In short
Weekend Bloomberg Businessweek episode covering (1) private credit stress and trust, (2) consumer pressure and Sally Beauty’s outlook, and (3) the Broadway revival Cats, The Jellicle Ball in a ballroom context.
Guests and backgrounds
James Crombie, Bloomberg News Senior Editor of Credit; Michael Gross, co-founder and co-CEO of SLR Capital Partners (ex-Apollo); Denise Polonis, President and CEO of Sally Beauty Holdings; Bill Rauch, artistic director at the Perlman Performing Arts Center and co-director of Cats, The Jellicle Ball; Jalen Levingstead, co-director of Cats, The Jellicle Ball.
Key claims
Private credit cracks stem from liquidity/trust loss and mark-to-market/NAV pressure, especially in software loans; some downside may be permanent. Sally Beauty sees lower-income consumers cutting discretionary purchases but buying essentials like hair color and nails; transactions and tickets rose. Cats’ ballroom adaptation maps structurally to the show and is designed for Broadway’s proscenium constraints.
Notable examples
a fund marked 100 then 81 overnight (2007-like dynamics); public BDCs reporting negative ROEs; Sally e-commerce up 28% and TikTok Shop growth; Cats nominated for nine Tony Awards.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOConsumer Health and Spending Trends
2:59 to 4:33
Discussion on how economic pressures are affecting consumer spending habits.
“Questions about private credit, Tim, as you well know, over the last year or so.”
Insights on Private Credit Market
4:33 to 13:34
Experts discuss challenges and current trends in the private credit space.
“voices, James Crombie, Bloomberg News Senior Editor of Credit, and Michael Gross, co-founder and co-CEO of SLR Capital Partners.”
Consumer Indulgences in Tough Times
14:01 to 14:16
Exploration of consumer behavior and spending habits during economic tightness.
“I don't know, but it's like that spending on a little indulgence when things are tight in the economy.”
Consumer Concerns in 2025
15:46 to 16:30
Discussing consumer anxiety about prices and job security following a Fed survey.
“You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast.”
Insights from Sally Beauty CEO
16:30 to 17:41
Interview with Sally Beauty CEO Denise Polonis on consumer trends and sales.
“The survey was conducted in October, and it did come months before the war in Iran drove up gasoline prices, which has sparked the fastest inflation in years.”
Consumer Spending Adjustments
17:41 to 19:53
Discussion on how consumers are adjusting their spending and priorities.
“a little bit more pressured by gas prices, we're conscious of the fact that they're feeling a little bit more stretched.”
Assessing Economic Trends and Future Outlook
19:53 to 22:07
Exploring economic trends and potential future impacts on consumer behavior.
“A particular strength in different parts of the country, particular weakness in other parts?”
Innovations in E-Commerce and Customer Engagement
22:07 to 24:22
Sally Beauty's approach to e-commerce and attracting new customers.
“healthy hair, you're going to come and get styling treatments, you're going to get serums and masks, and we will keep being there for our customers.”
Strategic Cash Management
24:22 to 25:13
Discussion on Sally Beauty's strategies for cash flow and investments.
“Hey, one thing I want to ask you a year ago, when you guys reported earnings, you extended your buyback program through September of 2029.”
Labor Market Dynamics
25:13 to 26:28
Insights into hiring practices and labor force management in the retail sector.
“And that's going to be our primary objective go forward.”
Show all 18 chapters
Consumer Sentiment and Economic Predictions
26:28 to 28:00
Analyzing consumer sentiment and its implications for future economic conditions.
“So I feel like, you know, that Fed survey for 2025 and concerns and anxiety that certainly consumers were feeling.”
Consumer Sentiment Analysis
28:00 to 28:44
Discussing the current state of consumer sentiment amidst economic challenges.
“And Michael basically said, from our vantage point, from our data, the consumer is looking really good.”
Creative Genesis of Cats the Jellicle Ball
31:58 to 34:00
Exploring the inspiration and conceptual evolution behind the new Cats production.
“Back then, our team called it a viral new show.”
Ballroom Culture and Cats
34:00 to 36:18
Discussing the intersection of ballroom culture with the narrative of Cats.
“We really, it was a group of us who figured out how to do the show in the context of Ballroom.”
Adapting Cats for Broadway
36:18 to 38:18
Examining the challenges and strategies involved in bringing Cats to Broadway.
“And that was, from early on, so many of them just completely locked into place and made perfect sense.”
Audience Experience in Theater
38:18 to 40:38
Discussing how to create an engaging audience experience in a Broadway setting.
“And that feels even more amplified on Broadway because you're on Broadway and you can't believe you're hooping and hollering next to people on Broadway.”
Joy and Success of Cats Revival
40:38 to 42:00
Reflecting on the joy and success of the Cats revival and its reception.
