In short
NPR 1A Friday News Roundup covering President Trump’s April 3, 2026 Iran war address; U.S. domestic fallout (Justice Department shakeup, DHS shutdown negotiations, jobs and gas prices); and international implications (Strait of Hormuz, missile strikes, potential war-crime concerns).
Guests and backgrounds
Alana Shore, Senior Washington Editor at Semaphore; David Smith, Washington Bureau Chief for The Guardian; Olivier Knox, Senior National Correspondent for U.S. News and World Report; later Felicia Schwartz, diplomatic correspondent at Politico; Robbie Grammer, national security reporter at The Wall Street Journal; Nick Schifrin, foreign affairs and defense correspondent for PBS News (Compass Points).
Key claims
Trump said the war is nearly won but also threatened escalation “over the next two to three weeks,” including language about bombing Iran “back to the Stone Ages.” Panelists said there was no clear plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz (key for ~20% of global oil flows). Another major story: Trump fired Attorney General Pam Bondi; Deputy AG Todd Blanche became acting AG, with concerns about prosecutorial focus and Epstein/Ghislaine Maxwell handling. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth fired senior Army leaders mid-conflict and reversed punishment for pilots who flew for Kid Rock content, raising accountability concerns. DHS shutdown deal is described as messy, with ICE/Border Patrol funded via reconciliation; TSA/ICE coordination and birthright citizenship arguments at the Supreme Court.
Notable examples
reported U.S. rescue of a downed American fighter jet pilot; oil-price jump during the speech; Artemis II launch/ongoing lunar flyby; Oracle mass layoffs (up to 30,000); Supreme Court birthright citizenship oral arguments with Trump attending; D.C. White House ballroom project halted by a federal judge.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOOverview of the War in Iran
0:58 to 2:15
Discussion on the current state of the war in Iran and President Trump's address.
“32 days and hundreds of billions of dollars into the war in Iran.”
Reaction to Attorney General's Firing
2:15 to 3:35
Analyzing the implications of Trump firing Attorney General Pam Bondi.
“and a look upward at Artemis II, coasting as we speak, toward a new encounter with the moon.”
Pam Bondi's Loyalty and Issues
3:35 to 6:04
Examination of Pam Bondi's loyalty to Trump and her controversies.
“It's hard to find anyone who is more overt in her loyalty to President Trump than Pam Bondi.”
Transition to Todd Blanch
6:04 to 10:10
Discussion on Todd Blanch's new role as acting Attorney General and implications.
“And that isn't necessarily how this ended up.”
Congressional Depositions and Reactions
10:10 to 12:30
Analysis of potential congressional depositions and reactions to Bondi's firing.
“And so it becomes this public spectacle rather than necessarily investigation.”
Breaking News from Iran
13:05 to 14:02
Discussion on the recent developments in Iran and President Trump's address.
“If you're tired of spending hundreds on big wireless bills, bogus fees, and free perks, Mint Mobile might be right for you with plans starting from$15 a month.”
Analysis of Presidential Address on Iran Conflict
14:02 to 19:04
The discussion analyzes President Trump's recent address regarding the ongoing war in Iran, focusing on the mixed messages and implications for U.S. military strategy.
“As we follow the war in Iran and the president's selling of the war to the American public this week, we got the president's first address to the nation since he launched the U.S.”
Significance of Defense Secretary's Decisions
19:05 to 21:43
The panel discusses the unprecedented firings by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and their implications on military accountability and leadership during conflict.
“But meanwhile, in Washington on Thursday, the defense secretary, Pete Hexeth, during this war fired effectively the Army Chief of Staff, General Randy George, and two other military leaders.”
Impact of War on U.S. Economy
21:44 to 23:34
The conversation covers how the Iran conflict is affecting U.S. gas prices and the broader economic landscape, highlighting consumer pressures.
“He has insisted on, I mean, if you took a drink for every time he says the word lethality, you'd be poisoned very quickly.”
Job Market Overview Amidst Economic Pressures
23:35 to 27:35
Panelists discuss the latest job numbers and layoffs in the tech sector, analyzing the impact of the Iran war amidst a changing labor market.
“How significant is this passing of a$4 marker on gas prices?”
Show all 41 chapters
Impact of AI on the Tech Job Market
28:00 to 28:38
Explore how AI is reshaping job opportunities in the tech sector.
“David Smith, what does this say about the state of the tech sector and jobs in the tech sector?”
Artemis II Mission Overview
28:53 to 30:58
Learn about NASA's Artemis II and its significance for lunar exploration.
“Back in December 1968, Apollo 8 became the first crewed spacecraft to leave Earth's orbit and reach the moon.”
DHS Funding Standoff and Political Implications
30:58 to 33:31
Delve into the political friction surrounding DHS funding and ICE.
“Well, back on Earth, a new deal between President Trump and GOP leaders on Capitol Hill is supposed to defuse the nearly 50-day standoff and the shutdown of DHS, the Department of Homeland Security.”
Trust in Job Numbers
33:31 to 35:05
Discuss the credibility of job numbers released by the current administration.
“And now the executive's telling them what to do with their appropriations votes.”
ICE Presence at Airports During the Shutdown
35:05 to 37:10
Examine ICE's role at airports amidst the shutdown and its implications.
“Now, as we wait to see how, if the House will handle that DHS funding bill, the shutdown continues.”
Supreme Court and Birthright Citizenship Debate
37:10 to 39:06
Analyze the Supreme Court arguments regarding birthright citizenship.
“airport to receive that information, but that sharing apparently is going on.”
Congressional Challenges for Trump's Ballroom Project
39:06 to 40:20
Understand the legal challenges facing Trump’s proposed ballroom project.
“Well, also this week, a panel in charge of urban planning in D.C.”
Political Climate in Florida and Special Elections
40:20 to 42:01
Discover the significance of recent special elections in Florida for Democrats.
“Well, some bad news for the GOP on the political front this week.”
Democratic Momentum and the No Kings Protest
42:01 to 43:16
Explore the impact of recent protests and the division within the Democratic Party.
“And now Democrats are on a tremendous winning streak in these special elections.”
Reflections on the Artemis Space Launch
43:17 to 45:00
Hosts share their impressions and feelings about the recent Artemis launch.
“Before we go, we're talking about Artemis.”
President's Remarks on the War in Iran
45:01 to 46:30
An in-depth analysis of the president's speech regarding military objectives in Iran.
“When we come back after a break, we'll have a new panel and all of the news from around the globe.”
The Complexity of U.S. Foreign Policy
46:31 to 49:54
Discussing the implications of U.S. foreign policy and the Strait of Hormuz.
“For the first time since he and the leaders of Israel started the war 35 days ago.”
Challenges in NATO Relations
49:55 to 51:18
Examine the current tensions within NATO and the U.S.'s role.
“to try and get a resolution passed that at least has a phrasing like defensive means.”
Russia's Strategic Gains Amid the Conflict
51:19 to 55:50
Analyzing Russia's position and benefits related to the Iran war and NATO tensions.
“to secure the Strait of Hormuz and wind this down.”
Russia's Gains Amidst the Conflict
56:00 to 57:08
Explore how Russia has capitalized on the war, particularly regarding oil and NATO fractures.
“What has Russia gotten since the war in Iran started?”
Escalation of Military Actions
57:08 to 58:54
Discuss the recent intensification of U.S. and Israeli military actions in Iran and their implications.
“So I definitely think that, you know, when it comes to the endgame here, the political endgame, the strategic endgame that the U.S.”
Consequences of Downed Jet
58:54 to 1:00:49
Analyze the potential repercussions of an American jet being shot down in the conflict.
“This has the potential to really take the war from, you know, Category A to Category Z.”
Legal Ramifications of Military Targets
1:00:49 to 1:02:58
Investigate the legal considerations surrounding attacks on civilian infrastructure in Iran.
“But the president extended it, electrical grids, oil wells, and desalination plants for drinking water.”
Gulf States' Reactions to the Conflict
1:02:58 to 1:08:21
Examine the reactions and roles of Gulf states in the ongoing conflict and their relationship with the U.S.
“There's a whole host of really worrying questions here that we have to consider.”
The Role of Oman and Houthis in the War
1:08:21 to 1:10:07
Discuss Oman's diplomatic stance and the Houthis' engagement in the conflict.
“They've been trying to play broker here.”
The Houthi Threat in the Red Sea
1:10:07 to 1:11:31
Analysis of the Houthis' potential impact on global oil markets.
“And so, you know, I think there's an overall judgment that Abd al-Malqa Houthi, the head of the Houthis, is trying to figure out how best to position himself moving forward.”
Israel's Expansion in Southern Lebanon
1:11:31 to 1:13:38
Discussion on Israel's military objectives and the humanitarian crisis.
“We got this message from Risa who says, what happens when Trump decides that we're done with the war and Israel isn't?”
Ethnic Tensions in Southern Lebanon
1:13:38 to 1:15:34
Exploration of Israel's policies towards Shia Muslims in Lebanon.
“And in Lebanon, there's this real fear that if the U.S.”
New Capital Punishment Law in Israel
1:15:34 to 1:17:46
Overview of controversial new legislation affecting Palestinians.
“One, you know, there's a different expectation post-October the 7th from the people that there's just no acceptance of what was a Hezbollah with 100 ,000 rockets on the northern border.”
Public Reactions to the Death Penalty Law
1:17:46 to 1:20:47
Discussion on the Israeli public's response to the new law and protests.
“Now that this law is passed, his coalition partners will likely push for the government to use it, to implement it, to make those celebrations we just heard on the far right more real.”
Escalating Settler Violence in the West Bank
1:20:47 to 1:24:01
Examination of the rise in settler violence against Palestinians.
“So, you know, this is a really worrying development for human rights watchers, even for allies of Israel in the United States who worry about the direction Israel is heading.”
Current State of Palestinian Outposts
1:24:01 to 1:24:33
Explore the ongoing issues of Palestinian evictions and settler violence.
“They used to be ripped out, and sometimes they still are.”
Geopolitical Context of the Middle East
1:24:33 to 1:24:46
Understand the complex geopolitical landscape involving Israel, Lebanon, and Iran.
“Before we leave, I do want to pull back from all of this and take just a minute and make sure that we don't forget about Cuba and Russia and oil.”
