20VC: Foundation Models: Who Wins & Who Loses | How Economies and Labour Markets Need to Change in a World of AI | China vs the US in an AI Race: What You Need to Know | Rich Socher, Founder @ You.com

18 Apr 2025 · 1 h 4 min

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Podcast Summary: The Twenty Minute VC (20VC) - Episode with Rich Socher

Episode Overview Title: 20VC: Foundation Models: Who Wins & Who Loses Guest: Rich Socher, Founder & CEO of You.com Host: Harry Stebbings Description: In this episode, Rich Socher shares insights on the evolving landscape of AI, focusing on foundational models, market dynamics, and the impacts of AI on society and the economy.

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Key Discussion Points

  1. Winners and Losers in AI
  2. Major Players: Rich discusses the competitive landscape, highlighting major entities like OpenAI, Gemini, and Claude.
  3. Partnerships Matter: Success in AI may depend on strategic partnerships rather than just technological superiority.
  1. China vs. US in AI
  2. AI Arms Race: The episode examines the rivalry between China and the US in the AI sector, with insights on potential outcomes of this competition.
  3. Technological Advancements: Rich emphasizes the importance of innovation and speed in AI developments.
  1. Societal and Economic Changes Due to AI
  2. Impact on Jobs: Discussion around which jobs are likely to be replaced by AI and which ones will remain.
  3. Skills Adaptation: Rich stresses the need for societal adjustment and skills retraining in light of AI advancements.
  1. AI in Health and Longevity
  2. Healthcare Innovations: Rich reflects on how AI can revolutionize healthcare and increase longevity.
  3. Future of Medicine: Potential breakthroughs in medical research due to AI-driven approaches are discussed.
  1. Market Dynamics and AI Commoditization
  2. Commoditization Trends: Rich agrees that AI technologies are becoming commoditized, leading to debates about their inherent value.
  3. Business Models: Comparison to telecommunications companies, noting challenges in value capture versus value creation.
  1. Future of Work and AI
  2. Changing Job Structures: The roles of employees will evolve into managing AI systems rather than performing routine tasks.
  3. Skills for the Future: Mentioned the importance of programming skills and critical thinking as vital for upcoming generations.
  1. AI Regulation and Ethical Considerations
  2. Concerns with AI Adoption: Rich discusses the societal implications of widespread AI use, including ethical dilemmas and regulatory challenges.
  3. European Union's Approach: Critiques the EU's regulatory stance on AI and its potential hindrance to innovation.
  1. Personal Insights and Reflections
  2. Rich's Journey: Brief overview of Rich's background in AI and his vision for You.com.
  3. Future Directions: Rich's optimism about AI's potential and the need for innovative thinking in various fields.

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Key Takeaways

  • The landscape of AI is rapidly changing, with major players vying for dominance, necessitating strategic partnerships.
  • The US and China are in an ongoing AI race, which will shape the future of technology and its applications.
  • AI's impact on the workforce will require significant societal adjustment, focusing on retraining and new skill acquisitions.
  • Healthcare and longevity are prime areas where AI holds transformative potential.
  • The commoditization of AI raises questions about sustainable business models and the distribution of value in the market.
  • Ethical considerations and regulatory frameworks need to be adapted to keep pace with AI advancements.

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Conclusion Rich Socher's insights provide a compelling overview of the present and future of AI technologies, emphasizing the importance of adaptability in both business and societal structures. The conversation encourages listeners to consider the broader implications of AI, beyond just technological advancements, into areas such as ethics, employment, and health.

For more details, visit [The Twenty Minute VC website](https://www.20vc.com).

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Transcript

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0:00You are listening to 20VC with me Harry Stabbing's. Now what on earth is going on in the foundational model layer? It seems like there are new releases, new updates, new winners and losers every week. I wanted to sit down with one of the best in the space to understand what really is going on and how we should think about it. So joining me in the hot seat today, we have Rich Sotcher, founder and CEO of U .com. Before founding U, Rich served as chief scientist and EVP at Salesforce. Before that, he was the CEO, CTO of the AI startup MetaMind, which Salesforce acquired, he's also widely recognized as having brought neural networks into the field of natural language processing, inventing the most widely used word vectors, contextual vectors, and prompt engineering.

0:42No one better for this topic today, and it was a fantastic discussion to analyse where we are with foundational models. But before we dive into the show today, secure frame empowers businesses to build trust with customers by simplifying information security and compliance through AI and automation. Thousands of fast -grown businesses including Nasdaq, Angel List, Doodle and Coda trust secure frame to expedite their compliance journey for global security and privacy standards, such as Sokto and ISO 27001. CMMC, NIST, Standards and more. Bad by top tier investors and corporations like Google and Client Perkins, The company is among Forbes' list of the top 100 startup employers for 2024.

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3:17And here's what I'm excited, modes equity offerings have raised over 30 million from 20 ,000 plus retail investors. One of 2025's standout public raises, you can now join me as a shareholder with as little as $1 ,000 at invest .modemobile .com forward slash 20vc for a limited time unlock up to 100 100 % bonus shares and a free earring phone. Email us for investor brief at 20vc at modemobile .com or check out invest .modemobile .com forward slash 20vc. You have now arrived at your destination. Richard, dude, I am so excited for this. We did one before remote. It is so much better in person. So when you said you're in London, I was like, we have to make this happen.

3:57So thank you for joining me. Thanks for having me. It's a beautiful day. It is a beautiful day. It's never like this. I want to start with a little bit on you for those that are listening for the first time. High level on why you're a rock star and what you is. High level, then my PhD at Stanford. I'm credited for having brought neural networks into the field of natural language processing. I was a very controversial idea at the time. It's a very obvious and retrospect, this is a story of my life. So, you know, brought like word vectors, like improve those massively and sort of build one of the two most popular word vectors.

4:28Then we pushed contextual vectors so you can pre -train not just a single word vector, but a whole sentence embedding that then became LMO, which became BERT, which is one of the most cited papers still in the world. And then we met at Prompt Engineering, which was majorly rejected publicly on open review, an idea that made no sense to the reviewers. And now, in retrospect, it's so obvious, like no one could have even invented it. It's just like, of course, you can ask questions to one model, and no matter the question, you'll get an answer. So done a lot of research after PhD, The startup called MetaMind was acquired by Salesforce, where I became chief scientist.

5:05After four and a half happy years at Salesforce, I started U .com. U .com basically came from this idea that we have a single model now, a single neural net that can answer all the different kinds of questions. So clearly, people on the internet should get better answers than lists of blue links that we get from Google. And so we started with that premise, but eventually realized a lot of people ask fairly simple questions to Google. like what's the weather tomorrow, what's the score of the soccer game, what's the, who's the president of the US, what's the price of the stock and like on a lot of those questions, you don't really have the opportunity to be 10x better than a Google.

