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Podcast Summary: Motley Fool Money - Mailbag Edition (October 1, 2023)
Overview In this special mailbag episode, hosts Scott Phillips and Andrew Page address a variety of listener questions on finance and investing. The discussions cover topics ranging from idea generation in stock picking to the implications of taxation on individuals and corporations, as well as the pros and cons of Dividend Reinvestment Plans (DRPs).
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Key Topics
- Finding New Investment Ideas
- Question: A listener asks how to generate new investment ideas, especially in smaller-cap companies.
- Discussion Points:
- Importance of diversifying your sources of information (e.g., financial media, podcasts, social media).
- Tools like stock screening can help but should be used judiciously.
- Importance of understanding business models and what drives a company’s success.
- Building a mental library of successful business traits can help refine investment choices over time.
- Taxation Discrepancies Between Individuals and Companies
- Question: A listener inquires why individuals pay progressive tax while companies and superannuation funds attract flat rates.
- Discussion Points:
- Individuals are limited in labor capacity, while companies can scale infinitely.
- Progressive tax is designed to reflect the ability to generate income, while corporations operate under different economic models.
- The complexities of applying a flat tax to various structures (e.g., partnerships, trusts).
- Owning Coal Companies
- Question: A listener challenges the ethical implications of investing in coal companies.
- Discussion Points:
- The idea of ethical investing and whether selling shares truly impacts a company’s operations.
- The importance of holding a balanced view on investment choices versus personal beliefs about environmental issues.
- Acknowledgment of the complexities around transitioning from fossil fuels to sustainable energy.
- Equal-Weighted vs. Market-Weighted ETFs
- Question: A listener asks for the advantages and disadvantages of equal-weighted and market-weighted ETFs.
- Discussion Points:
- Market-weighted ETFs typically represent historical performance better due to their alignment with market trends.
- Equal-weighted ETFs may provide higher exposure to smaller companies but require selling off shares of growing companies to maintain balance.
- The future performance of either strategy depends on the economic landscape and sector growth.
- Dividend Reinvestment Plans (DRPs)
- Question: A listener seeks insights on the pros and cons of participating in a DRP.
- Discussion Points:
- Pros:
- Compounding growth through reinvestment without paying brokerage fees.
- Automatic reinvestment helps with capital discipline.
- Cons:
- Tax implications on reinvested dividends can complicate financial planning.
- Potentially limits ability to reallocate dividends to better investment opportunities.
- The importance of flexibility in investment strategies as personal financial needs evolve.
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Key Takeaways
- Diversifying information sources is crucial for generating investment ideas, especially in less familiar sectors.
- Understanding tax structures is essential for making informed investment decisions and recognizing the implications of profit-driven entities.
- Ethical considerations in investing can be complex, particularly in sectors tied to environmental concerns.
- The choice between equal-weighted and market-weighted ETFs is influenced by individual investment goals and market conditions.
- DRPs can be beneficial for compounding returns but come with tax complexities and may limit investment flexibility.
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Conclusion This episode of Motley Fool Money offers valuable insights into the intricacies of investing, taxation, and ethical considerations. The hosts emphasize the need for informed decision-making and encourage listeners to engage actively with their investments while considering both financial and personal values.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:10Welcome to Motley Fool Money, our very special Sunday Mailbag edition. It is special, if not only because I'm joined by Andrew Ram Page. How are you, buddy? Yeah, pretty good. How are you? I'm very, very well, thank you. Listen, you'll be happy to know we got the Bitcoin conversation out of the way before this podcast was recorded. So unless Andrew finds a small chick in my armor, we hopefully will assume that's been run in one. What do you reckon, mate? I love those conversations. They're really fun, actually. We would probably get these pods done. really quickly, except that we connect on Zoom and then we just like chat for like four hours.
0:52Oh, actually, we should probably do a podcast. Probably do a podcast. Exactly. That's 100 % true, mate. One day we'll do a behind the scenes podcast, but not today. Not today. Mate, hopefully, by the way, this is going out at the right time this morning because today being Sunday is the first day of daylight saving for the summer of 2023-24. So if the clocks are working and everything's being done properly, you'll get this. the usual time or you'll get this later i think if you're in the non-daylight saving states so uh either way the whole clock gets a bit weird from today uh what time you you get this podcast may depend on which time zone you're living in but we will still try and get it out early on sunday morning so you can enjoy for those of you who want to go for a run go for a walk uh mow the lawn do what you're going to do in the morning uh hopefully you can enjoy this podcast as you do all that and and hopefully we don't confuse the cows too much and the curtains don't fade a little bit extra in some places oh there goes our queensland listeners uh it's been andrew is nothing if not completely disregarding of the number of people who listen to this podcast and i appreciate that about him there's some fierce independence going on right there absolutely mate um friday's podcast was fun we we got through some heavy stuff and it was very cathartic let's try and uh let's try and go uh to the our listeners questions this time around um and we'll start with one from andrew who starts with possibly the best or maybe the second best.
2:13I'm not sure. You can tell me whether the Roy NHG epithet was appropriate or this one. And it says, Hi guys, I have a question for the Lennon and McCartney of free ASX-focused investment podcasts. Oh, I'll take that. I thought it was going to be like a Burton Ernie or like a Ren and Stimpy or, you know. I'll take that. I'll take that comparison. You are showing your age with Ren and Stimpy because there's only a very specific generational cohort who would refer. Before that, after that, No idea. The Renner Stippe fans, they know what Renner Stippe is. Oh, yes. You know what? Actually, late the other night, I just happened to have the free-to-air TV on, which I never watch these days.
2:50Renner Stippe came on. It was like, oh, such a blast from the past. Anyway, if you're below a certain age, just YouTube it and then scratch your head. Exactly. They watched what? Beavis and Butthead might be the other one. Oh, there's another one. Another good throwback. But no, the Leonard McCartney, according to Andrew, is I've had a question answered previously, so I thought I'd go again. And my question this time is around idea generation, which I love. How do you find new ideas and companies to analyze and possibly purchase? Andrew says, I'm a 28-year-old paramedic. Well, thank you, mate.
3:24So I certainly don't do stock picking as a profession, and I don't have any idea where to go in terms of looking for new ideas. I'm more interested in Ram's sphere of smaller cap companies. So I find it harder to find new companies that aren't hyper-speculative, pharmaceutical or mining businesses that haven't made a single sale or a dollar of profit. But the topic can still be applied to any area of the ASX. Do you go fishing or do you think I should go fishing in my area of expertise or day job? He says, financial companies, healthcare, retail, et cetera. Or do you try and broaden your horizons?
3:57What media do you utilize? Podcasts, The Fin, Reddit? I'm a Motley Fool subscriber, thank you, which I'm happy with, but I want to be able to maximize my pool of potential options. So I'm fully informed before I buy. Thanks, Andrew. Really good question, mate. I'm going to make you go first because this is a big one. Yeah. While you were talking, I think, how do I answer that without shilling straw man? I don't mean to, but the truth is I do. The whole raison d 'etre was - Also the reason for being. The reason for being. It really is. Like, because I think that the easy answer here is to say, do a scan.
4:40And there's a whole bunch of software that will do this. And I think I've said before on the pod, I'm not a fan of it. It just, especially if you are in small cap land, if you're looking for more established dividend paying companies, there's great value in sort of using a scan to refine things. But the trouble with, not the trouble, the reality with earlier stage companies is that they're at a stage and anyone who's run a business or established a business knows this, right? Like you raise capital or you take your own money and you invest it in plant and equipment or these days more likely websites.
