Expanding Trump Accounts with IRS CEO & SSA Commissioner 07/16/26

16 Jul 2026 · 30 min · 15 chapters

Ask about this episode

Ask anything about it. ChatGPT or Claude reads this page and answers with the times it was said.

Connect VO and ask about every podcast you hear, including the moments you saved. Add to ChatGPT · Add to Claude

In short

The episode (Squawk Pod) covers two main segments: (1) “Trump Accounts” expansion and government modernization, and (2) market/business updates including Netflix earnings expectations.

Guests

Frank Bissignano (Frank Pizzignano), CEO of the IRS and Commissioner of the Social Security Administration, and analyst Robert Fishman (Moffett Nathanson) on Netflix. Key claims by Bissignano: Trump Accounts launched July 4; 6.5M families signed up; goal is 70M children under 18; $1,000 per baby born for four years; “digital-first” modernization at IRS/SSA; IRS/SSA can do more with less via technology; SSA fixed a Social Security Number database with a found ~10% error rate; phone answering time reduced from 40 minutes to 1. He says the program’s intent is index-fund investing (S&P) rather than holding donated single-company shares. Fishman claims Netflix has won subscription wars; growth sustainability depends on engagement; expects ad revenue to rise (from ~$3B to >$9B by 2030) and more sports investment.

Notable examples

Uber’s $14.8B Delivery Hero acquisition; U.S. 25% tariffs on most Brazil imports; Argentina beating England 2-1 to reach the World Cup final.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Tariffs on Brazil: U.S. Trade Policy

0:00 to 0:24

Discussion on the new tariffs imposed on Brazil and its implications.

“Bring it all together with EverPure, the platform that acts like a living system, delivering the latest in data performance, security, and innovation without ever slowing you down.”

Tariffs on Brazil: U.S. Trade Policy

0:33 to 0:53

Discussion on the new tariffs imposed on Brazil and its implications.

“including projected stock updates, monetary policy decisions, and key results and statistics that may impact your trading.”

Tariffs on Brazil: U.S. Trade Policy

2:05 to 3:39

Discussion on the new tariffs imposed on Brazil and its implications.

“Welcome to Squawk Box right here on CNBC.”

Trump's Stance on Iran and Oil Prices

3:39 to 4:34

Analysis of Trump's comments regarding Iran and its effect on oil prices.

“We got to talk about what's happening in Iran.”

Uber's Acquisition of Delivery Hero

4:34 to 5:32

Details on Uber's strategic acquisition to expand its market share.

“Let's check out where crude presses are in 79, so below 80, which might be a little bit surprising, I guess.”

World Cup Highlights and Reactions

5:32 to 7:16

Recap of World Cup matches and fan reactions, particularly England vs. Argentina.

“So big conversation to understand sort of where Uber goes with all this.”

Future of the Safety Net: Trump Accounts

7:16 to 9:55

Introduction to Frank Pizzignano discussing the Trump Accounts initiative.

“in previous, I guess, matches, they've complained that they got too defensive, and that's what they're complaining about the coach yesterday.”

Future of the Safety Net: Trump Accounts

10:39 to 10:59

Introduction to Frank Pizzignano discussing the Trump Accounts initiative.

“including projected stock updates, monetary policy decisions, and key results and statistics that may impact your trading.”

Trump Accounts: Expanding Financial Literacy

10:59 to 14:00

Discussion with Frank Pizzignano on the goals of the Trump Accounts program.

“You're listening to Squawk Pod from CNBC with Joe Kernan, Becky Quick and Andrew Ross Sorkin.”

Exploring Trump Account Investments

14:00 to 24:10

Learn about the various investment strategies involving Trump accounts for children's futures.

“I know it's for certain kids in certain areas, for certain areas.”
Show all 15 chapters

Analyzing Netflix's Business Strategy

25:06 to 28:00

Understand the current challenges and strategic moves of Netflix in the streaming market.

“I'm Becky Quick along with Joe Kernan and Andrew Ross Sorkin.”

Exploring Netflix's Growth Strategies

28:00 to 29:29

Discussion about Netflix's potential growth through ad-supported services and acquisitions.