5:41You get that answer within one second and that's it. And so we realized eventually the killer app for large language models and complex answers is an enterprise. And so we're now helping companies with answers, agents, and a path towards EGI. I would love to start with top level, because it is very noisy, and it is very confusing to understand what's going on. When you evaluate where we are in the LLM landscape today, how do you evaluate the current status of where we are? Boy, I think AI is kind of this tide that's rising, but on top of that tide, you have a lot of little hype bubbles that come up and down.

6:20And in some ways, you can think about when Sam, for instance, says the next generation of models will be as good as a PhD student. The corollary there is that most jobs don't even require PhD. If you do service for DoorDash or something, you don't need a PhD to answer service questions. And so LM's are already good enough. They just need to be brought into companies to be actually made useful. And so I think that's sort of one state. And then the future state is, of course, we get, we'll get even better reasoning. And at some point, they're very, very narrow niches where these models can be as good or better than an expert human.

6:59So there's still a lot of room to grow. And so in fact, I, it's such a confusing state that part of this book I'm writing includes a chapter on what I call the upper bounds of intelligence, where I essentially group intelligence into 10 different dimensions or groups of dimensions. And then we can kind of say in this dimension, there is like a fairly low upper bound in we're fairly close to it. For example, object detection and computer vision, it's actually kind of solved. We can classify most objects on the planet now and the upper bound that that type of intelligence can ever get to is all objects on the planet.

7:36And so I think we're already 80, 90 % there. But in the other bounds like knowledge, well, if you include the molecular composition of every planet in the universe as part of knowledge, we are astronomically, quite literally and figuratively speaking away from ever having a, I reached that upper bound that is basically in the world of physics. And so, the state of LMs is very perplexing right now. We were talking about the speed with which the landscape moves. We are seeing this seemingly intense commoditization of LLMs. Do you agree with the commoditization of LLMs? 100%. Yeah. If they are being commoditized, is their value in them?

8:13It's very interesting, but on value, you have to also differentiate between value creation and value capture. I think LM companies, especially just the pure thin infrastructure layer of LMs, are going to look, I think, more and more like telcos. In the sense that it's high -cap X, huge expenditure to build it, especially if you want to build it from scratch, it creates a lot of value in the world. You can't build an Uber app if people don't have internet everywhere, but you necessarily capture that value just like Vodafone and T -Mobile and like whoever don't get a cut of Uber working now, right?

8:54And so I think that's kind of the mental model I built for LMS. Can I interject there and say the core of a Telco business model is actually sustainability and retention. It's why they often tie you into very long -term contracts. If you look at the LTVs of a Vodafone or a T -Mobile customer, these are incredibly long, 10 year plus. You're right. That's where it breaks. It's even worse because the one -preparing player breaks it's a software so you don't have you have even less of a moat and with open source it's it's even more now I said this to Kevin Scott at Microsoft and he said what's the moat with search go from Google to Bing Just the same but you don't you stay with Google We didn't obviously say that can see obviously with Bing But my question to you then is like how do you see the distribution of value across the LLM space with the recognition of that?

9:40That's why I said, if you're in that thin infrastructure layer, and that was an important qualification, because OpenAI is a consumer app company. They make their revenue, the vast majority of their revenue, from a consumer app called ChatGBT. If you're now just in that API infrastructure layer, it's very different. You have a lot more pressure. And Thropic has a lot more pressure to keep building the best models because Claude is so much smaller in terms of market share for the consumer app. And so that's why that analogy doesn't work. And you're right. Like consumers, once you're really famous and you cross that threshold of just like being well known, being the default for a lot of people, all the other LM apps companies are almost rounding errors to chat GBT.

10:21Why do anthropic still keep the consumer products of Claude? They are clearly very, very good at engineering. They are clearly used by the best engineering companies in the infrastructure layer. Why bother keeping the consumer facing products? I think in AI, if you say I have the best model, but people can play around with it very quickly, people call BS on you. So there's not a data network effect. There's not a data acquisition play really there on user inputs that make models better. It could be that they use random conversations and maybe train and guide it. Do you think we're seeing the specialization of these different providers?

10:55Like you said there, you have anthropocryphalcy very much focusing on engineering, so to speak, the consumer product of chat GBT. you said about you really focusing on enterprise and enterprise workflows. Are we seeing this realization of shit? There's no inherent value in horizontal products. We need to be specialized. Maybe just because ChatchyBT owns the consumer market that hard, you have to find a different part of the niche. And we're seeing that play out in a variety of different ways. We're also focusing more on enterprise. My hunch is other people will follow us into that. Because that is just normal consumers again, either they have a majority, very simple questions or they don't want to pay, ads and chat are really hard.

11:32We actually evaluated that. They work about 10 to 100x worse than search ads. And you have twice the cost about. Talk to me about that, sorry. So ads in an airline do not work. They work 10 to 100x worse. Wow. Search ads. Search, right? Google at some point found that no matter how bad they make the product, people don't know how well it's to Google. Right? So they default. Also, it's very scary and sad. statistic is like 80 % of all iPhone users never change a single setting of any kind. Whatever is the default gets used and that's why like Google pays Apple $20 billion a year to be that default, right?

12:10And so it's very hard to move away from that kind of powerful of a lock -in. And then if you realize that you can say, well, if we need to make more revenue this quarter compared to last quarter, let's just do six ads instead of five ads. And when the organic or link results get worse and worse because there are SEO and then everyone knows they're kind of getting terrible. Turns out you make even more money because the product gets worse but the ads become more and more relevant. And so after doing that for 10 years as an untouchable monopoly, the experience suffered, right? And so there is like some potential here but the default is still very, very strong.

12:42What happens from this point on? We add like Guillermo Rausch from Vassal, tweet the other day that actually they've seen conversion is to that site trends for 1 .6 % to now 4 .5%. It used to be that take direct from the chat GPT. My question to you is, do we just see this slow migration away from Google? Do we see Gemini integrated into Google search? Well, how do we see that conversion happen? There's sort of big waves in consumer applications of bundling and unbundling. For a while, I was hoping we would be in a bundling kind of wave still, But I think it's fairly clear that we're still in a very large wave of unbundling.

13:22Consumers are okay going to Yelp for a restaurant review and then going to if they really care about the weather because they aren't flying sports or something going to a specific weather app like windy, then they go to specific app like Uber eats to like get food delivery or Dordash or whatever to get their foods. Search if they want to make a very small purchase that's like 20 bucks and they don't care about it. They searched directly on Amazon, on young people now look directly on TikTok because they want the food to look good in their Instagram or TikTok or whatever videos. And so I think there's a huge unbundling wave.

13:56And so LMS, it is part of that unbundling wave of Google, LMS will capture whenever you have a more complex question. And then you just look at how many people have complex questions in their lives. And the more you are a knowledge worker, the more complex questions you have in your life. And they're often have them at work. and that's where like efficiency matters too. And those are some of the many reasons why you calm moved in enterprise. Does one need to be the best and innovative today when you can just distills very effectively? I think that answer depends on the dimension that you want to be best at.

