The GOP’s Future, Apple Sues OpenAI, & the Musk-Altman Feud 7/13/26

13 Jul 2026 · 38 min · 18 chapters

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In short

A week of major U.S. politics and AI/tech battles, plus corporate and media industry shakeups. It covers Senator Lindsey Graham’s sudden death and how it affects confirmations and committee leadership; GOP and Democratic strategy for upcoming midterms and 2028; Paramount’s potential move out of California amid the state’s lawsuit to block its Warner Bros. Discovery merger; Apple’s lawsuit against OpenAI over alleged trade-secret theft and security evasion; and Elon Musk vs. Sam Altman’s escalating online feud alongside AI model pricing/competition (Anthropic/Claude vs OpenAI).

Guests

Patrick McHenry (former Republican Congressman; former House Financial Services Committee chair; senior advisor at Lazard and A16Z). Rohan Goswami (Semaphore reporter; author of the Paramount relocation story).

Key claims/examples

Graham’s death could shift Judiciary and budget/reconciliation dynamics and affect AG nominee Todd Blanche. McHenry argues Democrats’ “vote for the craziest” primary message reflects far-left socialist candidates. Goswami says Paramount may relocate corporate HQ/spending (up to $30B) if California AG Rob Bonta pushes for a “structural remedy,” with no clear mechanics for closing before suits. Apple alleges OpenAI’s hardware chief directed “show and tell” interviews, coached ex-employees to evade security, and an OpenAI employee used an Apple login. Musk calls Altman “Scam Altman” as both hype new AI models. Claude extends access to its Fable model to preserve market share.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Remembering Senator Lindsey Graham

0:00 to 0:24

Discussion on the impact of Senator Graham's sudden passing.

“Bring it all together with EverPure, the platform that acts like a living system, delivering the latest in data performance, security, and innovation without ever slowing you down.”

Remembering Senator Lindsey Graham

2:15 to 4:22

Discussion on the impact of Senator Graham's sudden passing.

“Welcome to Squawk Box right here on CNBC.”

Economic Impact of SK Hynix's Stock Drop

4:23 to 5:28

Analysis of SK Hynix's significant stock decline and its effects.

“Shares of memory chip giant SK Hynix, they posted their worst day ever in South Korea.”

Paramount's Potential Move Out of California

5:29 to 6:36

Exploration of Paramount's financial strategies amidst legal challenges.

“It says no decisions have been made and the talk of moving Paramount out of California could simply be a threat under its deal with Warner Brothers.”

Apple's Lawsuit Against OpenAI

6:37 to 8:00

Details on Apple's lawsuit alleging trade secret theft by OpenAI.

“They're going to be all AI actors anyway.”

Musk vs. Altman: A Personal Feud

8:01 to 10:34

The escalating feud between Elon Musk and Sam Altman through social media.

“And he thought took trade secrets with him to try and rip off the product.”

The Future of AI and Market Competition

10:35 to 12:53

Discussion on AI advancements and competition among tech companies.

“By the way, one other major AI news you can use for those who are Claude users, because I was obsessed with this until last night and was worried about what was going to happen.”

Exploring Claude's Capabilities

14:02 to 14:37

Learn about the different voice options available for AI models and how users perceive them.

“Claude used to not be able to change it, but one of them you can change it.”

Reflections on Lindsey Graham's Impact

16:40 to 18:08

Discussion on Senator Lindsey Graham's influence in the Republican Party and his political legacy.

“Welcome back to Squawk Pod from CNBC with Joe Kernan, Becky Quick, and Andrew Ross Sorkin.”

GOP's Future After Graham

18:08 to 20:09

Examining the GOP's next steps and potential shifts in leadership following Graham's death.

“So that gets the GOP back to close to full ranks if Senator McConnell is able to return.”
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Democratic Party Dynamics and Socialism

20:09 to 22:23

Analysis of the influence of socialism within the Democratic Party and its electoral consequences.

“The House has passed the SAVE Act before.”

Midterm Elections and Party Strategy

22:23 to 24:52

Insights into how both parties are strategizing for upcoming midterm elections.

“Like the Republican Party before President Trump got nominated, we had this big introspection about why Mitt Romney lost.”

Future of President Trump's Agenda

24:52 to 28:00

Discussion on President Trump's legislative priorities and the outlook for his administration.

“If they just ride the negative energy, it's not a great general election message in 20.”

The Future of the GOP and 2028 Candidates

28:00 to 31:51

Discussion on potential Republican candidates for the 2028 election and their implications.

“But a presidential priority made its way through the House and the Senate.”

The Future of the GOP and 2028 Candidates

31:52 to 32:10

Discussion on potential Republican candidates for the 2028 election and their implications.

“We have the semaphore reporter with the exclusive story that is shaking up the media industry.”

