

31 Oct 2026 · 48m · 24 chapters

A special Election Day countdown episode focused on Trump’s sudden reversal on canceling and then rescheduling “red state” rallies (Kansas and Iowa), early-voting warning signs for Republicans, and broader midterm House/Senate shifts. It also includes a fact-check of MAGA Inc. robocalls claiming Republicans lowered everyday prices and mortgage costs.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes.
Discussion on Trump reversing his decision to cancel red state rallies.
“I'm Erin Burnett and welcome to this special edition of Outfront, the countdown to Election Day.”
Analyzing early voter turnout statistics in key states.
“And we have a couple of races that are very important.”
Exploring Trump's rally speeches and their focus on non-political topics.
“At last count, 47 percent of those who have cast a ballot early are Democrats.”
Overview of controversial candidates and their challenges in key races.
“But he's not the only Trump-backed Republican in trouble.”
Examining Mike Lindell's influence and claims about election fraud.
“I've been all in trying to find the machine fraud and we've found it.”
Understanding Trump's strategy leading up to Election Day.
“So it was those very same staffers that worked to unravel this quickly, putting it back into place in less than 24 hours.”
Examining current polling and potential state outcomes for midterms.
“Julia Benbrook, as we said, in that rally in Florida.”
Analyzing how Democrats could gain Senate seats in the midterms.
“And then let's say we give them Ohio, right?”
Discussing voter sentiments and the potential aftermath of elections.
“is because they have so many different pathways.”
Discussing inaccuracies in polling and public anger towards current political issues.
“when each one of them had to respond to how they had predicted.”
Exploration of Mike Lindell's role in sowing doubts about election integrity.
“But this, Liz, is the context in which Mike Lindell's, you know, image going into the White House speaks to people because of what he stood for in terms of claiming election fraud that was not there last time, right?”
Debate on how Democrats should operate if they win, emphasizing cooperation and addressing public concerns.
“figure you could have right now going to the White House than Mike Lindell.”
Discussion on the public's frustration with corruption and economic issues impacting their lives.
“One is keep their eye on the ball of why they got elected.”
Analyzing voter anger towards both parties and the rise of independent candidates.
“Therefore, I need to send a message to the people in Washington.”
Forecasting Democratic gains in the upcoming elections based on current trends.
“And next, a top election forecaster says Democrats now have the potential to win their largest majority since 2009.”
In-depth discussion on election forecasts and shifting political landscapes.
“We have breaking news from one of America's top election forecasters.”
Discussing the changing landscape of the Nebraska Senate race and its implications.
“other things, early voting, background statistics that are matching up perfectly with a big Democratic gain.”
Osborne discusses his campaign, economic challenges, and his stance on issues.
“And our K-File obtaining robocalls from Trump's Super PAC claiming they've brought down the price of everyday goods.”
Examining false claims made by Trump's PAC in robocalls about the economy.
“Bringing down the average mortgage payment and the price of everyday goods and groceries.”
Examining false claims made by Trump's PAC in robocalls about the economy.
“Trump's PAC, MAGA Inc., gaslighting voters on the economy.”
A discussion on Trump's campaign strategy focusing on crucial swing states.
“South Carolina, Wisconsin, Texas, Ohio, Michigan, Maine, Kansas, Florida, Iowa, and Alaska.”
Insights from undecided voters at a CNN town hall regarding their choices.
“Breaking news, Ted Cruz warning that Republicans could lose every single statewide race in Texas on Tuesday, not just the Senate race.”
Monica Lockett shares her concerns and final decision in the election.
“I'm still undecided because I feel like there's an elephant in the room that no one has brought up, and that is AI.”
Discussion on the political landscape and voter indecision in Texas.
“Carter says she's voted for Republicans in the past, but she's no longer confident Republicans are managing the state's rapid growth in a way that benefits most Texans.”

Get the gist, explore an idea or ask about something said.
On Erin Burnett OutFront, what are the key points of this episode?
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.
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1:03Out front next, the breaking news on this Friday. Trump's 180. The president now rescheduling his red state rallies after suddenly canceling them 24 hours ago. As new early voting numbers show major warning signs for the GOP. Plus, breaking news from one of America's top election forecasters moving a dozen races to the left. What he's saying tonight about a Democratic majority in the House. Dave Wasserman of the Cook Report is next. And K-File, obtaining robocalls from Trump's super PAC. calls are gaslighting voters about the economy. We've got the tapes. Check the facts. He'll be with us. Let's go out front.
1:50And good evening. I'm Erin Burnett and welcome to this special edition of Outfront, the countdown to Election Day. Tonight, the U-turn. President Trump suddenly reversing his decision to ditch his red state rallies. Right now, Trump about to speak at the rally you see on your screen with Byron Donalds in Florida and his events in Kansas and Iowa that he canceled 24 hours ago are now back on for the weekend. Trump canceled them saying they weren't needed because the Republicans were winning there by so much. But now he says they called him and said they needed him back. I got a call from both states, Kansas and Iowa.
