In short
The episode of BBC’s Wake Up To Money (“Making the grade?”) covers: (1) A-level results day and how UK education is shifting toward technical/vocational routes amid cost pressures and AI-driven changes in work; (2) UK economic uncertainty tied to prolonged Gulf shipping/oil disruption, with Treasury/Bank of England scenario modelling affecting growth and the 28 October budget; (3) Retail turmoil and a potential takeover of Harvey Nichols by Mike Ashley’s Fraser’s Group; (4) A global sports business update on the LA Lakers being sold again, linked to Bob Iger.
Guests and backgrounds
Emma Thackeray, co-founder of Hip Hop gut-health soft drinks (Manchester); Simon French, Chief Economist/Head of Research at Panmure Liberum; Professor Katie Normington, Vice-Chancellor/CEO of De Montfort University; Catherine Shuttleworth, CEO of Savvy Marketing and retail expert.
Key claims
universities remain in demand but face deficits from inflation and reduced international students; degree apprenticeships and higher technical qualifications (evening, 1–2 year) support reskilling; geopolitical disruption could worsen winter costs and government finances; Harvey Nichols needs investment and could be repositioned toward younger luxury shoppers.
Notable examples
Hip Hop adds fibre to a tropical peach soda; De Montfort offers IBM-linked skills programmes and “block learning”; Bloomberg/Treasury modelling focuses on oil/gas/fertiliser disruptions; Harvey Nichols stores “look tired” outside Knightsbridge; Lakers sale consortium led by former Disney boss Bob Iger.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOA-Level Results Day and Economic Outlook
1:08 to 2:44
Discussion on A-Level Results Day and its implications for universities.
“It used to be one of the most glamorous names in retail, but what next for Harvey Nichols?”
Impact of Economic Uncertainty
2:44 to 4:59
Exploration of uncertainty affecting businesses and the economy.
“is the text number to get in touch with us 0808599693 is the whatsapp panel of guests in the studio with us for the next hour as well.”
Pricing and Supply Chain Challenges
4:59 to 6:44
Insight into how pricing and supply chain issues affect businesses.
“The French lost years when they come to the French autobiography.”
The Role of Government Budgets in Business
6:44 to 10:47
Analysis of how government budgets impact business decisions and economic growth.
“Now, as you say, it's one of many kind of scenarios that they modelled up.”
Retail Market Dynamics and Expectations
10:47 to 14:03
Discussion on retail market conditions and expectations for the future.
“We've seen that in tons of sets of financial results, haven't we, this year?”
Economic Outlook and Optimism
14:03 to 15:15
Discussion on economic growth rates and consumer sentiment.
“I think that is one of the reasons why this might be the high point for the annual rate of growth in the data we get at 7 o 'clock and actually things might slow down in the second half of the year.”
The Struggles of Harvey Nichols
15:15 to 18:05
Exploration of Harvey Nichols' decline and potential turnaround strategies.
“that a takeover deal by the Fraser's Group run by Mike Ashley may be very close.”
Department Stores and Investment Challenges
18:05 to 20:28
Insight into the financial challenges of department stores and the need for investment.
“been talking about um the last 10 years actually haven't we just talked about that there in retail in the UK.”
Harvey Nichols as a Tourist Destination
20:28 to 23:06
Discussion on the significance of Harvey Nichols in city centers and its brand appeal.
“The one in Manchester is in such a prominent spot, isn't it?”
Future of Harvey Nichols Under New Ownership
23:06 to 25:17
Speculation on the future of Harvey Nichols under Mike Ashley's Fraser Group.
“So, I mean, they're smart people, the Fraser's Group, and they will have a really clear view.”
Show all 25 chapters
Challenges for Students Choosing Alternatives to University
28:01 to 28:56
Learn about the difficulties students face when opting for pathways other than university.
“telling Wake Up to Money's Fliss yesterday that creating a skill system that doesn't just obsess on the university route will help us get the UK economy growing.”
Student Perspectives on Degree Apprenticeships
28:57 to 29:46
Hear a student's thoughts on the advantages of degree apprenticeships over traditional university.
“Well here's what Sam, a student at Carmel College in St Helens, had to tell BBC Breakfast about his choice to take up a degree apprenticeship at Sellafield Nuclear Site rather than go down the university route.”
Shifting Perspectives on Education Paths
29:47 to 30:59
Explore the changing mindset toward vocational skills and apprenticeships in education.
“is a very good thing for young people and for business.”
Universities Responding to Market Needs
31:00 to 32:55
Discover how universities are adapting their offerings to meet new job market demands.
“Well, let's expand on some of those challenges.”
The Role of Lifelong Learning and Reskilling
32:56 to 34:17
Understand the importance of lifelong learning and reskilling in today’s job market.
“you know, over the last sort of few months, a lot in the press.”
Skills Employers Are Seeking Today
34:18 to 35:35
Learn about the essential skills employers look for beyond formal education.
“I think the debating point is whether that should be led by the university sector, led by government or led by employers.”
Financial Pressures and Support for Students
35:36 to 38:24
Discuss the financial challenges students face and the support systems available.
“We actually, in our business, have had a couple of people who've come through the non-traditional university apprenticeship route.”
Universities Facing Financial Difficulties
38:25 to 39:55
Examine the financial challenges that universities are currently experiencing.
“around some of the loan schemes that were put in place.”
Adapting to Changes in International Student Enrollment
39:56 to 41:21
Investigate the impact of changing policies on international student enrollment in UK universities.
“already so you know the shift and and hurt that that's bringing to the wider economy is also something I think that needs to be taken into account but you know universities like myself have got very good cash reserves.”
Innovation and Commercialization in Higher Education
41:22 to 42:04
Learn how universities are innovating and commercializing research for financial stability.
“Katie thanks so much for your time this morning really appreciate it going to be a busy day I'm guessing.”
The Oxford Cambridge Arc and University Funding
42:04 to 43:40
Explore how universities are shifting towards commercial investments to sustain finances.
“Inevitably, some of those things will fail.”
US Inflation and Interest Rates
43:43 to 45:27
Understand the potential effects of US interest rate policies on the UK market.
“85058, let us know what you think on the text number.”
The Sale of the Los Angeles Lakers
45:29 to 46:46
Discussion on the recent sale of the Lakers and the motivations behind it.