“How can they use that in a different way by bringing in some bundling or even launching a fast channel and competing head to head with some of the other free engagement that's out there with YouTube?”

The Future of Streaming Acquisitions

29:30 to 31:09

Analyzing the possibility of Netflix acquiring other studios and the implications for their business model.

“But would you like to see Netflix buy NBC Universal if they could?”

Market Position and Stock Dynamics

31:10 to 32:49

Evaluating Netflix's market cap, stock performance, and overall business sustainability.

“Bringing Peacock, which is just in the U.S., can they bring that around the world and start to monetize their scale in a completely different way?”

Personal Viewing Habits and Recommendations

32:50 to 33:26

Hosts share their current shows on Netflix and personal viewing experiences.

“And at this price, it's a very attractive entry point.”
Hear the part that matters, and keep it.Open this episode in VO. Double tap your headphones to save a moment as you listen.
Get VO free

Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Robert Fishman:Your data lives everywhere. On-prem, in the cloud, across apps. Bring it all together with EverPure, the platform that acts like a living system, delivering the latest in data performance, security, and innovation without ever slowing you down. Sophisticated enough to anticipate your ever-changing data needs, yet simple enough to feel like second nature. Tame your data chaos with EverPure and make storage and data management the simplest part of your business. Visit everpuredata.com to learn more. This episode is brought to you by Schwab Market Update, an original podcast from Charles Schwab. Join host Keith Lansford for this information-packed daily market preview delivered in 10 minutes or less, including projected stock updates, monetary policy decisions, and key results and statistics that may impact your trading.

0:47Robert Fishman:Download the latest episode and subscribe at schwab.com slash marketupdatepodcast or find Schwab Market Update wherever you get your podcasts. Bring in show music, please.

1:25Frank Bisignano:the single stock focus.

1:28Robert Fishman:Streaming giant Netflix is poised to report latest financial performance. What its 300 million plus subscribers need to know, analyst Robert Fishman. We do think it's a good buy here, a great buy. And I think the attractiveness of the stock position today is this question, whether or not the growth is sustainable. Plus, new tariffs on Brazil, an Uber-sized deal, and watching the rock stars watching the World Cup. Did you see how perfect that? Oh, had the placement. That perfect. Yeah. It's Thursday, July 16th, 2026. Squawk Pod begins right now. Stand Becky by in three, two, one. Cue it, please.

2:10Robert Fishman:Good morning, everybody. Welcome to Squawk Box right here on CNBC. We are live from the Nasdaq market site in Times Square. I'm Becky Quick, along with Joe Curtin and Andrew Ross Sorkin. Meantime, the U.S. has levied 25 percent tariffs on most imports from Brazil, effective next week. It concluded a year-long investigation into alleged unfair trade practices, including ordering American tech firms like X, Meta and Google to remove certain political content and suspending accounts of U.S. residents of society of Brazil's preferential tariffs from Mexico and India, weak intellectual property enforcement and ethanol market barriers.

2:47Robert Fishman:Certain Brazil goods will be exempt from those tariffs. Those include beef, orange juice, aircraft, aircrafts and other parts and some energy products. In a statement, Brazil's president rejected the tariff decision as groundless and vowed to initiate countermeasures. Now, President Trump has been seeking to reassert his authority over trade. This, of course, after the Supreme Court struck down what was those previous tariffs, including a 50 percent tariff at that time on Brazilian goods. What we're now seeing, of course, is the administration going through the process of trying to evaluate each country on a country by country basis.

3:22Robert Fishman:That appears to have a more grounding, grounded legal basis. The question, of course, is there's questions probably within even even something like this on the grounding of some of those things and then what Brazil does to retaliate. And I guess we're going to talk about oil. We got to talk about what's happening in Iran. Early this morning, Iran warned that it would crush key targets in the Middle East if President Trump carried out his threats to target Iran's infrastructure. On Tuesday, President Trump said if a diplomatic breakthrough isn't achieved by next week, then the U.S. would target Iran's power plants and bridges.

