In short
This episode of Squawk Pod (“Angles of AI: Flexible Power, AI in Op-Eds, & Top Talent Moves 8/26/26”) covers: Bill Gates’ 12-page AI warning; Stanley Druckenmiller’s AI-assisted Wall Street Journal op-ed; OpenAI executive departures; Robert Reich’s views on AI, jobs, wealth taxes, and U.S. debt; and Emerald AI’s approach to making data centers flexible to ease power-grid strain.
Guests and backgrounds
- Robert Reich, UC Berkeley emeritus professor of public policy; former U.S. Labor Secretary under Bill Clinton; author of “Coming Up Short: A Memoir of My America.”
- Varun Sivaram, founder and CEO of Emerald AI; entrepreneur focused on AI data center power flexibility (Series A; unicorn valuation).
Key claims and examples
- Gates: “extreme turbulence,” “there is no plan,” AI could replace human relationships and cause major job losses; calls for domestic/international frameworks.
- Reich: major job losses (blue and white collar) and loss of human control; trade war with Canada raises prices and harms housing; wealth taxes are politically inevitable; stepped-up basis at death should be ended.
- Druckenmiller: confirmed using AI tools for writing; WSJ editorial raised authorship/credibility concerns.
- Emerald AI: software control enables temporal/spatial/battery flexibility; showcased 25% power reduction for 3 hours; London World Cup halftime “tea kettle” spike; claims unlock 100 gigawatts of capacity and avoids throttling mission-critical workloads.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOBill Gates' Warning on AI
0:28 to 0:45
Bill Gates discusses the potential dangers and benefits of AI in a new essay.
“One moment you're cruising along and the next there's a shipping snag that has you scrambling.”
Bill Gates' Warning on AI
2:26 to 5:00
Bill Gates discusses the potential dangers and benefits of AI in a new essay.
“It is Wednesday, August 26, 2026, and Squawk Pod begins right now.”
Stan Druckenmiller on AI in Op-Eds
5:00 to 11:18
Discussion on Stan Druckenmiller's use of AI in his op-ed and implications for writing.
“And I think the quote of the day that's going to be taken away from the essay is, quote, there is no plan.”
Reflections on AI and Creativity
11:18 to 14:00
Exploration of the impact of AI on writing, creativity, and authorship.
“Now, my the way I think, strunk and white elements of style, the fewest number of words.”
Exploring AI's Impact on Writing
14:00 to 16:48
Discuss the implications of AI in writing and creativity.
“So what's the difference between a speech writer or a second person doing it?”
Executive Changes at OpenAI
16:48 to 17:48
Overview of executive departures at OpenAI and their implications.
“Did it help me because I had to work so hard to get to the point where I understood it?”
Understanding the Trade War's Impact
18:30 to 23:01
Analyzing the economic ramifications of the U.S.-Canada trade war.
“The political reality today that the strongest forces in American politics are a kind of, well, they're populism.”
Affordability Crisis in America
23:01 to 25:03
Discuss potential solutions to the affordability crisis in the U.S.
“It's the watchword politically of the moment.”
The Case for Wealth Taxes
25:03 to 28:01
Debating the necessity and implications of implementing wealth taxes.
“Well, Andrew, the background of almost everything we're talking about is the political reality today that the strongest forces in American politics are a kind of, well, they're populism.”
Budgeting and Economic Disparities
28:01 to 36:55
Discussion on government spending and economic inequality in the U.S.
“And so because otherwise you have large family dynasties who are going to be carrying huge amounts of wealth from generation to generation to generation, that wealth builds steadily.”
Show all 15 chapters
Introduction to AI Data Centers
36:55 to 37:17
Preview of the upcoming discussion on AI data centers and energy usage.
“and what to do when the power grid starts to strain.”
Emerald AI's Solutions for Data Centers
38:34 to 42:01
Interview with Varun Sivaram on how Emerald AI optimizes data centers.
“The artificial intelligence startup Emerald AI has announced it's raised$150 million in a Series A funding ground.”
Unlocking AI Data Center Flexibility
42:01 to 45:31
Learn how Emerald AI is addressing the power supply-demand gap for AI data centers.
“and how related is that project to what you're trying to do?”
Power Supply Challenges and Solutions
45:31 to 48:21
Explore the challenges and solutions regarding power supply for AI and data centers.
“By the way, just finally, since you mentioned the asset class idea, we keep debating it and talking to people about it.”
Performance Assurance in AI Workloads
48:21 to 49:14
Understand how Emerald AI ensures performance while managing grid requirements during peak loads.
“We want to make sure, Becky, that you never notice the difference.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Trading at Schwab is now powered by Ameritrade, bringing you an expanding library of education with even more ways to sharpen your trading skills. Access new online courses, insightful webcasts, articles, engaging videos, and more. All curated just for traders. Plus, guided learning paths with content designed to fit your unique interests. And no sifting to find exactly what you need, so you can spend your time learning to trade brilliantly. Learn more at schwab.com slash trading. Every day as a small business owner feels like solving a puzzle. One moment you're cruising along and the next there's a shipping snag that has you scrambling.
