In short
Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend - January 23rd, 2026
Episode Overview This episode features a compilation of insightful conversations from the week, hosted by Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Key discussions include President Trump's keynote at the World Economic Forum, economic predictions, and interviews with prominent figures like Cathie Wood from ARK Invest and Rick Wurster from Charles Schwab.
---
Key Discussions & Highlights
President Trump's Keynote at Davos
- Context: Trump's address at the World Economic Forum garners attention due to renewed trade tensions and his comments on European tariffs and potential U.S. acquisitions.
- Market Reactions: Mixed responses from financial markets regarding Trump's policies, particularly concerning tariffs.
- Economic Theories: Discussion around a theoretical framework by MIT economist Daron Asimoglu related to Trump's chaotic but strategic approach to governance.
The Theory of Trump
- Chaos vs. Strategy: Asimoglu discusses how Trump's actions could be viewed as a systematic approach to centralizing power, rather than mere chaos.
- Breaking Norms: Trump’s presidency is characterized by the breaking of political norms, leading to a significant shift in the power dynamics within U.S. politics.
Insights from Cathie Wood (ARK Invest)
- Market Opportunities: Wood discusses how last year's market disruptions may present new investment opportunities.
- Technological Revolution: She emphasizes the potential of AI, robotics, and other technologies to drive economic growth, suggesting a possibility of sustained GDP growth above 7% by the end of the decade.
- Job Creation: Wood argues that technology revolutions historically create new job categories, despite concerns about job losses due to automation.
Rick Wurster (Charles Schwab) Interview
- Earnings Report: Schwab reports significant earnings growth, aided by a surge in retail investor activity.
- Prediction Markets Discussion: Wurster discusses the current disinterest in prediction markets among clients, highlighting a preference for more traditional investment approaches.
- Customer Experience: Emphasizes the importance of providing a seamless and efficient client experience in a competitive market.
Barnes & Noble Revival
- James Daunt: The CEO discusses the resurgence of Barnes & Noble, attributing it to a renewed interest in physical bookstores and community engagement.
- Curation and Experience: Daunt emphasizes the importance of curation and creating an inviting atmosphere in bookstores to enhance customer experience.
Automotive Insights with Brian Maciak (Full Speed Automotive)
- Consumer Trends: Maciak highlights consumers' frugality and cautious spending, particularly regarding vehicle maintenance.
- Technology in Service: The integration of technology to build consumer trust and transparency during car servicing.
Future of Self-Driving Cars
- Hannah Elliott: Discusses her experience driving a new Mercedes equipped with advanced AI, highlighting the comparative intelligence of the car's systems.
- NVIDIA's Role: The collaboration with NVIDIA is crucial to the development of advanced driving technologies, positioning Mercedes competitively against other automakers.
---
Key Takeaways
- Economic Dynamics: The intersection of political leadership and economic policies continues to shape market reactions and perceptions.
- Investment Potential: Emerging technologies may redefine investment landscapes and economic growth trajectories.
- Consumer Behavior: A cautious consumer base is influencing spending habits, particularly in the automotive sector.
- Community in Retail: The revival of physical bookstores underscores the importance of community engagement and curatorial expertise in retail.
---
Conclusion The episode encapsulates the ongoing dialogue surrounding economic trends, the implications of leadership styles, and the evolving landscape of consumer behavior and technology in both finance and retail sectors. The insights provided by industry leaders and economists serve as a compass for navigating the complexities of today’s economy.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VODavos Economic Forum Highlights
1:54 to 2:05
Discussion on the World Economic Forum and President Trump's keynote.
“Welcome to the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week.”
President Trump's Policies at Davos
2:05 to 3:50
Analysis of Trump's speech and its implications for global relations.
“It's great to be back in beautiful Davos, Switzerland, and to address so many respected business leaders, so many friends, few enemies.”
The 'Taco Trade' and Economic Strategy
3:50 to 4:30
Exploring the 'taco trade' narrative and its relevance to Trump's strategy.
“question, is there a method to what some might say is the madness in terms of logic and strategy of the Trump White House?”
Daron Asimoglu on Trump's Theory
4:30 to 5:19
Daron Asimoglu presents a theory behind Trump's chaotic governance.
“Hey, all of this to come over the next couple of hours.”
Centralization of Power in Trump's Administration
5:19 to 8:13
Discussing how Trump's actions centralize power and weaken institutions.
“You took a step back, you looked at this, and we're just trying to understand, you know, this nonstop White House news cycle.”
Implications of Trump's Actions on Future Governance
8:13 to 12:20
Exploring the potential long-term impacts of Trump's governance style.
“And all of the norms that would have helped them sort of mobilize around some sort of objection saying this is not acceptable, you know, we don't see them.”
Interview with Malcolm Gladwell
15:45 to 17:02
Malcolm Gladwell discusses the potential of AI in business with IBM's CEO.
“I'm Malcolm Gladwell, host of the podcast Smart Talks with IBM.”
ARK Invest's 2026 Economic Outlook
17:02 to 18:04
The hosts discuss economic trends and the performance of U.S. stocks with Cathie Wood.
“This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio.”
Tax Changes Impacting U.S. Investments
18:04 to 19:21
Cathie Wood explains how U.S. tax reforms will influence capital investment.
“And I want to start with what stocks did here in the U.S.”
AI Trade and Its Market Potential
19:21 to 21:54
Discussion on the implications of AI-related investments and market growth.
“Like, have investors not realized that, and therefore it's not priced in yet?”
Show all 43 chapters
Technology Revolution's Economic Impact
21:54 to 24:07
Cathie Wood outlines the transformative role of technology on GDP growth.
“I'm really also interested in the health care aspect of it because I feel like there's a lot going on.”
Job Creation Amidst Technological Change
24:07 to 27:03
The conversation shifts to job creation and the evolving job market due to technology.
“To what extent is that the result of fewer people doing more?”
Tesla's Future with Humanoid Robots
27:03 to 28:00
Cathie Wood discusses Tesla's growth potential linked to AI and robotics.
“Well, now you can go to ChatGPT, you can go to Grok, and you can have an assistant help you build out that business.”
The Impact of Robotics and AI on Tesla Valuation
28:00 to 29:14
Learn how advancements in robotics, energy storage, and AI are set to transform Tesla's market value.
“Each one of those technologies has its own S-curve.”
Insights from Charles Schwab's CEO on Market Trends
33:06 to 36:26
Hear insights from Rick Wurster on Charles Schwab's recent performance and market outlook.
“Charles Schwab reported earnings this past week that beat Wall Street expectations after the company reported a surge in average daily trading volume in the fourth quarter.”
Exploring Prediction Markets and Client Interests
36:26 to 38:42
Delve into the relevance of prediction markets and client preferences at Schwab.
“interest to you that we could potentially see at one point on Schwab's platform?”
The Future of Trading: 24-7 Trading Insights
38:42 to 41:11
Discuss the potential for 24-7 trading and its implications for market efficiency.
“Unlike, you know, something we talked about when we were at Schwab Impact with you in November, that you had just done a deal which would give investors access to private companies.”
Trading Efficiency and Market Predictions
42:00 to 44:41
Discussion on trading efficiency, market predictions, and insights from Rick Wurster.
“so that spreads are tight and trading efficiency is very high.”
Preview of Upcoming Segments
44:41 to 45:01
Teaser for the next hour's topics including Uber and the CEO of Barnes & Noble.
“And that wraps up the first hour of the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio.”
Barnes & Noble's Comeback Story
48:22 to 49:28
Discussion on Barnes & Noble's revival post-COVID and its impact on the book industry.
“This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily, reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies, and trends shaping today's complex economy.”
The Role of Independent Bookstores
49:28 to 51:19
Exploring the resurgence of independent bookstores and their significance in the community.
“The company, which is owned by Paul Singer's Elliott Advisors, has 600 bookstores in the United States right now.”
Creating Unique Bookstore Experiences
51:19 to 53:01
James Dodd discusses how to create a unique and community-focused bookstore experience.
“Well, Amazon is why people lost confidence and then the rise of Kindle and there was a general notion and a media sense that physical books were gone, reading was disappearing.”
Managing Multiple Bookstores
53:01 to 55:01
Insights from James Dodd on balancing roles across several bookstores while ensuring quality.
“So we haven't completed that journey, I would say.”
Expanding Beyond Books
55:01 to 56:00
Discussion on how Barnes & Noble incorporates non-book products to enhance customer engagement.
“And frankly, the less I do now, the better it goes.”
Exploring the Business of Books
56:00 to 56:45
Learn about the diverse offerings of Barnes & Noble and the role of bookstores.
“So we have a fantastic music business, vinyl, even DVDs, CDs.”
Creating Community through Bookstores
56:45 to 57:25
Discover how bookstores serve as social spaces for community engagement.
“James, what about like live events for doing stuff?”
Current Trends in Book Sales
57:25 to 58:27
Understand the recent trends in book market sales and the impact of COVID.
“It's easier to do in the metropolitan cities because you can get the great authors, but you can do it wherever you are on a more modest scale.”
The Role of Public Libraries
58:27 to 59:15
Discuss the declining funding for public libraries and its effects on reading habits.
“We're not as important as public libraries by any close measure, but what we do, we do do with an immense respect for the power of books.”
AI's Impact on the Book Industry
59:15 to 1:00:15
Explore the challenges bookstores face with the rise of AI-generated content.
“I mean, this has been happening for a few years, but if a big news event happens, you can go find a self-published AI written book on Amazon to download right away.”
Reviving MTV: Challenges Ahead
1:04:25 to 1:05:30
Understand the challenges facing Paramount in reviving the MTV brand.
“Find an independent agent at c-i-n-f-i-n dot com.”
Changes in the Automotive Industry
1:05:30 to 1:06:22
Examine the current state of the auto industry and consumer behavior.
“Some warning signs in the global car market.”
Customer Insights in Automotive Services
1:06:22 to 1:08:30
Discover what customers want from automotive service providers today.
“So you've got a really interesting view on the country and the economy because Full Speed Automotive, through its different brands, franchise and company owned, 900 of these stores throughout the U.S.”
Maintenance Trends for Today's Vehicles
1:08:30 to 1:10:01
Learn about trends in vehicle maintenance and customer spending habits.
