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Podcast Episode Notes: Big Boss Interview - The Final Business Matters
Podcast Overview Title: Big Boss Interview Description: Big Boss Interview features high-profile chief executives and entrepreneurs sharing insights into running major businesses, presented by Sean Farrington, Felicity Hannah, and Will Bain. Episode Title: The Final Business Matters Episode Description: In the last episode of Business Matters on the BBC World Service, host Rahul Tandon reflects on significant economic themes and events over the last 12 years, including the COVID-19 pandemic, the cost of living crisis, the impact of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and Donald Trump's presidency.
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Key Themes Discussed
- Reflecting on 12 Years of Business Matters
- Inception: The program launched on April 2, 2013.
- Significant Stories Covered:
- Collapse of Rana Plaza in Bangladesh (2013).
- The emergence of China and India as global economies.
- The COVID-19 pandemic.
- Donald Trump's presidency.
- Guest Reflections
- Featured regular guests include:
- Jyoti Malhotra (Editor of Tribune, India)
- Yoko Ishikura (Professor, Mitsubishi University, Tokyo)
- Andy Ula (Researcher, Texas Energy Institute)
Key Guest Insights
- Jyoti Malhotra: Discussed the ongoing impact of Rana Plaza, emphasizing labor conditions in emerging economies.
- Yoko Ishikura: Reflected on Japan's leadership under Shinzo Abe and the changes in the Japanese economy.
- Andy Ula: Shared personal reflections on the unexpected outcome of the 2016 U.S. presidential election.
- The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic
- The pandemic changed business dynamics dramatically, including:
- Shift to remote work.
- Supply chain vulnerabilities.
- Economic challenges faced by different countries, with a focus on India and the U.S.
- The U.S. Political Landscape
- Donald Trump's Presidency: Notable for its contentious policies, particularly regarding tariffs and trade.
- Discussion of Trump's economic impact and how inflation affected the American electorate.
- Global Economic Challenges
- Inequality: Highlighted as a critical issue in India, with a growing divide despite economic progress.
- Rising Costs: The ongoing cost of living crisis fueled by the pandemic and geopolitical events like the Ukraine conflict.
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Closing Thoughts
- The episode served as a poignant farewell to the Business Matters program, emphasizing the role of business news in understanding global events.
- Hosts and guests reflected on the journey of the program, expressing gratitude for listener engagement and the importance of diverse perspectives.
Final Remarks
- The show will transition to "World Business Express," hosted by Liana Byrne, continuing to provide business news coverage.
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Key Takeaways
- Importance of Perspective: Different countries face unique economic challenges, and understanding these contexts is crucial.
- Future of Work: The pandemic has led to a permanent shift in work culture, necessitating adaptation from businesses and workers alike.
- Continuing Inequality: Economic growth is not uniformly beneficial, highlighting the need for policies addressing inequality.
- Tariff Policies: The long-term implications of tariff wars and economic isolationism are still unfolding.
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Contact Information For more details or to engage with the podcast team, listeners are encouraged to reach out via email: bigboss@bbc.co.uk.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:04Hello and welcome to Business Matters here on the BBC World Service. I'm Rahul Tandon. That's the last time you're going to hear an introduction like that because this is our final ever programme. From next week, you'll be able to hear our colleagues at the newsroom who will be bringing you all the latest on those global news stories. And let's be honest, there's quite a lot of them around. So we thought, what would we do on our last programme? It clearly is an emotional moment for many of the presenters, many of the producers who have worked on this programme. And, you know, we thought, what should we do?
0:36Well, we thought, why not look back on the last 12 years 12 and a bit years that Business Matters has been going, and look at some of the big economic stories that we have covered during that time, because many of them are still having a huge impact on life today. If we talk about COVID-19, Donald Trump becoming the president, the emergence of China and India as global economies. And we thought we're going to have a range of guests. We're going to try something different on our last programme, because that's what we've tried to do all the way through as we've been looking to connect those time zones.
1:08We've got three in the first half, three regulars in the second. We've got Jyoti Malhotra, editor of the Tribune in Jandiga in India, Yoko Ishikura professor at Hitsubishi University in Tokyo, and Andy Ula, researcher at Texas Energy Institute. How are we all? We're great. Hi, good morning. A little sad, but good. I'm all excited. Good, good, good, good, good, good. Well, it's great to have you all here. Let's take you back to Midnight GMT on the 2nd of April 2013, the day that Business Matters was launched. Let's hear a little bit of it. Hello and welcome to Business Matters. I'm Mark Whittaker.
1:49And on the programme today, after the bailout, Cyprus's finance minister bails out of office. Michael Saris is the first political casualty of the island's financial crisis. Too much information. A European regulator takes Google to task. There we go. That was Mark Whittaker there. What a lovely man. He is sadly no longer with us. He died in October 2014. We think that might have been day two, but never mind. It was near the start. Jotty, I was listening back to some of the tapes and you were on pretty early, weren't you? You were on in that very first month of Business Matters. Wow. I don't recollect that I was on in the first month, but I have been around for a while.
