AI Commission in the House, Reaction to Chip Sales in the GOP 12/10/25

10 Dec 2025 · 51 min

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Squawk Pod Episode Summary: AI Commission in the House, Reaction to Chip Sales in the GOP (12/10/25)

Episode Overview In this episode of Squawk Pod, hosts Joe Kernen, Becky Quick, and Andrew Ross Sorkin discuss various significant topics, including the establishment of a congressional commission on Artificial Intelligence (AI), reactions to chip sales to China, and political developments regarding the Federal Reserve chair position.

Key Guests

  • Emily Wilkins - Political correspondent providing insights on chip sales and congressional actions.
  • Jay Clayton - U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC Chair discussing safety and AI regulation.
  • Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-New Jersey) - Co-leader of the new AI commission, addressing bipartisan efforts for AI legislation.

Main Topics Discussed

  1. AI Commission and Legislation
  2. Josh Gottheimer's Role: As a co-leader of the Democratic AI commission, he emphasizes bipartisan collaboration to create legislation regarding AI and technology safety.
  3. Legislation Focus:
  4. Addressing issues like child safety, deepfakes, and technology regulation.
  5. Advocating for a federal approach to avoid a patchwork of state regulations.
  1. Chip Sales to China
  2. NVIDIA's H200 Chip Controversy: The sale of advanced AI chips to China is met with mixed reactions among Republicans, with concerns regarding national security and the competitive edge of the U.S. in AI.
  3. Bipartisan Concerns: Many lawmakers express worries that selling advanced technology to China could undermine U.S. technological superiority.
  4. Emily Wilkins' Reporting: Highlights the bipartisan nature of opposition to chip sales and the urgency of addressing related national security implications.
  1. Political Developments
  2. Federal Reserve Chair Speculation: Discussion on President Trump's impending decision regarding his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair, indicating a preference but no final decision made.
  3. Economic Concerns: The hosts touch on the implications of potential candidates for monetary policy and the broader economic landscape, particularly inflation and national debt.
  1. New York City Safety and Housing
  2. Jay Clayton's Insights: Discusses urban safety, affordability, and the need for effective policies to manage crime and housing costs in New York City.
  3. Housing Crisis: Clayton mentions the exorbitant cost of building affordable housing units in NYC ($750,000), linking it to federal subsidies and local regulations.

Key Takeaways

  • Bipartisanship in AI Legislation: There is a concerted effort among both parties to legislate AI safely and effectively, reflecting the technology's significance in contemporary society.
  • Concerns Over Technology Exports: The debate around chip sales to China illustrates broader fears regarding U.S. technological supremacy and national security.
  • Economic Policy Uncertainty: The discussions about the Fed Chair and inflation reveal a landscape of uncertainty and differing opinions on how to address economic challenges moving forward.
  • Urban Challenges: The episode provides insight into the complexities of urban policy, especially concerning safety and housing affordability in major cities like New York.

Episode Structure

  • Segment 1: Introduction and overview by Katie Kramer.
  • Segments featuring:
  • Emily Wilkins discussing chip sales.
  • Jay Clayton discussing urban safety and housing.
  • Rep. Josh Gottheimer elaborating on AI legislation.
  • Closing Remarks: Review of key points discussed and upcoming topics.

Conclusion This episode of Squawk Pod offers insightful commentary on pressing legislative and economic issues while highlighting the intersection of technology, politics, and urban challenges in America, with contributions from key political figures and experts. The discussions reflect ongoing concerns about safety, regulation, and economic policy that are central to the current political landscape.

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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Bring in show music, please. Hi, I'm CNBC producer Katie Kramer. Today on Squawk Pod. Zeroing in on safety in America's largest city with President Trump's handpicked U.S. attorney for the Southern District of New York, Jay Clayton. There are housing projects in the city that have open air drug markets. We are going to target those. He was SEC chairman in the first Trump term, and now Clayton is also zooming out to national issues. I am worried. We talk about AI and things. I am worried that we preserve competition in these areas. Like, if we have only one AI provider, that scares the heck out of me.

0:39Speaking of AI, New Jersey Congressman Josh Gottheimer is co-leading a new commission on the latest technology. It's for the Democratic agenda, but it's a priority across the aisle. A lot of us, in a bipartisan way, have been working together on AI legislation, whether you're talking about related to energy, you're talking about deepfakes, which, of course, are a huge issue, child safety. Plus, the President and Treasury Secretary Scott Besant are closing in. Oh, yeah? On the list. On their pick for next Federal Reserve chair. This has been the most interesting parlor game, and we can all guess all we want.

1:14And a familiar face on late night without long memories. And I said, Stephen Colbert, everybody. And he said, thanks, Aaron. All that today, plus goodies that are typically just on our TV broadcast. Listen to it all today. It's Wednesday, December 11th, 2025. Squawk Pod begins right now. Stand Becky by in three, two, one. Cue it, please. Good morning, everybody. Welcome to Squawk Box right here on CNBC. We are live from the NASDAQ market site in Times Square. I'm Becky Quick, along with Joe Kernan and Andrew Ross Sorkin. And here we go again, folks. We're going to be looking at a couple of different people, but I have a pretty good idea who I want.

2:00President Trump now saying that he has a pretty good idea of who he wants to run the Federal Reserve once current chairman Jay Powell is no longer in charge. The president telling reporters his team would be looking at several different candidates, so it sounds like they have not settled on one, though. He said that in recent weeks he has already made up his mind on the ex-Fed chair, so it's a little bit of a mixed messaging here. According to reports, President Trump is scheduled to meet with former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, That's supposed to happen today. Oh, yeah? It's on the list. The Financial Times saying that National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett is still in the lead, though, for the Fed's top job.