Russia's Aid to Cuba Amid Blockade
1:24:46 to 1:25:14
Learn about the implications of a Russian oil tanker reaching Cuba under blockade.
“Because something remarkable happened in the last week.”
Trump, Putin, and Concerns Over Trade
1:25:14 to 1:26:04
Discuss the speculation around a potential trade-off between Trump and Putin.
“Robbie Grammer, did a Russian oil tanker run an American blockade?”
U.S. Response to Russian Offers
1:26:04 to 1:26:31
Examine the U.S. stance on Russia's proposals regarding Cuba and Ukraine.
“Subtle and not so subtle actions on both of their parts indicate this would be an easy way for them to wash their hands of problems that no longer interest them.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00This message comes from NPR sponsor Charles Schwab with its original podcast on investing. It's hosted by Lizanne Saunders Schwab's chief investment investment strategist and and Colin Martin, head of fixed income research and strategy for the Schwab Center for Financial Research. Each week, Lizanne, Colin, and their guests analyze economic developments and bring context to conversations around stocks, fixed income, the economy, and more. Download the latest episode and subscribe at schwab.com slash oninvesting or wherever you get your podcasts. Hi, it's Todd, your host for this edition of the News Roundup.
0:34Just a quick heads up before we start the show. The news is changing rapidly, and things might have changed by the time you hear this episode. So stay up to date with all the latest by listening to your local NPR member station and by visiting npr.org.
0:57I'm Todd Zwilich, and it's the 1A Friday News Roundup. 32 days and hundreds of billions of dollars into the war in Iran. And for the first time this week, President Trump addressed the nation about why he chose this war, what costs Americans can expect, and where it all goes from here. But we learned not much about what's ahead. On one hand, according to the president, the fight is already won and is effectively over. On the other hand, escalation and the threat of more destruction to come. We're going to hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks. We're going to bring them back to the Stone Ages where they belong.
1:40The government in Tehran is in the hands of the Iranian regime. So is its nuclear fuel. So is the Strait of Hormuz. And escalation seems to be the message that Iran received. It fired more missiles at Israel in the hours before Passover began and attacked other Gulf neighbors as well. Americans overwhelmingly disapprove of this war. Did they hear anything to convince them that the president has a plan to end it? Did lawmakers staring down the prospects of running for election this fall? We'll get to the war and the commander-in-chief, plus the latest on the shutdown at the Department of Homeland Security, and a look upward at Artemis II, coasting as we speak, toward a new encounter with the moon.
2:26Here with us is Alana Shore, Senior Washington Editor for Semaphore. Hi, Alana. Glad to be here. David Smith is here, Washington Bureau Chief for The Guardian. Hi, David. Great to be here. And on the line, Olivier Knox, Senior National Correspondent for U.S. News and World Report. You there, Olivier? I certainly am, Todd. Oh, hey, Olivier. Great to have you. But first, before we get to all that, big news yesterday in Washington. On Thursday, President Trump fired the Attorney General, Pam Bondi. Now, Bondi was one of Donald Trump's fiercest and most loyal defenders. She helped bend the Justice Department to his personal will.
3:01But according to The New York Times, on a car ride from the White House to the Supreme Court on Wednesday, Trump told Bondi it was time for a change. On Thursday, Trump posted on Truth Social, we love Pam and she will be transitioning to a much needed and important new job in the private sector, not at the Justice Department. Ryan Riley was all over this story from early rumors of Bondi's firing to the final deed on Thursday. He covers the Justice Department for NBC News, and he's in the studio to bring us through the very important firing of the attorney general. Hi, Ryan. Hey there. It's hard to find anyone who is more overt in her loyalty to President Trump than Pam Bondi.
3:43Why now? Why is she gone? I mean, I think that she ran into the facts and the law of a lot of these cases, right? This is not for lack of trying to go after Donald Trump's political enemies. I mean they did indict. They got an indictment of the former FBI director, James Comey. They went after the New York attorney general on mortgage charges, mortgage fraud-related charges, which amounted to an alleged savings of about$50 a month. So we're really talking about what legal scholars would refer to de minimis allegations there. And, you know, also they tried to go after six sitting members of Congress and a grand jury sitting in D.C.
4:21looked at that and universally rejected that. I mean, I talked to a lot of former federal prosecutors and, you know, it's very rare for a grand jury to reject anything, but let alone go zero votes for an attempted indictment. So you're saying it was more her failure to get to and punish Trump's enemies than handling of the Epstein files and that entire episode going on? Well, we saw a lot of – I think the Epstein files definitely played a role because we saw a lot of Republicans and allies of Trump on the Hill who were upset about that. And I mean sort of there was some bipartisan pushback to that.
4:57And I think that you sort of saw this notion of Todd Blanch rising up because he was the one who they sort of slotted in to have a press conference about the Epstein files. And, you know, the, I guess, outgoing Attorney General Pam Bondi did have a lot of these verbal hiccups and verbal slip ups over the course of her tenure, starting from her very first day in office. I mean, one thing that will be sort of forever ingrained in my mind was the very first press conference she held at the Justice Department. And we're all sort of, you know, waiting there. And she comes out and she announces that the Justice Department, and she used the word, is charging, right?
5:31That invokes criminal charges. When you talk about charging someone, you're talking about slapping handcuffs on them. This is a criminal case. And what they were announcing there was a mere civil litigation, right? It was a lawsuit that they were filing there. And so there was this sort of like internal panic. What are they talking about? And then before we all sort of had to figure out what exactly it was. So, I mean, from the very beginning, there were just a bunch of hiccups and then, you know, talking about the Epstein client list being on her desk and then that she had to walk back. So I think, you know, Donald Trump thought that he was getting someone who was very sort of media skilled.
6:04And that isn't necessarily how this ended up. So loyalty, you cannot question her loyalty, the most loyal attack dog for Trump. Here is Pam Bondi on Capitol Hill in February attacking lawmakers as they're asking questions about her handling of the Epstein files. You don't tell me anything. Oh, I did tell you because we saw what you did in the Senate. You're a lawyer, not even a lawyer. In a congressional hearing, there's not a more TV-ready attack dog for Trump than Pam Bondi, and you're saying in the end it wasn't enough. Yeah, and I mean, the other thing that sticked out about that was, though it was clearly very rehearsed, right?
6:38I think Democrats referred to what she had as a burn book before her, where she had these sort of predetermined attack that ready to go no matter what the question was, just based on the questioner. It was a lot of, you know, personal attacks on whoever was making the questions and not really answering or engaging with the substance. The president announced that Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanch will become the new acting AG, Todd Blanch, of course, formally, the president's personal lawyer in his personal prosecutions and his personal legal troubles in between the two Trump terms, defended him in the 34 felony count case, right, in New York.
7:13What more do we need to know now about Todd Blanch and how he might handle the top job here? Yeah, I mean, I think that background's important. I spoke with somebody yesterday who used to work with him in, or I reached out for comment to someone who used to work with him in the Southern District of New York, who initially, when I wrote a story when when Todd Blanch was initially nominated, sort of looking at his background and sort of people putting hope into the idea that he would be more of a team normal or, you know, a normie sort of deputy attorney general. But what ended up happening is, you know, she basically reversed on this.
7:44The person I this former colleague reversed and said she was hopeful at first. Now she doesn't have any expectations of him at all. He she thinks that he'll be sort of in the same to keep doing the same thing that he's been doing. And I mean, you know, but he does, I think, have a little bit more of the media skills that I think Donald Trump is looking for and to a certain extent. Ghislaine Maxwell is seeking a pardon from Donald Trump. Her lawyers have been, or Clemency, her lawyers have been pretty public about that. The president has refused to rule out a pardon for that convicted sex trafficker.
8:15She's getting special treatment in the federal Bureau of Prison. She has been transferred to a low security prison in Texas, not usually appropriate for a convicted sex trafficker. Todd Blanche was instrumental in engineering the treatment of Ghislaine Maxwell. What has his role been? How important is that going forward? Now this man is acting attorney general who has engineered special treatment for one of the most important fact witnesses, a convicted sex trafficker in the Epstein case. Yeah, and I think that the complication on – you're sort of getting these two pressures, right? You're getting pressure from Donald Trump to bring these charges.
8:50You're also getting pressure from the base and I think sort of even bipartisan push to prosecute more people. And a lot of this doesn't – the statute of limitations is not necessarily that something first and foremost in the public discussions about this. But it really I think should be because that's sort of the first baseline question that you're asking about when you're talking about bringing a criminal case against someone. Is it within the statute of limitations? What is the exact charge? And especially when you talk about what Donald Trump has talked about, he's not getting very specific.
9:19He's not citing like, you know, here's my 18 USC code that I would like to go after for this individual target of mine. It's all very generic, and I think that that's what I think you see some flashes of frustration from Todd Blanche on the Maxwell front, on the Epstein front, because he really does want to turn the page on this. And he spoke to that even last night in an interview on Fox News saying that, you know, that was the past. We're sort of moving forward. We got this question from George. Attorney General Pam Bondi was scheduled to be deposed by Congress April 14th. She's under subpoena.
9:50Will she appear? I think that's the expectation is that she will. I think members of Congress would like to see her, but I think that's still up in the air. I think, you know, she initially made – this is the deposition, and especially now we're in this era where these depositions become pseudo hearings because the video is immediately released or released within the next 24 hours. And so it becomes this public spectacle rather than necessarily investigation. But yeah, we could see that. All right. We've got the panel here. Guys, you got any questions for this star justice reporter while we have him around the table?
10:23And Lana, go ahead. Well, I'd just like to ask. David, you go ahead. Oh, sorry. Yeah, that's OK. Lana, you're next. I mean, I thought it was notable that so far Donald Trump has fired only two cabinet secretaries, and both of them were women in what's already the least diverse cabinet of the century. But do you think Todd Blanche will get the job full time? And will that make, or whoever does, will it make any difference to the Epstein files? He's definitely in the running, but I think Jeanine Pirro is also trying to make herself a potential entity there. U.S. attorney. Exactly. And Trump loyalist former Fox News host.
