In short
Sony Film CEO Tom Rothman discusses Marvel’s recent box-office struggles, the future of the Spider-Man franchise (including a fresh reboot), movie-star value, theatrical vs streaming windows, and Hollywood’s “originality crisis” (lack of new franchises).
Guests
Tom Rothman, head of Sony Movie Studio (Columbia Pictures); Lucas Shaw (interviewer/host); Matt Bellany (host); additional production staff mentioned (Craig Horoback, Arters Jesse Lopez, John Jones).
Key claims
Spider-Man’s partnership with Marvel was a “win-win” and should continue, but Sony will refresh the franchise with new people. Studios need robust release windows (45 days transactional, 100 days to free) because removing windows weakens the story-based reason to go to theaters. The industry’s biggest problem is originality, not volume. Streaming doesn’t create movie stars; scarcity and “cultural urgency” do.
Notable examples
X-Men as Marvel’s first modern breakthrough; Spider-Man: No Way Home’s China issue (Statue of Liberty cut request); Timothée Chalamet, Zendaya, Tom Holland as star examples; Darren Aronofsky’s Caught Stealing as an original film that “tested well” but lacked cultural urgency. Bond casting rumor segment: no James Bond cast yet; prediction it won’t be Jacob Elordi.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOThe Future of the Spider-Man Franchise
0:59 to 2:45
Insights on the Spider-Man franchise and its relationship with Marvel.
“From The Ringer and Puck, I'm Matt Bellany, and this is The Town.”
The State of Movie Stars in Hollywood
2:45 to 6:28
A discussion on the importance and value of movie stars in the current landscape.
“You'd say billion nine, what's the matter with two?”
Challenges of Streaming and Movie Star Status
6:28 to 11:15
Exploring the impact of streaming on movie stars and box office performance.
“And of course, correction, less television.”
Collective Action Among Studios
12:11 to 14:00
Discussing the need for collaboration among studios in the current market.
“You talked earlier about the need for collective action on the part of the studios.”
Understanding Movie Opening Weekend Trends
14:00 to 15:00
Learn about the significant impact of opening weekend performances on box office success.
“the drop is no greater than what it is not for the 17 days.”
The Importance of Film Windows
15:00 to 16:50
Explore the significance of theatrical windows in the film industry and their effect on audience behavior.
“It's why I believe what they're saying at Netflix.”
The Crisis of Originality in Film
16:50 to 17:40
Discuss the current crisis of originality in Hollywood and the challenges facing new franchises.
“I want to take my kids out of the house because they're driving me crazy.”
Striving for Originality Amidst Challenges
17:40 to 19:10
Learn about the struggles of studios to produce original content in a market dominated by franchises.
“And we're getting to a place that without cultural urgency, you've got to have cultural urgency to get over the bar.”
The Passion Behind Filmmaking
19:10 to 21:30
Hear personal insights on the passion for filmmaking and the responsibilities of studio executives.
“because they took half of my quote from that.”
Navigating Deals in the Streaming Era
21:30 to 23:10
Understand the implications of streaming deals and the future of studio collaborations.
“We have to set high standards for ourselves, but collectively, collectively, to preserve originality, we need to reestablish robust windows.”
Show all 14 chapters
The Future of Movie Attendance
23:10 to 24:30
Examine the trends in movie attendance and the factors influencing audience decisions.
“We're fortunate, Sony, to be part of a$130 billion company.”
Pricing Strategies and Their Impact
24:30 to 26:00
Discuss the impact of pricing strategies on movie attendance and the overall industry.
“And the reason they've raised prices, so it masks the decline a little bit, right?”
The Role of Quality in Film Experience
26:00 to 27:15
Learn about the importance of quality in film experiences and its effect on audience retention.
“because I think we haven't talked about exhibition.”
Predictions on the Next James Bond
28:00 to 30:56
Discuss predictions regarding the casting of the next James Bond and the implications of actor fame on the role.