2:27Well, I can tell you that you definitely were. Andy, do you remember when you were on for the first time? I do. I started at Marketplace, which is a partner with the BBC, American Public Media. And it was sort of tasked by our foreign editor. We had to once a month appear on Business Matters. So I remember just starting and I was probably like maybe a month in and they were like, all right, you're going to be on the BBC. Just get ready. So there we go. And there you go. You were ready then and you are ready now. And Yoko, what about you in Tokyo? Yeah, well, I was trying to figure out what year was the first program.
3:08And it turned out I couldn't figure out which year it was. But BBC had a special program in Japan, which I joined as a guest. And I think that's how it started. And I think the emcee, yeah, passed away, unfortunately. But I remember that was a time when Japan was in great shape. A lot of people were interested. Japanese business was doing very interesting things. So those are the good old days. The good old days. That's what we're looking back on the program today, the good old days. Well, one of the first big stories we covered happened just weeks after the program launched. That was the collapse of the eight-storey Rana Plaza building in Dhaka, which killed more than 1 ,100 people.
4:01There had been warnings when the cracks first appeared, but the owners of the building did not evacuate its occupants.
4:10We heard about some cracks in the building yesterday, but this morning they said everything was fine. I don't know why they did not give us the day off and check out the building properly.
4:22There were garment manufacturers inside the company making clothes for some of the biggest Western companies. That started a debate, Jotty, that continues till today, I think, doesn't it? On, you know, the way that some products are made in emerging economies. And how much progress do you think we've made on that? You know, so much has changed, Rahul, in Bangladesh. I remember this story so clearly. But, you know, Bangladesh has had a new government, as you know. And some things have changed. But I think since the new government came to power, or the last prime minister fled and she's in India, Sheikha Sina, I think Bangladesh has been through a huge upheaval.
5:06And it's one of its key exports, which is of garments. I don't think they have really stabilized with that. So things are really not in very good shape in Bangladesh. Although I and this Rana Plaza story was such a big one, because I think there was a there were a lot of questions on on why Bangladesh, which was not able to treat its labor as fairly as competitively and paying them at least a decent minimum wage. And you had all these sort of sweatshops and people didn't care too much about them. And I remember, I think now that I think back, I remember arguing even at the time that you had to look at the story in Bangladesh and not from the eyes or from the point of view of a Western consumer.
5:56So, yeah, so that story remains, you know, very much part of our growing up, I think, not just in the BBC, but as journalists. I think so as well. And that debate about the perspectives of it, particularly when we're talking about, you know, child labour in particular, that side of debate is an interesting one from different perspectives, because a lot of families who have their children working don't want them to work, but it's often economic circumstances that force them to do that. And, you know, was that the beginning, do you think, of some people in countries like the US, Europe, thinking a little bit more ethically about how they bought products?
6:35You know, I hope so. I don't know that it necessarily resonated as deeply with Western consumers and sort of thinking about – because the sort of ask of the consumer is to take it steps beyond you just going to the retail store and buying it, right? It's an ask of I need to figure out exactly where this is coming from, how it's made, who's making it, what the conditions are. for the Western consumer, specifically in the United States, that's a lot of steps to take when you just kind of want to go to that. I mean, I'll talk as you know, as an American consumer, you just want to go to the store and get whatever you want.
7:13And that has been sort of the nature of our buying practices. I don't know. I sort of hope Rahul that that you're right, that these sorts of things make people think about exactly where they're getting their stuff, how they're getting it, how it's being manufactured. I just don't know that it necessarily sort of swings the pendulum here in the US. Things happen all the time. And, you know, I just don't know how much it resonates, sadly. Yeah. Okay. When we think about India, and we think about the US, I think it's pretty clear. And we're going to talk about these two characters in a little bit more detail about who has dominated politics in the period that Business Matters has been on air.
7:53But if we were to look at japan yoka who has been the most influential figure of the last 12 years do you think when it comes to the japanese economy i would say it was i'm not talking necessarily talking about the economy but abe was who was assassinated had uh was had a great presence and it's i think we still in a way more uh what he was trying to do and we realize after all these things that how, what kind of views he had and how influential he was, because he did a lot of things outside of Japan, you know, in overseas setup. And he was trying to propose a lot of things which he believes in, but not necessarily in Japan, which most Japanese politicians do, but overseas, like at the UN or, you know, other places, so that he can make a big presence there.
9:01So I think in a way, and I happen to know the speech writer of Abe, he still writes so much about Abe because he made such a strong presence and impression on him. And I really do like this speechwriter. But it's his his role was quite significant because he made sure that his message get across to the people outside, not necessarily in Japan. Well, I just make sure. Yeah, yeah, that is that. Yeah, that is interesting. And I think Abenomics, you know, has been a key part of the global economy. The biggest story for India, Jyothi, clearly has been the emergence of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. He came to power in 2014, was sworn in on the 26th of May that year.
