NVIDIA's $96.2B Quarter, China's 200,000 Fake Accounts, & OpenAI's New Chip | EP #284

23:33Peter Diamandis:And in balance, yeah, you don't want circular or wash trades that are overly engineered to inflate revenue there either. But maybe call that a slightly, from a bubble perspective, slightly more healthful form of circular economy, then maybe there is a slightly, in this context, less healthful form of circularity, which would be company A is using not its income statement, but its balance sheet in the form of private credit, loans, etc., to finance the purchase of by company B of company A's goods. And right now, as just, again, not financial advice, but as a shareholder of the entire market via low cost, broad index funds, I don't feel like I have tremendous visibility into which of those two forms of circularity we're seeing at the very heart of the innermost loop.

24:24Peter Diamandis:And I would love more clarity. This episode is sponsored by Google for startups. Think about this for a second. You now have access to the same generative AI models that cost hundreds of millions of dollars to train. Google's startup technical guide for generative media gives you a complete blueprint for deploying Google DeepMind's models and production. Images, video, audio, all of it. Real architecture, real results. Find the link in the show notes below. All right, I'm going to move us on to our next two stories that are coming out of China in the world of video production. The first story is the rollout of WAN 3.0 by Alibaba.

25:03WAN3 is capable of generating 30-second single-pass videos from documents, spreadsheets, slides, and web pages. I wonder what kind of a video you get out of a spreadsheet. Their API runs between$0.05 to$0.20 per second of generated video. That's something like$20K to$60K for a 90-minute film. These prices are beginning to collapse. This is one day after announcing their largest ever private follow-on offering by a Hong Kong listed company at$10.2 billion. Clearly, they're engineering their stock price. So that's Wan 3.0 is the first story. The second story comes from Runway's co-founder, who reports that video generation now represents roughly 70 % of all AI token consumption in China, driven by short-form content and robotics.

25:54and it's growing faster than Claude Code grew in the U.S., the framing here is that America is LLM-pilled, large language model-pilled, and China is world model-pilled. And the implications of that are that the two superpowers are fundamentally having different priorities. So America is building large language models. China is building world models. Language models predict the next token. The world models are predicting the next state of reality. So, you know, these large and these world models are particularly going to be important besides for video generation, also for robotics, autonomous driving, physics simulations and video gen.

26:36So, Alex, go to you first on this. Your thoughts on WAN3 and the 70 percent, you know, video token consumption? Crazy.

26:44Peter Diamandis:I agree with the sentiment. I think it's striking. And I have a unified field theory that would explain it. My unified field theory is that American AI labs are revenue maxing and Chinese AI labs are not. So when OpenAI tried to be in the video gen business, they ended up abandoning it because Anthropic ran away with their lunch by revenue per token maxing with CodeGen, which is call it a more LLM shaped use case for their compute. The Chinese labs really, I mean, yes, they're generating revenue. Yes, they're IPO-ing. Yes, they're growing quickly. But really, they're not revenue maxing. They're giving away model weights for free.

27:25Peter Diamandis:You don't revenue max by giving your model weights away for free. So if you're not in the business of maximizing revenue per token, then you might as well be spending tokens on video versus more economically productive applications. So that's my unified field theory for why you see so much world model inference in China and relatively little by comparison from American labs. American labs are too busy doing more economically productive applications. Alex, which one gets us to AGI faster? Well, it's a trick question because I think we hit AGI no later than summer of 2020 with LLMs. With LLMs. We didn't have good video models.

28:03Which progresses us from AGI towards ASI faster? Mark Benthien, ASI.

28:09Peter Diamandis:Trick question again. I don't buy the premise, Peter. I don't buy the premise that we don't already have super intelligence. You could ask like an adjacent question, which is, which in the long term, whatever is left of the long term, which advances the capability frontier most effectively? World models or text-based models? So moved. Ask that question. Okay. So I'll ask myself that question. The answer is, I think in the end, omnimodal models are the best. I see like Fable 5 is so strong and yet its visual capabilities and visual reasoning capabilities are so weak. And I think that in the medium term, which is like six to 12 months, I think that's an impairment that hopefully Anthropic is busy repairing with M &A activities.

28:54Peter Diamandis:But I think they're on a collision trajectory. Whether we get diffusion transformers at the end of the day, or some sort of hybrid model that hybridizes the best of vision and video and audio with autoregressive text-based gen, I think they have to combine one way or another. Dave, any thoughts? Yeah, big time. And you're going to have to shut me up on this topic, just a fair warning. But everything Alex said is dead right, of course. But I think there's a story within the story there where, look, the Chinese, they don't have the ability to sell Kimi or Kuen into the enterprise use case because nobody knows if they can trust it.

29:32Peter Diamandis:And video is perfectly profitable. It's a fantastic way to take your maybe not trustworthy model, get it to market, and generate huge amounts of revenue and huge value. But I don't think that world models versus language models, which is going to recursively self-improve first? I think it's just purely about smarter engineers with plenty of cash and lots of training chips working on the problem. That's the race. And so the Chinese are brilliant by going after video because they can just launch it on the world. It's a global product. No one's worried about security in that use case. And it just generates tons of revenue.

30:10Peter Diamandis:But remember, OpenAI was ahead of them and decided not to invest in it anymore because the enterprise use case is so much more valuable. So America's taking kind of a highbrow road. You know, let's solve real business problems, cure real diseases. It's more profitable. It maximizes revenue per token. So it's better in that sense anyway. But at the end of the day, it's all about that revenue pouring back into more and more training chips that turn into better and bigger, 10 trillion and then 20 trillion parameter models that then get distilled. And so that's what's kicking off RSI. And I'll tell you what else.

30:42Peter Diamandis:Demis was the first guy to really think this through, but he couldn't act on it at Google. It's too bureaucratic. Dario took it, and he's the first guy that said, we don't care about consumer movies, videos, whatever. We care about a model that can improve itself through better code and better training ideas. That's all we're going to focus on. If we can productize that at the same time, great. But at the end of the day, that's going to recursively self-improve first. And that's what's going to get ahead of everybody else. And the Chinese believe the same exact thing. I miss Sora, by the way. It was so much fun with my kids.

31:16It was fun.

31:17Peter Diamandis:I think Sora will be back, Peter. I don't think Sora will be gone for long. Yeah. Yeah. Salim, what do you think about the idea of 70 % of the tokens being spent on video out of China? Is there an implication there for us? Well, I think there's a couple of things going on here. I think Dave nailed it with what he said in terms of are you going for RSI or are you going for kind of like world models, right? And what's happening right now is you've got the U.S. optimizing around software engineers and knowledge work. and China is optimizing and heading towards manufacturing and commerce and media and to some extent some of the machines like the robots, et cetera, eventually you're going to converge, right?

32:02Peter Diamandis:The winning systems, you're going to have language and vision and all of this memory strung together. The future, if I think about the future of AI, AGI, ASI, It's where you hit the physical world that you're going to make the biggest difference, right? Human-armed robots or other form robots. Cough, cough. I think the intelligence that can model and then manipulate the world and act inside the world is going to win. In that case, I think where China's heading may have a slightly better advantage. But if we get Anthropic or one of these guys to RSI, then I think Dave is correct. that kind of trumps everything.

32:45Peter Diamandis:And that'll be the inner loop that just swallows a whole bunch of other stuff. So you could go either way here. You know, we had a conversation last week with Imad. And by the way, to all our listeners, Imad sends his regrets. He was supposed to be here at Last Minute Travel, where he made the point, I think very importantly, that AI is one of the most persuasive agents out there, the ability to understand a person and persuade a person. And video gen combined with AI is a very powerful force, and it's a force for spreading culture. And so the question becomes, you know, with China about to become, if they're not already, the dominant world producer of video content, right, in any language, on any, you know, topic, you know, what are the implications of that?

33:36Peter Diamandis:Oh, my God, they're huge. They're crazy. My youngest son, Jack, actually told me this morning that he turned off Instagram. He just deleted it from his phone. And all the kids had already gotten rid of TikTok. But the suggestion engine is so good, and it just sucks you in. And before you know it, an hour of doom scrolling has gone by. It's like, oh, my God, what am I doing here? But, you know, the Chinese, you heard Alvin Graylin on the podcast say that, you know, in China, they banned everything. You can't show blood in a video. You can't show blood in a video game. The blood comes out green.

34:08Peter Diamandis:And like, OK, well, if they're allowed to ban that level of detail, they're going to control all of these actions and try and prevent their children from being sucked into the vortex. Meanwhile, they're perfectly happy to sell it to every other country in the world and generate that revenue. But I got to imagine the CCP is sitting there saying, wow, these guys are just suckers. We can launch any AI generated influence machine on any country, completely change the national opinion and turn the dials here from from Beijing. and they don't seem to be able to do anything about it. They've all got free speech and whatever, and they can't protect themselves at all.

34:44Peter Diamandis:These AI agents are so good. I mean, they're going to get smarter and smarter and smarter and user-specific. That's the new thing. Dave, that brings us to the next story outside of China. And it's an extremely important story for America to hear loud and clear, and especially for any parents listening. So China is tightening restrictions on AI companions amid concerns that users are developing emotional dependence on virtual partners. They're going to prohibit AI companion services for minors and restrict the use for adults. So the regulations come out of policymakers as they grapple with the loneliness epidemic that's there, alongside falling marriage rates.

35:26The one-child policy really devastated China. And the concern here is that people are forming emotional bonds with AIs that substitute for human relations. And the substitution is accelerating and it's a demographic crisis. You know, Verity pointed out on the pod that much of the world is now below the 2.1 children per family required to sustain a country's population. You know, worst among them are South Korea. That's down to 0.75 children per family. South Korea is evaporating. Singapore is at, you know, roughly one child per family, as is Ukraine. and China's at one child per family still, even after they removed that ban.

36:07So China's becoming the first country to regulate against AI companions. My bet is Japan, Singapore, Korea is going to follow closely. And this raises the question for every country, not just China. What happens to society when the easiest emotional connection you can make is to your AI and not to another human? Exactly. It's crazy. It's crazy.

36:30Peter Diamandis:You know, Peter, do you remember Boris Zemelman from MIT? I don't know. Crazy biology. He was actually, his dad was in charge of food science at General Foods. He invented the coffee crystal. Okay. But, you know, he was like, you know what? We all know that smoking is addictive now. And then smoking took over the entire country, then it took over the world. And then we said, oh, my God, this is killing everybody. And then we stopped. And then we did the same with junk food. You know, junk food is so, but he could develop a food at General Foods. It was so delicious, a French fry coating that is so delicious that you just cannot physically resist it.

37:05Peter Diamandis:And then the whole country is, you know, diabetes. So we do this habitually and we react to it like 10, 20, 30 years later. And then we correct it reactively. But if we start rolling out addictive AI and then we say, well, the government will wake up when there's a crisis. But that crisis is when a whole generation of kids is wrecked. Yeah. You cannot afford the 20 year delay with this particular topic. I mean, the you know, the shout out to parents is please be careful. You know, you form normal social relationships in your teens. Salim, you're a father of a 15 year old. How do you think about this?

37:43Peter Diamandis:You know, if you step back, the right regulatory structure is probably some level of transparency and consent and figuring out what is the types of harm that could be done and then mitigating them, right? Having a government decide what relationships are authentic or not is going to be very tricky because this is what's happening right now. So we've gone from regulating for what AI says in the China case to regulating how attached are you to become to it, right? And so this is a totally new regulatory frontier. Social media was very, very addictive because an algorithm, as Dave points out, can learn your intimate habits and without you realizing, totally capture you.

38:28Peter Diamandis:And that's really, really bad. All the kids are completely addicted to social media today. and banning it outright is pretty much the only problem, the only way, because all their neocortexes are forming at a time when they're getting totally addicted to stuff and it's going to ruin them structurally for a long time. And then you need a lot of kind of fixes to that. The broader picture though, I don't know how to think about that. Like we are dropping on the child care or the childbearing side so dramatically that this is a huge structural challenge for civilization, right? How do you navigate that is going to be really, really tough.