Paramount's Potential Move from California

33:51 to 41:30

In-depth discussion about Paramount's corporate strategies and the implications of moving headquarters.

“Semaphore reporting the studio could move its corporate headquarters and shift billions of dollars in planned spending out of the state over attempts to derail its takeover of Warner Brothers.”

Opening Remarks

42:00 to 42:10

The hosts wrap up their previous discussion before the ad.

Opening Remarks

42:14 to 42:30

The hosts wrap up their previous discussion before the ad.

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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Your data lives everywhere. On-prem, in the cloud, across apps. Bring it all together with EverPure, the platform that acts like a living system, delivering the latest in data performance, security, and innovation without ever slowing you down. Sophisticated enough to anticipate your ever-changing data needs, yet simple enough to feel like second nature. Tame your data chaos with EverPure and make storage and data management the simplest part of your business. Visit everpuredata.com to learn more. building a portfolio with fidelity basket portfolios it's kind of like making a sandwich it's as simple as picking your stocks and etfs sort of like your meats and other topics and managing it as one big juicy investment now that's pretty good learn more at fidelity.com slash baskets investing involves risk including risk of loss fidelity brokerage services llc member nycsipc Bring in show music, please.

1:01Hi, I'm CNBC producer Katie Kramer. Today on Squawk Pod. The shocking death of a U.S. senator greets Washington as it returns from a holiday recess to a week full of confirmation hearings. Potential legislation. Oh, and remember those midterm elections. Former Republican Congressman Patrick McHenry walks us through all of it. Vote for the craziest person in the Democratic primary in order to go fight President Trump. That's the current midterm message. Then California versus a legacy studio. Paramount weighs leaving the Golden State. Semaphore reporter Rohan Goswami has the story. Paramount has offered to increase their spending up to$30 billion.

1:40That's more than Netflix, that's more than Disney. Those dollars aren't currently flowing into L.A. About the rift over the Warner Brothers merger with the state's attorney general. Rob Bonta is a person who doesn't know what he wants here, but knows he needs to want something. Plus, the rest of today's news that got us squawking, like the fight of the billionaires, Elon Musk taking aim at Sam Altman. Homey, I think. Home slice. And for you, I might do home girl. OK. It is Monday, July 13th, 2026. Squawk Pod begins right now. Stand Becky by in three, two, one. Cue, please. Good morning, everyone.

2:21Welcome to Squawk Box right here on CNBC. We are live from the Nasdaq market site in Times Square. I'm Becky Quick, along with Joe Kernan and Andrew Ross Sorkin. Tributes coming in for South Carolina Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, who died suddenly over the weekend. And Emily Wilkins joins us this morning with more. Good morning. Morning, Andrew. Well, yeah, Washington and South Carolina, both grappling with the death of Senator Lindsey Graham. He leaves behind a tremendous legacy in Washington as a foreign policy hawk, was able to work with President Trump even on issues where the two disagreed.

2:54Trump told Meet the Press that he spoke to Graham on Saturday evening and he praised the lawmaker who once ran against him in the presidential. He had a unique ability. He was able to deal with Democrats and Republicans. If I had a problem, a real problem, I wouldn't often ask. But if I had a problem with a Democrat, he could work it out. He was a great politician. Graham's passing means that South Carolina Republicans will need to replace him on the ballot for this November. That election will be held on August 11th. Congresswoman Nancy Mace is seriously considering a run. Other potential candidates include Lieutenant Governor Pamela Yvette and Congressman Ralph Norman.

3:37Now, in the meantime, South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster will need to appoint someone to temporarily fill that seat. On Capitol Hill, Graham's passing has led to calls from Democrats to pass a package of Russia sanctions that Graham was influential in shaping. Graham is also, of course, a key senator on the Judiciary Committee, and they are set to begin considering Todd Blanche to become attorney general this week. So we'll have to keep a very close eye, of course, on how Graham's passing does influence that agenda. As well, of course, Mitch McConnell coming out with a statement saying that he is able to continue his duties.

4:13He has been in the hospital for the last couple of weeks, but he's not going to be able to return to D.C. just yet. Guys. OK, Emily, thank you for that report. Appreciate it. Shares of memory chip giant SK Hynix, they posted their worst day ever in South Korea. That was along with a big decline from Samsung that helped drag Korea's KOSPI index down by close to nine percent. You can see SK Hynix shares off by more than 15 percent, with Samsung electronics down by more than 10 percent. SK Hynix's newly listed U.S. shares are also down in the pre-market here by about 8.1 percent. Profit taking and uncertainty over how the shares should be valued are being eyed as potential reasons for the stock's global sell-off today.