“But they're trying to watch their their pocketbook.”
Building Trust in Vehicle Maintenance
1:10:01 to 1:12:38
Learn how visual inspections and digital communications enhance customer trust in vehicle maintenance.
“When we come to you and say, when we say, you know, you need a you need a transmission flush or a brake flush.”
The Shift to Skilled Labor in Automotive Services
1:12:39 to 1:14:05
Discover the challenges and strategies for sourcing skilled labor in the evolving automotive service industry.
“It sounds like it's also labor intensive.”
Franchise vs. Company-Owned Dynamics
1:14:06 to 1:15:51
Explore the operational differences and strategies between franchise and company-owned automotive services.
“They're doing heavy engine work, transmission work, and we don't do that.”
The Impact of Electric Vehicles on Service Needs
1:15:52 to 1:16:18
Understand how the rise of electric vehicles is changing service requirements in the automotive sector.
“You know, I think a few more years ago, we all, well, I don't want to say about all, but some of us thought, oh my goodness, if this is going to take over, the quick loop space is going to dry up pretty quickly.”
Introduction to Advanced AI in Automotive
1:16:19 to 1:16:35
Get insights into the development of AI features in cars and their implications for driving.
“They still need a lot of the other ancillary services.”
The Future of Self-Driving Cars
1:20:23 to 1:24:01
Hear firsthand experiences with Mercedes' latest AI technology and its capabilities.
“So imagine the car you're driving could think faster than you.”
Exploring MB Drive Assist Pro's Urban Capabilities
1:24:01 to 1:25:19
Learn about the advanced features of the MB Drive Assist Pro for city driving.
“The real difference here is that this MB Drive Assist Pro is so smart that it does know when it can turn right on red and when it can't turn right on red.”
User Experiences with Waymo and Trust in Self-Driving Cars
1:25:20 to 1:27:11
Discover personal experiences and trust-building moments in self-driving cars.
“But yeah, this was a really interesting, fun way to navigate around a city that I don't know very well, San Francisco.”
The Relaxing Experience of Autonomous Driving
1:27:12 to 1:29:05
Explore how self-driving cars can transform the driving experience into relaxation.
“But I think anyone who doesn't, they just haven't been in it.”
Future of Self-Driving Cars and Industry Challenges
1:29:06 to 1:31:22
Examine the trajectory of self-driving cars and their regulatory challenges.
“This is level two plus plus, but we're very, very close.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00They told us to expect change. They warned us about the transition. But honestly, they forgot the best part. This is the chapter where we finally focus on us. LifeMD delivers expert menopause and midlife care right from your home. From hormone health to holistic wellness, LifeMD helps you feel your best for the best years of your life. LifeMD, it's just getting good. Visit LifeMD.com slash goodlife. The thing about AI for business, it may not automatically fit the way your business works. At IBM, we've seen this firsthand. But by embedding AI across HR, IT, and procurement processes, we've reduced costs by millions, slash repetitive tasks, and freed thousands of hours for strategic work.
0:50Now we're helping companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business, IBM. For many men, mental health challenges aren't recognized until they've already taken a toll. Work pressure, financial stress, changing relationships, and traditional expectations around masculinity can quietly wear men down, often without clear warning signs. In Season 3 of The Visibility Gap, Dr. Guy Winch and his guests explore how these pressures show up, how to spot them earlier, and how men can access meaningful support. Listen to the new season of The Visibility Gap, a podcast presented by Cigna Healthcare.
1:30This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily, reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies and trends shaping today's complex economy. Plus, global business, finance and tech news as it happens. Bloomberg Business Week Daily with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio. Hi, everyone. Welcome to the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week. This week, the spotlight was on the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland, and a keynote given by U.S. President Donald Trump. It's great to be back in beautiful Davos, Switzerland, and to address so many respected business leaders, so many friends, few enemies.
2:17As you've learned, when the United States goes up, you follow. I want Europe to do great. I want UK to do great. We want strong allies, not seriously weakened ones. All right. That, of course, was President Trump at Davos, Switzerland, the World Economic Forum's annual meeting. I've got to say, the President, Tim, grabbing a lot of global attention leading up to and at and after the meeting there in Davos because of renewed tariff threats on Europe and really reviving that idea of a U.S. takeover of Greenland. The outcome, and I've got to say, there were a lot of twists and turns in this. no new tariffs on Europe, markets like that, and then a framework of a future deal that includes mineral rights, we think, in Greenland.
3:04It does still feel like a lot of details, yet unknown and to be worked out. So stay tuned. Check out the Bloomberg and Bloomberg.com for the latest on this. So just to reiterate, a lot coming from the president. Flooding the zone, as others have described, that's what Steve Bannon said during the first term is sort of the strategy when it comes to communications. Raising the question, too, once again, about the logic behind the administration's decisions that are often pulled back. It's something that we've seen quite a bit during President Trump's first full year back in the Oval Office, such that there's a term that has become popular.
3:39We've heard it a lot in the financial press, in the financial media. I've heard a lot on Bloomberg, the idea of the taco trade. Trump always chickens out. Yeah, that definitely came back into the narrative this week. Hey, it also begs the question, is there a method to what some might say is the madness in terms of logic and strategy of the Trump White House? One Nobel Prize winning economist looked into it and offers up a theory of Trump. Also this hour, ARK invests Cathie Wood. She's giving us where last year's disruption may be creating this year's opportunities. And from the C-suite, Charles Schwab's chief executive officer, Rick Worcester, stops by on everything from a record quarter and the White House's moves to opportunities that he sees in prediction markets.
4:22Or doesn't, maybe. He's got a really interesting view, especially compared to the competitors out there. I thought it was really smart and detailed. So stick around for that. Hey, all of this to come over the next couple of hours. We begin with what some are calling the theory of Trump. We've entered year two of President Trump's second term. And for years, his critics and supporters alike have described his politics as chaotic. Impulsive tweets in the middle of the night, norm-breaking decisions, and a governing style that often seems driven by instinct rather than ideology. But what if it isn't chaos at all?
4:55In a recent Bloomberg Businessweek story, Daron Asimoglu, Institute professor in the Department of Economics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, also a Nobel laureate in economics, argues there is a unified theory behind Trump's actions. One rooted in leverage, disruption, and a willingness to weaken institutions in order to strengthen negotiating power. Daron joined us with more. You took a step back, you looked at this, and we're just trying to understand, you know, this nonstop White House news cycle. Is it about the president and his team controlling that news cycle? And this is what we all chase.
5:34You know, is it something more significant beyond just kind of a flood the zone concept that we often associate with President Trump and his team? What did you come up with? Look, I mean, obviously there is a flood zone element in there and it looks chaotic. But in my mind, worryingly, there is a bit of a theory, which is that all of these actions are aimed at centralizing power in the hands of an executive presidency with fewer and weaker checks, which come either from institutions or norms. So even the foreign actions are all about increasing domestic power. Even the sort of unconventional appointments are about weakening norms that control what the president can do and bringing in more loyalists that have now more room for maneuver because all the norms that had guided U.S.
6:34political dynamics have been broken. So you write that it would have been viewed as completely unacceptable for Bill Clinton, George W. Bush or Barack Obama to ask his attorney general or the DOJ to go after enemies. It would also have been considered beyond the pale for a president to invoke what you describe as a poorly documented crime emergency as a pretext for sending the National Guard into U.S. cities or for a president to continue to be involved in his family business while in office. Why is it being viewed, at least by members of Congress, Republicans in Congress, as acceptable for President Trump to do these things?
7:13Well, you know, part of the reason why those actions would not have been taken in the past is because they go against norms. There weren't explicit laws that said these things. So it was part of an institutional equilibrium with norms of acceptance and backed up by other politicians deviating and sort of distancing themselves if a president did that or bigger sort of pushback from civil society or the media. But President Trump and his team have been breaking these norms systematically for the first year. But even if you go to the first term of the president, there was already the same attempt.
8:02And all of these have now culminated in Trump controlling the party and the rest of the party, even part of the judicial system, are no longer able to stand up to him. And all of the norms that would have helped them sort of mobilize around some sort of objection saying this is not acceptable, you know, we don't see them. Now, recently for the Fed case, a few senators have started making grambling. So perhaps there might be some limit to what the legislature is going to put up with. But the part of the agenda that is, I think, now very clearly visible is sort of break down one piece of after another of this edifice that was constraining other presidents that are now gone for President Trump.
8:46So, Jerome, so basically, right, we thought this checks and balances would work, right? Three branches of the government. It made such sense. And it, for so long, has pretty much worked pretty well. But there was this strategy when it comes to the legal part, certainly, of the government, as well as the legislative. But let's just talk the legal part. Because we did have a judge saying Dominion Energy can resume a wind project that President Trump had halted. So we have seen him lose some of the judicial actions out there. Having said that, if he didn't have that in terms of the Supreme Court justices, would we not be maybe having this conversation today?
9:22Is that what's so much about it or is it all of it, that and the legislative side of it? And everybody, you know, even the GOP members of Congress saying, yeah, do what you want to do. You know, it's kind of interesting because that's their job kind of being taken away. Yeah, I mean, exactly. The sort of separation of powers with, you know, not just the Congress and the judiciary, but also the independent agencies acting like the fourth branch. Those were the things that constrained presidents. And if today those constraints were working well, we wouldn't be in this turmoil in terms of the domestic situation.
10:00And part of the concern is that right now it's really the parts of the judicial branch that are standing up against Trump indeed. But that's got its limits because there are a lot of Trump appointees and the Supreme Court with lots of Republican and Trump appointees hasn't really taken a very strong stance either. So all of these are piling up and taking us more and more to a situation where I think many of the former sort of presidents or constitutional scholars would find very scary because the structure of U.S. government wasn't meant to function this way. So then I'm trying to understand. And one thing that we do each and every day is we look at the markets and we look at market reaction.
10:46Markets were and have been kind of seen as a backstop here to at least some of the things that the president has said he will do or wants to do. Do you think they're reacting to his decisions or do you think they're saying, hey, it's all fine and good, at least up until now? Yeah, it is hard to understand why the markets haven't reacted more because some of the effects are already seen from the tariffs. I think that just really underlies that, you know, the stock market is not the fifth branch of government. It's not really a hard constraint in the same way that the other ones were supposed to be on the sort of centralization of power in the hands of one person or one group.