39:09Peter Diamandis:There's also other issues in all this, the privacy issue, right? Your companion AI is going to know so much more intimacy about you than you do. That's kind of, and then there's the benefit side. There are some really solid benefits around loneliness, disability, elderly companions, therapeutics, and coaching social skills, right? So you can't just, you shouldn't just categorize the whole thing as pathological. It's the standard problem we have with any technology is how do you extract the promise without the peril? Yeah. And that's the challenge for regulatory across the board. Alex, I'd love your views here, Bill.

39:45Peter Diamandis:Yeah, I have a bit of perhaps a contrarian perspective on this. I think the Chinese Communist Party is actually going to do an about face sometime in the next year or two or three and decide that they actually love AI companions. And the reason is, it's another method for party control. If you can make sure that all of these AI companions go through all of your ideological filters and become a little bit more like a CCP version of Neil Stevenson's A Young Lady's Illustrated Primer, and a little bit less like some sort of distractant, I think the party, this is a prediction, I think the party decides actually having everyone, or maybe not everyone, but a sizable fraction of the youth of China deeply engaged with party, deeply controlled AI companions is actually, from the party's perspective, net helpful, not net harmful.

40:40Peter Diamandis:And I think my forecast here would be that once the CCP has decided that it has a way to steer the country's youth via AI companions. It will decide, no, actually, we like these AI companions after all. But bring it home, Alex. What do you think about here in the U.S. and AI companions? There are U.S. states that are already trying to regulate these things out of existence and trying to ban romantic relationships between America's youth and AI. I'd like to think that in this country, we enjoy enough freedoms that they won't succeed. I'm just reminded, again, one of my operational definitions of the singularity is every sci-fi trope everywhere all at once, and I can't shake out of my head the famous from Futurama, don't date robots.

41:29Peter Diamandis:I think different countries will react in different ways. And my forecast for the U.S. is you may see individual states, Maybe it'll be a federalist issue where some states ban them and some states don't. Question mark as to whether we end up with a national policy on romance with AI companions. But if I had to bet, my bet is that at least in some places in the U.S., AI companionship, including romantic companionship, including robotic romantic companionship, will be legal. That's my bet. Yeah, we're going to talk at the end of this pod a story about robotic sex partners, just to spice it up. The place to watch on this is Japan, because they tend to be much more tolerant of this type of stuff.

42:14Peter Diamandis:There's already a case where a Japanese woman is marrying an AI, and they're like, okay, go. So we'll see this play out, I think, there first. Well, South Korea is super high tech. and a very early adopter of everything without a lot of regulation. And they have all kinds of the lowest birth rate in the world, one of the highest suicide rates in the world, just all kinds of issues. Yeah, maybe two points. One, I have a difficult time getting myself worked up over collapse of human population. I think we're so many decades at this point past the limits of growth, which I view as like nonsensical propaganda at this point.

42:57Peter Diamandis:The world, like humanity, would be fine, barring some total disaster. We have a carrying capacity in the tens of billions if we use just the earth that we have correctly. We can also survive with an enormous amount of AI and automation with fewer people. So one area where I perhaps differ from Elon sort of virulently pro-natalist policy, I think the world is going to be fine regardless of whether we have more people on margin or fewer people on margin, we're going to have so much AI in the solar system. I just, I don't think it's going to be a major X-risk at all. Yeah. I got to say something here.

43:37Peter Diamandis:Please, go ahead. In a rare moment, I'm 100 % aligned with you, Alex. I don't think - This is a rare moment? I think that it's here and there you and I have opposing points, but this one I'm absolutely 100 % with you on. This is trying to worry about how many kids we're going to have. It's going to end up however it ends up. Listen, the challenge is to a country like South Korea, it's sublimating, it's evaporating. And if all of a sudden, you know, the population is dropping smaller and smaller, you're losing the culture there. And that's the issue. And I hate it when people, you know, I'm giving a presentation on longevity and people say, oh, my God, can the world sustain, you know, people, enough people, when people are growing to 150 years old.

44:23It's like, you know, look at the actual numbers for sure. We need people to live longer.

44:31Peter Diamandis:It's an interesting point. I don't think we lose culture if population on the margin, not like catastrophic nuclear war, but on the margin if population goes down. If these cultures are centuries old when populations were smaller, I think it follows reasonably that if the population on margin halves, the culture will still be there in one form or another. But the reality is we're going to have so much, again, AI. The AI is being trained off of our culture anyway. All right. Moving us along, this is a story, Alex, that you fed me and it's a fun one. So our next story is about a company called Flock Safety.

45:10It's one of the fastest growing public safety tech companies in the US. Flock was founded back in 2017. What is that? Nine years ago. And its core product is a network of AI-powered license plate reading cameras used by the police department, neighborhoods, schools and businesses to identify vehicles associated with crimes and missing persons. The company has further expanded its platforms to include video cameras, shotgun and audio detection, mobile surveillance trailers, drones and software that ties all these feats together. Flock says its systems are used by more than 6 ,000 communities across 49 states, generating over 20 billion vehicle scans per month.

45:48So let me show a video here that Alex provided me. This is out of San Diego, where Darth Vader is testifying on behalf of Flock. Take a look at this.

46:04Peter Diamandis:the emperor is a fan of flock and we must continue utilizing flock technologies so that we can follow and surveil the rebel scum as they move from playground to playground from playground to pool from pool to gymnasium because we all know that the flock cameras are not only following the license plate readers they are following children they are following children in parks and gymnasiums And we need this. I need this so I can stalk my ex-girlfriend. OK, so, Alex, let's go to you first on this one. I think this honestly, I think this is the face of AI at the municipal level at this point. We talk all of the time about the implications of AI for enterprise use cases, for transformative scientific and technological discoveries.

46:54Peter Diamandis:But I think many people, when they start to think about how AI is transforming everyday life in many communities, I worry and I think that some of their earliest interactions won't be with driverless cars. they'll be with cameras that are tracking license plates. And in many communities around the country, I read stories about people who are chopping down AI cameras from Flock or other companies because they feel that somehow they're being surveilled by their police department. You read stories about police departments federating their surveillance data to enable new forms of tracking. In the odd case, I think this is what Darth Vader was gesturing at.

47:39Peter Diamandis:Perhaps you read stories of police and other first responders using their access to these AI cameras to stalk ex-partners. And so I think Flock in some ways has become the petri dish for either surveillance or what an old friend, Dave Bryn, might call suveillance of who gets to see whom inside the panopticon that AI enables. In China, it's pretty obvious that the party gets to look through the cameras at everyone else. In the U.S., we're grappling with this right now. If we put smart cameras everywhere that can look at every public space, and then they're all federated so you can track movements of cars, who gets to look at the data?

48:23Peter Diamandis:And so I think Darth Vader testifying before the city of San Diego, I think this is like a very American moment when we have the empire testifying on behalf of surveillance and not surveillance. Salim, you and I have talked about the loss of privacy a lot. And the fact that people assume they have privacy, they want privacy, but I think that's pretty much a myth at this point. What are your thoughts upon this, Flock? I have a lot of thoughts here. And I think this is a very, very dangerous moment. I've gone to see a bunch of Rush concerts lately, but let me quote Pink Floyd here. This is another brick in the wall.

49:02Peter Diamandis:Right. This is a huge. That's Pink Floyd. I was flipping over to show some level of nothing. But there's a huge structural problem because now we've transitioned from find this suspect to find me people who behave like suspects. And that's a very, very different animal. Pattern matching now becomes essentially free, meaning surveillance stops being constrained by manpower at all. Right. And so civil liberties were were kind of protected to some level by the friction because following everybody was just too expensive. And now that's gone. The cost of following everybody has gone to zero. So this is a big structural problem in terms of you already have cases where police officers are using this technology to attract their partners, to attract for ex-girlfriends and ex-boyfriends and stuff.

49:54Peter Diamandis:You've already had people literally dying because they were banned. They got tagged with the wrong license plates because the flock read it wrong. This is a massive issue with completely wipes out our civil liberties in some ways. And you've got to be really careful as to how. And the problem is technology has eliminated the cost of mass surveillance now. And the Constitution does not update when transaction costs go to zero. This is a very, very big moment. I think I like the way Alex frames it. this puts this whole thing in a petri dish to bring up to this level of conversation. We need to have this kind of conversation at a constitutional level to say, how do we want to be?

50:32Peter Diamandis:How do we want to operate in this environment? Now, we are very close now to essentially where the Chinese have CCP mandating it and they just operate that way because that's what it is. But essentially, we're in the same place here. It's just done by corporations and by unwarranted, fairly rogue police forces and surveillance systems. So it's a very, very delicate moment. I don't think it ends well. You know, I want to just strongman this a moment. You know, this is not just CCP. This is also the Emirates, for example. I was just having a conversation with Jamie Justice, who heads our life sciences at XPRIZE.

51:09And she was saying she went out for a run. She's a prolific runner. Oh, my God, getting up at like 6 a.m. But she went out for a run at like 10 p.m. at night in the streets of Dubai. And she felt she would never do that in the U.S. And she felt completely safe. I mean, so you're trading some level of civil liberties. You know, I there's always a trade. Like when you go through, you know, customs at the airport and you're no longer waiting in giant lines because, you know, facial detection puts you through instantly. I'll make that trade. I will happily make that trade to save myself time. And I'll make the trade as well on increased safety for my kids.

51:46So the question is, do we put this at an individual vote? Or is this society saying we value safety over privacy?

51:57Peter Diamandis:I just have to remind of the Ben Franklin quote, they who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety. Yes. Yes. I'm with you. This is very, very dangerous. I have a personal experience here. I once came into the U.S. and they took me aside and said, sir, you have to miss your flight because there's an Afghan warlord by the name Salim Ismail wanted by the FBI for poppy trading. And I'm like, what? And they're like, we have good news and bad news. I'm like, okay, good news. You're Vice President of Yahoo. It's pretty clear. You speak at all these conferences.

52:30Peter Diamandis:We're pretty clear you're not an Afghan warlord. I'm like, phew, glad to hear that. What's the bad news? The bad news is we're not allowed to make that judgment call. We have to check to Washington. it'll take a few hours have a seat don't you wish they were oh my god don't you wish yeah and it took like it took like a few years to get that cleared up and so i said to them does that mean every salima smell gets stopped like this and they said sir you have no idea when juan rodriguez commits a misdemeanor it means we have to take aside every juan rodriguez and this is where you could get the benefits of test technology because it can disambiguate and names resolve at the name level very quickly with technology.

53:09Peter Diamandis:On the bad side, the negative consequences and accidental consequences, like innocent until proven guilty, habeas corpus is essentially gone now in the US. This is a really, really bad place. So I don't know how this resolves. But I think the Ben Franklin quote should be sitting on the front desk tattooed in front of everybody for the next 10 years to solve this. It's a very big problem. Can I introduce you as an Afghan warlord from now on You can't. Alleged. Alleged. Alleged Afghan warlord. Nothing was ever proven. But this is a real problem. And, you know, I got to a point, and I have to say something.

53:47Peter Diamandis:The folks that I've ever encountered at the U.S. immigration border have never, ever been anything short of beautifully professional and constructive. That's been my experience. Like, unbelievably proper, appropriate, etc. etc. But for a few times, I'm like, guys, they're like, yeah, we know you're not the Afghan ruler, but have a seat. We got to check. We just have to go through this process. Might have shaved your hair. Yeah. It got to a point where I was almost on a first name basis of some of the immigration folks. I was just traveling so much and they're like, oh, Mr. Ismail, have a seat.

54:18Peter Diamandis:We have to do an identity check. Having gone through the same border 15 times, they know me, etc. But this is one of the issues that we have to resolve and it causes massive problems. If you get caught on the wrong side of that, it can go very badly for quite a while until we resolve it. I agree. Try and fix the systems, et cetera. It's a really, really difficult problem. And we can use technology in very powerful, constructive ways, but we really risk losing a lot of civil liberties here. Because especially if you have an environment or a government that's not friendly towards you, in the UAE, they have a benevolent dictatorship.

