In short
The episode is a Bloomberg Business Week Daily segment that mixes macroeconomics, space, and finance-industry news. Main topic: Federal Reserve minutes and Jackson Hole context, plus political pressure on Fed officials.
Guest
Michael McKee, Bloomberg TV/radio international economics and policy correspondent (reporting from Jackson, Wyoming for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium).
Key claims
Fed members saw inflation risk as outweighing employment risk; several warned inflation expectations could unanchor; some said the current rate may be near neutral; tariffs’ full effects were expected around six months (end of Q3/beginning of Q4) but could be stretched by on/off tariff policy and early inventory buying. Notable example: Trump urging Fed Governor Lisa Cook to resign after a Federal Housing Finance Agency director urged AG Pam Bondi to investigate Cook over two mortgages. McKee argues this is partly about influencing public opinion and potentially reshaping the Fed. Additional guests: Lauren Grush (Starship reporter/author) and Todd Gillespie (Citigroup finance reporter), plus David Haver (a16z GP) and Paige Smith (Bloomberg consumer finance reporter).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOEconomic Insights from Jackson Hole
1:05 to 1:44
Discussion on the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium and Fed's recent minutes.
“Policies provided by Hartford Fire Insurance Company and its property and casualty affiliates, Hartford, Connecticut.”
Economic Insights from Jackson Hole
2:50 to 5:48
Discussion on the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium and Fed's recent minutes.
“He's international economics and policy correspondent for Bloomberg TV and radio.”
Allegations Against Fed Officials
5:48 to 7:22
Exploring allegations against Federal Reserve officials and their implications.
“So, too, I think will be among the things people talk about is what's happening with allegations that the president is leveling and others in the administration are leveling against members of the Federal Reserve.”
Fed Independence and Political Pressures
7:22 to 12:31
Analyzing the independence of the Fed amid political pressures and allegations.
“So I think it's fair to ask about this pattern of alleged wrongdoing that seems to be coming from the Trump administration pursuing mortgage fraud allegations against other high profile Democrats.”
Tech Minute: AI in Airlines
13:19 to 13:33
Discussing how AI is reshaping pricing strategies in the airline industry.
“Cotality turns data into clarity, intelligence into insight, insight into action, because when intelligence moves, we all move forward.”
Tech Minute: AI in Airlines
13:38 to 14:00
Discussing how AI is reshaping pricing strategies in the airline industry.
“Globetrotters hunting for airfare bargains are in for a rude awakening as the days of stumbling across a cheap seat on a popular flight could soon disappear.”
AI in Airline Pricing
14:00 to 14:39
Learn how AI is transforming airline pricing strategies.
“The technology could lead to higher fares on busy routes as airlines pack flights closer to capacity, but may also result in lower fares on off-peak and lower-demand routes.”
The Thrill of Closing Deals
15:47 to 16:00
Explore the excitement of closing deals and how technology aids in sales.
Challenges of SpaceX's Starship
16:15 to 18:26
Understand the setbacks and challenges faced by the Starship program.
“Certainly people are used to seeing the rockets succeed.”
Reliability and Testing of Starship
18:26 to 22:03
Discuss how SpaceX is addressing reliability in Starship tests.
“Two of the flights have exploded prematurely.”
Show all 24 chapters
Reusable Rockets and Market Impact
22:03 to 24:19
Explore the implications of reusable rockets in the aerospace market.
“We're speaking with Lauren Grush, Bloomberg News space reporter, also the author of The Six, The Untold Story of America's First Women Astronauts.”
Future Prospects of SpaceX
24:19 to 26:51
Analyze the potential future success of SpaceX's Starship program.
“That's kind of why it's taking so long for SpaceX to get it right, because it's such a daunting task to perfect.”
Future Prospects of SpaceX
29:26 to 29:57
Analyze the potential future success of SpaceX's Starship program.
“This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease.”
Andy Sieg's Management Style and Allegations
30:46 to 33:49
Discussion on Andy Sieg’s leadership and the complaints against him.
“Well, Tim, yeah, I mean, Andy Sieg was brought on in September of 2023 by Jane Fraser to, you know, really lead a pillar of what everyone knows really is one of Wall Street's biggest turnaround stories right now.”
Citigroup's Response and Management Challenges
33:49 to 35:53
Exploring Citigroup's stance and ongoing issues within the bank.
“Well, the bank is standing by him and they are highlighting that, you know, at least 40 more than 40 percent of his leadership team are women.”
Wealth Management Strategy at Citigroup
35:53 to 37:08
Analysis of Citigroup's wealth management approach under Jane Fraser.
“have the private bank which caters to particularly super high net worth you know individuals with global footprints they might have you know assets across the world Citi's private bank is quite big in Asia in particular.”
Future Implications for Citigroup
37:08 to 37:59
Examining the potential impacts of current issues on Citigroup's future.
“I know we you know, there's still a lot of information that's that's unknown.”
Wrap-Up on Citigroup's Investigation
37:59 to 38:33
Summary of Todd Gillespie's insights on the situation at Citigroup.
“And, you know, we'll sort of see how that pans out, really.”
Fintech Landscape and Recent IPOs
40:45 to 42:01
Discussion on recent fintech trends and the market reaction to IPOs.
“This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure or prevent any disease.”
Fintech Evolution and Trends
42:29 to 43:44
Discover how fintech companies have evolved from unbundling to re-bundling financial services.
“How do you think about these in the context of where we are in fintech?”
Consumer Data Ownership and Banking Fees
43:45 to 46:32
Explore the debate on consumer data ownership and banks charging for access to financial data.
“You know, David, I have a question for you as well about one of the companies that we chatted about, which is Plaid, and kind of this interesting dynamic right now around charging.”
The Role of Technology in Consumer Finance
46:34 to 49:53
Learn how technology is changing consumer finance and what it means for future investments.
“capture that theme of perhaps consumers getting their rights to whether it be data, finances, or maybe even iPhone photos back?”