9:55Fergus Nicol, of course, who presented this programme for many years, reported on his second election victory. Here he is in Varanasi on election day in May 2019. All in favour of Modi. Modi! Modi! Modi! This is the young man who started that chant. I'm coming from Dubai just to vote in India. My hometown is Varanasi, just to vote for Modi. So you're working in the Middle East, and you've made sure to come back for the vote. Why is it so important for you? Because of the development happening in Varanasi. Now, if you see the development here, it's totally different. The ins and outs have changed like anything.
10:30It's a drastic change. What would you say were the most important changes? What's the best development? Infrastructure development, the roads, streets, lights, everything. So we all are excited for the new government of Modi again. Is the development enough to stop people like you having to go to the Arab world? Yes, we are coming back. We'll work back in India. If Modi government comes back in India, we will definitely come back to India. I remember that excitement. If you look now, Jyoti, at Narendra Modi economically, what do you think his biggest contribution has been? Because India's economic development has been rapid, hasn't it?
11:05It's been unequal at times, but there's no doubt about this is a country that has moved forward in the last 12 years incredibly when we're talking about its economy? It has been incredible. First of all, Rahul, the fact that since that programme, which was in 2019, like you said, with Fergus Nicol, this is the third time that Prime Minister Modi has been elected to power. and he's now perhaps one of India's longest-serving prime ministers, I think only second to Jawaharlal Nehru, who was India's first prime minister. He's from the Bharti Janta Party, which is a right-wing political party, and the fact is that there is nobody else in sight who can even reasonably be called a competitor.
12:01So this is his third term in power. In this third term, the interesting thing is that while the economy has grown, you said rightly that inequality also between the people has grown hugely. But one of the big things is that while India is much more integrated into the global economy in the last 11 years since Prime Minister Modi has been Prime Minister, But lately, over the last few months, there has been a lot of sort of dissonance, if you like, between India and the West because of India's determination to continue to buy oil from Russia. And this has caused a lot of, shall we say, differences between Prime Minister Modi and Donald Trump, especially.
12:48You have been very polite there, I think, in the way that you have described the spat between what had been two good friends. And that brings us perfectly to get Andy Ula to talk about this moment. Let's forward to the 20th of January 2017 when this happened. Many thought it couldn't happen. It wouldn't happen, even, that it shouldn't happen. But it has. Donald Trump has become the 45th president of the United States. Tens of thousands of people, supporters, observers, protesters, crowded into Washington, where the pomp and ceremony has been in full flow all day. In what some commentators have described as a somewhat bleak inauguration address, Donald Trump said he'd put an end to what he called American carnage.
13:30Every decision on trade, on taxes, on immigration, on foreign affairs will be made to benefit American workers and American families. We must protect... There we go. Ended a bit abruptly there. But it was John Bithry before that, one of the other presenters of business. Matt Zandihula, what a moment that was when he won that first election. Well, you know, the second term. I mean, that was incredible. This man that nobody expected to win came from nowhere and ended up as the president of the U.S. showing anything is possible in the U.S. Oh, Ruhul, I'm sort of reticent to tell you this. I went to a basketball game election night because we had already set up our coverage of the transition to the Clinton administration.
14:20It was going to be sort of what Obama's economics was going to look like in the Hillary Clinton administration. And I went to a basketball game and I'm sitting and looking at my phone and looking at the numbers. and I because the because the basketball game was in downtown I just walked to our newsroom because I was like we're gonna be up all night we're gonna have to figure out how to program tomorrow's show because we didn't none of us nobody and I'm a news person I didn't expect it um it was it was incredible and it was it's so interesting because it ended up being 10 years of me talking about tariffs on this show, right?
15:02I think Prime Minister Modi's dominated a lot of conversation. Yoko, maybe Abe didn't quite dominate as many, but I think if you were going to look at the figure we've spoken about the most on business matters, got to be, got to be President Trump. Now, I think if there was one moment during our time on business matters that I think nobody ever expected to see, it was this. It seems like a lifetime ago, but remember 2020? China remains the epicentre of the outbreak. There are now more than 75 ,000 infections and over 2 ,200 deaths there. But with each passing day, more cases are being reported in other parts of the world.
15:42And the World Health Organization is now warning that the world is at a tipping point in its efforts to contain the virus. Here's the Director General, Tedros Adhanom Gabrielsos. Although the window of opportunity is narrowing to contain the outbreak, we still have a chance to contain it. But while doing that, we have to prepare at the same time for any eventualities because this outbreak could go any direction. And it did, didn't it, Jyoti? It sure did. And India suffered badly. India suffered badly and you know right in the beginning we didn't the hell know what was going on because soon after the this this sort of pandemic was announced it was a word that we had and you know we had to sort of fish out of our out of the vocabulary of of you know we had it hardly we'd hardly ever use this word right Rahul and the other word that we then learned to use very quickly was comorbidity.
16:45And if you didn't have, if you had something that you didn't know you had, you know, whether it was blood pressure or cholesterol or something or the other, and then the country shut down. And gosh, it was just one of the, it's been such a crazy experience. And all those business matter episodes. And actually, Rahul, that's what changed business matter for me is because prior to COVID, we all had to go into the BBC studio. You did. In New Delhi. Yeah, I remember being in there with you on a couple of occasions. Yeah, absolutely. And then we learned to, you know, to do the shows from our own homes early in the morning.
