In short
The episode is about the Supreme Court’s remaining term docket and several imminent, high-impact cases, especially immigration and election rules.
Guests
Leah Littman, law professor at the University of Michigan and co-host of Strict Scrutiny; and Jeffrey Rosen, CEO Emeritus of the National Constitution Center, law professor at George Washington University, and host of The Blessings of Liberty.
Key claims and notable examples
The Court has about 20 decisions left, typically ending late June/early July. Birthright citizenship is expected to be rejected; the discussion contrasts the 14th Amendment’s “all persons born…subject to the jurisdiction” with the Trump administration’s “allegiance/domicile” arguments, and notes the precedent Wong Kim Ark. The Court is also likely to weaken the Voting Rights Act (already happened) and struck down Trump tariffs (already happened), while the president attacked justices Gorsuch and Barrett. For mail ballots, a Mississippi law counting ballots up to five days after Election Day could be struck down, with potential nationwide effects. Other cases discussed: ending Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Syria/Haiti, presidential power to fire independent-agency heads, and transgender athlete participation bans.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOOverview of Supreme Court's Upcoming Cases
0:24 to 1:40
Discussion on the high-profile cases the Supreme Court is expected to decide.
“Some of the 20 remaining cases can have seismic effects for years to come.”
Overview of Supreme Court's Upcoming Cases
1:47 to 2:07
Discussion on the high-profile cases the Supreme Court is expected to decide.
“That's R-I-P-P-L-I-N-G dot A-I slash NPR.”
Supreme Court's Decision Timelines
3:47 to 6:05
Insights on when to expect decisions from the Supreme Court's current term.
“When are you expecting to get the next batches of decisions?”
Discussion on Recent Court Decisions
6:05 to 9:30
Analyzing the implications of recent Supreme Court decisions on voting rights and tariffs.
“anxiously awaiting what's going to happen?”
Birthright Citizenship Case Analysis
9:30 to 12:06
Exploration of the birthright citizenship case and its potential implications.
“or whether it was the beginning of a real willingness to challenge the president in important cases.”
Birthright Citizenship Case Analysis
12:46 to 13:47
Exploration of the birthright citizenship case and its potential implications.
“This message comes from Synchrony Bank, who wants to inspire you to keep dreaming and saving smart to make those dreams real.”
Supreme Court's Docket Overview
15:10 to 22:46
Discussion on the Supreme Court's significant upcoming cases, especially regarding birthright citizenship.
“We're talking through the monumental cases on the Supreme Court's docket with only weeks left in its term.”
Temporary Protected Status Decisions
22:46 to 28:00
Delving into the implications of the Supreme Court's decision on TPS for Haitian and Syrian nationals.
“Can I just ask Jeff this question we got from Greta in Arlington who said, birthright citizenship does have flaws which have become obvious in recent times.”
Implications of Supreme Court Immigration Case
28:00 to 28:57
Discussing the implications of a Supreme Court case on immigration procedures.
“And simply arguing that a failure to follow rules was unreliable was something that the liberal justices in particular thought violated the statute.”
Mail-in Ballots and Trump's Claims
28:57 to 29:52
Analyzing Trump's claims about mail-in ballots and their legal challenges.
“This is about mail-in ballots centered around a Mississippi law that allows the state to count mail ballots up to five days after Election Day.”
Show all 21 chapters
Legal Standing on Counting Ballots
29:52 to 30:57
Examining the legal basis for counting ballots received after Election Day.
“I don't think there is a strong argument for the idea that federal law makes it illegal for states to continue to count ballots that are received after Election Day.”
Legal Standing on Counting Ballots
31:56 to 32:18
Examining the legal basis for counting ballots received after Election Day.
“HIMSS makes it simple to do something about it.”
Listener Questions on Constitutional Amendments
32:34 to 34:16
Addressing listener questions regarding the 14th and Second Amendments.
“Marvin adds, I find the argument concerning allegiance strange.”
Supreme Court Decisions on Execution Methods
34:16 to 35:12
Reviewing a recent Supreme Court decision regarding execution methods.
“And that's why the birthright citizenship case is so important, because as we've been discussing, there's such overwhelming agreement on text, history, tradition about the tradition of birthright citizenship.”
Presidential Power Over Independent Agencies
35:12 to 36:33
Exploring the implications of presidential control over independent agencies.
“We've got a couple more big cases to go through.”
Understanding Originalism in Supreme Court Cases
36:33 to 39:26
Defining originalism and its impact on Supreme Court interpretations.
“and that this showed a congressional intent to create a body of experts who can gain experience by length of service who are independent of executive authority, except in its selection.”
Transgender Athlete Bans and Legal Challenges
39:26 to 42:03
Discussing significant cases regarding transgender athletes in sports.
“And I think an important thing to understand about originalism is that it has many different variations and therefore is often quite manipulable.”
Transgender Classification in Sports
42:03 to 44:01
Explore the legal arguments surrounding sex-based classifications in sports and their implications for transgender athletes.
