry, Sergey Brin, Jeff Bezos, Michael Dell, at a whopping$211 billion. Sad for Larry. He needs to pick up the pace. We need to get him into that top five. We'll share that.
4:14He is above Mark Zuckerberg, though. That must feel good.
4:17Matt Belloni:I wanted to have you on because Larry has always been painted during all of these discussions around the deal as sort of a periphery figure, at least from the Hollywood perspective. This has been David Ellison's show. Obviously, Paramount is very interested in promoting. This is David's show. He's making all the decisions. He's the mastermind behind all this. But then you and your colleagues at the Journal dropped this story this week that essentially painted a picture that was a little different than what has been out there. Larry, first of all, has kind of greased the wheels here with a undisclosed$45 million donation to the Trump campaign.
4:58Matt Belloni:Other heretofore undisclosed donations after that. He's had several meetings with Trump. and is sort of, at least how I read your story, been the, if not the puppeteer behind this, certainly a big and powerful voice beyond just putting up the money and guaranteeing this$110 billion deal. Am I right in that reading? I think you are. I mean, you know, there's always the nuances around it, but here I would say Larry is not just the money man, although he obviously has an insane amount of money and the money has helped. But when it comes to Larry Ellison and President Trump, there's actually a genuine friendship and they genuinely like each other.
5:43Matt Belloni:You think that? Does a guy like Larry have any real friends? I truly do. So let me let me like paint this for you a little bit. OK. These are friends with benefits and a different kind than what we're usually used to feeling. Don't say that. Oh, God. I'm going to go vomit. OK, sorry, sorry. Friends with business benefits. Larry Ellison and Donald Trump, from what I hear from what my sources tell me, genuinely enjoy spending time together. Trump just turned 80. Larry is 81. I'm not saying they're friends just because then they're 80s. I'm just trying to like paint a little picture for you. They have similar ideological beliefs.
6:19They actually have things that they get along about. And I think that what I've heard is that Trump doesn't just view Larry as someone that like like, needs something from him, even though he does. But, like, Larry's got his own power. He's got his own money. He's got his own influence. He has his own relationship. So I feel like, I don't want to say they're equals, but I think that in some cases, like, there is actually, like, genuine connection that they have, which when I learned that, I was like, oh, wow, that's really interesting. And that was kind of a kernel for me of exploring this more.
6:48Matt Belloni:It's funny you say that because I'm thinking now to this new book that just came out, regime change, which has some pretty entertaining moments in it where Trump is showing off the fact that he's getting text messages from all of these billionaire tech moguls like Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg. You don't hear in that book Trump making fun of Larry Ellison. And they do talk a lot. I know for a fact they talk on the phone quite a bit. They also see each other. Larry Ellison officially changed his residence to Florida, just about 20 minutes south of Mar-a-Lago. He still has his Hawaii residence, but he's got this huge compound very close to Palm Beach.
7:30So they're physically close, but they also do talk on the phone a lot. And to your point about what's the deal with Paramount, you better believe that they were on the phone around a lot of the ins and outs and shenanigans as that went down. And that's some of what we report. Yes.
7:45Matt Belloni:And when you mentioned that they have ideological shared beliefs, what do you mean by that? Is it just Israel? Because we all know Larry is a big supporter of Israel. And in fact, some of my reporting I've done suggests that that not the Trump stuff, that is really the ideological driver of a lot of this stuff at CBS News, where they've taken the direction of CBS News in a very different way with Barry Weiss. And even the entire kind of goal of the company, they feel very strongly, both Larry and David, that there needs to be a protector of Israel in the media. So, and kudos to your reporting.
8:28I've seen a lot of that great reporting. There's definitely an Israel connection. Obviously, Trump's relationship with Bibi right now is much more fraught than it has been, but they do have a longstanding rapport. Larry and Netanyahu have a longstanding rapport. there's that connection. But it's not just that. My understanding is that they also both have a shared dislike for some mainstream media to travel back in time quite a bit when Larry was really in the heyday of his tech years. He got a ton of press, and I've been told over the years that he just absolutely despises that and really eschews a lot of that.