17:22And, you know, so that was a big change. But yeah, COVID was, you know, it was crazy. The country shut down. You couldn't go anywhere. If you went out, you had to sort of, you know, sanitize yourself before you returned home. and work was from home and that was another phrase. Work from home. Yeah, work from home. That's where we started. Yoko, how do you think COVID changed Japan economically? Oh, I think it really did change quite a bit in the sense that we are, you know, the Japanese is known to be very risk averse, aversive, averse. So I think we really did take very restrictive measures. So people were not supposed to go out.
18:09If anybody is not wearing masks outside, you know, you can get killed almost. Wow. And so, yeah. So I think that really worked in a way because we didn't have that many people who got killed because we just refrained from all these things. And I remember that probably in 2020 or something, when I went to the U.S. after being in Japan, which is so restrictive, you can't do anything. I couldn't believe that people were still doing all sorts of things and said, you know, the COVID is over. Who cares? Kind of thing. And I said, what is going on in here? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, I always look back at COVID and sometimes wonder, well, I wish it didn't happen, but I wonder if it did happen because life seemed so different then to what it is now.
19:11And Andy, it did change. And Jotty's right, isn't it? When it came to work and the way that we worked, it's changed it forever and also maybe attitudes to work as well. Yeah, no, I think you're right. It was so interesting sort of talking. and I remember being on the show talking about the shift in leverage, right? That if after sort of restrictions were laid down a little bit, then workers didn't want to come back to the office. And so they had the leverage to tell their employers, hey, we want three days at home and two days in the office. What do you think? Or we're just going to look for another job.
19:45It was also that the job market was so in the United States specifically, workers had all the leverage. And so I remember thinking – I also remember getting just an absolute crash course in how global the economy is and how supply chains are so fragile. I just didn't know it until – and I was an economics reporter, right? I was reporting on trade all the time. I just didn't know how specifically fragile global supply chains were and it was great for us to learn it, right? I think it was and I think that's not a reflection on Andy doing his job. I think it's all. No, no, honestly, it was all of us, I think, suddenly realized that was it.
20:25OK, final question to all three of you now. If we start with Yoko, what do you think? And briefly, because we've got to get to the news. So about 30, 40 seconds each. Yoko, what's the biggest economic challenge facing Japan that we won't be covering on Business Matters over the next few years? Right now, I think it's much more likely the biggest challenge facing the whole world. And Japan is, you know, it's a part of it. But, I mean, world economy is such a turmoil and so chaotic. Nobody could figure out what's going on. And so everybody is trying everything else. But I'm not really sure which way we're going to go.
21:07Well, let us see what happens there. Turmoil, uncertainty, that's what Yoko says. What about India, do you think, Jyoti? Similar again, 40 seconds. What's the biggest one there, biggest challenge? Well, the biggest one, of course, is, you know, two challenges. One is the inequality within the country while the economy is doing well. But I think, you know, more people need to get jobs. And of course, the big, the big, big spat with the Americans with tariffs on Indian goods at 50 percent. But is this the time to say goodbye, Rahul? Because I'm suddenly feeling, oh my God, that maybe we're not going to be all together again.
21:48And I just want to say that it's been incredible across cities, across governments, across jobs. And it's been a sort of growing up. But what I've loved so much about Business Matters and the BBC is that you've asked us to give you a different perspective of the same story. And that's what I've loved so much. So thank you. We've loved having you on. Andy, you've got about 30 seconds. Biggest challenge facing the U.S. Yeah, no, I was going to tell you, Rahul, you teed it up. It's basically the nature of work and AI, honestly. It's going to be figuring out what those jobs are, what those sustainable jobs are for the American worker.
22:27We're going to deal with that. We're going to be dealing with that for a hot minute. And this has been so fun. Thank you so much for having us. Andy, Jyoti, Yoko, for the final time, we want to say thank you to you for the different perspectives you've brought to our listeners over the years, from Japan, from the US, from Texas, and from India, and for the conversations that we have had and enjoyed with you over that period of time.
23:03Welcome back to Business Matters here on the BBC World Service. It's a very special programme. It's a bit of an emotional one, if we're perfectly honest about it, because it is our last one from Monday. You'll be able to listen to the newsroom, which will be on this time, bringing you, of course, all the coverage of those stories from across the world. And there are a lot of stories, aren't there, at the moment? Of course, we may lose business matters. We do get a new programme, World Business Express. You can listen with Liana Byrne from Monday. Definitely worth a listen. Liana is great. Right.
23:35We have replaced our cast for the first half hour. We have a new cast who we aren't getting to slowly, but we know who we definitely have. And if there's one person who's divided opinion on this program almost as much as Donald Trump, it is our very own Peter Morisi. Peter, how are you? Well, I'm fine. Thank you. And I'm delighted to be here. You know, I did the pilot on this show. Did you really? I was there at the beginning. So do we have to say that the reason that we've all been going for 12 and a half years is you put up a pretty impressive performance on that date? Well, I wouldn't go that far, but I think we did pretty well that day.
