Weekend Law: SCOTUS Term Analysis & What's Next for Sean 'Diddy' Combs

3 Jul 2025 · 38 min · 21 chapters

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In short

Episode topic: Two-part legal roundup. First, a post-verdict analysis of Sean “Diddy” Combs’ federal trial and what the Supreme Court term signals for “what’s next.” Second, Supreme Court winners/losers across emergency docket rulings, LGBTQ rights, religious opt-outs in schools, and nationwide injunction limits.

Guest backgrounds

Robert Mintz, former federal prosecutor and partner at McCarter & English, discusses Combs case elements and sentencing/bail. Michael Dorff, Cornell Law professor and constitutional law expert, analyzes Supreme Court term outcomes.

Key claims

Mintz says prosecutors likely overcharged the RICO conspiracy; jurors found insufficient proof that Combs used his empire to coerce victims into sex acts. He says Mann Act “transportation to engage in prostitution” was easier to prove (plane tickets, credit cards, hotel records). Dorff argues the Court largely favored Trump on emergency requests and curtailed nationwide injunctions, with major implications for class actions and state suits.

Notable examples

RICO comparisons to R. Kelly; Cassie Ventura testimony; Intercontinental video of violence; Scrimetti transgender youth care; “Uncle Bobby’s Wedding” opt-out case; Trump emergency wins (trans military discharge, migrant deportations, agency officials fired); ghost-gun and LGBTQ/athletics cases mentioned.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Introduction to ChatGPT Work

0:00 to 0:35

Discover how ChatGPT Work optimizes productivity and project management.

“Some people treat ChatGPT like some kind of smart search engine, and some use it to get work done.”

Sean Combs' Verdict Analysis

1:58 to 2:45

An analysis of Sean Combs' recent court verdict and its implications.

“It's a great victory for the jury system.”

Understanding RICO Charges

2:45 to 4:52

Explore the implications of RICO charges and their historical context.

“Instead of facing a sentence of life in prison, he now likely faces no more than six years, although the decision on his sentence will ultimately be up to the judge.”

Defense Strategies Unpacked

4:52 to 7:27

How the defense effectively countered the prosecution's case against Combs.

“Well, that's ultimately where this case turned.”

Sex Trafficking Charges Explained

7:27 to 8:36

Discuss the complexities and challenges surrounding sex trafficking charges in this case.

“Did those charges even fit the facts here?”

Transportation Charges Overview

8:36 to 11:21

An overview of the transportation charges Combs faced and their implications.

“So it became, I think, very difficult for jurors to sort out the true nature of those relationships.”

Judge's Sentencing Considerations

11:21 to 13:24

Insights into the judge's considerations for sentencing Sean Combs.

“I think here there is some sense from the judge that the defense team is really trying to have it both ways on this issue.”

Supreme Court's Favor to Trump

14:00 to 15:17

The Supreme Court's recent decisions heavily favored President Trump.

“However, in the Supreme Court's recent term, it doesn't appear that justices did much to check the excesses of the current executive.”

Impact of Nationwide Injunction Ruling

16:50 to 17:48

Discussion on the implications of the nationwide injunction ruling on Trump's agenda.

“Basically eliminating the main tool used to thwart his ambitious agenda, the nationwide injunction.”

Concerns Over Judicial Guidance

17:48 to 20:04

The lack of clarity in the Supreme Court's guidance raises concerns about executive actions.

“Those are two potential workarounds, neither of which the majority directly addresses, but both of which, Justice Alito and his concurrence suggest, should be only available under a heightened standard of sorts.”
Show all 21 chapters

Justice Sotomayor's Dissent

20:04 to 21:07

Justice Sotomayor criticizes the court for enabling the Trump administration's actions.

“which is it's treating the Trump administration like a normal administration rather than one that is committed to pushing the edge of the envelope and getting away with whatever it can.”

LGBTQ Rights Cases Overview

21:07 to 23:06

Analysis of the Supreme Court's rulings impacting LGBTQ rights and transgender youth.

“There were three cases involving LGBTQ rights that divided the justices down ideological lines and ended up in losses for the LGBTQ plus community.”

Equal Protection Argument in Scrimetti

23:06 to 24:12

Discussion on the equal protection argument regarding transgender discrimination.

“Would those three concurring justices, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito and Amy Coney Barrett reject heightened scrutiny for any anti-trans laws?”

Implications of Drug Treatment Disparities

24:12 to 25:07

The court's ruling on drug treatment raises questions about equal protection laws.

“So there's a way in which it's a kind of, you know, denial of the existence of transgender persons at all.”

Future of Transgender Rights in Court

25:07 to 28:00

Predictions on how the Supreme Court may impact transgender rights moving forward.

