Palantir CEO Alex Karp & Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent 11/4/25

4 Nov 2025 · 49 min

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Squawk Pod - Episode Summary: Palantir CEO Alex Karp & Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (11/4/25)

Episode Overview In this episode of Squawk Pod, hosts Joe Kernen, Becky Quick, and Andrew Ross Sorkin discuss significant political and economic developments, featuring interviews with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Palantir CEO Alex Karp.

Key Topics

  • Supreme Court Hearing on Emergency Tariffs
  • The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments regarding the Trump administration's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEPA) for tariffs.
  • Secretary Bessent defends the emergency measures, citing economic conditions and national security.
  • Palantir's Quarterly Earnings
  • Palantir reports strong Q3 results, but faces skepticism from investors about AI valuations.
  • CEO Alex Karp addresses concerns from short sellers, emphasizing the company's value to the U.S. economy and its alignment with American interests.
  • Political Landscape and Notable Events
  • The episode coincides with Election Day in the U.S. and discusses the recent passing of former Vice President Dick Cheney.
  • Norway’s sovereign wealth fund's opposition to Elon Musk’s pay package is highlighted, illustrating tensions in corporate governance.

Detailed Notes

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Interview (Starts at 15:07)

  • Emergency Measures Defense
  • Bessent argues that the use of the IEPA is justified due to several crises affecting the economy, including trade deficits and supply chain issues.
  • He discusses the need for the President to have negotiating authority during emergencies.
  • Concerns About Executive Power
  • Discussion regarding potential future implications of expanding presidential powers, especially regarding tariffs and trade policy.
  • Bessent acknowledges the historical context of tariff authority and the balance of power between the presidency and Congress.
  • Government Shutdown
  • The ongoing government shutdown (35 days in) is affecting various sectors, including airlines and food assistance programs.
  • Bessent calls for bipartisan negotiations to resolve the shutdown.

Palantir CEO Alex Karp Interview (Starts at 35:19)

  • Response to Investors and Analysts
  • Karp addresses criticisms from short sellers and analysts skeptical of Palantir’s high valuation.
  • Emphasizes Palantir’s success and its role in driving GDP growth through AI innovations.
  • Critique of Expert Opinions
  • Karp highlights a divide between retail investors who believe in Palantir’s vision and experts who are skeptical, arguing that the latter often miss the broader economic impacts.
  • Future of AI and Worker Inclusion
  • Discussion touches on the importance of ensuring that AI advancements benefit the broader workforce and society, not just wealthy stakeholders.
  • Karp posits that understanding "worker available GDP" is critical for equitable economic growth.

Notable Events and Insights

  • Political Context
  • Former Vice President Dick Cheney's passing is acknowledged, marking a significant moment in U.S. political history.
  • The hosts discuss the implications of local elections in New York City and beyond, with various potential outcomes for national politics.
  • Corporate Governance Issues
  • The episode discusses Norway's sovereign wealth fund's decision to vote against Elon Musk's pay package, highlighting global interest in corporate governance and executive compensation.

Key Takeaways

  • Economic Policy and Power
  • The use of the IEPA highlights ongoing debates about executive power in economic policy and its implications for future administrations.
  • AI's Role in Economy
  • Karp's defense of Palantir stresses the transformative potential of AI for American workers and the need for equitable access to its benefits.
  • Political Climate and Corporate Responsibility
  • The discussions reflect broader political tensions and the need for accountability in corporate governance amidst shifting economic landscapes.

Closing Remarks This episode of Squawk Pod captures essential insights into the current economic and political climate, emphasizing the intersection of government policy, corporate governance, and technological advancement. The dialogues from Bessent and Karp offer diverse perspectives on navigating these complex issues.

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Transcript

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0:00Bring in show music, please. This is Squawk Pod and I'm CNBC producer Cameron Costa. On today's episode, Treasury Secretary Scott Besant is ready for the Supreme Court hearing on President Trump's emergency tariffs. There are lots of other authorities that can be used, but AIPA is by far the cleanest and it gives the U.S. and the president the most negotiating authority. He says an economic tipping point merits emergency measures. IEPA is an emergency authority, and we were in an emergency situation. And Palantir CEO Alex Karp has a sharp message for critics. Most of GDP growth in this country is because of AI.

0:49The real question is, how do we grow that and expose workers? What is the worker available GDP? He's snapping back at short sellers, and he's speaking colorfully, as he always does. I'm not the only one who's a freak show. I'm just more open about it. Those big conversations, plus the longest government shutdown in U.S. history. And another opponent to Elon Musk's pay package. Okay, Norway, we gotcha. It's Tuesday, November 4th, 2025, Election Day, and Squawk Pod begins right now. Stand Becky by in three, two, one. Cue, please. Good morning, everybody. Welcome to Squawk Box right here on CNBC.

