In short
Big Technology Podcast Episode Notes: OpenAI’s New Structure, Apple Replacing Google With AI?, Cheating With ChatGPT
Episode Overview In this episode of the Big Technology Podcast, host Alex Kantrowitz and guest Ranjan Roy discuss significant developments in the tech industry, focusing on:
- OpenAI's new executive structure
- Potential shifts in the search engine landscape with Apple
- The academic implications of ChatGPT and other AI tools in college
Key Discussion Points
- OpenAI's New Executive Structure
- New CEO of Applications: Fidji Simo, former Instacart CEO, has been appointed as OpenAI's new CEO of Applications.
- Sam Altman’s Role: Altman remains CEO but will delegate day-to-day operations to Brad Lightcap, allowing him to focus on research and safety as OpenAI approaches superintelligence.
- Changes to For-Profit Structure: OpenAI has abandoned plans for a total for-profit conversion; the nonprofit arm will maintain control, ensuring a balance between profit-making and mission-driven goals.
- Implications of Structural Changes:
- A focus on product development rather than just model building.
- Prospects for advertising integration in ChatGPT, given Simo's expertise in consumer applications.
- Apple’s Potential Shift from Google
- Eddie Q’s Statements: Apple's senior executive indicates that AI search engines could replace Google's standard search functions, potentially impacting the $20 billion annual revenue Apple receives from Google.
- Competitive Bidding for Search Defaults: Apple may allow AI companies to bid for the default search position, suggesting a more competitive and diversified search environment.
- Long-term Outlook: The discussion raises questions about the future of traditional search and whether AI can enhance search functionality.
- Cheating with ChatGPT in Academia
- Student Confessions: An increasing trend of college students using ChatGPT to complete assignments quickly, leading to concerns about academic integrity.
- Professors’ Perspectives: Many educators feel overwhelmed and question the value of traditional assignments, indicating a potential need for educational reform.
- Debate on AI’s Role in Learning:
- Ranjan emphasizes the need for universities to adapt their teaching methods in light of technological advancements.
- Discusses whether AI tools should be integrated into education as assistive technologies rather than outright replacements for critical thinking and writing skills.
Key Takeaways
- OpenAI's Strategy: The restructuring of OpenAI reflects a shift toward prioritizing applications and consumer engagement, potentially leading to new revenue models.
- Search Engine Evolution: The competitive landscape for search is shifting towards AI-driven solutions, which may redefine user experiences and industry standards.
- Educational Challenges: The rise of AI tools like ChatGPT presents both challenges and opportunities for the education system, necessitating a reevaluation of how academic success is measured and achieved.
Final Thoughts The podcast highlights the ongoing evolution in technology and its implications for business, search, and education. As AI continues to reshape various sectors, discussions around ethical use, operational structure, and educational integrity become increasingly relevant.
For further insights and updates, tune in next week for more discussions on the latest in technology.
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Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00OpenAI shakes it up again with a new structure and a new top executive. Apple's Eddie Q says the company may replace Google with AI. And everyone in college is cheating with ChatGPT. That's coming up on a Big Technology Podcast Friday edition right after this.
0:19You're used to hearing my voice on the world bringing you interviews from around the globe. And you hear me reporting environment and climate news. I'm Carolyn Buehler. And I'm Marco Werman. We're now with you hosting The World Together. More global journalism with a fresh new sound. Listen to the world on your local public radio station and wherever you find your podcasts.
0:46Welcome to Big Technology Podcast Friday edition, where we break down the news in our traditional cool-headed and nuanced format. We have a great show for you today. We're going to talk about this new structure at OpenAI and what it says about the company moving forward. Of course, you know, or maybe you don't, but this is new news coming out this week that OpenAI has abandoned its quest to become a for-profit, or at least have the for-profit make all the decisions, and the nonprofit will control the company moving forward. We'll talk about the implications of that. We also have this pretty fascinating statement from Apple's Eddie Q saying the company might substitute Google with AI, even though the company makes a lot of money from Google.
1:28And everyone, of course, is cheating. with chat GPT in college. Joining us as always on Friday is Ranjan Roy of Margins. Ranjan, great to see you. Welcome to the show. Everyone's cheating in college. It's just not worth that 120k anymore, Alex. Or is it even 120k now? That's probably more. Yeah. But of course, we should start with the big news that white smoke flowed from OpenAI headquarters this week as they named a new CEO of Applications. I guess I'm not introducing this segment very well, but it is pretty cool that there is an American Pope. Bobby Prevost from The Chi. He's really made it.
2:07He has. Did you see the Chicago Tribune headline? No. What was it? It was just Da Pope, like Da Bears. Ah, okay. Have you seen Conclave? Not yet. But his brother was saying, we play Wordle, we play Words with Friends, and I recommended that he watch the movie Conclave. So he's watched it. You've seen it? I watched it over a Christmas break with my family, and my parents and sister said it was really boring, and I was able to hold that over them this week as the Conclave began, and suddenly I was the most informed about how these things work. It was pretty good. It was slow, but it was very Oscar-y.
