How to Diversify Your Rental Portfolio for Financial Freedom Faster

12 Sep 2025 · 38 min · 12 chapters

Ask about this episode

Ask anything about it. ChatGPT or Claude reads this page and answers with the times it was said.

Connect VO and ask about every podcast you hear, including the moments you saved. Add to ChatGPT · Add to Claude

In short

How to decide whether to diversify a real estate portfolio (beyond short-term rentals) by comparing three specific deal types for long-term financial freedom.

Guests

Garrett Brown, BiggerPockets short-term rental expert and host of the BiggerStays YouTube channel; he’s expanding beyond STRs to reduce time burden and reliance on one niche. Dave Meyer (host), head of real estate investing at BiggerPockets.

Key claims

STRs are not “passive” because they function like a business with constant guest issues. Diversification should match goals (Garrett wants to be work optional in ~10 years) and consider non-obvious risks like HOA unknowns, taxes, regulation, insurance, and market supply.

Notable examples/deals

  1. Conroe-area triplex (built ~1982): 2x1BR + studio; ~$375k, ~$6.50 HOA/month; ~5–10% vacancy; ~3% appreciation expectation; cash flow ~$5–6k/yr.
  2. Houston Heights/downtown unrestricted STR townhouse (no HOA): ~$450k; projected STR revenue ~$60–70k, up to ~$85–90k with ~$50–60k upgrades; high property taxes (~$10–11k/yr); cash-on-cash ~10–12%; long-term fallback ~$3,400/mo.
  3. Willis, TX new construction: two SFRs ~$220–230k each; ~2% appreciation expectation; ~10–15% vacancy concern due to supply; NOI ~$33k/yr; cash flow ~$6k/yr (potentially ~9% with better builder terms).

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Exploring Diversification in Real Estate

0:45 to 2:08

Understand the importance of diversifying your rental investments.

“But Garrett, the reason you're here today on this episode is because you're actually thinking about expanding your own investing outside of short-term rentals.”

Garrett's Current Portfolio and Goals

2:08 to 3:16

Discover Garrett's current investments and his future aspirations.

“Garrett, maybe you just tell us where your portfolio stands today and tell us a little bit about your goals that you're trying to pursue through real estate.”

Pros and Cons of Short-term vs Long-term Rentals

3:16 to 4:25

Examine the differences between managing short-term and long-term rentals.

“I think that diversification is kind of a point that a lot of real estate investors reach, but not necessarily just for risk mitigation, but just for time too, because you said you have one rental.”

Evaluating a Potential Triplex Investment

4:25 to 7:18

Analyze the details of a triplex that Garrett is considering for investment.

“So I'm trying to like bank into the appreciation that's out there too.”

Challenges of the Real Estate Market

7:18 to 12:20

Discuss the challenges posed by HOA fees and market appreciation.

“So went to about 20 % down with say we get about a 7 % interest loan, 30 year loan, the gross income I'm estimating between all the units is going to be about 44 ,000 per year.”

Evaluating Rental Properties

15:39 to 22:13

Discussion on various rental properties and their financial implications.

“Houston area, solid numbers, but there's an HOA, which is kind of calling into question, you know, at least raises a couple concerns about the deal.”

Evaluating Rental Properties

23:26 to 23:55

Discussion on various rental properties and their financial implications.

“A tenant injury, storm damage, loss of rent.”

Evaluating Rental Properties

24:40 to 25:07

Discussion on various rental properties and their financial implications.

“When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, Use Indeed Sponsored Jobs.”

Analyzing Market Vacancy and Competition

28:00 to 29:47

Learn how to assess vacancy rates and competition in new construction markets.

“Do you have a sense of vacancy in the area right now, like in this community with these new builds?”

Researching Future Construction Trends

29:47 to 31:38

Discover effective methods to research upcoming construction projects in your market.

“And so you actually get to look a little bit in the future, whereas like almost every other data set, you're like guessing, you know, are there going to be more short term rentals in a year from now?”
Show all 12 chapters

Evaluating New Construction Pros and Cons

31:38 to 36:29

Understand the advantages of investing in new construction homes for long-term gains.

“developments, how many properties they've built.”

Making Informed Investment Decisions

36:29 to 38:19

Learn how to align your investment choices with your financial goals and risk tolerance.

“You got to look at what the market's giving you.”
Hear the part that matters, and keep it.Open this episode in VO. Double tap your headphones to save a moment as you listen.
Get VO free

Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Should you diversify your investments with a new strategy or double down on a formula that's worked for you in the past? It's a question you'll almost certainly encounter as you scale a real estate portfolio and take steps towards securing your financial future. Today, I'll explain how to answer.

0:22Hey everyone, I'm Dave Meyer, head of real estate investing at BiggerPockets. You might only be 10 years away from achieving financial freedom if you start investing in real estate now, and this podcast teaches you exactly how to do that. Today on the show, I have Garrett Brown here with me. Garrett is BiggerPockets short-term rental expert and the host of the BiggerStays YouTube channel. But Garrett, the reason you're here today on this episode is because you're actually thinking about expanding your own investing outside of short-term rentals. Is that right? Yep. I've dipped my toe in the many facets of real estate investing before, but I got the short-term rental bug and went full force there.

