In short
Bloomberg Business Week Daily discusses two linked issues: (1) President Trump’s recent phone calls to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and what that means for Fed independence and upcoming rate decisions; (2) broader macro risks (inflation, war, equity-market fragility) and near-term economic data (jobs, CPI, PCE).
Guests
Michael McKee (Bloomberg News senior Federal Reserve reporter; International Economist and Policy Correspondent).
Key claims
Trump’s calls to Warsh are “irregular” compared with recent years, and the main concern is lack of disclosure amid political pressure on the Fed, not confirmed discussion of monetary policy. Bond-market reactions will reflect credibility and expectations. Warsh is one vote among 12; multiple officials have preferred higher rates.
Notable examples
historical precedent of presidents pressuring Fed chairs (Arthur Burns under Nixon; LBJ dragging Fed officials to the LBJ ranch). Data path highlighted: employment tomorrow, then CPI, then PCE, culminating in Jackson Hole (late August) and the mid-September meeting. Biggest risks: war-driven price spikes and inflation re-accelerating; plus potential equity-market crash risk.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOPodcast Introduction
1:04 to 1:29
Hosts Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek introduce the Bloomberg Businessweek Daily Podcast.
Podcast Introduction
1:32 to 2:09
Hosts Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek introduce the Bloomberg Businessweek Daily Podcast.
“This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease.”
Trump's Calls to Fed Chair
2:09 to 2:51
Discussion on President Trump's phone calls with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.
“Alright folks, hey, Chair Warsh It's President Trump calling I'm not sure it goes down like that I don't know, I don't think he calls him Chair You think he calls him Kev?”
Frequency of Presidential Calls
2:51 to 3:40
Exploring the unusual frequency of calls between Trump and Warsh compared to past presidents.
“But as of now, our reporting does confirm that the president has called Chairman Warsh on a regular basis as he came back to office.”
Monetary Policy Discussions
3:40 to 4:47
Delving into what topics may have been discussed during Trump and Warsh's calls.
“Josh Wingrove, not Josh Green, sharing the byline with you on that end.”
Honeymoon Period with Fed Chairs
4:47 to 6:46
Examining the concept of honeymoon periods for Fed chairs and historical precedents.
“and he was reappointed by President Biden a few years later.”
Impact of President's Influence
6:46 to 8:07
Analyzing how the President's influence affects the Fed's credibility and decisions.
“And I'm sure that's when we really will know what he's thinking about Kevin Moore so far.”
Upcoming Economic Indicators
8:07 to 9:07
Discussing the importance of upcoming economic data and its potential impact on the Fed.
“Yeah, I mean, there's going to be a sequence here.”
Fed's Voting Dynamics
9:07 to 9:58
Looking at how the Fed's voting dynamics work and the role of individual votes.
“Mike, I want to ask you, because we just said, you know, just kind of looking at this Fed.”
Presidential Relations with the Fed
9:58 to 10:52
Discussing the evolving relationship between the President and the Fed Chair.
“the president's public treatment of Warsh has been different.”
Show all 31 chapters
Labor Market Dynamics
10:52 to 12:18
Insights into the current state of the labor market and its affecting factors.
“The Fed's looking at the unemployment rate.”
Productivity and AI Impact
12:18 to 14:01
Exploring how AI and small business creation are influencing productivity.
“But according to the Jolts numbers, there's still a lot of openings and a lot of people who would be looking for work.”
Economic Risks Discussion
14:01 to 15:15
Exploring current economic risks including inflation and market instability.
“What is the biggest risk to the economy?”
Leopold Ochenbrenner's Return to Investing
17:05 to 18:13
Discussion on Leopold Ochenbrenner's recent investment activities and background.
“Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 Eastern.”
Citadel's Discounted Asset Purchases
18:15 to 19:45
Insights into Citadel's recent deals and their impact on fund performance.
“And that adds to about$100 million they invested in late July.”
Investments and Market Positioning
19:47 to 20:32
Analyzing the investment strategy and market positioning of Ochenbrenner's fund.
“after the deal was announced in the last couple of days of July.”
The Nature of Investors in the Fund
20:34 to 21:51
Examining the type of investors in Situational Awareness and their backgrounds.
“something he does coming in and buying discounted assets.”
The Rise and Fall of Situational Awareness
21:53 to 24:46
Overview of the growth and decline of Ochenbrenner's hedge fund.
“The firm has declined comments for the many times that we have reached out to them.”
Volatility in Hedge Fund Returns
24:48 to 26:44
Discussing the volatility in returns for hedge funds focused on tech and AI.
“and gathered a great deal of following, started his hedge fund with like a few hundred million dollars a few years back.”
Future of Ochenbrenner's Fund
26:46 to 28:00
Speculating on the future strategies and investor sentiments regarding the fund.
“So it does show the funds, the hedge funds that we're seeing that are down for the month are still up a lot for the year for the ones that focus on AI.”
Investors and Hedge Funds: Insights into Money Movements
28:00 to 29:00
Discussion on hedge fund performance, investor behavior, and market dynamics.
“And in a moment like this, we actually did see some of the quants doing well, like a Renaissance fund up more than 9 % for the month.”
Tech Companies and AI Investments: A Closer Look
30:20 to 32:34
Analyzing tech companies' borrowing for AI investments and market reactions.
“I'm the host of Ear Say, the Audible and iHeart Audiobook Club.”
Alphabet's Bond Offerings and CapEx Plans
32:34 to 39:09
Discussion on Alphabet's bond sale, capital expenditures, and competitive positioning.
“He's Bloomberg Intelligence Global Head of Technology Research.”
AI Model Releases and Competition
39:09 to 39:42
Exploration of Alphabet's AI model release strategy and industry competition.
“why is there no latest Gemini model released by this time?”
Current Trends in the Housing Market
39:42 to 42:00
Insights into rising mortgage rates and their impact on housing demand.
“More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this.”
Market Overview and Company Introduction
42:00 to 43:06
Learn about the economic indicators affecting the housing market and Trex's positioning.
“It's not as high as it was in the 70s or 80s.”
Consumer Behavior and Marketing Strategies
43:06 to 45:40
Discover Trex's marketing initiatives and the growing trend of home improvement.
“So as the inflation has come through, a lot of people are having more staycations, spending more time at home, investing in their homes.”
Manufacturing and Employment Insights
45:40 to 47:32
Understand Trex's manufacturing growth and employment strategies in new facilities.