2:50okay so anyway i was personally excited about that news and i had to find my way to shoehorn it into this show but let's talk about fiji simo the instacart ceo she is joining open ai as the ceo of applications and i think this is interesting from an open ai standpoint because it is not just fiji simo joining as the ceo of applications which is very interesting because as we've spoken about in the past, this company is nothing but applications. I mean, of course, the models work, but their moat are their applications. But Sam Altman recently made Brad Lightcap into the head of day-to-day operations.
3:32And as he named Fiji the CEO of applications, he writes this message. In this new configuration, I will be able to increase my focus on research, compute, and safety. These are critical as we reach super intelligence. he also had to note that he will remain CEO of OpenAI. Kind of, we talk about how this company is very interesting, but also just filled with weird stuff. And this was definitely weird to me, to see that Sam is going to remain CEO, but he's starting to delegate a lot of his responsibilities to others, and like core company responsibilities. And he's also made CMO the person who is now the boss of Sarah Fryer, who was the OpenAI, who was the Nextdoor CEO and is now the OpenAI CFO.
4:29So Fryer comes over to OpenAI from Nextdoor to become the CFO. And now she's reporting not even to the CEO of OpenAI. It's weird. This is now an org chart podcast in addition to a podcast because we're trying to unpack this. It was interesting. And also to note from the blog post that OpenAI put out, Sam Altman will increase his focus on research, compute, and safety systems. So that's like his main area now. Brad's going to be heading day-to-day operations. And then Fiji is the head of CEO of applications. And so in some world, I actually see that as a good division of power and labor and skill set.
5:17So I think that actually does make sense. I think the most interesting part of this to me is actually on our recurring, is it the product or the model? This is kind of like cementing that they want to really focus more on the product side of things. Again, masters at building great UIs and great product experiences. but actually building a business out of it. Remember, their revenue forecasts are always just things of just incredulity. Like, I mean, on the current one, SoftBank is going to be a large, like massive part of their enterprise business. A year ago, or maybe it was only six months ago, they were going to be much more heavily into consumer revenue as opposed to enterprise revenue.
6:06So my read on this is they have not been able to kind of tell a clear business story. And now hopefully Fiji Simo will try to wrap her head around that and actually come up with one. Yeah, but it's interesting because Sam, you would think that he'd want to be on the core as the CEO. But instead, he's going to be on if you're saying that this is that they're going to focus on applications. He's saying I'm going to focus on the non-core if you go with your logic. So you have, it's a very interesting moment where you have a CEO of one of the most promising tech companies in decades saying that my core focus is not going to be on the core competency of the company, which is applications.
6:49What do you make of that? Yeah, but that's, I mean, it's logical. It's accurate. That's him. That's her. Like, that's what they both have done separately their entire careers. Again, she is a masterful operator that's like helped build out Facebook's ad business, was at Instacart, actually built out Instacart's advertising business very well. Like that's what she does well. And maybe now does that mean ads are coming to OpenAI and ChatGPT sooner than we thought? We should we could definitely discuss that. But I think overall, it's clear that's the part of the business that needs help. And to their credit, they found someone with a strong track record.
7:33I'm curious what you mean by needing help, because like Sam has said in testimony this week, OpenAI's ChatGPT has 500 million weekly active users. Those are the most public numbers. I feel like the numbers are more, at least he's indicated that the numbers are higher. To me, I think what Sam is saying is that, you know, you could sort of delegate this type of work. And his focus on research is saying the models matter more. And notice how he says these are critical as we approach superintelligence and not AGI. Right. So he's already he's now leveling this up. From AGI to superintelligence. That's all that matters.
8:11Yeah. Okay. I agree that the idea of like, he does believe there will be one model to rule them all. It will be the all powerful model. And he wants to drive building that. But I think recognizing again, like when 500 million users is great, revenue is going to be what matters at a certain point. Like net income will start to matter. the i maybe this is a sign of maturity that he's starting to recognize these kind of things like if you think about on one hand they've had incredible product rollouts but from a pricing standpoint it's all over the place like again 200 bucks is deep research part of it now deep research is part of the 20 bucks and i get this stuff is all fluid and everyone like gemini and workspace was 20 a seat now it comes with it like this stuff is fluid at many levels but But this is the kind of area they're going to have to get their house in order if they're going to actually become the business they say they are.
9:13So I don't think this is like a recognition by him that this is kind of like a throwaway role and still it's going to be one business, one model to rule them all that's going to bring us to ASI and that's going to be the end all be all. I think he doesn't probably, I agree, I don't think he wants to do that stuff. But I also think he found someone who can do that stuff. What do you think about the fact that the CFO is going to report into Fiji SEMO? That seems more than just a CEO of applications. In terms of stuff he probably doesn't want to deal with. I think the operational financing, the line-by-line financing, like, come on.
9:54Do you think that's what Sam wakes up and wants to do? Well, no. I don't think so. So I think I should take a moment to talk about Fiji because I've gotten the chance to interact with her a few times when she was at Facebook. So she's going to come in. She's going to be the CEO of applications. This is, of course, we talked about how OpenAI is a consumer business. This is going to be her tripling down on OpenAI's consumer business. You need someone that understands consumer applications if you have a lead and you really want to build on it. And she is that person. In my conversations with Fiji, I found a few things to be true.
