In short
Episode topic: Two legal/business stories—(1) the criminal conviction of prominent short seller Andrew Left for stock manipulation via social media and trading, and (2) legal battles over tariff refunds after Supreme Court-invalidated IEPA tariffs, plus an overview of other current Trump-era tariff regimes.
Guests and backgrounds
- Eric Larson, Bloomberg legal reporter; covered Andrew Left’s trial.
- Timothy Brightbill, partner at Wiley Rein; trade law expert on customs/tariff litigation and tariff policy.
Key claims
- Left used disingenuous tweets/research reports to mislead investors (especially retail) while prearranging trades; government says he earned over $20M profits. Jury convicted him on 13 of 17 counts; he plans to appeal.
- For IEPA tariff refunds, Customs says it lacks authority to refund finalized entries without court orders, pushing importers toward lawsuits; Trump administration is appealing a court order requiring recalculation.
Notable examples
Left’s rapid closing of positions after public claims; jury requested a transcript readback and had an outdated verdict form (including a dismissed charge). Brightbill cites Section 122 (10% until July 24), Section 301, and Section 232 national-security tariffs (e.g., polysilicon).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOOverview of Andrew Left's Case
0:31 to 1:20
An overview of Andrew Left's conviction and the implications for short selling.
“So while others are busy talking, we're busy building.”
Overview of Andrew Left's Case
1:46 to 2:15
An overview of Andrew Left's conviction and the implications for short selling.
“Fame short seller Andrew Left faces the possibility of decades behind bars after a jury found him guilty of using disingenuous social media posts to manipulate stocks.”
Background on Andrew Left
2:15 to 3:16
Insights into who Andrew Left is and his role in the stock market.
“He'll be sentenced on August 31st, but as already indicated, he intends to appeal the verdict.”
The Prosecution's Evidence
3:16 to 4:04
A look at the prosecution's key evidence against Andrew Left.
“especially back in the years relevant here, which is 2018 to 2023.”
Andrew Left's Testimony
4:04 to 5:20
Discussion on Andrew Left's decision to testify and the challenges he faced.
“Give us sort of the focus of the prosecution, their most critical evidence.”
Trial Dynamics and Jury Deliberations
5:20 to 8:06
An analysis of how the jury approached deliberations and the trial's dynamics.
“And oftentimes these target prices, he would say, I'm betting this company will go to this price, you know, way down to this price, implying that he was going to hold his short position until that time.”
Judge's Threat and Courtroom Color
8:06 to 9:05
A recount of the courtroom events surrounding the verdict announcement.
“So maybe we'll see some of those in the future.”
Potential Appeals and Future Implications
9:05 to 14:01
Discussion on potential appeals and the chilling effect on short selling.
“But, you know, I don't think that any short seller out there would probably say that they're doing exactly the same thing as Mr.”
Verdict Form Errors and Appeals
14:01 to 16:18
Explore the issues surrounding an incorrect jury verdict form and potential appeals.
“And eventually she reveals that the jury all this time had filled out an incorrect verdict form.”
Verdict Form Errors and Appeals
16:48 to 17:23
Explore the issues surrounding an incorrect jury verdict form and potential appeals.
“One of these tools is called Generated Assets.”
Show all 17 chapters
Verdict Form Errors and Appeals
18:27 to 18:47
Explore the issues surrounding an incorrect jury verdict form and potential appeals.
“These may apply to Chase Business Complete Checking accounts.”
Tariff Refunds and Legal Challenges
18:50 to 24:12
Understand the complexities and recent developments in tariff refund processes.
“The Customs and Border Protection Agency opened a refund portal on April 20th for more than 330 ,000 firms that paid import taxes under President Trump's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, or AEPA.”
Current Status of Various Tariffs
24:15 to 28:00
Discuss the ongoing status of various tariffs imposed during the Trump administration.
“Well, the court has handled hundreds and thousands of lawsuits before.”
Overview of Current Tariffs
28:00 to 34:31
Learn about the current state of various tariffs and their implications.
“Tim, let's talk about some of the many other tariffs.”
Economic Impact of Tariffs
34:31 to 38:15
Understand the economic effects of tariffs and their influence on upcoming elections.