2:28We're in good shape, I think, in a lot of states. We had a great rally yesterday, as you know, for Darlene, South Carolina. But I got a call from Iowa and from the people and from my friends that are very, very good. And we have a couple of races that are very important. And they said, if you could go, it would be better than a tele-rally. And I tried to talk about that. I said, what about a tele-rally? But they asked me, so I'm going to do two on Sunday. And I was a little bit concerned about Saturday because it's a college football. Of course, the reality is that Trump and his allies are worried, very worried.
3:09Just four days to go until actually Election Day itself. But already almost 46 million Americans have already voted. I mean, that's really incredible. 46 million Americans have already voted. And I just want to dig into that a little bit because what matters is who those people are. And if you look at that, you can cut through a whole lot of a spin and see some of the real reasons why Trump is worried. I mean, take Iowa. At last count, 47 percent of those who have cast a ballot early are Democrats. 33 percent are Republicans. So take a look at Kansas. Now, this is interesting because the first look is a little deceiving.
3:4243 % early vote Democrat, 42 % Republican. So you say, OK, well, that looks different than Iowa. But here's the comparison that makes this a possible five-hour alarm fire for Republicans. Last election, only 27 % of those early voters were Democrats. So 27 % last time. Now it's 43%. And then there's what Trump talks about when he is actually on the stage at these rallies. It's not really about the economy, the war. It's certainly not about corruption. He talks about, there's one topic he's very proud of. This White House has posted about it. Listen to what he told reporters yesterday before heading off to Ohio.
4:20I'm right now heading to Ohio to campaign for a great senator who nobody knew this, one of the best football players around, All-American. And I told the people, they didn't know this. He has a great ass, very powerful ass. His shoulders, his hands, his arms. And you know what happened? He went up 12 points in the ratings. It remains to be seen if talking about Senator John Husted's ass is helping. But the last CNN poll to polls has Husted trailing Democrat Sherrod Brown by 44 to 49 percent. We'll see if that's what happens. But he's not the only Trump-backed Republican in trouble. Of course, there's Trump's handpicked candidate for Texas Senate, Ken Paxton, where big-name Texas Republicans have said they're not voting for him.
5:05There's Trump's pick for Ohio governor, Vivek Ramaswamy, who faced Republican outrage after a vile ad featured the estranged mother of his opponent, Amy Acton, a woman who stood by her husband when he was indicted by a grand jury for sexually abusing Acton when she was a child. And then there's Senator John Ossoff's opponent, Mike Collins in Georgia, who hasn't answered questions about his son-in-law, a white nationalist influencer who lives next door. So, meantime, in this context, look who was seen at the White House today. We just got this picture in. Do you see who that guy is with a mustache?
5:36That's the MyPillow, former MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell. The Trump ally who has been saying this for years. There were so many down tickets that were taken. There was four senators sold, about nine congressmen, judges across the country. All the evidence I have, everything is going to go before the Supreme Court and the election of 2020 is going bye bye. Donald Trump will be back in office in August. I've been all in trying to find the machine fraud and we've found it. We have all the evidence. OK, that's Mike Lindell, the very same man that showed up outside Trump's door in 2021 after Trump lost to Joe Biden with a whole stack of documents, which included the words martial law, which is something, a state of emergency that Trump has said he isn't ruling out.
6:28Time Magazine recently asked Trump, would you rule out declaring a state of emergency in the lead up to the midterms unless there's widespread violence in the streets? To which Trump responded, quote, I don't rule anything out or in. Julia Benbrook begins our coverage. She is out front live in Florida at that Byron Donald's rally we just showed you where Trump is tonight. And Julia, what are you learning about why Trump went from 24 hours ago saying, I'm not going to Kansas or Iowa because I don't need to because we're winning by so much, to I'm going.
6:59Yeah, for a moment there, we thought that this rally here in Daytona Beach might be Trump's last before the midterm elections. Obviously, those weekend rallies are now back on the schedule. And according to a source familiar, the president was not happy. cancellations, and that ultimately led him to call to put them back on. So it was those very same staffers that worked to unravel this quickly, putting it back into place in less than 24 hours. So the White House officials have been adamant, as we've been speaking to them, that the cancellations in the first place were in order to give Trump more time.
7:43They wanted to make room for virtual events, for tele-rallies, so that he could essentially cover more ground in that way. But he will now be going to both Kansas and Iowa on Sunday. There are very competitive Senate races taking place there. And an RNC official tells me that when it comes to message here tonight, as well as at those upcoming rallies, that's going to remain pretty consistent. But they are focusing on turnout. They tell me that essentially this is a numbers game and they believe that he is the best messenger to get people out there to vote. Here in Florida, he is going to be stumping for the Republican Senate for candidate Ashley Moody, who we already heard from, as well as the Republican candidate for governor, Byron Donalds, who is on stage now.