24:12And I think we've had a pretty good show all these years. I think that's very true. Do you remember who was on with you? No, I don't, to be very honest. All I know is that I was called by a producer from the BBC, a woman named Nick Graft, who said that CBS had recommended me, CBS Radio. And I said, I don't know if I can make this work because I have a conflict. And she said, well, you know, they recommended you very highly. And I'm so glad I rearranged my schedule to do it because it's been an absolute delight to do this show for almost 13 years. Well, it's been a delight to have you on the program.
24:46Also, somebody else we're always delighted to have on, Memal Safras, who is there in Lahore. Now, we're not going to talk cricket because India play in Pakistan. And I don't want to fall out on the final programme. Memal, how are you? Yes, Rahul, let's not discuss that. Good morning. And I'm good. Well, let's be honest. When they play in tournaments, you have to admit this. India tend to win more often than Pakistan. That is true, isn't it? In big tournaments, yes. Big tournaments. That's true. How much is that winning little tournaments? Right. We're going to get David Quote to join us hopefully in a few minutes.
25:22But let's go to this first because we're going to bring back some of the reportage. One of the great things about the programme was it travelled the world. A lot of the presenters went and bought you stories that you wouldn't have heard of otherwise. So reporting offer involves going into challenging and unfamiliar settings. And let's face it, being a bit nosy. And who better to do that? Even if it comes with surprising consequences, Then our very own Roger Hearing, of course, was on the programme yesterday. Here he is reporting from a journey he took in Russia. So we're just waiting now for them to bring the passport back that they took off me so that they can do the fingerprinting.
25:57I'm standing here looking down the line toward North Korea, the line that comes through this station that seems to be almost wholly unused, even though it's got all the facilities, including passport control booths, security apparatus. Well, that was an interesting experience. We got reasonably close before we were detained, arrested in fact by the Border Security Force. This area is restricted and we clearly didn't have the necessary papers and after a lengthy process of being interrogated, asked what our business was, forced to write down what we're doing, we've been let off with, in my case, a 500 ruble fine and a warning.
26:38I suppose it could have been a great deal worse. Clearly, there is communication across this border, which only has a rail bridge. There is no other way of getting across. But at the moment, the relations between Russia and North Korea are, I would say, respectful, if not exactly enthusiastic. There we go. Roger hearing some of the rapporteur. It was difficult to go. Stephen, who's across from me, is the one who's been going through it all. And we could have filled hours of the programme with some of the great reporting that we have had. Right. David Kuo has joined us. David, delighted to have you on the programme.
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27:14Now, I thought you Singaporeans were punctual. You're not like us South Asians. How are you? We may be punctual, but I think the issue is that I'm not particularly IT literate. So therefore, I was having some technical issues. Well, there we go. Something that hasn't changed in the 12 and a half years of the program. Memal, I want you now to do this for me because I was listening back to some of the early editions and Peter Marici and David were on together. So we're going to play you, Memal, a bit of their voices and we want you to judge who has aged the most. No, I'm not, given what goes on in New York.
27:57You know, essentially finance is the high seas of the post-industrial world, and our bankers are the pirates. It's that simple. Well, I'm no apologist for the bankers, but what I'm seeing is that, you know, many years ago we had this thing called 363 rule of banking. In other words, they will pay interest at 3 percent, they will charge interest at 6 percent, and they will be on the golf course at 3 o 'clock in the afternoon. there we go mamal now there they both are you've heard both of their voices come on no no sitting on the fence no sitting on i guess i think peter has these more although they don't sound that much different but still you know i if i don't have to sit on the fence peter how do you respond to this i'm just as i am i mean that's peter you know what can i say i I mean, that's how I responded to that.
28:45And I stand by what I said. David, I have to maybe agree with Mamar, but, but, but, but, but, but, it might be that you should, but maybe you, you know, you always had a slightly older voice, David. Really?
29:03I feel quite young. How does that figure into the year? That's not fair. I'm only five foot six and I'm a tenner. There we go. So listen, everybody's young on this programme is what we have to say. And nobody can really see us and have a clue of how old we may or may. We've all aged, Raoul, over the years, of course. Yes, speak for yourself, Ramal. Right, let us look at some of the big stories that we have been covering, particularly that we've had all your comments on. And I suppose cost of living over the last five or six years has been really one of the dominant conversations. Russia's invasion of Ukraine put pressure on prices and supply chains.
29:40It was a subject of much discussion in Davos in 2022. There should be Russian oil embargo. All the Russian banks should be bought. No exceptions. There should be an abandonment of the Russian IT sector. There should not be any trade with Russia. This should be a precedent for sanctions pressure that will work convincingly for the decades to come and would support the peace. And so now, because of this crisis, we're taking food from the hungry to give to the starving. It's absolutely a crisis mode. What do you think is going to happen when you take a nation that normally grows enough food to feed 400 million people and you sideline that?