“I should just start tweeting my predictions for who's going to be James Bond, and I could probably double my following in a week.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:05Matt Belloni:This episode of The Town is presented by 20th Century Studios' Avatar Fire and Ash. Don't miss the movie Critics Are Raving is epic and exciting and gorgeous and heartbreaking and stands as one of the greatest films ever made. It's got incredible visuals, jaw-dropping action, and a cinematic achievement. Avatar Fire and Ash now playing in theaters and now nominated for the Academy Awards for Best Visual Effects and Best Costume Design. It is Tuesday, February 24th. Today's part two of Tom Rothman, head of the Sony Movie Studio. He reported it live at AFI with me and Lucas Shaw and Tom's very cool Columbia Pictures bomber jacket that is definitely not for sale, he told me.
0:46Matt Belloni:If you haven't heard part one, go do that first. Today is the future of the Spider-Man franchise, Marvel's recent struggles if movie stars should make movies for streamers, and the biggest crisis facing the movie industry right now. He's definitely got opinions. From The Ringer and Puck, I'm Matt Bellany, and this is The Town.
1:07Matt Belloni:Where are we in the Spider-Man franchise? Not at the animated Spider-Verse. Is the larger Spider-Verse dead? Are you going to go back to those at some point? Yes. You will? Yes. But it'll be a fresh reboot? Yes. New people? Okay. Yes. And how is the partnership with Marvel going? It's great. Because that was a big moment. It was sort of a tail between the legs moment to have to go to Disney and say, listen, we kind of ran this into the ground. We need you to bring this back. You know, speaking of that, putting that question that way, we have a character. It's called Mr. Negativity. You should come and audition.
1:44Matt Belloni:Studios don't typically say, here's our number one franchise. Let's bring in another studio to partner on it. I can't take much credit for it. It was at the very beginning of my tenure and the tail end of Amy's credit tenure. But I think it was an extremely smart and mature decision by Michael Linton and Amy Pascal, who were excellent, excellent executives, first rate. But the part that I quarrel with, run into the ground. No, it's an$800 million movie. That's some ground. I think, again, this was a question of opportunity because, yes, first of all, Marvel's great. Kevin Feige's a genius, and I can talk about that in a second.
2:24But it wasn't just bringing Marvel in to produce for us. It was actually we were able to introduce the new Spider-Man with Robert Downey Jr. and Iron Man.
2:37Matt Belloni:Connected to the narrative. Connected to the narrative. So it had big upside for us, and it's been one of the great deals for both companies ever. a true win-win deal to the point where the third one just did and pisses me off that I have to say this, that it did a billion nine. You'd say billion nine, what's the matter with two? Well, it didn't get into China. So otherwise, but in my mind, it's over two because I know what we would have done in China. They just small thing. They said, no problem. Just cut out the Statue of Liberty, which is where the climax of the movie is. That was the request.
3:12And I said, yeah, well,
3:13Matt Belloni:It's like the last 20 minutes of the movie. Yeah, there was that. And also, I really didn't look forward to sitting in the air in front of Congress, telling them why I cut the Statue of Liberty out at the request of the Chinese Communist Party. So it's been a really, really, it's been a great partnership. And I have to say, it's because they've been great partners. I'm going to make a prediction that there's no Statue of Liberty in the new Spider-Man. Let me think about that. Actually, coincidentally, that's true. Total coincidence. Total coincidence. We're very privileged that Amy has been a producer on the Spider-Man movies, and she's probably the best, if not one of the best, producers in the business ever.
4:08ever a woman I've known all my 30 plus years in Hollywood. But Kevin, I like to tell this story because the first Marvel movie, the first big successful modern Marvel movie, not the cheap German ones, was not Spider-Man. It was X-Men. X-Men came before Spider-Man and we made X-Men at Fox. And X-Men was the real initial breakthrough in the Marvel universe because it was the first time that the characters were taken seriously. And it was the first time that the emotionality of those characters were honored.
4:42Matt Belloni:We won't talk about the director of that movie. No, we won't. Keep going. And there was this skinny little junior assistant, assistant, assistant for Lauren Donner, who was like sitting in the back of the room and during the story meetings. And every once in a while, he'd be like, what about, and I'd go, that's a good idea. What about this kid? That's a good idea. That little person was Kevin Feige. And what I always say to him is, if I'd known you were only such a fucking big shot, I would have been so much nicer to you. But he's gifted. I'm curious because he had a generational run. How do you diagnose the recent challenges or slight decline and how a lot of those movies have done?
