In short
The episode covers two legal stories. First, the US Supreme Court is reviewing whether “Election Day” in federal law means ballots must be received by Election Day or only cast by then. The case challenges a Mississippi rule counting mail ballots received up to five business days after Election Day, and similar grace periods in about a dozen states.
Key claims
conservative justices worry late-arriving ballots undermine public confidence and could enable fraud/“appearance of fraud,” while liberal justices argue Congress left receipt deadlines to states. Notable example: a ruling could force officials in 14 states and DC to change rules before the 2026 midterms.
Guests
Richard Brafalt, Columbia Law School elections law professor; Eric Talley, Columbia Law School business law professor. Second topic: a San Francisco jury found Elon Musk liable for misleading Twitter investors via tweets about fake/spam accounts during the 2022 acquisition process; damages to be determined later, potentially around $2.6B.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOSupreme Court's Mail-in Ballot Debate
2:14 to 3:21
Exploration of the Supreme Court's divide on mail-in ballot deadlines.
“The Supreme Court signaled a divide over Republican calls to require mail-in ballots to arrive by Election Day.”
State Laws on Ballot Deadlines
3:21 to 4:59
Discussion on Mississippi's law regarding mail-in ballot grace periods.
“and they're received a month after the election, and they don't have postmarks.”
Fifth Circuit's Take on Election Law
4:59 to 6:49
Detailed examination of the Fifth Circuit's ruling on election ballots.
“A ruling likely to come by late June that bars counting ballots arriving after Election Day would send officials scrambling in 14 states and D.C.”
Conservative Justices' Perspectives
6:49 to 8:27
Insights into conservative justices' views on mail-in ballot laws.
“So that the Mississippi law, which permits late received absentee ballots and any other state has a similar law, they have violated the federal law.”
Debate on Fraud and Voting Confidence
8:27 to 10:34
Discussion on concerns about fraud and the integrity of mail-in voting.
“Justice Barrett asked a lot of questions.”
Impact of Potential Rulings on Future Elections
10:34 to 12:22
Speculation on how Supreme Court rulings could affect upcoming elections.
“I mean, it sounds like they're buying into some of the concerns about ballot harvesting and all that?”
Trump's Voting Policy Goals
12:22 to 14:03
Overview of President Trump's proposed changes to voting laws.
“that they would say it's not good for this election.”
Voting by Mail and Legal Implications
14:03 to 15:40
Explore the challenges and legalities surrounding mail-in voting and proposed changes.
“I think the assumption is that the partisan cut would be that it would hurt Democrats.”
Elon Musk's Twitter Acquisition Saga
17:51 to 22:49
Delve into the timeline and legal ramifications of Musk's Twitter acquisition.
“Find an independent agent at c-i-n-f-i-n dot com.”
Jury's Verdict on Musk's Securities Fraud
22:49 to 24:12
Analyze the jury's findings regarding Musk's misleading statements and their implications.
“And therefore, they constituted securities fraud.”
Show all 16 chapters
Impact of Musk's Legal Challenges
24:12 to 28:00
Discuss the effects of Musk's legal challenges on his public persona and business.
“Coming up, I'll continue this conversation with Columbia Law School professor Eric Talley.”
Analyzing Musk's Misleading Tweets
28:00 to 29:14
Explore the implications of Elon Musk's tweets on investor perceptions and legal challenges.
“Certainly that could have played a role, though I got to tell you, you know, as someone who is following the Twitter acquisition incredibly closely, June, I couldn't understand these statements that he was making.”
Understanding Investor Claims Process
29:14 to 30:29
Learn about how damages are determined for investors misled by Musk's statements.
“And so, you know, we, the one thing that's important to note, June, is that the jury did not deliver any judgment on the damages.”
The Jury's Verdict and Its Implications
30:29 to 31:46
Discover the jury's verdict and its importance in the context of securities law.
“a little bit more involved trying to figure out, okay, who's getting what?”