11:33And the tariff debacle demonstrates that the administration is much bolder and is willing to take actions that could lead to market reactions, at least in the short run. Now, some people are saying, oh, it's the bond market really that we need to watch out for. I don't know why, you know, right now the bond market would be much more important than the stock market. In some sense, both of them are things that both the administration and the business community are watching. But I wouldn't, you know, bet on, you know, the market mechanism being a strong enough guardrail against this kind of executive imperial presidency emerging.
12:15And if it does, I think it has really sweeping implications for how business is done. Again, you can see that from the fact that President Trump can invite people to his office and say, give us 20 % of your shares. That's also something. Yeah. There's just moment after moment where many would say this is It's kind of remarkable. So I am curious, is this lasting? Like, I am wondering who this emboldens in terms of whoever might be in the White House next. Is this the playbook, the new U.S. playbook? And to be fair. That's what I'm worried about. Exactly. I mean, look, I mean, Trump is an agent of change.
12:53He's really reshaping norms and institutions, but he is himself a symptom of what was wrong in some sense with the US system. There was a lot of inequality. There was a lot of discontent, and there was also some gridlock. You see more executive orders by Bush than by Obama, than by Biden. So, Trump is accelerating that trend, but he's continuing that trend, and I do not trust that the next Democrat or Republican is going to be much better behaved once the floodgates are open. I think we're going to go to a place where, you know, presidents could have much more arbitrary power, both in terms of their ideological agenda, but also in terms of corruption and kleptocracy.
13:38That was Daron Asimoglu, a Nobel laureate in economics and institute professor in the Department of Economics at MIT. Check out his full piece on Bloomberg.com and on the Bloomberg terminal. Coming up, what last year's market turbulence could mean for this year's winners. And who may have the power to disrupt, like Elon Musk. Is there another Elon-like individual out there? We're going to ask ARK Invest's Cathie Wood. She joins us next. This is Bloomberg.
14:15They told us to expect change. They warned us about the transition. But honestly, they forgot the best part. This is the chapter where we finally focus on us. LifeMD delivers expert menopause and midlife care right from your home. From hormone health to holistic wellness, LifeMD helps you feel your best for the best years of your life. LifeMD, it's just getting good. Visit LifeMD.com slash goodlife. Support for the show comes from Public. Lately, it feels like there are two types of investing platforms. Some are traditional brokerages that haven't changed much in decades, and others feel less like investing and more like a game.
14:57Public is positioned differently. It's an investing platform for people who are serious about building their wealth. On Public, you can build a portfolio of stocks, options, bonds, crypto without all the bugs or the confetti. Retirement accounts, yep. High-yield cash, yes again. They even have direct indexing. Public has modern design, powerful tools, and customer support that actually helps. Go to public.com slash market and earn an uncapped 1 % bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash market. Ad paid for by Public Holdings. Brokered services by Public Investing, member FINRA SIPC.
15:33Advisory services by Public Advisors, SEC Registered Advisor. Crypto services by ZeroHash. All investing involves risk of loss. See complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures. Hello, hello. I'm Malcolm Gladwell, host of the podcast Smart Talks with IBM. I recently sat down with IBM's chairman and CEO, Arvind Krishna, and I asked him, how can companies use AI to its fullest potential to create smarter business? My one advice to them, pick areas you can scale. Don't pick the shiny little toys on the side. For example? If anybody has more than 10 % of what they had for customer service 10 years ago, they're already five years behind.
16:21if anybody is not using AI to make their developers who write software 30 % more productive today with the goal of being 70 % more productive. Yeah, wow. So we are not asking our clients to be the first experiment on it. We say, you can leverage what we did. We're happy to bring out all our learnings, including what needs to change in the process, because the biggest change is not technology. It's getting people to accept that there's a different way to do things. To listen to the full conversation, visit ibm.com slash smarttalks.
17:02This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio. After the S &P 500 index rebounded from the brink of a bear market in April, last April, and then spent the remainder of 2025 going from one record to the next, President Donald Trump billed it as a sign that he had transformed the United States, as he likes to put it, into the world's hottest country. Measured against stock markets from Tokyo to Frankfurt to financial capitals across the developing world, the verdict on Trump's return to the White House is decidedly less triumphant. In fact, equities worldwide, once the U.S.
17:39is excluded, have risen around 30 percent since he took office a year ago, roughly double the S &P 500's gain. That's according to MSCI's index. Here to talk about 2026, the economy, investment ideas. Great to have back with us the founder, CEO, and CIO of ARK Invest, Kathy Wood. She joins us from St. Petersburg, Florida. Kathy, great to have you here. Happy New Year. Happy New Year, Carol and Tim. Very happy to be here again. Well, it's great to have you here. And I want to start with what stocks did here in the U.S. really well last year. But if you look at global stocks, you could say that there was certainly some underperformance by the U.S.
18:13You've invested in a lot of U.S. names, but also a lot outside the U.S. and I think about Chinese companies, BYD, Baidu, Alibaba. Are you looking for more opportunities outside the U.S. at this point? And I wonder if you think it's time for maybe U.S. stocks to take a look? I think we're very focused on the deregulation, lower taxes, and what we believe will be lower inflation, much lower inflation, and lower interest rates in the U.S. and we think the combination of those is actually going to drive the returns on invested capital in the U.S. up relative to those in the rest of the world. And I think many people are underestimating, especially on the corporate tax side, that thanks to the new depreciation schedules, our effective corporate tax rate, not the statutory, but the effective, will drop to one of the lowest in the world at roughly 10%, certainly near a record low for the U.S.
19:17So do you think, Kathy, that's not priced in yet to U.S. equities? Like, have investors not realized that, and therefore it's not priced in yet? You know, it's very interesting. Maybe a lot of your guests have been talking about the depreciation schedules, how massively they are going to encourage capital investment here in the United States. So we've never had full depreciation in year one of manufacturing facilities, full depreciation in the first year of service. That means corporations will get huge tax refunds that they will be able to reinvest into innovation because we also equipment, domestic R &D, and software.
20:09Those three, full depreciation, first year of service, that has been legislated. Normally we get, oh, a few years of this cut and that cut, but that has been legislated. Now it's all the time. So we don't think people understand how profound some of these tax changes are. So what does that mean for something like the AI trade specifically, Kathy, where I think people are worried about pockets of it with being in a bit of a bubble? Does it benefit everyone who is somehow associated, whether it's the chip companies, whether it's the energy companies? Do you see the benefits playing out there and giving it more room to move to the upside?
20:53Absolutely. Absolutely. I mean, we're having huge buildouts of data centers and power facilities. All of those depreciation schedules will apply to this boom in investment and contribute to it. So, yes. In fact, Carol, I was just going to say many people think we're in a bubble. And, yes, the data center spending last year was about$500 billion. And you can see all of this in our Big Ideas report. We just released it. Thank you, Bloomberg, for featuring it. But$500 billion is a two and a half times increase from where it had been trending for years. So big increase, no doubt about it. But we think that number needs to go to$1.4 trillion in the next five years to accommodate the AI boom that is now underway and is going to drive productivity gains incredibly.
21:53I want to get into that in just a moment. I'm really also interested in the health care aspect of it because I feel like there's a lot going on. Before we do so, we also have your 2026 outlook. And what's interesting is you note that this is an important economic historical moment. How so? Well, we are in a technology revolution. and many people thought that the internet was a technology revolution and to some extent it was but today instead of just one major platform evolving we have five so robotics energy storage AI blockchain technology and multi-omic sequencing in the life science space which might which we believe is the most profound application of AI, healthcare.
22:46And so this boom, if you look back at the railroad boom, the amount of investment that we saw back then was about 6 % of GDP at its peak, five to 6%. The internet boom was more like the auto boom in the early 1900s. It was more in the 3 % to 4 % of GDP range. We believe this five-platform innovation strategy, or boom, is going to move to 12 % of GDP. And we do believe also that productivity growth will accelerate to the 4 % to 6 % range and be sustained there. Normally, we see a cyclical peak around there, And then it falls back. We think it will be sustained. And we think that by the end of this decade, real GDP growth could be averaging more than 7 % per year.
23:53And I know that sounds shocking, given that we've been at 3 % for 125 years. But it is the history associated with technology revolutions, a step change up in GDP growth. The productivity increase, the GDP growth that you are forecasting as a result of these disruptive technologies. To what extent is that the result of fewer people doing more? My question is about job losses as a result of this technology, because if everything that investors are betting on when it comes to this AI revolution comes true, it means that companies aren't going to need as many people to do a lot more. What does that look like?
24:34Well, GDP growth at 7 % plus per year tells you there's going to be a lot of economic activity, more economic activity from a sustained growth point of view than we've seen in quite some time. The history of technology is it's a net job creator. In the early 90s, when developers were evolving the internet, we could not have imagined Uber, or Airbnb back then. And I think the same is true now. We cannot imagine the kinds of jobs that are going to exist in the future. And the other thing that we're excited about from a job creation point of view is we're seeing new worlds being created. And by that, I mean, most of us think about Earth.
25:25But now we're moving into space, even data centers, we think, Elon leading that charge will start moving into space and we won't have the not in my backyard and the bureaucracy associated with data centers. There's going to be huge job creation around the space exploration and all of the opportunities out there. And then the other one, and you'll find this in our digital assets section of Big Ideas, is the digital world, immutable private property rights. We know from economic history the best way to lift people and countries out of poverty is with private property rights that are immutable. Well, that is now moving into the digital world for the first time thanks to blockchain technology.
26:19So we're not worried about job creation. But for those who are, because there is something happening that I know is concerning to many people, the unemployment rate for 16 to 24-year-olds has moved to 12 percent. 12%, big increase. And what is that saying? That's saying that entry-level jobs are not being created the way they used to be. To those people, I say, you know, you must have in your mind an idea for a new business, something that frustrates you, an unmet need. Well, now you can go to ChatGPT, you can go to Grok, and you can have an assistant help you build out that business. Just interview for jobs, but also think about new business ideas.