0:35But here's a surprise you will like. With Progressive, small business owners save 10 % or more on their commercial auto insurance when they pay in full. So go ahead, surprise yourself. Get a quote in as little as 8 minutes at ProgressiveCommercial.com. Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and Affiliates. Discounts not available in all states or situations. Bring in show music please. This is Squawk Pod and I'm CMDC producer Cameron Costa. On today's episode, Bill Gates has issued a 12-page warning on AI. And legendary investor Stanley Druckenmiller has used AI in his latest Wall Street Journal op-ed.
1:15Oftentimes people like Stan Druckenmiller, who might write an op-ed in the journal, might hire a PR firm or a writer or a speechwriter to write the speech for them. So what's the difference between a speechwriter or a second person doing it or AI? Then former Labor Secretary Robert Reich joins us, and he's sharing his own concerns about AI. There are going to be major, major job losses, particularly not just in blue collar, but in white collar. But my second concern has to do with human beings losing control over AI. Plus, the economist's take on wealth taxes, tariffs and U.S. debt. Scott Besant may reject the notion of a K-shaped economy, but the fact of the matter is we do have a K-shaped economy.
2:00And finally, a conversation about flexible energy supply for data centers. CEO of Emerald AI, Varun Sivarum, had an idea. And the likes of NVIDIA, Samsung, and Salesforce have backed it. This is not a gimmick. There actually is. 100 gigawatts. Academic research shows us 100 gigawatts of available capacity if we can unlock it by making the data centers act in a different way. It is Wednesday, August 26, 2026, and Squawk Pod begins right now. Stand, Andrew, bye. In three, two, one, cue Andrew. Good morning and welcome back to Squawk Box right here on CNBC. We're live at the Nasdaq market site in Times Square.
2:43I'm Andrew Ross Sorkin, along with Joe Kernan. Becky's off today. White House is looking at imposing more trade penalties on Canada, including higher tariffs. This is a Bloomberg report that we're citing yesterday. Canada announced it's going to hit the U.S. with tariffs on$20 billion worth of U.S. goods. That's kind of a quid pro quo, if you remember that$20 billion number, because that matches President Trump's latest move. It's 5 % of the 900, whatever our trade is with Canada. And it's not nearly as much. It could ramp up and that could be a problem. But at this point, it's it's fairly it's a fairly small part of the U.S.
3:26economy, at least more so for the Canadian economy. The tariffs range from 15 percent to 50 percent. And they target things like dairy products, seafood and wood and paper products scheduled to take effect if you're waiting on September 18th. in a call with CNN yesterday. President Trump responded to a Canadian claim that the U.S. had made 11th hour demands in trade talks that caused the breakdown over the weekend. And the president said, that sounds like me. So I don't know, maybe that's a concession. In the meantime, we've got a warning coming this morning from Bill Gates regarding AI. The billionaire laying out his thoughts on AI in a new 12-page essay that he published on his website.
4:11Gates writes that the transition to AI will be marked by what he's describing as extreme turbulence and asks how the most vulnerable to AI's disruption can be protected. He says, in terms of equity, AI will either be the greatest equalizer ever invented or the worst source of injustice. The challenge is monumental. So Gates calls rising to that challenge the world's top priority, but faults leaders and experts for not planning ahead for a world that could contain far fewer jobs, he says, than exist today. He warns that AI could replace human relationships and empower people to do more harm. Though he also speaks of the upside of AI, including speeding up innovation in areas like health care and agriculture.
4:54Ultimately, Gates calls for designing a domestic and international framework for dealing with AI. And I think the quote of the day that's going to be taken away from the essay is, quote, there is no plan. And I think that is that is the question. Now, for the past couple of years, you've heard from people like Sam and Dario talking about potential job losses. And there's a whole view among others in the Valley that that it's not helpful to AI, that it's not right to be scaring people about AI. This is going to get sort of thrown into that. Somewhere in the middle, but I don't see how you can't be afraid of Bill Gates.
5:36I take with a grain of salt. I'm still really worried about, you know, being a big, huge tidal wave hitting me where I'm sitting right here in Times Square from climate change. And he kind of changed on that. So and he I don't not really impressed with. I know he's done a lot with, you know, trying to further human health, but there's certain things where he's lost his way in certain parts of vaccine. I don't know. Bill Gates, I take it with a grain of salt. I'm more interested in trying to talk to you about Dolly Parton because I'm so old. She was only 80 in tributes are pouring in because she looked the same.
6:20She never really changed, if you notice. And to lose someone shockingly like that. And you don't appreciate it. I didn't appreciate her until she's gone so many times. But my own personal remembrance is of a show that you probably have no idea about. Because I think it was in the 60s, Andrew. It was called The Porter-Wagoner Show. And it was like a syndicated. I have no idea. A syndicated. I thought of it as like a hick show from Nashville. It really was. And she started really as almost a sidekick doing a duet. And she wrote that amazing song that she's so well known for, the Whitney Houston cover.
6:56And she wrote that when she was trying to tell him, I'm leaving the Porter Wagner show after about six or seven years. And I'm no longer going to be just doing duets with you. I'm going out on my own. And she kind of wrote that for him. Apparently, I didn't know any of this. So I looked into it yesterday. And then you've got her 60-year marriage to this big, tall, handsome guy named Carl, who died last year. And it's always so sad when something like that happens. But I think now we're hearing something about that she had cancer or something. They have a tribute to pouring in from across the entertainment and business world for country music legend Dolly Parton died yesterday in Nashville.
