In short
Weekend edition of Bloomberg Businessweek covering (1) Stanley Druckenmiller’s public rebuke of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent over long-dated bond buybacks meant to push down long-term yields, and (2) the Trump family’s push for a national bank charter for its crypto/stablecoin business, plus a separate interview on youth risk-taking.
Guests (and backgrounds)
- Eric Schatzker, editorial director for Bloomberg New Economy; long-time reporter/analyst of markets and policy.
- Paige Smith, finance reporter for Bloomberg News; covers banking/fintech regulation.
- Ronan Harari, co-founder and former CEO of Spin Master (Paw Patrol); author of No Experience Necessary.
Key claims
- Druckenmiller argues Bessent’s long-bond buybacks are unwarranted, hypocritical (like QE), violate “fundamentals,” and threaten central-bank independence by blurring debt management vs price management.
- He warns that defending yields forces larger operations and is politically painful because deficit/entitlement cuts may be the only real adjustment.
- Trump family entity World Liberty Financial received conditional OCC approval for a trust charter to expand its stablecoin USD1; charter approvals have accelerated (22 in 19 months vs prior five years combined).
Notable examples
- Druckenmiller and Soros’ 1990s bet against the British pound that “broke the Bank of England.”
- Mention of Nubank’s national bank approval as a comparison.
- Spin Master examples: Paw Patrol, Air Hogs, Earth Buddies, Melissa & Doug, Kinetic Sand.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOEconomic Updates and Insights
0:43 to 1:36
Insights on recent economic events and their implications.
“This is Bowen Yang from Las Culture East.”
Economic Updates and Insights
2:46 to 3:40
Insights on recent economic events and their implications.
“This past week, Treasury Secretary Scott Besson declared a, quote, economic D-Day against Iran.”
Stanley Druckenmiller's Warning
3:40 to 4:30
Discussion on Druckenmiller's critique of bond buying strategies.
“We are going to continue with our regular program of auctions.”
The History of Market Reactions
4:30 to 5:00
Exploring the historical context of market reactions to government policies.
“First of all, the journal is the place that Stan Druckenmiller typically goes if he wants to make a public statement.”
Analyzing the Bond Buyback Strategy
5:00 to 6:04
Druckenmiller's analysis of the impact of bond buybacks on the market.
“They shorted it and broke the Bank of England.”
Entitlement Reform and Fiscal Balance
6:04 to 12:18
A look at entitlement reform and its implications for fiscal policy.
“And it would also add, for those who haven't read it, go and read it.”
Understanding Scott Besson's Unconventional Role
14:00 to 14:53
Explore Scott Besson's unique transition from hedge fund manager to treasury secretary.
“And given your understanding of Scott Besson's investing history, who he worked with.”
Understanding Scott Besson's Unconventional Role
15:02 to 15:37
Explore Scott Besson's unique transition from hedge fund manager to treasury secretary.
“ChatGPT work is a new way of working in ChatGPT that can take action across your apps and files, stay with a project for hours if needed, and turn a goal into finished work.”
Potential Bank for Trump's Family
15:42 to 17:33
Discuss the approval process for President Trump's family's new bank.
“This is Matt Rogers from Las Culture East.”
Regulatory Landscape for New Banks
17:33 to 21:40
Examine the current regulatory environment for new banking entities.
“The president's relatives and their business associates have won preliminary approval to start one, riding a wave that doesn't come around that often.”
Show all 23 chapters
Trends in Fintech Banking
21:40 to 25:05
Investigate the changing landscape of fintech companies transitioning to banks.
“So what I found to be particularly interesting is in the piece, you know, you essentially note that this isn't happening in isolation.”
Monitoring New Banking Entities
25:05 to 27:16
Explore the implications of new banks in the financial system and their oversight.
“than the biggest banks that you know and might be yeah I would say offer less traditional services should I become a Lord of the Rings guy?”
Upcoming Insights from Toy Industry Veteran
27:16 to 28:01
Tease an interview with the former CEO of the company behind Paw Patrol.
“Also with me, Nora Melinda, Bloomberg Television Markets Correspondent.”
Upcoming Insights from Toy Industry Veteran
28:11 to 28:47
Tease an interview with the former CEO of the company behind Paw Patrol.
“Some people treat ChatGPT like some kind of smart search engine, and some use it to get work done.”
Taste of Kewpie Mayo
28:54 to 29:55
Discussion on the popularity and unique qualities of Kewpie mayonnaise.
“This is Bowen Yang from Las Culture East.”
Youth and Risk Taking
30:09 to 30:47
Exploring the relationship between youth, risk-taking, and personal development.
“This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast.”
Introduction to Ronan Harari
30:47 to 31:32
Introducing Ronan Harari and discussing his background in the toy industry.
“The company Spin Master, the company brought us Paw Patrol.”