“So it requires careful monitoring by everyone involved.”
Legal Developments and Controversies
38:15 to 40:04
Get insights into the legal challenges surrounding the Trump administration's anti-weaponization fund.
“Thanks so much, Tim, for sharing your expertise in this area, which requires expertise because it's so complicated.”
Legal Developments and Controversies
40:53 to 41:27
Get insights into the legal challenges surrounding the Trump administration's anti-weaponization fund.
“Seize your opportunity at michiganbusiness.org.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00As industries evolve faster than ever, companies need an environment that accelerates strategic growth, and Michigan delivers on that promise. From emerging startups to global enterprises, Michigan offers what executives value most, a resilient, innovative ecosystem, diverse communities that attract top talent, and a quality of life that supports work-life balance. With our unified Team Michigan approach, businesses scale faster and compete at the highest level. Michigan, pure opportunity. Seize your opportunity at michiganbusiness.org. At Venture Global, we think about what can be done, not what's usually done.
0:37Through innovation, Venture Global is not only building some of the largest energy facilities in the world right here in the United States, but delivering American energy at a fraction of the cost and a fraction of the time. So while others are busy talking, we're busy building. That's Venture Global. That's unstoppable energy. Small businesses are the pulse of every community. They bring people together, create opportunities, and drive growth. Chase for Business helps business owners like you with personalized guidance and convenient digital tools all in one place. With that guidance and your determination, you can take your business farther and help build a brighter future for your community.
1:20Learn more at chase.com slash business. Chase for Business. Make more of what's yours. The Chase Mobile app is available for select mobile devices. Message and data rates may apply. JPMorgan Chase Bank, NA. Member FDIC. Copyright 2026. JPMorgan Chase and Company.
1:40This is Bloomberg Law with June Grosso from Bloomberg Radio. Fame short seller Andrew Left faces the possibility of decades behind bars after a jury found him guilty of using disingenuous social media posts to manipulate stocks. It's a landmark case on market manipulation that threatens to further chill a broader trading strategy loathed by corporate executives. After two days of deliberations, the jury convicted the 55-year-old Left of 13 of 17 counts. He'll be sentenced on August 31st, but as already indicated, he intends to appeal the verdict. Joining me is Bloomberg legal reporter Eric Larson, who's covered the trial.
2:29Eric, tell us about Andrew Left. Who is he and how did he end up on trial? So Andrew Left is one of the most prominent short sellers on Wall Street, and he's been closely watched by his followers and supporters for a long time. He was a big guy on Twitter back in the day and had lots of followers who watched his comments about stocks and companies. And like other activist short sellers, he put out research reports on companies that he was tracking. He was known for that. He had some correct commentary and views that he came out with that lent him some credibility. And again, built up that big Twitter following.
3:05And of course, short sellers make money betting against companies. So a lot of executives maybe don't like them because of what they do. But so a lot of different activist short sellers engaged in this kind of practice, especially back in the years relevant here, which is 2018 to 2023. But the Justice Department started investigating the whole industry and ended up targeting Mr. Left in particular over the specific way that he did his social media commentary and trading, in which, you know, boiling it down, basically said that he was misleading investors, particularly retail investors, about his trading intentions and specifically just trying to manipulate the stocks so that he could do some real quick trades and make some money.
3:53And according to the government, and Mr. Left didn't deny it, over that period of time on the stocks at issue in the case, he made over$20 million in trading profits. What was the prosecution's case? Give us sort of the focus of the prosecution, their most critical evidence. So the case really did hinge on his tweets at the time. That's what they were on the platform then known as Twitter and records of his trading activity. Lots of detailed records and charts about those trades were shown to the jury. And of course, his private communications that the government sees as part of their investigation.
4:29his telegram messages, texts, emails, that sort of thing. And what they did was use all of this evidence to paint a picture of Mr. Left planning in advance, specifically to manipulate the market with a tweet or a research report or both at the same time, and then already prearranging trades in advance so that he could quickly make trades, close out his short or long positions. His long bets were also part of this case. And it showed that he didn't always believe what he was saying, that his primary goal was to get his followers to help move the market so that he could make those trades, which according to the government were often complete opposite of what he was basically saying.
