In short
Podcast Notes: Big Take - An American Toymaker Struggles to Break Up With China
Episode Overview In this episode of Big Take, host K. Oanh Ha explores how the US-China tariff war has disrupted global manufacturing and impacted companies like Learning Resources, a toy manufacturer based in Chicago. The episode focuses on Learning Resources' transition to Vietnam for production, the challenges faced during this shift, and the broader implications for communities and consumers.
Key Themes and Discussions
The Impact of the US-China Tariff War
- Tariff Escalation: President Trump's administration implemented steep tariffs on goods imported from China, affecting companies reliant on Chinese manufacturing.
- Learning Resources' Response:
- Transitioning production from China, where 60% of its toys were made.
- Legal battles against the tariffs, with the company winning a court case declaring the tariffs illegal, though they remain in effect pending appeal.
Transition to Vietnam
- Factory Visits and Assessment: The episode follows Alana Woldenberg-Ruffman, VP of Marketing and Product Development, on her visit to factories in Vietnam.
- Challenges Identified:
- Lack of Infrastructure: Vietnam's manufacturing infrastructure isn't as developed as China's, leading to increased costs.
- Skill Gap: Vietnamese workers are less experienced in automated assembly processes, affecting productivity.
Local Economic Impact
- Factory Employment: The influx of factories has created jobs for local residents, transitioning many from agriculture to manufacturing.
- Community Changes: The growth of factories has led to the transformation of local economies, with some families benefitting, while others face challenges due to land requisition for industrial development.
Consumer Implications
- Increased Prices: Learning Resources has raised toy prices by an average of 6% to cover rising production costs.
- Innovation Stagnation: The company has reduced its product development budget by half, resulting in the shelving of over 100 potential new products.
- Future Concerns: Potential further increases in tariffs could lead to additional price hikes and reduced choices in the toy market.
Key Takeaways
- The transition of production from China to Vietnam is fraught with challenges, including higher costs and a less experienced workforce.
- Local communities experience both economic opportunities and disruptions due to the influx of factories and the loss of agricultural land.
- Consumers may face higher prices and fewer innovative products as companies like Learning Resources navigate the complexities of a changing global trade landscape.
Conclusion The episode highlights the significant impact of international trade policies on local economies, manufacturing practices, and consumer experiences. Learning Resources' journey exemplifies the broader challenges faced by businesses operating in a rapidly shifting geopolitical climate.
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For further insights, listeners are encouraged to tune into related episodes, including discussions on the implications of trade policies and the evolving landscape of the toy manufacturing industry.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Hello, I'm Stephen Carroll. I'm in Brussels where many of Europe's biggest decisions get made. And I'm Caroline Hepker in London with the hosts of the Bloomberg Daybreak Europe podcast. We're up early every weekday keeping an eye on what's happening across Europe and around the world. We do it early so the news is fresh, not recycled and so you know what actually matters as the day gets going. From Brussels, I'm following the politics, policy and the people shaping the European Union right now. And from London, I'm looking at what all that means for markets, money and the wider economy. We've got reporters across Europe and around the globe feeding in as stories break So whether it's geopolitics, energy, tech or markets you're hearing it while it happens It's smart, calm and to the point And it fits into your morning You can find new episodes of the Bloomberg Daybreak Europe podcast by 7am in Dublin or 8am in Brussels, Berlin and Paris On Apple, Spotify, YouTube or wherever you get your podcasts
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1:19On a summer morning, a group of us, Americans, Chinese and Vietnamese, are packed in a van. We're moving fast on a brand new highway that slices through Vietnam's Red River Delta. We're on our way to a toy factory. But just a few hundred yards away from the factory gate, we've come to a dead halt, stymied by an unexpected obstacle. Huge puddles. The maps apparently didn't identify this river that's sitting under the road. The road leading to the factory gate is pockmarked with water-filled potholes as big as truck tires. The only option is to get out and walk the last 100 yards.
2:09It's barely 9 a.m., and it's already 90 degrees. My travel companion is ready to face the heat. It's hard to dress for these factory tours. I've now just basically created an attire of a T-shirt and some sort of very lightweight pants. I'm here with Alana Woldenberg-Ruffman, Vice President of Marketing and Product Development for Learning Resources, a family-run toy company just outside of Chicago. She's a mechanical engineer by training and helps run the family business alongside her dad, CEO Rick Woldenberg, and her two brothers. You know, some of my earliest memories with toys would be like the Learning Resources cash register or like the pretend phone, which is a little dated at this point.