27:16I think we're going to see entrepreneurial explosion here. Well, and, you know, speaking of entrepreneurial explosion, I think about, you know, how long you have certainly been with Tesla and a backer of Elon Musk. a long time. And I think about, you know, when we first talked and you likened him to Mr. Einstein, Albert Einstein. But I just wonder, Elon at Davos earlier today, and he talked about the carmaker's fortunes will be increasingly dependent on humanoid machines. Kathy, how are you modeling this? I mean, into the thesis of Tesla. And is that where the growth is more so than EVs for Tesla going forward?
27:52Without a doubt. We've always said Tesla is not an auto company. It is actually the convergence of three of the platforms I mentioned. So robotics, energy storage, and AI. Each one of those technologies has its own S-curve. And now they're feeding each other, and we're seeing that in robo-taxis. Robo-taxis, we believe, will account for 90 % of Tesla's valuation by the end of the decade. We're in print at 2 ,600. That includes nothing for Optimus robots. And we're beginning to understand how quickly Tesla is moving on that front. Why? Because it's the convergence of the same three technologies, robotics, energy storage, and AI.
28:44So I think that price target, obviously, if Optimus is successful, and we believe it will be, we think that humanoid robots is evolving into a$26 trillion opportunity, half in the home, half in manufacturing plants. That was ARK Invest's Kathy Wood. That full conversation available on the Business Week podcast feed and, of course, on the Bloomberg Terminal. Still ahead on Bloomberg Business Week, market swings, geopolitical uncertainty, navigating risks. Lots coming at investors this past week alone, actually already in 2026. On that of you from the C-suite and into the minds of investors and if prediction markets are what they want.
29:30The CEO of Charles Schwab. That's next. This is Bloomberg.
Read the full transcript
29:37support for the show comes from public lately it feels like there are two types of investing platforms some are traditional brokerages that haven't changed much in decades and others feel less like investing and more like a game public is positioned differently it's an investing platform for people who are serious about building their wealth on public you can build a portfolio of stocks options bonds crypto without all the bugs or the confetti retirement accounts yep High-yield cash? Yes, again. They even have direct indexing. Public has modern design, powerful tools, and customer support that actually helps.
30:13Go to public.com slash market and earn an uncapped 1 % bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash market.
30:33complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures. Hello, hello. I'm Malcolm Gladwell, host of the podcast Smart Talks with IBM. I recently sat down with IBM's chairman and CEO, Arvind Krishna, and I asked him, how can companies use AI to its fullest potential to create smarter business? My one advice to them, pick areas you can scale. Don't pick the shiny little toys on the side. For example? If anybody has more than 10 % of what they had for customer service 10 years ago, they're already five years behind. If anybody is not using AI to make their developers who write software 30 % more productive today with the goal of being 70 % more productive.
31:24Yeah. Wow. So we are not asking our clients to be the first experiment on it. We say, you can leverage what we did. We are happy to bring out all our learnings, including what needs to change in the process, because the biggest change is not technology. It's getting people to accept that there's a different way to do things. To listen to the full conversation, visit ibm.com slash smarttalks.
31:53If you follow markets, you know the value of long-term thinking. You plan, you diversify, you prepare for volatility. But even the best strategies can't prevent every bad day. For more than 75 years, Cincinnati Insurance has helped individuals and businesses navigate tough moments with expertise, personal attention, and independent agents who focus on relationships, not transactions. The Cincinnati insurance companies. Let them make your bad day better. Find an agent at c-i-n-f-i-n dot com. This is Caroline Hyde. And I'm Ed Ludlow. Join us for Bloomberg Technology, a daily podcast focusing exclusively on technology, innovation, and the future of business.
32:39We bring you the latest headlines from Silicon Valley and conversations with tech's biggest decision makers. You have to have a pro-innovation mindset. We were partnered with OpenAI. We've all experienced this incredible revolution. Bloomberg Technology. Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app and anywhere you get your podcasts. Bloomberg Podcasts. Context changes everything. This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio. Charles Schwab reported earnings this past week that beat Wall Street expectations after the company reported a surge in average daily trading volume in the fourth quarter.
33:17All of this happening as retail investors sought to take advantage of the end of a strong year for the stock market. Retail investors are still looking for guidance as they saw markets whipsaw in response to President Trump's global tariffs and geopolitical uncertainty, plus a rising popularity in prediction markets. That's why we wanted to hear directly from the top and from someone who understands this space and markets in a big way. Rick Worcester is president and CEO of Charles Schwab. He kicked things off with us talking about the company's latest earnings update. It was a record quarter for us as a firm.
33:52Our earnings grew 50 % year over year. Our revenue was up 22 % year over year. And we saw net new client assets to the firm of$519 billion on the year, including an all-time record quarter in the fourth quarter of$163 billion. And importantly, what we are seeing is a bull market for convenience, not just in financial services, but I think across most industries. The way that reflects itself for us is a desire for clients to have more of their financial life conducted with one institution. And we've been the institution for many that they're turning to. We can help them with their investing needs.
34:29We can help them with their trading needs, with their wealth needs, with their banking and lending needs. And so by bringing together a client's financial life, we're able to help them more. When we do that, their satisfaction actually increases and our business grows. So it's a win for them because we're bringing convenience. And it's a win for us because we're doing more business with them and doing more to help them in their financial life. You mentioned financial lives and you just went through a whole list of things that people do with these apps and services. What about prediction markets?
34:56Can you talk a little bit about whether you're planning on exploring options for customers when it comes to prediction markets? It's all a rage right now, as you very well know. And you thought we were going to warm you up. We weren't. We're just going to go right in. At the moment, it's not high on our clients list of things they want us to innovate for them. And so we've been focused on our innovations and other areas that are more interest to clients. But I distinguish that between that and sports gambling. And if you look at 95 % of the volume of what people call prediction markets is actually just sports gambling.
35:25And that's not something that we're keenly interested in getting into for a very simple reason, which is our mission as a firm is to make clients better off in their financial life. And less than 5 % of people who go on to one of these gambling apps take out more money than they put in in the first place. That's the complete antithesis of what we do at Schwab. Our client's wealth is at an all-time high. The level of advice we're giving them is at an all-time high. And the amount we're doing to try to help them is at an all-time high. So we'll leave the sports gambling, which constitutes 95 % of the prediction markets volume, we'll leave that to the gambling houses, to the Vanduels, the DraftKings, and the Robinhoods.
36:08So it's funny. It's interesting that you say Robinhood. We'll get back to that because I think Robinhood would probably like to position itself as a competitor to Charles Schwab in a lot of areas. If we stick with the 95 % of what you believe prediction markets is sports gambling, what is the 5 % that is of interest to you that we could potentially see at one point on Schwab's platform? Give us some examples there. Well, I think if you want to take a position on what the employment report's going to be at the end of the month or how inflation's going to print, those things could have an impact on your portfolio.
36:42If you have a big bond position, you may have interest in what's going to happen in the inflation report. And it's a simple way of taking a position based on a yes or no position. And so that could be of interest to clients. But the reason I think we haven't seen much volume in those, and the reason why 95 % of the volume is in sports gambling, is because if you want to take a position on the employment report or the inflation report, there are countless ways to do that. And financial market participants are already doing that, whether it's in the bond market, in the futures market, through options.
37:14There's plenty of ways to do that today. And I think that's part of the reason why the true idea of prediction markets really haven't taken off. and why the firms that offer this have pivoted to sports gambling, because there's a lot more interest in that than there is in taking a position on the employment or inflation report. All right. So then safe to say, Rick, if you were a betting man, I would guess that there's nothing in terms of a prediction market on the Schwab platform in the next year or so, or maybe never? Well, we've been innovating at a very fast rate. 2025 was all about how do we meet the wealth, lending, active trading needs of our clients.
37:49And we had significant innovations in every one of those areas. We went to 24 by 5 trading for active traders. We continue to make our mobile app even stronger for those that want to actively trade and do so via the mobile app. For our wealth clients, we launched new tax, trust, and estate capabilities, including an investment we made in Wealth.com to bring trust capabilities directly to our clients. We launched a series of new capabilities for our advisor clients and in particular really leaned into innovations around making it easier for them to work with us. All of those are things that we think are far more impactful to our clients' ability to grow their wealth than prediction markets.
38:30And when we go out and survey our clients about what they want from us, prediction markets is low on the list. So it's something we are actively looking at. I think at some point in the future, we will have true prediction markets at some point, But it's just not high on our innovation list because we're firmly focused on those innovations that are going to have the most impact on our clients' wealth. Right. Unlike, you know, something we talked about when we were at Schwab Impact with you in November, that you had just done a deal which would give investors access to private companies. This was buying Forge Global.
38:58So, I get that's more of a priority for clients. Yeah, I think you go back to the 80s when I believe it was KKR that did the first leveraged buyout. Institutions have been benefiting from the diversification and the return enhancement from alternatives investments. And, you know, in the past decades or multiple decades, the really wealthy have also been able to participate in those return and diversification benefits. But the everyday retail investor has not been able to. And our Forge acquisition was really about democratizing investments and alternatives. We're now going to be able to bring it to all of our investors in multiple different forms and allow them to participate in private markets the way institutions and the very wealthy have been able to.
39:42And we're thrilled to bridge that gap and excited for what that could mean for our clients' wealth. I want to bring this into the conversation because I feel like when Tim and I and you were together at Chihuahua Impact in Denver, it was pretty upbeat, I think, about the market environment and the outlook. And there's been a lot that's happened here in 2026. It feels like volatility is back. I'm just curious, you know, have any of the assumptions about the White House and policy and changes changed in your view? Yeah, I don't think any of that surprises us. we're still within a percent or two of all-time highs in markets.
40:18I think there's going to be geopolitical noise from time to time. If you've read the book, The Art of the Deal, I think it begins with starting big in your requests and then negotiating to something that is workable for both parties. And my guess is that that may be the playbook that's followed here. But for our clients, we're not seeing an undue amount of concern. And this is the kind of environment in which we thrive because we're not just an investment app. We're so much more than that. We took 30 million calls from clients last year and answered them in less than 30 seconds. We're in many local communities across this country with actual people that are there to help coach our clients and how to navigate periods like this and how to see through the noise and be diversified and stick with it for the long term so that they can build their wealth.