The Magic of Toys
31:32 to 34:24
Insights into what makes toys successful and the impact of digital play.
“the toy business is half art half science and at the end of the day you're looking for something that creates imagination in the kids.”
Lessons from a Young Entrepreneur
34:24 to 38:20
Ronan shares pivotal lessons from his early career and the importance of youth.
“But three quarters of the way through in the development, we found out that Hasbro and Mattel passed on the product.”
Overcoming Learning Disabilities
38:20 to 40:16
Discussion on dysgraphia and the challenges faced in education and business.
“Can you explain what that is and what was challenging for you?”
Importance of Education
40:16 to 41:22
Ronan discusses the personal nature of education and embracing risk.
“I mean, I don't have kids, but if God willing, if I have kids, I do not want them growing up with a learning disability.”
Importance of Education
43:23 to 43:48
Ronan discusses the personal nature of education and embracing risk.
“Aging is real, and so are the benefits of new Vital Proteins Collagen Sparkling Water.”
Importance of Education
43:52 to 44:48
Ronan discusses the personal nature of education and embracing risk.
“This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Carol Massar:Some people treat ChatGPT like some kind of smart search engine, and some use it to get work done. ChatGPT Work is a new way of working in ChatGPT that can take action across your apps and files, stay with a project for hours if needed, and turn a goal into finished work. It's designed to help you move from a chaotic starting point to a reviewable first version. So all the source materials, briefs, and scattered information that you have to grind through to turn into something useful can just become something useful. Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at ChatGPT.com by selecting Work Mode, available on Plus and Pro plans.
0:42This is Matt Rogers from Las Culture East. That's with Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang. This is Bowen Yang from Las Culture East. That's with Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang. You know when people try on new food and suddenly it's like, wait. That's the reaction a lot of people are having when they first try Kewpie mayo. It's the one with the red cap and the little baby on the bottle. You've probably seen it in the grocery store before. And if you've ever just walked past it, some people would say that's a huge mistake. Because this mayo is different. Most mayonnaise uses whole eggs. Kewpie only uses egg yolks, which gives it this rich umami flavor.
1:15It's smoother, deeper, and almost buttery. Once people try it, they start putting it on everything. Egg sandwiches, fries, burgers. Some fans even swear by dipping pizza crust in it. And once you notice it, you start seeing it everywhere. Chefs use it. Restaurants use it. People who really care about flavor use it. Never tried it? Grab the bottle with the red cap next time you're at the store. Put it on just about anything. Then you'll understand. QP, the original Japanese mayonnaise.
1:41Carol Massar:If you like YouTube, you'll love YouTube Premium. Hi, I'm Sean Evans from Hot Ones, and I want to tell you about YouTube Premium. It has offline downloads, so you can watch without Wi-Fi. Background play, so you can lock your phone, and it still plays, baby. Oh, and it is completely ad-free. Yes, I said it, ad-free. Try YouTube Premium for two months free at youtube.com slash premium. Trial eligibility varies, terms apply, cancel anytime. time.
2:13Bloomberg Audio Studios.
2:15Carol Massar:Podcasts. Radio. News. This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily, reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies, and trends shaping today's complex economy. Plus, global business, finance, and tech news as it happens. The Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio. Hi, everyone. Welcome to the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Tim Stenevek. Carol is off this week. This past week, Treasury Secretary Scott Besson declared a, quote, economic D-Day against Iran. The U.S.-Canada trade fight escalated and the Kansas City Fed's annual gathering in Jackson Hole put monetary policy front and center yet again.
3:02And then,
3:03Carol Massar:And of course, earnings from the world's most valuable company, NVIDIA. The chipmaker announcing guidance, expecting revenue to grow as much as 70 % in the next fiscal year. For the latest on all that and more, head on over to the Bloomberg Terminal or to Bloomberg.com. Coming up this hour, we're going to examine how the Trump administration is reshaping market fundamentals. Why Stanley Druckenmiller is calling Treasury Secretary Scott Besson's bond buying a mistake. Plus, how the Trump family is fast-tracking a national bank charter for crypto-related financials. All that to come, but we begin with a rare public rebuke from one of Wall Street's most influential investors.
3:39Carol Massar:Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has recently pledged to increase the Treasury's purchases of long-dated bonds. We are going to continue with our regular program of auctions. So you will be hearing from us again at the beginning of next quarter. We haven't bought a single bond yet. The next time we have an operation is September 9th. So we will see on September 9th. However, billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller is now warning his former protege against trying to push down long-term yields. In a recent Wall Street Journal opinion column, Druckenmiller argued that policymakers should let the bond market do its job.
