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Podcast Notes: Motley Fool Money - Are Unity and Zillow Resilient Brands?
Episode Overview
- Date Recorded: February 12, 2023
- Host: Tim Beyers
- Guests: Alicia Alfiere, Rick Munarriz
- Producer: Anand Chokkavelu
- Engineer: Dan Boyd
Episode Description The episode explores the elements of resilient brands and discusses financial results from Unity Software (Ticker: U) and Zillow Group (Ticker: Z). The team delves into the significance of strong consumer appeal as a trait of "Rule Breaker" companies, referencing insights from David Gardner’s book.
Key Concepts Discussed
- Strong Consumer Appeal
- Definition: A brand that creates a significant emotional connection with consumers and maintains consistent experiences through its products or services.
- Examples:
- McDonald's: Known for reliable fast food experiences, evoking fond childhood memories.
- Apple: Commands higher prices due to brand loyalty; consumers often prefer it over cheaper alternatives.
- Chewy: Builds strong consumer engagement through brand visibility and customer interaction.
- Resilient Brands and Market Performance
- Interbrand Survey Findings:
- Top brands include Apple ($471 billion), Microsoft ($388.5 billion), and Amazon ($319.9 billion).
- Resilient brands often outperform in volatile markets.
- Industry-Specific Brand Strength
- Variability Across Sectors:
- Strong consumer brands can exist even in niche markets (e.g., NVIDIA as a brand among gamers).
- The perception of brand strength can vary significantly based on industry and consumer awareness.
Financial Results Discussion
Zillow Group (Ticker
Z)
- Recent Earnings: Reported a 16% increase in revenue, driven largely by growth in rental services (up 39% year-over-year).
- Market Reaction: Initial positive stock movement followed by a drop, indicating investor skepticism despite solid performance metrics.
- Brand Positioning: Zillow remains a leading brand in real estate; over 9.6 billion app and website visits, with 80% being direct traffic.
- Conclusion: Strong brand presence expected to bolster performance once the housing market recovers.
Unity Software (Ticker
U)
- Recent Earnings: 2% revenue growth year-over-year, but uneven performance geographically.
- Consumer Sentiment: Despite positive developments such as the adoption of Unity 6, market guidance for Q1 was lower than expected.
- Competitive Landscape: Faces competition from Epic Games' Unreal Engine and emerging AI technologies.
- Conclusion: Brand strength is perceived as weaker compared to Zillow, with concerns about market perceptions and growth sustainability.
Predictions and Opinions
- Zillow:
- Rick Munarriz: Predicts Zillow will outperform as the housing market recovers; believes in its strong brand strength.
- Alicia Alfiere: Agrees with Rick's positive outlook.
- Unity:
- Alicia Alfiere: Expresses uncertainty about Unity’s future performance; leans toward a negative outlook, citing brand strength concerns.
- Rick Munarriz: Despite recent challenges, he remains optimistic and believes the business will recover.
Conclusion The episode emphasizes the importance of consumer appeal in brand resilience, analyzing how Zillow and Unity navigate current market conditions. The contrasting performances of both brands reflect their varying degrees of market trust and consumer engagement as they adapt to evolving industry landscapes.
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Next Episode Preview: Focus on upcoming earnings reports with insights from Emily Flippen.
Disclaimer: The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against the companies discussed; personal finance content adheres to editorial standards and is not approved by advertisers.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VODefining Resilient Brands
0:45 to 2:25
Discussion on what constitutes a resilient brand and strong consumer appeal.
“and can it help to sustain business and stock performance in volatile markets like the one we're in right now?”
Strong Consumer Appeal Examples
2:25 to 5:30
Alicia and Rick discuss examples of brands with strong consumer appeal and the emotional connections they create.
“I mean, I have a different McDonald's experience, Rick.”
Evaluating AI's Role in Branding
5:30 to 9:10
The hosts evaluate the impact of AI on brand resilience and market perception.
“But what really has exploded is investors are excited about NVIDIA because it is power.”
Zillow's Earnings Report Analysis
9:10 to 12:20
Rick analyzes Zillow's earnings report, discussing growth and market reaction.
“We've been saying this for Zillow and the other real estate place for years.”
Unity's Performance and Challenges
12:20 to 14:03
The team discusses Unity's earnings report and the challenges it faces in a competitive landscape.