14:31I do think it's good to it's obviously always helpful to be the best. We pride ourselves to be the most accurate and that is a never ending game. So whenever you say you're the best, you're the best in that moment. And you have to keep working on it. And it does help. There's help with marketing and branding and sales for the most part. I feel like we have still not maxed out our abilities on the marketing side and branding side of things, but at least sales works well enough now that we're really increasing revenue and that's ultimately what matters. Do you think we overestimate adoption in the short term for large enterprises and underestimated in the long term?

15:03We have seen actually some of our largest enterprise customers now had failed opening eye projects or had failed sales. I'll tell you that or build their own with some APIs. Those are some of the largest customers we've had and they fail usually for two reasons. One is adoption. They had to pay a thousand seat licenses for opening eye and then six months later they realize only six percent are actually using them every week. So they've been sitting and paying for 90 % licenses. Why is that? With AI, every person will become a manager. But most people are not used to managing other people or processes.

15:44They're used to being individual contributors, doing a specific type of work and doing it well. Now, when you become a manager, you have to learn to distill all your knowledge in a very succinct and unambiguous way to another entity, in this case, an agent. And so we're helping people essentially train up their own agent. So whatever process they have in their company, takes them enough hours, they have they repeated every couple of weeks or every couple of days. Like, We teach them on how to actually tell that to an AI and then they just have their own agent and they'll just automate that for them Do you think we will operate in a world of horizontal agents that do many different toss and it's kind of like your personal assistant?

16:22What do you think we operate in a world of many verticalized agents which are specialized for very specific toss? Yeah, I think a lot of companies right now would love to immediately own the end user and then do all of that below but my hunch is we've gone through this at U .com too when we're still doing more consumer and we're looking into like basically you want it to make it easier for users to get things done, right? This is the same idea that now we see with agents and when you look into it, like I remember this demo where a startup founder was like had his little device and he's like, I wanna have a trip to London with my four kids and you know on this weekend and then one, two, three and it's done and I was like, that was definitely BS.

17:02Like, there's no way that was true because when you've ever booked a trip, there's so many little nuances. And you realize, like, as much as I love natural language, natural language is not the single best interface for a lot of different types of answers. Sometimes you want to see a map. Like, sometimes you want to see a table. Sometimes you want to see a map with a bunch of specific overlays. And sometimes it's okay to just do it over voice. But even flight booking becomes complicated and changes over time. Take something as simple as booking a flight when you're student and then six months later after you've had a job Well, once you have a job and you have more money, but less time You'd rather pay extra for direct flight versus a one -stop flight The AI needs to know all these subtle details about you to get really good and we're sort of in this valley of disillusionment on a lot of these what I call action agents that go on the web and actually do something for you and take actions that you can't undo And say you buy it ticket that's not refundable something There's this valley of disillusionment that we're in right now because the agents just don't know enough yet about the user.

18:07Do we have the data to allow these agents to operate effectively? A lot of internal processes and actions within companies aren't actually codified in data. Do we actually have that? In some consumer use cases, you would assume if Google really wanted to have it, Apple really wanted to have it in theory, they could. You've been quite vocal about Google before. Are you impressed by that latest enhancements with Gemini and where they've really positioned themselves? I think it's never been a question of technical strength for Google. It's just a question of classic innovators dilemma. You make money by showing ads and lists of blue links, so it's hard to give people just a straightforward, useful answer.

18:49And they have to play around with that now because there's too much pressure. But in a perfect world for them, not perfect for the end And user, they wouldn't want to change that experience. It just prints $500 million a day. Google made this so much money. They didn't know what to do with it. They don't want to pay dividends, because then you kind of admit defeat that you can't grow anymore, and you don't know, you ran out of ideas. So you have to keep doing something, and they built internet balloons and self -driving cars, and like, just infrastructure, fiber, interesting. They have so much money, don't know what to do.

19:19It's also very difficult to acquire, because you have the regular tree provisions, which means it's super super hard to get anything through that's non -core, which is why you get something like, where's that thing, which is like, enterprise is not core enough for it to be blockable by any regulators. So I totally agree with you there. But I do think Google are actually best positioned. When you think about one of the most important things being touch points to end consumers, I don't think anyone other than them and Microsoft are actually better positioned. I mean, in theory, Apple would be so well positioned, but in practice, they've been not doing much.

19:48What is the thing that's holding back the progression today of LLMs and specifically how we use them? I think one is that personalization and that's why it's so easy for people to switch around LLMs too. DeepSeek overtook almost every other thing other than Chathevity within the weeks. With almost no proper marketing, other companies in our space spent millions of dollars every week on marketing. And DeepSeek comes in and says, what do you think they did to do that? I mean, obviously, one, the fact that it was the first open source model that wasn't just almost up to par, but like in some cases was actually above.

20:27The closed source models was just a shock. You could almost hear billions of dollars of VC investment evaporate sort of into the ether when that happened. Everyone said that should have been impossible. And there's a narrative of you got to have billions and billions of dollars to be able to even compete. So don't even try that was the big shock the timing was great to like it was actually for several weeks It was the absolute best model which is harder and harder, you know like this weekend We have a new alarm for model why it was a launch on weekend Maybe they know something we don't maybe in like a week or two.

20:59There's an even better model That's gonna come out right there's some luck involved too and then just like that the fact that it came out of China gave it even more press controversial that could have happened in China. And of course, like, why are you surprised? China has been incredibly good at taking technology and making it scalable and cheaper. One of the big elements you mentioned that was the cost of factiveness was which they said they tried the models. Do you buy how efficient they were in when they stated how much money it cost? Of course not. Like, I think they had, and that was part of their marketing narrative and part of the other marketing narrative for a closed source company.

21:35So this is super expensive and they all have sort of underlying reasons of why they pushed the number to be super high or why they pushed the number to be super low. It's also clear that it probably cost them $100, $100 million, but it's still incredibly cheaper than billions of dollars that were told it would take to train these kinds of models. So the fact that I think they floated like $56 million, that was maybe the very last training run at best. If you just count electricity costs or something, but electricity costs can be higher, and they fluctuate, buying the GPUs is not included in that.

22:06Generally in model development, you train one, finally, really good, final, good model. On the path to that, you had to run many, what we call, ablations or hyperparameter runs, where you tune a little bit. Should this joint be moving this much or that much, these large models have thousands of these hyperparameters, and you need to tune them. On the path towards the best model, usually train hundreds if not thousands of smaller models with increasing sizes. So all of these will have cost like several millions of dollars to or maybe hundreds of thousands and they're smaller. And so long story short, you put all that together.

22:40It was probably close to 100 to 100. Is distillation wrong? No. It's a useful thing to make models smaller. Yeah. Do you think models of venture investments, when you look at the dilution that happens to venture investors over the successive rounds is because so much money to do. And then you also have stock -based comp, which makes it just even more dilusive. I don't think any venture investors are going to make money from my alarms. Yeah. Again, if you're just in that narrow niche of infrastructure rather than you own the end user in some capacity, you own some vertical. I have personally stayed away from investing in any Purell and Infrastructure companies.

