E393 | Itxaso del Palacio⁠ (Notion Capital), ⁠⁠Nico Goulet⁠ (Adara Ventures⁠⁠) & Stefan Mores⁠ (⁠Indico Capital Partners): Investing and scaling in Portugal

26 Dec 2024 · 59 min

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In short

EUVC Podcast Episode Notes: E393 - Investing and Scaling in Portugal

Episode Overview In this episode of the EUVC podcast, Dan Taylor, along with esteemed guests Itxaso del Palacio (Notion Capital), Nico Goulet (Adara Ventures), and Stefan Mores (Indico Capital Partners), explores the dynamics of the Iberian startup and venture capital ecosystem, with a focus on Portugal and Spain. The discussion delves into the strengths, challenges, and future potential of investing and scaling in this region.

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Key Participants

  • Dan Taylor - Director of Content at CEW Communications
  • Itxaso del Palacio - General Partner at Notion Capital
  • Nico Goulet - Founding Partner at Adara Ventures
  • Stefan Mores - Managing Partner at Indico Capital Partners

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Introduction

  • Dan Taylor opens the discussion reflecting on the current venture capital landscape and acknowledges the rise of Iberia as an innovative hub.
  • The episode is funded by the Co-Investing Project, aimed at enhancing transparency across European investment ecosystems.

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Main Discussion Points

  1. Attractiveness of Iberia as a Tech Hub
  2. Talent Pool: Availability of skilled technical talent from reputable universities at competitive costs.
  3. Smart Money: Emergence of knowledgeable local funds that understand the startup landscape and support founders.
  4. Growth Mindset: Increasing ambition among entrepreneurs influenced by exposure to successful exits and global markets.
  1. Comparison Between Portugal and Spain
  2. Stefan Mores describes Portugal's flexibility and problem-solving mindset, attracting talent and encouraging creativity.
  3. Nico Goulet emphasizes Spain's robust banking sector that cultivates a strong cybersecurity industry, offering local startups global exposure and potential customers.
  4. Ichazo del Palacio underlines the benefits of proximity to larger markets and the scalability of businesses in both regions.
  1. Challenges Facing Startups in Iberia
  2. Local Market Limitations: Some startups face difficulties growing beyond local markets.
  3. Investor and Entrepreneur Alignment: Misalignment in ambitions between investors and entrepreneurs, often due to the high quality of life in Iberia leading to some small exits.
  4. Capital Access: Difficulty in securing large investments compared to more mature markets such as the US or northern Europe.
  1. Future of the Iberian Startup Ecosystem
  2. Expectations: Insights from panelists include potential for several category leaders emerging in the next 3-5 years and a rise in fund sizes.
  3. Market Dynamics: The necessity for Iberian startups to demonstrate explosive growth to attract investment from larger funds based in London or Silicon Valley.
  1. Competitive Landscape in Tech
  2. There is concern about the growing technological divide, particularly in deep tech and AI, as startups in Europe might struggle against giants in the US and China.
  3. Panelists acknowledge the need to strengthen educational foundations in Europe to compete effectively in deep tech sectors.

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Key Takeaways

  • Iberia is Emerging: Both Portugal and Spain are establishing themselves as significant players in the European VC landscape due to their innovative ecosystems and access to global markets.
  • Investor Confidence is Crucial: Building a track record of successful exits will help in attracting larger funds and reinforcing investor confidence in Iberia.
  • Future Opportunities: There is optimism about the future of Iberian startups, particularly in sectors like AI, cybersecurity, and fintech, with expectations of successful IPOs and exits.

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Conclusion The conversation concludes with a positive outlook for the Iberian startup ecosystem, highlighting its potential for growth and innovation despite current challenges.

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Contact Information

  • Itxaso del Palacio: [LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/in/itxasodp/)
  • Nico Goulet: [LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/in/ngoulet)
  • Stefan Mores: [LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephanmorais/)

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For more insights on European VC, follow the podcast and explore more at [eu.vc](https://eu.vc).

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Transcript

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0:00All right, all right, all right. My name is Dan Taylor. I am Director of Communications at CEW. Thank you for joining us this morning for this webinar. Andrea sends his apologies. I guess being a dad and being a full-time hustler is a tricky thing to balance. So he's asked me to step in. Today we are going to be talking about investing and scaling in Iberia, a European perspective. Now, obviously, Iberia, we're going to be talking about the dynamic ecosystems of Portugal and Spain, and hopefully exploring their roles within the broader European venture landscape. You don't need me to tell you that the market right now is, well, as Stefan and I were discussing before this show, surfing choppy waters.

0:44Maybe it's good for Stefan. We're going to find out. But Iberia continues to emerge as a hotspot of innovation and investment. Today's discussion, I have to do the shout out. It is part of a deal. It is part of the Co-Investing Project, an EU-funded initiative aimed at connecting and enhancing transparency across Europe's diverse investment ecosystems. Hopefully I got that right. They're the ones funding this. So, yeah, let's hope that I got the words right. Obviously, you can see our esteemed panelists that have joined us today. I'll let them give a brief introduction. but we've got Nico Goulet from Adara Ventures, Ichazo de Palacio from Notion, and Stepan Mores from Indico.