“So the plaintiffs and Justice Sotomayor in dissent, I think, are very clear.”

LGBTQ Rights and SCOTUS Decisions

28:00 to 29:09

Discussion on the Supreme Court's decision regarding transgender athletes.

“And LGBTQ rights may be further curbed next term because on Thursday, the court agreed to decide whether states can ban transgender girls and women from competing for their schools on female athletic teams.”

Supreme Court's Culture War Decisions

30:41 to 34:25

Analysis of the Supreme Court's decisions on LGBTQ rights and education.

“In the majority opinion, Justice Samuel Alito took issue with some of the books.”

Second Amendment Cases and Gun Control

34:25 to 38:24

Discussion on recent Supreme Court cases regarding gun control measures.

“And that is the point that the dissent makes, I think, very effectively.”

Trump Administration and SCOTUS

38:24 to 41:27

Examination of the Supreme Court's involvement with Trump administration policies.

“The Trump administration repeatedly went to the court on an emergency basis.”

The Shift of the Roberts Court

41:27 to 42:08

Discussion on how the Roberts Court has shifted towards more authoritarian measures.

“So how far to the right has the conservative supermajority moved the law?”

Analysis of Trump Administration and the Supreme Court

42:08 to 43:07

Learn about the implications of the Trump administration's actions on democratic values and the role of the Supreme Court.

“the law, or at least allowing the Trump administration to go.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Some people treat ChatGPT like some kind of smart search engine, and some use it to get work done. ChatGPT Work is a new way of working in ChatGPT that can take action across your apps and files, stay with a project for hours if needed, and turn a goal into finished work. It's designed to help you move from a chaotic starting point to a reviewable first version. So all the source materials, briefs, and scattered information that you have to grind through to turn into something useful can just become something useful. Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at ChatGPT.com by selecting Work Mode, available on Plus and Pro plans.

0:42This is Robert Smith from Business History. If you're listening to this, there's a good chance you're a small business owner. And like every small business owner, you started with a dream to do what you love and watch it grow. What you probably didn't dream about? Keeping up with cyber threats. That's where MasterCard can help with access to tools that help identify cyber threats to better protect your business. Building your dream business? Priceless. For cybersecurity in a changing world, there's MasterCard. Learn more at MasterCard.com slash small business. If you listen to financial news, you know a lot of time is spent thinking about what's next.

1:17The next opportunity. The next investment. The next move. But sometimes what matters most is being ready for what you never saw coming. For more than 75 years, Cincinnati Insurance has worked with independent agents to help protect businesses, homes, valuables, and more. Because planning for the future isn't only about knowing what's next. It's about making sure you're ready for what you can't predict. Let Cincinnati insurance make your bad day better. Find an independent agent at CINFIN.com. This is Bloomberg Law with June Grosso from Bloomberg Radio. It's a great victory for Sean Combs. It's a great victory for the jury system.

2:04You saw that the Southern District of New York prosecutors came at him with all that they had. It was indeed a resounding victory for Sean Diddy Combs and a resounding loss for federal prosecutors. After more than six weeks of sometimes graphic and emotional testimony, the jury acquitted Combs of the most serious charges against him, racketeering conspiracy and sex trafficking, and convicted him only of the lesser charges of transportation to engage in prostitution. After the verdict was read, Combs mouthed the words, thank you to the jurors, dropped to his knees and prayed. With good reason. Instead of facing a sentence of life in prison, he now likely faces no more than six years, although the decision on his sentence will ultimately be up to the judge.

2:57My guest is former federal prosecutor Robert Mintz, a partner at McCarter & English. Bob, he was convicted of two felonies, but Combs and his lawyers were elated with the verdict.

3:32prosecutors. So the top count, racketeering conspiracy, the charge has historically been used to take down mob bosses like John Gotti. Did the prosecutors overcharge him with this count? Well, I think that's going to be the question that prosecutors will have to ask themselves when they look back on this case, whether or not it was overcharged with the RICO conspiracy. Now, the RICO conspiracy, as you say, has been used traditionally in order to prosecute organized crime figures, but it has been used more broadly in recent years and was used in a high-profile case just a couple of years ago in the R.

4:11Kelly case, where that hip-hop artist was also charged with RICO and sex trafficking in 2021. And in that instance, prosecutors did get a conviction. But here, jurors ultimately concluded that the RICO conspiracy was overcharged, that the prosecution did not meet the burden of showing that Sean Combs had used his business empire as a vehicle in order to commit further acts and in order to force his former girlfriend into performing sexual acts against their will. Explain how when prosecutors overcharge, it gives the defense an opening to challenge their case. Well, that's ultimately where this case turned.