“So yes, we do keep an eye on that and of course listen to Wake Up To Money to get the headlines.”
Understanding the Value of Iconic Sports Teams
46:48 to 49:00
Learn what makes iconic sports teams like the Lakers so valuable in the market.
“Thanks so much for being on the program.”
Commercialization in Sports
49:01 to 52:36
Insights into the commercialization trends in sports and their implications.
“It's not like they buy and sell everything.”
Transcript
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1:17Hello,
1:21morning. Welcome to Wake Up To Money. It used to be one of the most glamorous names in retail, but what next for Harvey Nichols? with the company's losses mounting up, we will hear about a potential takeover in the works. Also on the programme today, A-Level Results Day, we'll hear from one university leader about the challenging economic backdrop for our universities as they get set for one of their busiest days of the year. And one of the biggest names in global sport is up for sale again, this time to a former boss at Disney. Wake Up To Money with Will Bain. Yeah, morning, welcome to Wake Up To Money on Wednesday, the 13th of August, just gone five o 'clock in the morning.
1:56Will with you this morning. Great to have your company. Yes, the LA Lakers are back up for sale again. We will be crossing live to Los Angeles later on in the programme to hear why they've been sold again in less than a year and who too. Interesting, the buyers there. Joshua Kushner who had been involved in trying to buy be part of that investment in FIFA in the World Cup. He was one of those who was part of that plan if you remember. Alongside Bob Iger, two-time boss at Disney. So we'll chat about that a little bit later on. we'll chat Harvey Nix and what's gone wrong there and yes we'll have the boss of one of our universities on to chat through what is obviously going to be a busy day a stressful day so relax before your results come out and listen to us through the morning perhaps get your text in on some of the other subjects other than that to take your mind off those results this morning 85058 is the text number to get in touch with us 0808599693 is the whatsapp panel of guests in the studio with us for the next hour as well.
2:53Emma Thackeray is back with us, Emma, the co-founder of the Gut Health Drinks brand Hip Hop. Morning, Emma. How are you? Good morning, Will. I'm good, thank you. Great to have you back on with us. How's business going at the moment? Business is going great. I have to say the hot weather is very good for soft drink sales. I was going to say, remind people of your drinks, your range. So we make delicious soft drinks with real fruit and slightly healthier ingredients up here in Manchester. And we're on a bit of a mission to try and shake up traditional soft drinks and traditional big pop yeah and so what are the sort of some of the flavors what are the things that you're doing slightly differently to uh yes big coke big pop so we use natural ingredients real fruit some of our top selling flavors are we've got a tropical peach soda we add fiber to that so it's a little bit better for gut health we've got an apple and elderflower kombucha got an interesting bit of MPD coming out in the winter, actually, but we can see how that goes.
3:48Oh, sorry, new product development. Oh, very exciting. And so this wave then that has been going on for a little while now, hasn't it? People a bit more health conscious. Doesn't seem to be going away then, even when we talk endlessly on the programme about sort of tighter household budgets perhaps? 100%. I think increasingly consumers are looking for lower sugar. They don't want empty calories. increasingly they don't want artificial ingredients. Often they don't want to drink, but they're looking for things like fibre, protein, hydration, metabolic balance, but over everything flavour because everybody just wants a can of pop to taste really good.
4:25Remember A-level results today? Fondly? Unfondly? It was over 25 years ago. Don't worry, we're all in the same boat this morning. Yeah, I can still just about remember the nerves. I think. What about Simon French in the studio with me this morning? You remember those? Remember that wait? Morning? Morning, well, yes. Also more than 25 years ago for me. And yes, I do remember it. And I'm not sure I remember the two days that came after it, though. No, yeah, those were long as well and testing. Enjoy those ones when you get to them. They're the better bit. Indeed, it was a couple of days in Stoke that I don't wholly recall.
5:03The French lost years when they come to the French autobiography. Why don't we turn to home turf first of all? We got this report, wasn't it, by Bloomberg originally and then stood up by our team here at the BBC as well. The Treasury's internal modelling, something you know well about the state of the UK economy and really kind of sort of worst-case scenarios if what's been going on, and we've talked endlessly on the programme, haven't we, about the Strait of Hormuz in particular, if that goes on. Just talk people through, I guess, actually, perhaps first of all, the point of this modelling and why the Treasury's doing it.
5:32Absolutely, and it's not just the Treasury, also the Bank of England. looking at scenarios at the moment, because that's actually a quite polite way of saying we haven't got a clue what is going on in the Gulf. We haven't got a clue what the President of the United States or the leader of Iran are planning next. And therefore, a series of scenarios and obviously the most newsworthy, but also from a perspective of contingency, looking at what might happen, should the oil price, should the gas price, should fertiliser prices remain both disrupted in the high prices for the rest of the year, what the knock-on impact is for growth and for the relevance of the 28th of October, why is that date key?
6:10That is the date of the budget, the first budget for John Healy and for Andy Burnham. That'll have knock-on impacts on both tax revenues if the economy grows slower, those revenues will grow slower, but also potentially spending, additional spending to deal with the cost of running government, the transfer payments to citizens. And what that all means is that the attempt to balance the budget, or at least the current budget, might be put to peril. And that is the government's binding fiscal rule, the rule it sets itself in terms of balancing the budget by the end of the decade. Now, as you say, it's one of many kind of scenarios that they modelled up.
6:48But the thing is, and we were talking about this a little bit earlier in the week on the programme, it does seem, if you were a betting person, it does seem that there are better than good odds that that type of disruption might be there through the back half of the year. It is, and that disruption has gone on much longer than most people thought. But you have to say that some of the prices of commodities that, if we'd been sat here five months ago and said the straits would largely have been closed for that period of time, and the global oil price was just$85 a barrel. We would have thought that extraordinary.
7:22But you are right that a near-term resolution for any geopolitical strategist, it doesn't look very stable, does it? And therefore, are we storing up problems, particularly for those colder winter months when the demands, particularly on northern hemisphere countries for heating, fuel, they do go up. That's not just households, that's businesses. And therefore, that demand picture, which has been one of the reasons why during the summer, it's kept prices low might be more of a significant fear. And also the impact to other shipping routes, Emma, as well. One's carrying goods but also carrying commodities.