“Jalen mentioned taking the show on the road.”
Celebrating Community Through Arts
42:00 to 43:30
Learn how theater projects can build community and foster joy.
“We want to bring people together from as many different communities as possible to be in community together in our theaters.”
Transcript
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1:43Daily Podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio.
1:49Carol Massar:Hi, everyone. Welcome to the Bloomberg Business Week weekend podcast. It was another busy week with the economic environment really top of mind. U.S. inflation accelerated in April on rising gasoline and grocery costs, exceeding wage growth in a double whammy for already strained consumers and gotta say, lowering the chance for an interest rate cut later on this year. Plus, the Senate narrowly confirmed Kevin Warsh as Fed chair. setting up the most controversial leadership transition at the central bank in decades. Also, really a test of its political independence with the slimmest confirmation margin ever.
2:23Carol Massar:Yeah, I know. It's going to be an interesting Fed going forward. With that in mind, we have a really great look at consumer health and how the lower and middle income consumers may be cutting back on spending to deal with the squeeze. Sometimes you just got to go to things that people just do on a regular basis. We caught up with the CEO of Sally Beauty, who joined us to talk earnings and the company's third quarter outlook. And again, get that read on the consumer. Plus, The Hollywood Reporter calls it, quote, this season's must-see Broadway revival. We catch up with the co-directors of Cats, The Jellicle Ball.
2:54It's a musical revival nominated for nine Tony Awards.
2:57Carol Massar:All right, all of that to come. We begin with a smart look at private credit. The new head of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's enforcement division said keeping an eye on stress in the private markets is one of his top priorities during his first week on the job after funds saw a surge in redemption requests and limited withdrawals. I mean, this has been an ongoing story. Questions about private credit, Tim, as you well know, over the last year or so. And DoubleLine CEO and CIO Jeff Gundlach telling Bloomberg's Romain Bostic and Katie Greifeld that the conditions were similar to what we saw back in 2007, highlighting significant risks and potential domino effects.
3:31I think the mechanism is already underway and the mechanism is a decline or elimination of trust because there's been so much reporting that is questionable in terms of the underlying activity. When I point out the one that really grabbed my attention last fall was there was a fund that was marked at 100 and overnight it was marked at 81. Now that is a hard to understand markdown by a not insignificant sponsor, one with a good reputation and a very large staff, supposedly doing underwriting and due diligence and tracking and all that sort of stuff, and yet it goes down 19 % overnight. But I've been saying this is not just about private credit.
4:16This is something that is a pandemic to market cycles. This happened in the IPO of dot-coms back in the late 90s. They had no revenue, no business plan, and they were selling for large prices. That was DoubleLine CEO and CIO Jeff Gundlach.
4:32Carol Massar:We took a deeper look at some of the concerns with cracks in private credit with two informed voices, James Crombie, Bloomberg News Senior Editor of Credit, and Michael Gross, co-founder and co-CEO of SLR Capital Partners. It's an independent asset manager focused on delivering flexible debt capital solutions to U.S.-based middle market businesses. He's also one of the co-founders of Apollo Management, now known as Apollo Global Management. it? Yeah, it is pretty strong. And it comes to the fact that we haven't been through a cycle in like 17 years. So everyone's kind of gotten spoiled. And to Jeff Gundlach's comments earlier, there are a lot of investors out there who don't quite realize what they were sold in terms of liquidity.
5:13And so when you started to see cracks in the system and retail investors being unable to get their money back, the media kind of picked up on that and brought private credit to a forefront. At the same time that all happened, all the concerns about AI and the impact on software came to roost. And all of a sudden, we're sitting here having come through earnings seasons where for the first time in 10, 15 years, you have BDCs reporting negative ROEs for the quarter. Why? Because their net asset values have been written down to reflect the mark to market of these software loans and other loans to the point that it more than exceeded their investment income for the quarter.
5:52And so this set off a whole set of nervousness.
5:54Carol Massar:Kind of like a mortgage being underwater, right? Ish. Yeah. Anyway, go ahead. Yeah. But, you know, I think the discussion that should take place is whether this is kind of a permanent change or whether this is a mark-to-market change, which has the ability to come back. What do you think? I think both. I think the narrative that the public BDCs are talking about when they talk about their NAVs decline for the quarter is that reflects spreads widening. Now, yes, spreads didn't widen this past quarter. People should mark their portfolios accordingly to take that into effect. But I would argue some of that spread widening or discounts have been put in place is permanent and it can actually become lower.