4:02Robert Fishman:And speaking yesterday at the Pennsylvania Defense and Innovation Summit, President Trump addressed the impact of the war on the price of oil. A lot of people thought oil would go up to$350 a barrel, and today it's at$79. A couple of days ago, it was at$68. It went up a little bit because I had to take tough action, because they did not obey what they're supposed to obey. I mean, they just didn't do it. So we took a little action, but when that settles down, I think you're going to have$55 oil, which is all great for what you're doing, maybe less than that. Let's check out where crude presses are in 79, so below 80, which might be a little bit surprising, I guess.

4:48Robert Fishman:I was actually surprised to say that this morning. Yeah, a bit surprised it is. Uber buying a German food delivery company, Delivery Hero, for$14.8 billion. It's a big deal to create the world's largest delivery firm outside of China. Uber made that acquisition conditional on a minimum acceptance threshold of 50 percent plus one share. It's offering$47.58 per share in cash for that company, roughly a 34 % premium to the stock's three-month average share price. Now, as part of the deal, Delivery Hero will divest businesses in 14 markets where the companies overlap to U.S. investment firm SSW Partners.

5:27Robert Fishman:So that's interesting. Delivery Hero has a much larger area than just Germany where they're delivering. Yeah, all over. Yeah. All over. It's a big premium, too. So big conversation to understand sort of where Uber goes with all this. The New York Yankees earned advanced talks with Apollo Global Management to raise about$3 billion of financing. That's according to multiple reports that say the two sides are discussing a package that includes mostly debt and some equity. So we're seeing private equity world increasingly move into the world of sports. And in World Cup news, once again, Argentina really showing you how great watching soccer can be.

6:07Robert Fishman:Not if you're a fan of England, obviously. But Argentina defeated England 2-1 yesterday in Atlanta to advance to the World Cup final. Sunday at 3 p.m. England was ahead late in the game. I guess we're calling it the middle part of the second half. But Argentina scored two late goals to win the game. You could see Messi just, but once again, sort of just decide I'm not going to let this happen. Spain advanced Tuesday, defeating France. Spain only allowed one goal through the whole tournament. The final matchup, as I said, meant life, 3 p.m. in New Jersey. And 58 % of the people are actually betting on Calci on Spain, winning the World Cup.

6:50Robert Fishman:I don't know whether that's – it's tough to go back-to-back. That's what it would be for Argentina. and if you go on social media, the rage and just disappointment for the, I guess they're called the Three Lions or something, I don't know. I'm not a big watcher, but the Three Lions, this was everybody's chance that's a fan of English soccer. And they invented the game and haven't won, the sport haven't won since the early 60s, I think. And they really felt like they had it. in previous, I guess, matches, they've complained that they got too defensive, and that's what they're complaining about the coach yesterday.

7:34Robert Fishman:Three substitutions after they were ahead, the game sort of moved to their side, and they were, instead of attacking, they were trying to play not to lose instead of playing to win, and people are just furious at this coach. And he said, hey, look, whenever you lose, people are going to be mad you lost and I can take it and stuff like that. But it seems like it might be more than this. I saw some stuff on Twitter, people just cursing and, you know, on a podcast or something as it was happening, because it was one to nothing. I was watching the guy goes, no, no, don't substance, you know, don't do that.

8:12Robert Fishman:And they go, I knew it. You saw, I guess, I saw Mick Jagger. When Messi did the last assist that got knocked in, he went, oh,

8:22Frank Bisignano:Had the placement?

8:23Robert Fishman:That perfect, yeah. And the goal to tie it was like a bender. Yeah. That just made the corner. Can't believe I watched that. I watched the whole game. Cheese will be next. Coming up on Squawk Pod, the future of the safety net. We have the man who runs Social Security and also, coincidentally, the tax authority, the IRS, Frank Bissignano.

8:46Frank Bisignano:We don't have a funding problem, right? Like we have a get work done problem and you know me, you know my history, right? We know how to get work done. We can do more with less. But technology is a great enabler.

