What is a Cult Brand? With Sarah Woelfel, Co-Founder & Partner at Cult Capital

18 Jan 2024 · 1 h 4 min

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Consumer VC Podcast Episode Summary Episode Title: What is a Cult Brand? With Sarah Woelfel, Co-Founder & Partner at Cult Capital Podcast Title: Consumer VC Host: Mike Gelb Guest: Sarah Woelfel, Co-Founder & Partner at Cult Capital Episode Link: [The Consumer VC](http://www.theconsumervc.com)

Overview In this episode, Mike Gelb interviews Sarah Woelfel, co-founder of Cult Capital, focusing on the concept of "cult brands" and the intricacies of investing in the beauty and consumer goods sectors. Sarah discusses her investment philosophy, the metrics she uses to evaluate potential cult brands, and the current landscape of early-stage investing.

Key Concepts and Discussions

What is a Cult Brand?

  • Definition: A cult brand is defined as one that changes the world by providing a product that consumers cannot live without, fostering a passionate community around it.
  • Common Features:
  • Strong product uniqueness and efficacy.
  • An engaged and loyal customer community.
  • A mission that resonates deeply with consumers.

Evaluating Cult Brands

  • Sarah discusses the importance of both qualitative and quantitative measures in evaluating potential cult brands.
  • Qualitative Metrics:
  • Unique Selling Proposition (USP): Analyzing product ingredients and their comparative advantages.
  • Customer Feedback: Reviewing product reviews to gauge consumer satisfaction.
  • Community Engagement: Assessing social media engagement and word-of-mouth marketing.
  • Quantitative Metrics:
  • Analyzing repeat purchase behavior and customer loyalty metrics.
  • Conducting cohort analyses to understand consumer retention.

Investment Focus

  • Cult Capital primarily invests in:
  • Beauty and Personal Care: Noting higher profit margins (50-70%).
  • Food & Beverage: Generally lower margins (30-40%).
  • Preference for mission-driven brands that aim to innovate or differentiate in their categories.

Current Investment Landscape

  • Cautious Optimism: There's a continued appetite for investment in quality brands, but a shift towards profitability over growth.
  • Market Dynamics:
  • Investors are becoming more selective with valuation multiples down from the frothy highs of previous years.
  • Emphasis on achieving profitable unit economics before scaling aggressively.

Distribution and Sales Channels

  • Sarah notes that brands should aim for an omnichannel strategy but can start with a primary channel (e.g., DTC).
  • Success in retail like Sephora requires:
  • Exceptional product quality and differentiation.
  • Strong marketing and PR strategies to draw consumers in.

The Role of Founders and Leadership

  • Discussion on the potential need for transitioning leadership as brands scale.
  • Founders may shift from day-to-day operational roles to focus on vision and strategy.
  • Importance of building a strong executive team to facilitate growth.

Ideal Outcomes for Investments

  • Cult Capital aims for returns of 4-6x on investments over a typical timeframe of 5-7 years.
  • Possible exit strategies:
  • Acquisition by strategic players (e.g., L’Oreal, Unilever).
  • Partnership with private equity.
  • Initial Public Offering (IPO).

Recommendations for Founders

  • Focus on building a strong team and executing a clear vision.
  • Maintain open-mindedness towards exit strategies and align goals with investors.

Book Recommendations

  1. How to Win Friends and Influence People by Dale Carnegie - Emphasizes interpersonal relationships in business.
  2. Measure What Matters by John Doerr - A guide on setting up accountability and goals within organizations.

Key Takeaways

  • Cult brands create a dedicated community through standout products that solve real consumer problems.
  • Investment analysis combines both qualitative insights and quantitative metrics to identify potential winners.
  • The current investment climate favors brands with a clear path to profitability and sustainable growth.

Conclusion This episode provides valuable insights into what constitutes a successful cult brand and how investors can evaluate and support them. Sarah Woelfel's expertise underscores the importance of mission-driven products, consumer engagement, and solid business fundamentals in the ever-evolving consumer landscape.

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Transcript

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0:00Our goal is... What if a brand was exclusive? You're going in on bottom shelf. You're not getting top shelf steak. Most beauty companies have anywhere between a 50 to 70 % gross margin. Versus, you know, looking at a food or beverage company, they're running in the kind of 30 % gross margin. Are you finding that there are specific categories that you like? Everything always goes back to the product. How does it actually change the market as well? and beauty and food and anything. Like it comes down to they had a cult following.

0:41Hello, I'm your host, Mike Gelb, and this is the Consumer VC Podcast brought to you by Propeller Industries, the leading strategic finance and accounting partner for venture stage companies. On this show, we discuss the intersection of venture capital and consumer innovation. and if you're joining the show, please subscribe on YouTube or whichever platform that you're viewing this content. And if you're really, really enjoying the show and you want to stay in the loop, I highly recommend subscribing to my newsletter at theconsumervc.com. You'll receive all new episodes right when they're released and as well as fundraising updates weekly of all the consumer deals that are happening.

1:16All content and episodes are for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not investment advice. Our guest today is Sarah Wolfel, who is a co-founder and managing partner at Cult Capital. Cult Capital helps catapult merging cult favorites to mainstream success with truth and authenticity. Some of their investments include Supergoop, Babo Botanicals, and Lawless Beauty. We focus this conversation primarily on investing in emerging beauty and personal care brands, which we don't cover nearly as much as we should on this show. What are cult brands? We cover that as well. And the ideal outcome when investing in brands problem investors' perspective, and how she thinks and approaches portfolio construction.