1:32I'm Becky Quick along with Joe Kernan and Andrew Ross Sorkin. Meantime, it is now day 35 of the government shutdown. The Trump administration telling a federal judge it's going to use several billions dollars worth of contingency funds to pay for Americans' SNAP food benefits. But that will only cover part of the total paid out each month. It's unclear when that money will begin flowing. And we're going to get to speak in just a little bit with Treasury Secretary Scott Besson right here on Squawk Box. In addition, the Wall Street Journal saying that hundreds of travel related businesses like hotels and casinos are asking Congress to pass a simple funding bill to end that shutdown.

2:08Also, an airline industry group saying more than three million U.S. passengers have been impacted by delays or cancellations stemming from air traffic controller issues since the shutdown began. Tesla is going to be holding its annual shareholder meeting on Thursday. Norway's Sovereign Wealth Fund says that it will vote against Elon Musk's proposed pay package. If it's approved, the plan could grant Musk's stock worth a trillion dollars over 10 years. The Norwegian fund holds about a 1.1 percent stake in Tesla that's worth$17 billion. Fund leaders say that they're concerned about the size of the pay plan, dilution, and, in their words, lack of mitigation of key person risk.

2:48We're also hearing from longtime shareholder Barron Capital. Ron Barron's firm says that it will vote in favor of that pay package. In a statement, Barron Capital says, The plan ensures that shareholders win first and that Elon Musk continues to lead Tesla for many years to come. We commend the board for recognizing this and for working to retain Tesla's most valuable asset. You know, Ron Barron writes a very long letter on this. He goes on to say that that key man risk, this is the key man risk of all key man risks out there. He's very interested in making sure that Elon Musk stays on. Guys, he's been here on set and talked with us about that in person, too.

3:26But it's a huge position for Barron Capital. He lays out that, you know, they've already earned about four billion dollars in profits just on SpaceX. But from Tesla alone, they've earned, where was it? They purchased, they originally purchased 400 million, went on to buy more and more with that. But I think they've earned more than$40 billion from Tesla on that. It's a huge position in Farron funds, too. I don't even know where to go with Norway. I'm surprised the argument. Norway did. I'm surprised with what Norway's saying, because if you really look. This delay is no good. Their entire GDP is about$340 billion versus 20 point, you know, and they don't have anything close to that in terms of a successful company.

4:11So, OK, it's nice that you're weighing in Norway. Twenty point five trillion. This is a couple of years ago. It's not those aren't even current numbers. Anyway, Andrew, the delay is tough. Were you on Wolf's show yet? I did Wolf's show this morning. But on the Norway issue, the thing that surprised me was the truth is, if you really look through the Tesla plan, it actually calls for, in fact, effectively creating a successor to Elon Musk as part of the actual plan itself, meaning he can't be paid at least some of the amount of money unless a successor is ultimately picked. At least that's what the plan appears to suggest.

4:50So I was surprised to hear that that was the rationale. There are lots of other people with lots of other rationales. But that argument, at least to me, doesn't bear as much weight, given that they specifically talk about finding a successor. Well, John Barron kind of hints at that, too. He says part of what Elon does is build and bring in these engineers, teach them and train them and create this core of engineers who don't want to leave. Yeah. I mean, it was hard. I almost laughed out loud. Norway. Okay, Norway, we got you. You got 1%. I don't even know if that, I don't know. We'll see what happens.

5:23It's election day here in the U.S. Some key contests around the country involving governor's races, big ones in New Jersey and Virginia. The main event could be New York City's mayoral race between Andrew Cuomo, Zoran Mamdani, and Curtis Sliwa. Polls are open from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m. local time. And President Trump telling supporters on two social to vote for Cuomo, threatening to send only the very minimum amount of federal money to New York if Mamdani wins. We'll get a live report from Midtown later this hour. I don't know. I was looking at what it's 90 percent plus, I think, on most of the prediction markets.

6:05And really, the other stuff on the prediction markets is, you know, does he win by 10 percent? to the greater than 10 percent, less than to Staten Island. Staten Island is going to go for Slewa. Yeah, Staten Island is going to go. I read them this morning and they secede. If you on Calci, interestingly, the vote, the votes, the folks who are betting effectively in New York versus the folks who are betting outside of New York are distinctly different. People in New York are actually thinking that Cuomo could win. It's outside of New York that folks think that Mondomini would win. And again, this goes to your issue about manipulation.

6:47I don't know if it's manipulated, but it's just so interesting to see that distinction. Where does George Soros live, Andrew? You must know that. Come on.

6:59This is just in to the newsroom here. Former Vice President Dick Cheney has died due to complications of pneumonia and cardiac and vascular disease. He was the 46th vice president serving under President George W. Bush. Before that, he served as White House chief of staff, congressman from Wyoming and secretary of defense. You can see he was 84, one of the most powerful vice presidents and was in charge of finding a vice president for President Bush and said, why not me? In fact, we've referenced that in terms of Scott Besson, who's going to be on the show later, that sometimes the person looking or tasked with looking for a position ends up being taking that position himself.