5:31I just think he would say the same thing. I would say it this way, that when we always have to balance this, we balance this in answer to your question about Spider-Man. Scarcity has value. You've got to make the audience miss you. It's the old thing. I always had trouble getting girls to go out with me twice until, fortunately, my wife took pity on me. But it's like absence makes the heart grow fonder. but it's an interesting dynamic
5:57Matt Belloni:as you mentioned how much of a benefit it was to Sony to introduce Spider-Man with Downey I feel like the opposite they went too far is true now where they need Spider-Man to introduce Avengers and that storyline will hopefully for them carry over I think look I'll just tell you this there are two people about whom I would say this and maybe more if I think about it but these are two that come to the top of my mind never bet against Jim Cameron and never bet against Kevin Feige. Knows what he's doing. Certainly, they've engaged. You can see it. And of course, correction, less television. I think it was really the television and the elaborateness of that interconnection that made you have to be so inside or else you felt excluded.
6:47And that was a mandate that he was given by a prior administration at Disney. And he's a good corporate soldier. so he did what he was asked to do. But I think he knows very well that now, to a degree, less will be more and it'll be very more. Have no worries for Avengers, guys. It's going to be... Don't you have some kind of game where you... We do. I have it. I have the movie in the draft. Bye. It was my number one. Bye. It was your number two. I have Spider-Man. He has Avengers. Who's going to do better? I love all my children.
7:21Matt Belloni:Well, one of them actually not your children, but... Spider-Man. You think so? So I had you on a round table in 2019 of all studio executives. It was a very good one. It's actually fascinating to look back on it today. I asked the question, is there any movie star that is important as strong IP? And you said, yes, I think there are lots of movie stars. It's one of the great myths propagated out there that movie stars don't matter. Seven years later, is that still true? And is it less true? Okay. No, it's more true. There are less of them. Seven years later, there are fewer of them, thus making the ones that there are even more valuable.
8:05Okay. Care to list them? Sure. Why not? I'm here under subpoena, right? So, listen, I had a lot of good summer jobs I can go back to. I was a surveyor. I was a lawn boy. I can do all those things. I'm going to regret asking this,
8:20Matt Belloni:but is Sidney Sweeney one of them? I think in the right thing. So let's talk about movie stars. And it has all, it's always been this way. When Bill Murray did, goes with the biggest comedic star in the world and then did The Razor's Edge, nobody gave a fuck. Okay? So it has to be stars in the right material. Sidney in the right material? Absolutely. Look at anyone but you and now Housemaid. Housemaid, terrific hit. That's a big hit movie. And here's the significant thing about Housemaid that people don't probably pay as much attention to and the same with anyone but you. It's a global hit. That movie's huge internationally.
8:55So I would say yes. And it's always this way. Movie stars in the right thing. Not as many as we would like, but there are clearly emerging young movie stars. Timothee Chalamet, Tom Holland, Zendaya. There are Sydney, emerging young movie stars. And then there are the established, unquestionable stars who continue. And this is the key about continuing to be a movie star. You have to continue to reward your audience and continue to let your audience trust the choices you make. People don't quite understand that. It's not just what they are. It's that if I'm going to the movies and I'm paying my money and I know Denzel Washington makes good choices, right?
9:40I know Leonardo DiCaprio. He makes good choices. If it's good enough for Leo to do it, it's probably going to be pretty good, right? Leonardo DiCaprio, Brad Pitt. These people don't make three, four, five movies a year. You know, it's their scarcity and value. Tom Hanks, the same thing. There's a quality in premature. And then, come on, who doesn't want to see Brad Pitt drive a car really fast? I do. But Brad Pitt's 60 years old. Yeah. but Clint Eastwood was a star until he was, you know, well into, well, well into his late seventies. But you raise a point and that's why I said fewer because going to the conversation we had before, categorically streaming does not make movie stars.
10:24That just isn't the case. Streaming doesn't make movie stars. Do you think it hurts those movie stars we were talking about if they do a streaming movie? A, no, many. Yes. Uh, I had a meeting in my office with a very, uh, significant movie star who will go unmentioned who referred to his career in that and when he would do a streaming movie or not as a tax on the brain. T-A-X. And I think that's true.