6:33Why? Because all these software loans we're talking about, which are 20, 30 % of people's exposure, still has real downside. Just the fact they're trading lower doesn't mean that's the bottom. But is that downside, and this is, you know, a part of a broader conversation, Michael, but is the downside, is that warranted? Like the potential downside warranted right now? Because there's a whole group of people that says, you know, this, this, these software as a service companies are not going to be replaced by Claude or by what you can build on Claude. They're not. And here's the issue. As a private equity investor, if you have a portfolio of software companies, five of them can do well and three can be zeros and you could still be okay.
7:14In credit, where we're making 8%, 9%, 10%, 11%, we have to be close to perfect. We have to make money on our loans 99 % of the time so we can get net returns to our investors. So if you're lending to software companies and three or
7:28Carol Massar:four of them go belly up, it kind of doesn't matter what the rest of your portfolio is. You put a real dent in it. James, come on in. I'm interested, Mike, in the response from investors to this news to your results. The stock is down a lot. When we spoke, we were talking about outperformance in your portfolio because of the relatively low exposure to software. You're certainly outperforming on that basis. But now I'm looking at the stock. I think it was down the most since March 2020. And it's down at a four-year low right now. What do you make of that? It's obviously disappointing. I can control a lot of things.
8:04I can't control how our stock trades. What I will say is when I think about the fundamentals, this quarter, we had zero net accruals. Our net asset value was down 50 basis points, whereas the peers were down 200 to 1 ,000 basis points. And our ROE for the quarter was 7%. We were one of four or five public BDCs who had a positive ROE for the quarter. And the reason we're able to accomplish all that is, to your earlier comment, we have 2 % software exposure. And the vast majority of our loans are asset-based loans in specialty finance strategies as opposed to the traditional cash flow loans, which are exhibiting this volatility.
8:40So you think investors are getting it wrong? I think investors are partially getting it wrong. I think we lowered our dividend to reflect what our current earnings power is. We want to take the pressure off the investment team to go do investments just for the sake of supporting a dividend because we are very conservative. We have tools in place to kind of rebuild our income. And importantly, the fact that we reached our dividend was not credit related. It wasn't loss related. It was voluntary based on where we think the current earnings levels are. Last time that we talked, you told me you were buying the stock because it was so cheap.
9:13Are you doing the same now? I likely will.
9:16Carol Massar:But not yet? Not yet. I haven't yet. Why wait? I have to have the window period opened up. Okay. But at these levels, you're buying. I think it's interesting. Yes. For sure. How closely do you watch the macro in terms of maybe putting additional pressure on your investments in just the private credit world overall? I mean, of course we watch it. We watch what's going on in Iran. We watch what's going on with oil prices. But fortunately for us, given that we're not predominantly a cash flow lender, we're not really impacted. The value of the receivables that we lend against and the inventory we lend against really aren't impacted by these factors because importantly, this collateral turns over quickly.
9:53These aren't five-year assets. They're assets that turn over in 30 to 60 days. I think if you step back and look at what was being reported out of Milken, there was a lot of talk about private credit. And, you know, we had a lot of discussion around trust. And I think Jeff mentioned that as well, that trust is hard to win and very easy to lose. And it's lost now. How do you get it back? By performing, by, you know, following through what we say and continue to show people that we have a very defensive portfolio. It's extremely conservative. That's going to perform in good markets as well as bad markets.
10:27To piggyback off of James's question, is there a chance with the volatility that we've seen and the negative headlines that we've seen when it comes to private credit, it's turned off a class of investors that you might have thought would be available to buy in? It's a great question because if you think about the vast majority of investors in public BDCs are retail investors. Yeah. Those are the people who get scared first and those people that follow trends. We are seeing incredible interest still in private credit and specifically what we do from institutions and high net worth family offices.
11:02There's a real desire to be in private credit. People realize that this is a long-term asset class that makes sense if you invest the right managers. And the sophisticated people are saying to themselves, I already have exposure to traditional cash flow lending. where can I get differentiated exposure within private credit that's not correlated to the rest of the market?
11:20Carol Massar:But do you think opening it up to more and more retail investors or individual investors that ultimately you're going to have so much money chasing, ultimately pressured to do deals that really just don't make sense? It's already happened. I mean, with the proliferation of these non-traded BDCs, too much money was raised too quickly. And that caused certain managers to lose discipline and put money out quickly just for the sake of putting it out. So should we slow it down in terms of the exposure? I think the manager should slow it down and have the discipline to not take in capital if there's not a good place to put it.
11:54And in any shakeout, there's a kind of a gravitation towards scale and liquidity and the safety of brands that you kind of know. We've done a piece that came out today just on how your old shop, Apollo, is actually benefiting, it seems, by this turmoil. And they're taking advantage. They have the scale to do that. Is it a question of size matters at this point and you have to be big to survive? I actually think personally it's the opposite. I think we've gone into a world where there's a disaconomous scale. By being too large and having targets of$1 trillion or$2 trillion of assets, your focus is on accumulating assets and not investing it.