2:35During a Wall Street Journal event yesterday, Hassett said he wouldn't cave to political pressure to cut rates if he becomes the next Fed chair. He said he sees plenty of room to cut in the next months ahead, though. This has been the most interesting part of the game, and we can all guess all we want. But there's one person who knows, and he may change his mind. He may change his mind from time to time, too. And there's some scuttlebutt in the marketplace that, you know, in Leisman, I think we'll report on at some point, that Kevin Hassett is not universally loved by hardcore hawkish types that think, you know, versus a Warsh or something like that.

3:19And we've actually asked everyone when they come on, what about Kevin Hassett just, you know, being more of, you know, whatever President Trump is indicating, would he be more amenable to that than other more independent Fed? I don't know whether any of that's true, but supposedly there's a lot of, I don't know if you call consternation. You've pointed out 420 now on the 10-year. It's ticked up since Hassett became it. By the way, it's done that from the beginning when the Fed started over a year ago to cut rates. While they were cutting 100 basis points, they don't control the longer - But at$38 trillion and what goes on in Congress and in the Senate, to see the 10-year really has been in a range of four to four and a half.

4:07Oh, and by the way, I think those are the bigger issues. Yeah, I mean, it's not five. It's not the Fed chair. Those are the bigger issues is look at our national debt, look at whether we're going to be able to get anything done. That's what probably controls the long end. Anytime you ask somebody who's very serious about this, they say, look at the national debt. I think people would say that the absence of the vigilantes has been more notable than the return of the vigilante.

4:34NVIDIA, the H200 AI chips that the company is going to be allowed to sell to China, will be subject to a special security review before they're shipped overseas. It's a Wall Street Journal report that is highlighting this issue. It says the chips will be made in Taiwan, sent to the U.S. for review, then forwarded back to China. And experts tell the Journal that one reason for the multi-stop journey could be to allow the U.S. to take a cut of the sales without the transaction appearing to be a constitutionally prohibited export tax. Yes. Meanwhile, the information reporting this morning is that China is holding emergency meetings with local tech companies to decide whether to let them buy the NVIDIA H200 chips.

5:18That's something that, you know, on social media yesterday, there were conflicting things saying that China doesn't want them. Yeah, things but no things and that they would give grief to internal companies looking to buy them. And they want to know why they would buy these chips over domestically manufactured ones. There was also some scuttlebutt about what Congress thinks about this. Lindsey Graham, the Republican senator, saying he didn't feel really great about the sales of some of these chips. So you'll see what happens with Congress with this as well. Emily Wilkins joins us right now with this.

5:50She's got more on that front. Emily, this has been something that we had seen some bipartisan support over the years, just the idea that neither Republicans nor Democrats were super enthusiastic about selling some of these chips to China. I mean, Becky, we saw strong bipartisan support on this just a few months ago. And, you know, as you were just mentioning, yes, lawmakers in Trump's own party, including Lindsey Graham, spoke with them yesterday. And they told me that they are concerned that selling these H-200 chips to China is going to undermine the U.S.'s AI advantage. Remember, again, just two months ago, the Senate actually passed a measure that would have banned those H-200 chips from being sold to China.

6:28And now I've been asking senators about how they feel about this most recent announcement. spoke with Senator Josh Hawley about this yesterday, and he told me that China was almost entirely parasitic on U.S. technology. But if we want to beat China, I think we need to constrain their ability to leverage our own technology. So I would think that we'd want to reduce their access to our hardware and not increase it. A Republican-led House panel focused on the Chinese Communist Party also warned that the move could help China catch up to the U.S. in AI, tweeting that because the H200s are far better than what China can produce domestically, both in capability and scale, NVIDIA selling these chips to China could help it catch up to America in total compute.

7:10The committee then went on to say that NVIDIA should be under no illusions. China will rip off its technology, mass produce it themselves and seek to end NVIDIA as a competitor. Now, while a lot of Republicans are concerned, it's not all of them. I spoke yesterday with a few senators, including Senator Mike Rounds. He told me that he supports the sale because the H200 is not the most advanced NVIDIA chip. And he said it's important that developers around the world build AI with U.S. chips. We've always looked at this as an issue that has to be resolved. The president has done, I think, a good faith effort that's a step in the right direction for now.

7:47It is not our best chips, but at the same time, it allows our companies to control what I call the rails on which developers actually get used to putting in their products. And while the most recent efforts on Capitol Hill to limit those exports fell short, other bills that could gain support would require chips to be tracked in order to know where they are. Becky? So how does this play out? I mean, we could talk about people in Congress kind of popping off on this, but Congress has not seemed to be able to get its act together to pass much of anything these days. What are the odds that they get together and they pass something on this front?

8:24Yeah, Becky, I mean, there are still lawmakers who feel strongly about this, who are still pushing for this, still reducing legislation on this. I mean, I am interested to see exactly what happens with this debate over tracking chips. That's not something that NVIDIA and others in the industry necessarily support. They have some concerns about it. But I think for lawmakers who are concerned about these chips potentially winding up in the wrong hands or about national security, that would be sort of a next place for them to look. Other than that, it's difficult to see anything passing at this point.

8:53I mean, this big defense package that has national security, that's kind of a go-to for bills like this. And the fact this one wasn't able to get in the final one that the House is voting on today and the Senate will vote on next week, I think is pretty telling about where this issue stands right now. Okay. Emily, thank you very much. Emily Wilkins.

9:14My next guest tonight is a best-selling author, financial columnist for the New York Times, and co-anchor of Squawk Box on CNBC. Please welcome back to The Late Show, Andrew Ross Sorkin. You got the new book, let's push some paper. Thank you, sir. 1929, Inside the Greatest Crash in Wall Street History and How It Shattered a Nation. More on that later. Last week, we're going to get to it. We're going to talk about things, you know, things right now. We've got a lot of things going on right now. Last week, as I was talking about earlier, we learned about the proposed Netflix Warner Brothers. Yeah.