4:18Carol Massar:For more, Nora Melinda and I turned to Eric Schatzker, editorial director for Bloomberg New Economy. He explained the history behind that warning and the risks that Druckenmiller sees in Bessett's bond strategy. First of all, the journal is the place that Stan Druckenmiller typically goes if he wants to make a public statement. So that part of it is not unusual, but he does not do this very often. So pay attention when he does. And why do we pay attention to Stan Druckenmiller? Because few people would argue that he is the best investor in modern history. Never a down year when he was running Duquesne Capital Management.
4:53Carol Massar:He was George Soros' chief investment officer. He hired Scott Besant in 1991. He sent Scott Besant to England. It was on the basis of information, partly on the basis of information that Scott Besant was providing, working for Soros Fund Management in the early 1990s, that Druckenmiller and Soros decided to bet against the British pound. They shorted it and broke the Bank of England. And it is that fundamental truth that governments defending prices against fundamentals always lose that was proven there and which Druckenmiller argues will once again be proven here. So take us to today and well, actually to last week.
5:38Carol Massar:because we do need for the benefit of many to review what sparked right this disagreement yeah at least or this right post from from stan drunken miller which by the way you cannot not look at as anything but a harsh scolding right the mentor publicly admonishing his protege. And it would also add, for those who haven't read it, go and read it. If you're lucky enough to have a Bloomberg terminal, it's simple. NH space WSJ, put in Druckenmiller as a keyword, it'll come up. You can, of course, read it in the Wall Street Journal. You will look long and hard to find a piece of writing this savage and this devastating.
6:27Carol Massar:I mean that. So last week, the Treasury announces that it is going to double the size of its long-term bond buyback program from$2 billion to$4 billion. And then Besant doubles down effectively and says, well, we might spend more than$4 billion. And Druckenmiller says$4 billion understates the gravity of this mistake. And I have, for my own purposes, broken it down into four component parts. This is how Druckenmiller dismantles the argument behind a long-term bond buyback program. Number one, it's unwarranted. There is no crisis. Yes, yields are rising, but that is the market functioning the way it is supposed to function, right?
7:16Carol Massar:Pricing in the growing risk of two things, one, inflation or more inflation. We have some already, obviously. And two, the growing possibility of a U.S. government default. This is what the bond market does. It is not March of 2020. This is not the 2022 crisis in UK gilts, right, that cost Liz Truss her job as prime minister. There were, as Druckenmiller points out, no failed auctions, no dealer balance sheet seizure, no forced unwinds. Number two, it's hypocritical. Who was more critical of quantitative easing? maybe some people, but few more vocal and more aggressively so than Scott Besant. And Druckenviller points out that this is effectively a version of QE.
8:03Carol Massar:And so what you have, what the other thing he hated about QE was that, Besant that is, he made the case that it was a blurring of the lines between fiscal policy and monetary policy. And here you have the Treasury Department, the Treasury Secretary, usurping the authority of the Fed chairman. Number three, going back to this idea of fundamentals, it violates one of the cardinal laws of the financial universe, right? Governments will always lose when they try to fight fundamentals. Again, I mentioned that this is exactly what Druckenmiller and George Soros proved when they bet against the Bank of England.
8:43Carol Massar:And as Druckenmiller says, this is another useful quote to draw from this essay. once markets believe treasury is defending a price, every rise in yields becomes a test of official resolve, and the operations must grow to survive the tests. Well, that raises an inevitable question. If it's a fight, effectively, between the policymaker and the market, how much ammunition does the policymaker have? Not enough ammunition to defeat the market. Well, it raises the question, and the journal piece doesn't go into this, but it raises the question about why the Treasury Secretary would do such a thing right now.
9:26Carol Massar:You describe it essentially as out of character given his past comments, and I think it's fair to say given his hedge fund history as well. Why do something like this? Well, the most obvious answer to that question is that it's becoming awfully expensive for the federal government to issue long-term debt. The federal government needs to finance its deficit and its debt, and doing so means issuing treasury bonds. Well, issuing treasury bonds when your yield is at 470 is a whole lot more expensive, a whole lot more costly to the government and ultimately to the U.S. taxpayer than it was when yields were at 370.
10:06We could do the math, but it's the...
10:11Carol Massar:Let me just put it in Druckenmiller's words. The real problem is the fact that the government is running an outsized deficit. In fact, the real... So the nominal rate of growth is actually higher than the yield on the 10-year treasury. And he says that that historically is an accommodative circumstance. If anything, the market should be pricing yields higher because it fuels, you know, that financial accommodation or economic accommodation fuels inflation. And the reason this is the most read story on the Bloomberg and the reason that this is transfixing Wall Street is because of the implications.
10:55Carol Massar:And this is the fourth reason that Druckenmiller cites, or at least my interpretation of his reasons. is that it's hazardous, right? The long-term treasury yield, as Stan says, is the most important price in the world. And furthermore, it is underpinned by central bank independence, the independence that was enshrined in the 1951 Treasury Fed Act. It is the bedrock of global financial markets. And Stan says again in this piece, U.S. policymakers built the wall between debt management and price management for a reason. This intervention, he is specifically referring to the buyback program, this intervention starts dissolving it.