10:55Correct, whose office tried that case against six sitting members of Congress. Alana Shore, go ahead. This relates to my question, actually, which is Tom Tillis. He's standing in the way of a Fed chair confirmation, and he could, right? Like, I'm just doing the math as a Senate nerd. Stand in the way of anyone who doesn't meet his standards when it comes to kind of denialism of January 6th, which I feel like Pirro could land in trouble and wouldn't also blanch. Yeah, I mean, I think that Ed Martin, who he was responsible for blocking, was a big – that was a big indicator there that that case was – you know, what Ed Martin did was far beyond Fertilis.
11:28I don't know whether Pirro has gone quite as far on the J6 front as Ed Martin has, but we shall see. Olivier Knox, go ahead. Actually, my colleagues have done an excellent job of quizzing Ryan here. So I think I will let the case rest. What overall reaction have you seen from lawmakers looking forward to, aside from Tillis, looking forward to a replacement that they would like to see? I mean, the complicating factor is whether or not – if they're going to try to get someone new through. With Blanche, he's got a good run to be able to be in that acting position. He's already been confirmed. Are lawmakers happy with the continuation of the Justice Department that is essentially Donald Trump's personal law firm for his own personal animosities?
12:12It depends on their party. I mean, that's basically what it's broken down to. So the answer, Republicans, yes, are happy with continuing that. I don't think all of them. I mean, I think that there's some cases, certainly the Fed one was one that raised a lot of concerns about whether that was a legitimate investigation. That's Ryan Riley from NBC News covering the Justice Department and Pam Bondi. We're going to take a quick break. Staying with us are Olivier Knox, Alana Shore and David Smith. When we come back, the domestic reaction to the president's path forward on the war in Iran and a lot more.
12:40Stick with us for the News Roundup.
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13:30This message comes from Bloomberg. Odd Lots is a podcast that explores the most interesting and relevant topics in finance, markets, and economics. Join the conversation with Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway every Monday and Thursday. Listen to Odd Lots wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome back. It's the News Roundup on the 1A podcast. We're following some breaking news out of Iran, news that an American fighter jet has been downed. There are reports now from U.S. officials that one of the pilots has been rescued by U.S. forces. So we're following that story. As we follow the war in Iran and the president's selling of the war to the American public this week, we got the president's first address to the nation since he launched the U.S.
14:19into this conflict nearly six weeks ago. He said the war is nearly over, just a few weeks away, which he's been saying since the earliest days of the operation. He claimed that Iran had been obliterated but also threatened to bomb the country, quote, back to the Stone Age, as we heard earlier in the hour. Alana, what did this speech actually tell us about the president, how he's thinking about the war, and where he's headed? Well, to me, it basically was a continuation of the mixed signals regarding the economic and political fallout he's facing versus his desire to, frankly, keep fighting. I think we saw some reports in advance that suggested there would be a clear message of, like, I'm pulling back.
15:03And I didn't feel like we got any clarity at all. Trump clearly wanted the speech to convey a sense of triumphalism. You know, I've accomplished my objectives, but, you know, you see based on how the market reacted to it, oil prices were, like, jumping up as he was talking. People aren't buying it. And, you know, as you'll see, right, like, the fighter jet issue, it's clear that the U.S. hasn't necessarily perhaps decimated Iran's defenses the way they're claiming. So it will have to continue, I think, for Trump to meet his goals, and that's tough. Olivier Knox, what did you see in the speech?
15:38Much of it was familiar. I didn't hear anything brand new except Stone Age invective. What did you take away from the speech, its posture, and what the president wants us to know? Well, one of the big takeaways for me was that the president still doesn't have a clear path to reopening the Strait of Hormuz. and the reason that's important is that about 20 % of globally traded oil flows through that narrow waterway. It's about 21 miles at its narrowest point, but also fertilizer. So we're going to see, we're seeing all these global impacts, very serious economic impacts. The president has given just a bevy of contradictory explanations for humus.
16:20First, it was, we're going to use the U.S. Navy to escort ships through. Then it was, well, actually, we don't care. Then it was, well, the Europeans should do it. Then it was, we don't care. Then it was, I'm really mad at the Europeans for not doing it. And then today on Truth Social, he came out and said, like, we could do this, we could reopen it really easily and seize the oil. There's not really, there's not a plan here. I can guarantee you the Pentagon has a whole bunch of plans because they plan for every single contingency out there. But as of right now, there doesn't appear to be a plan on the president's desk that he's willing to sign off on for reopening that water race.
16:54That was really significant. We also didn't hear any clarity on ground troops, which I think was really important. The United States has amassed a huge military footprint in the region, including a couple thousand Marines. That's really important. It's always been thought that we would need to use ground troops to secure the highly enriched uranium that Iran has. The president, in his speech, suggested that he preferred keeping tracked via satellites and then using missile strikes to deter the Iranians from trying to recover that. So the speech was at least as much what we didn't hear as what we did hear.
17:31David, your impressions of this speech, does the president have a plan to keep oil flowing through the Strait of Hormuz? Does he have a plan to get out of a war that he chose to start? If he does, he didn't really clarify that. I thought it was a tremendous anti-climax on primetime television, just very vague. And as one commentator suggested, it felt as if the speechwriters had copied and pasted Donald Trump's truth social posts from the last few weeks and melded them together. And as Olivier mentioned, we did not hear about ground troops. We also did not hear about NATO, despite speculation there might be a big announcement there.
18:08We didn't hear about this April the 6th deadline for the state of Hormuz to reopen or America to strike even harder. It was kind of vague and muddled. I did hear from people overseas who were absolutely shocked by Donald Trump's language about bombing Iran back to the Stone Ages. They said to me, don't become numb to that. It's just unthinkable that any president would say such a thing. And I was also struck by the contrast that this was literally just a few hours after the Artemis II rocket launch to the moon, just going back to your quiz question earlier, and this moment of unity and triumph and something transcendent.
18:47And then very quickly, Donald Trump stepping on that. He did mention Artemis at the beginning. Perhaps he could have embraced that glory more, but instead he was quickly back to the politics of division. We will embrace the glory of Artemis a little bit later in the hour because we love the glory of Artemis and Artemis II. So stick with us for that. We're also going to talk a little bit more about the impact of the war in Iran on the U.S. economy and on U.S. politics. But meanwhile, in Washington on Thursday, the defense secretary, Pete Hexeth, during this war fired effectively the Army Chief of Staff, General Randy George, and two other military leaders.
19:24Randy George being asked to retire now, retire early, the Army Chief of Staff. Ilana, what do we know about the reasons behind these effective firings? Chief, top Army leaders in the middle of a conflict. Well, what we know is, for starters, it's entirely unprecedented. I mean, and it really speaks to, I think, some serious friction, specifically with Driscoll, who's leading the army. Hegseth is, you know, he's obviously an unorthodox secretary of defense, or war, as he likes to call himself. And clearly, he's wanting to mix up these ranks of top military officers. And there's friction between him and Driscoll that's obvious, but he hasn't addressed it in public.
20:06The Pentagon doesn't give press briefings. You know, the overall optics, as someone who focuses, you know, more on politics and what this means for the administration's war policy, is kind of chaos at the worst possible time. Meanwhile, the defense secretary, Pete Hegseth, made news in another area this week, letting army pilots off the hook. Pilots who did a flyby at the estate of Kid Rock in Nashville, apparently so that he could make Internet content by saluting those helicopters in front of a statue of Liberty replica in his backyard. Normally, flights deemed unsafe or unauthorized would be severely punished by the army, Olivier Knox.
20:46But Pete Hegseth reversed their suspension. They were suspended. Pete Hegseth reversed it, calling them patriots. What does this say about accountability and why does it matter, Olivier? Well, it says that Pete Hegseth is willing to short circuit traditional accountability structures at the Pentagon in service of a political agenda, which is a really significant thing. He's been remaking the Defense Department from top to bottom, not just with these promotions or these firings. When you see all the firings stacked together, as opposed to just one or two on Thursday, it's remarkable how many people he's dismissed since taking over.
21:26In the Kid Rock case, it's the short-circuiting of a traditional process of accountability. You'll remember, of course, that Pete's headstaff went to bat for members of the military who were credibly accused of war crimes in Donald Trump's first term. He has made fun of rules of engagement. He has insisted on, I mean, if you took a drink for every time he says the word lethality, you'd be poisoned very quickly. But he's remaking the department. And this sends an incredible message to everyone involved there, right? If you can take your military hardware on a de facto joyride to benefit a political ally of the president, wow, what a message to the ranks.
22:10David Smith, what do you take away from the excusing, the very public and proud excusing of these pilots who, I'm not an expert on flight rules, but they clearly violated them, and that's usually punished very severely in the Army? Yeah, I think indeed it does show there's kind of one rule for us and one rule for everybody else. It is part of that culture of impunity. And we've seen that throughout the entire first year of the Trump administration, that if you're perceived as on Trump's side, then you can get away with a lot. And, you know, it's notable. Pete Hegseth is, you know, a deeply divisive figure.
22:51Again, I think he's stunned a lot of people around the world with his red meat, you know, super aggressive rhetoric. Indeed, all the talk of lethality and so on. And on top of everything else then, we've certainly been interested in his association with Christian nationalism and how a lot of his language recalls the Crusades. Well, we've been talking about the president's primetime speech on Wednesday. In it, he told Americans to see the Iran conflict this way. This is a true investment in your children and your grandchildren's future. Now, whatever their grandchildren's future, in the now, Americans are paying more than$4 a gallon at the gas pump and feeling the worst pressure on the job market.
23:35David, give us some context. How significant is this passing of a$4 marker on gas prices? Oh, I think it's very significant for millions of consumers. That is how the Iran war will impact them most directly. It's not some remote, faraway conflict that may be seen on TV, but they're really feeling the pain there. They're having to make decisions. Do I buy gas or can I afford my health care instead, for example? and during his speech, you heard Trump try to make this case and rather laboriously talk about other conflicts America has been in, World War I, World War II, Vietnam, and he sort of listed...
Read the full transcript
24:12They were all longer. This one is shorter. That's right, yes. How long each of them had taken, as if to say, you know, so far, as he's put it, this is some kind of excursion and it will be over soon. Now, you know, by the midterms in November, we've seen often enough in the Trump cycle, things do move very fast. You know, maybe the price of gas will be back down by then, But for now, this, I think, is alarming a lot of Republicans on Capitol Hill. Olivier, I've seen a lot of economists warning that oil shock isn't even here yet, that it's coming because of the way oil and hydrocarbon delivery works, that the worst of it is yet to come in terms of prices.
