Positive Market Shift, But Watch For This; Amazon, Alphabet, CrowdStrike In Focus

1 Aug 2026 · 1 h 11 min · 25 chapters

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In short

Market recap and positioning for traders amid recent volatility; focus on whether the Nasdaq is ready for a “follow-through day” and how to use technical checklists, relative strength, and historical precedents (1998/Long-Term Capital blowup) to gauge risk.

Guests

Mike Webster (IBD Senior Market Strategist) joins Alyssa Coram (host/Stock Market Today).

Guest backgrounds

Webster is an IBD senior market strategist and long-time growth/technical trader associated with IBD-style “market school” rules and indicators (e.g., trend change checklist, power trend, relative strength line methods).

Key claims

S&P 500 and Dow regained key moving-average levels (50-day/21-day), but Nasdaq remains “ugly” and disconnected; AI/growth names are more vulnerable until Nasdaq confirms with a follow-through day. Citadel stepping in after a leveraged AI-focused hedge fund margin call is framed as liquidity provision that prevented worse market damage.

Notable examples

Amazon (up ~15% after earnings; discussed as a double-bottom-in-spirit setup), Alphabet (up ~6.7%; ShakeOut Plus 3 entry levels), CrowdStrike (bouncing near 50-day; prefer sector ETFs like CIBR/HAC), plus cybersecurity ETF CIBR and DRAM/AI-related weakness (Micron/SanDisk).

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Market Analysis and Key Indexes Overview

1:32 to 4:28

The hosts analyze the current market environment and major indexes.

“We are going to analyze the current market environment, the major indexes.”

Diving Deeper into the NASDAQ and Individual Stocks

4:30 to 7:40

Discussion on the performance of NASDAQ and key stock insights.

“But you'd much rather be in this position on a Friday than where we were even yesterday.”

Technical Analysis and Stock Patterns

7:42 to 10:50

Exploration of technical analysis and stock movement patterns.

“And this is one of the best companies out there.”

Market Dynamics and Recent Hedge Fund Activity

10:52 to 14:00

Insight into market dynamics influenced by hedge fund activities.

“First, it's your floor, then it becomes your ceiling.”

Market Psychology and Margin Calls

14:00 to 17:39

Learn about the impact of margin calls and market psychology on volatility.

“knows the story even better than we do, but you can Google it or you can go on wherever, go on our site.”

Lessons from Long-Term Capital Management

17:40 to 22:08

Explore the historical context of market corrections and follow-through days.

“and this ignited what ended up being the move up to the March of 2000 top.”

Assessing Market Signals and Flexibility

22:09 to 24:16

Understand the importance of market signals and the need for flexibility in trading.

“But you really, until we get a follow through day on the NASDAQ, I would say you want to stay away from anything in any big way there and really demand things to be pretty much picture perfect.”

Cybersecurity ETF and Market Trends

26:27 to 28:00

Discuss the performance of cybersecurity ETFs and their growth potential.

“You did look at Sandus and the DRAM ETF, so I don't think we need to look at this too much more.”

Market Analysis: Growth Areas and Relative Strength

28:00 to 30:09

The discussion focuses on the resilience of certain growth areas in the market, particularly in the tech sector, and their relative strength amidst market fluctuations.

“growth area that has been holding up pretty well.”

Charting Techniques and Historical Insights

30:10 to 31:26

The hosts delve into charting techniques, referencing historical patterns and figures from notable investors to illustrate their points on stock analysis.

“So when the market was falling apart on Thursday or Wednesday, this one held up relatively well considering the carnage that was out there.”
Show all 25 chapters

ShakeOut Plus 3: A Trading Strategy

31:27 to 38:06

An in-depth explanation of the ShakeOut Plus 3 strategy, its origins, and how to apply it in current market conditions, highlighting its importance in trading decisions.

“You mentioned ShakeOut Plus 3, so let's go there.”

Earnings Reaction: Amazon's Strong Performance

38:41 to 42:05

Analyzing Amazon's earnings report, the hosts discuss the stock's strong reaction and implications for future performance in the market.

“Okay, so next we have to talk about another mega cap name, and that's Amazon.”

Stock Analysis: Netflix and Amazon's Performance

42:05 to 43:54

Discussion on the historical performance of Netflix and Amazon and their market behavior.