1:58Without further ado, here's Sarah.

2:09Sarah, thank you so much for joining me here today. How are you? I'm great. Thanks, Mike. Thank you so much for having me. Thanks for taking the time. Thanks for taking the time. So since you are Colt Capital, I got to ask, what makes a Colt brand? It's a great question. It's interesting because when we initially launched the firm, John and I, back in, let's see, it was 2015, late 2015, we initially named it after his initials, JMK. and after three years or so of looking at potential investments together, we developed this notion of investing in cult brands and we would always say like, what is this brand doing that's actually different, that's actually doing something that is changing consumers' lives for the better?

3:02And we would kind of always go back to that question as our touchstone. And we realized that the commonality amongst all of the brands that we had invested in or were interested in was that they had a cult following and a community of, you know, organic followers who were very passionate about the brand and very passionate about the brand's vision, mission and values. And of course, the product itself and the product product itself was life changing for the consumer. So a year or so after we we renamed Colt to Colt Capital and we then kind of took the name a step further and actually defined what a Colt brand is.

3:56We have an official Webster dictionary definition for it. And we say that it's a brand that changes the world by providing a product that otherwise would not exist. And if it didn't exist, the world would be worse off in a meaningful way. And so it's a brand that consumers really can't live without. and as a byproduct has a very loyal following that is very excited about the brand and engages with the brands in a very passionate way, therefore creating this amazing cult community. So that is how Cult Capital defines a cult brand. How do you measure that then when you're looking at brands and thinking of, is this a cult brand versus not a cult brand?

4:52How do you measure that the brand's customers are super passionate about the brand and that it's actually very sticky or that it's making sure that it's organic in terms of maybe how they've grown, not that they can't acquire a Viapaid or what have you, but how do you put all these things together? Yeah, it's another great question. And we've spent a lot of time and invested a lot of time in building our team to have, you know, very specific metrics that we're looking at. We analyze both qualitative and quantitative data to really ascertain whether something is a cult brand. In terms of, you know, it really is a blend of both qualitative and quantitative at the end of the day.

5:46And I do think that makes capital pretty differentiated within the investing landscape. A lot of investment firms are really, really good at the quantitative, but not necessarily as focused on the qualitative. But we've really kind of drilled deeper on the qualitative side. On the qualitative side, you know, in the first instance, it's looking at USP, which is, you know, the product's unique selling proposition. So really laying out, whether it be a food brand or beauty brand, what are the exact ingredients and what is the potency of those ingredients and are they clean or are they not clean and how does that compare to all the other brands in the competitive set?

6:33So not just what's the brand's mission or values, but drilling a level deeper to make sure that a true USP really does exist. Another thing we look at, obviously, is product market fit. So how much do customers value the product? A lot of that can be demonstrated through product reviews, which we really go through a lot of times manually to decipher what customers are actually saying about the product. And when we're doing that, we look for indicators that it is, for example, replacing something in their routine or, quote, change their lives or never going back. So really words that kind of speak to it's doing something that no other product has done for them.

7:28Community engagement. We look at social media metrics. Um, obviously now those, those are pretty widely available. So we're looking at engagement rates, um, across the all social media platforms to really understand how relative to peers, um, the brand is resonating with consumers. We look at one of the more interesting things that we look at is when kind of deciding whether a brand is interesting or not. How are consumers learning about the brand? A really good indicator of a cult brand is when you see a high percentage of consumers learning about it through word of mouth. That really means that there's this evangelical following.

8:19So those are on the qualitative side. On the quantitative side, we're looking at a lot of the metrics that speak to loyalty and repeat purchase behavior, doing cohort analyses, looking at loyalty programs and tiers, understanding what products are resonating specifically with customers and why. So looking at sell in and sell through by product, by retailer, evaluating unit economics, and then really blending both the quantitative and the qualitative together to understand the story behind the numbers and kind of bring all the pieces together. So that's a little snippet into the diligence process for us.

9:05I appreciate that. How do you think as well about category and what category is interesting to you? I mean, looking at your portfolio, I know it seems a lot in mostly, I would say, in the beauty and personal care space. But are you finding that there are specific categories that you like and it's a bit more kind of top down and you and your team are kind of doing research in terms of what are the new trends in that specific category? or is it a little bit more bottoms up, would you say, in that you kind of want the founder to kind of bring you like a unique insight or something that maybe you haven't thought about before

9:43where this could be the direction that particular category is headed into? That's a really great question and something that we're constantly evaluating, quite honestly, and kind of revisiting. We think of it in particular, you know we have always thought of it and continue to think of it as a blend of both of those things Mike so we're looking kind of bottoms up and our sourcing model is based on you know just what are the companies out there and what's interesting and we're constantly surfacing new companies across all the verticals that we look at which are food, beverage, beauty, personal care, fashion, apparel, accessories, household, pet, leisure.

10:29So, you know, it is a wide variety of categories. When we think about what has resonated and what has been most interesting to us, a lot of it has been in the beauty space. We're really looking for like mission-driven visionaries, like I said, who are looking to change the world for the better. I think the other Another thing that is prevalent in the beauty space is just higher margins. So return on investment tends to be better in the beauty space. You know, most beauty companies have anywhere between a 50 to 70 % gross margin versus, you know, looking at a food or beverage company, they're running in the kind of 30 % gross margin zone to 40 % gross margin zone.