“Talk to us too about, as you say, the decking.”
Return on Investment in Decking
47:32 to 50:06
Explore the ROI of Trex products compared to traditional materials.
“You know, we're bringing the best paying jobs down there.”
Job Market and Contractor Insights
50:06 to 52:40
Examine the challenges contractors face and Trex's approach to simplifying installations.
“They're saying, hey, I recommend you use Trex, for example.”
Job Market and Contractor Insights
52:51 to 53:41
Examine the challenges contractors face and Trex's approach to simplifying installations.
“available on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00What if data didn't sit still? What if intelligence moved with us? Not buried in reports, but activated in real time, where lives are being shaped, where decisions are being made. It all starts with a question. Where is the potential? Cotality turns data into clarity, intelligence into insight, insight into action. Because when intelligence moves, we all move forward. Cotality. Intelligence beyond bounds. This is Jacob Goldstein from What's Your Problem. Running a business is hard enough. Don't make it harder with a dozen apps that don't talk to each other. One for sales, another for inventory, a separate one for accounting.
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1:29Visit VitalProteins.com to learn more and where to buy. These statements have not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration. This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease. Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts. Radio. News. This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily. Reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay ahead. With insight on the people, companies, and trends shaping today's complex economy. Plus global business, finance and tech news as it happens The Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast With Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek On Bloomberg Radio
2:09Carol Massar:Alright folks, hey, Chair Warsh It's President Trump calling I'm not sure it goes down like that I don't know, I don't think he calls him Chair You think he calls him Kev? I don't know, I don't know We don't know how it goes down Well we do know that is the two Does the Fed Chair call him Donnie? The two are talking I bet he calls him Mr. President I'm sure he calls him Mr. President. We're just having some fun. We're going to have more fun with Bloomberg TV and Radio International Economist and Policy Correspondent Michael McKee. He joins us here in our studio in the Bloomberg News Washington, D.C.
2:37Bureau and a current Bloomberg News senior Federal Reserve reporter. And you and Josh Green reporting that President Trump has spoken by phone with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh since Warsh took the role inquiring about forecasts, opinions. What else did you find out? so we do know that they have spoken as you say on the telephone time on the telephone it's been described as irregular since chairman warsh took up the job in may we don't know if they have discussed monetary policy per se but the issues here are less and mike will no more than i but less that the president chairman have spoken on the phone per se it's more about of course the lack of disclosure and the backdrop being all of the political pressure on the fed that I think is drawing so much scrutiny and attention on this now.
3:25But as of now, our reporting does confirm that the president has called Chairman Warsh on a regular basis as he came back to office. We don't know if they have this cost-moderated policy, but certainly it's turning the heads of Fed watchers today. And I just want to just correct myself. Josh Wingrove, not Josh Green, sharing the byline with you on that end. So I apologize for that.
3:47Carol Massar:Yeah. All right. So still a great story. I want to bring Mike into this conversation. Mike, is any of this unusual that we have a president talking with its Fed chair? The frequency is unusual in recent years. It used to be that the president felt very comfortable calling up Fed chairs or having them come in. And probably the most egregious example was Arthur Burns under Richard Nixon, who met with him a lot. And Nixon persuaded him to go easy on the monetary policy ahead of the 72 election. But you go back to Lyndon Johnson used to drag his Fed officials down to the LBJ ranch down in Texas. So it's not completely unusual.
4:31But it hasn't been the practice of presidents in recent years. They meet they meet irregularly with the Fed chair every once in a while. I think Jay Powell met with President Trump once and with President Biden once. And that's basically it. What is Mike? What's if we think back to Fed Chair Jay Powell and at least in his first term before he faced the ire of President Trump in the first term, there was a honeymoon period because the president President Trump did actually appoint Jay Powell in in in his first term. and he was reappointed by President Biden a few years later. What was the honeymoon period that existed from when he thought he was out of central casting until he thought he wasn't lowering rates fast enough?
5:17It was when the Fed was at that point raising interest rates. It was 2019, of course, when we had the taper tantrum, the taper tantrum too, when the money markets were seizing up. And so the president was not happy at that point and stayed unhappy with J-PAL.
5:37Carol Massar:And to come on back in, is it just that there, what do we know about what they've been talking about? Like, is it the president reaching out on a variety of topics? Is it just exclusively monetary policy or we don't necessarily know the specifics? Well, we don't have too many specifics. I mean, we've had some generalities on the topics, but not, we haven't been told it's on monetary policy, to be clear on that. But of course, we know the President's view of monetary policy already. I mean, he has now, since he came back to office, has been calling for lower interest rates and he believes the US can have lower interest rates.
6:11We know the pressure he put on the Fed under previous chairman, Jerome Powell. He has been giving current chairman, Kevin Morse, somewhat more leeway, saying he trusts his judgment. But nonetheless, the real test for that will come if we get into territory whereby, let's say, inflation maybe accelerates or continues to be persistent, doesn't show signs of cooling over. We get two readings coming up ahead of that September meeting. If we kind of get into that territory, we have more officials talking about the need to raise rates, putting pressure on the Fed to raise rates. And then, of course, it'll be interesting to see if President Trump responds then.
6:46And I'm sure that's when we really will know what he's thinking about Kevin Moore so far. That's why I asked about the honeymoon period.
6:52Carol Massar:Yeah. Because we have some history about a honeymoon period here. And I'm just, I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I mean, do, Mike, do most presidents give their Fed chairs, you know, some room to kind of settle in? Well, in public, yes, because they don't. Donald Trump's the only one who's really gone after a Fed chair in public that I can think of since Lyndon Johnson. And that wasn't as much public as it was just made of made knowledgeable to other people. But right now, it's obviously very public because the president is continually was continually going after Jay Powell. And he's still commenting on Kevin Warsh.
7:35He said just the other day that Kevin Warsh is doing great, but he's got all these bad people on the committee with him. That's the problem is, does the Fed lose credibility because they're seen as being in under the president's influence, put it that way? But Enda, I mean, the bond market is going to do what the bond market does in any situation. So, like, the Fed chair can say what he wants and the president can say what he wants, but bond investors are going to react to this in a certain way. And I don't know, maybe that's where the power is. Yeah, I mean, there's going to be a sequence here.