8:28And Aaron, I do want to point out that these are back-to-back Friday rallies taking place here in Florida. And we often then see him travel to Mar-a-Lago, to the Palm Beach area, which is just about three hours from here for at least part of this weekend. All right, Julia, thank you very much. Julia Benbrook, as we said, in that rally in Florida. And let's go over to the magic wall. Harry Enten is out front there. So Harry, when Trump is going back to Kansas and Iowa, last night we were together and he was not going because they did not need him because they were winning by so much. Oh yeah, of course.
9:00And now they are, they are, he is going. Wow. So I guess let's start on, on Kansas. Yeah. Why is this now the right decision to go? Oh, I would have been going all the way if you want, if you believe that you can actually help out, because I could tell you Roger Marshall, the Republican candidate, needs all the help he can get. And why do I say that? It's because if you look at the polling coming out of Kansas right now, what you see is Adam Hamilton literally is the best polling Democratic Senate nominee this entire century. Remember, of course, Kansas has not elected a Democratic Senate since 1932, when Babe Ruth, of course, called his shot in that exact same year, again, a World Series at Wrigley Field against the Chicago Cubs.
9:41In fact, I say in the 21st century, I couldn't find one going back into the mid 90s. And that's when my polling data set runs out. So that's why he's going back out there. Now, here's the thing to so keep in mind, right, is if let's say we give Kansas over to the Democrats, right, we make that blue and we're going to create a Midwestern path right here. And then we give Iowa as well to the Democrats. Josh Turt, the Democrat there running strong, hasn't elected a Democratic senator since 2008. 2008 and Tom Harkin. And then let's say we give them Ohio, right? You saw the poll of polls had the Democrat Sherrod Brown up by five points.
10:13You get to 50. And then if you give a Michigan, where we just had a poll out yesterday that had Abdul Al-Sayed, the Democrat up by seven points, that alone gets you to 51 Senate seats without touching Texas, Alaska or Maine. Right. Right. Which is which is a map Democrats would want, because Alaska, obviously, it's unpredictable, it's slow to count. We had all the news from this week. It has all the news. So they would like a path that doesn't include that. Correct. But if the Democrats lose Kansas and lose Iowa, right, if Trump is right that indeed those candidates are up and this is not what it, you know, what polls indicate it might be, then what's the path?
10:50Okay, then what's the path? Well, you know, I mentioned Texas, right? Well, here's the thing to keep in mind about Texas. Who's the least popular Texas GOP Senate nominee this century in the great state of Texas. It's Ken Paxson, 29 points underwater. My goodness gracious, he stinks. The voters there do not like him at all. So if then all of a sudden we say, you know, we're keeping Kansas and Iowa, we're not giving, but we can give them Texas, that gets you to 50. And then of course, if you go up to Maine and you win there, and of course, Kamala Harris carried the state of Maine. Susan Collins has held down before.
11:21You found another way without Alaska. We found another way without Alaska. And this is why, in my opinion, the Democrats are favored at this point to take back the Senate is because they have so many different pathways. You could take a Midwest path and you don't have to carry Texas. You carry Texas, you carry May, then you don't have to carry Kansas and Iowa. And in none of these, you have to carry Alaska. Democrats just have a lot of playing field. And you're not even putting like a Hail Mary like South Carolina. No, no, no. I mean, I'm just making clear. Like, it's not even on that. This map, based upon the polling, it's just that Democrats have a lot of paths without having to go into the deep South in the states that haven't elected Democrats in South Carolina since like 1998 98 or Mississippi or Louisiana either.
11:59All right. Harry Anton, thank you very much. And already today, you know, as Trump's going back to Kansas and Iowa, he is tamping down on expectations for Republicans on Election Day. Monday, Monday is going to be exciting, but Sunday is going to be a very exciting day. And then Tuesday, we're going to see how it all works out. I think we're doing well. Typically, a president, whether he's good or bad Republican or Democrat loses the midterms. Nobody's ever explained why, but I think we have a shot at doing well, maybe very well, but you know, pretty well. I mean, for him, that really is tamping down maybe very well, but, but pretty well.
12:43And certainly didn't sound so enthusiastic. Okay. Everyone's here with me. So, so Paul, what is it? What does that mean? He is tamping down expectations. I mean, you know, he can say we're winning by so much in Kansas and Iowa, they didn't need me, but then the next day they need me all he wants. He's all over the place. I mean, he's really unfocused. I think he's undisciplined. He doesn't seem to have a clear strategy. It's a lot like Iran, but now it's back here in the U.S. And I think that's why you've seen so many different shifting tactics, so many shifting messages. He can't stay focused and his candidates are suffering as a result of it.
13:15Now, the thing I would always urge people to remember is he does always threaten to attack the elections and he keeps saying it over and over again. And now he's threatening again to invoke the Insurrection Act. That's always been on the table, and we have to keep our eyes on Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dan Cain because he will be absolutely critical in the days ahead, and he's the person you won't hear about in addition to all these candidates. So when you talk to voters in all these states, and you have voters and focus groups and so many of them, Trump didn't like the coverage last night about how he canceled his rally, so now he's reverse course and he's going back to Kansas and Iowa.