“it's likely to accept the argument that although this is a sex-based classification, sex is what matters in sports, as the Idaho Solicitor General said.”
The Role of USPS in Mail-in Voting
44:04 to 47:18
Discuss the challenges and implications of mail-in voting and the USPS's role in the electoral process.
“We got this voicemail from Elizabeth in Arkansas about mail-in voting.”
Listener Insights and Expert Contributions
47:19 to 48:29
Engage with listener feedback and expert insights on constitutional interpretations and election laws.
“So even if this succeeds, its partisan effects may not be obvious.”
Listener Insights and Expert Contributions
49:06 to 49:26
Engage with listener feedback and expert insights on constitutional interpretations and election laws.
“With their high-yield savings account, you'll earn a great rate without monthly fees or minimums, so you can reach your savings goals faster without the hassle.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Support for NPR comes from TaskRabbit, your trusted partner for home projects. TaskRabbit connects you with skilled local taskers for furniture assembly, mounting, and repairs. You can browse profiles and book help today at TaskRabbit.com or on the TaskRabbit app.
0:23The Supreme Court has a stacked docket of high-profile cases to decide and only weeks left in its term. Some of the 20 remaining cases can have seismic effects for years to come. We're expecting decisions soon on immigration. The court is considering birthright citizenship, a nearly 160-year legal precedent that says those born in the U.S. are citizens. And a huge case that could have implications for the November elections. The court is deciding whether mail-in ballots should be counted if they arrive after Election Day. Also ahead are decisions about transgender athletes and the president's ability to fire the heads of independent agencies.
1:04I'm Naila Boodoo, in for Jen White. You're listening to the 1A Podcast. We'll be back with more after this short break. Stay with us.
1:37Ready for AI that isn't all talk? Head to rippling.ai slash NPR and get AI that turns insight into action. That's R-I-P-P-L-I-N-G dot A-I slash NPR. Sign up today. This message is from Synchrony Bank, who can help you get your do-nothing savings to work hard with their high-yield savings account. Put your lazy savings to work at synchrony.com slash NPR. Member FDIC. This message comes from Grainger. This is the story of the one. As a procurement manager for a hospital system, she keeps every facility in her network stocked and ready. That's why she counts on Grainger to be her single source for thousands of products, from disinfectants to lighting, air filters, and more.
2:25And with fast, dependable delivery, Grainger helps her keep every facility stocked, safe, and running smoothly. Call 1-800-GRANGER, click grainger.com, or just stop by. Grainger, for the ones who get it done. This message comes from HIMSS. Notice your hairline creeping back? HIMSS makes it simple to do something about it. Get access to prescription treatments with finasteride and minoxidil, ingredients that can help stop hair loss and regrow hair. Visit himss.com slash NPR. Compounded drug products are not approved or evaluated for safety, effectiveness, or quality by the FDA. Rx required. See website for full details and important safety information.
3:07Individual results may vary. Welcome back to the 1A podcast. We're talking about the Supreme Court. Joining us is Leah Littman, co-host of the podcast Strict Scrutiny and professor of law at the University of Michigan. She's also the author of Lawless, How the Supreme Court Runs on Conservative Grievance, Fringe Theories, and Bad Vibes. The paperback version comes out today with a new section. Leah, welcome back. Congratulations on the paperback. Thanks so much for having me. Also with us is Jeffrey Rosen, the CEO Emeritus of the National Constitution Center. He's also a law professor at George Washington University and host of the podcast, The Blessings of Liberty.
3:44Hi, Jeff. It's always great to have you with us as well. Great to be here. Jeff, let's start with the timing. We've got 20 decisions left. When are you expecting to get the next batches of decisions? When does the term typically end? The term typically ends around the end of June. Sometimes it goes into the first days of July. We could have new decisions any day, next week, but timing is impossible to predict. No one knows exactly when the term will end, so let's not try to game this out. On Monday, the court did announce they would agree to hear three more cases. Jeff, quickly, is there anything to note about those new cases?
4:25Yes, they are interesting in a couple of ways. Of course, they won't hear them until next year. But the first ones involve hearings for non-citizens in immigration detention, which is obviously relevant to some of the cases they're hearing this year. That's a case involving a green card holder from the Dominican Republic who's taken into custody. and the question is when someone's detained for a long time, do you have to have a hearing? Other cases involve the question of the constitutionality of six-person juries. The court has upheld them in the past, but they're being challenged now on the grounds that new decisions call them into question.
5:09And the final cases involve post-conviction relief for people who've been convicted and the degrees to which they can appeal their cases. So three important cases to be heard next year. Leah, anything to note from those three? I think that the big case is the one Jeff noted, namely the challenge to whether the federal government can continue to detain people for fairly prolonged periods of time without bond. That is determining whether there was a sufficient need to detain that individual. The court's earlier case that suggested the federal government could continue to detain people without bond was actually based on false statistics that the Department of Justice had submitted to the court, indicating that the detentions were often quite short, when in fact, later statistics revealed they were often lengthy.