8:13You know, as mentioned earlier, we're going to have very important data sets coming up over the days ahead. Employment tomorrow, number one, that's going to be very important. I think the bigger story would be a downside surprise, actually, that would turn heads given the stabilisation story we've had all year. Jobs tomorrow, then next week CPI, then whatever it is, two weeks after that we get PCE. So those numbers are going to dictate, I think, in many ways what the Fed officials will say in their response. And of course, that in turn will dictate how the markets respond. And all of that will build up towards Jackson Hole at the end of August and whether Chairman Warsh uses that as an opportunity to spell out some of his economic thinking, of course, all ahead of that mid-September meeting.
8:52So, you know, the bond market certainly has been clear in their response to the Fed chairman over the past week or so. But I think over the coming weeks now, it's back to the data in terms of a reset of this narrative in terms of where the Fed might be going next.
9:05Carol Massar:To, though, the Fed's independence. Mike, I want to ask you, because we just said, you know, just kind of looking at this Fed. I mean, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is one vote. So even if he is swayed, and we're not saying that, there are the other voting members, right? Who've not been shy about expressing their opinions. Right. We have the leaked comment about Chris Waller saying, you know, why are you bothering with these committees, the task forces? We have others who've pointed out that the chairman is just one of 12 votes, and the rest of us have votes as well. and we've got at least five now who have come out since the meeting saying they would have preferred to raise interest rates.
9:48So it's not like he's leading the Fed in a new direction yet.
9:53Carol Massar:One thing I want to bring in too, and you and Josh Wingrove write in your story, the president's public treatment of Warsh has been different. During his swearing-in ceremony, President Trump said he wants the Fed chair, quote, to be totally independent. So he does kind of gently remind or not so gently every once in a while, right? Yeah, well, I mean, it wouldn't be hard for things to be at least somewhat better between the president and the Fed, given how rock bottom relations hit between Chairman Powell's Fed and the White House. So that's the starting point for this. But, you know, as Mike was saying earlier, there's a feeling that the president is giving some leeway here to Chairman Warsh.
10:30He's letting him, you know, set the tone, set the narrative, feel his way a little bit in all of this. But this is going to come down to the data. If the inflation data over the weeks ahead is somewhat muted, cool, whatever term you want to use, that takes pressure off the Fed to raise rates. If it's not, then that whole narrative will be lit up again. And that's where the rubber really will hit the road. Mike, does tomorrow's jobs number matter? Only if we get a big negative surprise. The Fed's looking at the unemployment rate. It's not supposed to change at 4.2%. If it comes in at 4.2%, they'll say the economy is not slowing significantly.
11:07It's not a threat. So we don't need to look at rate cuts or back off of rate increases because of that. If we got a very bad job creation number and unemployment went up a little bit, then that makes it much harder to argue, even in the face of some falling inflation, that you should raise rates.
11:27Carol Massar:Is the unemployment rate, Mike, we were talking on our call, I'm like just thinking about the U.S. labor market because we don't have immigrants coming in. In fact, we have people leaving. And I just do wonder about the pool of workers. And, you know, is the data, it's the available workers, right, that are out there that determines all of this. Well, it's also demand by employers. And what we've seen is a big fall off in demand because of all the uncertainty that's gone on over the last 18 months. Companies have been just waiting to see whether they need more people. They may be running a little lean at this point, given the consumer demand has held up, but they don't want to hire and then have the president impose tariffs that will increase their costs.
12:10Or if inflation is going up because of the war, people stop spending. So everybody's just been kind of sitting in place. And so the demand has been low, which is one reason you're seeing very low job creation. But according to the Jolts numbers, there's still a lot of openings and a lot of people who would be looking for work. But right now, the market is kind of frozen. You know, it's Mike, you remind me of a conversation that we had yesterday with with Khan Davis, the CEO of Berna Technologies. They make nonlethal defense, personal defense technology. And Carol, you pushed him on this about asking him about consistency from the administration.
12:47He said he was very clear. He's like, I want a more consistent message from this administration. I don't want as many as much volatility as we've seen. And does that does that start to affect productivity? Because there is so much uncertainty, not just with tariff policy, but with with other policies as well coming from Washington. Well, I mean, the productivity story, it's always complicated, but it's especially complicated right now. I mean, the numbers this morning were were OK. I've seen some people say that they were a little bit on the soft side. But the big story, I think, on productivity right now is how is AI diffusing through the economy?
13:24And by extension, how is that impacting productivity, which is going to be critical for the inflation story in the not so distant future? And I think right now, most people would say to you that I think less, you know, productivity has increased, but that's to do with small business creation since the pandemic. Maybe other factors are playing. Maybe deregulation is part of that story that can't be stripped away completely. But I think a lot of it is to do with small business creation. But the real question mark is how is AI going to impact that? So far, there's little evidence of it impacting the productivity data.
13:55But that's going to become a very important question in the not-too-distant future. And that's going to be very important for the Fed too.
14:00Carol Massar:Folks, just about a minute or so left here. I want to save 30 seconds for each. What is the biggest risk to the economy? We've seen energy prices tick up today, Mike. Mike, we've seen yields tick up as a result, concerns that the Fed might have to raise rates to curb some of these higher price pressures. What is the biggest risk to the economy right now in the U.S.? Well, I would say there are two risks. One is that the war accelerates and prices go way up and that hurts consumer spending and businesses have to lay people off. And the other, I would say, is what's going on in the equity markets because they are so high at this point.
14:36And money just keeps pouring in. I look at the Google debt sale today.
14:42Carol Massar:Yeah, 10 tranches or whatever, yeah. And it just kind of sets you up for the feeling that when things go wrong, which they will because they inevitably do, that we could have a serious crash. And then that takes away the confidence and takes away people's desire to spend money. 30 seconds for you, and biggest risk. I think it has. Yeah, I think it's inflation. Does inflation, you know, start to accelerate and take off again? And if it does after years of stinging price hikes, then that's going to become a real problem if it becomes embedded in people's expectations for the near term. All right, folks, thank you so much.
15:14Carol Massar:Bloomberg TV and Radio International Economics and Global Policy correspondent Michael McKee here in studio out there in our Washington, D.C. Bureau. And DeCurin, he's Bloomberg News Senior Federal Reserve Reporter. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this.
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17:15Carol Massar:Or watch us live on YouTube. This is our most read story on the Bloomberg. I was just checking. Just days after his hedge fund was on the brink of collapse, Leopold Ochenbrenner has made his return to the investment scene. He's plunked down about$400 million to back a privately held company. This is according to people familiar with the matter. Digging into it, getting the details, trying to find out more is Hema Parmar. She is Bloomberg News, hedge fund reporter. She was the first to report this out. She joins us now here in our New York studio. It is amazing how just a couple of weeks ago, nobody was talking about this fund, right?