“You peg this to beat the market as the housing market recovers?”
Evaluating Unity's Brand Strength Amidst Competition
14:03 to 16:31
Discover the factors influencing Unity's brand strength and market position.
“and other parts of the Americas, as well as Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.”
Predictions for Unity's Future Performance
16:32 to 19:12
Hear the predictions regarding Unity's performance based on its recent developments.
“And again, in the quarter, I mean, Alicia, it was 2 % for the year, it was 10 % for the quarter.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:04What makes for a resilient brand? You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
0:20Welcome, Fools. I'm your host, Tim Byers. With me are two of my Rule Breakers teammates, Alicia Alfieri and Rick Guinares. Thanks for being here, Fools. We're recording on Thursday, February 12th, since you may be listening to this on the President's Day holiday. We've had quite a week of earnings reports, especially for Rule Breakers companies. We're going to get into a couple of them a bit later, but we need to talk about the fifth trait of a rule breaker, and that is strong consumer appeal. What does it mean to have strong consumer appeal, and can it help to sustain business and stock performance in volatile markets like the one we're in right now?
0:52I want to talk about this, Fools, and I polled the interbrand data. This is from the 2025 Interbrand Survey, the world's most valuable brands, and there are some big names and some big numbers on here. So I'm just going to give you top three. Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, no surprises there. But the Apple brand worth just about$471 billion. That was actually down 4 % year over year. Microsoft,$388.5 billion. That was up 10 % year over year. And Amazon at $319.9 billion. And that was up 7 % year over year. So let me ask you both. And I've got more data on this, but I want to start you guys off. Alicia, I'll start with you.
1:36When you think about the fifth trait of a rule breaker, strong consumer appeal, what do you think about in terms of, maybe let's call it a resilient consumer brand? What defines it for you? Yeah. Well, I think a resilient consumer brand is one that has a clear focus and has been able to build some kind of connection with the consumers through their experiences with the company's products or services. It makes me think of, you know, we used to think of strong brands, a strong consumer appeal with companies that make products, right? Like McDonald's. So, it has fast, consistent food experience. And your emotional connection with that brand can go back to when you got Happy Meals with your grandma on the weekends.
2:24Fair enough. I mean, I have a different McDonald's experience, Rick. But let's not talk about that. We don't need to bring up past trauma. But for you, let's talk about resilient consumer brands. I'll give you another that I'm surprised that Alicia didn't bring it up, but brands where people are actually proud to display the brand. So Chewy and the boxes that they deliver to porches everywhere across the United States. And I see millions of people put pictures on the interwebs of their dog or cat absolutely going nuts inside the empty box. Not only do they love the stuff that's inside, but then they like to get into the boxes and go wild.
3:16Yeah, that's a great example of a brand that gets free advertising. Their products are out in the wild. And you see a lot of people with the Mac stickers. Anyone that's gone through a lot of Apple products, you get these little stickers, and you're like, what do I do with them? Well, I'll put them on my MacBook, I'll put them in my car. And it's just free advertising. And speaking specifically to Apple, I think that's kind of a trait where not only is it that people are proud about it, they're willing to pay more for a product, even when there's a cheaper near-substitute available. Apple is a perfect example, like a Viking Cruises, where, hey, you're paying a lot for a river cruise.
3:54You can get a lot cheaper on the mainstream larger megaboats. They're able to do this. And just to backtrack to McDonald's, Tim, if you didn't get a prize in your Happy Meal, just go to the counter. They will give it to you. It does not have to be a lifelong trauma. I told you we didn't have to bring up my My childhood trauma. You got three Chicken McNuggets instead of four. I get it. They miscount sometimes. We're human. We give. I know. We can. Let's talk about some others here. It is very interesting to see. This is, again, driving from the Interbrand survey. I wonder, in the era of AI, can AI companies generate resilient brands here?
4:33And, I mean, Interbrand is telling me that NVIDIA recorded a staggering 116 % surge in brand value. That is the biggest in the rankings 25-year history. So, I wonder, are there certain types of companies that lend themselves to strong consumer appeal? But when you're looking at rule breakers, maybe there's certain types of companies like, you know what, this fifth rate, we're never going to be able to check it off because it's like a business-to-business company or something like that. Rick, how do you think about that? Yeah, I think the case of NVIDIA, again, so maybe just a couple years ago, the reason why I think it's gotten so...