7:35Her publicist said that the singer, as we just said, had faced a brief battle with cancer on social media. musicians including Mick Jagger, Reba McIntyre, Casey Musgraves, and Pink honored Parton, and many, many more did across all the cable networks. In New York City, the Empire State Building lit up in signature Parton Pink at 9.25 p.m. to honor the entertainer and her role in the film 9 to 5. Amazon founder Jeff Bezos weighed in on X, saying that Parton lifted Did everyone with her music, her generosity and her joy. Apple CEO Tim Cook said Parton's music helped light up the world. On true social, President Trump said U.S.
8:20flags would be lowered to half staff for a week. Parton, as you know, is known for her self-deprecating wit as well as her immense song production. Thousands of songs, apparently, but also for her philanthropy, promoting child literacy. She was 80 years old. And a couple other things, Andrew. I guess this song, Elvis was going to record, I will always say. And she wanted Elvis, wanted him, was so honored that he was going to record it. But his hard-ass manager, Colonel Tom, whatever his name was, wanted 50 % of the publishing rights for this song for him to record it. She said no. So later, she said that when Whitney did that cover, she made$10 million in royalties after Whitney Houston.
9:12And was able to buy Graceland with, or could have bought Graceland with the money. So she was a smart businesswoman as well, obviously. And an entrepreneur. And an extraordinary performer. An extraordinary person. People loved her. I was going to mention, you mentioned Jeff Bezos making a comment about her. he had donated$100 million to her for her to then donate to the rest of the world. He has something called the Courage and Civility Award, where he gives out$100 million to somebody every year. And there, they have to then give the money to somebody else. See, Buffett, you know, since the aforementioned Bill Gates isn't going to get any more Buffett's money, maybe this is an idea for, you know, the Dolly Parton.
9:54because she still has foundations that are involved in all kinds of things. Bringing it all back, full circle, back to what we were talking about before. I know you'd like that. Investing legend Stan Druckenmiller made waves with his Wall Street Journal op-ed criticizing the Treasury Department for announcing it will upsize the size of bond buybacks or just criticizing the whole idea even before they upsize it. Some pointed out that Druckenmiller's op-ed appeared to be written with the help of AI and Druckenmiller confirmed to the journal that that was the case. He noted he and his colleagues and in his family office all use the major AI tools, including for writing.
10:34Druckenmiller said, in his words, at 73, I'm kind of proud of using it. In an article, the journal's editorial page editor said, the question for us is whether what we publish from contributors reflects an author's original argument And if the author has the standing and credibility to make it, what's amazing is there's a way you can look at something. And I read yesterday four or five programs that will tell you whether there are all the earmarks of AI, which could only be based on it's so good and it's so much better than what a human could churn out. It's got to be AI, which brings us back to the scary Bill Gates thing, because AI can do things better than us.
11:18Now, here's the one thing. Now, my the way I think, strunk and white elements of style, the fewest number of words. Yeah, I know. Practice what you preach. If you can be the brevity and say everything you want to say in the most elegant way, that's that's that's the way you do it. And A.I. is able to do that. Here's the quote yesterday that I think I read yesterday. Yesterday, let's say you want to say that the bond market is the governor for everything that Congress is bad at. And every basis point of artificial yield suppression is a subsidy to procrastination. That's 11 words. And it would take you paragraphs to say that.
11:59Would you not want our writers at this place to use AI? Are you telling me you wouldn't like that? So, first of all, I find this whole conversation fascinating. I'll say two things that I think are important. I fear that this debate over his use of AI, which I don't have a problem with, is overshadowing or taking away from the actual merits of what I thought was a very smart essay about what's happening in the bond market. I think it made it better. It made it easier to understand what he was saying. No, no, no. I'm not saying the AI. No, no. You think because people were talking about this. Yeah.
12:40The idea that there's a distraction taking place. No, no. There are people who are, frankly, in the maybe in the Treasury camp or other or others who are now using this to point away from the actual merits of the debate. Right. That he's using. OK. OK, so then the question becomes, but I think there's a real question about. So, like, I'm a writer. Right. Technically. Right. Supposedly a professional writer. I'm not a good writer. I am not using A.I. I use A.I. all the time. You're really good at that. But thank you. But and then there's a question of whether the public expects certain people to use their hands on the keyboard or not.
13:24And I think about this all the time. And it's a changing world. I don't know. It's a changing world. And so you said, you know, it's interesting. I think about an artist like Koons or Andy Warhol, who have effectively built factories where other people are doing their art, creating some of the beautiful art that they come up in their head with. What if you love a new band? What about the silly actress that's AI? People are going to, I mean, it's very hard to get there. These are the questions. However, in this case, I would say, you know, the other piece of this is oftentimes people like like a Stan Druckenmiller who might write an op-ed in the journal might hire a PR firm or somebody or a writer or a speech writer to write the speech for them.
