The Quest to Cure Alzheimer's | Sacha Schermerhorn, Babylon Bio

14 Feb 2026 · 1 h 24 min · 43 chapters

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Podcast Episode Summary: The Quest to Cure Alzheimer's | Sacha Schermerhorn, Babylon Bio

Overview In this episode of the *Relentless* podcast, host interviews Sacha Schermerhorn, the founder and CEO of Babylon Bio. The discussion revolves around the challenges and innovations in Alzheimer's research, the historical context of the disease, and the operational strategies employed at Babylon Bio to navigate the complexities of drug development.

Key Themes and Concepts

  1. Understanding Alzheimer's Disease
  2. Cognitive Impairment: The episode discusses the various factors that may contribute to cognitive impairment, emphasizing a multi-faceted understanding of Alzheimer's.
  3. Historical Perspective: The narrative includes a detailed account of Dr. Alzheimer and his early research, highlighting the initial discoveries and how they shaped current research paradigms.
  4. Research Progress: While acknowledging the challenges in finding effective treatments, Schermerhorn argues that significant progress has been made in understanding what does not work, which could pave the way for future breakthroughs.
  1. Drug Development Challenges
  2. Failed Approaches: Schermerhorn explores several failed drug development strategies, notably the amyloid hypothesis, which suggested that amyloid plaques in the brain were the primary cause of Alzheimer's.
  3. Neurofibrillary Tangles: The discussion suggests that tau protein tangles could be more predictive of cognitive impairment than amyloid plaques, advocating for a shift in research focus.
  4. Clinical Trials: The episode discusses the complexity of clinical trials and the necessity for innovative strategies to tackle the high failure rates in Alzheimer's drug development.
  1. Babylon Bio's Strategic Approach
  2. Missionaries vs. Mercenaries: Schermerhorn emphasizes the importance of hiring individuals who are passionate about the mission (missionaries) rather than those solely motivated by financial gain (mercenaries).
  3. Financial Structure: Babylon Bio is structured to withstand failures, allowing it to pursue multiple "moonshot" projects simultaneously without being overly dependent on any single initiative.
  4. Portfolio Theory: The discussion touches upon the application of portfolio theory in biotechnology, where the aim is to diversify risks across multiple research programs.
  1. Integration of AI and Data
  2. Leveraging AI: Schermerhorn discusses the potential of AI models to analyze vast amounts of scientific literature to uncover new insights about Alzheimer's.
  3. Swanson Linking: The concept of connecting previously disparate fields of study is highlighted as a method for discovering new treatments based on existing data.
  1. Personal Motivation and Culture
  2. Personal Connection: Schermerhorn's motivation is rooted in personal experience, particularly the impact of Alzheimer's on his family.
  3. Team Culture: The podcast emphasizes fostering a culture of passion, urgency, and commitment within the team to maintain morale and productivity amidst the challenges of drug development.
  4. Community Engagement: Babylon Bio actively engages with Alzheimer’s patients and their families, reinforcing the human element in their scientific endeavors.

Key Takeaways

  • Challenges in Alzheimer’s Research: Despite decades of research and considerable financial investment, finding a cure for Alzheimer's remains elusive, with many failed attempts that serve as learning experiences for future approaches.
  • Innovative Thinking: There is a strong call for innovative strategies and interdisciplinary collaboration to make meaningful progress in Alzheimer's research.
  • Commitment to Mission: The culture at Babylon Bio prioritizes hiring individuals who are genuinely passionate about the mission, enabling a more dedicated and effective workforce.
  • Importance of AI: Advancements in AI are viewed as a critical tool for synthesizing existing knowledge and accelerating drug development processes.

Conclusion Sacha Schermerhorn's discussion highlights the complexity of Alzheimer's research and the innovative strategies being employed at Babylon Bio. The conversation underscores the need for persistence, creativity, and a strong commitment to the mission of improving the lives of those affected by Alzheimer's disease.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Understanding Alzheimer's Clues

0:00 to 0:44

Learn about the various clues related to Alzheimer's disease and their origins.

“There are a lot of clues about Alzheimer's.”

The Shingles Vaccine Study

0:44 to 2:20

Explore a study showing how the shingles vaccine may reduce Alzheimer's risk.

“And like we have more than enough clues to figure out like the perfect target for something like Alzheimer's or other diseases.”

Progress in Alzheimer's Research

3:00 to 4:54

Discussing the perception of progress in Alzheimer's research and innovation potential.

“he was got introduced to august demeter who was a patient who was in her late 50s i believe and had this like disorientation, discombobulation, general cognitive impairment.”

Dr. Alzheimer and His Discoveries

4:54 to 7:39

Delve into the history of Dr. Alzheimer and his groundbreaking findings.

The Amyloid Hypothesis

7:39 to 9:13

An exploration of the amyloid hypothesis and its implications in Alzheimer's research.

“be uh uh like the number one predictor of the onset of cognitive impairment so they're not the predictor of whether you'll develop Alzheimer's period.”

Innovative Approaches to Treatment

9:13 to 11:09

Discussing potential approaches to treating Alzheimer's beyond traditional targets.

“This was pre-lucanumab, pre-aducanumab, all these other drugs that came out.”

The Complexity of Cognitive Decline

11:09 to 12:52

Understanding the complexities of cognitive decline and its predictors.

“I met all the people who published the seminal papers there.”

Insights from Personal Experience

12:52 to 14:00

Sacha shares his personal motivations and experiences related to Alzheimer's research.

“And, um, uh, and I went very deep, very deep, very deep.”

Navigating Alzheimer's Challenges

14:00 to 14:58

Learn about the complexities of tackling Alzheimer's and creating realistic goals.

“How did you kind of structure the way that Babylon operates so that you can actually get to a point where you're able to solve it?”

Repurposing Existing Drugs

14:58 to 17:27

Discover how existing drugs can be financialized and repurposed for new uses.

“But I think like there's actually an even larger number of these like assets where it's not going to be a multi-billion dollar exit, but like low nine figures for sure.”
Show all 43 chapters

The Viagra Connection to Alzheimer's

17:27 to 19:20

Explore the surprising link between Viagra and reduced Alzheimer's risk.

“Because it's like proliferative in nature, it actually leads to like, you know, cell outgrowth and neurite outgrowth.”

AI in Drug Discovery

19:20 to 21:35

Learn about innovative methods in drug discovery using AI and existing information.

“And this was like at a time where information gathering, scraping, all these things were like super analog.”

Targeting Tau in Alzheimer's Research

21:35 to 23:18

Understand the role of tau pathology in Alzheimer's and potential treatments.

The Evolution of Alzheimer's Treatment

23:18 to 26:52

Examine the progression of Alzheimer's drug development and emerging therapies.

“drug called bib 80 um from biogen and ionis and it's a talia so and that's intrathecally delivered And so, I mean, I don't know.”

The Journey of Starting a Biotech Company

26:52 to 28:00

Hear about the challenges and experiences of starting a biotech company focused on Alzheimer's.

The Struggles of Fundraising

28:00 to 29:00

Learn about the challenges faced by entrepreneurs in securing funding.

“And it was so hard, so hard to raise money.”

Shifting the Narrative

29:00 to 30:20

Discover how storytelling impacts fundraising success and investor perception.

“But yeah, it was, uh, did you have a lot of money to start this or not really?”

Attracting the Right Talent

30:20 to 31:40

Understand the importance of hiring individuals who are passionate about the mission.

Missionaries vs. Mercenaries

31:40 to 33:00

Examine the difference between employees motivated by passion versus profit.

“the idea that there's this like super low probability bet that will require a ridiculous amount of capital to actually even have a like reasonable shot in like a huge amount of time, maybe like 10 plus years.”

Finding Hidden Geniuses

33:00 to 35:00

Learn how to identify and recruit exceptional talent in the biotech field.

“and be very sober with them about like, you're going to work your ass off.”

The Importance of Passion

35:00 to 37:20

Explore how a genuine passion for work can drive success and sustain effort.

“And anyway, they sold it for, I probably shouldn't disclose the number, but a very low amount of money.”

Setting High Standards

37:20 to 39:40

Discover the necessity of maintaining high hiring standards for long-term success.

“And like part of that is a, you know, ends up skewing you towards just like compromising your standards in favor of like moving very quickly and plugging the wound, so to speak.”

Balancing Long-Term Goals

39:40 to 41:00

Learn how to maintain focus on long-term goals while driving immediate progress.

“And I just said, you know, the next day I was like, hey, I'm stuck in New York.”

The Nature of Burnout

41:00 to 42:05

Understand the causes of burnout and how to foster a motivated team.

“You recognize that this is like a multi-decade journey where there's not really a very clear end date or like, you know, this is when we're going to solve it.”

Burnout and Agency in High-Impact Work

42:05 to 43:31

Discussion on burnout in high-pressure environments and the importance of agency.

“Like, Darion, our team is built different.”

The Search for New Medicines

43:31 to 44:35

Exploration of strategies for identifying promising drug candidates.

Distraction Minimization Techniques

44:35 to 46:01

Insights on how eliminating distractions can enhance focus and productivity.

“So could you get a million John Meagors in a server room trying to find new medicines?”

Life Minutes and Resource Allocation

46:01 to 48:21

Reflection on the significance of time management and resource allocation in life.

“She mentioned that she didn't have a phone and it really confused me.”

The Clues to Alzheimer's Cure

48:21 to 50:36

Discussion on the existing knowledge that may contribute to curing Alzheimer's.

Leveraging AI for Scientific Discovery

50:36 to 53:57

How AI can enhance the discovery and understanding of medical treatments.

“molecular level, whatever, to understand what is actually causing the cognitive impairment.”

Controversial Science and Societal Impact

53:57 to 56:00

Exploration of the intersection between scientific findings and societal implications.

“And so in models, LLMs are having that problem as well.”

The Controversial Study of Sexuality

56:00 to 58:04

Explore the controversial findings of a scientific study on sexuality and its implications.

“the kind of neurological substrate of homosexuality.”

Scientific Inquiry and Ethics

58:04 to 1:00:07

Discuss the ethics of scientific discoveries and the impact of societal perceptions on research.

“He just wanted to understand his own sexuality.”