5:15All the money gets spent up front. And you have to hire people. You need someone to do some marketing. You need someone to do some development. You need someone to do some sales and et cetera, et cetera. admin bookkeeping all this kind of stuff and all that all that you see on your statement of income is loss and zero revenue yeah so everything looks terrible and there's a lot of companies that just stay in that stay in that place because business is hard and it's not to be critical it's just most businesses don't ever get out of that stage because they just don't find enough traction but even the ones that do don't reveal themselves initially in fact there's a bunch i've said before oh, there's a bunch of companies in my portfolio that are making a loss.
5:56And it'd be easy. And in fact, a younger version of myself would have said, why on earth are you investing in loss-making companies? My answer these days, a little bit more nuanced, is like, well, I don't expect that loss to be there forever. But my point is, is that when I'm scanning for the kinds of things that a sensible person would rightly look for, I want really high returns on invested capital, return on equity, or whatever profitability metric you want to use. I want low levels of debt. I want steady share counts. I want, you know, rising profit per share. All things that are great to have.
6:28You just, you don't get them in small cap until, and by the time that they've sort of revealed themselves, a better part of, not, you've got to be careful here. It's like, you can still do extremely. You don't have to be first in the gate to do well. In fact, I really encourage you to, I think you can do extremely well by being, quote unquote, late to the party, but investing at a higher price, but a much lower risk adjusted sort of price. but you you by the time something is obviously a great business a good part of that is gone and my favorite example i'm sorry for repeating it is pro medicus right like it's you know it's god knows how many hundreds of billions of dollars of you know market value now it's like on 123p it's kind of it's kind of you know at the times when when you the people who made the really great returns on it wasn't that obvious back back in the day so what you need to do i think is um uh read a lot where where do you start if you if you literally you've come off the of the spaceship you say read a lot oh i don't know where do i where do i start there what do i get ideas from where how do you find pro medicus matter some of those i mean they're not going to be in the fin or they are now probably because they're big, but they weren't around.
7:46Is there a place to start? I mean, you said there are 2 ,000 companies. You don't do a screen, so start with the A's or, you know. I won't shill, Sean, man. So there's a bunch of small cap fund managers who write regularly because they're trying to attract capital, right? That's their business. But they'll put out a lot of their – they'll often feature a company that will be way outside of the top 300. Twitter is great. Twitter is fantastic. You'll be able to curate a good list of follows there. And you've got to be careful. I mean, like just social media in general, like take everything with a grain of salt, approach it with a healthy degree of skepticism, understand that everyone is talking their book.
8:30But if we're talking idea generation, you will, I think, through that process, come across things that you might not have otherwise had a look at. Then once someone's, oh, this person's talking about this company, never heard of it before, then I just go to ASX.com, totally free, dig up the latest presentation, dig up the latest annual report and read the damn thing. And if that sounds like hard work, well, it kind of is.
8:59If getting incredible returns was easy, we would all do it. That is why you do it, I think, is because most people don't want to do that. And if you're the kind of person who can take a bit of an active interest in this, and I think you'll find that you build up a library over time. So on day one, you're not going to be aware of anything. A week later, you'll be aware of five, six companies that you didn't know of a week before. A year later, you'll know a whole bunch. And I'm such a broken record when it comes to companies because I just keep coming back to the ones that I know really well. I probably should venture out, but I know them so well, right?
9:37And it's just I don't need the novelty of something new as long as I feel as though things are more or less on track there. And every now and again, you'll just, you know, whether it's, you know, go to other podcasts. There's like a thousand podcasts out there. No, there's not. There's just this one. You'll find all kinds of people talking about different companies that you go, huh. And then I'll have a look and then have a look at. And I wish there was an easier, shorter cut way of doing it, but there's not. I'm going to disagree with you on one point, mate, which is just I wouldn't eschew screens for the sake of it in terms of just throwing up some other company names that might give you a starting point.
10:16Oh, yeah, true. Yeah, true. So don't use a screen and then buy just the results of the screen. That's not going to help you. When we say screen, by the way, it's a fancy term just for saying using a computer to find certain attributes that are shared by certain companies and say, show me all the companies that have X attribute. I have regularly in smaller company land, mate, actually looked at, your point of profit is really good. I actually look a lot at the revenue growth as a starting point. Yeah, me too. Me too. So, you know, don't screen. Now, revenue growth's not enough. But, you know, looking for profit growth.
10:47It's a start. Well, yeah. Revenue growth says that we've actually got a commercial product or service. And more people are liking it than did this time last year. It's a good start. It's a really good start. It's a good start. But not the end, but it's a really good start. So I would use a screen for that. I have done in the past. And again, think about mispricing, right? You're looking for ideas, Andrew. You're looking for ideas, not just that are good businesses, but ones that market's missing. If everyone's doing the same thing, then you're going to pay the same price to everyone else and get the same results to everybody else.
11:14So you're looking for something different. Revenue growth's a great way to start. Just look into those businesses. Why are their revenues growing? Can I understand the business or know what's going on? I love your fund manager letter idea, Andrew. I think it's really good. Business with certain attributes too. You asked, do we look in certain sectors? I don't generally do that, But I also find that you often can end up with finding ideas. Start with companies you like or that look attractive. What you'll often find is their competitors can either be sometimes as bad or as good. We talked about airlines on Friday.
11:44Technology tends to be a pretty good place because they tend to have pretty good economics, as Andrew already mentioned. So that's really useful and very worthwhile. The last thing I would say, Andrew, is don't, not Andrew Ramma Page, but Andrew who sent us the message, um don't don't embrace the FOMO too much Iran made a really good point about you know I could look for other companies but I know this one's really well and this is enough I don't need novelty and so there is some sense of but what if there's a better idea out there you'll drive yourself mad trying to get your head around every possible opportunity before you do anything um but find find good stuff that you think is gonna be market beating that's kind of all you need to do right now there might be the the great you know discovery out there somewhere trust me if it's good enough it'll come across your desk at some point if you keep reading and keep looking because if we use revenue growth for example it'll start to do well or people start to talk about this company that's done really well for x years in a row was growing at a certain rate those kinds of things tend to be pretty useful as starting points in terms of um the other the other benefit of reading and where i think your question actually is also really useful mate is think about business models and the way to think about companies so there's one there's one thing which is andrew's been doing this for a long time now when he looks at a small cap he knows what who's looking for.
12:55That's harder to do when you're just starting because you don't know what you're looking for and you don't know what the companies are. So you've got both obstacles to overcome. Reading widely about businesses, about the economy, about successful companies, about things that are going well and not going well, you start to build up, to use Munger's phrase, a latticework of mental models. You start to learn and internalize those things that make companies great. And what that also does, it'll help throw up some opportunities, by the way, but it'll also seriously shortcut your analysis because you can discard stuff much more quickly.
13:27What has this business got that's unusual or different? Well, nothing. Okay, well, maybe not. What's happening with revenue or gross profit or bottom line profit or the operating model of, for example, economies of scale or building up a loss-making customer base before you then turn profitable once you hit a certain scale or whatever those things are. There's often a range of options that come from that. Hey, mate, let's move on. I will throw this out there. And I do this because it's free. So not the shill. But it's not obvious on our homepage. If you don't even have to create an account, go to strawman.com, go to the companies tab up the top, and then click on rankings.
14:06Now, this is all being delayed by a month. But you'll just see a list of companies that were being discussed a month ago. But you'll see companies that tend to go in the small cap area. So things like LaserBond, M-Vision, and Terrace Technology, Smart parking, that's an interesting one. Juratec's an interesting one. You know, Mac 7 technologies. Now, none of these are endorsements, by the way. But I can be pretty confident that by reading out some of those names, a lot of listeners would never have heard of those companies. So it's a start, right? It's a start. And yeah, just check it out and don't sign up.
