In short
The episode is about crypto market weakness and Bitcoin exposure, plus broader macro and media/business updates. Main crypto segment: Bitcoin is sinking below $100,000 as bear-market pressure grips crypto. Eric Trump, co-founder and chief strategy officer of American Bitcoin (Nasdaq: ABTC), discusses why investors should buy his company instead of spot Bitcoin or a Bitcoin ETF.
Key claims
American Bitcoin aims to increase “Bitcoin per share” by mining at about 50% of spot prices (he cites ~$56,000 production cost), 24/7 in West Texas using cheap renewable power (including contracts tied to a defunct wind farm via a sister company, HUD 8). He says the company has mined/accumulated 4,000+ BTC and is ~25th largest public BTC treasury company. He rejects pivoting to AI like Bitfarms; he says they will ramp up mining.
Notable examples
Grayscale filed for an IPO; Bitfarms plans to wind down mining and shift to AI power infrastructure.
Guests
Eric Trump (American Bitcoin; Trump Organization exec) and Elizabeth Renter (NerdWallet senior economist) and Geeta Ranganathan (Bloomberg Intelligence senior media analyst) appear in later segments.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOGrayscale IPO Filing and Market Overview
0:30 to 0:49
Discussing the implications of Grayscale's IPO filing and market trends.
“Being a small business owner isn't just a career, it's a calling.”
Grayscale IPO Filing and Market Overview
1:36 to 2:06
Discussing the implications of Grayscale's IPO filing and market trends.
“the best days are the ones where priorities stay on track.”
Grayscale IPO Filing and Market Overview
2:48 to 3:14
Discussing the implications of Grayscale's IPO filing and market trends.
“Grayscale Investments filed publicly for an IPO.”
Interview with Eric Trump
3:14 to 3:38
Introduction of Eric Trump and his role in American Bitcoin.
“The company started trading on the Nasdaq back on September 3rd when it merged with a micro cap.”
American Bitcoin's Business Model
3:38 to 4:39
Explaining the unique value proposition of American Bitcoin in mining.
“rather than just buying Bitcoin outright on an exchange or even through an ETF?”
Energy Sources for Bitcoin Mining
4:39 to 6:06
Discussion on the energy sources powering American Bitcoin operations.
“that's the one metric that we try and improve every single day and we've done a hell of a job guys.”
Electricity Costs and Market Dynamics
6:06 to 7:10
Analyzing the impact of electricity costs on Bitcoin mining and market dynamics.
“Well, well, well, well, wait a minute, Eric, because SMRs, I mean, we we do know we're on it every day.”
Political Influence on Energy Policy
7:10 to 9:09
Discussion on how political decisions affect energy policies and Bitcoin mining.
“If you go back to 2020, it was seventeen dollars per hour.”
Bitcoin's Historical Performance
9:09 to 10:40
Exploring Bitcoin's historical price performance and market perception.
“And my father is hell bent of getting that through every single form, whether it's natural gas and we're drilling.”
American Bitcoin's Future Plans
10:40 to 11:28
Eric Trump discusses future plans for American Bitcoin and market outlook.
“The spot price of a BTC is probably the number one performing asset of any asset.”
Show all 20 chapters
Global Demand for Cryptocurrency
11:28 to 13:56
Examining the global interest in Bitcoin and its implications.
“If you may have invested in BTC five years ago, So, you know, you're sitting on infinite amounts of money, right?”
The Case for Bitcoin as a Hedge
14:00 to 22:25
Explore the advantages of Bitcoin compared to traditional real estate in unstable regions.
“They're putting it on their balance sheets in ways that they've never done before because they believe in digital assets and, and they, you know, they believe in the attributes of them, right?”
Eric Trump's Vision for American Bitcoin
22:26 to 22:39
Eric Trump discusses the growth and strategy of American Bitcoin in the market.
“We went around and around and I'm glad we were able to cover a lot of ground.”
Analyzing the Current Economic Landscape
25:13 to 28:00
Discussion on the challenges and data sources related to the U.S. economy and labor market.
“Advisory services by Public Advisors, LLC, SEC Registered Advisor.”
Labor Market Insights & Inflation Trends
28:00 to 33:40
Explore the current state of the labor market and inflation pressures.
“Then you have a source like Revelio Labs.”
Closing Thoughts on Economic Dynamics
33:40 to 33:52
Discussion on the complexities of current economic conditions and Fed policies.
“Elizabeth Renter, she's senior economist at NerdWallet, joining us from Durham at North Carolina.”
Closing Thoughts on Economic Dynamics
34:31 to 35:48
Discussion on the complexities of current economic conditions and Fed policies.
“So while others are busy talking, we're busy building.”
Disney's Successor Challenge
37:04 to 42:01
Analyze Disney's CEO succession plans and future industry challenges.
“You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast.”