4:55It was really an argument by the defense that although Mr. Combs had committed some abhorrent acts, they had the video of him kicking Cassie Ventura by the elevator bank out in Beverly Hills. That was undeniably bad behavior and painted Mr. Combs in a very negative light. But when that was held up against the more serious charges of racketeering conspiracy, which included certain criminal acts, such as forced labor, bribery, obstruction of justice, all of that was thrown in. And basically, prosecutors were saying that he used this vast empire that he built up over many years simply as a means of forcing these ex-girlfriends to continue to perform these sexual acts against their will.

5:40And all the while, they were coerced into doing this. The defense was able to effectively pick that apart by showing text messages from both of the victims, which at various times suggested that they had participated in these acts willfully, that they were not coerced, that they could have left but chose not to. And ultimately, I think that was the downfall for the prosecution's case. It really ultimately turned on whether they believed that the victims were actually trapped in this relationship and had no way out and were literally forced to commit these acts or whether this is more complex than that.

6:19And the defense was able to show that these relationships, while toxic, while not healthy, and while it involved bad behavior by Mr. Combs, didn't rise to the level of racketeering conspiracy. The two acquittals for sex trafficking, which stemmed from allegations that Combs forced his two ex-girlfriends to engage in these so-called freak-offs. And Ventura testified over four days some very emotional testimony. I mean, you refer to this, but did the jurors just not believe her? It's hard to say exactly what they were thinking. That testimony was compelling. That testimony had to be very emotional for jurors to sit through.

7:02And yet at the end of the day, they did not believe that she was necessarily compelled to participate in commercial sex acts through forced fraud and coercion. The key here is there has to be a link between the force, the fraud and the coercion and the acts of sex. And I think at the end of the day, the evidence was just not clear enough for them to meet that burden. Remember, prosecutors have to prove that our case beyond a reasonable doubt is anything less than that will result in an acquittal, as we saw here. And sex trafficking. Did those charges even fit the facts here? Aren't people usually charged with sex trafficking when there's no connection to the victims, not people in long-term relationships like Combs and his ex-girlfriends?

7:49Yeah, that was, I think, one of the problems, too, because the victims here were involved in these long-term relationships, and they had written many messages, emails, text messages, other writings, evidencing their love for Mr. Combs at various times, the fact that they willingly participated in some of these acts, the fact that they did things in order to please him, and the fact that after some of these sessions, they texted him saying that they enjoyed them. And I think it was very difficult for jurors to necessarily conclude that all of this was done against their will, that none of it was consensual.

8:24And as you say, June, it's a situation where the sex trafficking charge is typically brought in an instance where the perpetrator does not have a relationship with the victim. Here, there was a long-term relationship, one that was very complicated, and also one in which the victims had benefited financially from their relationship with Mr. Combs. So it became, I think, very difficult for jurors to sort out the true nature of those relationships. I don't think they necessarily disbelieved the victims, but I think they ultimately concluded that the facts, as presented to them in court, did not meet the elements of the sex trafficking charges.

9:04He was convicted of two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution. That stems from allegations that he paid sex workers to come to his freak-off parties. Tell us about that. That's a felony violation of the Federal Mann Act. These were the charges that were really easiest for prosecutors to prove, because all they have to show is that individuals crossed state lines with the intent to engage in prostitution. And there was plenty of evidence presented at the trial that Mr. Combs had made arrangements for these male prostitutes to meet with his girlfriend. He bought plane tickets. There were credit card statements.

9:43There were hotel records. These were the charges that prosecutors were able to prove fairly readily. And there wasn't really much of a defense to them. I think the defense strategy was to focus on the more serious charges, which they ultimately succeeded in convincing jurors to acquit their client on. The prosecution put on 34 witnesses. The defense didn't call any witnesses and elected instead to challenge the credibility of the prosecution's witnesses through lengthy cross-examinations that sometimes were longer than the directs. Was that a risky move by the defense? No, I think from the very start, the defense strategy was always to win their case through cross-examination.

10:29I think they correctly sized the case up and knew that it was going to turn on the testimony of the two victims and how compelling they were, and that by adding witnesses for the defense, it was only going to complicate the case and create a more complex narrative for them to have to convince jurors as to exactly what was going on here. They wanted the case ultimately to be about these two victims and to show that the relationship that they were in with Mr. Combs over many years was one in which they gained financially, one in which they willingly participated in. No doubt there were ups and downs in those relationships, and there were some domestic violence that went on.

11:08And the defense readily admitted that. But the question is, did it really rise to the level of racketeering conspiracy? The defense placed a large bet that the jurors would answer that question in the negative, and ultimately they prevailed. Were you surprised that the judge refused to release Combs while he waits to be sentenced? I wasn't totally surprised. I think here there is some sense from the judge that the defense team is really trying to have it both ways on this issue. He noted that the Combs defense team at trial admitted the domestic violence claims and said that a confession was really unnecessary here because the defendant's violence was starkly depicted in the 2016 Intercontinental video referring to the video of Mr.