11:20Um, so when we think about, you know, what needs to be the case, um, in order to get excited about an investment in food versus an investment in beauty, the bar is higher for differentiation in food, just because there's less money for marketing and team building and those types of operating expense buckets versus in beauty, because the margins are higher, there's more room on the P &L to kind of invest in marketing, invest in team, invest in different channels. So that's to date how we've thought about it and how kind of we've landed where we have landed, which is investing the majority of our capital in the beauty space.

12:08Got it. Got it. So beauty and personal care has been attracted to you, obviously, from a gross margin perspective. I mean, in terms of like comparing it to Food & Bev, there's obviously trade-offs here. I know we're speaking kind of broadly when it comes to different categories, but even though Food & Bev obviously has less margin, you're probably gonna have, if a customer loves your product, and of course, if you have a cold brand, your repeat rates will be higher in the Food & Bev categories because of course, you're obviously consuming those categories within one sitting, whereas in Beauty and Personal Care, you're not, right?

12:39And so, yes, you do obviously have like gross margin of the, that benefits, but at the same time, in terms of the repeat rate for personal care, it also is going to be less than, than food in bed. Yeah. And I think, you know, it's category dependent as well. I think in food, when you think about like meal goes creamery, like someone's coming back and buying vegan cheese or butter, you know, once, once every other week. When you think about the subcategories within beauty, hair care, the purchase frequency is maybe quarterly, skincare is monthly, cosmetics varies widely. A lot of those products are one-time purchase items like palettes and specialty things like that.

13:26Mascara is something maybe someone purchases a couple times a year. So it definitely varies by category. And we take all of those things into consideration as we think about, you know, what is the bar for this brand and does it clear our investment hurdle? Is there a sweet spot when it comes to when a person would actually repeat that you like, like whether it's like a monthly purchase, for example, or like quarterly, or if it's something that's within like two weeks? Again, I think it's category dependent. I think if we look at a brand and see that over 30 % of customers come back and purchase within the first three months or so, I think that's a really good sign of cold adult adoption.

14:14But again, it really does vary by category. And we've had brands that we've invested in that, you know, we've kind of helped develop that repeat purchase as part of the investment. You know, it does require, you know, a strategy to really be able to bring back the customer over and over again in an investment. So at what stage do you typically get involved with in the company from like a revenue standpoint? Yeah. So we are, you know, getting involved pretty early. Our minimum threshold is last 12 months revenue of 2 million. So anywhere, you know, companies are typically anywhere between that LTM 2 million to 10 million mark at the time of our initial investment.

15:03And usually our goal is to scale the business to somewhere between 50 million of revenue to 100 million of revenue over a five to seven year period. And we're investing in the series A typically or series B rounds. We're doing all minority investments and really looking to collaborate deeply with founders and their executive teams to help them grow and scale. I'd say most often the things that we're working on initially are building out a senior leadership executive team. So most of the time when we initially invest, there might be the founder slash CEO and one other senior person and a lot of junior people.

15:55So what we're really specializing in is helping companies grow that team and then develop systems and processes under sales and marketing and expanding distribution channels for the brand. Well, speaking about distribution channels, when you do invest or look at a brand and the brand is and we're kind of availing of, and a brand is attractive to you or could be, could be attractive to you. Um, do they have to have like a varied, um, like a couple different like sales channels, for example, like, for example, do they have to be in retail? Um, can they only be online or, or, um, or how, how are you thinking about it from a sales sales channels perspective, or does it not as much matter?

16:45For us, it doesn't necessarily matter. We like to see the desire to be omnichannel and the goal to be omnichannel. So we want that to be the end goal. But a lot of the brands, I mean, where we typically are investing is between, I'd say three to five million of revenue is probably the average of where we've started investing with brands. And in many cases, you see that they've grown predominantly with one specific channel slash retailer, whether that be through Sephora or direct-to-consumer. Acton Acre is a good example of a hair care brand we've partnered with that was exclusively, you know, basically direct-to-consumer at the time of our investment.

17:30And so it's not critical to show proof points. But what we do, it does make the bar higher for performance in that channel. So if you are exclusively direct to consumer, you know, we're really doing a lot of diligence to understand the strategy there, make sure the unit economics makes sense and want to see, you know, that that channel specifically is viable as a, you know, 40 to 50 million dollar revenue channel. Yeah, that's what I've heard from some folks more like the private equity sphere, where you might have a very compelling DTC brand, or rather brand that is only DTC or only selling through the website.

18:18And there's not enough margin for them to actually go into wholesale. Um, but, but, but so, so, um, like how do you identify, I guess, apart from margin, um, what do you kind of identify in terms of will a brand actually work that is maybe doing really well DTC if that brand will actually be, be a compelling brand in wholesale? Since of course, the majority of spend for, uh, consumables happen in, in, in wholesale, um, retail. Yeah, I think a lot of it goes back to that brand love. When we think about, for example, someone like Acton Acre, we invested in them. They had not launched in Sephora.

19:05Now they have launched in Sephora. They're on.com and they're in 250 doors. They're on the next big thing wall in hair care. and I you know we had a lot of confidence going into that brand I think some of like the big picture things when we looked at it and were like this is a great brand and this is going to be successful is a the product they were taking a revolutionary approach in hair care so looking at the scalp they have very in a way innovative ways of thinking about the scalp as you know skin care for your head because your scalp is essentially an extension of the skin on your body. The founder herself is a celebrity hairstylist and also a trichologist, so has a lot of knowledge about hair care and could really speak to the ingredients and the formulas and the quality.