5:11He was saying he was short on a company, but then he would quickly close out his short position after saying that when others started doing the same. So he made his profit. And oftentimes these target prices, he would say, I'm betting this company will go to this price, you know, way down to this price, implying that he was going to hold his short position until that time. But then, of course, closed it out much sooner and again made that quick profit that I mentioned earlier. So now Leff took the rare step of taking the stand, testifying in his own behalf. And trial experts say that when a defendant does that, the whole trial sort of becomes about his or her credibility.
5:51So how did he do on the stand? Well, it was a bit rough. I mean, as you can imagine, the reason that criminal defendants don't often take that risk is because after you get done with your really friendly questioning by your defense lawyer, allowing you to put whatever we could say spin on the evidence in your own words, justify your actions, you're then put up on cross-examination. And it can be pretty brutal. I mean, in this case, the prosecutor went line by line, sort of picking apart a lot of what Mr. Left had said and presenting evidence at that time to show that maybe what he was saying wasn't exactly true.
6:30Confronting him with these communications that undermined a lot of what he was saying. And he came off, you know, not too surprisingly, as pretty defensive at times. The judge had to interrupt him repeatedly to tell him to just answer the question. He didn't want to give the yes or no that the prosecutor was looking for because he wanted to add his own, you know, extra explanation to things. And the judge just kept shutting him down and striking a few of his answers from the record even, which just isn't a great look in front of the jury. So it was pretty rough and clearly it didn't have the impact that he was hoping for because he was found guilty.
7:06He testified that he didn't believe that there was any law that barred him from making trades in the minutes and hours after he published social media posts or research reports. I mean, was that part of the defense case that there's no law against this? Yeah. And you know what? He's right on that. And the government couldn't really claim otherwise. So on the one hand, yes, that's true. But on the other hand, the government was pointing to other evidence that said he was doing more than just trading around his research reports or tweets, that it was a little worse than that. Well, it was fraud, according to the government and the jury.
7:43So it is a really interesting point, though, because that is the chilling effect that Mr. Left and his lawyers have said would hit the short selling industry if he were convicted and actually already hit the industry after he was indicted. So it's hard to say because in effect, we have regulations now in place with this industry via a jury verdict, which isn't normally how regulations are put in place. So maybe we'll see some of those in the future. But all the experts that I've been talking to in the lead up to this trial and earlier today and last night have just been saying that this will have a chilling effect on the industry, an industry that's already, you know, sort of withering and having some tough times because of market considerations.
8:23But, you know, where's the line? That's what people aren't exactly sure. So they're going to be more timid. Yeah, I was going to ask you if this trial, if the verdict showed where the line was between statements of opinion and when it crosses into market manipulation. Yeah, I wish I could answer that, but I really don't think it did. I guess that's the answer. I don't think it really drew a clear line because they're very specific set of circumstances involving a specific individual. And so how do you apply that to everyone else who's doing things a little differently or much differently? And the fear being that because of that uncertainty, maybe you just don't engage in that type of behavior the way that you would.
9:07But, you know, I don't think that any short seller out there would probably say that they're doing exactly the same thing as Mr. Left. The experts that I spoke to before the trial said that they thought this was an uphill battle for the prosecution. So the jury was out two days. They didn't convict him on all the charges. So how did they see it? so right i mean normally if you get a really fast verdict on the first you know just after deliberations then it's probably going to be a guilty verdict and i'm sure that's what the prosecution was hoping for but they did get the guilty verdict they wanted but it spanned two full days of deliberations plus a little extra on the first day and so they clearly were looking at this uh evidence very closely very very closely and at one point they sent a note back to the judge during deliberations, as they often do, and ended up having the court reporter come in and read the entire transcript of a specific witness to them back and forth, the direct examination, the cross-examination, the whole thing.
10:06And it was the testimony of Citron Capital's lawyer, securities lawyer, the one who testified that he had sort of reviewed the trading strategy and didn't see anything illegal about it. It was hard to read the tea leaves on what that meant at the time why they wanted to hear that again. But clearly they determined that even though the lawyer had given the green light to this trading strategy, he actually didn't have all the information about what Mr. Left was up to, which is what was revealed on the cross-examination of that witness. So as far as the four counts that he was found not guilty on, again, I think that would point to how closely they were looking at the evidence on each of those counts.