23:18If you're an investor, stay full -time. Why would you be spending the most time? early stage strong technical teams that also have some market insights into a specific vertical and a specific app. And one of the big verticals that we I love so much and think from first principles is the right time to buy right now is in biology too. And so biotech is essentially perfect storm. Right now the markets are really down public bio valuations are much lower for early stage startups even if they already make good revenue. And the technology is just the perfect tool to really push biology to the next level.

23:53So you said that about kind of reasonable pricing with buyer. Do you think we're in a bubble in terms of AI early stage? Again, this is sort of where I think the analogy is the tide is rising, but it's also hot. So from time to time, there are bubbles on top of it. I don't think we're in an AI bubble period. I think intelligence, the fact that the marginal cost of intelligence goes down is the same as like the marginal cost of electricity or coal or something going down. but we will just use it more and more. Like a couple of years ago, I tweeted and read about this thing called Jeven's Paradox.

24:26A couple of weeks or months ago, some other people have found it also and talk about it a lot, but it is for those who haven't yet seen it. It's a very useful analogy here. So in the first industrial revolution, like 1860s or so, Jeven's was an economist and he looked into the price of coal. And a lot of the smartest engineers and minds at the time made more and more efficient coal like steam engines. And so he eventually thought, and a lot of people thought, well, if steam engines get more and more efficient, then we'll need less and less coal. So the price of coal will go down. Well, what actually happened is you just use steam engines in more and more places.

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25:03Eventually, they could create electricity. They can move steam boats and so on. And you just used it more and more. And so the price of coal actually went up instead. And so I think the analogy here is that, yes, I like to cost the marginal cost of intelligence keeps going down. but that just means we're going to use it more and more places. What do you think we don't use it today, or don't even think to use it today, where we will be using it? A two areas where I think almost every person also agrees on the planet that it's not about the jobs, but about the outcomes, and that's research and medicine.

25:32Most people don't say, I want more PhD students like in the world. They just want the cool things that PhD students develop. And most people don't say, I want more jobs in healthcare. They just want cheaper, faster, better healthcare. care. And so I think those are two beautiful areas that still were they haven't had their Chatchy VT moment. And I'll maybe mention one more, which is AI and economics. I'm writing this book right now. We've had this paper in 2018, I think, called the AI economist. And the field of economics hasn't had their Chatchy VT moment yet, because it's such an old, slow -moving field.

26:06They don't have archive papers. They don't have conferences where you publish every couple of months. And so we actually built this two -level reinforcement learning model where you had an AI economist and you had a bunch of intelligent agents that were just maximizing their own utilities and they're adapting to different taxation schemes and tariffs and subsidies and so on. And you basically could now ask this model, the system, what's the most efficient taxation and subsidization scheme for maximizing this objective that I'm giving you? And people can disagree on what the objectives are. One reasonable one was productivity multiplied with equality.

26:43And then that system could simulate billions and billions of years of taxation and subsidization schemes until you basically would find the optimal brackets and whatnot. And just imagine how many millions of lives were lost to humanity trying to figure those things out. Instead, we could ask an AI to give us some advice on what would be the actual best setup if you have certain set of goals. You wouldn't have to try out a massive tear of change in the world. You could just ask an AI model first to simulate it for you. That is an underrated area of AI. That's fascinating. I've never heard about that before.

27:21That paper, we did that work at Salesforce and the science marketing. You realize, even science, you think, oh, it's just like, someone has a Urika moment and then because of that, they become super famous and everyone loves that idea. here, science is also a human system and you have to do brand and marketing, like something that DeepMine and London here does incredibly well. Their science marketing is probably the best in the world. And so that paper never quite had its moment in the sun yet. One thing I worry about is like the excitement around robotics. I find that robotics have not had their chat GPT moment on the foundation models side.

27:55How do you think about robotics is having their chat GPT moment or lack of yet and maybe excitement or lack of excitement that you have towards it moving forward. That is a great question. I think that tricky bit in robotics is that the part of Y -Chatchubit had this amazing moment is that it's so general. You can just ask it anything. So the equivalent to the generality of a Chatchubit is a humanoid. But the humanoid don't work really well yet. The problem is when robotics, like the cost, right, you only want to build specific types of robots when there's a highly scalable process. And now, once there's a highly scalable process, the humanoid form factor is not the most optimal factor.

28:36If you have a highly scalable process is in the fields and agriculture. You don't want a bunch of humanoid robots hunching over and weeding. No, you just get a friggin massive tractor with a bunch of lasers and thousands of little arms and spray cannons. And then you just either zap the weeds away. You don't have them hand plucked by a humanoid robot. And so for almost every process that is highly repeatable, there's a better, more quickly evolved, new hardware form than five fingers on two arms. And so, and so humanoid only was in case of ambiguity. In ambiguity and where you have a massive scale of many different tasks in environments that were custom built for people, where maybe the speed and efficiency doesn't matter as much and so on.

29:24Like just take like even for consumer, right? You have a dishwasher. You don't like imagine you could have a humanoid doing the dishes But it would be so much less efficient than a dishwasher would be and so maybe humanoids I love them unfortunately Excitement in the future isn't a zero -sum game. I can love Custom -made robots. I can still be excited about humanoids as well And then why would what's the bull case to be excited about humanoids then because I just listened to you there And I'm like it's a completely rational right and fair paint the bull case I think the bull case is at home like when it actually the speed doesn't matter But there's just a whole host of many different tasks So you can have a Roomba and the Roomba will do one thing better than a humanoid You can't have a dishwasher and will do that thing better than a humanoid But if you now also have like 50 other things sort my socks and do this and open the door and get a package from outside Put it inside and like 50 or a hundred other little tasks None of which you actually have to at scale massively every day all the time so the custom robot form factor doesn't make sense.

30:26Then I think humanoids can be helpful and if they're quiet enough and the task execution is quite enough, you can have them work slowly all night, right? You have a party and you wake up and the whole place is clean again. Now the problem is that that is, it's like these cluttered environments that are all different, there's no standardization, that's really, really hard for AI. Also, the dexterity that's required within the hands to know about picking up a glass and how much tension to put on it versus not breaking it to plumpe pillows, jeeps as it sounds. Yeah. I was speaking to one founder of Nathan, but so far away from that.

30:58It's similar to what we see and what we have seen with like radiology, for instance. It's very easy to build one radiology classifier for one thing and make that better than a human, but then there's this very long tail of things. And so you need a lot of money and a lot of resources and a lot of data to see the long tail of all things in radiology before you could actually automate a radiology process fully from end to end and get it fully FDA certified and so on. And in household robotics, you have the same very long tail. It's so interesting. It's almost like the opposite of our lens where like the technology is ready and it's actually human adoption is the thing that's stopping it versus like robotics, which is like actually the adoption, I think would be that to have a cleaner in every household, but actually it's the technology that's blocking the adult.

31:42Still, it's still a lot of hard work and very interesting research. And more and more development, I think Facebook, Meta, had open source, some new finger tips also that had some pressure sensors and stuff. And you'd have to incorporate data. I think it's doable now. It's just a lot of work. I've had guests on the show before talk about different medical discoveries. And my mother's got a mask you mentioned about biology. Do you think that we will find the solution to some of the biggest medical problems in the next 10 years through some of the discussion that we found already? Yes. That is one of several chapters in my book or about that.