Disney's Current Position in Media
42:01 to 43:51
Discussing Disney's strengths and challenges in the media landscape.
“You need to be able to kind of work with a lot of these very, very hard personalities in Hollywood.”
Disney's Current Position in Media
45:50 to 46:22
Discussing Disney's strengths and challenges in the media landscape.
“When you're running a business, the best days are the ones where priorities stay on track.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00What if data didn't sit still? What if intelligence moved with us? Not buried in reports, but activated in real time, where lives are being shaped, where decisions are being made. It all starts with a question. Where is the potential? Cotality turns data into clarity, intelligence into insight, insight into action. Because when intelligence moves, we all move forward. Cotality. Intelligence beyond bounds. Being a small business owner isn't just a career, it's a calling. Chase for Business knows how much heart and effort go into building something of your own. Manage all your business finances, from banking to payments to credit cards, all in one place with Chase's digital tools.
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1:26Now we're helping companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business, IBM. When you're running a business, the best days are the ones where priorities stay on track. For midsize and large companies, risk can affect multiple parts of the organization at once, from property and liability to cyber and regulatory challenges. At that level, managing risk becomes an ongoing discipline. At the Hartford, the focus is on helping businesses manage risk before it turns into something more disruptive. And when losses do happen, that work is paired with insurance coverage shaped by years of underwriting, risk engineering, and claims experience.
2:06Learn more at thehartford.com slash risk mitigation. Policies provided by Hartford Fire Insurance Company and its property and casualty affiliates, Hartford, Connecticut. Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts, radio, news. This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily, reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies and trends shaping today's complex economy. Plus, global business, finance and tech news as it happens. The Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio. Lots of news in crypto today. Grayscale Investments filed publicly for an IPO.
2:52It's the latest crypto link company to test public markets under an administration more open to digital assets. For more on crypto and Bitcoin and Bitcoin mining specifically, joining us now and aim familiar to our audience. Eric Trump is the co-founder and chief strategy officer of American Bitcoin. It's a publicly traded Bitcoin mining and treasury company. It's got a market cap around four point four billion dollars. The company started trading on the Nasdaq back on September 3rd when it merged with a micro cap. Shares hit a high on September 9th. They're down around 47 % since then. Eric, of course, also the executive vice president of the Trump organization.
3:26He joins us from Florida. Eric, good to have you on the program again. How are you? Guys, great to be on. So if somebody wants exposure to Bitcoin, why would they do that through American Bitcoin rather than just buying Bitcoin outright on an exchange or even through an ETF? Yeah, well, it's a great question. I mean, if you go out and you buy Bitcoin on ETF or you buy it on exchange, you kind of have one to one Bitcoin, right? You go out and you buy one Bitcoin. You're always going to have one Bitcoin. Our entire ethos is increasing Bitcoin per share. Right now, every day we're mining Bitcoin.
4:00We're mining Bitcoin at roughly 50 percent of spot prices of Bitcoin. So roughly about fifty six thousand dollars per Bitcoin. That's what we're able to mine at. We're able to mine because we have the best facilities anywhere on Earth. We've got some of the cheapest energy anywhere on Earth. We do it in America. We do it in West Texas. so right now our average cost to produce a bitcoin is roughly 56 000 and we're mining bitcoin 24 hours a day seven days a week by doing that you're able to increase bitcoin per share right and that's the ultimate metric that we chase every single day how do you increase the amount of bitcoin you have per share you have of stock and i think we can do that clearly if you go buy on a one-to-one basis you don't have that ability to do and that's the one metric that we track every single day and that's the one metric that we try and improve every single day and we've done a hell of a job guys.
4:44This public was founded on March 13th. I'm sorry, March 31st, roughly five months later, five months and three days to be exact. We were listed on the NASDAQ under ABTC. We're less than three months old having been listed and we're already well surpassed 4 ,000 Bitcoin that have either mined or that we've accumulated, making us the 25th largest BTC public treasury company in the world. And we're climbing that ladder very quickly every single day. So I couldn't be more proud of what we've been able to accomplish and everything that you said. I think you mentioned a$4.5 billion market cap. And again, we've been listed for less than three months and growing by kind of with lightning speed.
5:25You mentioned the cheapest source of energy in mining that Bitcoin. Last time we spoke back in September, we had a discussion about wind energy that powers some of this mining. Is it still wind that's powering the mining operations for american bitcoin there's different sources but certainly when there was a defunct wind farm um you know the the guys over at hud 8 which is our sister company were able to lock into incredibly cheap energy because frankly it wasn't being utilized because it wasn't being dumped into the grid um and lock into a very cheap contract for a very long period of time and so we've got unbelievable renewable energy that we're using to mine our our bitcoin but you're gonna see a lot of other energy sources come on i mean we're on the the energy revolution in this country i think You guys know that better than anybody.