10:48The first count of securities fraud was the overall overarching fraud scheme. And then counts two through 17 were for individual stocks that he was accused of manipulating. So on four of those, they looked at the evidence that the government had presented and decided that it just didn't quite go as far as the other ones went. We didn't speak to the jurors, so I don't know exactly how that played into it. But I think we can just assume that they looked at the evidence and they couldn't reach unanimity on it. Eric, I always like to hear about some of the colorful events that go on in the courtroom that you might miss reading an article about the trial.
11:25So explain why on the day of the verdict, the judge had threatened to put Left in custody. Right. So yesterday morning, the jury started deliberating at 8 a.m. as they had the day before. And they had that note that I mentioned where they wanted to have that transcript read back to them. and the judge got that note first thing in the morning. And so around 8.39 or so, the judge called the court to session without the jury, yet they were going to be brought in. But when the judge came in, Mr. Left's legal team had to tell him that he wasn't in the building. And so we don't know why he wasn't, if he was late or if he just didn't think he needed to be there that early because it was so unlikely that they would have a verdict by then.
12:12We just don't know. but she was very angry. She threatened to throw him in jail or have him taken into custody rather until a verdict was reached if he did that again and ordered him to remain in the building while the jury is there deliberating. And eventually he did show up. I was actually standing out in the hallway and saw him tearing around the corner in a real rush and ran into court. And she delivered that threat again to him directly once he had arrived. And he apologized. And we don't know why he was late. And we moved on. Well, you don't want the person who's sentencing you angry at you.
12:49So how much time is he actually facing? The government says maximum 25 years on that first main count I mentioned, right? Then 20 years for each of the other ones. Of course, we know that a judge almost always is going to run those concurrent so that the maximum would be 25 years essentially. But then of course, we also know often these sentences are much less than the maximum. So I really can't say he's most likely going to appeal. He certainly hinted at an appeal. You know, you know, they've also asked for a mistrial, by the way, another bit of color. This was the strangest jury verdict delivering I've ever seen.
13:25Once the verdict was reached, everyone came into court. Everyone's, you know, waiting to find out what this verdict is. the jury comes out they say that they've reached a verdict they hand the verdict to the judge who as practiced reads it carefully at her desk and then she calls a sidebar where she wants all the lawyers and mr left to come up around the side of the where she sits and have a private conversation and that has just never seen that before the verdict is about to be delivered and they're talking for a long time. And eventually she reveals that the jury all this time had filled out an incorrect verdict form.
14:09Ouch. Yeah, it was outdated because it included an 18th charge of lying to federal investigators that had been dismissed before the trial. So that's why the left's lawyers requested a mistrial. And the judge said that she would rule on that later. I doubt that you would declare a mistrial over that, although you never really know. Has the defense mentioned any issues it might raise on appeal? I assume that having the wrong jury verdict form will be one of them. I did speak with Mr. Left right outside court after he was sentenced. He did say that this wasn't the end of the story. I think it's pretty clear that he was hinting at an appeal.
14:51We don't know anything about that yet or how quickly that might happen. But it is for him a matter of free speech. He gave a rather lengthy explanation of how he thinks it's going to chill people who want to comment on stocks and trade about it. You know, again, as we discussed before, there's different views about that, exactly what he was doing. But he just clearly sees it as a free speech matter. The Trump administration has dropped a lot of white collar cases that were started in the Biden administration as this one was. Do you have any inkling as to why they kept going on this one? I don't, unfortunately.
15:30I do know that Mr. Left's lawyer made some outreach directly to the administration on this issue and tried to say, hey, you've made it clear your priorities are different. This case should be one that goes away as well. And obviously that outreach was unsuccessful. But in terms of why the government decided to go ahead with this one, it's anyone's guess. I mean, prosecutors really did focus their closing arguments on the notion that Mr. Left was misleading and manipulating and taking advantage of retail investors, you know, average folks. So perhaps that had something to do with the way they looked at the case.
16:12That seems like a good reason for continuing the case. Thanks so much, Eric. That's Bloomberg Legal Reporter Eric Larson.