9:47Everybody thought that Paramount had the inside track, and then Netflix comes in with this huge cash offer of$82.7 billion. That's billion with an illion. And now Paramount is launching a hostile bid for$108 billion. There's 26 more illions. That they could have used on this show. Anywhere. Anywhere. They could have fed the homeless. Has the AI made any money? If you... The AI? Well, the AI branch of each of, like, you know, Google's got their AI. If they... Technically, if they stopped investing in more and newer and better AI, they probably actually could make money. The problem is that they are in an arms race, and technologically there's a place they're all trying to rush to get to, so they have to keep spending more and more and more money.

10:37And then we all are going to be using more and more of these services and therefore requires more and more power. And so that's where the economic problem becomes. That was last night on The Late Show with Stephen Colbert. We were talking a little bit about 1929, veered into a question about AI bubbles, as you might imagine, and then veered into a conversation about the media landscape and, of course, Paramount, parent company of where he works, at least for now. His show's getting canceled, obviously, in May. A couple of fun jokes about, you know, if you don't have the, you know, given all of the supposed lack of money.

11:16But you got there and you immediately had five assistants devoted totally to you. They have a great team. They do. They have a very large team. But I got to tell you, they're pros over there. They do a great job. And it was a lot of fun. But he was talking about, you know, would you prefer to have Netflix as a buyer? Would you prefer, you know, you or just I mean, just just how to think about you. When I think in the end we were talking about, which is actually I do think going to be different about this deal, is that shareholders are going to choose and they're going to choose green. It's not like sometimes you have a board that chooses somebody because they think one's a better steward or that there's, you know, better synergies or whatever.

11:53Once you bring it just to the shareholders, I don't think I don't think Mario Gabelli, for better or worse, is going to sit there and say, I think this is a better buyer. I heard this morning that he may tender his shares. Right, but that's because he wants to get a biddy more. Because he wants the money. And he wants the higher number, which is interesting. And obviously then there's the question about theaters versus news. And there's an apples and oranges about both of the deals. They're not exactly the same deal. No, and Paramount standalone versus Paramount, with all the cost-cutting synergies that they would definitely want to do if they win this.

12:22I don't know what, I don't think either thing, it pretends great things for him being there past May. I just, I know. Oh, for Stephen. Oh, for Stephen Cobra. I think Stephen, you know. is done in May. I think this is not the end of Stephen. I just think the end of the relationship. The same is the Montclair Film Festival. So when we go there, because he's really big with that. He was great. His wife was there, by the way. She was on the show last night. She's involved in time, too. And they were so much fun. They were in Montclair. Yeah. Many years ago, and I was telling him the story. He didn't remember it.

12:55I introduced him at an event at the New York Public Library back before he was really famous. And I didn't know, frankly, who he was. And I said, Stephen Colbert, everybody. Hard tea. You reminded him of that? Hard tea. He had forgotten it? He said, thanks, Aaron. But the thing that's funny about it was apparently half of his family goes by Colbert. So some of them roll the R's and some don't. That's the less pretentious half. I can't believe you reminded him that you mispronounced his name. I thought about telling the story on the air. On his show on the air. We've just done it on our air. Did he delve in any type of comedy or mostly just Trump bashing?

13:36Was there anything funny said? That would be the first time in like six years. Coming up. Our comedian anchorman over here. Thank you. I think I tell a lot more jokes than he does. Cheese will be next. Coming up next on Squawk Pod, U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC Chairman Jay Clayton turning his attention to the Big Apple. safety, affordability, and life in 2020's New York. Housing is a disaster because we subsidize the heck out of it at the federal level, and we restrict the heck out of it at the local level. Do you know what it costs to build an affordable unit in New York now?

14:12$750 ,000. So much more Squawk Pod is ahead. Please stay tuned.

14:21Welcome back. This is Squawk Pod from CNBC. You're watching Squawk on CNBC. I'm Andrew Ross-Sorkin, along with Joe Kernan and Becky Quick. I should say Squawk Box, because sometimes you say Squawk, it could be confused with another Squawk, which comes later. As you would say, the OG, the originals. Yeah, Joe says OG. The OG Squawk. It's because the name was, people didn't like it 30 years ago when they were going to do it. It's like, what is that? And it does have a lot of Squawk, Squawk, you know, animal Squawk. You know, a lot of people, our newer generation of viewers don't even know what a squat box is.

14:58It used to be on the desk of every financial professional as the... How brokers would find out the news. The people back in New York would tell them, you know, we got 10 ,000 shares with a bullet, which would mean you'd get a dollar for every share that you... President Trump responding to criticism of high prices in various parts of the economy. Democrats have tried to hammer the president on the issue of affordability. Here is the president last night at a rally in Pennsylvania. I can't say affordability hoax because I agree the prices were too high, so I can't go to hoax because they'll misconstrue that.

15:29But they use the word affordability and that's their only word. They say affordability and everyone says, oh, that must mean Trump has high prices. No, our prices are coming down tremendously from the highest prices in the history of our country. And joining us now is Jay Clayton. He is the U.S. attorney for the Southern District of New York and a former chairman of the SEC. I'd like to be able to take the president aside and just explain how to explain it, because prices in certain sectors are coming down like energy. And he's right about that. And that could be that that could filter into other parts of the economy and cause inflation, which is really never zero or lower.

16:15It can be, but that's not good. That would be bad. That would be bad. So the president, you know, he shouldn't really say that. inflation is going to zero or that prices are actually negative. Some of them are. Food prices can be volatile and could go negative. But what we want to do is get the rate of increase below where the Fed thinks it needs to, you know, to raise rates or not cut rates, because it's about 3 percent right now, which is about where it was when Biden left office, up a little bit. But the affordability issue is from the 22 percent increase in prices and inflation under Biden.