The Broader Impact on Securities Markets
31:46 to 34:08
Discuss the potential long-term effects of the case on the integrity of securities markets.
“And in principle, that could have delivered a much higher monetary damages award.”
Insights from Professor Eric Talley
34:08 to 35:50
Gain insights from Professor Talley on the nature of Musk's actions and their legality.
“are a very, very good mechanism both to transmit information and to distribute risk across the entire economy.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00The thing about AI for business, it may not automatically fit the way your business works. At IBM, we've seen this firsthand, but by embedding AI across HR, IT, and procurement processes, we've reduced costs by millions, slash repetitive tasks, and freed thousands of hours for strategic work. Now we're helping companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business, IBM. Sonesta Travel Pass makes traveling more rewarding, designed to help you get more out of every stay. Sign up at Sonesta.com to enjoy instant savings, bonus points, and valuable perks like early check-in, late checkout, room upgrades, and free stays over time.
0:46With Sonesta Travel Pass, every stay brings you closer to your next reward. Choose from more than 1 ,100 hotels across 13 distinctive brands and unlock the best available rates when you book direct with Sonesta Travel Pass. Here today, roam tomorrow. Join now at Sonesta.com. Terms and conditions apply.
1:29For more than 75 years, they've helped individuals and businesses navigate life's toughest moments with care, expertise, and personal attention. Together with independent agents, Cincinnati Insurance focuses on relationships, not transactions. Their approach is grounded in experience, follow-through, and trust built over time. Bad days happen, and when they do, you deserve an insurance partner who understands risk, respects what you've built, and is ready to help you move forward. The Cincinnati insurance companies. Let them make your bad day better. Find an independent agent at CINFIN.com. This is Bloomberg Law with June Grosso from Bloomberg Radio.
2:14The Supreme Court signaled a divide over Republican calls to require mail-in ballots to arrive by Election Day. The justices are reviewing a Mississippi law that allows mail-in ballots to be counted as long as they arrive within five business days of Election Day. Federal law sets the Tuesday after the first Monday in November as the, quote, day for the election. And the issue is whether that phrase means that ballots need to be both cast by voters and received by state officials by that date, or whether voters must drop them in the mail by then. Several conservative justices like Samuel Alito voiced some of President Trump's familiar complaints.
2:59Confidence in election outcomes can be seriously undermined if the apparent outcome of the election on the day after the polls close is radically flipped by the acceptance later of a big stash of ballots that flip the election. or, yeah, I think you've got ballots that are delivered by somebody, by, you know, by a neighbor, and they're received a month after the election, and they don't have postmarks. In defending Mississippi's law, the state's solicitor general pointed out that the Trump administration and its allies in the case have not submitted a single case of fraud due to late arriving mail ballots.
3:49And the liberal justices like Sonia Sotomayor indicated they would uphold state laws with post-election day deadlines. History is informative of what's been permitted by Congress because what we're looking for is what understanding Congress had with respect to elections, correct? That's right, Your Honor. All right. And it doesn't talk about the receipt of absentee ballots after elections at all. So we look to the history of whether Congress has accepted it. Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Amy Coney Barrett emerged as pivotal votes among the court's conservative supermajority. Roberts suggested he wasn't convinced by the Trump administration's contentions that late arriving ballots could be outlawed without also undermining early voting.
4:41If day includes a period after a particular day of the election, does it include a particular day before the day of the election? Or does your logic require a different consideration? A ruling likely to come by late June that bars counting ballots arriving after Election Day would send officials scrambling in 14 states and D.C. that have grace periods for ballots cast by mail, giving them just a few months before the 2026 midterm congressional elections to change their ballot rules. Joining me is elections law expert Richard Brafalt, a professor at Columbia Law School. So, Rich, this isn't about mail-in balloting in general, but about the grace periods that some states have.