13:45But those should have been easy Republican wins, right? They really shouldn't be a conversation. So what are you hearing from them? I'd say be careful. because I remember the pundit sitting in a table just like this, not as nice and said as this one, and how embarrassed they were on election night when each one of them had to respond to how they had predicted. And they were wrong. And they were wrong. They were completely wrong. I don't believe the polling actually represents Trump voters because Trump voters don't like talking to pollsters. They don't want to have this argument. They think it's all biased against them.
14:18Now, that said, on issue after issue, starting with affordability, continuing through Iran, the Trump policies and the administration are underwater. I see voters being angry and frustrated and, frankly, afraid of where the country is headed. And I'm concerned about where the democracy is headed in the days after the election. How are we going to respond to this? Let's say Democrats win everything. thing. Are they going to seek cooperation? Are they going to seek to listen and conversation? Are they going to say we're going to get revenge? Because in the end, reform gets you a better government.
14:59Revenge destroys your democracy. But this, Liz, is the context in which Mike Lindell's, you know, image going into the White House speaks to people because of what he stood for in terms of claiming election fraud that was not there last time, right? And now on, you know, essentially the eve of the election, there he is again. Yeah. And it's obviously concerning. And the president for months now, through a variety of means, has been telegraphing that he plans to sow doubt in the election results, may plan to subvert the election results. And there's probably no worse figure you could have right now going to the White House than Mike Lindell.
15:37But the bigger point I would say is this. I just want to tee off on something that Frank said, is that you're Right. We may not win all of these seats, and it would be foolish for anyone up here to say it's a sure thing. But the fact that we are talking about Iowa, about Kansas, about Mississippi, about Texas, about South Carolina is crazy. We thought this election cycle would be ended by talking about, you know, Georgia and North Carolina, and those races have been put away. And it signals to me that the Republicans are in deep trouble. I don't know if we win those seats, but it's certainly going to have an impact on House races across the country.
16:19Can I ask you a question? Yeah. This is kind of a game, and we're all participants in it. The people who are sitting on this panel are much more likely to tell the truth, much more likely to be less partisan. But my question to both of you is, what happens on the day after the election? How do Democrats, if they are successful, how do they behave? What is their responsibility, not just to the people voted for them, but for the entire country, to try to eliminate this ugliness, this partisanship, the polarization? What should they do? I think that's a fair question. But the bigger question is, what is the president going to do?
16:59Because he controls the military. No, really, Frank. He controls the ice. He controls the bully pulpit. And he will set the tone for the country as well. Democrats obviously have a voice in this, but the president has inordinate power, an unprecedented power that we've ever seen. So he has to really set the tone no matter what the outcome is. You can't keep pushing it off. That's not pushing it off. That's putting responsibility where it lies. We're all responsible. We're responsible at this table. Sure, sure, sure. And let me just try to take a middle ground here. I agree. The president does bear a lot of responsibility for this.
17:30But there are two things that Democrats should do. One is keep their eye on the ball of why they got elected. Yes, there are bloodthirsty Democrats out there who just want, like, investigate everything all the time. And we should look into some of the things that people care about. Corruption, the gripped. Voters have been screaming from the rooftops. It is bubbled to the top of polls that they're sick of the corruption and self-dealing in Washington. I believe we should go after that. But we cannot abandon the more proactive things that we need to go after. talking about affordability, checks on the Iran war, the tariffs and all of that.
18:09If we abandon that and focus on just these bloodthirsty investigations, to your point, Frank, it's not going to be good for the Democrats. So I'm also curious, you know, when you talk about the money that's gone into this, Elon Musk has put in about half a billion dollars. One guy has put about half a billion dollars into this. I mean, I think people look about corruption. One of the things Americans are upset about is just how much money goes into politics, right? The manipulation, the propaganda. Elon Musk puts that out. He posted a post about what, if there's a clean sweep, what's going to happen.
18:39He's worried. He posts. They're going to make D.C. and Puerto Rico states to try to gain a strong majority in the Senate. They're going to open the borders and legalize everybody living here to get a permanent majority. They're going to increase the size of the Supreme Court. He's posting this to hundreds of millions of people. That's also a sign of the direction of where things are going to go from the Elon Musk side of things. Yeah, it's also a reflection of where their plan is. I mean, they've got X. They've got huge portions of the media. They've dismantled parts of PBS and NPR. And they've got really an effective propaganda machine.
19:13And now they can put anything through it that they want. And Elon Musk in the final days can put misinformation out there and stoke fear, which will motivate some people. But the bigger issue is, is Elon Musk going to be able to buy five Senate races? Right. That's really what we're talking about here, because he single handedly might be the only thing that saves Ken Paxton. And to our earlier point, what everybody's sick of is the corruption on both sides. They're sick of the Democrats and the Republicans. And the real, the X factor here in Kansas, for example, is the 29 % of people who are independent and unaffiliated and a growing part of this country that's sick of all of it.