24:49Yeah, that's certainly something I've heard as well. I mean, there's a reason the United States has lifted sanctions on Iranian oil and on Russian oil, that they're desperate to try to keep the supply shock from deepening. There are a bunch of other problems. I mean, we get a lot of fertilizer for agriculture from the Gulf, and we get helium, which is necessary to some high-tech manufacturing from the Gulf. So those are other ways in which the conflict is going to squeeze the U.S. economy. And it's not, I mean, yes, gas prices could in theory come back down. But remember that Iran is damaging infrastructure in the Gulf.
25:26There's a Qatari natural gas facility that experts expect will require five years of repairs. So that's a long, that's a pretty long energy shock. And, you know, the conflict's not over. Iran appears willing to strike its neighbors and its neighbors' energy infrastructure. So I think in terms of economic shocks, this is just the beginning of the ride. Speaking of Pete Hegseth in the Defense Department, Janelle from Ohio points out that Hegseth also just allowed servicemen and women to have personal firearms on base and in the barracks. Another change. I don't know if anybody wants to comment on that change.
26:01I've seen several former officers say from their perspective, it's a terrible idea to have live firearms in the barracks, but I'm no expert. Does anybody want to comment on that change at the Pentagon? Not right now, coming from Janelle. Well, it's a good point, Janelle, and news that Pete Hegseth made yesterday in his many changes at the Pentagon. Alana, sure. Meanwhile, we have new jobs numbers this morning, a bright spot for the economy. We're going to talk about pressures of the Iran war on people's personal economy. But the Labor Department says the U.S. economy added 178 ,000 jobs in March.
26:39That's a big number. Um, economists have been warning Alana that the Iran war is putting downward pressure on a labor market that is slowing overall. How do you look at the numbers today in that context? 178 ,000 jobs in March. Yeah, I mean, obviously it's better news than the Trump administration was probably bracing for, but I don't think this is going to substantially change the narrative of what they call a low-hire, low-fire labor market. I mean, you're seeing big exceptions, right? Like big layoffs at Oracle and other companies, but generally people are kind of stuck in place. Like when you get a great interest rate on your mortgage and you don't really want to get 6%, you just kind of stay where you are.
27:17That's the way this labor market has been perceived as, and it will probably continue to be so, even more so with war stress. So, you know, better than expected jobs report, but keep in mind, they also ratcheted down February's estimate, which was kind of devastating for the administration. Yeah, those numbers can be revised down later, and we will be following that. One more example of mass layoffs before we take a break, not necessarily connected to the war. This time at software giant Oracle, mass layoffs, up to 30 ,000 people notified they were out of a job via email. And that company, as of May 2025, employed 162 ,000 people.
27:53Oracle isn't the first tech company firing people by the thousands. Amazon laid off as many as 30 ,000 white-collar workers last year. David Smith, what does this say about the state of the tech sector and jobs in the tech sector? I'm not an expert in that, but when you were talking, my first assumption was, oh, is this AI related? Because the answer is yes. How did I guess the way AI is just taking a scythe to so obviously so many information jobs, but especially coding and software as a service. It's this huge rupture, which of course could be a canary in the coal mine for other sectors of the job market as well.
28:32And I think always interesting to see what will be the political effects downstream. Pressures on the job market. We'll talk a lot more about it. And we'll talk about maybe a deal to reopen DHS. It's a dodgy one. More in a moment.
28:52Welcome back. It's the News Roundup. Back in December 1968, Apollo 8 became the first crewed spacecraft to leave Earth's orbit and reach the moon. The three-man crew circled the moon 10 times over the course of 20 hours. Well, Apollo, it turns out, had a twin sister, and her name was Artemis. And now, in 2026, Artemis, well, she has a mission. Four, three, two, one, booster ignition, and liftoff. The crew of Artemis II now bound for the moon. Humanity's next great voyage begins. A picture-perfect launch for NASA's SLS rocket, and now the four-person crew of Artemis II is coasting toward the moon as I speak.
29:41They're expected to reach orbit on Monday night. No moon landing on this mission, just like Apollo 8. It's a flyby. It's a test mission and a dress rehearsal. Astronauts are testing out equipment like service module thrusters, known as the RCS, navigation programs. Also, what astronaut can bear to be away from Earth on a 10-day mission and not be able to check their email? And I also see that I have two Microsoft Outlooks, and neither one of those are working. If you want to remote in and check Optimus on those two Outlooks, that would be awesome. Yep, Outlook went down for a little while while the Orion crew capsule was in orbit.
30:17But that's the point of this lunar orbit mission, to work out the kinks for future moon landing. The mission will also send the astronauts 5 ,000 miles behind the moon. That's a lot further than Apollo 8, which was in a 60-mile orbit in its 10 orbits around the moon. 5 ,000 miles around the back of the moon. And that means it'll set a record for the furthest distance human beings have ever been from this planet. About 252 ,000 miles, if you want to know. Now, in astronomical terms, that's not much. It's just a step out the door. But it's something. And it's something important. Here's to many more millions of miles in the future.
30:58Well, back on Earth, a new deal between President Trump and GOP leaders on Capitol Hill is supposed to defuse the nearly 50-day standoff and the shutdown of DHS, the Department of Homeland Security. But, David, the issue of funding ICE is fractious. Republicans right now are arguably even more fractious than that issue. what's the deal? Will it work? Can it work? Yeah, I mean, it does seem very messy. We're seeing here how the sausage gets made. And one of the battles seems to be between House Republicans and Republicans in the Senate. And I mean, my understanding, the current compromise is a two-track process where most of DHS would get funded in a new bill.
31:49And the Senate came up with that. and at first the House was unenthusiastic. Mike Johnson described it as a joke. Sure did. Yeah. Then they seemed to be back on board, but apparently yesterday there were still concerns being raised. And then separately ICE and board patrol would get done through the reconciliation process. I think Democrats are feeling quite good about all this. I mean, they're certainly harnessing some of that energy, the backlash against what happened in Minneapolis. They've remained united on this front and they're watching Republicans kind of at each other's throats. And again, it's probably good for the party ahead of the midterms.
32:23Alana, sure. I mean, this deal on the face of it appears to give Republicans what they wanted, funding DHS, funding ICE and Border Patrol with no reforms, right? Democrats have been gunning for big reforms to ICE after the killings in Minneapolis in the crackdown. So why are House Republicans so darn angry about this? Well, a lot of it traces back to the fight over what Trump calls Save America. and I just call it voter ID and citizenship verification for voting, which is a huge Trump priority that he's basically still pushing to break the Senate filibuster over. And House Republicans are kind of champing at the bit to force the Senate to go their way on this voter ID bill.
33:03And now instead they're being told, don't worry, don't worry, we're going to smush this Trump Act voter bill in with reconciliation, even though, let's be clear, the rules of reconciliation won't allow for that. Essentially, although on paper House Republicans are getting what they want, But in practice, telling them to do this through the filibuster-proof reconciliation process feels like kind of an insult because it's going to be really hard and basically impossible to get everything they're being told to get done done. They've spent the last several many years, Alana Shor, abrogating their power to the executive.
33:36And now the executive's telling them what to do with their appropriations votes. And all of a sudden, they don't like it. Well, it is a little bit ironic, isn't it, that now they're starting to assert their power at their lowest possible point. But that is more or less what's happening. Back on the issue of jobs numbers, which we talked about just a couple of moments ago, strong jobs numbers in the latest Labor Department report, 178 ,000 in March. But we got this question from all over the country. Candy in Cape Cod. Tom asks. Kit asks. They all ask the same question. Can you actually believe job numbers from this administration and from this labor department right now?
34:13Olivier Knox, a lot of people are asking that question, whether they can trust some of the driest numbers that usually come out of the U.S. government. The short answer is yes. You've got a lot of career people who are getting – putting these numbers together. The trust issue comes in more just concerns about future revisions, concerns about accuracy of these numbers, but not because of political tampering, just because of statistical noise, which is what we've seen in a lot of the revisions. Just remember that over time, the jobs numbers have gotten more and more and more accurate. So even when you see some dramatic revisions, still historically, these are fine.
34:50But again, even when they're led by political appointees, this process is really driven by a lot of career people who care a lot about being accurate. The career people still care about being accurate inside the Bureau of Labor Statistics, says Olivier Knox from U.S. News & World Report. Now, as we wait to see how, if the House will handle that DHS funding bill, the shutdown continues. TSA is now getting paid thanks to an order from President Trump. two full paychecks now after missing one part, missing one partial and two full paychecks now getting paid. Um, unclear now though, whether ICE agents who were placed in airports will remain there even after the shutdown is older.
35:33Here's the borders are Tom Homan on CBS's face the nation earlier this week. Look, we're going to continue a nice presence there and until the airports feel like they're in 100%, you know, in a posture where they can do normal operations. If less TSA agents come back, that means we'll keep more ICE agents there. Olivier, is it clear what ICE agents have actually been doing at airports and what they would be doing if they remained after the shutdown? The short answer is no, it's not clear. ICE agents are not trained the same way as TSA agents. So one of the big concerns when this deployment was announced, is just what can ICE do?
36:10The theory of the case was that ICE would take over some security features like guarding certain doors and things like that so that more TSA agents could be put on reading scanners, x-raying bags, etc. But as Tom Homan alluded here, what we don't know yet is how many TSA agents decided that this shutdown was a bridge too far for them and they're just going to leave the agency entirely. We saw some really spectacularly high call-out rates. I think the airport in Houston had as many as 40 % of TSA agents say, you know, call in sick, call in just not showing up for work. And we have to wait to see whether the end of this shutdown, the TSA getting paid, and then maybe the end of the shutdown, whether that brings these folks back or not.
36:54One note on the apparent interaction between TSA and ICE, a New York Times investigation this week revealed that TSA is sharing the names and birthdates of travelers believed to be undocumented with ICE when they pass through airports. Now, ICE doesn't have to be in the airport to receive that information, but that sharing apparently is going on. Well, while we're talking about the Trump administration's immigration crackdown, as reflected through new cooperations between ICE and TSA, let's go to the Supreme Court where Trump's idea of who can be a citizen of this country, was on trial this week.