5:35So this case is a challenge to a Mississippi law, and about another dozen or so states have similar laws concerning mail-in ballots, which say that we will count your ballot, so long as it's mailed by Election Day, we'll count your ballot up to a certain number of days after Election Day. I think in Mississippi it's five days. Some states are shorter, some states are longer. The idea for the state laws is that you were voted by Election Day if you vote on Election Day and mail it. But if you do vote on Election Day and mail your ballot, it is almost certainly not going to get to the Board of Elections on Election Day.
6:11Maybe more than almost certainly. It's certainly not. So these states give a grace period. They basically say you can vote as late as Election Day, provided that it's postmarked on Election Day or mailed on Election Day. We will count it, provided it gets to us by a certain number of days after Election Day. In Mississippi's case, it's five days. In their view, that's consistent with a federal law that says there shall be a single national election day for federal elections. So long as you voted on election day, that's all you need to do. We'll count it if it comes in within a certain number of days after election day.
6:43The challengers are saying, no, that's not good enough. When the federal law says there's a single national election day, that means the votes have to be cast and received by Election Day. So that the Mississippi law, which permits late received absentee ballots and any other state has a similar law, they have violated the federal law. Tell us about the Fifth Circuit's decision, which this is an appeal from. Oh, so when this case was filed, now, as I say, I think something like 14 states have this provision. There was challenges first for all the district court threw it out, basically saying election day means the day you vote, not necessarily the day that the ballots are received and counted.
7:25The Fifth Circuit disagreed and said, no, an election includes not just the casting of the ballot, but its receipt by the government elections agency. And so therefore, the challenges are right. And that's why the Supreme Court then agreed to take the case. Did it appear as if several of the conservative justices have a problem with the Mississippi law. Yeah, it looks to me that there's at the very least three and possibly four based on the oral argument who are willing to go along with the challengers and say election means casting your ballot and have it received. That's one process and that election day means election day, including receipt of the ballot.
8:07Based on their comments, and it's always a little bit treacherous to rely on the comments in oral argument, but Tom Masolito and Gorsuch seem very sympathetic or more than sympathetic to agree with the position. And some of Justice Kavanaugh's questions seemed to me to lean in that direction too, though he was less clear cut. The liberal justices were clearly hostile to this and felt that Congress did not address this, that this law, which is a 19th century law, was adopted at a time when nobody even thought about mail-in ballots in the way we have them now, and that they would leave it to the states and if Congress doesn't like it, Congress can write a new law.
8:41Justice Barrett asked a lot of questions. She was a little hard to read. She seemed a little more skeptical of the challengers than the other Republican, the other conservative justices. And I think the chief justice said hardly anything. So he was hard to read as well. So right now, I don't know, it's hard to sum them up. And clearly three votes to strike this down, three votes to sustain it and three votes that are not so sure. What is the real objection from the conservative justices to this? Well, there's the formal technical objection that choose means choose, or vote means voter, election means election, and that's what it means.
9:23And there is, I think, a latent objection that I think challengers have emphasized very heavily, which is that this does permit fraud, both fraud and the appearance of fraud. This has been, I think, a Republican criticism of mail-in ballots the last couple election cycles, is that the sense that Democrats use it more, the person who seems to be ahead on election night, suddenly the person who's behind comes ahead once the late received mail-in ballots are counted. Of course, it's kind of silly because most states count all the mail-in ballots afterwards and not just the ones that come in late.
9:55But there's a sense that it's fraud, that there's a problem of fraud. There's a problem of the appearance of fraud. The post office doesn't postmark everything. So maybe there will be some late cast ballots, that there's no inherent endpoint. You know, there was the usual sort of the parade of horribles. Mississippi chooses five days, but there's nothing to prevent them from choosing five weeks. No state does that, but that there's no endpoint once you cross election day. So I think it's the challenges is largely text, plus I think a concern that this is a rule that's better for preventing fraud and for public confidence.