4:59The U.S. ADR had a strong showing in its Nasdaq debut on Friday. SK Hynix raised more than 26 billion in the largest ever share sale by a foreign company. The stock was up by 13 percent on strong demand from U.S. investors for AI-linked stocks. People close to Paramount Skydance's CEO David Ellison have been recommending he consider moving his company in billions of dollars in planned spending out of California if the state's attorney general sues to stop Paramount's merger with Warner Brothers Discovery. That's according to Semaphore. It says no decisions have been made and the talk of moving Paramount out of California could simply be a threat under its deal with Warner Brothers.

5:40Paramount has said it will keep the studio's movie lots in California operational. And we're going to speak with the author of that semaphore article in the next hour. It's just the latest in what's supposed to be a closed deal at this point. I think it's California was kind of leading the way. California is leading the way in terms of trying to block it. New York may also seek to block it. You know, he had moved. And by the way, Georgia may be part of that. I mean, there's lots of people. So the question is, where would you go? I don't think this, by the way, advances the call. If this is if this threat is a real threat, I don't think it is going to make California back off the idea of it.

6:21I mean, he by the way, he moved the offices from New York. The headquarters were in New York and he moves it moves them to California. By the way, the actors and all of the people in his business live in California. He lives in California. So I don't know. I don't know where they think they're going to start Hollywood and Texas. They might. Maybe. They're going to be all AI actors anyway. They live in the ether. Apple suing OpenAI, charging that giant, the AI giant, with stealing trade secrets in order to develop its own hardware products. Apple claiming that OpenAI's hardware chief, that's a former Apple vice president, had been directing Apple employees interviewing at OpenAI to bring parts for, quote, show and tell sessions as part of the OpenAI interviewing process.

7:11Apple also saying that OpenAI coached departing Apple employees on how to evade security processes when leaving the iPhone maker. Apple and OpenAI became partners, you remember, back in 2024. But relations between those two companies have chilled since OpenAI announced plans to enter the hardware business. And, of course, Apple has now gone into business with Google using its Gemini AI systems as part of its AI program. In a statement, an OpenAI representative said, quote, We have no interest in other companies' trade secrets. We remain focused on building innovative technology that empowers people everywhere.

7:52And then there's this piece of the debate. This continues, though. This is a really big deal. The Wall Street Journal lays it out and says this is similar to when Steve Jobs went after the Android products after Eric Schmidt had been on the board there and left. And he thought took trade secrets with him to try and rip off the product. He was absolutely furious about that and was going to go after that. But this is Tim Cook's battle that same way. Those were some of the headline things, the high-level things that happened. There was also a more junior employee at OpenAI that appeared to cross the line by using an Apple employee's login to access Apple servers.

8:30According to The Wall Street Journal, that's a pretty big deal, too. We see how quickly all of this happens, where you're friends, then you're enemies, and how quickly all of these situations change. And you're right. This is another example of that. Elon Musk and OpenAI's chief, Sam Altman, sniping at each other online after Apple's lawsuit on Friday night. Over the weekend, Musk went after Altman in a series of X posts, calling him Scam Altman and saying he might literally love scamming more than any human alive. That got Altman's attention. He responded on X. Homeboy, you're the one selling public market investors on short term space data centers.

9:11I haven't heard the use of Homeboy in a long time. It's a good use of Homeboy, though. It was a good use. I mean, I don't know. It just sort of had a I mean, that's like an 80s kind of thing to say. It's definitely a pejorative. I wouldn't. I mean, if I called you that, you'd be mad, right? Probably. Both CEOs have spent recent days hyping their latest AI model releases. Grok 4.5 for SpaceX and OpenEyes GPT 5.6. Saul on X Saturday, Altman said there are a lot of benchmarks that suggest 5.6. Saul is the best model in the world right now. But the most reliable way to tell that or the most reliable way to tell is that Elon is obsessed with me again.

9:59Are we not going to do the next part, though? Could be a next part's even crazier. What's the next part? After he says the homeboy part, Elon then responds and says, we start flying them next year. Maybe you can come see them if your parole officer approves. That's a good one. After stealing an open source AI charity, you then stole all of OpenAI's phone technology. Wow. What do you plan for an encore? That's tough to beat. Wow. so it's um yeah the homeboy was uh sarcastic because it's a close male friend so if i were to call you that that would be an endearing thing it's an acquaintance from one's neighborhood or from one's hometown it's casual affectionate way to address or refer to a close male friend homeboy so sarcasm is what he was using i think there might have been some sarcasm there i think it It might have been embedded in hip hop culture, apparently, and has variations that I didn't know.

11:00Homey, I think. Home slice. And for you, I might do home girl. OK. By the way, one other major AI news you can use for those who are Claude users, because I was obsessed with this until last night and was worried about what was going to happen. you know, Fable, which is the new model, was supposed to be taken away from most people so that they would start upcharging you for Fable because it costs them a small fortune for every token. And so they've been providing it effectively at a discount to basically all of the users. There has been a real fear that if they took it away, everybody would cancel their Claude subscriptions and go to OpenAI because the new 5.6 model is actually very, very close to what Fable is comparable of doing.