9:05So it's very interesting to see David building this media conglomerate when it's something that Larry has... especially with legacy media, is like really not a big fan of most of those organizations. And so I think that's something that he and Trump bond over. And I think that they also genuinely both have, like I said before, they're kind of like from a similar generation. They both have a lot of money. They both have a lot of power. They both need things from each other. But I think they both have like a shared respect for one another. It's very odd. I mean, it's always really interesting when you see friendships at this level of power, because I think people are always used to when you have a lot of money or power, like someone wants something, there's got to be like the favor or the ask.
9:49And their rapport has that. But there's also been all these bumpy years, too. And money at least has solved that for Larry Ellison. So it's not always been a pretty friendship.
9:59Matt Belloni:Yeah, I've always thought that Larry, who's by all accounts, extremely intelligent, had sort of identified Trump as a useful idiot that he could cozy up to and get a lot of out of, unlike previous presidential regimes where he could not. And in fact, Larry has had other candidates that he's supported, not Donald Trump, and has managed to kind of win his way back into the good graces. I just don't like, maybe I'm more cynical. I just have a hard time believing that a guy like Larry Ellison actually wants to hang out with Donald Trump. So honestly, I'm having flashbacks a little bit of, I remember years ago, I was talking to Andrew Russ Sorkin and he was like grilling me about this article I wrote about Elon Musk potentially becoming a political advisor to Donald Trump should Donald Trump win.
10:52And he was like, I don't believe it. I don't believe it. And I was like, no, no, no, this is like a real thing. And I will tell you, Matt, I'm having some flashbacks here. Like I really, I also was, I am a very skeptical person. I'm a very paranoid person. Trust, like, you know, ask anyone who knows me. I'm always just like wondering, like, could that be true? I think they genuinely, I think that Donald Trump and Larry Ellison like genuinely like each other. But that's not, I mean, that's so simple, right? This is obviously just way more complex than that. And let's not forget in the 1990s and 2000s, Larry Ellison was like a huge Clinton guy.
11:29Oh, yeah. Bill Clinton, okay? Like Bill Clinton spoke at this big Oracle event. I was looking up this story from, I think it was like 2001, where there were all these reports that there were rumors that Larry wanted Bill Clinton to join the Oracle board. So like, even though we all think of Larry Ellison as this like Trump guy and Republican, which he has been for a number of years, you know, you mentioned he supported other candidates. He was a huge backer of Tim Scott going into the 2024 presidential race, only switched to Trump, only gave that$45 million donation toward his reelection once, at least our understanding is, once he saw that the writing was on the wall and Trump was going to be the Republican nominee.
12:10But going back to 2016, he was a Marco Rubio supporter. So he's popped around. I just think it's interesting that he's also supported Democrats back in the day, as has and is widely known, David Ellison.
12:22Matt Belloni:Yeah, David gave to the Harris-Biden campaign, and he also has given to other Democrats. He was like a fixture on the L.A. Democratic fundraiser circuit, although pointedly, he has not given to either party in the Trump years. Right, and now he's a fixture at the UFC circuit now. So we'll get into that. I just remember when I saw Gavin Newsom at a party in D.C. for the correspondence dinner, I said I asked him what he thought of Larry Ellison. And he's like he just like rolled his eyes, like, don't even get me started on that guy. It seemed like there was a long history between the two of them.
13:03I got it. I feel like I need to pull up the Federal Election Commission records and see if there's anything there.
13:08Matt Belloni:I'm sure. But any of the good stuff would not be there. Right. And Oracle is so heavily invested in California. I'm sure he's annoyed by the taxes and all that, all the stuff that there's always, we couldn't even start this conversation without being like, and then they're annoyed about the billionaire's tax. Like, come on, of course. All right. So let's take this towards Paramount and now Paramount Warner brothers, because I want to know, and just getting into the psychology of Larry, is this just that his son, his only adult son wants to do this, and he is going to do everything in his power to make sure his son fulfills his dream of owning a big media company?