16:47that can assist investors in building customized portfolios. One of these tools is called Generated Assets. It allows you to turn your ideas into investable indexes. So let's say you're interested in something specific like biotech companies with high R &D spend, small cap stocks with improving operating margins, or the S &P 500 minus high debt companies. Chances are there isn't an ETF that fits your exact criteria. But on public, you just type in a prompt and their AI screens thousands of stocks and build a one-of-a-kind index. You can even backtest it against the S &P 500. Then you can invest in a few clicks.
17:23Go to public.com slash market and earn an uncapped 1 % bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash market.
17:44All investing involves risk of loss. See complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures. Running a small business takes everything you've got, but with Chase for Business, you're not alone. They bring together local support and a broad range of resources to more than 7 million customers. With a deep understanding of your day-to-day needs, they provide products and guidance built to help you thrive. Right now, earn$500 when you open a new Chase Business Complete Checking account for new business checking customers with qualifying activities. Offer expires June 18th, 2026. Chase Business Complete Checking has the flexible tools you need to accept payments, make deposits, and manage your finances with confidence.
18:23Learn more at chase.com slash podcast biz offer. Chase, make more of what's yours. These may apply to Chase Business Complete Checking accounts. The$500 offer is available for new business checking accounts with qualifying activities through June 18th, 2026. Eligibility and qualification requirements must be met. Additional restrictions may apply. Please speak with a business banker for more information. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., member FDIC. The Customs and Border Protection Agency opened a refund portal on April 20th for more than 330 ,000 firms that paid import taxes under President Trump's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, or AEPA.
19:06That signaled that it intended to repay at least some of the approximately$166 billion in levies struck down by the Supreme Court earlier this year. The first batch of payments came quickly, but now legal chaos may be injected into the claims process that's already underway. The Trump administration has filed a notice that it will appeal a court order compelling customs authorities to recalculate all import taxes that the administration collected under IEPA. My guest is trade law expert Timothy Brightbill, a partner at Wiley Ryan. So, Tim, last time we talked about how the refund process was rolling along, how the portal was working.
19:52What happened? Well, we've had a series of very significant developments in the last week for those parties seeking refunds of the tariffs paid under IEPA, the tariffs that were struck down by the Supreme Court. So first of all, last Wednesday, Judge Eaton issued an order asking the Customs and Border Protection and the Justice Department to explain not only the status of refunds being paid, but also calling the Customs and Border Protection Commissioner, Rodney Scott, to testify in court as to the delays in the process. So a very noteworthy escalation of the process. Then two days later, last Friday, Customs and Border Protection responded to Judge Eaton, said that it would be improper to call on Commissioner Scott, who is presidentially nominated and Senate confirmed, to have to appear to answer the court's questions.
21:03And then also, Customs challenged the court order in a way that I think makes it clear that it is going to be difficult for some importers to potentially receive refunds of their duties. So Customs has been paying refunds and has refunded about$85 billion of tariffs or is in the process of refunding those tariffs. But those are tariffs that were never liquidated or finalized. They were always sort of held in suspension and not finalized, and therefore they were still in customs control. The bigger question is for tariffs that were paid on entries that have been liquidated, that have been finalized, and what to do with those.
21:52And in this most recent filing, customs has said it has no authority to reliquidate or refund money without a court order. So what that seems to mean is that for parties that have filed a case in the court, there may be a way to refund the money. But for parties that have not filed cases in the court, Customs claims it does not have the authority to refund money without a court order. So that's a very significant change from this automated system that was moving along. Customs was providing the court with updates, but now there seems to be a roadblock and things seem to be coming to a head. Why do you think this happened?
22:38Do you think that this is really about, you know, the technicality about having filed a lawsuit or not? Or is it a Trump administration attempt not to pay or desire not to pay these tariff refunds? Well, I think it's a combination of both of those factors. First of all, Customs is claiming that it doesn't have any authority under the law to reliquidate duties that have already been finalized unless there is a court order telling them to do so. So the legal reason they're claiming is that they don't have the authority to pay refunds on these entries. Now, I think the practical reason is that there are billions of dollars worth of entries by smaller importers that have not filed suit.