10:34I mean, it sounds like they're buying into some of the concerns about ballot harvesting and all that? Are those concerns real? Every study that's ever been a ballot fraud shows that there's almost none. I won't say none, but almost none. Very, very, very little. And certainly a tiny amount relative to the millions of people who mail in their ballots, and maybe the millions or certainly the high hundreds of thousands who mail them on election day. I mean, there's some argument actually for using election day, because at that point, you have as much information as you're ever going to get. There are sometimes late developments for an election day.
11:11So, I mean, this is a grace period. If courts strikes down the Mississippi law, people who vote by mail would be very well advised to vote at least a week ahead, if not more. It could be very chaotic in the upcoming election because it only applies to federal elections. And there's no federal law that requires state elections to be held on any particular day, or that would affect how the states use ballots. So obviously there's a big federal election coming up in this coming November. Many states will have elections the same day. And you're either going to have some ballots that come in in 14 states that come in after election day, they'll be counted for one vote, but not the other, or the states are going to have to scramble to revise their laws.
11:58I'm guessing this won't come down before June, it's already late March. And no matter who wins, there's going to be dissents, a dissent, and that usually means it takes a little bit more time to write. So it's now, what is it, March 23rd? It's not going to be before June, I think. So I think if the law is struck down, I mean, it's conceivable, though I think unlikely, that they would say it's not good for this election. There is this idea that you don't change the laws too close to an election. But I don't know that anyone argued for that. So I knew, was it going to give the states time enough if it comes out in June?
12:35Let's say the end of June, there's technically time enough. The states can rewrite their, you know, you could to most states, the legislative session is long over. So they'd have to come back into session and rewrite it or do something. Now, again, I think it's 14 states that have this. A few more states had it and eliminated it because I think of the Republican pressure on mail-in voting. I think several states have already repealed it. But that was a state's choice. This would be a national Supreme Court mandate to the 14 states that have chosen to give voters this option to take it away. I always hear that Democrats use mail-in voting more than Republicans.
13:14Is that changing? I'm actually going to challenge you a little bit on that. Traditionally, it was Republicans. Tended to be, the stereotype is it was the Republican businessman who was away from home kind of thing. But traditionally, I mean, further back in time, let's say in the 20th century, it was primarily Republicans. Didn't become more common for Democrats until, I think, into the 21st century, when many states began to liberalize their voting rules and to allow it. And I think it's become more so lately, and especially now, you know, in Trump's attack on on mail-in ballots. And so I think it's become more of an article of faith for Republicans to oppose it.
13:52It's a little unclear, I think. I think the better term many people would use is that it may very well be less committed voters, because in some ways, it's kind of easier to get a ballot and mail it rather than show up and wait online on election day. I think the assumption is that the partisan cut would be that it would hurt Democrats. But I think the proof is actually pretty unclear. And it's certainly no evidence that it's the late voting mail-in voters, that they're any more democratic than the early voting mail-in voters. I mean, this would not end mail-in voting. It would just say, if you want to vote by mail, you've got to vote early.
14:29And tell us what else President Trump is pushing before the midterms. Well, President Trump would certainly try and stop all mail-in voting, except for, I think he says service, overseas, people who are ill, and people traveling. So he would go much further. And then, of course, the so-called SAVE Act, I think, would also require people to bring proof of citizenship when they vote, proof of citizenship when they register, I think to attach proof of citizenship when they send in a mail ballot, even for those who are allowed to do it, and, as I say, to bring proof of citizenship when they go to vote.
15:08So if the Supreme Court strikes down the Mississippi law, it will make it more inconvenient for people to vote by mail in 14 states. Now, I should point out, 36 states don't have this rule. So in those states, if you want to vote by mail, you do have to vote early. This would be, I think, a setback for people in the other states, but it would not be as remotely significant in terms of making it harder to vote as the kinds of things that are in the safe act. As you said, we'll find out the Supreme Court's decision by June. As you said, we'll find out the Supreme Court's decision by the end of June.