13:49Matt Belloni:Or is Larry the mastermind here and sees a roll-up of media assets combined with what he can do with the technology angle at Oracle, combined with what he is building with TikTok now. And he is the one who sees this in the big picture and that this could be a real media powerhouse. It's definitely more the latter than the former, as I presume you know. Let's take each piece of that apart for a moment. As is widely out there, Larry Ellison and David Ellison and have not just had some like happy-go-lucky father-son rapport their whole lives. I don't think it's as simple as Larry just trying to do this to like please his son or repair anything with his son.
14:41I have not heard that. I do think that Larry is an absolute mastermind. I've heard that he is someone, even when I've talked to people that have worked with him at Oracle over the years, that is amazing as like a strategic mind and connecting the dots. And even now he's executive chairman and like chief technology officer. He's still calling the shots at Oracle. Sorry to the Oracle co-CEOs and Safra cats. I'm just saying that's what I have heard. I am sure, you know, day to day, it's always different, but he's still extremely powerful and he's still very thoughtful and putting a lot of effort into what he sees as the future of media and tech.
15:22And I think that it's very poignant that you mentioned TikTok and that you also mentioned the media elements of this because for many years, you know, Larry's been the Oracle guy and it's sort of been this like kind of boring big tech company, but like very B2B, you know, it's not as sexy as like a Facebook or a Google or even what like, you know, Elon's building a SpaceX or Tesla, you know, it's kind of been able to do its own thing and largely stay out of the news. I think a lot of that is by design. and he has tiptoed more and more into these other elements of media and technology where they overlap.
15:56And the Trump administration has helped him a lot along the way. And it's not just getting access and running this US part of TikTok. It's not just Oracle getting in on Stargate and getting access to this massive AI project. I mean, there's government contracts that Oracle has gotten and it's not just what's happened with CBS, Yes, what's happened with Paramount? What's happened with Warner Brothers? Like, there's just so many elements of this. So yes, I think we should give a lot of credit to Larry Ellison is a very long way to answer your question.
16:28Matt Belloni:Yeah, then the other question is, why didn't he bankroll more of this? Certainly has the money. Why force them to go out and get Saudi money, Abu Dhabi money, Qatari money? And in the original deal, he wasn't even going to backstop it. And ultimately, he came in and guaranteed a lot of these loans and the overall deal. But I always wondered, if you're that rich, just what are you doing dealing with this other money? Wouldn't you like to be a fly on the wall in those conversations, Matt? I'm sure you have been a little bit. I know. I'm asking you things that are unknowable. I think that with anyone who is extremely wealthy, there's only so much liquid cash to go around, number one.
17:15um so there's just like that part of it to consider well and the oracle stock is dictating
17:21Matt Belloni:a lot of this and it has come down significantly since the the highs uh the a year or two ago so his personal wealth fluctuates a lot it's funny we had i had some readers wall street journal readers or or maybe they just found this on the internet after that were like yeah we saw that story but did you see oracle stock is down so like really none of this matters I was like, okay, that's one way to look at it. So yeah, I just think no matter how wealthy you are, there's always how much of that cash is liquid. I think that's the best answer I could give to that. Otherwise, I wish I had the magic ball.
17:57And you better believe I wish I were in on all those conversations. But listen, Larry is spending his money in lots of different ways. And part of why we wrote the story is that there's a lot more money he's spending toward Trump and Trump efforts than was known. And so he's not putting all his money in the Paramount basket. That would be really odd if he did, right?
18:18Matt Belloni:It would be. It would be very odd. So I get it. And you don't get to where he is without making smart deals. And he probably wanted to provide just enough financing with Redbird and with the others to make this happen without providing a penny more. I guess there's a reason why he is where he is, you know?