20:00And then we look at sort of, you know, I think for beauty in particular, the PR strategy is really important. So one of the things that Sephora really gets excited about with brands is if they have a really amazing PR strategy. Because if you're thinking about it from Sephora's perspective, to bring in a new brand and to give shelf space to a new brand, they want to bring new consumer. They want that brand to be able to bring new consumers to Sephora, right? Right. So that's that's a lot of, you know, what we focused on for that brand. For example, I don't think there's a playbook per se, but it's putting together, you know, what are the three or four tenets that make this brand really compelling for retail?

20:49What if a brand was exclusive in Sephora or exclusive on a particular channel? Is that a vote of confidence for you? Or is it also at the same time, okay, maybe this is somewhat limiting as well? Yeah. So we've dealt with exclusivity quite a bit with our brand. So Supergoop was exclusive to Sephora for a large part of our investment in that brand. They were, I think, exclusive since the time we invested in 2015 to right before Blackstone bought a majority. So that was around six years. And then, you know, we're also invested and partnered with Lawless Beauty in the clean cosmetic space. That's a brand that has, you know, dabbled in exclusivity with Sephora.

21:44So it's a very common ask from Sephora. and we are, you know, we're very comfortable with it. It's a vote of confidence from Sephora. We do, you know, they don't make it totally exclusive. So you can sell through other smaller volume marketing channels and you can sell direct to consumer. And, you know, So there are places that you can also sell through QVC, which both Supergoop and Lawless sold through QVC as well. So there are other ways to really get the brand and brand message to consumers. So we view it, you know, largely as a positive. But going back to just, you know, how convicted we need to be heading into an investment like that.

22:42you know, we had a lot of confidence in Supergoop at the time of our investment and a lot of confidence in Lawless at the time of our investment. Yeah, no, that's really helpful. I mean, well, how do you overall like think about, I guess, specifically within beauty and personal care, you know, trends or innovation within the space? I know that's like a very broad question to ask because there's so many different kind of avenues within beauty and personal care. But for example, like, I mean, I listened to, um, uh, I listened to Holly, uh, from super goops, um, podcast on how I built this. And I guess the insight, part of the insight there, um, apart from having like a, you know, incredible product, I'm a, I, I love the product.

23:27I'm a, I'm a super goop, uh, fan. Um, and also, um, and also, um, wear it, um, uh, quite often, but the insight that, But the insight, I remember her saying that was really interesting, was that when you go to elementary schools or you go to schools, they actually should have sunscreen for kids because you're out in the sun all day. And that's going to deteriorate your skin, is not so great for your skin. So you should really be having sunscreen every single moment of the day on pretty much. It should be part of your daily routine and kind of incorporate with it. which apart from having like a superior product, if of course the customer is buying, is using Subscreen way more often, then of course, you know, that's fantastic.

24:16But so how, so that's one example and I applaud you for obviously making that investment there. But how are you thinking about like innovation in like today for like other types of categories? Yeah, so it is a multi-pronged, answer. So what I would say at the highest level, when you think about a product and a brand and what it's providing, we look and say like, what is this company trying to do? So are they, is their innovation, is it growing the market size in a case like Supergoop? So Supergoop was actually the mission was to change consumers daily usage patterns for sunscreen and get them to wear it every day so in addition to taking market share from from existing players in the market the goal was also to expand the market right and make the the total addressable market for sunscreen larger.

25:24When we look at a company like Lawless Beauty as a great example, you know, that company is providing clean cosmetics for consumers who want artistry-driven products. So products that have very high efficacy. A lot of clean brands prior to Lawless were focused on more of a minimalist makeup look that was more of a natural makeup look. And Annie said, hey, I actually, I like my face to look like I, you know, a magazine ad. And I like makeup that wears and performs and looks amazing. I like glitter. And so I want to create a makeup brand and clean that does that. So if you look at a company like Lawless, that's more of a pure market share play, not necessarily growing the total addressable market for cosmetics, but really trying to take market share away from other players in the space like NARS and MAC and a lot of the big players that aren't clean today.

26:37So the innovation bar really starts there around what is the goal of the company and why? So what do we need to be focused on? And in the case of Supergoop, you know, one of the great innovations was the unseen sunscreen, which is literally something that can be applied every day. You don't feel it on your face. It feels weightless. It's clear. You can wear it if you're a male, female, under makeup, over makeup. You know, you can really wear it any which way. So that was a huge innovation for that brand. A huge innovation for Lawless has been in lip. And that's been, you know, a growing category within cosmetics in particular over the last year or two.

27:24and she created a really innovative lip plumping formula that is, it's called Forget the Filler, which is a very catchy name, but really meant to, you know, act like, you know, a traditional lip plumper, but doesn't have the sting that's typically associated with it. And it's a beautiful, shiny finish lip formula. So, you know, it starts with what the brand's trying to achieve, goes down to product. And then I think, you know, the key really is innovation is really important, especially in beauty, but really across the board, it's important in food as well. Like, I think in a world where everything is so crowded, there's so many investors, there's so many companies being started every day in consumer.

28:21And there's a lot of fast following. Social media has driven a culture, has driven a dupe culture. People are duplicating innovation quickly. Co-manufacturers are duplicating trends and back-solving for formulas quickly. So I think the key is to have a well-oiled machine in innovation. So you need an innovation lead and people who are really developing and planning out the pipeline on a daily basis. You know, it's like marketing. It's like sales. It's like any other function within the company. NPD and innovation is an area where, you know, people need to be spending time daily as a team. And everything that is, you know, decided and done should be rooted in the company's vision and mission and what the ultimate goal of the brand is.