1:01But now I think it's time to maybe explore a little more diversification as I try to grow my portfolio. I love it because this is such a personal question. I don't know if there's really like a one size fits all. Like, should you keep doing what you've always been doing? Should you explore new diversification options? So I'm excited to get into this with you today, Garrett. And actually, Garrett has brought three different real-life deal options that he's actually considering pursuing. He's got a triplex in a new market that he could long-term rent. He's got a short-term rental or two new-build single-family homes he's considering.

1:38So what we're going to do is we're going to break down the pros and cons of each investment and explain how we think about these deals in relation to Garrett's existing portfolio and his future goals. So even if Garrett's specific situation is different from your own, because of course it will be, the questions we're answering today are the same sort of thought process that you can use to ensure you're making the best investing decisions for your own future when you're ready to jump into the market and make your next purchase. So let's just start there. Garrett, maybe you just tell us where your portfolio stands today and tell us a little bit about your goals that you're trying to pursue through real estate.

2:18So I currently have one long-term rental, but I own eight short-term rentals and I manage seven short-term rentals for other people. And so I kind of got way further in the short-term rental investing side than I expected. And I love what I do and I love this niche of it because I like the creative side. But I think the one thing that I get disappointed when I hear short-term rental investors and gurus, I have quotations going, is that they talk about how passive it is and how easy it is. And I'm here to tell you that when you're doing short-term rentals, it is real estate mixed with a business.

2:52And so I'm growing a business on that side, but I need a little more diversification in my portfolio to not rely on one subset of it, but then also have some different advantages and maybe just take a little pressure off myself of having another rental that is almost a 24-hour job. So I'm kind of exploring to see where I can end up in five to 10 years from now and hit my financial freedom goals. That makes a lot of sense. I think that diversification is kind of a point that a lot of real estate investors reach, but not necessarily just for risk mitigation, but just for time too, because you said you have one rental.

3:30How does managing that compare to, for example, managing one of your short-term rentals? It is extremely easy because I know all about the tenant application process. I know that being a realtor. So I've been blessed with great tenants over there. And it's been amazing as compared to short-term rentals, which I built out systems and it became a lot easier, but it seems like there's always something you're dealing with with a guest. So I'm very excited to explore the possibilities of the long-term rental side, at least getting getting some of my time back and having a good appreciating asset. So you said about your goals, you said five to 10 years, like, do you have like a financial goal?

4:08Are you trying to be fully retired? Do you want to be work optional? What are you working towards? I would like to be work optional in about 10 years and being in Texas and near Houston, Texas, there was some report I saw that I think five of like the fastest growing, like top 25 zip codes in the country were near Houston. Oh, I'd buy that for sure. So I'm trying to like bank into the appreciation that's out there too. Like I get a ton of cashflow from my short-term rentals. I get a ton of tax benefits already. So I personally am leaning towards probably the appreciation side, but there's, as you know, there's, there's, there's pros and cons to every single deal you're looking at.

4:46So I'm, I'm just kind of wading in the water right now. So I'd love, you know, hearing your, hearing your thoughts as I'm kind of, you know, going down it. I love this. Talking to people about portfolio strategy is my favorite thing in the world. So I'm very eager to do this. I'm very, very lucky to talk with you about it. So let's make it happen. All right. So tell me about, let's just start with the first deal that you're interested in. What does it look like? So I live in an area North of Houston. It's about 45 minutes, Conroe, Texas. It's been named multiple times as one of the fastest growing places in the country.

5:19There's been a deal that's kind of been on my eyes. It's in a really nice neighborhood. It's a triplex, two one bedrooms and then one studio. So a little smaller, it's a little older, but some of the bones were renovated. It's, it needs a little sprucing up. How old? I think it was 1982. Oh, that's not bad. That's not, it's not terrible. It's not terrible for sure. It's not 1928, you know, so it's not. I was born in the eighties. So I don't want to hear that. That's super old. From a housing and construction perspective, that's not that bad. It's not terrible. So, and they've, they've done a little work on it.

5:53They had it listed at like $450 ,000 for months and it was way overpriced and they've kind of gradually been dropping it. They have it at, I think,$375 ,000 right now. I know what I need to get it at. It's a little bit lower than that. But as we know, this is a good market to make a couple of disrespectful offers in, especially in my area. Yeah. That's a market value offer. If no one's buying, it's not disrespectful. You're offering market rate. Absolutely. So I think my biggest concern with this property and why it's been kind of holding me back is the appreciation. What I'm seeing at this moment isn't as good as, you know, downtown Houston or where I'm looking at with these new constructions.