5:58Leah, how unusual is it to leave so many big decisions with only weeks left of the term? How many years are we, at this point, at the end of summer term, anxiously awaiting what's going to happen? It's not unusual for everyone to be waiting until the end of June for the Supreme Court's biggest cases. that often drags out until the end of June, and they are packed in to the end of June. I do think that the court has held or we are waiting on a relatively large number of cases for the final potential two weeks of the term. The court has 20 cases left, perhaps 19 opinions in two weeks, and that's an awful lot of cases for us all to be waiting on.
6:38Before we get to all of those, Jeff, can I ask about two big decisions that's already been handed down by the court? one weakening the Voting Rights Act and the other striking down Trump's tariffs. In response, the president called out two justices by name in a social media post writing, quote, maybe Neil and Amy just had a really bad day, but our country can only handle so many decisions of that magnitude before it breaks down and cracks, end quote. Jeff, what did you learn from these decisions and how the court may be handling pressure from the president? Well, in calling out Justices Gorsuch and Barrett, the president was obviously referring to the tariffs case.
7:20He criticized the six justices in the majority, saying they should be absolutely ashamed. And he called, in particular, Justices Gorsuch and Barrett an embarrassment to their families and to one another. In fact, it was a great example of those justices being true to their principles. In Justice Gorsuch's case, his textualist principles, where he wrote a really interesting concurrence, which one of the most important concurrences about executive power that we've seen for a long time, suggesting that the president's power is at its lowest ebb when it's not supported by clear constitutional text.
7:57And Justice Barrett, too, who's proved to be quite pragmatic repeatedly, wrote an extremely thoughtful opinion. The voting rights case is very different. It was the culmination of a long-standing effort to gut the Voting Rights Act, which began with Shelby County, which struck down Section 5. And what was so significant about this decision, which essentially eviscerated Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act as amended in 1982, is it went directly contrary to the explicit intentions that Congress expressed. Congress in 1982 said our whole purpose in passing this amendment is not to require evidence of discriminatory intent before you can have a voting act violation, but instead to prohibit changes that have discriminatory effect.
8:48And the court essentially said we don't care about Congress's intent. We're going to construe this act to mean the opposite and to require intent. and some thought it was to avoid striking it down because some justices think you're not allowed to be race conscious at all. Huge effects both on our elections and on when and whether you're allowed to draw districts for the benefit of minorities. And for many people, that was the old Roberts Court as opposed to the tariffs case, which some hope will be the first of several cases, and we're about to discuss them, ruling against the president. So this really is the year where we're going to find out in the next two weeks whether that tariffs case was an anomaly or whether it was the beginning of a real willingness to challenge the president in important cases.
9:37I do want to—I know we're going to talk about birthright citizenship, and I see we have a lot of emails coming in about that. Please keep the emails coming to 1A at wamu.org. But let's just stick with voting rights for a minute, Leah. And just I wanted to also just add on to Jeff's point about going against the president. What have we seen with this court? We use the words unprecedented often to describe the Trump administration. But having the president show up, for example, in oral arguments, how have we seen the court respond to that as well as the personal attacks he's made against some justices?
10:09I think that the Supreme Court's posture toward the Trump administration has been unprecedented in several ways. Over the first 18 or so months, the administration had a near unbroken 20-some case winning streak on what is known as the Supreme Court's shadow docket. That is the set of cases that the court decides without oral argument or full briefing. And on the shadow docket, the court allowed the president and the administration to press forward with several significant policies that lower courts had concluded were illegal. That includes the attempted destruction of the Department of Education, the withholding of almost a billion dollars in research funds from the National Institutes of Health research grants.
10:51That includes firing the heads of several independent agencies, including the Federal Trade Commission, as well as the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission. That includes the practice of federal immigration officers allegedly using race when they are stopping, detaining, and questioning people during federal immigration enforcement. And the list goes on. So in many different cases, the court has allowed the administration to exercise what have been unprecedented and sweeping assertions of executive authority. One of the most anticipated cases on the Supreme Court's docket is birthright citizenship.
11:29As I mentioned, President Trump made history by being the first president to sit in on oral arguments. Even so, the court scheme seemed skeptical of the administration's case. Having said all that, you do agree that that has no impact on the legal analysis before us? I think it's, I'd quote what Justice Scalia said in his Hamdan dissent, where their interpretation has these implications that could not possibly have been approved by the 19th century framers of this amendment. And I think that shows that they've made a mess. Their interpretation has made a mess of the provision. Well, it certainly wasn't a problem in the 19th century.
12:06No, but of course, we're in a new world now, as Justice Alito pointed out to, where 8 billion people are one plane ride away from having a child who's a U.S. citizen. Well, it's a new world. It's the same Constitution. That was Chief Justice John Roberts and Solicitor General John Sauer in April. One listener emails, I'm shocked that the Supreme Court would even hear the Trump administration's request about birthright citizenship, despite that this is a right clearly enshrined by the 14th Amendment. When we come back, we're going to talk a little bit more about that. Jeff, Leah, I would love for you to start off the conversation by thinking about that listener question.
12:41Stay with us.