54:54Peter Diamandis:right and as long as it stays benevolent and they're about as benevolent as you could possibly imagine there that why that's why there's so much incredible safety nobody the minute you step out of line they take you out very quickly and therefore everybody feels incredibly safe and it's a fabulous thing but the problem with benevolent dictatorships is they typically don't stay benevolent very long and that's a structural problem right so the solution you have to really figure out so Sorry, we have to figure out human governance now at a level that we've never had to deal with before. This is, for me, one of the singularities, right?

55:29Peter Diamandis:How do you construct regulatory frameworks that can have any hope of keeping up with the pace of technology? Sorry, Alex. One of the solutions that has been proposed, I know David Brin and others have advocated for this, is give everyone access to these surveillance capabilities. allow the civilians to do the same license plate tracking that first responders and police have. Let everyone track everyone. If it's a public space, make it a public resource. That's right. And I'm a huge fan of EFF and the work that they do there. And they've highlighted some of these things. For example, in Russia, which is a bit of a wild west where a policeman will come and break your headlight and then give you a ticket and extract corrupt bribes from you, the Russians were the first to adopt dashboard cameras.

56:14Peter Diamandis:Do you remember that meteorite that hit and there was like 200 live videos of this meteorite getting hit so somebody asked the question why the hell how the hell do we have 200 how many people had a lot of time to whip out their cell phone cameras and track this thing real time it wasn't that it's just that the russians have learned they better have a dashboard camera to prevent against uh police uh dodgy police extortion and it was a meteor and so they all have dashboard cameras to to put for their own safety. And that tracked all those things. So you can see in that case, the citizenry starting to point the camera the other way.

56:51Peter Diamandis:And we need a ton more of that. And I think Alex's point is really important. Everybody should have access to these systems so that you can see what's going on. Amazing. All right. Let me move us along here. Some fun news on my personal front or my XPRIZE front. So as you guys may know, we put out a call for optimistic, hopeful visions of the future. This is the Future of Vision XPRIZE. We had over 5 ,000 teams registered, 2 ,550 video trailer submissions. It was amazing. Blew us away. Largest film competition ever. And we're down to the final 50 and we're asking for you to help us vote. So you can go to my tweet on this at Peter Diamandis, my XPRIZE handle, or you can go to this link down below, vote.futurevisionxprize.com.

57:47And you'll be served up two videos at a time. And the question is, which future do you prefer? You vote on one, then you'll be served up the next two. And we're doing essentially an ELO bubble sort here. And we're going to be bringing the top five of these to the Moonshots Live Summit here. So just a quick reminder, guys, on September the 25th, you're going to have a chance to meet all the Moonshot mates. Alex, Imad, Dave and Selim will all be there and we'll be doing a Moonshots live broadcast from there. And we have incredible speakers. We're going to have Palmer Luckey. He's going to be there talking about, you know, his entrepreneurial journey.

58:32Our mission there is help you, you know, discover your purpose, discover your moonshot. We're going to have Astro Teller there helping you shape your moonshot. How do you build a moonshot organization? Ben Lamb, the creator of Colossal, which has gone from zero to$10 billion valuation for years. Kathy Wood, Neil deGrasse Tyson Neil Stevenson, an incredible author Gentlemen So let's go each of you So Salim, what are you going to be talking about at Moonshots?

58:59Peter Diamandis:I'll be talking about My normal stuff, which is how does humanity Cope with all of this, but specifically I'll be talking about the organizational singularity And how do you, when a world is changing This fast, how do you build organizational Structures that are resilient for this New world? But I cannot wait to interact with all the other folks. I think of this thing as AI is great in the virtual. We're great in the virtual as a podcast, but we're much more fun in the physical where we can kind of gauge and kind of check each other out. I can't wait to meet a lot of our fans. I've had so many comments from people.

59:35Peter Diamandis:My whole community wants to come, so we've got a whole issue around how do we get tickets and allocate that. It's going to be one of the funnest days ever. I can't wait for this. I think we may have to do something like this quarterly, by the way, just to keep up with all of those. Or daily or real time, as Alex would talk about, just to get one big room and hell with everything else. Yeah, this is our New Shots Live Live. Yes. Live Live. 24-7. And Alex, you're going to be on, we have, by the way, through the day, an incredible program with the mates. And then the evening, each of the mates is going to be spending an hour with you.

1:00:07So Alex, what are you going to be doing during your hour with all our guests?

1:00:12Peter Diamandis:I think the question is, what are the questions? I think the agenda calls for an AMA. So I'm extremely curious to hear what the questions are and do my best to dispel any myths that I might be biological. And Dave, you're going to be doing a deep dive in AI investing. Talk more, please. Well, I'm anticipating we're moving into this red pill, blue pill world where you can choose to be oblivious to all of this and be happy living it out without being aware of it, or you can choose to be in the middle of it. I'm anticipating every attendee of this event has decided to take the red pill and be in the middle of it.

1:00:48Peter Diamandis:And so then they're going to be asking, okay, what do I do career-wise? What do I invest in? What are the scarce constraints to the future? You know, how do I interact with these 11 Magnum Mobsta companies? You know, are they going to crush me or are they going to be my friend? All of those questions are going to come up with this gang, and I want to be prepared to answer every single one of those life-changing questions. I have a specific question I want to ask Neil Stevenson, which is, you know, if you went back 10, 20 years and he's writing, doing all these amazing novels, you had some sense of what, a glimmer of what the future might hold, right?

1:01:24Peter Diamandis:In a world that we live in today where it's so hard to predict where things are going in three months, forget three years or 30 years, how do you build the models that give you viable future narratives? And that's the question I've got for you. You know, I spent the day with Neil Stevenson, one of the most extraordinary science fiction writers, right? He wrote Diamond Age, Young Lays, Illustrator Primer, Snow Crash, Seven Eves. He wrote that over 30 years ago and I just reread it and it's perfect. I mean, it's so good. It's so good. It has held over 30 years, right? Hence my question. Yeah, it's...

1:02:01Peter Diamandis:Because, you know, we shouldn't ask him to be a guest, Peter, because it would be really great to get his. You know, he's not he's brilliant. He's not really a live stage kind of guy, but I'd love to have him a guest. If anyone could open him up on a live environment, it would be us. That would be fantastic. You know, one of his other themes that I think is incredibly relevant over 30 years is if you look at the world leaders today, they're overwhelmingly really, really old. And if you survey young people and say, do you aspire to be president someday? No, absolutely, positively not. And so like, OK, in Neil's books, society worldwide cuts the other direction.

1:02:40Peter Diamandis:It's not like I'm in this country. I'm trapped in this country. I live in this country. People actually in the age of AI cut in the other direction where people all over the world are like minded on a topic and they bond through global communication, through Starlink and through AI across countries, which could be a great sign for future global peace. So I'd love to talk to Neil about that. We're also going to have Rod Roddenberry there, the son of Gene Roddenberry. Star Trek is an underlying theme at Moonshots Live 2026. Yeah, Alex. I think in some ways, just on the sci-fi note and Neil Stevenson, I think in some ways it was easier, ironically, 30 years ago to write sci-fi that was predictive than it was in the decade or two after that.

1:03:25Peter Diamandis:Peter Thiel and others have made the point or suggested that the 90s might have been a local optimum in terms of clarity on the future because we had the economy booming. We had the dot-com boom. We had the Internet hitting consumers. And so if you imagine that history isn't sort of a monotonic exponential or at least consumer and broad populist perception of the history isn't like a smooth exponential but ebbs and flows and has booms and busts, then a moment of peak clarity would come during a boom. when you're able to sort of see above the tree line and see where we're going. And then when you're in a local bust, you lose the forest for the trees and you lose clarity.

1:04:05Peter Diamandis:So by that metric, that would also have, I think, the happy side effect of explaining why Golden Age science fiction from, call it the 50s or so, post-World War II era sci-fi was also a local moment of clarity when you could see rockets and you could see fission-based energy too cheap to meter. And so by that metric, then I would say it's not that surprising that so much amazing sci-fi was written in the 90s from Neil, from Charlie Strauss, from others. Robert Heinlein. Yeah. Yes. Amazing. So, everybody, we've got 200 seats left. This is an event of 1 ,500 people, creators and builders, entrepreneurs.

1:04:42It's going to be a power networking event for you to meet your next co-founder, for you to meet investors. So join us. You can go to moonshots.com to apply. I expect we're going to be closing out all the seats in the next two weeks. So don't delay. Join us for the inaugural Moonshots live event. It's all day on the 25th of September. Registration starts at 7. At 8 o 'clock, you have a chance to have photos with all the Moonshot mates. Then we go into the program from 9 a.m. till 6. And then there's a party that evening and an incredible unconference. And we have a super special event. I can't announce it yet.

1:05:21I'm so excited about this. The evening before, the evening of Thursday the 24th, I'll let you know as soon as I can, but it's incredible.

1:05:30Peter Diamandis:I have one more quick thing to say about this. You know, when we did our week-long singularity executive programs, the funnest session ever for everybody universally was the unconference. And for folks that don't know, what you do is you put up a set of rooms and a bit of a timeline. people get up and say, I'm going to talk about AI and biotech. And they put up a thing. And somebody else gets up and says, I'm going to talk about this. And they put up a little poster. And you go wherever you feel like going. And it turns out to be the most incredibly engaging sessions you can ever have. And so if you ever get a chance to participate in an unconference, go do it.

1:06:10Peter Diamandis:But an unconference of this crowd will be absolutely epic. This is something. I'm so excited to meet all of ours. It'll be so fun. Yeah, because you look at the comments we have. We have some really, really smart followers and commentators. Yeah. It'll be unbelievable. Unbelievable. It'll be amazing. You're nice to swarm. Yes, for sure. This episode is brought to you by Blitzy, autonomous software development with infinite code context. Blitzy uses thousands of specialized AI agents that think for hours to understand enterprise scale code bases with millions of lines of code. Engineers start every development sprint with the Blitzy platform, bringing in their development requirements.

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1:07:36All right, moving us along, we're going to jump into the stories around jobs. Actually, I have three stories around jobs. The first story is an article this week in The Washington Post reported an analysis that predicted the job apocalypse is unlikely to happen. So, again, I've been saying for a while this has been really murky. Half the community out there are saying we're going to lose all the jobs. The other half saying, no, we have job growth. So the Washington Post argues that historically technology transitions from the loom to the automobile to the Internet consistently created more jobs than they destroyed.

1:08:09And we've had that conversation on the pod here many times. You know, it displaces specific tasks rather than entire occupations while creating new categories of work that were never previously even conceived of. The thesis of the Washington Post article is AI is not replacing jobs. It is replacing tasks within jobs. and the people who learn to use AI become more productive, not less employed. So that's the first story. Let me go on to the second one and we'll stop there. And then, Salim, I know you have a particular story you're going to cover here. So the second story comes out of Goldman Sachs, which this week warned that professional services firms, consulting, law, accounting, face an existential risk as AI capabilities improve faster than their partners can adapt, creating a dangerous skill gap where junior staff trained on AI outperform senior partners who refuse to use it.

1:09:04The skills gap is not between the educated and uneducated, it's between the AI fluent and the AI resistant. And the AI fluent are increasingly the juniors and not the partners. So, Salim, I want to go to you first and you can call for your slide whenever you want as well.

1:09:21Peter Diamandis:Yeah, two or three things. First, you know, let's all and urge everybody you know to please be evidentiary and data-driven in your orientation for how you view the world, right? There are people that doomsday, Bill Gates yesterday, was it? That came out and said, oh my God, all the jobs. Two days ago. Two days ago, okay. And let me just call out here, I'm a massive fan of Bill Gates and his philanthropy. But as a futurist, somewhat of a dismal track record, he missed the internet. miss mobile and commenting about the future of work i don't think is the right thing to do in and where area like this um the and by the way this is true of of i find of of ray dalio or larry fink or um um uh the other folks that do commentation the picardy uh uval harari they tend to be unbelievably great at framing the past somewhat questionable on the future right because many of the time they don't really understand exponentially which is a whole thing and so you really have to be careful around all of this.