19:05Matt Belloni:dot com slash predicts to sign up. That's Fanduel dot com slash predicts to get your$25 bonus. Offered by Fanduel Prediction Markets LLC, a registered futures commission merchant. 18 plus restrictions apply. See terms at Fanduel dot com slash predicts slash bonus dash offer dash term. Are you looking for support in your weight management journey? ZepBound Terzepatide may be able to help. ZepBound is a prescription medicine used with a reduced calorie diet and increased physical activity to help adults with obesity or some adults with overweight who also have weight-related medical problems to lose excess body weight and keep the weight off.
19:47ZepBound is approved as a 2.5, 5, 7.5, 10, 12.5, or 15 milligram injection. ZepBound contains terzepatide and should not be used with other terzepatide-containing products or any GLP-1 receptor agonist medicines. It is not known if ZepBound is safe and effective for use in children. Don't share needles or pens or reuse needles. Don't take if allergic to it, or if you or someone in your family had medullary thyroid cancer, or if you've had multiple endocrine neoplasia syndrome type 2. Tell your doctor if you get a lump or swelling in your neck. Stop ZepBound and call your doctor if you have severe stomach pain or a serious allergic reaction.
20:25Severe side effects may include inflamed pancreas or gallbladder problems. Tell your doctor if you experience vision changes before scheduled procedures with anesthesia. If you're nursing, pregnant, plan to be, or taking birth control pills. Taking ZepBound with a sulfonylurea or insulin may cause low blood sugar. Side effects include nausea, diarrhea, and vomiting, which can cause dehydration and worsen kidney problems. Talk to your doctor. Call 1-800-545-5979 or visit zepbounds.lily.com.
20:56Matt Belloni:This summer, FanDuel is the best place to bet on goals. Including equalizers, balls, headers. Every goal is worth more on FanDuel. So, let there be goals. New customers get$350 in bonus bets guaranteed when you bet$5 for seven days. 21 plus in present and select states. First online real money wager only. Minimum$5 wager required for seven consecutive days. $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets, which expires seven days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See full terms at fanduel.com slash sportsbook. Gambling problem? call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET. So let's get into some of the things in your story, some of the additional things that were surprising to me about Larry and David.
21:34Matt Belloni:One thing that surprised me was the willingness of David Ellison to contact board members, or at least one board member of Paramount before he owned the company to try to get this Trump litigation settled. that was unknown to me and suggested that there was uh that he has sort of he had sort of like claimed clean hands on that one that happened before his time at the company david has said this was a sherry redstone thing they decided to pay off trump to get his blessing for the paramount acquisition by skydance and now we learn that he was behind the scenes pushing for that Paramount's downplaying that, but it seems like pretty active there.
22:20We're getting spicy. Yes. So first of all, I just want to note that I wrote this story with two incredible colleagues, Annie Linsky, White House reporter, and Jessica Tunkle, who is a senior media and tech reporter. I have to shout out my colleagues because so much of the reporting here is like a team effort, not to sound corny, but I just wanted to say that. So let's travel back in time as you started to bring us. David Ellison, you know, he was his company. Then it was Skydance. They're in the midst of merging with CBS's owner, Paramount. He meets with Trump at this UFC event in April 2025.
Read the full transcript
22:53Matt Belloni:Brokered by Ari Emanuel. Right. Let's not forget that. Don't forget Ari's there. Ari's the Where's Waldo in all of these deals. Love it. I love that. And so, oh, and sorry. And Elon Musk is also ringside. I think with a child, one of his children, X. and behind the scenes, we report that David Ellison was getting pretty frustrated as he was waiting for this regulatory approval for the merger and Paramount has negotiated a high-stakes settlement with Trump. And again, Trump had filed this lawsuit against CBS because of the alleged deceptive editing of the interview with then VP Kamala Harris. Sorry, just want to set the stage here for those that are not familiar with it.