14:08So what's the difference between a speech writer or a second person doing it? Or I'm assuming that James Patterson, by the way, in the future, who, you know, famously writes these exhaustive outlines and then hands it to a writing partner who then the writing partner goes off and writes it. You know, in the future, it might just the writing partner could be clawed. And how are we supposed to think about that? And also, does it matter who the person is? So Stan Druckenmiller is in the business world and is writing an op-ed. And maybe you think about it differently. If you hired an artist and told them to paint a drawing of Times Square for you and then you found out that they painted it in two minutes using AI, you might think differently.
14:50So these are the things that I think we haven't come to sort of grips with. When I read the piece yesterday, I thought it was both brilliant conceptually. I thought that I will tell you that good. Well, I thought there were a couple of sentences that I thought, OK, that that seems a little AI ish, but it didn't it didn't throw me. But I would say within the media and journalism circles and sort of writing circles, the idea that the journal, in this case, defended the publication, some people looked at it as a real watershed. Because, you know, even the policy at the journal has been not to use AI in the context of writing, using it for research.
15:28But we're talking op-ed here. And I thought the same thing. Maybe they don't want their front page reporters, you know, turning in AI stuff. But Druckenmiller, it's a different thing. But as you said, he's at a point where the credibility is so huge that he wants to get something out. The gist of what he wants to say is more important. Right. And you put his name on it and it's his it's his work. I don't look at that in an untoward way. Well, I just wonder what it means long term. And by the way, think about this one. Here we are talking about A.I. writing the piece. what happens when our AI agent is reading all the pieces?
16:08So we're going to have AI write things for us, and then some agent is going to read it for us, and we're going to be taken out of all of it. Last point, how much do you think not writing for the next generation is going to mean that their brains, our brains, are going to be less sharp? Well, you heard another analogy Stan used. yesterday was, you know, you think I'm doing long division by hand? Right. No, he uses a calculator. He uses a calculator. So the question is, did the calculator or like Google Maps make us? Did you take I knew how to do an integral calculator? And have I ever used it? No.
16:49Did it help me because I had to work so hard to get to the point where I understood it? Yeah, I think it did. And I I think there is a lot of things that aren't as rigorous as they were because of the calculator. So that's a question. I know. And does that make us a lesser. Does it make us less? And I don't know. That sort of, that gets at some of the Bill Gates stuff this morning, actually. Well, me like watching, you know, TV and Squawk Box, so I don't think it's affecting anyone at this point. Do you? Yeah. It's like, yeah, what's the... Yeah, we're all going to be, we're going to be total feebs at some point.
17:23Have our robots doing everything for us. Another high-profile departure at OpenAI. The Wall Street Journal reporting the company's head of data centers, Chris Malone, left last week. Malone joined OpenAI in March of last year. And in recent weeks, the company has now seen its chief revenue and chief operating officer leave. Top executive, Fiji SEMO, also, of course, departed the company for health reasons earlier in the year. Maybe I should say late last year. So questions about some of the executive ranks. We talked to Greg Brockman, the CEO, co-founder, I should say, of OpenAI and asked him about all this.
17:58And he really argued that what's happening at OpenAI right now in terms of some of these management changes we're seeing is for a different era of the company, especially as they start to think about moving into becoming a publicly traded company. That's something that could happen as early as this year, but more likely in 2027 after we see Anthropics IPO, which we're expecting to see in the next couple of months. Cheese will be next. Coming up on Squawk Pod, economist, author and former labor Secretary under President Bill Clinton, Robert Reich. The political reality today that the strongest forces in American politics are a kind of, well, they're populism.
18:42They're a kind of anti-establishment, anti-elitism. A conversation spanning U.S. debt, AI, jobs, wealth taxes, and so much more right after this break. Trading at Schwab is now powered by Ameritrade, bringing you an expanding library of education with even more ways to sharpen your trading skills. Access new online courses, insightful webcasts, articles, engaging videos, and more. All curated just for traders. Plus, guided learning paths with content designed to fit your unique interests. And no sifting to find exactly what you need, so you can spend your time learning to trade brilliantly. Learn more at schwab.com slash trading.
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20:21Welcome back to Squawk Pod with Joe Kernan and Andrew Ross-Orkin. Here's Andrew. Canada announcing retaliatory tariffs of up to 50 percent on$20 billion worth of U.S. imports and an escalation of the growing trade war between the two countries. Joining us right now to talk about all this, former Labor Secretary Robert Richie's UC Berkeley emeritus professor of public policy. Latest book coming up short, A Memoir of My America, is out in paperback this week. We've got to talk about so much. The trade war, wealth taxes, A.I., I want to hit everything. We haven't got a chance to talk to you in a long time, Mr.
20:56Secretary. So help us understand just your sense first of the trade war with Canada and whether you think. How damaging do you think this trade war is going to be for the U.S.? How much how damaging do you think it is for Canada? I think it's very damaging for both sides. Trade wars are very bad. They're bad for the economy. They're bad for American workers. They're bad for American consumers. They're bad for Canada. And to have a trade war with Canada, you know, if this were a joke, if this were sort of a Mel Brooks movie, that would be one thing. But it's not a joke. I think our president is simply lashing out because he wants to show dominance.
21:40He feels so trapped in Iran. He feels so trapped by so many forces that are now working against him that Canada is just an easy, easy mark for a bully. And that's what bullies do. They look for easy marks. What do you think the true economic implications are for us? Or do you think there's something else that's broader? I think the economic implications are rising prices. What I really, really worry about is home prices. You know, we have a housing sector that is already in trouble. And as Canadian wood products become even more expensive, forest products, you're going to see housing becoming, again, even more of a basket case.