29:17This episode is brought to you by Propeller Industries. If you run a high growth business and you're focused on profitability, extending your runway and improving your operational efficiency, you probably need a finance and accounting whiz that will grow with you. Well, instead of hiring someone full-time, what would be cost-effective is working with Propeller Industries. Propeller Industries is a leading strategic finance and accounting partner for venture stage companies and has partnered with over a thousand startups and high growth businesses across consumer products, consumer tech, and enterprise.

29:48Some of the brands that they've worked with are Liquid Death, Olipop, Hems, Farmer's Dog, Away, MoviePass, and Giphy. Propeller also provides specialized support for fundraising and M &A with transaction advisory services. Propeller's TA team of former investment bankers and investors can step in on more of a project basis when pursuing full-scale financing and M &A. There's a link to Propeller Industries in the show notes if you want to learn more information um i i really appreciate that response what i what i kind of my takeaway there is that it it starts with the product and it also with the product how does it actually change the market as well so in the fact with like super super goop you know the fact that it was um it was um a sunscreen that was really easy to put on you can put it on you know under makeup you you can put it on you know anytime it's just very, very, um, it's not really that it's not really thick, right.

30:44It's, um, uh, just very, very easy to put on. Well, okay. And also promoting the fact that, Hey, you should have on sunscreen every day. Um, it shouldn't just be, it should just be like, when do you go to the beach? It should also be, you know, um, if you're going outside at all the day, which hopefully, um, hopefully you are at some point, um, that, that you should have it on. Okay. Like, how does it actually change the market? And I liked your response about how, um, it actually grew like, like the TAM of the market in terms of who would actually wear sunscreen, but also like frequency too, since you also, we put it on it daily rather than maybe only on the weekend where maybe you're outside for a lot more time than during the week.

31:27And so how does it also change the market? And also is it, are you trying to take away market share? Or are you expanding the market where, hey, maybe it actually doesn't matter as much if we actually take market share or not because there's the, the market is so wide open than we even thought it was. So, um, but, but, but again, that like all stems kind of back to the product, right? Everything always goes back to the product. Um, and, and, and, and most importantly, the mission, right? Like Holly, that was the origin of her mission. Unfortunately, the kids piece was too hard because it's, you know, it's a regulated product product and schools can't bring in, you know, Tasty-related products.

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32:09So, but she, you know, it really was, how do I get people to do this every single day, all day? And, you know, she's done it. In the case of Lawless, you know, Annie said, I don't want, why are consumers using NARS and MAC when there are clean alternatives available? Just no one's done it. No one's taken the time to create artistry products in clean makeup. um and and she's she's done it um so um it it does it goes back to the product it goes back to the founders kind of initial vision and mission for the brand as well i i also really appreciate that but um but i mean back to a little bit as well on the on the distribution side which i think is interesting because like getting into sephora for example really challenging right um um and And I remember that you said that part of what Sephora, that you need to think about too when you enter Sephora is also what is your PR strategy?

33:12What is kind of like the marketing to the brand? But since you've invested in and brands have been, some of your brands have been really successful when it comes to being in Sephora. I know that you obviously aren't at Sephora, but in your mind, as you've kind of helped guided brands into Sephora or seen brands work well in Sephora, what in your opinion are like maybe some of the attributes that they need to have in order for in order to maybe get a shot you know in terms of getting into sephora yeah it's you know it is so competitive i think the quality of the product is so so important that's in beauty and food in anything like it comes down to does this you know unless the quality, you could have a founder say, I want to make clean makeup, right?

33:59But unless the quality of that product is better than alternatives on the marketplace today, people will not switch. So vegan cheese, for example, Miyoko's Creamery sounds nice, but does it taste as good or better than regular cabbage cheese? Like that's the question that has to be answered. And that's where you get real fundamental change in the marketplace when the actual attributes of the product and the taste profile and the quality profile is just as good as existing conventional alternatives. And so I think when it comes to Sephora, that's the bar you're being measured against. So they, you know, to them, clean is interesting.

34:52Yes, we need to invest in clean. We want to invest in clean. But how are you going to compete with our biggest players? Like, how do you measure up to a NARS? How do you measure up to a Charlotte Tilbury? In hair care, how do you measure up to an Olaplex? What's the messaging that you're sending to consumers? Is it differentiated? Does it have a point of view? Does it have a perspective? in a, you know, amongst a sea of competitors, why is the client going to come in and be interested in your product over other products? And when you think about initially even going into Sephora, you're going in on bottom shelf.

35:29You're not getting, you know, top shelf space, like, you know, perfect presentation, like, and you're looking pretty shoddy, like it's a fist fight. And so you need to be able to have the marketing prowess as well to bring the customers into their store, specifically seeking out your product. And so that is why the bar for entry into a place like Sephora is so high. You really have to have the product nailed down. um you have to have the marketing message and channels nailed down to the consumer to bring consumers to sephora to buy your product and then you have to have the operational capabilities to service you know a complicated retailer like sephora i guess this also goes back to a bit of what we were talking about with margin of course because price is obviously directly related to margin, but how, when you're analyzing brands too, how are you thinking about price as well?

36:38And in terms of how they're actually pricing themselves, because that's, what's also really tough. I mean, as, as we talked about, you have to have a superior product, right. But, and, and of course, you know, there probably is some innovation that happened there, but with innovation, there's also a cost too, for that. Right. And so, and so usually that means higher prices. How, how are you kind of analyzing when you're thinking about brands that, Um, cause one of the big like phrases that kind of comes on this show a lot is we want to invest in brands that make it also more accessible to like the consumer.