23:35So around this time, David Ellison calls a Paramount director named Barbara Byrne. And he is on this call expressing his frustration because he was very eager for this merger to close. And he heard it would take$49.5 million to settle. And this is according to our sources. Byrne then tells Ellison they should not be talking and goes to inform Paramount's general counsel and the board about this. This is all according to our sources.
24:08Matt Belloni:Yet they paid it. What was the ultimate number? 45? In July 2025, Paramount settled for$16 million. Oh, that's right. That one was 16. Yes. And the merger was approved by regulators soon after. So it's actually a fraction of that 49.5 mil. So Barbara told the Wall Street Journal in a statement, David called to vent about how protracted the settlement process had become. There was no intent to transmit information, intervene, or collude in the settlement. In fact, the settlement negotiations were well known to us as the company was negotiating via outside counsel with the plaintiff's counsel through a mediator.
24:45Matt Belloni:Love it. Just excellent work on all sides. Yeah, hat tip to my colleagues on that. So they're just not doing themselves any favors when it comes to the appearance of corruption. I don't want to use the corruption word. I just want to, like, the close ties. You don't want to use it, but you did say it. I did say it, but then I qualified by saying, I don't want to call it corruption. I just want to call it an extremely close relationship that has emerged between this very wealthy, powerful family and the head of the government that they need to approve the creation of a massive media company. Is that a fair way to assess it?
25:27Yeah. I mean, a big question is like, is this the way that business is done these days? is this being normalized? Is it not? I mean, so much of why we're writing this story is to like connect some of these dots. And look, I'm not naive. I think that, you know, you could ask anyone whether it with Democratic presidents or Republican presidents, there's always money that changes hands from companies to administrations in different ways. Lobbyists have their job for a reason. Like I'm not naive in saying that doesn't happen, but the scale here of the amount of money. And by the way, it wasn't just the$45 million that Larry Ellison wrote to Trump's 2024 re-election campaign.
26:09We also report that Larry has given millions since then. And some of that money has gone toward Trump's legacy projects. So there's millions that are really coming through here. It's the scale of the money. And then there's some very clear what seem to be advantages that are happening. And as you pointed out earlier, it's not like one company. It's so fascinating. There's like a couple different big, large companies here that are doing pretty well.
26:39Matt Belloni:And I don't want to be naive either. I mean, I obviously... We're not going to be naive on this podcast, Matt, okay? We are not. This kind of stuff does happen. It's just usually a little more laundered or discreet as with everything with Trump. It just everything seems to be out in the open now. Well, it is, but it isn't. Because don't forget, these millions were not out in the open. I did scour Federal Election Commission. I was that person. I'm sure there was a faster way for AI to do this. But I also really did manually look to make sure I wasn't missing anything. So this was dark money. And this is not the first time that someone's used C4s and not disclosed political donations in different ways.
27:20But yeah, it's different. And that's what we hear from people. It's different. It's more money. There's more closeness. There's also like different ways to give because there are all these different legacy projects now. It's not just like this one C4 that everyone just gives to. It's like there's all these different buckets. So, yeah, it's a pretty it's the Wild West out there right now.
27:42Matt Belloni:So ultimately, does any of this matter? That's the real question. Like, will these machinations ultimately come back to haunt them? I doubt it. I mean, there are this antitrust case that the California attorney general might bring. And the problem here is that none of this is antitrust, really. It just kind of smells terrible. But like the underlying antitrust case is like from everything I've read, like not that strong. Let's not have a short memory about Larry Ellison also tapping his ties to the White House because the Department of Justice had launched a probe into whether Netflix engaged in anti-competitive tactics when Netflix was trying to do the deal with Warner Brothers.
28:26And that ultimately chilled that Netflix deal and cleared the path for the Ellison-led Paramount bid. So I know that's like old news now, but like that happens.