12:46This message comes from Synchrony Bank, who wants to inspire you to keep dreaming and saving smart to make those dreams real. Open an account and dream on at synchrony.com slash NPR. Member FDIC. This message comes from Grainger. This is the story of the one. As a procurement manager for a hospital system, she keeps every facility in her network stocked and ready. That's why she counts on Grainger to be her single source for thousands of products, from disinfectants to lighting, air filters, and more. And with fast, dependable delivery, Grainger helps her keep every facility stocked, safe, and running smoothly.
13:25Call 1-800-GRAINGER, click grainger.com, or just stop by. Grainger, for the ones who get it done. This message comes from HIMS. Notice your hairline creeping back? HIMS makes it simple to do something about it. Get access to prescription treatments with finasteride and minoxidil, ingredients that can help stop hair loss and regrow hair. Visit hems.com slash NPR. Compounded drug products are not approved or evaluated for safety, effectiveness, or quality by the FDA. RX required. See website for full details and important safety information. Individual results may vary. This message comes from HomeServe.
14:04A burst pipe. A dead water heater. The AC calling it quits. Who do you call? HomeServe is an easy way to handle unexpected home repairs, with plans covering stuff basic homeowners insurance usually won't. Instead of scrambling for a contractor, you make one call to get the repair process started. Join the millions of customers who trust HomeServe right now. Go to homeserve.com slash podcast for 50 % less your first year. Savings compared to renewal price. Boyd in Florida. This message comes from BetterHelp. Summer can feel like a sprint. Kids home, trips to plan, routines flipped upside down. It's easy to slip into survival mode, just trying to get through it.
14:47Then suddenly, it's over. And you're wishing you enjoyed the days just a little bit more. Therapy can help you slow down and actually be present for the moments that matter. With BetterHelp, you can connect with a licensed therapist from anywhere, on your schedule. Don't just survive the summer. Thrive. Visit betterhelp.com slash NPR. Let's get back into our conversation. We're talking through the monumental cases on the Supreme Court's docket with only weeks left in its term. Leah, just before the break, we had a listener email in and ask why the Supreme Court is even hearing a request about birthright citizenship, because it's clearly enshrined to this listener by the 14th Amendment.
15:29Your response to why this case is even coming before the Supreme Court? I think it's very reasonable to be concerned that the Supreme Court is hearing this case and hearing it now. by drawing out the case and entertaining the arguments, I think that the Supreme Court has moved the overturn window in what sort of constitutional theories are more or less off the wall. Indeed, last year, when the court was deciding whether lower federal courts had the power to issue what are called nationwide injunctions, the plaintiffs in those cases asked the court, when they determined that issue, to also just say, look, this executive order that lower courts had enjoined, which was the birthright citizenship order, is obviously illegal.
16:12And so we can, Supreme Court, effectively block the policy nationwide. The court opted not to do so, again, returning the case to the lower federal courts and then having it back up on the docket. Now, I think that the Supreme Court effectively had to take this case, given that they pressed the Solicitor General during the oral arguments in the nationwide injunction case, whether the Solicitor General would in fact appeal any lower court rulings that ruled against the administration up to the Supreme Court so that the Supreme Court would have the opportunity to resolve the matter for the entire country after the court told lower courts that they didn't have the power to block policies on a nationwide basis.
16:55So I think it's fair to suggest that the court should have, could have resolved this issue earlier and in a more straightforward fashion that affirmed just how outlandish the administration's views are. But given what they did, they effectively had to take this case. Jeff, what did you gather from the oral arguments? We played a little bit of that audio before the break about how the court may be leaning here. The oral arguments suggested, most people think, that the court is likely overwhelmingly to reject the Trump administration's arguments, Whether the decision is unanimous or seven to two, because Justices Thomas and Alito seem the most skeptical, it looks like the president will lose.
17:39Basically, it's been accepted since the 19th century that that phrase in the 14th Amendment, all persons born or naturalized in the United States and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, has very few exceptions. Wong Kim Ark said that those exceptions included the kids of diplomats who were here, as well as Native Americans, who at the time were not subject to the jurisdiction of the United States, although that was changed by law in 1924. And as a result, it's been on question that citizenship in the United States comes from where you're born, not who your parents are. Now, the administration made a couple of unusual arguments.
18:26First, they really stressed the fact that Wong Kim Ark was a U.S. citizen and that the court had stressed that the ancient rule was that citizenship by birth within the territories requires allegiance and under the protection of the country. And the basic argument is that you have to have allegiance in order to receive protection and be considered a citizen. And if you're the kid of an undocumented alien, you don't have allegiance because you're not domiciled in the country. And a couple times in the argument, the question was, how important is it about domicile? Chief Justice Roberts stressed that the word appears frequently in the wonky mark decision.