17:51Carol Massar:Am I fair to say that? And all of a sudden, here we are. All right. In just a few days, the fund had to sell assets. Citadel's Ken Griffin bought them at a discount. Then we know those investments juiced Citadel's returns. And now Situational Awareness is buying again. Woa. Yes. A lot in the span of two, three weeks. Yeah, they're back investing. So they bought a stake in a private company, investing$400 million on Monday. And that adds to about$100 million they invested in late July. I think that's a really important distinction that you made. It's not that they're going out and, as far as we know, buying tech stocks with leverage, which is what got them into trouble before.
18:36This is actually what kept them out of total trouble before was that huge stake that they had in Anthropic. Because you can't just easily sell that. It's not mark to market every single day. It doesn't have price swings and price fluctuations. So is this a departure from what they were doing before? Is it similar to what they were doing before? Do we know if there's a difference? Yeah, so they took off all the leverage when they paid off their margin calls with this chunk of money they got from Citadel and selling their portfolio. So, you know, they are not levered and they've covered their shorts.
19:13So when we look at the fund now, it's private positions and it's the remaining stock portfolio that they didn't sell off. This investment does show that they're pushing more into the private space. At least with this one investment, we've yet to see what they will continue to do in the future. But it's sizable,$500 million and a big ticket really just days after this near collapse. So not fair yet to say that they're moving away from long, short positions in public equities and becoming venture capitalists. No, we don't know. We don't know. We don't know how much they still have in the stock book.
19:46Whatever they do have has likely rallied a great deal because there was that spike after the deal was announced in the last couple of days of July. So they may still have a sizable stock book. We just don't know the split of their assets with publics and privates.
20:00Carol Massar:Must have been a great wedding or honeymoon or quick honeymoon. Like we should remind everybody that in the middle of all of this, he got married. He got married literally last weekend. And so this deal happened on the Monday. and he told investors that if they want one-on-one meetings with him Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, then he is around to take those. So literally days after his wedding. Maybe the honeymoon's later. I don't know. Maybe. We don't know. I think what's also fascinating, I mean, Hema, you've been covering this, all the twists and turns. I mean, let's go to the Citadel point, right?
20:33Carol Massar:Ken Griffin, as you reminded us, this is something he does coming in and buying discounted assets. And so he was there to do that. What did to do to returns at Citadel? So the Citadel's returns for the month were about flat. They had made less than 50 basis points for the month of July. After this deal, they were up nearly 6 % on the month. That is how much money, that's more than the amount of money they had made year to date. They were up like 5.5, 5.6 year to date. Now they're up closer to 12, boosted by this deal that has really juiced that returns, bringing it from less than a percent to nearly six.
Read the full transcript
21:10So what's this$400 million investment? What company did it go to? Because you and Ed Lovato have been doing some digging on this. Yes. So we don't know yet what the portfolio company is. We know that it's a company that's been backed by Sequoia in the past. We suspect that it's a sizable raise. If situational awareness is putting$500 million, If Sequoia is involved, it would make sense that whatever the company is, is doing a multi-billion dollar raise because you wouldn't want too, too much risk if you were an investor. So we are still curious to figure out what company it is. Yeah, we don't know yet.
21:47But he's active.
21:48Carol Massar:But he's active. He's kind of a fascinating creature. We've talked about how young he is, how young he was when he went to Columbia, connections with SBF and also is it OpenAI, Sam Altman. Like, it's just a fascinating creature. You have yet to talk to him? He has. The firm has declined comments for the many times that we have reached out to them. But he does talk to people. Like, we've seen some podcasts and stuff, right? But he's kind of a quiet soul. He's done podcasts. And sometimes we see this in the venture capital space. Firms will tend to do more of the podcast sort of narrative than necessarily, like, news interviews.
22:25It depends on the personality. And this firm, while it's a hedge fund, while they did long stocks and short stocks and privates, it does fit a little bit more into the venture capital space. Most of their investors are venture capital individuals, founders, potentially employees. We see the hedge fund money is not really coming from institutions, but rather some of the hedge fund founders. Like it's been reported, Dan Sondheim is an investor for Rose, who is a former Tiger Global executive. So wealthy individuals, money, but more people that have tended to lean into venture capital. So the question about, you know, we touched on this a little bit last week when the turmoil was happening, but the investors, the current investors in the fund and what sort of lockups exist?
23:15Are people calling to get their money back? Like, what is the sort of reputational risk that happens in a situation like this? No, that's a great question. So when we look at the lockup, there is a multi-year lockup. So investors are stuck for some period of time. When it comes to private investments, by definition, that stuff's a liquid. So you're in it for as long as you're in it for, the fund is in it for, and frankly, with companies like Anthropic, you kind of want to be in those positions. Keep in mind, they considered selling a lot of their privates before they got that Citadel deal. So they were willing to potentially part with these coveted anthropic stakes in advance of getting the better deal with Citadel.
23:54Because they might have had to, right? Because they might have had to. It shows just they were stretching for any amount of capital quickly to meet that margin call.
24:01Carol Massar:It's kind of fascinating, this whole story. I mean, I know we talked about his origins. How did he start his fund? Was it just a bunch of Silicon Valley types who wanted to invest with him? I mean, he was a young individual. And I'm not going to put anything against youth because that doesn't necessarily... Young or old doesn't necessarily guarantee one thing or the other. But I'm just curious how they came to put their faith in this individual. No, that is another great question, especially as we've seen what has unraveled very, very quickly. And the risks that come with a highly levered, highly concentrated investment.
24:37He started a couple years ago when he created this manifesto that was called Situational Awareness, a very long document that pontificated about AI, its future, its risks, and gathered a great deal of following, started his hedge fund with like a few hundred million dollars a few years back. And people started watching very closely after his manifesto. He got a lot of interest because of the thoughts he was talking about and people started following his book. He raised a lot of money really quickly. We think this year he raised a ton of capital, grew to$45 billion as of this month, spiraled down to$10 billion.
25:16dollars. Huge decline. And look, we've seen this story before. We've seen this story when it comes to highly levered investments, highly concentrated. The saving grace in some ways was this private book. That's why he's still 10 billion is because you have a solid chunk of capital and he didn't sell everything. But, you know, investors don't want to see this sort of spiraling. And we've seen a lot of other hedge fund returns come out in the past couple of days. And there has been pain across other AI-focused funds, but not pain like this.