6:05Look at oil, look at gas. You know, the policies are working. Look at these SMRs. Look at, you know, kind of fusion. Well, well, well, well, wait a minute, Eric, because SMRs, I mean, we we do know we're on it every day. And these small modular reactors, none of them are up and running. And anybody we talk to who understands the nuclear industry says that it'll take a few years to get them up and running. Oh, guys, absolutely. Don't don't don't think that I'm saying that they're up and running by any means. What I'm saying is we're in the heyday of power and power exploration in this country right now.
6:38You have an administration that's hellbent on making sure this country has incredibly cheap power. Well, that's really interesting. Let me just jump in there because we've done a deep analysis into the cost of electricity. In 2025, electricity costs depend far more on where you're located. And a lot of it has to do with the AI build out and the cost of those data centers and tapping into the networks. You talk about Texas. I'm curious what you're paying per megawatt an hour in Houston right now. It's twenty five dollars. It has gone up a lot since 2020. If you go back to 2020, it was seventeen dollars per hour.
7:14I mean, you know, those elections. I don't want to get political, but those elections. I mean, part of it was electricity prices that people, Americans have had enough. Carol, you can't be serious. And honestly, I don't I don't want to argue on Bloomberg. It's not not what I came here to do. I've got plenty of things to do in my daily life. You had the last administration that had the greatest war on energy that we've ever seen in the country. Right. You had an administration that was literally shutting down oil and gas exploration daily. They were shutting it down daily. They were cutting every pipeline.
7:45They were they were stopping every pipeline from being built. I mean, which ones do you want me to name? I could go through a list of 15 of them. In fact, it was it was Joe Biden's first executive order to shut down the Keystone pipeline. They shut down all permitting. They shut down all transmission of oil and gas. There was a war on energy in this country the likes of which you've never seen before. You know, we went from being energy independent under my father, where we're exporting energy to countries all around the world, to being energy dependent under Joe Biden. Don't even try and say, you know, that we're not seeking the lowest cost energies.
8:22They had power plants that they were trying to build for a 15-year period of time, nuclear power plants. And guess what? At the end of them, Joe Biden's administration would turn them down and deny them the permits for nuclear energy. Right. My father is hell bent on making this country energy. And the reason hold on, please let me finish. The reason he's hell bent on it is if you track GDP, any GDP growth around the world and you directly correlate that with energy costs, they're 100 percent correlated. The lower your energy costs are for production of energy, the higher your GDP costs are. We have to win the war on cryptocurrency.
8:59We have to win the war on AI. We have to win these for national security. We have to win these because we're the United States of America and we're the number one superpower. We must lead the way. We need energy generation. And my father is hell bent of getting that through every single form, whether it's natural gas and we're drilling. Remember the slogan, drill, baby drill. And we're drilling again and we're exploring again. And nuclear power plants are getting permits again, which was not happening. So please don't, please, please don't talk to me about affordability. When you had an administration that did everything they could to crush energy prices for a four year period of time.
9:36Erica, I respect your position and opinion on this, but I also will say that, you know, the U.S. is the largest oil producer that's out there. I want to go back to your company because on mining. We learned today that Bitfarms, it's one of the largest cryptocurrency miners, said it plans to wind down those operations over the next two years, focus on providing infrastructure to generate power for artificial intelligence applications. We continue to see that. A growing list of Bitcoin miners are pivoting to AI and high-performance compute services as profit margins shrink due in part to those falling prices of the tokens or the digital tokens that are out there.
10:13Do you have any plans for American Bitcoin to pivot away from Bitcoin mining into artificial intelligence? No, the exact opposite. We're only going to ramp up. We're going to ramp up every single day. I mean, Carol, you mentioned falling prices. Let me just kind of hit on this one for you. You know, guess what Bitcoin prices were exactly two years ago from today? I'll tell you because you wouldn't know. $36 ,500 was the cost of a Bitcoin two years ago, we are up 180 % in a 24-month period. The spot price of a BTC is probably the number one performing asset of any asset. And this is coming from a guy who believes in hard assets, right?
10:51I run one of the great real estate portfolios anywhere in the world. Cryptocurrency is absolutely on fire. Cryptocurrency is taking on the whole world. Well, Bitcoin is up this year by about 5%. The S &P is up 15%. The NASDAQ 100 is up 20%. Gold is up close to 60 % this year. No, I'm just saying - Do you want to reverse that? I mean, do you want to go back two years? Do you want to go back three years? Do you want to go back five years? Do you want to go back 10 years? I know how to dice and slice the market. I'm just - BTC prices historically have gone up on average of about 70 % a year, year over year for the last 10 year period of time.