19:10Justice Alito really stressed that too. But the really interesting action occurred in the briefs where many conservative scholars argued that it's unquestionable that as a matter of original public meaning, the people who framed and ratified the 14th Amendment thought that citizenship would go with soil rather than by birth. And the idea that jurisdiction depends on obedience and that the disobedience of a parent can be imputed to a child, scholars have argued, doesn't take account of the fact that former Confederate soldiers who were openly rejecting the authority of the United States nevertheless were considered citizens because allegiance is considered a duty of citizenship, not a condition of it, as well as enslaved people who came here illegally, as well as the kids of gypsies who didn't have permanent domicile.
20:07So the historical evidence is really overwhelming that the conventional understanding is correct. The counterargument comes from a previously secret, undiscovered letter to President Andrew Johnson from a senator who later on the floor repudiated his view. So it's an unconventional argument. This has been a consensus. And it sounds like also, Jeff, yeah, it's interesting to hear all of the historical analogies there in that context. I think that's really helpful. Leah, can I just ask your thoughts on what you're gathering as well, like what you're anticipating hearing from the courts on this? I also strongly believe that the court will invalidate the president's birthright citizenship order, which, as Jeff has explained, denies some people birthright citizenship even though they were born in the United States, which just straightforwardly flies in the face of the text, history, and precedent governing the 14th Amendment.
21:04But I think that if and when the Supreme Court does that, that is when they tell the president he cannot unilaterally nullify a provision of the 14th Amendment, people should keep in mind that earlier this term, indeed in the last two months, the Supreme Court effectively allowed states to nullify other parts of the 14th Amendment and the 15th Amendment. when they allowed states to move forward with using districting maps that lower courts had concluded intentionally discriminated against Black voters in violation of the clear terms of the 14th and 15th Amendments. So we should all feel a sense of relief when the Supreme Court doesn't allow the president to effectively read out a provision of the 14th Amendment, but we should also recognize that the court has been, I think, at best selective in its willingness to uphold the promises of the Reconstruction Amendments.
21:57Leah, we got an email sort of similar to this that I wanted to ask you about. Peter in Pennsylvania emails, I'm most interested in the court's ruling on birthright citizenship. If it accepts Trump's interpretation of the 14th Amendment, then what is it to stop them from ruling he can run for a third term under the 22nd Amendment? I mean, I think the short of it is nothing. If the court is so willing to ignore the plain text of the 14th Amendment, which again, straightforwardly guarantees that all persons born and naturalized in the United States and subject to the jurisdiction thereof are citizens, doesn't actually guarantee that people born in the United States are citizens, then we should be really concerned that the court would be willing to read out other provisions of the Constitution that the president also decides he's not interested in upholding.
22:45Let's go back to just the issue of birthright citizenship. Can I just ask Jeff this question we got from Greta in Arlington who said, birthright citizenship does have flaws which have become obvious in recent times. It encourages illegal immigration and birth tourism. These loophole problems could be reformed but not by the Supreme Court. It's clearly an issue to be addressed by Congress since it would require a constitutional amendment. It's a great question. It did come up in the oral arguments. Chief Justice Roberts, however, challenged the Trump administration's emphasis on birthright citizenship, asking how common it actually is.
23:24The Solicitor General acknowledged that no one knows for sure how widespread it is. Roberts says whether he agreed that there were problems that birthright tourism might pose would have no impact on the legal analysis before us. and birth tourism, Roberts noted, wasn't a problem when the 14th Amendment was ratified in the 19th century. And that was when we got that really interesting clip that we heard where Sowers said, we're living in a new world. And Roberts said, we may have a new world, we have the same constitution. That suggests that the birthright citizenship, or rather the birthright tourism question won't be central to the court's analysis.
24:01They are gonna focus on text history and tradition. And as the writer suggests, if it is a problem, and it's not even clear that it is based on the briefs, it's something for Congress to address. Right. Keep the emails coming to 1a at wamu.org. Of course, birthright citizenship isn't the only immigration case in front of the court right now. The justices are also deciding on the issue of temporary protected status. The Trump administration is attempting to end TPS for Syria and Haiti. Leah, what's at the heart of this issue? I think at the heart of this issue is whether the president is going to have to comply with the statutes that Congress has passed in order to regularize and routinize the procedures for temporary protected status and ending that program.
24:48In these cases, the president ended temporary protected status for Haitian nationals after we all saw and heard the frankly gross and horrifying things that the president and his allies said about Haitian nationals during the campaign, including the false smear that there were communities of Haitian nationals eating the dogs and eating the cats in Ohio. So what these cases are asking the court to do is essentially not to blind themselves to the reality of why the president was attempting to end these temporary protected status programs. The other program, which is for Syrian nationals, the administration might have a stronger case insofar as conditions on the ground have changed in Syria, and that might merit revisiting the temporary protected status program.
25:37The problem, however, is it doesn't seem like or look like the administration actually meaningfully considered the facts when it decided to end the program, given that the almost whole of the record that the administration submitted that described the process it had reportedly undertaken to consider ending TPS was essentially a single email. And so these cases are about whether courts will enforce the statutes that apply to the Temporary Protected Status Program or will instead say courts can't review whether the president has complied with the law. Jay emailed, I was a DHS immigration program official for nearly a decade and I'm very concerned about the upcoming Supreme Court immigration decisions.