11:42Carol Massar:So it's not just like we need to think about this in something other than just the short-term dynamics of the bond market. Whether Scott Besson will or will not win in his effort to bring down long-term yields. There are much bigger questions and much bigger implications at issue. Well, when you think about Bessent and you think about Washington, do you think that Washington is remotely prepared for the economic and the political pain that would come with potentially allowing the bond market to set the price at the long end? You know the answer to that question. No, of course, because it probably means it means cutting spending, right?
12:21Carol Massar:He makes the point in the piece that neither party does it. Right. Yes, exactly. Both Republicans and Democrats are guilty of this. Everybody has been kicking the can down the road. But now with bond yields where they are, interest payments exceed the amount of defense spending. And defense spending vastly exceeds the amount of discretionary spending. So where can you cut? The only place arguably, and I'm certainly not advocating for anything one way or the other, but the only place arguably to cut, says Druckenmeller, is entitlements, entitlement reform. Nobody wants to undertake entitlement reform because it's so politically perilous.
13:00Carol Massar:Yet where else do you cut if you need to reduce the deficit and restore fundamentals to a point where people have confidence in yields and aren't gently, or maybe in some cases not so gently, driving them higher? Or, and I'm going to say something crazy, Eric, maybe increase revenues. Well, that's another way of doing it. But of course, it's restoring fiscal balance to the equation. But there's no doubt here that and Stan has been consistent on this for years and years and years that he would prefer that the balance be restored by a spending cut. Once upon a time, you had options. Now, effectively, there are no options other than entitlement.
13:43Carol Massar:I want to make sure people go back and read the cover story for Business Week that you did on the Treasury Secretary a year ago. and reread it if you haven't read it in a year. But given your experience reporting that out, were you surprised to see this move from Treasury last week? And given your understanding of Scott Besson's investing history, who he worked with. I, and I'm reluctant to opine because opining sounds like editorializing and that's the last thing in the world that I'd like to be accused of. that he wanted to be an unconventional treasury secretary was to me self-evident. And thus, some of the announcements that he's made and some of the things that he has done are consistent with being an unconventional treasury secretary.
14:38Carol Massar:He was almost in a unique position coming from his background as a hedge fund manager and becoming a policymaker the way that he did, there's very little precedent for that. Coming up, a look at how President Trump's family is on the verge of having its very own bank. You're listening to the weekend edition of Bloomberg Businessweek. This is Bloomberg.
15:01Carol Massar:Some people treat ChatGPT like some kind of smart search engine, and some use it to get work done. ChatGPT work is a new way of working in ChatGPT that can take action across your apps and files, stay with a project for hours if needed, and turn a goal into finished work. It's designed to help you move from a chaotic starting point to a reviewable first version. So all the source materials, briefs, and scattered information that you have to grind through to turn into something useful can just become something useful. Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at ChachiPT.com by selecting work mode.
15:41Carol Massar:Available on plus and pro plans. This is Matt Rogers from Las Culture East. That's with Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang. This is Bowen Yang from Las Culture East. That's with Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang. You know when people try a new food and suddenly it's like, wait, that's the reaction a lot of people are having when they first try Kewpie mayo. It's the one with the red cap and the little baby on the bottle. You've probably seen it in the grocery store before. And if you've ever just walked past it, some people would say that's a huge mistake. Because this mayo is different. Most mayonnaise uses whole eggs.
16:13Kewpie only uses egg yolks, which gives it this rich umami flavor. It's smoother, deeper, and almost buttery. Once people try it, they start putting it on everything. Egg sandwiches, fries, burgers. Some fans even swear by dipping pizza crust in it. And once you notice it, you start seeing it everywhere. Chefs use it. Restaurants use it. People who really care about flavor use it. Never tried it? Grab the bottle with the red cap next time you're at the store. Put it on just about anything. Then you'll understand. Kupi, the original Japanese mayonnaise. Amazon Health AI presents Painful Thoughts.
16:47I, um, I can't stop scratching my downtown. Mm-hmm. Yeah, but I'm not itching to go downtown and tell a receptionist I'm here to talk about my downtown. Some things you'd rather type than say out loud. There's no question too embarrassing for Amazon Health AI. Chat your symptoms and get virtual care 24-7. Healthcare just got less painful. You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 Eastern. Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Or watch us live on YouTube.
17:27Carol Massar:Welcome back to the weekend edition of Bloomberg Businessweek. I'm Tim Stanovic. Carol Masser is off this week. President Trump's family is on the verge of having its very own bank. The president's relatives and their business associates have won preliminary approval to start one, riding a wave that doesn't come around that often. And thanks to the Trump administration's deregulation push, it's now easier than at any time in almost the past 20 years to get a national bank charter. For a closer look, Nora Melinda and I spoke with Paige Smith, finance reporter for Bloomberg News. First of all, I think it's important to note that there are a number of different bank charters that anyone or any entity can pursue at any given time.