22:29Add in the long-term treasuries, the effect on mortgage rates. Well, this is this is a major important sector of the economy that is a particular problem for young people trying to get into housing, into the housing market. I see this, the Canadian war, trade war as just irrational, completely and totally irrational. Let me ask you a question about affordability, because I think that's the watchword of the moment. It's the watchword politically of the moment. There's a whole bunch of folks, including the mayor of this city, that have successfully campaigned on affordability. And yet a lot of the approaches that have been discussed have included things like freezing rents, creating new supermarkets and things like that.
23:24And haven't, I would argue, focused on the supply part of the affordability problem. If you were to be able to solve the affordability problem in America, whatever you think that even is, how would you do it? Well, I would not do it with a trade war. I would not do it with tariffs. I would not do it with a major war in the Middle East. I think all of these things are actually making consumers more desperate and everything less affordable. I think the way you deal with the trade war is you stop it. The way you deal with the affordability crisis is to give consumers a little bit better deal. One of the biggest things that government can do and should be doing is to get the price of health care down.
24:11Now, for years, Andrew, we have talked about single payer. We've talked about Medicare for all. We know how much complete fraud and And and and and spending that is unnecessary is part of our health care system. Well, that would be one major, major place that I would go to even before I go to trying to end trade wars and deal with real wars in the Middle East. Let me ask you, we've been talking a lot about California recently and the big debate over wealth taxes. I follow you and a lot of things you say online and elsewhere. I'm curious about what you think is going to happen in that case, whether you think that the wealth tax is going to go through.
24:58But what do you think it means more broadly for the United States if it does? Well, Andrew, the background of almost everything we're talking about is the political reality today that the strongest forces in American politics are a kind of, well, they're populism. They're a kind of anti-establishment, anti-elitism. And a lot of that is being driven by the K-shaped economy. I don't care what Scott Besson says. We do have a K-shaped economy. Inequality is widening. Inequality of income and wealth. And that, you know, people understand. People, Americans don't, are not stupid. They know that more and more of the nation's wealth is being held in fewer and fewer hands.
25:44And so a wealth tax appeals to most people. Most of the polls show everybody is in favor of a wealth tax. I think in California, you know, I don't know whether we're going to get it because the governor, for I think political reasons, doesn't want to push on a wealth tax. And I say political reasons. I don't want to impugn his integrity. But I think that there is a lot of resistance in some reaches of the Democratic Party and obviously the Republican Party, because wealthy people are the funders of campaigns. gains. But the fact of the matter is that a wealth tax is very popular. It is it is we are going to see it inevitably.
26:24And in fiscal terms, in terms of balancing our budget or coming even halfway close to dealing with a 40 trillion dollar budget hole, we're going to have to raise taxes on the wealthy. But let me ask you this on the wealth tax itself, because I think there's a philosophical question, at least I have the question, about taxing unrealized gains. Meaning, I think there's a meaningful conversation to be had about, A, getting rid of all the loopholes, people who are taking loans against their stock, step-up basis at death, carried interest, 1031s. By the way, capital gains unto themselves. In an AI age, when we think about labor versus capital, I could I could make, I think, a fair argument that those rates could go up.
27:14I think the idea of taxing unrealized gains is actually a much bigger issue. No, I do. I agree with you completely. And I think it's a huge issue. And I think because we are now in an economy in which capital gains are really at the centerpiece of the division between the wealthy and the poor and the not so wealthy, The capital gains are going to be really in the crosshairs of of what everybody is going to be talking about when and if Democrats gain the majority in Congress. But I also think on the table ought to be getting rid of the stepped up basis at death rule, which I think, you know, if you don't like a wealth tax, then I think the next best alternative in terms of dealing with capital gains and also dealing with widening inequality is getting rid of the stepped up basis at death rule.
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28:10And so because otherwise you have large family dynasties who are going to be carrying huge amounts of wealth from generation to generation to generation, that wealth builds steadily. And you are seeing more and more of a difference, a difference, a disparity between the wealthy and everybody else, which aggravates many of the political tensions we're seeing in this country. Secretary, it's Joe. And we probably I think we've had this conversation. Twenty five years ago, maybe we've had the conversation for 20 for 80 years, Joe. I mean, this is not a new conversation, the two of us. And I just want to just broach the subject of spending.
28:56And I'm going to talk about a Wall Street Journal piece. But I just the numbers are so glaring, Mr. Secretary, about how much we raise historically. and how much we're spending. So how do we get to$40 trillion right now? And the other thing the journal says, the problem isn't tax cuts. It's that spending is way above historical norms. And here's the number. Even after the 2017 tax cuts and the one big beautiful bill, revenue is up 68 % since 2018, twice the rate of inflation, yet 20 percent is what we used to spend per year. We raise 17, we spend 20, but now we've been consistently spending just over 24 percent.