14:42I'm not shilling. I'm just saying it's somewhere you might come across some names you weren't familiar with. Or sign up because you're going to get some useful information from people. I ran white, but I will, if you find that valuable and useful. I'm going to say, mate, not about straw man at all, but I am going to, because that kind of lends itself to other areas of community engagement and forums across the internet, no names, no pack drill, just also be very, very careful about the, sometimes the wisdom of crowds and sometimes the madness of crowds. And so, you know, the straw man community are fantastic, but there are other sites where all the knuckleheads talking about all the same things are just, you know, lemmings off a cliff so just don't mistake popularity or common view for success unless you know those people have been successful themselves in the past so just just keep that in mind as well if everyone's talking about this great new thing maybe it's great new thing maybe it's next fortescue or woolies or csl or maybe it's the next disaster waiting to happen everyone's excited about the hot money's chasing because they're day trading this sort of rubbish well i should mention too that the rankings there are on activity not on likes you know so so it might be that there's a company that ranks really highly because everyone's talking about how terrible it is.
15:53Or how great it is, but they're wrong. Yeah, exactly. The question was like as an idea generator and from that standpoint, and in fact, just anything, right? Just to really hammer the point home, I'll use my favorite saying, you can borrow an idea, but you can't borrow the conviction, right? So it doesn't, even if we opened up everything from the fool's walled garden and our walled garden, it's just like, and you go, oh, that's what everyone likes. I'm going to buy it. That is a really dumb thing to do frankly because because at some point the market will will will you know um have a little tante and it'll fall down and because you don't know anything other than some random guy on some random podcast on some random website said expressed a positive view on it you will panic and you will do something that you that you potentially regret and so you you've you've got to use that as a starting point and own the idea and the only way you'll own the idea is by reading a hell of a lot and thinking a hell of a lot and coming to your own conclusion.
16:48I will take a very slight tangent, mate, and talk about two stocks I own, Solpats and Brickworks. As we record this on Thursday morning, the 28th, Solpats is down 6.1 % and Brickworks is off by 9.3%. I will happily buy more shares at those prices for the record. Not that I'm shilling you about the stocks either, but it's... So, and I just want to raise that because the companies I've talked about before in this forum and other places. and if you had bought soulpats because you heard me mention it and then it falls six percent or you bought brickworks down nine percent you're like oh my god philip's an idiot uh this thing's down i thought he said it was a good stock amount of sell now maybe it's good idea because maybe these share prices are half from here they're not going to but maybe they could um in that case you know the your point about borrowing conviction and the idea is really really important right because i'm looking at that going huh that sucks i might buy more other people are going oh my god philip's mentioned that i bought it on his idea now the shares are down he's clearly an idiot i'm going to sell my shares and go and buy what someone on hot copper wants me to buy and that's okay but um the conviction is important right if you i have i have high levels of conviction in those companies the share price falls suck because it cost me some more money frankly i'm kind of excited because i get to buy some more cheaply although not within two days of mentioning it now i've done that so when's that least at this point um i'm an idiot for mentioning it there you go i love our listeners not to you know what you must you must be devastated mate because now you're only up 35 % over the last five years excluding dividends, right?
18:09The thing is, I just don't care. It just doesn't matter because long term, I'm going to own these companies hopefully for decades. And if the shares fall now, I'm not going to remember. I'm not going to remember they did, let alone what day they did, or I might get used to buy some more. Either way. Anyway, my point wasn't to talk about these companies or companies I own, other than your point about conviction. I have a high conviction of these companies. I own them. I love them. I'll buy some more at some point. Maybe soon, maybe not. But other people who heard me mention it once, bought the shares, and then went, I didn't really get what they did and i don't really know i know i'm scared because the shares have fallen maybe the whole thing's over um that that that's when that's the example of you talking about you know the conviction and versus versus the idea it feels like it feels a bit like us covering from our vantage point but i think both of us have been doing it long enough to know that you sort of in good faith you know well this is what i think because i love talking about stocks i love it but it's just it's a very it's a minefield right because firstly you can get accused of sort of like trying to talk your own book and things like oh well no i'm not okay so now i'm going to be a bit guarded in what i say now you've got no conviction yeah now i've got no conviction and and then and then if you sort of say well no i i do like this and it's like i mean this this is this is the point that just bears repeating again and again and you were the one who pointed this out to me um actually i think the best performing company since the turn of the century on the asx is realestate.com surprise surprise for a bunch of reasons that should not be a surprise um but that is that is a stock that has had 20 drawdowns like more times than you know you can count right it just it just happens all of the time and so even when you're right you're going to look you're going to spend the majority of your time below the previous high you are yeah yeah that's right yes it's almost certain that when you do buy it i'm not saying you buy this particular company of course but but you know you buy a company that someone's spoken positively on you know it's very good chance that in the next in the short even the medium term it'll be down and if you know if you can sort of say uh five years later i was like oh i remember talking really positively about that no one cares no one remembers right and and and he's my favorite stat again i'm sorry for repeating it but peter lynch ran the magellan fund for was it magellan fund uh yeah yeah yeah yeah yeah for 20 something years and it was one of the best performing funds on record in fact most of his investors lost money and how do i how do i square that circle you're telling me this is the best managed fund in the u.s like one of the best funds ever how did i lose money well he lost money because everyone only piled in when it was high and the second that it went down they sold so they bought high sold low bought high sold low there was a small minority that just held through the whole time and they made squillions of dollars and that is that is one of the most important things that you can internalize, I think, about markets is that that will always be thus.
21:04I don't care how great AI gets and technology and scans and filters get because no one's interested when it's down. Everyone's interested when it's up. And again, the person who says, I really like this, and especially in the context that we talk about stocks, because we're not traders, we're not speculators, we try to be part owners in a business i will say i like company x y and z because i believe over the next five ten plus years that this will be a much bigger more profitable company and all that anyone goes is well i remember listening to this idiot six months ago said this and it's down 10 what an idiot you know and it's sort of like it's frustrating but and again i'm not trying to sort of make excuses or anything but if you're gonna i guess what i'm trying to do is put some personal ownership on things if you're gonna be that person expect the results that you're almost inevitably going to get that's right and that that's harsh bit of tough love and that's why you shouldn't listen to anyone including us you should you should own your own idea just to come full circle and okay i'll shut up now no i like it mate it's really it's really really important hey um let's this is i like this one too um this is let's get a bit philosophical for a second we've got a question from tim who says how come individuals pay progressive tax on their income yet companies and superannuation funds attract a flat tax rate do you think it would be fairer and maybe solve a few problems if they were all treated the same hmm it's a good question you go first on that one all right ah dear tim let me try and attack this from a couple different angles um the difference between individuals and companies and superannuation funds is that individual is limited in their labor efforts, at least, we'll get back to capital in a minute, by the virtue of being one body and only having 168 hours a week, I think, from memory, to do the work.
22:55And so the amount that I can do extra or less is kind of confined by that, the amount of value I can create. Now, hedge fund managers might get paid squillions of dollars. And again, there might be some errors on the outside, but that's kind of why we have progressive tax for those people. But my time doesn't scale. If you're a company and you're a corner store or Woolies, the capital scales effectively infinitely, but certainly in a very, very different way. So if I say, well, if I earn more than$18 ,000, I pay 15%, I earn more than$35 ,000, I don't have the scales. I pay whatever percent. That's kind of proportional to a single person's output and and it's more equal that the as much we're talking about inequality a lot um the inequality of income is far far less the inequality of corporate profits but between my 10 year old's lemonade stand and what's the biggest company in the world these days tesla i think largest company by market cap it would be up yeah and probably profit wise it might be close to berkshire i don't know what the most profitable company in the world this apple would be up there yeah let's call it apple um so you know my young looks like an apple's profits um it's very hard to say when and how you should apply a progressive tax rate on on any sort of earned amount and here's why if you if you said like take woolies right woolies is one entity i don't know how much money it earns a year uh used to do about 40 billion in revenue i'm sure it's more than that now um whatever the number is let's say it's let's say it's 10 billion just to make my life easy uh thousand stores 10 billion dollars worth of profit $10 million attracts a 50 % tax rate.