37:05And it's like, well, you know, a lot of these brands as well, um, are actually priced, you know, are, are premium price and they, and they, and they unfortunately have to be. Um, so how, how are you, how do you think about price in, in the seat that you're in? Yeah, I think we want it. I, you know, I, I would, accessible I think is a good word but I take it a step further I guess and I say accessible luxury I think it's a phrase I think Tory Burch actually coined it um I think she's a really incredible business woman and um and really I I think you know when it comes to accessible luxury like she really nailed it and her brand is amazing and what she's been able to do with her products it's amazing.

37:50But so I think of it as accessible luxury. No, it's not accessible. We're actually investing in things that are more luxury priced for, you know, their category, but it's accessible, right? So we're talking about smaller price points. We're not talking about$5 ,000 Chanel bags. We're talking about a$20 mascara, maybe versus someone was previously spending$14 on a conventional mascara. So it's a slight price premium. In return, you're getting something that much better for you. And that's, again, where product and differentiation and innovation come into play. You need to have that give-for-get with the consumer.

38:36Or like I could buy this$14 mascara that's conventional and might do bad things and cause cancer to me. Or I could buy this clean mascara that also has like all these other benefits and is$20. So you have to have that like price value trade off. But we all always are constantly like doing a deep dive on price and making sure that the brands, you know, that we're specifically investing in are kind of middle of the fair way for, for wherever we are playing. So if it's a clean brand, middle of the fairway for clean, if it's a vegan cheese and butter brand, you know, middle of the pack to sometimes upper pack for, for, you know, vegan cheese and butter.

39:21So we never want to be like the most premium price product, but I like to think of it as accessible luxury. Got it. That makes, that makes, um, that makes sense in terms of, um, as well, how you think about pricing um not of course like the super super high end um in terms of the pricing wise in terms of like ultra premium but at the same time um at the same time it is going to be premium um uh because of course too like you know a lot of these companies are they're they're not at scale yet right they're still obviously like like like emerging brands so hopefully the goal is that you're going to get like like like lesser and lesser prices but of Exactly.

40:00Over time, more is possible and innovation is possible. Right. But kind of at the starting point when you're dealing with, you know, such smaller quantities and and, you know, smaller scale distribution without a lot of cost savings. You know, the price tends to sit in a little bit of the higher zone versus the lower zone. what's the pulse right now when it comes to series a and series b investing in beauty are are you finding that um like a lot of investors are writing checks are you also finding like what's kind of the status when it comes to multiples as compared to maybe 2021 um feel free to take it away yeah no it's a it's a hot topic these days um yeah so there's um i would say overall, I'd say the temperament is cautious optimism.

40:59That's the way, and maybe I'm just cautiously optimistic myself, and that's why I say it's cautious optimism. But I think that there's definitely still an appetite on founders' behalf to find capital and to find capital partners. And there's an appetite on investors' behalf to invest in great brands. I think we've sensed over the last couple of years some hesitation and uncertainty in the marketplace. I think everyone's aware of that. In the second half of last year, we saw a record number of convertible notes. So companies were just doing convertible notes, unpriced rounds, buying some time with capital, kind of waiting out to see what would happen with market conditions.

41:52Would they improve or not? Many companies during that time made a huge push to shift to profitability for some companies that just entailed, you know, for a lot of companies that entailed kind of pursuing an omni-channel strategy if they were DTC only. So you've seen a lot of DTC only brands try to shift into retail to gain more brand awareness with omni-channel being sort of the most capital efficient way to grow. And then I'd say, you know, over the course of the last six months or so, we have begun to see more price rounds in the marketplace. I know you post a lot on what is happening. So I think we're seeing more price rounds, but people are cautious and quite frankly, valuation multiples have come down, I would say pretty materially from the peaks.

43:00um so i i you know i think what were the peaks just just just kind of wondering on the multiple side geez i mean the the frothy the frothiest um you know i'd say looking at you know companies that are doing five to ten million of revenue and getting you know anywhere from 60 to a hundred million dollar valuations. Um, so, so yeah, there's, yeah. So like, like 10, so like, so like 10, 10 times multiple, um, or even higher. Yeah. I think that's what was happening in the peak market. Um, and so we've, which was obviously a huge increase from where, you know, we started this journey at Colt Capital.

43:53And I kind of laugh thinking about the pendulum swing. But I do think, you know, multiples have come down considerably since then. It's a more rational market. We're very excited. We just closed our second fund. And so now we'll have a second fund to deploy. And so, you know, we think this is going to be a great, great vintage. and a great time to be deploying capital. There's definitely a lot of quality brands out there and valuations are more in line, are just more aligned. And I think, you know, hopefully the lesson learned for everyone is that, you know, I think a lot of founders thought like, you know, highest valuation, highest valuation, highest valuation, without kind of thinking about what happens on the flip side.

44:55And I think, you know, if it allowed, when you take a valuation that's that high, there really is no room for error. And, you know, the more conservative way, but, you know, still risky way to grow, you know, a business is to take a valuation that is, you know, more achievable. And we like to say, like, you want to grow into that valuation over the next and exceed it over the next 12 to 18 months, especially if you're going to need more capital. So to have a path, I think, to be able to comfortably achieve that is really important. if and in terms of the multiple side um since i know you gave a kind of example of of what it was previously has that has that come down to what do you say like three to five x typically or what was like yeah i'd say three to five x the category dependent still but i'd say that's a general rule of thumb i remember you know you said and also i see this on in the um on socials a lot this kind of shift to profitability and get profitable and emphasize profitability over growth and what have you.