9:03Robert Fishman:For adults with Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis symptoms, every choice matters. Tremphaya offers self-injection or intravenous infusion from the start. Tremphaya is administered as injections under the skin or infusions through a vein every four weeks, followed by injections under the skin every four or eight weeks. If your doctor decides that you can self-inject Tremphaya, proper training is required. Tremphaya is a prescription medicine used to treat adults with moderately to severely active Crohn's disease and adults with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis. Serious allergic reactions, increased risk of infections or lower ability to fight them, and liver problems may occur.

9:44Robert Fishman:Before treatment, get checked for infections and tuberculosis. Tell your doctor if you have an infection, flu-like symptoms, or need a vaccine. Explore what's possible. Ask your doctor about Tremphaya today. Call 1-800-526-7736 to learn more or visit TremphayaRadio.com.

10:06Robert Fishman:Good morning, students. Soccer teaches us teamwork, leadership, geometry, art, physics, and a lifetime of lessons we can take with us long after we leave the field. That's why Bank of America and U.S. Soccer are committed to helping bring soccer to every school. Soccer is officially in session. Raise your hand to help bring soccer to schools at bofa.com slash soccer at schools. This episode is brought to you by Schwab Market Update, an original podcast from Charles Schwab. Join host Keith Lansford for this information-packed daily market preview delivered in 10 minutes or less, including projected stock updates, monetary policy decisions, and key results and statistics that may impact your trading.

10:53Robert Fishman:Download the latest episode and subscribe at schwab.com slash marketupdatepodcast or find Schwab Market Update wherever you get your podcasts.

11:05Robert Fishman:You're listening to Squawk Pod from CNBC with Joe Kernan, Becky Quick and Andrew Ross Sorkin. Stand by Joe. Here's Mike. Here. More than six and a half million families have signed up for Trump Accounts, which launched July 4th. Our next guest was just named to lead the expansion of the program. Joining us now, Frank Pizzignano, who also serves as commissioner of the Social Security Administration and the CEO of the IRS. You're sleeping at all, Frank?

11:34Frank Bisignano:Oh, yeah. Always. I have a few hours. Always up early, always ready.

11:39Robert Fishman:What is possible, in your view, if you're really successful with the Trump accounts? Where could we be a year or two from now in coverage?

11:47Frank Bisignano:I think, you know, it's very, very informative. Last evening, I had dinner with the CEOs of tax preparers and talked through their capability to distribute this product. And so you have to think about we have all types of distribution. We have the ability to enroll people very simply. And I think the objective is to have 70 million children under 18 and to have a Trump account. I mean, it's a great vehicle. It's generationally changing. It's bringing financial literacy to youth also. you know, we all can remember understanding a little bit about the market. Well, everybody has the opportunity, the fact that it's pro-family,$1 ,000 for a baby born, you know, for the next four years.

12:39Frank Bisignano:So I think we should have every family enrolled in a Trump account. I think that's the objective. And I think it's really capable. Financial planners, tax planners, right? The ability for us to distribute through banks, everybody. It's good for America, good for financial literacy, good for pro-family, landmark program for the secretary and president.

13:06Robert Fishman:The onboarding process, does that need to be made easier? Do you need more money? Does everyone need to step up corporate America and fund?

13:15Frank Bisignano:Well, you know, we have 50 companies. You know, Obviously, you saw what Michael Dell did and his family, and we're talking an hour a day on making that great and being the prototype for others. I think you're going to see a lot of philanthropists who want to do this and are waiting to watch how it rolls out for Michael. It's a startup business. Now, if you remember, I've run startup businesses. We built Clover to turn around first data, right? It's a technology business, really. And I think we're going to make it simple for people to enroll and simple for people to watch their money grow, invest in the S &P for young children.

13:54Robert Fishman:With the 50 companies that have given money with Michael Dell, with all the money he and his wife have given, how many kids do you cover versus all you're left?

14:03Frank Bisignano:Well, every one of these are different. Right.

14:06Robert Fishman:I know it's for certain kids in certain areas, for certain areas.

14:09Frank Bisignano:But I think you're going to end up with, given the order of magnitude, and many of these are$250, say, you know, celebrating$250, everybody has a different angle on it. I think this is why I'm so confident about the$70 million, ultimately. And we have lots of people standing on the sidelines prepared when they actually watch this for the next few months work very, very well. And, you know, I think I think we're in the startup phase. I'm on, you know, day two and a half.