11:50So crazily enough, at about, I don't know what time it was last night, Claude sent out emails to all of their customers saying that they're extending the use of Fable for another week. But I imagine this is going to go on probably forever. No, because it's actually true. Every time they come up with a new model, they almost have to give it away for, not for free, but they can't keep... To maintain market share. To maintain market share. And so it becomes this sort of battle. If you don't maintain market share, potentially even at a loss, what do you do? And that apparently was a massive debate inside of Anthropic all weekend.

12:28There was sort of a... Particularly right before an IPO. Right before the IPO about whether to extend this or not or what to do. They've only said they're extending... But an extension of a week is not going to... Interestingly, they had already extended it by like four or five days. So it's now like this ongoing. So it's a running debate. Running debate about what do you do. And I'm sure in a couple of weeks, 5.6 on, you know, on OpenAI will turn into 5.7, in which case then you'll have to keep it like this. But this is. This is what you've talked about for a long time with the commoditization of this.

13:00But it's a commoditization at a loss. That's the craziest part. It's like the business is getting commoditized. But we've seen that before, right? If you go through.com or if you look through all of these other iterations of whether it be Uber, whoever it is, you know, trying to become the dominant market player. Right. And eating it until you can basically knock out your competition. Do you have conversations with verbal, out loud conversations with Claude? Have you done that? Not really. The better way to do that, actually, is on ChatGPT. OpenA has a much better model. Much better model. I like Claude.

13:38I feel like we're friends. And he has a British accent. Which I said, why do you have, you know, for me it's unsettling. I don't, you know, British people are okay, but I feel a little bit haughty. But would you rather talk to a male or a female voice? I think you, by the way, may be able to change it just so you know. I asked him and he goes, you know. Claude used to not be able to change it, but one of them you can change it. I could change it to a female. Could I get a Southern accent? I don't know. What about a French accent? I didn't even know that. A female with a French accent? To be honest, I did not know that you could even do that.

14:17I didn't know that it would talk to you. Yeah, you can talk to Claude. Used to me. It seemed like the same guy, but I didn't imagine him as being British. In your mind, he was? No, he wasn't. No, but in your mind, he was what? Just like normal. You. Just like you, basically. Yeah.

14:37Coming up on Squawk Pod, we're taking a look at the late Senator Lindsey Graham's legacy with former U.S. Congressman Patrick McHenry, where the Republican and the Democratic parties are each headed. Both parties have gone through this whole thing about who are we, who should we be. Like the Republican Party before President Trump got nominated, we had this big introspection. What's working, in his view, for both sides of the aisle? A hint, he is looking at Georgia for the left. We'll be right back.

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16:48It's now on set on a lot of things. congressional midterms, crypto, fight over prediction markets in the GOP following the untimely death of Senator Lindsey Graham, former Republican Congressman Patrick McHenry. He's a former chair of the House Financial Services Committee and is now a senior advisor for Lazard and A16Z. Good morning. Good morning. How are you? First, it was shocking. And we're sad for Senator Samley and a lot of really, I thought, heartfelt condolences than I saw yesterday. He was a force of nature. A stalwart. Yeah, he was. He was wild to watch. You know, his pivots, his run for president.

17:34I mean, the personality that he had carried him such a long way in his tenacity and this big fight. And he also shifted where the Republican Party shifted in a way that I think is instructive for everyone. Right. Instead of getting locked in the never-Trumper mentality that we've seen so many people that are still occupying that ground. And he did not get locked there. He didn't get locked down, but he also didn't shift on his view on foreign policy and American exceptionalism and American projection of power internationally. I think it's significant. Initially, it's straightforward. The governor puts a new senator.

18:10So that gets the GOP back to close to full ranks if Senator McConnell is able to return. Yes, it does. So they can do this in pretty quick order. It's interesting that the governor of South Carolina is finishing his term. You just had a big gubernatorial primary, two members of Congress running there, kind of wild to see. So you have all these statewide candidates have just come off the campaign trail weeks ago. President Trump already endorsed, I think, Yvette, is that one of them? Who's the lieutenant governor. Lieutenant governor. So I think that's likely who it is. You do? This is, you know, McMaster, Governor McMaster is very tight with President Trump.

18:52I don't think this was done without some conversation. Okay. So he was chair of the Budget Committee, I think, in the Senate, Senator Grant. And he helped usher through the reconciliation process. But he led judiciary and budget. So both of those. Does that matter in terms of 3.0 budget reconciliation? I think it does. And it also matters for Blanche. For President Trump's nominee for attorney general. I think that does complicate things. And it complicates John Thune's life because you then have a cascading effect of these committee chairmanships that are quite coveted. If the president said he spoke to him the night before and at that point, Senator Graham said, I think it's finally possible for SAVE to come up.