37:31The president has spent years challenging the language of the 14th Amendment. It says all persons born in the United States, with narrow exceptions, are American citizens. It's called birthright citizenship. And in a first for any president, Trump went to the court to sit and watch oral arguments. Again, it was the ride to the court where Pam Bondi apparently was informed that she was out of a job. Here, U.S. Solicitor General John Sauer laid out arguments against birthright citizenship. The conservative-leading court appeared skeptical, including the chief justice, John Roberts. We're in a new world now, as Justice Alito pointed out to, where 8 billion people are one plane ride away from having a child who's a U.S.
38:11citizen. Well, it's a new world. It's the same constitution. It's a new world, but it's the same constitution. A lot of people took that as the takeaway, David Smith. What did you take away from the arguments? Where do you think this is headed? Yeah, that for me was the standout line as well. And the overall takeaway was that the questioning from the justices suggested they were skeptical about the government's argument here and were not going to be intimidated by Donald Trump's presence. I mean, I think it's the first time we've known about a sitting president to actually attend a Supreme Court hearing like that.
38:44And certainly some critics compared it to a mob boss trying to intimidate people. but it seemed that the justices were not having anything of it. And there was an idea that put politics aside, put what happens in other countries aside, their job is to stick to the Constitution on this one. And it would appear Donald Trump is going to lose the argument. Well, also this week, a panel in charge of urban planning in D.C. gave President Trump's$400 million White House ballroom the green light, architecturally anyway. But in a lot of ways, that doesn't actually matter because in court, a federal judge ordered the entire project stopped, saying Trump has no authority to build on the site without the approval of Congress.
39:30U.S. District Judge Richard Leon said, quote, the existence of a large hole beside the White House is, of course, a problem of the president's own making. Alana Shora, a federal judge says no ballroom without Congress. Congress is Congress interested in exercising its formidable power now to grant Donald Trump his ballroom? Well, I mean, let's assume that Republican leaders, because they enjoy giving Trump what they want, would say yes to that question. How are they going to do it, given the fact that they also have this reconciliation bill we discussed, incredibly huge lift that Trump wants done by June 1st?
40:03They have to, you know, suss out government funding writ large, which is quickly going to become a mess. I guess my answer to that is maybe, but not really, because they have no time and it's just going to start the biggest fight. I mean, this is a party that's really vulnerable in the midterms and they don't want to be defending this ballroom. Well, some bad news for the GOP on the political front this week. It came from Florida. That state's been deep red for years. Republican control of the state legislature, the governor's office, the state Supreme Court. Of course, Democrats won two special elections in Republican-leaning districts this week.
40:38Democrat Brian Nathan, he's a union leader and Navy veteran. He nabbed the Hillsborough County state Senate seat. He's one of a number of working class Democrats this past year who've run successfully on pocketbook economic issues, affordability, housing. He told NPR station WUSF he isn't so sure, though, that it's the start of a blue wave. If there is one, it's only going to be the result of hard work that, you know, Democrats stay disciplined on message. make sure they're addressing the needs of their constituents or potential constituents. The voters actually address the issues that voters have, and the voters will reward you with their trust.
41:16At the same time, quick polling notes this week. Donald Trump's poll numbers, YouGov Economist has Trump at 35 percent approval, the lowest of his presidency, 58 percent disapprove, and only one in four say the country is going in the right direction. So David Smith, digest for us these special election results in deep red Florida combined with poll numbers and where the country is at politically right now. Yeah, I think if you go back to November 24, that election night, absolutely devastating for Democrats. But then if you run their election campaigns, you maybe woke up the next morning and thought, oh, great, now we're going to win a lot because incumbent presidents, especially in this era, get a lot of backlash against them.
41:57And Trump's honeymoon did not last long. His approval rating is very low. And now Democrats are on a tremendous winning streak in these special elections. And as you say, Florida, Iowa, many others. We saw the No Kings protest brought millions to the streets. There is huge anti-Trump sentiment. Here's a little bit of what that sounded like. This is what our freedom looks like. Show me what our people look like. This is what our people look like. Organizers say about 8 million people came out on the streets, the largest of the three protests so far. And it's interesting when you talk to the organizers of No Kings, they ultimately divide the Democratic Party right now between fighters and folders.
42:33They say that's actually more important than whether you're a so-called centrist or progressive. And certainly both centrists and progressives can coalesce around this message of affordability, as we saw in last November's elections. Here's one protester named Sarah Carlson explaining why she was on the streets. I'm here because I'm worried about my children and my grandchildren. I'm tired. We're exhausted. this brings me hope. I have so much hope here. And we can change this. Our government is not going to do it. It has to be we, the people. Now, a White House spokesperson said protests have little public support and, quote, the only people who care about these Trump derangement therapy sessions are reporters who are paid to cover them.
43:15That's a statement from the White House. Before we go, we're talking about Artemis. You know, let's all take a breath. I would just like to get some impressions. You guys watched the launch this week? You watched that SLS clear the tower? Alana Shore, did it give you thoughts? It certainly gave me some. How'd you feel about it? I mean, as somebody who was like very tiny when, you know, the 80s was the heyday of space travel. It did give me like a nice nostalgic rush that was welcome. Olivier, how about you? Two conflicting feelings. One, I looked at that launch from every conceivable available angle, and I had two thoughts.
43:53One, you know, how great. And the other is, as someone who watched Challenger Live on television, the minute they started talking about tech problems, I got a little uneasy and I was relieved to discover that the tech problem, the toilet was fixed. My impression, there is a, when you listen to comms from ground control to the capsule, there's a new relaxed tone. Old Apollo, very crisp, very militaristic. This is a new form of communication. Relaxed, informal. I love it. There's a new modern feel, at least on comms. How did you feel about the mission so far? I agree with that. And let's hope we don't get Houston.
44:33We have a problem. But I think the whole thing was tremendously inspiring. I interviewed those astronauts a couple of years ago. Of course, first woman, first person of Kalona. A big moment for America. All the division strife that we see, but also World Cup 250th anniversary. and Artemis II coming right up. Artemis II heads towards the moon. We can't wait to follow it around the dark side. I want to thank Alana Shore, David Smith, and Olivier Knox. And we're just getting started with the week's headlines. When we come back after a break, we'll have a new panel and all of the news from around the globe.
45:06Stay with us.
45:12Welcome back to the 1A Podcast. I'm Todd Zwillick. let's get into the international edition of our weekly news roundup. The president says the war of choice in Iran is won and that he's met all his objectives, but also that the fighting will go on for another two weeks. Iran's enriched uranium buried so deep underground, it's no longer a problem. And the Strait of Hormuz, well, now that's someone else's problem. Traders who set the world price of oil, disagree. And that price keeps rising. Shifting objectives and shifting results. Does the president know how to get out of the war in Iran? Let's get to all of that with our expert panel.
45:55Felicia Schwartz is here. She's the diplomatic correspondent at Politico. Hi, Felicia. Hello, hello. Robbie Grammer is also here, national security reporter at The Wall Street Journal. Robbie, always good to have you. Great to be here. And on the line, Nick Schifrin, foreign affairs and defense correspondent for PBS News, our host of the International Affairs Program, Compass Points, frequent guest on the Roundup. Hi, Nick. Thanks very much. Thanks for having me. And we want to hear from you, of course. What do you want to know about this week in international news? What do you want to say or learn about the war in the Persian Gulf and the war in Iran?
46:29Email us, 1a at wamu.org. All right. For the first time since he and the leaders of Israel started the war 35 days ago. The president addressed the nation on Wednesday in prime time. We are on track to complete all of America's military objectives shortly, very shortly. We're going to hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks. We're going to bring them back to the stone ages where they belong. The president did not announce any new policy to end the war. He repeated several familiar falsehoods during the speech and seemed focused Based on convincing a skeptical American public that the war was necessary and has been successful.
47:12The president's text, his words, Robbie Grammer, were mostly things he said before. So what about the subtext? What did you take away from what he said, when he said it, how he said it? I mean, it just goes to show how much pressure this administration is under from its MAGA base. I mean, Trump came into office. One of the common rejoinders against Harris in the 2024 campaign was, a vote for Harris is a vote for more wars in the Middle East. And that really resonated with parts of the MAGA base. And here we are in an after war in the Middle East. So Trump really seems to be on the defensive at this point, saying, this is not going to be another Iraq.
47:48This is not going to be another Afghanistan. This is a short war with some really concise, finite objectives. Now, there's open questions about whether Trump can meet those objectives. He said they've almost achieved it, taking out Iran's Navy and missile program. But at the same time, there are now reports that U.S. intelligence suggests that only a third of Iran's missile program has been hit or taken out of the fight. The other question, I mean, Trump talked about potentially targeting civilian infrastructure, you know, talked about sending the regime back to the Stone Age. You heard it there.
48:21Targeting civilian infrastructure, water plants in the Middle East, which are so important, energy grids, that's potentially an international war crime. And we're going to talk more about that. Yeah. And so it brought up a lot more questions. If Trump was trying to answer every question that a skeptical American public had, he brought up a lot more questions than he had answers for. Nick Schifrin, on the Strait of Hormuz, the president's latest tack here is other countries that rely on that oil should take care of it. the U.S. doesn't need it, not our problem, because we're the world's largest producer of oil.
48:53We have enough oil, so it doesn't matter. That is a fundamental misunderstanding of how world oil markets work. There's one world price. How long can the president tell the American people that Hormuz doesn't matter because we drill ours in Alaska and Texas? I mean, Todd, your point is fair, but I also think that there's a public versus private division here, right? So Marco Rubio, the Secretary of State and National Security Advisor, or went to Kayakalas, went to other European officials last week, the G7, and said specifically, we want your help after the war is done. That's the actual diplomacy behind the scenes.
49:27That's the actual work that is happening. So, you know, I don't want to dismiss the president's public threats. Let's call them what they are, right? And dismissals of the strait and all the statements that he's making. But what are they actually doing? The Americans are asking the Europeans and the Arabs to come up with a plan to help secure the strait. after the war is done, or at least after whatever this level of violence is going to go down. And so what does that look like? That looks like an effort in the Security Council right now to try and get a resolution passed that at least has a phrasing like defensive means.