5:12It's not just because it's a mega cap right now with this monster valuation right now, but a couple years ago, unless you were like a diehard video gamer, you didn't know NVIDIA. And again, for most people, they still don't see NVIDIA. It's not a consumer-facing product that you see in your face. Sometimes it's in your computer if you have a very high processing system. But what really has exploded is investors are excited about NVIDIA because it is power. It's an undisputed AI chip leader in this whole AI revolution. So they're growing at a ridiculous pace for a company its size. And that is getting people excited about the brand and the company, even though most people have probably never bought an NVIDIA product knowingly.
5:51Yeah. Alicia, how about for you? When you think about strong consumer appeal, what is it that comes to your mind? Do you think that there are certain sectors that just are never going to have it? Or do you look at it in every rule breaker you're evaluating for the service? I try to take a look at it for every rule breaker. There are some industries that are more tricky than others, but I think that you can have a strong brand within your specific industry and customer group. As Rick said, unless you were a diehard gamer, you might not have known about NVIDIA. But within diehard gamers, that was a really strong brand already.
6:31And I think that speaks to how different companies can have different brand power. Yeah. I mean, it's a very interesting thing. I will say that in Rule Breakers, when we are looking at strong consumer appeal. We like to look at, and the definition that David gave to us is, is the brand truly valued by its buyer base? And we have a couple of companies that are upcoming here in our next segment where we need to ask that question, Fools. Up next, we're going to evaluate a couple of earnings reports that were, I don't know, maybe these brands are in a little bit of worry. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
7:10Stay with us. Every year 4.500 Euro for professional training. I started in the logistics center and knew I could continue. For example in robotics. So is my job a career. Amazon opens doors with up to 4.500 Euro per year for professional training. The benefits are required. Welcome back. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Let's talk about a couple of earnings reports. And these were, I'm going to say, not great. And, Rick, I'm going to start with one that you have followed for a really long time, and that is Zillow. Zillow had, well, I don't know, you know what? Let me kick it to you here.
7:51What did you think about the earnings report on Tuesday the 10th? Because it certainly didn't seem like it was one that the market maybe, I don't know, cheered a little bit. But what do you think here? Yeah, Zillow is what, I mean, the stock initially started to move higher and then it just gave up. But I think specifically the Zillow, the report was, it's hard to find a lot of fault in the actual report. Revenue is up 16%. And it's real on the real estates, it's bread and butter residential real estate up about 8%. Most of the growth that picked it up to double digits was strong growth for the rentals, on their mortgage financing business.
8:33So these smaller parts of the business, even though rentals now almost a quarter of the revenue. So, it's smaller businesses that are starting to pick up. But again, to see any kind of real estate-related company grow at a double-digit pace, which they did, and put out reported profitability, something it doesn't always do, and on an adjusted basis, obviously much better. So, I think Zillow had a decent report. I just think sometimes it's not what you report, it's when you report. And Zillow just had that misfortune of reporting on a day when investors were willing to sell on any whiff of bad news.
9:05and also the fact that this real estate recovery that we keep saying is going to happen this year. This is going to be our year. We've been saying this for Zillow and the other real estate place for years. But again, they're still the leader. You're talking about brand. It's hard to find. Zillow is like the default setting when you're looking for a real estate play, when you're trying to looking for a home or looking to sell your home and see what your neighbor's houses are selling for. It is clear. It's transparent. There are several portals out there, including one owned by the actual real estate association.
9:31But Zillow is still the default. So I think it's a great brand. And I think the report, to me, and I don't want to say buying opportunities, that always seems like a cop-out, as if I'll win no matter what. But I think it was an overreaction on Zillow's part. I think the brand is still strong. And I think the business, once people start selling their homes again and people start buying pre-owned homes again, is going to do pretty well. I mean, Alicia, there are some good numbers here. Rick is not wrong. I mean, the total revenue growth up 16%. That was for the full year. and the broader residential industry apparently only grew 3%.