10:32Number one, she's a pretty clear communicator and a very clear thinker about the role of product. We talked about on the Blue app on Facebook, even though it's had its ups and downs, the role of groups there. And I believe that groups has really reanimated the Facebook product in a way that few tweaks have in a long history since it's languished after the friend sharing moment. So I would say credit to her for that. The other thing that I have known about Fiji is that she is not like a Game of Thrones style corporate operator. She won't make a run for the CEO job. She will be very loyal and supportive of Altman.
11:13She's been on the board for a while, just as she was an incredibly loyal executive for Zuckerberg. And obviously, she was able to parlay that into the CEO of Instacart. And she, of course, ran the Facebook app for a while. The one thing I'll say is that Sam at OpenAI has really struggled to keep a number two. We know that Ilya left. We know Miro Murati left. We know that Greg Brockman had to take time off. There's that meme of the picture of these are the founders of OpenAI and they all disappear and Sam Altman has left. And he really needs stability in his lieutenants. And of course, he's been able to keep Lightcap for a while and Fryer and now Simo.
12:00And I think this is actually quite a positive sign that he's decided to bring Fiji in, because if anyone seems like they can ride the chaos of that company out, it's her. Yeah, I agree. I mean, I think it shows a level of stability. it shows. Again, Sarah Fryer, very senior executive at some pretty large companies. But I mean, Fiji Simo has been a very powerful executive at the largest consumer companies in the world. So I think I agree on that. It's going to be very interesting to watch how it plays out, how she even communicates her own role. Because again, the announcement came out in a kind of amazing way that she sent an email, I believe, internally at Instacart because it was going to be leaked into the press and publish.
12:47So she wanted to get ahead of the story, but she still didn't give a lot of clarity. We have Sam Altman's blog post on the OpenAI blog that starts to explain this a bit, but it will be very interesting kind of how she talks about her role with OpenAI publicly. Right. And so I gave all the spiritual reasons why Fiji might make sense for this job, but Ranjan, I'm actually curious to hear your perspective as, you know thinking about someone who was the instacart ceo or who still is who will be the instacart ceo for a moment is it interesting and of course she was on the board but is it interesting that somebody coming from a partner that open ai would have to instagram would have to integrate if it was going to be like the catch-all app for all computing she's going to run applications like it almost seems like fiji will say to the door dashes of the world and any other company that chat GPT might gobble up.
13:44Look, I was on the other side. As the Instacart CEO, I worried about traffic to my app and all this other stuff. But here's how I would think about it as someone in your shoes. You know, if this this to me is one of the biggest signs ever that OpenAI wants to be effectively the everything app with chat GPT or even the new internet. I mean, Altman, again, was in Washington this week testifying that he thinks AI could be bigger than the internet, which I guess is something you would say if you're doing full-time marketing, now that you don't have to have the CFO reporting to you. But it just seems to me like that is another signal as to where this is going, and I'm curious what you read into it.
14:25See, I disagree. I don't think this is WeChat-style everything app. My call on what this means for me, and it's the same thing. When she went over to Instacart, the big conversation was around. Instacart had started to build out their advertising business. DoorDash had, Uber had. Basically, all these consumer apps with thousands, or I mean, sorry, hundreds of millions of users that had commercial intent within them realized, we can start to inject advertising. So they started to build out these businesses. Do you know how much Instacart's ad revenue is right now? i don't have it right here do you yeah of nine uh billion dollars like they got up to one billion dollars so like she built that out from over the last few years it had started growing the foundation was there she scaled it so my call on this ads are coming to chat gpt in some way and in reality like i do believe there is going to be some kind of advertising model that enters this whole world.
15:33Perplexity has, I think, started to launch some ads, but they certainly talked about it. And they have like, they've been pushing an advertising model. Sam has said he doesn't want ads like Larry and Sergey once did. It's coming, I think. And if someone can, again, figure out a creative way to do it, I think she could be the one to crack what does advertising look like in an AI chat? Well, if this is the case, this has made me tremendously depressed because I don't know if you caught my conversation with Gary Marcus this week, but towards the end on Wednesday, we talked about how these things, people are opening up to them in a way they never did to Facebook.
16:18And what, like you're going to now start telling it all your intimate secrets and all of a sudden this AI that every night, we're going to talk about Mark Zuckerberg talking about how ai could be your friend or your therapist like if you use it for these purposes you're going to share more with chat gpt than you would with any service on the internet and that data is going to be used for ads i mean it's it's like maybe i'm naive and being upset about this because this was obvious we have a headline from the financial times in december 2024 saying that openai is exploring ad revenue but it just feels like ad revenue from a chatbot that many people are going to view as a friend, a companion, a therapist, is an extremely tricky road to go down because of the amount of data and intimate thoughts people are sharing with these bots.