16:49There's this full stop right there. That's the affordability issue. And you ought to be able to explain that. Right. That's right. And look, I think that with the economic team, President Trump and the economic team led by Scott Bessent, you have people who very much understand this. And it was a they were they were thrown, you know, what I would say, the worst economy for the average American in my adult lifetime, in terms of the, like you said, the incredible increase in prices at the household. Yeah, except for that, it's part of the reason that they won. And now Americans say, fix it, make it better.

17:28They were handed a situation where Americans felt like their dollar was not going as far. Absolutely. We should all face up. Let's go with four things. But average weekly wages fell from the time Biden took office to when he left. That's why people feel like they did. And now that's not the case anymore. Prices are still high. You got squeezed at both ends. Wages came down. The wages are now rising more quickly. And now wages are rising. The only reason we brought this up was to talk really about Mamdani, because that's what elected him, is affordability. And that's where you come in, because you've got to save this city and keep it safe.

17:59All right, let's go national affordability, and then we'll come to the city. So national affordability, four things that the Trump administration is focused on. You hit one, energy. Already a big impact. One of the things on energy that I would love to see bipartisan support for is transmission. We talk about all of the above, green energy, fossil fuels, etc. One of the reasons why your electric bill is still going up in New York is transmission. We have not invested in transmission. They're bringing prices down. They'll invest in transmission. Health care. Why is health care so high? We have a cost-pricing model with opacity to the consumer.

18:36Get information to the consumer. You have Mark Cuban on. He's absolutely right on this. President Trump understands that. Scott Besson understands it. Housing. Housing is a disaster because we subsidize the heck out of it at the federal level, and we restrict the heck out of it at the local level. Do you know what it costs to build an affordable unit in New York now? $750 ,000. If the replacement cost for affordable units or the incremental affordable unit is$750 ,000, That's why prices have gone way up. And you know what? Most of that, most of that delta, like I would say, you know, way above the rate of inflation is due to overregulation in the construction and the time it takes to build homes.

19:17So you've got all those. And what else do people really care about? The cost of education. The cost of education has outpaced inflation, again, because we subsidize the heck of it and we sell a whole bunch of things adjacent to education that we make people buy. It's not about the cost in the classroom. It's about all those extra costs that you make everybody buy who goes to college. We've got all of that. Donald Trump can talk plainly to people about that, and he's doing it. And I think focusing on those four areas, we're going to see results. And Hassett was on earlier this week, Kevin. He understands all this.

19:53And he said we're going to wage increases. since, and I think he was implying, since inflation never goes negative. So we're locked in. Those Biden increases of 22 percent. Those are locked in. Prices are going to stay higher. So we need to grow out of it in terms of income levels to feel like you can afford it. This is why everyone fears inflation, because the effects of a jump in inflation, they never go away. They never go away. And that's why you add another 3 percent on top of that. So Mamdani ran on that. And now I don't know what happens to this city that you said one of the things you can control.

20:29How are we going to bring the cost of incremental units in New York down? Or actually keep it for that reason? Say you can only charge$200 ,000 to build a house. Yeah, that no one builds a house. I know. You know. I mean, that's crazy town. I know. Okay? So one of the things that happens in cities is whether you have competence in government. Now, we had the most competent big city mayor, again, in my lifetime, in Mike Bloomberg. Things in the city were running. They were running well. The New York people need to demand competence across government. We have a terrible New York City housing authority.

21:09$12 billion a year, and the results for our most vulnerable citizens in New York are poor. One of our jobs is fighting crime in those housing projects. That's something that we are keenly focused on. But we need to do better in housing. Our prison system. The cost of an inmate at Rikers is into the multiple hundred thousands. It's a wide range. When the cost in the federal system is, you know,$50 ,000 to$70 ,000. And that's a function of unions? That's a function of labor? That's a function of what? All the above. Okay. All the above. And we need to do better at these things. You know where we're doing great?

21:49You know where we're doing great? The New York Police Department. I mean, they are amazing partners to us. And they are really well run, you know, top to bottom. Cops care. The brass cares. They really care about quality of life in New York. Have you spoken to the mayor-elect in this new world? I've not. You have not? I've not. Do you plan to? I'm sure. How does that work? I'm sure at some point we will have to interact, his people, my people. And I look forward to working with them. We have a great relationship with the New York Police Department. Right. We have we have good relationships across other parts of New York City.

22:26Those the better those relationships, the better we're going to do with public safety. One of the things that we were talking to Kathy Wild about just yesterday, who's now on the transition team and was working with the New York City partnership, is this report just last week that the mayor elect said that he was not going to be sweeping these homeless encampments, sort of tented camps and what that portends for quality of life, but also just the humanity of some of the homeless and also crime. And I know you've been trying to take drugs off the street and other things in your role and sort of how you think about that.

22:59She was pretty insistent that those reports were incorrect or misunderstood. What do you know about them? Well, let me tell you what I know I can focus on and the folks. Open air drug markets, we just should not tolerate them. So, Washington Square Park, we had an open-air drug market. There are housing projects in the city that have open-air drug markets. We are going to target those and bring them to an end. I don't want children walking through Washington Square Park having to dodge needles, seeing people, the horrible effects of drugs. So can I ask a question about that? I got on the subway over here last night, and somebody was ODing.

23:39My question about the Washington Square Park, I actually saw that news. And by the way, as a New Yorker, I was thrilled that you were doing that. It's been like that for years. For years. And I always wanted to think to myself. It's kind of happened under COVID. It got a lot worse. Why is that? And is that a New York Police Department situation? Is that a mayoral situation? Is that a prosecutor? What leads to that and for it to be as persistent and consistently happening for as long as it did? Or was it the change in the state laws? Many, many people engaged in that activity who are charged in the state system are released.