1:30Ichazo, can you give us a 10 second intro of who you are, what you do, all the fun stuff? I'm amazed how well you pronounce my name. I don't think ever, apart from Stephan who also did another interview with me, obviously pronouncing it so properly. But yeah, my name is Ichazo. I'm a general partner at notion notion capital we are a specialist fund based in london we invest in b2b software we've been doing this for 15 years so we pioneered a little bit the b2b support investment in europe we are entrepreneurial and an operator mindset fund everyone within the company had either and operating or entrepreneurial background before joining Notion.

2:19And I'll probably add to that that we come as a team because when you get an investment from Notion, you don't only get an investor who sits on the board, but rather you get an investor with a platform team and go-to-market team. And so we try to really be there in good times and in bad times and support you and guide you through the journey. Just from this conversation, just to frame it, even though we are in London, myself, I'm Spanish. You already figured that out from my accent, right? I can't hide that one. My name is different because I'm from Basque country, so my name is Basque. And we've done a couple of investments in Iberia, including Kobe that we sold a couple of months ago, a month ago or so, to Plexi, maybe a bubble in Portugal that we'll talk about in a little bit.

3:10and Kledara, which is a Spanish founder. And then we have a bunch of small investments here and there in the earlier stages. Lovely, lovely. Thank you for that. Nico, can you, do you want to jump in? Yep, Nico Goulet, one of the founding partners of Adara Ventures. We've been around for about 20 years. In fact, next year is our 20 years. It's the first closing of our first fund. Investing out of Spain, Madrid, mainly in b2b enterprise plays so a lot of cyber security a lot of data plays more recently some digital health currently raising our fourth generation of funds which is going to be actually divided in two segments one is going to be a an energy fund and the other is going to be a more traditional flagship looking at the same sectors as we've done traditionally we already have the closing on the energy fund and we should be moving towards a closing on the on the flagship fund within the next few weeks which is which we are hopeful for our focus over the last 20 years has really been on companies that were globalizing quickly uh originally out of spain but very quickly we started doing stuff also in other european countries including portugal including the uk where about 25 to 30 percent of our dollars get invested.

4:37And looking at companies where the origin of the company can be in a given country, but very quickly they become global players. So the notion of where a company is is a little bit diffused. We can talk about where companies were born and what that impact might have on them going forward or what sort of attributes it gives them. But at the end of the day, I think all of us here are involved in companies where the whole point is for them to be increasingly global from day one. And that's definitely a trend we've seen over the last 20 years, more and more, and particularly in companies coming from Portugal, coming from Spain.

5:16The ability to be global from day one is markedly different from what it was 20 years ago. we have a small team growing actually but small about 15 people out of Madrid and and we are quite international in the team I would say we have about seven nationalities involved people from Scotland people from France a few Spaniards to keep to keep our national flag going there but all in all I think our objective is to become one of the, I wouldn't say a pan-European but a specialist fund that operates in the five countries that are our focus which are Spain, Portugal, France Italy and the UK Awesome, awesome Great, Stefan, wrap us up I mean that's it, you know one of the reasons that I ask panelists to introduce themselves is because it gives me a sense of how well you prepared for this panel and I think you've actually just covered questions 4, 6 and 12 just in those intros.

6:25So, Stefan, you might have seen some of these questions ahead of time. If you cover 2, 6 and 8, we can all go have lunch. Exactly, exactly. I'll try to do that a little bit in a shorter version maybe. So, Stefan Buraj, managing partner and founder of Indico Capital Partners, VC early stage fund based out of Lisbon. Been doing VC for about 10 years. been involved we've been involved in six unicorns and have about 50 companies in the portfolio we're currently in in our fifth fund and basically the companies have raised three billion and they're mostly b2b sas companies and a few marketplaces as well we started by focusing primarily in companies related to portugal and i say related because a lot of the portuguese founders are in the us and so we've invested quite a lot in the us and we've also invested obviously in Spain and more recently we've started investing in Italy as well.

7:20So I would say we are an early stage Southern European focused fund and we also have a blue fund which is kind of pan-European and even with investments in the US. And basically like my friends Nico and Ichazo said, we focus on companies that go global from day one because that's the only way to sort of make it happen in the global VC market. So that's basically it. Right, right. Excellent. Excellent. Okay, thank you for that. That gives me a bit more insight of exactly who I'm talking to. I did do my research as well, but hearing it straight from the horse's mouth is always best. Let's get the show rolling.

8:01This is for all of you. You know, all jokes aside, I mean, yes, we know the weather's great. We know the food is great. That's great. But that doesn't necessarily make for all things that an ecosystem desires and needs. So, again, for all of you, and I'll let you find out who goes first on this one, but what makes Portugal and Iberia an attractive tech hub within Europe? How? I mean, what? You know, there's Berlin, there's London. What makes it different and what makes it best or better? I can go. You can go. So, yeah, we all know, I think, if we look at those tech hubs rankings, we all know that cities like Madrid, Barcelona, and Lisbon have emerged very much on the top.

8:56And many times, in fact, they are in the top five after just London, Berlin, Paris, and Amsterdam. So, that's a reality. I think there are three things. I will mention three things. I'm pretty sure everybody else in the call will have some other ideas, but they will mention three things. One of them, and I think we all would agree, is the critical mass of talent. and that comes down to very good technical talent from good universities at a good price let's say great people that you can attract for an amazing quality of life come to Portugal come to Spain and they want to live well and you can hire really good talent either locals or coming from abroad The second thing is smart money.