The Quest for Alzheimer's Solutions

1:00:07 to 1:02:31

Delve into the approaches for addressing Alzheimer's and related neurodegenerative diseases.

Human Element in Scientific Research

1:02:31 to 1:04:47

Understand the importance of connecting with patients in medical research.

Navigating Funding and Resource Allocation

1:04:47 to 1:07:53

Examine the challenges of funding and resource allocation in biotech companies.

“of$10 billion, maybe you can do a different set of steps.”

Learning from Decision-Making Mistakes

1:07:53 to 1:10:00

Gain insights into how to handle decision-making pain and learn from past mistakes.

The Importance of Self-Reflection in Risk-Taking

1:10:00 to 1:12:05

Learn how self-reflection and embarrassment can be indicators of risk-taking behavior.

“that I thought this way or that I wrote that thing or like spoken that way, like that's probably like way too long.”

Understanding Cognitive Impairment and Alzheimer's

1:12:06 to 1:14:54

Explore the biological and molecular factors contributing to Alzheimer's disease.

“And maybe a note to the editor that you should look up 6-HRE in the protein database.”

Inflammation's Role in Cognitive Decline

1:14:55 to 1:17:14

Discover how neuroinflammation might relate to cognitive decline and Alzheimer's.

“Well, so like inflammation seems to be long term, which is where a lot of the like, you know, vaccine biology is like probably linked like systemic inflammation, but neuro inflammation specifically, like for sure.”

The Challenges of Developing Alzheimer's Treatments

1:17:15 to 1:19:38

Understand the risks and failures involved in the quest for Alzheimer's solutions.

The Impact of Digital Detox on Creativity

1:19:39 to 1:21:56

Learn how disconnecting from digital inputs can enhance clarity and creativity.

Navigating the Fast-Paced World of AI

1:21:57 to 1:23:49

Examine the challenges of keeping up with rapid advancements in AI technology.

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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00There are a lot of clues about Alzheimer's. I think there's enough clues for us to understand what is actually causing the cognitive impairment. Often these clues come from very disparate fields. The shingles vaccine, there was a group in Wales where if you were born after this cutoff date, you were eligible for the vaccine. And if you were born just before you were not, they basically stratified those patients and followed them over time. And they found that people that had the shingles vaccine were 20 % less likely to develop Alzheimer's or all cause dementia within seven years. Why? We have no idea.

0:27And that's because, again, these are very distinct fields of science that don't interface with each other directly. So with these elements kind of taking off, can we basically like get very smart scientists to train these models to approximate some heuristic that they use and then just deploy these on like the knowledge graph of science to try and connect off? That seems really tractable. And like we have more than enough clues to figure out like the perfect target for something like Alzheimer's or other diseases. today i have the pleasure of sitting down with sasha skirmahorn and he is the founder and ceo of babylon bio they are currently trying to find a cure for alzheimer's i think over the last like many decades uh tens of thousands of people have been basically working on a cure for alzheimer's billions and millions of dollars have been spent and almost no progress has been made what about that got you excited so i i would actually disagree with the premise that uh the no progress has been made i think a lot of progress has been made but by showing us things that don't work more than things that do um so there's no existence proof that this is like uh attainable which to me is extremely exciting um and i think yeah the past several decades of failure have um given the perception of intractability and if you were to take the second order implication of that intractability i think it's super interesting because it actually makes it a more tractable problem to go after if everyone else thinks it's a graveyard um that to me at a meta level as like obviously fertile grounds for for actual innovation um yeah i mean i think like you know we we've kind of still looking at this disease through the prism of like dr alzheimer from 1906 which is definitely a good thread we should talk about because he had a crazy story but yeah like this is um we are kind of focused on two pathologies we have no idea kind of how they're related but i think we've had enough clues in the clinic and uh on the diagnostic side and prognostic side to understand that um you know a little more parts of the picture that you know maybe the the field hasn't updated their os on do you want to just go through some of the approaches that have been tried and why they didn't work yeah all right let me let me actually start with the the dr alzheimer thinks it's just it's crazy and it's a very good like backdrop um so uh dr alzheimer was this this dude from like way back when he was born in the late late 19th century um and got super super interested um well first of all his degree uh his medical degree and his research during that was um on earwax um so like you know started in the world of earwax um and was was kind of lost kind of like you know just a roaming intellectual not really you know didn't have hadn't set his sides on anything yet um but he got um uh when he was doing it i think i think it was his residency he was got introduced to august demeter who was a patient who was in her late 50s i believe and had this like disorientation, discombobulation, general cognitive impairment.

3:15People thought she was crazy. People didn't know what was going on. Maybe she had a mind virus. And anyway, he spent a long time with her, characterized her very well clinically. When she eventually passed, he ended up doing histopathology on her brain. And he found these two, he used basically some variant of a silver stain, which was a way to visualize these proteins in her brain. and he was punched in the face by these two extremely large structures that shouldn't have been there. And it was what he called plaques at the time and neurofibrillary tangles inside of certain neurons. And obviously the right conclusion from that was if this is not in a healthy brain and is present in the brain of a patient with what was then to be called Alzheimer's, you know, these are clearly causing the symptoms that she had.

4:03Anyway, he ended up giving a talk, I think it was in Frankfurt. And it was a big seminar in front of all these people. And he presented the first case of Alzheimer's, what was then to become Alzheimer's. He was expecting a standing ovation. Absolute crickets. People walked out in the middle of it. They just took their bathroom break. They didn't care at all. They came back to the next presentation to a completely packed house, which was on chronic masturbation. So that was about summarizes, you know, the level of respect that he had. He kind of died, you know, a bit of a, you know, I don't want to call it a a scientific pariah but he didn't get the credit he deserved like any good scientist he basically did did did some really good research and then no one cared in his time yes basically um it's just such an insane like the following they kicked him off stage basically no follow-on questions to hear this fabled talk uh on chronic masturbation um so uh so anyway and then fast forward you know i think um the field really rightfully was saying well these things are not present in a healthy brain let's get rid of them and that was many decades of research and yeah the craziest thing is like we eventually had data to suggest that we finally had these these drugs that were able to reduce amyloid in the brain the amyloid plaques is the plaques are made up of a thing called beta amyloid and that's you know was supposed to be this this incredibly toxic thing and the reduction of these you can basically deplete this in the brain of an alzheimer's patient and have relatively de minimis efficacy um and aducatumab famously reduced amyloid pet i can't remember if i think it was 76 percent um and had no impact on cognition whatsoever isn't the amyloid cascade basically what people have spent i don't know roughly half of alzheimer's research and dollars have been spent on that it seems like a fair approximation 100 i mean this is a huge like it has been the dogma over many decades and you know my kind of like hot take within the alzheimer's space is like amyloid you know because people have basically seen that hey we reduce amyloid has relatively trivial efficacy in patients therefore it seems reasonable to conclude that that's actually like we've debunked the hypothesis but i actually think that's wrong and i think you know a lot of the biomarker development over the past like 15 years even has revealed that amyloid starts to pausing in the brain 20 to possibly 30 years before you develop symptoms and so that pre-clinical phase is like clearly amyloid is causative and it's necessary um but it may not be sufficient um and eventually after 20 to 30 years you develop this like you transition into the clinical phase and um uh and so like if you were to go into a burning house um it doesn't matter what started the fire right it doesn't matter if it was a match or a toaster or whatever it is on fire it's on fire so like you should put it out right and you should figure out clever ways of doing so and i think that's where the field you know maybe maybe has like you know lagged a little bit behind is like not um not updating their priors that like the cause is actually not the thing that you need to target um uh like if you're developing a drug you should probably not go after the cause unless you want to run a 30-year trial um which like it already costs quite a quite a pretty penny anyway so um uh you want to keep them as small as possible so if you're not going after the cause what are you going after um so so i think there's like many ways to tackle that problem i think um you know the thing that we spent a very long time thinking about and like i personally have thought about quite a bit was um this like transition period like how do you basically have this dormant stage for 30 years and all of a sudden you wake up and you start forgetting your you know where your keys are and you know that leads to this cascade and um it's just become abundantly clear that um fossil related tau is definitely a linchpin in that process um and so the thing that um dr alzheimer kind of conceived of us these neurofibrillary tangles um actually turn out to be uh uh like the number one predictor of the onset of cognitive impairment so they're not the predictor of whether you'll develop Alzheimer's period.

7:48Amyloid is like a very good marker to suggest early kind of development. But if you look at the AUCRC of like all the biomarkers you could imagine, there's a thing called P tau 217, which is a fragment of these tau tangles that, yeah, proves to be the most predictive of when you'll develop Alzheimer's. I should say the cognitive impairment phase. For you yourself, like why did you kind of make this the thing that you wanted to work on for the next like 25 plus years? I think like it was a parallel track of these two things. I basically, um, uh, I was very excited on the scientific side. I was, you know, very big reader when I was growing up.

8:27Um, and I was kind of like a music and art kid and not really into science. And then when I was about 13, um, I was also a big troublemaker, uh, stole a book from my library. Um, my, my middle school library on neuroplasticity was called the brain that changed itself by norman doidge and uh and i was like a kid horrible kid yeah um and uh i was just like absolutely engrossed by this thing i mean i devoured the entire book and the the top guy that they talked about um uh was this guy michael merzenich who was like the godfather of cortical plasticity he was the first one to really show that um your brain can rewire itself in these fundamental ways um and so uh i emailed him just being like you know i found out he was in san Francisco where I grew up I emailed him no response and like you know just bombarded him basically until he finally met with me we stayed in close touch and then when I was about 15 I started interning with him working it happened to be on Alzheimer's and around the same time my grandmother had gotten diagnosed with Alzheimer's and I think just like you know as I progressed on the research side and I went to college was doing a lot of research there and seeing these like what I conceived of as these breakthroughs in the lab and seeing the incongruity with like that and my grandmother having not a single drug.

9:36This was pre-lucanumab, pre-aducanumab, all these other drugs that came out. And yeah, that just like crystallized my desire to eventually do something. I felt angry to say at least, let down. What kind of gave you the conviction that this was a solvable problem? If people have been working on it for decades and it hasn't been solved, that's you know a very big hurdle as i spent a lot of time asking pretty fundamental questions to these very very very top people who i respect tremendously by the way they like set the stage for a lot of really important research um i mean even in the first like seven months of babylon i probably met with 500 people i was flying all over the world emailing cold emailing every single person i'd read papers you know i was reading maybe 10 15 papers a day emailing all the authors of the papers I thought were good and just going down that rabbit hole.