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24:15They are not detained pending charges. And very often the charges are pled down to misdemeanors and they don't do time. If you are if you have 10, 20, 30 priors and you are dealing fentanyl that results in someone's death, you don't deserve to walk the streets. Right. But so my question. I think it was, I remember at the time, it was around COVID and they changed the laws at the state level for what people could be held for. And then at that point, the police officers are like, I put them in, they're out a day later. So I'm going to say it again so New Yorkers hear it. When a person is brought before a judge, arraigned, and you consider whether they're going to be detained and held or not, risk to the public is not a factor you can consider.

25:00Okay, that's the law in New York. And 99 out of 100 New Yorkers I explained that to say that can't be right. Did that change four or five years ago? Or has that always been the case? And it's absurd. It was 2020, 2021? You want to get gun violence down? Yeah. If someone uses a gun in a crime, detain them. Yes. Jay, you may be right. It just doesn't sound to me like the mayor-elect, and I don't know this, I don't want to project, is necessarily on board with the things you're saying historically in terms of... People ask me about that, and I say, we're the federal law enforcement. We don't touch every one of these crimes.

25:34But when something rises to the federal level. But that was my question. How do you, to the extent. That's what the people want. Every New Yorker wants it. But what rises to the federal level? When do you get to be involved? When does the city or state get involved? And where is that? Again, this goes to the relationship that you may or may not have with the next mayor. How does that how's that supposed to work? Because there are lots of things that he disagrees with the federal government about, including we can get into ICE and everything else. Instead of going through the folds of federal jurisdiction versus state jurisdiction and the like, what I will tell you is where are we focused, where we have federal jurisdiction?

26:13Someone uses a gun in a crime in New York, we're going to look at that. And if we have clear federal charges, we're going to bring them. I think that's what New Yorkers want. What was your reaction to the mayor-elect? I mean, every New Yorker, We have the most restrictive gun laws in the country. I don't disagree with you. I'm just wondering. But then we have gun crime and we're going to let it go. But I imagine that there is going to be a back and forth between the state or the city and you about who gets to prosecute these cases. Well, on this, I don't think there's going to be a back and forth because this is our position.

26:48And as long as I'm in the job, this is going to be my position. What was your position on seeing the mayor-elect take to Instagram and social media and whatnot, not explaining, he would say, to New Yorkers how to deal with or handle ICE raids and or knocks on the door. I don't know if you saw, but he did a sort of two or three minute explanation to New Yorkers and was pretty supportive of people saying, don't talk, don't talk to them. You don't have to open the door. You don't have to interact with them. and obviously you're on one side of that as the federal government is, and clearly as a sanctuary city, he would say, he's on the other side.

27:34Okay, let me give you an example. We're going to talk about this later today in a Homeland Security briefing. TDA, Trende Aragua. What's it? Trende Aragua, vicious gang. Yep. Okay? Okay. In May, we charged a number of members of that gang, many of whom were here illegally. Murder. Drug trafficking, sex trafficking. You know what? Shouldn't we be allowed to go pick those guys up? Oh, I'm not telling you you can't. I'm just saying I don't know. I'm just saying that's why I don't know. That's where the mayor sits. That's my response. Like, you know what? You have people like that here illegally. Every New Yorker wants them gone.

28:16You're speechless. Let me ask you a related question. How do you feel about members of ICE pulling people off the street, wearing masks and the like. Look, if, let me ask you this. If people were targeting your home, would that bother you? If people were targeting my home? They said, you know what, I don't like Sorkin. You guys are playing, let me ask you this. Let me give you a worst case scenario. Well, no, I'm just saying, I think that there's... But I have great sympathy for people who are doing their job as law enforcement officers whose homes are being, who are being doxxed. And they're wearing those masks so that people don't go to their homes and, you know, give their children a hard time.

29:00I completely understand that. Would you feel the same way about just police? No, I think the police, that's different. I don't think anybody's targeting the police's homes. Okay, let me get Andrew going on something else. So I got a list. So Trump says, you know, I may or may not like Paramount. and I may or may not like Netflix, I'm going to be involved in this decision. So is this the first time in the history of the country that the chief executive has decided which mergers pass muster and which don't? Yeah, a lot of times people say things are unprecedented. Like, you know, what just, I mean, what pops to my mind?

29:40Wage and price controls, right? I mean, you know, we've had the executive branch get involved in things like that. You know what? Is it a good idea? But you know what's that? Is it a good idea? It depends on what the American people want. If he is in a position to staff all these agencies with like-minded people, that's basically what he's doing anyway. He just happens to be overtly saying that he has influence on what works and what works. Saying the quiet part out loud? That was my point. Well, that's what we were discussing the other day. Saying the quiet part. And it wants transparency, but in this case, you don't really like the transparency.

30:17Well, I just don't know. What I don't know is, do you remember many years ago, AT &T was trying to buy Time Warner? And that deal... Under the last Trump administration. Right, under the last Trump administration. And that deal was blocked. And Macon Delrahim, who used to come on the show, who now, by the way, works for Paramount, would say that it was his decision. The president never was influencing that decision at all. That he had nothing to do with it. That the way this whole system works is that the president's over here, and yes, he appoints the folks who run the Justice Department, but beyond that, it's a completely arm's length relationship.

30:52So they might find like-minded people, but that's the extent of it. This feels different because you're literally seeing, maybe for the first time, I don't know, the idea that both CEOs of both competing companies are going to visit the president at the White House. right to and not just that that he's explicitly said out loud maybe the quiet part out loud that he's going to be actively involved in the decision that feels new if you talk to most lawyers who where you used to work at Sullivan and Cromwell in the merger department they would say that's different we we haven't had that at least we haven't seen that before you don't you don't Well, I don't know that we've seen it in media before, but maybe.