The Current State of Consumer Fintech
49:54 to 52:18
Evaluate whether consumer fintech is dying out or shifting towards infrastructure and B2B solutions.
“I think it's important in general to have a dialogue with D.C.”
Investment Opportunities in Fintech
52:19 to 54:16
Hear about promising investment opportunities in fintech, including emerging companies.
“And I think that part of the kind of more B2B side of the market has become more interesting, at least to me.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00What if data didn't sit still? What if intelligence moved with us? Not buried in reports, but activated in real time, where lives are being shaped, where decisions are being made. It all starts with a question. Where is the potential? Cotality turns data into clarity, intelligence into insight, insight into action. Because when intelligence moves, we all move forward. Cotality. Intelligence beyond bounds. When you're running a business, the best days are the ones where priorities stay on track. For midsize and large companies, risk can affect multiple parts of the organization at once, from property and liability to cyber and regulatory challenges.
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2:06With our unified Team Michigan approach, businesses scale faster and compete at the highest level. Michigan, pure opportunity. Seize your opportunity at michiganbusiness.org. Bloomberg Audio Studios Podcasts, Radio, News This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies and trends shaping today's complex economy plus global business, finance and tech news as it happens The Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Stenebeck on Bloomberg Radio. I want to bring in Michael McKee. He's international economics and policy correspondent for Bloomberg TV and radio.
2:54He joins us from Jackson, Wyoming, where he's gearing up for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. It officially starts tomorrow. Mike, though, getting a lay of the land. Mike, I want to bring you in just on the latest that we heard from Stewart and from the Federal Reserve with regards to these minutes. The Treasury two-year yield pairs its decline after the FOMC minutes came out. The majority saw inflation risk outweighing employment risk. Several members flagged the risk of inflation expectations unanchoring. Several said current rate may not be far above neutral. And several expected companies would pass tariffs to consumers.
3:27What is your instant reaction to these minutes? Well, it was very interesting because what we had seen is a fairly strong employment report for June in July. And then we got the CPI and PPI numbers that were more worrisome in terms of inflation going up. The Fed met at the end of July. So they were already looking under the hood and seeing some issues with inflation growing. And that sort of mitigates, as Stuart said, against perhaps a cut in September if we get the same kind of numbers again. The question is, what are we going to get? Are we going to see more inflation? And if that's the case, the minutes offer support for the idea that the majority on the Fed isn't going to move if we get a weak employment report, unless it's very weak.
4:12Mike, when you look at some of these heads and just I know we still have to kind of parse through where tariffs come up in the minutes. Many noted the full effect of tariffs could take some time. What's your understanding right now of just what that length of time means? What do most Fed economists think about just kind of how long it takes for us to really see the pass through effects of tariffs? In general, they were looking for about six months, say, the end of the third quarter, the beginning of the fourth quarter this year. But it's been complicated by the fact that the Trump administration has been on and off about the tariffs.
4:52First they put them on, then they pause them, then they bring them back, and now some more have gone on, and there are more to come. So this could stretch out over a period of time. And the other thing is a lot of companies brought in imports from overseas early to try to build their inventories so they could sell things to people without raising prices. Those inventories are getting run down and prices are going to have to start going up. We've seen in earnings reports, some companies, Home Depot yesterday saying they were going to have to start raising prices. So we should start seeing it as the months go on.
5:22But the question is, does it happen all at once or does it happen over months and months and months and take away people's belief that inflation is anchored? We saw Friday the University of Michigan numbers suggest that people are getting a little worried about inflation. All of this going to be top of mind for policymakers and officials gathering in Jackson for the Jackson Oil Economic Symposium officially kicks off tomorrow, as I mentioned. So, too, I think will be among the things people talk about is what's happening with allegations that the president is leveling and others in the administration are leveling against members of the Federal Reserve.
5:59This time, Bill Pulte added again. It's a most read story on the Bloomberg. It's about the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency urging AG Pan Bondi to investigate Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over a pair of mortgages. President Trump posted our Bloomberg news story to social media and said, quote, must resign now. Mike, is this all about remaking the Fed? Partly about remaking the Fed and partly about the efforts the Trump administration has had to weaponize the government against Democrats. The thing about the Fed aspect of it is Lisa Cook is not a decisive policymaker. She's not a swing vote.
6:36She'll generally vote with the majority, generally vote with the chair in terms of leaving interest rates unchanged in recent months. Removing her wouldn't make a big difference in the president's goal of driving down interest rates, but it would give him the opportunity to name another person to the Fed. And they could name somebody who is much more sympathetic to low interest rates. And that's going to have people's backs up. A lot of economists already reacting negatively to this news. But we don't know what the bottom line is in terms of what Lisa Cook may or may not have done. And the Fed doesn't know.
7:12And so at this point, I wouldn't expect Cook or the Fed to comment on it. And we're going to have to see where the attorney general takes this, if she takes it at all. Mike, you're not a politics reporter, but you were for many years. So I think it's fair to ask about this pattern of alleged wrongdoing that seems to be coming from the Trump administration pursuing mortgage fraud allegations against other high profile Democrats. California Senator Adam Schiff, New York Attorney General Letitia James. There's also the alleged impropriety that you've covered a lot at the Fed with Powell in regard to the remodel.
7:45How do you look at that? Well, I think a lot of it is basically just an attempt to influence public opinion. You throw the charges out there and the public remembers that because they get big headlines. And then if somebody is cleared or if the attorney general and the Justice Department don't even take up the case, you don't hear much about that. And the idea is to build some skepticism in about these various people so that when they take on the Trump administration or they do something the administration doesn't like, like voting to keep interest rates steady, the president can blame them instead of himself or his own policies.
8:21We want to get to Jackson Hole because I can at least say I'm very envious of the background that you're sitting in front of right now. It looks beautiful. Can you talk about the tone, the mood? What are I guess how much of the discussions at this meeting are actually going to be about Fed independence and who the next chair is. There's been so much talk, at least headlines, about Trump weighing in on who his pick is going to be, who's going to be the next pick. Is that really going to take up a lot of the conversations or is it going to be more an economic symposium? Well, I suspect it'll be dinner party conversation.