32:21I think that's one of the most exciting part of AI. That AI will change. In many ways, science, I think, has been stuck in understanding the micro really, really well, but has not yet found a tool to understand complex systems really well. Like, we know every neuron and how every single neuron in your brain works. Just from first principles, you can take one out and you see it has all the synapses and you can compare and then you see, okay, there's inputs, outputs and this, out fires. But then when you put a bunch of them together and suddenly you have intelligence, like no one understands sort of these thresholds, these complex systems emerging and having these emergent properties.

33:00And you know, why is that when the brain is slightly bigger and has enough neurons and the right setup now all of a sudden you have true human intelligence versus much less strong animal intelligence, but they can have better visual intelligence, but not language intelligence and all these different things. These emerging properties, the same with microbiome in our gut. We understand how one bacterium does, but then you put them all together. No one can really tell you why certain foods will create a skin issue or change your mood and things like that and how it all connects your microbe. People literally do poop transplants because we don't understand and sometimes they work and work magically well and cure actual diseases for people because now they have better got microbiome.

33:45And so I think there's so much complexity and AI is the perfect tool to tackle that kind of complexity because we can now have similar things, we understand how one neuron works, but when you have enough of them, you scale it up enough, all of a sudden you can have a conversation and people think it's a human being on the other side. Right. And so AI is a perfect tool. Medicines the perfect application for that. Why are you most concerned about AI? Job changes are brutal in the moment. There will add a lot of pressure on social systems. I think the long term, I'm an optimist, but short term, you've got to have good social systems and help people with a path in this new AI future as their jobs change and fall away.

34:22The modern day ludites of like our illustrators, right? Because it used to be that you can charge $500 for an illustration. And if you cared about just seeing illustrations as art and you want to see as much art as possible in the world You're excited about having I now create Ghibli and all other kinds of beautiful illustrations But if that was your life's income and you spend years honing that skill and now that skill is just not worth it anymore And it's cost five cents or less to make the illustration you hate the technology right and this is understandable now Of course just like the past day luteids We're all appreciate having a t -shirt and everyone even in Africa can have as many t -shirts as they want and it's very cheap and we like most humanity likes the outcomes, but most people don't like it when they get paid by the hour for those outcomes.

35:04And so that is a negative downside that I think it's on to governments to help their people not to block the technology and enforce not using it, but actually use it and use the proceeds and help people to learn new kinds of skills. Everyone always says, well, you know, we've always had this before you've got the agricultural revolution, you've got like, bunny PCs into entering workforces in the 90s. That took actually multi decades. It took long, long time periods to actually move physical machinery into large farms and still a lot of cases there isn't in some parts of the world. Same with PCs, it took a decade actually for PCs to fully be.

35:38This is a software update, so the speed of transition is completely different. Yes and no. It is a software update, but you'd be surprised and we talked about this a little bit earlier. The adoption is not as fast as you think. It takes people to change their process. It takes them some time. I don't think it'll happen as quickly as people think. There's still, I think 60 % of all adults in the US have never talked to a chat model, like at all. And that's the US. I can just go to Europe, I'm sure that is even higher. Do you think in the future we will choose which model we use? I find this okay, we are choosing the model when we're putting in a prompt.

36:11It's like taking your car to the car mechanic and being like, I want that span and not that span. It's like, no, you'll just get given the best model for that specific prompt and request, no? Yeah, yeah. So it's actually something that we we have shipped internally and I think it'll come out in a week or two on you .com Like to just automate that orchestration completely away and only the power users who really want to can double click into the interface and then choose which model to use. Find that absolutely bizarre 100 % staying on that. They're like, what is the right solution for government?

36:41Everyone says UBI. This will lead to mass unemployment in in funding the short term and retraining is hard. Retraining is hard. I used to be a big fan of UBI and I thought that seems like a fair thing to do and I think you have to One acknowledge that everything falls in some normal distribution I think that we have to teach kids a drive to want to create something like to actually have desires To make improvements to the world In fact, I think one of the biggest civilization area unlocks would be to all agree that that entropy or darkness in the universe is the enemy and that we should spread consciousness into the universe.

37:22If we can all agree that's the goal, then we can always be motivated to do more of that to spread intelligence and intelligent entities into the universe. That would be beautiful. But swimming back in, I think the problem is that while most people complain about their jobs, it does give them meaning. It does give them meaning to be a valuable part of society and to have earned something that they can then give to their family, to their kids, and so on. And so I think UBI will take that meaning away. And we're already in a meeting crisis with the technology and society that we have set up for ourselves in many places.

37:55And I think that will just exacerbate it. Do you think it's being like meaning? Do you think we will have AI friends in a more significant way that we have human friends? I think we will have more significant AI friends, but I hope it's not more significant than our friendships with people. And you believe that we'll have like the AI companion? You know, I've been an investor in like a replica like many, many years ago. To me, you can find beautiful examples where people just say, look, I used to journal. Now I write into this thing and sometimes it asks me questions back and it makes me feel like someone, someone cares.

38:29Think about your best friend. If they kept coming into you every single day with all their little problems, you know, like that problem didn't cross my threshold of being relevant enough for you to tell me about it. You know, like, but some people have like that desire to just tell other people about their problems all the time. And very few people have the time and capacity and emotional capacity to hear that all the time every day. But so I think it's a perfectly fine use case for people to work through their problems just like they used to write a diary. So if you were advising a 19 year old or a 21 year old coming out of university with school about where they should focus to prevent themselves bluntly being in a position where they have to retrain.

39:08Where would that be? It's similar but different like because in high school, after you finish high school, you can still study it for a couple of years. So that's a big difference. Once you're already out of college, it's like it's much harder. But knowing computer science is incredibly important. Like knowing how to program is incredibly important. Why do you say that with the commodalization a lot of low level programming? For the same reason why we're speaking English and like I could have stayed in Germany and never learned English. And then every time you say something, I, you know, for a while, I would type it in and then hear it.

39:42And then like every, you know, two minutes would have like some useful bit of information going back and forth. Or eventually I'm going to have just like a full bottle fish in my ear. And it will translate it hopefully fairly well and get the connotations and maybe capture my voice. And maybe that technology is like like fully there in five years or so, like so good, so cheap, so prevalent that everyone will just travel with it and everything. I think even then it'll be useful for some people to know some languages. But do we need to translate as much? No, actually in my masters I was studying Chinese back in Germany, I just fell in love at that time with statistical machine learning pattern recognition and statistics and what we now call AI and like realize like that is a more useful way to spend my time than learning five more languages, which is beautiful for me, but not useful for humanity.

40:31And so I do think that will fall away, but programming isn't just about programming itself and being like an IT or being a programmer or a developer or so on. It's also about a different way of thinking, and it's a different way of understanding the world that you're in. And so if you have an understanding of that, then it feels less like magic, and you are more empowered to actually contribute to that world. So I think that's important. Even if you want to study law, medicine, chemistry, or whatever, you should combine it with computer science because all of these fields are going to change over the next couple of decades.