46:12But is that a bad sign for you as an investor and you want to achieve the returns you want to achieve if a company actually wants to get profitable at this point? Because you actually want them to achieve that kind of$50 to$100 million revenue standpoint in the next five to six years? I think it's a really good question, Mike. And I had this with one of our partner companies the other day.

46:44The company was asking, what growth profile would you want to see in a perfect world? And my answer to that is I want to see profitable unit or break even at least unit economics. So when I think about, you know, if I'm looking at profit by channel or profit by DTC, you know, economics, I want to see profit. But I want you to be investing ahead of the curve in things like team or, for example, you're ramping an influencer strategy that's going to pay off for us over the next three years. And we're making a huge investment in that right now. those are the types of like needle moving things that we want to see brands investing in so it's really people specific marketing tactics um things where there's a measurable um return on investment i guess is the way i would describe it and not all things are measurable but but i think that's probably the easiest way to describe it.

47:55I mean, we never, when we looked at brands, like never wanted to fund product costs. Like that's just not a good thing to fund. We want to fund scale. So we want to fund market, marketing tactics, sales tactics, investing, heavily investing in a sales team, heavily investing in education. You know, I think Supergroup is a great example where education for the consumer was a huge hurdle. So that did require a huge marketing investment to get that message across to consumers. So that's really what we're looking for. So we're not so focused on, you know, seeing break even on a P &L statement. But we want to know your unit economics are solid, your economic swing channel are solid.

48:47and that we want to understand the specific things you're investing in causing the unprofitability to grow the business at scale. So you want to, yeah, I mean, that's a great question of, I guess, maybe when it's a great kind of analysis and great measure in terms of when you actually do receive, you know, outside capital, what are you actually spending that capital on? And when does it make sense to actually use equity versus debt? I think that, you know, in the past few years when the market was red hot and interest rates were really low,

49:23that founders maybe would raise some of these big rounds. And a lot of them would be actually to finance on the inventory side and inventory spend. Where I think it's quite interesting because I would have thought, and again, I'm not a founder, but I would have thought that, and also it's easy to say this, obviously, 2020 in hindsight, but I would have thought with interest rates being so low, it's actually a great time for debt, right? It's a great time to actually use a debt market in order to actually fund that inventory rather than giving up maybe larger pieces of your business or having this event where you're trying to raise a certain amount of money and you're using that actual equity dollars in order to actually use on the inventory side.

50:06Of course, this market's quite different. It's expensive both ways. it's, you know, the debt markets is obviously expensive and certainly companies have become a lot more selective in terms of which companies they want to actually issue credit to. And at the same time on the equity side too, right? It's definitely more like an investor market than it is a founder or brand market. But I do think that is a really good point in terms of how are you actually using your equity dollars and what it's actually using for and when it makes sense to actually use debt versus equity. Now, of course, young brands may not actually have access to the debt markets yet.

50:50I'd imagine the$2 to$5 million kind of threshold that you all have, they probably do have access to the debt markets. But that is a really interesting point in terms of when it actually makes sense on the equity side to actually use it and to kind of go towards and do that kind of big swing, which whether it's like an influencer led, led, um, like an influencer strategy that maybe will pan out within three years. Yeah. Yeah. 100%. I completely agree with you. Um, yeah. And I think to your point, like most companies can start accessing, you know, inventory capital, I'd say around 5 million of revenue.

51:27So So normally when we invest, we start talking to debt capital sources. But sometimes they get a little earlier. It just depends on how much actually sometimes depends on how much equity they have invested. But yeah, I think between$2 and$5 million in revenue, you should always try to finance inventory with debt for the most part. I mean, that just makes the most sense. Um, when you want to make long-term investments in team marketing strategies, things of that nature, I think that's where you, you should think about equity. In your mind, can we talk a little bit about like, what is the ideal outcome for like a cold capital brand?

52:11I know that it's obviously that they kind of scale within like the three to like that kind of five to seven period, um, um, to a point, but like is, is, for example, is like an acquisition when you're thinking about brands as well to invest in? is that in the back of your mind, you're thinking of, okay, who would be potentially, if everything kind of goes right, or I know nothing goes perfectly right, but if everything kind of goes roughly right, and this does become a big outcome, what is it actually making sure there's enough strategics, or would a strategic actually be interested in this company?

52:47With all that being said, I know I'm rambling here a little bit, but what is the ideal outcome for Colt? Yeah, it's a great question. And that's what we're in it for. So great brand and then the ideal outcome. And, you know, building some amazing relationships along the way. I'd say like, you know, Holly of Supergoop is she's one of my friends, you know, like that. I think that's the amazing part, right? Like she created an amazing product. She's now like a close personal friend of mine. And it's awesome to go through something so personal and so game changing with someone so inspirational. But what I would say is on the exit side, we like to be completely transparent with the companies that we're partnering with and the founders that we're partnering with.

53:43our goal is to generate, you know, four to six times our initial investment. That's not, you know, a small goal. That's a large goal. But we do like to be really upfront about it to make sure, you know, that founders are aligned with us and how we're thinking about it. It's really important that everyone is clear kind of on, you know, is there an end game? What does the end game look like? Are we all aligned around a potential outcome? It doesn't mean anything gets set in stone or anything like that. It's just that kind of our dreams and our goals are aligned, right? I think when we think about exit options and exit path, there's no one set way, I'd say, probably in looking at history and what's happened in kind of the consumer space is the most likely kind of outcome is an exit to a strategic player.