6:32I could see where appreciation over 10 years could be pretty tremendous in this area, but it's hard to kind of pinpoint. But the other big concern I have with this is it's in a really nice neighborhood, but we both know what comes with really nice neighborhoods, really high HOA fees for this type of conflict. Oh, it's HOA. Okay. It's about six something a month, which is, yeah, because it's kind of like a townhouse. It has a community club in it. Like it's one of those kinds of places, right? Oh, cool. Well, I was liking everything until I heard the outlets. Let's keep going now. So, you know, like just to give some like quick, simple numbers on this, like I have about$100 ,000 to invest.

7:08So I didn't mention that from before. That's about the base number I'm working with in cash in my possession of the why I'm looking at these type of deals and analyzing these specifically. So went to about 20 % down with say we get about a 7 % interest loan, 30 year loan, the gross income I'm estimating between all the units is going to be about 44 ,000 per year. My expenses estimated about 19 ,000, which leaves me with about$25 ,000 in NOI. And then annual mortgage is about$20 ,000. So my cash flow is sitting at about five to$6 ,000 a year. It's probably about an 8 % cash on cash return. That's with the HOA?

7:51That's with the HOA. I think some of my concerns are, um, it's not as high of an appreciating area as some of these other deals we'll talk about. And then I'm worried that the HOA could just, they could keep going up. Like if they're already at six, six 50 or whatever they're at, like and they have like a community club and it's a little more hoity-toity or you know whatever words you want to use for yeah i'm a little worried that you know after a couple years they're like okay your hoa is a thousand dollars now you know so yeah right that's that's the thing that's hard and you know they seem like they have good financials on their hoa from what i've seen but as we both know like sometimes things aren't it's always what they seem when you walk into something they could show you something and then it's a total another way so they can see i'm not too concerned?

8:34Like it will have a small amount of vacancy, but this is a pretty, pretty good area, pretty fastly growing area. That was going to be my question. It's just about rental demand in this area. Because a lot of times when you're in these like nice HOAs, like everyone is a homeowner, you know, there aren't as many renters. So I was just curious if you have any read on, is there a renter population in the area? Yeah. It's actually pretty high for this one. Cause it's right on the lake. That's really popular there. And they have, it's a big community to where they have a ton of single family houses and a ton of like condos, townhouses, a couple multi-families, just like they have quite a few triplexes like this and that are in the market.

9:13So it's kind of like its own big community. So rental demand is pretty strong, not as high as probably one of the other deals we'll talk about, but I'd say vacancy between all three units is probably going to be about 5%, I would say maybe 10%. Yeah. Yeah. It's not bad at all. So then you mentioned appreciation. So you said it's not as good. Like what, what has appreciation been over the last couple of years? Cause Texas has kind of been one of those markets where some markets still growing, some are tanking. What are you seeing? Just from what I'm kind of seeing in the data out there, it seems like it's around 3 % for the area, which is normal.

9:50It's pretty normal, but I, you know, as a realtor, one thing that I really, really look at, especially realtor and investor is like where are all the big home builders going and building tons of communities because my guess is that they have way better data than I do of like where people are moving to and this area has had a mass massive influx of dr horton lennar every single big home builder is just building tons of communities here and so I don't know if that's a a red flag to me you know like I'm gonna be competing against all these new construction single family homes and I didn't mentioned the triplex is they live on top of each other so it's not like separate units they're all you know it's like an apartment style more which isn't my favorite yeah so yeah so i've been battling with that and trying to figure out you know the same thing there like is this the route to go or should i lean into some of these new constructions that are coming out there that may not have as high of cash flow but there's a lot you know a lot of positives of those too so yeah for sure racking my brain this one is intriguing i i wouldn't say at this point i'm like the HOA, if it wasn't an HOA, I'd say it's almost for sure.

10:57Yes. But that one is a little bit nerve wracking. And just for everyone's knowledge, HOA is homeowners association aren't necessarily bad. It just introduces an element of risk and unknown that you may not want as an investor. There might be great HOA is that actually had a lot of value because they make the property values go up. There are really bad HOA is that mismanage money. And then there were special assessments. And that's the challenge. That's why I think Garrett and I are both saying this is an unknown. Not necessarily you can't do it, but it does add a question to this deal. Yep. So last question about this one, though, Garrett, is rents.

11:36You're getting about$3 ,300 a month in rent. Is that current? And do you think go up at all? I think they currently have tenants in two of the units, and it's getting$1 ,300 for the one bedrooms and then i think the studio is open and they had it for around 1150 but it hasn't been rented so i'm guessing it will be in the 1100 range so it's about 37 100 a month and i think they will be able to gradually increase i could do a little bit of renovation on the inside like a little bit of cosmetics here but you know i wouldn't want to over renovate it for this particular area uh so that's kind of why i've been on there so i wouldn't say rental growth is super high.