50:01It's not clear China and Russia will allow that, but that effort's going alongside a British-led effort that we saw Yvette Cooper, the foreign secretary in London, organized yesterday, diplomatic efforts to try and get the Europeans and Arabs on one page. So yes, there are the public threats and the public dismissals, but what's actually happening is the Europeans and Arabs are trying to respond to the president's pressure because they know that lots of other things like Ukraine aid is at risk if they don't. And how difficult has this been, what Nick is describing there, Felicia, how much more difficult has it been by the run-up to all of this?
50:40Greenland, right, threats to invade Greenland, undermining and insulting NATO, undermining and insulting European allies, then going and doing the diplomacy for their help. They now have public constituencies in their own countries that aren't in a mood to clean up America's dirty work, even if it's necessary for oil supplies through the strait. President Trump has been very dismissive of America's allies and partners and is getting a crash course in exactly why you need allies and partners. They are so, I mean, first and foremost, Trump did nothing to socialize this idea with any of the countries that would, one, be super affected by his action, and two, as Nick laid out very well, are essential to cleaning up this mess and helping the U.S.
51:27to secure the Strait of Hormuz and wind this down. So it's made so much harder, And yeah, the European public doesn't want to see their leaders bend again to President Trump. Keir Starmer, for example, he's someone who's really gone out of his way to accommodate the president, who basically just keeps criticizing him in public, calls him not Winston Churchill. So, you know, there's really nothing in it for these leaders to bend to Trump's will. And they are seeing that. Well, Nick Schifrin and Felicia Schwartz put our eyes toward diplomacy, the secretary of state and the Europeans. Iran has become a major stressor in this relationship that Nick Schifrin is describing.
52:05Here's Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaking to Sean Hannity on Fox News. We're going to finish the job here. As I said, we're very, very close to achieving our objectives on all of these things that I've outlined. But I do think, unfortunately, we are going to have to reexamine whether or not this alliance that has served this country well for a while is still serving that purpose. Or is it now become a one-way street where America is simply in a position to defend Europe? But when we need the help of our allies, they're going to deny us basing rights and they're going to deny us overflight.
52:35Now, Felicia Schwartz just mentioned the president has repeatedly lashed out at allies over their reluctance to deploy military assets or provide security for the Strait of Hormuz. On Wednesday, he called NATO, quote, paper tiger in an interview with The Telegraph in the UK. Italy and Spain have blocked the use of their bases for U.S. aircraft involved in the war. Other European countries have also restricted airspace. And now here's the president of France, Emmanuel Macron, speaking to reporters while traveling in Seoul, South Korea.
53:07Organizations like NATO derive their value from what is left unsaid, namely the trust that underpins them. And that is often the case, moreover, with military and strategic matters. If you so doubt about your commitment every day, you drain it of substance. We've been here before in a way, but things may be getting more dire. Felicia, you report that the president could keep the U.S. in the NATO alliance but starve NATO of high-level attention and military assets. How real is that possibility? What are you hearing from European leaders now about this new tension and this new idea that a failure to step up in the Strait of Hormuz would cause the president to further weaken NATO?
53:47I think they are somewhat relieved by, you know, there are checks and balances in place in the system. It was Marco Rubio who actually wrote and supported legislation to make sure that the president would have to consult with Congress before pulling out of NATO. But I think as Macron made the point, just by calling NATO into question, you know, I was I was reading one analyst said NATO is a religion. You have to believe in it. So if the belief, you know, isn't there that that the U.S. wouldn't step up, that's a real problem. And so Trump's already sent a ton of signals, but he could do more. He could recall the U.S.
54:22ambassador, pull other personnel from NATO, cancel American involvement in military exercises like tone down intelligence sharing programs, delay military aid. I mean, he has so many more things he could do to sow doubt on this alliance. But I would argue he's already done a lot. The secretary general of NATO, Mark Rutte, will be in Washington next week. Now, Robbie Grammer, he gets a lot of criticism in Europe because he's a Trump whisperer. And I think he called President Trump daddy at one point. He kind of knows the type of language Donald Trump likes to hear to get on his good side. Europeans don't like to hear that.
54:58I think the secretary general knows, hey, it can work. What do we anticipate with this visit? Well, you're absolutely right. I mean, Mark Rutte came into as the new leader of NATO with this one strategy and one strategy only, and that is to give Trump a big bear hug and give this veneer of everything's good the alliance, you know, ignore the angry true socials, look at the fundamentals. We're doing great. It's really rubbed Europeans the wrong way. But it's clear he's coming up to clean. It's clear he's coming to Washington to clean up yet another diplomatic mess caused by Trump. Trump's triggered an extraordinary crisis in trying to annex Greenland from NATO allied Denmark.
55:36He's cast out on NATO against the backdrop of this massive Russian invasion in Ukraine and these fears that Russia could look toward NATO territory next. So Root is coming here for another diplomatic cleanup mission. We'll see how many of those he can get under his belt before this all falls apart. At this week, the Kremlin said that they're ready to contribute to resolving the war in Iran. But let's just take a step back for a moment. What has Russia gotten since the war in Iran started? Oil at over$100 a barrel, an easing of sanctions so it can sell more of its oil at a higher price than before, much higher price than before, to fund the war in Ukraine.
56:14And maybe best of all, new, deeper fractures in the NATO alliance, Putin's lifelong aim. Nick Schifrin, talk about where Russia stands now, given what I just laid out there. Well, you just laid it out, right? I mean, there are certainly tactical or short-term games, what we want to call it about. So that's selling oil, right? So lifting of sanctions, That's higher oil prices. That's well back to Cuba, right? With the U.S. distracted, you could get Russian oil into Cuba that the U.S. has allowed. And obviously the hope is the more strategic longer term that you suggested, which is, well, you could have another NATO fracture.
56:57Obviously, Mark Rutte, Alex Stub, the Finland president, you know, talk to the president, talk to President Trump. Like all of them are trying to prevent that longer term fracture. But yes, very much Russia is gaining on this. And also, if they block this Security Council resolution that we talked about earlier with the Chinese, you may not be able to get European countries, European leaders to say that there's a legal basis for a military or at least contributing to a military operation to open the strait, which would further exacerbate the president's threats and fears. So I definitely think that, you know, when it comes to the endgame here, the political endgame, the strategic endgame that the U.S.
57:39and Israel are in, there's real, real challenges. Despite all of the tactical gains inside Iran, there are real challenges to convert this moment into a positive moment for the Middle East and for U.S. interests, both in the Middle East and Europe. Now, back to tactics and back to the war in the Gulf itself. U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iranian cities have intensified over the last 24 hours. Strikes in the capital Tehran, in Isfahan, and in Karaj. U.S.-based Iranian human rights organization puts the civilian death toll in Iran at more than 1 ,600 people now. Now, 13 military service members have been killed as far as we know.
58:19But on Friday, Iranian state media claimed and U.S. and Israeli officials confirmed that Iran shot down an American F-15E fighter jet. Iranian outlets published photos of the crash, metal pieces of what looked like a jet with markings in English. The United States said the status of the crew is unknown, but a search and rescue operation is underway. Iran's Revolutionary Guard said they were also searching for U.S. pilots. Felicia, your reaction to what I think would be the first American jet that we know of down by hostile fire in this conflict. Put it into context for us. This has the potential to really take the war from, you know, Category A to Category Z.
59:04Things could really escalate this way. It opens up a whole host of potentially unintended consequences. One thing that I just kind of saw on my way in is that Senator Tom Cotton, who the administration put out as a kind of, you know, someone to speak on behalf of the administration at the beginning of the war, he said that if an aircraft—he said, I'm quoting him here, Obviously, one risk of the kind of campaign is an aircraft could be shot down. The president would never leave a pilot behind. So they could have combat. They have combat search and rescue operations and they could go in and extract a pilot.
59:41So we might be talking about, of course, it's very early. We don't have a lot of information. We don't know the status of the pilot or I believe there might have been another person in the plane with him. But you might have American forces on the ground looking for pilots. I mean, this is a very. We don't know, but it shows how in war events, Robbie Grammer quickly overtake planning. Yeah, yeah, that's absolutely right. And I mean, I think that's the through line of everything the administration has faced in its criticism of this war is, you know, they bristle at the Iraq 2003 analogy here. But, of course, the Bush administration didn't expect Iraq to blow up, to derail in the way it did.
1:00:18And so this was supposed to be a quick, clean campaign to eliminate Iran's missile threat, its navy, its naval capabilities, its drone threats, you know, help target its nuclear program. This could spin out of control and turn into a long, protracted conflict in a way that the administration didn't anticipate. Well, this week, as part of his campaign to up the pressure for talks, the president, again, not for the first time, threatened to destroy civilian infrastructure in Iran. Some has been destroyed, a bridge destroyed this week. But the president extended it, electrical grids, oil wells, and desalination plants for drinking water.
1:00:56The chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Dan Cain, responded to questions about the potential targeting of desalination plants at the Pentagon on Tuesday. We have numerous processes and system to carefully consider the whole range of considerations from civilian risk to legal considerations with any target. And as targets come before us, we run them through the same process that we always do and always strike lawful targets in accordance with the normal procedures that we use. We always strike lawful targets, says the chairman of the Joint Chiefs. Now, on Friday, as I mentioned, the U.S.
1:01:32airstrike destroyed a major bridge that links Tehran to Karaj. And Iran damaged a desalination plant in Kuwait with a missile strike. Earlier in the show, Robbie, you brought up the legal ramifications of the president's threat of attacking electrical power generation and desalination plants. Dan Cain, the chairman of the Joint Chief, knows it. He made a point to say we do legally justified targeting. Where's the tension here? I mean, the tension is between U.S. law, U.S. rules of conduct and international law. I mean, the U.S. has very justifiably condemned Russia's continual targeting of the energy grade of civilian targets in Ukraine in recent years during the war in Ukraine.
1:02:17If they start doing that in Iran, they risk, you know, the type of criticism that we're being hypocritical. Maybe they risk losing some support among the Iranian population that the U.S. was hoping would rise up again in hatred of the regime. And the other real worry here is the practical effect. There seemed to be a detente after the first U.S. strike or the first, sorry, Iranian strike on Kuwait desalination plan of if you don't strike our desalination plants, we won't strike yours. Does this lead to an escalation spiral of starting to target this really critical energy infrastructure for these Middle Eastern countries that rely on these desalination plants for the drinking water, for their livelihoods on their energy grids?