30:21There we go. President Zelensky and then World Food Program after that. Peter, let's start with you on this one. The Ukraine war, obviously, supply chains led to the cost of living crisis. And for many people, they hadn't really experienced inflation that much before, had they? Of course, in some parts of the world, they certainly had, you know, some of the emerging economies. But I suppose for people in the US, it was a new phenomenon to some extent for young people. Absolutely. For people under 40, it was a very new phenomenon. But what's really unique here, or what really distinguishes this, is that in the past, this was imposed on us by circumstances like COVID.
31:02I mean, we didn't invent that. Or by the Russians going into the Ukraine. But now what Donald Trump is doing with the tariffs is kind of self-imposed pain. And I don't see the sense of it. We're going to come to Donald Trump. But I just wonder on this issue of cost of living inflation prices going up, Peter. Do you think that's what cost President Biden the election in the end? Oh, absolutely. It was the most significant thing. I like to tell people there's only two statistics that really matter to voters. Their paycheck, you know, what they take home, and the price of gasoline, because in America everybody drives to work.
31:41And if the price of gasoline is going up and their paychecks aren't keeping up, the government's cooked. And that's exactly what happened to Joe Biden or to Kamala Harris running in his stead. Yeah, yeah. And that's a good point, actually. Mamal, the difference is, and this is one of the things that we like to, we've always tried to get across in business matters, that just because something happens in one economy doesn't mean it happens in another one. And whilst there's been huge inflation and political instability in Pakistan, inflation has been a problem for a long period of time, hasn't it?
32:16Yes, it has. And although, you know, I mean, inflation eased to 3 % in August. So there was that. But of course, there has been a fall in real income. The real issue, Rahul, has been that, you know, we've seen low GDP over the years and high inflation rate. And it has led to, you know, more unemployment. And of course, people who are employed, because their incomes have not increased, so their buying power has decreased over the years. So there's that. It has led to more poverty in the long run for a lot of people here. They're struggling to make ends meet. And one of the problems Pakistan has faced is political instability.
32:59I mean, there's no democratically elected government that's ever served as well. No, no, and we've actually, you know, we now have a hybrid system, which is, you know, civilian and military together running the show. So, yes, it's quite difficult. The political instability is still there, of course. Of course it is. But the thing is that, you know, we were actually getting a stable economy. Unfortunately, the recent floods, there's this fear that, you know, So the recent floods may actually lead, Dr. Hafiz Pasha, who's a former federal minister, he said that, you know, basically it may plunge, Pakistan's GDP growth may plunge to 0 and 1 % against the IMS forecast of 3.6 % because of the floods.
33:42There's that problem. Yeah, and that's not the first time. It's one of the other big stories we covered from Pakistan during our time here was, of course, the floods in the previous floods in Pakistan. David, take away tariffs for a minute because we are going to come to that in about seven or eight minutes' time. But the impact of that Ukraine war that initially drove up lots of prices and rippled out to many parts of the global economy, Europe, of course, because of its dependence on Russian oil and gas really suffered a lot. Has that ripple finished now, do you think? I don't think so, Rahul.
34:14And it's not just oil and gas, Rahul. It's also things like the price of wheat. I mean, what really struck me when the war broke out was shortly afterwards, I was at one of the suppliers over here, personal suppliers of sunflower seeds. And they told me that there was a shortage of sunflower seeds. And consequently, the price of those seeds went up. And then the next thing was the price of noodles went up because wheat goes into the making of noodles. And we eat a lot of noodles over here in Singapore. So that went up in price. But do you know, Rahul, what really gets my goat is that so many governments at the moment around the world are kind of bragging and they're saying, oh, you know, we brought inflation down to 0.5 percent, 1 percent, 2 percent.
34:58But what they seem to have forgotten was that prices shot up 15 percent for a lot of goods after the Ukraine war and also after COVID. those prices went up in the double digits. And then now what we're getting is 1%, 2 % on the 15 % that's already there. So prices haven't actually come down, have they, Rahul? If anything, it's even more expensive now than before the Ukraine war, before COVID. And I think that is what is hitting people. And then when you get politicians come out and say, oh, guess what? You know, we're so good. We've been able to bring inflation down to 0.5%. Yeah, it's 0.5 % compared to last year.
35:39But what about the five years before that? I mean, when prices shot up and people's wages have not caught up with that. And that, I think, is what people are angry about because they still remember. It's really a front of their minds that it never cost this much five years ago. And now it has. And my wages haven't gone up. Yeah. Peter, briefly, if you don't mind, that is such a good point, because you go to many parts of the world and a lot of people feel a lot worse. off now than they did five years ago. Absolutely. Not dealing with the Russian incursion into Ukraine and COVID properly has made people worse off.
36:16Western governments have failed people. You can't get around it. And governments in places like India have failed people. That's all I can say, because it shouldn't be this way. I mean, the commodities are out there. They're ready to be consumed. They shouldn't be so expensive to ordinary people. I do know this. the oligarchs are in America and in Russia are much richer. Yeah, that is the phrase, isn't it? The rich get richer, the poor get poorer. Absolutely. Many stories in Business Matters have been about borders and negotiations. Here's Vivian Nunes reporting on the price of Punjab's partition between India and Pakistan in 1947.