11:22All I'm saying is if you invested in BTC two years ago is probably the best investment you could have made. If you may have invested in BTC five years ago, So, you know, you're sitting on infinite amounts of money, right? BTC has been probably the highest performing asset of the last decade, right? Now, also with BTC comes volatility. With crypto comes volatility. Volatility is our friend. Volatility is something that should be harnessed, right? And so I think Bitcoin is going to continue to massively overperform the markets. Of course, you're going to have drawdowns, right? I mean, every cycle has drawdowns.
11:55You were talking about NVIDIA in the intro clip to introducing me today and how they're down 4%. This is one of the largest companies on earth, if not the largest company on earth. I mean, that's down 4%. You're going to have drawdowns and things. That's life. But look at the historical performance of an asset, and nothing has compared to what Bitcoin has. Totally understand markets, the ups and downs. And sometimes the downs are an indication of even it moving down further. Hey, one thing I want to ask you is I think you were on with Bloomberg back in September. You owned about seven and a half percent of the company.
12:28Has that number changed? Because it sounds I can hear your conviction. It sounds like it's a long term conviction when it comes to the digital world and Bitcoin in particular. So are you buying more shares? That number has not changed at all. I have every share that I started this company with and I plan to for a long time to come. I love it. I believe in it. I think the people that we're doing it with are the smartest people in the world. We've got some of the greatest energy contracts. We've got the most sophisticated facilities. And guys, what I'll tell you is, you know, I spend a lot of time all over the world.
13:02I think you know that from our real estate projects everywhere. Everybody wants cryptocurrency. Everybody believes in cryptocurrency. Everybody's tremendously worried about their respective governments. Everybody's tremendously worried about their respective financial systems, especially when you leave the United States. You know, people in so many countries around the world, they get paid. You know, they may as well burn that paycheck because of inflation. It absolutely kills them. All of a sudden, you know, kind of, you know, Bitcoin is digital gold. People believe in it. It's a great asset.
13:27It's an asset that can't be inflated. It's an asset that will only have 21 million coins ever. You know, if the price of gold ever went to 40 ,000 bucks an ounce, guys, I would tear down this building and I would find gold in the columns. I'd find gold in the concrete, right? You're going to, you know, you're going to dig deeper and you're going to go farther and you're going to spend more money. You know, so you're never going to actually have cap supply. with Bitcoin, you have cap supply. And I can tell you whether it's Asia, whether it's Middle East, whether it's South America, you know, there is a longingness, you know, to treasury Bitcoin.
13:56And you're seeing that from even some of the very biggest companies in the United States. They're putting it on their balance sheets in ways that they've never done before because they believe in digital assets and, and they, you know, they believe in the attributes of them, right? You know, and again, I'm a real estate guy. I love assets. But think about something that's, you know, transferable 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Think about something that's global. Think about something that's easy to transport. You do love assets. And you guys, your family is so entrenched, obviously, in real estate.
14:23You think Trump, you think real estate. But I'm just curious, if you had to choose between owning real estate or Bitcoin, what would it be? Both. Both. No, no, no. You have to choose. You have to choose. Come on, Eric. You're smart. Come on. I grew up when I was 11 years old on construction sites, right? I clearly love tangible assets, and I believe in them. And I think Bitcoin is the greatest hedge toward those tangible assets that there is. what I will tell you is in any place other than the United States, I would probably take cryptocurrency. I mean, imagine if you lived in one of various South American countries or one of various African kind of countries that have instability where government can come in at any time and steal your house, steal your piece of property, steal your hotel, right?
15:04You don't have a chance. You don't have that problem with Bitcoin. You don't have that problem with digital assets that's, you know, that's literally qualified on ledger 24 hours a day. So there's a real need for this asset class around the world and by the way even in the united states i mean guys i became one of the most debanked person you know people you know american history for having never done anything wrong you know operating great golf courses operating great residential buildings condominium associations hotels right and and all that got pulled out from under me because my father happened to wear a hat i wasn't a politician i've never been a politician i've never worked for the government we're wearing a hat that said make america great again all of a sudden i started getting canceled left and right you know the interesting thing about crypto you know technology blockchain technology digital assets digital wallets can't cancel them you can't take them away right and that's a beautiful thing and there's a flight to safety there's a flight to safety that a lot of people in america have a harder time appreciating albeit when people see what happened to us they can appreciate more but a lot of people around the world can really appreciate i think if you lived in a lot of the asian countries you'd appreciate it i think if you lived lived in a lot of places and let me ask you here in africa you'd probably appreciate that No, I understand what you're saying.
16:12And I think, you know, we've been talking about cryptocurrencies for a long time here at Bloomberg. And I think time will tell whether or not this is something that becomes well entrenched within our financial system. Because at this point, people are still buying things like stocks and bonds. Do you not believe it? Do you not believe it? No, no, no, I do. I do. But what I wanted to ask you is, and I think it's something that we talked about in our planning call. Do you feel like, you know, Tim asked about, you know, maybe the advantage of, you know, buying into your company versus maybe a micro strategy or something else.