12:15I'd probably say it's probably very similar to the appreciation rate of the area in general. So that's kind of where I'm at with it. Not bad, though. Yeah, it's not bad. Yeah, it's good. I mean, I invest in a syndication in Houston and rent growth has been a struggle there because there's been a lot of building. And so I'm just curious about that. Yeah. Well, I think this is an interesting deal. There's a lot to like about this. So I think you got a legit lead here, but we obviously have two other options to consider. We are going to take a quick break, but we'll get into those two other deals right after this.

12:46This week's bigger news is brought to you by the Fundrise Flagship Fund. Invest in private real estate with the Fundrise Flagship Fund. Check out fundrise.com slash pockets to learn more. Buying real estate has a funny way of making the future feel very real. You start thinking about mortgages, cashflow, tenants, and suddenly you realize, if something happened to me, would the people I love be okay? That's why life insurance is one of those things that's easy to put off, but is super important to actually deal with. Ethos makes getting life insurance fast and easy, 100 % online. You can get a quote in seconds, apply in minutes, and potentially get same day coverage.

13:28There's no medical exam. You just answer a few simple health questions online. You can get up to$3 million in coverage, and some policies are as low as$30 a month. Ethos helps provide financial security and helps protect the people who depend on you. Take 10 minutes to get covered today with life insurance through Ethos. Get your free quote at ethos.com slash real estate. That's E-T-H-O-S.com slash real estate. Application times may vary, rates may vary. This episode is brought to you by Accenture. When your advertising operations fall out of sync, everything else follows. Spotify and Accenture are working together to reinvent the rhythm of ad sales.

14:09Using automation, analytics, and smarter workflows to simplify campaign delivery and access better data across the business. The result? Less time spent on operations, more time connecting brands with the moments and fandoms that matter most. Learn more at Accenture.com slash Spotify. Right now, get up to 15 % off select storage solutions. Put heavy-duty HDX totes to good use, protecting what's important to you. The solid, impact-resistant design prevents cracking, and the clear base and sides make items easy to find even when the totes are stacked. Find select shelving and tote storage up to 15 % off at the Home Depot to organize every room in your home, from your garage to your attic.

14:52Visit homedepot.com. How doers get more done. This episode is brought to you by Google Chrome. You think you know a browser, but Gemini and Chrome? That's new. It can help you with practically anything on the web, like restoring a vintage motorcycle from a 50-page restoration block, or finally break down that long article you've had open for weeks. Gemini and Chrome is here for it. Ready to make anything online make sense? There's no place like Chrome. Check responses set up required, compatibility and availability varies 18+.

15:28welcome back to the bigger pockets podcast i'm here with investor short-term rental expert and maybe you know a guy who's going into new construction or long-term rentals here garrett brown before the break we talked about a potential long-term rental for a triplex in the Houston area, solid numbers, but there's an HOA, which is kind of calling into question, you know, at least raises a couple concerns about the deal. So what are the other deals that you're looking at? So the second deal that I've been kind of kicking the tires a lot on is a short-term rental that's closer to downtown Houston.

16:06There's a few areas inside of Houston that are actually unrestricted. Even there's some of the biggest ones, most popular downtown Houston is one. There's another one called Houston Heights. These are areas that are unrestricted places that typically will allow short-term rentals and they're not residential neighborhoods. Even though Houston is the home of townhouses, we built so many townhouses in Houston that they're everywhere. As I've been looking at these deals, there's a townhouse, there's no HOA. It's in a really, really good area. It's about$450 ,000. I'd have enough for the down payment and I can work out some seller concessions probably.

16:41If I run it as a short-term rental, you know, downtown Houston, there's a lot of competition out there, but there's also a lot of demand still, surprisingly, of people, you know, there's so many people come to Houston. I could probably make about, as is, about$60 ,000 to$70 ,000 in revenue for a year. If I spent another$50 ,000 to$60 ,000, which I currently don't have, so I'll have to figure that out with maybe some creative things or maybe partner with somebody. If I put another$50 ,000 or so into it, I believe I could get it up to about$85 ,000 to$90 ,000. Again, this is all the data I know and everything I know about short-term rentals, but even then, it's still not absolutely going to happen.

17:22The big thing that weighs on me for this one is the taxes are so high in this area. Oh, really? I think it's about$800 a month in just taxes, property taxes, very high rate being in downtown Houston. And, you know, it's about a half a million dollars. So, yeah. So I'm paying about$10 ,000 to$11 ,000 per year in property taxes. Texas is great because we have no state income, but they make that money back up on their property taxes. Yeah, it's one of the highest tax rates in the country property tax wise. The average for the country is about 1%. I think Texas on a state level is above 2%. And I think some of the municipalities, like you said, downtown Houston might even be above that.

17:58You can get to 3 % in some places in Houston very, very easily. Yeah. I mean, that is sort of at the same level of the HOA we were just talking about in terms of cash flow. And although, you know, I'm I don't think taxes are as unpredictable as an HOA, you know, it could still go up to if if they're going to appreciate as well. So what's your like, what's your gut, you know, better than I do about what your cash cash on cash return would look like in a deal like this? I like being very realistic, like without putting the investment into it, the extra$50 ,000 and just, you know, setting it up as how it is.