10:24And I would just ask these very basic questions. You know, why do you think tau fibrils are toxic? No answer, you know, no answer. And again, I don't blame them. There was not enough information for us to be able to have these answers, but it just felt like there were enough of these like, you know, axioms of this disease that we just like had not yet characterized. And that gave me a lot of confidence. That was the part of the reason I got into neuroscience to begin with was like the fundamental pillars of this entire field aren't even there yeah it's fertile grounds for innovation or discovery that's super exciting and on that like when you were kind of coming up to speed on how everything worked like what was your process for doing that yeah i mean look i think like um i i think a part of it is just like constantly challenging your priors and like you know one of the benefits i suppose like it was a luxury that i was afforded that i had not been in the field for 20 30 40 whatever years like i was this young uh uh kind of you know very very very hungry to learn kind of guy and like i was always always asking questions always willing to update my priors i i would say like there were certain points where i was almost myopically focused on very specific biology that i thought was relevant and then you know i'd go deep enough down the rabbit hole realize it's not zoom back out and there was no ego in that process it was kind of like obviously i'm going to be wrong like definitionally like you know even like the the term alzheimer's expert for me is like almost oxymoronic um you know if if if there were real experts in the alzheimer's space i think we we would have a uh we'd have a lot more answers um so uh yeah i think just realizing like no one was an expert and then that um i was in a unique position to just like you know rewrite how i think about this disease from the ground up was like a pretty compelling prospect you basically have talked a number of times about updating your priors what kind of paths have you gone down in the past just over the past couple years where you thought that there might be something you know some gold negative gold at the end of the tunnel and then realized that's just the wrong direction and turned around um okay so so like i got really obsessed with axon degeneration for a while and thinking that that was you know the cause of of alzheimer's uh specifically the cognitive impairment due to Alzheimer's.

12:33And that was a very deep rabbit hole. I met all the people who published the seminal papers there. And I still think it's incredibly compelling. I think, you know, sometimes you'll kind of hit a dead end insofar as it relates to the drug ability of that pathway. And so for that work, it was very compelling. A lot of evidence showing that the rate of cognitive decline, meaning the slope of your decline once you actually become symptomatic, that varies significantly as a function of specifically what are called white matter hyperintensities in these long range tracks in the brain. And, um, uh, and I went very deep, very deep, very deep.

13:07And I just realized, you know, drug ability of that pathway was, was really hard. There were no drugs that people had developed to actually intervene in that pathway and doing it to novo would have been like, you know, that's like a 10 year academic project, let alone then transition into something that you could have, could have approximate a drug. Um, so yeah, I think there were a lot of these, I mean, you know, honestly, our first program for Alzheimer's we worked on, I think the biology, I still think the biology is really compelling. It was a completely novel target that no one had ever, you know, tried drugging.

13:35And we got really excited about some of the some of the biology there. And, you know, in the end, we basically found the, you know, we knew the biological risk was like the highest percentile you could imagine. But the kind of like drug ability ended up being in the first percentile. And that was just a really bad quadrant for us to be in. And so we pulled the plug. But I still think that's like a super exciting protein, just a bad target for Alzheimer's. There's been a huge amount of capital deployed into trying to solve Alzheimer's and it hasn't happened. How did you kind of structure the way that Babylon operates so that you can actually get to a point where you're able to solve it?

14:09I think the first program gave me scar tissue that if you like Alzheimer's is such a hard thing that any individual program, it cannot be existential for the company. If you're a single asset company trying to go after Alzheimer's just like you know definitionally a moon a moonshot is something where like you're almost certainly you're starting to fail right and I think like you know it had me thinking a lot about like ways to kind of hedge against that um because you don't want to scale down the ambitions of what your goal is obviously um in favor of like you know increasing the POS but um but at the same time uh you need to be realistic about like no one's gonna you know just bland yeah I mean I'm not Elon Musk I can't go raise tens of billions of dollars tomorrow so I think like you know to really um you have to get creative around that problem and you know it had me going very deep down the rabbit hole of like portfolio theory and like ways to kind of like hedge against this at the portfolio level and um uh yeah like more upsets to come in the future there but like i think just financializing the process of self-financing alzheimer's moonshots that's something we've tried to be super thoughtful about and um uh yeah you know the goal is just to amortize the risk of those moonshots basically and uh come up with clever ways to do so are you able to go into any of those um all right like i mean i think at the highest level um there are a lot of opportunities out there that are um not per se like venture exit size um and when i say opportunities like in the context of the pharma land like i'm talking about drugs um and so there's a lot of drugs sitting on the shelves um that's like you know roi vent obviously you know famously kind of spearheaded this where they were like there are these multi-billion dollar blockbusters but you have to de-risk them significantly through several successive stages to get them to the inflection point that warrants that acquisition size.

15:50But I think like there's actually an even larger number of these like assets where it's not going to be a multi-billion dollar exit, but like low nine figures for sure. Is that something that, you know, I think people should dedicate their lives to doing like absolutely not. Or maybe if that's your objective function, but, but for us, you know, if that went back onto the balance sheet, like the thought experiment was basically like a lot of those drugs, if that could go straight back onto the balance sheet, instead of getting circulated up back to the investors um uh sorry to the babylon investors then you know that's an amazing way for us to kind of like again financialize this process and sell funds so that by the time we have a drug on the market uh for alzheimer's that um you know we were able to take it away take it all the way through end to end without needing to kind of partner up at the very last stage right like how shitty would it be to run a marathon and you know you're you're three feet away from the finish line and then you have to you know hold hand in hand with a second place who was 10 minutes behind you.

16:43That would just feel super defeating. And so we don't want to give 50 % of our drug or whatever at the very finish line just because we ran out of money or we weren't able to take it through or what have you. The way I think about it is it's almost like a complex way of creating a new Google search where you just have this huge cash cow and you're able to siphon all the cash from it into the research angle. Sure, yeah. Commercial intermediates are things that I think people who are thinking on a, like founders specifically, who are thinking on a long time horizon should be very thoughtful about.

17:08I remember Viagra at one point was like a heart medication and then someone realized that there was another application for it um and so they repurposed it and now it's worth you know billions of dollars i think a year yeah how many drugs are like that out there okay you have already the research has already been done and you can just repurpose them for another use for another use um you know it's not as simple as the mechanism of action is you know i think um oftentimes like conceivably targeting the same target so like you know most molecules have a single target um and that target is um uh hopefully the thing that like elicits the salubrious effect if you target it um and so the the idea that like that same target um uh like you know for instance like sildanafil which is viagra um uh targets um i think it's a phosphatidesterase 4 inhibitor um but that target alone actually is relevant for Alzheimer's, which is super interesting, like totally makes sense.

18:05Because it's like proliferative in nature, it actually leads to like, you know, cell outgrowth and neurite outgrowth. And like, these are very good things in the context of Alzheimer's, where you're getting this degeneration, and you're actually stimulating regrowth. And so there was actually a study that well, okay, to close that point real quick. It does not mean that the PK itself, like the pharmacology of the drug may be totally different, maybe it doesn't even get into the brain. So whereas it could conceivably be efficacious by targeting the same thing. It's not going to actually get into the brain.

18:33So I guess that's my like non-answer, you know, avoidance of your question. Like, I don't know what the exact number really is and what the like Fermi estimate of that would be, but like I have to imagine there's probably hundreds, high hundreds of those opportunities out there where it would actually be a very good drug for the other thing. But probably the super majority of those are just like off patent and like there's no market there for you to actually advance it. Um, but I will, uh, say so, so, um, in the context of sildenafil, which is Viagra, I think there's a very interesting story, which is there was a study that basically, um, did, uh, look through electronic health records.

19:10And, uh, you know, there, the goal was like, look through the prism of epidemiology, see if you can see these trends and then like use that as a repurposing angle. um and so they found that people who took sidenafil were 69 percent less likely to develop alzheimer's um it was all caused dementia but um then then people who did not and this is like i mean it's just the the number alone is hilarious that viagra you know reduces your risk by that number but the um the overall was uh uh the conclusion was that okay well viagra should be repurposed for alzheimer's follow-on studies were not able to reproduce it there's probably some like bias in terms of people who take viagra need to have you know healthy hearts healthy hearts probably better you know overall like anti-hypertensives are also good for alzheimer's so like long term that's probably what happened there but um but still i just think there's a lot of these like provocative stories out there and there's an ai element to that as well we can get into if you're interested yeah i'm i'm down okay yeah so i mean i think like there was an information scientist called uh don r swanson um who did this thing called swanson linking which was like his whole thing was basically that um there are a lot of medicines uh out there that um can basically be discovered uh just based on information we already have not new information that we need and i i'm like totally in on that concept i think it's like you know in the graph theory formalism of it it's like you don't need to add a new node to the network to feel like you know that that will unlock new biology that you uh can drug it's like there's probably a lot of medicines out there that can come from just drawing edges between pre-existing nodes.

20:43And so he took that to the max. And this was like at a time where information gathering, scraping, all these things were like super analog. So like kudos to him. But there was a few examples like magnesium and migraine. But the big one that he did was for a thing called Raynaud syndrome, where he basically saw that Raynaud syndrome was linked to blood viscosity and that blood viscosity was also linked to fish oil. And so, you know, he therefore posited that fish oil would be good intervention to intercept or remediate the, the, the renaud syndrome, blood viscosity issue. And, you know, that was like a big paper that I believe did ultimately prove to be efficacious.