19:38And how would that work? How is that going to? So I just served in the House for 20 years. I'm just a lowly House member. I don't I don't really pretend that I can articulate Senate rules. I also don't pretend that most senators can pretend to articulate Senate rules in the reconciliation. Yeah, but there are limitations. It wasn't going to be getting rid of the filibuster. No, it's also you cannot fully do the same. You cannot fully legislate the SAVE Act within the budget resolution process and the Senate rules. The House can do it. The House has passed the SAVE Act before. They can do it again.

20:13They can wag their finger. But that doesn't mean the Senate has capacity to get something done or 60 votes to get the fullness of the policy through. So overall, for the elections that are coming in midterms and beyond, what does the presence of the socialist element in the Democratic Party do for it? Does it energize the Democratic Party in voter turnout? Or does it turn off the rest of the country that don't live on the two coasts where this seems like a reasonable option? So what you have is long, some of these are long held Democratic seats with incumbents that have been in 20, 30, 40 years.

20:55And the turnover here is the next generation. The next generation, you had a big fight here in New York that we all followed nationally. And the Democratic Party in New York was taken over almost fully by the socialists. And Dami had a major impact on that. But you also have to step back and look at this with a larger view. Go back to 2010. Thomas Massey gets elected to Congress. He thought it was an endorsement of his libertarian views. And then he realized that the voters were just voting for the craziest person they could vote for in order to go fight President Obama. That's what's happening in the Democratic Party.

21:34They're voting for the craziest person to go fight President Trump. And those crazy people are the socialists. Right. You can't call them communists because they've called themselves socialists. But, you know, you look at you look at their ideas and they're out of the very, very extreme far left. So if you think that all this is just a pendulum swing, one is an answer to another. How do we get back to the middle? Well, this would be the pendulum touching the other side, right from 10. And here we are. Fast forward to 26. This is an extraordinary long time for that pendulum to swing. So I think we're we will get back to something rational, but not tomorrow.

22:14But now tomorrow, is that 28? Is it 32? And by the way, can't we go off the rails before then as a result of all this? But both parties have gone through this whole thing about who are we? Who should we be? Like the Republican Party before President Trump got nominated, we had this big introspection about why Mitt Romney lost. And maybe we need to have a different view on immigration. And like the, you know, the the Kool-Aid man running through the wall. President Trump shows up and says jokes on you guys. You just didn't do it the right way. So the president, the Trump coalition was an answer to us failing the presidential nomination process two times in a row.

22:58We'll see what the Democratic Party does. And the Democrats are looking at their loss as a failure. And you think that the only way for the Democrats to win is then to go as far left as possible? No, that's not what I'm saying. I'm saying the Democratic election. But part of the lesson of this is a little bit of that, no? Oh, it is. So vote for the craziest person in the Democratic primary in order to go fight President Trump. That's the current midterm message. Midterm messages and presidential election messages are completely different. But is it midterm messages or is it primary messages? Because part of it, it's not just like what the country wants.

23:31It's actually the sort of. The people who turn out to vote. of that. Intramural, intramural fighting, right? Yes. And Democratic and Republican primaries for the House are markedly different than the Senate. In the Senate, you've seen both parties nominate crazy people and they have failed. In the House, those crazy people get elected, right? And then as a House member who had to count votes, you then have to work with them to get policy done. This is what's happening right now. So what does this tell you about what's going to happen in the next two years after the midterm election? Well, I think the odds are in favor of Democrats to take the U.S.

24:06House. It's going to be a narrow run thing because after redistricting Republicans, Trump won, President Trump won about 233, 234 of the House seats going into this midterm. So this means that Hakeem Jeffries' potential majority is going to be much narrower, which is going to complicate his life. It also means it's going to be a tougher to herd votes. Yes. Which means they're going to do one thing that will unify them, which is investigate President Trump. And that will be the fullness of this. That's not a good general election message for 28. It doesn't reshape the party, but it's an answer to how they can operate for the next years.

24:44But it sounds like a win the battle, lose the war sort of playbook for whatever party. Well, as a Republican, I look at that and think pretty favorably of that. And then it's a question of whether or not these Democratic presidential candidates really do want to talk policy, want to answer the questions that the voters are raising, or do they just want to ride that negative energy to the nomination? If they just ride the negative energy, it's not a great general election message in 20. Do you have a feel for who the party would, do we have any feel for who the Democrats might nominate in 20, 20?