1:10:22Peter Diamandis:If you look at, say, the Goldman Sachs or the professional services firm conversation, deeply disagree. Why? Because as the world gets more volatile, companies are going to need more help than less because that volatility will require a lot of help, which is what we're seeing. You'll have to change your business model from selling hours to selling outcomes, which is starting to happen. But I don't think that's that big of a deal. The bigger thing, I think, is the jobs question. And I would love if we could throw up the slide right now. So Principal Financial Group, a friend of the pod, a bunch of them watch us on a regular basis, did a survey.

1:11:07Peter Diamandis:And to give you a sense, Principal Financial Group helps small businesses with health plan, benefit plan, retirement, et cetera, at the small business level for SMEs. They have 130 ,000 customers, right? This is a big, big company with a great cross-section across the entire country and frankly around the world. Here is what they are seeing. They did a survey across a very meaningful representative sample here, and what they found was only 4 % of the companies anticipate that AI will reduce staffing and wages. 31 % expect it, This is small to medium-sized enterprises expect increased staffing.

1:11:46Peter Diamandis:Which is the majority of the workforce, by the way. Which is the majority of the workforce. And let's note a very, very important factoid. Over the last 50, 60 years, 100 % of job growth has come from small to medium-sized companies. Big companies getting bigger but also getting more efficient. Net value job creation, zero. 100 % job growth has come from small to medium-sized companies. So this is the demographic to track if you're interested in the future of work. And 31 % expect increasing staffing and increasing wages, right? 10 % say they don't use AI. Last year it was 19%, and now it's down to 10%.

1:12:29Peter Diamandis:Of the people that have reduced staff, only 1.4 % attributed those to AI or automation. This is so inverse. This is so fantastic, Salim. It's so inverted to the current BS tropes of radical unemployment that we see there. It's unbelievable. So please, people, look at the data, right? Look at this stuff. We can get you the full report if you're interested. And look at the staffing trends just in the last few months. 52 % have increased staff, 30 % have maintained it, and only 12 % over the last three months have reduced staff. So this is very, very recent and a great projector of where things are going.

1:13:10Peter Diamandis:It's completely opposite to the, oh, my God, jobs are good. Everything is going to take all the jobs. And this is where to track the future in actual reality. Love it. A great optimism story. Dave or Alex, you want to jump in? I think we've come full circle, actually, in the sense that remember when we were talking to Elon, you know, he was predicting great social unrest with unprecedented abundance going on concurrently. Yes. And what the labs have now decided is, well, look, if I automate everybody's job and they're all unemployed, I need to give them a new sense of purpose. What's their new sense of purpose?

1:13:42Peter Diamandis:Well, that job I used to have gave me a sense of purpose. Why did we take it away in the first place? So now what they're doing is saying, look, we don't need to displace everybody's job just for the sake of automating everything. We're going to leave everybody alone while we work on incredible new breakthroughs. And we have infinite sold out tokens anyway. So we don't need to disrupt all these voters. And so that's the way it's going to play out. But I'll tell you, when I was a kid, we were the first people that we knew to get a PC, an Apple II, and begged and pleaded. My brother and I begged and pleaded our parents to get this Apple II, and it was life-changing for me.

1:14:17Peter Diamandis:But I showed my dad, like, hey, there's a word processor called Superscribe, and you don't have to be handwriting all your notes anymore. He was like, you know what? I'm in my 40s. I've been doing it this way my whole life. I don't need to be a computer person. So he finished out his entire career at GE not being a computer person. I'm like, huh. This, and I can kind of forgive him for that because, you know, the PCs would break all the time. The printer was a nightmare. Like, okay, it was hard. This is not hard to do, relatively speaking. And it rewards builders and creators and visionaries, regardless of their technical skills.

1:14:53Peter Diamandis:You are absolutely empowered by this. So you're crazy not to get on the bandwagon. but AI is going to allow you to not do it. We're actually making the door open to not get on the bandwagon. I get the question a lot. Okay, as AI is automating lots of stuff, what will human beings be doing, right? And the best kind of metaphor I've come up with is if you went back 100 years and you're looking at accounting, people are doing double entry bookkeeping and big ledgers, credit over here, debit over there, in pencil with a big eraser and a whole set of tabular columns and lots of ledgers. As we moved to automation, we had calculators and slide rules that help you do the tabulation faster, but we're still doing the entries by hand.

1:15:34Peter Diamandis:Today, we have accounting software that does all the entries automatically. And the human being has lifted above the loop, not in the loop. The human being is above the loop and is categorizing the transactions, looking for problems, categorizing vendors and different types of income coming in. figure out reconciliation gaps, looking at the loop process flows. And it's much more value added to be there than doing the rote double entry, whatever. This is what we see happening. Eric Brynjolfsson calls this white collar drudgery. There's a huge amount of stuff happening in big companies. It's a lot of massaging information, taking stuff from the sales report, putting it over here, et cetera, et cetera.

1:16:13Peter Diamandis:And all of that will be taken out where you can do really curatorial judgment thinking work and applying experience to it rather than doing the actual work itself. And people miss that. And I'll go back to my specific experience. Writing the first book was three years of hell. Just horrible because you had no help. Because you were working with me. Well, no, the first book I was partly with you, but it was just you had to write every line and check every line yourself, etc. Right? Second book, Peter, that you and I did together fully, it was two and a half years, but even more hell because you kept having to think how much of the first book do you bring over, et cetera, et cetera.

1:16:50Peter Diamandis:And by the way, it was an absolute joy working with you, so don't you dare say anything like that. And the third part, but this third book has been six months of unadulterated joy because I can say, oh, Bill Gates just said this or Satya Nadella said this. Look through the book. Tell me as a developmental editor where we should put inserts, et cetera. Scan the things, and it's absolute pure fun. And people forget how much more fun it is when something's doing all of that cognitive BS stuff that everybody had to think about. And now you can do pure thinking judgment. You can be much, much more creative.

1:17:25Peter Diamandis:And this is the heart of what it comes down to. All of this automation and AI enablement and cognitive abundance allows us to be deeply, deeply, deeply creative. And that is the most fulfilling place you can be as a human being. Beautifully said. Let me hop on, Dave, on your point. And I'm sure everybody listening here at the pod is using AI and enjoying these conversations. But if you have someone in your life who isn't, I think the most important thing to realize is you have access to the most patient, most capable teacher on the planet. Right. Pick your favorite model and ask it just to begin at zero.

1:18:01You know, I don't understand this. I just heard this term. Help me create a curriculum for me to go from not understanding AI to fundamentally being able to use it. And I think at a minimum, spend 30 minutes a day in conversation with your favorite model. It's that easy. It's free. It's everywhere on your phone. There's no reason not to dive in. There's human cognitive challenges typically prevent a person from jumping to something they don't understand. But it has never been easier in the world. Alex or Dave, do you want to close us out on this one?

1:18:39Peter Diamandis:I'll just comment. I think the original impetus for the story was actually from a friend of the pod, Eric Brynjolfsson. As you mentioned, Salim, I think there are many people in this economy who don't realize that not only do they have permission to be high agency, But we're now in a regime where high agency and agency in general is one of the few human traits that is actively rewarded in an era of superintelligence. People think agency is something I suspect. This is my my theory of the case. I think too much of the human economy, at least in the American economy, the one I'm most familiar with, think agency is something exhibited by superheroes in movies in Hollywood.

1:19:24Peter Diamandis:and don't realize that the shackles are off. Anyone can exhibit high agency empowered by superintelligence now, not just in the cinema. And that, to the contrary, this is one of the few things left that can actually yield extreme vertical mobility. So if you're listening and you're not, to Dave's point, you're not fully availing yourself of superintelligence to accomplish superhuman feats. I encourage you to start now because I think there's a window of time and I don't know how long it's going to last. Maybe only a handful of years. Do it now. Otherwise, do it never. Yeah. Wow. I want to reflect on that.

1:20:06Peter Diamandis:Society will reward agency in this world of AI automation. That's such a great point because the more you are a self-starter and have the gumption to go ahead and do this and build something with it, the more that you'll be rewarded absolutely love it yeah and alex alex said extreme upward mobility we'll use that as a theme at the moonshot summit but the data behind what he just said is oh it's like nothing you've ever seen before like the gap is getting wider and wider but the the rate of upward mobility that's possible has never been seen before how is it possible to be depressed if you anybody watches this is my question yeah i mean it's such an amazing time and i love your story salim thank Thank you for sharing that data.

1:20:44It's data-driven optimism is what it is.

1:20:48Peter Diamandis:Do you mean that or the Afghan warlord thing? You mean this one? All right. You too can be an Afghan warlord. Everyone can be an Afghan warlord. There's agency of a different kind. There's hope for everyone. Let's jump into the world of data centers, chips, and compute. Two breaking stories this week. The first comes out of the global affairs team at X. Let me share a slide and then we'll talk about this. What does it mean? And, you know, is this data absolutely 100 percent? So this is what was posted on X by the global affairs team at X. It says, quote, the X safety team conducted an investigation into suspected Chinese inauthentic accounts involved in influence operations.

1:21:35We identified a bot farm of approximately 200 ,000 accounts. Within this farm, we found 200 accounts posting in a manner that could manipulate a legitimate debate about American AI and energy policy. These posts contain claims that AI data centers are driving up household electricity prices and straining the grid. Others include AI-generated cartoons that depicted data center operators enriching themselves at the public expense. And here we're showing one of those cartoons. And we've talked about this. What's causing this 75 percent not-in-my-backyard sentiment where people would rather have a nuclear power plant in their backyard than a data center?

1:22:21It seems completely illogical. The second story is one I want to put front and center. It comes out of Quincy, Washington, where the data centers have had extraordinary positive civic impact. This story reported on CNN says data centers helped resurrect Quincy, Washington, where the poverty rate fell from 29.4 percent to 6.2 percent. tech tax revenue funded a new high school, hospital, library, police and fire stations, while residents' property taxes, their rates decreased. This is a story about the tech industry succeeding. And bluntly, this is the story that the tech industry needs to be telling and needs to be making happen.

1:23:05So, gentlemen, your thoughts on this?

1:23:09Peter Diamandis:shocked shocked i say that there are foreign influence operations attempting to suppress american ai data center deployment shocked celine or dave standard psyops you you'd expect to see this happen the the difficult part is we have really no easy defense against it and the problem i say and i mentioned this a couple of podcasts ago is that the people in the u.s are very very narrative driven rather than evidence driven? That's the problem. I mean, I don't know what the U.S. is doing in China, but, you know, it's the numbers here, the numbers here are crazy, right? So we've talked about this before.

1:23:51If you or someone you know is against data centers, please dig and look at the numbers. Water is not an issue. Energy, these data centers, You know, the right policy is the county says, OK, you can build here, but generate your own power or subsidize, you know, community power so it's cheaper. And for God's sakes, to the hyperscalers, invest in the schools, invest in the libraries. I don't know if libraries are this anymore, but invest in the community. That's the right way to do it. Take a fraction of the cost and make everybody's life there better.

1:24:26Peter Diamandis:But, Peter, you're gesturing at, I think, something interesting. libraries, the libraries. Remember the digital divide and concerns that some areas might be left behind with less compute. And now we're seeing whether as a result of foreign influence ops or other political factors, the exact opposite, where all of these regions that could in principle be economically uplifted and energetically uplifted and compute uplifted are worried, they're hand-wringing, that they might be suffering from too much compute, how much the tide has turned. Amazing. Every now and then there's a story where we just absolutely positively need to get to the truth.

1:25:01Peter Diamandis:And, you know, we saw this during that COVID outbreak where it's like, look, this is this is a medical thing. What's the actual truth? Do the masks work? Does ivermectin work? You know, we need absolute truth. And instead we got politics. You know, we got a Republican opinion and a Democrat opinion. And then now Fauci's on trial. Like, come on, man, this is bullshit. We need the absolute truth on this story. Like, are the Chinese, is it the policy of the CCP to disrupt American opinion on data centers, slow down our construction of AI, bypass us in AI, and then control the world by winning the race to RSI?