9:49And I think this is very, very important. Smart money. In the last specifically 10 days, I know Nico has been operating for 20 years, but I'm pretty sure you were one of the only ones in Spain doing a little bit of venture at the time. In the last 10 years, a lot of funds have emerged and funds who understand the tech game, startup game. They understand what are the terms, the support that the founders need. They have empathy with the founders. They know that they cannot take a 30 to 40 percent of the business in a seed round because otherwise there is no way anybody invests there. And that was not happening before.

10:30So this is smart money. Those are investors who are pushing founders to go global from day one. They are not looking locally. They are looking to build big businesses. And I think that is absolutely important. Local funds, even though they are small, they are very good. And I think that's definitely we need to acknowledge that. And the third one I would probably say is the growth mindset. There is a clear growth mindset that you can see today in those Iberian cities, which I'm not sure if we could see it again seven, eight years ago. And that comes a lot from that critical mass of people who have worked at unicorns and other very fast growing businesses.

11:15They've been educating. They are the alumni of those businesses. They learn what it takes to build a big business. And they have gotten that virus of going global and going global fast. and I think those three things are very very important I would probably say

11:34building up the building up the flywheel yeah if I could add if I could add to that I mean I totally agree with the chess so that's exactly what it is you know great technical flexible and hard-working local talent that's really really key then something related to the to the food and sunshine, you know, very easy to attract great foreign talent. I think one thing you saw maybe 10 years ago was, you know, great technical talent, but maybe not so much in sort of sales and marketing. And now you can actually find in Iberia increasingly world-class talent in terms of sales and marketing and other functions that you need to grow your company.

12:12And that was not there before. This is, in general, accompanied by, you know, fairly lower costs compared to northern europe and certainly to to the us and that's important also um and and it comes from from having these sort of great universities and and great uh sort of living conditions that people want to have a balanced uh life and and to sort of make an impact in in the world the other thing uh which i also touched upon i wanted to reinforce is this mentality of of going global from day one and the reason is that when you have a fairly small this you see particularly in portugal but also increasingly in spain when you really don't have a local market and when people realize that the global market uh sometimes needs to start with the us because that's where the where you either sink or swim the fact that you have no local market is an advantage sometimes countries that are really big or kind of medium-sized big they fall the companies fall into the trap of staying local for a long time that does not happen with portuguese companies because they have no local market um and and increasingly doesn't happen with with the spanish companies that also have targeted many times the sort of latin america but when you look at the really big success cases and the younger generation of spanish companies they're actually targeting the US as well.

13:37Sure. Yep. Yep. Yep. I mean, just off the top of my head, we know when you when you were mentioning that it makes me think of France and Germany immediately. Huge home markets. I saw it day in, day out as a journalist. I see it day in, day out working in communications. French and German firms in particular tend to stay at home because, well, there's enough money there and they can get by and survive for quite some time. Stefan, let's talk about, and Nico, I do want to get your input on this, but I want to frame it a different way. Stefan, you're on the ground in Portugal. Sell me on Portugal.

14:18What strengths does the Portuguese ecosystem have that I'm not going to find in Spain and I'm certainly not going to find in Germany or for us? Look, I think that given the nature of the economy and sort of the hard times that we've had over the decades, it is true that a lot of people, when they graduate, they go abroad, but many come back and many stay. And increasingly they stay and increasingly they come back. And so there's this deep sense of nothing is taken for granted. I think you've seen recently the emergence of corporates with you know very big corporates u.s corporates paying well but traditionally you know the job market has not been so strong and that has created for the good and for the better certain hunger not literal but a certain hunger to sort of prove yourself and to work hard and make things happen and i think you know the the portuguese kind of ethos has always been of flexibility and where people sort of try to solve problems and i often say that in sort of in the industrial age, if you were a little bit too flexible and thinking outside of the norms, that was not good for your factory.

15:29You know, you just have to do your work and get it done A, B, C, A, B, C every day. But in the startup world and in a more flexible and creative economy, actually this mentality of solving problems and doing things differently, which sometimes is a hindrance when you want to do things always in the same way, in the startup economy, in the creative economy, it's actually a big plus. So that's why we've seen not only in the startup world, but in the creative industries, a lot of great companies coming out of Portugal, a lot of great events being born and happening here. And I think we really have a particular advantage of not having a market and at the same time, having very creative, but a very, very hardworking population that also tends to stay in the same job for a little longer.

16:18I think what we see, for example, in the US and in some European markets where there's a huge, huge turnover and people just stay on the job for three months, six months, one year and are constantly changing. You see, you don't see that as much in Portugal. And that's great. And then, of course, you know, Lisbon and the whole country has been a huge, huge magnet for a number of reasons. I'd say the only comparable place in Spain is like Barcelona and obviously bigger even than Lisbon and for longer. but you attract a large, large, you have a capacity to attract so much talent from abroad because of this idea of the lifestyle that you end up having a very, very diverse ecosystem.

17:00And I'd say that now Lisbon is like a mini London, really. There's people from all over the world. People keep on, you know, every week, there's people getting in touch saying, oh, I'm going to be moving to Lisbon. I'd love to speak to you. I'd love to sort of present my idea and raise capital and so on. And that's a huge advantage for the ecosystem. Yeah, yeah, yeah, I absolutely agree. I have a number of friends who have also relocated to Lisbon. Nico, I want to put you up, defend Spain. And I will say this as well. I mean, CEW's unfounded, Kathy White, she and her husband exited before the UK Brexited.