36:54Hello and welcome to Business Matters with me, Vivian Nunes. We're coming to you live from Jalanda, India.
37:03We've just driven through the village now along a dusty road to where the fields are. And looking around me here, there are all different kinds of green vegetation. Fruit trees, there is wind rustling through the leaves of the banana trees and a big bunch of bananas I can see there. There are some mango trees, there's also aloe vera plants along the ground here. Lemon, I'm told. And this farm was one of the first organic farms in the area and it belongs to Mr Nirmal Singh. There is no expense because we don't have to purchase anything, just sell what we grow. No fertilisers, no pesticides, nothing.
37:44Profits are equal to, if not better than, those farmers who use chemicals. It was on this reporting assignment that Viv first got to speak with you, I believe, when she crossed over into Pakistan, into Lahore. Yes, yes, she did. So Vivian was the first person I did Business Matters with and Nishi Sundar, I remember, was producing. Yes, yes, indeed, indeed. And I suppose, quick one on this, India-Pakistan partition, Punjab divided through the middle, you know, biggest exodus in the history when both countries got independence. Do you think when you look around you now, has Punjab recovered from that?
38:23It was such a momentous moment. You know, of course, we've both Punjabs have moved on and, you know, partition is a reality. But the thing is that, you know, there's so much potential between the two sides when it comes to trade, because, you know, I mean, the language is similar. I can speak Punjabi when I cross over to Amritsar. They'll talk to me in Punjabi when they come to Lahore. I mean, the language is the same. Then, you know, of course, the culture is the same. So, you know, there's so much potential. Well, unfortunately, Rahul, it has always been the government. I mean, when it comes to people-to-people contact, I have so many friends across the border and vice versa with a lot of my friends.
39:05But the thing is, it's the governments that have to work on this. And especially, I'd say that Pakistan has been talking about peace for a long time, but it's the Modi government that has had issues over the years. And of course, on the Indian side, people will give you a different perspective. Let me ask you the most important question here. Where is the food better? Lahore or Amritsa? Lahore. Hands down. You've been to Lahore. I've been to both. I've been to both. And I'm going to go with Amritsa. Okay. I love the food. Here's the honest answer. Veg food is better in Amritsa. Non-veg food is better.
39:44That's true. Veg food is better in India. That's true. That is true. It's the last program. So we should try and compromise, I believe, to some extent. No, no, vegetarian food is indeed, indeed great. Yeah, that's true. Yeah, but maybe the chicken's better and ninja as well. But BBC correspondents and reporters have, of course, been a key part of Business Matters over the years. Here's a voice note from one regular and familiar voice. Hey, Rahul, and hi to all of our friends on Business Matters. And most importantly, our listeners. It's been such an honour to join you from New York and from all over the country and the world over these last, oh my gosh, seven years.
40:19I remember being a guest on the programme back when I was covering the first Trump administration as a political correspondent for another news organization and then reporting from the presidential campaign trail just for you in 2019 and 2020. What a year that was. We covered the January 6th U.S. Capitol attack on air as it unfolded and the Black Lives Matter protests from the streets. I went to swing states to see how President Trump's first-term tariffs were playing out and asked business owners who was earning their vote. I remember taking all of you with me on a cross-country road trip, reporting live on air from my rental car, driving down the road in America's heartland.
40:56I didn't know all that time that I'd end up becoming the BBC's North America business correspondent and that I'd end up having the pleasure of joining you all to report on the world's biggest economy so many more times than I can count over these last couple of years. You know, for someone like me who believes that business news is news and that it's vitally important to everyone's everyday life. It's been an honour and it's been so much fun to report on Business Matters because, quite simply, business matters. There we go. And, you know, it's been so lovely that somebody who started as a guest on this programme has ended up as a correspondent reporting on it.
41:34Right, let us chat. Because we had a discussion before we came on air about probably the most, We thought it was COVID or this story, the most important story that we covered. Guess what is happening right now? China, first row, 67%. That's tariffs charged to the USA. So we're going to be charging a discounted reciprocal tariff of 34%. I think, in other words, they charge us, we charge them, we charge them less. Peter Morisi, Donald Trump there announcing tariffs in his second term. Have you ever seen a moment like this in global trade? No, I have not. That's because I wasn't alive with Smooth Hawley, which was probably just as big.
42:17Just remind people when that was. That was in the early 1930s. Yeah. But I think the biggest story was COVID. COVID was something that came down on us and we didn't handle it very well. But, you know, in defense of whoever was governing Trump and then Biden and our European allies and in Japan, they were basically writing a new playbook. I mean, they were dealing with something they had not seen before. And so I can't fault them for how they did things, but it has really changed the way we look at the world. No, it certainly has. I want to bring David in here. I'm going to come back to Peter in a minute and get my Miles thoughts on this as well.
43:00You know, we've been through a lot with the Donald Trump tariff story, David. How is this going to end, do you think? Badly. One word, badly. For everybody. And I think what will happen is that eventually America will realise that imposing tariffs on the rest of the world is not going to work. And America's economy is going to deteriorate. Inflation is going to go up. And as we probably edge towards the next election in the US, there will be a lot of backtracking. I think they will try and paint it over somehow and gloss it over and say that, oh, certain things haven't worked. But in general, that has been OK.