31:37I mean, I am worried. We talk about AI and things like that. I am worried that we preserve competition in these areas. Like, if we have only one AI provider, that scares the heck out of me. It really does. Maybe it's just media, because we saw it in U.S. Steel. We've seen administrations. But it's not unprecedented in that anything that touches substantially on national security, even at the Justice Department. If it touches on national security, you're going to talk to the State Department and it's going to go all the way up to the White House if it's, you know, like something, let's say it's something that would touch on resolving the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

32:16I'll make it more complicated. Some people look at the fact that Jared Kushner's firm is backing the Paramount deal and say that as a result, talk about recusing, should the president recuse himself fully from this. I mean, some people added it. Some people thought, oh, they're being added into this to try to actually get across the finish line because, you know, with some wink and a nod, that will be helpful to them. By the way, it's not clear that's the case because the president actually took to Truth Social and went after Paramount, interestingly enough, the other day because of what he didn't in a 60 Minutes interview he didn't like.

32:50But the flip side is. I don't think you have to worry about this president making up his own mind. Sure. But again, there's but the question for the public in terms of credibility and how these decisions are being made, do you say to yourself, because certain people are involved, at least historically in the legal universe, you'd say, you know what, I have a family representative that's somehow engaged with XYZ. I have to take a step back. I can't make this decision. There's two ways to deal with it. You're talking about people do recusals, but there's also Joe's word, transparency. And transparency, knowing that all these factors and the American public knowing it, I think that's a good thing.

33:27Right. I, I, where else do you want to go? Well, um, I, what, remember they, they asked me, well, you know, what do you, where do you want to start? And I said, I immediately said, I shouldn't tell you. I immediately said Comey, but you don't want to talk. We've done that. I know. We have Alina Haber. I mean, there's so many things you are in the middle of so much stuff, uh, right now. But you know what? New York, um, we're going to make New York safer. I mean, I, I, I will tell you, I go to work. But you got 200. You're on the one hand to make it safer. You got another guy who could drive it right off a cliff.

34:02I can't worry about that. Really? I mean, New Yorkers, when New York is safe, New York comes. All right. All right. Jay, thank you. So no broken windows. Is that basically the. You know what? Broken windows. That's fine. That was it. But getting hardcore gun toting criminals out of this city. that's what all right and and just just on on that point though uh-oh what am i i don't know if you bring up guns with him well no no we got we got to take it to nine o 'clock if you bring up guns i thought we had an extra minute we don't know we all i was gonna all i was gonna ask we did two minutes i'm sorry about that guys no all i was gonna ask is again to the you know just tish obviously is gonna be running the police department she's fantastic and and i think she is fantastic.

34:54And the question is, and this is the part I was trying to get at before, trying to understand who actually gets to decide, you know, who effectively prosecutes the case, especially in the gun context. You're asking a really good question about who decides in government. It's actually like who decides in a well-run business. The better you run your division, the more autonomy you get. And that's right. What do good CEOs do? They focus on the places that aren't running well, and they let the places that are running well. But I assume the police arrest somebody, and then they have to decide who to call.

35:34Right, but what I'm saying is the police department deserves a great deal of discretion and autonomy because they're doing a great job. Okay, we will leave it there. Jay, thank you. Thanks. Time now for today's Aflac Trivia Question Who is the only actor who has starred in a number one film across six consecutive decades? The answer, when Squawk Box returns

36:03And now the answer to today's Aflac Trivia Question Who is the only actor who has starred in a number one film across six consecutive decades? The answer, Sylvester Stallone Wow. I know. I've been talking about that. I was trying to figure it out. I thought six decades would go to the 60s. I thought maybe Michael Caine or something from Chris Falk. That's actually a good guess. But I love Sly Stallone so much. I don't know about Dom Chu, but I can't even express how much I love Sly Stallone. And he just got the Kennedy Center. He's on Tulsa King now. It pops up every day. What I didn't realize was that in the teens, what was it, Creed?

36:43He did, I guess, another Rocky, which got to number one. And then I guess in the 2020s, he did a... What did he do in the 2020s? Suicide Squad was number one. But you see what he looks like now? He's 80-something. He looks pretty good. He's totally... And he's the same. And I think he's... Tulsa King is good. Tulsa King is good. And Tulsa King is, I think, Taylor Sheridan. It is Taylor Sheridan. which NBC, that's a big deal. But not the show, but he's moving. No, but that's a big deal for him. He's got everything. Oh, in 29. Oh, is it 29? I thought it was 28. Or maybe it's 28. 28, maybe? I don't know.

37:23And apparently Taylor Sheridan is in talks with Dom Chu about starring in like a golf adventure stock analyst movie or something. Is that a series in development, Dom, or no? I don't think it's in development right now, but I could try to see if I could fit into a role there. But to your point, guys, I am a massive Tulsa King fan. I'm a massive Taylor Sheridan fan. I think he's one of the best storytellers of our age in terms of kind of television and movies. And I would say the Expendables, remember the Expendables movies? I thought they really kind of got me back into the silver store. But how do you come up?

37:57I mean, I remember, see, I'm so old. I remember Playboy did an article on up-and-comers. There was this unknown guy. It used to be a magazine that did normal things. I mean, interviews and stuff. there was a picture of Sly when he was in his 20s and it said this guy is an up-and-comer he's written a script and gotten the go-ahead on a movie called Rocky that he's gonna and I remember no one had any and I said Sylvester that's a cat what is uh and and and then the rest is I mean to come up with that and Rambo Rambo yeah first blood unbelievable all of those things I mean And he's been he's timeless, ageless.