26:25The decision about TPS includes about 300 ,000 Haitian immigrants. Trump is trying to force these U.S. residents to return to Haiti, although the U.S. State Department advises Americans to, quote, not travel to Haiti due to kidnapping, crime, terrorist activity, civil unrest, and limited health care. This is a sick, racist game on the administration's part. Trump wants to deport Black Haitians and others of color, but allow white South Africans to come here as refugees and have more immigrants from Norway. That's from Jay. Jeff, where do you think the Supreme Court's going to land on TPS? On that question of whether the court will take cognizance of racial animus, Chief Justice Roberts, whose vote could be important, was skeptical.
27:11The challengers had invoked a 2018 decision, Trump v. Haiti, where they held that restrictions on immigrations from eight countries, which were predominantly Muslim, were grounded in racial animus. Here, however, Chief Justice Roberts suggested that the termination of Haiti's designation is plausibly related to the national interest in foreign policy justifications the secretary provided. The big question in the oral argument, and it was not clear after the argument which way the court was going to rule, was whether or not the government had to abide by appropriate procedures. The law professor representing the Syrian challenger said the secretary can terminate TPS, but he has to turn square corners and follow the rules Congress set.
Read the full transcript
28:01And simply arguing that a failure to follow rules was unreliable was something that the liberal justices in particular thought violated the statute. Justice Ms. Jackson said Congress has clearly required certain statutory steps to include consultation, and if you can't review that, then what's the constraining effect of the statute? So there seemed to be broad consensus that even though courts may not be able to review the substance of the decisions, as Justice Kagan suggested, she said that's a different thing to say that all the procedures that the secretary is supposed to follow are themselves unreviewable And again, not totally clear which way the court's going to come out.
28:44But as Leah and the questioners have suggested, huge implications on future immigration cases and on lots of people who are now in the United States. Let's switch gears to another major case. This is about mail-in ballots centered around a Mississippi law that allows the state to count mail ballots up to five days after Election Day. President Trump has blamed his 2020 loss in part to mail-in ballots as an issue he's repeatedly railed against, most recently about California's election. You see that's what's happening in California. They're rigging the election. Now, maybe we caught them and maybe they won't be able to get away with it.
29:22They tried with me. They did it successfully the second time, the third time. We made it too big to rig. Too many votes. They couldn't do it. They can only go. They sort of gave up at about 9 or 7 when they got slaughtered with the votes that came in. That was President Trump earlier this month. Trump has called mail-in ballots mail-in cheating, even though he has voted by mail himself as recently as this year. The president voted by mail-in voting in Florida. Leah, what's your sense of the strength of this Supreme Court case? I don't think there is a strong argument for the idea that federal law makes it illegal for states to continue to count ballots that are received after Election Day.
30:04That theory rests on a federal statute that merely declares the first Tuesday in November to be Election Day. But there are so many different election practices that don't happen on Election Day itself. the entire enterprise of absentee voting contemplates that voters will cast ballots not on election day. And no one is challenging the fact that states can continue to count ballots after election day so long as they are received on or by election day. So the entire theory, in my view, kind of rests on a house of cards. And part of the concern is if the court does indeed suggest or say that federal law prohibits states from counting ballots that are received after Election Day because of this statute establishing there is an Election Day, they would be inviting future challenges to absentee voting itself.
30:56We're looking ahead to the biggest cases left before the Supreme Court. Still to come, does the president have the power to fire the heads of independent agencies? And what's at stake in the case over transgender athletes? We'll be talking about all of that coming up. Stay with us.
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32:36Robert in Michigan emails, if the argument that it was a different world when the 14th Amendment was established, couldn't it also be said that was a different world, a time when arms were muskets, when the Second Amendment was established? Marvin adds, I find the argument concerning allegiance strange. Even if a person was clearly born to U.S. citizens on U.S. soil and no one can dispute their citizenship, that person can choose to have or not have allegiance to the U.S. and it won't change their citizenship. Jeff, do you want to comment on that? Both great questions. And they point to the malleability of this new text history and tradition argument that the court is using a whole lot.
33:19It is very much at issue in the gun case, as the listener suggested. And the court sowed a lot of confusion by trying to require historical analogs for modern weapons that didn't exist at the time of the framing. And it also came up in the ballots case, where the claim was that in the 19th century, the casting of ballots and the counting of ballots tended to occur on the same day. That was the tradition. But the other side noted, well, it was during COVID that Mississippi changed its election law to allow mail-in ballots to be counted. And therefore, that new circumstance requires a new tradition.
34:02There was also a battle about whether or not Confederate soldiers were allowed to vote late and have their officers cast ballots. So the point is that history and tradition are extremely malleable. You can choose different traditions. Justice Kagan has accused the majority of playing a kind of historical whack-a-mole by shifting between text history and tradition to reach preferred results. And that's why the birthright citizenship case is so important, because as we've been discussing, there's such overwhelming agreement on text, history, tradition about the tradition of birthright citizenship.