41:02So whatever markets and geopolitics bring, we're going to be ready for it. And it's going to help us distinguish what we stand for here at Schwab, which is helping our clients grow their wealth. You know, we had some reporting in recent days about the New York Stock Exchange exploring ways for 24-7 trading of certain assets. And I'm curious, crypto kind of paved the way for that because a lot of people can trade crypto 24-7. What do you think of the ability for people to trade stocks 24-7? Well, I think we're very open to that and would certainly participate. We're already 24 by 5 today. we see very little market activity or very little client activity outside of market hours.
41:44It's usually only a couple of a percent. The vast majority of trading happens within the market hours. And I think the market hours are a feature, not a bug. And what I mean by that is by limiting the market hours, you draw people in at the same time and create a lot of liquidity so that spreads are tight and trading efficiency is very high. I think the convenience of 24-7 is certainly very appealing, but we need to make sure that those trades are done in a way that makes sense for clients. And, you know, as we see clients trade on our 24 by 5 platform, we make very certain that they trade in a way that they're recognizing the higher spreads and we make that very clear to them.
42:26And they live with that for the convenience, but we just need to be careful as we go to 24 by 7 that we don't lose the efficiency of the market and the benefits of getting everyone into the market at around the same time, which is great for trading efficiency. Hey, Rick, super quick, 10 seconds. Feels optimistic this year? I think so. There's a lot, you know, the economy is on strong footing. Market's been up three years in a row. Unless something changes, things look pretty good. Our thanks to Rick Wurster, president and CEO of Charles Schwab. We should point out after the company reported earnings, there were a few analysts on the street, including UBS and TD Cowan, that actually raised their price target on Charles Schwab, which really outperformed last year and is already trading higher here in 2026.
43:08So I really enjoyed that conversation with Rick for a couple of reasons. One, I thought he was really candid with us when it came to prediction markets. And he mentioned some competition. And what was notable to me, Carol, is he put Robinhood, which I would say is among the biggest competitors to Charles Schwab, at least with the retail investing audience. Right. He sort of alluded to that company in the same breath as he referred to you know, Kalshi and Polly Market as prediction platforms. And he was very quick to say, we're not interested in sports prediction markets. We think that's gambling.
43:46And if you go to Robin Hood's website and you just look at prediction markets, it's like all sports that are featured. And we're recording this, you know, when we're talking about the Australian Open. So there's Australian Open, there's Denver versus Washington. There's some other NBA stuff. There's some pro hockey, there's some pro football, there's some soccer. Those are the events that Robinhood highlights on its website. Well, and this is kind of interesting, and I feel like there's going to be a moment where regulators are going to say, well, wait a minute, are these sports gambling sites?
44:21And so what's the oversight that's required? Is it just like the other gambling sites, right, where there are rules and regulations that are keeping an eye on them. I did think what Rick said, as you said, not interested in offering sports gambling at Schwab. He said he could see where clients, as you heard, you know, doing wagers on like an employment report, something like that. And that wraps up the first hour of the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio. Ahead in our next hour, the CEO of Barnes & Noble on the company's post-COVID revival. I love this conversation.
44:52Plus, look out, Uber. The future is self-driving cars, think something like Waymo. This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser. And I'm Tim Stenevec. Stay with us. Today's top stories and global business headlines are coming up right now.
45:24integrated AI with tools that can assist investors in building customized portfolios. One of these tools is called Generated Assets. It allows you to turn your ideas into investable indexes. So let's say you're interested in something specific like biotech companies with high R &D spend, small cap stocks with improving operating margins, or the S &P 500 minus high debt companies. Chances are there isn't an ETF that fits your exact criteria. But on public, you just type in a prompt and their AI screens thousands of stocks and build a one-of-a-kind index. You can even backtest it against the S &P 500.
45:59Then you can invest in a few clicks. Go to public.com slash market and earn an uncapped 1 % bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash market.
46:21illustrative purposes only, not investment advice. All investing involves risk of loss. See complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures. Hello, hello. I'm Malcolm Gladwell, host of the podcast Smart Talks with IBM. I recently sat down with IBM's chairman and CEO, Arvind Krishna, and I asked him, how can companies use AI to its fullest potential to create smarter business? My one advice to them, pick areas you can scale. Don't pick the shiny little toys on the side. For example? If anybody has more than 10 % of what they had for customer service 10 years ago, they're already five years behind.
47:05If anybody is not using AI to make their developers who write software 30 % more productive today with the goal of being 70 % more productive. Yeah. So we are not asking our clients to be the first experiment on it. We say, you can leverage what we did. We are happy to bring out all our learnings, including what needs to change in the process, because the biggest change is not technology, it's getting people to accept that there's a different way to do things. To listen to the full conversation, visit ibm.com slash smarttalks.
47:46If you follow markets, you know the value of long-term thinking. You plan, you diversify, you prepare for volatility. But even the best strategies can't prevent every bad day. For more than 75 years, Cincinnati Insurance has helped individuals and businesses navigate tough moments with expertise, personal attention, and independent agents who focus on relationships, not transactions. The Cincinnati insurance companies. Let them make your bad day better. Find an agent at CINFIN.com. This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily, reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies, and trends shaping today's complex economy.
48:34Plus, global business, finance, and tech news as it happens. Bloomberg Business Week Daily with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio. Plenty ahead in our second hour of the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week, including the CEO of Full Speed Automotive on the health of the consumer. Plus, from cars people are buying and holding onto to testing the next level of AI behind the wheel, our own Hannah Elliott takes us for a spin in the Mercedes that almost drives itself. First up this hour, just about one year ago, Bloomberg Business Week had a great story about Barnes & Noble's unlikely comeback.
49:10Thanks to a pandemic era swarm to what's called BookTok, U.S. readers are more quickly discovering titles and recommending them to friends and followers. That's good for the book industry. It's offered Barnes & Noble, which reported seven straight years of falling sales before it became the target of a billionaire hedge fund owner back in 2019, a chance to resurrect itself. Which seems to be now in full swing. The company, which is owned by Paul Singer's Elliott Advisors, has 600 bookstores in the United States right now. It opened more than 50 last year and plan to open another 60 more this year.
49:43James Don is CEO of Barnes & Noble. He's managing director of Waterstones Bookstores in the UK. He's founder and owner of the independent bookstore chain, Don Books, too. He joins us here in the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers Studio. Welcome. Thank you for having me. So it's a private company now, so we don't get all the numbers that we get. But right before it was taken private, Barnes & Noble had a loss of$125.5 million on revenues of$3.7 billion. That was for the fiscal year that ended April. of 2018. Same store sales were down more than 5%. What are some metrics you can give us right now that speak to the health of the company?
50:18Well, I think generally the book market has rebounded. So it's not just us, though it is definitely us along with books. And COVID was a difficult time for us. Obviously, a lot of our stores were closed, but people rediscovered reading. But also, I think always bookstores are great places in which all ages, all types, but particularly young people like to gather and like to read. And I think we run our bookstores better, I like to say. But I think also the independents are opening up great stores around and people are discovering the pleasures of a physical bookstore and we're benefiting. I love that you go, why do you think it's come back?
50:52Because it used to be just lovely little bookstores in towns and cities. And then, of course, the big guys came in. And I mean, there was always the tug of war between the big and the small. I think there was an old Tom Hanks, Meg Ryan movie about this, right? There was a cute You've got mail. You've got mail. And then it just felt like it was really bad for the selling of books. Amazon came on the marketplace. And now I too have seen a resurgence of little bookstores. What do you think that is? Well, Amazon is why people lost confidence and then the rise of Kindle and there was a general notion and a media sense that physical books were gone, reading was disappearing.
51:30And I think collectively, including the big chains and the small guys, a lot of people lost their way. And then we got ourselves sorted out and the good independents have sorted themselves out and we're all now running much nicer stores and people are back and have embraced us. Now, the independents who did not lose their confidence, they wouldn't have even noticed the trials and tribulations that the rest of us went through. So what is it about the experience inside a bookstore? And we're not just talking Barnes & Noble here because you have experience at Daunt Books. You're also managing director of Waterstones Bookstores in the UK.
52:03What is the experience that you try to create inside a bookstore that makes it so people don't order them online or download them on an e-reader? I think the great independent bookstores have that magic of curation, which is selecting the titles they have, matching those to the community in which they sit, and having a really nice physical space and a welcoming and vibrant one. What we as a chain bookstore now need to do and have done is abandon all of the consistency and operational disciplines of a chain bookstore and hand power to our individual store teams and allow them to replicate that independent.
52:41So essentially, you're trying to create a community bookstore within every Barnes & Noble location. And that has worked dramatically well in many, better generally in most, and not so well in some. Where has it not worked and why? Where the teams don't quite understand or don't have the skill set or where we haven't built up the experience. Because book selling is a trade, it's a vocational trade, and the skills that are attached to that have to be learned and developed. So we haven't completed that journey, I would say. But in most of our stores, they're a lot better than they ever were. And some of them are really fantastic.
53:14So James, when it comes to the Barnes & Noble, does that mean there are certain things when you walk in that are going to be consistent, whatever Barnes & Noble you come in and then there's going to be certain nuances to the community and the environment? Or what? How do you kind of hand over the range? Well, the consistent thing is they're full of books and they are bookstores. Check. But we, and because there are books, obviously, that are bestsellers and books that people want and, you know, everybody has to have capture in the rye because every bookstore does independent or thing. But we leave it entirely up to them.
53:46We give them no constraints, no budget constraints, no visual constraints. We just say use common sense and make it the best possible bookstore you can. And generally, they get on with that dramatically better than when they were given very strict rules to do it in precisely the same way everywhere. I want to know about how your role works. It's not every day we speak to the CEO of a large company that has two other jobs as well. So as I mentioned, you're CEO of Barnes & Noble, you're managing director of Waterstones Bookstores, you're the founder and owner of the independent bookstore chain, Daunt Books.
54:16How does that relationship work just in your professional life? How are you the CEO of Barnes & Noble, but also the managing director of these other stores? I think the only professional advantage I have is I really do understand how to run a really good bookstore because I ran one myself for 20 plus years, longer, and continue in a sense to do so. So I understand what my teams need, what my stores need. And then my job is to just make sure from a central perspective that we don't get in their way and that we provide what they require to run a really good bookstore. And what they generally require is, frankly, money.