18:07The president's family is pursuing a trust charter and has received conditional approval from one financial regulator to do that. That regulator is the office of the comptroller of the currency. The OCC. The OCC, as we know it. run by Jonathan Gould, who is actually a Trump appointee himself. So there are a lot of different charters that anyone can pursue. Take Nubank, for example, a really well-known fintech that's Brazil-based. They've received approval to be a national bank, so it's slightly different. And maybe a little bit more vanilla or bread and butter than a trust bank, for example. So, I mean, the Trump family now on the verge, though, of having its own bank.
18:54What exactly are they trying to build? So the entity is known as World Liberty Financial, and it's owned by members of the Trump family and their business associates. And they are best known for a stable coin called USD1. And when they received this conditional approval and also before they received approval when they were applying, World Liberty Financial essentially said that they want to grow the reach of this stable coin and build out that business specifically.
19:29Carol Massar:You make the point in your piece that there have been other presidents who've had connections to the financial industry. The Roosevelt's operated their New York based financial firm for more than a century. You write. I learned from your reporting that George H.W. Bush's father was managing partner of the financial services firm Brown Brothers Harriman. But is there any precedent for a sitting president to have children who actually are starting a bank? As far as we know, there's not. This is a sort of one, this is, as far as we've reported, this is the first time that something like this has occurred.
20:08And it is really noteworthy, because like I mentioned, the application was reviewed by staff members at the OCC, and leaders of that agency were appointed by this sitting precedent by President Donald Trump.
20:23Carol Massar:For those out there watching or listening right now who might say, wait a second, there is a conflict of interest or there could be the appearance of a conflict of interest. You and the team reached out to the White House. What did they say? The White House essentially said that there is no conflict of interest here. And when we looked at the actual documents approving this entity to become a bank, they acknowledged that members of the public had raised the question or raised the question of the appearance of conflicts of interest and essentially said senior members of the OCC have reviewed this application and it may move forward.
21:02So why exactly does World Liberty Financial want to become a bank in the first place? So there are a lot of reasons for becoming a bank. Cheaper funding is one of them, but especially at this moment in time, if you think about it, if you're a bank in the U.S. financial system that comes with a level of legitimacy and sort of an inherent stamp of approval from the U.S. government to operate. And that's a big deal when you're a smaller digital asset firm or a fintech or an up-and-coming entity to be able to say, we have been approved by this U.S. financial regulator to operate in the U.S. financial system.
21:39That's a big deal. So what I found to be particularly interesting is in the piece, you know, you essentially note that this isn't happening in isolation. You found that it's easier to get a national bank charter right now than it was maybe 20 years ago in the past.
21:52Carol Massar:Or maybe even during the Biden administration. Fair play. So what's changed? Really, the pace has changed. If we include a number of graphics in the story that I would encourage everyone to read, that really note just how different it is, the timing is from the point of application to some sort of a decision, whether an approval or disapproval or any sort of decision on a bank charter. So that pace has really been expedited, but also just the number of banks that are being approved. In the first 19 months of the president's second term, the OCC approved 22 bank charters. That's more than the previous five years combined.
22:36Carol Massar:You know, you've done a lot of reporting on fintechs, and traditionally with fintechs, they haven't actually been banks. What they've been is like, okay, well, if you deposit money or you put your money with this fintech, they hold it in a bank that they have a partnership with. Is that changing because it is easier to become a bank now? That's such a good question. So it is changing in some ways, but it's not changing entirely. So for example, there may be some banks that will still work with a third party bank for another branch of their business. When you apply to become a bank or a new bank as a fintech, you have to make a present a very clear plan of how you plan on operating for the next few years so if an opportunity presents itself and you deviate from that plan in any way you can't do that under the plan you can't you need to make perhaps have a third-party relationship with someone else to execute that new opportunity so if we were to zoom out are we like essentially running an experiment here?
23:38Or what happens when you suddenly allow many of these crypto and fintech companies to actually go this route into traditional banking? I think that is a great question. And I think we're going to have to see how it plays out. I would note that a lot of these, some of these companies have operated before, a lot of them have not. Some of these companies are coming from other countries. Some of them are U.S.-based. It really is a very interesting moment in time and a moment in history to see how these sort of non-traditional firms will fare within the parameters of the U.S. financial system.
Read the full transcript
24:15Carol Massar:You go through some of the firms. You mentioned NewBank, for example. There's also, I'm not a Lord of the Rings guy, so I don't know if I'm going to say this. Erebor. Erebor, is that, and it's all, everything with Palmer Luckey is Lord of the Rings, I guess, I don't know. So, okay, Erebor Bank with Palmer Luckey is the guy behind that. He's the guy behind Anduril and Oculus, which was acquired by what was then Facebook. Why should Erebor be on our radar? I think that this influx of new banks should be on everyone's radars to see, first of all, how successful they can be within the parameters of the traditional system, but also to see if they slip up in any way, frankly.