7:58And I know you guys have been impacted. I was just looking at the notes from you chatting to the team overnight. Big impact in the price of your aluminium, for example. Yeah, that's correct. I mean, like a lot of businesses, we've got contracts in place currently. So we're not seeing the impact right at the moment. but our contract ends at the end of the year so now we're working with our suppliers to look at what's coming. A little bit like the government but in a microcosm where we're modelling different scenarios. Yeah, and presumably, you know, with something that is the end price of a can of one of your drinks, even a small movement can have a big impact, presumably.
8:33It can have a massive impact and it's more than the price actually because there's some instability in supply chains at the moment. So, for example, some sizes of cans are quite difficult to get at the moment. So that's having a massive knock-on effect too. And so when you come to some of that planning, as you were saying, what does that look like? Is that trying to find space to store extra and buying more? Is that finding the money to buy more in advance? What does that look like? It's working with our suppliers because they've obviously, they deal with a lot of companies like us and figuring out contingency.
9:06It's looking at how price increases might impact us. Do we need to pass it on? Can we swallow some of it? Literally different scenarios. And then because it's so unstable, we'll just have to wait and see which one we turn on. And Simon, when we talk about growth kind of in the round around the UK, it's exactly that, isn't it? When we're talking about growth and confidence being hand in hand, it's companies like Emma's not quite knowing what they're going to have to do, when they're going to have to spend, when they're not going to spend, how they can spend. And especially if, as Emma's saying, she's got a new product coming out later in the year.
9:35But actually, maybe you've got to pause doing that because you haven't got a clue what's going on with your aluminium supplies. It's that multiplied lots of times, right, that makes this sort of a big economic headache for the country. It is. I mean, aluminium, one of the biggest aluminium smelters is based in Bahrain, Alba. They are being disrupted because of uncertainty over the military position in the Gulf. But you are right that there are two levels of risk, I think, the business face or two levels of uncertainty. There's the general level of uncertainty, and any small business owner, any large business owner will know that that never really goes away.
10:12It waxes and wanes in terms of the issues. And then there's acute levels of uncertainty where you go, I'm just going to pause because I think there will be a less acute version coming along shortly. Geopolitics and the degree of geopolitics that has occurred since the middle of February in the Gulf, but also domestic uncertainty. I suspect on Wake Up to Monies over the next couple of months There'll be a lot of talk about the upcoming budget. That has been an example in recent years where businesses have sat on their hands and actually investors have sat on their hands and waited for some clarity on tax before making that decision.
10:47And that delays growth. We've seen that in tons of sets of financial results, haven't we, this year? Even right down to things that, you know, the builders, the house builders or some of the existed estate agency firms kind of really actually been quite angry. or as angry as you can be in a set of financial results as the chief financial officer, but saying, you know, this was really unhelpful. And actually, we saw a little bit of a pickup afterwards. But all this waiting, all this noise just caused everything to basically go on hold. Yes. And the government, the current government has learned something of a lesson from last year where it left the budget till the end of November.
11:21For those who remember, particularly for retail or the consumer sector, that is deep into the golden quarter for retailers where they make a lot of their earnings. And that uncertainty all the way through to the end of November means that this, let's look at the positive aspect of this year's budget round. The fact it's at the end of October does give at least two months into the end of the year when that element of uncertainty will at least be clarified. How much does that spill over to you guys, Emma? I think massively because certainly the last couple of years it's not just uncertainty it's felt like we've been on a bit of a doom loop for two to three months before the budget and I think hope is half the battle in business and people people invest and they invest in businesses or businesses like us invest when they know what is coming next and if you don't know what's coming next and you don't think the next year is going to be better then that's very restrictive quick thought Simon as well then we're going to get GDP aren't we the months from April through to June that's right that's right second Quarter of the year, yes.
12:26What are you expecting and what should our listeners look out for when they hear the number after 7 o 'clock? I'm sure it will be in the news on Five Live Breakfast. What would sort of send your eyebrows up towards the ceiling? Yes, the headline probably about 0.4%, which is a decent level of growth. That annualises out at about 1.5%. And actually consistent with the fact that for all the noise, particularly the retail space, has benefited from the weather we've had largely across the UK for the last few... And the World Cup, bizarrely. Actually, that will be in this number, won't it? The back end, yes.
12:59Certainly the build-up in terms of some of the stocking up of pubs and hospitality in anticipation of the World Cup. But yes, that June data, even if it's in isolation, not strong, we've already got the April and May data, which was very decent, actually. I think it is more that when this data comes out, what does it say about the most recent sentiment data? What does it say about retailers, inventories? What are they thinking? Are they starting to batten down the hatches worrying about a second half of the year? Which, if you look at the last 10 years' worth of data, actually the UK has slowed down in the second half of the year in isolation from the US and Europe that haven't slowed down in the second half of the year.
13:46It's quite an interesting pattern. Well, there's a number of question marks whether it's a statistical anomaly coming out of the Office for National Statistics, getting their seasonal adjustment right. But actually, to Emma's point, we have had successive periods where a run into an autumn budget has caused uncertainty. They had things like the mini budget back in 2022 that caused concerns. I think that is one of the reasons why this might be the high point for the annual rate of growth in the data we get at 7 o 'clock and actually things might slow down in the second half of the year. Interesting.
14:16And just in terms of that, battening down the hatches or looking ahead with a bit more positivity point. Emma, quick thought on that. Which side of it are you on? I'm a relentless optimist. Good. Glad to hear. We need lots of those, it sounds like, for the second half of the year. Love this text in from Simeon in East London. 85058, by the way, if you want to text in along these lines. Harvey Nix in trouble again, Will. Surely Mike Ashley rubbing his hands together, imagining stacks of Slazinger boxer shorts by the front door. Maybe a giant bin of footballs. Right, let's turn to Harvey Nix, shall we?
14:47because once one of the most glamorous names in retail, wasn't it? But it stumbled to such a degree in recent years that the man reportedly trying to buy it, Simeon hit on it there in his text. Mike Ashley has talked about the group being in a death spiral. Its losses over the past five years run into the hundreds of millions of pounds. Far cry then from the heyday in the 90s when Simon's favourite show, Ab Fab, was always talking about it. Patsy and Edie regularly heading out there. If not to shop, then go for a drink as well. Sky News reporting this morning. Mark Kleinman there. that a takeover deal by the Fraser's Group run by Mike Ashley may be very close.