11:53Holmes violently beating Kathy Ventura. This suggests to me that the judge was very troubled by the violence he witnessed in the video and led him to conclude that Mr. Combs continues to pose a danger to the community, which is why he decided to leave him in jail pending sentencing. As far as sentencing, technically it's 10 years on each of the counts. Combs' lawyers said that under the federal sentencing guidelines, he'd likely face 21 to 27 months. Prosecutors, citing his violence and other factors, said he'd likely face 51 to 63 months. Considering what the judge said in denying bail, might he sentence Combs to more than that?

12:36Well, the upper limit that the judge can sentence him to is actually 20 years. That's the statutory maximum. The sentencing guidelines govern these sentences to the extent that they give guidance to the judge. But the judge has full discretion to sentence Mr. Combs to whatever he wants, theoretically, up to 20 years. I think the fact that he's decided to keep him in jail pending sentencing, even though he's already been in jail for almost a year, suggests that the judge does view this as a serious crime and may sentence him to something much closer to what prosecutors are asking than what the defense is seeking here.

13:14And it is even possible that the judge sentences him to something more than what prosecutors are asking for. It's highly unusual, but it is within the judge's discretion to really sentence Mr. Combs to whatever he believes is fair and just given the circumstances. There'll be a hearing next Tuesday to discuss the sentencing process. That should be interesting. Thanks so much, Bob. That's Robert Mintz of McCarter & English. Coming up next, the winners and losers at the Supreme Court this term. I'm June Grof, so you're listening to Bloomberg. Chief Justice John Roberts repeatedly stresses the importance of judicial independence, as he did during an interview in May.

13:55Its job is to obviously decide cases, but in the course of that, check the excesses of Congress or of the executive, and that does require a degree of independence. However, in the Supreme Court's recent term, it doesn't appear that justices did much to check the excesses of the current executive. In fact, the clear winner of the term was President Donald Trump. The court sided with him on broad legal questions and emergency requests to let his policies take effect, from throwing transgender service members out of the military to opening hundreds of thousands of migrants to deportation. And for the second year in a row, the court ended the term with a decision handing Trump a major...

14:42Some people treat Chachi PT like some kind of smart search engine, and some use it to get work done. ChatGPT Work is a new way of working in ChatGPT that can take action across your apps and files, stay with a project for hours if needed, and turn a goal into finished work. It's designed to help you move from a chaotic starting point to a reviewable first version. So all the source materials, briefs, and scattered information that you have to grind through to turn into something useful can just become something useful. Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at ChachiBT.com by selecting Work Mode, available on Plus and Pro plans.

15:25At Edward Jones, we believe rich is more than caring about the latest and greatest. It's also taking care of what gives your life meaning. That's why your dedicated financial advisor meets you where you are, with personalized financial strategies that help protect what matters, so you can preserve your progress while creating a path forward. The key to being rich is knowing what counts. Let's find your rich together. Edward Jones, member SIPC. It's time to plan ahead and make sure your brand is showing up in ways that can have an impact. That's where 4imprint comes in. 4imprint have promotional products that work as hard as you do.

16:05Durable, useful, and designed to make a lasting impression. Think quality apparel your team will wear again and again, including popular and exclusive brands. Drinkware that's enjoyed again and again. Bags, notebooks, tools, and tech items that don't just look good, but actually get used. With thousands of customizable options, 4imprint makes it easy to find what fits your brand and your budget. You'll get expert help, free samples, and their 360-degree guarantee means you can be 4imprint certain your order shows up just right, right on time. Whether you're gearing up for fall events or simply planning ahead for the season, 4imprint can help your brand show up, stay useful, and make connections that last.

16:45Explore the possibilities at 4imprint.com. 4imprint. For certain. Victory. Basically eliminating the main tool used to thwart his ambitious agenda, the nationwide injunction. This was a big one, wasn't it? This was a big decision. An amazing decision, one that we're very happy about. Like almost all the high-profile cases this term, the court divided six to three down ideological lines with the conservatives in the majority and the liberals dissenting. Joining me is constitutional law expert Michael Dorff, a professor at Cornell Law School. Mike, the finale of the term, if you will, was the decision in the case over Trump's ban on automatic birthright citizenship, where the conservatives stripped the lower courts of the power to grant nationwide injunctions, which have really been the only effective check on the Trump agenda.