10:48Matt Belloni:It was Mark Wahlberg, wasn't it? No, it was not. Kevin Hart, I'm not going to guess. I actually agree with you. I think you can do it. Like Leo did a streaming movie. Don't look up. Still on their top 10 list. Right. But he did one. Correct. You see a recurring theme here. I think scarcity, value, these are recurring themes, particularly with respect to movies. You want to go out, you want to go and be over that bar, it should be special. It shouldn't be every day. This, on streaming service, this is every day. So I think you can do it sparely. Protein is now at Starbucks, and it's never tasted so good.
11:28You can add protein cold foam to your favorite drink or try one of our new protein lattes or matcha. Try it today at Starbucks.
11:40K-Pop Demon Hunter's Saja Boys Breakfast Meal and Huntrix Meal have just dropped at McDonald's. They're calling this a battle for the fans. What do you say to that, Rumi? It's not a battle. So glad the Saja Boys could take breakfast and give our meal the rest of the day. It is an honor to share. No, it's our honor. It is a larger honor. No, really. Stop. You can really feel the respect in this battle. Pick a meal to pick a side. I participate in McDonald's while supplies last. You talked earlier about the need for collective action on the part of the studios. Do you feel that your peers at the other studios share your belief, or do you find yourself having to spend a bunch of time trying to convince them to think the way that you do?
12:25Matt Belloni:Because you're in a different business. You don't have a streaming service. Universal, well, you were talking about 17 Days. They do the 17-day P-Vod movies, right? Or Warner Brothers, not this current regime, but the previous regime put a lot of movies direct to streaming and may now be owned by a streaming service. We'll find out. Disney has experimented more with Windows. Let me correct just that last thing, but answer it, which is to say that I can't do any of that because they're antitrust laws. So, no, I can't do that because there's a possibility that that wouldn't be allowed. You have a trade organization.
13:01Yes, and the trade organization has to represent everybody. Including Netflix and Amazon. Or in the trade organization, yes. But I'm perfectly free to answer your questions. What I think is that it's a learning process, okay? I was given some of your interrogations to listen to before I came on because my comms people were very concerned about me and my survival on this. So they gave me a few. And I heard on something on one of them, sorry, I wasn't paying strictest attention, that it was a settled question that theatrical movies do better on streaming. And I think it is a settled question. And the statistics show that.
13:45And I think this is what's happened. I think it's been a learning process. Coming out of COVID, I can just say for ourselves, we actually did some movies on 17 days. I actually didn't realize. I had to learn because there's a misleading statistic, which is if you look at the box office on the weekend, which we did, look at on the weekend following the 17 days, the drop is no greater than what it is not for the 17 days. So for a number of times we thought, oh, well, maybe they're different consumers. Until we realized we look at the wrong thing. You're not losing them in that weekend. You're losing them in the opening weekend.
14:27That's what's happening. And when you compare like movie to like movie, which you have very sophisticated models that can do this, it's the openings that are diminished because of Casablanca.
14:41Matt Belloni:so so we stopped so the customer can tell on opening weekend whether this is coming you're creating a habit you're creating yeah but but they can tell the difference between a studio that does it in a studio that doesn't absolutely not that's why it hurts it's an overall that's why it hurts all of us so let me just i got to go back to the last thing you said actually disney has the longest windows in the business oh i just said they experimented which they did do they did during the pixar thing and yeah mr igor realized he's a very smart man and realized When you get under the hood, it's why I'm very confident, ultimately, that with what Netflix has said, should they end up owning Warner Brothers about maintaining proper windows, not just 45 days.
15:22It's why I believe what they're saying at Netflix. Remember, it's not just 45 days. It's 45 days to transactional. It's 100 days to free.
15:34Matt Belloni:And you believe Ted Sarandos when he says that that will be the model for the Warner's movies. I do because they're very smart at Netflix. And when you get under the hood, they're going to pay, I don't know, what are they paying? $72 billion,$83 plus debt. You're going to pay$72 billion for it. You want the company to work. And they're smart. And when they get under the hood, they're going to learn the same things we learn, which is the value chain in motion pictures is from successive windows. So what I was going to say, Disney now has the longest, most firmest windows in the business, right?