41:06How do engineering teams and that structure change over the next couple of decades? I think the biggest problem and biggest worry I have is that the entry level jobs right now are more and more automatable. And so you hopefully have companies that have a long enough time horizon such that they're willing to train people even though an AI could do the job because they're either cheap enough or like they just have a long -term view on the world. And then by the time they are senior enough, hopefully I hasn't automated that senior job also. And then they can be in that senior role and then manage all the AI agents because they understand the processes.

41:42Turns out if you've never done something, it's much harder to manage someone to do it for you. Same with like vibe coding, right? It's super fun. It's awesome. I just posted this really funny video, this comedian about vibe coding. But if you don't know how to program at all, you're also not going to be as good of a vibe coder. There's just certain things, like complexity theory. You just say, oh, do this sorting for me, or do this, you know, like if you don't know how sorting algorithms work and how fast they could be, like make it fast and make it fast. And sometimes there are certain complexity, theoretical upper bounds of how fast sorting algorithms can be.

42:16And you're just telling it that it'll go to jail if it doesn't do it faster, like, is not gonna make it any faster. And so it's useful to understand that you also have seen that even LMS benefit in their general reasoning skills when they know and have seen programming as training data. And I think that's true for people too. So will engineering teams be smaller? I think so. I think a lot of teams will be more efficient, will be managers of AI, I think all the boring bits of all work. I think one of the ways to think about future work is one, will all become managers of AI. Number two, managing is hard.

42:46And so we have to train people to it. What that means is like in the future, every time you do a job like a dozen, two dozen times, you're gonna be like, wait, why hasn't the AI now taken that over from me? Why do I still have to do this repeatable boring thing? I personally hate repeatable boring things, so I'm all for it. But that is a mindset shift that schools don't teach yet. And that will take a generation of kids to have to grow up in this mindset. We see this kind of continuous battle between windsurf and karsa. And a lot of people say that there's actually very little switching costs between moving between the two.

43:20How do you think about that and how that marketplace out? Yeah, and Codium, I wish I could have invested in Cursor. One of the founders was actually an intern at U .com and I would have loved to invest, but yeah, so and then Codium I fortunately was able to invest in. Was he Berlin? Yeah, he was very, very smart. I really tried to keep him at U .com and stuff. He went from intern to, I think, CEO. Of course, and so yeah, really important. Why did you want? Why did you not follow his money? Well, I'd run a trying and bass when he started. I tried. Did some other investors were like, oh, well, they had an even closer relationship with him.

43:53Busters. They had investors. Okay. I'm happy for him. So yeah, there is very little switching costs. Same as true for LMS in the consumer world, right? They're not. None of them are that amazing yet. None of them do enough personalization yet. Now where there is a lot of switching costs is if you have company internal data or you have unique data assets. How can send all A for you in terms of giving very, very private data to you? Well, traditionally, it might be held on prem that none of us bought security, that none of us bought privacy. How much of an actual barrier is that? It's a huge barrier.

44:24LMs are garbage and garbage out to a large degree. So if you have a search model or an index and you ask, like, what's new with Trump? And that search index brings back pages from like six years ago. So the LM will tell you wrong and outdated things about that query. So the search is kind of the often forgotten infrastructure layer for LMs. And so companies are rightfully concerned about privacy and all of that. That's why we have zero data retention. We have agreements that we don't train any model on company internal data. That's how you get into enterprise. Do you think we are seeing the biggest corporate misbehavior from this generation taking ChatGbt and putting company data in it?

45:09They shouldn't. They should stop doing that if they have done it in the past. Do you know what they're saying? I think a lot of people are doing it, but we also know now we have customers who are like, okay, like we want to know exactly which models are accessible and have these security requirements and so on. And that's where you really can't be like a great consumer company and a great enterprise like company at the same time, it's very, very hard, and we're focused on that enterprise, and make sure that the security's there, the trust is there, the accuracy of the answers there, the ability to say, I don't know, is there.

45:41All of these things are important aspects. So what extent is cash and the weight of cash a weapon in this market? In terms of like startups? Like, is cash a moat for Al Al Am's and for companies in this market? It can be, but we have seen some companies now that had raised hundreds of millions of dollars and still died. We're going to see a correction. When companies are trading 180X, they're AR and they don't have a real moat and like there's just switching costs as close to zero to go to deep sea or something else. You see some retention numbers on deep sea. I have not. They're pretty shit. I'm not surprised.

46:20No one's staying with deep sea. I'm not surprised. And so it's actually, is that very valuable? Does not prove that the ultimate value in this market is consumer brought. In some ways, I think AI has gotten so exciting for so many people that the start of world is going back to the basics. It's just like when there were 100 photo sharing apps and only one Instagram and maybe a flicker and so on, no pun intended flicker, I think we'll see something similar in AI. It just goes back to is your branding good, your marketing, your sales, your distribution. and then of course a lot of the technology things, but those get commoditized more and more, just like sharing photos was a fairly commodity capability, but a lot of little subtle details were better for Instagram.

47:03Now that's consumer. In consumer, you usually end up in monopoly or do -oply situations, enterprises a very different world. So what extent do you think we see ChatGbT and OpenAI moving kill a ton of different, more consumer -facing apps? So we looked at a company recently, and they were in the, basically picture creation space for fashion. So you take a picture of a model in a t -shirt and it'll do it in all the t -shirts in this Q line. Yeah. Yeah Open -Ai just really saw the other day. There's 10 of them that just died background remover. 10 just died To what extent will we see open -Ai killer generation of companies of this material?

47:39I actually don't think they're all gonna just die overnight like think about speech recognition It's very commodity. There's tons of open source speech recognition like algorithms you can download and so on there's still several companies that make millions and like tens or even hundreds of millions of revenue doing speed tracking conditions just perfectly. That lasts a little bit. Like you don't just throw like a full feature length movie and make it in this new style like with chat chavity like companies are going to want to have custom solutions for them. And even like that fashion thing, I think there's a space where you take the picture and and it's just integrated in your camera, in your workflow, you can change the skew, you can change the model's hair color and every little pixel is just perfect so you can put it on a big billboard.

48:27I think there will still be specialized companies that go and do deeper things. Then you could do if you knew how to use it all yourself and you're really clever and you are an early adopter. What do you think is the biggest misconception that people have today around AI and ALA LAMS? I think the biggest misconception is that we have sort of by modal like back and white when things are often in some gray in between. Like some people think it's going to take off over all the jobs. And then because it's so brilliant, like overnight, like everything we've gone and then like the next night it'll kill us all, right?

48:59Like it's just like this extreme optimism that then can sometimes also switch into extreme like pessimistic optimism of like, oh, the technology is so good and becomes fully self aware and conscious that it will then obviously want to kill us all. So there's like the commiss conception on that side. then there's a misconception to still, and I see this in Germany still, there's still people like, ah, you know, two years ago was crypto this year's AI, like maybe we'll just go away. And like that's also a huge misconception that still exists in the world. It's hard for you and I to imagine as we live sort of in a bubble, but I see it when I travel.