25:47Carol Massar:That's what kind of blows my mind. You know, I think about the initial capital that's come in or got them going and then continue to come in. I mean, you're right. Like investors don't want to see a swing like this, right? I mean, that's not the idea of a hedge fund. It's true. It's true. You don't want, you want volatility, but not crazy volatility. When you're up hundreds of percentages early in the month, That's a bit of a red flag. Which is what, who we talked to that used to work for Cliff Afness, his fund, that whole idea that when it was up 400%, that should have been a red flag to everybody.
26:22So we want to talk to you about some of the other hedge funds that you cover and just what performance we have thus far as we get further into the second half of the year. You said July was bruising for other tech and AI focused hedge funds. What have you found? Yes. So Whale Rock is a big hedge fund. And they are focused on AI. They are somewhat concentrated. They were down 22 % for the month. They are still up like 30%, 34 % for the year. So it does show the funds, the hedge funds that we're seeing that are down for the month are still up a lot for the year for the ones that focus on AI. Code 2 was down 8 % for the month.
26:57It was its worst performance in over a year. Still up on the year.
27:03Carol Massar:It's interesting too, though. You get an idea of how much exposure there is to AI. But it's hard not to, right? If you are invested in any of these big tech names, whether you like it or not, you're exposed to a lot of AI. I was listening to something on, maybe it was surveillance this morning, just this whole idea about, I think somebody asked an investment advisor, are your clients asking for more exposure to AI? And they're like, well, you are exposed. If you bought an index fund, you're exposed. Well, we're using it as this catch-all term, but there were certain companies that Oshenbrenner and situational awareness were invested in that are not necessarily the hyperscalers that are associated with as being beneficiaries of AI.
27:46Yeah, there were. And they were companies that were very volatile. Yes, yes. And I think when we look at the funds that did do well, some of them are the quant funds. Like during the pandemic, when the humans were doing really well, the quants were really struggling. And in a moment like this, we actually did see some of the quants doing well, like a Renaissance fund up more than 9 % for the month. An equities fund run by computers outperforming the humans that are also doing this. Taking out the emotion or whatever. Or better risk.
28:20Carol Massar:So next focus for you in this, is it finding out where he's putting his money at this point? Where he's putting his money, what he's doing next, how investors are thinking about the future of this fund. I mean, there's a lot of questions we haven't seen unraveling like this in a little while. And investors, can they pull money quickly or no? There are rules here. So there is a multi-year lockup. It may depend when the investor got in. If they got in very early, they might have their lockup expire sooner. But that investor might not want to leave because they're still up a lot since inception. But if you're an investor that came in later, like in the past quarter, you had a lot of pain.
28:55You might want to get out, but you're probably locked up for a few years.
28:58Carol Massar:Great stuff. Thank you so much, Hema. Thank you. Hema Parmore, she is Bloomberg News hedge fund reporter, as we mentioned. First to really bring this to our attention, reported out her story, the most read on the Bloomberg. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this.
29:17The thing about AI for business, it may not automatically fit the way your business works. At IBM, we've seen this firsthand. But by embedding AI across HR, IT, and procurement processes, we've reduced costs by millions, slash repetitive tasks, and freed thousands of hours for strategic work. Now we're helping companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business. IBM. Everyone's talking about how AI is transforming work, especially in sales. While the landscape shifts, one thing remains the same, the thrill of closing a deal.
29:55Whether it's a gong or a confetti machine, every team has its celebration rituals. Adio is designed for that moment. It's the agentic CRM that turns customer signals into actionable insights, helping you close deals faster with revenue agents and automations working around the clock. You'll have everything you need to scale your go-to market efforts. Elevate your wins with Adio. Start your free trial at adio.com slash iHeart. Hey everyone, it's Cal Penn. I'm the host of Ear Say, the Audible and iHeart Audiobook Club. This week on the podcast, I am sitting down with Ray Porter, the narrator of Andy Weir's audiobook Project Hail Mary, massive sci-fi adventure about survival and science and what happens when you wake up alone very far from earth.
30:43I really had to make a decision because I caught myself getting that frog in my throat and starting to get teary as I'm narrating some of these sections. And it's like, okay, yo, yo, yo, is this indulgent? And I really thought about it. I was like, no, at this point, it would kind of be betraying the trust the author and the listener have in telling this story if I don't go through it. But there's places in this book that deeply emotionally affected me. and I left it on the mic. That's great. Because it served the story. People will say like, oh my God, I cried at the end. It's like, yeah, dude, me too.
31:16Listen to Earsay, the Audible and iHeart Audiobook Club on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts. You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 Eastern. Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.
31:35Carol Massar:Or watch us live on YouTube. One of the stories on our radar is actually a lot on this Thursday. This was about tech companies borrowing to fund artificial intelligence investments. And investors are growing wary of the debt with two of the last three commercial mortgage bonds funding data centers having to widen pricing to attract them. I just feel like, I don't know, there feels like there's little things that are making us kind of look at all of what's going on. And then there's what happened today with Alphabet. So that's a little different situation. It's like, bring it on, Alphabet. Yeah, Alphabet drew about$115 billion of demand for its jumbo bond sale.
32:14It was looking to raise as much as$25 billion from its latest U.S. investment-grade bond offering. It's a deal that tests investor appetite for AI-related debt. I think that test was passed with flying colors.
32:27Carol Massar:Yeah, it does sound like they are definitely hungry for it. Hey, let's get more on Alphabet. There's a lot going on. It's an important company to watch, as we always remind you. With us, gratefully, is Mandeep Singh. He's Bloomberg Intelligence Global Head of Technology Research. He's here in studio. Mandeep, 10-part U.S. dollar investment-grade bond sale, drawing tons of demand. First of all, maybe this is stupid, but what do they need constantly all this money for? Well, now they need it all the more because they're raising their CapEx for next year. And they said significant increase, even though they didn't quantify.
33:01And based on our numbers, we are looking at a$300 billion CapEx number. Just for Alphabet. And it cannot be financed with their operating cash flow anymore. So they have to raise money. Yeah, they did equity financing. And now the debt financing. Why not raise more than$25 billion if there is so much demand out there? They could. I mean, I think they are probably going to... Take advantage of it. No, no. But this is not the last time they are issuing a new bond. And they have also issued a 100-year bond. bond. So to my mind, they will continue to raise. And what cadence do you think? I mean, the fact that they want to be very aggressive with CapEx, and it seems like compared to Microsoft, which didn't say we are looking for a significant increase, Meta said they are not raising their CapEx for 2026.