15:19Catherine Shuttleworth joins Simon. And Emma and me this morning, Catherine, retail expert and chief executive at Savvy Marketing. Morning, how are you? Good, good morning. Bins of footballs by the front door then, Simeon, our texter reckons. Is that the plan? Does this Mike Ashley takeover or what have you heard? I don't think so. I don't think much. He'll have to go somewhere else, I think, Simeon for his football and his stocks. I think if we look at what the group have done with flannels, I think it's going to be more flannel-esque than it is going to be sports direct-esque. And if you haven't been to a flannels department store, they are pretty high-end and are well-presented, certainly to younger shoppers.
16:02I think that Michael Murray, who's the CEO of Fraser's, has got his finger right on the pulse of how those shoppers shop. And he's Mike Ashley's son-in-law, isn't he, as well? He is his son-in-law, yeah, that's right. But he's pretty good at this. and I think that what they're looking at here is how Harvey Nichols fits in their stable of brands and how they can use it at the top end as a brand that probably will extend them a bit more into that sort of luxury shopper which there's a shopper that they seem to understand pretty well, a young luxury shopper. Simon, that's quite an interesting shift, isn't it?
16:34Because Mike Ashley also had been bidding to draw by Hugo Boss in the last few months too. Yes, and it reflects something of a K-shaped recovery if you excuse the alphabetic reference about where consumers' spending power is right now. We're seeing actually much stronger consumption growth, actually both sides of the Atlantic, amongst more affluent consumers. And to some degree, you know, is this strategy from Mike Ashley and Fraser's group sort of tapping into that spending power of more affluent, older consumers. So the exact opposite, actually, of the pilot, kind of high approach that Simeon and we've been joking about.
17:09Want to take us back a couple of steps, Catherine, as well. how did Harvey Nicks get itself I mean we were joking about it there AbFab was my mum's favourite programme so I think I could almost quote large chunks of it verbatim but how did it go from that as being, you know, it was in that programme as a touchstone of kind of luxury and glamour wasn't it, and yet now it is where it is No, it's sad the London store, I have to say, has had a load of investment we'll perhaps talk about that in a minute but if you go into the Harvey Nicks store I did last week they look terrible they look really tired and basically they've suffered from a lack of investment um we know that department stores we've talked about it well before haven't we they are cash hungry monsters they need investing they need to look good and if you're at the top of the luxury market that's got to be constant and essentially that's what's happened to harvey nicks have not been invested in stores have started to look tired competitive look better um and whilst we've had that we've been talking about um the last 10 years actually haven't we just talked about that there in retail in the UK.
18:11There's been a lack of consumer confidence. There's been a lack of spending. Harvey Nichols have struggled with that. As a result, they've not taken as much money. It's just been a circle that's continued. And now the stores just look terrible. And competitors are much better. Now, what they've done is they've invested loads and loads of money into Knightsbridge, which was the absolute touchstone of Abfab, wasn't it? That's where used to go shopping and they put lots of services in there lots more stuff around health and well-being and as a result that's actually doing quite well there's a new ceo in in charge and that store's doing okay um in relative terms it's picked up so that's quite interesting that with investment it still feels like the brand has got lots and lots of legs it's the problem slightly catherine that it didn't know who it was trying to compete against in some of that period when that change went.
19:02I think that's fair. I think that became quite a difficulty for them. I don't think their online was pretty average. But of course, you've got to be really, really good in that space too. And look at Selfridges. I mean, that's another business, isn't it, that got sold from the Western family, sold that. These are big, as I say, cash hungry concerns, and you've really got to have a clear plan for them. And cash hungry, just because what? Because they are just such big physical spaces apart from anything else and you've got to make every bit of it look good every single bit of the store's got to look good so that means you've got to constantly update the departments change the brands that you're selling make sure they're they're uber relevant and they've got to look fantastic and those stores are expensive to buildings to run as well you've got you've got escalators in them um and they they're quite difficult to manage those sort of stores are always usually in big town centres, big cities.
19:58Cost of staff has got high. Everything, you know, it's the same challenges of the cost of business that all retailers and all businesses are facing. But if you're not taking us through the tills, it soon becomes really difficult in those sort of shops. Yeah, Emma, that point that Catherine's making there about their size as well and sort of as a result, they're so prominent in the cities that they are in. You know, I remember the one in Birmingham growing up being like, It was sort of like a thing you would take the mick out of someone's parents if they went and got the got the nibbles from Harvey Nicks or whatever.
20:29The one in Manchester is in such a prominent spot, isn't it? They're kind of important, really, to the anchor to those kind of city centre environments. I think so. And it brings people into the city from the surrounding surrounding areas. I was brought up in Leeds, actually, and I remember when Harvey Nichols moved into the city and it was such a massive event. it was like a tourist attraction. So I do think they have a big draw. Perhaps that's lessened slightly over time as people shop differently and the points that Catherine made about having to keep up this level of excellence in them is expensive and particularly in the environment today.
21:08I was going to say, what's your sense just sort of looking at them, I guess, as a shopper or as a person walking past the stores? I have to confess I don't really go in them. Yeah, yeah. Well, that's part of the problem, isn't it? I think so. Well, actually, though, as a challenger brand, shops like Harvey Nichols, Harrods, they're actually great for smaller brands like us in the food halls. They often bring in innovative new brands. So that's very positive. Were you in there at one point? We were in there at one point, yes. And it was very exciting to be in there. There were lots of glamorous shots of us going in and out.
21:44Did it have a boost beyond the glamorous shots to stick on the website? I think so. It definitely helped us get going. And often those affluent consumers are the ones that are ahead of the game when it comes to new products, innovation, etc. So it definitely gave us a kickstart. Is that the way back then, Catherine, do you think? It could be. And I think Emma would be devastated if she went into Harvey Nicks in Leeds. I was there last week. And they've taken all the food out, Emma, upstairs. You know where it used to be. All of that's gone. And that whole top floor is like tumbleweed blowing through it.