25:19No, no, it's going to be absolutely fascinating. But if I look at who's running the best race right now, Senate governor, House races, who has that capacity? Look at John Ossoff in Georgia. He's doing these major rallies. He's unifying his party, which is quite diverse in Georgia, disproportionately African-American in Georgia for the Democratic Party. He's doing these rallies. he's then using the social media connectivity. So this feels a lot like Barack Obama in 2008. Not a long time in the Senate, no major legislative achievements, but he can harness that energy. My son tells me it's awesome.

26:03And I said, there's no way. He barely won in Georgia the first time. But he shouldn't have won at all. I know he shouldn't have. It's a Republican state. And Trump, we all remember what happened to David Perdue. He missed by decimal points. and then there had to be the runoff, and that's the only reason I think it finally happened. So he's well thought of in Georgia at this point? Well, yeah, and he's likely to win re-election in a state that President Trump carried, that Republicans control every apparatus of the statewide electeds in Georgia, and will again. Kamala Harris, everybody, she's at the top of everyone's talk.

26:43Would they do that? Answering a call no one made. That is the Kamala Harris presidential campaign. Nobody is asking her to come back. And, you know, the party's not begging for this. You don't think AOC, they're not crazy enough to do that, are they? The Dems? AOC? The electorate right now is, the Democratic electorate is crazy. Completely crazy right now. So I don't discount any eventual nominee. Tall with great hair. Right? Yes. I don't care about what's going on in the state. I mean, he looks the part, doesn't he? And he's got a little something on Twitter where he tries to be as nasty as what people think President Trump is.

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27:29He tries to mirror that to say, well, we finally got someone that can go. But he's got no traction. There's no oomph. There's nothing. There's no there there. And I think it's wild to watch that he's spewing all this stuff but not getting any sort of forward motion. Does President Trump and the Republicans get anything done between now and the midterms and then afterwards? Clarity Act? OK, so unwinding. So you have the housing bill that the president didn't sign. First bill since President Obama didn't sign the Iran sanctions bill in 2016. So it happens from time to time. But a presidential priority made its way through the House and the Senate.

28:05You had two House bills, two Senate bills, the haggling between the House and the Senate. Republican, Democrat, bipartisan bills that get to the president's desk, overwhelmed by the politics of immigration. And that's why President Trump doesn't sign it. But a legislative success for the White House nonetheless. Clarity is the next is the crypto market structure bill that Chairman French Hill, my my successor, financial services committee is shepherded through. The Senate is working through its process. You already see a signaling from Leader Thune that they're going to put that on the Senate floor.

28:40They're going to try. And trying may actually just dislodge this. This is what happened with the Sablecoin bill at the beginning of the Congress. They tried. They had a Senate floor vote. It failed. That then got negotiations going. I got one more thought about the AOC who shows up on the Democratic side. Now we're into 2028 in my question. how much does it matter who the Republican candidate is? Because I could see if it's J.D. Vance on one side, that might create a sort of reactionary force on the other for a different kind of candidate compared to if it's a Marco Rubio, for example. Yes, and these are wonderful theoreticals that J.D.

29:24Vance will not get the Trump nomination, and I said it correctly, versus Marco Rubio not getting the president's office. Well, the vice president is not going to be fired. So everybody's going through this, divining how Marco is secretary of state and gets the nomination. J.D. sits there on the sidelines. It's not going to happen. J.D. Vance is the Republican nominee. Full stop. Period. Full stop. Done. So we should stop this conversation about Marco Rubio. Oh, I think it's fascinating because the online memes, the memes of this are fascinating. But it seems like the president is often engaging in it almost himself.

30:05Oh, he loves it. He loves it. He loves the dance. He loves the competition. And he loves the perception of competition. And he's going to continue with this because it is great theater to watch. But you're saying it's theater, but you know the ending of the movie. The end of the movie is Jamie Vance is a Republican nominee in 2020. OK, well, then we should maybe stop the show. Oh, oh, no, no. The show will not stop because the press, as soon as they say this. It must go on. Yeah. Well, we might see a true social where I just said something completely inflammatory and the president disagrees. But but I think what you see from this connectivity that Marco has, that he's the fix it man of everything.

30:42Right. Right. That's the meme you're talking about. Yeah. The reflecting pool, finding out he's got to be the pool and stuff like that. Right. The new coach of that. Yeah. Every single opening that comes up, he's you know, he's the fix it guy. Right. So he's got this great connectivity with Republican voters. I think he is about where the Republican Party is, frankly, the mass of the electorate. I think J.D. Vance is is trying to create a Trump MAGA ideology that is that that is not well time. It's not time tested on whether or not it's the ideology or the person is the driving force. He can't beat Trump 2.0, you think?