1:25:39Peter Diamandis:Is that their plan? Or if you talk to Alvin Graylin, he's like, they don't even think vaguely that way. They're just trying to have a better life for themselves and improve their own progress. They could care less about trying to invade the U.S. with false stories. which is the true story. I don't actually know, but we absolutely don't. We don't need politics on this. We need to know what is actually going on. Well, what's actually going on is data centers are not the enemy. They're an economic engine that can revive a community that's been left behind. I mean, that's the reality. You know, it's like, please come here.

1:26:15Dave, didn't the slide just show that?

1:26:16Peter Diamandis:So there's no doubt that you're right about that, Peter. Data centers are one of the best things we can, they are the best thing we can possibly be doing right now. 100 % true. And if the CCP loses that battle, they'll move on to some societal AI, like it's corrupting your children, stop building it, or something like that. So we need to know, they'll keep coming back with false story after false story if that's their policy. And we're so vulnerable to it. So I just, we just need to, sorry. They'll hypothetically maybe come up with some sort of infinitely scrollable streaming video app that will become insanely popular on mobile phones.

1:26:52Peter Diamandis:And addictive to all the kids and ruining the kids' neocortexes. Just speaking hypothetically. I think American companies are doing a great job at that already. But that's a different story. All right, let's move on. So OpenAI released the first new performances of their chip, Jalapeno. It's a custom inference chip developed with Broadcom, reporting 1.5 to 1.9x more AI work per watt and up to 3.6x lower end-to-end latency as compared to NVIDIA's GB200s and GB300s. Jalapeno runs on 700 watts against the GB300. That runs at 1 ,400 watts, half the power, 1.5 times the peak power token rate per kilowatt.

1:27:38Performance here, you know, the significance here is that OpenAI is no longer just a customer of NVIDIA. They're becoming a chip designer. And I saw a great interview where Jensen was being asked by the reporter, you know, how do you feel about your largest customer competing with you now? So I think this is what we're going to see everybody doing. Everybody's moving up and down the stack. They want independence.

1:28:02Peter Diamandis:Yeah, there's no doubt. Inference is moving off of NVIDIA for sure. and the 100x performance gain. This is the first 2x of 100x performance gains. That does not mean NVIDIA has a problem, though, because training is staying on NVIDIA, and training is infinitely sold out, just like inference is. But there's an enormous, 90 % of the compute is inference time. So there's an enormous new industry for inference only emerging. The other side of the story is that this was just an idea at OpenAI just a few months ago, and now it's a production chip. So that shows you how short the cycle time on innovation is becoming with AI assistance.

1:28:37Peter Diamandis:Alex? Alex Bialik, A few thoughts on this. Maybe the most startling statistic that OpenAI put out regarding Jalapeno was the throughput per second per user, so tokens per second per user increase that they got on Jalapeno, not just on their frontier models, but on their open source models. Like you remember GPT-OSS, they claim almost a 54x throughput increase hosting GPT-OSS versus what they obliquely refer to, I guess, as the existing best, presumably a reference to some NVIDIA architecture. That's so startling. Open paren, where is Broadcom in this? Because obviously the only way that OpenAI, and it was public information that they worked with Broadcom on this, but presumably the only way OpenAI using their own AI to achieve a tape out so quickly is in conjunction with a Broadcom, close paren.

1:29:36Peter Diamandis:This is so startling and potentially such a huge throughput increase. It makes me scratch my head and wonder whether OpenAI, remember how we've talked in the past about those who can't compete compute, whether OpenAI might actually do this to themselves, even though they are competitive with Anthropic, they're one of the two top tier frontier firms left, whether they might actually choose to become a hyperscaler themselves with their own chips in-house. It's like crazy future would be a heck of a plot twist. But this has me wondering if they have such amazing balance of pre-fill of the prompt with otherwise memory bandwidth limited decoding for LLMs, whether OpenAI wants the optionality in a year or two of saying, hey, market, in addition to our own models, we're going to respond to the competitive threat of Chinese open-weight models and other open-weight models, by surprise, OpenAI offers its own cloud.

1:30:38Peter Diamandis:We'll call it OpenAI Compute. It'll be hosted on OpenAI chips and will still make money just like Elon is. He's making money hand over fist hosting everyone else's models, including Anthropic. I think we're in such a crazy future where I could imagine a world where, say, an OpenAI Compute cloud hosts an Anthropic model and OpenAI and Anthropic win at the same time. Love it. Wow. Okay. I have a question for you guys. Yeah. One of the things that was mentioned was that the NVIDIA's CUDA moat may be dead in this next few coming years. How big of a deal is that? Because CUDA seems to be their moat, right?

1:31:19Peter Diamandis:Yeah, no, CUDA, so it's important to be clear, like CUDA is still the dominant moat for AI researchers who are working on new training. Take a second and explain what CUDA is for those who don't know. Yeah, so CUDA, so all the AI researchers in the world moved to Python and PyTorch to do the, because you can iterate your ideas so much more quickly in that environment. And then to run it at scale, you're like, well, here's my code, just run. The only way to say just run is the CUDA layer translates your PyTorch right into NVIDIA micro kernels, runs at blazing fast speeds. NVIDIA invested a lot of time, human time, coding that up, pre-AI coding.

1:31:54Peter Diamandis:And it became so pervasive that when AI took off, only NVIDIA chips could be used for all this training and research, because it would have been a nightmare to try and port all these matmol algorithms to AMD or to some other vendor. And so that's why NVIDIA is the most powerful company in the world or most valuable company in the world today is specifically because of that brilliant early support of AI researchers when nobody else cared about them. So now everyone's like, well, but now I can vibe code anything in like a microsecond. Why is the CUDA thing still a moat? And at inference time, it's not.

1:32:28Peter Diamandis:Your inference algorithms are so easy to port to AMD or Intel that you don't care about CUDA. You can vibe up your own solution. But for the advanced researchers, they still overwhelmingly use CUDA. And then NVIDIA realized that CUDA can't last forever. So they went and bought Mellanox to create massive high-speed interconnect. So now their big moat is, look, if you want to run 100 ,000 or a million GPUs in one coherent cluster, you still got to go with NVIDIA only. So I think Jensen's smart enough to know that, like, your moat is only good until the next moat. And so he's moving the moat very intelligently, and he has a huge amount of capital to keep moving with it.

1:33:07Peter Diamandis:But CUDA as the inference time moat is already dead. CUDA as the training time moat is probably limited lifespan. But that's OK, because the interconnect is the new moat. All right, let's turn to Apple. So Apple's new Mac Studio pairs the M5 Ultra with up to 512 gigabytes of unified memory, giving a desktop Mac enough memory to run some of the largest open AI models available locally on your desktop. Apple unveiled also the M6, its first chip manufactured at the 2 nanometer process. So finally, Apple is in the AI game, now pushing local AI as an alternative to AI in the cloud. Salim, you wanted to talk about this one.

1:33:47Your thoughts?

1:33:48Peter Diamandis:Well, just such an easy and obvious thing for Apple to do, right? You would have been, if they hadn't done this, they would have been the stupidest company in history, and they're not that dumb. The 512 gig unified memory puts a massive amount of intelligence under your desk. So this really changed the economics from paying per token perpetually to buying a capital asset and then using it continuously, right? Especially that Apple's gone to the extra level of starting to lease its equipment out to people. So this is really a big deal. I think the big winners here are law firms, healthcare companies that have HIPAA issues and can't put their stuff on the cloud.

1:34:28Peter Diamandis:Everything can, much more stuff can now be done on-prem. And I think this is going to be a, for medium-sized healthcare firms that can't afford a private cloud and doing all that, really, really a big deal. And I think this is such a natural advantage for Apple to go down this path. So you get four of these Mac Studios clustered together. Now you've got like a small private data center. Like that's a pretty big deal. Even Dave would go full out for that. I'm at the end of my rope. I'm at the end of my rope with Apple. I mean, nobody has changed my life more that I've never met than Steve Jobs.

1:35:08Peter Diamandis:And the Apple II that I got when I was a kid totally changed my life. And then when they came out with Mac OS based on Linux, changed my life again. It's absolutely the greatest company I've ever seen. But they have totally missed the boat. And it's just embarrassing that a company with that much cash flow has no AI strategy. They don't even deserve to be a Mag 7 company anymore. It's just pathetic. So if the best they can do in the age of AI is add a bunch more RAM to a machine that they already had, I mean, what the hell, man? I mean, I'm not saying this is a great thing that they came out with, but it's like 0.01 % of what they should have done by now in AI.

1:35:49Peter Diamandis:Total okay. I'm okay with all of that. But it's obvious they should have done it. At least they did this, right? I'd say the irony is even deeper. So if you look at the ancestry of how unified memory architecture came about and the neural engine inside the M series, you can trace the lineage back to the Apple car. It was the Apple car was the reason why Apple first introduced the Apple car that never happened, why Apple introduced the neural engine with access to this huge unified memory addressable space. So I almost think like Apple's interaction with AI is almost a history of hardware that's too good for the software and or conversely software that just isn't worthy of the hardware.

1:36:32Apple had the early unified MatMul acceleration built into a unified addressing space.

1:36:41Peter Diamandis:Apple had the TSMC connection. Apple had the raw transistor throughput to basically be NVIDIA and then some. And they fumbled it. They had Siri before everyone else. They had audio interaction, all of these various forms. And Apple software fumbled the ball. And I can only hope that under John Ternus that Apple is going to decide it really does. You know, Tim Cook used to always say, and before Tim, Steve Jobs, that they wanted to be hardware plus software plus services. And it just seems to me like Apple's hardware, at least to the consumer side, is incredible. Their services are also not that bad.

1:37:21Peter Diamandis:But they're so fumbling and so underutilizing still infamously their amazing hardware with their software. And, you know, to John, if you're listening and you're looking for guidance on what Apple should be doing in this new era under your CEO ship, please, please, please just like take your amazing hardware and unleash it with much better software that integrates AI natively. And also, yes, hire Alex as a consultant first and foremost. Nah, I don't need it. Well, do it. Do it because you need it, not because Alex needs it. Maybe for charity, for charity. But also the world needs it. Apple is the one brand that you can trust with your information.

1:38:03Peter Diamandis:It's the one and only brand. And here we are in the age of AI. Everyone's confused. It's incredibly powerful. It would change the world. Such a different world if Steve Jobs had not made his stupid health decisions and not treated his cancer. Dave, I met Steve once. I had a one-word conversation with him. So I was having an XPRIZE meeting. Larry Page, co-founder of Google, was on my board, and he hosted us for an evening dinner. And Lorene Powell Jobs, his wife, was there, and Steve was there in the back of the room. And we were talking about the latest X-Prizes and the ones that were just won.

1:38:42And afterward, I had to go meet my hero over here. And Steve is in the back of the room with his arms folded the entire time like this, looking kind of pissed off. And I walked over, introduced myself, and I said, Steve, it's a real pleasure to meet you. And he like, he like, you know, barely nods his head. And then I said, you don't want to be here, do you? He goes, nope. And that was the entire conversation. I've got a story.

1:39:07Peter Diamandis:So a couple of months before the big iPhone announcement in 2007, Jerry Yang put together a, an offsite, a full day offsite with all of Yahoo's vice presidents. And Steve Jobs came in to do a keynote. Right. So I got kind of a handshake. Hello. And Steve Jobs looks at the audience and he goes, there were like 300 people in the room. Right. And he's like, you have 300 vice presidents. He's like, I think I see the problem with Yahoo right there. So like the fact that he had that much organizational overhead, he was just couldn't, couldn't cope with that. My claim to fame is I have a whole bunch of MacBooks that were signed by Wozniak.