21:23So I think there's a lot of these, I think there's a lot of these, and I think LLMs have unlocked a new ability to actually be able to do that in high throughput. It's definitely something we've been exploring. I will see if it bear fruit, it bears any fruits, but I'm very bullish on that general concept of just like a is connected to b b is connected to c therefore a is probably connected to c um uh yeah is there any other like neurodevelopmental or like neurodegenerative diseases that are able to kind of be cured in the process of trying to solve alzheimer's oh interesting um if you believe that um phosphor-related tau and tau fibrillization is like causative for the cognitive impairment in alzheimer's which i certainly do um then uh uh absolutely there's there's like other tauopathies where that's the predominant pathology because part of the problem with alzheimer's is yes it's tau pathology but it's also amyloid pathology it's also neuroinflammation like there's a litany of different things going wrong in the brain um as you could imagine um and so uh it's much harder to kind of isolate the thing that is very much causative on the other hand you have like frontotemporal dementia you have pick's disease psp these other things where they are what are called tauopathies and that's like the predominant pathology in all of those is tau fibrillization um so uh yes it's definitely conceivable that like depending on how you target tau that could be efficacious and other diseases that are also rare and can also get accelerated approval and things like this and there's definitely companies out there doing that but um uh but yeah oftentimes like for something like alzheimer's you know if you have a rare disease where you have 100 chance of developing the pathology and you know going into this neurodegeneration i think you'd be fine with like you have a much higher tolerance for for toxicity you have probably you know a lot of these drugs are intrathecal so they have to inject into your spine basically um which i imagine is like a high bar barrier for sure and so um but people are trying this directly in alzheimer's there's a drug called bib 80 um from biogen and ionis and it's a talia so and that's intrathecally delivered And so, I mean, I don't know.

23:26Imagine giving your grandmother, you know, a spinal injection. It just, you know. You have to do this like multiple times? Yeah, multiple times. Yeah, dosing will vary. Eli Lilly has a tau siRNA as well. That's like similar thing, just intrathecal. And I think these things will be really important proof of concepts and like an existence proof that you can actually really stop progression of Alzheimer's because I do think we'll see the best efficacy so far. Like that's my prediction for this year is BID 080. is going to be the most efficacious drug for Alzheimer's yet. The readout is slated to be in May of this year, but I have a strong suspicion it'll be probably Q4 just because recruitment's really hard for things like that.

24:06People drop out because, again, they don't want to keep coming back and getting a spinal injection. But I think it'll be maybe not an amazing drug, but it'll definitely be an amazing proof of concept. And for the drugs that have shown to be somewhat efficacious for Alzheimer's, what's been the process for actually developing those? okay so rightfully so people as kind of mentioned previously were going after this like beta amyloid because that's the thing that's the most present or kind of salient pathology in the brain of an alzheimer's patient um and so monoclonal antibodies are a good modality because they're highly specific um uh if if they're like humanized then like you know it's there's no foreign agent that you're introducing into your body so there's no you know like minimal likelihood of getting an immune reaction things like this um and so uh the benefit of these antibodies is they get to where they need to go uh very efficiently well more on that in a second but um they they are highly specific and um highly efficacious once they target uh the the protein the problem is uh 0.1 of the antibody that you put into your body will actually get into your brain because there are these massive entities that are trying to be shuttled across the brain and so the first generation of these were like you know the first drug um so like alzheimer's field had um memantine in 2003 which was like basically a symptomatic treatment 19 years later you had aducanumab as it was like nothing for 19 years and then aducanumab which was considered a breakthrough biogen famously um and later infamously put this on the market despite not showing any cognitive improvement in these patients and um reverse you know fda adcom had i think it was 14 people on the panel zero of them approved it all of them rejected but it was submitted anyway there's a whole nother conspiracy around that we'll save that for you know people can google that if they're interested um but yeah it had an amazing job at removing these plaques absolutely no efficacy and um uh and the later generations got better and better so denanamab lakanamab which now is marketed as lakembi and then denanamab which is now marketed as kasunla and um and the latest one that i'm most excited about is a thing called trontinimab which actually hijacks a shuttle the transfer receptor in your brain so you have the blood brain barrier which is protecting things from coming in which makes sense you don't really want anything that's going into your body to go straight into your brain especially pathogens but this is basically hijacking that shuttle that allows for this active transport into the brain and it increases significantly the amount of antibody that can get in there and so trontinimab has like the best efficacy in terms of amyloid clearance ever um and uh i'm like super excited about that one especially a subcutaneous formulation because again going in every every other week or every month to get an iv i hate needles generally but like an iv going into an infusion clinic like when you're seven years old i don't know it just it's tough i remember i remember my uh my sister getting shots as a kid and she it was like the worst experience she was just like horribly crying and stuff and she really really hated it she had like ptsd from getting any shots yeah for the first like 18 years of her life um and and that was uh that was a very big barrier i just have to get my blood drawn yesterday i almost passed out really it's my biggest fear in life yeah i had uh i had a blood draw where they took like 28 vials of blood in in one go was this a like one of these health wellness this was it was like a full blood panel and um that was that was pretty rough i definitely almost passed out and threw up um i believe you from that so when you when you started this company you've been at it for about three years what was kind of the first few months or year like what what did you decide to go after excruciating for sure um i i mean you know to be fair on the investors i was going out pitching you know i basically was telling people we're gonna go cure this undruggable disease um uh i don't have a phd um and uh uh and i know there's all these failures but like trust me bro um and And and by the way, it's just me in my bedroom in New York line up.

28:02And it was so hard, so hard to raise money. I mean, like literally no one took me seriously. People were laughing at me. People, you know, fell asleep during calls. I had three people fall asleep during calls, like in the middle of calls. People would hang up after five minutes. People go. I mean, it was like really, really brutal. I'm glad I can laugh about it now because it was like I mean, it was just hilarious. Like I just kept like chewing glass and I was like it just became a game at a certain point. You know, it's kind of like, um, uh, and I had so much conviction in what I was doing. I put, I was self-financing all the experiment.

28:32I mean, it wasn't like I was going to stop any of the experiments. So paying for everything personally, um, you know, I think similar to you, just like credit score, like in the, to the toilet. Um, but, um, but yeah, I just like, it just made a lot of sense and like, I wouldn't do it any other way. Um, and I'm super grateful for that because it, it just like, you know, probably just crystallized the like general, you know, I'm incredibly strict on the finances and we're, relatively you know very lean by most comparisons um i would say and uh yeah a lot of that just came was birthed from like the pain of paying for you know everything with my personal credit card or like you know we do a high throughput screen and they'd be like you know hey please send your you know have your cfo send a po and like you know for the 59 000 wire and i was like you know do you take credit card yeah so it's like did you put a 59 000 wire on a credit card i ended up wiring it correctly for my savings.

29:21But yeah, it was, uh, did you have a lot of money to start this or not really? Not, not really. I would say like, you know, there was a brief period of like, you know, software ventures that I did. And, um, one of them became lucrative enough that it gave me the liquidity to do it. But I mean, I, for the most part had been paycheck to paycheck, like literally since starting the company, because I put all of that into the, that was like the pre-precede money of the company. What was different about the story that you were telling back then? Cause I know you kind of threw a whole bunch of no's and people falling asleep I imagine that you realize that something about this like if you want to get that money it's probably you probably have to tell a slightly different story than you're telling in order to to do that what what changed what shifted um it's funny I think like you know as someone who I'd like to pride myself on like updating my priors constantly um uh weirdly at the time I was relatively like stringent about this like I I think there was like you know maybe local fluctuations in terms of like I'd meet with the Boston investors and they'd be like hey your science is really cool but like who the hell are you and like why should we give you a penny um uh and you know and so maybe i kind of like spoke a little more formally or tried to be a little more you know present in the way that i thought was like necessary i'm very glad that that like you know i equilibrated and like yeah i just went back to just being me um but um but yeah i think like i was i was pretty strict about not like succumbing to that pressure because i really wanted people who were going to join the mission for the right reasons and if they were joining because they thought it was a like a very high probability thing or whatever like that was not the right partner i wanted to have for for the rest of my life and so um uh thankfully like long journey came in they were the first ones to observe the same set of facts and be attracted to them versus like repulsed by like you know maybe i won't name names but like one of the people at long journey when i told him about the life savings thing um he was like that is awesome it was the first person who was not like you're an absolute idiot what are you doing you know that's going to go to zero um it was someone who like actually saw the dedication and actually appreciated the fact that i was so committed and um uh so yeah thankfully they came in and you know since then uh thanks to to the efforts of the team like it's been our fundraising has gone much more smoothly since then that was the hardest round to ever raise um but uh but yeah i'm super grateful for it obviously in retrospect so if you have most people that you meet just immediately are basically turned off by i mean at least in the early days the idea that there's this like super low probability bet that will require a ridiculous amount of capital to actually even have a like reasonable shot in like a huge amount of time, maybe like 10 plus years.

31:50How did that kind of enable you to find and attract the right types of individuals to be supportive of the mission? That's a very good question because I think, I think again, a lot of the advice I was getting from the more like, you know, Boston biotech like archetypes was like, you need to, you need to work backwards from compensation, you need to go as high percentile as your burn allows you to, you need to, you know, and they gave me all this advice about winning the great talent over with the amount of equity and whatever else. And it just did not sit well with me. I just was like, you know, my goal is again, to assemble a team of best in class people that are missionaries, not mercenaries.

32:25And that was also something where I felt like I was getting constant external pressure to hire the right people. Thankfully, I was uncompromising in that. I was just really like so insistent on only hiring people who are going to work for the right reasons. Um, you know, I probably, um, uh, will not reveal my kind of like proxies for what ends up being very predictive of that. Um, but I, I, I certainly am like, I've got a very long list of things that I'm looking for when I meet someone and I don't do conventional like hiring processes or whatever. It's very like, get to know the person over many, many months and see how they kind of fare.

32:59Um, and, um, and be very sober with them about like, you're going to work your ass off. Um, you know, you're gonna age much faster probably than you would otherwise I'm not gonna be able to pay you you know more than anyone else yeah and I think that's actually a really good test because a lot of like especially here in Silicon Valley a lot of the people that are getting hired that are really really smart today are basically just getting ridiculously massive compensation packages and I think it kind of sets the wrong tone for why are you even working here like why are you working on this problem is it for you know 20 million or is it because you care about the thing?

33:35I think the fact that you have seen a massive kind of exodus of a lot of really exceptional talent or like the constant, you know, velocity of like people moving back and forth, like that's indicative of enough of that. That model is actually like not the right way to go about this problem. And so I think to whatever extent you can kind of filter a priority for those kinds of people, you're in a much better position, at least if you're working on something, you know, if we were a pure hedge fund or we're some whatever, like maybe it's a different story. But for me, you know, thank God I was very insistent on this and very like, yeah, like it kind of like weirdly turns out that the best people on the planet just want to work on the hardest problems.