31:19No, he's got to go articulate his own thing. In 2028, we're going to be in a very different place by 2028. He might get the Joy Behar endorsement. You know, everybody's looking for that. Which means he will not get the Joe Kernan endorsement. Yes. No, I like him a lot. I do. Not that that matters, but I like you a lot, too. I know I've told you that before. Good to have you on. Great to be with you. All right. That's okay. Still to come on Squawk Pod, will a Hollywood stalwart leave Hollywood? The chances that Paramount may uproot from California due to pressure from state officials? We have the semaphore reporter with the exclusive story that is shaking up the media industry.

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33:44This is Squawk Pod. You're watching Squawk Box on CNBC. I'm Andrew Ross Sorkin, along with Joe Kernan and Becky Quick. Paramount may be considering moving out of California. Semaphore reporting the studio could move its corporate headquarters and shift billions of dollars in planned spending out of the state over attempts to derail its takeover of Warner Brothers. Joining us right now is the author of that story, Rohan Goswami. Good morning. Morning, Andrew. How are you? Good to see you. So we all read the report. I'm glad. What I can't figure out without giving away your sources is how much of this is his friends or other people telling him, meaning David Ellison, that he should be moving out of the state versus that he's actually considering moving out of the state.

34:30I think it's really hard for David Ellison to acknowledge the fact to state that he grew up in, right, that he went to school in, has displayed such vitriol to him. But he has a fiduciary due to his shareholders. He knows that just because he loves California doesn't necessarily mean that's the best thing for Paramount. So the conversations that I've had with people in and around this, it became clear that this is sort of a begrudging acknowledgement that the business environment for him was, as one of his confidants said, inhospitable. I think that if we were to ask this question a month ago, it would have been a nonstarter.

34:58Now we're days away from the suit. The Times, of course, reporting that four four states are going to join California, at least in that effort. It's very clear to him, at least, that something has to change. If Bonta doesn't give in, my sense is that he is much closer to being willing to leave, whether it's for another state or reducing production at a massive scale. Where do you think he would move, though? Because, well, two things. One is if he does move or the threat of all this, does this change any kind of calculus for the state? Meaning a story like this, I imagine, is intended. You're just reporting the facts, but the idea is intended to some degree to say to the state, hey, guys, you do this.

35:38But it's just a corporate headquarters, not necessarily everything. At this point. We've watched Chevron do this. Exactly. Chevron did the same thing in response to oil and gas regulation. But they actually shut down their refinery there, too. And that is what is unclear. Obviously, Paramount has a very valuable and saleable lot in the heart of L.A. It's a$2 billion property, at least. Now, in the conversations I had with people, it wasn't clear what they would do with that asset yet. But in terms of spending, recall that as part of trying to close this deal, Paramount has offered to increase their spending up to$30 billion.

36:06That's more than Netflix. It's more than Disney. Those dollars aren't currently flowing into L.A., right? But Ellison wants to bring back production to that region, which, of course, as we all know, has fled to Canada, New York, New Jersey, Texas, Tennessee, all over. there's a bit of a prisoner's dilemma situation though because you just talked about this asset which is the studios if you say you're leaving that asset to potentially becomes actually less valuable not more right because there's less production in the state bingo there's more of a problem there that being said i mean there have been any sorts of novel ideas around redeveloping these studios these are in the heart of down in the heart of los angeles they're it's a studio town if you redevelop them to be what?

36:49I mean, but is this simply, I mean, I was just thinking ExxonMobil just took its corporate headquarters out of New Jersey and moved it to Texas. They didn't really move much of anything. This is just basically saying we're going to be based here so that our laws, the way we're governed, is governed by Texas law. Exxon's comparison is actually probably a really apt one because obviously Exxon moved to Texas because it is more friendly to management. It's slightly less friendly to shareholders, more friendly to management. Here, their management was already in Texas. Right, exactly. But from an incorporation from a sort of a from a state business law as opposed to Delaware.

37:21Here, the issue, I think, for Ellison is the state has shown such hostility. I should I should differentiate between Newsom and Rob Bonta, the AG, who's who's bringing that. But Bonta has, according to my sources, steadfastly refused to engage beyond telling Ellison, we want a structural remedy. We want a breakup of this company somehow. No specifics on what that is, whether that's the studios being separate somehow or that CNN being hived off. So from his point of view, if he has a fiduciary obligation to shareholders to maximize value, to run this business efficiently, and he's also garnered, if not slightly controversial, then DOJ antitrust approval.

37:54I don't know how many jurisdictions now. It's dozens of worldwide jurisdictions. It is, from his perspective, I think a little galling that the state that he's willing to spend tens of billions of dollars in isn't really interested in his business. OK, help us with one other major piece of this, which is there is lots of conversation that potentially they could somehow close this transaction first and then let the states sue them afterwards. How does that work? I've heard that repeatedly, but I don't understand the mechanics of it, if true. I don't think that's true. OK, I don't see a world. And of course, they want to say that because if they delay close, they're on the hook for six hundred twenty five million dollars a quarter to shareholders.