12:30And you need to go after bigger companies which have more options in the liquid market. by being a niche player, assuming you have the right resources and capital base and cost of capital, you can go after different seams within private credit that offer differentiated and better return actually with less risk.
12:48Carol Massar:So do you think that Apollo, your old firm, is setting itself up for some problems in the future just because of its size and forcing it? I don't. I think, you know, I'm biased because I came out of Apollo. I didn't mean to put you on the spot, but I'm just curious. And I'm a big fan of Mark Rowan. I think he's one of the most brilliant people in the business. He's an investor first. So he has these public goals, but he's not going to be willing to sacrifice returns for doing it. The redemptions we saw in May, sorry, not May, last month and the month before, we're setting ourselves up for another round of that very, very soon.
13:21It'll be Groundhog Day in June.
13:22Carol Massar:And just got about 15, 20 seconds. Yes. You will see similar redemptions because once people start, they're not going to stop. That was Michael Gross, co-founder and CEO of SLR Capital Partners. Also with us, James Crombie, Bloomberg News senior editor who covers credit. And I just want to mention, we did have a private credit story out in our Private Credit Weekly newsletter. And it just pointed out how KKR, BlackRock, and Apollo Global Management are taking steps to address issues with their private credit funds, which have become reputational stains despite being a small part of their assets.
13:54Carol Massar:So the ongoing watch continues. Coming up, you've heard of the Lipstick Index. You have, Carol, right? Yeah, haven't you? Come on. Yeah, I have. It's fun. And does it still exist? I don't know, but it's like that spending on a little indulgence when things are tight in the economy. Well, the CEO of Sally Beauty stops by and she gave us her read on the economy and consumer following her company's most recent earnings report. I will say touching at my roots is unconsiderating. Not discretionary. It's kind of crucial. Hey, you're listening to Bloomberg Businessweek. This is Bloomberg.
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15:46You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern. Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. or watch us live on YouTube.
16:00Carol Massar:The vast majority of Americans worried about high prices in 2025, and a growing share grew anxious about the job market as well. That's according to an annual Federal Reserve survey. Amid near zero job growth last year, 42 % of adults reported that finding or keeping a job was either a minor or major concern. That's up from 37 % in 2024. Now get this, about 9 in 10 respondents said they were concerned about price increases. That's according to the Fed's 2025 survey of household economics and decision making. The survey was conducted in October, and it did come months before the war in Iran drove up gasoline prices, which has sparked the fastest inflation in years.
16:38Carol Massar:Lower and middle income consumers are getting hit by higher costs, particularly hard. And it's starting to show in the outlook for makers of consumer products, including the beauty industry. On a conference call with investors after earnings when the retailer gave a weak outlook for the third quarter, Sally Beauty warned it's seeing pressure in stores that identify as low income and frugality among lower middle income consumers. We caught up with Denise Polonis, president and CEO of Sally Beauty Holdings. She joined us from Plano, Texas. We had a great second quarter. So our overall sales were up 2.3 percent, comp sales up 1.3 percent, and real outperformance on the consumer side with our Sally brand up 4.4 percent here in the U.S.
17:20Carol Massar:But that said, we do serve a lower middle income consumer. And so we watch them be more choiceful in their behavior, which means they don't replace things like blow dryers or flat irons if they don't need them. but they're buying what matters to them right now, which is hair color, it's nail gel, it's press on nails. And those pieces continue to see strength. But as we watch a consumer that continues to get a little bit more pressured by gas prices, we're conscious of the fact that they're feeling a little bit more stretched. So if the war continues, energy prices continue, Denise, you think then this trend continues in the current quarter?
17:58Carol Massar:I'm assuming you're still seeing kind of this this restraint, if you will, among some of your consumers? Yeah, to date, we're seeing the same restraint that we've seen the last few quarters. I think we're just a little wary that it could get a little bit worse as we get out of Q2 and tax refunds are fully absorbed into the economy. And if that gas price stays a little inflated, we can be watching for some concern. But what I'd say right now is stylists still have busy chairs. They're still serving a lot of customers. They're seeing good business come through and that consumer continues to buy.
18:30Carol Massar:We saw both transactions and ticket each up 2 % in our US Sally business. So good news, just watchful. What are they buying differently? Are they trading down a little bit? Do you offer, at least on the side of where people are buying the consumables, the shampoos, the conditioners, those things that people use on their nails, are people trading down at price point? You know, I think what they're doing is they're really trading into Sally to some extent. So for those folks who color their hair, a lot of them share between coloring in a salon and coloring at home. Our color business was up 12 % in the U.S.