16:13And even where it's their own service, there are 100 days to Disney+. Who has the only billion-dollar movies this year? Disney. Disney. I don't think it's a coincidence. So what I think is happening, it's an evolution. We went through a once in a generation crisis with this COVID shit. And people are learning. We're learning. And we've learned that collectively. Listen, gang, when you go out and you make movies, there are only two reasons people go to the movies. One is experiential. I want to see it on the big screen. I want to see what Jim Cameron's done. Right. I want to take my kids out of the house because they're driving me crazy.
16:56I want to kiss a girl or a boy, right? I want to have an experience. When we do it well, I want to laugh with other people. I want to have an experience. The second reason is story-based. It's a story-based reason. I want to see that story. I want to see that star. I want to experience that emotion. If you take away the window, you take away the story-based reason to see it, leaving only the experiential reason. So what does that do? What's the crisis in movies now? It's not the amount of movies. It's not the big grossing movies. Spider-Man's going to do great. It's the middle ground. It's originality.
17:34The crisis is originality. The crisis is where is the next franchise coming from? Because original movies don't have a built-in fan base. And we're getting to a place that without cultural urgency, you've got to have cultural urgency to get over the bar. Why? Why is Timothee Chalamet such a movie star? Well, because A, he's great. He's a great actor. My daughter's a theater producer. Put him in his first play. There you go, Elizabeth. Give you a plug. He's a great actor. He's never been anything less than great. And he's a fantastic cultural salesman. He's a guy who understands, creates urgency, cultural urgency.
18:14But it doesn't seem like your fellow studios share your passion for originality. Because my fellow studios and me, we get the shit beat out of ourselves all the time when you strive for originality. But you got to keep trying. And we do try. But the better the windows.
18:28Matt Belloni:I read today you greenlit a Charlie's Angels movie. No. Or you're developing. Deep development. And there's, talk about originality. But if you look at the slate, and no shame, but it's pre-branded stuff. You'll do a Garfield movie. Your biggest movies of the year will probably be, what, Spider-Man, Jumanji. Yep. Because I have shareholders, and I have fiduciary obligations, and I have 6 ,000 employees as bonus. You're basically the guy in the studio. You want to do certain movies and you want to also keep your job. No, no. I want to be clear about that because I was widely misquoted on that. Oh, you were?
19:06Widely. So I get a chance to correct the record now because they took half of my quote from that. Please. I said very clearly on every episode of the studio, so please use this first part of the quote there is a brilliantly blinding truth in every episode and there is and then I said but the rest of it is horseshit and what I should have said was the rest of it is silly because they only use the cuss word look it's I think it's a brilliant show and I think the satire is actually genes but some of the most devoted, film-loving, smart people I've known in 35 years in Hollywood are studio executives.
19:56And not all of them, but most of them are in it for the same reason I am. It might not have been Lawrence of Arabia, but I could have done lots of things. I had multiple careers before I came here, but I loved movies. I dreamed someday. And this part of the studio is true. Are you kidding me? Are you kidding me? I sit in Louis B. Mayer's office. Are you kidding me? Every day I drive onto the lot and the lot was MGM. And today I visited Jumanji on the same stage, the same stage that they sought the Wizard of Oz. Are you kidding me? How lucky can one person be? So, and I think a lot of the people are like me.
20:47My father claimed that he hated this job his whole life. I don't know if he really did, but he said he was miserable. He was a lawyer and he pretended to be miserable. And he had four children and he would look at us at the breakfast table every morning. He would say to his kids, don't do this. Don't work at something you don't love. And as I look out here at students at the AFI, I'm a person whose vocation and avocation are the same. And hence, it's the old cliche. Yes, I have work days in my life, believe me, but it's great. So striving still for originality, trying to do it. And often, by the way, failing.