24:35If they broke those into 1 ,000 individual stores, sold them all off individually, and they paid, rather than paying 50 % on$10 million, they pay 5 % on, what does the number work out to? $10 million each? Then it's the structure you're taxing rather than the actual dollar value of profit. And you don't get that with people because you can't have more than one person per person, if that makes sense. And so it just scales really, really differently. So it's a very, very difficult thing to apply a progressive rate of taxation The other thing is capital structures are always really, really different.
25:04So think about the amount of revenue, the amount of capital expenditure, the margins. We talked about, well, these margins of 6%. Apple's margins are probably, I don't know, 25%, I would speculate. So again, how do you kind of align those? So I think because companies are kind of these artificial structures, and it could be partnerships, it could be trust, it makes no difference really. They scale differently to human endeavor, human effort, human time per hour worked. And it just makes more sense that if you say, right, we're all going to work 168 hours a week, if you happen to earn more than me and it's meaningfully more than me because you happen to be in the right job or have the right skills or whatever then you probably should contribute more to society in proportion to that extra ability to earn money over and above your basic cost of living right and that's that's where it's that's when progressive taxation works because again once you've covered your basic costs they should be very affordable for everybody and then after that you know if you if you if you can't buy three lamborghinis but only two because your tax rate well that's probably fair uh versus someone who needs to be able to buy a second hand high lux to get to work so that that kind of progressive taxation works in that perspective it is definitely different and we see there's a very good argument to talk about the capital gains tax rates for example uh as to how they should apply for non-earned income earned being literally earned for labor rather than the money doing its own thing uh definite definite an argument for that one.
26:26Superannuation funds is again different because the fund itself isn't the person. It's a structure. So a single fund could have up to six members in an SMSF these days, and a retail industry fund can have hundreds of thousands of members. And so again, how do you apply a tax rate for one member versus six members versus a thousand members versus a hundred thousand members? Progressively, you kind of can't do it. It's not possible to do it that way because the fund is the fund. The fund isn't the members. Even if you have an SMSF, the law says the fund is separate to you as an individual and the fund has a different structure.
27:00So I don't know that they need to be the same. I don't think it makes sense for them to be the same. What I do think is when the money is then moved or streamed from those entities, from companies or funds to individuals, then we should be absolutely more thoughtful about how that happens. And I think, for example, giving people tax-free superannuation payments in retirement, if you can take$200 ,000 worth of super out and pay not a cent in tax as you spend that money, other than GST, I suppose, that seems remarkably unreasonable to me when you're paying 38 cents a dollar earning 100 grand of earned income.
27:35Those two numbers seem in stark contrast. Without getting too political or philosophical or ideological about it, I don't think a flat tax rate works for individuals. I think the reality is that we all should be in a perfect world able to afford the necessities at minimum wage with a reasonable tax burden. And then after that, the people who earn more and therefore have more after tax income should be able to chip in a little bit more to reflect their extra earnings on top of minimum wage and other things and the amount of money that's made by others in that context. Frankly, people in my industry earn more money than people digging holes, not because my industry is any more useful to society, but because I can make some money for people and they're prepared to pay me more to do that, for example.
28:23Now, should I pay the same tax rate as someone digging the hole? I don't think so. If I earn more than them, I think that's very appropriate for me to actually put in more of my income to help fund things from society. Hedge fund managers who earn a million times what I earn should pay more again. I think that's totally reasonable. That's just my view there. Ram, do you have a different or similar view? It's such a deep topic, isn't it? I mean, you can get into a lot of detail but you know i generally in favor of progressive you know i'd probably be at the stage where it's like you know beyond some very large and a very large number that you know it's 90 tax uh i don't think that takes away the profit motive and incentive um you know we can debate where that up that line is drawn and the rest of it but yeah i'm not going to add much there i did want to say a couple things um i i does depress me that super has gone from this i this means of allowing us to provide for ourselves better in retirement yep to a to a tax haven for the rich is just depressing and yeah that's that's and i do i do think too that you know i think too many people i said this last time whatever that those that have had incredible success in life discount the privileged opportunities that they had by virtue of either their genetics or their their their family or their connections you know so i i don't i don't think it's unreasonable to expect that at a certain point that you you give a little bit extra back because you are giving it's not a donation you are you are giving it back that society has enabled you to create that wealth.
30:03And at the same time, you need to be rewarded. If you've created genuine value for people by offering a great service or inventing a great product, I mean, I'm the last, but absolutely, you should be really well compensated. And that's going to incentivize a lot of people to do it. But we also, and there's a lot of great research out there that shows that after a certain point, I mean, money is sort of everything at a certain point, and then afterwards it's not, it's nothing. so it's sort of like you know when you can't eat and you're living in a cardboard box it really helps to have that extra hundred bucks you know when when you're getting to the stage where it's just like i'm worth you know 240 million you know to get to 340 million what what what actually changes exactly like zero changes and it just becomes more of a you know measuring you know of a certain organ you know between you and your other rich mates at a certain point and so So, yeah, I think we need to sort of recognize all of that in how we design it.
31:02The depressing thing is, mate, we talked about this on Friday, was that unfortunately the people who have the most say are the people who have the most money and they tend to structure things that are in most favor to them, which is just so depressing. Anyway. Yeah. Yeah, I think that's probably – hopefully that does the job, Tim. I think there is, frankly, I'd rather look at the way people minimise tax and multinational tax collection, other things, if we're looking at fairness across the system. I agree with you, Rem. I've said many, many times about superannuation. And look, most people who are members of our services and frankly listening to this will probably be unhappy with us saying that.
31:41And I won't say I don't care, but I'm not going to pull any punches anyway. The reality is that superannuation was supposed to incentivise retirement savings. And the extent to which it does that is important. the extent to which it becomes an estate planning tool or a tax minimisation tool is a bastardisation of the whole approach. You and I are a unity ticket there, mate. Super should absolutely relieve the pressure on the federal budget and it should provide for an incentivised way to do that to the point where you get the pension plus something as a reward for making that effort and putting the money aside because you put your deferring consumption.