18:32I think we could get to about 10 to 12%. And I'm a little different than other people too, because I have a team built out for short-term rentals. Like I have a business for short-term rentals. Not everybody has that capability. So it's like I have assistants that can help. And like this falls in line to what I already do. But it's, it goes back to, you know, am I putting all of my eggs into one type of real estate? investing basket because I get a ton of tax benefits from buying another short-term rental, especially with 100 % bonus depreciation coming back. This is a townhouse too, so there's not much land.

19:05So the bonus depreciation is going to be pretty high because it's mainly on the structure and everything involved in it. I think my other kind of worry is that it's so tied to the short-term rental performance and regulations still too. And I have always not been a big fan of investing in short-term rentals in urban areas for these particular reasons. It's vacation rental areas. They depend on short-term rentals. They're not going away anytime soon. A place like Houston, it's still up in the air. You never know. I always get a little worried. Insurance is so much higher on short-term rentals. It's probably double what I'm paying for landlord insurance usually to get good proper coverage.

19:42It's a highly competitive market. It is. I'm a I'm very good operator. Like I went to school for hotel management and I still am scared of the competition and saturation that's in some of these markets. So I think the appreciation will be pretty high though, cause it's a really good area. It's in downtown area of Houston, which is to my knowledge is going to hopefully just keep going up quite a bit, but you never know how some things to go. So that's kind of what's worrying me with this one. I'm not a hundred percent sold in. And again, like I kind of want to diversify my portfolio. So I know I'm hearing it in your voice.

20:15I don't feel like this is the one for you. Like this, you seem skeptical about this. I'll just, one question just for audience education as well is like, if you had to, what would this rent out for long-term? Like if something happened regulation wise? That is one thing that is like, gives me hope for this though. Cause it's still do good as a long-term rental. I think we'd be between about probably about 3 ,400 a month as a long-term rental. Just one unit by itself. It's a three-story townhouse, really nice view, has a rooftop deck. And I think the cash on cash return for that would be about six to seven percent because those taxes eat a lot into it.

20:50Still good. I mean, it's still very good. If the rents, you know, if rents are going to go up, it's going to get better. And I have the option to, you know, short term rental or long term rental or midterm rental, which, you know, is all options. Well, I don't hate this deal. I mean, it's like the numbers make sense. But I think you're you know, this market, you know, short term rentals better than I do. your instinct about the risk, I think is probably the most important element here. And you don't seem in love with this deal. And it's not really aligned with your strategy, right? Like you want to diversify.

21:21So I get why you would consider this because I do this sometimes too, where I'm like, oh, I should diversify. But then you just find one that's like doing the same thing that you've always done. It's just a layup and then you just do it again. But it sounds like this is not so great that you would forego the diversification benefit that you're looking for. So I think we got to move on to the third deal. All right, we got to take one more quick break, but we'll hear about Garrett's third deal option right after this. Finding a strong rental property usually takes time, research, and calculated risk.

21:53Lenar Investor Marketplace helps simplify all of that. With a free account, investors can browse new construction homes built for rental potential alongside real-time data showing estimated returns, expenses, and local market insights. It's all in one dashboard, making it easier to compare opportunities and move when the right deal shows up. Go to biggerpockets.com slash Lennar to create a free account and take a look. That's biggerpockets.com slash L-E-N-N-A-R. Sign up for free and start exploring this smart investing opportunity today. Please consult your own legal and tax advisors to help evaluate the risks of any real estate transaction, Lenar is an equal housing opportunity builder.

22:34A couple of weeks ago, I traveled to the East Coast for my dad's wedding. It was quite the trip. I had the honor of walking my 71-year-old father down the aisle, which is something I never imagined I would get to do. I spent time with family and friends I hadn't seen in years, soaked in the East Coast charm, and of course, enjoyed a lobster roll, which always makes a trip out there even better. But while I was there, I was thinking that while I'm on the East Coast, my home was sitting completely empty the entire time I was away. That's why Airbnb's co-host network is such an interesting idea. If you've ever considered listing your space on Airbnb, but don't want to manage everything yourself, you can hire a local co-host to help create your listing, manage reservations, message guests, and provide on-site support.

23:22Find a co-host at airbnb.com slash host. Most investors only think about insurance when something goes wrong. A tenant injury, storm damage, loss of rent. Then suddenly, the cheapest policy doesn't feel like the best one anymore. That's why a lot of BiggerPockets investors use steadily for landlord insurance designed specifically for rental properties. Whether you own one property or a growing portfolio, Leo, they make it simple to get covered properly. And BiggerPockets Pro members get an extra 5 % off their landlord insurance premiums. Visit biggerpockets.com slash landlord insurance to get a quote today.