19:06Carol Massar:And so what does that mean? It means somebody might be going to the salon a little less frequently and maybe doing their root touch up at home. Or going to a nail salon is very expensive. And so our nail business was up 3 % as people were trading in and saying, I can get a lot of this look at home for a lot less cost. So do you think, are you frustrated then with investor reaction here? You know, I can't predict the market anymore. I certainly think that we've got a strong business with a lot of momentum behind us. You know, we continue to be in the first half of the year. Our EPS is up 8 % versus last year.
Read the full transcript
19:41Carol Massar:Lots of good things to be looking forward to. The right amount of cash to keep investing in the business. So my hope is the market will catch up once there's a little less maybe worry about consumer discretionary. What about geographies? A particular strength in different parts of the country, particular weakness in other parts? What can you tell us? No, we've seen pretty consistent behavior across the U.S. I think what we always watch is we always watch border stores. We watch lower income stores. They might index a little bit lower than what we'll see across the fleet as a whole. But as the geographies go, not a lot of difference.
20:17Carol Massar:What I'm always curious, and we love, Denise, talking to folks like yourself, where you do have a great window into the consumer and different, you know, we say consumer, but there's all kinds of consumers, right? There are wealthier consumers, which can shrug off a lot of stuff. There are other consumers that, you know, middle income and so on that feel these higher energy prices, and it's an impact and you have to make some choices. Is there anything, though, that you're seeing within the different consumer segments that says to you that we could be headed for something more significant in terms of an economic slowdown?
20:51Carol Massar:Or is it just, you think, reactionary to higher energy prices? And if energy prices come down, things kind of go back to quote unquote normal. The best I can see is it feels a bit more reactionary right now. You know, overall consumer trends are pretty consistent. Transactions are healthy. So it's not as if customers are not coming in. You know, I think what we'd watch for, I watch for, is if grocery prices or other things started to tick back up and there was more pressure beyond just gas prices, we aren't seeing that yet. So I'm certainly hoping that this is a period in time and as we head through the summer, we will see things feel maybe a little bit better for that end customer.
21:30Carol Massar:If they don't, we serve our customer well with value. Our save while you skip the salon message can help drive hair color growth. We've got a great promotional offering and value offering for our stylists to be able to shop across color and care. And our business is generally resilient. You know, when we talk about comps at 1.3%, you know, we see good performance. We might not see real high highs, but we don't see real low lows because at the end of the day, we participate in categories that customers need. If you start coloring your hair, you generally don't stop. If you love your nails and you want to take care of them, you're going to do that.
22:06Carol Massar:If you want healthy hair, you're going to come and get styling treatments, you're going to get serums and masks, and we will keep being there for our customers. So top of mind, obviously, you want to watch what customers are up to, what salons are up to. But beyond that, in terms of the macro, what is top of mind for you, Denise, as you look at, you know, kind of so many things that are coming at folks that run companies just like you? You know, I'm really looking at the places where we can differentiate and where other companies can differentiate as well. So our e-commerce business is up 28 % in the Sally, a business in the US.
22:42Carol Massar:We just recently launched on TikTok shop, a really important place to be because that's where customers are and that's where they're engaging with beauty. And so the more we can respond to that or our licensed colorist on demand program, where once again, if that consumer is pressured and they need to learn how to color their hair at home, we've got a pro right there willing to help them walk along with them and help them have that be a successful journey. So things where we can drive growth while that customer might be feeling a little pinched. Yeah. Denise, talk a little bit more about finding those new customers and bringing them in through these channels.
23:14How do you know, you know, how do you follow the customer from that TikTok journey? And then maybe they end up in the store.
23:22Carol Massar:Yeah. So with the TikTok journey, you know, they'll definitely start on TikTok shop, but those orders are all fulfilled by us. So our ability to understand that customer and see their journey, we feel pretty good about. We've done work in black box work with some of our other marketplace partners, and we've seen about 75 % of those transactions through places like DoorDash should be incremental business to us, which we think is great news and is bringing a new customer into the Sally fold. Overall, our marketing campaigns with what we can do with performance marketing and then trace those activities back into our customer fold.
23:56Carol Massar:Our customer database, customer information management continues to get better to let us watch those trends. And we've seen new growth. We've seen new customer growth. We've seen reactivated customers picking up. And importantly, with our core customers, our good everyday shoppers, frequency is going up. So, you know, feel like all the engines are firing the right way around understanding our customer on the Sally side of the business. Hey, one thing I want to ask you a year ago, when you guys reported earnings, you extended your buyback program through September of 2029. What's your best use of cash right now in your view?