23:24And it's likely that the Trump administration does want to keep that money and doesn't want to refund it. So in effect, that seems to be forcing companies to file lawsuits in order to get their money back. And in fact, we've been recommending to our clients now, we were fairly neutral on this for most of the last year, but a couple of months ago, we started recommending to our clients that if you want to be sure, we think the best course of action is to file a lawsuit at the Court of International Trade. These recent orders seem to confirm that that is the step that many importers will want to think carefully about taking.
24:01It's, of course, an individual company decision based on their own circumstances, but we think that this means it's more likely that more lawsuits will be filed to try and ensure the refunds will happen. That sounds like a lot of lawsuits. Will that clog up the Court of International Trade? Well, the court has handled hundreds and thousands of lawsuits before. There have been prior cases, some involving anti-dumping and countervailing duties, some involving a harbor maintenance tax and other customs provisions. So the court can handle these large cases. I think it would prefer to have customs set up an automated process so that companies don't have to face the burden of filing these individual lawsuits.
24:44But the court can handle it. They've done it before, but it will create a burden for all parties involved. Coming up next, I'll continue this conversation with trade attorney Timothy Brightbill. We'll take a look at some of the other tariffs that President Trump has imposed or will impose. I'm June Grosso, and you're listening to Bloomberg. Support for the show comes from Public. Lately, it feels like there are two types of investing platforms. Some are traditional brokerages that haven't changed much in decades, and others feel less like investing and more like a game. Public is positioned differently.
25:18It's an investing platform for people who are serious about building their wealth. On Public, you can build a portfolio of stocks, options, bonds, crypto, without all the bugs or the confetti. Retirement accounts? Yep. High-yield cash? Yes, again. They even have direct indexing. Public has modern design, powerful tools, and customer support that actually helps. Go to public.com slash market and earn an uncapped 1 % bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash market.
26:00complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures. Being a small business owner isn't just a career, it's a calling. Chase for Business knows how much heart and effort go into building something of your own. That's why they make business growth their priority. The Chase team takes the time to understand your mission, where you are now, and where you want to go. Their broad range of solutions is designed with you in mind so you can bring your ideas to life. From banking to payment acceptance to credit cards, you can conveniently manage all your business finances all in one place with their digital tools.
26:33Looking for tips and advice? Their online resources are always available to give you the solutions you need to help your business thrive. See how your business can get stronger and go farther with Chase for Business. Learn more at chase.com slash business. Chase for Business. Make more of what's yours. The Chase mobile app is available for select mobile devices. Message and data rates may apply. JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A. Member FDIC. Copyright 2026. JPMorgan Chase and Company. Dog grooming genius here. Most people see a busy dog salon, but I see operational excellence. Thanks to genius from Global Payments.
Read the full transcript
27:13Scheduling, personalized. Checkouts, instant. Absolutely genius. From game day crowds to every groomer in this shop, Genius keeps everything flowing seamlessly. Schnauzer is styled. Flawless execution. Big League reliability for any business. That's genius. I've been talking to trade law expert Timothy Brightbill, a partner at Wiley Ryan, about the Trump administration appealing a court order compelling customs authorities to recalculate all the import taxes that the administration collected under President Donald Trump's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, or IEPA. The Supreme Court struck down those tariffs in a six to three decision in February.
28:03Tim, let's talk about some of the many other tariffs. So many tariffs, so little time. The Section 122 tariffs, the 10 percent tariffs. Where do they stand? So those tariffs are still for the most part in effect. Again, those are tariffs based on balance of payments authority. And the law does authorize the president to impose tariffs of up to 15 percent for up to 150 days. So what President Trump did was declare 10 percent universal tariffs. And those are in effect until July 24th. Now, the Court of International Trade has already struck down those tariffs in a two-to-one decision. One judge dissenting found that those tariffs were inappropriately applied and that the administration used the justification of trade deficits.
29:04But, of course, there's a difference between a trade deficit and a balanced payment deficit. So the court found that those tariffs were not properly applied. The administration has already appealed to the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit, and those arguments are being heard, but it is unlikely that this will get all the way through the courts by the time the Section 122 tariffs expire on July 24th. So even though the appeals are going on, the 10 percent tariffs were not stayed except for the actual parties through the lawsuit. So that means most companies, most importers are still paying those 10 percent tariffs on all entries.