54:50They need clean carpets and they need their HVAC fixed and they need books to turn up on time when they order them. But I don't tell them what to order and I don't get in their way. And that allows me to do the job reasonably well. And frankly, the less I do now, the better it goes. Are people as interested in reading classics and old time books that were just very popular years ago. I'm just curious about, like, what is it that people are buying? Well, there was a, you mentioned BookTok earlier, BookTok coming out of COVID was exploded with a love of classics. Everyone was reading Middlemarch and Jane Austen, and that was hugely exciting and continues still.
55:29But at the same time, you know, the roving eye, because, you know, kids want to read the same thing because they want to talk about books and engage. And at the moment, it's romanticy, and it's relatively spicy romanticy. But at the same time, they're reading the great books as well. Books are only part of what Barnes & Noble sells. What else do you use to get people in the door and get them walking out, parting with money? Well, we have sort of become really the last place in which quite a lot of these sort of dying categories actually have rejuvenated. So we have a fantastic music business, vinyl, even DVDs, CDs.
56:05There's been an increase in sales of those, We have a fantastic newsstand offer. And now we do toys and games, board games, and the rest really properly. Again, aiming for those to be educational, to support effectively the intellectual engagement that you have around books. And therefore, they sit, we believe, naturally alongside books. And that's our job. We call it related product. We have to keep them tightly tied into a love of learning and development, which is encapsulated by books. We're talking about James Dodd. He's the CEO of Barnes & Noble. He's also managing director of Waterstones Bookstores in the UK, founder and owner of the independent bookstore chain, Don Books.
56:42He's here in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. James, what about like live events for doing stuff? Like I've done some things at local bookstores, you know, a Q &A chat with someone on a new book. But I'm just curious, how do you kind of think about that, whether it's in your own bookstores, but also for Barnes & Noble, making it a place where people go to meet up? I think we are social spaces and that can, at its sort of modest level, that can be the story time a bookseller has to learn how to read a book upside down to three and four year olds, all the way to obviously being the interaction between authors and readers.
57:15And so holding talks, events, question and answer, interviews, all of the myriad of ways in which you can make a bookstore an exciting place in which to come. It's easier to do in the metropolitan cities because you can get the great authors, but you can do it wherever you are on a more modest scale. I mentioned same-store sales back in April of 2018 were down more than 5%. Can you tell us same-store sales, are they positive now? Yeah, the book market has been going up. So, I mean, there are plenty of publishers whose public numbers will show you that. There's been a huge boom since COVID. And generally, the publishers have been doing very well.
57:50And, you know, we're in that market and we're doing very well. And when you have an increasing store count, and we are now over 700 stores, in fact, we were below 600 a short while ago, then you're going to sell an awful lot more. The Wall Street Journal reported a possible IPO as early as the second half of this year. Is that still the plan? Well, luckily, that is above my pay grade. It would affect you. It will affect me, but I don't own the place. Sad as that may be. Do you think you would stay on as CEO? I enjoy what I do and I have a feel that what we do and the people who work for me are hugely vocationally motivated.
58:27We're not as important as public libraries by any close measure, but what we do, we do do with an immense respect for the power of books. And I think all of us, including myself, hope to continue to do that better. I think it's interesting you brought up libraries because I do feel like there's less and less funding for libraries in different towns. I know growing up that that was a big deal. You get your library card, you go to the library. That was a big deal. But is some of that also maybe fueling where people just have to go buy their own books, especially for kids? I don't think that's to our benefit.
58:58I think it's only to the detriment generally of reading and generally for the engagement with books. And I speak actually as an Englishman and what's happened in the United Kingdom where public libraries have not been funded for really a decade and more. And it's hugely to the detriment of society. AI and books. This is wild. I mean, this has been happening for a few years, but if a big news event happens, you can go find a self-published AI written book on Amazon to download right away. Are you going to carry AI books? We generally don't, and we go to very great efforts to exclude them from our online operation.
59:34It's a challenge, I bet. It is a big challenge. But actually, AI is absolutely fantastic at hunting out AI. So that's helpful. But in and of itself, as long as AI, it is clearly communicated that a book is created by AI, and if readers want to read it, then we should provide that. That's our role in life. And so I'm not an evangelist saying never AI, but I am saying it should be very clearly indicated whether it is a real author. To whom, by the way, as booksellers, we feel huge duty of care or if it's AI. How big is AI category when it comes to books now in your stores? Nothing. Nothing. I mean, not nothing, nothing, but as far as we can possibly determine, it's nothing.
1:00:20Our thanks to James Daunt, CEO of Barnes & Noble. You're listening to Bloomberg Businessweek coming up from bookshelves to oil changes, what consumers are spending money on when it comes to their cars. I think they're frugal and they're very, very cautious about spending anything unnecessarily out of their pocketbook. They're also the customer wants efficiency. They don't want to be there long. They want to be quick, get it in, get it out. And it's also not lost on us that about 70 % of people distrust the folks that work in my industry. And we are trying our best to reverse that trend. The CEO of Full Speed Automotive joins us next.
1:00:58This is Bloomberg.
1:01:11Support for the show comes from Public. Lately, it feels like there are two types of investing platforms. Some are traditional brokerages that haven't changed much in decades, and others feel less like investing and more like a game. Public is positioned differently. It's an investing platform for people who are serious about building their wealth. On Public, you can build a portfolio of stocks, options, bonds, crypto without all the bugs or the confetti. Retirement accounts, yep. High-yield cash, yes again. They even have direct indexing. Public has modern design, powerful tools, and customer support that actually helps.
1:01:46Go to public.com slash market and earn an uncapped 1 % bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash market. And paid for by Public Holdings. Brokered services by Public Investing, member FINRA SIPC. Advisory services by Public Advisors, SEC Registered Advisor. Crypto services by ZeroHash. All investing involves risk of loss. See complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures. Hello, hello. I'm Malcolm Gladwell, host of the podcast Smart Talks with IBM. I recently sat down with IBM's chairman and CEO, Arvind Krishna. and I asked him, how can companies use AI to its fullest potential to create smarter business?
1:02:27My one advice to them, pick areas you can scale. Don't pick the shiny little toys on the side. For example? If anybody has more than 10 % of what they had for customer service 10 years ago, they're already five years behind it. if anybody is not using AI to make their developers who write software 30 % more productive today with the goal of being 70 % more productive. Yeah, wow. So we are not asking our clients to be the first experiment on it. We say, you can leverage what we did. We are happy to bring out all our learnings, including what needs to change in the process, because the biggest change is not technology.
1:03:12It's getting people to accept that there's a different way to do things. To listen to the full conversation, visit ibm.com slash smarttalks.
1:03:28If you follow markets, you know the value of long-term thinking. You plan, you diversify, you prepare for volatility. But in life, even the best strategies can't prevent every bad day. A fire, a loss, a disruption that demands immediate attention. When that happens, what matters isn't just what you planned, it's who shows up. That's where Cincinnati Insurance comes in. For more than 75 years, they've helped individuals and businesses navigate life's toughest moments with care, expertise, and personal attention. Together with independent agents, Cincinnati Insurance focuses on relationships, not transactions.
1:04:06Their approach is grounded in experience, follow-through, and trust built over time. Bad days happen, and when they do, you deserve an insurance partner who understands risk, respects what you've built, and is ready to help you move forward. The Cincinnati Insurance Companies. Let them make your bad day better. Find an independent agent at c-i-n-f-i-n dot com. This is the Bloomberg Business of Entertainment Report. Paramount Skydance is looking to return to the days where many of us were saying, I want my MTV. Bloomberg's Lucas Shaw tells us Paramount is looking to revive MTV and has spoken with several major companies and leading music industry figures about acquiring a stake.
1:04:46And they would like to find someone in the music business who wants to partner with them, invest in it, bring in some assets. Most of the feedback that I've heard from the music business has sort of been, what is in it for us? MTV began in 1981, airing music videos before it evolved into a home for reality TV programming with shows like Jersey Shore and The Real World. This is the true story. Shaw says Paramount believes it can reinvigorate MTV by recasting it as more than just a cable network and bringing the focus back to music. But he says it's a tall order. I'd say the odds are pretty low.
1:05:18People have tried to reboot MTV many times before and it hasn't worked. Paramount shut down MTV's 24-hour music channels in select countries at the end of last year. Karen Moscow, Bloomberg Radio. This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio. Some warning signs in the global car market. You might recall earlier this month, Porsche reported its sharpest sales decline since 2009, weighed down by weaker demand in China, tariffs and rising EV costs. Meantime, a shortage of memory chips caused by the data center boom is leading the auto sector to brace for yet another potential supply chain disturbance.
1:06:00Let's talk about the U.S. story in the auto industry and sort of a different take on it. We've got Brian Macyak with us. He's CEO of Fullspeed Automotive. It's the parent company of the automotive repair and service facilities, including Grease Monkey, Speedy Oil Change, and Auto Service, and Quick Car and more. So think oil changes, tire sales and rotations, brake services, and the like. Brian joins us here in the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers Studio. Welcome. How are you? Hey, I'm doing great. I appreciate the opportunity. Yeah. So you've got a really interesting view on the country and the economy because Full Speed Automotive, through its different brands, franchise and company owned, 900 of these stores throughout the U.S.
1:06:37You serve millions of customers each year. How is it out there? Like, what are you seeing from your customers? Yeah. So it's very, very clear if you listen to the customer exactly what they want. They want value. They want efficiency. They don't want to be there. I mean, let's, you know, in all honesty, nobody wakes up in the morning and is excited to go get an oil change, right? No one wants to spend the dollars. It's a grudge purchase, right? It's a chore. And we understand that. That doesn't mean that we can't deliver a delightful service for them. Right. And so when they show up, we want to treat them like they're a guest in our house.
1:07:12We want to open the door for them. We want to escort them into the waiting area. We want to offer them water, coffee, and we want to provide them honesty of what that service needs. Are they on time in general with the recommended rotations, with replacing tires, with oil changes, or are they letting that slip and are they driving cars longer without getting them serviced? Like I'm looking for any economic signals that you can send us from from what you see. Sure. Sure. No. Our space is fairly resilient to whatever fluctuations in the economy exist. Like right now, the average cost to buy a new vehicle is about$50 ,000.