7:45I was going to just look to see. He got a heart transplant, didn't he? I think I mean, I don't remember everything. Cardiac disease. Cheney. Yeah. I think he did. Back in March 24, 2012, he was 71 years old when he actually had the heart transplant. He had a history of heart disease. He had five heart attacks by 2010. And he actually, in that year, I think, received an LVAD, a left ventricular assist device to help the heart pump and then later transplant. So we send condolences to his family. And the passing of, is he, would you call him an American icon? I guess he's pretty darn close at this point, given all the, I don't know, people would say he was instrumental in deciding to go forward with the Iraq war.

8:45Yep. Which we're still talking about to this day. And maybe, guys, do you think neocon was sort of that was something that that word came about there? Of course, he's got some famous family members, obviously, as well. On the other side. But a true Wyoming person wore cowboy hats. And we all remember the unfortunate incident with the hunting incident as well. Yeah. Next on Squawk Pod, tomorrow the Supreme Court hears the Trump administration's oral arguments for use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, or IEPA. It's a test of executive powers, and its implications will hit tariffs and far beyond that.

9:35Treasury Secretary Scott Besant will be there at the hearing, and he stands by the president's emergency measures. So there's a concept of a tipping point. What if someone had held up their hand, like many people did before the great financial crisis and said, we're heading for a calamity in the housing market. And if someone had exercised emergency powers, then we would not have had to go through 2008, 2009.

10:06This is Squawk Pod. Up and Andrew, Q. You're watching Squawk Box on CNBC. I'm Andrew Osorkin, along with Joe Kernan and Becky Quick on this. We'll call it a special transatlantic version of Squawk Box. Yeah, we've been talking, Andrew, off camera a little bit about Norway and what it's saying about Tesla right now. No, it's OK. They own a little over one percent. They're like they're in the top ten shareholders of Tesla. Their GDP in 2024, they're plugging away. I mean, it's$500 billion, which is one-sixtieth of the U.S. at$30 trillion. But it is a third of Tesla's market cap, their GDP. And they actually, in addition to crappy Netflix TV series, they do award the Nobel Peace Prize, while the other six prizes do come from Stockholm.

11:05home. So just a little background on coming from socialism land, which we're headed for. What about on a per person basis? GDP is not bad. It's not the U.S. That's I think 50 ,000 or thereabouts. And we're up at 60 or 70. It's supposedly a great flip. Beautiful scenery. Some of the most beautiful scenery on the planet is in Norway. And I'm not far be it from me to disparage a European country? I think Elsa and Anna may be from there as well. What I will say is Barron Capital, I misspoke before, Barron Capital has earned about$8 billion in profits, realized and unrealized, from their Tesla shares.

11:47And in terms of the ownership, he goes on to say that Musk entities now represent about 26 percent of the firm's $44 billion in assets under management, so about$11 billion worth of their assets under management. Ron Barron has been a longtime Tesla bull. He owned this. The only time I remember him selling any shares was when he said it was getting to be too big of a stake in their funds because it had grown and appreciated so much. So he sold some at some point. But at this point, Musk entities make up 26 percent of their$44 billion in assets. And there's, I mean, there are big firms, BlackRock, I think, and states, there are bigger, they're bigger than Norah.

12:27I don't know which way, I guess, when we hear how they're going to vote. Those are always the biggest donors, right? the conglomerates that have all the funds. Okay. Yeah.

12:38Treasury Secretary is joining us now. Scott Besson, how are you? Good to see you. Good morning, Joe. Good to see you. Let's talk tariffs, and since it's front and center for everyone with this beginning now at SCOTUS, you have said you're going and you want to be in the front row. I think your chances are good if you say that's where you'd like to sit. Look, Joe, I think it's a matter of national security. And this is one of the president's signature policies. And it'd be very unusual for the Supreme Court to overrule president's signature policy. The Supreme Court gave President Obama a lot of room on Obamacare.

13:19And President Trump's two signature policies have been securing the border, which has been an incredible success. And it has been the tariff policy rebalancing U.S. trade and its economic security. And we've had three emergencies here. The first emergency has been the fentanyl crisis, and the president was able to use IEPA to bring the Chinese to the table on the precursor chemicals. The second emergency was I think we were at a tipping point in terms of our trade deficits. We are bringing those down. The deficit with China is down 25 percent. We could have had a looming financial crisis. And then number three, the president, after the Chinese said that they were going to put export controls on rare earth minerals for the globe on October 8th, the president was able to use his IEPA emergency powers to threaten 100 percent tariffs, bring the Chinese to the table in Kuala Lumpur and Korea and get the rare earths to flow.

14:28And if that hadn't happened, that manufacturing facilities, not only the U.S., but around the world, would shut down. So, you know, this is an emergency power that he has used during emergencies. There might be compelling arguments on the other side, Mr. Secretary. And I like the journal kind of made me laugh today because in their lead op-ed, they said, few conservatives are more deferential, not to President Trump, but to presidential overseas authority than we are. They've stood in the way of a lot of things, I think, that the president has tried to do, obviously, although, you know, out of all the op ed pages, the friendliest probably has been the Wall Street Journal.