49:30Do you see with this advancement, we have escaped Moore's law in terms of all speed of progression? Is Moore's law ever -escapable? Of course. And like, you know, I think parallelism has helped the ton, like, and Nvidia shows us that, Yeah, we might not double the number of transistors or whatever every 18 months, but like we may have more parallel ones. And then there's still the the black horse of quantum, which may, you know, a lot of announcements unclear if they're like how real they all are, but like that will also be a major shift when it finally does happen, but it might still take 5, 10, 15 years.

50:01What would be the most significant changes the result from quantum development in a way that we would like to see? I mean, there's the obvious one that we don't want to see, which is like all the passwords need to be reencrypted and changed and all the data that it has been leaked, but is encrypted might get decrypted and hence like people know what's in some things of the past that they had hacked but couldn't really decipher yet or decrypt. So I think on the positive side, what I'm really excited about is getting quantum computers to a scale where we can simulate a cell. We can right now like really, really accurately only simulate like a few hundred atoms at best and how they really truly interact with one another.

50:43And like, neural nets can approximate, there's a lot of cool things where we can hack simulations, but to, from real first principles, like really deeply model physics and chemistry that is complex and eventually biology, like that will be such a massive unlock because in AI, anything you can simulate, AI can solve every problem that domain. Like, you can simulate Go or Chess, like, you can simulate a computer game because it's in the computer and you can play around with it. Obviously, AI is going to solve that at some point. None of those results were that surprising to me, though they, again, amazing marketing and agrazing, actually doing it, right?

51:18It's really hard, but it's not that surprising. But what we can't simulate most of the interesting things in the world, such as a cell. But once you can simulate a cell and multiple cells and organisms, all of a sudden AI can try billions of different things on how to cure that cancer, how to cure MS, how to cure all all the bacteria and viruses and like all these different things, like it will be such a massive unlock to be able to simulate those things with quantum computers and maybe also one more with normal computers. Dude, I would love to quick forward. I've patted you with different questions literally from every different spectrum.

51:52And I'm still thinking about the negative quantum trends in what kids need to do, but yeah, well, let's do a quick run. What did you believe that you now no longer believe? Like I said, I think a big one for me was this sort of skepticism about the future. I'll tell you a story. Like one of the co -founders of OpenAI and I started a bet and I think seven years ago or so, where he said, we'll have AGI in like nine or 10 years. And I was like, I mean, I'll work hard on research to make my prediction be wrong, but I really don't think we will. This was at like an AI conference and we're both like still more junior than we are now.

52:28And he had this like really strong belief and you know, they worked on robotic hands and they're like another step towards AGI. And I'm like, I mean, it was a cool robotics project. They worked on Dota game playing and open AI. And I'm like, that's a cool RL project. And they're like, another step towards AGI. And then, you know, they saw like our prompt engineering paper, which they cited, and like that NLP route was a more legit step towards AGI than the previous things. But long story short, we did this bet. And in the bet, he has to win. I think it ends in 2027. So three things have to be true.

52:59We have to have a personal robot that cleans the whole house the way my cleaning team does and it needs to be purchasable, like for reasonable amounts of money, it needs to solve the millennium math problem and it needs to like translate a book perfectly so that the actual author would be like that should be my official translation. All three have to be true for him to win the bet and I will probably still win my thousand dollar bet but he became a billionaire in the process of proving me wrong and so that kind of shows you you have to just have the constructive optimism and that was probably something that a belief I changed.

53:32It's just like, even if you don't think it can be quite possible, you should try to make the most audacious goals and set the most audacious goals for yourself and then basically work on pragmatic milestones towards those goals. Open AI at 300, anthropic at 60 or grog at 50, which would you most invest in? Can I choose none? I mean, open source puts a lot of pressure on it. It's really, how do you think about the distribution of value between close or snow principles? Do you know, I think it follows the latest of Linux? Like if you're really sophisticated, you can use the open source more and more.

54:08And as the open source models have caught up, it's just very hard to say, this is like super unique technology. It just becomes like, you know, for a while in technology, like having a really good database was really powerful. And indeed, there was like, there's an Oracle now. And so if you're really, really crazy large scale, then you might still use an Oracle. But for a lot of other folks, they can just use simpler, other smaller databases. And you have that wild horse of... Do you think they will? It's like you said that the final 10 % for speech recognition. Which is like, yeah, they can do what they don't.

54:40Yeah, I think, again, it's very different for consumer. Opening high actually has a massive number of consumers. And that's super, super powerful. And so, yeah. All of them have advantages. SON -3 .7 is actually the best model for a lot of things, especially in coding and engineering, and so on. Like you said, it's a little bit unclear to me. I personally, which is, I also just love investing in early stage where you can have 1 ,000 X's and so on. I just don't see 1 ,000 X's for those companies. Do you care about money? I don't. Has that always been the case? It has been always the case. Yeah, I was like, I was an academic for a long time.

55:13I want to be a professor. I want to do research. I missed the research also now still. I now have to, I realize at some point you have to care about money because money is one of the best indicators of impact and allows you to do epic cool things, but I don't intrinsically care about it. How do you think about defining or measuring success for yourself? I think a lot of it boils down to sort of how much positive impact you've had in the world that matters enough so that people in the future will still remember it. Is there an element of ego to that? about being remembered as the creator of. It's undeniable, like in some ways it's beautiful if you do it, but the difference here for me at least is that I'm okay just being remembered by the people that know.

55:59Like most people have no idea who invented penicillin and most people can't name the people who invented the cure for their cancer, because they're just like some doctor gave it to me and I got this medication out, right? But the people in the know know, and that would be good enough. What trait are you slightly ashamed of but has contributed to your success? I do get quite extreme too if I get into into a zone and then like everything is kind of a nuisance and And then you just get like just really intense about something. You get me. No. I'm also happily married So that helps not being lonely, but yeah, I don't I don't need people all the time around me In fact, I'm an introvert.

56:37I enjoy I have like sometimes events at my my place of like hundreds of people and like I enjoy that a lot. I get sort of there's an activation energy and then you're like, all right, I'm now in this mode, but afterwards I'm like, I don't have to see anyone for like another month now. The final one, when you look forward to the next 10 years, what are you most excited for that you think is realistic and we will see happen? Improving longevity is like one of those AI plus bio -correlaries or follows. That is just really exciting and I think longevity is massively underrated and there are a lot of people who are snarky and say, Oh yeah, whatever, I don't care.

57:14I want it. Like, all people say that until it's a few days before they're dead and they're in pain and they're like, fuck, I wish I was a little bit healthier, you know, beforehand. And was that really worth it to like drink all the time, not sleep enough and so on. So I am trying to be better about it personally. What do you do that you'd most like to stop doing? Most like to like not sleep enough. What's your sleep schedule? I'm traveling right now, so it's all screwed up. And that's like, that's actually one of the worst parts of traveling now. I was like, it's just messes with your sleep. Actually, I stopped drinking last year, also for longevity reasons.