14:41Robert Fishman:I love what it does about teaching kids about. I think it's great for long term to make sure you have something there when you retire. I mean, that that is something that's pretty exciting.

14:50Frank Bisignano:Yeah. I mean, it's a investment vehicle that, you know, donations can go into contributions you go into. I'm sure we all experienced at some point a niece, a nephew, a grandchild that you may have given a few shares of stock to. So they would learn here. America is doing it for these children.

15:10Robert Fishman:Frank, there's two questions. One about the recent effort. And this is we talked to Brad about this actually just two weeks ago. Gwen Shotwell gave her donation. The plan, at least as I understood it, was that that donation of shares in SpaceX would not just go into these funds and get turned into cash or get liquidated and turned into other mutual funds and the like. But the idea is that those kids who were getting those shares would ultimately keep those shares, hold those shares until they were 18 years old. there's something very attractive about that on one end but you know where i'm going to go because if you look at the law as at least it was written it seems to suggest that that is not what at least the intent of the law was there's some potential opening for the treasury secretary to give guidance and the like but it seems like the whole idea was to put people into diversified funds that also creates some uniquely strange incentives, because effectively, if you put, you know, if Warren Buffett were to put$100 billion of his shares, he could effectively park money, park those shares, rather, for 18 years without voting rights.

16:26Robert Fishman:I mean, there's a whole bunch. So I'm curious how you're thinking about that.

16:29Frank Bisignano:Well, how we're thinking about it. And of course, you know, there's the intent of the law, the law, and then there's always within that law, the secretary, who is my close partner in all these endeavors. Right now, we're working on getting the product launched and, you know, investing in the index fund for them.

16:54Robert Fishman:Right.

16:54Frank Bisignano:Right. That was the intent. You know how things are. Right. We're always working through details. This is this is fun seed money for youth with high finance on top of it. So stay tuned. But if you want to go to what we the intent is, the intent is to have them in a fund to be able to grow with the S &P. And you look at the 20 year growth pattern.

17:25Robert Fishman:But the whole effort to get a Warren Buffett or to get an Elon Musk or to get a Jensen or whatever to donate large swaths of their companies and then have those shares sit in those funds, is that is that the long term intent? Because that was at least as our understanding of the Gwynne Shotwell contribution, what was happening?

Read the full transcript

17:44Frank Bisignano:It's in process. OK. Right. I mean, I mean, you know, there's a lot of elements to this. But if you want to go to the core, you're going to say what we want these children to own is an index fund and see the growth of the index fund and not be single stock focused. Right.

18:05Robert Fishman:Can you can you imagine that there are certain people that in I'm sure that there are that just don't like this because it's it's called a Trump account. And I mean, TDS is a real it is. It's a real thing.

18:18Frank Bisignano:I report I report I report to the president and I have synergistic roles across the government. If you think about it with IRS, Trump accounts and SSA, they actually I like to say to people, if Jamie Dimon was looking at a company, had these, he'd have these all together so we could get the leverage and benefit.

18:39Robert Fishman:It sounds preposterous to think that someone wouldn't want to do this for their children just because they don't want to do something associated with. But it's the way it is in the country right now. It's sad to say. I mean, yeah, there could be probably half the S &P 500. You might have an issue with the company with just some of those. You just say, no, I'm not interested in doing this.

18:59Frank Bisignano:Well, you know, I mean, how do you overcome that? Look, when I took Social Security, I thought everybody wanted this fixed. Everybody wants us to fix the operations of it. It was it was a mess. But you learn that, you know, some people weren't happy about you fixing it because it wasn't who they wanted.

19:19Robert Fishman:And then we can get into the IRS question. Andrew has talked about this a lot. I'm going to go just based on what you just said is there's also people who don't want to fix the IRS, which is a lot of people, including myself, often say we should have better technological systems. It should be easier. The whole process should be better. And yet and there's been argument made. Studies have shown, you know, for every dollar spent, you actually collect the you collect more revenue and all of the things that you would think we should focus on, given that this is revenue entitled to. Here's where it gets into an issue, though, is customer service.