32:22That's completely appropriate. Once it goes past that, my solution is really simple, Ram. I would simply say to people, your superannuation payouts are taxable now, as is the aged pension, but at a higher tax-free threshold. So if the pension is X a year, put it at that plus, I don't know, pick a number, 20 grand, right? Up to that, you pay no tax. So you can get the pension without paying tax. You get the pension at work, more without paying any tax because again it recognizes the tax-free threshold you get the pension and get some super and not pay any tax because the super is designed to help but once you get above a certain level above that you start paying speaking of tim's question progressive tax you pay 15 cents in the dollar then 30 cents in the dollar 38 cents in the dollar then 45 cents in the dollar if you earn 200 grand if you get 200 grand worth of superannuation you know streamed income allocated pension that the fact that should be tax-free that you're not contributing anymore to society yes you contribute during your working life but some people currently working there is no there is no fairness in giving someone a tax-free income of 100 150 200 grand and slugging other people who are earning 30 50 80 100 grand you know 15 20 30 40 cents in the dollar it's just it's just fundamentally an unfair um distribution of the burden of paying for the things that we all like and use yep we like defense forces and police and roads and health care and you know the fact that we should pretend that just because it was in super and you know i'm happy for some super to be done you know but i think that's that's the simplest way to do it and that way we're not saying people you can't have more than a certain amount of super we're just saying good on you if you save money great if you've done well great you're gonna have to pay some in tax when you take it out because that seems just very fundamentally reasonable i don't i honestly don't know why well other other than for political you know cowardice reasons it's it's the simplest solution in the world it makes it fairer across society um you know if if we've got two people listening to this and someone's on 150 grand with a free tax-free super another one's digging a hole why should the person dig in the hole pay the tax the other person not pay any just because you have paid tax in the past doesn't give you a free ride for the rest of your life in my view yep the final principle i would apply is simplicity so i i would i would yes yes there is too much friction in our economy because the rules that are well-intentioned things just get so complicated that it's very hard unless you're on the most basic of sort of structures it's very hard to do your tax and even then it's just annoying right like i i feel as though that any any tax policy should definitely have simplicity at its heart because we're all we're all it's far better of us as a society that we're all out there creating value for each other.
35:06Then we're all spending weeks and weeks pouring through shoeboxes full of receipts and spreadsheets and trying to calculate this or that. Even if you could argue that that is better slash fairer slash whatever, I would forego a bit of that stuff for the simplicity of things, I think. And that's why I think, not that I have a perfect answer, but that's why this would be really simple, right? It's like whatever the source of income, when you're over 67, which are retirement age these days, or 65 for earlier retirees, you have a high tax-free threshold, but everything's taxable. Yep, easy. Done. No, no, no, no.
35:43And by the way, worker-related tax deductions, they can go negative gearing, that can go, like it's really, it's really, really simple. Most of these things were put in because special interest wanted them. And I think to your point, mate, and you know what? The other thing, by the way, is people say, oh, we should really pay enough tax. Well, firstly, that's fine. You have that view. Secondly, if you want to pay less tax, get other people to pay their first share. You know, when you say we're paying too much tax, maybe you are, but a lot of people aren't. And so if you rebalance the burden, we probably will pay less tax, frankly.
36:10Take out the ridiculous deductions and take out the tax avoidance from, you know, structures and multinationals and others. We could probably generate the same amount of tax revenue and pay less personal tax each. Those of us who are getting slugged full freight because we're not taking advantage of tax dodges. You know, you want to pay less tax, that's how you do it. Yep. Yep. Hey, Ian sent me an email and is very gently getting right up me. So let me share this with you. Hi, a question for Scott, if I may. I'll get you to jump in too round. In the 1st of September podcast, Scott suggested we read the AICD interview with Robert Milner.
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36:46It was clear from the interview that this is a highly experienced business person with exceptional track record of delivering profits. But at what cost? Asks Ian. His response to the query on their investments in the coal industry was insightful. No mention of the climate change impact of coal, only weak excuses as to how they were good neighbours to communities in the Hunter Valley. The podcast regularly cites Philip Morris and how they continue delivering huge dividends to shareholders long after the effects of smoking were understood. I asked Sol Pat's a 21st century equivalent. Scott's Twitter feed regularly discusses environmental issues and the legacy for your, quote, young bloke.
37:23End quote. How do you reconcile the shareholding in Sol Pattinson? Kind regards, Ian. He says, P.S. i asked that queer in the spirit of disagreeing agreeably a tagline from the rest is politics another of my favorite podcasts i love this question mate because it's a really really really good one it gets to the heart of what we do um i've also addressed these kinds of issues before so i don't want to overdo the answer or spend too long on it not because i don't think it's worth the full and frank uh answer because it's a really good question you ask it beautifully thank you um but because i've kind of done it before so let's go with a few things um firstly I have long railed against the concept of, quotes, ethical investing, a view that Andrew disagrees with.
38:03And hopefully he'll throw his thoughts back in to round out the conversation. If I sell my shares and sell Pats, someone else buys them. Does all Pats do anything differently? No. So I would feel better, but the coal doesn't cease to exist. The company's shares don't cease to exist. The company doesn't cease to exist. Nothing happens. Maybe if enough of us did it all at once, the share price would fall for a bit. And then once we'd all stop doing that, the share price would recover to its reasonable value as long as there were enough potential buyers out there now if we all cared about ethics and we all shut down coal mines maybe that would be true but i'm going to sell my shares to someone who in theory doesn't care as much as i might or much much less than you do because you're saying you want to we think you should sell the shares so uh you know i sell them to let's say it's andrew for the fun of it he buys shares thanks very much scott i'll buy them at a discount because they're cheap because you're selling them because you hate coal i buy them cheap and i'm going to keep those shares and make a fortune so the act of me selling would have bugger all impact on uh on the company or on society frankly and so it'll make no difference and as you think nicely very generously pointed out i do talk about environmental issues a lot we talked about um uh was it fortescue on friday where i said there's yeah there should be more higher higher resource rents and i own shares i'm i'm very very happy to say i own solpatches i own them i'll end up for a long time i expect uh probably longer than solpatches in coal mining i would suspect uh and i think there should be action on climate change i can absolutely say both those things with full sincerity because i don't think one impacts the other in terms of my view or my ability to make money from that shareholding and i think two those things at the same time can absolutely be true um i also am a little bit i'm a big granny right i think we should be up taking much much faster climate action there should be growing more trees we should stop stuffing up the reef um we've got to do a whole lot of stops polluting the waterways speaking of coal mines by the way there's some really crappy coal mines closer to me who've been polluting uh waters in national parks right so uh i'm i'm far from going light on coal mines i've been very very vocal here's my other thing though speaking of being nuanced i am not someone who thinks australia should stop exporting coal uh not because i own solpacias i could sell tomorrow i'd think the same thing because i think to cause ourselves in economic damage while that the purchase of our coal would simply buy coal from somewhere else and keep burning it would be a self-inflicted wound i'm very very very keen for us to stop using coal for energy generation if coal if new hope coal which is the one that solpats owns uh makes less money next year because the world will stop using coal i would be stoked and would my shares fall in price probably.
40:40Do I care? On one level, I'd rather not lose money. Would I be happy with that trade-off? Absolutely in a heartbeat. But I don't think that as a country, we should not sell that coal and let someone else sell the coal instead. If we were the only source of the coal, I would completely agree we should stop doing it. We're not. So they don't buy our coal, they buy someone else's coal. And we feel a little bit better about ourselves, but there's just as much pollution in the air. And again, I think that would be a Pyrrhic victory. We would feel better about it. We'd all like Andrew you've seen the uh the the great Clark and Doar uh sketch the front fell off where the the John Clark posing the minister says oh no no we've turned it outside the environment it's not in the environment anymore and Brian Doar says but it's in some environment then no no it's not the environment it's outside the environment you're not listening it's not the environment anymore um I think that's too often our view with with uh with environmental issues in Australia now as long as it's on our coal it's okay if they burn it we don't actually say that we don't believe that's true but we kind of think that somehow if we stopped doing it then we'd feel better and the coal would somehow not be burnt and the energy wouldn't be generated and i think that's probably folly so this is a very real hopefully i mean you can disagree by the way but this is a very real view i have which is i would love the world to stop using coal uh but us doing it and no one else doing it would be just in my mind economically responsible um for australians but uh i'd rather i'd rather we all stop using coal tomorrow if i could click my fingers and you hope coal business become unprofitable and stranded assets i would love it do it in a heartbeat if it meant everyone else was doing the same thing so that that's how i do it.