34:38That's why people expect the court to recognize it. A quick note about a decision that came down last week. On Thursday, the Supreme Court decided that Alabama cannot use nitrogen gas to execute a man facing the death penalty. Jeffrey Lee, a convicted murderer, was planned to be executed that day. The court rejected an appeal by state officials after the lower courts deemed the method unconstitutional, violating the Eighth Amendment's ban on cruel and unusual punishment. The court did not explain its reasoning. Lee's execution was delayed, but he still faces the death penalty. We've got a couple more big cases to go through.
35:14Let's talk about presidential power and independent agencies. The court is deciding on the president's ability to fire the head of independent agencies. This is after Trump attempted to oust both the Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook and commissioners at the FTC. Leah, what have justices signaled about which way they might rule on this? I think all signs point to the Republican appointees issuing a ruling that declares the president must have the power to fire the heads of every single agency except for the Federal Reserve. That would effectively end independent agencies as we know it and hand the president sweeping powers to reshape and control these agencies.
35:58Given the news that the Department of Justice recently approved the merger between Paramount, Skydance and Warner, I think the concern is the president would use that power over personnel to effectively order the agencies to scratch the back of companies that have scratched his and to gift them with various federal rewards, be it federal contracts, approvals for merger or so on. Jeff, what do you think this decision could mean more broadly when we're talking about presidential power? Well, it could absolutely, in addition to the effects that Leah suggests, call into question most of the remaining independent agencies that have multi-member heads.
36:44The court is widely expected to overturn a case called Humphrey's Executor, which was decided unanimously in 1935 to hold that the Congress could impose limitations on the president's ability to fire federal trade commissioners for inefficiency, neglect of duty or malfeasance. and that this showed a congressional intent to create a body of experts who can gain experience by length of service who are independent of executive authority, except in its selection. If the court, as is expected, overturns Humphrey's executor and holds that multi-member agencies are unconstitutional, it will call into question a significant check on executive power that many of the briefs argue go back to the time of the founding.
37:35And here's another case where the debate among the originalists is really interesting. Several scholars noted that James Madison himself supported the creation of an independent controller of the Treasury. Hamilton seems to have shifted his view on this question, but of course there wasn't a modern administrative state. And one of the central achievements of the progressive era was to create these independent agencies. Justice Louis Brandeis, who conceived of many of these agencies, insisted that the point of the Constitution wasn't efficiency but liberty, and it was important to make agencies independent of the president to prevent the accumulation of executive power.
38:18The idea is that if these are struck down, now that the presidency has swelled under a theory called the unitary executive theory, and Congress is now supine in not imposing limits on the president, it would really make the president far more powerful than the framers intended. The court is expected to carve out an exception for the Federal Reserve, where Lisa Cook has been fired. Her firing is put on hold and may attempt to distinguish the Fed from other agencies, mostly on the grounds that it would be really bad for the economy if the president could undermine the independence of the Fed. There may be no more principled distinction than that.
38:57But for many justices, the future of the administrative stake is what's at issue. They viewed these agencies as unconstitutional for a long time. And if they succeed, it will really transform the shape of the federal government. Leah, we heard Jeff talking about originalism. For those of us who are not Supreme Court watchers, what do we need to know about this? I think this is a phrase people throw around a lot. What should we do and how does it apply to this specific term? So originalism refers to a method of interpreting the Constitution, and it generally maintains that the Constitution means what it meant when it was originally adopted or ratified, be it in the 1700s or 1800s when we're talking about different amendments, some of which were also adopted during the 1900s.
39:46And I think an important thing to understand about originalism is that it has many different variations and therefore is often quite manipulable. Sometimes originalists want to know, well, what did the people who drafted or ratified the amendment intend for it to mean? Did they intend for this amendment to prohibit segregated schools? Rather, other times, originalists are interested in more of the general meaning of the amendment. That is not what the people specifically thought the amendment might permit or prohibit, but what they understood the terms to mean. And those terms should then be applied to different factual circumstances.
40:24And we might come to a different understanding about how those general terms are applied to particular factual circumstances. And toggling back and forth between those two registers is just one way that originalism supplies the justices, judges, and decision makers with a considerable amount of discretion. Let's dig into one more undecided issue. This is about transgender athlete bans. The court is hearing two cases, one affecting colleges and universities and the other high school athletics. Currently, about 27 states ban transgender students from sports consistent with their gender identity.
41:02Leah, what do we need to know about these cases? I think these cases are very significant because of how significant sports are to individuals' experience, their mental health, their emotional health, their physical health. I think based on the oral argument, it is clear that the court is going to say the lower courts were wrong to conclude that federal laws prohibiting sex discrimination prohibited states and schools from prohibiting transgender athletes from participating in sports teams that correspond with their gender identity. I think the only lingering question is whether the court will also answer the constitutional question about whether it violates the 14th Amendment and denies the transgender athletes equal protection of the laws to effectively prohibit them from participating in sports.