17:41So there was this mass immigration to Europe while we were still part of the European Union. So I know and have experienced firsthand the draw of Barcelona. Nico, talk to me, sell me on Spain. Why, you know, if I'm a, well, I am a top talent and I want to relocate, why should I be going to Spain over Portugal? Well, I don't think there's really a... I mean, other than other than other than I wouldn't, you know, I would say, you know, Spain has a lot of the characteristics that Stefan was was was was playing out. I'd say historically, you know, when we were investing way back 20 years ago, our thesis was basically very good engineers and very cheap.

18:45So that has changed with the still high quality. And product of money. And talent is building increasingly.

19:06companies from day one in Spain. Part about Spain is indeed, part of it is the lifestyle. I think there are certain industries that benefit in Spain specifically. And this is an angle that we haven't talked about yet. But one of the things that we, one of the reasons we've done a lot of cybersecurity is that the reality is that, you know, a lot of the Spanish banking system actually had a very global footprint compared to even other European countries or very much so compared to the US companies. So the Spanish banks very quickly had a had a footprint which made their cyber risk profile extremely high.

19:43And these were essentially companies that were out there globally sourcing cyber solutions, which made local entrepreneurs in the cyberspace having to compete against global players very early on and created a very strong ecosystem of cybersecurity companies in Spain. and this effect of having strong global buyers of technology close by is very important. And I think Portugal has a strong, I mean, Portugal is a smaller country, as Stefan pointed out, and has been, you know, the notion of having to be global in Portugal is true not only for startups, it's true for the whole industrial, the whole industrial and commercial sort of footprint of Portugal.

20:27So Portugal is a very, very global country from day one, right, from the moment everybody's starting up their companies and even for the larger companies. And this phenomenon in Spain happens in certain industries very strongly, including the banking sector, including the utilities sector, including the telecom sector, which traditionally have been very, very expansive. it's true to Latin America and in our view one of the points that was made about the Latin American sort of growth axis from Spain, we think that the growth axis on the consumer side is a bit of a fallacy it's a it's basically something which has not necessarily worked out so well for a lot of companies but what is true is that the fact that a lot of the companies industrial companies so for b2b companies to be working with Santander you're going to have a very strong global exposure to all the affiliates of Santander if you're a b2b company working with Telefonica you're going to have an extremely high and strong global footprint and that makes it quite attractive because you do need to have customers strong powerful customers close by to be able to start up you know it's good you can sell to the US from Spain but if you can be in Madrid and sell to Madrid to a global footprint, it's even better.

21:50And I think that's the one thing that I would highlight about about Spain. And that's, you know, it's continuing and it's growing and it continues to be to be very strong on the weather. I think we're at a par if you depend with me. But I could add I could add something else, actually, Nico. Exactly. Here it's colder, but I can certainly add something in defense of Spain. I mean, if you look at the exits pattern, because also the VC industry in Spain is older and more mature. Number one, you have more funds which are with more capacity. So the bigger funds and older with more capacity, with more expertise.

22:25And then you have kind of an exit market, you know, particularly in small transactions. You've actually seen, you know, Spanish companies being sold locally. Not the huge transactions, but the little ones. And in Portugal, that is not possible because there's no buyers, right? So the Spanish market is more mature, has more volume. And therefore, yes, they need to go global, but you can start stronger locally and you can also sell your company locally if needed at a certain level. And you can't do that in Portugal. So you really have to do global and be huge or you'll go nowhere. Right. Okay, cool.

23:00Excellent. Excellent. Nico, you dropped out a little bit there. And I think actually that typifies the Spanish attitude. Folks, if you haven't figured out, Nico is actually still on holiday. I think hence the T-shirt and the... Nico, are you at the beach or are you in the mountain? Where are you? At the beach. Folks, if there were any doubt about why the Iberian ecosystem is the place to be, Nico just typified it through a technical error. But Ichazo, I see you closing a term sheet over there. So I want to loop you back in the conference. I can see you doing it. I know you're doing a multimillion dollar deal right now while we're live on air.

23:43It's fantastic. I want to get your opinion. Let's zoom out. Wow, I just used an industry buzzword. Let's zoom out while we circle back to a pan-European viewpoint. point, how does Iberia compare to the other markets that you engage with? Strengths, weaknesses, pluses, minuses. So I think obviously has some similar things and some differences. Clearly, I'm not at the beach. I'm in this little booth here. There is no sun outside. But I mean, it is similar in terms of I think the community everywhere in Europe is growing very fast, is moving very fast. I think there is a clear mobility and collaboration.

24:30I think Nico just mentioned some incredible corporates and multinationals based in Spain. And I think the mobility and the collaboration, some of those are the corporates that are moving faster and adopting technologies. I mean, Santander and BBVA, How many of us are looking at companies who are working in POC, selling to them? So they are the fast adopting corporates. And that's absolutely fantastic, right, in the mentality perspective in that way. I think in terms of differences, I would probably say that, apart from the sun and all of that that you already just mentioned and so on, I'd probably say that we could do with some larger funds that can follow up the investment of the earlier stage companies.

25:25Not necessarily because it's necessary to stay in the country, but I do think that having some knowledge, right? I talk to companies and they are like, now I want some money, just more cash. And once we have the knowledge of the place, probably I just would need money. But in this case, they could provide some knowledge about the country. And there are many, I mean, I'm looking at companies right now in France and in Germany, and they are very attracted to work, in fact, with me because I know Spain and maybe closer to Italy and those markets where they want to enter them. And there are not that many investors who, in fact, understand that.