15:08But they point out that Article one vests Congress with authority. And that was the intent because of what happened with with taxation without representation, that it vests Congress with the authority to negotiate trade deals and to impose tariffs. tariffs. And it was like that until Smoot-Hawley in 1930 when they thought the president needed to be able to have that authority. But up until then, it had always been the purview of Congress to regulate tariff policy. Joe, but there are lots of other authorities, too. President has two 32 32 301s. Those are all from the executive branch. And again, you know, IEPA is an emergency authority, and we were in an emergency situation, and this is crucial for the U.S.

16:01economy. Do you think, Mr. Secretary, that the Supreme Court is so up-to-date on these stories? Here's where I'm going with this. A lot of people would probably say the trade imbalance has been there for a long time, and that all of a sudden it's an emergency. They would question that. I don't know what they'd say about fentanyl, but when you talk about rare earth metals and what that could do to the U.S. economy, that, I think, even SCOTUS, even Supreme Court might say, you know what? In this case, the emergency power is absolutely, you know, you could actually use that in that case and be totally justified.

16:46Do you think that they could look at it that way? Well, Joe, let's think about, and as you know, in economics, there's a concept of a tipping point. And, you know, I think that there's a point where you get to an emergency. What if someone had held up their hand, like many people did before the great financial crisis and said, we're heading for a calamity in the housing market? And if someone had exercised emergency powers, then we would not have had to go through 2008, 2009 and the aftermath and what it did to the American people. I'll just ask you one more thing, one more point the journal makes.

17:26If the court blesses this unlimited presidential tariff power, future presidents, i.e. Democrats, were going to do the same thing. An all too likely example would be a climate emergency. I could see this happening. They call it that all the time. A client emergency to tax imports of countries with high CO2 commissions. You can fill in the blanks for something that Democrats might do if this were upheld by the Supreme Court. Does that concern you at all about what the other party would do with this type of power? Look, if the president does need emergency power, and I would question whether there's a climate emergency.

18:11I've been hearing for years that there's an emergency. The planet's going to be on fire in five years, ten years. And the only thing that's happened with that is an excuse for my children not to do their homework because there's not going to be a planet. So, you know, it's all been proven wrong. Or not to have kids, I know. It's crazy. Beck. Mr. Secretary, thanks for being with us today. We're now in day 35 of this government shutdown, tied for the longest government shutdown ever. The Hill has just been reporting in the last couple of hours that some centrist Democrats are signaling to their Republican counterparts that they might be willing to cut a deal, that we could see an end to this coming soon.

18:50I think Susan Collins had kind of suggested maybe we see an end to this by the end of this week. But they're also saying, some of these centrist Democrats, that a red flag is that the president may not be serious about health care reform. Can you tell us what the administration's plan is on this front, what you're hearing about any of these talks, what you know? So, Becky, you know, I've called for five brave Democrats to come across the aisle. And, you know, what's changed since we got the Clean's continuing resolution in the spring? Two things. One, Senator Schumer's poll numbers, you know, he's sinking like a stone.

19:28So we're being held hostage to his poll numbers. And then two, the Democrats have tried to stop President Trump in the courts. It goes to SCOTUS. They get overruled. They've tried to stop President Trump in the mainstream media. That hasn't worked. So now they've shut down the government and they're harming the economy. So I think it would be great if five moderate Democrats became heroes, reopen the government. And for the entire shutdown, the entire shutdown, whether it's President Trump, Speaker Johnson or Leader Thune, they've said reopen the government and we can talk. We can have the conversation on health care, but we can't do it while the government's closed down.

20:10What should that conversation look like, Mr. Secretary? because it's also been pointed out, yeah, the subsidies were pandemic era subsidies. And, you know, you need those to keep some premiums from doubling for people. But the real thing is it's the Unaffordable Care Act. The premiums are going up because the cost is going up and there's no way to to provide Affordable Care Act services without numbers like that. Is there a plan? Because the president has talked about a plan for a long time and here we are. Joe, I'm not going to get into negotiations until the Democrats reopen the government. So, you know, I'm not going to preview it that reopen the government and then the talks can start.

20:58And, you know, the crazy thing is they kept talking about a November 21st deadline and we're getting there and they haven't reopened the government. So and we're starting to see this affect the economy. We're starting to see the airport delays and shutdowns. And I can tell you, the American people are going to blame the Democrats if the busiest travel day of the year, the day after Thanksgiving, is a disaster. People aren't able to be with their families. They should be ashamed. There's an election today in various places. Mr. Secretary, is the highest economic official in our country. And we're sitting in the capital capitalist center of the universe right here in New York City.

21:49And we might elect either a socialist if you talk to one person or if you talk to the president himself, a communist. What is your take on what's happening in New York City, how it could affect the country writ large? Well, Joe, New York is losing its status as the capital of capital. The United States is maintaining it. They're opening Yall Street down in Texas, and Wall Street jobs have been fleeing New York. What we saw during the pandemic was the greatest transfer of wealth in history from Manhattan County to Palm Beach County. And I can tell you that if you get Caracas on the Hudson, which it looks like the polls are saying you're going to get, you're going to see more people, more capital fleeing.