22:17and it also seems mad when we're talking more about you know people having to go for various different things not just to buy clothing right when they go out shopping absolutely well it just shows how they've lost the way for me i mean that that um that was one of the great things about harvey nicks you might not have bought the clothes and things but you might have bought the old lipstick effect you might have bought some lipstick or some of their branded uh food and maybe bought it as a present for somebody that that was one of the really nice things about it which would have driven footfall and and emma's right you know they are almost sort of tourist destinations in our big big shopping cities what's interesting about this deal allegedly we don't know yet because a lot of this has been sort of speculation is that um Mike Ashley and and the team are going to keep the stores apart from perhaps the one in Dublin they're saying which I think is is is really interesting about how they'll fit them into their core estate because in Leeds they've already got a flannels for example and they have the Fraser store which has been knocked to the ground and is um it's gonna have a Uniqlo on the bottom and Florina Victoria's Secret and Student Flats on the top.
23:19So, I mean, they're smart people, the Fraser's Group, and they will have a really clear view. And we've talked about them buying Hugo Boss. This is part of their strategy for changing and reshaping the business because it isn't all about those footballs and socks. They're going to have to have a clear view, Simon, aren't they? Because it looks like, you know, whatever they pay for the deal up front, £40 million is the number that Mark Kleinman's got in his piece from Sky this morning, And the Carvey Knicks have said, haven't they, that contingent on the deal is 50, 60 million quid being put into the business too.
23:51It's a big old deal in the end. It is cash hungry, even a pre-pack insolvency, which is what the speculation is that this will be. And what guarantees they're going to give. You're absolutely right. There'll be some, I think there's 1 ,200 staff across the business who will be looking for some elements of guarantees alongside those estate guarantees. but yes putting that level of cash in I don't think given the market capitalization of phrases that's a big issue for the investor base it's whether the returns It's just a big bet Sorry you were going to say Well I was just going to say you ultimately want to return on that and you've got a patient investor base who's seen the track record of Mike Ashley being able to do this across multiple brands across multiple segments actually of the retail space so there is some trust has some confidence to be patient, but ultimately has to quickly translate into, well, we're committing the cash, what does the return profile look like for it to be accreted for their share price?
24:49Anything you'd add on that, Catherine? No, I think that's absolutely right. I mean, he is a gambler in a good sense of the world. You know, he's not going to do this without thinking he can make a return on it. And I think it'll be quite interesting to see what he does with it. And he's probably the right owner. But it's not going to be a kind of easy deal because you're going to have to invest an awful lot of money, time and effort into it whilst keeping a focus on the business. And whilst, yeah, there have been improvements in retail sales over the summer, there's no question about that. It's still really, really tough.
25:24And, you know, what's left of the department store business in the UK is a bit last man standing, isn't it? Is finding it really hard for every sale. So I think I hope it goes well for them. I think, you know, it's a bold move. And Harvey Nichols, I think, has got fantastic brand assets. And it'd be interesting to see how they use that, whether they keep it just in stores or do they use Harvey Nichols as a sort of brand for clothing? That'd be quite interesting, wouldn't it? Would love to know. See what your mum says about that. Exactly. Well, love to know what you think. Love to know what you're seeing out there.
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26:0085058 is the text number if you want to get in touch. 08085 909693 is the WhatsApp. app if you prefer to get in touch with us that way. Catherine, thanks as always for your time, really appreciate it. Thank you. Catherine Shuttleworth there, retail expert and chief exec of Savvy Marketing. Plenty more to come from Simon and Emma in the second half of the program. We're going to have the boss of De Montfort University joining us live on the program, A-level results day, but also against that backdrop of pretty tough times, isn't it, at the moment in the university sector. So we will hear about how the finance is looking there as well.
26:32And we will hear about another mega deal in global sport. The LA Lakers being sold to the consortium being led by the former boss of Disney, Bob Iger. So why the lake has been sold twice in a year? 85058 to join the conversation on that. Pop quiz. What's in your kid's lunchbox? At Whole Foods Market, they've already done the studying. Over 300 food ingredients are banned from their shelves. No hydronated fats in the peanut butter and no high fructose corn syrup in the cookies. And for sandwiches, there are no synthetic nitrates or nitrites in any of their deli meat. So you can pack lunchboxes with peace of mind.
27:10Get back to school ready at Whole Foods Market. As well. Wake Up To Money with Will Bane. Morning, welcome back to Wake Up To Money on Wednesday the 13th of August. Our panel this morning, Emma Thackeray is in the studio, co-founder of the gut health drinks brand Hip Hop. and Simon French is here with me, Chief Economist and Head of Research at Panmure Liberum. Now, it's a pretty nerve-wracking time of the year, isn't it, for hundreds of thousands of parents and students right around the country. A-levels, T-levels, B-tech results all out later on this morning, which means nervous waits across England, Wales and Northern Ireland.
27:48We'll be counting down the minutes, I'm sure, many of them, to see if they've met their requirements to go on to either university or one of their next kind of apprenticeship courses, perhaps. It comes as the Prime Minister, Andy Burnham, looks to prioritise technical skills more in education, telling Wake Up to Money's Fliss yesterday that creating a skill system that doesn't just obsess on the university route will help us get the UK economy growing. Helen Cook, head of UCAS advice and post-16 guidance at a large comprehensive school in Cheshire, spoke to us about some of the difficulties facing students who don't want to choose these alternative pathways.
28:22Finding alternatives to university in the current climate is not easy. and while some of our students have secured apprenticeships at different levels I know that others have been applying for apprenticeships for months without any success and those wanting to work through a gap year have also struggled to find the hospitality or retail jobs that our students would normally find it easy to secure and understandably some have found this really dispiriting. We also have a knock-on effect where students do take up university places when they aren't really sure if it's for them but don't want to be without any plans in September and risk becoming neat.
28:57Well here's what Sam, a student at Carmel College in St Helens, had to tell BBC Breakfast about his choice to take up a degree apprenticeship at Sellafield Nuclear Site rather than go down the university route. With the cost of university and then the living costs as well that go along with it, it's definitely I think something people struggle with at my age and struggle to wrap their head around and I think that sort of financial security that comes with a degree apprenticeship is a fantastic offer that you know I wouldn't want I turned out. Perhaps more choices than ever before Emma in terms of for young people in terms of just because of those cost decisions I guess whereas for a long time certainly people my age I guess it felt like it was a very clear route.
29:37Yeah I mean I think we're probably a similar age and certainly when I'd done my A-levels university was the step that everybody should take next so I I think a rebalancing of the system towards more technical qualifications, apprenticeships, is a very good thing for young people and for business. Yeah, Simon, I went, and I'm sure you were just a similar age, you were just probably ahead of me there as well. We were off the back of that sort of blare, real boom push to try and get more people and this boom in universities growing as well. Have we seen the kind of natural ceiling point, I suppose, of that?