16:43Do you feel like you guys do have an advantage because of your proximity to the White House? And I ask this full disclosure. When we talk about Paramount Skydance, we say the same thing because we know that David Ellison certainly is looked upon favorably by the White House when it comes to maybe doing another acquisition. So do you think you have a little bit of an advantage? yeah carol it's such a frustrating question no you know my advantage is our advantage with american bitcoin is we can mine bitcoin at 50 cents on the dollar roughly you know and we're mining bitcoin every single day any others and by the way michael is a very close friend of mine and there's no person in the world i you know virtually that i respect more he's an amazing human being uh an incredible visionary and everything he's accomplished our advantage to mining bitcoin is is every single day we mine a lot of bitcoin and we do so for 50 cents on the dollar.
17:32Go name another commodity you can do that with, right? Every other treasury company virtually out there, they have to go buy Bitcoin at the spot price of Bitcoin that day. I can effectively go out right now and mine Bitcoin at 50 % of that number. I can also go out and I can acquire Bitcoin and American Bitcoin can go out and acquire Bitcoin at spot prices. And guess what? As I do that, I can also yield manage downpricing, you know, based on the Bitcoin that we mine each and every day. Obviously, the amount that you can mine is somewhat finite, even though our mining operations are growing on a daily basis.
18:04But that's a great advantage that I believe we have. We can increase the amount of Bitcoin per share of our shareholders. And we do. And that's why we're growing as quickly as we are. So I clearly believe in our strategy. I'm really, really proud that you understand why we you do understand why we ask it. Right. I mean, full disclosure, like we try to be as so many of the questions here have just been I understand clearly where where you stand right but you know there's not it's no shock to me i understand why you're asking the question i also understand that i have absolutely nothing to do with the federal government i want nothing to do with the federal government i i have no interaction with the federal government when it comes to crypto policy i stay in my own damn lane and my lane is operating the greatest hospitality company on earth an operating company that i truly believe in with every ounce of my heart and soul which is what we're doing with bitcoin which again historically has been an incredible asset.
18:58Hey, Eric. So when I hear questions about how, you know, somebody could possibly argue that Biden had better energy policies for the United States than Donald Trump, like, give me a word. I didn't argue that. I just, you know, we are a data-driven company. And so I look at data. Give me the data. So perfect. Give me the data. Give me one quantifiable metric where Joe Biden was a better energy president than Donald Trump. You can't. You just can't. Well, I will say that. When you had a president on the first day of his term, cancel every pipeline, including the Keystone XL pipeline, which is why every gas pump in the United States of America had a little sticker on it saying, I did that.
19:38And there's a picture of Joe Biden pointing to the price of gas. Please spare me this conversation. You've got some of the lowest gas prices in the history of our country. They're coming down every single day. you've got an administration that are putting through permits for nuclear reactors like their pez because we need it if we're going to be successful based on all the metrics i i gave you no one can credibly tell me you know as these guys build there's build wind farms in the middle of nowhere that aren't even plugged into the grid but i mean i say that with all due respect carol no i know i know and i don't want to argue i mean but there's a reason that you know wti crude is below 60 a barrel and you know you know the oil giants will talk and they'll say listen we're only going to drill or we're only going to do it.
20:20We're only going to do it if it makes sense, if the price of oil goes up, because there is, you know, balance sheets, there's going to be a cost to drilling and doing exploration. And they're not going to do it unless the price of oil, whether the demand is there. And as there is more oil, or do you think any of it has anything to do with the transportation of oil? Right. When you're shutting down pipelines every single day, you know what else is affecting price? The fact that you can't move something that's naturally be heavy. Right. And that's what Joe Biden was doing. It was the biggest it was the biggest.
20:51Yeah. War on oil and gas, all for the purpose of creating, you know, EV cars that the consumers around this country did not want to buy. I mean, how many billions of dollars did they spend building four charging stations in the middle of absolutely nowhere? You know, under Pete Buttigieg, your transportation secretary, who is completely incompetent. All right. I don't I don't want to get too political. But anyway, listen, in five years, what do you hope your company is just to wrap up? Where do you see its its role? Yeah, I'm glad we came back to this. Thank you. I think we're going to create one of the great Bitcoin companies anywhere in America.
21:28We're ascending the ladder very quickly. I think I mentioned that we're under three months old and we're a 25th largest public Bitcoin treasury company on all the lists. And we're sending that list very quickly. We just passed Gemini, very good friends of ours, the Winkle bosses, you know, they actually invested in American Bitcoin and they're good friends of ours. And it seems like every day we're kind of climbing another step up that ladder. I think we're doing it well. I think we're doing it with tremendous heart and soul. I think we're doing it here in the United States of America. I think that's philanthropic to this country.