17:42Trump thought the decision was important enough to call a press conference. How important do you think it is? That remains to be seen. The prohibition on most universal injunctions will have very serious bite if, but only if, the court makes it difficult for plaintiffs to bring class actions and makes it difficult for states to sue for statewide injunctions. Those are two potential workarounds, neither of which the majority directly addresses, but both of which, Justice Alito and his concurrence suggest, should be only available under a heightened standard of sorts. So what remains to be seen is whether plaintiffs challenging these executive actions, here it was the birthright citizenship order, but it applies to virtually everything, whether they can quickly convert to class actions, whether states can bring these cases.

18:41If they can, then I think this ends up not being such a big deal. Getting class action status is a lot more complicated, and I think we've seen just in the last week how confusing it is for the lower courts to parse through this. The Supreme Court could have, and in my view should have, given more guidance on whether class actions are available and under what standard. You know, one of the things that I think is easily overlooked is the ruling in the case is not a constitutional holding. The court doesn't say that the Constitution forbids this kind of equitable relief. What it says is that this power was not conferred by statute on the federal court.

19:23Well, if that's the case, it's possible that Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 23, which is the class action provision, is empowered by the Rules Enabling Act, that that does confer this power. And that would be fully consistent. It would just lead to, you know, the availability of similar relief under a different mechanism. President Trump says that the administration is going to move to lift holds that judges have placed on a number of his policies. He mentioned fights over refugee resettlement, federal spending and sanctuary cities. So, you know, it's going to open up a can of worms. Oh, I think that's right.

19:58I mean, I think this is in some ways the basic problem with the Supreme Court these days, which is it's treating the Trump administration like a normal administration rather than one that is committed to pushing the edge of the envelope and getting away with whatever it can. And so, you know, if you were thinking about the system as a whole and what's good for the rule of law, you would have been much clearer in your guidance and in what you're allowing and not allowing. Justice Sonia Sotomayor, in one of her dissents, said the court was rewarding lawlessness because the Trump administration has repeatedly, either explicitly or not so explicitly, ignored court orders, particularly in the cases of immigration orders.

20:43She's exactly right that it's one thing to say, as the court has said in some of these cases, well, we think the lower courts went too far in issuing this order. That doesn't mean that the administration was permitted to violate the order while it was in force. The normal rule is if you don't like a court order, you appeal it. But unless you get a stay of that order and until you get a stay of that order, you have to comply with it. There were three cases involving LGBTQ rights that divided the justices down ideological lines and ended up in losses for the LGBTQ plus community. In the Scrimetti case, which has implications for transgender youth in more than half the states, the court's conservatives upheld Tennessee's ban on gender-affirming care for transgender minors.

21:33And advocates say the decision is devastating for transgender youth and their families in the 27 states that have similar bans. Here's Kelly Robinson, the president of the human rights campaign. You're going to have families, families that have been in states that they live in for generations. I know a family that's been in Arizona for generations and generations. They are Arizonans. They're going to have to leave their states just to get access to care for their kids. Justice Sonia Sotomayor wrote that she dissented in sadness. She said this decision will open the door to more state discrimination against trans teens and authorize, in her words, untold harm to these families.

22:16Mike, this was an equal protection argument. As it came to the Supreme Court, the only issue was whether this was a violation of equal protection. And the court, in a sense, I wouldn't say ducked that issue, but sort of mooted it by saying, well, there isn't a sex-based classification or even a transgender identity-based classification at issue here. so we don't have to apply the intermediate scrutiny that would normally apply to such laws, and therefore we only have to say whether it's rational, and of course states get to make all sorts of medical judgments. You subject those to rational basis scrutiny.

22:54They're almost always going to survive. So in a sense, the case doesn't tell us that much about the status of discrimination on the basis of transgender status under the Constitution going forward because the court said, well, we don't have to address that here, except that several justices in concurring opinions did address that and said, even if it is transgender-based discrimination, that's okay because that kind of discrimination doesn't trigger any heightened scrutiny. Would those three concurring justices, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito and Amy Coney Barrett reject heightened scrutiny for any anti-trans laws?

23:38I think that's right. I mean, Justice Barrett actually is the one who writes most extensively on this. And she says, look, we have criteria for deciding whether something is a suspect or semi-suspect classification and transgender status doesn't meet those criteria. Now, I think she applies them a little bit strangely. One of the things she says is that in order for something to be a so-called immutable characteristic, it has to be identifiable at birth. And transgender status doesn't emerge until later. Well, that's a kind of backwards analysis, because of course, the whole point of someone wanting to transition to address their gender dysphoria or other mismatch between their experience of themselves and the sex assigned at birth is that what they were treated as at birth was, you know, not accurate.