26:07So I think having more money, it is important. I think we also mentioned it a little bit, but one difference is the access, the very easy access to Latin America, to the Latam market, and to be able to sell there very, very quickly. Latam and Europe. So it's right in the middle for both of them. And then obviously they have the opportunity of the US, which is something that all the European countries have, right? and I probably say that lower cost of very talented people you are able to build that company I would probably say Europe in general is much more loyal than the US

26:53in terms of retention of employees and things like that so I think that's a difference maybe not with Europe in general but definitely with the US for sure. Okay, excellent. Thank you for that. I do want to touch on something here because it's been mentioned a couple of times and I've experienced it as well firsthand. Lisbon used to be cheap. It's not cheap anymore. Barcelona used to be tourist friendly. It's not so tourist friendly anymore. This is for all of you. Have the cost of living increases in in Lisbon and Portugal abroad, and the anti, I don't want to say anti-foreigner, because that, you know, we'll save that for Germany and their new government.

27:41So we'll say the anti-tourist movement in Barcelona. Have either of these movements, developments affected companies' ability to recruit, to grow, to scale?

27:57Stefan? I mean, not in my view. I think that, you know, ultimately the cost difference was quite large. It is now smaller compared to other markets, but the cost advantage is still there. And at the same time, really, I think it's part of our industry to sort of, in a way, contribute to the upgrading of the economy and the job creation. you know i mean these people here are just as good as people anywhere else so they should kind of obviously the salaries needed to increase i think this was a bigger problem in portugal the salaries were really low so they increased more and real estate prices as well with the particularly with the incoming foreigner population um but i still see uh startups relocating here and recruiting people locally and bringing sort of expats and people in here.

28:49So I think it was actually very positive for the economy and hopefully it will have a sort of a trickle down effect on other parts of the economy. So I don't think we've lost totally the competitive cost thing. And overall for the economy, it's really important that salaries go up and that, you know, the average level of salaries and of the economy goes up because, you know, we are South Europe, but we cannot be always behind the average or much lower than the Northern Europe. So I think it's good. Nico, any thoughts? I think there's still a massive differential between somebody the way somebody can live in Spain and the way in Portugal and the way somebody can live in in London.

29:31Right. To have the same quality of life, you probably have to pay them two to three times more for London than you do here. and we are seeing that in we see it not only in the portfolio companies we see it even with our own you know associates and principals we can bring in from business schools we're bringing people at salaries which each other would probably faint on compared to what you have to pay out there in London each other so so I think that the cost angle is still there But I think in the end, ours is not a cost business, right? Ours is about creating high quality companies and attracting not the most cost efficient, but the best talent ever for our companies.

30:19And I think that the attractiveness of Spain and Portugal is there. we see conversations happening all the time around portfolio companies talking to potential CEOs, to potential senior management team members with real interest from people for actually moving here again and again. And I think that that works well. I think Portugal actually has a benefit over Spain. Spain, we have this little thing here about Barcelona versus the rest of Spain. and that actually, in our opinion, has harmed the attractiveness. Barcelona's attractiveness over the last years has declined. We now see more difficulty in bringing senior members to the teams in Barcelona than we do in Madrid or in other areas because that kind of environment is not so productive and doesn't help around things like schools and all of those different elements.

31:25It just creates another noise level, which is not so helpful. Portugal has a very homogeneous and consistent offer. The water is a little bit colder in the south than in the north, contrary to what one would think. But I think when you can choose Porto, Lisbon, south, you know those are great places to be and with a very consistent offer and what they have what they do right so we have teams that are you know with with with people living in in the algaaf and portu and lisbon and and london and madrid and you know of course completely virtual and uh and the portuguese ones are the ones that are really um usually the most smiling ones on the come from schools.

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32:17Right. Okay, good, good, good. Maybe colder water, but arguably better surf. Stefan and I can argue about that later. Nico, thanks for that. You did mention a couple times, I picked up schools and education. So I want to loop it back to Dr. De Palazzo. And I do highlight that because anybody who has obtained that level of education, I respect it. And I do want to mention it. So maybe Dr. Del Palacio, who is also, in addition to being a general partner at Notion, Ichazo is an associate professor at the University College of London. So perhaps maybe even best to speak on this topic. Ichazo, talk to me about some of the challenges.

33:03I mean, Nico just highlighted some, but in your opinion, what are some of the challenges facing startups in Iberia and how do they compare to other european markets yeah so i would probably um say that um some of the challenges maybe let me think about it first i would probably say that um the companies

33:35I don't know. I'm trying to think what are the main challenges in Iberia. I'm just trying to think what are the main challenges that they, in some cases, we've been talking a lot about the global market. But I think in some cases, what I see is that some companies start pretty local and they have difficulties to grow internationally so that's one of the things um the second thing i would probably say is that while we were talking about the quality of life which is amazing um that also sometimes disturbs the or disturbs or creates um some differences on the goals of the investors and the entrepreneurs when we build companies.

34:25And I think there is sometimes some misalignment. I'm not probably going to say that this is a challenge to start a business. It is a challenge for investors and it is a challenge to build global businesses. So we've seen a lot of small exits coming out, specifically from some of the Iberian countries. And that creates a challenge for everyone around the table when we are looking for big innovations and big businesses that are global category leaders. And that, I don't know if that is, I really can't say if that is related to the good quality of life. Because obviously if someone is making 10 million, 20 million and you have a pretty low cost of living and you have an incredible life.