9:00It's not parties, but dinner conversations and maybe on the sidelines. But the official subject here is labor markets in transition, which is a very timely topic, given the fact that the labor market seems to be in transition, at least with the July jobs report. The only thing is these are academic papers looking forward into the future, and they don't have a lot of bearing on what is going to be happening in terms of policy in the near term. So I think it's going to be a bifurcated session where people are talking on the sidelines about what's going to happen next at the Fed. But the main program is going to be about what could happen down the road six months, a year or so from now.
9:41Talk a little bit more about labor, this topic here, because it was interesting in the minutes. And although these are backdated, that the Fed officials seem to be more concerned about inflation. And they're saying that outweighs concerns over the labor market. But what's the, I guess, tone going to be on that Powell speech on Friday about the labor market. Well, I would imagine that he's going to say we need more information. The Fed looks at the unemployment rate as sort of a proxy for U.S. growth. And in this case, the unemployment rate really hasn't moved. We saw a weak hiring, but not a lot of firing.
10:17And so the Fed is probably going to be looking to see what happens with the August payrolls report and if anything bleeds over into the unemployment rate. That's maybe the point that Powell would make in a perhaps less direct way. The papers that are going to be presented here and the talk that we're going to have here is going to be more about things like what's AI going to do to the workforce in the future? And what's happening with the retirement of the baby boomers and the inability we've seen so far of recent college graduates to get jobs? So it's more about the structure of the labor market than about what's happening because of tariffs or fiscal policy.
10:55Yeah, you add immigration to that mix, something we've spoken quite a bit about, Mike, this week when it comes to how that changes and potentially changes the labor picture moving forward. Hey, before we let you go, one more on the next potential Fed chair, David Zervis over at Jeffries, formerly of the Fed. That's where he began his career. Then he went to Wall Street. He was on CNBC earlier today. He said the Fed has never been independent. The political pressures on the Fed have always been growing and continue to grow. He highlighted pressure from Democratic lawmakers in recent years on monetary policymakers to lower interest rates.
11:29Is the Fed independent?
11:34The Fed is independent, at least in terms of the way it acts. Republicans are pulling out old or trying to make coincidences into causation. The fact that the Fed lowered interest rates in the past was not because they were trying to necessarily help a politician, but because the economy called for it. Remember last summer, we saw the unemployment rate rise significantly. And that's just before the Fed cut rates 50 basis points, which is why they did that. That was the reason they cited it. It makes sense. It wasn't an attempt to help Joe Biden. But because the two things happened at once, people like David Zervos are trying to make the case that the Fed is biased.
12:14But the Fed is not biased. They are biased only towards what the economy is telling them to do. You can argue about whether it's the right move to raise or lower interest rates at this point for what will happen down the road, but it's not a political decision. We are biased towards Michael McKee here on Bloomberg TV and radio. That's Michael McKee's Bloomberg News International Economics and Policy Correspondent joining us from Jackson, Wyoming. Stay tuned to Bloomberg for continuing live coverage from Jackson Hole through the rest of the week. Mike McKee and company are on the ground in Wyoming to cover the Kansas City Fed's annual economic policy symposium.
12:50We've got a great programming Thursday and Friday coming up there. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this.
13:18the potential. Cotality turns data into clarity, intelligence into insight, insight into action, because when intelligence moves, we all move forward. Cotality, intelligence beyond bounds. This is the Bloomberg Tech Minute brought to you by ChatGPT. Now with ChatGPT work. I'm Carol Masser. Globetrotters hunting for airfare bargains are in for a rude awakening as the days of stumbling across a cheap seat on a popular flight could soon disappear. Bloomberg's Juan Ha reports that airlines from Delta to Virgin Atlantic are adopting artificial intelligence to change seat prices more quickly by weighing dozens of variables in real time, helping capture more revenue while shrinking pricing gaps that once allowed travelers to find bargain fares.
14:06Machine learning models can more accurately forecast demand by analyzing historical booking patterns, seed inventory, and seasonal trends, while also continuously tracking competitors' fares and capacity changes to update prices in near real time. The technology could lead to higher fares on busy routes as airlines pack flights closer to capacity, but may also result in lower fares on off-peak and lower-demand routes. That's the Bloomberg Tech Minute brought to you by ChachiPT. Put ChachiPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at ChachiPT.com today by selecting Work Mode.
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15:20Aging is real, and so are the benefits of adding vital proteins, collagen, peptides to your daily routine. Because around the age of 30, your body needs backup to keep your collagen up to help support healthy hair, skin, nails, bones, and joints. Available in the classic collagen peptides. collagen and protein shakes and new vital proteins collagen sparkling waters so you can stay vital stay you visit vitalproteins.com to learn more and where to buy these statements have not been evaluated by the food and drug administration this product is not intended to diagnose treat cure or prevent any disease you're listening to the bloomberg business week daily podcast catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 eastern listen on apple carplay and android auto with the bloomberg business app or watch us live on youtube Well, you might remember looking up at the sky, or if you were there, or looking up at the TV and seeing the explosion of one of SpaceX's Starship rockets earlier this year.
16:17Certainly people are used to seeing the rockets succeed. Not necessarily the Starship rockets, but SpaceX's Falcon rockets that are doing routine satellite delivery. It's become so routine that it's not even an event anymore when these things go up in the air. Not so with the Starship. Lauren Grush and Kyle Porter write all about the Starship's challenges for Bloomberg Business Week and Bloomberg News. Lauren Grush is Bloomberg News space reporter. She's also the author of The Six, the untold story of America's first women astronauts. She joins us this afternoon from Austin, Texas. Lauren, what is Starship?