30:14Well, I think there's a couple of things there. First of all, the graduate premium that used to be very obvious in the data has deteriorated away. So the returns to going to university relative to not have diminished, but also the changing nature of the labor market and the world of work in a world where increasing use of AI means that knowledge is very, very abundant. and it's the fingertips, actually, is there going to be a pivot? Is this an inflection point back towards vocational skills, manual skills? This is, I think, likely to be a focus. It will be a focus of the new prime minister in terms of putting non-university education at least close to a level playing field.
31:01Well, let's expand on some of those challenges. And I suppose the opportunities they throw up as well for our universities, because Professor Katie Normington joined Simon and Emma this morning now as well, Professor Normington, the Vice-Chancellor and Chief Executive at De Montfort University in Leicester. Around 20 ,000 students on the roll there. Morning, Professor. Thanks so much for being with us. Good morning. Just first of all, I suppose that challenge, have you found that, you know, when kids and parents are perhaps coming on an open day with you guys? Are they talking to you more about the costs, I suppose, and weighing up that decision in a way perhaps they didn't do so much in the past?
31:36I think cost has been an issue for students for a while actually but we're not really seeing any national drop-off in terms of interest for universities so in fact there's an increase of applications to universities this year and you know it remains fairly constant the percentage of population that are attending I think it's probably also worth remembering that universities offer a lot more than three-year degrees so many of our programs are professional body accredited they're vocational programmes, things like nursing, policing, etc. But also this year we've started a range of higher technical qualifications, which are one or two year qualifications, much more skills based around digital, cyber, etc.
32:18And those are taught in the evening. So I think they're very much fulfilling the new Prime Minister's idea of increased technical skills at a sub degree level. That's really interesting. So what kind of drove that? Was that you guys sort of seeing that there was a mood going that way and you thought you wanted to be in line with that or were you hearing from people in industry kind of around you that it was something they wanted or a bit of both? Yeah a bit of both I mean we work very closely with industries we've got part of IBM based in Leicester so you know we're hearing that from employers about the sort of skills they need and we're responding to that but also you know it is a response to a sense that actually we have a lot of needs, as we know we've been talking about, you know, over the last sort of few months, a lot in the press.
33:05And for those people, it's actually more important that they get further qualifications, not that we put them off getting a qualification. So that's part of what our thinking is behind it. Actually, the market is attracting a lot of mature students who didn't perhaps get qualifications first time around. and the evening teaching is really fitting around their lives where they may already be working as well. I'm sure people, lots of people, very au fait with that acronym at this point, but just in case people are wondering, because we've heard it a couple of times in the clip as well, not in education, employment or training.
33:39Simon, that's quite an important point, isn't it, in all of that, that sometimes perhaps we talk a lot on this programme about we hear from lots of business leaders in different sectors saying they aren't finding people with quite the right skills. Perhaps it's not just pushing all of these people back into the workforce, but actually into the E and the T at the end of NEET, education and training. Yeah, particularly at the time when employers are saying that the skills they're looking for are changing. It's not just people at the very start of their working life, but also potentially, and this may be an area of growth for the university sector, people who are mid-career who are finding some of their skills in a period of technological change become obsolete and therefore they need to reskill.
34:20I think the debating point is whether that should be led by the university sector, led by government or led by employers. I mean, the reality is, I suspect, unless I'm about to be contradicted, is it's a combination of all three. But it's a coordination challenge. Well, go on, Katie. And I'm hoping you'll be contradicting him. I think a lot of that work is beginning to happen anyway. And it is, you're right. I think it's an intersection between employers, between government and policy and between universities and further education colleges. And some of that sits around the introduction of the lifelong learning entitlement, which allows people to draw down a student loan in chunks so that you can, in a sense, hop on to study a module and then perhaps wait some time and get another part of it.
35:05So you're building a qualification over a longer time. And that really suits what we've done at De Montfort University. We've changed to block learning. so it means you'd study for one thing one unit for seven weeks and you get that qualification and then you take the next one so I think it is an intersection between all of those things but just that point about I think you're making about sort of AI I mean we know now the sorts of things it can do but also there are things it can't do and a lot of things it can't do sit around critical skills and judgment and those are entirely the things that we teach in degree level courses.
35:40Emma as the person doing the hiring here in the studio although Simon you do a bit of hiring as well don't you but what are you looking for when someone comes with the CV now and if they've been to university what else are you looking for on top of it I guess we're looking often at what people have done done beyond university how have they put the things that they've learned at university into a more practical context. We actually, in our business, have had a couple of people who've come through the non-traditional university apprenticeship route. So they've worked for big business like Nestle and Unilever and come into our business.
36:19And that mix of traditional academic education but also early exposure to the workplace and to the food and drink industry has been very positive, I think. And for you in financial services? Well, I think that point about critical thought is really, really to the fore at the moment. Knowledge, domain knowledge is increasingly accessible at your fingertips. You don't necessarily need to come in with that. But the ability to look at it and go, can I put that in its context? Is it correct? Am I hallucinating or is it hallucinating for me? that ability to be smart with it not done with it is is one of those skills that whether it is the university sector that provides that or a broader suite of education that that's something that i've had i've over indexed in the way i recruit people in recent years interesting katie does that give hope for people like me who have got arts degrees because there was a period wasn't there where we were told it was the end of the arts degree go and do you know computer programming or whatever But is it actually shifting back a little bit, that kind of critical thinking that you and Simon have talked about?
37:27Yeah, I think it's something that humanities give. I'm an arts graduate as well, now running a quarter of a billion pound company. But yeah, I think certainly in terms of humanities, that critical thought, that critical judgment, I'm seeing a lot of use of AI to enhance, but in a way that students then working out whether it's effective in design, of course. But the AI will never tell you if you've just created a good image. you've got to have the knowledge and skills to work that one out. And on the finance side then we heard this in the news headlines as well potentially a bigger uptake of students this year kind of across the board because of in part the financial pressures is that something you're seeing across the sector?