24:27And so it's a very odd thing to say, well, because when you were an infant, you didn't realize or other people didn't realize that you were a male inside of a female body or vice versa, then that's not real in some sense. So there's a way in which it's a kind of, you know, denial of the existence of transgender persons at all. I mean, she doesn't say that, but I think that's a logical implication of that particular criterion. I mean, the same drugs that Tennessee bans for the purpose of gender affirming care for transitioning minors are allowed for a number of other purposes in non-trans minors.

25:06How do they get away from saying that's not an equal protection violation? Right. So the plaintiffs and Justice Sotomayor in dissent, I think, are very clear. Look, if a boy wants to take this drug to give himself facial hair, you allow it. If a transgender boy who is assigned female at birth wants to take it, you disallow it. It's the same drug, same effect. How could that be anything other than sex discrimination? And what the court says is, well, it's not the same treatment if it's being prescribed for a different condition. In the boy who's taking this to give himself facial hair, it's being prescribed because he has low testosterone.

25:49in the transgender boy who's assigned female at birth, it's being given to facilitate sex transition. And that, of course, says is a different treatment. Now, they analogize to something like, you know, different off-label uses. So that something might be approved as a treatment for hypertension, and people discover, hey, this also can cure baldness. Normally, if a drug is approved for one purpose. It can be prescribed off-label, but states can forbid certain off-label uses if they think the risks and benefits are different. So that's the analogy that the majority draws. The difficulty with that, as I think Justice St.

26:31Amartes convincingly says in dissent is, well, here, what makes this a different treatment is simply the sex assigned at birth of the person taking it, and you're sort of gilding the lily or double counting by working that in. On Monday, the court ordered federal appeals courts in four states to reexamine their rulings in favor of transgender people in clashes over health care and birth certificates in light of the Scrimetti decision. Can we read anything into that? Oh, yes. So I was trying to be a little bit hopeful there to say that, you know, as a matter of the official holdings, the court has not foreclosed the possibility that sometime in the future it could say transgender status discrimination is sort of presumptively invalid in the same way that sex discrimination is.

27:20But reading the tea leaves, I think it's pretty clear that that's not the direction that this court is going. And another way to put that is that they are going to increasingly treat the Bostock decision, the case that held that sexual orientation and transgender status discrimination were sex discrimination for purposes of Title VII, they're going to treat that decision as a kind of outlier, the case that gets distinguished. And they specifically say in Scrimetti, well, we're not addressing this Bostock analogy. Title VII might be different. So I think they're teeing that up and sort of cutting back.

27:55You know, the anti-trans backlash that we've been seeing in the political realm, I think, is now flowering in the Supreme Court as well. And LGBTQ rights may be further curbed next term because on Thursday, the court agreed to decide whether states can ban transgender girls and women from competing for their schools on female athletic teams. Coming up next on the Bloomberg Law Show, I'll continue this analysis of the just completed term with Cornell Law professor Michael Dorff. How far to the right has the conservative supermajority moved the court? I'm June Grosso and you're listening to Bloomberg.

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28:33Some people treat ChatGPT like some kind of smart search engine and some use it to get work done. ChatGPT Work is a new way of working in ChatGPT that can take action across your apps and files, stay with a project for hours if needed, and turn a goal into finished work. It's designed to help you move from a chaotic starting point to a reviewable first version. So all the source materials, briefs, and scattered information that you have to grind through to turn into something useful can just become something useful. Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at ChachiPT.com by selecting Work Mode, available on Plus and Pro plans.

29:16At Edward Jones, we believe rich is more than caring about the latest and greatest. It's also taking care of what gives your life meaning. That's why your dedicated financial advisor meets you where you are, with personalized financial strategies that help protect what matters, so you can preserve your progress while creating a path forward. The key to being rich is knowing what counts. Let's find your rich together. Edward Jones, member SIPC. It's time to plan ahead and make sure your brand is showing up in ways that can have an impact. That's where 4imprint comes in. 4imprint have promotional products that work as hard as you do.

29:56Durable, useful, and designed to make a lasting impression. Think quality apparel your team will wear again and again, including popular and exclusive brands. Drinkware that's enjoyed again and again. Bags, notebooks, tools, and tech items that don't just look good, but actually get used. With thousands of customizable options, 4imprint makes it easy to find what fits your brand and your budget. You'll get expert help, free samples, and their 360-degree guarantee means you can be 4imprint certain your order shows up just right, right on time. Whether you're gearing up for fall events or simply planning ahead for the season, 4imprint can help your brand show up, stay useful, and make connections that last.

30:36Explore the possibilities at 4imprint.com. 4imprint. 4certain. The Supreme Court waded into the culture wars this term, and that showed up nowhere more than in a case where the six conservatives ruled that religious public school parents have the right to opt their children out of classroom lessons that involved the reading of LGBTQ-themed storybooks. In the majority opinion, Justice Samuel Alito took issue with some of the books. For example, saying that the book entitled Uncle Bobby's Wedding presents a subtle message about gay marriage. Quote, it asserts that two people can get married regardless of whether they are of the same or the opposite sex as long as they love each other.