34:15And so, you know, there was an early process of me trying to recruit these drug hunters. And when I'd go meet with like very talented people and I'd be like, hey, you know, I'm going after Alzheimer's. They're like, sorry, Alzheimer's is just like that's impossible. Like, good luck to you. Or they'd be like, hey, I need if you want my advice on anything, you need to start paying me 15 minutes into the meeting. I was like, no worries, let's hang up here. So, you know, I had to like filter through a lot of people took me a very long time. And then like one thing kind of flipped for me in terms of like the hiring process where I, I basically started looking for people that were just like the secret geniuses behind a lot of the success stories that I respected the most.

34:50And so one of them was, you know, the example of that was a thing. So Biohaven was a company based in New Haven that licensed a drug from BMS called Remedupin, and it was a CGRP antagonist for migraine. And anyway, they sold it for, I probably shouldn't disclose the number, but a very low amount of money. And then after having a successful phase three and going on the market, they were bought by Pfizer for$11.6 billion. It's considered one of the great successes in recent history in the neurospace. And so everyone was celebrating the executives that took that forward. And to be fair, Vlad Korich, who's the CEO and founder of Biohaven, is exceptional, world-class.

35:27Um, but I was more interested in the geniuses who like the medicinal chemists who actually invented those mall, that molecule. And, um, and so I ended up reaching out to everyone on that patent, the composition of matter patent for measurement. Um, I was most impressed with the lead inventor, John Macor. And, um, and again, I think like when I met John for the first time, I basically told him like, we're taking the biggest swing you can possibly take. This is like very, you know, any individual program is a very low likelihood of success. But like my goal is to literally get like the Avengers of drug hunting, throw them in a room and just throw them at this incredibly meaty problem.

36:00And John was like, you know, sign me up. I mean, there was not a, again, I think these other, one of the proxies I look for is like the extent to which they'll negotiate, right? John could get paid way more than what he's getting elsewhere. And, um, you know, we've been lucky enough to, to have him kind of come out of retirement to be with us full time. And like, that was just a direct buy product, not of the money, not of the equity, not of anything, but like, because of the passion and the nucleation of talent that we we've been lucky enough to do have money is definitely one factor for determining or figuring out rapidly whether or not someone is more missionary, more mercenary.

36:30But what have been the other biggest like indicators or signal for you over the past like three years that you've developed for figuring out whether or not someone's a missionary? Okay. I will give one version of this, which is it's been very predictive. If someone is willing to just like jam with me on science and have no, you know, it's not a formal hiring process. it's literally just like hey two people who are super passionate about this space let's just talk for hours unscripted just like are they willing to do that and not only are they willing to do that once but are they willing to do that like many many many times over many months and for me the people who are like the right people at least for Babylon are the ones who basically are so passionate about what they do they do this for free and like the thought of getting paid is just like sure I mean like it's a secondary kind of thing like a byproduct of the thing but it's totally exactly at all front of mind absolutely i mean i think like you know um yeah like and it's so funny because it is almost like the midwit meme but like i've just found that like the the best people in the world really are just so down to just chat science they don't the money is not what drives them um and and you know there's probably like a skew towards like you know something in there in terms of like they have to have some financial stability etc but like yeah the best people in the world really just love what they do so much that they fail retirement multiple times they're like in their 70s they still just want to chat signs of a random 29 year old yeah totally i mean like you know john i'm pretty sure has failed retirement like two or two times maybe this is the first time no i think he i think but bill at least has failed retirement a few times and yeah these guys are indefatigable i mean like it's i've been super impressed with the stamina like it inspires me to work harder seeing how how much you know how they when they do the 12 hour days when they're you know sending me emails at 4 a.m on a saturday like these are the kinds of things that for me i just you know the command the ultimate respect like late 60s early 70s still working that hard like they must really love what they do and those are the kinds of signals i look for at least did this sort of process where you're really trying to optimize for these people that are working on the problem purely because they care about the problem did you basically have any other approaches at the very beginning where you went in another direction because you initially thought that that was the right mode of operation and then kind of worked backwards and said no this was a mistake i'm gonna go in a different direction um I think there is like a really tough balancing act between, you know, you may have acute needs that like you need to immediately reconcile.

38:56And like part of that is a, you know, ends up skewing you towards just like compromising your standards in favor of like moving very quickly and plugging the wound, so to speak. And like, you know, I'd be I'd be lying to say there haven't been like, you know, examples of that. But, you know, overall, I think our hit rate is really high. And like part of it honestly started with Laura, who's our first hire. She's the founding scientist of the team. She's just an incredible workhorse and was like so, so, so just like dedicated from day zero. Like I met her and, you know, to be fair, I think I'm audacious enough that like I just I'll have people do the work and, you know, see what happens.

39:35And so like first time I met her and I was still in New York at the time and I was super impressed. And I just said, you know, the next day I was like, hey, I'm stuck in New York. I need you to start going to all these different labs that I'm looking at in San Francisco. And by the way, some of them are like two hours outside of San Francisco. And like, by the way, I don't really have money to pay you. Uh, or I definitely didn't have money to pay her generally, but I definitely couldn't pay her to, um, uh, uh, even get the Ubers because all of my money was just like going straight to these, uh, these experiments I was running.

40:03And so, um, she, uh, yeah, just was like, okay, I guess, I guess, you know, sure. And, uh, you know, she helped out as a friend for a long time and then, uh, you know, things kind of worked out. And when she was finished with her postdoc at UCSF pulled her in full time but um yeah like that kind of dedication I think set the stage for everyone else and definitely like held my bar very high insofar as it related to future hires keeping the DNA right yeah keeping the DNA right and like it's like such a it almost feels platitudinous at this point when people say like well the first 10 hires will define like the rest of your company but it's like we're still super early days at Babylon like this isn't even chapter one in my opinion but it is um like I couldn't be more true um and I think just being like you know culture can only be defined by what you're willing to fire for in my opinion and i just think yeah people are like very scared to do that but but in doing so they actually it's like an adverse selection for future hires because if people feel like oh well the bar is kind of like all over the place like that's not going to hire the best people and so i think just being super super strict about that and uncompromising even if you really like the person is like really has been important for us at least so alzheimer's is something where there's very long feedback loops And I think this is going into it.

41:13You recognize that this is like a multi-decade journey where there's not really a very clear end date or like, you know, this is when we're going to solve it. How do you both maintain that very long term view while also keeping your foot on the gas as much as possible? I think a huge part of why the team works so hard is because, again, like I've I've just filtered for that up front and like, you know, maybe this is ignorant, but I'm very much of the belief and have come to the realization that the super majority of management problems are actually just high hiring problems that are kind of masquerading as something else.

41:47And so, you know, I don't have to like push the team to be working, you know, from, you know, early in the morning to late at night, like that is, that's a byproduct of the people that I've happened to have filtered for. And, and so I think like, you know, the, the burnout thing is like, um and again like three years in but like at least i personally have been working this way for pretty much my whole life like i think um when you're just incredibly passionate about something there's just like a infinite resource um that you can tap into and i think the burnout does come as a byproduct of like not having impact so that that definitely matters and that's been said before but like yeah again like how are you able to get like a 67 year old flying red eyes every other week from new jersey and like working 12 hours a day like i don't know i think it's just like hiring for someone who is just built like that, right?

42:34Like, Darion, our team is built different. Like, he's a beast. Sam Altman has talked about the idea of burnout in the past, and I think he basically said, like, work does not actually cause burnout. What causes burnout is losing. Absolutely. And if you're always winning, and you feel like there's momentum, you never burn out. Yeah, I'd probably, like, you know, fork that idea and put, like, a corollary to it, which is, like, maybe. But my revision, actually, of that would be that I think it's, like, a lack of agency that breeds burnout. it's actually not like losing. Because if you feel like you had agency over the decision and it blows up in your face, I still think like you internalize that differently than if something blows up in your face and it wasn't even like you had no control over the situation.

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43:14So I think just like continuing to make sure that the team like, you know, feels that agency over these things and like they're working super hard, but like they also are able to influence things like that probably really matters. um and i think like that's also just a byproduct of keeping the team super small it's like you know the numerator will always be one you're always just one human being hopefully um but uh but like keeping the denominator small just means that your contributions to the total like pool of activity is basically much larger when um when you have a small denominator versus a larger one and uh i think that's why like a lot of really talented high agency people are leaving a lot of like hyperscalers is because they kind of like irrespective of how talented they are the denominator has gotten so large their individual contributions no matter what how good they are is just like de minimis in comparison to what it would be on a very small delta force team of like super talented people i've talked to a couple people from spacex and it's the same thing where you know if you have a single person at spacex they may not have a huge impact on you know actually like moving the needle at that company whereas they could take the same amount of action and have a much bigger impact working on their own product or problem for sure yep yeah i definitely subscribe to that yeah i think martin shirelli talked about this where he said there's just a whole bunch of going back to this idea of there's a bunch of drugs that are out there that have already been synthesized or made and they just haven't been properly like productized for the right disease how have you kind of been able to figure out how to go through that search space and figure out which ones are worth going after versus not so so my kind of like crazy vision for the future at this nexus is that um this is like a conversation i've had with jacob kimmel from new limit and he really like influenced the way i think about this specific problem but um you know john john macor for instance like on our team like bona fide kind of like drug hunting genius like his track record speaks for itself but like you just you spend 20 minutes with that guy and you're just like okay he is like almost extraterrestrial um and i think like um so So John is, let's say, bandwidth constrained by his own biological compute.

45:17Okay, he's one entity. He's one person. He's like, you know. So could you get a million John Meagors in a server room trying to find new medicines? Like, I think that's a really exciting prospect, obviously. That's a great North Star. How do you get there? That's a separate story. But yeah, that's like something that I've tried being thoughtful about. um and like you know i think part of constraining the search space is like just baking in really good priors baking in really good heuristics and like yeah so to whatever extent you know with our very small team like we've been able to kind of do that that's that's you know that's something i i guess i'll just say that's something we we think about a lot and like something we're building towards and like again this is one of these card flips that's like not yet occurred but um but i i'm pretty sure it'll be like a really good investment the first time that i talked with uh lotta she She mentioned that she didn't have a phone and it really confused me.