17:07So I'm curious what you think about this. Am I right to be depressed? You're right to be depressed on it, but I'll also go with the naive to be depressed because come on, like, come on, in terms of the idea that OpenAI would not go down that road, given the sensitivity of a lot of the chat, I think. I mean, they almost cannot do that given their valuation, but I'm not sure ethically they would actually be against it anyways. But I think overall, it is going to be interesting to me that people are more personal because there are not ads. So then you get into a, would they become less personal if they're worried about ads?
17:54Like, I think maybe that does start to degrade the overall intimacy of the product a bit. But to me, I guess first, it feels like, I mean, that is inevitable or the ethical boundaries will never have stopped that and has never stopped advertising. And then also, even though we're not, like Google search has a more intimate knowledge of you than Facebook posts. But in the end, maybe I'm too cynical, but I feel advert. The ad ecosystem knows everything and anything about all of us. But even still, a lot of the ads that we get don't feel so tailored to us, don't feel personal. And wouldn't you agree that if they do this the wrong way, that this is a potentially catastrophic hit to their brand of course i mean definitely like and first of all like i feel meta to their credit even after ios 14.5 and like identity tracking was supposed to be more difficult it's like ungodly how good their ad algorithm is twitter and slash x worst ad algorithm imaginable so like people are able to do it and figure it out but i do agree that it could be a risk where okay let's say they start to get too weird and sensitive in terms of the ads that they show you given the type of data that they'll have on you in a way they have to be extra careful because one that can affect their overall like the utilization of the product but two in terms of overall privacy concerns remember at the enterprise level like it's always the starting point that people worry open ai is going to train on your data or doesn't respect privacy that they're branding on that and we've talked about this a lot, is not great.
19:43So I think they could blow any goodwill they have up if they go down the wrong path with this. And I also think it's worth pointing out that there are various degrees of targeting that you can do with each degree higher becoming more lucrative for you. So let's just talk this out. The bottom level here is just, you know, sort of broad targeting the type that you do in tv so that could be like you know targeting for basically location maybe age gender but really audience and frequency right the reach and the frequency that's the basic level of targeting and chat gpt can definitely do that with 500 to let's say 800 million users that it has now the second level is intent-based targeting right and this is similar to Google.
20:31So that would be OpenAI potentially using the chats that you are engaged in at the moment to surface things to you. For instance, like let's say you say, I need some help researching a car that I'm interested in buying. Well, in the moment, OpenAI could say, all right, well, here's like Hyundai and Toyota, but you might also be interested in Nissan, which is a partner of But I found a good deal for you. Okay, so that wouldn't be too different from Google And I don't I think it could get away with it, but there's this third type of targeting That's the most lucrative that is also I think the most dangerous to open AI And our and maybe I'll even say our society if they end up going this route And that is building and it's totally possible to do this and advertisers will want you to do this building a psychological or some sort of persona profile of the individuals based off of the entire history of chats that they have with you.
21:31Now, of course, that's tough to scale, but there are shortcuts you can take and algorithmic groupings you can do to put people in cohorts. But if you start to advertise to someone based off of the entirety of the personality and the history of the chats that they've shared with you, that to me is the red line, even though you can make a lot of money from doing that open AI. I just want to say right now to you, please don't do that. That is definitely not the move. Intent, fine. Building these like psychological profiles of your users, it's tempting. We know other companies have done it. If you do that, it's going to be a disaster.
22:10So please don't do it. I like listeners cannot see Alex is currently in Paris. He has a big bookshelf behind him, and I feel you're getting very existentialist today in the conversation. Well, what's not true about that, though? I agree. Well, on one hand, Meta can actually, I mean, extract what is in the image that you post and understand your emotional well-being based on what the captions you're posting are, what kind of messages you're sending. And all that data is already there and can advertisers certainly target based on that kind of like psychographic data and well-being. So I agree that almost by default, people's public posts are always going to be slightly more censored, hopefully, than what they're really entering to ChatGPT.
23:05But I don't know, between what people search on Google, between what people actually post publicly and that advertisers already have access to. I don't know. Maybe I'm too cynical on this one. But I think, yeah, I think you are. I think this is a degree deeper that you can go with chatbots. You know, if someone's telling ChatGPT, I'm depressed, I don't have plans this weekend. They know that you live in a certain area. they know what you typically search and you say hey I'm feeling sad because we know again that therapy is one of the top uses and it says well here's an ad for a movie or a restaurant that you can go to and uses that data to sort of exploit your current state I feel like that's that is dangerous territory to get into it's like you're there you're therapist you're talking to them and suddenly they're like, well, let me hold up this product.
24:03I think this can help you right now. You know what real self-care is? Hims. It's because you're bald. Hims. Hims. Hims doesn't sponsor the show, by the way. Affiliate model therapy. That's what the world needs right now. No, but I totally hear you that the companies already know a lot about us to begin with. But anyway, I'm kind of getting creeped out just thinking through these possibilities because it could get really dark. And now we know that OpenAI is going to move to a more traditional company structure or maybe not. This is from Bloomberg. OpenAI walks back its for-profit plan and the nonprofit is going to keep control.