42:07And you might have a very different ethical view and you're really welcome to that. If you don't own Solpat shares, I get it. I'm not going to make you do it. I'm not saying you should, but I can keep those two ideas in my head at the same time. And that's why I own the shares. I think it's a great business, run really well. New Hope is the better of the coal miners in the country in my view. So it's going to make money for me, hopefully over time. I hope not for very long, much longer. I hope the world comes to a deal this year. It won't happen. But again, Again, if I could click my fingers and the world would stop burning coal this year and replace it with something else without causing human misery, because there are places where they don't have any alternatives.
42:44But in a perfect world, yeah, I'd love it. And if the saltpite share price fell five bucks as a result, well, you know what? I'll cop that. I'll cop that tomorrow. No issue whatsoever with that. But for now, I'm happy to say I own saltpite shares and I will campaign for an end to coal-fired energy generation. and frankly um you know metallurgical coal for steel too if we can find green steel in a hurry i'd be stoked with that as well um but i can hold those thoughts in my in my minds at the same time uh i don't know rob miller's view on climate change i don't know he's particularly exercised by the problem uh do i expect that in that context he would talk about the the climate impact not really because it's an investment magazine and you know that's what he's being asked about the business operations and that sort of stuff it's not really the place for it um you know i don't know if he was asked and didn't answer it after the interview didn't ask because they didn't want to i think it's i don't think we can expect sometimes you put a view on twitter you put a view and someone's yeah what about this what about that what that's like man i can't give you my entire worldview every time i write a 280 character tweet um i get that occasionally sometimes on twitter uh yeah did he mention it no would he mention it every single time he talks about the company i would i don't think it's reasonable to do that so again i'm not defending milliner I think in any context, not every interview you have about it, about a company's going to cover every single possible part of its business and or environmental or social impact, just not going to.
44:06So, yeah, that's my thought. Strong proponent of climate change action, fast, sudden, now, like just do something. I'm very critical of Albo for campaigning on climate change, doing too little to fix it. I'm more critical of the LNP for pretending it doesn't exist. You know, I kind of wish some of the, well, frankly, the Greens were a more reasonable alternative government, so they could actually get some of those environmental desires passed, but they're also a little bit useless in a lot of areas. So, you know, I'm happy to criticise all of them for not being a better party of government and doing more to fix the climate, but I also can hold Solpat shares knowing that that's the reality, because if I don't own them, someone else is going to, and I don't see the need or the benefit in not owning those shares.
44:50That's enough from me. Ram? That was the short answer? I only spoke for 24 minutes, didn't I? I wanted to, I wanted to, I wanted to question justice. I have my apologies. It's all right. I just, I just went and mowed the lawn and came back. And by the way, people in glass houses, right? So I, I shouldn't be throwing rocks. I guess what you, I just, the one point I wanted to address, you said at the start, we differ on our view of ethical investing. It's, it's, I guess I'll clarify that a little bit. The, cause we do, but it's, I think where we're aligned is, I think the idea of mandate, I think ESG is the dumbest thing in the world.
45:29Yes, me too.
45:33Because there's a lot of subjectivity in all of this. That's all subjectivity, by definition. Yeah. So it's very difficult. And a lot of greenwashing occurs, a lot of silliness occurs, a lot of distraction occurs because of ESG. And at the same time, it's like I'm a very big environmentalist. environmentalists i think that we likewise should be doing a lot of things i'm also a pragmatist as well so i think that you we should be transitioning as fast as we can to other technologies and just but whatever you can basically it's really it's not that complicated right stop putting carbon in the air that's it don't do it don't stop it now because i still want to like cool and heat my home and cook my food and the rest of it.
46:17Like the click, you know, so, so, but let's do it as fast as, as, as we can. But I would say this, where I, when I say I still like ethical investing, I think that you, well, you do, you, you, I don't, I don't care, but I certainly invest. I don't invest in things I don't believe in because I just don't want to support it. And I know that I know that someone else will buy the shares, but I, I, I will subconsciously be rooting for something. if I've got a vested financial interest in it. And I just don't want it. Fortunately, there are other things that – now, I'm not saying that my view is right, and that's where this ESG stuff gets a bit silly.
46:56But there are things that I disagree with and I just don't want to support. And I don't want to see it succeed, and so I won't, even though someone else will, and that's kind of cool. I do think, too, we are kidding ourselves if we expect – corporations are a profit motivated organizations. In fact, that's the whole purpose is to generate a profit. Now, it sounds evil. I actually think that in a properly structured system, the only way that you can make money is by creating value for your fellow human being. And that's why capitalism can be so wonderful. But if the rules, if the government came out tomorrow and said heroin's legal, and guess what's going to happen?
47:44A bunch of corporations are going to start selling heroin. And it's kind of like, well, you can get angry at Woolies because there's now a heroin aisle, and I can go get my heroin in aisle two next to the cocaine and the methamphetamines. But I would sort of say I think we need to, there are some things that need to be driven at a different institutional level. i.e. government, I think. I'm not saying we should have huge, massive, overreaching government that control every single aspect of our lives. There's shades of grey here, but whenever there's issues that deal with externalities, there needs to be some kind of society, community action, I think, to sort of put up the guardrails.
48:27And that's really where I draw the line between these things. I think that what government should do is sort of set the rules and then let companies have at it. And then they'll do their thing and competition will create value for all of us. When I say that, I will get better services. I will get better products. I will have a higher standard of living. Now, if the government allows a company to do that and pump all its waste into Coogee Beach, of course the companies are going to do it because it's cheaper to do that, right? It's like, are they at fault? Yes, but we let them do it. We let them do that as a society.
49:07So I think you've got to direct your anger at the right place. And it's a nuanced topic. But I would just say in response to the listener's question is that you're not right or wrong for liking or disliking New Hope. And just invest your money in a way that is personally resonant with your beliefs. And no one can fault you for that. No one can fault you for it. No, I think that's the echo right. And I'm, as I said, I'm exactly at the same view. Hey, sorry for banging on too long about that. I didn't realize I was chatting for a second. No, no, no. It's fine. I'm just having fun. It's all good.
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49:51Hey, let's get a question from Jason. This is, hi, Scott and Andrew. I always enjoy the honest opinions from both of you. Keep up the great work in educating us. I'm interested in your opinions on market cap-weighted versus equal-weighted ETFs. On one hand, the equal-weighted ETF provides more exposure to small companies with greater growth potential. On the other hand, if a company grows, the equal-weighted ETF will be forced to sell part of the holdings in this company in order to keep the equal weight. It prevents the ETF from increasing its holding on its winners. Which is the better long-term strategy?
50:26I'd love to hear from your learn from your wisdom Jason I'm going to make you go first this time mate because I can I actually while you were saying I actually googled equal weight versus market cap weight and there's actually an article from the fool came up it might be from the US actually Sebastian Bowen Bowen being the oh no that's us that's us hey okay
50:53what's his takeaway here this is in this great podcasting so i don't know i'm gonna google it the listeners are going dude i could have done that myself i could have done that myself um you know you know it looks like the answer is it depends um funnily enough yeah what do you say what do you say i there are criticisms both ways yeah and and the listeners I think nailed it there by saying that, well, anything that grows, you're just going to continually sell down. And anything that falls away, you're going to continually buy more of. It doesn't make sense. At the same time with the market cap weight, I'm going to continually add more.
51:40It's going to be very top heavy. I'm going to continue adding more money to the bigger companies which almost definitionally have less growth potential. Which is why it's a complex answer that is here. And I don't have an easy answer other than to say the benchmarks that we usually use in the market are market cap weighted. And we know historically at least that they've delivered pretty good results. So I probably lean that way only for that reason alone. But I just don't have the data at hand. So you kick off and I'll silently Google here in the background and find a bit more hard data. You ought to give that away.