10:05This is from AlphaSense and AlphaSense data. This is in the Zillow earnings release. The for sale revenue grew 11 % and rentals revenue, this is relatively new for Zillow, was up 39 % year-over-year to$630 million. That is extraordinary, especially since the overall industry grew around 14%. So this does seem to be a brand that despite some of its recent challenges and some of the challenges in the real estate industry, people still think, I mean, I think Rick might have it right here. Like when you think about selling your home, Zillow probably occupies a place in your mind as one of those places you're going to go to first.
10:49Yeah, I agree. So Zillow is ranked as the most trusted in the real estate category. So it has the top rated app and website for real estate in the U S and in 2025, there were roughly 9.6 billion visits to Zillow's apps and websites and 80 % of the traffic to those apps and websites was direct. So that means that people didn't go and research first to figure out where They just went straight to Zillow. They went straight to Zillow. And I think that's pretty powerful. And while the real estate market isn't the best right now, we can see the impact of the brand on Zillow's results. You already talked about the fact that their revenue outpaced the overall market.
11:35That's pretty impressive. And considering that it's a tricky market, Zillow also reported$23 million in net income for the full year. So, that represents something like 0.89 % margin. So, that doesn't sound like a lot, but it's an improvement over last year's$112 million loss. And so, I think the ability to outpace the industry's growth and turn a profit in a less than ideal real estate market says a lot about Zillow as a brand and what it might be able to do when the housing market does finally turn around. All right. Give me a prediction here. Rick, I'll start with you. Given the strength of the brand and where it is now as the housing market recovers, is this one an outperformer?
12:19Yes or no? You peg this to beat the market as the housing market recovers? Yes. Do you just want a yes? I can elaborate. I can elaborate for eight hours, but I'll just say yes. We got two stocks to do here. Yes is good. I'll say yes. Yes and. All right. Yes and. Alicia? Yes, I agree with Rick. All right. Let's move on to Unity Software. Ticker U. Incidentally, these are two companies that both have Zillow has two tickers, but you have ticker Z for Zillow, their primary ticker, and Unity is ticker just U. David used to like those. He used to thought that was indicative of a company that was so strong.
12:58They could have a single letter as their ticker. But I would say that Unity, Alicia, did not make people very happy when they reported on Wednesday of last week. The headline numbers did show a beat, but there's something not quite right here. And incidentally, Unity has outperformed the market over the last year by about 34%. But what went wrong here? Yeah. Well, so, Unity's brand power is still there. So, revenues increased 2 % in 2025, and that's partially because of their new AI-powered ad tool. Users were also renewing their contract, and there were price increases as well. So, that's potentially a good sign when consumers like your new tool, they continue to use your platform or your services, and they're willing to pay a higher price.
13:54But here's where it kind of gets complicated. When we look deeper at revenues across geographies, we can see that revenues only increased for China and the Asia Pacific region. Revenues actually fell for the U.S. and other parts of the Americas, as well as Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. So, we've got uneven growth. At the same time, China is a big market for video games, so it's promising that there's growth here. There's also a question of if this brand is still strong compared to other options out there, right? There are other competition in the form of Epic's Unreal Engine, which has the success of Epic Games' own portfolio, like Fortnite, associated with it.
14:34And then I think with Unity, there's also another issue with how Wall Street thinks about Unity and its brand, and that's AI. For Unity, the threat of AI and even Google's Genie, which can make virtual worlds, is overblown right now. Remember, Unity can help developers create a whole new game and monetize it as well. AI can't do that yet. But it gives us another thing to really keep in mind. Brands and companies in general can be impacted by outside forces beyond their control, and it can change the perception of a company, at least for now, in the minds of Wall Street. Yeah. Rick, I look at this company and it does play an important role.
15:19It's one of the two big gaming engines here, right? Management does say that Unity 6, which is the most recent engine, seeing the fastest adoption rate of any version in company history, I mean, that sounds good. It does seem as though this is definitely trending towards more usage. And I would also say, I mean, as you get more AI, let's call it AI native gaming, this seems like a perfectly good opportunity for Unity. But where do you land here? The guidance came in at only$480 million to$490 million for Q1 of 2026. And that apparently was just a little too below the$494 million consensus. I mean, is this just a perception problem or is it a real problem?