24:31Carol Massar:Yeah, we really are focused on three things. First and foremost, investing behind the business. So whether that is supporting our marketplaces, digital campaigns, our Sally Ignited store refresh that is starting, that is first and foremost. Secondly, we're managing to a really good debt position. So we have a targeted net leverage ratio of 1.5 to 2. We're at the 1.5 level. So we're still doing a little bit of pay down. And then we've committed to invest about 50 % of our free cash flow back into share buybacks. So, you know, we're really firing across all those dimensions and believe that, as you can see with the stock price today, you know, there's some good value for us to be purchasing there.
25:09Carol Massar:But most importantly, we have the cash we need to invest in the business. And that's going to be our primary objective go forward. And what about in terms of the labor force? We just came off of a jobs report on Friday, and this is really important. And we think about this in terms of what the Fed may or may not do if we see weakness in the labor market. We didn't get that on Friday necessarily. But what about when you need workers? Are you able to fill them? Are you holding off on hiring in terms of maybe managing costs a little bit? What's your position? Yeah, out in the field in both our stores and our distribution centers, we are able to hire as we need to.
25:44Carol Massar:We've actually seen turnover slow. So voluntary turnover has gone down, which is great for us because that drives retention and good understanding of our customers and our business amongst our store teams. In our support center, we are always frugal in terms of how we manage headcount and cost. We'll continue to do that. But we don't have any plans to either stop hiring or to ramp up hiring. I think we're going to be pretty status quo in the near term. In other words, low hire, low fire. Exactly. No robots coming. Elon wants to put robots everywhere. You know, we love AI. We're driving it hard in personalization and on the marketing side of our house.
26:23Carol Massar:But at the moment, we need every person that we've got to keep growing our business. That was Denise Polonis, president and CEO of Sally Beauty Holdings. All right. So I feel like, you know, that Fed survey for 2025 and concerns and anxiety that certainly consumers were feeling. And we heard from Denise really about the lower income consumer or middle income, you know, what they are feeling and feeling stretched. But at the same time, first of all, a couple things. We did get U.S. retail sales this past week, and they advanced for a third month in April, pointing to some signs of consumer resilience despite those sharply higher gasoline prices.
26:56Carol Massar:So we saw the value of retail purchases. Remember, it's the value. So if things are more expensive, maybe this bucket gets larger. This report suggesting higher than usual tax refunds and a stock market rally that helped provide a financial cushion against mounting inflationary pressures. But it's unclear how long that will sustain robust demand. And this is kind of, I feel like, the debate that we keep trying to find out about because it does feel like we hear in some instances that consumers are feeling really stretched. It's interesting, though, because that's certainly part of it. But as the saying goes, watch what consumers do, not what they say.
27:30So, you know, you can look at surveys, you can look at the data and those those could tell different stories. There's also the anecdotal stuff that you and I have based on some reporting that we were able to do. We actually spent some time after their investor day with the leadership of a firm. It's the Buy Now, Pay Later firm. Rob O 'Hara was there. He's chief financial officer. Max Levchin, the chairman, CEO and founder, is part of the PayPal mafia. He was at this event that we went to. And also Michael Linford, the chief operating officer. And we wanted to ask about the consumer and how the consumer is doing.
28:00And Michael basically said, from our vantage point, from our data, the consumer is looking really good.
28:06Carol Massar:And we pushed him, to be fair, right? Like they talked about the macro. And then we kind of came back and be like, really? Because that's not always what we hear. And you saw it even in some of the company earnings reports. It was interesting to hear in the context of higher inflation and higher gas prices. Yeah, exactly. Exactly. I will say one measure of one of the reports this week of consumer sentiment at its lowest on record. And many economists expect spending growth to be sluggish should inflation persist. Corporate executives have already flagged some consumers have begun to pull back.
28:37Carol Massar:And that's what we found off of earnings. But we continue to see it in some of the stories that crossed the Bloomberg. Still ahead on Bloomberg Business Week, cats like you have never seen it or heard it before. We catch up with the directors of the new Tony-nominated revival. And we also have joining with us, I'm not going to give it away, one big fan who's actually seen it a couple of times. It was fun to do that with him. Stick around, everybody. This is Bloomberg.
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31:04Complete disclosures available at public.com slash disclosures. This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Listen live each weekday starting at 2 p.m. Eastern on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. Just say, Alexa, play Bloomberg 1130.
31:44If you've been paying attention to us over the past couple of years, then by now you've seen Cats the Jellicle Ball. Because close to two years ago, we were having a conversation with Chris Rauser of Bloomberg Pursuits about how the costumes were made. It was based on a story from James Tarmy. If you missed it, be sure to check it out on the terminal or at Bloomberg.com. Back then, our team called it a viral new show. I remember Chris saying to us that we absolutely had to see it.