24:53I think that it is the job of regulators to monitor that. And it sounds like they have they intend to do so to watch these players closely but they offer maybe less traditional services than the biggest banks that you know and might be yeah I would say offer less traditional services
25:14Carol Massar:should I become a Lord of the Rings guy? maybe so I haven't watched Lord of the Rings I don't hate Lord of the Rings I think it's like hero's journey kind of situation golem the stuff that I wasn't interested in when I was a kid like now that I have older kids well they're not older but like kids that are growing up and like getting interested in stuff like I can experience this stuff for the first time so maybe he'll yeah that was me with the Hunger Games and I'll be able oh yeah yeah circle back as an adult and you're like well yeah that came out when I was an adult so maybe don't just like introduce them to Game of Thrones anytime soon though no that's not gonna happen not for kids no don't worry perhaps not but I mean do you expect to see a trickle of these types of situations happening moving forward is this essentially just starting the beginning of a pattern?
25:56I would say as early as last week, the head of the OCC said that that regulator is, quote, open for business. So it is a dynamic situation. It's evolving. We'll see what happens, obviously, after the midterms in November. There may be more scrutiny of how many banks and which banks are receiving approval. But yeah, I would say it's a dynamic,
26:19Carol Massar:evolving situation where does the fdic come into this and in in within um i don't want to say allowing because treasury works on this as well but like are there are there bank failures playing into this at all i think that it again kind of goes back to the first question which is which charters are available for these entities so um if if you're a bank accepting consumers deposits, then that would fall under the purview of the FDIC. So New Bank, for example, would be an FDIC regulated entity. But you also are interacting with the Fed if you're one of these banks in some way. And FinCEN, which is another enforcement entity, Jamie Dimon bemoans the levels of enforcement that banks endure all the time.
27:11And this is kind of what he's talking about. There are a lot of regulators that you interact with as a bank.
27:16Carol Massar:That was Paige Smith. finance reporter for Bloomberg News. Also with me, Nora Melinda, Bloomberg Television Markets Correspondent. Still ahead on Bloomberg Businessweek, the co-founder and former CEO of the children's toy company behind Paw Patrol tells us why you need to bet on yourself when you're young. But I look back and I said, you know, there's so many magical things that accrue to you in your 20s. Like, for example, everybody's rooting for you. Everybody wants you to win. You don't realize it when you're young and everybody wants to be around you. They love your energy. And we had magical things like, for example, Alan Hasenfeld from Hasbro when we were 25 and went into the toy industry.
27:50He took our phone calls. He was so happy for us to be in the industry. Anything we can do for us, he did. There's a power of not knowing. It's very magical sometimes when you know too much.
28:00Carol Massar:I'm Tim Stenevec, and you're listening to the weekend edition of Bloomberg Businessweek. This is Bloomberg.
28:11Carol Massar:Some people treat ChatGPT like some kind of smart search engine, and some use it to get work done. ChatGPT Work is a new way of working in ChatGPT that can take action across your apps and files, stay with a project for hours if needed, and turn a goal into finished work. It's designed to help you move from a chaotic starting point to a reviewable first version. So all the source materials, briefs, and scattered information that you have to grind through to turn into something useful can just become something useful. Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at ChatGPT.com by selecting Work Mode, available on Plus and Pro plans.
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30:28Carol Massar:Carol, you know what they say. Yes. Youth is wasted on the young. They do say that a lot. The older I get, the more I think that's true. I totally agree. Like, I look back now and I'm like, wait, what was I so worried about? You know? Yeah, I wonder how much - And taking risks and just lots of different things. Well, let's talk about taking risks and betting on yourself, especially when you're young. Ronan Harari is the co-founder and former CEO of Spin Master. The company Spin Master, the company brought us Paw Patrol. And so much more. And more. Air Hogs is what I'm thinking of. He's also the author of a brand new book.
30:59Carol Massar:It's called No Experience Necessary. Why betting on yourself in your 20s is the best decision you'll ever make. We're going to talk about the book in a second. But I mean, how much of your work life have you spent playing with toys? Like literal toys for kids. The funniest thing is I didn't play with any toys growing up as a kid. and if you would have asked me in university if I was going to go into the toy business I would have told you like you're probably crazy so the first part of my life not very much and the second half a lot so you made up for it as an adult correct uh what what makes it what well there's I have so many questions about like toys today versus toys you know in my era which is a lot of what you were bringing to us um but I'm curious about what makes a toy successful you know it's the toy business is half art half science and at the end of the day you're looking for something that creates imagination in the kids.