19:53Robert Fishman:Like we need it absolutely to be digitized and be easier to work. How do you make people who don't understand or who are fearful of that who can't get their phone call answered? How do you balance yourselves?

20:03Frank Bisignano:Well, you know, I think we've, I have approached all of this as a digital first opportunity. And then people, and of course we say we're going to meet clients where they want to be met. At IRS, we had hundreds of millions more online inquiries this year than last year. Wow. Hundreds of millions. Like a 60 % increase because we built better technology. The beauty is, you know, people talk about modernizing. I talk about transforming. We're not modernizing. We're not going to move from one form of data center to another. We're changing the client experience. Interact with us mobily. At SSA, we have over 100 million digital users.

20:51Frank Bisignano:That's more digital users than JPMorgan and Chase, JPMorgan and B of A combined, right? It's actually the largest digital financial service organization. It wasn't before.

21:04Robert Fishman:Would you like more funding, though? Because that's always been the question.

21:06Frank Bisignano:We don't have a funding problem, right? Like, we have a get work done problem. And you know me. You know my history, right? We know how to get work done. We can do more with less. But technology is a great enabler. It's not going to get done. And we bring in great technologists, right? Real CIOs that actually understand how to commercially drive outcomes and business people who are driving outcomes. And in that combination with good career people can get that type of outcome we did this IRS season. Are you going to fix our looming problems with Social Security? Well, I think I think we are fixing it.

21:51Frank Bisignano:Right. Funding problem. Well, I think the funding side. As you guys know, you know, I've taken on things in my career, whether at J.P. Morgan and the mortgage crisis, whether First Data, KKR's largest investment that was supposed to be bankrupt. It was an 07 LBO when we turned it into into a great company through technology. Right. And so what you learned when you got to SSA is its most important database where it was called numinant, not a phrase any human would know. So I call it now the Social Security Number Database, something humans can understand. Right. Was never reconciled. So you have 330 million plus records and you've never reconciled.

22:37Frank Bisignano:Well, we found a 10 % error rate in it, right, over the past year, toiling through it. So to me, once we finish the fixing, right, it used to take 40 minutes to answer a phone. Now it's one. Then we'll get to what the reality of has to be done. But think about what a good payment error rate is. It's 0.0001. And if you have a 10 percent core base operating challenge here and, you know, it was all about eliminated fraud, waste and abuse. It wasn't necessarily that people were getting Social Security payments and they were dead. It was that there was a live Social Security number that could be used all across America.

23:24Frank Bisignano:So I think as this thing will be done, we will then have a new look at what's the reality. Yeah. Anytime you're going to fix a business, you got to pick the core operations first before you can determine what the profitability model is.

23:41Robert Fishman:Do you think the age of retirement is going to have to be raised at some point? I don't.

23:45Frank Bisignano:You know, I'm going to fix it. I don't. I don't. Look, there's a whole bunch of people who are going to opine on this in the end. My job is to give them the best possible situation to make a set of decisions off of. And I think we're doing it really, really well. Commissioner, thank you. Hey, pleasure to see you guys, man. I miss you. Thanks to see you. Good to see you. Thanks.

24:10Robert Fishman:There's more Squawk Pod ahead. We'll be right back. Hey, Fidelity. What's it cost to invest with the Fidelity app? Start with as little as$1 with no account fees or trade commissions on U.S. stocks and ETFs. Hmm. That's music to my ears. I can only talk.

24:44Robert Fishman:Which are America's top states for business? Get all the data and complete state-by-state analysis. See how your state measures up. America's top states for business. See the full list now at topstates.cnbc.com.

25:03Robert Fishman:This is Squawk Pod. You're watching Squawk Box right here on CNBC. I'm Becky Quick along with Joe Kernan and Andrew Ross Sorkin. We're going to get Netflix numbers after the bell. Join us now with more on what investors could expect. Robert Fishman, he is Moffat Nathan's senior analyst. We talked about the stock, Robert. And we've seen this movie before. So we were at 134. This is even before Warner Brothers. So it started going down. Then they, I guess people thought they needed Warner Brothers. That's one of the reasons they got involved. So 134 down to the 120s. Now it's down at 73. There was a time it was before the split.