21:59And we need to lead the world in the financial, you know, digital financial revolution. Bitcoin is clearly leading that charge right now based on market cap. And I'm very, very proud of the company we're building and the speed of our growth. And I think we're getting tremendously well. I'm sure all the financial execs do like this probably played into it possibly, as well as regulatory stuff when they were there at the White House. It's all coming at us. Hey, Eric, thank you so much. Really appreciate it. We went around and around and I'm glad we were able to cover a lot of ground. Eric Trump, co-founder, chief strategy officer of American Bitcoin Join in executive vice president of the Trump Organization joining us there in Florida.
22:37Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this.
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25:32Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Or watch us live on YouTube. As you know, we've got a sell-off on Wall Street. traders bracing for a wave of economic releases after the U.S. government shutdown ended. It has driven, though, stocks and bonds lower on concern on whether the data that we ultimately get from the U.S. government as they play catch up and then start to get back on schedule, whether or not it clears the way for another cut by the U.S. central bank. It's kind of in question right now. Another thing in question is just what this economy looks like.
26:08So we're hearing from different companies and we're hearing different things. The latest, Verizon, discussing plans to announce job cuts across the company next week. This, according to people familiar with the plans, the move, a major step in a transformation led by new CEO Dan Schulman. Nonetheless, Carol, it's another example of another big company cutting some jobs. Yeah, exactly. And then you do have Fed speakers out there. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly said it's too soon to decide whether policymakers should lower interest rates in December. Here's where we are.
26:36Let's see what Elizabeth Renter has to say. She's senior economist over at NerdWallet. She's with us from Durham, North Carolina. Hey, Elizabeth, good to be talking with you once again. So what conviction, first of all, do you have in making calls on the U.S. economy, on the U.S. labor market, on inflation? Hey, well, thanks for having me again. You know, it's tough to make sense of what's going on in the economy right now because the access to data is so limited. We're looking at private data sources and trying to infer what the BLS would have said over the past several weeks. And that's difficult.
27:11That's not to say it's brand new, right? Myself and the Fed and economists across the country have been looking at private data sources in addition to federal data sources for some time. We're just having to put more weight on them now than we would have. I just want to jump in. What private data sources are the ones to you that are most important? What do you think tells the fullest story? Yeah, well, I think when it comes to the labor market, there's several great private data sources. So ADP is a reliable data source. But all of these private data sources have unique caveats. They're measuring slightly different things, and you need to take that into consideration.
27:48So ADP misses government jobs entirely. They are more likely to overstate the number of jobs being added to the economy right now because they're not catching federal jobs, for example, which we know is a big item this year entirely in 2025. Then you have a source like Revelio Labs. They're another solid source of labor market data, but they're searching job profiles, professional profiles. So there may be a delay in their data because they're catching. If you're open to work on LinkedIn, for example, putting all of these together takes a little more work than just looking at the jobs report every month.
28:21But I think that's what we have to do in the current environment. All right. So labor market, just quickly, how do you see it? Solid, but gradually cooling, which is, I think, in alignment with what Fed Chair Powell said just a couple of weeks ago. You know, there is some weakness. Hiring is slow. But the unemployment rate, according to the Cleveland or the Chicago Fed now cast, remains in that four, four and a half percent range. So not alarming. We are hearing a lot about layoffs in the headlines. But the headlines and what happens in practice or what would have been reflected in the BLS data are two different things.
28:56All right. Inflation. So I want to just point out in an interview with Market Watch published today, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammock said she's worried market participants might doubt the Fed's commitment to its 2 % inflation target if the central bank continues to lower rates. 2%, that target, and then where we are in terms of U.S. inflation, how sticky it is as we get kind of closer to 2%, but not quite there. Well, I think we can so confidently say that inflation is high, it's above target, but it's not accelerating rapidly. So another source I look to for this one is the Cleveland Fed Nowcast.
29:33They compiled data from commodity prices and other high frequency sources to estimate where the CPI would be. And it says that, you know, just that inflation is steadily high, but not accelerating. Right now, I think expectations are in alignment, whether you're asking the Fed or asking consumers up in the short term is what people anticipate. Right. Right. Inflation is going to remain above that target, but then come down in the long term. Can I just ask you, you know, I know I understand that prices are not going up like they were a year, year and a half, two years ago. I get that. But they're also not going down.
30:05And I mean, the reality of kind of what we're all paying for things. Is this just it? And that's just the way it is. And why does it feel like we are still paying a lot for stuff? And is that a new reality that things are just costing more in today's society? Well, I think there's several reasons for that. Right now, this year, there are several sources of inflationary pressure. And we're seeing that we have seen that up until this point in the inflation data. You know, the impact of tariffs has kind of been trickling in, but also demand for services has kept services inflation high. I think also it's because we're all hyper attuned to it.