15:44Thanks so much, Rich, as always. That's Professor Richard Brafalt of Columbia Law School. So there's a lot of noise about AI, but time's too tight for more promises. So let's talk about results. At IBM, we work with our employees to integrate technology right into the systems they need. Now, a global workforce of 300 ,000 can use AI to fill their HR questions, resolving 94 % of common questions. Not noise. Proof of how we can help companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business. IBM. Sonesta Travel Pass makes traveling more rewarding.
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17:02But in life, even the best strategies can't prevent every bad day. A fire, a loss, a disruption that demands immediate attention. When that happens, what matters isn't just what you planned, it's who shows up. That's where Cincinnati Insurance comes in. For more than 75 years, they've helped individuals and businesses navigate life's toughest moments with care, expertise, and personal attention. Together with independent agents, Cincinnati Insurance focuses on relationships, not transactions. Their approach is grounded in experience, follow-through, and trust built over time. Bad days happen, and when they do, you deserve an insurance partner who understands risk, respects what you've built, and is ready to help you move forward.
17:46The Cincinnati Insurance Companies. Let them make your bad day better. Find an independent agent at c-i-n-f-i-n dot com. Remember the tumultuous months in 2022 leading up to Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter for$44 billion, with the billionaire flip-flopping over whether he'd buy the platform, resulting in hard-fought litigation with Twitter's board of directors to force him to follow through. Well, a San Francisco jury has found that Musk intentionally misled Twitter shareholders when he tweeted that the social network had too many fake accounts and tried to back out of the deal. The amount of damages Musk must pay to individual investors will be determined at a later date when shareholders submit claims, although estimates are that it could reach as high as$2.6 billion.
18:43My guest is business law professor Eric Talley of Columbia Law School. Eric, take us back to that period in 2022 when it seems all we were hearing about was Elon Musk and Twitter. Well, yeah, this is something that is fused into many people's memories, including my own. Back in the spring of 2022, Elon Musk went hard at a purchase of Twitter. They weren't even asking for his entreaties. And he basically appeared on their doorstep saying, I want to buy this company. And after initially resisting, finally, it looked like he was offering a good enough price that it would just seem like the Twitter board would have been sort of crazy not to consider it seriously.
19:26Moreover, he said, not only am I offering this great price, that I want to sign up a deal that doesn't have any financing contingencies, doesn't have any of the booby traps that you often see in M &A transactions that can sometimes allow a buyer to walk away. And so at the end of the day, the Twitter board basically leapt at this offer of$42 a share, which was once again a sort of a takeoff on his recurrent 420 meme that we've seen many other times and has also gotten him into hot water, even though the Twitter stock price was far below that at the time. So he signed it up and it became pretty clear that shortly after he signed this deal that had to go through a shareholder approval process.
20:10So there were some months that had to follow on that he began to feel some regret that he might have overpaid. And that's when Mr. Musk started to drop several hints, all on Twitter, of course, that he thought this deal wasn't going to go through. And so on a couple of different occasions, Mr. Musk tweeted first, the deal is on hold. We're not exactly sure why the deal was on hold. And then relatedly tweeted that he had a concern about so many of the spam bots that were evident account holders on Twitter and that they had disclosed their existence to him or the magnitude of them to him. I don't think anyone at the time viewed either of these things as sort of credible claims.
20:56Most people, I think, thought that they were his claims to try to walk the price down a little bit so that he could try to negotiate either a better deal or walk away from the transaction completely. And it worked on some level. The fact that, you know, he had offered$42 per share should in principle mean that if people think the deal is going to close, the stock price should pretty quickly converge to something close to$42 a share. And by the summer of 2022, it was sitting in the mid 30s, evidently because a lot of people thought that, you know, Mr. Musk somehow had some secret that was going to allow him to walk away from the deal.