38:12I mean I think we're seeing concern about financial borrowing it's partly why we're doing things like our one and two year qualifications that students have to borrow less money. Obviously, the government's considering whether they can do more around some of the loan schemes that were put in place. I think ourselves, like many other universities, have put hardship schemes in place so that there is support there for students who need extra help. And we are, unfortunately, sometimes seeing that being in terms of needing help, in terms of steering to food banks, emergency accommodation, those sorts of things as well.
38:49so I think many of us are putting in place those sorts of support for students themselves and what about the finances of the institutions themselves also in the in the news headlines at the top of the hour there was this suggestion that four in ten universities across England reporting a deficit for the last academic year that was despite kind of the job cuts that I think we've had you on the program talking about before across the sector what's the landscape Yeah, I mean, it remains difficult for universities and that difficulty is really from a couple of things. One is that the student fee, although has gone up the last two years, remained pretty static for a decade.
39:26But inflation obviously continued to grow and our costs continued to grow. And the other part is we're seeing a reduction of international students coming to the UK. And that's really due to home policy, home office policy changes. and you know I think that's probably sort of short-termism because actually it will be costing you know the country quite a lot of benefit international students bring an overall benefit of about 37 billion pounds to the UK we're told that those numbers have dropped by about 20 % already so you know the shift and and hurt that that's bringing to the wider economy is also something I think that needs to be taken into account but you know universities like myself have got very good cash reserves.
40:10So it's not just about running a deficit. It's also about your liquidity and making sure that you can continue to trade. That's probably the important part while you do obviously have to make some adjustments around how you operate. Is that pressure perhaps not going to become on further as well? I mean, there's been a lot of talk, hasn't there, about pushes to try and cut how much European and British students pay. Will that not? Presumably, you could only do that by offsetting it, by ramping up the fees for those fewer foreign students that you've got, as in foreign non-EU students, to do that?
40:45Yes, I mean, I think, obviously, you know, you need to look at all the possible income streams. I think that's partly why we're doing things as well. Like, we've now become one of the top ten providers of education around the world. So we've got our own campus in Dubai. We've got franchise campuses in Kazakhstan, Cambodia. We've got huge dual degrees offered in Kuala Lumpur. so that is part of as well the way that universities are I think you know making sure that they are covering all the bases they can in terms of trading on what is one of the top few international higher education reputations which we've got.
41:22Katie thanks so much for your time this morning really appreciate it going to be a busy day I'm guessing. Yes it will be I'll be getting over there shortly. Good luck Professor Katie Normington there the Vice Chancellor and Chief Executive at De Montfort University in Leicester there. Just interesting, isn't it, Simon? The sort of pressure, I suppose, on our universities to do two things, get people ready for the workforce, but also the government have been pushing quite hard for them to create more companies, create more kind of start-ups as well. Yes, and there is actually a good news story, which is that the commercial spin-outs coming out of the university sector are still some of the UK's most exciting businesses.
41:56it's actually getting the capital into not just our most high profile areas that do that. You can think of the Oxford Cambridge Arc as an area that this government has focused on and is continuing to focus on but actually a broader suite of universities where early stage investment can come in and partner with the university and increasingly it won't be sustainable for the finances and universities to solely go after the student population, either the foreign or the domestic student population, they're going to have to take commercial stakes in some of the intellectual property that they're developing and then have some of that ownership as some of those succeed.
42:34Inevitably, some of those things will fail. But if you have a big enough portfolio of ideas, some of them succeed if you have an ownership stake. That can be very, very lucrative. You look across the pond of the US, the US system, the endowment system, the investments. It's an incredibly vibrant financial system, partly because that IP, there's more of a history of commercialising it. And Emma, to your point, just to expand on it a bit that you made during the conversation there, if we're going to tackle the NEATS problem, it just feels like a lot of our sort of political problems, that it's been falling into camps.
43:03You either do this or you do this and they're binary. There's nothing in between. Actually, it's doing, from what you were saying about your hiring, doing a bit of both, pushing people, the right people to go to university, get those skills that they need for that, but also not pushing everybody to one route or the other and also not completely abandoning the university route either. Exactly. It's a balanced approach, a little bit like the approach that Katie's taken in terms of expanding what they're doing at the university, being creative. It's about looking at everything. And that's, in my opinion, that's the government's job to try and bring those different industries, universities and themselves, obviously, in the mix to try and benefit young people and employers.
43:4385058, let us know what you think on the text number. Simon, give us a quick run through overnight. like US inflation. We didn't sort of build out a full item around this today, but it's just something that's been worth tracking, hasn't it, because of the potential knock-on effects from what they do with their interest rate policy and what it means for us. Yeah, there's quite a lot of uncertainty in the marketplace on where US interest rates go next, partly because there's a change at the top of the Federal Reserve, the central bank in the United States. Kevin Walsh has made it a feature of his chairmanship thus far not to try and steer the market on what to expect.
44:18So the data therefore becomes really, really important. Now we saw the data soften a little bit in terms of inflation moving down, still well above target, 3.2%, but perhaps some of the fears over an imminent rate increase from the Federal Reserve next month, those bets being taken off yesterday, there's a big meeting coming up. It's always the great backdrop of Jackson Hole out in Wyoming. It gets everyone very jealous. It's an incredible kind of ski resort. Indeed, yes. It gets everyone very jealous. But the central bankers, actually not just from the US but around the world, converge there.
44:57I think that's the next point alongside the data to try and get clues. It might sound quite remote, but for the UK, looking at its interest rate policy, actually a lot of products do take their cues from where they think global interest rates, particularly the US might head as to where domestic UK interest rates might move next. How important for you Emma, borrowing rates, borrowing costs at the moment, is it something you use a lot of borrowing within the business? Increasingly as the business gets larger then we're able to turn to debt as a form of auto support growth in the business rather than investment.
45:33So yes, we do keep an eye on that and of course listen to Wake Up To Money to get the headlines. Quite right. Good plug as well. Yeah. And Simon, well done for sort of that lead across. I think it's always worth if you sort of hear it in the news or see it and wonder why on earth are we talking about what's going on in inflation in the United States? Hopefully well explained by Simon there for you about the knock on it can have on us. Shall we stay in the US at just gone eight minutes to six here and wake up to money? Because one of the most iconic sports franchises in the world, I think you cannot be interested in basketball at all and know who the Los Angeles Lakers are, has been sold again for the second time in pretty much just over a year.