29:48And that is that's untenable. And all I hear from from a lot of people on your side of the aisle, Medicare for all, just layering on to more spending when that's where the real the real issue is, not not with revenues. How do you address that? I think you're right. We've been talking about this for 80 years or 90 years, you and I. But let me just say, well, there is a lot of studies that show that if we had a single pair of a single party payer, Medicare for all, it would be cheaper right now. So much of our medical costs are going into administrative costs, and that is unnecessary. Number two, we have a gigantic military.
30:29This I mean, if you want to talk about fraud, waste and abuse, go to the military. Look at what we are spending. Look at the amount of waste there in the military right now. We cannot possibly afford the kind of budget that the president is demanding with regard to continued military expenditures. Thirdly, and finally, it seems to me that the tax cuts, if you look particularly at the tax cuts starting with George W. Bush and then the two Trump tax cuts, if we hadn't had those tax cuts, which have gone disproportionately in terms of the benefits of those tax cuts to the wealthy in this country, if you hadn't had those, the ratio of debt to GDP.
31:16And that's really what we're talking about. The ratio of the debt to the national economy wouldn't be nearly as bad as it is right now. In fact, it would be probably closer to where it was about 20 years ago. And so let's be realistic about this. You know, there are places where we can cut spending. Yes. There are places where we have to raise taxes. Yes. And we have to raise taxes on the people who are in a position to pay those taxes, not average working Americans who are taking it on the chin and have continued to take it on the chin. But national defense, 8%. If you throw in all the entitlements and everything else in the mandatory spending and the interest on that, you're at almost 50%.
31:59So that's not the issue. And I just gave you numbers that said that revenue after the tax cuts and the big, beautiful bill is up 68%. We keep we got plenty of revenue. It's just that we never get rid of pandemic era relief. It seems like every time there's a new program, it's never pulled back when the crisis is over. So we're stuck with this bloated bureaucracy. And you've got to admit, Mr. Secretary, with what we've seen in various states with Medicare, maybe there's fraud in the defense business, but Medicare and actually the Affordable Care Act, ripe for abuses, Medicaid as well. Well, there may be.
32:43I'm sure there is a fraud, Joe, again, in Medicare and Medicaid. There is in every of these big programs. But also look at the amount we spend on the national debt. I mean, if you're talking about revenue and you're talking about expenditures, the big difference between the conversation you and I have had, you know, 10 years ago or 20 or 30 years ago, now we are spending a huge amount on interest payments that are going not to foreigners. I mean, only 30 percent of our of our of our of our T-bills and and national debt is being held by foreigners. 70 percent is being held by the United States, by Americans.
33:21And a big chunk of that is being held by very wealthy people. Instead of supporting the government with higher taxes, they're supporting the government by lending money. Again, it's very, very important to keep the large picture and the large frame in mind. You know, I think we can do much better in terms of health care, getting those costs down and also military. Those are huge, huge, huge expenditures every year. But I think we can also be realistic about the fact that we now have a part of our population that we never had before. That is a part of the population that has a great deal of the nation's wealth.
34:04And Scott Besson may reject the notion of a case shaped economy. But the fact of the matter is we do have a case shaped economy. And that's the people who are at the top have had that huge tax breaks, huge tax benefits. And that is not really where the future lies. At least you look almost identical the way when we used to argue. And I do, too. So, Andrew, you got to admit that. You look like when you're a labor secretary. I guess you feel like when I was like a labor secretary. I want to ask the secretary one other thing, because he's he was the labor secretary. And we've been talking a lot about A.I.
34:44and labor recently, including this essay that came out this morning from Bill Gates about his concerns. Just about how, as he says, quote, there's no plan as it relates to labor. How fearful or not are you of A.I. as it relates to what the employment picture is going to look like longer term? My two concerns about AI, Andrew, are number one, the employment effects. They're going to everything I've read, everything I've seen, every conversation I've had out here. And I'm in the middle of, you know, AI world here on the West Coast suggests to me that there are going to be major, major job losses, particularly not just in blue collar, but in white collar and professional areas of this country.
35:27And that's going to, well, it's going to require some sort of major, major programmatic and political response. But my second concern has to do with human beings losing control over AI. We're very close to that already. We saw last week with an AI program, an AI that actually escaped and started to invade, if you will, another AI program, another AI industry and company. It's the lack of human control that I worry about. And we're getting to a point, I think, two or three years from now are the best estimates I've seen that in two or three years we're going to have AI able to do the research and development on the next generation of AI without human intervention.
36:31And I don't know about you, but I don't, I mean, AI doesn't care about the biosphere. It doesn't care about human life. It doesn't care about preserving what we have. AI is just, you know, very soon it's going to be off on its own. Mr. Secretary, we've got to leave it there. It's always good to talk to you. We appreciate it very, very much. Thanks. Good to talk to you, Andrew. And Joe, good to talk to you. Coming up on SquawkPod, the data center energy appetite and what to do when the power grid starts to strain. Emerald AI's CEO, Varun Sivram, says he has the answer. We're not going to outbuild our way out of this supply-demand gap, but we can outsmart it.
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38:33Welcome back to Squawk Pod. This next conversation is an interview from earlier this week when Joe Kernan, Becky Quick, and Andrew Ross-Sorkin were on set all together with an entrepreneur working on an interesting and critical part of the AI ecosystem. The artificial intelligence startup Emerald AI has announced it's raised$150 million in a Series A funding ground. Its valuation has now hit unicorn status. of the company. It's backed by some big names, including NVIDIA, G, Vinova, and individuals, including John Doerr and Tom Steyer. Joining us right now is Emerald AI's founder and CEO, Varun Sivaram.