“When you get that white space, that's when it's truly leading.”

Evaluating Dell and Market Signals

43:54 to 45:08

Evaluating Dell's stock performance and its implications for the overall market.

“But let's go to Dell because before I'd left on vacation, this was the one that was looking the best.”

CrowdStrike: Opportunities and Risks

45:08 to 47:38

Analyzing CrowdStrike's stock movements and comparing it with sector performance.

“Yeah, yesterday would have been a better buy point, you know, with the upside reversal going through the 50-day, but it didn't quite take out the day before as high.”

Market Trends and Technical Analysis

47:38 to 52:42

A detailed technical analysis of market trends, focusing on Fibonacci levels and key indicators.

“So let me go over to, we're going to do our Bob Weir, take a step back and look at the weekly candles.”

Final Thoughts on NASDAQ Movements

52:42 to 56:00

Concluding discussion on NASDAQ movements and trading strategies moving forward.

“So on here, the green lines are lines that we want to get through.”

Managing Risk with 50-Day Lines

56:00 to 56:50

Learn about using the 50-day line for managing risk in stock trades.

“above the 50-day, and I think it's a great way to manage risk.”

Analyzing Market Trends with RSI

56:50 to 59:20

Understand how the WebE RSI indicator works and its significance for market trends.

“So what do you think about this one with the 21-day?”

Evaluating Market Signals and Indicators

59:20 to 1:04:00

Explore various indicators and their implications for analyzing market signals.

“And that means our low above the 21-day, And that'll at least get a little blue sliver in there, our first brick in this blue wall that we want.”

Identifying Growth Opportunities in Stocks

1:04:00 to 1:06:30

Discover how to find growth opportunities across different sectors in the market.

“We have some good things with the S &P going back.”

Personal Updates and Parenting Insights

1:06:30 to 1:10:02

Listen to anecdotes about parenting and personal updates from the hosts.

“There's plenty of other stocks to be trading.”

Personal Stories and Family Moments

1:10:02 to 1:11:29

Hear heartwarming anecdotes about family and music.

“But yeah, part of the lyric is, I adore you.”

Show Wrap-Up and Upcoming Events

1:11:32 to 1:11:45

Get details on the next episodes and where to find more information.

“Webby and I will be back Monday morning on IBD Live.”

Show Wrap-Up and Upcoming Events

1:11:46 to 1:12:48

Get details on the next episodes and where to find more information.

“This show is for informational and educational purposes only, and nothing should be construed as a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any securities.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Mike Webster:Harvard Business School Executive Education delivers a world-class learning experience that energizes aspiring and established changemakers. Prepare for the next elevation for your organization and for yourself. Learn more at hbs.me slash breakthrough. That's hbs.me slash breakthrough.

0:27Mike Webster:Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Stock Market Today. It's Alyssa Coram here and a decent finish to the week considering the volatility throughout the week and Wednesday stocks especially getting hit hard. Joining me now to break down the action, not only in today's session, but to give us that added perspective that we need as traders to know how to position our portfolios is my colleague back from his vacation, IBD Senior Market Strategist Mike Webster. Webby, great to see you. Hey, it's great to see you, Allie. Yes, so good having you back. And we get to use your mind and see how you're seeing the market here.

1:10Mike Webster:We've had a lot of twists and turns lately. It's been crazy. I don't know what you guys did to the market while I was away, but I don't like it. You made it very, very confusing. So we'll try to, you know, make things a little clearer. But it is, it's a very unique environment right now. We'll talk about it throughout the show. Looking forward to it. We sure will. Okay, so a little roadmap for everyone. We are going to analyze the current market environment, the major indexes. We also want to take a look at 1998. Webby has some thoughts on that market that we can look at some lessons for the current situation.

1:50Mike Webster:We have a couple of stocks that we want to highlight, including Amazon, Google Parent Alphabet, and CrowdStrike. A couple of ETFs as well, and Webby's charts. So we'll get the updated Webby RSI, the Webinacci, perhaps. Oh, yes, that's back. Levels, the off high, and more. And then at the end, if everyone sticks around, you get an update on Chloe, the Chloe update. Right. The most important part of the week. Good stuff. All right. Well, let's get right to it. First, taking a look at the major indexes. Here's the S &P 500 tracked by the VOO ETF, up 7 tenths of a percent on the day, getting back above the 50-day line and the last week and a half or so of trade.