31:46There's some sort of magic, some sort of pixie dust that wasn't there before. And, you know, we sift through thousands of ideas every year to get down to like the four or five or six ones that can actually bring the innovation.
31:58Carol Massar:Is the magic still there in a world of screens? Yeah, very much so. I think if you would have asked me in 2012, I would have said to you, you know, like it's not going to be good for the toy industry, but people still love the physical toys. They love the interaction. You know, they love the magical transformation, you know, with our toys like Bakugan and stuff like that. You know, we made an acquisition with Melissa and Doug, which is all about wooden toys and it's open-ended play. And parents love when their kids are using physical things with their hands and their imaginations going. Love their stuff.
32:28Every parent of a certain era knows Melissa and Doug.
32:31Carol Massar:Well, and I would say in our house, too, an old-fashioned wooden dollhouse. And like my daughter just would love like all her little guys, we used to say, and just the little toys that she would play with. And it was just just great, like not in front of a screen or anything, but we just play for hours and hours. Yeah. And if anything, I think there's a trend back where parents want them off the screen. I think that there's room for both. And I think the actually industry is actually on screen and off screen. They're very complimentary to each other. Well, more toys than reading. okay uh what about areas of innovation right now in the in the toy industry i think the toy industry is actually almost a tale of two cities or two worlds um you know like fashion dolls are down um uh games and puzzles are up trading cards are up big time yeah um activities are down so it's kind of a mix uh but if you're into collectibles it's a good space to be in i want to I want to talk to you about being in your 20s and what's so magic about that, especially it is essentially your story of just having kind of the world at your feet and you maybe don't even know it.
33:43Carol Massar:In a world where we are so much kids go to school for four years, do this for, you know, like tell us about that. Yeah, I think the most, you know, it didn't dawn on me until I hit middle age. But I look back and I said, you know, there's so many magical things that accrued to you in your 20s. like for example everybody's rooting for you everybody wants you to win you don't realize it when you're young and everybody wants to be around you they love your energy and we had magical things like for example alan hassenfeld from hasbro when we were 25 when we went into the toy industry he took our phone calls he was so happy for us to be in the industry anything we can do for us he did um there's a power of not knowing yeah right it's very magical sometimes when you know too much like i turned down a hundred million dollar live action film by universal when i was 40 when i was 26 we we created air hogs which you told me that you played with and at the time he's pointing at me not carol all right all right and and uh air hogs this airplane you pump it up you flick it flies around 45 seconds um and we we spent a year and a half developing the product brought it to market it took our company from seven million dollars in sales to 35 million dollars in sales and we did hundreds of millions of dollars worth of sales post that in flying toys.
34:51But three quarters of the way through in the development, we found out that Hasbro and Mattel passed on the product. And they passed for good reason. But for us, we thought about the issues for a while. And we were just like, we can figure it out. And I think if we were older, we would have actually not done it.
35:08Carol Massar:Well, talk to us about really your first product in EarthBuddies. Carol, you want to go way back. I do want to go way back. It's like adorable. And I think we have pictures and stuff. But I just, you know, you go through meeting with someone at Kmart, but initially it was the wrong buyer and getting to the right person and how maybe if you had been 40 years old, it wouldn't have played out. Correct. Well, when we started our business, four months. I know I'm jumping, but. No, but it's fine. So we came across this product called the Earth Buddy, a little softball. You put them in water, grows grass for hair.
35:46we decided we're gonna make 5 000 pieces for mother's day yeah that's what we did and two months later we had an opportunity to go down to kmart it was through a contact of and they were massive yeah kmart back in the day was amazon today in the 90s right yeah thank you and i drove down from toronto did not stay in a hotel because we were saving money got there for the nine o 'clock meeting pitched the buyer for 30 minutes and after 30 minutes he looks at me he says i'm not the buyer for this product.
36:13Carol Massar:But you pitched again. I pitched again because I didn't believe him. I was slightly paranoid at 23. So I pitch him for another 15 minutes and he says to me, I'm not the buyer. You pitch him again. I say to him, no, I say, no, I say, we're going to give you the product on consigned sales. That's right. And then he says to me, I'm not the buyer. So I figure if I'm giving him the product for free and he's not taking, he's really not the buyer. So I said, you know, I drove from Toronto, who is the buyer? And he went back to his office. He's such a gentleman. He came back and he gave me a piece of paper and on it was written Adrian's axe.
36:39I shook his hand, took my box of earth buddies and I start walking around camera corporation looking for this buyer and so lucky I was like 23 I think everybody thought that it was like bring your kid to work day right right and I got so lucky and she was sitting at her desk and I pitched her for 30 seconds she said okay I'll give you a meeting at 3 30 I go downstairs the other guys that I was with they got us the appointment they're like what happened I said I got a meeting let's go for lunch I said I'm not going anywhere I stayed in the lobby okay till 3 30 I came up and then as I'm walking into her office, I see on the left side of her bookshelf, she has seven other competing products.