19:41And we don't know how they're going to vote. They have been leaning toward the Democrats, but they also want to throw all the bums out. And do you have any insight on that group? I mean, it's not obviously one group, but. The most important group out there are the paycheck to paycheck voters. to people who are just below the median in their incomes who cannot afford the new car, who cannot afford to move, who can't afford food but have challenges over fuel, and that they don't live in the houses they want to live in. These are people who are promised the American dream. Work hard, play by the rules, make sure your children get educated, and you should experience something good in your life.
20:18And they're not seeing it right now. And the president promised that the inflation that had been brought about under, not because of, but under Joe Biden, still exists today. And the public looks at this and they say, you're not making my life better. And that is the key reason behind this. My quality of life hasn't improved. Therefore, I need to send a message to the people in Washington. And let me just say, these scare tactics from Elon Musk might have worked better in 2024. This is why I don't think they'll work well here. Because if you look at the Senate races we talked about, Iowa, Kansas, Texas, South Carolina, Mississippi, the rest of the whole kit and caboodle.
21:04One thing Democratic candidates are doing now is they are willing to go out and be more independent. independent. They are willing to go out and criticize the Biden administration. I know Adam Hamilton in Kansas has said that Biden's border policies were disastrous. Yep. And so they have created space between what voters thought of Democrats as being too lax on the border and saying, no, I'm going to be tough on the border. I believe in border security. And because Democrats went out, tried to recruit candidates who are, I don't know, have views based in the real world and in common sense, it makes it a lot harder for these right going to tax it.
21:41Well, thank you. I was actually thinking about the town hall with Mr. Tallarico. Now, obviously, he's running in Texas, but one of his lines was, I'm not a Republican. I'm not a Democrat. I'm going to do what's right for Texas. Now, obviously, that's politically astute, but it also goes to that moment, right? I'm not going to. And then it was, I'm not going to do what the California Democrats say. I'm not doing what the New York Democrats say. I don't want anything to do with those. That's the message that will resonate, is me and you against everybody. because even if Democrats do win, people are angry at the Republicans.
22:10The day after, they're going to be angry at the Democrats, too. They're angry at all of them, and whoever can channel that grievance and fight on behalf of people are the people who are going to win. The numbers for the Democrats have not gone up. They have not. The Republican numbers have gone down. That's right. The Democrats have not gone up. And that's a really significant note. All right, thank you all very much. And next, a top election forecaster says Democrats now have the potential to win their largest majority since 2009. He's moving 12 more races tonight in the Democratic direction.
22:36Dave Wasserman, Cook Political Report, is with us next. And Dan Osborne made about$108 ,000 last year. His opponent in the Senate race in Nebraska has a net worth reportedly around$200 million. So how is that disparity playing on the campaign trail? Sir Osborne is our guest. And this. We cannot afford a house. And so I need you to do something about it. She was an undecided voter. She spoke up in the Texas Town Hall with James Tallarico. So where does she stand now, just before Election Day? Set bump. Stand by a brake, monster. Three, two, one. A pet.
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24:39And welcome back to a special edition of Outfront Countdown to Election Night on this Friday. We have breaking news from one of America's top election forecasters. Cook Political Report tonight releasing some of their final projections before the midterms, and they are moving 12 more House races to the left, making this bold declaration, and I quote, Democrats now have the potential to win their largest majority since 2009. So Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report is out front now, along with Larry Sabato, the editor-in-chief and director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, the man, of course, behind the Sabato crystal ball.
25:10Okay, so I appreciate both of you. So Dave, let me start with you. House Democrats need to pick up just three seats to get the majority, right? So three seats, they have the majority. That's why this is so razor thin. But you're talking about a whole lot more. How many more? Our projection is a Democratic gain of 12 to 25 seats. And if they win more than 20, that that would put them beyond what they won in either 2006 or 2018 when they ended up at 235 seats. This has the potential to be a generational wipeout for Republicans. And if you had told me at the beginning of the cycle that we'd be talking about some of the seats that are on our board right now, where Republicans are sweating districts that Trump carried by 15, in some cases, 18 points, I would have said I had booked a ticket to an alternate dimension.
25:58But we moved seats held by Victoria Sparks, a district Trump carried by 18 points. Virginia Fox, another Trump 18 district in Western North Carolina, Republican polls have them ahead by low single digits. And then Lauren Boebert in Colorado, another Trump 18 seat. She has her own weaknesses and she's an underperformer. Republicans are nervous about her. Nancy Mace's open seat in Charleston, South Carolina, even Elise Stefanik's district in the North country of New York. If these seats fall, it could be huge. So Larry, when you look at Dave's projection at the upper end, right? If House Democrats win something astounding like 240 seats, right?
26:46Again, they need 218 to have control. So 240 would be an astounding number. Do you see that as reasonable? And is there any scenario when you look at all the conversation out there about, well, Republicans don't answer the polls and who knows what the margins really will be. Is there any scenario where the House is not a foregone conclusion? Well, the crystal ball will issue its final projections in all 435 seats of the House, plus every Senate seat and every gubernatorial contest up on Monday. But I can tell you this much, we're remarkably close based on what I've seen. And by the way, we're separate operations.