2:53You need the pretend iPhone. The company traces its roots back more than a century ago to Lana's great-grandfather. These days, if you have young kids, there's a chance you know their products. Botley, the coding robot, and pretend cash registers are a hit with consumers. Hello. Do you see Botley, the coding robot? This is the Pretend and Play Learning Resources cash register. There! Most of these toys are made in China and sold through major retailers like Target and Walmart. For years, it was a winning formula. Efficient Chinese factories produced low-cost goods, and American consumers benefited with affordable prices.
3:39But President Donald Trump's return to the White House and escalation of the trade war that began in his first term has upended that formula. On April 2nd, Trump announced the steepest American tariffs in more than a century, with a 10 % minimum tariff and even higher duties on some 60 nations, starting with China. So if you look at that, China, first row, China, 67%. That's tariffs charged to the USA, including currency manipulation and trade barriers. For Learning Resources, this was a gut punch. The company had already started shifting production out of China during Trump's first term. But at the beginning of the year, about 60 percent of its toys were still made there.
4:29Here's Alana. At 145 percent, it's a ban on our products. People didn't know what was going to happen to our business. Within weeks, Learning Resources took the Trump administration to court and won. A district judge in Washington, D.C. ruled the president's tariffs were illegal, but the levy stayed in place as Trump appealed. Now the case is headed to the Supreme Court, with arguments set for next week. We're the only private company that brought our own lawsuit. We were kind of faced with the decision of die or do something. While battling it out in court, the company also began rebuilding the manufacturing network it had spent decades developing.
5:10We don't know what the tariff rates are going to be at any given time on any given day. And so we're proactively out here trying to diversify our supply chain so that we are able to ride the waves. At the end of the day, we're just, we're betting. It is highly likely that some products that we move, we will have to move again. We're following along as Learning Resources is forced to shift its supply chain to Vietnam. And as a company tries to move forward, it's also confronting a hard truth. China's manufacturing infrastructure, built over decades, isn't something you can walk away from overnight.
5:47Because China has been a manufacturing hub for so long, it developed a lot of expertise. That same infrastructure doesn't exist anywhere else in the world today.
6:04This is The Big Take Asia from Bloomberg News. I'm Wan Ha. Today on the show, you can move manufacturing out of China. But can you really take China out of manufacturing? We hit the road with an American toy maker caught in the crosshairs of Trump's shifting trade policy and uncover the hidden costs of trying to stay one step ahead.
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7:46Before this trip, I hadn't been back to northern Vietnam since the pandemic. I was born in Saigon when I was still the capital of South Vietnam, a country divided by war. After the U.S. withdrew in defeat in 1975, the country was unified under communist rule. But it was left deeply impoverished. Families like mine, who had fought on the losing side, faced bleak futures. Here's my dad recounting the fears that gripped him after the war ended. I feel danger. I don't know when they catch me, put the jail, and I don't know what I can do because I am a soldier. My dad fought for South Vietnam against the communist forces.
8:32After the war, soldiers like him were sent to re-education camps, and their families were branded as traitors. They were denied access to jobs, higher education, opportunities to improve their lives. Then I don't see a future for me Then how about you guys, you know No future That's the reason we try to escape You know, we need to go Leave Vietnam, we go We fled as boat refugees when I was a child And resettled in California I still remember my parents reading letters from relatives back home My mom, reduced to tears by the accounts of failed harvests the lack of medicine, and pleas for financial help.
9:15In the late 80s, Vietnam began economic reforms. But it wasn't until 1994, when the U.S. lifted a decades-long trade embargo, that the country truly opened to global trade. A year after Vietnam and the U.S. signed a historic trade pact, sales at this garment factory in Hanoi have hit record levels. In 2010, more than 30 years after my family left, I was hired as Bloomberg's Vietnam beer chief in Hanoi, where we chronicled the country's growing manufacturing prowess. I followed Vietnam's rise since then, but nothing prepared me for the pace of change I'm seeing now. Wow, look, all of this is, look how much construction.
9:57We're heading to a factory called Dong Phuong. It's tucked inside an industrial park in the town of Phu Li, about an hour's drive south of Hanoi, and roughly 130 miles from the Chinese border. The industrial zone was approved in 2017, just months after President Trump first took office and began threatening China with trade actions. Within two years, rice fields were transformed into a sprawling complex of factories. Dongfeng, stretching nearly two football fields long, was started by a Chinese entrepreneur who ran a manufacturing plant in eastern China for 15 years. They are tiny, like they love folks who said.