29:49So assuming that President Trump wants to continue these tariffs, what can they replace that with come July? Well, that process is already underway. You're right, Mr. President. Tariffs are his favorite word in the English language for a reason. And so the work is already underway on the replacement for those tariffs, which would be done under Section 301 of the Trade Act. Section 301, as you'll recall, is the authority that was used in the first Trump administration to impose tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars of Chinese imports. And China then retaliated against U.S. imports as well.
30:28Those Section 301 tariffs are still in place. Section 301 just requires a finding that there are foreign practices that are unreasonable and that burden or restrict U.S. commerce. So it's a very broad test, and it has been found to meet situations like the Chinese forced technology transfer, data localization laws, cyber hacking, and so forth. And then to ensure that that authority is available, the administration started a series of Section 301 investigations looking at structural overcapacity from a number of countries and also the lack of forced labor laws or strong forced labor laws in many other countries.
31:16So that process is underway. There were a series of hearings held here in Washington on Section 301 on this overcapacity issue, forced labor issue in late April and early May. And we are probably getting close to the point where the U.S. trade representative will announce or propose some new tariffs under Section 301, with the goal being that those tariffs will be finalized and in place by the time that the 10 percent Section 122 tariffs expire on July 24th. So it seems to you like those tariffs will survive a court challenge. In the past, they have. So the tariffs brought during the first Trump administration under Section 301 were largely upheld by the courts as reasonable and within the president's discretion, with some exceptions.
32:15And there are still court challenges going on against those original tariffs from 2018. So the courts could rule, but so far, those tariffs have been upheld, again, because the law is broad and gives the president a good deal of discretion. And so the courts in the past have mostly deferred to the president's discretion. Although, again, we're in unprecedented territory here, given the scope of these investigations that the Trump administration has undertaken. Moving on to national security tariffs. These tariffs are done under Section 232 of the Trade Act, which basically assesses our imports of a certain good or item, a threat to U.S.
33:02national security. And these were the basis for tariffs of 25 % that were put on steel and aluminum imports. during the first Trump administration and which have continued since. Similarly, in the current Trump administration, tariffs have been put, for example, on wood products like cabinets and furniture and softwood lumber and on copper and on other types of goods. So there were about a dozen Section 232 investigations started within the last year or so. Some of those are completed. Others are still underway. One that is coming to a conclusion relates to polysilicon that is used in solar cells and solar modules.
33:50The Commerce Department has already done its study as to whether or not imports are a threat to national security. That study has gone to the president, who now has 90 days to decide what sort of relief to apply. So there are a number of these national security investigations going on. For the most part, if a national security tariff is applied, then the Section 301 tariffs have not applied. So there is not stacking of the national security tariffs with the Section 301 tariffs. At any rate, it's a very convoluted landscape and it's changing on a daily, weekly, monthly basis. For example, just yesterday, USTR announced potential new tariffs of 25 % on Brazil due to unreasonable practices under Section 301.
34:43So it requires careful monitoring by everyone involved. Anyone who's importing from dozens of countries needs to be aware of all the latest developments. It's exhausting. And as you say, it's constantly changing. What's the effect on the economy? Yeah, it never seems that tariffs do the economy any good, but Trump loves them. It's very difficult to say the overall impact on the economy of all of these tariffs. Certainly, it's possible to do limited or specific tariffs without causing harm to the economy, without driving up inflation. But these tariffs are of unprecedented scale and scope. And it is remarkable that the U.S.
35:26economy is doing as well as it is, given not only these tariffs, but the uncertainty caused by all the changes. The uncertainty is never good for businesses. Our clients would rather have a stable environment. They would rather know what the tariff levels are and what they're going to be for years to come so that they can plan their capital improvements and investments. So this does make it very difficult for companies and industries to grow. So nonetheless, many of them are investing. And again, the U.S. economy is holding up rather well, despite the turmoil. So now let's talk about the U.S.-China relationship and how that plays in here.