27:27We don't compare notes. We do our research on our own. So I always feel comfortable when the two groups come out with numbers that are similar. We've said for about six months, Democrats would get 230 plus. I think it's going to be mid-230s. It could be a few more than that. So that's very close. As far as the polls are concerned, Aaron, we're always prepared for polls to be wrong. And if they are wrong, we'll have another two years of angst trying to analyze them. But I'm with Dave on this. There's just too much information, not just polling, all kinds of other things, early voting, background statistics that are matching up perfectly with a big Democratic gain.
28:10And I think that's what's going to happen. And Dave, I want to talk about one race here, which we're going to be talking about more in a moment, the Nebraska Senate race, which your team just shifted from likely Republican to leans Republican. So that moves in the Democratic direction. You still have it as lean Republican. But that shift is good news for the independent candidate there, Dan Osborne, who's going to be with me here on the show in just a few moments, facing the GOP incumbent, Pete Ricketts. Now, the context here when you would move this as likely Republican to lean Republican is that Trump won Nebraska by 20 points two years ago.
28:4420 points two years ago. I mean, nobody would anticipate a state that red would be moving in the leftward direction four days before the election. So what's going on? I was just in Nebraska on Friday. And there is a lot of rural anxiety economically. It's not just higher tariffs. It's not just high interest rates or higher input costs. It's also the Trump administration's decision to import 300 billion metric tons of beef, which has created some blowback amongst cattle ranchers in states like Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, even Texas. If Republican turnout is depressed in western Kansas, then we're not just looking at a close Senate race.
29:26And look, we think that Pete Ricketts still has an advantage over the independent Dan Osborne, but also Lynn Walls, the Democrat running for governor, has an outside chance if enough votes go to a third-party spoiler candidate and siphon them off from Governor Jim Pillen. So there are some strange things that could happen. Larry, which Senate race right now is surprising you the most? Well, obviously, Alaska. We'll see how much effect this new issue has. Although the people I talked to today in Alaska told me that it doesn't seem to be having much impact yet because they haven't seen all the goods on it.
30:05Yes. Go ahead. And you're talking about the Sullivan-Sullivan situation in the DOJ. Exactly. That's the one that's surprising me the most. But there are five or six of them, just incredible. And I cannot believe we're talking about some of these deep red states. It just tells you where this election year has gone. And like Dave, in the beginning of this election cycle, I wouldn't have dreamed of coming out and said, you know, at the very end, we're all going to be talking about those deep red states. I would have been put away or forced to retire. Dave's too young to retire. Long road ahead. All right.
30:44Thank you both. I appreciate both of you. And of course, you've got a long road ahead over the next week. We'll be in it with you together as we cover this. So thank you. And next, Dan Osborne, as I said right now, is taking on one of the richest members of Congress. It is a race that could determine who controls the Senate. That's when we were just talking about political shifting. Ken Osborne become the first non-Republican to be elected there in decades. He is next. And our K-File obtaining robocalls from Trump's Super PAC claiming they've brought down the price of everyday goods. That claim does not add up, and it's fact check.
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32:05Breaking news. New early voting numbers just into CNN from the surprising battleground state of Nebraska, which show about 218 ,000 ballots have been cast so far in the state, over 40 ,000 more than at this exact same point last midterms in 2022. The state's Senate race between the Republican Pete Ricketts and the independent Dan Osborne is a very crucial race. Could determine which party controls the Senate. This is another one of those seats everyone is looking at, a race that has gotten so tight that one of the nation's top political forecasters, as we just were talking to Dave Wasserman, his Cook Political Report, just moved it further away from Republicans, shifting it from likely to lean Republican.
32:43Of course, Trump won the state by 20 points two years ago. So Dan Osborne is now out front. And Dan, you know, we're just talking about these Midwest states. There are several of them that have, you know, from these analyses, been moving away from Republicans. But obviously a shift is a long way away from a win, right? It's likely to lean. So why would Nebraska elect the first non-Republican to the Senate for the first time in 20 years? Yeah, well, people are frustrated. Families like mine, we keep getting kicked in the teeth. Farmers getting kicked in the teeth. Ranchers with a bad beef deal.
33:20People are upset. We're upset. You know, the fact that there's 21 killed service members and over 850 wounded coming back filing VA claims for a war we had no plan of. And the cost of it is real in diesel fuel inputs, in agriculture and in our everyday lives. And you add tariffs onto that, too. It's it's just the one to punch. And, you know, folks are just wanting a fair shake really at the end of the day. So you, Dan, and Mr. Ricketts have both made affordability and the economy a key part of your campaigns, right? We have not heard that at the national level, right? Trump has said affordability is not a thing.