32:06Carol Massar:He did. Now The Hollywood Reporter is out calling it, quote, this season's must-see Broadway revival. We've got with us Bill Rauch and Jalen Levingstead. They are co-directors of Cats, the Jellicle Ball. Bill is also artistic director at the Perlman Performing Arts Center. Also with us is our own Chris Rauch, Bloomberg Pursuits editor-at-large. Chris, as we said, he's also the guy that we reach out to when we need to go somewhere and figure out what to go see. Welcome, welcome, congratulations. How did this first come together? Did you guys call Andrew Lloyd Webber? How does this happen? Eventually, we absolutely did.
32:43Carol Massar:But how did it start to, there's always either people sitting around a table thinking, oh my God, what if we just did this? We both have our own stories about that. About 30 years ago, I began to think about Andrew Lloyd Webber's musical Cats in a gay context. I thought about the possibility of Grizabella being an older gay man and a gay bar singing the song memory And that was the seed but over time We realized of course. It's not a bar. It's a ball and Grizabella is not a gay man Grizabella is a transgender woman and that is in fact What cats the jillicle well became yeah, I mean it really started with that that Impulse from bill and we were connected after I had started to have some really in jest conversations with a roommate of mine about what if there was a production of Cats where no one was an actual cat.
33:36And there weren't ears and there weren't tails. It sounds sacrilegious, but you kind of love it. And you just kind of called each other cat in the way that you did in the 20th century. Look at that cat. Look at that cool cat. That's a sly cat right there. And I was like, well, it's already kind of in the American vernacular. I bet there's a cultural context that you could put the show in. But I just assumed Andrew Lloyd Webber would never let such a radical change happen with the show. And then we were connected soon after that because the casting director of that show was like, you need to talk to Bill because Bill is also thinking along the exact same lines.
34:10So who calls Andrew Lloyd Webber? We really, it was a group of us who figured out how to do the show in the context of Ballroom. and we began to reach out to people in Andrew's company. And each person we talked to said, we think it's fantastic. We love the idea. It's going to be up to Andrew. And that was like a good year-long process. And eventually Andrew said yes. Can you talk a little bit more about how perfectly the world of Ballroom overlaps with structurally how Cats works? Because Cats, if you've seen it, it's not a linear plot line. It's essentially like a narrator announcer saying, and look at this character and like that is very much how ballroom works and with the additional script work that they did it were it maps almost perfectly into it i've talked to so many people who say cats has never worked this well including elaine page right it's been very exciting we've had uh lots of cats alum both people who have been on stage and off stage who really relate to the show there's people who have historically hated the musical and and really enjoy themselves and people who feel a lot of fidelity towards the original musical and enjoy themselves at the show as well.
35:24So there's a lot of that happening. It's very fascinating. But, yeah, I do think that there is this kind of beautiful marriage between ballroom culture and cats. Some of the themes of cats that have always been there, themes of family, themes of tribe, themes of competition and one-upmanship and who's going to get the grand prize by the end of the night. You know, if you go to a ball, it is all centered around a competition wherein identity is made pageant. And I think that the mix between that and just working with the original T.S. Eliot poetry and really finding new ways to interpret these humans, not as cats, but as humans in the ballroom scene.
36:10There are all these ways that the show ended up dancing with ballroom. That was really surprising. One of the most fun aspects of the whole project was matching each song about each character with different categories in ballroom. And that was, from early on, so many of them just completely locked into place and made perfect sense. So it does feel like T.S. Eliot meant this all along. And Andrew Lloyd Webber, it was just waiting to be excavated in this way. How do you take a production like this that was so successful downtown and bring it to Broadway? well I think one of the things you have to do first is to make a commitment to not copy and pasting an experience like is it a different I mean Chris you've seen it both it's different right it's enhanced I mean when you take something to Broadway you enhance it and it really is amped up and do you get new producers on it there needs to be additional funding or the costumes get amped up because that's a big
37:12Carol Massar:part right of this it's the amping up you're talking about We have two lead producers who are extraordinary and many, many co-producers. But the biggest thing we struggled with was how to make it work in a proscenium. Because at PAC NYC, it's a very immersive space. It's very, very flexible. There are cabaret tables. The runway was 50 feet long. So essentially on Broadway, we have twice as many audience members, but only half the space. And what was great about the exercise of figuring out how to tell the story on a Broadway stage is that it forced more focus, and it allowed us to dig into the story in an even deeper way.
37:50And I would say that by the end of Off-Broadway, we were able to say, what really works about this? What is the thing that if we had to take it somewhere else, people would go, but I can't lose this. And to my surprise, I really would have assumed that it was the 50-foot-long runway. And I think that's the expectation of the thing that you think you might miss. But the truth is, what felt life or death for this production was making sure that the audience felt like they were in a different relationship with each other. And that feels even more amplified on Broadway because you're on Broadway and you can't believe you're hooping and hollering next to people on Broadway.