35:27So I think that is something that creates definitely a little challenge. Is it fair to say that the quality of life in Iberia is almost counterproductive to getting the work done that needs to get done? I mean, Microsoft was based and grown in Seattle, where the weather is absolutely beautiful all the time. It's not a coincidence, right? So is the lifestyle too good to build? I wouldn't say that. I think people work really hard. In fact, Okay. People work really, really hard. During the time they are building the company, I mean, there is no, like, going around. And, no, I mean, my founders are working really hard.

36:13And founders that I made, I worked really hard. And I think, in fact, I'm going to point to an article that was written by a media that you all know talking about type form in Barcelona and accusing them from being in Barcelona because of their good quality of life and maybe they had to fire people because they couldn't reach their revenues. That is not true. I found out, reduced the article, and I think many of you read it. And look, companies fire people because they need to be stable. Revenues need to follow the growth of the company. And that's what they need to do when they need to do it.

36:52You know, there is no need for media to be making any noise around that. nobody likes to fire people, let's put it this way. But they were mentioning that point of not having committed people and too much beach time. I don't think that is the case. I think Stephanie is going to jump in. Yeah, I agree with each other. I think there's a number of issues here which form challenges. I think the number one issue is that, again, these are younger ecosystems you have less role models i think until until five years ago 10 years ago there were really no success cases so when you're starting a company if you if you haven't seen it happen if you haven't seen people doing these massive exits you don't believe in it when i came back to portugal 10 years ago we were studying i met for example christina who is my co-founder here at indico and she she found a talk desk and then she founded another company that she sold to Zendesk, she was one of the first founders to say, you know, I want to go global in Silicon Valley and I want to build a unicorn with her partner, Tiago.

38:03And they did it, but there's just so few. And there's actually been so few big, major exits. So we feel that the entrepreneurs still don't see, yeah, they see the entrepreneurs in the US and sometimes in North Europe, but you need to see local entrepreneurs doing massive exits so that you believe that you can do it yourself. So it takes time for the wheel to sort of turn. And there's very few repeat entrepreneurs. And I think this is where sometimes the level of ambition is a little bit lower because the examples are just not as close to home as they are in other countries. But this will change with time and with exits and with money being made by entrepreneurs and investors and so on, which is just starting.

38:41Funds are, you know, all these funds are five, ten year old funds, right? The ecosystem is just starting and we can't move faster than this. The second thing is I think there's still a problem with capital. Nico and D 'Chassa were saying, you know, the local funds are still fairly small. They should be a bit bigger and they're starting to develop the expertise, but there are no LPs in the region. It's extremely difficult to fundraise for funds, so it's difficult for the funds to grow. And so you need access to capital. And the truth is when we see funds based out of London or New York or the Valley coming over to Iberia, the bar is higher.

39:24They would demand more numbers, more traction and more explosive growth to invest in Iberia as opposed to investing in their local markets. Because that's not in nature. It's normal human nature that you're used to your market. In your market, you're more comfortable with the risk. In other markets, you're less comfortable with the risk. So for the Iberian startups to really get on the radar of these major funds based out of London or out of Silicon Valley, they need to see explosive growth. And that's hard, right? So it's harder. The bar to attract capital in Iberia is much, much, much harder.

40:00The last thing, which I think is a more long term issue and that is kind of a little bit more worrying, is that 10 years ago you were competing for SaaS solutions or mobile apps. nowadays you're competing for generative ai and sort of really really deep tech and that worries me a little bit more because i think that we're no longer talking about the same sort of technological advantage or disadvantage or competitiveness that we were when we saw the first unicorns coming out of iberia in the last 10 years i think now we're seeing a different competitive landscape and there i'm not so sure that europe in general and south europe in particular are ready to for that battle so i think we have to go back into the drawing board and think about universities about deep tech and so on because there i think we're falling behind a little bit in terms of the quality of the deal flow in europe and particularly in south europe so i think we were more competitive 10 years ago when when it was easier to innovate and i think it's getting harder and harder to become competitive.

41:05So the bar is going higher. So I think there's issues which are fundamentally off time, you know, role models and funds getting bigger and so on with results. But I think we're now entering a stage where I'm a bit uneasy about, you know, the quality of deal flow when we're talking about, you know, really, really complicated stuff and being a global category leader in categories that are totally new and super deep tech. Yeah. In fact, Nico started talking and Nico, you started investing 20 years ago and you've invested a lot in cyber. This is an area that in Spain has a heritage and there were probably many more companies in cyber at the time.

41:48and maybe we are seeing less and less and much more thinner application layers. I think countries like France, for example, and it comes down to what Stefan is mentioning, I think they've done incredibly well from the education side to really integrate all this deep tech. And it's not a coincidence that some of the mistrals and the age company and so on and so on are coming out of there. And I think probably that is a good, a very good point. And I think that's why we are not seeing that much cloud infrastructure, cloud and an AI companies or deep tech companies either. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Great.

42:33Thanks. Thanks for that both. And I'm super happy to hear deep tech. I'm super happy to hear AI because, you know, it's the pink elephant in the room that we absolutely cannot ignore. Nico, we haven't heard from you in a bit, so I'm wondering if you can chime in. What is to be done in Europe? I mean, can Europe compete with the Americas and, quite honestly, China? What needs to happen or do we just say, you know what, we can't keep up with this, we're just going to go look elsewhere?