22:41So it's good for Connecticut real estate, good for Florida real estate. And nothing says that New York has to remain the financial capital. Secretary, we always get to some of the interesting water cooler type stuff. I guess Tesla and shareholders are going to decide on a pay package. The latest I've seen, and I loved your answer that you gave, was there was some kind of kerfuffle you had, not with Bill Pulte in this case, which we've asked you about in the past. This one involved Elon Musk, that you grabbed him by the collar or something. And your only response was that can't be true because he didn't have a collar.

23:22I think he has a scruff of his neck. Was there any grabbing of anything in that general area? Yeah. No, Joe, look, this is this is old news. And, you know, Jesse Waters has a great, great sense of humor. And Elon and I were very passionate about what needed to be done with government. He did a fantastic job in setting a trajectory for downsizing government, which we've continued spending is down over the past two quarters. We're going to keep it down. And what's gone unnoticed during the government shutdown is we actually had a smaller deficit for fiscal year 25 than we did for 24. It was small, but nonetheless, the deficit was smaller.

24:14And because the GDP went up, deficit to GDP went from 6.4 percent to 5.9. And I think we can continue bringing that down. You OK with that compensation package? And then I know Andrew has a question. Well, I think it's great that Elon's back in the private sector. He's one of the great entrepreneurs of the generation. That's up for the shareholders to decide. But the amount of value that he's created for his investors and for his shareholders is phenomenal. And it's across a range of industries. Mr. Secretary, I wanted to actually go back to the issue of New York and the prospect that Zoran Mondami could be the next mayor.

24:56The president made a comment during the 60 Minutes interview on Sunday that potentially the administration would or Washington writ large would send less money to New York as a result of that, in part because he said, you know, you don't you don't want a communist effectively in charge that would then misspend such money. How much discretion does the administration have in terms of its ability to turn on the spigot or turn off the spigot to a particular state? And in what areas? Well, I think it's on a lot of the large infrastructure, a lot of the large infrastructure spending. And Andrew, I think we can see that we have some discretion here in D.C., But the real discretion is people voting with their feet.

25:47You see these democratic states. New York has for years had net outbound migration. Illinois, net outbound migration. California, net outbound migration. So it seems like more money should go to the states that people are moving to. Mr. Secretary, if the Supreme Court were to go against the president on this, Are you confident that another route can can be found to continue with the with the policy and not get into the morass of trying to be I don't I don't even know how it would work if you had to start reversing some of the what we've seen with with the tariffs. Yeah, Joe, there are lots of other authorities that can be used, but IEPA is by far the cleanest, and it gives the U.S.

26:40and the president the most negotiating authority. And again, when we get something like October 8th, where the entire manufacturing ecosystem in the U.S. and the world was at threat of shutdown, then it's very important to be able to have these. The others are more cumbersome, but they can be effective less. It hinders the president's negotiating ability to be able to protect the American people and the American economy. So, you know, this is very important tomorrow. And SCOTUS is going to hear this. And again, this is a signature policy for the president. And traditionally, SCOTUS has been loath to interfere with these signature policies.

27:31I guess I'll just ask you one quick question on China. A lot of talk about what actually went on with NVIDIA chips and the Blackwell chips. Are you among the people in the administration that think that China should never get those highly advanced AI chips? Or is this saving something to negotiate the future with? Because it always seems like these are our stops along the way with these these negotiations with China. They're evolving and we continue to, you know, to deal with things and they continue to deal with things. Well, you know, if we think about the Blackwell now that they're the crown jewel that 18, 18, 12, 18 months ago, The H20s were so good, were the crown jewels.

28:24So, Joe, I think what you're describing is actually the pace that the technology is moving, not the pace that the negotiations are moving. So there may be a case down the road. I don't know whether it's 12 or 24 months. Given the incredible innovation that goes on at NVIDIA, where the Blackwell chips may be two, three, four down their chip stack in terms of efficacy. And at that point, they could be sold on. And it's your take, your contention that the China had a plan with these rare earth materials that this this was in the works. And whether President Trump had poked the bear in the first place to try to reset global trade with China, either way, that that would have been something that China was planning to use.

Read the full transcript

29:16So it's not like, you know, the president, you know, critics say starts fire and then puts a fire out and takes credit for, you know, for for putting it out. Absolutely not. This is something that they've been putting together for 35 years. The rare earth magnets company actually used to belong to General Motors. A Chinese company bought it. CFIUS, which is the Committee on Foreign Investment in the U.S., said they had to keep it in the U.S. for five years, five years and a day. In 2000, they moved it over to China. They've been accumulating these rare earth assets for years. And Joe, it's important to know that they put this restriction on the entire world.

29:57So, you know, don't don't accuse President Trump of doing this. But what I can tell you is after the meeting in Korea, it was a very good meeting. Both sides approached it with great respect. I think President Trump is the only leader who President Xi respects. We had a very good meeting. The relationship is in a good place. I think we're going to have two state visits next year. President Trump will be going to Beijing and Xi will be coming to the U.S. And they may also see each other at the G20 in Doral and then the APEC conference in Shenzhen in November. So I think the overall U.S.-China relationship is on a much more even keel now.