52:21Mate, no, I actually agree with you entirely. I think, you know, when you, again, the future isn't necessarily going to be like the past, but when you have a sense of what a market-weighted index has done for 100 plus years, you want to step away from that very carefully. It'd be like being active as a stock picker. If you know you can get the market return, then take the market return. If you think you can beat it, then beat it by all means, but don't jump in and try and do better. So that's the first thing, which is Andrew's point. I'm going to say, I'm going to use your line, Andrew. It depends.
52:51And it depends, frankly, on what the future is of those market-weighted times. Now, if you look at, if, for example, the leaders in the ASX continue to be miners and banks, and they continue to generate most of the returns, then being equal-weighted is going to cost you. If the smaller company is going to do better, even as a sector, not individually, you'll do better being equal-weighted. Because what it basically means you're doing is you're adding think don't worry about companies for now think about sectors or market cap sizes or brackets you're adding more money to the smaller companies and if the smaller companies out from the large companies the group then you're better off having more of your money in them in other words that's what would make an equal weighted etf more successful and it's easy to think about different ways there because uh in the past uh we've said and again why it depends is because was in 2021, tech was up by a third.
53:44Oil was down by a third. In 2022, it was almost exactly reversed. And so you kind of say, well, actually, sorry, I should take that back. Tech was up by a third in 2021. I don't know what happened to oil. 2022, tech fell by a third and oil rose by a third. I know those things are true. So in one year, in theory, the tech is probably smaller than the oil companies, I would suspect. So you'll do better in year one and worse in year two by them being market-weighted. But also, think about the US where 15 years ago, the biggest companies were General Electric and General Motors and Exxon Mobil and those really old school industrial companies.
54:23These days, it's Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Facebook, Tesla, NVIDIA, and a couple of others. And so the composition changed so dramatically that, again, depends on what happens from here. If the big guys keep growing at fast rates, which they are currently, you want more money in those guys. If they don't, you want money in the little guys. And so it really is impossible to know in advance. I can tell you, or Rand might be able to tell you what happened in the past, but I would suggest to you that because you're taking an active strategy here, the question is, will that active strategy continue in the future?
54:55And it will come down to the circumstances that we find ourselves in now. If the biggest companies in the country, either in the ASX or the US or both, are still the biggest companies in 10, 15 years' time, you would have been better being market-weighted. If they fall by the wayside and a new generation come and pick up, you might have been better getting the growth from the equal-weighted companies on the way through because it makes more sense to harness more of that as they grow. Bottom line, I don't know the answer, and I don't know that historical evidence would tell us the difference or tell us what's likely to keep happening.
55:26Frankly, even more than normal because of the changes in the composition of the market over the past 15 years, the rise of tech, I would suggest, has probably thrown out most of what came before it in terms of being indicative. That's my best guess. Ram, did you find anything? No, I mean, obviously they're equal weighted ETFs there, but finding the equivalent market cap weighted. So the one that I found, MVP, only covers the top 100. And I just couldn't find it. I'm sure there's one out there because there's an ETF invented and released every second day. Yes. But no. And to your point, though, what does that tell us about the future?
56:03It's difficult. It's difficult. I suspect that they're probably going to both do reasonably okay. Yeah. But not spectacular because just the sheer diversity that you have in that. So, yeah. I just don't know why I want really unsatisfying answers. I don't know why I want some amount of money in. The other thing is the quality of those companies. Top 100, probably okay. If I was going to equal weight the All Lords, for example, I have far less confidence that the bottom 50 companies versus the top. Yeah, ordinary companies. You'd be surprised how much rubbish is in there. Yeah, yeah. Which is maybe not a reason not to do it, but if you think about how I'm going to have as much in, as much as I don't own BHP or like it necessarily, I don't love Commonwealth Bank.
56:52If you said have as much in BHP and Commonwealth Bank as you've got in crappy company number 500, I think that would be also a pretty courageous call. So, yeah, I don't know. So it feels like maybe a bit too clever by half. Not the question, but investing that way rather than just passively investing in the whole market and getting the market rules at return, let the weightings go where they go as the company succeed and fail. I think I'd be much more comfortable being market weighted. Just because, again, you're taking an active decision, right? So why move away from the market unless you know or have a high conviction you'll beat it?
57:23And if you don't, stay with the market just as a matter of course. I don't know if we've got enough of a data set to make any conclusive decisions either. My temptation would be to say, well, just go and find some equal weights and market cap weighted and do some comparisons, assuming that they've got a similar number of components and the difference is only the weighting. But even then you might get seven, eight years and it's like, well, what is that? That's such a blip, you know, in the grand scheme. Had we had these kinds of comparisons to make over the last hundred years, then you probably get something a bit more meaningful.
57:57Even there, mate, the change in the categories in the sectors of the market, but like just the small companies became big and the big ones that became small, that kind of reflect meaningful kind of structural changes in the economy. Even then you kind of go, if I had 100 years of data, how do you compare the first 50 years when steel mills were steel mills and car makers were car makers to now? And you're going to go, how likely is it that the future looks like the past? I don't know. The other thing, by the way, is market weighted, not only is it the size of the profit of the business, which tells you something about its economic success and therefore longevity, but even just the way that you think about the the the pricing of that profit based on those yeah i don't know too hard it's it's absolutely too hard no no just no need to yeah exactly yeah just look here's the other way of doing it um it's pretty much how i do it actually is is um australia i'm all direct investments i just i do my own thing i think in my super i might have some etfs just because i got lazy and our super doesn't let me buy small caps so i kind of forced into that but but in the u.s i do because i just i don't do stock picking in the u.s too much to keep me busy here but but what you could do is just buy your vanilla vanguard standard index etf yeah and then say but i really like company x y and z and i really like this company so you can make the direct invest you can kind of help weight your overall portfolio by starting with the index as a base and then directly investing into the things that you actually like.
59:28Not necessarily 50-50 or, you know, it might be that 90 % is in my ETF, 10 % of my capital is direct investments. And that way I'm actually tweaking the weighting overall. And that's a perfectly decent way of doing that. And I would say how you split that up would depend on your experience, your conviction and all the rest of it. So maybe you start off with 95 % in an ETF and over time you tweak it. You might get to a point where it's like, I feel really confident in what I'm doing. I've been through a few cycles now. I really love this. I really enjoy it. So now I've got 20 % in an ETF and 80 % is direct investments.
1:00:03So it will be a personal decision, but you can do it that way as well. And you'll find that that's where you're going to get the outperformance, right? Like by definition, like the bigger the outperformance you want, the more you have to move away from the index, like definitionally. Just remember that you can differ from the index in the downside as well. So, you know, you've got to have some confidence in what you're doing. Yeah, that's a great question. Let's finish off with a question from Dean. He says, gents, I'm a long-time listener, first-time emailer. Firstly, I stumbled upon an investment that you might be interested in.
1:00:40There's an emu farm for sale, he says. so much attached. I know you're always looking for diversification and often bring up investing in emu farms so I thought you might be interested. Do you want me to forward you the details, Ray? You know, it's such a great thing to laugh at but there's probably some really good emu farms. People are like, dude, I've been running an emu farm for 20 years and my return on capital has been very attractive. Thank you very much. That's right. I should be fair to that. Look, mate, I think actually here's the thing. I wrote an article for straw man recently making the point that if you want really great value you have to invest in things that have some hairs on it like you have to yeah like the company that everyone recognizes as being fantastic is just super expensive and it might be fantastic as an investment like the company might continue to do great things but guess what everyone expected that it was in the price in my return so so if if there is an emu farm out there that no one is touching because course, it's an emu farm, but I can buy it at one time's earnings, you know, and there's actually earnings there and reasonable expectation that there'll be earnings in the future.