16:56Well, to put it simply, it's Elon's answer to starting SpaceX in the first place. It's the primary vehicle that he wants to use to send people to Mars and start a self-sustaining settlement there. Obviously, there's a long road from here to there, but that's ultimately what it's for. And then for other reasons, it's going to become essentially SpaceX's workhorse rocket. Once it's ready, it'll be responsible for launching all of their satellites. It's also on track to send humans to the moon, bring them back. So it's got a lot of responsibilities and SpaceX is hanging a lot of hopes on it. Well, before it gets there, it's got to successfully get off the launch pad and I guess into orbit, which hasn't done that at all yet.
17:47So it hasn't done a full orbit around the Earth, but SpaceX has been conducting a period or periodically done flight tests with Starship over the last few years. And they've been pretty spectacular. I'm sure people have seen footage from them. But these are flight tests, and they don't do a full lap around the Earth just because they're trying to test out certain capabilities that they're going to need to prove with Starship before it becomes fully operational. And so far, it's been able to go into space, and it has achieved near-orbital speeds. But this year, it's been a little awkward for the Starship test flights.
18:31Two of the flights have exploded prematurely. And in the most recent one, it did reach space and get into those near orbital speeds. But then it started to spin out of control on the way back to Earth and was ultimately disintegrated. And then, of course, there was also another explosion. It wasn't during a launch, but it was during a test. They were fueling up the vehicle for an engine test, and it exploded while on a test stand. So it's not been a great year for the Starship test program in terms of, you know, pushing the envelope forward each time. And now, Lauren, you write that Elon Musk, the company at least, well, I'm not sure if this is Elon Musk's directive or someone else at the company, But they're rearranging the employees and they're putting more people now working here on this Starship program.
19:25Is that right? Right. Yeah. After the pad explosion that I mentioned, the company decided to do something called a surge where they took 20 percent of the resources from their engineering, their Falcon engineering team, and then relocated them onto the Starship program to help with reliability and testing. And it's a pretty common tactic to Adam Musk company to, you know, if something is needing extra help, needing extra hands on the problem, you know, they'll rearrange from parts of the company. So we'll see if that actually works. But it sounds like they're putting much more of an emphasis on individual component testing, making sure there's more reliability before they get to the launch pad.
20:06These setbacks that you talk about with Starship, these explosions, the footage is quite jarring. But I'm wondering how common is that in this industry? I feel like I often see on my X feed, like videos of rockets failing to launch. Oh, you're only supposed to see the successful launches on X. There's a problem with the algorithm. Yeah, I must be having an issue. And YouTube as well. Okay, that would make sense. Isn't it kind of common that there are issues like these when you're trying to do something so ambitious, like build a rocket? Oh, absolutely. I mean, especially for a new rocket, you know, rarely does a newly developed rocket reach orbit or work perfectly as intended on its first launch.
20:53What makes SpaceX and Starship a bit unique, though, is that most companies will try their best to have a perfect launch when they get to that first, that debut. With SpaceX, they have this kind of fly fast, fail, fix, repeat approach where they like to fly as often as possible, knowing that they might actually have an issue and an explosion, and then taking that information, learning from it, and incorporating it into the next flight. I think what the issue with these latest setbacks has been is, you know, are they actually pushing the envelope forward? Are they actually learning from those issues and then reincorporating them?
21:35Are they actually creating new issues? You know, SpaceX likes to do a lot of updates, a lot of upgrades. And sometimes they might introduce an upgrade that has, you know, an unintended consequence that they weren't able to test until that upgrade was introduced, you know. But they still consider these failures learning experiences. So I would say it's common for new rockets to have issues. But for SpaceX, they kind of barrel right into it and kind of have that expectation of explosions up front. We're speaking with Lauren Grush, Bloomberg News space reporter, also the author of The Six, The Untold Story of America's First Women Astronauts.
22:20her story, along with Kyle Porter, among the most read on the Bloomberg terminal today. I'm wondering, Lauren, about the success of SpaceX in the private markets, because every few months we still seem to read about tender offers or share sales or raising money that value SpaceX even higher. Investors don't seem to be deterred by the series of unsuccessful attempts to orbit Starship. Yes, but we did find that, you know, with this latest funding round that they had discussed, it might have actually could have been bigger if there weren't these very visible explosive setbacks that Starship has had.
23:03So I think that it does have an impact, but you're right. You know, they have not had any issues with fundraising and they probably will continue to be able to fundraise moving forward. So I think the dream and the promise of Starship is definitely very enticing. And then, of course, you can't forget about all of the other parts of SpaceX's business that are extremely successful, including their Falcon launch business, but also Starlink, which is producing the majority of the company's revenue these days. So I think there's a lot of other factors at play when it comes to making those decisions as an investor.
23:40Okay, Lauren, you're the space expert here. So you can help us kind of put into context. So Starship is a reusable rocket. Is that the only reusable rocket out on the market? It sounds intuitively pretty remarkable to have a rocket that lands back down and comes back. But am I years behind the space advancements? No, no, it does sound remarkable. And I think that is part of, you know, the grand vision that makes Starship so enticing to people, right? it is billed as being fully reusable. Now, it hasn't actually demonstrated that yet. That's kind of why it's taking so long for SpaceX to get it right, because it's such a daunting task to perfect.
24:28Obviously, we've had reusability incorporated into rockets before. SpaceX, for instance, is kind of known for revitalizing reusability efforts with its Falcon 9 rocket. But that rocket's only partially reusable. The first stage is able to come back, but the second stage does not. And then, of course, the space shuttle was also partially reusable when it was running for NASA. But again, parts of that didn't actually come back intact, and it had to be refurbished quite a bit between flights. But yes, the promise of Starship, which would make it unlike any other rocket that has ever been developed, is that both of the pieces, the Starship vehicle on top and the super heavy booster on the bottom, are supposed to come back intact.
