The U.S. track record for wars in the Middle East

16 Jul 2026 · 6 min · 3 chapters

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In short

The episode examines the U.S. track record of wars in the Middle East—Afghanistan, Iraq, and the current focus on Iran—arguing that overwhelming early military success has not produced lasting political outcomes because the U.S. often fails to plan for postwar governance and relies too heavily on force while sidelining diplomacy.

Guests

Peter Bergen, CNN national security analyst and author of All the President’s Wars; Paul Salem, Middle East analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (Lebanon); Douglas Lute, retired U.S. Army lieutenant general and former “war czar” coordinating Iraq and Afghanistan efforts under Bush and Obama.

Key claims

“breaking things” works early, but “ends” don’t match “ways and means”; the U.S. acts like an empire without staying long enough to build institutions; bombing-only approaches require scaled-back goals.

Notable examples

Bush’s 2001 statements about ending the Taliban; Obama’s 2011 claims about Iraq’s war ending; the 1991 Gulf War as the last time objectives were realistic (drive out Iraqi troops from Kuwait, not overthrow Saddam).

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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U.S. Wars in the Middle East Overview

0:45 to 3:00

Exploration of the U.S. military involvement and challenges in Middle Eastern conflicts.

“Three major conflicts, all in the same region.”

Expert Insights on Military Strategy

3:00 to 5:05

Analysis from military and foreign policy experts on the shortcomings of U.S. strategy.

“has been acting like an empire without wanting to be an empire.”

Lessons from Past Conflicts

5:05 to 6:28

Discussion on the lessons learned from the U.S. war against Iraq and its implications.

“The goal was limited, drive out Iraqi troops who'd seized Kuwait.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00This week on the NPR Politics Podcast, President Trump is trying to tie Democrats to communism. Including World War II or even 9-11? Both he and his team feel this is resonating with his base. Why the White House is pushing communism as a new line of attack ahead of this year's midterms. Listen now on the NPR Politics Podcast. Today on State of the World, the U.S. track record for wars in the Middle East.

0:33You're listening to State of the World from NPR. We bring you the day's most vital international stories up close where they're happening. I'm Greg Dixon. The United States has been at war for more than 20 of the last 25 years. Three major conflicts, all in the same region. There was Afghanistan, then Iraq, now Iran. And none of those conflicts have gone nearly as well as U.S. presidents said they would. NPR's Greg Myrie takes a look at why the U.S. is so often at war and why it's finding those wars so hard to win. Here's President George W. Bush in 2001. The Taliban regime is coming to an end.

1:15And President Obama in 2011. The end of war in Iraq reflects a larger transition. The tide of war is receding. And President Trump just a few days ago. The Iran war has been a tremendous military success. In all three wars, the U.S. military unleashed overwhelming power that greatly weakened or ousted the enemy in the early days of fighting. Yet time and again, raw military might has not translated into clear political success in the kind of fundamental change the U.S. was seeking. We generally do a pretty good job of breaking things and killing people at the inception of the wars. Peter Bergen is the author of a new book, All the President's Wars, which looks at U.S.

2:02conflicts over the past quarter century. Bergen, a national security analyst at CNN, says the U.S. keeps falling short when it comes to ending wars. We the United States tend to not plan for the day after, the peace that follows the war. With an emphasis on military power over diplomatic deals, the U.S. keeps expecting wars that will be brief and relatively low cost. That's according to Paul Salem, a Middle East analyst in Lebanon. The U.S. has an imperial appetite, but a tourist's approach to it. Salem is with the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington think tank. He says this contradiction defined the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan, and a similar scenario, is playing out in Iran.

2:50Their recent history is not one of stability and deep institutions that you can just come in and change somebody at the top and everything works out. Peter Bergen reinforces that idea. He says the U.S. has been acting like an empire without wanting to be an empire. Empires typically require people to learn languages, stay there for a long time, not be there on just short tours. We don't do the kinds of things that would be necessary to hold on to territories for a long time. We're very reluctant to do it. President Trump promised to keep the U.S. out of forever wars. Yet in attacking Iran, he's taking on the largest and most powerful U.S.

3:31rival in the region. And the president is trying to do it without ground troops, which has limited U.S. casualties. Douglas Lute, a retired Army lieutenant general, does not support using ground troops, but he says it's important to recognize that without them, the U.S. needs to scale back its goals. When we launch only a bombing campaign, but we retain maximalist goals like regime change, you don't have any prospect for success unless you're just lucky. And being lucky is not the place to start a military campaign. Trump has called, at various times, for eliminating Iran's nuclear program, toppling the government, destroying its Air Force, Navy, and missile program.

4:17Lutzi's parallels to earlier wars, when he served as the so-called war czar, coordinating efforts in both Iraq and Afghanistan under Presidents Bush and Obama. We've had repeated disconnects between ends, ways and means. We've had a lack of sufficient understanding of what we were getting into. For all its muscle, U.S. military power has its limits. And diplomacy has largely been sidelined, according to Paul Salem. Advice from the State Department was kind of brushed aside as, you know, too weak and too wimpy. wise, we've seen it again in this war. There's barely any State Department input or advice.

5:00These analysts say there is a Middle East war that offers valuable lessons, the first U.S. war against Iraq back in 1991. The goal was limited, drive out Iraqi troops who'd seized Kuwait. President George H.W. Bush rallied support at the United Nations and built a large international force. Again, Douglas Lute. I count that war as the last time that we really had realistic objectives. He was then an army major in a cavalry unit that took part in the swift, decisive ground campaign. We had admittedly limited objectives, right, which was to liberate Kuwait, but it was not to take on Baghdad, not to overthrow Saddam, not to replace the Iraqi government.

5:48Trump is looking to end the Iran war. Yet Paul Salem thinks that however this conflict concludes, it won't be the final word. The U.S., he says, is capable of striking Iran whenever it wishes. And while Iran will be vulnerable, it is able to inflict a cost on the global economy and hence indirectly on the U.S. president. I think there will be future wars and confrontations. and it's still not clear how this one will end. Greg Myrie, NPR News.

6:27That's the State of the World from NPR. Thanks for listening. Everyone wants to know if AI is conscious, but consciousness is really hard to define. It's the experience we're having right now. What it is like to eat chocolate or to look at the blue sky. So how do we know who or what is conscious? Check out the new ways scientists are finding to measure the elusive phenomenon on Shortwave. Listen on the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts. On Consider This, NPR's afternoon news podcast, we cover everything from politics to the economy to the world. But every story starts with a question. At NPR, we stand for your right to be curious, to make sense of the biggest story of the day, and what it means for you.

7:16Follow Consider This wherever you get your podcasts.

From the publisher
The United States has been at war for more than 20 of the last 25 years. Afghanistan, Iraq and now Iran. Three major conflicts, all in the same region, and none of those conflicts have gone nearly as well as U.S Presidents said they would. We look at why the U.S. is so often at war and why it is finding them so hard to win.

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