1:07:57People are spending an average of about$700 a month on their vehicle. And so what's that? You know, you think that - That doesn't include gas. You're talking about a car payment. Car payment alone. Yeah. Right? And so that is forcing people to keep their cars longer. Average age of the vehicle on the road right now, and there's about 300 million of them, about 13 and a half years. They're still continuing to drive about 13 ,000 miles a year. So they're driving longer or they're driving, you know, normal miles. They're keeping their cars longer. And that means they have to they have to go to preventative maintenance.
1:08:32They have to get that car done. But they're trying to watch their their pocketbook. And so they are stretching as long as possible before they need to get it into our bays and perform the oil change. How long have you started seeing that that people are stretching out? Yeah. So, you know, there was a time when we used to see every three months on the dot. And now it's around five, six months. We might see that customer only two times a year. When did that start? Last six months, last year? Probably about the last 12 months. Yeah, last 12 to 18 months, we started to see it slip. But that's where it is right now is about five to six months.
1:09:04We'll see that customer. So how would you, Brian, describe the consumer? Because I think it's safe to say that when we talk about this economy, folks say we wait. or, you know, when your record's on Wall Street, we've got economic growth. Like there's a lot of metrics out there, even though we're starting to be a little bit concerned about the job market, unemployment rate's still pretty low. So I'm just trying to understand, well, how would you describe today's consumer? Yeah, I think they're frugal. I think they're frugal and they're very, very cautious about spending anything unnecessarily out of their pocketbook.
1:09:34They're also, the customer wants efficiency. They don't want to be there long. They want to be quick, get it in, get it out. And it's also not lost on us that about 70 % of people distrust the folks that work in my industry. And we are trying our best to reverse that trend. And how we're looking to do it is infusing some technology into the customer experience. We don't want you to take our word for it anymore. When we come to you and say, when we say, you know, you need a you need a transmission flush or a brake flush. We want to show you visually. We want to send you a digital vehicle inspection on your phone so you can see it.
1:10:18And we start to build that stickiness and that trust together. Well, isn't that kind of what cars are about? I mean, I remember a few years ago, it's kind of a little embarrassing, but we had a car and, you know, there was, I guess, a rainstorm and there was some water runoff and thought we could kind of go through it. It didn't look so high. It ended up frying all the electronics and we had to just, we lost the complete car. But I'm just, isn't it today that you just basically plug in and the car tells you what it needs to have done in a lot of ways? No. In some, yes, you can do those diagnostic.
1:10:49It doesn't hit every single code. And sometimes the customer just doesn't want to pay that extra $50,$70 for that diagnostic. They're requiring on our 16-point inspection visually. And we don't want them to just simply take our word for it. We want to show them in a video so that there is no ambiguity whatsoever. So what do you show them? It's so funny. A couple of years ago, my uncle had this Prius for years that he drove for years, then it went to my cousin, his son. and he showed me this video a couple of years ago and it was like, the car had just been beat up. I mean, it parked on the streets of New York for years.
1:11:28It was a complete beater. And he showed me this video, he was like, check this out. And it was a video from a mechanic that was showing all the places where the rats had shoot up inside of the car. This is very what happens in New York City, especially in the winter. Like it's really gross, but it's a very New York City thing. And what I was struck by the video was it was because it was basically like the mechanic was offering this as proof of this happening. It wasn't like, hey, check this out. This is crazy. So he went inside the car and showed it? He's like, this is why we are replacing this.
1:11:57This is why we're doing this. It's this like environment where there's a real lack of trust because I think there's a power dynamic imbalance when it comes to the customer and when it comes to the person who's working on your car. Customer doesn't know anything. We have Google and chat GPT. The person working on the car seems to have all the power. And I think that's a hard thing for me as a customer to come to terms with, especially when that check comes. You got it right. Right. So we want to we want to go through our 16, 17 point inspection. We want to tell you, hey, your tires look good. We want to show you.
1:12:25We want to show you the measurement that you're fine. You don't. If anyone tells you you need new tires, you don't. And then we want to show you some things that this needs to be replaced, but maybe not right now. So maybe it's 30, 60 days from now. And that gives our marketing team then an opportunity to reach out back out to that customer in a month or two and say, it's about that time. Bring it back in. Here's a coupon to do so. It sounds like it's also labor intensive. Like you do need a lot of folks in order to the cars come in, do the evaluation. Walk us through that. You do. Yeah. So cars are becoming much, much more technologically advanced and difficult.
1:12:57And that's good and bad. I remember the days when my dad would change his oil in the parking lot. Now these vehicles were so - My dad taught all of us how to do it. Yeah. Now you can't get - Now you can't - Now change our oil, but we had to learn how to check it. Now you can't get rid of the - We had to keep track of our mileage. Like we had to do a lot of stuff. You can't get rid of the oil now. So you actually need to go somewhere. I know. That's right. That's right. So we have shifted from a do it yourself to a do it for me. Right. Yeah. But we need skilled labor in order to do that. And we have really good relationships with trade schools and trade school enrollment is is increasing.
1:13:28We also have found partnering with the military, folks that are getting out of the military and needing jobs. I mean, these are people that are well trained. They show up on time. They're loyal. Very, very good. Good workers. And they stay with you for a while. Can you find them? Because there was this Wall Street Journal story just the last few days. is the$160 ,000 mechanic job that Ford cannot fill. It's sort of turned into this lore as an illustration of the trade skills gap in this country. Can you find everybody you need? Not everybody. There's definitely, there's always a race for those master mechanics, no question about it.
1:14:01But do you need master mechanics? We don't. And so Ford would be different, right? They're doing heavy engine work, transmission work, and we don't do that. We focus on quick lube and then some ancillary services that you really don't have to drop off the car. You can still stay in the waiting room 20, 30 minutes and you're on your way. Can someone who has no experience but has drive and motivation come in, learn what they need to do there? Do they need some sort of training ahead of time? Yeah. So certainly you can take a newbie for sure. Not every employer is going to do that. We have a really robust training program where we won't let you work on a car until you pass the certifications.
1:14:36But for the right candidate, we'll absolutely put them through it. Franchise versus company owned, like close to a thousand total. What's the breakdown of franchise versus company owned? So we have 300 company owned, and then the remainder are franchisees and licensees. And you're owned by MidOcean Partners, private equity firm, acquired just about five, six years ago. That's right, five years ago. What's the plan? What's the next iteration of this? So right now, we're doing well from a cash flow standpoint. At some point, they may want to do a transaction. I'm sure they will. Right. But right now we're just focused on on the growth, growing top line and then growing our rooftops largely on the franchise side.
1:15:14Why have so many different brands? Why not put it all under one brand name? Yeah, that's a fantastic question. And my initial thought was, yeah, let's just all convert it to one national brand. But what we have found is in some pockets in some regions, Michigan being one of them, they really want to go to their small regional brand that they've gone to all the time. There's name cachet there. And for us to change, it would be a silly business decision. So, you know, it costs a little more on the marketing side, right? For sure. But that's what the customer wants. And that's what we want to deliver.
1:15:46Where we think we can convert the name, we will. EVs don't need new, they need new tires, they need new brakes, but they don't need the lubrication services that you guys do. Right. Yeah. Is it a concern? It's not. You know, I think a few more years ago, we all, well, I don't want to say about all, but some of us thought, oh my goodness, if this is going to take over, the quick loop space is going to dry up pretty quickly. And it really hasn't transferred to that, right? Hybrids are important. Hybrids are selling, but hybrids need oil changes. Where we're trying to even see those EVs are, we offer a diversified menu of services.
1:16:25So they still need the brakes. They still need a lot of the other ancillary services. So we still see them. That was Brian Maciak, CEO of Full Speed Automotive. Still to come on Bloomberg Businessweek, she rode in a Mercedes with next level AI and said it made everything else feel, well, kind of dumb. This has been developed with NVIDIA. So this is truly AI in your car, driving your car on a fully other level than some of these lesser self-driving systems. MB Drive Assist Pro is so smart that it does know when it can turn right on red and when it can't. Our car guru, Hannah Elliott, on the driver's seat of the future.
1:17:13That's next. This is Bloomberg. Support for the show comes from Public. Public is an investing platform that offers access to stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. And they've also integrated AI with tools that can assist investors in building customized portfolios. One of these tools is called Generated Assets. It allows you to turn your ideas into investable indexes. So let's say you're interested in something specific like biotech companies with high R &D spend, small cap stocks with improving operating margins, or the S &P 500 minus high debt companies. Chances are there isn't an ETF that fits your exact criteria.
1:17:50But on public, you just type in a prompt and their AI screens thousands of stocks and build a one-of-a-kind index. You can even backtest it against the S &P 500. Then you can invest in a few clicks. Go to public.com slash market and earn an uncapped 1 % bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash market.
1:18:22All investing involves risk of loss. See complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures. Hello, hello. I'm Malcolm Gladwell, host of the podcast Smart Talks with IBM. I recently sat down with IBM's chairman and CEO, Arvind Krishna. And I asked him, how can companies use AI to its fullest potential to create smarter business? My one advice to them, pick areas you can scale. Don't pick the shiny little toys on the side. For example, if anybody has more than 10 % of what they had for customer service 10 years ago, they're already five years behind. If anybody is not using AI to make their developers who write software 30 % more productive today, with the goal of being 70 % more productive.
1:19:16Yeah. Wow. So we are not asking our clients to be the first experiment on it. We say, you can leverage what we did. We're happy to bring out all our learnings, including what needs to change in the process, because the biggest change is not technology. It's getting people to accept that there's a different way to do things. To listen to the full conversation, visit ibm.com slash smarttalks.
1:19:46If you follow markets, you know the value of long-term thinking. You plan, you diversify, you prepare for volatility. But even the best strategies can't prevent every bad day. For more than 75 years, Cincinnati Insurance has helped individuals and businesses navigate tough moments with expertise, personal attention, and independent agents who focus on relationships, not transactions. The Cincinnati Insurance Companies. Let them make your bad day better. Find an agent at CINFIN.com. This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio. So imagine the car you're driving could think faster than you.