1:02:59There's a whole host of really worrying questions here that we have to consider. We got this comment from Sarah who says, why do we keep talking about war crimes but nothing is done about them? Zero accountability equals zero deterrent. Sarah, thanks for that comment. Nick, I want you to react to that because there are concerns about accountability and the law of war all throughout the Pentagon because of the attitude of the secretary of defense. He criticizes rules of engagement, big things and small things, excused a couple of pilots who appeared to violate flight rules so that Kid Rock could make Internet content.
1:03:34They're let off scot-free. He's criticized the Geneva Convention. Sarah voices a real concern, even if it's bluster from the president about desalination, about war crimes and what rules this military will follow. It's fair. And obviously we have to take the secretary at his words. You know, he has said rules of engagement or these rules of engagement or prior rules of engagements are stupid. We also, though, have to acknowledge the professionalism of the U.S. military and its officers who take an oath not to follow through on any order that they or their lawyers would deem illegal. And so I'm not a lawyer, but when we talk to experts and talk to lawyers, they describe, you know, a gray area, right?
1:04:18So there are targets that are obviously civilian. Let's say a desalinization plant. There are targets that are less, obviously, civilian. So a bridge, right? That could be dual use. And so the lawyers will go through these things. And yesterday, the CENTCOM statement, the Central Command statement about the bridge, described the bridge as a potential or future path through which the Iranian military would reapply. So that's the kind of thing that they're going to be saying. And so I think we just need to be a little bit careful. But yes, of course, the president's threats do suggest a willingness to go beyond where the U.S.
1:04:58military has gone in the past. The secretary's statements suggest publicly that they are willing to go beyond. And I will say that some of this is about not only how the U.S. wages the campaign in the future, but is also how Israel has already waged the campaign. And a lot of, you know, Arab officials who want this war to succeed are frustrated because they see Israel taking or targeting certain civilian targets that the U.S. might not even do today or tomorrow. But the whole effort is being wrapped up by some of these Israeli decisions. And that's going to complicate getting out. Well, Debbie emails this.
1:05:40Would someone please address why the Middle East Gulf states are not expected to defend the Strait of Hormuz? We hear a lot about Europe, but nothing about those being attacked by Iran, which leads us back to the Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, appeared on Good Morning America on Monday and said that American and Gulf Arab allies are in sync about Iran. All the destabilization in this region tracks directly back to the Iranian regime. Those things have to be addressed. And if Iran had been willing to address those in the past, we wouldn't be having this interview on this topic right now. Their refusal to do so and their continuing move towards one day acquiring a nuclear capability.
1:06:19These people are lunatics. They are insane. They are religious zealots who can never be allowed to possess a nuclear weapon because they have an apocalyptic vision of the future. And all of their neighbors know that, by the way, which is why all of their neighbors have been supportive of the efforts we're doing. Strong statement from the secretary of state there, Robbie. But none of that opens the Strait of Hormuz. The president has not called on Gulf nations to take part in offensive operations. There were some reports this week that Saudi drones may have been over Iran. It's suggesting they may be participating in some operations.
1:06:52A little bit unclear. You might know more than I about that. But where are the Americans and the GCC, the Gulf states, united? Where do their interests diverge right now? Yeah, well, the Gulf states, you know, you can't paint them all with a broad brush. They all have different interests, different views on this. But broadly, they're united on two things. First, they're privately pretty angry at Trump for starting this war, for triggering this war that led to all these Iranian retaliations on places like Kuwait City, Abu Dhabi, Dubai. that were these thriving, peaceful economic hubs there. But also, they're angrier at Iran for targeting them, for dragging them into this war, for holding the Strait of Hormuz hostage.
1:07:35So the UAE has actually come out in front, and as my colleague Summer Saeed reported earlier this week, suggested that it would join a coalition to forcefully keep the Strait of Hormuz open. Others, Nick mentioned this effort in the UN. And Bahrain is helping lead this effort in the UN to try to get this legal justification for some sort of coalition to keep the Strait of Hormuz open. And so there is a sense amongst some of these Gulf countries of we didn't like that this war started. But the United States, now that you've started it, you can't let Iran win or rather not lose or continue this threat and maintain this constant barrage of drone and missile threats.
1:08:14You have to finish the fight, and we will find a way to help you, even if we were reluctantly, unhappily dragged into this war of your choice. Felicia, what have we heard from Oman? They've been trying to play broker here. Geographically, I mean, Oman has a direct stake. They have territory. The south tip of the Strait of Hormuz is, in fact, Oman. They have a little island of land at the tip of that peninsula, right? That's Oman, and Oman has a direct stake in oil shipment. What have we heard from Oman? They were leading negotiations before February 28th. So the relationship between the U.S. and Oman is at a low point, I would say.
1:08:51Trump in his primetime address singled out all the Gulf allies except for Oman. Basically, Oman feels like they were blindsided because it's twice now that Trump has bombed Iran in the middle of diplomacy. and, you know, the administration on the flip side thinks they over-exaggerated the prospects of diplomacy. So now Oman has taken a step back. They're talking to, according to reports in Iranian state media, they're working with Iran on some sort of protocol to reopen the strait. Maybe that is the kinds of tolls that Iran is charging. We don't know. And they've described themselves as neutral.
1:09:29So definitely they are between a rock and a hard place, I would say. Meanwhile, Houthis, backed by Iran and in control of parts of Yemen, joined the war. The group is claiming it launched their first strikes against Israel this week, their first strikes of this particular conflict. They've launched missiles into and over the Red Sea in the past. Nick Schifrin, is Yemen now officially another frontier? What are the Houthis' objectives? So Israeli and U.S. officials both agree that the Houthis restrain themselves for a while trying to figure out how best to play a role, frankly, on the day after.
1:10:06That's at least the assessment for, you know, for a few weeks until they did start engaging, although in a very minimal way. The Houthis could, you know, play a much bigger role if they started hitting ships and started trying to threaten the other side, right, the Red Sea, through which Saudi Arabia and some of these other countries are trying to get their oil out while the strait in the east is closed. And so, you know, I think there's an overall judgment that Abd al-Malqa Houthi, the head of the Houthis, is trying to figure out how best to position himself moving forward. Obviously, he has felt enough pressure from Iran, according to U.S.
1:10:44officials, to launch at Israel, but is a little bit restraining themselves, trying to figure out where this is going and, frankly, trying to figure out how to support Iran, but also figure out their own domestic issues because they're under pressure because they haven't been paying their own people. So there's a lot of dynamics there. Robbie Grammer, your look at the Houthis and how they could expand the war into the Red Sea if they chose. I mean, this is the other strategic maritime choke point. And the U.S. actually clashed with the Houthis early into the Trump administration when they were harassing maritime trade on the Red Sea there.
1:11:22So it really is something that could turn a simmering crisis on the global oil markets into a full-fledged crisis. We got this message from Risa who says, what happens when Trump decides that we're done with the war and Israel isn't? Are they going to press Trump to continue because they need our help and support? Or do we actually leave and just supply them with more munitions? Well, in southern Lebanon, Israel is now expanding what it calls a security zone designed to prevent attacks by Iran backed by the militant group Hezbollah. This is another front in the war with Iran, at least from Israel's perspective.
1:12:02Israel's invasion of southern Lebanon began days after Hezbollah fired rockets into Israel at the start of the Iran war. Since then, Israel's military campaign in Lebanon has displaced over 1 million people and killed more than 1 ,300, according to the Lebanese Health Authority. Benjamin Netanyahu says Israel is establishing a security zone in southern Lebanon. more than a million people displaced or fleeing the capital to the capital of Beirut. Robbie, Israel has been in southern Lebanon before. It's gone wrong before. What's different this time? What's the objective? I mean, the objective is exactly what Netanyahu said.
1:12:40They want this giant buffer zone to keep northern Israel safe from continued Hezbollah rocket attacks. What's different this time, of course, is this massive war in Iran, this massive question mark hanging over whether Hezbollah's primary backer, Tehran, the regime in Tehran can survive or not. And Lebanon's government is in this precarious position where it has, for the first time after Israel's really devastating strikes that crippled but did not totally eliminate Hezbollah after the October 7th, 2023 attacks, Lebanon's government is weak, It's precarious, but it's starting to stand up to Hezbollah.
1:13:20Its own army, which is very weak, is incapable of confronting Hezbollah on its own. So Israel here is saying we need to take matters into our own hands to protect our own people. Lebanon's counterpoint is, of course, you know, we've got this moment here where our government can come together and maybe finally stand up to Hezbollah. Stop invading us. Stop triggering these wave after wave of humanitarian crises that our unstable government has to deal with. And in Lebanon, there's this real fear that if the U.S. and Israel push the army to confront Hezbollah, it could morph into a full confrontation with Lebanon's entire Shiite community.
1:13:54So there's a lot of difficult questions here. But one thing is clear, a lot of people, a lot of officials in the region fear that this war, this Israeli-Lebanon war as it's burgeoning will outlast any sort of U.S.-Iran peace deal. Well, a lot of the more than one million people displaced from southern Lebanon are Shia Muslims. Israel has expressed a concerted policy of trying to move Shia Muslims out, reassuring Christian and Druze communities that they can stay. Nick Schifrin, can you describe the, I don't know if I want to call it the ethnic tension or the ethnic engineering, what it means on the ground in Southern Lebanon, in reality, what Israel's actually doing here?
1:14:35Yeah, it is quite interesting. So what Israel has been trying to do is reduce the number of Shia Muslims in the south, especially south of the Latani River, which has historically been kind of the border that Israel has been looking at. But now there is some space even north of that that Israel is trying to clear. And as we've been talking about, and Robbie very, very well described the strategic situation on the ground, what Israel is simply trying to do is create a buffer zone. And in this case, you know, it has, let's just say, you know, made calls into communities, suggested that the Shia are not welcome or that the Israelis will try and push them out.