21:33I mean, tell us what the jury found because it was sort of a split decision. Yeah, there's a bit of a split verdict from the jury. The plaintiffs had brought forward a variety of claims, all various forms of securities fraud. Probably the most simple sort of claim that proved successful was the claim that these tweets that Mr. Musk put out during the pendency of the Twitter acquisition constituted misleading statements that were made recklessly or possibly deliberately in contravention of rules against securities fraud that would entitle them to damages. They also made another claim that these tweets were actually part of a much larger scheme to defraud the entire market.
22:14These were just points on the map, but the map was a grander map of putting together a significant scheme to defraud the market over a many month long period. When the jury came back, they basically accepted the idea that these individual tweets were episodic moments of carelessness and recklessness by Mr. Musk that would expose him to securities fraud liability. But it wasn't part of a month's long scheme. This was more of a kind of a shooting from the hip set of examples in which he made statements that clearly moved the market. He should not have made them. He knew better than to make them.
22:49And therefore, they constituted securities fraud. Now, you know, either way, the jury got to a verdict of securities fraud. But it does turn out that a scheme liability approach would probably be in some ways more potent because the way that you add up damages would allow plaintiffs as part of this large class action to come forward and pick out any period of time during this months long period to point to to say I was defrauded during this period of time. Now it's going to be those plaintiffs that basically bought before the correction or sold after the correction, right around the point where he was making these statements.
23:27That will limit the award a little bit, but people are still expecting that this would be somewhere in the low billions of dollars, say around$2 to$2.5 billion. So it's real exposure. The other reason why it's pretty important that the jury found that the type of securities fraud liability was these specific statements actually makes it a little bit more challenging to appeal because these are more sort of fact-specific conclusions of a jury as opposed to statements of law that a court could get wrong. And so, you know, for this type of securities fraud, the court pretty much puts it in the hands of the jury.
24:04It's up to the jury to figure out facts. And a court on appeal is very reluctant to overturn a factual finding that a jury has delivered. Coming up, I'll continue this conversation with Columbia Law School professor Eric Talley. Musk was on the stand for more than a day. But unlike other cases where he testified, the jury returned a verdict against him. The thing about AI for business, it may not automatically fit the way your business works. At IBM, we've seen this firsthand. But by embedding AI across HR, IT, and procurement processes, we've reduced costs by millions, slash repetitive tasks, and freed thousands of hours for strategic work.
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25:18Go to Sonesta.com to book your stay and unlock the best rates with Sonesta Travel Pass. Here today, roam tomorrow. Join now at Sonesta.com. Terms and conditions apply. If you follow markets, you know the value of long-term thinking. You plan, you diversify, you prepare for volatility. But even the best strategies can't prevent every bad day. For more than 75 years, Cincinnati Insurance has helped individuals and businesses navigate tough moments with expertise, personal attention, and independent agents who focus on relationships, not transactions. The Cincinnati insurance companies. Let them make your bad day better.
26:01Find an agent at CINFIN.com.
26:07After about four hours of deliberations, a jury found Elon Musk liable for defrauding investors by deliberately driving down Twitter's stock price in the tumultuous months leading up to his 2022 acquisition of the social media company for$44 billion. I've been talking to Columbia Law School professor Eric Talley. Eric, he's often been called Teflon Elon for winning high stakes legal battles that many expected him to lose and in which he testified. Here he was on the stand for more than a day. So how can I put this? Do you think the thrill is sort of gone? Yeah, I think maybe the thrill's worn off a little bit.
Read the full transcript
26:53And it's also important to realize that his Teflon status is as much myth as it is reality in some level. It's true that he ultimately won on his compensation case at the Delaware Supreme Court, but that's after having lost the first time around. He has gotten into hot water earlier with tweets that he made about a supposed buyout of Tesla for$420 a share. Go figure, that wasn't going to happen. And even the Twitter acquisition, it ended up closing at$42 a share, not because he won, largely because he basically just gave up an abandoned ship, right? And so on some level, the Teflon-Elon thing, I think has always been a little bit overblown.