46:07And then I realized that you also don't have a phone. And I think that you're the person that she got that from. And it's this idea of like eliminating distraction, I believe, and kind of eliminating the things that will make you be able to leave the actual office. How do you think about kind of eliminating distraction and just focusing on the thing you're actually doing? I think it's just like my lens here is pretty simple. Like I look at life through the prism of life minutes and life minutes, life minutes. Yeah. And if you're just like throwing away a third of your life, like waking life minutes, just like into the abyss, that's like probably like not net productive.

46:43Um, and so, yeah, it's, it's like something I think about a lot is just like, you know, you have this, like, it's the one resource or currency that we're given in life. And like, you have to deploy those resources meaningfully. So like, where do I want to deploy my life minutes for me, the thing that I believe is the most important for, uh, uh, just like my life trajectory is Babylon. And I want to kind of like increase as much surface area to that as possible and so part of that is a distraction minimization another part of that is just like you know not feeling good existentially about this idea of just like throwing things into the abyss like you know so so yeah i i'd say like it's probably yeah it's been like about three years now no cell phone people are like oh my god how do you travel how do you like if you're stuck somewhere how do you get directions i'm like speak to a human the same way we've been doing for millennia right like prior to this so like it's a very recent phenomenon that's been like incredibly you know it's it's distributed itself so quickly that like now it feels impossible to imagine life without a phone but um but it's cool and like honestly at the least like when i tell people like at the airport and i have them print out my ticket instead of like scanning a qr code like it's actually it's nice because it actually like you can just like see like something at least like some switch flipping somewhere in their brain of like oh this person thinks a little bit differently yeah well well yeah but like also like oh maybe it's like not the thing that i maybe it's not as necessary as you know i may have thought and um yeah my my life has been like significantly enriched as a result of it how did you make the decision in the first place i had a very complicated relationship with my phone always like in college everyone always made fun of me because i i had the oldest version like an iphone 4 until 2019 maybe 2020 like that was that was my whole thing um because i just i i think i just like saw the kind of like iteration rate like people basically can feel conflating change with progress as it related to the Apple products and being like oh my god you know now I have this new a new icon for my YouTube channel and I was like and there was actually a really sobering moment with the YouTube like with the iPhone where um you used to be able to uh watch YouTube videos which I'd like play music there and I'd play a YouTube uh like a song close my iPhone and it would still keep playing the music and it was actually also a good hack to get around the ads um and then one day they pushed an update and now i had a you know the red youtube icon instead of the old like tv thing they had and then i no longer could do that and they got rid of that feature very intentionally and i was just like we've passed the inflection point where like they need to kind of appease us as customers because the retention is just so amazing that like they can basically get away with whatever they want and i think like yeah that just crystallized my like these phones are like not trending in the right direction so i started using like black and white everything this was like 2016 probably at this point um and then uh yeah just like in college hated my phone and then eventually it just became a super easy decision when i started babelon so you just mentioned off camera when we were talking that you think the information to cure alzheimer's is already out there yeah what do you mean by that okay so i mean look it's like it's a crazy thing to say but um but i think like you know the the amount of information that's like you know let's call it the scientific literature that comes out every week that's like worth reading um relevant to whatever field is like has far outpaced our ability to read um just like period right like if you had a Nobel laureate trying to ingest papers every single week like okay well it's just like it was intractable decades ago to even catch up on all the latest um so for me the kind of like you know taking that to the extreme like if there is way more information than any individual can like you know have uh to to be able to like determine what the cure is yeah to synthesized, then like there's an emergence of these, like the first kind of model that actually allows us to reliably, let's just say, ingest information in tech space or like language space, then those two things together could probably be super powerful.

50:30So like there are a lot of clues about Alzheimer's. I think there's enough clues for us, like at the epidemiological level, molecular level, whatever, to understand what is actually causing the cognitive impairment. and so like you know um and they come like often these clues come from very disparate fields so like in the world of like you know vaccine biology it's like okay well well the shingles vaccine there was a group in wales in like i think it was there were people born in the early 90s that's got to be before but anyway people born at a certain time there was a mandate in wales where if you were born after this cutoff date you were eligible for the vaccine and if you were born just just before you were not.

51:06And so this was like, you basically stratified the entire like Wales population into two camps. And so people that were born within a week of each other, there's no, there's nothing different about them, except they one of them, half of them got the vaccine, the other half did not. They basically stratified those patients and followed them over time. And they found that people that had the shingles vaccine were 20 % less likely to develop uh alzheimer's or all-cause dementia it was actually all-cause dementia within seven years why we have no idea and that's because again these are very kind of distinct uh fields of science that don't interface with each other directly so all we know is like you know the latent space of those observations like clearly there's there's like there's something there we don't have the common language to be able to interface with them and so i've gotten super excited about this idea of like this is something i've been toying with for years now but like you know with these lms is kind of taking off, can we basically, A, fine tune these LLMs with our best in class team or whoever, but just get very smart scientists to train these models to approximate some heuristic that they use, and then just deploy these on the knowledge graph of science to try and connect DOS.

52:13That seems really tractable, and we have more than enough clues to figure out the perfect target for something like Alzheimer's or other diseases. You started working, I think, with OpenAI to basically try to design models that are super good at this. um so how did that happen yeah yeah i mean so so it was like birthed from um a conversation i had with our leadership around this topic and it sounded like you know the opening i had been thinking very similarly along those lines um and so then from there um you know it became a question of like if you want to fine-tune models to just be better at particular tasks um the classic thing i always say is like you know for to calculate an objective function you need to compute a delta to compute a delta in number space, that's like A minus B.

52:58It's a subtraction, very simple. In string space, that's Levenstein distance. In reasoning space, that's an unsolved problem. No one's really cracked that yet. And so they were like, well, how do we kind of compare scientific hypothesis A with B if we want to train the model to get better and better at generating good scientific hypotheses? And so the calculus was pretty simple. It was like the closest thing we have to binaries in the world of biology is like clinical trial readouts. And it's not perfect, but it's like, it's the closest you can get, I think. And, and so we use that as a way to basically compute deltas to say like, okay, it either hit the primary endpoint or did not.

53:37And then that becomes like a yes, no kind of thing. And from there, you can compute a loss function, finally, in the world of biology and start trying to train a model to understand, you know, how you can map from the world of biology to the world of clinical trial like outcomes and my my dream for that project was like one day if we had a model that could reliably predict these outcomes um and say like hey we're going from the world of biology now tell us what's going to work that one day we can do the opposite and say there was a successful phase three for alzheimer's on this end point what was the biology that we drugged and i think that was a bit you know idealistic let's just say like in reality that's that's not really that was an attractable path but um it's still something i think a lot about but uh what else with the kind of explosion of ai has been unlocked or has become made possible over the past couple years that would have been impossible for the past hundred i mean you know it just makes like i'm not going to say anything new here but i just think generally like you know search space is like um you can constrain the search space much more readily and i think like not being bandwidth constrained in terms of like as humans we're it's very hard for for us to hold many, many, many different things in context.

54:47And so in models, LLMs are having that problem as well. But if you can kind of extract the quantum of information that's relevant to you from hundreds of papers, it reduces the compute complexity, let's just say, required to actually get information very quickly. So if I have clue A in my mind and then I'm deploying these bots to kind of retrieve relevant information, it's much easier for me to kind of like lay out on the table all the clues that i need to kind of like synthesize together in one basket instead of the usual process which is like okay uh i'm gonna go read a paper oh that's interesting let me now go read these like 10 other papers now let me go you forget paper the first paper you read but you know by the time you're done with like you know a week of that investigation so i just think it like your iteration loop is just much faster and that's probably a good thing you talk about controversial science uh going to that all right um i just think it's it's super interesting when there is like a collision between like society and science and like you know what we as humans or society kind of like choose to do with that um and so you know i think the proverbial example of this is like um there was a researcher in the early 90s called simon lave and um i think it was 1991 he came up with what he dubbed to be the kind of neurological substrate of homosexuality.

56:08And, um, and so this was a thing called the third interstitial nucleus of the anterior hypothalamus. It was published in science, which is like the top journal. And, um, uh, and, you know, it was featured on Oprah and like, you know, 60 minutes, maybe, um, all these things. And, you know, he was expecting the Nobel prize. Um, and, uh, and by the way, just specifically on the science, like what he actually found was that, um, there was a small kind of nucleus of cells um that uh is 2.8 times larger in um in in heterosexual males than it is in homosexual males and women um and so there was like no delta between the latter two groups but like a 2.8 x multiple on um in the size there on average i think the end was like it was like 40 plus people um and so there were a lot of critiques about the science like well some of these you know the the men that were the homosexual men that were enrolled in this were you know had um a lot of them died of hiv aids and like maybe that was a contributing factor or whatever but for the most part it was it was like just an observation he was not saying what to do with that um and he's expecting the nobel prize basically and instead he gets excommunicated from sulk he joins some random you know institute he took a leave of absence um and one year later he gets completely like he becomes the scientific pariah of the century it's like you know the left hated him because he gave a therapeutic target for sexuality um the right hated him because it validated homosexuality and so you kind of had this like convergence pincer attack that just like skewered him basically and um and so you know since then he's been a kind of like roaming intellectual and he's an amazing you know researcher and all these things but it was just so interesting that like when you have an incongruity between like well basic science should be in theory agnostic to these kinds of things within the bounds of some ethics but like a discovery someone should not be penalized for a discovery he didn't say what to do with it or anything.