23:59Tax season reminder for all the real estate investors listening. If you own rental properties, short-term rentals, commercial buildings, basically anything that's not your primary residence, you need to know about cost segregation. It's an IRS-compliant strategy that lets you accelerate depreciation on your properties, which means you're paying less in taxes this year and keeping more cash in your pocket for your next deal. Cost Segregation Guys is the go-to firm, having done over 12 ,000 of these studies with$500 million in total depreciation identified. Head to costsegregationguys.com to get a free proposal and see your potential tax savings.

24:40When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, Use Indeed Sponsored Jobs. It gives your job post the boost it needs to be seen and helps reach people with the right skills, certifications, and more. Spend less time searching and more time actually interviewing candidates who check all your boxes. Listeners of this show will get a$75 sponsored job credit at Indeed.com slash podcast. That's Indeed.com slash podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need a hiring hero? This is a job for Indeed Sponsored Jobs.

Read the full transcript

25:13Welcome back to the BiggerPockets podcast. Garrett and I are here discussing three deal options that he's thinking about investing in. Talked about the first two. Garrett, what's the third deal? The third one has kind of really caught my eye. There's quite a few new construction deals that I could look at, but they're all kind of fall into this similar umbrella. It's near where I live. It's in a different city that's called Willis, Texas, still a little rural, but it has very similar growth to Conroe where I'm living at now. So I could buy two single family new construction homes. They're about$220 to$230 each.

25:50I'm hoping that with seller concessions from the builders because they're offering all these crazy closing costs, really, really good interest rates, which I need to do a little more analysis on that. I was penciling stuff out at traditional numbers because every new builder is different, but I think I could take advantage of that. I also, as a realtor, some of these places are offering really high btsa like sales agent commissions extra on top of it so that's like a personal perk that i don't mind no interesting okay so so we're just keeping at the numbers though like down payment i'd have to get it to around 420 to 425 for both properties total cost to make sense the rents in the area it's about two thousand dollars per unit but i am buying in the last phase of a lot of these newer constructions so you know i don't think the appreciation is going to be, it's probably closer to 2 % in this area, this type of property.

26:44I don't think the rents are going to go up a ton because there's a ton of supply coming into this particular area, but the net operating income would be about$33 ,000 per year. If I went this route, mortgage is probably 27. If I can get these builders to get, you know, maybe I can buy down some rates and really start to, you know, take advantage of some of these negotiations right now, I could probably get that mortgage down to maybe 25 per year for both of them combined. So right now, what I'm analyzing with just traditional numbers, I think my cash flow would end up being about 6 ,000 per year for both units, which is like a 7 % cash on cash return.

27:25But if I can do a little negotiating and really get a little bit better deal, I probably get closer to that maybe 9%, I think. That's pretty good, man. It's pretty good. It's low maintenance, low insurance. The taxes aren't great. It's another municipality that charges about 2 % on tax rates. But it's kind of steady in this area too. HOA is much more reasonable. It's about, I think,$50 per month or something per house or something kind of in that area. But I think having two doors, I'm a little worried on the vacancy side. But I think single-family homes seem to have a little lower vacancy in this area.

28:02And that's what I'm hoping for. And so, yeah, I'm back and forth on it. I don't know. Do you have a sense of vacancy in the area right now, like in this community with these new builds? Because that's that's always the thing I think with these big sub developments is as an operator, I always worry about standing out like it's hard to differentiate. And so your rents and your vacancy rates are just going to be tied to the area. And that sometimes is good because sometimes it's the you know, the wind is at your back. sometimes if there's a lot of inventory coming on line you're going to face inventory challenges that you really can't do anything about right like the only way you compete against your neighbors by lowering your price and you might not want to do that so just curious if you have any thoughts on how that's going right now i'd probably say they're leaning probably to 10 to maybe even 15 in this area because there's just so much supply like even when and that's the one term rental person on the long-term side is there's just not much I can do to really improve my chances short-term.

29:04Like I could spend some more money and make it stand out. I'm really good at that. That is my concern with the new construction is there's just so much supply. I'm afraid that even more builders are going to keep building over in this area. And then who knows, you know, like where I could be in a few years, like the growth seems good, but they might be, they might be outbuilding the growth. Honestly, I like the idea of new construction a lot right now. I think, you know, the numbers work right now. Like what you're saying, unless there's high vacancy, which is always a concern. I think the thing I would do next, if I were you, is look into the construction pipeline.

29:40That is one benefit of new construction and multifamily that you have is that these things get permitted years in advance. And so you actually get to look a little bit in the future, whereas like almost every other data set, you're like guessing, you know, are there going to be more short term rentals in a year from now? I don't know. But I you know, these are a lot of these are publicly traded companies, too. And you can understand, like if you're going to invest this amount of money, it's worth spending a little bit of time and looking into that. Because my feeling on this deal is if supply is going to dry up soon and you're just in a short term, like vacancy increase, then it's fine.