34:01You know, his top economist who says it's a myth. But on the campaign trail in Nebraska, both of you have been honest that it's the center. Here's some of the ads that have run. You should be able to put gas in your car and you ought to be able to buy groceries without going into debt. You shouldn't have to choose between paying your rent and buying medicine. This is not the America I grew up believing in. One vote can make a big difference. Like Pete Ricketts' vote to cut taxes for working people. Dan Osborne would have voted to raise those taxes. More money out of our pockets. Higher taxes for working Nebraskans.
34:37That's the real Dan Osborne. So your reported income last year, I mentioned this in the tease. I don't know if you were hooked up yet, but we understand was about$108 ,000. mechanic with an HVAC company. Your opponent, whose family owns the Chicago Cubs, reportedly has a net worth of at least$200 million. What does that difference mean when it comes to voters? Yeah, I think it means families that are putting Christmas on a credit card this year understand the difference of how I'm going to approach policy. And I'm going to approach it objectively based off of going and doing a 93-county tour throughout Nebraska, talking to everyday Nebraskans, the hardworking people, and understanding their plight, their trials and tribulations, and taking that to the United States Senate.
35:29And I think anybody with half a brain knows that Pete Ricketts can't possibly understand that. He's never had a bad day in his life. So that's, again, the fundamental difference. The contrast writes itself. and we are running the closest Senate race in the country because we believe on this campaign and what we talk about all the time is the words of Abraham Lincoln. This is a government by and for the people. Not for AIPAC, not for defense contractors, not for big oil, big pharma. We're tired of it. We're tired of this pay for play world. I don't take their money. I'm not going to do their bidding.
36:05And if you could find all this out on our 93 County Tour on our website, it's OsborneForSenate.com. If you want to donate to Ricketts, You could go to I support Vladimir Putin dot com and donate to him. But we're tired of it. So so, you know, this is a little bit of what you just said was clear. You've been critical of Democrat, Democratic and Republicans party. Right. You have said you will not caucus with either one of them if you're elected. OK. But the RNC has come out and said that, quote, Democrats recruited fake independent Dan Osborne to run for Senate. And they're just referring to comments made earlier today by the Nebraska Democratic Party chair who talked about what a great candidate you were.
36:48They're saying, well, because she said it, it shows that you are a fake independent. Are you worried that the Republican attacks that you're not a true independent are going to work?
37:01No, everybody knows the truth. I was recruited by railroaders who were upset at our federal delegation for taking railroad money and not passing J.D. Vance's Rail Safety Act. At the end of the day, I'm just a worker for workers. And the Democratic Party in the state of Nebraska, they know that. They know that Ricketts isn't for workers. He's never going to be. How could he be? So the thing that we have in common is we want to see Ricketts out of Nebraska politics. But all the other independents running around the country, Bill Hill in Alaska, we got Bodnar in Montana, we got South Dakota, we got Idaho, we got a firefighter in Wisconsin, we got an electrician in Alabama.
37:43What we all have in common is we hate Citizens United, we hate the money in politics, and we want to change the way the game is done because we know it's not working for our families. Dan Osborne, I appreciate your time, and thank you very much for joining us here in these last few days before Election Day. Thank you, Erin. I appreciate you. All right. And next, CNN's K-File obtaining robocalls from Trump's Super PAC. These calls claim Republicans are putting more money in Americans' pockets by doing this. Bringing down the average mortgage payment and the price of everyday goods and groceries.
38:21Well, we've got the facts on that next. And we catch up with the people who are at our town hall with James Tallarico who were undecided. Now I'm going to emphasize that. They were undecided. Where do they stand tonight?
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39:52Breaking news. Trump's PAC, MAGA Inc., gaslighting voters on the economy. K-File has the tapes. MAGA Inc. making robocalls in states across the country, claiming Republicans have brought down the cost of everyday goods, groceries and mortgage payments. Listen to one of them. Republicans have put more money in your paycheck and have made real progress in just two short years, bringing down the average mortgage payment and the price of everyday goods and groceries. The average mortgage payment that I mean, all of this is incredible. It's not true. Andrew Kaczynski obtained these robocalls. He's out front now.
40:31OK, so what more can you tell us? Well, Aaron, that claim is simply not true. I want people to look at some of the CPI index numbers. They are showing, look right there, 5.4 percent. That are overall prices that have increased since Trump returned to office in January 2025. Food prices are up 4.5%. Housing costs have risen 5.5%. And energy costs, those are up nearly 20%. Now, we found these calls targeting voters across 20 states, including many key battleground states. Now, they defended their economic record to CNN. They said things like eggs, butter, and cheese were overall lower. lower. But while some individual prices have fallen, the broader claim they made that Republicans have brought down the cost of groceries and everyday goods is contradicted by his own government's inflation.
41:24It's so interesting. When you came at her, I said they're going to say eggs because eggs is the one they have because remember there was that big issue with the avian flu. And so those have gone up so much. So that's what we call a hockey stick when you look at economic analysis, right? Something that sticks out because it is not the trend. I didn't do good these calls that are telling them that what they are experiencing every day is not true. Well, that's right. So, Aaron, the data that we obtained from NoMoRobo, it's a service that blocks unwanted robocalls and texts, shows that MAGA Inc.'s robocalls were associated with phone numbers in at least 20 states across the country.