33:56So Google is the one who is coming across as more aggressive now in terms of their CapEx plans relative to the other hyperscalers. The other one who is aggressive is SpaceX. But SpaceX, unlike Alphabet, doesn't have the balance sheet and the cash flow to get, you know, over subscription like the one that we saw with Alphabet. So that's the big difference. Alphabet can afford to do it and they will do it. SpaceX may have a harder time in terms of raising this kind of money.
34:26Carol Massar:Robert Shiffman, who does credit research for Bloomberg Intelligence, he wrote about this too. And he reminded us that Alphabet has already raised about$52 billion across the U.S. and Canadian dollars, sterling euros, Swiss francs and yen in 2026. And then he does say the 10-tronch deal suggests issuance will remain a recurring theme. So we're probably not there yet. Is this about, you know, I was reading it was either The New Yorker and also maybe The Times or something. just this race and it's not just a u.s race mandy but it's china also is it he who or she who overspends or spends outspends is going to be the leader in this industry wherever it lands is that what this is about so right now when you look at what are the parts of this ai infrastructure build out where you can see a clear roi it's your cloud hosting cloud rental which is why I feel SpaceX made that pivot because they can see companies, the hyperscalers, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, at the scale they were at, now they're seeing accelerating top line growth because everyone wants to consume tokens, consume compute.
35:39So even though you're not seeing a huge ROI in terms of the application side, it's the chip makers, the memory guys, the cloud guys, those are the companies that are actually seeing tangible acceleration to their top line growth. So why not keep doubling down, which is what Alphabet seems to be doing? And they have a vertical integration play. They do their own TPUs, their chips. They deploy their chips on their own cloud. And they're able to monetize it at a much better margin, which is why their margins are expanding relative to the other hyperscalers that have to buy NVIDIA chips. The CapEx story, it's like we talk about it every day.
36:18This is the story that it's been driving equity markets for years at this point. When do we start to talk about the actual ROI that companies that are not within the space but are adopting the technology are actually getting? Like we get a little bit of that now, but I mean, when are we going to see this actually change the ability for Procter & Gamble to sell more toilet paper or toothpaste? I mean, I feel a lot of that ROI around AI spend is geared towards optimizing their cost structure right now. At the back end, okay, do I really need to grow headcount in a big way to support my IT systems?
37:00Probably not. There could be a lot of optimization now that can be done using AI, using the tokens that I wasn't able to do before. So, in other words, doing more with less? More with less, yes. Productivity is a big part of it. Are we seeing that play out and at wide scale yet? I mean, coding agent is that one use case that has taken off in such a big way, and it's a big market. I mean, there's no denying the fact that everyone wants a piece of that coding agent because everyone can see software developers being more productive. I mean, if 70 to 80 % of the new code is being written by AI, that is what makes the developers productive.
37:40And now they are extrapolating that to other types of knowledge work. But software development has changed completely because of AI.
37:49Carol Massar:I want to throw into this, and I don't know if it's significant, but I'm curious. We wanted to get your take on it. Google concentrating its AI leadership at its Mountain View, California headquarters. And our story wrote out to gain momentum in the accelerating race against anthropic and open AI. Is that a significant move? Are you hearing, like, what are you, is just Alphabet, Google all in? And they are really kind of hunkering down here. I see it as a slight negative, the fact that they had some high profile departures, you know, Jeff Dean. Right. And, you know, the prior departure of Noam Shazir.
38:24Like, these are guys who have got so much credibility in their respective fields. And, you know, losing them can never be good. I mean, yes, they want to speed up their model releases. I think if there's one hole I can find in that alphabet thesis is they've been slow to release new models. They've got everything going on the infrastructure side, chips and cloud. But when it comes to model releases, they have trailed frontier models like OpenAI and Anthropic. They don't have an equivalent of a Fable 5 or the latest ChatGPT model. So from that perspective, they have to play catch up. and I can see why they would want to, you know, shift things just to speed up that model cadence because that's what they're being questioned upon is, why is there no latest Gemini model released by this time?
39:13Carol Massar:Where is it? Where is it? All right. For those who missed out on this bond offering, there's going to be more, right? There's going to be more? I think so, most likely. Don't worry. It's all coming. Thank you. As always, Mandeep Singh, Bloomberg Intelligence Global Head of Technology Research, making sense of some of the headlines, which is the story we talk about every day. Yeah. The spend. We are grateful to Mandeep for coming on with us seemingly every day. It needs to be Friday. We're a little worn out. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this.
39:48The thing about AI for business, it may not automatically fit the way your business works. At IBM, we've seen this firsthand. But by embedding AI across HR, IT, and procurement processes, we've reduced costs by millions, slash repetitive tasks, and freed thousands of hours for strategic work. Now we're helping companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business, IBM. Everyone's talking about how AI is transforming work, especially in sales. While the landscape shifts, one thing remains the same, the thrill of closing a deal.
40:26Whether it's a gong or a confetti machine, every team has its celebration rituals. Adio is designed for that moment. It's the agentic CRM that turns customer signals into actionable insights, helping you close deals faster. With revenue agents and automations working around the clock, you'll have everything you need to scale your go-to market efforts. Elevate your wins with Adio. Start your free trial at adio.com slash iHeart. Hey everyone, it's Cal Penn, host of Earsay, the Audible and iHeart Audiobook Club. This week on the podcast, I'm sitting down with Will Wheaton, who played Gordy Lachance in Stand By Me 40 years ago, and now narrates Stephen King's The Body, the novella that inspired it all.
41:09We talk about what it's like to return to a story that shaped his life, channeling his memories of River Phoenix in the recording booth, and why the friendships you have at 12 might be the most important ones you'll ever have. I know Gordy Lachance. I am Gordy Lachance. Like, I mean, even when I was a little kid, I was Gordy Lachance when I didn't know it. Listen to Earsay, the Audible and iHeart Audiobook Club on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts. You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 Eastern. Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.
41:48Or watch us live on YouTube. U.S. mortgage rates rose last week to the highest level in a year, curbing demand for home loans in an already subdued housing market. Carol? Yes. The rate on a 30-year mortgage rose five basis points to 6.81 % in the week that ended July 31st. That's according to the NBA.