25:12And supposedly, you know, from what SpaceX has advertised, that will make it extremely cheap and capable of flying rapidly. So, you know, they've made quite big promises of flying, you know, hundreds of times a day. I don't think we're quite at that level yet. We're pretty far away from that reality. But supposedly that's going to be the key that unlocks that future, right, is that full reusability. Lauren, is it based on the folks you spoke to for this piece, the reporting that you and Kyle did, is it really a question of when, not if, this thing is as successful as Elon has laid out? Is that up in the air still?
25:55I don't want to make that judgment call. But one thing I will say is I never bet against SpaceX. SpaceX, you know, their their MO is kind of proving the haters wrong. Right. You know, when they were first forming, they made all these big promises and were going to promise to disrupt the industry. And a lot of, you know, legacy space companies were, you know, very, you know, scoffed at their claims and what they said they were going to do. But then look at what they've achieved. You know, they have been able to bring down the cost of going to space. They did achieve that partial reusability that I was talking about.
Read the full transcript
26:32And they've become, you know, the predominant launch provider for NASA and the U.S. government. So, you know, I will never say that SpaceX can't do something that it sets out to do. So maybe that is a roundabout way of answering your question. It works for me. Lauren Grush, Bloomberg News space reporter. Thank you so much. Again, that was Grush on her article with Keel Porter about Musk's races to finish SpaceX Starship after failures and explosions. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this.
27:13This is the Bloomberg Tech Minute brought to you by ChatGPT. Now with ChatGPT work. I'm Carol Masser. Globetrotters hunting for airfare bargains are in for a rude awakening. as the days of stumbling across a cheap seat on a popular flight could soon disappear. Bloomberg's Wan Ha reports that airlines from Delta to Virgin Atlantic are adopting artificial intelligence to change seat prices more quickly by weighing dozens of variables in real time, helping capture more revenue while shrinking pricing gaps that once allowed travelers to find bargain fares. Machine learning models can more accurately forecast demand by analyzing historical booking patterns, seat inventory, and seasonal trends, while also continuously tracking competitors' fares and capacity changes to update prices in near real time.
28:00The technology could lead to higher fares on busy routes as airlines pack flights closer to capacity, but may also result in lower fares on off-peak and lower-demand routes. That's the Bloomberg Tech Minute brought to you by ChatGPT. Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at ChatGPT.com today by selecting Work Mode. available on Plus and Pro Plans.
28:53go-to market efforts. Elevate your wins with Adio. Start your free trial at adio.com slash iHeart. Aging is real, and so are the benefits of adding Vital Proteins Collagen Peptides to your daily routine. New Vital Proteins Collagen Sparkling Water. Your daily glow-up now in three fresh flavors. Strawberry blossom, lemon lime, and blood orange. Improved skin health in as little as 30 days thanks to collagen peptides. Cheers to that, or go with our classic collagen peptides, so you can stay vital, stay you. Visit vitalproteins.com to learn more and where to buy. These statements have not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration.
29:27This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease. The thing about AI for business, it may not automatically fit the way your business works. At IBM, we've seen this firsthand. But by embedding AI across HR, IT, and procurement processes, we've reduced costs by millions, slash repetitive tasks and freed thousands of hours for strategic work. Now we're helping companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business, IBM. This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast. Listen live each weekday starting at 2 p.m.
30:07Eastern on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. Just say Alexa, play Bloomberg 1130. It is one of the most read stories on the Bloomberg terminal today. It's about Citigroup hiring the firm Paul Weiss to investigate complaints about the behavior of the bank's wealth management chief, Andy Sig. He was brought in by chief executive Jane Fraser on a high profile hire to drive a key part of her turnaround plan. Joining us now is Todd Gillespie, U.S. finance reporter for Bloomberg News. He joins us here in the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio.
30:46Andy Sieg, who is he? Well, Tim, yeah, I mean, Andy Sieg was brought on in September of 2023 by Jane Fraser to, you know, really lead a pillar of what everyone knows really is one of Wall Street's biggest turnaround stories right now. Citigroup, one of the laggards on Wall Street, one of the least profitable big banks, has really struggled to keep pace with its rival over the years. And building a wealth management franchise that could compete with the likes of Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, that has been a big task for Jane Fraser and a big priority for her. So she makes this star hire, this man who ran Merrill Lynch or Merrill as it's now known for six years as part of Bank of America.
31:23He comes over and obviously a lot then happens. But he has overseen so far some positive changes for the business. The, you know, it has posted record revenues along with the rest of the US wealth management sector as wealth management generally has been doing very well. But he has implemented a lot of key changes that have been welcomed by investors. But crucially, we now find out he's also done it at some cost to perhaps morale and human capital and the ways in which he's been treating people internally have raised some big red flags at senior management level. And we know that the head of human resources at the bank asked White Shoe law firm Paul Weiss to come in and investigate these claims.
32:06We know that this investigation has finished. The bank has declined to comment on its outcome. So we don't actually know what they found, what they concluded, whether there were any repercussions, for instance. But the bank so far is standing by him. What has your reporting shown so far about just Sieg's management style and what could have potentially led to that Paul Weiss investigation? Right. We know that he's sidelined and intimidated senior female executives, one of whom, Ida Liu, was one of the most high profile female executives at Citigroup. She was there for 18 years until she left the bank.
32:40I've interviewed her many times. Indeed. Yeah. I mean, she left the bank suddenly in January. A lot of people were still wondering what the real story was there. And this seems to be at least part of that. We know that he called people's work pathetic in rooms, launched into expletive filled rants against them. He made a male managing director cry and banged his fist on the table. And yeah, so it seems to be, you know, this isn't just sort of old school Wall Street necessarily. It seems to be, and particularly in 2025, you know, this sort of seems to be another level of, you know, what some people might argue is toxic behavior.
33:17I want to bring up a response from Citi. This is according to a Citigroup spokesperson. You can see it on the screen if you're watching us on Bloomberg Originals or on YouTube. It is, quote, it is standard practice for us to engage an outside law firm to investigate allegations made against a senior member of the management team to ensure independence and prevent even the appearance of a possible conflict of interest. This is according to a Citigroup spokesperson. What else did you hear from the bank? Is that it? Well, the bank is standing by him and they are highlighting that, you know, at least 40 more than 40 percent of his leadership team are women.