30:41You know, there's research out there that says after a period of high inflation, we're all going to be extra sensitive to inflation. And I think that also plays a role. We're all we all have our eyes out for it. Right. So because inflation is higher than we'd like, it's going to be particularly painful in light of the recent high inflation period. Elizabeth, I had an interesting conversation with somebody today about the Federal Reserve and just the idea of Fed independence. And I'm curious about your view on this. Her argument to me was we're starting to look at monetary policy in the United States that represents not necessarily monetary policy historically in the U.S., but one that's under more political pressure than we've seen, at least in recent years.
31:23And to her, it's starting to look like something more out of the developing world where monetary policy is more politically influenced. I'm wondering your view on that. I don't know if I would take that quite of a bleak look. I mean, I believe the risk is there. You know, I think it was just earlier this week where Bostick came out and said he plans on retiring next year, which opens up another seat on the Fed. And the risk is always there that as an administration has undue influence on who is who takes a seat at those decision making tables, there could be more pressure than usual. I do have pretty deep faith in the independence of the Fed and sort of the dedication to independent monetary policy that these people have in these positions.
32:05But I do think we have higher risks now than we did, say, a couple of years ago. Yeah. I mean, you know, part of, I think, confusion on maybe the part of investors when they're thinking about the data that's going to come and whether or not it provides conviction for another rate cut come December. The part of it is, I mean, Fed officials themselves are divided, right, on the best path ahead for interest rates due to high inflation and continued weakness in the labor market. You know, so, you know, it's a dual mandate. That's tough when both parts of the mandate are tricky right now. Right. And maybe create some problems or would determine a different Fed policy for each.
32:45And you do wonder that debate and which voices are going to sound the loudest and perhaps have more sway, assuming Fed Chair Jay Powell is among them. But how we need to think about that in the next Fed decision. Yeah, you're absolutely right. So not only is the data pointing to the dual mandate, sort of the two sides of the dual mandate being at odds, right? We still have high inflation and the labor market is cooling, but neither one of those things are sort of at a tipping point, right? We're not seeing a skyrocketing unemployment rate and inflation is not at target, but it's not alarmingly high.
33:19So it makes sense that there's sort of more gray area and people are going to fall on either side of these decisions a little bit more than they normally would.
33:31What? I think we got to go. I think we do. Listen, there's a lot going on. And I guess as the data comes in, well, ultimately, let's see. It is certainly an interesting time to be talking about the U.S. economy. That is for sure. Hey, Elizabeth, thank you so much. Elizabeth Renter, she's senior economist at NerdWallet, joining us from Durham at North Carolina. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Business Week Daily coming up after this.
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37:21In fact, shares of Disney down about 8%. Shows that it's not so magical, at least today in the Magic Kingdom. Shares of the Walt Disney Company down the most since April. This is the company reported sales that fell short of Wall Street estimates instead of slate of big budget films, including the new Avatar picture, Carol, are going to weigh on results for the first quarter of its new fiscal year. Yeah, it's definitely played out in today's session. Hey, Disney CFO, Chief Financial Officer Hugh Johnston joined Bloomberg Television earlier today, covered a variety of topics, including a succession plan for the current CEO, Bob Iger.
37:55What the board has indicated is that will take place sometime during the first calendar quarter of 26. We report in in next February whether that'll be before or after will be up to the board. But we should have it done by by the end of March. All right. That again is Disney CFO Hugh Johnson. As he said, Disney expects to name a successor to Bob Iger by the end of March. Keep in mind, Iger was there for a long time. One named Bob or not one named Bob? That's a good point. That's my question. It was Bob followed by Bob followed by Bob. But OK, Bob Iger there for a long time, considered kind of a mastermind in terms of CEOs and what he did with Disney.
38:36Then Bob Chapek came in and there was a lot of focus right on streaming and then things. Just reminding everybody about the succession last time around. And Bob Iger came back. Exactly. OK. So we'll see whether or not they have to be named Bob. Let's see what our Gita Ranganathan has to say. She's Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Media Analyst. She's at BI headquarters in Princeton. We're going to talk succession in a moment, whether or not the next CEO, Gita, has to be named Bob. But more importantly, let's talk about the quarter that was and the outlook that is. What do we need to know about earnings?
39:09Yeah, a quarter that was was fine. It was pretty much in line with expectations, Carol. I think what really has kind of spooked the street a little bit is guidance. Again, overall guidance for fiscal 2026 seems to be OK. I think really what investors are having a hard time kind of wrapping their heads around is the fact that fiscal 1Q looks really soft, which means everything is going to get pushed to the back half of fiscal 2026. And I think that's what's causing a lot of the nervousness that we're seeing today. I want to go right to the successor. Disney board will name a successor to CEO Bob Iger.