1:39:49Peter Diamandis:Oh, wow. Because I did a 90 minute debate with him on stage a few years ago. How old is that Mac? Yeah, don't use that. That's a few years old. I had them sign about four or five. I'm guarding them jealously. Yeah, you got to preserve those in some kind of like a chamber. Got to preserve those. And I gave a couple away to my community because they were so thrilled with that episode. It was a great conversation. Steve Wozniak is famous for coming out with all of this technology gives us the opportunity to do tinkering and just playing around. And that's the heart of all creativity is just playing around with technology, seeing what comes up.

1:40:26Peter Diamandis:And he was really doubling down on that. So it was a great conversation. But that memory of Steve Jobs looking at 300 vice presidents going, I see, you think I see what's wrong with your company, has never left me. It's funny, the very first share of stock I ever bought was Apple. And, you know, we tend to overthink things. Like, all I had to do is just hold it. I should still have that stock today. I'm going to move us into the world of abundance. Two stories on energy and one on water. Again, our mission here is to deliver you data-driven optimism. Why the world is getting better. So let's hit energy first.

1:41:03Again, two stories here. The first story is about uranium enrichment to meet the growing needs of our advanced Gen 4 fission plants and the coming SMR, small modular reactor power plants. So historically in the U.S., conventional reactor fuel in the form of uranium-238 has been enriched to about 3 to 5 percent. This week, a commercial startup, again, a startup here called Actinide, said it has demonstrated the ability to enrich natural uranium into high-assay, low-enriched uranium, or HALU, up to a purity of 15.38%, five times the traditional purity previously achieved by, you know, all the government labs.

1:41:46So a startup is enriching uranium to this level. And that's, for me, a remarkable story. So every SMR company, and we had that incredible podcast with Ramez Nam on the future of energy. If you haven't seen it, please go see it. Every SMR company says their reactors will be coming online in 2030, but none of them have the fuel. And this could well be the solution. Alex, any thoughts on this story?

1:42:09Peter Diamandis:A number of thoughts. I think something went wrong right after World War II. That's my best guess. In the immediate aftermath of World War II, so 80 years ago, the Atomic Energy Commission was eventually formed in the wake of the Manhattan Project. And I think something just got screwed up with regard to how nuclear physics and advanced physics in general was handled in the post-World War II era. And the government, probably because of the bomb, the government granted itself under the guise of mixed civilian military leadership, the Atomic Energy Commission. I think something governance-wise got fumbled.

1:42:50Peter Diamandis:And I think 80 years on, after the end of World War II, we're finally starting to shake off the quasi-governmental monopoly on nuclear physics. And I think, I suspect there has been so much progress in an alternative history, you know, sort of for all mankind style, where if in the aftermath of World War II, if the Atomic Energy Commission had either been organized differently, or we just had a totally different governance structure for advanced physics after the war, we would have advanced so much more quickly. And I think startups like Actonide that are producing Halo, I think these are the tip of the iceberg for all of the economic growth and technological growth that can now be unleashed.

1:43:36Peter Diamandis:Now, 80 years after World War II, all of these shackles that we put on our own society, perhaps with the best of intentions, are finally slowly atrophying away. And just a narrow point on the technology here. So this is non-obvious. In many cases, uranium enrichment in this country, to the extent we do it at all and aren't just importing enriched uranium from, say, Russia, the technology that in many cases is being used to enrich uranium in this country is Manhattan Project-level technology that has not been materially improved since World War II. It's using uranium hexafluoride gas and centrifuges.

1:44:20Peter Diamandis:When we have much better technology, there are alternative ways to enrich uranium. For example, the term is a calitron. This is technology that we've known in principle how to make since the Manhattan Project, rather than using centrifuges, spinning uranium compounds in gaseous form, and then later having to compress the gaseous uranium molecules down to solid pellets or other solid forms that could be used in reactors. We could instead be using magnets, electromagnetics and vacuum systems and power electronics controls. We have 80 years of advances in power electronics that by and large are not being used and have not been used to enrich uranium, either because we're scared of doing it or because we've handcuffed ourselves in terms of our being able to do it.

1:45:11Peter Diamandis:So I think we should expect to see now that the shackles are starting to come off in a limited fashion from the post-World War II era, we're going to start to see 80 years of chip advances and Moore's Law advances finally being applied back to this basically World War II era technology. And I think it'll create an energy boom. Well, I hope so. I think from a venture capitalist point of view, you would never in a million years have invested in this when the regulatory cost of getting a nuclear reactor up and running is going to be a billion dollars anyway. So you can see how the dysfunction ripples through.

1:45:46Peter Diamandis:You start with government dysfunction and then the venture capitalists are like, well, given that that's dysfunctional, I want to invest in these innovations. So then the whole value chain just doesn't go anywhere. But now the SMR companies are being funded by venture capitalists and they are going public. Let's jump into a little bit about solar. I'm going to show this chart here. This is a chart that comes from Ember, the global energy think tank. They shared this data showing China's increasing energy generation, both in solar and in nuclear. So monthly solar generation in China has exploded eightfold, 800 percent over the past six years, growing from 20 terawatts per month in 2020 to about 160 terawatts per month in mid-2026.

1:46:30At the same time, nuclear power in China has increased by at least 50 percent, while the U.S. nuclear power gen has basically remained flat. You need to remember that the AI race is not just about chips. It's also about the cost of energy to run those chips. You know, the U.S. is building its whole data center power gen based on natural gas, which is like six bucks per million British thermal units, while China is basically getting this for near zero marginal cost from solar. And I mean, I think the abundant story here is it is possible to really create a massive amount of energy from solar. You know, the numbers, if you talk to your local model, it's like there's 8 ,000 times more energy that hits the surface of the earth than we consume as a species.

1:47:20So being able to double, triple or 10x that is well within reach. Salim, you want to jump in first?

1:47:28Peter Diamandis:A bunch of things to say here. First of all, if you look at the difference between that red and blue curve, it's completely a copy of our old linear versus exponential curves. Linears like this and exponential curves up and we're on the wrong side of that equation. This is linear intuition confronting an exponential curve. The problem is solar keeps getting underestimated because people look at install capacity today rather than the vertical slope of the deployment curve. And that's the nightmare. And people can't get their heads around this. This is such a kind of an old, tired story that we should just get past because China's advantage is not like a magical solar panel.

1:48:10Peter Diamandis:It's the whole industrial system optimized around manufacturing, the supply chain, the permitting, the deployment. And in the U.S., the big challenge is the interconnection with the grid, the transmission, the permitting speed, right? And so you need all these different, you need nuclear, you need solar, you need all of this. But battery technology makes this a killer opportunity because you can add a solar panel today rather than wait 15 years for some gigawatt scale energy project. And so this is a massive opportunity that's being left behind. If I was the U.S., I'd put a Manhattan-type project into perovskite and new solar capabilities, photonics.

1:48:46Peter Diamandis:You have some huge opportunities there. And when you have energy abundance, as I think we've all pointed out, that becomes a multiplier in every other exponential technology. So this is such a no-brainer, and it really kind of is very dismayed to see the challenge here. The GDP of a country is directly proportional to the amount of energy they create. And Alex, that, you know, the point you made about, you know, nuclear being frozen, it's very clear here. We have not changed nuclear in, you know, decades. We've still been producing this. Half century, something again, I think in the fullness of time, maybe 10 years from now, we'll have a better understanding of what happened during the 20th century that got screwed up after World War II.

1:49:26Peter Diamandis:But I think several things on the governance side, especially as they relate to nuclear physics, just in the wake of World War II, we went on the wrong path. And my hope is that it gets corrected. Yeah. Dave, do you want to make a comment on this one? Well, I'll only make one comment, which is, you know, on that chart, the U.S. is way behind in solar. All those U.S. panels are made in China. It's much worse than it looks. Yeah. All right. Our next story is about water. The weather modification startup called Rainmaker says that 10 drones that flew over Alaska's Kenai Peninsula generated an estimated 19 million gallons of additional rainfall in just three hours using what they call a glaciogenic cloud seeding.

1:50:12So, you know, ultimately, weather modification is no longer theoretical. It's here. Applications for this kind of technology include drought relief, agriculture, wildfire prevention and water security. Just for reference, you can look it up. There's 3.4 quadrillion gallons of water in the atmosphere. And atmosphere capture is now a thing, making it in the clouds or capturing it on the ground. So this is the abundance thesis that predicts that water becomes massively abundant when technology to create it becomes cheap. And, you know, 10 drones creating 19 million gallons of water in three hours is pretty damn cheap.

1:50:49Peter Diamandis:Alex? And the drone part, the UAV part, I think is especially novel. So imagine a near term future where we achieve our weather control grid, not necessarily. When I always go through the Mendel exercise of how if I had to build a global weather control system, how would I do it? I think the easiest way to do it is probably with reflectors, either terrestrially cheaper or in Leo, a little bit more expensive. But this points the way, I think, to a third path for global weather control, which is cloud seeding. Imagine a swarm, a fleet of drones in the style of Rainmaker's drones that are continuously in flight, probably solar powered, so they can be permanently aloft.

1:51:32Peter Diamandis:And they are just dispensing on an as-needed basis, but under the control of some centralized AI algorithm, the particulates, the nuclei needed for either snow or rain, all informed by a global weather AI model. We could, in principle, I think with some further development of Rainmaker's technology and similar technologies, we could have total weather control. And that would be, from a natural disaster perspective, imagine being able to divert hurricanes. Or disperse hurricanes before they form. Yeah, disperse with precipitation on the water instead of on land or tornadoes, other extreme weather events, not to mention giving good weather to the places that want it and are willing to trade it.

1:52:17Peter Diamandis:We could have a global weather trade where regions trade each other for precipitation. There are so many possibilities that are unlocked by the confluence of AI, drones, and weather modification. And now, finally, we're about to start this era of geoengineering, I think. Love it. I can see the business model for Rainmaker. It's like, you know, different cities bid on where the drones go. Rain arbitrage. We could have a global market for rain. Salim? Rain becomes programmable. For me, the big breakthrough is not that they made rain, which we've been able to do for a while now, but it's the fact that they could prove how much additional rain they made.

1:52:58Peter Diamandis:That, I think, is really interesting because it then unlocks a huge amount of stuff. Weather, the challenge is weather typically doesn't respect weather boundaries. So trying to figure out if you're downstream of somebody that seeded a bunch of clouds and now you're not getting the rain and they're getting it, it's going to create some interesting tensions around that. But this is exactly the type of abundance technology, right, allows you to scale something really powerful. And I think there's a wonderful future. The business models around geoengineering, as Alex puts it, are pretty rampant. You could do some really interesting stuff.

1:53:31Peter Diamandis:I mean, crop management, all sorts of things become capable. It's reminding me of one of the more creative singularity solutions that we ever saw was at Singularity University. One of the summer students, I think his name was Simon Daniels, had this idea of putting platforms in the ocean that would spray up waterway, take ocean water and spray it up to block the sun from hitting the earth and slowing down global warming that way. And his business model, I said, that was to do it along flight paths where you could spray up water in the shape of a Nike logo and sell that advertising. And so you sell, do it in the shape of certain patterns.

1:54:09Peter Diamandis:That pays for the whole system. At the same time, you lower the temperature into a controllable way. And there's lots of people that say, oh, my God, geoengineering is a bad thing. We don't know the after effects. And the counterpoint is, well, we've already been geoengineering the world for 100 years in a horrible, uncontrolled, unmeasurable way. And it's causing massive damage. Look at the disaster in Nepal that's happening right now. 12 ,000 people estimated dead. It's a complete tragedy there. My heart goes out to all of them. And nothing anybody could do in that sense. And you could avoid a lot of that.

1:54:37Peter Diamandis:And so I think it's incumbent upon us to use technology to navigate this stuff because you do it consciously rather than unconsciously. And that's the powerful point. Welcome to the health section of Moonshots brought to you by Fountain Life. You know, my mission is to help you use the latest technologies, including AI, to not just do your work at home, teach your kids, but to help you live a long and healthy life. I'm here today with an extraordinary physician, the chief medical officer of Fountain Life, Dr. Don Musalem. Don, let's talk about cancer. You know, I know from the member database that we have at Fountain, our members who come in who think they're healthy, it turns out 3.3 % of them have a cancer in their body they don't know about.