33:56You know, they mentioned that he has driven positive results and that he apparently continues to attract, you know, leading talent from outside the bank. So that that really is the bank stance right now. Again, they've declined to comment on the specifics of the investigation or the outcomes. But but, you know, what we've reported is, you know, is there. And, you know, it's unclear exactly how this might develop longer term and what this, you know, whether there might be any other impacts. But for now, it seems like the bank is standing by him. It's interesting you write in your article that while it's not entirely clear which allegations were reviewed by Paul Weiss, at least six Citigroup managing directors made complaints.
34:38That stands out to me because that number six is is is a lot. And it's at the MD level as well. This is that's the most senior position you can have at a big bank like this. That's right, Emily. And it's also worth noting that a large focus of some of these complaints was his treatment of a woman called Kristen Bitterly, who's also been on Bloomberg TV repeatedly herself. She runs the Wealth at Work division, which is one of the three core businesses of the wealth business at Citi. So she's a direct report, I guess, one of the three P &L heads underneath Andy Sieg. She is still at the bank. She is still running that business.
35:14And, you know, and we know that there were complaints over his treatment of her. So there is still perhaps one might say ongoing tension and ongoing questions about the relationship of senior executives here, which haven't yet been answered. Paul Weiss did not respond to requests for comment. Ida Liu did not decline to comment, I should say, when reached by Bloomberg News. And then Kristen Bitterly, who you just spoke about, remains at the bank. She didn't respond to requests for comment either. I Todd back out a little bit and talk a little bit about the role of wealth management at the firm especially under Jane Frazier the goals there and how successful it's been yeah I mean well Citigroup uh traditionally I mean it's been known as one of the most global banks right we have the private bank which caters to particularly super high net worth you know individuals with global footprints they might have you know assets across the world Citi's private bank is quite big in Asia in particular.
36:09In the US, their market here, they're trying to, I guess, become a bit more of a wire house, a bit more of a merrill. They're trying to focus on a slightly more mass affluent market, bring in more investment assets that way. And they're also trying, interestingly, to reduce dependence on the balance sheet. They're trying to lend less. And we all know, you know, big banks right now, capital constrained, and Citi in particular, as well as trying to find ways around that. How do you make revenue without lending? What are the best ways of doing that? In their banking business, for instance, they're sending more deals to Apollo through a private credit partnership that they have now.
36:46In the private bank, they're trying to reduce how much money that they are lending to billionaires or the intensity of that, at least. And instead, they're trying to get more revenue by getting up-and-coming emerging wealth to come on board at Citi and to invest more money through the firm's platform. You had mentioned, you know, that this hire of Sieg was was part of a turnaround. Does how do you anticipate this ends? I know we you know, there's still a lot of information that's that's unknown. You look at the shares of Citi, they did drop as much as 3 % today, but now they're down less than 1%.
37:23What are the implications? Does this impact that turnaround story at all? these days yeah i mean it's i mean it's obviously unclear how this might affect things like his ability to hire talent um and you know confidence in his leadership for instance but you know it's hard to speculate right now and obviously we should refrain from doing that too much um you know for now you know the wealth business has posted solid returns you know city group will be posting uh results for the um you know for the next quarter in in october um so we'll see how the wealth business performs then um but for now you know the wealth business at city is the smallest of the five businesses.
37:59It's growing rapidly. And, you know, we'll sort of see how that pans out, really. Todd Gillespie, U.S. finance reporter for Bloomberg News, joining us here in the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers Studio. Check out his story. It's on the Bloomberg Terminal. It's the most read or among the most read stories on the Bloomberg Terminal today. City investigated HR complaints against the wealth head Sieg. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Businessweek Daily coming up after this.
38:33This is the Bloomberg Tech Minute brought to you by ChatGPT. Now with ChatGPT Work, I'm Carol Masser. Globetrotters hunting for airfare bargains are in for a rude awakening, as the days of stumbling across a cheap seat on a popular flight could soon disappear. Bloomberg's Juan Ha reports that airlines from Delta to Virgin Atlantic are adopting artificial intelligence to change seat prices more quickly by weighing dozens of variables in real time, helping capture more revenue while shrinking pricing gaps that once allowed travelers to find bargain fares. Machine learning models can more accurately forecast demand by analyzing historical booking patterns, seat inventory, and seasonal trends, while also continuously tracking competitors' fares and capacity changes to update prices in near real time.
39:20The technology could lead to higher fares on busy routes as airlines pack flights closer to capacity, but may also result in lower fares on off-peak and lower-demand routes. That's the Bloomberg Tech Minute brought to you by ChatGPT. Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at ChatGPT.com today by selecting Work Mode, available on Plus and Pro Plans. Everyone's talking about how AI is transforming work, especially in sales. While the landscape shifts, one thing remains the same, the thrill of closing a deal. Whether it's a gong or a confetti machine, every team has its celebration rituals.
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40:34Collagen and protein shakes. And new Vital Proteins Collagen Sparkling Waters. So you can stay vital, stay you. Visit VitalProteins.com to learn more and where to buy. These statements have not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration. This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure or prevent any disease. So there's a lot of noise about AI, but time's too tight for more promises. So let's talk about results. At IBM, we work with our employees to integrate technology right into the systems they need. Now, a global workforce of 300 ,000 can use AI to fill their HR questions, resolving 94 % of common questions.
41:08Not noise. Proof of how we can help companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off. Deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business. IBM. You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 Eastern. Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Or watch us live on YouTube. I want to talk fintech, financial technology, Chime Financial. It's a prominent fintech, recently IPO'd. The stock actually fell below its IPO price of$27 for the first time. 69 days after going public, this is traders' dump shares of fintech companies during a sell-off in U.S.