1:15:13But, you know, maybe some of the Jews, some of the Christians can stay. Nick, people are interpreting that, as you well know, as ethnic cleansing or a policy tilting toward that. Is that fair? I mean, look, I'm not a lawyer. I can't judge on these things. But, you know, that's what Israel is doing. I was just in Israel. I was just on the northern border. And, you know, I've been there quite a bit since the October 7 terrorist attacks. I mean, what's interesting about this moment from the Israeli perspective is a couple of things. One, you know, there's a different expectation post-October the 7th from the people that there's just no acceptance of what was a Hezbollah with 100 ,000 rockets on the northern border.
1:15:53There's just the threshold for the border tension is this way lower. And so you're going to get an enormous amount of political grassroots pressure on the military, on the government to do more on the border. And yet simultaneously what is happening, and I spent a lot of time in Matula, which is Israel's northernmost border just about 10 days ago, is that the Israeli government has realized that residents won't leave this time. They have not evacuated northern Israel. And so northern Israelis have a very high expectation for their safety post-October 7th, and yet they're still there. And so, you know, the Israeli military is doing these, you know, pushes into Lebanon.
1:16:32It's an invasion of southern Lebanon. Let's call it what it is. And there's this dynamic that's very politically difficult for both the IDF and the Israeli military to deal with because all of these Israelis are still living in their villages every day. And so that's what's happening on the ground. And I'll leave it to the lawyers to judge or to decide what these are called. Well, while Israel fights in Iran and in Lebanon, on Monday, Israel's parliament, the Knesset, passed a new law in Jerusalem. It makes death by hanging the default sentence for Palestinians convicted of murder in denial of the state of Israel.
1:17:10That's basically terror, effectively terrorism. But since Israelis face no such standard, rights groups say it creates a de facto two-tiered standard for capital crimes. Far-right Israeli figures like National Security Minister Itmar Ben-Gavir celebrated the vote by passing around a bottle of champagne.
1:17:35History, history, they're saying. Felicia Schwartz, Benjamin Netanyahu leads an ultra-right-wing coalition government. At least some of the important members of his coalition are ultra-right-wing. Now that this law is passed, his coalition partners will likely push for the government to use it, to implement it, to make those celebrations we just heard on the far right more real. Why are the far right doing this now and making a spectacle of celebrating this law of hanging for this type of capital crime? Well, one thing I want to note is that I think it will be pretty challenging to actually put this law into practice.
1:18:13I believe it hasn't happened yet, but it will almost certainly go to the Israeli Supreme Court, which has been, you know, generally does strike down laws like this. So that's one thing. But I think we have to kind of take a step back. This is an election year in Israel. Israel has to have elections by October. And I think Nick made a good point about that there's a lot of pressure on the military. You know, politicians in Israel don't have a ton of tools to kind of control what is a spiraling security situation. And so this is, you know, the far right politicians want to show their base that they are, you know, hardliners taking actions.
1:18:53Well, Paul in Wichita says this, the simple fact of a death penalty specifically just for Palestinians demonstrates that Israel is a radical theocracy, no different than Iran. It's time for America to cut support for Israel. Israel does not promote democracy. Paul, thanks for that comment. Now, Palestinians across the West Bank took part in a general strike on Wednesday to protest this new law. And prisoner advocacy groups organized protests in cities across the territory. Here's Dania al-Bargouti, whose son is in prison, as people also protested 9 ,000 Palestinians held in Israeli prisons. We die a thousand times per minute because we don't even know anything about our children.
1:19:38I mean, since the last court session, I know nothing about my son, and it's the same situation for all the mothers and families of the prisoners. Rabi, how wide is support across Israel for actually implementing this law? We get that the far right likes it. Netanyahu's coalition is not polling well. Generally, we've reported a million times about his need to stay in power once war and confrontation winds down if it ever does. The broad Israeli electorate is responding how to this two-tiered punishment? I mean, it sounds like there's an incredibly intense debate right now. And as Felicia said, this could be challenged in courts.
1:20:16And just to push back on Paul's comments, drawing the comparisons between Iran and Israel right now, Israel is run by a coalition that includes some far-right members. It's drawn a lot of criticism, including inside of Israel. But some of these criticisms, some of what's coming, the debates about the law are coming from a relatively free press inside of Israel. And so there's comparisons. We should also note that Israelis protested this week, protested this law as well. Palestinians, of course. Israelis also protest. Correct. And when Iranians went out to the street to protest their regime, they were massacred by the thousands, estimated maybe tens of thousands of those injured and killed.
1:20:55So, you know, this is a really worrying development for human rights watchers, even for allies of Israel in the United States who worry about the direction Israel is heading. But drawing that comparison and trying to say Israel and Iran are the same here just does miss the mark even as Israelis are debating this law. Now, at the same time, more attacks and more violence in the occupied West Bank by ultra-right-wing Jewish Israeli settlers against Palestinians this week. The U.N. estimates there were 16 settler attacks on average every day in March. The attacks displaced at least 1 ,600 Palestinians from their homes this year.
1:21:34There were confrontations with journalists this week. MS Now's David Noriega, my former colleague at Vice News, chased by a group of settlers in the West Bank. soldiers from an IDF battalion intimidating other journalists, a CNN crew pointing guns at them. One put a photographer in a chokehold. That battalion, according to the IDF, suspended on Monday for their behavior, a spokesperson for the IDF saying that behavior doesn't represent our soldiers and how they should speak or act. But Nick, why has violence flared again, settler violence. It's not new. There's a flare up now. Far right religious Jewish settlers seem to feel emboldened that they can strike their enemies in their neighborhoods or in Palestinian neighborhoods, I should say now.
1:22:24Why? They're emboldened. And I was just in the West Bank. I'm actually doing a story on this tonight. They're emboldened maybe in part as or in part because, but regardless, they are emboldened as Israel fights wars elsewhere. So post-October the 7th, we've seen a spike across the West Bank of violence, mostly by settlers, but Palestinians say that the soldiers are either more reflective of the settlers or the settlers are within the IDF and they are committing attacks. And that's what calling out Jeremy Diamond's brilliant conversation in Hebrew with an IDF soldier this week was so revealing because the IDF soldier says we are going to help the settlers achieve this, which is what Palestinians have been saying.
1:23:10And so anyway, so zooming out, you've got post-October 7th, post-Lebanon war, the first one, post the first Iran war. You have this emboldening of settlers. And, of course, it's about violence. And we've seen horrific violence, very personal violence. One story I'm telling tonight is essentially sexual assault by settlers of a Palestinian. But this is about land, right? This is about pushing Palestinians off of land that Palestinians want for their future state. Settlers want it to be Swiss cheese, not cheddar cheese. They want it to be ungoverned. They want it to be separated. They want it to be split up.
1:23:48And the official Israeli government policy, whether from Netanyahu or the IDF, is that we do not support this. We crack down on the legal outposts. It's slightly different than settlements that can be authorized by the Knesset. Illegal outposts. They used to be evicted. They used to be ripped out, and sometimes they still are. But increasingly, Palestinians say these outposts are being allowed to stay, and the settlers are very violent and very aggressive. And that's where Ben Gavir comes in, right? That's where his defense of the settlers is pushing these, the death penalty law, which only applies in the occupied West Bank, by the way, is so important.
1:24:24So that's kind of the overall story. And Palestinians are just worried that as this keeps going, this chips away at their ability to have a contiguous state in the future. We will continue following the multifaceted and complicated story in Israel, in Lebanon, in the occupied West Bank, in places like Nablus and Hebron, in Iran, and around the Gulf. Before we leave, I do want to pull back from all of this and take just a minute and make sure that we don't forget about Cuba and Russia and oil. Because something remarkable happened in the last week. A large Russian tanker. Cuba is under an American blockade for oil, starving that country of oil, its electrical grids down, putting pressure on Cuba.
1:25:09Along comes a Russian tanker and gets right to the island. Robbie Grammer, did a Russian oil tanker run an American blockade? What happened? It happened with tacit American approval. Trump has said even as he stepped up this blockade, he's okay with some humanitarian aid getting in. So this was clearly sorely needed for the Cuban government as it goes through all these widespread blackouts. It's important to note that these blackouts happened before and not directly caused by the U.S. blockade. It's just chronic mismanagement, chronic corruption by the Cuban government. So this offers them a brief lifeline, but it's obviously very interesting given the dynamics between the U.S.
1:25:50and Russia right now and Trump and Marco Rubio's focus on pressuring Cuba. Last question to Susan, who's not alone with this concern from Tampa. I'm concerned that Trump and Putin may be working on a secret trade. The U.S. gets Cuba. Putin gets Ukraine. Subtle and not so subtle actions on both of their parts indicate this would be an easy way for them to wash their hands of problems that no longer interest them. A sort of sort of gilded age carving up of spheres of influence. Felicia, what do you say to Susan and her concern? I've done some reporting on this. Russia has made offers like this in the Ukraine instance, for example.
1:26:26But so far, the U.S. has said no to all of them. So we'll see. So, Susan, Russia would love to take you up on your concerns. So far, the United States saying no. I want to thank our amazing guest this hour, Felicia Schwartz, diplomatic correspondent at Politico, Robbie Grammer, national security reporter at The Wall Street Journal, And of course, Nick Schifrin, foreign affairs and defense correspondent for the PBS NewsHour, also host of the international affairs program, Compass Points. Don't miss it. Mike Kidd is our sound designer and engineer. Chris Castano is our digital editor. Maya Garg is our acting executive producer.
1:27:03Alexandra Botee is our acting senior managing producer. Aileen Humphreys is our senior producer and editor of 1A On Demand. And Thomas Liu produces our podcast. Special thanks to Matthew Simonson for additional on-demand support this week. This program comes to you from WAMU, part of American University in Washington, distributed by NPR. I'm Todd Zwillick. This is 1A.
1:27:42you
From the publisher
The House rejected a Senate-approved bill to fund the Department of Homeland Security this week. Now, the Senate is scrambling to get another version of its plan back to the House before the week is over.
And a federal judge struck down a Trump executive order that pulled funding from National Public Radio and the Public Broadcasting Service, citing free speech violations.
And, in global news, President Donald Trump told aides this week that he would consider ending the war in Iran without securing the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. It’s a strategy that’s left some American allies a little nervous about their energy supplies, leading the president to tell them to “go get your own oil.”
Meanwhile, Israel passed a law legalizing the death penalty for any Palestinian caught perpetrating a terrorist attack.
Now, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that he and his forces are planning on widening their invasion of southern Lebanon.
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