24:48So OpenAI is backtracking on its plans to become a more conventional for-profit company after facing mounting pressure from former employees, academics, and rivals, including the billionaire Elon Musk. The Chattachapi team maker said Monday that it's moving forward with an effort to restructure its for-profit division as a public benefit corporation, but the overall business will instead remain under the control of its nonprofit, a major shift in its plans that will effectively maintain the contours of how OpenAI is currently set up. So the nonprofit continues to control the company. This is from Brett Taylor.
25:22We made the decision for the nonprofit to retain control of OpenAI after hearing from civic leaders and engaging in constructive dialogue with the offices of the Attorney General of Delaware and the Attorney General of California. The one good thing, I think, is that the company structure is going to resemble a much more normal structure so that there's no more of this capped profit sharing deal. It's just going to be like you have normal shares in the company, but the nonprofit will continue to control it. What's your view on this, Rajan? Good? This one makes my head spin. Not quite as in a dire way as ChatGPT creating an advertising profile based on your deepest, darkest secrets.
26:05But, I mean, it just gets more and more convoluted again. Like, Matt Levine had a good, he was like, Note the nonprofit will continue to control the public benefit corporation and will become a big shareholder. it suggests that the nonprofit will be a minority shareholder. The nonprofit might own, say, 30 % of the economic value of the for-profit company, but will have super voting stock giving it control of the board. Like, basically, it's just nonprofit-y enough to be a nonprofit legally, but it's not really a nonprofit, but it's also not quite a for-profit. I think, to me, all of these decisions, the only thing I think I try to think about, because otherwise, again, I get a headache, is what does it mean for their funding and what does it mean for potential exits and outcomes?
26:56Because to me, they don't really operate by normal rules anyways. And remember, SoftBank, in that$40 billion funding round, they committed 30, but supposedly it can be reduced to 20 if they don't become a truly for-profit corporation. So I don't know, but it still wasn't even clear. did this new structure mean that SoftBand can renege on$10 billion? Well, this was definitely the week of great Sam Altman quotes. So first of all, here is the first thing he says about the structure. By the way, remember, he talks as if somebody else tried to make this structure transition. He says, I won't pretend that it wouldn't maybe be easier if we were a fully normal company, but the mission comes first.
27:41We believe this is well over the bar of what we need to be able to fundraise. So, you know, the mission comes first, but we were trying to go fully for profit, but the mission comes first. This is bizarre. I mean, I actually, I love it. I think that quote should be on a poster and that captures everything about OpenAI better than anything either of us could have said. So thank you, Sam, for clarifying everything, at least emotionally, even if not logically. Sure. Sure. I mean, I'm telling you, the mission comes first, but this helps us in our fundraising. That's it. That's OpenAI in a nutshell.
28:24I guess so. So speaking of the SoftBank stuff, he also said that SoftBank will not freeze the rest of its funding with the new structure. And then OpenAI, like we said before, announced it will remove a cap on the financial returns its investors can earn, a move likely to appeal to current and future backers. So yes, the fundraising will continue. Now let me say the however part. However, what is going to happen with Microsoft? This is from Newcomer. Microsoft wants to retain its rights to have access and ownership rights to OpenAI's model. Whereas OpenAI is trying to claw that back, the topic has cropped up numerous times between the companies.
29:05So this is still not settled, even though the announcement has been made. finally newcomer continues to write microsoft wants to amend an agi provision that gives open ai an out once it develops artificial intelligence general intelligence there are these issues were an obstacle to altman's planned for-profit conversion and they remain an obstacle in the new plan to make the business a public benefit corporation that's still controlled by the non-profit parent. No restructuring process can move forward until this is figured out. So what Newcomer is saying is this ain't over. It never is. It never is.
29:51He says the fact is that Microsoft has OpenAI in a type spot and knows it. At a high level, relations are still strong. Altman welcomed Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella to their offices the other week. Beneath the surface though, the competition is rising. Microsoft is no longer just a major investor in the company, but increasingly a competitor, especially in enterprise software. A source close to the matter said the changing dynamic is influencing the proceedings. Some at OpenAI worry that Microsoft is setting up such a high bar barriers to a deal as to make one impossible. So this is the only place I've heard of this.
30:29But assuming that this is correct, is it possible that Elon Musk wasn't the biggest barrier to this OpenAI restructuring? It's Satya Nadella and Microsoft who realize that they have a big say into what the future of OpenAI looks like, and they will hold it back from being able to move forward, which means basically holding it back from being to from being able to do anything else because of course the soft bank money will be diminished unless its terms are met what do you think that's actually i like this because the idea that masa is coming in 30 billion strong and like one would assume in any normal company that would give a very clear decision making capacity and very clear ownership and in reality because everything is so murky and muddled that Microsoft is still able to legally pull the strings in weird ways to benefit themselves.
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31:28And I think that gets even more fascinating and interesting as Microsoft becomes a much more direct competitor to OpenAI. So I think Satya is still in the background right now. That becomes clear from that. I am interested of what his visit to their offices must have been like like how does that work what does that look like what do they talk about yeah and i should note that this is coming from the newcomer sub stack and newcomer has tom doton writing for him and tom doton was writing about microsoft for the wall street journal not just writing but reporting on the company deep inside the company he's been on the show before tom knows his stuff and you know it's not a surprise to me that he came out with this report because he's been close to microsoft and he figures he has a good read on what this company is up to.