41:51equities over the last couple of days, today included. We see SoFi Block, a firm, selling off yesterday and today as declines in big tech stocks push major indexes lower. I want to bring in David Haver. He watches this stuff closely. He's general partner at the VC firm Andreessen Horowitz. It's perhaps among the most well-known in the world, having made early bets on Airbnb, Coinbase, Facebook, when it was called Facebook, Instagram, Figma, Lyft, Slack, Affirm, Skype, and more than 700 other companies. Also joining us, someone else who watches fintechs closely, Paige Smith. She's consumer finance reporter for Bloomberg News.
42:24Everybody is here in the Bloomberg Businessweek studio. David, I want to start with you. The fintechs I mentioned, Chime, SoFi, Block, Affirm, one of which Andreessen Horowitz has invested in. Yep. How do you think about these in the context of where we are in fintech? Is this like a sort of web 1.0 in where we are with fintech? It's a great question. I think, you know, we were chatting about, Paige and I were chatting about this earlier. You know, I think a lot of fintech from, you know, call it 2012 to 2018 were these style of companies. These were businesses that lead with a financial product.
42:57And they got started by really unbundling the bank, you know, kind of building a wedge, whether it's a trading product or a fee-free mobile first bank account. in Chime's case. And as they've scaled, they've kind of re-bundled product to try to become the primary sort of financial relationship with their end customer. I think where I've been spending time and, you know, I used to run a lending business, which, you know, wasn't a direct competitor with these, but was a very challenging, you know, company to lead, has been different, right? The types of fintech companies that I look for and most like investing in are those that lead with software or have the potential for a network effect, right?
43:28So often selling into large financial institutions as opposed to trying to compete with them directly. And it's been one of the things that I've been spending time the last four years here at Andreessen is just trying to bridge the gap between what's happening on the frontier in the startup ecosystem and many of these large financial institutions. You know, David, I have a question for you as well about one of the companies that we chatted about, which is Plaid, and kind of this interesting dynamic right now around charging. There were theoretically the negotiations are ongoing, discussions are ongoing, and the regulatory environment is a little bit uncertain right now.
44:03But the idea of charging for access to customer financial data, it was kind of an issue that was settled for a hot minute and has now sort of come back. I guess I would be curious about your, from your perspective, how does this discussion of kind of the banks sort of essentially like digging these moats around themselves to charge for this financial data? What are your thoughts on this? Yeah, so look, JP Morgan came out recently saying they wanted to charge the FinTech ecosystem, I think,$300 million for access to consumer data. and it was done under the auspices of consumer protection and their own kind of cost structure to support this information.
44:46I think it's really just hiding the true intention, which is sort of an anti-competitive move. Ultimately, Plaid, which again, in full transparency, helped seed the company back in 2013. And recent, we're large investors in the business. So I have a strong point of view here, but Plaid ultimately sits at the intersection between the bank, a fintech application, and the end customer. right? And so they do play this sort of intermediated role. But ultimately, I think it's who owns this information, right? JP Morgan has a strong point of view that they own the information. I believe that consumers own their own data.
45:22And then we need more open kind of standards, you know, for how people are able to share their own information with other, you know, third-party applications. The analogy that I use often is, you know, do you own the photos in your iPhone or does Apple, right? Should Apple be able to charge Instagram for you authenticating access to your photos? I don't think so, right? I think you ultimately own, you should be able to share your photos with any application that you want to connect to. And JP Morgan is basically saying, no, your photos are mine. And we're going to be able to charge their Instagram equivalent$300 million for access to your information.
45:57I just don't think that's fair. And I think it's, again, I think it's veiled under this sort of threat of, you know, consumer protection and their own cost structure. The reality is, you know, data infrastructure costs have come down so precipitously. And we're talking about your account and routing number, right, in your transaction history. It's really not that sort of technology intensive. And for many, you know, banks, they don't actually have real-time APIs, right? And so for the long tail of community regional banks, I think Plaid plays an even more important role in becoming this sort of like data utility and enabling kind of this ecosystem of fintech companies to build interesting applications on top of those products.
46:33Aside from Plaid, are you seeing investing opportunities that kind of capture that theme of perhaps consumers getting their rights to whether it be data, finances, or maybe even iPhone photos back? It's an interesting question. I mean, there's a lot happening kind of in consumer fintech broadly. And I think, you know, AI is sort of changing the conversation here in a lot of ways. Maybe it's a different answer to your question, but my partner Alex recently announced an investment in a company called Salient, which has launched voice agents for auto loan servicing. And what's interesting in this capacity is these are large non-bank and bank auto lenders that have very large armies of call center folks now using voice agents who can speak in 50 languages, 24-7, fully compliantly in many of these markets.
47:28And so I think it's an interesting question of how is sort of technology and the software actually doing the work and how is that changing the relationship with, you know, with the end customer. And so that's, I think, one of the bigger themes that we're seeing in consumer finance. There's a lot happening also in the back office, you know, in many of these bigger financial institutions. You know, I want to talk a little bit about it's funny. You don't necessarily think of venture capital and politics until like the 2024 election. And I think Andreessen Horowitz really find itself at the center of the political ecosystem right now.
47:58Mark's very close with the Trump administration. He's advised President Trump. He's been outspoken with his support. The firm hired Daniel Petty after his acquittal. I think people would say that's political there. Andreessen Horowitz's very first hire, Scott Cooper, now a month into his gig as HR chief for the federal government. We had some reporting recently on the Bloomberg terminal, Riley Griffin, noting that Scott was introduced to Commerce Secretary by Mark and Ben. And what is, you know, this connection to a relationship with the Trump administration? How do you feel about that in the sense of, like, having a direct line to the administration or a direct line to Washington, given Andreessen Horowitz's involvement in this administration?
48:42Look, I think from a macro perspective, you know, 15 years ago, technology was sort of this industry that existed, you know, only in Silicon Valley. It was sort of not part of the conversation in D.C. It wasn't really a conversation in most industries. Mark famously wrote this essay, Software is Eating the World. I think that's happened, right? Technology is now proliferated across every industry in our society, in our economy, and as a result is directly impacted by DC and the regulatory environment. And so I think their point of view is not, it's really not partisan. I know that there's a lot of headlines that have happened from the presidential election.