31:21An echo of the concerns he raised when questioning the attorney for the school district, Alan Schoenfeld, during the oral arguments. But it expresses the idea, this is a good thing. Mommy said, Chloe, I don't understand. Why is Uncle Bobby getting married? Bobby and Jamie love each other, said Mommy. When grown-up people love each other that much, sometimes they get married. I mean, that's not subtly sending the message, this is a good thing. I think that's a way of a mother consoling her daughter who's annoyed that her favorite uncle is distracted and doesn't have time for her. But even if the message were some people are gay, some people get married, I don't think there's anything impermissibly normative about that.

32:06I've been talking to constitutional law professor Michael Dorff of Cornell Law School. Mike, when religion comes up against other rights, in particular LGBTQ rights, religion always wins at the Roberts court. Yeah, that's right. I mean, you can think of this as sort of the finale for now of a trilogy that began with the Masterpiece Cake Shop case, continued with the 303 Creative case, and now here we have a similar situation where the religious claim wins out as against the effort to, in this case, have an LGBTQ plus inclusive curriculum. To my mind, what's so surprising about this case is how quickly and easily the court dismisses the administrative burden that it's placing on school districts, right?

33:02What the court says is, if there is a burden on religion, then the government school district has to give an exemption unless it can satisfy high scrutiny. And the burden on religion here is, as the dissent points out, that kids are being exposed to ideas that are contrary to what their parents want to teach them as a matter of religious faith. And if you just think about that for a moment, you quickly realize, well, that could cover a lot of things. You know, there are a great many people in this country who, as a matter of religious faith, don't believe that humans descended from other animals through evolution.

33:46Does that mean that religious parents can opt their kids out of biology? People believe, in the millions, that the earth is only 6 ,000 years old, even though, you know, geology suggests that it's four and a half billion years old. Can parents opt their kids out of geology. I think those issues are probably unlikely to arise in large numbers, but the real impact will be these concerted efforts to have parents object to what they see as woke curricula on religious grounds. And because the administrative burden is so great, the school district might conclude, well, you know what, it's just easier not to teach this stuff at all.

34:30And that is the point that the dissent makes, I think, very effectively. You mentioned the trilogy of cases. And this reminds me of the 303 Creative case, which involved a website designer who didn't want to design websites for gay marriages. However, she'd never been asked to. And here you have a case where the curriculum for using these LGBTQ books isn't even established yet. It seems like the court is just jumping in before there's a real controversy. I think a fair criticism of the court would be that in these cases where there are religious objections to gay rights, trans rights, etc., that are statutory, the court's standing rules seem to be flexible.

35:22You know, you can make a case that there is standing both in 303 Creative and here. But again, some of the same justices who might be sticklers in other contexts, in this context, tend to say, well, of course, you can challenge this policy. And the court isn't stepping away from the culture wars. Next term, it's going to hear a challenge to Colorado's ban on conversion therapy. And the challenge is from a licensed counselor who says she views her work as an outgrowth of her Christian faith. So I think we're going to see the same result in that case. Maybe I'm jumping the gun. No, I don't think you are.

36:01And, you know, if you want to sort of juxtapose that with Scrimetti, right? So in Scrimetti, the court is all about giving deference to Tennessee's ostensibly medical determination that it's not in the interests of minors and they're not sort of fully able to give informed consent to have puberty blockers and hormone therapy. I don't think you'll see the same kind of deference given to Colorado in its judgment that this kind of therapy is not in the interests of minors. There were three Second Amendment cases, and the justices upheld federal regulations for build-at-home ghost gun kits, refused to give gun manufacturers broad immunity from civil suits, and turned away constitutional challenges to state bans on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines.

36:58Does this signal that the court won't eviscerate gun control measures, or is it too soon to tell? I think it's a little of both. The Vanderstock case, that's the ghost guns. case. There, the statute is pretty specific. And you look at that versus the bump stock case that they had where they came out the other way. You can just see those as statutory construction. You know, the same thing goes for Smith and Weston. I mean, after all, Mexico didn't lose that case, so they're unable to bring the lawsuit. So I don't count that one as a pure victory for gun regulation. And then Hanson, which is the case where they denied cert from the District of Colombia, cert denial doesn't set a precedent.