30:18But if they're going to keep building for two or three or four years and you're just going to keep seeing this at a time where I think Houston long-term will probably keep growing. We got some labor data numbers, like we might be going into a little bit of an economic lull. It's like, if there's a lot of supply in that, you might have some short-term weakness, which you might be willing to do, but that is sort of what I would want to understand because everything about the deal sounds good unless they're just going to keep building a ton of competition for you. What would be the best way to research something like that?

30:48Where they're building or kind of seeing what may the future may unfold in the new construction side? Yeah. So I think the first thing you can do is most of them are publicly traded. So that means that a lot of their information is available. So I would look and see if you could figure that out. Nice. The second thing I would look at is there's publicly available information for housing starts and housing permitting. And I think that's what I would look at next, where it depends on how specific this neighborhood is, but you can look in Houston for sure. And I would look for sub-market and try and see just what are the trends in new construction, single families in your area.

31:29Multifamily is going to be different. So really try and focus on single families and try and look at, is it going up? Is it going down? See if you can identify specific developments, how many properties they've built. Because sometimes with these big sub-markets, they do these things in phases. Like you said, you're sort of at the last phase. That's kind of a good sign, right? Because it means they might not. But if they own three more lots, you know, like down the street and then they're just going to move down there and start building. Like they might be willing to do that. So I think that's the big question I would want to answer before buying into this kind of market.

32:02Yeah, no, that makes a lot of sense. Cause like my gut is telling me like new construction, single family at this moment in my, you know, investing career fits what I'm looking for. Low maintenance, low stress, not a lot of expenses probably compared to other places. And then just probably better family renters that probably stay longer and maybe just hopefully take care of the place better. You know, like that's a little more anecdotal probably than anything, but, but yeah, I think that's all great points about, cause I don't know what, what all these builders have planned because I, I know this area is very hot and there's a lot of land still left to be developed.

32:39And I know they are just salivating at the mouth to keep it going. So I'm hoping I don't fall in the, in the weird corner of it that gets, you know, kind of trapped into something. I maybe should have like looked into a little more. That's very good advice for sure. Yeah, I'm with you, man. I have been really interested in new construction recently because at this point in my career, I'm trying to buy 20, 30-year homes. Like the way I think about it is like, what do I want to buy now that I don't want to touch until I'm in my 60s and it will be paid off and I'm going to still be happy to own it?

33:11And new construction is very appealing for that for obvious reasons. It's a newer house. 30 years from now, it's only going to be 30 years old. You buy a house from the 80s and 30 years from now, it's going to be 70 years old. It's just like a different kind of thing. And a lot of the rate buy downs are really good. And so there's a lot to like here. I think the other thing that I would look at other than just sheer volume is how does your property compare to what else is being built out there? Because sometimes in these places where there's massive building, there's a lot of supply and that can be bad.

33:43But if your development is just better than the other ones, like, you know, or more cost effective, that can be fine. Like some of them might be one bedrooms or two ones. And this area really needs three twos. You know, like you can sort of start to dig in a little bit just about the specific subset of the market that you're trying to buy into. Because like I clearly like deals one in three here. You know, I think both of them could be good. The way I think about it is if you do this research and the building conditions are okay, and you're not at risk of supply, I'd probably go with three. My gut is definitely leaning towards the new construction.

34:19I had a question. I'm curious. Some of these new construction, you can get four bedrooms and they're a little smaller, or you can get three bedrooms and they're just slightly bigger, but it's similar square footage. What are your thoughts as an investor around that? I know it's all market-specific stuff. That's a great question. But I'm like, which one would work better for the family? Would they want the four bedrooms, but they're smaller, or the three bedrooms and they're a little bigger? My head says the four bedrooms because the kids aren't going to care, but I'm just kind of, you know, I don't know.

34:49How is the primary? It's pretty good, both about the same size and the primary on each. The difference is three bedrooms, a little bit bigger for the guest bedrooms, or four bedrooms, and they're pretty tight, you know, but same square footage and all that. I think if it were me in that scenario, I'd take the four as long as the primary is good because that's what people pay for is the primary. I think the adults will be like, my kids will be fine with 50 less square feet. And the other thing is that I don't know this area a lot, but in the downtown areas I tend to rent and you have a lot of tech workers, people who do hybrid work.

35:26And oftentimes they're using one of those bedrooms for an office. So having an extra one helps, but they don't care about the size. It's like, you know, an 80, 100 square foot bedroom for an office is more than enough. And just having that extra space where it can be quiet is appealing to people. I agree with that. I figured as long as the primary bedroom is good, it should be all good on my end too. Yeah, right. So that's my take. I think my instinct is number three. I would double check all that supply number, but like all the numbers on all these make sense. So that's good. Like you're looking at good deals.

35:59So it really comes down to your goals. And based on what you've been saying about diversification, buying things for the long term, not wanting to spend a lot of time on it, if you can make the new construction work, it just seems like it's going to be a low lift thing for you to hold on to for a long time. And honestly, even if the vacancies have a little bit for a year or two, you know, if you believe in the area and you're going to have a home that's going to last for a long time, that could be worth it. Yeah. If I look into the supply and it looks pretty decent in the area, I think I've kind of figured out what I want to do or like what's the best for my season of real estate investing at this very moment too.