10:38Got a big palm in the front. That's Jimmy Lee, a manager from Longshore. The company makes toys in China and is a longtime partner of Learning Resources. In Vietnam, they're helping to connect the American company to factories like this one, with Jimmy often on the ground to oversee projects. He's talking about the pond at the factory gate. In Chinese culture, having water near the entrance is seen as a sign of good luck. And if you add a north-facing gate, even better. It seems like they had a 100 % north door with a pound in the front. You know, it's a typical feng shui setup. Alana and her team are visiting Dongfeng for the first time.
11:22It's one of a dozen factories they'll visit this week to assess production and find ways to control costs that are already rising. We begin our tour in the warehouse, where bags of raw materials, including plastic resin, are stacked five feet high. So one of the things that we've been working through with our factories is literally where they get the raw materials. That's a big element of controlling the cost. So, like, this is ABS. Alana leans over sacks of glossy plastic pellets, scanning the labels. She's inspecting ABS, a common plastic used to make Lego bricks, as well as Learning Resources toys.
11:59Yeah, so do you know if all the ABS comes from China for this factory, or are they getting it from other countries too? I think the import from out of China also, but main source should be in China. Yeah, and ABS is a particularly challenging type of plastic. Turns out only two types of plastic the factory needs can be sourced locally in Vietnam. And we soon realized the trucks pulling into the factory earlier were loaded with raw materials from China, making routine deliveries of imported parts. We pass the warehouse and step onto the factory floor, stopping in front of an injection molding machine.
12:35So there's piping in here that's feeding in the plastic pellets that we just saw, and it's going to melt them into a shape of the steel mold. The plant is currently making more than 50 Learning Resources toys, with more coming in. One of them is Campfire Chatmallows, a product that's being made in Vietnam for the first time. It's a storytelling toy designed to spark conversations. Imagine a cozy campfire that flickers with LED light. There are soft, squishy marshmallows called chatmallows, each printed with a unique emoji. A magic wand, a storm, a jigsaw puzzle. Once upon a time, there was one little boy who was playing jigsaw puzzles.
13:21These images are story starters. Kids slide them onto sticks and pretend to roast them over the campfire while telling stories to each other. At the injection molding machine, a robotic steel arm grabs onto squishy marshmallows that have emerged from the mold. Ilana says that kind of automation is actually missing in many of the factories she's visited this week. The automation isn't here yet. So like you look around and there's a lot of people, but there's not as many machines covering the same thing that a person might do. And so that's going to bring the cost up a little bit. In Vietnam, factories still rely heavily on manual labor because advanced machinery like this isn't easy to come by.
14:04It's expensive and often needs to be imported, likely from China, which dominates much of the market for toy manufacturing. And even in factories that do have automation, like this one, Alana's noticed something else that affects productivity. So whereas in China, it might take one worker to work a machine, in Vietnam it will take two workers because they don't understand, they're not as familiar with the machine in Korea. So it'll take six to 12 months for them to really learn it and to get it to the same level of automation that exists already in China. Jimmy says this factory has about a third more workers than a similar plant in China.
14:42And unlike Chinese laborers who've worked years or even decades at facilities like this, many of these workers are new to assembly work. Some of the staff we spoke to came off farms and are relatively new to assembly lines. That lack of experience, combined with lower automation, hits productivity. Alana says some vendors report making 4 ,000 units a day in China, but only 2 ,500 in Vietnam. We follow the Chattmellers production through the paint department, where workers manually spray red and orange flames on the toy. Then onto the assembly floor, where hundreds of workers in blue company-issued polo shirts and caps sit at long metal tables.
15:26Workers on the line split open the plastic logs, insert screws, install battery contacts, and solder the electronics board. On the assembly line, a Chinese manager is showing a worker how to fit a part together, pointing out where to pay extra attention.
15:48His instructions in Mandarin are translated into Vietnamese, and the workers' questions are relayed back.
16:03This factory has relocated about 20 engineers and managers from China to Vietnam. And that's to help bridge the gap in experience and technical know-how. It's a common practice for factories here. Jimmy says Chinese workers have developed specialized skills over decades that are difficult to quickly replicate elsewhere. Every single Chinese factory moving from here, they will rely on their own team to build up. I mean, the core member of the team will be still Chinese people that are with experience. The tariffs also bring another risk Learning Resources has yet to calculate. To explain, Alana picks up the Chatmello toy.