32:18So something that bears watching. And I know we've done a lot of inside baseball, so to speak, on the first half of this show. But this is going to determine the future of where AI is moving. I think that OpenAI has the best set of models right now. I don't care what the leaderboard says. Using O3 is pretty amazing. And yet, every time we say something positive about OpenAI, It seems in the next breath, we talk about its weird structure. And that's certainly the case today. Great company, terrible structure. Exactly. Maybe a little bit less complicated now. No, this actually just made everything more complicated to me.
32:59We don't have to talk about profit capping any longer, but still what is happening? Who gets what ownership? All these kinds of things have not been clarified to me in any way. great company weird structure but the mission comes first that is the inspirational poster that ronjan would make with sam altman and like with a bunch of rays of light like standing on a cloud or something like that that's it all right so in other news we have a major hit to alphabet stock after apple talks about potentially replacing the google search engine on the iPhone. We're going to talk about that when we come back from the break right after this.
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34:51You're used to hearing my voice on the world bringing you interviews from around the globe. And you hear me reporting environment and climate news. I'm Carolyn Buehler. And I'm Marco Werman. We're now with you hosting the world together. More global journalism with a fresh new sound. Listen to the world on your local public radio station and wherever you find your podcasts.
35:18And we're back here on Big Technology Podcast Friday edition talking about all the week's tech news. Ranjan, fascinating story this week from within Apple executive ranks, where Eddie Q, he was testifying in a federal court in Washington, and he told the court there is a chance that AI search engines will eventually replace standard search engines such as Google. And he said he expects to add artificial intelligence services from OpenAI, Perplexity, and Anthropic as search options in Apple's Safari browser in the future. As we know, Google pays Apple$20 billion a year to be the default on search.
36:03So with Apple services revenue becoming the most important part of that company's financial makeup, what do you think is happening? What's going on? I think this actually might be my most interesting news story this week because what it means for Apple, what it means for Google, I think it's huge ramifications for both. I mean, you figure it's clear that he is trying to make the case that like Google paying Apple for that placement in the search bar is not a monopolistic action on Apple's part. I mean, in a way, maybe they just assume that at a certain point, OpenAI and perplexity and Anthropic will also pay them in the way Google did.
36:47that the Revit, maybe it goes up because there's actually competitive bidding as opposed to just like one bid to rule them all. So from Apple's side, I get why the stock was only down 3 % after the news while Alphabet was down 7 % after the news. It's funny to me because like on one hand, yes, it's breaking news. On the other, this stuff shouldn't be a surprise to anybody. Like there is no way traditional Google search will be in the search bar in five years. Like I just, I don't know. Do you think it will be or do you think it'll be some other kind of form of search? I actually think the search bar is the most natural place for a Google search to be because that's typically you're talking into the search bar on your phone when you need an answer quick.
37:40And you go into chatbots when you need something that thinks a little bit more or gives you a much more detailed answer So I actually think the search bar on the phone makes a lot of sense for Google But do I think it's gonna look exactly the way that it looks now? No, like it might end up being a default thing where you can Not a default thing a something that switches where you put like a search keyword in and it gives you a search answer And when you put like a question in and it gives you a chatbot answer Like I think that's kind of where we're going with all this I just don't see how Apple could ever replace Google's$20 billion a year.
38:13I mean, maybe it can, but I mean, we're talking about the numbers that OpenAI is raising. And again, they just raised$10 billion, and that was by far the largest private market raise in the world ever. So$20 billion a year, double that to Apple is crazy. And again, like if everybody bids on it, yeah, it's not going to happen. And I don't think, I mean, maybe this is a way for them to try to get more money from Google. Yeah, I think the equally important part is the reaction showed. I mean, Google's search business, it's going to be in trouble. But to me, it's still amazing. We talked about Google earnings, I think, two weeks ago or a week ago, where they're still cranking.
38:55Search revenue was up. Like, they don't disclose the query of search and search volume. Though after this statement, they put out their own public response saying that search overall search query volume is up. But then they kind of hedged it by saying now all types of search extend into maps and AI searches. And like they basically didn't directly say that people typing into a search bar is up. Overall querying things from Google properties is up. And they even made the point of saying these other things. But I mean, I don't know. I think we got into this maybe like a year ago when Gartner said 25 % of searches are going to be AI in a year or two.
39:41I am more convinced of that than ever. Like, it's just such a better way to access information. And Google, to their detriment, maybe killed off traditional search themselves by making it unusable and stuffing ads from top to bottom. Yeah, I am also with you that this is the future of search. And I'm also less open to this argument that Google killed the web itself, I think, maybe than I've ever been. And that's only because I'm not saying the web is good right now. We've talked about a thousand times trying to get a recipe from the Internet. I mean, it's a fool's errand. But the detail you can get when you do AI search right is insane.