36:06Yes. So we recently had this summit between Presidents Trump and Xi. And I would say the outcomes from that summit were rather modest. There was discussion about a potential board of trade to handle certain difficult trade issues, but really not major developments from that summit. It seems like both countries would like to continue engagement and continue to grow their own economies without escalating to even higher and higher levels of tariffs. So we'll have to see. I think there's one of two outcomes likely, either a continued sort of standoff and detente at the current tariff levels or some sort of escalation based on export controls or chip issues or rare earth and magnet issues that causes both sides to react with even more aggressive actions, trade actions going forward.
37:05So, Tim, tariffs are not an issue that I think about when I think about the midterm elections coming up. But what role do you think tariffs will play in the midterms? I think the elections are always affected by economic issues, as presidents have famously said over the years. So I think you've seen that affordability is likely going to be the key issue of the midterm elections, as well as the presidential elections in two years. And so really the question is, does the American public think that tariffs have an effect on affordability? And that will play an important role in how votes are cast.
37:48So it is a very important issue. I think members of Congress feel it acutely with the House and the Senate and the balance. And the Trump administration is aware as well. So even though this administration is very much in favor of tariffs and an aggressive trade policy, they also have an eye on the stock markets and they have an eye on what regular Americans are feeling in terms of paying more for goods and services. Thanks so much, Tim, for sharing your expertise in this area, which requires expertise because it's so complicated. That's Timothy Brightbill, a partner at Wiley Ryan. In other legal news today, acting Attorney General Todd Blanche was grilled by lawmakers from both parties about President Trump's so-called anti-weaponization fund.
38:39The administration says the$1.77 billion fund would be used to compensate alleged victims of political persecution under the Biden administration. But it's being held up in the courts to determine whether it's legal. And now Blanche says the Justice Department is not moving ahead with the fund. You're right that there's a date that in the case in the East District of Virginia in June, but we are not moving forward with the fund. But under questioning by Representative Rosa DeLauro, a Democrat from Connecticut, Blanche admitted that nothing has changed with the part of the deal where the IRS agreed to drop all pending and future probes of Trump and his family.
39:24This is really pretty extraordinary that we are going to forever barred and precluded from examining or prosecuting the president, his sons and the Trump organization's current tax finance. Simply put, you just gave the president's family a tax immunity to the tune of about 100 million dollars. Not true. Well, yes, you have, my friend. Judges in Virginia and Maryland are considering the fund. And that's it for this edition of the Bloomberg Law Show. Remember, you can always get the latest legal news on our Bloomberg Law podcast. You can find them on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and at www.bloomberg.com slash podcast slash law.
40:12And remember to tune into the Bloomberg Law Show every weeknight at 10 p.m. Wall Street time. I'm June Grosso, and you're listening to Bloomberg.
40:25As industries evolve faster than ever, companies need an environment that accelerates strategic growth, and Michigan delivers on that promise. From emerging startups to global enterprises, Michigan offers what executives value most, a resilient, innovative ecosystem, diverse communities that attract top talent, and a quality of life that supports work-life balance. With our unified Team Michigan approach, businesses scale faster and compete at the highest level. Michigan. Pure opportunity. Seize your opportunity at michiganbusiness.org. When you're running a business, the best days are the ones where priorities stay on track.
41:01For midsize and large companies, risk can affect multiple parts of the organization at once, from property and liability to cyber and regulatory challenges. At that level, managing risk becomes an ongoing discipline. At the Hartford, the focus is on helping businesses manage risk before it turns into something more disruptive. And when losses do happen, that work is paired with insurance coverage shaped by years of underwriting, risk engineering, and claims experience. Learn more at thehartford.com slash risk mitigation. Policies provided by Hartford Fire Insurance Company and its property and casualty affiliates, Hartford, Connecticut.
41:36Whatever your goal, trade show giveaways, client gifts, or team gear, 4imprint has the promo products to match. With thousands of options, from apparel and drinkware to tech and totes, it's easy to find the right fit for your brand and budget, with standout choices at every price point. And with their 360-degree guarantee, you can be 4imprint certain your order will show up just right, right on time. Explore more at 4imprint.com. 4imprint. 4certain.
From the publisher
Bloomberg legal reporter Erik Larson, discusses the conviction of short seller Andrew Left. Trade law expert Timothy Brightbill, a partner at Wily Rein, discusses the status of tariff refunds and how legal chaos may be interrupt the refund process. June Grasso hosts.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