39:08Good morning to you. Good morning, Andrew. This is the energy side of the AI complex. We keep talking about sort of data centers and what's going on. But for those who don't know, and it's hard to understand some of this, explain exactly what you guys do. Thanks, Andrew. Emerald AI transforms AI data centers into flexible grid allies capable of reducing their power demand when the grid is stressed out. We solve three problems all at the same time. The race for power and AI as the United States tries to maintain its lead against China and the AI race. We get data centers connected faster because they're flexible.
39:47We keep rates down. We control affordability of energy for communities, and we keep the grid more reliable and protected against blockouts. Just explain how you do this. So this is a software-based system? Exactly. Emerald AI is a software control system to help an AI data center control its power when the grid's stressed out. Let's say it's a hot summer day in Phoenix, Arizona, and the grid says, hey, I need some support. An AI data center now can be a responsive ally by reducing its power in that moment. We've showcased a 25 % reduction for three hours. But how do you do that if all three of us are still prompting the models at the same rate we were three hours ago?
40:29Exactly. So there's three ways you can achieve this flexibility. The first is temporal flexibility. Maybe there's some stuff happening at that data center, fine-tuning models, for example, that can be slowed down or paused, we, for example, can reduce the clock frequency of the NVIDIA GPUs running at that facility. The second thing you can do is you can move AI workloads. Let's say, Andrew, you and Becky, as you mentioned, are asking ChatGPT questions at some rate. You expect answers back. Well, we can move AI work, and we've done this. We've showcased between Virginia and Chicago, and the Virginia grid was tight.
41:02We moved queries from one location to another at the speed of light. And so you basically don't notice the difference. But that Virginia data center now can provide some relief back to the grid. And the third way is you might have a resource on site, a battery, let's say, and you can use that battery to reduce the grid draw. You do these three things together, temporal, spatial and resource flexibility. And that data center becomes a responsive grid ally. Let me ask you this. We keep talking about a number of companies who've come on in the past couple of weeks. And we were talking about the open router deal last week where there's a lot of folks who are putting in prompts, effectively token maxing, using a lot of energy on prompts and questions that they shouldn't be.
41:41So people using, you know, Fable to ask it the weather is probably a bad use of all of this. and so you now have these open router, RAMP, other companies that are effectively picking which model is being used per prompt. How effective is that and how related is that project to what you're trying to do? So of course, Andrew, efficiency is important. You know, we want to be energy efficient in how we use AI. But at the end of the day, we're not going to efficiency our way out of this issue, right? Between now and 2028, the demand for AI in America is 70 gigawatts. and we can only plug in 30 gigawatts of data centers onto the grid.
42:21At the same time, China just built over 500 gigawatts of new power capacity last year, 10 times what we did. We're not going to outbuild our way out of this supply-demand gap, but we can outsmart it. What Emerald AI does is makes the AI data centers flexible. We should continue to use lots of power for AI, whether it's low-token models, high-token models. Who are your customers? We make data centers flexible and get them larger and faster power connections. So data centers are our customers. Okay. In addition, we work with - So is that hyperscalers are hiring you? So we work with some of the world's biggest companies.
42:54Okay. We work with some of the global, our customers include global data center operator platforms, AI firms, and we also work with power utilities because power utilities want more flexible data centers that are going to come onto their grid, but they're not going to trigger very expensive grid upgrades. But the software resides where? In the data center. It lives inside the data center. So when you say you work with an energy company, that's what I was trying to understand. It's not that you can put your software at the energy company. You have to put it inside. I'll give you an example. So because we make these data centers flexible, they become allies, friends to the grid.
43:29The grid's really like this. So Silicon Valley Power, a utility in the heart of Silicon Valley, has worked with Emerald, partnered with us, to roll out a flexible load interconnection program. That means they've got 60 data centers in their territory. If you want more power, you don't have to wait 10 or 12 years anymore. You can get it overnight if you're willing to be flexible. And one way to do that is to use Emerald AI software in that data center. Who are you competing with? Look, I think we're creating a new category here. I'm sure, but who else is doing anything like this? I will say that Google has been a long-term pioneer in this field.
43:59I don't consider them a competitor. They're a leader, a visionary, and they have, for their own data centers, made them flexible. Let me ask you a different question, because NVIDIA is a big investor in your company. There is a massive question in the marketplace right now about what's described as circular financing, right? all of the various companies that they are putting money in. They're putting money into the LLMs. They're putting money into some of the data centers themselves. They're putting money into companies like yours. And whether all of those things we heard that they may put money into perplexity yesterday, sometimes it's described now as the central bank of AI.
44:35Whether you think that's good or bad and whether you think there is a circular financing element to this, because the more I think about it, the more I think to myself, if the data centers are buying your product, if NVIDIA is effectively giving you money so that you can work, then you also have the data centers giving you money. They are buying the NVIDIA. I mean, the whole thing is just one big circle. And the question is, is that a problem or not? Ultimately, this AI boom depends on durable, real demand for tokens of artificial intelligence. I happen to believe that there is real external durable demand for this.