54:49So in beauty, that would be a L 'Oreal, an Estee Lauder, Cal, Unilever. In food, it could be, you know, Nestle or Kellogg. And so, you know, we are, we're open to obviously strategic exits. We're open to, in the case of Supergoop, where we sold a majority state to Blackstone, a larger PE player. open to exit outcomes like that. And then there's IPO. So I think all options are on the table. I don't think it's something that's predictable from the outset with companies. I think one of the things I like to test for when I'm talking to founders is kind of, you know, if a founder says like, oh, I only want an IPO, you know, that's probably not a founder for us.

55:50You know, we want someone who's open-minded, is more focused on kind of the goal than what exactly the format of that is going to look like at the end of the day. You know, we are, you know, investors At the end of the day, right, we are taking capital from other people to generate a return. And so we are aiming for some type of exit outcome in five to seven years. So those are all the things that are on the table really is an exit to a strategic, an exit to a larger PE player or an IPO outcome. Um, and I think I kind of named them in, in order of most, most likely outcome given, given history.

56:41From the team side of things, since I know that's, you know, where you, um, spend a lot of time in terms of constructing maybe the executive team and think about what the leadership, um, um, um, is, or, you know, or if there's someone as someone else you should bring along, when does it in your mind and i know this maybe depends on on the company but um uh i know this happened in uh fairly recently in one of your companies when does it make sense to that maybe um like the founder um actually uh who who might might be the ceo um that it maybe makes sense to actually bring on like another ceo um through like the next stage of growth yeah i think it you know It's also company dependent.

57:31I think in the case of Supergroup, it made a lot of sense ahead of an exit. I think that Holly had been CEO of the company since 2007. She's still heavily involved in the brand, but didn't want to be CEO kind of under the next person's ownership. So Amanda Baldwin, the president at the time of the sale, transitioned into the CEO role about, I think it was 12 months or 18 months ahead of a potential transaction. So, you know, I really think it depends on the founder, how involved they are currently, how involved they want to be in the long term. I know like Bobby Brown's a great example of someone who's super involved in our company for a really long time.

58:27Other founders put, you know, 10 years of work into it and want to stay close to it, but don't want to be doing the day to day of driving the team and being responsible for the team's kind of KPIs and outcomes. and so it makes more sense to kind of transition to another CEO to kind of run the day-to-day of the business. So we lean on the founder who, like you said, in most cases is also the CEO to really guide us to what is the right timing and what is the right outcome. What's one book that's inspired you personally and one book that's inspired you professionally? That's a great question. I read a lot of books, actually.

59:16One that is one of my husband's favorites and he's talked about since we were, we met in college and he's talked about since we were in college together was How to Win Friends and Influence People. It's a classic by Dale Carnegie. And I think that that has been a guiding book for me. I think one of the key things and my husband also, I mean, he's been such a partner to me and kind of obviously life, but also professionally, he's been an amazing resource to me. and one of the things is you know he always said to me is you know you can't make people do things you have the best way to like get someone to do something is to make them want to do something and that's one of the guiding principles in that book is is to make people want to do things and I think that's super applicable to minority investing I think one of the biggest challenges of being a minority investing is like having a lot of experience seeing the way things unfold across companies and then working kind of with companies to help make change but not being in the position to be able to make the change.

1:00:32So to me that kind of advice of making people want to do things has resonated really strongly with me and has helped me both personally and professionally. Another book that I read that I liked a lot at the suggestion of one of our senior executives at Supergoop was the book on Measure What Matters. I don't know if you've read it, Mike, but really great book on OKRs, which is objectives and key results and setting up accountability amongst a team. And I think the book goes into a lot of detail, but even if you read kind of the first half of the book, it sets a really good framework for how to think about goal setting within an organization and how to set up accountability and just team structure that is really well positioned to make an impact and to scale.

1:01:38I think so much of what these companies do, going back to product, it always starts with product founder mission, but then it's team and execution. Once you get to that 5 to 10 million mark, it really, in order to scale to 100, it comes down to team. And so I think that that's a great framework on how to align a team around goals and objectives and hold people accountable. no that's great and measure what's what matters that's by john dore right yes exactly cool cool awesome yeah that's that's great i haven't read that one yet but um how to win friends and influence people that's one of my favorites um uh i think that's so so great always always always ask questions um it's so good it's so good um we actually uh we have a book club at cult capital and we try to read a book quarterly that's related to something.

1:02:36So we've actually read both of those for our book club. Nice, that's awesome. Well, Sarah, thank you so much for coming on. This was a lot of fun. Thank you, Mike. It was awesome. Love chatting with you about all things consumer. Thank you. And there you have it. It was a pleasure chatting with Sarah. Sarah, thanks again so much for coming on the podcast. Really enjoyed our conversation. If you're enjoying the show, if you're watching on YouTube, Spotify, Apple, wherever you're doing it, if you could please hit that subscribe button, that'd be awesome. And if you really, really, really like our show, please subscribe to the newsletter at theconsumervc.com.

1:03:13You'll receive weekly consumer fundraising updates of all the consumer deals that are happening. And you'll also be notified when a new episode is out weekly. Thanks, everyone, for listening. And thank you, Propeller.

1:03:31you

From the publisher

Our guest today is Sarah Woelfel, Co-Founder & Partner at Cult Capital. She combines her zeal for investing with her affection for cult consumer brands. Their investments include Supergoop!, Babo Botanicals, and Lawless Beauty. Prior to CULT Capital, Sarah served on the investment team at Audax and as an I-banking analyst at Deutsche Bank.

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Thank you to our partner Propeller Industries

Propeller Industries is the leading strategic finance and accounting partner for venture-stage companies.

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