42:05Carol Massar:Awfully close to 7%. We'll see if we ultimately get there. Adam, I know. Okay. I know. It's not as high as it was in the 70s or 80s. But nonetheless, compared to what we've seen in the last decade or so, or almost two decades or a little bit more, it's certainly ticking higher. Adam Zambanini is watching the housing market. He's watching a lot of things, among other indicators of the economy. He is the CEO of Trex. It's the maker of the composite decking. It's a company based in Winchester, Virginia. It has a market cap of around$5 billion. Shares are up this year more than 40%. They're down about 22 % over the last year.
42:41Carol Massar:But it's a great read on so much going on in the economy. Adam, welcome. Thanks for having me. Tell us, first of all, macro view from what you are seeing in terms of the level of activity, people doing projects. How would you describe the economy and how the consumer is looking to do something? So we're in such a unique position at Trex because we're 95 % repair remodel. So we still have a lot of people when it comes to those interest rates sitting on 3%. And so they're not moving around. You got inflation, right? So as the inflation has come through, a lot of people are having more staycations, spending more time at home, investing in their homes.
43:13So we're seeing like contractor logs that are booked out, you know, eight, 12 weeks right now. And we've been doing a lot in terms of how we spur the growth at the lower end. So we've been seeing great growth in the middle tier, the higher tier, the K-shaped economy. But this year, the focus has been on marketing and conversion from wood because every 1 % share away from wood is about$80 million in revenue for Trex. Wow. So again, this is when we spoke to your predecessor about a year ago and i remember him saying that it's all about getting people who have wood decks now when they're thinking about remodeling to remodeling with trex you're not the only player though there's like one other competitor timber tech how do you position yourself against them yeah so when you look at this market it's a 75 billion dollar outdoor living market trex has a 15 billion dollar tam of which decking is about eight billion dollars so when we break it down we invented the category right so we're 95 recycled 100 of the decking is made here in america Most of the railing is made here in america when you start to look at the breadth of product line that trex is the only Manufactured it has it from two dollars a lineal foot to ten dollars a lineal foot So we have pretty much everything that you need from top to bottom.
44:21We're number one in decking We're number one in wood alternative railing. So actually when you look at us in railing, even though we're number one It's only six percent of the total market Our fastest growing segment is railing right now And if you look at like our product lineup, it towers over the competition in terms of what we have to offer But only 6 % because people are still going with wood. Yeah. Yeah. Wood. There's some PVC that's out there. And in some cases, you might have some codes where 30 inches or less, you don't need the railing, but primarily it's still wood. So there's so much opportunity.
44:48Carol Massar:What is the conversion rate from people going from wood to your product? Yeah. What do you see? Yeah. So I would say the last several years, it's been more stagnant. What we did this year is we've really focused on that opening entry, spending a lot more money in marketing. I mean, Trex is a marketing machine. So if you go to trex.com, we go out there. You see Martha Stewart if you go to trex.com. That's right. Yeah, she's a new influence for us. She's actually got two different decks right now. And so if you go to trex, you'll see the fact that you can build your own deck online. We give a cost calculator, just like you shop for your car.
45:20Then you've got free samples that you want. You can get them online. We take you through the whole consumer journey, how to design your deck. And at the very end, we offer up contractors. So really, really powerful. And this is one of the reasons why we also partner with Martha. because when you look from a marketing perspective, she has such a design influence in the way these decks look. And there's a lot of power in Trex and Martha teaming up.
45:41Carol Massar:Yeah, I think it's fascinating. Talk to us too about, as you say, the decking. Everything's made in the United States. Talk to us about your facilities, your supply chain, and walk us through that a little bit. Oh man, it's a great all-American story. So once again, the founders were started on green principles just for the simple fact that 30 years ago, this is our anniversary this year, they didn't want to see the plastic go in the landfill so it truly became something that is what do i make out of this trex is more or less like when you're a kid and you want to push play-doh out of a play-doh set we're pushing rectangles we're pushing the play-doh out of the play-doh set and so when you start to look over time we have the winchester virginia which is our home site and we manufacture there we also have nevada facility but what the problem was the last several years is we ran out of space so we bought a greenfield in little rock arkansas we have 300 acres down in Little Rock.
46:29We started our pellet processing last year, and then the plan was next year to start our decking production. But we've had such good, robust growth, as you saw our record earnings in Q2, from the wood conversion that we're actually bringing up the timeline on our Little Rock facility by six months. Now, there's a lot of strategic initiatives going on there. That is the hub in terms of where we get a lot of raw materials out of that area. It lowers the cost of freight in the Midwest, but the fastest growing part of the wood market, the Sunbelt region. New York, New Jersey, Illinois, a lot of people move south.
47:01Plus, there's a lot of southern yellow pine down there. So we think we're really strategically placed with that plant to take a lot of share.
47:07Carol Massar:I have two family members who moved down to outside of Charleston, South Carolina in the last, I don't know, kind of pre-pandemic, a little bit post-pandemic. Both have built outdoor decks, enclosures. I mean, it's just kind of how you live out there. But that's what everybody is doing. And you just continue to see that. What about from a manufacturing perspective, the labor picture? And if you're able to get enough folks to work, not just in the Nevada and Winchester facilities, but how it's looking in Arkansas right now. You know, we're bringing the best paying jobs down there. People are really appreciative of the fact that Trex has entered the market.
47:39They're aware of the brand. They love the fact that we are an all American made company. How many people do you have to hire down there? So we started with 50 on pellet processing last year. Within the next year, you're going to see upwards of 200 with the long-term plans getting upwards of 500. Now that's just for what we've built so far infrastructure wise. The plan longer term is we could put several decking plants there, several railing plants there. So there's really endless opportunities when you start to think longer term and how we can expand. And you think you can find the employees that you need?
48:07We already did. First job fair that came right out of the gates as we opened up this decking facility in Q3 of this year, a thousand people showed up, which to me was very, very strong. shows people want to come work for Trex.
48:18Carol Massar:I do want to ask you, because I think we are thinking about tomorrow's monthly jobs report and the types of jobs that are being created. And we know some of them certainly, uh, we cover it, but what, what kind of jobs are they? Are they hourly? Are they full-time? Give us some idea. It's across the board. So from the hourly perspective, you're going to have people at the end of the line, there's a lot of packaging opportunities, but then you move on up the line, you get into processing, right? So how you make the product forklift operators, so the distribution side, all the way to loading flatbed trucks.