1:55:21Peter Diamandis:That's right. You know, the majority of cancers that we screen for, those aren't the ones that are necessarily taking the lives when found at a late stage. We know that when cancer is found early, the chances for cure are much higher. We know it's much easier to treat a cancer when found early versus when found late. What we're finding in our members is over 3.3 % were found to have these cancers that were otherwise wouldn't have been found or detected. Yeah. You know, it's interesting. People, you don't feel the cancer until stage three or stage four. And if you don't know what's going on inside your body, it's like driving your car with your eyes closed.

1:55:55And you can know. And so when members come through, how do they detect cancers?

1:56:00Peter Diamandis:So we're doing full body MRI, and we also do early cancer detection screening. This is very, very important. And these are not typical tools used in the conventional care setting when it comes to prevention. This is a hard thing because currently these are not studies that insurance would yet be covering. But the goal is to collect these numbers, do the research, and work hard to democratize wellness. Yeah. So at the end of the day, you can know what's going on inside your body. It's your obligation to know. So check out Fountain Life. You can go to fountainlife.com slash Peter to get access to the latest technology to help you detect cancer at the very beginning at stage one when it is curable before it gets to stage three or stage four in your world of hurt.

1:56:42All right. Let's move into the world of health. A couple of stories here. First off, this week, the FDA approved a drug called, let me pronounce this properly, daraxanaracib. It's the first RAS inhibitor for metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma, attacking the RAS family of proteins that drives tumor growth in most patients with the disease. So pancreatic cancer, I mean, is really considered almost a death sentence. It's the most lethal, least treatable cancer for humans in history. In previously treated metastatic cancer, Diracin racet nearly doubled median survival from 6.7 to 13.2 months. It also tripled tumor response rates from 11 % to 32%.

1:57:31And while this isn't a cure, and just getting an extra seven months doesn't sound like a lot, that's an additional seven months for science to continue to make more breakthroughs. I mean, that's the way I think about it. This is like longevity escape velocity. Your goal is to live long enough to get a breakthrough to another side. It's also worth noting that RAS mutations drive about 30 % of all human cancers. So a drug that inhibits these proteins may also be useful for other cancers as well. And, you know, we've heard this said so many times by Dario, by Demis, by many others. You know, the goal is to cure all these diseases, including cancer, in this next decade.

1:58:13Alex, do you have a take on this one?

1:58:16Peter Diamandis:Yeah. So a couple of items. One, I'd point out remarkably, this is a daily oral tablet. Pretty incredible. Secondly, I'd point out I was doing some research on the full lineage, as it were, for Direxin and Rasib. There's almost no AI involved in the development of this drug. So I think this is actually finger to the wind. I think this is probably slash hopefully one of the last generation of pancreatic cancer medications that almost precedes the AI wave. And I would expect lots of new targets, lots of new approaches to emerge from both the AlphaFold3 style of protein folding problem and structural biology being solved, as well as virtual cell models.

1:59:05Peter Diamandis:As far as I can tell, Diracson Rasib used neither of these in its design. It was a good old-fashioned drug design. But I think we're about to see a whole wave of AI-driven drugs that take it from its current response rate to near 100 % using AI. And I think that's to be celebrated. I also want to celebrate the FDA in approving this relatively quickly. The FDA noted that they approved this, I think, 60, 90 days, something like this, prior to the due date, which for historic FDA speeds is actually pretty remarkable speed. Yeah. So we're seeing a much more, I think, responsive FDA that now starts to care about Bayesian versus frequentist statistics, that cares about INDs quite a bit more, it seems, that's interested in lowering the number of clinical trials in exemplary cases.

2:00:00Peter Diamandis:Hopefully, this is, I think, a baby step towards a future where AI solves 5 ,000 diseases, and then we have a regulatory apparatus in the form of an FDA that is able to metabolize all of those innovations and turn them into cures. Amen. Amen to that. Let me move to our second story in the health corner here. This is published in Nature Communications, and it comes from an international research team out of University of Nottingham, who developed a biomimetic gel capable of repairing and regrowing damaged tooth enamel. So this is fluoride-free treatment, uses lab-engineered proteins that mimic the natural processes of enamel formation during infancy.

2:00:42So as you might know, tooth enamel is the hardest substance in the human body, and it doesn't regenerate. So until now, the only thing you could do was replace enamel with a synthetic filling would eventually fail. So biomimetic gel is an elastin-like protein matrix designed to mimic the natural protein scaffolding that organizes enamel during tooth development. The treatment didn't just make something that looks like enamel. It regenerated layers and restored hardness, stiffness, water resistance, friction properties, resistant to brushing, chewing, acid exposure in labs. The gel acts like a scaffolding that pulls calcium and phosphate from the surrounding environment and directs them into properly organizing minerals rather than merely depositing in amorphous coating.

2:01:31It's true enamel. I mean, for me, this is huge. You know, related oral disease affects, you know, half the population. It's estimated at a half a trillion dollars per year in associated costs. You know, to put this in perspective, this is still ex vivo. It's still done using extracted human teeth. And it's being done, you know, effectively in the test tube of the Petri dish. But it's going to be moving to human testing very quickly. And as someone who's had poor dental health and poor dental genetics on my life, I couldn't be more excited about this, especially for my kids. Salim, do you want to jump on this?

2:02:06Peter Diamandis:just fantastic for me the big thing is showing that the future of of medicine is not like repairing broken bits it's convincing the body to rebuild them and finding the mechanisms and pathways right uh and so this is uh really really powerful stuff it'll totally change dentistry yeah uh it's completely people undervalue their oral health so much right the mouth is a direct corridor to the brain and to the heart you know you need to be careful about your oral health. Alex? Regenerative medicine, there's been a future. We've been waiting for stuff like this to happen for a long time. It's great to see it finally kind of actually come into being.

2:02:43Alex, did you dig into this story too?

2:02:45Peter Diamandis:I did. I mean, I think these results actually started bubbling up last year first. I'm incredibly interested in materials engineering of human body, human dental enamel included. But I think this was an AMA question that we got in the last pod episode, people asking, yeah, like, where's all the innovation? Well, I think the story, which again, like first started seeing this last year, I think this is just one data point in a larger manifold of just applying good old-fashioned material science to the problem of human teeth. And if you can help to shape and engineer the pathways through which tooth enamel grows, I have to think that similar biomaterial discoveries and inventions will also be helpful for bone regrowth, for a variety of other key biomaterials for regenerative medicine.

2:03:44Peter Diamandis:And again, looking at the research behind this, I saw approximately no AI. That's always my sniff test, like if and how AI was used in this research. And if it wasn't used, as appears to be the case here, there was approximately no AI, as I can see, then take this, but multiply it by many orders of magnitude, the sort of progress I'd expect to see in a few years in this area. Dave, how's your oral health? It's fine. But, you know, I get really excited about, you know, that Moderna story we had recently where they had a melanoma vaccine that works really well. Stock went way up. But what was exciting is that it's a platform that applies to virtually any other cancer.

2:04:25Peter Diamandis:And so when Alex says, yeah, these weren't done with AI, I'm like, well, they're really cool, but they're one offs. I can't wait for the repeatable like I can grow a tooth. I can grow an arm. I can grow an ear. I grow anything now. And so then you get into true scalable regenerative medicine. I feel like that's very, very soon. By the way, the work on limb regrowth is making amazing progress. Yeah. All right. I think, Dave, you're also touching on an interesting, almost like a singularity-flavored technological deflation story, which is if there's no AI in it, like to first order, what's the point?

2:05:03Peter Diamandis:Either infuse it with AI and make it scalable so that you can hashtag solve everything, scale it up by a thousand X or or just don't do it and do something else that's higher leverage. Not to discourage people from regenerative medicine. Sell your data to Dennis and Dennis will AI what you just invented. Yeah, that's perfect. All right. Finally, let's jump into space and robotic stories. The two first stories are from the Elon universe. Deloitte this week reported about the potential lunar economy. They put a financial figure of$566 billion in cumulative economic value by 2050. I could not expect a lower lowball than that number from Deloitte.

2:05:50The biggest early markets being infrastructure costs, transportation, power, comms, mobility, construction, life support. They cite SpaceX as the biggest winner because of the central role that Starship will play. You know, clearly they are not taking into account, Alex, manufacturing StarMind on the moon to fuel Earth's Dyson. Where's the petafab?

2:06:12Peter Diamandis:Petafab is MIA. Yeah. So, you know, just to put the numbers on it, because, you know, that number, you know, half a trillion of lunar economy may sound large, but it's a minuscule estimate. So Elon previously stated his plans for a star mine started with about 100 to 200 gigawatts per year of orbital AI compute launched from Earth and then moving to manufacturing AI satellites on the moon for launch with a mass driver. He estimates that we could yield as much as 100 terawatts per year of orbital compute based on lunar production, which would generate and wait for it an absurdly large amount of lunar economy.

2:06:53Wait for it. The estimate, if you're building 100 terawatts per year of orbital compute, the economy would be$2 quadrillion per year of gross revenue. I mean, I don't know.

2:07:08Peter Diamandis:Maybe Planetark is maybe too small. Two quadrillion dollars. Now we're talking a good economy. But, you know, Salim, you deal with like the Deloitte's and McKinsey's. And so these guys are so conservative in their numbers all the time. I mean, crazy. Yeah, because A, a lot of them are accountants, so they're scared of being called out for anything vaguely approaching a real estimate. B, they want to make sure their numbers are defensible to the nth degree, so no speculation at all. Whereas by definition, you're speculating, so might as well speculate to some level of honesty. This is the same type of pattern we've seen before.

2:07:51Peter Diamandis:By the way, one of these big four, I won't see which one to protect the innocent here, put out an agentic AI report saying this is the future of AI agents, etc. So I excitedly read it thinking I'd get some gloomerings that would give me some sense of it. Except when I looked deeper into it, the data they were using was two and a half years old. And how with two and a half year old data, you're going to come up with anything about the agentic world when everything happened in the last six months? It's like, how do you, they have so many checks and balances and internal review systems that dilute everybody's thinking, careful, you can't say that, da-da-da-da-da, that by the time it comes out, it's been whitewashed so many times.

2:08:36Peter Diamandis:You mean that they have too many lawyers, you mean? Lawyers and cross-reference checkers of even more cautious people, and then nothing realistic gets put out. In general, I typically say, take any of their estimates and multiply it by 10 or 20 times. Huh. Dave, what's your thought? We had the Deloitte AI team in here in the office the other day. They're very, very good, actually. But they were also saying the same thing about the accounting side. So, Salim, you're confirmed from inside Deloitte. Yeah, quadrillions of dollars. That's what Elon was talking about. I believe it because the gravity well is the key.

2:09:12Peter Diamandis:You know, Peter, you talk about this a lot. But everyone's like, why would I bother manufacturing that on the moon? What's the point? You know, I can just make it here. Like, no, no, it's the gravity well. You start building power plants based on just lunar minerals, and all of a sudden, you're like, this is so much more efficient. Plus, you know, there's no worry about pollution and stuff like that. Yeah, lunar regolith is silicon. What's that used for? Oh, okay, power generation, aluminum, nickel, iron, and oxygen. I mean, it's like the perfect materials for building Dyson swarms. Alex, I've got to feed it to you to sort of up-level this vision here.

2:09:47Peter Diamandis:Well, the moon may not be a harsh mistress. She may be a wealthy mistress at this point. I do think the pedophab is the killer app for the moon. I don't think it's tourism. I don't think it's transport or infra or comms. The Apollo program was sort of infamously, arguably a successor to the Manhattan Project. And I think to the extent that the full history of the Apollo program is already fully understood in the public record, I think a relative failure. I would love to see the moon reach its full economic potential. And I just don't think that is going to happen anyway other than full private development.