1:20:34Anticipate every stop, turn, and lane change. Basically handle the city streets on its own. Sounds ideal. Like even read a sign that says, you know, no right turn on red. I think that's amazing. OK, so we've been talking about the potential for self-driving cars for many years now, but that could soon become reality. With us is Bloomberg News auto columnist Hannah Elliott. She test drove a Mercedes with the latest AI system with some surprising results. I got to tell you, Hannah, I love. OK, Carol and I like it's no secret how much we love Waymos when we go and, you know, go to San Francisco or L.A.
1:21:09or Phoenix or whatever. Like Waymos. Yeah, same. Um, what shocked me the most about one of the things that shocked me the most about reading your story was the price of the car you drove was under$50 ,000. Me too. I was surprised. Okay. What is it? Tell us about this car. Okay. So yes, this is the whole thing is kind of about this car, which is the Mercedes CLA. And the starting price on the car is$47 ,250. $50, which is amazing. This is now the new entry level car for Mercedes. It's an electric vehicle, fully electric, but they are coming out with a hybrid version later in the year for those of us who still want our combustion engine along with our electric power.
1:21:57And it is a direct attack on Tesla and on some of these more affordable cars that people are selling in the rest of the world, especially in China, Mercedes has decided we're going to take them on. And we think we can give consumers a really good product at a very, very competitive price. And I think they nailed it. I really, really liked this car. All right. And I let you say my takeaway after driving around an hour in a car driven by AI makes everything else feel well. Dumb. Walk us through because there's actually two levels here. And full disclosure, I've had a few more Mercedes and like the latest one, which is now probably over 10 years old, has a lot of safety features in it that basically I take my hands off the wheel, it drives itself.
1:22:46This sounds like the next level. Yes, this is that I, the one that we should really talk about is the MB Drive Assist Pro. Now, there is an MB Drive Assist system that is already in the car that is level two advanced semi-autonomous driving, which means you can drive without your hands on the wheel for lengths of time and the car will drive itself. Okay, great. The Drive Assist Pro, which is coming out later this year and which I really spent the most time testing, is a system that allows you to navigate to any point, any place, and not touch the wheel at all. The car does everything. This is a subscription system that costs under$4 ,000 for three years.
1:23:40So in light of everything, I think that's a very good price. It downloads to the car. And this has been developed with NVIDIA. So this is truly AI in your car, driving your car on a fully other level than some of these lesser self-driving systems. and Tim, you kind of hit on it. The real difference here is that this MB Drive Assist Pro is so smart that it does know when it can turn right on red and when it can't turn right on red. It knows when it can roll through a yellow light and when it needs to stop because the light's about to turn red. It was really, really interesting. And I think the key takeaway is it felt more humanistic than any other sort of self-driving system that I've been in before.
1:24:37It felt like it was reading and understanding and comprehending street situations in a way that felt closer to human than we've had before. We should note that you still couldn't take this on a highway, right? That's right. This system is only for city streets. The MB Drive Assist, which is the lesser system, does go on highways and city streets. This system right now is only for city streets. So, yeah, that's kind of the caveat. We're not to this, like, bright future of robot cars driving us everywhere except for Waymos, which we can talk about, too. But they're getting there. And the technology is there.
1:25:19The highway thing is really more related to regulations and legislation and that sort of thing. But yeah, this was a really interesting, fun way to navigate around a city that I don't know very well, San Francisco. The car handled it. And dare I say it was relaxing. It was kind of great. How does it work? I mean, I know there's 10 cameras, five radar sensors, 12 ultrasonic sensors. But this end-to-end stack from NVIDIA, the role of NVIDIA and its expertise sounds like it's crucial in all of this. Yes. Yes. So NVIDIA has, this is their fully, full stack, which means that they developed the entire system internally for Mercedes.
1:26:04But NVIDIA has collaborated with a lot of different car makers, Toyota, Volvo, Rivian, Lucid, helping develop these AI autonomous driving systems. This particular system in Mercedes, like you say, uses 10 cameras, five radars, and a dozen ultrasonic sensors. It's kind of like what we see in a Waymo for anybody who has Renmin Waymos. Waymos use LiDAR, radar cameras, and high-definition maps to read and anticipate the environment. This is very similar. It's not exactly the same, but from a user standpoint, when you're in the car, it feels very similar. So if you have been in a Waymo, it's like, imagine that the Waymo is driving your own personal car and you're in the driver seat, which is a good thing.
1:26:55I have a lot of friends who are a little bit still uncertain about Waymo. They're not sure it's safe. And I understand that apprehension. But for me, and you guys can speak to this, too, it took like two or three minutes for me to be in the car before I trusted it. And then it was like, oh, yeah, this is fine. Yeah. I was going to say, I think anybody who doesn't think a Waymo is safe and I hope I don't ever eat my words here, Hannah. But I think anyone who doesn't, they just haven't been in it. Truly. Right. Because once you sit in and have that experience, you're like, wait a second. This thing is safer than the random guy who is driving me.
1:27:30who I called up on my iPhone. Hey, um. Yes. Oh, go ahead. Go ahead, Hannah. Because you actually do have some safety stats in here. Yeah, well, I was just going to say, too, no knock on the wonderful taxi and Uber drivers of New York City, and I'm grateful for them. But yes, I was going to say Waymo is a better driver than half of those guys, and those guys know it, too. So it really is true. And a lot of my friends, speaking about Waymo for a second, and actually enjoy not having another stranger in the car. So like you say, it's like once you try it once, you're kind of sold typically. I have to say - It's like the gateway drug to autonomy.
1:28:10Yes. The first time I did it, I have to say, I felt like I was in a spa. It was like immaculate. The music was moody. And I was amazed, Hannah, at how quickly, like you write about, like I closed my eyes because I had like a 40 minute ride to the airport. I think it was Arizona. And it was like, I couldn't believe and it was night. I couldn't believe how relaxed I was. Totally. And I and I have to say, too, and we've talked about this all the time. I love driving. I own old cars. I'm a big fan of driving. I'm honestly I have old combustion cars. You know, I'm all about the right tool for the job.
1:28:50I don't think we have to live in a world where there's only one option. I actually love the idea of a lot of variety and you pick the right tool for the job. And my point is, if you have a self-driving car like the CLA, this Mercedes CLA that truly is budging up on being fully self-driving, that's level three. This is level two plus plus, but we're very, very close. It doesn't mean you can't also have fun driving. It just means that when you're sitting in traffic and your eyes are glazing over and you want to pull your hair out, the car can handle it. You can feel like you're in a spa, for instance.
1:29:28Hannah, I'm glad. Without the essential oils. That's the only thing that was missing. Exactly. Although, maybe I need to start traveling with those. Exactly. You do live in California, so I think that's kind of par for the course these days. Hey, more broadly, you have another story, and it's entitled, Lookout Uber, The Future of Self-Driving Cars Like Waymo. Is that where we're headed? And it seems like there's a lot that we still need to tackle before we can get there? Yes. I think we are increasingly headed toward semi and full self-driving cars in urban centers, yes, and across ride-sharing platforms, yes.
1:30:05I don't know if you guys have seen Zoox going around. Zoox is in San Francisco, and there are a few testing programs around the country as well. Yes, we are moving this direction. And even if in private cars with AI defined vehicles like the CLA that Mercedes did. Yes, everything is moving in that direction. Now, do I think we're going to have a world that is dominated by self-driving cars that are level three and above level five is like full, full self-driving like robot taxi. You can take a sleep, take a nap in the back. We're not there yet. We're at level two plus plus experts that I talk to say we have another 10 years before we'll see anything close to a predominance of self-driving cars on the road so we don't want to get ahead of ourselves yes we're moving in that direction yes we're going to see it more and more and more especially as automakers let's be honest try to stay competitive with China because China is leading the way they're making great products that cost less so yeah we're leading we're leaning that way is it going to be another 10 years before we're like, quote unquote, living in the future?
1:31:16Yes. And also, I should mention, and I said this before, we've got to figure out the legal implications of all of this. Whose responsibility is it when inevitably there's an incident? We've got to sort through all of that, which is also why Waymo's not running in New York City right now. You know, they're figuring that out. So, yeah, we're moving in that direction. Are we there yet? No. And I highly recommend everybody check out Hannah's stories because I think there was that one thing that you mentioned, too, that kind of frustrated me is that it didn't always drop me where I wanted to drop. But we're going to make people go to the Bloomberg or Bloomberg.com to read.
1:31:52Come on, Carol, you can walk a little further. No, it ticked me off. I was like, wait, where's my car? Where's my car? Hannah, great stuff. We love, love, love catching up with you and looking forward to the Tesla story as well. That was Hannah Elliott. She's Bloomberg News Auto Columnist. And that wraps up our weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio. Thank you so much for joining us. I should point out that even where I live, just across from lower Manhattan, starting to see some testing of Waymo's. Oh, so there's a driver in the driver's seat still. Yes, we did see drivers.
1:32:21OK. Be sure to tune in to Bloomberg Business Week daily, Monday through Friday, starting at 2 p.m. Wall Street time on Bloomberg TV, Bloomberg Radio, and on Sirius XM channel 121. You can also watch our daily broadcast on YouTube. Just search Bloomberg Global News. We're simulcast on Bloomberg Originals. available at bloomberg.com slash originals and streaming platforms, including Roku, Amazon Fire TV, Samsung TV Plus, and more. Find our Bloomberg Business Week daily podcast at bloomberg.com, Apple, or wherever you get your podcasts. The latest edition of the magazine is available in newsstands now at bloomberg.com and always on the Bloomberg Terminal.
1:32:53Have a good and safe weekend, everybody. I'm Carol Masser. And I'm Tim Stenevec. Stay with us. Today's top stories and global business headlines are coming up right now.
1:33:05you
From the publisher
Featuring some of our favorite conversations of the week from our daily radio show "Bloomberg Businessweek Daily."
Hosted by Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec
Hear the show live at 2PM ET on WBBR 1130 AM New York, Bloomberg 92.9 FM Boston, WDCH 99.1 FM in Washington D.C. Metro, Sirius/XM channel 121, on the Bloomberg Business App, Radio.com, the iHeartRadio app and at Bloomberg.com/audio.
You can also watch Bloomberg Businessweek on YouTube - just search for Bloomberg Global News.
Like us at Bloomberg Radio on Facebook and follow us on Twitter @carolmassar @timsteno and @BW
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