1:01:49That could be an incredible investment. So, you never know. Never say never, says Andrew. Never say never. I like it, mate. Hey, so let's get to the second question. So, secondly, a question if I may. I vaguely remember a discussion around dividend reinvestment plans or DRPs on the podcast a number of years ago, but a car for the life of me find it. Can you please discuss the pros and cons of DRPs? I currently participate in one through rural funds management and planned on doing so until the amount of money the dividends are paying me can meaningfully contribute to my income and go towards paying bills and living expenses, etc.
1:02:24At this stage, I would then stop the DRP and take the dividends as cash. Essentially, I want to grow my holding in the company through the DRP, then take the dividends as cash when it's a meaningful amount. It makes sense in my head, but I may be looking at it all wrong. Any non-personal advice or thoughts and feelings on this would be greatly appreciated. Cheers, Dean. Let's go with pros and cons first, mate. Well, you go first, actually. You kick off. Okay, I'll run through it and I'll let that serve as a tee up for you to elaborate on. So the first pro is, and the big one, is it allows you to compound things.
1:03:03I mean, you look at total return versus capital return and you start reinvesting those dividends, you sort of juice the compounding effect. So that's really nice. You generally don't pay any brokerage and it's automatic as well. So that's also really nice. The cons are that the tax is more complicated because now I've got a million cost bases and I've got to pay tax on the dividend income. Even if it was reinvested, I still pay tax as if I had received the income. And the other problem that I have with it is that there's no – there's no choice to re-weight. I could take my dividend from Solpats and reinvest it into Woolies.
1:03:45And I'm still going to get the compounding effect. And I might do that because at a point in time, I feel as though Woolworths is just better value. Whereas with the automatic approach, I am just investing into the same company. Maybe it's at a very, very unattractive price right now. So they're the high-level thoughts. just on the tax kind of thing the great thing about if you're not interested in an income stream and typically just generalizing here if you're younger you probably shouldn't be you want the company to keep the cash and reinvest it internally provided it's got good investment opportunities because then there's no tax and the tax takes a huge chunk it really does hammer things if you're paying tax each and every year So if you can keep – this is why Buffett keeps all the money in Berkshire and he invests it in other companies and there's no tax event for the shareholders.
1:04:41That can be a really beautiful thing and that can make a really big difference over time. Now, it may be that, well, that's good now, but when I'm 65, I actually want the income stream. I'm so great. You can sell and buy at that point in time and readjust kinds of things. So I feel as though a 23-year-old going for a dividend producing company isn't always necessarily the best bet. That's a horrible generalization because a lot of people could do really well by just doing nothing other than a very established company and taking that approach. So it is generalizing. But anyway, go where you want with that, mate.
1:05:18So pros are that, as you say, it keeps compounding happening. By the way, the question kind of implies taking the money or reinvesting it with a DRP. You can obviously manually reinvest it in the middle. So there's kind of those three options, right? You get a dividend, do you take the money and splurge it on? I don't know, whatever you want to splurge it on. Do you take the money and reinvest it in something else? Or do you reinvest it automatically through a DRP? They're the three. So DRP means you do it. So you don't spend it, firstly. Secondly, even if you weren't going to spend it, it puts it straight back into the market in a way that you don't have to,
1:05:54you're not tempted to leave it sitting around doing nothing. So that's important. It can resolve the paralysis of, I don't know what to do with the money. Maybe I'll get around to it. Maybe I'll do it soon. And it can take a whole lot of stress and hassle out of it. If you bought quality companies, you like them, buy more of those is probably a good idea more often than not. And it can be a really, it's like, it's the ETF version of stock picking, right? It's like, just do it. Take the DRP. you'll be fine, it'll be fine. You'll be completely appropriate and at least it puts the money back to work.
1:06:24You do owe a tax on it to Ram's Point. You have to find that tax from somewhere else. So if you do a DRP, it's still taxable. You're going to have to pay the tax regardless of whether you take it as shares or cash. So just be careful of that too if you're in that situation. Downfalls, Ram's already mentioned. You've got 20 companies. DRPing in each of the 20 means you're putting money into your 20th worst idea or 20th best idea, sorry, but in terms of rather than your best idea. So if you've got Solpats dividend, you're going to buy Woolies shares, you get a Woolies dividend, you want to buy a Sopat shares, you want to buy something else you don't already own.
1:06:54Most of us who pick stocks want to have the flexibility of doing that. For me, when I first started, I did DRPs because I kind of thought it was a smart thing to do and it's not bad. I haven't done DRP for years and years and years. I have a separate account, separate transaction account. All of my dividends go into that account and I reinvest from that account. I put my regular savings every time I get paid into that account as well. So that's how the money gets in there. They just invest that money from time to time. I think that's a theoretically better solution, but I wouldn't want to discourage anyone from using a DRP if they weren't going to do anything else with the money or it was just too stressful or too hard.
1:07:29A DRP is perfectly fine. Like ETF investing, it's perfectly fine. I don't want to dissuade you from using it. I think investing directly, deliberately, specifically, is a better option. But I think that's almost certainly true. As long as you're a good stock picker, by the way, But if you're not, you probably shouldn't be buying stocks anyway. Buy an ETF and go fishing, as I like to say. So I hope that answers the question. Any more on that, mate? There is a lot of nuance with it. I mean, one of the things I've always liked about dividends is it does enforce more capital discipline on the board and management.
1:08:10It's easy to say, hey, we're going to pay a dividend. It's very hard to take it away. Shareholders get upset. And if you've committed to paying out 60 % of your profits, there's less money burning a hole in your pocket. There's nothing more dangerous than an executive with billions of dollars to spend. That's right. They're going to find something to spend it on. They'll find something. And ego plays a big role in it because you start thinking about building your empire and your legacy more than getting really great, attractive returns on investment. Now, I would say that the only time you invest money is where you are extraordinarily confident of getting superior returns than what you could get with a, you know, Lord knows at least the cost of capital.
1:08:51If you're the head of Woodside and you're going to invest in a project that's going to get you what I could get on a 10-year bond, like what are you doing? You're taking all this risk when you could do that? It's stupid. So pay it out and I'll make the decision. And now the decision is on me. And we just know what humans are like. So it's sort of like that's the great thing about dividends. I really think beyond that they give you some cash in your pocket. And that's super important for when I'm at a stage where I just want to make my money. I'm not working. I want my money to work for me. I get these lovely franking credits and all the things that we know and love about dividends.
1:09:27Fantastic. That is brilliant. But there's a company that I own at the moment. I said directly to management the other day, I was like, why? And they say, oh, we're going to pay dividends. I was like, why? You're a growth company. you know it's probably because they just they want they want to help support the share price and they're kind of get it but it's like no i don't want it i don't want it if i was after an income and i said i'd buy something else right yeah you're you are at a stage where you have incredible growth opportunities and it's right in front of you and you're going to hamstring yourself by paying it out to me so and anyway it's that's why as i say it's it's complicated it definitely definitely is mate I reckon that's all we've got time for thank you for joining me for this podcast a little less ranty than our Friday episode and hopefully we answered some good questions Friday was very ranty yes that's good though cathartic hey will you come back on Friday yeah let's do it 100 % excellent until then have a great weekend enjoy daylight saving before long cheers the motley fool and people appearing in this program may have positions in the companies mentioned general advice only Please speak to your financial professional to understand how it may pertain to your situation.
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