40:26It is so much better than anything traditional search could have ever hoped to have been. So I think it would be inevitable that people would have moved there anyway. And I think Q is totally right that eventually you'll have to have some form of AI as the default. And when I dismissed stood out of hand. Now I'm thinking about it a little bit more. And I'm like, yeah, it's going to be a toggle. Toggle was the word I was looking for. It will be a toggle between traditional search and AI. I just want to give one quick example. I mean, you mentioned that I'm in Paris, one of your favorite cities, I think.
40:59This is my first time here. And what I've done, and I'm going to talk about this next week on a show with two AI critics, Professor Emily Bender and Alex Hanna, who have this book out called The AI Con. I'm a little bit more bullish on AI than they are, I would say. And although I have my own critiques, and we talk about those at the beginning of the episode, so that's coming up Wednesday. But one of the things I mention is that like every day here, I've uploaded two documents from friends of things to do in Paris to ChatGPT. And then I say, what's going on in Paris today? Take these documents into account.
41:36And I click the search button on ChatGPT, and it goes out and searches the web, and it proposes this great agenda with all these different options and it's scanned so many sites it's telling me about things that i had no idea uh existed and it's of course translating lots of french into english and then presenting me the answer in english web search just could never do that and so this is a step forward that no matter what google did to the internet this is an improvement and you know the more you use it the more i've used it at least i'll say uh the more i'm just like this will just take over everything.
42:12The one thing that needs to be figured out, and there's going to have to be some kind of economic system around it, is that still, that's like a generative AI layer of web search, right? It's like a still searching the web. It's just presenting the information and using some other context in a really smart way. But there's still that someone, some like timeout Paris or whatever website posted some events, right so will people be incentivized to do that and why would they be that monetary system was owned by google and helped google created that essentially and spurred it so will people keep doing that and then after a while real-time information does that just go away or who's gonna who's gonna do that i think that's the more interesting question i don't i don't even think i so it goes a level deeper here.
43:07You need timeout because the writers for timeout would go to all these event, like Ticketmasters and all these event ticketing pages and sort of pick it out when they're going to go to your city and then write it up based off of like where the band's been and sort of their latest albums and stuff like that. What I saw ChatGPT doing is skipping the middleman and just going to the ticketing sites and explaining the venue and saying, this is the page. So it's unfortunate because I think it's terrible for the content business, but they have replaced that middleman. And you don't need timeout because you have ChatGPT writing that up for you.
43:49No, no, you're right, actually, because if you think about it, there was this idea that timeout, we're getting, this is now a timeout podcast, and his legacy media. Timeout. Yeah. And for those unfamiliar, if you're not like New York, Paris, it's a magazine slash publication focused on tourism in a lot of big cities. The idea was that they curated all the noise and experiences and found things for you. But in reality, how much value was that curation element and the authors and the brand versus it actually was the easiest way to find stuff to do? It's not like they really were doing this incredible legwork of finding this stuff or were in the know.
44:38And yeah, I think that's a good point. And especially with context, with, as you said, you uploaded recommendations. Imagine you plug in your Spotify listen history or something like that. And I told it where I was and when I had to get back home and all these things. Yeah, and that context. It's always personalized for me. Exactly. It's your own personal timeout magazine. And that's why Fiji Simo is going to open AI. It's not to do advertising. It's to ingest everything. It's a media company now. Yeah. Yes, and. Yes, and. It's a media company, and it's the thing that lets you eventually take the actions.
45:15That's where these services become agentic because they go from taking that content to making that software. They take the text, and then within the text, they make it software. So instead of being the timeout that sends you to Ticketmaster, you ask it what to do in Paris. It does the legwork that timeout would have done, and then it lets you make the purchase right there in the chat window, and that's what the future is. I agree. Okay, now you've made it at least for that whole universe of content. You're right. That doesn't go away. Ticketmaster is still going to have a ticketing website or some way to buy tickets or that information.
45:51So I think that's a reasonable way of thinking about it. Okay. Well, I will take that. That's a win for me today. Thank you, Rajon. All right. So before we go, I want to talk about this great New York Magazine article. The title is Everyone is Cheating Their Way Through College. ChatGPT has unraveled the entire academic project. I don't know if you saw this, but it's basically confessions from students who've basically said that they no longer basically try to do any of the work and they're just able, I mean, we know this is going on, to cheat their way through school and that, this is a quote from one of the students, college is just how well I can use Chachipiti at this point.
46:37A student in Utah recently captured, captioned a video of herself copy and pasting a chapter from her genocide and mass atrocity textbook into ChatGPT. So this is another quote. I spend so much time on TikTok, hours and hours, until my eyes start hurting, which makes it hard to plan and do my schoolwork with ChatGPT. I can write an essay in two hours that normally takes 12. There are professors who are unable, professors are basically unable to stop this. Here's a quote from a professor. Every time I talk to a colleague about this, the same thing comes up, retirement. When can I retire? When can I get out of this?