36:37Exactly. That's a good way to think of it. And that can change. You got to look at what the market's giving you. And right now it's giving people new construction. The average, the median home price on new construction is below existing homes right now. and they're doing rate buy downs they're doing closing cost reductions like there's a lot of concessions on the seller side 10 years ago i would have said you were crazy to look at new construction but like it makes sense like the numbers make sense and i know a lot of people poo poo it but like go around the numbers and tell me that it doesn't make sense because it does yeah i've been a big advocate for new construction in the past couple years especially the same like 10 years ago when i first started getting into it it was always never you know buy buy low find some of the needs renovation, which still could work.

37:20It still works, yeah. But with how things are progressing and this insane like new builder deals that are out there right now, it's almost like right in front of my face that it's like, I think I probably should take advantage of this right now. So it does make sense. And the other thing that we didn't even mention, renters are going to want to live there. Of course, a renter is going to want to live in a brand new home. Like that is a very good selling point if they want to be in this area and they can rent in a brand new home. Yeah. And it will probably attract the kind of tenants you're saying, because I think in these kinds of places, when I rent single family homes, you know, I want it to be a family.

37:51I want them to stay for 10 years, you know, like that's the ideal situation. And you might be able to do that, uh, in this kind of place. So I like it. This is fun though. You know, I go through these things too. It's just so helpful to talk it out with someone, even if you kind of know what you want to do, you just want some external validation. Always. So no, sometimes I just got to talk it out and get, get all the deals out of my brain to like focus on one that's like, all right, let me stop getting shiny object syndrome and get to the numbers and the things that's actually going to work for me.

38:20Absolutely. Well, thank you so much for coming and sharing your story. You're thinking with us. I think this kind of conversation can be really helpful to our audience. So for everyone listening, I hope you appreciate what we've been talking about here today, because oftentimes I'll get this questions. I'm sure you do too, Garrett. People say, should I buy this deal or that? And there's no way to answer it unless you have sort of these goals set out like Garrett did. He has three good deals. You could buy any of these and be happy. I think that's the cool thing is that you've identified three great deals.

38:51Good for you. And then you just kind of figure out what risks you're comfortable with, what upside you're trying to capture, what your long-term goals are. And since Garrett has that clarity, it allows him to make this sort of decision. So if you find yourself in this kind of dilemma, maybe focus less on the cash on cash return and maybe step it back and say to yourself, like, what am I trying to do? Where do I want to be in 10 years? And I find that will probably help you make this decision more than any further deal analysis, provided that you have done the deal analysis correctly. That is, you have to do that.

39:23Yep. Love it. So thanks again for being here, Garrett. For anyone who wants to follow along with your journey and what you're doing here at BiggerPockets, where can they do that? We have our own short-term rental investing YouTube channel called BiggerStays. And I also write a weekly BiggerStays newsletter. It comes out every Wednesday. You can sign up for at BiggerPockets and I'm putting out a ton of content over there all the time. It's awesome. Everyone, you got to check out the newsletter. I love reading it. Garrett is a wonderful writer, very funny and offers great opinions. And thank you all so much for listening to this episode of the BiggerPockets podcast.

39:55I'm Dave Meyer. We'll see you next time.

From the publisher

You’ve built up (or are about to build) a rental portfolio, but something is telling you it’s time to pivot. Maybe you’ve gone too far into one strategy, like owning eight short-term rentals. Or you’re seeing new build-to-rent properties with low prices, low maintenance, and low interest rates, and thinking “hmm…that seems like a good deal.” How do you know when to stay on course with your original plan or pivot to something greater? Which will get you financial freedom faster (and safer)?

This is a dilemma that you’re probably facing, and if you aren’t right now, you will. Garrett Brown is facing this conundrum head-on. He’s spent years building a real estate portfolio, but he’s deep in the vacation rental realm. He wants a safer, more passive, less time-intensive way to diversify his portfolio, so what should he do?

He’s got three options: buy a small multifamily rental, buy another short-term rental in a different part of town, or take advantage of new-build properties with price cuts and significant builder concessions. These are options that are probably open to you right now, and we’re about to show you which makes the most money, which has the least stress, and which is the best for real estate diversification. 

In This Episode We Cover

Build-to-rent vs. multifamily vs. Airbnb: Which is the best bet in 2025?

When to pivot strategies and do something new to diversify your real estate portfolio

Red flags when buying a long or short-term rental that could hurt your cash flow

Are the high returns of Airbnb worth the added stress/time to manage? 

The unbeatable benefit of new-build rental properties in 2025  

And So Much More!

Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-1173

Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

More from BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

All 197 episodes
How to Diversify Your Rental Portfolio for Financial Freedom FasterBiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast · 38 min
Listen in VO