27:34Here, however, I do sort of feel like there has been a sense in which, you know, not only after Twitter acquisition, but after, you know, Musk's kind of arrival as a semi-government regulator in Doge and his kind of about face that turned off a lot of Tesla consumers and maybe members of the public, he probably just doesn't have the same type of, you know, charm and appeal that he might have three or four years ago. And, you know, Certainly that could have played a role, though I got to tell you, you know, as someone who is following the Twitter acquisition incredibly closely, June, I couldn't understand these statements that he was making.
28:11They made no sense whatsoever. And in fact, I now teach a class at Columbia that is based largely on this episode, right, about why is it the case that so many traitors out there just assumed that Mr. Musk was right and ignored the fact that he had a very, very difficult to break acquisition agreement that he had willingly signed up. And the legal record on these things was incredibly clear. And I think ultimately, that's one of the reasons why he just decided to drop that challenge and close the deal on the very same terms that he signed it up. At one point, Musk acknowledged under questioning from a lawyer for investors that the temporarily on hold post was a mistake.
28:57Quote, it may not be my wisest tweet. I don't know if I would call it my stupidest, but if it led to this trial, it probably qualifies as such. It certainly looks like it could prove to be an expensive set of tweets, right? That even for someone with wealth and the magnitude of Elon Musk's stratosphere, a$2 billion award is real money. And so, you know, we, the one thing that's important to note, June, is that the jury did not deliver any judgment on the damages. And so the various members of the plaintiff's class might have to come forward and say, you know, listen, I was, you know, I was one of the people that got fooled or got swindled by this, and I lost money because of it.
29:39So that tabulation process is going to be ongoing. And the plaintiff's attorneys have said, this could be in the mid$2 billion. I I suspect some of those damages theories are not going to pan out. But, you know, anything that starts with a B is something that anyone, including Elon Musk, probably is going to want to pay a little attention to. Will it be the trial judge who decides how much money each investor will get or someone else? It will not be the jury. It'll probably be the trial judge who is working in collaboration with. There's a whole private series of claims administrators out there that try to tabulate up the various types of claims.
30:13But it will have to be superintendent by the judge. and this has not been a settlement, right? A lot of times when there's a securities front case, most of them settle and then there's a pot of money that's put in and then the claims administrator pretty much works outside of the supervision of the judge. But now the judge is gonna have to be a little bit more involved trying to figure out, okay, who's getting what? And there probably is gonna be a little bit more legal wrangling with various types of members of the class saying, hey, I'm claiming that I had lost a couple hundred thousand dollars in this.
30:42Does it add up? Did your loss sort of somehow bookend these important statements or not? And so that's going to take some time to ferret out. But I can't imagine, given the fact that people were trading heavily in Twitter during this period of time, there was a lot of interest in this transaction. So there was a lot of volume of trading going on. And when there's a lot of volume of trading going on, that means there are a lot of potential securities fraud claimants out there. So I would not be surprised for the final bar tab on this set of tweets to exceed a billion dollars, and it could well run north of two.
31:17So Musk's lawyers say they're going to appeal. We view today's verdict where the jury found both for and against the plaintiffs and found no fraud scheme as a bump in the road. Now, you were talking before about the difficulties on appeal. Yeah. So the one thing that's kind of interesting is that while scheme liability, which the jury rejected, that this is part of a longstanding scheme and these are just two dots on the radar screen, but it was a much bigger thing. That was rejected by the jury. And in principle, that could have delivered a much higher monetary damages award. And so on some level, Mr.
31:53Musk dodged a bullet because if everyone who traded at any time during this scheme could bring a lawsuit or could make a claim for damages, you could have something that may be over$10 billion. So now it's just going to be those people that traded in and around these tweets and can kind of trace it, you know, market changes that took place because of the tweet. And so that's going to cabin the potential losses. But by the same token, it makes a challenge on appeal somewhat more difficult to bring forward. A lot of times scheme liability has to involve some pronouncements by the judge and often pronouncements about what the law says.