57:55And, um, he just literally showed like data. He just showed data. Anyway, he, he's since been, you know, more or less like, you know, he's gone in the winds of, of scientific discovery. But, um, the irony that I think is like, just like, so sobering is he's gay. He just wanted to understand his own sexuality. And so like, and again, I'm not like, you know, without commenting on like the science itself of, of that biology, like it is really just like, and I don't even know what the right answer is there too because it's like i think but you know it kind of giving a therapeutic target or a filter for things like sexuality like that is like controversial same with gene editing right like should we put a moratorium on all crisper research just because you can gene edit babies and like some people think it's a bad thing like i don't know you know these are these are these are maybe not questions for the basic researchers who make the discoveries to answer and and probably the period just like goes there yeah there's this idea that like science and discovery kind of progresses one death at a time how do you think about that in the sense of you know if we're living longer how do we kind of keep on pushing the envelope on science i think like uh i think the the it definitely culls branches of scientific discovery i don't think you know um i don't think the right if you imagine like a tree that like bifurcates constantly and like it's a knowledge tree and it's kind of like you have these different branches i don't think the right way to increase the number of scientific discoveries is to like prune branches and reallocate resources into like ones that are currently bearing fruits i think you know long history of amazing discoveries coming from surprising places and so um you know and this is part of the by the way the argument around like funding for the nih and like you know academic institutions like should we even still be investing in basic research or do we just need to like concentrate capital in these other places but yeah no i i would definitely like reject the premise that like deaths are like deaths of scientific inquiry or whatever are the right way to go about things.

59:48I think discovery obviously breeds further discovery. And so we should be whatever extent possible, pouring gasoline on the fire when we see that there's a tiny little something there. I noticed on your website, the first thing that you see is not like we're going to cure Alzheimer's. It's actually we want to give more time back with your loved ones, in effect. I'm wondering what other things can you basically target in the process of trying to cure this specific disease like let's talk about neurodegeneration um if you don't necessarily cure alzheimer's but you're curing other things that relate to it and like relate to neurodegeneration um you're able to give people more time with the people that they that they love is this something that you're thinking about where you're trying to target this specific thing but over the course of doing that you're going to find other cures and and remedies for things i think it'd almost be hubristic for me to answer yes like i think you know is it um i think the process of like anyone kind of like pursuing a scientific path is that um uh kind of going back to the bifurcation of different branches it's like there will be spin-off things that that hopefully bear fruits on their own and um you know the perfect instantiation of abalone is one where the mission you know proves to be true um or like we're able to achieve that um maybe like the secondary one is that we're able to plant several flags that you know allow the field to kind of advance further and so um yeah from that perspective i think like um it's interesting the um i think like the giving family families more time with their loved ones like that's like a super important prism through which to look at this problem because you want more quality time like my grandmother had a really horrible um final few years it was like it was not right for someone to go through that um and so to whatever extent we can kind of like you know i think the longevity field generally is like you have like people who are focused on health span and the people who just like want to increase the number of like total life uh total life years lived and like i'm definitely not in the latter camp i think like just like suffering for the last 20 but you live that is like exactly like that that is just like obviously not good um yeah i think um there's a human element to to that kind of like you know um that statement as well which is like you know i'm very we think in the world of like molecules and proteins and my team is like you know always thinking through the through that lens um but i think an interesting kind of decision i made as well early on was like you know for us to also get exposure to the other side of that like go meet real human beings that are living with this disease like you know we had a patient come in here the other week and or the other day rather and um and that was like again it's just such a like sobering thing to kind of see what's on the other side um and like volunteering at memory clinics like these are the kinds of things where it's like look you know we're kind of going through the lens of like a pharmaceutical that will help these people at the same time um there's like so much work you can do in the meantime right like i often wonder this that like you know for all these companies that are spending billions of dollars on this like and and you know ultimately they may fail to like have the drug the cure for whatever disease they're going after like would they have just been better like with the kind of like AUC of like overall kind of benefit to humanity just been higher if they had just put like those hundreds of people to like you know volunteer in these like community centers or whatever like I don't know like that's like that's a provocative question but like yeah yeah it's like something something that um at least we're trying to do both yeah and on the like volunteering at memory clinic side you have basically i think every single week you bring your team and your like entire team to go work and like help at those clinics um and just try to like keep yourself close to the problem how did you come up with that yeah it's not the the right cadence per se but like you know it's whenever they let us but yeah um i think the again like the calculus was like pretty simple it's just like we're working super hard i'm always pushing my team like you know the the big joke in the company is like you know what's sasha's favorite timeline like it's yesterday and so like i'm always pushing these timelines always cranking you know hard um and really trying to get the team to to move with urgency um and i think you just like internalize that urgency so much more differently when you like see these people and you're like man like they deserve to live like you like you want to work harder to like give them the bet right let them benefit from the eventual work if everything works out um and like you know i think the the the kind of thought experiment that i definitely try to have the team do is like if you had a parent that like were suffering from this or like you knew had a hundred percent chance of getting this in 10 years like would you be able to live with yourself if you didn't work as hard as you possibly could to like you know prevent that eventuality so yeah i i think it's just like it's incredibly important i think more companies should do this and um for us has been just like rewarding on all fronts on uh the distraction side you are basically like trying to systematically eliminate all the distraction in your life that doesn't have to do with Babylon.

1:04:35How do you think about basically staying focused on the long-term mission while also basically doing all these other things in the meantime in order to get there? So you have to go make a bunch of money. Like if you had a massive checkbook of$10 billion, maybe you can do a different set of steps. But because you don't have that, you have to go find those drugs and do whatever you do with them. Yeah. I think this applies in so many things, just like this meta level concept, but 100%, I think the need for a commercial intermediate is almost something I quietly resent. Like, you know, in a perfect world, like, you know, again, someone would hand us like, you know, just a carte blanche to just work on this problem.

1:05:15And I mean, a true carte blanche. I think like we see a lot of companies that are incepted with like billions of dollars and like, you know, we'll remain those unnamed. But like, there's a lot of these mega rounds that are happening now in the biospace. And you're seeing a concentration of capital into certain companies. But you do not see that balance sheet be put to work. Like I think the balance sheet is incredibly like the kind of like impact per dollar goes up or like let's call it the impact per dollar is inversely proportional to the number of like people on the team because with a super small dedicated team of like extremely talented people, I'm pretty sure it's like better to give them the same amount of money than like a team that will have hundreds of people immediately because their balance sheet now allows them to hire all these people.

1:05:54and so yeah i think it's like time to bureaucracy is like much shorter if you were like incepted with a billion dollars versus like you kind of have to you know fight your way up to the top and you even see that with like a lot of companies that are starting downturns like macro level downturns those some of the most successful companies ever were started in economic you know yeah do you think that model of getting a bunch of money right at the start so like opening you know creating a lab and then just having you know like three billion dollars or something does that model even work or does it basically create the wrong muscle memory for commercializing a drug and making that work i can't speak from experience um so i will say that i can definitely say that being very very very scrappy early on um has just like been imbued into the dna of the company and like we'll i hope and pray that we will never not be as scrappy as we we have been i think it's like it's been really um yeah integral to to how we do things at babylon and that was a pure byproduct of the early days where i had zero money and i was feeling that pain of like again just wiring those money for my life savings i like that didn't feel great what like net results do you think are going to come from having that like scrappy dna versus having a massive checkbook um i think it's a forcing function to be a lot more thoughtful about like the decisions you make and um and i think like by the way i've done this to the extreme where like we've said no to a lot of things we should have said yes to because i was just so like no it's like it's too much money it's too much later i'm like i really regret not doing that um so like you know um thankfully it's been nothing that's like been actually like you know overall massively influential but yeah i think it just like it forces you to be a lot more thoughtful and uh uh and then just generally like again it kind of hires for the right people this is part of the reason we haven't even announced like how much money we raise or anything like that is like i just think it puts a big neon dollar sign above your head and like it could just be a kind of bat signal for the wrong talent um and again i i don't want to like say that's the case because I've never been on the other side of it but like at least for us it's been very good to just like not signal those kinds of things because then it doesn't become an inclusion criterion for the people that we hire after having those situations where you basically say no and then you later realize that you made the wrong call how do you kind of update your decision making going forward um I definitely feel the pain on a very emotional level when I make a bad decision um and I internalize that pain I think part of like you know there are a lot of things where like you know maybe our first default is to just be like oh well i feel pain that's a bad thing therefore i should like not feel that and obviously then there's like the second order of thinking around that which is like hey the pain is a good forcing function just to get better and you need that as part of your gradient descent right like you need to feel the pain of making the wrong decision and so yeah i think i just like you know i really have those like i feel it on a visceral level when i made a bad decision and i like sit with that i don't try to reject it i'm like good i'm glad that i feel the pain because it helps me you know informs the next decision i'll make and yeah i think it's just a process of kind of iterating on that what's your process for experiencing that pain and dealing with it um probably not like you know not one that's like optimal i think i'm just generally like um you know i sit with it i write a lot like i have like a um a notion uh file which is just like stream of consciousness like every now and then if there's something where i'm like oh i got like a real gut punch i will just like dump it out on the on the kind of screen so i can like read it back to myself almost in the future and um i found that to be incredibly fruitful um yeah i've had a rolling document since day zero of the company and it's just like my stream of conscious thoughts at all these different points in our company and um do you feel like after you have one of those setbacks and then you write it out you're able to kind of work through it in a better way yeah that's that's for sure and i would to say the other thing is having almost internal proxies to like, it's really hard to know where you are at in terms of your growth rate.

1:09:41And so I think you need to look for these external signals that can give you a sense that you're in a high first derivative kind of situation. And so my proxy for this is time to last embarrassment. And if you need to look back two years in your records to be like, oh, I'm really embarrassed that I thought this way or that I wrote that thing or like spoken that way, like that's probably like way too long. And if you're really embarrassed by like, even the way you were like thinking about a problem or like speaking, you know, generally like two months ago, I think that's like, you're in a high first derivative kind of environment.

1:10:15So like that to me is, is definitely my proxy. I'm constantly looking back and just being like, Ooh God, I can't believe I was like, so juvenile in my way of thinking about this. I'm sure I'll say the same thing about this interview and, you know, a few months. And I like, I hope that's the case, right? Like I kind of want to constantly be checking myself on these things and updating. important i would almost say that the uh how often you're being embarrassed is or you're embarrassed by the way that you were thinking before or the actions that you took is kind of a proxy for the amount of risk that you're willing that you're taking at any given moment um and so if you're taking no risk and you're not changing anything anywhere then you're probably not embarrassed at all because you don't realize um how do you think about risk taking and like deciding what risks are worth taking uh that's a good question i put it in context with the rest of the stuff that we're doing so like again at the pipeline level when we look at the assets that we're working on like it is um nothing can be taken like these things are not puts on in their distribution like they are very much beholden to each other and so if if i'm like you know i know when we're stretched very far in the risk dimension because i'm internalizing it constantly and then we have to hedge against that by you know having another thing it's not like a very mathematical formalism of like portfolio theory but it is like how i think about just even the portfolio of different decisions I'm making on any given time is like, I think if we've overextended ourselves, like just financially in the past like week, let's call it, I'll be very conscious of like the future deployment if I don't see an ROI and they're like, you know, within a month or whatever.