47:20That's what we're all thinking now. This is not what I signed up for. Here's another one. The students kind of recognize the system is broken, and there's not really a point in doing this. Maybe the original meaning of these assignments has been lost or is not being communicated to them well. So, Rondra, let me just put this to you. I mean, we've talked about whether AI is something that's assistive or is something that basically takes over for the brain and if it does like what is going to happen to our society and so i'm curious if you know through that lens if you read this story as a blaring alarm that we're outsourcing all critical thinking and sort of thinking in general that we would have done in university to these bots and just going to make ourselves a population of much dumber people than we would have been previously?
48:10Or is there a way to say, like Sam Altman might say, this is just a pretty good calculator and we still do most of the processing or the higher level thinking in our own brains? I think for me, the story, the most important part of it is it's a reminder that like how university education's work has not really changed in many years. And my hope is this like dramatically changes it because come on, like writing essays, was that the most valuable way to teach a concept. I, as a writer, do find the most value in writing that writing is thinking for me. I think I forget who said that, but like it a hundred percent, that's how I structure my thoughts.
48:52So I'm not going to stop writing if it's something I'm not actually interested in, or is not, I don't find truly valuable to learn that I'm not going to write. And I would happily use chat gpt to write that essay so i think uh people like i saw one post somewhere where it was like you know what if it is use chat gpt to create your paper and then give a verbal defense of your argument like off the top of your head stand up and debate this talk through it explain why this was included why the why this piece of ai content was included i think that's interesting i think that's like a better way to approach it than how most people including myself for a lot of papers in college actually approach writing i think it they have to rethink what those like day-to-day tasks and assignments are and if they're not then that's on the institution these are very expensive institutions that are supposed to cater to like if you're a business you're a customer, the current moment, the current demand, the current needs, and they should adapt.
50:03But don't you think there's a chance that this is like a once in a generation or once in a world tool that can sort of outsource a lot of the thinking for people and the universities really cannot adapt? Because again, like, I'm going to go back to the writing thing. Writing really is thinking. Like the pain that comes with writing does help you crystallize your thoughts. And if you're trying to come to conclusions about a tremendous amount of coursework you took in, then actually going ahead and writing that stuff is the thing that, I don't know, helps you think it through better than almost any tool.
50:41Now, maybe there's a way around this where you just do all the writing in a class in blue books in lecture halls, as opposed to typed on the computer. And that you can maybe adapt. Maybe you could go forward by going backward. But I'm curious if you think that there's a chance, because again, like this is able to do a lot of knowledge work. Is there a chance that this is just different and there is no like, you know, use it as a calculator type of application here? No, but to me, the issue is if universities or educational institutions don't come up with new ways to force people to think and teach them to think, then yeah, like I do worry a lot.
51:23If like you keep the exact same test structure and assignment structure, then of course the average college student is going to just wing it and cheat. I don't even call it cheating. We'll just use whatever tools are available to do it. And then. Yeah, they're smart in that way. Yeah. And then it's the university failing to teach this. Their job is not to have them write an essay. The job is to teach them critical thinking. so with the given technology today like there's a time I remember like typing even still I know some people who like hand write because it may feel they feel it makes them think there's that whole remarkable notepad that that's the whole pitch that it's like kind of digital handwriting like that that's better than typing that I think more when I write by hand like there's been some more minor technological shifts over time and we adapt to them so i think uh to me it's on the universities come on harvard figure out how to teach your students better let me end with this i mean last week we talked a little bit and it's got a lot of play in our discord uh in a very good discussion about how new grads were not getting hired and whether that was chat gpt's fault or not.
52:33And I'll just say that like, if you are doing what ChatGPT can do in school, like if you're just learning how to use ChatGPT, and you realize that ChatGPT can do your work for you as a student, then maybe it's not so surprising that when you come out of school, that entry level job is being done by ChatGPT. Yeah, I mean, that's it. That's gonna happen. Figure it out, Harvard. Yeah, figure it out. I think go forward by going backwards, or maybe you have some ultra sophisticated way to make this technology a bicycle for the mind as opposed to the mind itself. But until we see it, I'm just saying, break out the blue books.
53:18Alex spends a couple of days in Paris and now waxing philosophical, advocating for handwriting into blue books. Next, I want a cigarette in your hand as you podcast. Glass of wine. I've spent way too much time this week looking at paintings and thinking about the deeper meaning of things, but maybe it's given me a window into the human condition. I got nothing on that. I got nothing. Well, everyone, thank you so much for listening. Ronjan, thanks again for coming, as always. Great to see you. All right, see you next week. All right, everybody. Thank you for listening. Next Wednesday, we'll have Emily Bender and Alex Hanna.
53:57Thanks again, and we'll see you next time on Big Technology Podcast.
From the publisher
Ranjan Roy from Margins is back for our weekly discussion of the latest tech news. We cover: 1) OpenAI has another new top executive structure 2) What is Sam Altman's role now? 3) Who is Fidji Simo, OpenAI's new CEO of Applications 4) OpenAI abandons total for-profit conversion 5) Microsoft's demands on OpenAI 6) Could Apple replace Google as the default search with AI? 7) Is it an either or decision? 8) Could Apple make AI companies bid for the default search position? 9) Everyone is cheating using ChatGPT in college 10) Do people need to change or does the education system need to change?
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