16:17They said a lot of nice words. They said the whole vector, Unity 6, create side, it's all growing great. Sounds like that's a wonderful word salad you've put out in front of me there. Yes. But when they say that and then they say, hey, our guidance is going to come in a little low in the new quarter, to me, that's a reset. And again, in the quarter, I mean, Alicia, it was 2 % for the year, it was 10 % for the quarter. But revenue had declined 25 % the year before. So it's still far below where it was even two years ago. So I do like the fact that it's turning around. But Unity, and again, I don't want to say it's a red flag, because I root for any company that fosters and nurtures of cottage industry, which is what they have done, create this whole platform that people are building games on.
17:00But to me, I just keep thinking of 2023 when they rolled out this fee. And I don't even remember this, Tim, when they had this runtime fee, and then developers were saying that they'd be charging, I think, 20 cents for everyone that downloads one of their games. And that was a substantial cost for developers, especially like on platforms where they have access to a lot of different games. And they revolted. And Unity said, oh, oops, sorry. And so 2024 came around. It was supposed to come out. They retreated on that. They took that back. And to me, that was a sign of weakness. If Netflix said, hey, we're going to increase our prices and people scream and they say, oh, sorry, we're going to quick stir this, we're going to go back like they did in 2011, 2012, that would be a problem.
17:39And to me, that just always left a sour taste in my mouth at a company that would say, I love that they're listening to their developers and their customers, but I would have preferred if Unity would have been a little more saying, hey, we're going to go through with this because this is our vision and see it through for our company. All right, same question. Let's make a prediction here. So, it sounds like the Unity brand value is maybe a little less sturdy compared compared to Zillow. So Alicia, I'll start with you here. Make a prediction as this Unity 6 engine starts gaining more steam, gaining more traction.
18:12Do you bet on Unity to outperform or not? Yes or no? I'm not sure. For context, yeah. I mean, I think that Unity's brand, it feels less strong than Zillow's here. So, I'm going to go not sure to trending no. Okay. I'm going to take it as a no. I'm going to pin you down here. So, Rick, what do you got? Yes or no here? I said a few negative things, but I'm going to say yes. I'm going to end this positively because, again, to me, while the stock has been up, and that includes, I mean, it took a big hit on Wednesday. As we're recording this on Thursday, it's also trading lower, so So it's not recovering.
18:53But I think the fact that its business is improving. And sure, again, it reported at a terrible time. So the stock took a really big hit on Wednesday and the follow-through, the sell-through continued on Thursday. But I do think that it's going to be able to recover. So I'm willing to say that it can beat the market, just as it has over the past year. I think it can get back on track. Okay. Up next, preview for Tuesday's earnings. Emily Flippen is going to be back with some more earnings coverage. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Keep it right here. Have you ever gazed in wonder at the Great Pyramid?
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20:17We're going to have a lot more earnings coverage on Motley Fool money over the next day, zero, as we wrap up this earnings season. Rick, Alicia, thanks for being here. Fools, as always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows Motley Fool editorial standards and is not approved by advertisers. advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. To see our full advertising disclosure, please check out our show notes.
20:52Thank you so much for being here. Thanks to Alicia Alfieri and Rick Pinares for their special insights today. Thanks to our producer, Anand Chakaloo, and our excellent engineer, Dan Boyd. I'm your host, Tim Byers. We will see you again next time, Fools. Thank you so much for being here and for tuning in about full money. Pull on, everyone.
From the publisher
Why do companies with strong consumer appeal tend to outperform? The team breaks down the elements of a resilient brand and then uses that lends to discuss recent financial results from Unity Software (NYSEL U) and Zillow Group (NASDAQ: Z).
Alicia Alfiere, Rick Munarriz, and Tim Beyers discuss:
- The thinking behind David Gardner's fifth trait of a Rule Breaker: strong consumer appeal.
- The world's most valuable brands and what makes the best brands resilient.
- What fresh results from Unity Software and Zillow say about the resiliency of their brands.
Don’t wait! Be sure to get to your local bookstore and pick up a copy of David’s Gardner’s new book — Rule Breaker Investing: How to Pick the Best Stocks of the Future and Build Lasting Wealth. It’s on shelves now; get it before it’s gone!
Companies discussed: AMZN, MSFT, AAPL, U, Z
Host: Tim Beyers
Guests: Alicia Alfiere, Rick Munarriz
Producer: Anand Chokkavelu
Engineer: Dan Boyd
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