46:08This time, another record breaking about$12.5 billion, so well in excess of£9 billion. And interesting, who's doing the buying this time? the former Disney boss, two-time chief exec at Disney, Bob Iger, as well as Joshua Kushner, the brother of Donald Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner, and of course had been involved in looking to get involved in investing in that FIFA spin-out at one point as well. It was one of the names who'd been rumoured to be looking to put his private investment there. It seems he's found somewhere else to put it. Bill Sheikin covers sports business for the Los Angeles Times and has stayed up late there for us to speak to us this morning here.
46:46Bill, morning from us, evening to you. Thanks so much for being on the program. Good morning to you. So why is the Lakers up for sale again then? Well, there's an easy answer and there's a hard answer. The easy answer, which is what was first reported today, was that the two gentlemen who are buying the Lakers, Bob Iger, the former Disney chief, and Joshua Kushner you mentioned, we're looking at buying into a team in Las Vegas. It would be an expansion team, basically a startup. And as the prices approached$10 billion, they said, well, wait a second. If we got to pay that much money for a startup team, it's not going to be any good for a while.
47:32Why don't we just check in and see maybe Mark Walter would sell us the Lakers for not too much more. As the day went on, it became apparent that that may have been part of it, but also Mark Walter's companies have been trying to generate some revenue because for one factor, they're under a government investigation in terms of how they accounted for some money in the companies that Mark Walter runs. Is the investigation going to amount to anything? We don't know. Nobody's been charged with any kind of crime. There's been no allegation that Mark Walter himself has had any wrongdoing. But according to reports from the Bloomberg Service and the Financial Times, Walter's companies have started to line up investments that, hey, if these loans fall through, we've got to have them find a way to pay them.
48:27And selling the Lakers could be one of those ways. Interesting. And Mark Walter, an important figure for our listeners. here in the UK, Bill, because of course, alongside Todd Bowley, he's part of the ownership group there at Chelsea Football Club here in the UK as well. Sure. And Todd Bowley is also part of the Dodger group. So they all run in tight circles. What does$12 billion get you then? I mean, I kind of mentioned it at the start. You don't have to be a particularly big sports fan, let alone basketball fan, to know who the Lakers are. Is that why it commands a price like that? it does because the valuation when mark walter and his group bought it was 10 billion dollars so now he's not going to sell at a loss but i think to your point about the story team that's another chapter that a lot of people that i spoke with today who do sports finance for a living were like now why would mark walter want to sell because yes you can buy and sell sports teams and people do and certainly Mark has but there are only so many iconic teams that as you pointed out people around the world know who they are so everybody knows who the New York Yankees are and everybody knows the LA Lakers and you can buy another team but you can't buy another Yankees or Lakers or now I guess you'd say the Los Angeles Dodgers just like back when Michael Jordan was playing you'd say the Chicago Bulls so that's a pretty tough one you know Mark Walter and his group bought the Dodgers 15 years ago.
50:02They've held on. It's not like they buy and sell everything. Mark pretty much keeps a hold of most of the assets that he has. So that makes this one a little bit trickier as well. Simon, we're seeing a lot of kind of M &A activity, if you like, in sports at the moment. Why is it, why are sort of, you know, these are sensible business people, proper business people. We were talking about Jeff Bezos and Liverpool earlier in the week on the program. Why is there this interest, do you think, at the moment? the value of brands and the degree to which brands can provide a halo for a series of other commercial opportunities.
50:35It used to be the ticket receipts and perhaps the shirts, but we've talked about on this program, crypto and financing opportunities and then the commercial rights of distribution, not just with traditional media, but also through streaming channels. And so I think these are, and this frustrates a lot of fans across not just basketball, but football here in the UK. It's the commercialization, the inevitable commercialization of what are incredible platforms on which to get eyeballs, which from a commercial standpoint is hugely attractive. Is that the Bob Iger of this then, Bill, do you think? Is that where the growth might be, selling direct to consumers, your games, that kind of stuff?
51:25that's pretty much done here already by most teams and by the lakers but i think when you mentioned the world cup monetization scheme if you will that blew up in fifa's face that's sort of the difference between i think sports in europe where it is community oriented and fan oriented and sports in america where it's run by people who are trying to figure out how to get every last dollar they can out of this asset. And they can make a lot of money. And I'm not telling you anything you don't know and your listeners don't know. A lot of Americans have looked at Premier League teams, for example, and said not, boy, this is a wonderful community asset, but they're leaving a lot of money on the table.
52:11That's how American owners think. And Mark Walter is one of those and Bob Iger is certainly another. And how is he going to do that then, briefly, Bill? How's he going to sweat it here? we don't know and i don't think he knows this all came together within the last 72 hours so i think it is get the team first fill in the details later interesting one to watch thanks so much for your time bill really appreciate it all right good morning morning to you bill checking in there from the la times big thanks to to emma thackeray who's been in the studio with us this morning the co-founder of the gut health drinks brand hip-hop and to simon french here with me chief economist and Head of Research at Panmure Libram.
52:49And as always, a big thanks to all of you for listening to us this morning here on Wake Up To Money. Wake Up To Money with Will Bain. This goes beyond what the KGB did back in the days. Conspiracy theories and the Football World Cup. Is there ever one without the other? Well, I've been digging into one of the very best back in 1994. Guy from Iraq, it's a red card for a dubious tackle. I'm James Montague, and from BBC 5 Live, this is Sports Strangers Crimes Presents Shadows on the Pitch. Listen on BBC Sounds. With the new Schwab Teen Investor account, teens can gain hands-on investing experience and build positive money habits.
53:37It's an account co-owned by you and your teen, so you can monitor and engage with the account while your teen learns how to invest and manage money. Learn more at schwab.com. We face the greatest challenges of our time. Challenges that test our limits. There is a place where we can find answers. Where journeys break new ground and connections unlock opportunities. Where innovation can spark real change and our actions can push our world forward. Singapore, where business events can create lasting impact.
From the publisher
Will Bain looks at the choices facing students as they receive their results - from university to vocational routes. Mike Ashley could be about to add another famous name to the retail group he founded, with reports suggesting he is close to buying Harvey Nichols, and a deal potentially announced today as part of a pre-pack administration. And the Los Angeles Lakers basketball team is to be sold for a reported record-breaking $12.5bn. How has yet another sale come about in less than a year?