21:26Made a Darren Aronofsky original movie last year. I loved the movie, Caught Stealing. I loved Darren. I thought it was great. I watched it on Netflix. Yep, because it wasn't over the bar. It wasn't culturally urgent enough. It's a really good movie. It tested well. People loved it. So what do we have to do? We have to set high standards for ourselves, but collectively, collectively, to preserve originality, we need to reestablish robust windows.
21:53Matt Belloni:I do want to ask whether you fear at all that this Warner's sale, if they do go to Netflix, doesn't that make Netflix less inclined to do a big deal with a studio like Sony? Well, luckily, the answer to that, we have facts. They have done a very big long-term deal with us. But I'm talking the next deal. Well, I'll be dead. It's only seven years. You won't be dead. Maybe professionally, but you will not be dead. They've been saying that about me for a long time, Matt. They've been trying to kill me off professionally for a long time, and nobody's succeeded yet. But you know what I'm saying? If Netflix is hoovering up all of the libraries.
22:36I think it's proof positive. Proof positive. I wondered about that.
Read the full transcript
22:41Matt Belloni:Yeah, because you could have sold the library. You could have done the deal with Amazon. Absolutely. I wondered about that. We have proof positive. because the deal we did with Netflix was done right in the heart of their not just bidding for Warners, but our deal was closed subsequent to the Warner board awarding the deal to them. So they wanted it. Obviously, I think they were smart. they did a big long-term global deal with us at the same time i'm sure they were very confident that they were going to have warner brothers do you care between netflix and paramount do you think one of those is better or worse for the industry no i don't care i think it's they're very different let me put it that way i think they're very i think they're very different i think that it's it brings us back maybe to the very first conversation what is this moment right I think it's a product of what the current world is and the hyperscale of companies that are in our business.
23:50We're fortunate, Sony, to be part of a$130 billion company. So we're already firmly protected in that way. So that's great. That's great for us. Yeah, I'm like you guys. I don't know what's going to happen. And I think it's always hard to predict the future. but I think it is representative of the moment we're at. You used the phrase settled question about the importance of theatrical and streaming earlier. Ticket sales have gone down. Yes, they have. Do you think it is a settled question that attendance is in inexorable decline? I think it, again, I'll parse that if I may. I think it's a settled question that has declined.
24:31And the reason they've raised prices, so it masks the decline a little bit, right? And the better way to look at it, in my judgment, is admissions. Yeah, I'm talking about that, not revenue. So let me speak to that. If, say, in 2019, a billion won, I think, domestic, now in the high 700s, right? So there is a definite decline. No question about that. Is it inexorable? I don't believe so. That returns to what I've said before. Will it ever get all the way back up? Maybe. Let me tell you, this particular year is going to be great. And in some ways, in that regard, illusory. Right? This is going to be an incredibly great year.
25:14It's going to be a great year for us. It's going to be a great year for the business. It's going to look rosy. I will still stick with what I said. We don't fix the windows. That's going to be illusory. Fix the windows. Fix the windows. Listen, as this has happened in France, this has happened. You're pointing up. I'm pointing up, sorry. Podcast. This shit. I'm used to live with all you folks. Why is that? Because they have government and force windows.
25:46Matt Belloni:Okay, so you are elected the mayor of Hollywood. What is the edict that comes down from Mayor Rothman on windows that the entire industry must adhere to? 45 days to transactional, 100 days to S-MOM. But let me answer the other part of your question because I think we haven't talked about exhibition. and they have a part to play in this, a big part, which is to avoid your word of inexorable. The part of what concerns me about exhibition is a pricing spiral. Because admissions have gone down, they raise prices. The more they raise prices, the more admissions go down, right? And a threat, a threat to the movie business is movies have always been counterinflationary, always.
26:33If they go from being a regularly affordable leisure activity to a luxury leisure activity, the overall breadth of the business can be in trouble. So I think exhibition, and I'm not saying anything I haven't said to the leaders of all of them, they've got to be really careful with respect to the pricing, the quality of the experience, and not going down that vicious circle. But no, I don't think it's inexorable. And then there's one other thing, which is fair enough and maybe the most important thing of all. We've got to make dope shit. All right.