45:09And what Emerald does is unlock the power grid so that we can get those data centers connected. Look, we're delighted with our NVIDIA partnership and super grateful. NVIDIA, as you know, has this new announcement with their$500 billion platform for a new asset class. These AI factories or AI data centers. Emerald software integrates deeply with that to make them flexible. We can unlock 100 gigawatts on the grid today. By the way, just finally, since you mentioned the asset class idea, we keep debating it and talking to people about it. Some people who think it's an absolute asset class, other people who are more skeptical.
45:39What is your sense, not just over the next five years, because over the next five years, it is clear that we are going to have a shortage, I think, of chips, which will make the value of older chips more valuable. The question is when and if we ever get to a place where we can get enough new chips online, what it does to the value of the older chips. I want to be clear, Andrew. I don't think chips are going to be the bottleneck between now and 2030. It's power. And the reason this is important is, again, the supply-demand gap for us, that 50 gigawatts by 2030 in power, determines whether the United States can build enough data centers to keep up.
46:15I'm reading this now. You're right. Ten times the amount of power added in China. And you know what? They're doing 500 gigawatts of coal, and it's all permitted. It's all ready. They've got all the permits. Everything is ready to go. So they can do things over there we can't do here. And to be clear, Joe, we should be building a lot more energy. I'm a big fan. But alongside it, let's unlock this 100 gigawatts we've got ready today on our existing power grid. From what you're doing? From flexibility, we unlock that. That's 100 gigawatts. And I'll give you the proof point. You know, not only have we done these five demonstrations around the world, London, Portland, Phoenix, we also are now deployed at full multi-megawatt data center scale.
46:54And later this year, we'll launch a 100-megawatt, multi-billion dollar AI factory with NVIDIA and digital realty that's flexible. To me, this sounds like cutting Medicare by looking for fraud and waste. It sounds good, but you can really do it. 100 gigawatts just from what you— It sounds too good to be true, right? But this is not a gimmick. There actually is 100 gigawatts. Academic research shows this, 100 gigawatts of available capacity, if we can unlock it by making the data centers act in a different way. Traditionally, the grids and communities work for data centers. This is a way to have data centers work for grids and communities.
47:29Because, by the way, in addition to unlocking all that power and competing with China, you actually keep rates affordable by avoiding having to expensively overbuild the power grid. Does it throttle any of the information or the queries that we're looking for in it? Precisely. So as we were talking about with Andrew, if you say it's a hot summer day, or I'll give you another example. In London, where we did a demo, we all watched the World Cup. at halftime of the soccer game, the football game, they all turn their tea kettles on. A gigawatt of load spikes on the grid. We worked with the Nebius AI factory with NVIDIA chips, and National Grid said, hey, please reduce your power at halftime when the tea kettles go on.
48:02We reduced power. Now, your question is, does that throttle work? It can. You can throttle chips or workloads, slow them down, only the ones that the customer's okay with slowing down, or you can move some to other locations, or you can run local batteries or other energy resources. Doing them all three in an orchestrated way. that I'm not going to get my answer as quickly? We want to make sure, Becky, that you never notice the difference. There are so many different workloads with different performance characteristics that the ones that you're okay, the fine-tuning run you expected tomorrow, the training run you expected next week, those are the ones that get slowed down.
48:35But the thing that you want right now, Becky, your mission-critical AI workload does not get throttled. We published this research in one of the world's top scientific journals, Nature Energy, saying we can assure the performance of mission-critical customer workloads while precisely meeting what the grid needs, which could be lightning strikes and there's an equipment malfunction and the grid needs some relief. We responded within 30 seconds in London in that demo. It's kind of like my Nest. I have a Nest product for the house that does the temperature and it tries to be more efficient, but it is warmer during certain parts of the day because it's trying to save energy.
49:13Thank you. It's fascinating. We'll talk more about it, I'm sure. Thank you. That does it for Squawk Pod today. Thank you for tuning in, as always. Squawk Box is hosted by Joe Kernan, Becky Quick, and Andrew Ross-Sorkin. Weekday mornings on CNBC starting at 6 a.m. Eastern and going all the way until 9. You can catch the best bits of that three-hour broadcast, plus a little extra, if you tune in here on Squawk Pod wherever you listen to podcasts. We'll meet you right back here tomorrow. Have a great day. We are clear. Thanks, guys.
50:18Spend your time learning to trade brilliantly. Learn more at swap.com slash trading.
From the publisher
Labor Secretary under President Clinton Robert Reich discusses the tariffs between the U.S. and Canada and AI’s impact on the workforce, as well as wealth taxes, the rise of populism in the U.S., and the K-shaped economy that he says is driving them both. One of the largest hurdles for AI and the data center race is power. Emerald AI CEO Varun Sivaram has built a solution in flexible power sourcing to ease strain on the grid, and backers like Samsung, Nvidia, and Salesforce have bet on his success. Plus, Bill Gates has issued a lengthy warning on AI, Stanley Druckenmiller has used AI in a Wall Street Journal Opinion piece, and OpenAI says goodbye to more top tech talent.
Robert Reich 20:40
Varun Sivaram 39:20
In this episode:
Joe Kernen, @JoeSquawk
Andrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkin
Cameron Costa,
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