48:47And then you also have engineers, process engineers, project engineers, and then you also have plant managers down there. So it's really a broad range. It's a whole site that we're going to be building out down there.
48:59Carol Massar:This is interesting. We've got some questions. We're taking questions in from viewers. This is Brendan from Rockville, Maryland. Brendan, thank you. He says, what is the return on investment of a Trex home renovation relative to other projects such as fiber cement siding. I don't know if like this comes into your world. Maybe he's thinking a little bit about Hardy Backer too and like the different composite materials that are available in siding at home. When you start to look at Trex decking, this is where we start to show the value of Trex versus wood. It's really about seven years when you start to look and it could be less than that.
49:29Now it depends on are we building a really elaborate deck? So we've had no issues in that middle to upper tier in terms of people that want to buy Trex. It's that lower tier and we're trying to show them the fact that Trex not only has that return on investment, but you don't need to go out and build this extravagant deck, right? Even a rectangle, as you move out in the yard, because wood only lasts you upwards of 10 to 15 years before it might rot out with all the new species that are out there. So it's a great return on investment. It's one of those things when you look at the advertisements that are out there, many of the listings have treks in those advertisements because there is something that adds value to the home.
50:01Like the advertising for a home that's on the market. Home listing on the market is going to have treks decking in it. Oh, interesting. The other part of the labor picture that we're curious about to hearing from you is what you hear from contractors who, you know, in some cases, they're the ones who are offering their clients and the folks who buy who are buying their services. They're saying, hey, I recommend you use Trex, for example. Are they able to find the labor out there? Are they because in some cases I'm hearing stories of like, you know, you can't in New York's different, but you can't get a contractor to walk through for small projects.
50:35Like they're so booked out with big stuff. Yeah. So it depends on the part of the country where it can be challenging. I mean, many of them also hire subcontractors along the way in order to help build out those businesses. But I think they're very creative. What we've tried to do to address that is a lot of our new products, we're trying to make them more DIY friendly and contractor friendly. So let me get an example. Railings are fastest growing segment. It's really complex. It could take upwards of an hour to install a section of railing. now it takes less than 10 minutes because what trex has done on a lot of their new railings is they're all pre-assembled so you get it you have a post that already has the brackets in you drop those in you drop a panel in four screws and you're done so the simplification when we make our deck boards we put grooves in the deck boards and then we have a hidden fastener that helps pre-gap the grooves in there so you don't have to worry about the expansion contraction so we're trying to think of how can we make it easier there's a lot of diy tools that we make available out there on YouTube where people can go out and see.
51:30It's not as complex as you think. We help you walk you through the journey from step to step.
51:34Carol Massar:What happens to old Trek decks, Trek decks? Because you guys are made from what mostly reclaimed recycled materials, like 95%. So what happens to old ones? So here's what we're trying to do now. So the last several years we started to go out, we started locally and we're trying to expand out broader is we're starting to create with some of our dealers ways to collect material. So it could be a current Trex deck today where a contractor has scrap material or a homeowner has some. They can bring it back and we'll come collect it. Or even old Trex decks. You could take a Trex deck. Let's say we've had a couple different generations of Trex.
52:07Let's just say you had the first generation of Trex. We can take that back and recycle it. So we're trying to, once again, create that life cycle. And if we can get it back, we want it so we can go out there and reuse it.
52:17Carol Massar:Interesting stuff. You ready to build another? We're fully built out instead of at home right now. No more projects for a while. We're kind of built out too. Yeah. But we have our composite deck. But I have brothers who are contractors, and I know that they have definitely used Trex decks to do this, like, and build different decks for their customers. Adam, thank you. Thank you. Appreciate it. This was really interesting. Adam Zamanini, he is CEO of Trex, joining us right here on set in New York City. This is the Bloomberg Businessweek Daily Podcast. available on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts.
52:56Listen live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern on Bloomberg.com, the iHeartRadio app, TuneIn, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg Terminal.
53:40We'll be right back. visit vitalproteins.com to learn more and where to buy these statements have not been evaluated by the food and drug administration this product is not intended to diagnose treat or prevent any disease everyone's talking about how ai is transforming work especially in sales while the landscape shifts one thing remains the same the thrill of closing a deal whether it's a gong or a confetti machine every team has its celebration rituals adio is designed for that moment it's the agentic crm that turns customer signals into actionable insights helping you close deals faster with revenue agents and automations working around the clock.
54:13You'll have everything you need to scale your go-to market efforts. Elevate your wins with Adio. Start your free trial at adio.com slash iHeart. Some people use ChatGPT to answer questions. Others use it to get real work done. With ChatGPT work, you bring the goal, plus real inputs like briefs, notes, files, feedback, data, and project plans. It can help turn them into an analysis, tracker, deck outline, prototype, or workflow you can review and keep shaping. You stay in control, giving direction and choosing the final output. Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at ChatGPT.com by selecting work mode.
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The people, companies and trends shaping the global economy. Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
US President Donald Trump has periodically spoken by phone with Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh since he took the role, people familiar with the matter said, the latest sign of Trump’s effort to exert greater influence over the central bank.
Trump and Warsh have spoken multiple times since the latter was confirmed in May, with Trump inquiring about Warsh’s forecasts and opinions but not pushing him to take any specific course of action, one of the people said, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss the private conversations. One person said they speak irregularly, and another said their calls are infrequent. It’s unclear if the two have discussed monetary policy.
“President Trump has repeatedly stressed that he is giving Chairman Warsh the space he needs to restore confidence and competence in Fed decision-making,” White House spokesman Kush Desai said in an emailed statement. “While the President has his First Amendment right as an American citizen and duty as Commander in Chief to voice his thoughts about the Fed, he has also repeatedly reaffirmed Chairman Warsh and the Fed’s independence.
On this episode, Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with:
- Mike McKee, Bloomberg TV and Radio International Economics & Policy Correspondent Enda Curran, Bloomberg News Senior Federal Reserve Reporter
- Hema Parmar, Bloomberg News Hedge Fund Reporter on Situational Awareness Returns to Investing With $400 Million Bet
- Matt Winkler, Bloomberg News Editor-in-Chief Emeritus on 'Follow the Money All the Way to Carney’s Canada
- Adam Zambanini, CEO, Trex on earnings, state of manufacturing, competition in the sector, TAM, recyclables and materials/wood-alternative composite decking and residential railing products
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