43:08I don't know the answer to that question. I'm not even going to pretend that I know the answer to that question. I think there are several factors that impinge on what is going to happen in the future. One is, as Stefan pointed out, the educational substrate. And, you know, I don't believe that the educational substrate is lesser now in Southern Europe, simply because the access to the content is totally global. So those students that have the curiosity and the ability can just go out and get it. 100 % of MIT's courses are available online for free, right? Different from having been admitted to MIT and going to MIT, et cetera, et cetera.

44:00But the availability of the content is global. I think it's normal that a country like Portugal with 8 million people has a lesser density of, not density, the lesser number of people that are at that same level in the U.S. where the density of universities, et cetera, et cetera, is just huge. and therefore the ability also to fund all those research programs etc etc it is much greater in the US than it is elsewhere and yeah and China you know it's all government funded so that they of course have a huge benefit but I don't think there's a structural difference in the populations that makes it more difficult for them to to compete on these areas when I think you know if I look back in history you know similar thing happened with the semiconductors If you remember, semiconductors were a hot investment area in 2005, 2008.

44:58We, in fact, made investments in semiconductor in Europe, and we made money on our semiconductor investments in Europe in our first fund. And we didn't do any in the second fund or the third fund. You went from technologies down to the 65 nanometers, which were, you know, you could do a mask for half a million dollars. So a startup with two million in investment could go out and build out you know chips I have chips on my desk from one of our startups which was company called elastics and elastic clocks very advanced they did a tape out with TSMC it cost them 250 ,000 right 65 nanometers as all the SOC's moved into the sub 10 nanometer geometries that wiped out the ability of any startup to do anything in that area what's happening now with the LLMs is something similar right the ability to go out and build an LLM is prohibitive So what's got to happen is the same effect as when edge computing started coming along and created a renewed need for the higher geometries and going back to some of the basics.

46:00That same phenomena is going to happen. I don't know what it's going to look like, but that same phenomena will happen in cloud computing and in AI, because you will need that pushing the technologies out to the edge. But you can't have it all centralized in the same way. The LLMs are gone forever, and they'll always be, you know, the same way TSMC has a monopoly and makes Taiwan so important geostrategically is going to happen with LLMs as well. That's why countries are building their LLMs. That's why Saudi Arabia has gone out and built its LLM. Those are, if we think AI is doing, is building LLMs, then that's not going to be, you know, that's gone for smaller, for the whole smaller company ecosystems.

46:41But I think if we are patient and we build up the content capability and the ability of people to understand what's going on, you're going to have a lot of stuff that has to be developed all around that and all the wrapping that has to come around it. And that's going to be very profitable for funds, by the way, because those are going to be companies where we can make real money, which, by the way, is the end objective of all funds. sometimes you know i i know where that's crazy on the entrepreneurs but we have to remember that the objective is to get into companies at reasonable valuations and to sell them a reasonable valuation so you know we talk a lot about unicorns but we at a dollar believe that dragons are a lot more important than unicorns um and uh and in the end what you want is the ability to have companies which have enough growth in the course that you follow with them as a fund in order to generate a very significant return and be able to recycle all that money back into the system and continue the whole wave.

47:44And I think that is going to happen with AI. So I'm not at all, I'm actually not worried at all. I'm just conscious that we have to figure out when that opportunity is going to come and what it's going to look like. all right good stefan i saw you're kind of flagging do you have something to add here no i was there was just a fly that was flying here and i just wanted to get out well fair enough okay but as long as i got you here um nico highlighted semiconductors um can you can you point out some deep tech successes because maybe i've pointed uh painted the picture a bit doom and gloom. And that's my journalism sensationalist story, you know, kicking in.

48:26But Ichazo and Stefan, and I'm also mindful of the time, you know, talk to us about some of the deep tech successes that have come out of Iberia or maybe even ones that are in the works that we should be keeping our eyes on right now. I mean, I don't need to go very far because in my portfolio, obviously we have fan bubble, which as Nico said, LLMs have been with us for a long time. They've been doing machine translation and using LLMs for that. And it is a company that does exactly that. So Bill has built LLMs for machine translation in house, and they are training those models with a human in the loop.

49:08And so the first application that they use are the most common applications is on the customer service space. But basically what they do is you have a centralized customer service that only speaks one language that can be English, but it can be Spanish, Filipino, whatever it is. And so they get tickets, they answer in their own language, and it is translated or corrected by a semi-professional translator or on their phone before it goes to the customer, which retrofits to the algorithm and continues to create a better user experience. So this company grew pretty fast. In COVID, it got a little bit to a plateau, but now has started again to grow a lot.

49:58And we are, I mean, even though other LLMs are out there, the translation has still a way to go. In many countries, in many languages, sorry, because obviously there are a lot of long-tail languages that is not Spanish or English or Portuguese, you know what I mean? And all the rest are still pretty clunky. So, yeah, that's an example based in Lisbon. yeah it's our common company between indico and uh and notion we co-invested at series a and and actually i would i would add another one uh in also in our portfolio anchorage uh which shows how you know the the the portuguese and spanish diaspora are so important and this is why we invest so many times in the us because this is a you know a a company um that is basically a custodian for crypto assets uh the first federally charted uh crypto bank in the us so anchorage digital started by a portuguese and an american founder in the us but with a strong team here in portugal and nowadays all over the world and invested by some of the best funds in the world and and by many global financial institutions as well and it shows that i think I think the Iberian ecosystem is really not only about the people that are here.