38:36And to your point, as old as he is right now, he is still fitter and maybe even better looking than just a ton of other people out there. Very quickly, Taylor Sheridan. He's his contract with Paramount ends in twenty twenty eight. The new deal includes both film and television. Movie component could start as early as twenty twenty six. The TV and streaming deal doesn't believe in till twenty twenty nine, like Andrew said. Oh, OK. So I would just. Yeah, I just think between Yellowstone and I watch a lot of those ones that are on Paramount, like Lioness and everything in that Yellowstone universe, it's been pretty amazing.

39:10So anyway, I will get you back out to your movers here right now. We'll start off with things, shares of GE Vernova. Let's start with a 10 percent gain there. It's soaring after providing some bullish longer term guidance at its investor day just yesterday. It expects revenue of at least$52 billion by the year 2028. And that would be up from its current fiscal year guidance of 36 to 37 billion dollars, which the company also affirmed or reaffirmed, whatever way you want to say it. It said it's also trending towards the higher end of expectations there. The energy equipment company also doubled its dividend, increased its share buyback authorization at 10 billion dollars from 6 billion.

39:45And a slate of analysts who cover the stock this morning are also moving to raise their ratings and price targets or some combination of both in all the wake of the news. So keep an eye on GE Vernova up 10 percent. Meantime, GameStop is falling today after reporting revenues of$821 million in its third quarter. CNBC is not comparing that number to estimates due to kind of thinner analyst coverage there. But the video game retailers' Bitcoin holdings also fell in value. And the company did not add any Bitcoin to its treasury from the previous quarter. So those moves leading to a loss of 6 % there for GameStop.

40:17And Cracker Barrel is also in the red this morning after the restaurant chain missed revenue expectations in its quarter and revised both its revenue and profit guidance downwards for the full year. Comparable restaurant sales also fell more than expected. The company's CEO cited, quote, unique and ongoing headwinds in those results, which come after its, of course, poorly received rebranded attempt in August of this year. So Cracker Barrel shares down six and a quarter percent. Joe, I will send things back over to you, Becky and Andrew. Thank you, Don. You're very welcome. OK. With AI super PACs projected to spend$100 million in the 2026 midterm elections, our next guest will weigh in on the future of AI policy on Capitol Hill.

41:01I want to welcome Congressman Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey. He will co-lead a new House commission, the House Democratic Commission on AI and the Innovation Economy. And Congressman, welcome. Thanks for being with us today. Thanks for having me, Becky. you. This is just a Democratic committee that's going to be looking at this because the Democrats and the Republicans are looking at AI regulation pretty differently. Most of the Republicans are saying that they don't want to see state by state regulation of this, that there should be one federal policy to regulate AI. And by the way, they think that that policy should probably have a pretty light touch.

41:37What are you thinking along with people on this committee? Well, first of all, the reason we put this commission together, led by Hakeem Jeffries, our Democratic leader, is there used to be, last Congress, a bipartisan committee doing it. The speaker this time decided not to bring that together again. So Leader Jeffries, along with many of us, said, you know, this is not something we can't get ready for, given how exciting AI is. And, of course, we want to make sure it's done the right way and that we lead the world with appropriate guardrails. And so that's why this commission was born and I think will bring together good ideas on policy and legislation.

42:12And to your point, Becky, I'm not opposed to actually a federal preemption law. It's just got to be done the right way. We want to make sure we have appropriate carve outs for states, you know, and everything from child safety to transparency to stop deep fakes and protect consumers. So I see this as an opportunity as overall for the Congress to really lead and for Democrats to lead the way and to have really smart conversations with stakeholders. But, of course, you want to do it the right way. You actually want to have that conversation. And that's what this commission is all about. Congressman, it's your Jersey friend.

42:46I don't think I'm in your district, though. Is he? He's in my district. You're welcome to my district anytime, man. Congressman Josh Heimer. That's like a portmanteau. Right. Politics is such a dirty business. I got I was upset with you. And I'm going to let you I'm going to let you answer this because I see some of the great stuff you do in a bipartisan way with the problem solvers. I thought your ads when you were running, what were you running for? Yeah, they were they were like so just left wing talking points that weren't really like you. Do you know which ones I'm talking about when you were running for what was it?

43:22The ones talking about how we need to lower taxes in Jersey and make it more affordable people? No, the ones where you said tax cuts for billionaires and the rich and corporations. By the way, Joe, I'll challenge you. I would never run an ad about that. So you must be looking at some other candidate. I believe in opportunity for everybody in lower taxes. I know you do. I know you do. There's no chance. That's why I was shocked. There's no chance. By the way, there's no chance. It sounded like dark brand. Joe, you find that ad and send it to me. I don't know. It might have been Pac-Money. No way.

44:01It might have been Pac-Money. No way I would have run that ad. It could have been dark branded. Joe, we need to. By the way, in Jersey, we've got lower taxes and lower costs for people, including energy bills. This is the job I know. And health care. So let's go. I'm going to look it up. All right. You know, next time. Look it up, man. We'll run it next time, my friend. Next time we'll have the damn thing and we'll run it. By the way, run that ad because I don't know what you're talking about. So there's no way I ran that ad. I was really disappointed in that. Maybe it was a PAC ad. Oh, they're looking for it right now.

44:34It's not me, man. All right, good. They should find it. Go ahead. Congress, let's talk a little bit more about the AI situation because, look, it's been three years since OpenAI came out and hit consumers. We don't have any regulation that has been brought up around that. We still don't really have federal regulation that strongly regulates any of the social media companies that have been out there for 15 years or longer. What do you tell people? What do you get around that? How do you find ways to actually come to agreement to something that gets done? Well, the good news on this, Becky, is a lot of us in a bipartisan way have been working together on AI legislation, whether you're talking about related to energy, you're talking about deep fakes, which of course are a huge issue, child safety.