57:47And life is like 20 % less fun, especially in some evenings and so on, but it is better. But I realized actually after not drinking anymore, that the majority of times when I felt bad in the morning traveling wasn't actually from alcohol. It's just from sleep deprivation and shitty sleep schedules. So I feel just as bad. I totally get you. Final one, final one, I promise. the magic he wants is in the actions you are avoiding. What actions are you avoiding? I like whenever I see something that I should be doing, I try to write it down and then I try to work towards it. So I'd like to think I don't avoid many actions.

58:25But I guess when it comes to longevity, like every night I wake up in the morning and I was like, I should have gone to bed earlier last night and I would probably feel better right now. So maybe that's the thing. Is the EU fucking itself AI regulation? Unfortunately, the EU has shot itself in the foot. A lot of different kinds of regulation, and in particular, AI regulation, destroying a fledgling ecosystem that could never get off the ground. What should we be doing that we're not doing? What would you do if you were in charge? A lot of things. I would make computer science, mandatory subject in all schools.

58:56A very sought -after minor for almost every major in college. I would help people and excite people more. It's also a marketing thing to some degree and just mindset shift for people to start their own companies because every person that cares about Outcomes and outputs loves AI. It's only the people who think of How to make money in terms of our spent that might not like AI and so Giving trying to do some marketing for the populist to have that mindset shift of like I can make outputs I can be an owner and an creator and then and possibly start a sovereign well fund so that you can just participate in all the upside of amazing AI technology worldwide, not just like sovereign well fund that only invests internally inside the country, but also externally.

59:44I'd make it easier for large enterprises to buy small startups. Also, maybe get some tech benefits or something for it because there's a lot of not invented humanity in large European companies. And so you just don't have as much of that ecosystem. I would reduce the barriers to go public. So did you have even more benefits for startups and have, you know, they're basically two exit routes, right? Either get acquired or you go public for VCs in the ecosystem. And so you'll get more VC if both routes work out better. I'll stop there. But I'm going to ask that question a lot. I try to be helpful when people ask me that question.

1:00:22Dude, thank you so much for putting up with me. Completely just pampering around. Like, as I said, I have these quite home schedules, and then I'm like, fuck it, let's just go for it. You've been fantastic, so thank you so much. It's always a pleasure talking to you, man. That was so much fun to have Rich in the studio there, and if you wanna see the full episode, you can find it on Spotify by searching for 20VC. But before we leave you today, Secure Frame Empower's businesses to build trust with customers by simplifying information security and compliance through AI and automation. Thousands of fast -growing businesses, including Nasdaq, Angel List, Doodle and Coda.

1:00:57Trust Secureframe to expedite their compliance journey for global security and privacy standards, such as Sokto and ISO 27001. CMMC, NIST, Standards and more. Bad by top tier investors and corporations like Google and Cliner Perkins, the company is among Forbes' list of the top 100 startup employers for 2024. Cheetu's best software awards for higher satisfaction products and a recipient of the 2024 cyber security excellence awards. Something I definitely never got in school myself. Learn more today at Secureframe .com. And speaking of trust and intelligence, let me tell you about Harmonic. Did you know that half of the 27 companies started last year by OpenAI alumni are still in stealth?

1:01:39I discovered this on Harmonic, the complete start -up database used by Excel, Insight Menlo, and hundreds of other leading VCs, as well as go -to -market teams from the likes of notion, and Brexit and Google to find the best startups and founders even in stealth. Few things annoy me more than missing a round where we know the founder and should have led the round. But now this is a problem of the past. Harmonic maps everyone your team has ever met, emailed or connected with to the source of truth for startups. So when that company that was just a little too early suddenly gains traction, you won't be too late.

1:02:13Or when you find the perfect company for your thesis or product, you'll know that Sarah just happens to know their CTO. How does Sarah know everyone? Who knows? She's a genius. Learn how VCs and GTM teams find the best startups, six months ahead of the competition on harmonic .ai. And while harmonic helps you stay ahead of the curve in startup investing, what if your phone could help you do the same with your wallet? We spent nearly half of our waking lives glued to our phones, upwards of 50 hours every week, recently one company transforming this reality stood out so much I personally became a shareholder, mode mobile.

1:02:48Mode mobile created the earn phone, a smartphone that pays you for daily activities. Instead of big tech profiting billions from our attention, mode returns over 325 million directly to users through earnings and savings. Mode's revenue surged an incredible 32 ,000 % in 3 years, recognized by Deloitte as 2023's fastest growing software company in North America. And here's why I'm excited. Moad's equity offerings have raised over 30 million from 20 ,000 plus retail investors. One of 2025's standout public raises, you can now join me as a shareholder with as little as $1 ,000 at invest .modemobile .com, Ford slash 20VC for a limited time, unlock up to 100 % bonus shares and a free earn phone, email us for investor brief at 20VC at modemobile .com or check out invest .modemobile .com, Ford slash 20VC.

1:03:39As always, I so appreciate all your support and stay tuned for an incredible episode coming on Monday with the founder of Dave, the most incredible turnaround in the public markets. They went from over a billion dollars to a 50 million dollar market cap. The turnaround story on Monday.

From the publisher

Rich Socher is the Founder and CEO of You.com. Richard previously served as the Chief Scientist and EVP at Salesforce. Before that, Richard was the CEO/CTO of the AI startup MetaMind, which Salesforce acquired in 2016. He is widely recognised as having brought neural networks into the field of natural language processing, inventing the most widely used word vectors, contextual vectors and prompt engineering. He has over 150,000 citations and served as an adjunct professor in the computer science department at Stanford.

In Today’s Episode We Discuss:

04:10 Winners & Losers: OpenAI, Gemini, Claude

08:59 How Partnerships Could Decide the Winners in AI

12:42 China vs US: Who Wins the War for AI

25:50 How Society and Economics Needs to Change in a World of AI

34:04 What Jobs Will Be Replaced, What Will Not

36:04 How Europe Needs to Change It’s Approach to AI

41:06 How AI Will Change Health and Longevity

43:10 AI in Consumer and Enterprise Markets

49:30 Quantum Computing and AI Misconceptions

56:57 Longevity, Personal Reflections, and Future Outlook

Please read the offering circular and related risks at invest.modemobile.com. This is a paid advertisement for Mode Mobile’s Regulation A+ Offering. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing in private company securities is not suitable for all investors because it is highly speculative and involves a high degree of risk. It should only be considered a long-term investment. You must be prepared to withstand a total loss of your investment. Private company securities are also highly illiquid, and there is no guarantee that a market will develop for such securities. DealMaker Securities LLC, a registered broker-dealer, and member of FINRA | SIPC, located at 105 Maxess Road, Suite 124, Melville, NY 11747, is the Intermediary for this offering and is not an affiliate of or connected with the Issuer. Please check our background on FINRA's BrokerCheck.

 

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