51:21We always say that we invest in these southern European countries, but also in the Portuguese, Spanish and Italians all over the world and all the foreigners that live in this country. So it's pretty global. Although there is a regional focus, the truth is, as Nico was saying, these companies are global from day one, one way or the other. Either it's because the people are from all over the world or because they have multiple offices, remote or not remote, all over the world. And quite often, some of our best investments and some of our unicorns, if not all of them, they've been American to a certain extent, co-founded by Iberian founders and then American founders.

52:02Okay. All right. Good. Thank you. It looks like we've got time for one more question. And I'm going to skip down the list of questions, obviously, to the one that I always love asking anybody that I interview, because this is your chance to either get it horribly, horribly right or horribly, horribly wrong. So from each of you, I'll pose the question. Give me a look into your crystal ball. Tell me what the Iberian startup and VC system looks like five years from now. Ichazo, go. I definitely think there will be three to five category leaders in different areas. For sure, we will be able to see some of those.

52:44I would probably say funds a little bit bigger too. There we go. All right. Good, good. Stefan, what do you think? I would add to that that in three to five years, there will be a few YPOs and major exits coming out of Iberian companies that we had not seen before because they'll be ripe for exit in the next three to five years, particularly when the next IPO window opens up. Okay, let's really gamble right now. Give me two names and we'll come back three to five years from now and watch this and see if you're right. Two names of companies that are going to IPO within the next three to five years that hail from Iberia.

53:22Go. The two that we just mentioned, I think that Anchorage Digital and Babel and Babel are good candidates in our portfolio, for example. All right. Putting my bets in on Anchorage right now. All right. Nico, anything different? Come on, be controversial. Tell me that Stefan and Yachasa are totally crazy and that it's going to go in a completely different direction. No, I think it is going to go in that direction. We're going to have good exits as soon as the markets start recovering. I think this storm that's happening now is important because it creates good culling opportunities. And there's going to be a lot of culling in the companies, in the portfolios, but there's also going to be culling at the fund level.

54:14Because funds have to generate returns. and there are a lot of funds in the ecosystem which are very recent vintages. So, you know, funds that are in first generation or second generation, particularly the ones that are in first generation, you know, they need to really get themselves together to raise their second fund and move forward. And I think one of the things that we're going to see, I think, is a polarisation where you're going to see some of the funds that have five, six, seven generations under their belt, will become more and more consolidated and will have bigger, bigger funds. And that will go in the line that Ychazo was saying, you know, the ability to have much larger groups with assets under management originating from Spain.

55:04But also, I think we are going to start seeing some culling in those funds that you know are not able to to go out and raise and therefore you know that in our industry as well the same as it happens with our portfolio companies and the startups it's a you know polarization that creates that keeps the quality so the important thing for us as managers is to try to be in the first category not in the second category but one of the things that really differentiates the US ecosystem or the UK ecosystem is that you have funds that are in the 10th, 12th, 13th, 14th, or 15th generation, which, you know, they can have a bad fund.

55:47It doesn't really matter if Sequoia has, you know, one vintage that is not so good. It's still going to be Sequoia, and it's still going to keep going. I think a lot of the funds that are, you know, the ones we're talking around the table, we're still sort of a little bit in the danger zone of if we have a bad vintage then you know it might be difficult i think we need to get ourselves to the point where um you know with all the due respect and distance to somebody like sequoia we have that still have that staying power of a well diversified well established and you know where our track records are the sufficient breadth and scope and depth uh that we can continue to convince investors globally to come to our funds.

56:32And I think that's our biggest challenge at the moment, actually well beyond even the challenge of finding companies and so on and so forth. I think our biggest challenge is how, as funds, we build out our strategy, and as fund managers, how we get up to the levels of assets under management that we need to have to be sustainable. Right, right. Yeah, thank you for that. a painful factor in all economics but uh more often than not a necessary one uh ladies gentlemen lady gentlemen uh i know we are running out of time each also i mean she just got the term sheet back she totally disagrees with it she's got to go go run that by legal um thank you for joining me today thank you for sharing your expertise and your insights on the epharian ecosystem um take us out tell folks where they can get in touch with you where they can follow you where they can like you where they can tell Sequoia that you know no I want to go with Notion or whomever.

57:36Chaso take us out tell us where folks can find you. So usually I'm I'm sure in LinkedIn in fact it's probably the best way to to find me for sure you can just message me and and we can talk for sure very good nico where can folks find you same here on the beach um on the beach i'll be right over just all right linkedin to deepen the theory that spaniards spend their time on the beach wait a minute that was a controversial topic hang on all right stefan take us out we got 50 seconds left if i get it on the mark look uh apart from seeing me surfing uh outside somewhere here around lisbon uh you can find me on linkedin and if you want to send us your pitch deck just go to our website there's a bunch of emails like future unicorn at indicocapital.com just send us send us your company all right very good again that has been it thank you for joining us today uh my name is dan taylor yours is not that is all the time we have for today and uh hopefully the engineers behind the scenes will get this right but that is it folks we are out of here and thank you for This would have been a job.

58:52Tear down this wall. It's more than just an ally. This is a union of values. Let's start acting.

From the publisher
In this episode of the EUVC podcast, Dan Taylor, former journalist and Director of Content at CEW Communications is joined by
Together, they explore the dynamics of the Iberian startup and VC ecosystem, highlighting the region's strengths, challenges, and future potential.

The conversation dives into what makes Iberia an attractive hub for tech talent and investment, the unique advantages of Portugal and Spain, and the critical role of local and global markets in shaping the success of startups.

Go to eu.vc to read the core take-aways.

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