45:20There's actually plenty going on in the Congress around that, and bipartisan. And I think everybody agrees we've got to do something, that we want to seize all the opportunity, whether it's healthcare related, education related, science related on AI, right? It's incredible what's going on and the opportunities ahead, but also you want to make sure there's appropriate guardrails. You've got to think through jobs and everything else that I think are really important that people have rightly have big anxiety about. So there's a way to do this. We just have to do it right. I think we've got to have the conversation.

45:51We can't ignore it. And that's why this commission exists. And Ted Lieu and Valerie Fruschi and I, the three of us, are going to be focused on how do we bring in the stakeholders, talk to the one of the developers who are doing this and obviously those who are involved, and have a smart conversation. I'm having one in just an hour from now with a few folks who are from the space and doing incredible work. So to me, that's how this should go. We should be smart, but we have to be ahead. This is happening. And the key is from a national security perspective, whether you're talking about chips, how do we think through to be smart?

46:22Because in my opinion, we should not be selling the latest technology to our number one adversary, China. That's not a smart move. We've got to stay competitive and have our qualitative edge. And so there's a lot of issues here to think through. We just got to do it in a smart way. What's happening with health care? We're getting to the end of the year. those health care subsidies for ACA are going to expire. I know you were with us last time we were on talking about ways to try and maybe get some bipartisan support on that. Where do things stand? So, Becky, that group, when I saw you last, we actually are putting out a piece of legislation today with several dozen people on it, with a couple dozen people on it, and several dozen people who have backed this concept that we should be, for at least the next year, extending these tax credits, which are key to helping prevent premiums from going up 175 % in Jersey for a family of Ford, you know, getting these premiums down, which people just can't afford starting in January, and then looking at potential reforms for the year after and saying, okay, let's actually get together and have that conversation.

47:21But you can't just have people in the beginning of January with what they're facing now on food prices and energy costs and everything else from the tariffs whack people with a$20 ,000 new premium bill who can't afford that. and then they're going to drop their health care. That is not a good outcome for our families or our country. So there's a way to do this. We've got a big bipartisan group. And now the question is, what will our leadership do? And, of course, what will President Trump do? And I'm hoping, so far he has said he's not interested, I'm hoping he meets with us and he comes around on doing something to help people get their health insurance premiums down.

47:54Even if those subsidies are extended for the next year, that only covers 22 to 24 million people. Health care costs, insurance costs are going to go up for Americans who are not covered by the ACA. How do you tackle that bigger problem? Is there a movement afoot? Well, so part of our proposal, of course, is PBM reform, which was almost done. That'll help. We need a lot more, and we could talk about this for a while, about what needs to be done with PBMs to get more transparency and pricing. We've got hospital pricing issues. There's a lot of places where we could use reform, and that's what we're talking about.

48:25But you're right, Becky. Listen, for nearly every American, they're facing higher health insurance costs, which are unacceptable, and they keep going up significantly. In this case, you're talking about 24 million Americans to help them immediately. But it will affect other people, of course, who decide to drop out and affects the pool. And everyone's insurance goes up when you lose, when 24 million people have their insurance premiums go up. It's a lot of people. It's a lot of families who are struggling. It might have been one where there's AI. You were in a boxing ring, and you were punching Trump or something, and he was your opponent.

48:57Oh, we're fighting tough. Oh, yeah. You're fighting Trump and you were hitting him over chaos, tariffs, and failing to cut costs for working. You want to cut taxes for the middle class, not for the rich, like Trump did, right? Joe, what I said was I want to fight hard. Listen, if you're a big tariff guy, I'm in a different place on that. I don't think tariff taxes are good. The Biden tariffs that he left on or the Trump tariffs? The Trump tariffs that he's imposed across the board. And by the way, all I'm saying is I was going to fight him against those tariffs. And I fight hard for the people I represent, man.

49:34And I have no apologies for that. I'm still paying salt. That was a good act. What happened there? It's still killing me. I need no cap on that. I need no cap. I'm with you on that. That's what I argued for. I'm with you. Joe, you and I are on the same place on that. I'm moving. We should be full deduction on salt. If I move to Ridgewood, can I vote for you? You can move to Ridgewood. Yeah, I would love to have you in Ridgewood. I'll get somebody to show you a place later today. Yeah, you used to live in Ridgewood. Near the duck pond. Becky and I, I don't know if Becky will let you in that close to her, but we'll welcome you up in the north anytime.

50:11I can touch her from where I am. I wouldn't, but I can't look. Wait, you need a wide shot. Congressman, thank you very much. It's great to see you. Thanks for having me. And that is the pod for today. Thanks for listening. Squawk Box is hosted by Joe Kernan, Becky Quick, and Andrew Ross Sorkin. Tune in weekday mornings on CNBC at 6 Eastern. Follow Squawk Pod wherever you get your podcasts. And let us know what you think. Please rate or review Squawk Pod on Apple Podcasts. Share your thoughts in just a few words. And help other listeners find us as well. We'll meet you right back here tomorrow.

50:51We are clear. Thanks, guys. Thank you so much.

From the publisher

Congressman Josh Gottheimer (D-New Jersey) is co-leading his party’s congressional commission on AI, and he highlights bipartisan efforts to legislate AI and technology safety. Former SEC Chair Jay Clayton, now U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, discusses AI regulation and affordability and crime in the city. Plus, President Trump is inching closer to announcing his pick for Fed Chair and CNBC’s Emily Wilkins reports on the Republican reactions to President Trump’s plan to allow Nvidia to sell H200 chips to China. 

 

Emily Wilkins - 6:48

Jay Clayton - 18:19

Rep. Josh Gottheimer - 44:51

 

In this episode:

Emily Wilkins, @emrwilkins

Josh Gottheimer, @RepJoshG

Becky Quick, @BeckyQuick

Joe Kernen, @JoeSquawk

Andrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkin

Katie Kramer, @Kramer_Katie


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