38:32So they may want to say that. I've never heard of a situation where this deal actually closes. Now, there are some comparisons. Sure, you could look at HPE's deal for Juniper, which the states are trying to unwind. You could look at Live Nation, which the states are trying to break up. But those are post-ventive factors about mergers that were already approved and closed before the states sealed. What do you know about Bonta? We've had him on the program. Remember, he's the AG from California who came in. Yep. Was it Exxon Mobil, I think, was who he was? Was it Exxon? Was it Chevron? I think it was Exxon.

38:59Because you asked him, Joe, I forget. How was he planning on getting back? It was something. Is he running for higher office? It was about jet fuel and then I said, you didn't fly here? Oh, yeah, well, I flew here, but, you know, that's me. You know, it was very weird. The hypocrisy, it was like gripping with hypocrisy. Nothing he said made sense. You know, covering M &A, I don't get to get in the weeds of all the state agencies. But of course, you know, state agencies are incredibly important in this process. I called around about this guy, and one M &A lawyer told me something which he thought was incredibly telling.

39:35This was months ago, right? Rob Bonta is a person who doesn't know what he wants here, but knows he needs to want something, right? In other words, the DOJ, Omid Assefi, the former antitrust chief, they're no longer there, but sort of took a very light-touch approach to antitrust enforcement. This created a great vacuum for the state to step in. It's been openly speculated that he has higher political ambitions. You guys should have him on and ask him for yourself. But that does seem to be from where Paramount sits, from where a lot of the M &A world looks at this as a motivation for why he would bring the suit.

40:04Because it's also until yesterday when The Times reported that the concerns from the states were centered around these tentpole films, right? It wasn't clear for months to people what the actual concerns were around the law. There was a lot of noise, right, about CNN and about whether Barry Weiss would run that, whether there would be some sort of changes in editorial there. There was a lot of angst about employment and about theatrical release. These are things that Paramount has at least said it's going to try and fix. So the actual law around the antitrust is still very fuzzy. Fair enough. It was about recycling something.

40:35And he said they're not doing that. Oh, that's what it was. It was recycling plastics. It was at John Mobile. Recycling plastics. Saying that they were. Recycling it into jet fuel. And he said, that doesn't count to recycle it into jet fuel. And I said, well, why doesn't that count? Well, because you're making jet fuel, which just adds to the climate problem. And I go, did you walk back here? He's perfect for California. This guy is perfect. But the larger piece of this is take California out of it. It sounds like we've got another three states that are going to sue anyway. But then the problem is the financial.

41:05California is the one who brought them along. And you also have the financial burden that comes with bringing this suit, right? California is a relatively well-endowed AG's office. New York, on the other hand, while it's well-endowed, has a lot of other demands on its time, both from an antitrust perspective and just a regulatory perspective. Connecticut, my home state, what the heck are they going to do? Rohan, thank you. Appreciate it. Thanks for coming in.

41:30That is Squawk Pod for today. Thanks for listening. Thanks for starting your week with us. Tomorrow on the pod, social capital founder and all in podcast host, Chamath Palihapitiya will be our special guest. Squawk Box is hosted by Joe Kernan, Becky Quick and Andrew Ross Sorkin. Tune in weekday mornings on CNBC at 6 Eastern to get the smartest takes and analysis from our TV show right into your ears. Follow Squawk Pod wherever you get your podcasts. We'll meet you right back here tomorrow. We are clear. Thanks, guys.

42:10This episode is brought to you by Schwab Market Update, an original podcast from Charles Schwab. Join host Keith Lansford for this information-packed daily market preview delivered in 10 minutes or less, including projected stock updates, monetary policy decisions, and key results and statistics that may impact your trading. Download the latest episode and subscribe at schwab.com slash market update podcast or find Schwab Market Update wherever you get your podcasts.

From the publisher

After the death of Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC), former Congressman Patrick McHenry (R-NC) discusses Sen. Graham’s legacy and the future of both the Republican and Democratic parties. 

Shares of SK Hynix fell over 15% in Seoul on Monday after its impressive Friday debut of US-traded shares on the Nasdaq. Semafor’s Rohan Goswami is reporting that friends and advisers of Paramount CEO David Ellison are pushing him to consider relocating the company out of California. Goswami discusses the state’s role in Paramount’s $110B takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery and the likelihood that the company will start fresh somewhere new. Plus, Apple is suing OpenAI, and Elon Musk and Sam Altman are taking shots at each other on X. 

 

Emily Wilkins - 02:32

Patrick McHenry - 16:51

Rohan Goswami - 33:52

 

In this episode:

Joe Kernen, @JoeSquawk

Becky Quick, @BeckyQuick

Andrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkin

Emily Wilkins, @emrwilkins

Katie Kramer, @Kramer_Katie


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