38:26Were you hooping and hollering? Well, speaking of life and death, it is not an easy time to take a musical to Broadway. I mean, was this anxiety provoking? Can you talk about how much it was capitalized for or how risky it felt to take it from your theater to this huge stage? I think the final numbers on the capitalization are not known even to us. But it was not cheap. It's not cheap to do a 23-actor-on-stage musical on Broadway in today's economy. But there was just such passionate belief in the project from the get-go from our producers yeah I will say I mean you say this all the time us being able to accomplish the show in the proscenium means that the show gets to have a longer life means that we don't make something that's so expensive that we can't eventually take it on the road or take it to another country or so there's always the negotiation between like what is the budget what is the scale how do we accomplish this without an audience ever knowing.
39:29Carol Massar:All right, I'm just going to... Do not call me out, Carol. Just call me out. You're not just Google. No. I Googled proscenium. Yeah, because I think... No, no, no, but I was doing the same thing. I was going to do it, and I'm like, so what exactly is that? A traditional Broadway theater where most of the audience is sitting in what we think of as the audience, and most of the action happens on a stage behind the proscenium arch, behind the picture of the proscenium arch. So our job was to break that proscenium as much as we could. We have 80 audience members on stage. We have the actors out in the audience all the time.
40:05And to really make it that everybody's in one room together.
40:08Carol Massar:Well, and not to go back to the original Cats, but let's go there. But that's how you could actually sit on the side of the stage. And I also remember when it opened. I saw it a couple times. Yeah, I did too. It was my first Broadway show. But the Cats coming down the aisle and stuff. So it's really wonderful when you can figure out how to do that. And that's embedded into ballroom as well, right? Even that element of Cats from the original in terms of actors everywhere, that's the exact same kind of energy you want to create at a ball. So even down to that detail, we're in conversation with what was already in the event of Cats from the very beginning.
40:44Jalen mentioned taking the show on the road. And I just want to say one of the things we are so proud of is if you are somebody from the ballroom world or if you think ballroom means waltzing and foxtrotting, like whatever your degree of knowledge, if you love cats, if you've never been exposed to cats, everybody of all ages loves this show. And we can say that. It is a joy bomb. And we are so proud to be sharing it. And so we wanted to have a good long life from Broadway and we want to take it out on the road and get as many people to see it as possible.
41:17Carol Massar:How many times have you seen it? I saw it twice downtown. So far. twice on town and then once on Broadway the first time I went I got a group ticket discount and brought 50 gay guys from Brooklyn wow try that on Broadway when Temptress is about to hit the big big moment and I just looked around the theater the theater was full of people waiting for her to go so yeah it was really magical so from the PAC, the Pearlman Performing Arts Center is part of your goal to create shows that move on from there? Or how does this fit into that project for you? Our mission at PACNYC is to bring people together in that historic site at the World Trade Center.
42:02We want to bring people together from as many different communities as possible to be in community together in our theaters. And we believe in every project we do. So when one can have a longer life, it is an absolute gift. It's not the only measure of success at all, but it is one lovely measure of success. I have to go see it
42:23Carol Massar:I have to go see it What did Andrew say? What did Andrew Lerber say when you got him on the phone? Oh, he really was just tickled by the amount of joy and like he often anytime at least I'm talking to him and he's talking about the show that's the first thing he mentions is it's just so joyful, isn't it? Has he come to see it? Oh, many times. Oh, he has? Yes, yes. In fact, one of his great quotes is I've never been in a theater with as much love as I've been in for Catch the Jellicle Ball. And it's been thrilling to watch him receive the lyrics and the poetry in a new way through this lens as well.
42:57Carol Massar:I feel like that's what arts and culture, like arts is about, right? Like you take something and just, it evolves, right? And I don't know, a rebirth or an innovative way. I don't know. It's just pretty cool stuff. A revival. A revival. That's right. But it evolves. And these guys are nominated for a Tony for it. You are. That's revival, yeah. Congratulations. Nine Tony nominations. That's a pretty big deal. That's a pretty big deal. So Chris, next time will you take Tim and me? Yeah. You guys will get a group discount. That was Chris Rauser, Bloomberg Pursuits Editor-at-Large with Bill Rauch and Jalen Levingston, co-directors of Cats, The Jellicle Ball.
43:30Bill, also Artistic Director at the Perlman Performing Arts Center.
43:34Carol Massar:And that wraps up the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio. Thank you so much for joining us. I'm Tim Steneberg. And I'm Carol Masser. Have a good and safe weekend, everyone. This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. available on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern on Bloomberg.com, the iHeartRadio app, TuneIn, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg Terminal.
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