25:50Robert Fishman:It was 800 and went down below 200. So we've seen pullbacks. Is this more serious this time in terms of the remaining number one? We thought they won the streaming wars. And would people say that now, that they are the unequivocal winner? Well, I think it's clear that Netflix has won the streaming wars in terms of the subscription wars. You know, we've debated over the many years whether streaming is actually a good business. Michael Nathanson, who you know, my colleague. And we've determined that streaming for Netflix is really a good business. The question I think investors have from here is how much growth is going to continue.

26:28Robert Fishman:and there's a lot of focus on the engagement report that's also going to be coming out later today and there's a lot of worry around how they can continue to grow engagement going forward so I think that the narrative around Netflix has really shifted and now the question is how much more growth is to come. They look like they're doing things that indicate that they're worried about the model in terms of live sports or offering a bundle of other streaming services for engagement, and I've complained, you're not getting engagement because you have no good content right now. You've totally lost it, and you've got, and this is just me, I guess, but gratuitous woke content across the board, which you're losing half the country on a lot of that stuff, but do they have any idea how to bring back something like, I mean, I go to Apple, I go to even Warner Brothers, I see Slow Horse, there is HBO, there's quality programming.

27:27Robert Fishman:It's not on Netflix. I think Netflix is very much aware of the quality and continues to lean in on quality content. It's something that they're very focused about building. You mentioned sports. We've been talking about Netflix continuing to ramp up on their sports investment, and we would expect that to continue. More NFL games are coming, you know, this upcoming season. So there's a lot that we think Netflix can and should do. You mentioned broadening out beyond just the core business. We're expecting to hear some update around whether or not the company is willing to expand beyond just that core service and maybe bring in some bundling and use the power that they have, which is that global streaming scale.

28:12Robert Fishman:How can they use that in a different way by bringing in some bundling or even launching a fast channel and competing head to head with some of the other free engagement that's out there with YouTube? Would you want to see that or do you think that would ultimately undermine the value proposition of Netflix itself? I mean, we are in this. You're right. There's all these free channels that are popping up and having a lot of success. They're having to get into sports, meaning what you think they should be more into games, for example. Like, where would you go if you were really trying to grow the business?

28:44Robert Fishman:So I think we would. Long term, not short term. That's sort of the hard part. Correct. So in terms of growing that overall and using the power that they have, I would love to see them enter the free ad supported business. I think that's incremental and can help accelerate the advertising growth. You know, sitting here today, they're in the early innings of this advertising story. So we expect them to go from the three billion this year up to over nine billion by 2030. Advertising is just going to help accelerate this monetization story because people, investors, are worried about how quickly revenue can continue to grow and can margins continue to grow with that by investing, continue to invest in the content spend.

29:23Robert Fishman:Sports clearly expensive content, but at the same time, that's how you drive this overall flywheel. It probably can't happen for about three years for tax reasons and other things. But would you like to see Netflix buy NBC Universal if they could? I would love to see Netflix explore how to get just Universal and theme parks within NBC Universal. I don't think Netflix has any interest in getting into the linear business again. But don't you think you'd need that programming, meaning the sports that's on NBC and everything else, to make that work or no? I think if they got the ability to get the sports rights out of it without owning and controlling the linear assets, that would be a way to structure it, but that becomes a lot more difficult.

30:08Robert Fishman:Or turn it around. I can't imagine that happening, though. No, that would be tough. I'd like unicorns to fly me around back and forth. I don't know what you think is going to happen with all these state AGs on the Paramount deal, but if Warner Brothers were to somehow come back up and be available, do you think that Netflix should buy them? Paramount, you said? Not Paramount, but Warner Brothers. I think Netflix would very much be interested in acquiring studio and IP. I think that's why they were interested in the Warner Brothers deal. So do you want them to buy Sony? I don't think Sony is available for sale right now.