28:35Matt Belloni:Well, it chilled it, but I don't think that's what really stopped it. I think the fact that Paramount came over the top and outbid them was the bigger factor. But I guess they saw a problematic path for themselves at Netflix and dropped out. I agree. I'm not saying it's the only thing. I'm just saying Larry Ellison had ties to the White House and this DOJ probe. Like, those are just not isolated situations. So if you're like Elizabeth Warren or any of the antitrust people, are you just waiting for Congress to turn to go after Paramount, Warner Brothers? God, I'm going to be so annoying with this.
29:09I'm sorry. I wonder if the bigger question is, and what I hear from a lot of my sources, whether it's Paramount or other sectors, is whether the Democrats are going to take power in the House or the Senate come November or both. And then what will happen with not just a deal like this, but a lot of other deals. Because there have been a lot of deals that have gone through very quickly. There's been a lot of business practices that have happened. Obviously, it's no secret. This is a much lower regulatory environment that businesses and companies are very happy about. And I'm not saying whether that's good or bad.
29:42All I'm saying is I know companies are thinking we might have just a couple months to go before things could change. So what do we need to do to get our stuff over the finish line and be in the clear? I have to imagine Paramount's having some of those conversations too. And look, we know that David Ellison has made his case for the deal to various state AGs. Like, it's not just on the federal side. He's like working his, you know, his connections and trying to get, you know, approval and trying to get people to be on his side elsewhere in government. And, you know, time will tell. I hate saying that, but it's true.
30:23Matt Belloni:I get it. And it seems like that's where we are, where this is the normal for right now, but it could change. And I just wonder what the Democrats can actually do once these deals are consummated. Not very much, I don't think. Yeah. I mean, the Democrats have to first organize their party. And there's so many other things after that, but we should just stop there because that has to happen first. Yeah, we'll see. All right. Well, this is all fascinating. Appreciate you coming on and give us your insights. We are officially submitting this one for a Pulitzer. I love it. I'll try to get as much intel on that as I can.
30:59Thank you, Matt.
31:00Matt Belloni:Thank you. We are back with the call sheet. Craig, first a little accountability. Big squeaker last weekend with Toy Story. I took the over on 160. And on Sunday, the estimate was exactly 160. and then a brutal kick in the nuts on Monday morning. The actuals came in and it was 159.7 for the weekend. So I will take the loss on Toy Story. We also said that we felt like it would get into the 170s. We thought it would blow past 160. So it is a real L. We did. I know. I was a little too bullish. I am frankly a little surprised it wasn't higher, even though it's an amazing opening. But this weekend, we've got the opposite of that.
31:45Matt Belloni:We've got a franchise that seems to not be connecting. Supergirl, tracking is at about 50, honestly. This one, I mean, what are the comps for this? We can't go back to Captain Marvel or Wonder Woman, right? That was 153 for Captain Marvel and 103 for Wonder Woman. That was 2017, 2019, like completely different time. And now it's like, I don't know if you want to compare it to the Marvels, the sequel to Captain Marvel to Thunderbolts. I don't know what, but I actually think the point, the fact that there's no comp is the point, which is we're in such a weird place right now. And I stand by the fact that I think the Marvel and the DC superhero universe is heading towards the cliff and will probably end up being a good thing long term.
32:34Matt Belloni:But I think this is where we are right now. Even if Avengers Doomsday is big, I don't think that means superheroes are back. If I'm Peter Safran and James Gunn at DC, this is not the movie I want coming out right before the company is sold to Paramount and the Paramount people are deciding my fate going forward. Yeah. Also, I don't know. Going in, I feel like this just sounded like a risk the second it was announced. A Supergirl movie with a star who's, you know, not super famous yet, even though I heard she's good in the movie. But this just felt like a long shot from the beginning. yeah and they thought that by planting it in superman that that movie was well received and did okay ended up you know open to 125 and ended up in like i believe it was almost 800 no six something worldwide but they thought that that was all they needed and that they could reset the franchise and then start coasting turns out people want quality every time the Rotten Tomatoes score on this one is low.