30:47Secretary Besson, thank you so much as always. We appreciate it. Good to see you, Joe. Cheese will be next. Still to come, software company and government contractor Palantir beat Wall Street estimates and gave strong guidance in the third quarter. But investors may be growing wary of AI valuations. CEO Alex Karp has a message for the dubious and for the short sellers. They're in the business of being skeptical and being wrong, and we're in the business of giving an unfair advantage to American workers, American warfighters, and our investors. He's fired up about skeptics and many other things.

31:27Palantir is about pragmatic decisions that create unfair advantages for America and its allies. And on that, we've been right for almost 20 years on all major decisions. Squawk Pod will be right back.

31:45You're listening to Squawk Pod. Here's Andrew Ross-Sorkin. Alex Karp is with us. Palantir CEO, Alex, it is so good to see you. The earnings were a blowout, I think, across the board. We can talk about maybe why the stock market is reacting the way it is. But, you know, I was listening to the call yesterday, and I wanted to, just for those who didn't get an opportunity to hear it, I think you made some fascinating points about why you think this company and maybe even yourself are so misunderstood. Well, there are lots of easy ways to misunderstand me. I misunderstand myself. And, you know, it's not like the super conventional playbook thing.

32:22Look, we're an anti-playbook company. If you want to do the personal version, I'm like this dyslexic formerly and I believe currently still left of center who actually sticks up for progressive values, which triggers, you know, TDS loving people because I think the Democrats aren't no longer progressive. And then the company is built in a truly sui-generous, unique way, which would only be possible in America and actually explodes every assumption of how an expert would build a software business. The more you actually know about building software, the more odd, unique and inexplicable our rise in success.

32:56And I would say domination on the enterprise software battlefield looks and is. And then I would say one of my main issues is Palantir, because we called a lot of things that are kind of establishment views that often are viewed as kind of being super woke into question in every single assumption of Palantir. The people who piled in to Palantir were people investing their own money, often people who are not in the investor class, non-experts. And even till today, the experts sit on the sideline and say, hey, this can't be true. while the average American who invested in Palantir, and for the first time, maybe arguably since World War II, average Americans got venture returns investing in Palantir.

33:39So you have this massive divide between the average person who evaluated themselves and the expert class that still was working on assumptions that have historically not been true, that obviously if you look at the earnings, if you actually look at, we grew the company, I mean, I'll go through if you want to go through numbers, but extraordinary results. And then the expert classes we need and the retail people are all in. So, but in fairness, but that's what I want to ask you about in terms of the miss, because there is a misunderstanding. Clearly, you know, you look at the analysts, most analysts, you know, think that this stock is overpriced.

34:14You have people like Michael Burry out there shorting it. Everybody who's shorted the stock thus far has been on the losing end of it. And I'm trying to understand just from if you look at sort of the growth trajectory, the sales, how much of the sales, frankly, I think actually even coming, there was a huge part coming from even existing customers and just what the scale of this thing ultimately looks like in your mind. Okay, there are two parts. Of course, when I hear short sellers attacking what I believe is clearly the most important software company in America, therefore in the world in terms of our impact, simply to make money and calling, trying to call the AI revolution into question where we have these anomalous numbers, 114, rule of 40, etc.

34:53It just is super triggering because these people, they could pick on any company in the world. They have to pick on the one that actually helps people, that actually has made money for the average person, that is actually supporting our warfighters. Why do they have to go after us? And I'll tell you what, though, it's crazy motivating because I'll tell you why the short sellers are constantly getting screwed by Palantir, because every time they short us, we just are like tripling down on getting the better numbers and part, honestly, to make them poorer. But okay, so the question of like the actual power of the business and what is it worth?

35:29I mean, at the end of the day, one of the things that is actually in the book, the biography, and that I actually think that you always have to ask to, is the person persuasive or are they right? And across all sorts of movements, political, I mean, you see this on the regressive a part of the Democratic Party. We're about to probably have a complete disaster. I was born in New York. But if you actually said, do these things actually work? Everyone's like, of course I'm not going to vote for that. But instead they ask, does it work in theory? The theoreticians, you have to ask, how often have you been right?

36:03And Palantir is about pragmatic decisions that create unfair advantages for America and its allies. And on that, we've been right for almost 20 years on all major decisions, and I believe we'll be right going forward. Now, you could argue, I don't know, like they're constantly like, but they thought penalty was overvalued at 10. They thought it was overvalued at 20. I'm not even here saying what the valuation is. I'm just saying find a company in the world that has a rule of 114, that has U.S. commercial growing at 121%, that aggregate growth in the U.S. is 77%, that has throwing off free cash flow in a way that's anonymous and that is fully aligned with our customers.

36:42And you figured out the value, but they're in the business of being skeptical and being wrong. And we're in the business of giving an unfair advantage to American workers, American warfighters and our investors. Being short is is a very difficult place to be because you can lose everything, right? You can drive these people into the ground. Thank God. Michael Burry put a really big bet on it. It's almost a billion dollars. It's nine hundred and twelve million dollars. That's a big step for him to put into that? When you say you redouble your efforts, what do you do? What do you go back in? Well, first of all, it's like he's actually putting a short on AI.