27:14Matt Belloni:Thank you to Tom. We will open it up. We're back with the call sheet. Craig, do you consider the Dumois website and Instagram page to be a legitimate news source? I consider it an entertaining news source. And I often send you DMs and say, is this real? Yes, you do. And I want to slap you in the face when you do, because the answer is almost invariably, no, it is not true. Sometimes, sometimes they are. Okay, sometimes. But I feel like when it comes to casting news, the fact that the entire internet goes nuts when Dumois posts that some actor has been chosen for some role, it's insane. It's insane.
27:54Matt Belloni:It happened last week again with the James Bond stuff with Jacob Elordi. I know. It does feel like an easy way to quickly gain 10 ,000 followers. I should just start tweeting my predictions for who's going to be James Bond, and I could probably double my following in a week. It's insane. So just so people know, there has been no actor cast as James Bond. There has been no script delivered yet. Stephen Knight is still working on the script. They will not choose a James Bond likely until the spring or summer, I am told. So we do not have a James Bond yet. And honestly, like my prediction is it's probably not going to be Jacob Elordi.
28:30Matt Belloni:Like the guy's too famous at this point. He's six foot six, like six foot five, six foot six. Would you believe a spy that sticks out in every room that he's in? I just feel like there's no discovery in that. They're going to pick someone, in my opinion, that is good actor up and coming in the 27 to 32 ish range because they want to start over with a younger Bond. It's more likely going to be someone like a Callum Turner than it is a Jacob Elordi. Lordy, very tall. He would stick out in a casino in Monte Carlo for sure. And no disrespect, he's a good actor. Looks good in a tuxedo. Absolutely. He's also not British.
29:09Matt Belloni:He's Australian. He's Australian. Daniel Craig was 38 in the first Bond. Pierce Brosnan was 42. Daniel Craig was not nearly as much of a household name as Jacob Lordy is now, who is very famous. He has an Oscar nomination this year. He's in a massive TV show. And that's not the way Bond usually goes. Also, Callum Turner, a little older. He's 36 years old. Yeah, maybe he's too old. I know they want to go young. And they also want someone to sign a pretty onerous deal with Amazon where they would get him for a TV spinoff. They would get him for multiple movies. And is Jacob Elordi going to sign on to that?
29:46Matt Belloni:I don't know. He's already dealing with having signed on to Euphoria and having to go back and film that. He's not going to do the same thing with Bond. I know. They're all milking it. But whatever. It's so funny. This is the one casting. It's like Bond and Batman. where people just go nuts over it. Batman and Bond is the two coolest, most prestigious roles you can book in Hollywood still. Although these days you can do Batman and still do other stuff. I guess Craig did other stuff too. So, you know, he's certainly going to make more money off the Knives Out movies than he did off the Bond movies.
30:15Matt Belloni:Like his deal for Knives Out is insane. But also, if you book Callum Turner, you're basically guaranteeing Dua Lipa is doing the Bond song. Oh, good point. Not that they need, I mean, get people to do a Bond song, but she would be great. Yeah, I mean, she could be a Bond girl. Maybe that would be too weird, but she will be involved in some way. Yes. Okay. We're not going to make any other predictions on that. So your prediction is just it will not be Jacob Elor. No. I don't believe it will be Jacob Elor. Okay. That'll be big news. The announcement will come tomorrow just because Amazon wants to piss me off.
30:49Well, now Dubois can report that Jacob Elor is out as James Bond.
30:54Matt Belloni:According to the Town Podcast, yes this is a prediction i am not saying i have inside information all i know is that nobody has been cast yet all right that's the show for today i want to thank my guests tom rothman and lucas shaw producer craig horoback arters jesse lopez and john jones and i want to thank you we'll see one more time this week
From the publisher
Live from the American Film Institute, Matt is joined by Bloomberg’s Lucas Shaw and the CEO of Sony Film Tom Rothman to discuss the future of the Spider Man franchise, Marvel’s recent struggles, if movie stars should make movies for streamers, and the biggest crisis facing the movie industry right now. Matt finishes the show with a prediction about who will be cast as the next James Bond.
Host: Matt Belloni
Guest: Lucas Shaw, Tom Rothman
Producers: Craig Horlbeck, Jessie Lopez, and Jon Jones
Theme Song: Devon Renaldo
AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH. FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION.
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