2:10:31Peter Diamandis:And right now, it does appear that the critical path is mining chips, fabbing data centers on the moon. It's not rods from God. It's not deploying U.S. NASA astronauts to the moon. That's all well and good and everything. And friend of the pod, Jared, is, I think, doing an amazing job of reinvigorating the case on the government side for fission reactors on the moon and all of that. But I think in the fullness of time, even that just ends up being a rounding error compared to data center deployment and mining on the moon, unless, I don't know, unless 2001, A Space Odyssey happens and we discover some monoliths on the moon, in which case that's the killer app.

2:11:12Peter Diamandis:The pod-fav or the exofav on the moon is it's really interesting to game it out because when you when you look at the fab construction process you know a lot of the components in there are just routine aluminum routine you know just construction there are a few really critical pieces that you can still make on earth and launch them and it'd be just a tiny fraction of the total cost but you know once you start manufacturing chips on the moon the solar panels on the moon i mean it's just exponential takeoff from there and you know the technology is just not that far away the problem is that But these guys are not looking at what the, you can't ask what the lunar economy is today.

2:11:50Peter Diamandis:You have to say, what industries become unlocked when the cost of moving mass off the earth drops by an order or two of magnitude? And that's the imagination gap. Yeah. And I just want to say a shout out to Jared Isaacman, who's a friend of the pod. And, you know, what an extraordinary administrator. I could not be more proud. I said it during our podcast with him. I've known, I think, all the administrators pretty well over the last 40, 50 years or 40 years. And he is by far the best, most eloquent, most visionary, most business minded. And he is an accelerationist. And if anybody is going to support humanity, you know, moving beyond the bounds of Earth, it's him.

2:12:33Peter Diamandis:I just want to hear like every time the CCP sponsors and influence up to deter American terrestrial data centers, the lunar petafab gets its wings. Yeah. All right. Our second Elon story comes from Tesla. The company announced it's expanded its rollout of cybercabs in Texas. They just registered 79 Model Ys for the robotaxi service. And this is starting to look more, you know, less like an experiment and more like a real fleet. In Las Vegas alone, Tesla recently said it's going to be deploying 2 ,500 vehicles in the next year. It's CyberCab. Tesla's official long-term milestone is to reach a million robo-taxis in commercial operations as soon as possible.

2:13:17And if you do the estimates, that's probably about$100 billion of revenue in rideshare revenue for Tesla. Let's take a look at a quick video here just to remind people how cool the CyberCab is. I have to say, you know, I love Google, but, you know, Waymo's new vehicle is kind of clunky. This is pretty beautiful.

2:13:51This is Elon at the original CyberCab rollout. I love those doors. Way cooler than I thought. yeah those are uh those are three commodores or four commodores

2:14:07pretty cool yeah such a great design it's a beautiful design it and in gold is like it's

2:14:14Peter Diamandis:perfect it really is at the gigafactory remember they had that one that was all exploded out so you could see inside all the parts and it's just a beautiful beautiful design and it doesn't have that many moving parts, you know, so you can see how they're going to manufacture them at an incredible scale. Yeah. You know, just, just for a consumer, from a consumer point of view, all my friends that are driving the new full self-driving model wise are like, oh my God, this is life-changing. I literally go anywhere FSD. And the wait list right now is about three months for a model Y, but three months from today, the fully engaging, you want to talk to it all the time AI will be everywhere.

2:14:51Peter Diamandis:So you might want to get on that wait list because you're going to want to be talking to your AI and continuing your dialogue, your work, your fun. You know, it's going to be amazing. And, you know, if there are entrepreneurs out there, when the cyber cap comes out, you know, buy a hundred of them, put them out to work, and we'll have a fleet of cyber cabs generating revenue for you. I think that's going to be an incredible business. I will say I love my Tesla Model Y 2026 Juniper Launch Series Edition. It is life-changing. The FSD is incredible. The manufacturing quality of the car is incredible.

2:15:31Peter Diamandis:I can't wait for cybercabs and robo-taxis in general to come to Boston. I'll beat the drum once more for the broken Waymo's theory of if a city can't accommodate robo-taxis, then it is not equipped for the singularity. And hopefully someone from the city of Boston is listening to this and scratching their head and wondering just what is doing with Boston and why Boston doesn't have proper Waymo support. If you're scratching your head and you're in a position of authority, call Dave or call me. We'd love to figure this out. Yeah. Same thing when Uber was made illegal in France. I was like, okay, if you're an entrepreneur, don't move to France.

2:16:10It's like these are telltale signs of what cities are on the singularity curve and which are not.

2:16:15Peter Diamandis:Yeah. Salim? I'm actually having to sell my beloved 10-year-old Tesla Model S to get a Model Y because I need the FSD. I'll send a photograph of it in for our next pod just so everybody can see. I totally love my car. But this is a big, big deal, I think, for a couple of reasons. One is there's three little things here. One is that this changes from purchasing a car to autonomous revenue miles. What's the cost per autonomous revenue per mile, right? And if you can do it at a decent safety adjusted cost, this is actually massive. The fleet growth will lower wait times, which will improve the user experience, which will increase the rise, which generates more data, which will create that inner loop that Alex is talking about.

2:17:07Peter Diamandis:So I think there's some really amazing downstream benefits from all of this. It totally changes the game on insurance and cleaning up and charging and all sorts of, I think you'll turn gas stations into autonomous car cleaning depots. That kind of thing will start to happen. But for me, the big one is I made a bet. I got up on stage 10 years ago and I said, my kid will never get a driver's license. and I've got just about a year for this cyber cab to roll out to get out there before he, he may get one anyway just to get away from the parents, but he wouldn't have to, and then I'll be proven correct.

2:17:42Peter Diamandis:So important not to lose your credibility as a futurist. Yeah. You know, the abundant story here is the poorest people in the planet will be driven around by electric autonomous vehicles. Yes. It will be the cheapest mode of transportation. And think about the elderly, right? And people that can't get around easily and all and, and, and, and. It's just the market suddenly becomes so magical, delivering huge capability to segments of the population that can't do it today. Huge. Yeah, I'm going to put this image here. I love it. Just comparing CyberCab and Waymo. And, you know, I have to say, I don't know how Waymo is going to compete when CyberCab rolls out.

2:18:25First of all, CyberCab has eight cameras. Again, Elon made the point that if humans can just drive with one or two eyes, you should be able to have a car do it with just cameras. And compared to the lidars and radars and 13 cameras that Waymo has. And I think the point with the brains on this image is CyberCab is massively AI driven. Yeah, I could not agree more.

2:18:54Peter Diamandis:It's going to be a big fight. By the way, didn't Tesla acknowledge that cameras aren't enough? No, I don't think so. Tesla does use for short range, it uses ultrasound, but everyone uses ultrasound. It does not use LIDAR. I think there's sort of an interesting, maybe speaking prospectively, not financial advice, epitaph insofar as Luminar, the LIDAR provider, declared bankruptcy half a year ago at this point. But if I had to bet, again, not investment advice, I think the market abhors monopolies. And I think there's probably room for at least a handful of competing approaches. There will be many of these around competing, beating themselves up and lowering the price across the board.

2:19:41And we all win. Yeah, I introduced Austin Russell, the CEO of Luminar, before it went out of business, to Elon at a party. And I watched them duke it out on whether LiDAR was important. Anyway, it was a fun show. And Elon was like, no way, not interested, not going to go there. All right, our final story. It's a little bit of a bizarre one, but expected in the direction in the world of robotics. A company called Somnia Lab has built a robot for intimacy. and the internet has lost its mind. It's called Model L, maybe L for love. It's five foot nine inches, 44 pound robot with 24 degrees of freedom with the warmth simulation, touch response and preference memory designed for human robot sexual encounters.

2:20:32Okay, it's finally here guys. So real humans wear motion capture suits. I'm gonna show you a video of that in a moment to record 165 intimate actions that were fed into the model. Somnia Lab is taking$300 deposits for delivery in late 2027. What makes the Model L more interesting than a sophisticated sex doll is the attempt to combine physical embodiment, persistent AI memory, and personalization. Somnia says the robot is intended to remember conversations and preferences across encounters, learn a user's rhythms, you can't make this stuff up, and communication style. The body is made from lightweight carbon fiber with modular skin and structural components designed to be serviced and upgraded.

2:21:16Customers will be able to customize the face, the makeup, the eyes, the skin appearance and the body silhouette. So I guess this is a story around abundance of intimacy. Let's take a look at this. This was inevitable, Peter.

2:21:30Peter Diamandis:I'm waiting for you to say fully functional, programmed in multiple techniques. No, I'm not going to go there. Not yet. Let's watch this video. This is a video of the motion capture being done to train the AI models here.

2:21:51With cheesy music to boot. We've hit a new high here.

2:21:56Peter Diamandis:This is incredible. One has to admire the low degree of freedom. That was a pretty simple face space. I think we were seeing that was a human in a mocap suit, right? It was, it was. It was low quality in every way, from the music to the video to everything. I think a robot porn video. Oh, my God. You know, you combine this with the conversation we had earlier about AI girlfriends and boyfriends, right? And the human, you know, relationship is cooked. You think, I mean, I go back and forth. Is there going to be an app store for mo-capped movements? Or is this just going to be pre-training or post-training data for a foundation model that knows about everything?

2:22:35I want to see the job ad for that.

2:22:38Peter Diamandis:I have a couple of comments on this one. Please. So the first thing is, you know, this type of embodied AI has really a pretty difficult data problem, right? Because you can scrape the internet for text. There's no internet scale data set of physical human interaction. What are you talking about? What internet are you looking at? Hold on, hold on, hold on. In terms of the physical movement, et cetera. So what I love more than anything here is the economic approach, right? You crowdsource, you do crowdfunding of the early thing, get early customer, and then use the customer demand to finance the hardware and generate the interaction data as you scale the product.

2:23:19Peter Diamandis:This is like a pretty classic EXO flywheel. So I thought that was really interesting. That sounds like you've got a new career out of you. You've got all the G's inside. No, I'll give a hot take on the hot sheets, which is I don't actually think this is that promising as an approach. There is an abundance of evidence at this point that you can do a great job either pre-training or post-training robots for more, call them economically productive applications, just from watching videos without any need for human mocap at all. So if I had to guess, my guess is this is like a very 2026 story with people mocapping sex maneuvers from like manually.

2:23:57Peter Diamandis:But it doesn't scale nearly as well as just pre-training off of Internet video is my guess. OK, circle of trust here. How many have you ordered, guys? I won't tell anybody. Oh, my God. We need guests and panelists that are in their like 20s for that. Oh, my God. Dave, any closing thoughts on this topic? None whatsoever, actually, as it turns out. First time in my life. Nothing to add. Sorry. Speechless. Oh, my God. All right, everybody. I want to say that's a wrap, but we do have a closing video. If you have outro music videos, please send them to MediaDiamandus.com. We love sharing them. We love the creativity of our community.

2:24:42Peter Diamandis:And we'll see you guys in four weeks to the day. Yes, at Moonshots Live in L.A. The evening of September 24th and all day on September 25th. You can go to moonshots.com to apply. It is by application. And it's going to be an amazing community for you to network with. And spend the day with all five of us. The Moonshots Quintent will be there. You get a chance to grill Alex, Salim, and, of course, Dave. It's going to be awesome. All right, let's play this video by Ellen Vaman. Thank you, Ellen, for your submission.

2:25:53Thank you.

2:26:17Nice heroic music, gentlemen.

2:26:21Peter Diamandis:Very cool. Lord of the Rings in space mashup I never knew I wanted. That was fun, guys. Really loved it. A lot of fascinating stories. And definitely one bizarre one. Until we see you again twice next week for another episode recording. Be well. I can't wait. We'll try and sleep in the middle. God help us all. Live long and perspire, as they say. I like it. All right. Take care, folks.

2:27:10motorcycle from a 50-page restoration block, or finally break down that long article you've had

2:27:15Peter Diamandis:open for weeks. Gemini and Chrome is here for it. Ready to make anything online make sense? There's no place like Chrome. Check responses set up required, compatibility and availability varies 18+.