37:43And I think the other case involved a limit of 10 rounds on a gun. You can make an argument that the gun that is in common use, that's the term for Second Amendment purposes, is the handgun. And then you ask, well, is it consistent with the history of regulation of guns to limit them to 10 rounds? Well, you're not going to find guns that were capable of firing more than 10 rounds at the founding. So there's a way to get to this result that I think is consistent with what they've said before. And I think it's far too soon to say that the court is sort of easing up on the Second Amendment revolution that it began in 2008 with the Heller case.

38:24The Trump administration repeatedly went to the court on an emergency basis. And the conservative justices repeatedly reinstated Trump policies found by lower courts to be illegal. A few examples. The court allowed Trump to discharge transgender people from the military, fire top officials at government agencies, and open hundreds of thousands of migrants to deportation. How do you read all his wins on the emergency docket? I guess I'd say a few things. First, one of the things we didn't talk about when we were talking about Trump against Casa is Justice Kavanaugh's concurrence in which he says, well, the solution to the problem of universal injunctions is for us to get these cases up here really fast and then for us to decide them because we can lay down the law.

39:12That will be binding nationally. Well, one of the odd things is if that's true, how come they're not doing that? That in a lot of cases, they're not actually saying, well, here's the rule and we're deciding on the emergency docket. They're just sort of reversing the lower court, giving either no guidance or very scant guidance. And that's to say nothing of whether Justice Kavanaugh's proposed solution makes any sense, given that putting something on the emergency docket means they don't really have that much time to decide the case. And they don't have full briefing, full oral argument. So you had this remarkable decision where they essentially overrule the Humphreys executor case, which is, you know, a very old precedent, standing for the proposition that Congress can create independent agencies.

39:57And, you know, Justice Kagan in dissent says, what are you doing? You barely even mentioned the case and you're overruling it. And we haven't had a full briefing or argument on this. And you're reversing the lower court for following our established precedent, which we've told them they're supposed to do. So one remarkable thing about what they're doing on the emergency docket is simply, you know, how much law they're making. And now that's not an entirely new phenomenon. They did that in a bunch of religion cases during the pandemic, and they continue to do that. But it is a very strange thing for them to be doing.

40:29It is striking how different a position the court is staking out from that of the lower court. One of the interesting phenomena in this court this year is if you look at the statistics on their plenary docket, they reversed the Fifth Circuit, which is the most conservative circuit, quite a lot. So the Fifth Circuit is getting out ahead of the Supreme Court in being very, very conservative. But on their emergency docket, in these cases challenging Trump administration actions, the court is basically saying, well, the lower courts are too liberal. Now, part of that, I think, is forum shopping by plaintiffs, right?

41:07If you're going to challenge a Trump administration policy, you're not going to go to Judge Kazmieric or one of the other judges that Republicans go to to challenge Democratic administrations. But I think it also suggests, again, that this court is, you know, not all that skeptical of a lot of what the Trump administration is doing on the merits. So how far to the right has the conservative supermajority moved the law? I think the answer to that question is very far. I don't think there's any question about that. They did most of the work in prior terms. They overturned Roe v. Wade. They got rid of affirmative action.

41:43The religion cases go very far. They invigorated the Second Amendment. So in that sense, their work is basically done on what traditional conservatives care about. To my mind, the question that is most pressing and sort of remains open is not how far to the right the court is moving the law, but how far to the sort of MAGA direction is the court moving the law, or at least allowing the Trump administration to go. You know, a lot of what President Trump and his administration are doing doesn't fall within traditional left-right boundaries. It's just sort of, you know, authoritarian, for lack of a better term.

42:24So it's not surprising to me that, you know, if the Trump administration wants to peel back transgender rights, that conservatives on the Supreme Court would be on board with that. What is surprising, and I think, frankly, alarming, is the extent to which the Roberts Court is facilitating the Trump administration's challenges to the rule of law. So what we were talking about a little earlier with defiance of court orders and other things that fall outside the left-right spectrum, as we've understood it for the last hundred years or so, and are on a sort of democracy and rule of law on the one hand versus authoritarianism on the other.

43:06Thanks so much for your analysis, Mike. That's Professor Michael Dorff of Cornell Law School. And on Friday, another win for the Trump administration on the emergency docket. A divided court ruled the administration can send eight migrants to South Sudan, where they've said they're at risk of torture and death. I'm June Grosso. And that's it for this edition of the Bloomberg Law Show. Remember, you can always get the latest legal news on our Bloomberg Law podcast. You can find them on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and at www.bloomberg.com slash podcast slash law. And remember to tune into the Bloomberg Law Show every weeknight at 10 p.m.

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From the publisher

 Former federal prosecutor Robert Mintz, a partner at McCarter & English, discusses what’s next for Sean “Diddy” Combs. Constitutional law expert Michael Dorf, a professor at Cornell Law School, analyzes the Supreme Court’s term. June Grasso hosts.

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