16:47The interior, these chips are made and produced in China and then imported here. The soldering is done locally. This product will need batteries. Those will be imported. You cannot buy batteries locally in Vietnam. The metal is imported. That's a big contrast to China, where more than 10 ,000 companies form an extensive sourcing network for the toy industry. Vietnam's toy suppliers are in the hundreds, a fraction of what China has. So within a city center or a geographic area in China, you can find a plastic supplier, a print supplier, a foam supplier, a wood supplier, and so on. So all that is available locally.
17:29That same infrastructure doesn't exist anywhere else in the world today. All these imported materials could spell trouble for businesses. On top of the 20 % tariffs on Vietnam, Trump has also slapped a 40 % transshipment rate on goods that originate in China, but are then exported from Vietnam. That extra levy is designed to crack down on companies that reroute made-in-China products through Vietnam, adding little or sometimes no additional manufacturing. So far, the administration hasn't offered any guidance on how these higher duties will actually be enforced. So the rules on train shipment haven't been fully defined yet.
18:10So these are things that we need to guess on and whether componentry, which is brought in from other countries, might impact the tariff rate. Ilana says all these factors add up. More workers, less automation, imported components, Chinese engineers. They make manufacturing in Vietnam 10 to 15 percent more expensive than in China. Alana says the entire process, scouting factories, moving molds, prototyping, adds up to millions of dollars. They're not recoverable. There's a lot of costs here that aren't recoverable. Orders that we've lost, like those will never come back. Costs that are being passed to customers.
18:51Like all these things are irreparable harm. And that's, you know, part of why we were motivated to bring the lawsuit is because there's a lot of damage being done. and there's a lot of small, medium-sized businesses who don't have the ability to stand up. And so we wanted to stand up on behalf of the thousands of companies like ours who are impacted by this. After the break, what does the supply chain shift mean for workers on the factory floor, for families in nearby villages, and for American consumers back home?
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20:46The town of Phu Lh, about 40 miles from Vietnam's capital city of Hanoi, sits in the Red River Delta. It's in a valley surrounded by lush, green, karst limestone mountains, a postcard landscape, until you get close and see the peaks being quarried to build roads and industrial parks. It's a small, off-the-beaten-path town that historically attracted mostly locals. But during our time there, we bumped into Chinese visitors and heard Mandarin at breakfast and at roadside cafes. Most hotels were nearly full because most rooms were now being used to house Chinese workers, a trend that began in the past year.
21:27My own family left Vietnam during a time of high tensions with China, with the two countries engaged in a border war in 1979. Then Vietnam harassed ethnic Chinese and questioned their loyalty. It forcibly expelled families with Chinese roots who lived along the northern border regions. My father's side of the family had immigrated from China to southern Vietnam in the early 1900s, And those discriminatory policies after the war pushed out families like ours. And we buy the old boat, and we modify the boat run on the ocean. In the summer of 1979, my father and his brothers retrofitted a riverboat to make it seaworthy.
22:12And my grandfather navigated our way through the South China Sea. All 300 of the people who fled on our overloaded boat were ethnic Chinese. And we take a chance 50-50. You know, 50 die, 50, you know, alive. No, 50-50. Through the years, my dad has talked about that difficult decision to risk all of our lives on the sea because he and my grandfather couldn't see a way for his children to have hopeful futures in our homeland because of our ancestry. We brave storms and pirate attacks to become refugees in faraway countries. Countless others didn't survive the journey. In Vietnam, that dark chapter is all but forgotten.
22:58Though relations between China and Vietnam still have points of contention, they're entwined economically. Chinese investors are embraced more than ever, and Chinese capital funds nearly 30 % of all new projects.
23:15Just a few hundred yards from the Dung Phuong plant, we stop at a roadside eatery, right across from the site of new factories under construction.
23:28Winti Tuin is 78 years old. She's just finished lunch and is chatting with her neighbor. This is my hometown. These were rice fields all the way to the river. Long before the factories arrived, generations of families here, including twins, work the land. Rice, wheat, cassava. In Vietnam, land is sacred. After babies are born, their umbilical cords are buried in the fields to ask the land to protect them. And when they die, they're often buried in the same rice fields where they toiled.
24:10All of this area used to be my family's fields. All the way out to there. We are farmers. What do we do without our fields?