37:14So I know I'm in the right office. Right. And then I do quick math. Before I get into the chair, I drop my price from 265 to 165. And I sit in the chair, I pitch her, I tell her everything about EarthBuddy so far, I tell her about the Campus Faces business that we started at university. And then after 15-20 minutes, she does the most magical thing. She turns around, and she grabs the vendor book, which is to become a vendor. Yeah. And she gives it to me. She said, I'm going to order 48 ,000 pieces from you. And if it does well, I'm ordering half a million for Christmas. And I was so stunned. And it was like, I was shocked.
37:49And then when I left, I asked her for something. You walked away with something. That's right. You've done your homework. So she was the horticulture buyer and she had a gnome. She had a bunch of gnomes in her office. So I asked her for one of the gnomes. I still have it today. But it was the most amazing thing because she had seven other companies she could buy from and she decided to buy from us. And I think it was A, because I got in the room and B, she was rooting for young people because two years later she called me and she said, will you go to Detroit and speak to some inner city youth?
38:16And I was like, of course. And yeah, and then that changed the whole trajectory of our company.
38:21Carol Massar:So in that, if we play out that moment again, that was so pivotal for you and your company, is it about that you were so young, you felt like this was all you had to do or all you needed to do this was your purpose in life was it because it felt like you were in a low risk time like what was it about where you were in life that that made you as a 23 year old sit there and say I'm not going to take no for an answer is it you or is it like society that was just you know I'll tell you something deep I mean I got identified at 10 years old with a learning disability called dysgraphia. And so I grinded my way through school.
39:03And school was super tough for me. Can you write about that?
39:06Carol Massar:Can you explain what that is and what was challenging for you? Dysgraphia is the inability for you to get your thoughts out through your hands. And so my handwriting is very illegible. Even for myself. And so when I'm writing, sometimes when it becomes illegible, I've got to go back and rewrite. And then I lose my train of thought. So an exam that would take you probably, or anybody, an hour takes me two or three hours to do. So I just had to grind my way through school. I was super fortunate that I got identified and I got accommodations and I I think it's it's one of the greatest Injustices In society where people don't get identified because lots of people don't get identified and it costs six thousand dollars to get an assessment today Which is super expensive for people And people with learning disabilities have so much to contribute So I was one of the lucky ones to make it through and I think it was just my tenacity of like that constant grinding, grinding, grinding that when I was in front of her, I was like, you know, I was in the store.
40:01I was like, I'll find the bar. I'll figure it out. You know, like I'll just figure it out. Like I have before, right? I've been figuring it out my whole life. I actually told a friend of mine
40:10Carol Massar:who's had to fight for assessments and was telling her your story because she has a son and it was like heartening to hear it. Yeah, it's very difficult. I mean, I don't have kids, but if God willing, if I have kids, I do not want them growing up with a learning disability. It's very difficult. We've only got about a minute or so left here. Just the thought of like in a society where we do push everybody to go to college and stuff, what would you say? And college is great, but. I think it's very personal. I think going to post-secondary education is such a gift and life is long. And if you have the opportunity to go and study and learn.
40:45And, you know, I know it's very expensive, but if you can afford it, if you can come out with not so much debt or no debt at all or whatever it is that meets you. But to be able to learn is fantastic. The ability to have friends for life as a result of going to university is fantastic. So I'm a big proponent, but it's not for everybody. And it's very personal to your own life.
41:06Carol Massar:And you also like we didn't get into it, but what you talk about risk and when you embrace risk, what comes along with it. but by also rejecting it, there's also a cost to that too. So, so many different lessons and so I think relevant to the time that we're in. Renan, thank you so much. Thank you so much for having me on, guys. Renan Harari, his book is No Experience Necessary, Why Betting on Yourself in Your 20s is the Best Decision You'll Ever Make. And will you bring back that toy for Tim? Airhog, I mean, yeah. Also, the company - I never hear you talk about toys. Gabby's Dollhouse, Kinetic Sand, which is used in every preschool in the United States.
41:42Carol Massar:I know. Paw Patrol, Miss Rachel. Yeah. There's a lot of stuff. Spin Master is behind it. I'll start with Earth Buddies, though. Well, actually, and then in college, the stuff you guys were doing. Good stuff. Come back soon. Thank you so much, guys. We'd love to continue. Our thanks to Ronan Harari, author of No Experience Necessary, and the co-creator of Paw Patrol. And that wraps up the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio. Thank you so much for joining us. Be sure to tune into Bloomberg Business Week daily, Monday through Friday, starting at 2 p.m. Wall Street time on Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg TV, and on Sirius XM channel 121.
42:14Carol Massar:I'm Tim Stenevek. Have a good and safe weekend, everyone. This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern on Bloomberg.com, the iHeartRadio app, TuneIn, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg Terminal.
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