43:47But it just defies logic. I cannot see the logic behind it. And Peter is absolutely right. We've learned this lesson before with the Smoot-Hawley Act. And just for your listeners' sake, I was not around during the 1930s. So I'm nowhere near. Well, I was around the time of Moses, and I agree with you. Not only are these tariffs bad, but the tariffs of the 1890s were bad. My feeling is that Donald Trump is somebody who just doesn't read. He doesn't read history, and the people around him don't do it either. I have never seen a president that has been so badly informed by his advisors as to what history teaches us and so forth.
44:28The rest of the world is going to suffer more than us because we're so much bigger. But we're going to suffer just the same. And I'm afraid that we're going to have to do a lot of penitence and, frankly, apologizing to the rest of the world for the terrible things this has brought. Yeah, let us see that. And, of course, all economies are being affected, aren't they, Myanmar? Pakistan is as well. Absolutely. This is terrible. Pakistan as well Yes well you know I mean the thing is that Pakistan of course got a better deal when it comes to tariffs we got 90 % tariff but the thing is Rahul you know I was actually in the US you know that I was there last year We remember your road trip No no but I actually this year I was there for three months Sorry I was there for three months this year and you know I realised that even during this year the inflation has gone up and you know prices of commodities when i compare them with last year they've gone up this i think these tariffs have caused so much disruption and uncertainty when it comes even to the u.s itself uh yes of course you know it has happened with other economies and there's a lot of uncertainty and there's of course a lot of fear as well but when it comes to the u.s as well it has really really impacted uh it has it has david one of the other big stories that has happened since the program has been on air has been incredible rise of the Chinese economy.
45:50Quick thought on that, David, where are we going? China faces challenges ahead of it. But do you expect it to continue to grow to continue to challenge the US maybe go past it? I think China has one big problem, and that is the housing market. And China is trying always at the moment to try and resolve that problem. But the only way that you can resolve the housing crisis is number one, to stop building. And then number two, to allow whatever has been built to be digested by the people. Only then will you be able to solve the housing crisis. They're talking at the moment about sort of throwing money at the problem, trying to convert some of those properties into other uses, maybe rental properties by the government, but it just doesn't work.
46:37I mean, I've been through so many housing crises ever since I started buying my first house. And it is always a question of supply and demand. That is what the property market is all about. If you supply too much property, prices come down. And for those people who bought the properties initially and then suddenly prices come down, well, they will feel worse off because so much of their wealth is stored in the property. So it just takes time to digest. And it's not something that you can flick a switch on and off and say, I will solve it tomorrow. It will take years. Well, let us see what happens there.
47:14Right. Business Matters has always been about tackling those big stories. News often, business all the time. But of course, we like to have a bit of fun on the programme as well. And never let it be said that we shied away from some great music. And who better? This was one of my favourite moments. And Diane Brady giving us a little bit of Johnny Cash. Diane, we've got 50 seconds left to close the programme. We got married in a fever. I have to sing the, I have to sing, actually, can I do June Karakash? Because I am a soprano. Hotter than a pepper sprout. We've been talking about Jackson ever since the fire went out.
47:50And that's why I'm a journalist and not a singer here. And I like Johnny Cash, but, you know. Yeah, that was great. That was great. That was great. Thank you. Can I remind everybody that you don't pay me to be on this show? so there's no danger of me being fired. No, there we go. That is why Diane Brady is a journalist, not a singer. Peter Morisi, you want to give us a – last Business Matters, you're going to give us a bit of a song? I'm afraid that I'm – nobody's ever asked me to sing because there's a good reason for it. I don't sing very well. But my feeling is I'm just pleased and honored to have been part of this program from the pilot.
48:27I did Business Matters No. 1, and I'm also very grateful to the listeners for giving me their ears and I thank you. Well, listen, I want to say thank you to Mamal. I want to say thank you to David and I want to say thank you to Peter Morisi as well. Thank you, Rahul. It's been a real honour for all of us, producers, presenters, editors, people who've worked on the programme to, you know, try and bring you some business news. I hope that you've managed to learn a few things in your time, that we've been able to help you understand some of the complicated stories that we have had on our programme.
49:05But that is it. It's the last time that we're going to be able to say this to you. From next week, you're going to have a different programme. We're ending with some strange music that's underneath us, but there we go. Thank you for listening. We've all enjoyed it. All of you, take care.
From the publisher
For the very final time, Business Matters on the BBC World Service, Rahul Tandon is joined by many of our regular guests, from India, Pakistan, Singapore, Canada and the United States. They discuss some of the biggest themes we covered, including, the COVID-19 pandemic, a cost of living crisis driven by a pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and Donald Trump becoming the President of the United States.
Production team: Rahul Tandon, Ahmed Adan and Stephen Ryan
(Photo: A medical worker in full COVID-19 personal protective equipment in Shanghai, May 2022. Taken during lockdown in China. Credit: Edward Lawrence/BBC)