30:43Robert Fishman:I don't think so either. I'm just going through the permutations of what are the things out there that you think could actually change this dynamic, if you think this dynamic needs changing. Well, I think to the point, Netflix still has a lot of opportunity to grow organically. And that's why what we're looking for later today on the earnings is what other businesses are they looking to enter into by using that global scale in a different way? Can they enter into the whole channels business, streaming channels business, and start to sell different types of subscription services around the world?

31:17Robert Fishman:Bringing Peacock, which is just in the U.S., can they bring that around the world and start to monetize their scale in a completely different way? Robert, the street freaked out when Netflix got involved with the deal that they were going to go to go after Warner Brothers before. I don't know if they thought it was overpaying or if it was because the street said, wait a second, they think they need something else to do. Do you basically not want to hear them saying that they're going after other places, that you'd rather have them focus on what they're doing internally? Well, I think it's incumbent upon them to always explore what's out there.

31:52Robert Fishman:I think the Warner Brothers deal was a unique deal back to that point. and the company separated their assets so that it was attractive for Netflix to just look at that studio and streaming asset. So 300 billion, and I'm not comparing Comcast and getting rid of NBC, that's$80 billion. I mean, is Netflix worth four times what Comcast is worth right now? Well, we can get into Comcast, you know, Craig Moffitt. Don't even get into it. Yeah, you don't need to get into that. But I'm just saying it's still worth it's still got a really high market cap if you don't think they're going to be able to find growth opportunity.

32:32Robert Fishman:Or do you think it's a great buy here? We do think it's a good buy here, a great buy. And I think the attractiveness of the stock position today is this question whether or not the growth is sustainable. We see it as very sustainable. We think it is a good business ultimately coming back to that. and we see, you know, 20 % plus earnings growth. And at this price, it's a very attractive entry point. You watch TV? I do. It's just Squawk Box or? Only Squawk Box. God bless. What are you watching? Anything on Netflix? Got anything for me on Netflix? Anything? I'm still playing catch up with my young kids.

33:08Robert Fishman:So we're watching Diplomat right now. Good show. Good show. Deborah Kahn. She wrote it. It's a great show. Yeah. Okay. Where's Widow Bay? That's kind of okay. Is that Netflix? That's Apple. See? Even when I only say kind of good. Okay. Thank you. And that is Squawk Pod for today. Thanks for listening, as always. Squawk Box is hosted by Joe Kernan, Becky Quick, and Andrew Ross Sorkin. Tune in weekday mornings on CNBC at 6 Eastern to get the smartest takes and analysis from our TV show right into your ears. Please follow Squawk Pod wherever you get your podcasts. Have a great day. We'll meet you right back here tomorrow.

33:50Robert Fishman:We are clear. Thanks, guys.

34:17Robert Fishman:Investing involves risk, including risk of loss. Zero account fees apply to retail brokerage accounts only. Zero dollar commission does not apply to customers designated by Fidelity as a professional equity trader. A limited number of ETFs are subject to a service fee of$100. See details at Fidelity.com slash commissions. Fidelity Brokerage Services, LLC. Member NYSE SIPC.

From the publisher

Frank Bisignano serves as Commissioner of the Social Security Administration & CEO of the IRS, and now he’s being tapped to lead the expansion of Trump Accounts. In an extended interview, the Commissioner discusses stock donations to Trump Accounts and the tech transformation within the IRS.  Netflix shares are down over 40% for the past 12 months, but MoffettNathanson analyst Robert Fishman says the stock is a buy ahead of its earnings report. Plus, after a victory over England, Argentina will face off with Spain in the World Cup Final, the New York Yankees are reportedly in talks with Apollo Global Management to raise more money, and global energy markets are digesting the latest action in Iran. 

 

Frank Bisignano - 10:49

Robert Fishman - 25:32

 

In this episode:

Joe Kernen, @JoeSquawk

Becky Quick, @BeckyQuick

Andrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkin

Katie Kramer, @Kramer_Katie


Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

More from Squawk Pod

All 546 episodes
Expanding Trump Accounts with IRS CEO & SSA Commissioner 07/16/26Squawk Pod · 30 min
Listen in VO