37:15So the way I read it, it was us and NVIDIA. And it's like he's basically... Yeah, the biggest position is you, though. I'm just going through all of his shorts. Okay. And then, by the way, with the shorts, it's very complex. It's not even clear that... Honestly, I think what is going on here is market manipulation. We delivered the best results anyone's ever seen. It's not even clear he's not doing this to get out of his position. I mean, these people, they claim to be ethical, but, you know, like they're actually shorting one of the great businesses of the world. And I'm not against shorting as a matter of theory, but I'm just saying pick something that is not doing a noble task.

37:45And, you know, it's us against them. And that's a good position for us. I mean, look, when you're printing a rule of 114, again, people who aren't technical, I think roughly an incredible score, like an Olympic grade score on rule of 14 is like 50. I mean, that's roughly like if you're between 50 and seven, you're an Olympic athlete, a unique implement athlete. This is like Michael Phelps like score, like Michael Jordan, like there are no scores like this there. And 121 growth off of almost a one point five run rate in U.S. commercial and the 77, 77 percent growth in the U.S. and an aggregate off of an aggregate base of four and a half billion dollars.

38:21By the way, I predicted we'd get here. So, you know, it's like if you want to short that, be my guest. You go ahead. We're just going to go do our things. I mean, look, I'll tell you, there's a tale of two cities in our society. We need experts versus retail. And you see it like, you know, I don't know why these newspapers are running, helping Mondani win. I don't know why we can't have honest discussions about our future. I don't know why we have to allow fentanyl attack. But it's almost always sympathy for the expert that doesn't need it. The short seller that has some ridiculous reason for doing something against.

38:58I mean, most of GDP growth in this country is because of AI. The real question is, how do we grow that and expose workers? What is the worker available GDP? That's the question for our society. Instead of aligning on that, we've got these completely. And again, if the numbers weren't there, great, be my guest. But then the numbers are there. So then it's not even clear he's actually shorting us. It's probably just, how do I get my position out and not look like a fool? I don't know. But I do think this behavior is egregious, and I'm going to be dancing around when it's proven wrong. All right.

39:31Alex, we've heard a lot of talk from the likes of a Michael Burry, but more broadly about whether we're in an AI bubble, whether the economics make sense. Clearly, in the context of Palantir, they do make sense insofar as you're printing money over there. Not everybody in the AI space is printing money in the same way. And they're spending an enormous amount on chips, data centers and the like. How do you see the broader space right now in terms of just how things are developing? There are two subtle issues in AI. What is the addressable market and what is the addressable market for things that work?

40:07Meaning you make more money and the quality of money is higher. So top line and bottom line grow. Palantir, we're in the business of a part of the addressable market where it works and it can be quantifiable, either commercially or on the battlefield. So clearly and over time, you're going to have trader optimality, meaning that every part of the stack is going to have to create more value than they charge. That's just obvious. And if that doesn't happen, it will be a bubble. And, you know, I mean, I'm sorry, short sellers can't tell the difference between products that work and products that don't.

40:36But these numbers should show you that there's a part of the market that, to you, quote you, is printing cash. And it looks like that part of the market is the park we own. There's a separate question, by the way, which I think is equally relevant. What part of the GDP growth is available for workers, what we call worker available GDP? And that's like one of the unique things about Palantir is whether it's on the battlefield, like the people writing the scripts for these very complicated operations or building batteries or doing things on the factory floor are being enhanced by our product. And those two it's really those two questions are going to define arguably the future of what happens in this country.

41:12Does GDP grow because of AI, which only can happen if there's Pareto optimality? And the way we see it, the customer pays less than the value they create, which is abnormal, not exactly equal Pareto optimality. And that, it's unknown, honestly. You have this massive growth, but currently, as far as I can tell, the two companies he's shorting are the ones making all the money, which is super weird. The idea that chips and ontology is what you want to short is batshit crazy. But leaving that aside, there's a bigger question, which is the average American believes AI is happening. They're just not sure if it's going to happen for them or it's just me getting rich.

41:52And that's the battle we have to fight, because if you want a sane society, you can't just have GDP growth for us and no GDP growth for them. So, like, finding out what is available for the worker and proving it's available for the worker is going to be absolutely crucial. By the way, to be slightly political, you can't, if the AI revolution is real, it has downstream consequences. Like, how can you have an AI revolution and an open border? Are we safer as a society or less safe than we were five years ago because of AI? And I wanted to ask you, I talked to Lonsdale about, unfortunately, packed stadiums and drone attacks and things like that.

42:31And he said that's something that we need to, at some point, face. Well, you know, there's a lot of complicated questions because there's like, I mean, it's so funny because, you know, like, I mean, in this book, which is there's like a lot of it's true. But then it's like the surveillance state. So, like, interestingly, I and Palantir have historically been on maximal safety and maximal data protection. And the product is actually built despite, you know, if you're being told Palantir is easy, is the product you use to surveil you, you're the mark. Like, you know, we actually so how do you have maximum safety where you can still have a personal life?