41:53Jeff, where do you see the court coming down here? I agree with Leah. The court does seem inclined to uphold these laws. In particular, it's likely to accept the argument that although this is a sex-based classification, sex is what matters in sports, as the Idaho Solicitor General said. It correlates strongly with a lot of athletic advantages and therefore denying special treatment isn't classifying on the basis of transgender status, especially because transgender women are allowed to join men's sports teams, but not the other way around. Instead, the argument is it's applying to a tiny subset of males who identify as transgender and suppress their testosterone.
42:44And the idea is that that's a relevant difference. There may be some exceptions, but for 99 percent of the cases, the solicitor general argued, it's reasonably tailored. And just the one percent of trans-identifying individuals who take drugs and are effective, that's the problem. So a really interesting example of the court likely to uphold what used to be called a real difference on the basis of sex. In other words, sex matters when it comes to bodily strength. and a repudiation of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg's central view that laws should be struck down when they're based on gender stereotypes and should require individualized examination of whether a particular individual meets the generalization or not.
43:32I think Justice Ginsburg would have absolutely been on the other side of this case, as the liberal justices seem to be. The court has already rejected the idea that transgender status is entitled to so-called heightened scrutiny, that you have to look really closely at laws that discriminate on that basis. But since here, it's likely to find that this is not a discrimination on the basis of transgender status, but a sex-based classification that's reasonably related to an empirical fact. It looks like the laws are going to be struck down. We got this voicemail from Elizabeth in Arkansas about mail-in voting.
44:08I think it also needs to be looked at the role of the U.S. Postal Service in this. Often we hear from across the country about how postal service delivery is delayed, missing mail, etc. So how does the post office factor into this when ballots could be delayed? I lived in Colorado for many years where mail-in ballots are the way to vote. And it's incredibly convenient and would love to see that across the country. But there is a delay sometimes in receiving some of these ballots as long as they are postmarked. Last week, the U.S. Postal Service did propose a new rule that would give the agency broad authority to allow it to screen mail-in ballots for eligibility.
44:53Leah, what's going on here? What can you tell Elizabeth about the role of the U.S. Postal Service in this? I think this is a pretty obvious effort by the president to make an end round around the fact that numerous courts have affirmed that the president on his own just doesn't have the authority to set the rules regarding federal elections. Generally, under our constitutional system, states have that authority. And Congress, that is the legislature, can also pass statutes regulating elections. And based on that idea, courts have said the president's previous executive orders that have sought to limit absentee ballots and whatnot can't be enforced.
45:32And so here he's essentially attempting to use the authority he does have over the postal service to try to use that authority to effectively regulate elections. and my best guess is that courts will say you can't use the authority you do have over these agencies to assert an authority you don't have, which is to set the rules regarding federal elections and nullify states' laws regarding elections. We got this email from Robert in Florida who says, if your income tax is considered paid on the date it was mailed, apparently because your payment was in the hands of the federal government on the day due, why wouldn't the same principle apply to voting?
46:14Jeff, regardless, thanks for that comment, Robert. But Jeff, I just wonder if you can just quickly just speak to the what's at stake here when it comes to the election, the fact the timing of this is happening while we're in the middle of midterm elections. Today is Election Day in D.C., for example. It is indeed. And in fact, at the oral argument, the justices asked, could this be applied to the next presidential election? And the answer was absolutely. So it could have big consequences. We've seen how close the votes are in presidential elections. We've seen elections that have switched and flipped based on mail-in ballots, in particular veterans and those who serve overseas.
47:01have said that their votes would be substantially affected. And we've seen the issues with the post office that led this law to be passed in the first place during COVID. So huge practical effects. Not, in fact, always clear that mail-in ballots favor Democrats over Republicans. So even if this succeeds, its partisan effects may not be obvious. But people have come to expect the ability to vote by mail as well as to vote early, although the court here distinguished early voting from mail-in voting on grounds that not everyone is going to find persuasive. So big, big consequences, and the court does seem likely to strike down this practice.
47:49I'll let the final word go to listener Stephen, who emailed, the entire concept of originalism is problematic when the Constitution was originally constructed to be amendable. I want to thank our listeners for contributing to today's conversation, along with Jeff Rosen, CEO Emeritus of the National Constitution Center. He's also law professor at the George Washington University Law School. His most recent book is called The Pursuit of Liberty, How Hamilton vs. Jefferson Ignited the Lasting Battle Over Power in America. I want to thank Leah Littman for joining us as well, professor of law at University of Michigan, and the author of Lawless, How the Supreme Court Runs on Conservative Grievance, Fringe Theories, and Bad Vibes.
48:28The paperback version comes out today. Remember, we're on Instagram. You can follow us at The 1A Show. Today's producer was Michelle Harvin. This program comes to you from WAMU, part of American University in Washington, distributed by NPR. I'm Naila Boodoo. Jen White is back with you tomorrow. Thanks for listening. This is 1A.
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From the publisher
Decisions are expected soon on immigration and Birthright Citizenship, a nearly 160-year legal precedent that says those born in the US are citizens. Plus decisions on mail in ballots, transgender athletes and the president’s ability to fire the heads of independent agencies.
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