33:34Matt Belloni:The Metacritic is, I think, below 50 at this point. And I'm going to take the under on 50 million. I will take the under, too. Honestly, I'm not even that sure how quality dependent it is. Obviously, that matters. I just think the superhero storyline is stale. It's been going on for almost 20 years. It's just, there are natural ebbs and flows to things in genres in Hollywood. And I just think we're at the end. We're at an ebb right now. So you're not excited for Clayface in the fall? an R-rated DC movie? Maybe that'll do better. Maybe it'll play more horror and people will go see it because it's R-rated and the ceiling will be lower, but people will like it.
34:12Matt Belloni:But these big, broad, studio superhero movies, I just feel like it's going to be really hard. Even if Doomsday is holding on for dear life and hits a billion and a half, I don't feel confident that the next 10 years are just going to be filled with great superhero movies. Well, sad for DC because that's kind of the only value that they have. but I do think they could be reinvented. I do think it's quality. I think if it's cool, it's cool and good and resonates, then people will show up. This one just feels lazy. It just does. And I haven't seen it. You haven't seen it. The premiere was in New York, but it does feel lazy.
34:47Matt Belloni:They did a good job hiding it. I will say I, as of like Tuesday, I had not talked to anyone who had seen it and I was asking around. And finally, after the premiere, people started to see it. Lo and behold, the late critical embargo, classic tactic there. They put out a story in the trades about how lucrative all the marketing partnerships were. The big tell was that Craig Gillespie, the director, he announced his next project or a project that he is loosely attached to a day before the reviews for this movie came out. It's a Glenn Powell movie. He's like, I got something lined up. I got something lined up.
35:25Matt Belloni:It feels like it's a rock and a hard place. You say, oh, it needs to be new and good and people will go see it. But the only way people will go to the movie is if it has the old stars. which is the doomsday approach. So how do you make it new and cool with the same actors? That is the challenge of the superhero universe these days. And we'll see. Spider-Man's about to come out. It's going to be gigantic. So we'll probably be talking differently then. So, all right, that's the show for today. I want to thank my guest, Emily Glazer, producer Craig Horlbeck, our editor, John Jones and Jesse Lopez.
35:52Matt Belloni:And I want to thank you. We will see you next week.
35:58Matt Belloni:Ryan Reynolds here from Mint Mobile. I don't know if you knew this, but anyone can get the same premium wireless for$15 a month plan that I've been enjoying. It's not just for celebrities. So do like I did and have one of your assistant's assistants switch you to Mint Mobile today. I'm told it's super easy to do at mintmobile.com slash switch. Upfront payment of$45 for three-month plan equivalent to$15 per month required. Intro rate first three months only, then full price plan options available. Taxes and fees extra. Default terms at mintmobile.com. The right window treatments change everything.
36:30Your sleep, your privacy, the way every room looks and feels. At Blinds.com, we've spent 30 years making it surprisingly simple to get exactly what your home needs. We've covered over 25 million windows and have 50 ,000 five-star reviews to prove we deliver. Whether you DIY it or want a pro to handle everything from measure to install, we have you covered. Real design professionals. Free samples. Zero pressure. Right now, get up to 50 % off with minimum purchase. Plus, get a free professional measure at Blinds.com. Rules and restrictions apply.
From the publisher
Matt is joined by WSJ reporter Emily Glazer to discuss her fascinating new piece highlighting Larry Ellison’s private friendship with Donald Trump and the impact it had on the Paramount M&A saga. Emily explains why Larry and Donald seem to get along so well, why Larry is bankrolling the WarnerMount deal, and how we got here in the first place (00:00). Matt finishes the show with an opening weekend box office prediction for ‘Supergirl’ (28:32).
Host: Matt Belloni
Guest: Emily Glazer
Producers: Craig Horlbeck, Jessie Lopez, and Jon Jones
Theme Song: Devon Renaldo
After false reports of Deborah's death, she and Ava return to Vegas. Watch now.
The Ringer is committed to responsible trading. Please visit https://fanduel.com/predicts to learn more about the resources and helpline.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