39:44Does it have to be named Bob? Yeah, I mean, well, who's on the short list right now? Yeah, so, I mean, the first big question, Tim, was, is this going to be an external candidate? Is there going to be an internal candidate? So it looks like initially when they started out, it was all four internal unit heads that were in the race. So we're talking ESPN's Jimmy Pitaro. We're talking Josh DiMaro of the Parks, Dana Walden and Alan Bergman from the studio and content division. It looks like that race has kind of now narrowed down to two potential candidates. So we're looking at Dana Walden, who is a creative genius.
40:17And of course, you have Josh DiMauro, who is, you know, who's headed parks and is a parks veteran, has an absolutely stellar track record there. So it's kind of going to come down to this eternal question, right? For Disney, the content is the start of everything. It is the source of everything, including, you know, parks, right? The IP of parks is all from the movies and all the other creatives that they have going on at film and TV. So, again, which one is more important? The last time they had a parks guide, that didn't go so well. So we'll have to wait and watch. Yeah, you know, and right, they used to do things.
40:50I remember like reporting on Disney, Kitan, like people would switch jobs, right? The CFO with parks, I think, or something, you know, as they would kind of like a CEO race, if you will, and let people kind of get another view of the company. Looking at Dana Walden, you know, co-chairman Disney Entertainment, she does have a big portfolio. Jimmy Kimmel, when he spoke to Lucas Shaw earlier this year at Bloomberg Screen Time, he was, Jimmy Kimmel, that is, incredibly complimentary of Dana Walden. Her name came up so much during that interview. Yeah, that's a really good point. I didn't realize she, yeah.
41:24So she's done a lot of interesting things. Handmaid's Tale, Kardashians, Only Murders in the Building. So what does Disney need in your view? You understand this space and kind of how media has continued to evolve and Disney's place within it. And Disney's not just media, but they are media content and kind of just putting it across their platforms. What kind of CEO does Disney need? They need somebody who can do everything right exactly as what Bob Iger has done. I mean, so these are some really big shoes to fill. I just wonder with kind of, you know, obviously Dana Walden, really good at handling talent.
41:58You just brought up the Jimmy Kimmel controversy. I mean, you need to be able to have a lot of charisma. You need to be able to kind of work with a lot of these very, very hard personalities in Hollywood. So I think Dana Walden definitely knows her way around there. She obviously has a great reputation, a great track record. But at the same time, when you kind of look at the bread and butter of the business, that is the parks business. And you have to kind of be an operations geek and an operations nerd to really get the day to day running at all of the parks, at all of the cruise ships, the vacations properties.
42:30And of course, Josh tomorrow is the absolute superstar there. So I really wonder whether they actually need to have kind of a co-CEO structure. I mean, we know Netflix has done that pretty successfully. Spotify is looking to do that starting in January. So, you know, I think it could work. But then again, you know, it's also a recipe for disaster sometimes. I love that. Maybe. Yeah. Who knows? Well, maybe we'll find out just in a few months. Before we let you go, in an environment where so many of these large media companies are shedding assets or combining to form new ones or looking to buy more, Disney's assets, is it the right size right now?
43:08Does it need to shed any? I don't think they need to shed anything. If at all something comes up, it's pretty much just the linear TV networks. But that is a smaller and smaller part of the business. As we kind of look at the portfolio, Tim, you just look at the theme parks business along with all of the cruises. And then you put streaming together. Just those two pieces of the business would be close to about 70 to 75 percent percent of earnings in 2020, fiscal 2026. So really, those are the big drivers in terms of earnings. I don't really think they, you know, they need to shed anything. But of course, the question is going to keep coming up whether they do need to kind of spin off their cable TV networks.
43:44I love it that it's like that comes down to like parks, like being so important to the company. Hey, Geeta. Thank you. Thank you. Geeta Ranganathan. She's senior media analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern on Bloomberg.com, the iHeartRadio app, TuneIn, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg Terminal.
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Bitcoin sank deeper below the $100,000 mark, dragged down by a fresh wave of risk aversion and a selloff in tech stocks that reignited Wall Street jitters.
The digital currency fell as much as 3.9% to $97,956, intensifying a slump that’s wiped out more than $450 billion in value since early October. Once-reliable sources of support — including large investment funds, ETF allocators, and corporate treasuries — have stepped back, removing a key prop from this year’s rally and triggering a new phase of market fragility.
Analysts at 10x Research say the crypto market has entered a confirmed bear regime. The firm cites weakening ETF flows, continuing selling by long-term holders, and muted participation from retail buyers. The firm’s models flagged the shift in mid-October and now point to deteriorating sentiment beneath the surface. The next key level is $93,000, according to 10x.
Today's show features:
- Eric Trump, Co-Founder and Chief Strategy Officer of American Bitcoin, on his company’s business model and the regulatory environment for cryptocurrency
- Elizabeth Renter, Senior Economist at NerdWallet, on key economic data expectations as the US government reopens
- Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Media Analyst Geetha Ranganathan breaks down quarterly earnings from Disney
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