32:31The law is often pretty unclear in this area because so many cases settle rather than litigate. And so you can stand a chance about getting the trial court judge's ruling overturned on appeal. when you're appealing one of these scheme liability cases. For a misstatement case, and that's what this one is, it's another type of securities fraud case, that is trickier because so much more of the determination is basically given to a deputized jury to find out. They just have to figure out whether the facts around this were misleading and reckless and so forth. And they found that they were in these instances.
33:07And that is going to be a much harder thing for an appellate level court that's not seeing any witnesses, that's not looking at any, you know, documents at length in the evidentiary record other than, you know, some of the major ones to say, yeah, we just think the jury got it wrong on this, that no reasonable jury could have made that conclusion when there are so many people out there, including myself, quite frankly, who were kind of mystified at the time. And we're, you know, sort of saying that publicly about, you know, why is it the case that Mr. Musk was, you know, thinking that he could get out of this deal.
33:39It just didn't seem like he could. Does this jury verdict stand for anything beyond this case? Well, I think in some ways it may. The thing that, you know, has been maybe lost in the shuffle in the last couple of years, June, as we've gotten, you know, so excited about, you know, NFTs and crypto and, you know, meme stocks and so forth, is that securities markets, when they're well regulated and when they are not sort of pumped full of exaggerations or careless statements are a very, very good mechanism both to transmit information and to distribute risk across the entire economy. And so there's a really kind of major goal, policy goal that we all have in trying to make sure that the way that security markets are regulated and litigated, I guess, is to make sure that people feel like they are operating with integrity, that when someone says something and that person is in a position of authority in a company, that they're not basically just making stuff up.
34:40And so there is on some level a sense that maybe this does vindicate the idea that people who are in possession of information, who are trying to make statements that they know are going to have an effect on the price, they need to be careful when they do it. And ultimately, while that may be inconvenient for them at the time, it will redound to all of our long-term benefits simply because that means that, you know, when they really do have news, we can trust that they're delivering that news in a bona fide fashion. And so, you know, my sense is that this probably is on some level a victory for, you know, continued faith in the health of securities markets.
35:19I'm not necessarily too worried about the fact that there wasn't a scheme liability verdict in this case, because I don't really think there was much of a scheme. My sense is that Mr. Musk, this wasn't part of some four-dimensional chess type of thing that he was trying to play. He thought he might want to buy Twitter, and then he changed his mind. He was trying to come up with reasons why he could walk away, and he was trying it out by crowdsourcing it. But that also turned out to be securities fraud. Eric, it's always a pleasure. Thanks so much. That's Professor Eric Talley of Columbia Law School.
35:50And that's it for this edition of the Bloomberg Law Show. Remember, you can always get the latest legal news on our Bloomberg Law podcast. You can find them on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and at www.bloomberg.com slash podcast slash law. And remember to tune into the Bloomberg Law Show every weeknight at 10 p.m. Wall Street time. I'm June Grosso, and you're listening to Bloomberg.
36:18Hello, I'm Michelle Hussain, and for more than 20 years, I was at the BBC. Military withdrawal from Afghanistan. But all the time I was delivering the headlines, I wanted to go further than the news of the day. To spend more time with the people shaping our world. And that's what I'm doing here on this podcast. Speaking to people from Nigel Farage. Russia needs to be taught a lesson. To tech journalist Kara Swisher. And the tech industry is running wild. You know, they've gotten what they wanted and they've seen a huge run up in their stock prices. This will be a place where every weekend you can count on one essential conversation to help make sense of the world.
37:02So please join me, listen and subscribe to The Michelle Hussain Show from Bloomberg Weekend, wherever you get your podcasts. You certainly ask interesting questions.
From the publisher
Elections law expert Richard Briffault, a professor at Columbia Law School, discusses SCOTUS arguments on Election Day ballot deadlines. Then business law expert Eric Talley, a professor at Columbia Law School, discusses the jury verdict finding Elon Musk misled investors during the Twitter purchase. June Grasso hosts.
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