49:18But fundamentally, I think our view is we want to support what we call the little tech agenda. We want to, you know, back the on both sides of the aisle, people who support innovation and support sort of technologies advancement. So we've donated to, you know, Democrats and Republicans in support of this issue. Well, do you feel like you have a more direct line now than you did during the Biden administration? Certainly, I think as a firm, we've taken a much more front leaning approach. I think Mark and Ben and others at the firm tried to spend a lot more time, you know, in the prior administration.
49:48I think that was part of what governed their decision to be more vocal in this presidential election. I think it's important in general to have a dialogue with D.C. Because, again, I think technology has just permeated every part of society. And you have the largest technology companies with massive lobbying arms in D.C. There is sort of this tragedy of the commons challenge in the startup ecosystem and in the French ecosystem because it's highly fragmented. These are relatively small institutions. And so I think their belief is, you know, if not us, then whom? And so I think we're trying to be sort of a convening force in creating a voice for this tech ecosystem, again, to drive innovation and ultimately, I think, better outcomes for society, for the economy, et cetera.
50:29We're speaking with David Haber, general partner at the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz. And, you know, David, I have another question for you. I cover consumer finance here at Bloomberg. And, you know, we did just see the Chime IPO. We've seen a number of sort of consumer facing fintechs do quite well in the last couple of years. And kind of there are these sort of household names, frankly, that you and I use for a lot of our corners, a lot of corners of our financial lives. Robinhood comes to mind as well. But, you know, I guess I'm curious, like, are we is consumer fintech dead? Like, are we kind of shifting to a lot of these, you know, like we mentioned a few names earlier of kind of infrastructure companies, financial services, infrastructure companies where it's still fintech for sure.
51:12but it's not like FinTech that you and I would know the name of or see the brand. You know, we might see the ads on the subways, but we don't interact with them. What are your thoughts? Yeah, look, I think part of it is just like how the market has evolved, right? When many of these companies started in, you know, 2012, like early 2010s, many of the largest banks didn't have mobile banking products, right? Many of them weren't acquiring customers online. And so it was much easier, you know, candidly to launch with the wedge product, to spend money and acquire customers and build in a much larger user base.
51:44I think the challenge over the past several years is like CAC is the new rent, right? A lot of that spending has now gone to the largest technology platforms to help these big institutions acquire their own customer. And it's just become a lot more competitive. It's much more difficult, I think, to break through and compete now directly with a Robin Hood or a Chime or a SoFi, et cetera. It's one of the reasons. I think there are other reasons culturally within these financial institutions, their willingness to leverage third-party technology has changed dramatically in the last five or six years.
52:13And as a result, made it much more interesting to back software-led companies and infrastructure companies selling into these institutions to, again, solve real problems, change their workflows. And I think that part of the kind of more B2B side of the market has become more interesting, at least to me. David, we only have 30 seconds left. What is the most interesting company that you've made an investment in that our audience hasn't yet heard of that should be on their radar? Oh, there's a bunch, but it's hard to pick. Page wrote a great article on a company called Moment that is building fixed income trading infrastructure.
52:43And so again, kind of a wonky part of the world. But if you're a wealth management client, getting a bond ladder is still a manual process today at most large financial institutions. Soon that'll be done programmatically. I think this is a company, albeit more infrastructure, that's going to become much more well known over time. You're a man who knows his audience. We can talk about bond ladders and bond infrastructure all day here on Bloomberg. David Haber, general partner at the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, also with us, Paige Smith. She is consumer finance reporter for Bloomberg News.
53:14This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday afternoons from 2 to 5 p.m. Eastern on Bloomberg.com, the iHeartRadio app. Tune in and the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg Terminal.
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54:20Policies provided by Hartford Fire Insurance Company and its property and casualty affiliates, Hartford, Connecticut. Everyone's talking about how AI is transforming work, especially in sales. While the landscape shifts, one thing remains the same, the thrill of closing a deal. Whether it's a gong or a confetti machine, every team has its celebration rituals. Adio is designed for that moment. It's the agentic CRM that turns customer signals into actionable insights, helping you close deals faster with revenue agents and automations working around the clock. You'll have everything you need to scale your go-to market efforts.
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President Donald Trump called on Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook to resign after a staunch ally called for an investigation of the board member’s mortgages, intensifying his campaign on the central bank.
Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulte urged Attorney General Pam Bondi to investigate Cook over a pair of mortgages, the latest in a series of moves by the Trump administration to increase legal scrutiny of Democratic figures and appointees. Cook was nominated to the Fed by former President Joe Biden.
Trump said Wednesday that Cook “must resign now,” citing Pulte’s allegations, while the FHFA head posted on social media that the accusations give Trump “cause to fire” her.
The dollar declined, yields pared losses and gold rose after Trump’s call for Cook’s ouster.Pulte wrote a letter to Bondi and Justice Department official Ed Martin on Aug. 15 suggesting that Cook may have committed a criminal offense. The letter, which was first reported by Bloomberg News, alleges that Cook “falsified bank documents and property records to acquire more favorable loan terms, potentially committing mortgage fraud under the criminal statute.” The Justice Department has received the letter, according to an official, who declined to elaborate further.
Today's show features:
- Bloomberg TV Radio International Economics and Policy Correspondent Mike McKee on President Donald Trump calling on Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook to resign
- Bloomberg News Space Reporter Loren Grush on recent struggles at SpaceX
- Bloomberg News US Finance Reporter Todd Gillespie on his story about Citigroup hiring a law firm to investigate complaints about the behavior of the bank's wealth-management chief
- David Haber, General Partner at Andreessen Horowitz, and Bloomberg News Consumer Finance Reporter Paige Smith on opportunities in fintech-related venture capital
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