43:06You know, and so like personal life may mean you're just flirting with the person next to you. It may mean you're at the stadium with someone you shouldn't be. It may mean you're just there alone when you should be at work. We all have things we need and want to do in our private lives. And part of democracy is we get to keep that. And Palantir's architecture makes it possible to have heightened safety and reduce surveillance. Now, you have this issue across, are Americans safer? You know, a lot of it comes down to, are we going to have a mandate that actually helps working women and men? Because the truth in our society is you're pretty safe if you have money.

43:44What happens to you if you're in an environment where you're poor or working class, black, white, Hispanic, anything, is you are then in an environment where people are espousing they believe in what they're saying, while in facto letting you live in a war zone, whether it's the inner cities or the border. We essentially have a class divide in this society where underclass people, white, black, Hispanic, everyone, they absorb all the negative externalities of policies. And those of us who can afford to sit here have a great life. And the real question for our society, in my view, and for AI is how can we make sure people participate in GDP, which also means they can go home safely, they can go to school, They can come back from school.

44:26They can go to the border and not get shot. We don't have fentanyl coming in our society. And, you know, more people have died from fentanyl in the last year than all service members since World War Two. And almost all those people are working class. And that's why no one cares. If they were Yale grads, you'd have a bomb being dropped on some South American country. It would stop. And we have that. So there's a huge societal thing. Then you get to, like, you know, mass events. And we've seen very destructive to our core assassinations of people who had heroic roles. We saw Abby in Japan that's outside of America.

45:03We saw Charlie Kirk. We've seen the CEO of United. We saw people cheering these things. So in my view, there is the stadium issues. And these are very hard issues. How do you actually protect against drones? There are technologies which are not publicly available that need to be made available that can help. But there's always a risk if something happened because the only way to take the risk to zero is to eviscerate all our civil liberties. So that's why I'd say, you know, if you actually look at it's like gun deaths. Guns are not a problem to society. Guns in the inner city create most of the deaths.

45:35So how do you protect the Second Amendment and change gun deaths in this country? I mean, of course, there are other gun deaths that happen, but statistically. And so and these are the what we should do with technology is make sure the people who are living the worst lives live lives closer to ours and make sure our lives advance as well. But never with the idea that we're going to reduce crime to zero, because the only way to do that is to reduce deviant behavior to zero. And none of us want that because I'm not the only one who's a freak show. I'm just more open about it. And like and, you know, every single person who's like, oh, and I'll tell you something else before I get to you.

46:12There's a big lesson in probably the Madani disaster, the short seller, the fentanyl thing. If you think you can sit on the sidelines here, like in our generation, we thought we could outsource or like anti-Jewish bias. Like you cannot outsource it to the experts. If you think the experts are going to stop anti-Jewish bias or the fentanyl or whatever. No, they're not. They're lame. They're scared. They're going to they're going to listen to the short seller instead of reading the numbers. Like this is a really big lesson. Listen to the short seller. Look at our numbers. In all these things, every single one, every single person that cares is going to have to stand up and say, you know what?

46:51I mean, it's crazy that we all have to be advocates for ourselves. But the experts are not showing up. They're scared. They're drinking. Huh? You're mad. Well, you should be mad. Like, it's like, I mean, it's just like, and then, but of course, the positive side is we have these problems no other society has. Like, I spent half my life in Europe. Europe has no A.I. scene. The GDP growth that is being besmirched by this wonderful, seemingly numerically illiterate short seller is a bounty of riches. Like Germany would cut off its proverbial beer garden to get this problem. But we should not screw it up.

47:31And the way we screw it up is we are all on the sidelines. We let experts tell us what we should think, and we get screwed.

47:41Alex, it's a longer conversation. I know we're going to have another one, I'm sure, very soon. I want to thank you so very much for jumping in impromptu this morning after it was a great earnings report. So congratulations on that. And congratulations on your book. Everywhere I go, there's somebody there's like it's like behind them. I mean, if everyone has it in their hand, congratulations. Thank you very, very much, Alex. that's the podcast for today thank you for tuning in squawk box is hosted by joe kernan becky quick and andrew ross sorkin on cnbc at 6 a.m eastern every weekday morning to get the smartest takes from that tv show right into your ears follow us on squawk pod wherever you get your podcasts we'll meet you right back here tomorrow have a great day we are clear thanks guys We'll be right back.

From the publisher

The Supreme Court will hear the oral arguments for the Trump administration’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to justify tariffs. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who will be at the hearing, defends the emergency measures and discusses the ongoing government shutdown. Palantir reported a beat in its third quarter earnings, but short sellers are concerned about AI valuations. CEO Alex Karp snaps back at dubious investors, doubling down on the value Palantir and its industry offer the United States. Plus, Vice President Dick Cheney has died, and Norway’s sovereign wealth fund will vote against Elon Musk’s pay package. Happy Election Day!

 

Sec. Scott Bessent - 15:07

Alex Karp - 35:19


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