41:59Those included some key battleground states, South Carolina, Wisconsin, Texas, Ohio, Michigan, Maine, Kansas, Florida, Iowa, and Alaska. So, as you can see from that graphic there, they are clearly trying to hit all of these very, very crucial swing states in the final push before the election. Now, MAGA Inc. spokesperson Alex Pfeiffer told CNN, quote, President Donald Trump has lowered drug prices and prices for everyday goods such as eggs and butter. The Democratic Party's inflationary agenda must be rejected by voters on Tuesday. They got eggs in twice. All right. Thank you very much, Andrew Huzinski of K-File.
42:35Well, when eggs is what you've got, that's what you've got. Out front next, we catch up with a group of undecided voters who questioned James Tallarico out our town hall. So where do they stand tonight?
42:58Breaking news, Ted Cruz warning that Republicans could lose every single statewide race in Texas on Tuesday, not just the Senate race. and the latest numbers show that more than 6 million people in Texas, 6.3 million, have already cast their ballots. And if Ted Cruz is right that the races are indeed this close, James Tallarico and Ken Paxson will need to win over every single voter that is still out there that is still undecided. And Ed Lavendera is out front. They've been lighting me up. Everyone can relate to Monica Lockett. Her phone blows up every day with campaign text messages. it's the peril of being an undecided voter.
43:36This is Ken Paxton right here. You were talking about economics, but also about capitalism. We caught up with Lockett and other undecided voters who attended the CNN town hall with Democratic Texas Senate candidate James Tallarico to see if they've reached a decision in this intensely contested race. Monica, when we first met you, you were undecided. I'm still undecided because I feel like there's an elephant in the room that no one has brought up, and that is AI. AI issues are huge for you. Yes, I'm a software engineer. It's taken me a year to find a job. So have you made a decision yet? I have decided to actually vote for Tyler Rico.
44:11I think that we need to be talking about things like data centers. These data centers are going to shape our society in the future. He seemed to be the only candidate that's really talking about that on a regular basis. So I thought that was important. Ken Paxton has talked about going after Meta, Facebook, Big Tech. Did that not resonate with you? Unfortunately, Ken Paxton wasn't there to speak up for himself. For the record, the Republican candidate, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, never responded to CNN's invitation to take part in the town hall. I'm still undecided. Still undecided. Oh, yes.
44:45You're running out of time. I am running out of time. I typically wait till election day. We met Jody Hunt near the college campus where she teaches theology. I think someone like you makes candidates very nervous. Yes, and they also like us. I mean, it's very obvious they're going after us right now. Hunt says faith and protecting life guide her voting. How would you convince me as a Catholic voter that I can trust you that you would protect the most innocent among us? I can respect anyone like you who is consistently pro-life. And I actually think there's common ground we can find here. We asked her if that exchange with Tallarico made any difference.
45:19What do you think ultimately is going to sway you one way or the other? That's what I'll be thinking about. It's like, who can I trust to actually do right by Texans? I think the Republicans didn't really put up a banger of a candidate. He comes with a lot of baggage. I like what he's done as an AG. As time has moved on, I'm beginning to like Tallarico more. Jasmine Carter met us in a coffee shop. She asked Tallarico about the economy. We cannot afford a house. And so I need you to do something about it, but I want to know what you're going to do about it. We need substantial assistance for first-time homebuyers.
45:50Who are you going to vote for, if you don't mind me asking? I am going to give Tallarico an opportunity. What is it that you heard from Tallarico that made you open to voting for him? It was how he listened. Carter says she's voted for Republicans in the past, but she's no longer confident Republicans are managing the state's rapid growth in a way that benefits most Texans. And it feels like they invited everybody to a party without instructions or a dress code. And so for me, I am just saying it is about time to maybe give someone else a shot. How would you describe yourself politically? Homeless.
46:24Tyler James asked Tallarico about what he feels is a nasty tone of this campaign. Ken Paxton says I don't have his experience and he's right. I've never been indicted for fraud. Most of the advertisements that we have seen have been smear campaigns. And whether he can work with Republicans across the aisle. He still didn't answer it. He didn't answer why he has chosen instead of doing a positive campaign for himself, he's decided to run a negative campaign against Ken Paxton. James Tallarico is a hypocrite when it comes to fighting for families. James says Paxton has also run a negative campaign, which makes this decision a struggle.
47:02A lot of independents struggle right now with they don't want to vote because they see both sides as the problem. I want to vote for somebody who's going to be that beacon for the rest of the country and for the rest of the world. A few days after we spoke with Tyler, he went to the polls with his wife, but he won't say who he voted for. Ed Lavendera, CNN, Dallas. Thanks to Ed and thanks to you. AC 360 starts now.
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The president is now rescheduling his red-state rallies after suddenly canceling them as new early voting numbers show major warning signs for the GOP. Plus, one of America’s top election forecasters moves a dozen races to the left.
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