1:11:42So yeah, I think it's just like spending a lot of time just internalizing these things, feeling like at a visceral level. Like, I think that's like a underrated thing is like, if you're deleting all inputs, except your company, you just like internalize things almost somatically, like differently. And so yeah, your intuition will like, hopefully, like give you a gut check haha uh like a gut check on like you know hey we've overextended ourselves how is your intuition kind of updated over time as you gathered this new information um i don't know i don't know i think um you know i'd like to think that um yeah i try to like take stock of like times where i've been like really like strongly like this is going to happen and i've been wrong like those large deltas in like confidence and outcome is like those are really rich with information yeah and it just comes back to logging it right like you just like have moments yeah like just like literally dump that into notion like man i was so sure this was going to work and it didn't or like the other way around um how often does that happen hopefully like you know less frequently over time um i'd say in the early days it was it was like once every few months um and like now i don't remember the last time i have to dig up my notes yeah let's just talk about like what causes cognitive impairment over time um in alzheimer's i mean i think like a the answer is we don't know um it's obviously not unknowable but we just like we don't yet know um i think like on like a biological or like molecular level like what i think is going on is that you know my favorite question to ask alzheimer's people is like why are tau fibrils toxic um and tau fibrils so like we know that amyloid starts pausing 20 30 years before symptoms eventually that starts to lead to the hyperphosphorylation of tau um and that hyperphosphorylation of tau ends up leading to the detachment of tau from microtubules and then like tau fibrolysis and it causes neurodegeneration and like that final link is just like a huge question mark um and so my like crazy theory that was really like the birth of um was that basically these so so um tau is like a relatively like disordered protein that like It forms a very specific structure when it fibrolizes, which just means it basically binds to itself.

1:13:54And maybe a note to the editor that you should look up 6-HRE in the protein database. And you can display that up on the screen. But it's like, basically, it looks like when tau fibrolizes, that's the cryo-EM of the tau fibro. It looks almost like a celery stalk that's slightly elongated and then stacked up against each other. And it's like back-to-back two celery stalks. And like if you're looking at a like, you know, bird's eye view cross section. And and so they stack into these like long celery stalks. And my strong belief is that they basically are sequestering essential proteins and these like really essential proteins that your body almost like nutrients for your neurons.

1:14:35They're getting sequestered by this like the celery stalk that's suddenly now in the middle of your neuron. And it's just like a sponge or like a black hole that's just like sequestering all these essential proteins. And so it's the loss of the soluble protein that is like causing the cognitive impairment or neurodegeneration not the like actual just presence of these things um so anyway that's like one kind of thing and then the other that i think is really interesting is um neuroinflammation and like you know um i don't know if you've ever had a concussion but like yeah they they suck um and uh i like phenocopies like when you have two things that are phenotypically like very similar like the clinic clinical presentation is like relatively similar i mean this is like pseudoscientific but it's like a way to grok these things is like a concussion in you know you have like discombobulation like cognitive impairments like short-term memory loss inability to form new memories like it's kind of like you know sounds alzheimer's like um so i so i think it's wrong to like therefore conclude that the underlying path of physiology is the same but i also don't think it's crazy to like start there so it's a little bit a equals b equals c sort of yeah kind of right like i mean it's like it's just like observing like basically the same thing with like two completely different diseases and then just being like well are there clues yes they're like a kind of like underlying thing between them and so you know a concussion like you know symptomatically like emerges like within seconds right like you get hit the concussive blow and then you like immediately feel whatever the discombobulation and um and so i think that that time horizon like the fact that the temporal resolution of that is like on the order of seconds that's a clue and so like what's the only thing that can like mobilize that quickly it's probably and like immediately cause issues at the cognitive level it's probably inflammation and so you have this like immediate inflammatory response and like that's happening on the order of seconds and so like we know that more or less like i'd contend that 100 of the like variance is explained by neuroinflammation in the concussion case and it presents similarly like does that port over to alzheimer's like that's a huge question mark and like again i'm sure you know inflammation basically a massive indicator of future onset Alzheimer's?

1:16:42Well, so like inflammation seems to be long term, which is where a lot of the like, you know, vaccine biology is like probably linked like systemic inflammation, but neuro inflammation specifically, like for sure. And a lot of people have like tried drugging this, this is like a thing, this is a known kind of mechanism. But but what percent of like the cognitive impairment is like described by specifically the neuro inflammation? That's a huge question mark. But like, my pseudoscientific kind of thing here is like maybe it's 100 % really and maybe the tau is just like a trigger for that so you mentioned that concussions and Alzheimer's are similar are you able to take anything from like concussion or research and port it over to Alzheimer's yeah that's like in a sense what I'm suggesting like I think the the clinical presentation being similar is enough to just like at least warrant investigation beyond that and so yeah there are things around like resilience and like recovery rates of concussions that I think are interesting um and like definitely targets that I've seen in the Alzheimer's like omics data sets so like yeah again it's it's a bit of a like poor man's like you know estimate or like you know inquiry but I think it's a I think it's kind of fun to play with those like intellectually how many different little bits of information or indicators from all these different fields are you kind of thinking that you want to take into basically solving this one mega problem I think the way that I think about going uh trying to cure Alzheimer's is just like you just you need a fortress balance sheet to take as many orthogonal shots on goal as possible and you can have a very strong prior about the biology you're very likely to be wrong and so to whatever extent you can absorb the blows of being wrong in the clinic that's probably like yeah you just need to be wrong long enough to one day be right so you're like success vector is effectively just creating a company that could take a bunch of hits yeah for sure that's right that's right and like um and and then being like super super um first principles about how you think about this disease and like again trying to be as orthogonal in biological space as possible but like hopefully synergistic and execution space where like the day-to-day looks very similar from like program a to program b but in biological space you're like hedging some of the risk other than actually writing down how you're feeling and and what decisions you've made what other things do you do to basically kind of prime yourself to be able to take hits as a person because you're basically the company yourself you're like the soul of the company so how do you prime yourself to take hits i don't have an answer for that i don't think i've done that well um i think like i think i just like take them on the chin and just like sit with them and i'm like ouch uh and you have like days where you just lock out and then you've like unrecover and then go back in i mean i think you know the process of like obviously being a founder is just like getting punched in the face a thousand times a week and just being like smiling and asking for more um but most most companies are not designed like with the understanding that you're going to have a whole bunch of failure on the road that's true and like the failure like the scale of the failure is like so grand right it's like you know if if we you know if we have a failure in phase two or even phase three like that could be hundreds maybe thousands of patients and like years of work and like many years of work and like hundreds of millions of dollars and like right like the scale of these failures is like pretty catastrophic so like yeah i i can't sit you know um it's very likely that i will at some point know what that feeling looks like um uh i i haven't had one on that scale i think generally like we just like calibrate to whatever distribution we're kind of like presented with so like for me i'm probably emotionally like in terms of the responses I've had so far to the things they may be small in absolute space like how bad the the blast radius of that thing was but like I'm sure the feeling will be the same when we start to like get comfortable with larger scales um but uh but yeah I think like you know there are definitely some days are almost like oh like you just get like gut punch it's like mainly when there's like successive gut punches and for me it's like it's never really lasted more than 24 hours but like you know you just kind of go home that night and you're just like I'm just gonna instead of like doing emails i'm like i'm just gonna like watch some stupid like netflix thing or like something like that there's been a few times like that since starting a company of just like you just go home you just reset you sleep and you wake up and it's another day i like will feel terrible for i can feel terrible for 12 hours like during a certain day you know something something happens in the rare case like the biggest setbacks maybe it might be a couple days yeah but then eventually as what i would actually do is i had these moments where i would just like play video games nice for like three days straight completely delete everything from my brain just play a video game and then by by the third day i get bored and i'm like gotta get back at it 100 yeah i yeah deleting inputs is so critical i did it before babelon i i that was the first brush with like no cell phone whatsoever cold turkey i went two weeks in a very remote part of scotland sleeping on a like shitty mattress like on the floor in a creaky old like cabin um chopping wood you know to make fire things like this um and it was like totally life-changing because yeah i think like you know when you delete your inputs you realize that like the majority of these things that we misconstrue as thoughts are just reactions and thought space and that process changed my worldview where i was like wow we're just being subliminally primed all the time in ways that we don't even realize and when you just like drown out all the noise you just come back with a new perspective you've never had and that gave me actually the clarity to start bablon so um yeah what are the things that keep you up at night i think one thing that i've been thinking about lately that's um definitely been interesting to like sit with is like you know um are these like it's the question i think everyone's asking that's like you know some like a level of ai adjacency is like are the secular trends of like all these hyperscalers and the rate of improvement of these models is that just like always going to exceed our ability to fine-tune on top of them like if you're sitting at the application layer of any of these is there even room to like actually be ahead of the curve i'd like to think yes but like it's been very interesting watching these trend lines of like constantly kind of like paddling to stay like just like a head above what everyone else is doing and like it probably will become a thing of diminishing returns in the future where like you know the rate at which you have to paddle to like you know stay just like a head above like everyone else is probably like gonna have to increase so much so that it becomes intractable so like that's one thing i think about a lot that i'm observing and trying to kind of like understand um have you actually experienced like this acceleration in the past three years you know uh for sure absolutely um like i feel like everyone has felt that at some level like emotionally um and then also the um because i'm like totally convinced that fine tuning will define the next decade of ai but like i mean i think you're just going to see a um a lot less people doing that because I think the infrastructure is also like non-obvious to support that with over on top of these LLMs and I think other people are kind of looking around being like well if if I'll spend all these months to like fine-tune a model and then like three weeks later it'll be obviated by like whatever new model comes out from OpenAI or whoever then like what's the point and I think that's like probably a good existential question to be asking.

From the publisher

The history of Alzheimer’s research, structuring Babylon to survive many failures, filtering for missionaries vs mercenaries.

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