Read the full transcript
24:29In 2013, the government requisitioned the land to make way for industrial development. Tuyin and her neighbors say they were forced to sell their ancestral farms and compensated about$10 ,000, a price they deemed too low. They reclaimed the land, so we had to sell. No one wanted to sell, but we had no choice. You couldn't refuse.
24:59In the end, Tuyin's family bought a small plot across the street from the construction site. They paid nearly seven times the government's compensation price per square meter. They built a house and opened a small cafe serving construction workers. But she worries it won't last, that workers will eat at the factory canteens once construction ends. During our visit, the air hung heavy with dust. Duyen and her neighbors worry about pollution, both in the air and from the factories, given the breakneck pace of development. Still, she acknowledges the factories have opened doors. Her daughter-in-law, once a farmer, now earns nearly$300 a month at the Dengfung factory, making toys for learning resources.
25:48Her husband welds at construction sites. Together, they've saved enough to send their son, Luin's grandson, to study automotive engineering in South Korea. It's a future, she says, made possible by factory work.
26:06That hope for a better future also lies a few miles away, at the Hanam Vocational School. Here, students as young as 15 are training to become machine operators and engineers. The school says nearly all graduates land factory jobs. Global companies like LG, Hyundai, and Samsung send trainers and donate equipment.
26:3316-year-old Chen Tang Gong is a returning student at the school. Gong says he loves tinkering with electronics and is eager to find a factory job. Factories have a lot of equipment and machines, so they need people to fix and maintain them. That's why he chose to study industrial electricity to fix machines like the plants.
26:55Ngong says a university education might not lead to a career right away, but he's certain he can have his choice of factory jobs. My conversation with this confident teenager, upbeat about his future, left an impression on me. After a week in Vietnam, it's clear that optimism runs deep, centered around the factories and foreign investors pouring capital into the region. The country's leaders are highly attuned to the shifting geopolitical winds and are bent on maintaining growth. The U.S., once a wartime enemy-turned-trading partner, now seems like a fickle friend with its high tariffs. So Vietnam's counting on foreign investors to help ride it out.
27:38Before heading home, I asked Alana for her final thoughts after a week of crisscrossing the country. and visiting a dozen factories. Vietnam certainly has potential. The products that we saw made here are very high quality. There's certainly expertise here. And it's growing and changing rapidly. I think some of the hang-ups, though, are that there's not as much capacity. So there's just physically not as much manufacturing space here as there is in China. And then additionally, you can't get a lot of the raw materials locally. And so that is driving cost. For now, Learning Resources is placing its bets on Vietnam.
28:15But tariffs are adding pressure. The company has already raised prices of its toys by an average of 6%, the bare minimum to cover the costs. And Alana says more hikes are on the way if Trump imposes additional tariffs. But the biggest cost isn't on any invoice. Because of the tariffs, Learning Resources had to cut its product development budget in half. That meant shelving over 100 new products, including an entire line of educational toys for classrooms. That whole range had to go on hold because it was too big and too complex. It was going to take too many resources, and we just couldn't justify it given all the other things that we had to do.
28:57So that's one that just personally for me makes me very sad because it's a product that teachers have been asking us to do for years. Alana says consumers will pay for the tariffs twice, in higher prices and in toys from the industry with a little less magic. Because instead of investing in innovation, toy makers are sinking their budgets into tariffs and supply chains. These are costs that have led to us slashing budgets. and pulling back on investments that we were going to make. We are hiring less people. We're coming out with fewer products. For the consumers, this is just going to mean higher prices and less choice.
29:50This is The Big Take Asia from Bloomberg News. I'm Wan Ha. This is the first episode in an ongoing series on how one American toy maker is grappling with record high tariffs. Join us as the journey continues. If you like the episode, be sure to subscribe at Bloomberg.com slash podcast offer. Leave a review and even better, tell a friend. It really makes a difference. Thanks for listening. See you next time.
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From the publisher
The US-China tariff war has upended global manufacturing, forcing companies like Chicago-based Learning Resources to fundamentally change how and where its products are made.
On today’s Big Take Asia podcast, K. Oanh Ha heads to Vietnam, where the toymaker has begun shifting the production of its popular children’s toys. We examine how the company is managing its complex shift from China – where its toys have been made for decades – what the factory boom means for communities on the ground in Vietnam and how all of this will impact consumers.
Further listening: The American Toymaker Suing Trump Over Destructive Tariffs
Xi’s Top Bargaining Chip Is a Trade War Game Changer
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