2:42Mike Webster:Meanwhile, the NASDAQ Composite up 1 % on the day. So now two days up in a row off the lows here. And then the NASDAQ 100 up 0.6 % so looking a little weaker here versus the NASDAQ Composite. the Dow, your absolute favorite index, Webby, just kidding, up about six-tenths of a percent or so bouncing off of the 50-day line. And we do also like looking at small caps. Here's a look at the Russell finishing basically mid-range in an outside day, a little bit below the 50-day line, down about a half a percent. So it seems like the most important place to start, you could prove me wrong here though, is the S &P 500.

3:33Mike Webster:A lot of important things to look at, but perhaps we'll start with the S &P. Yeah, and I do have a position in SPY that I bought towards the tail end of the day, you know, once we were above the 50 and looked like we were going to close there as well as the above the 21 days. So both very important levels. You know, in fairness, the 21 day is what I focus on, but the most important ones are really the 200 day and the 50 day. That's what the whole world looks at on SPY, very important and also important on the NASDAQ as well. But the fact that we were able to get back above that going into a Friday after what happened this week and what's happened recently, but really, you know, we kind of figured out or found out yesterday what the real news was about, which we can talk about in a sec.

4:24But this was a good close to a week. A monthly close is more important than the weekly, and a weekly is more important than a daily, and so on. So closing the week out like this, especially after where we close after the Fed announcement, down there at the lows like that, which really gave you an expectation that we could have gone down and made a trip down to the lows of this base that we're in. Now, we're not out of this base. We're in a basing formation right now. But you'd much rather be in this position on a Friday than where we were even yesterday. And certainly not the day before. That would have been a terrible way to go into the weekend.

5:06But this is telling you that the market is making a stand and let's toggle over to the NASDAQ to see more of the carnage. And the NASDAQ, man, it just really looks ugly and looks completely disconnected from the S &P. And also let's toggle over to the RSP because that's an important one to look at. This is your average large cap stock. So it's your S &P 500 equally weighted. So all 500 of them. And where I like to focus my eyes, And I know it's a little hard because of all the moving averages and everything. But just the distance between your 21-day and your 50-day is about the same distance apart this whole run.

5:50So it's just in this nice trend up. And just a reminder to myself that I need to put some regression lines on the RSP and study those. So I just— Oh, nice. Yeah, just remind me because, you know me, I'm not that bright. I don't remember stuff. So now with this in mind, let's go back or let's pull up the EQAL, which is even a broader way. This is 1 ,000 stocks and a little bit less of an uptrend. So you can see that there's a little bit more going on with the large caps. And we saw that with the IWM was kind of a drag on things. But this is an important thing to look at. It's not anything Bill ever looked at.

6:31But we did have this instrument way back in the day. I don't remember what the symbol was, but it was for all instruments. So he would look at, you kind of use like VTI, I think is the symbol for it, the total market. You know, you just kind of get a sense for everything, but this is market cap weighted. So if we could get something for everything that was equally weighted, that'd be a good thing to study, I think. But let's go again, go back to the RSP and get this one in our mind. This is your average large cap trending nicely well above your 50-day. Now we're going to go over to NASDAQ to see how, and this is the one that we all care about.

7:14I mean, it's what Charles, Justin, and I created market school rules on were off of the NASDAQ because it's what Bill would use the most, what we would use the most because it tends to correlate with our IBD-style growth stocks the most. And this was in a completely different position. So you had a lot of carnage out there, especially in the AI space, which is what has driven this market up. And we might as well go to the poster child and go to SanDisk for a second to see what this drag was. And this is one of the best companies out there. But not always a great company isn't always a great stock.

7:51They're great when they're going up and they're terrible when they're going down. And so this has put in what looks like a top for now. Let's go over to the weekly chart. Not saying that it can't come back, but for now, there's different things that we use as an indication of when something is put in a top. There's all sorts of different ways of looking at it. Sometimes it's just hasn't hit a new high for X amount of time or it's X percent off their highs, all sorts of ways of slicing it. The way I like to look at it is when you have a stock like this, such a beautiful thing to study is that that RS line being above its moving averages on a weekly for such a long period of time and such a huge percentage.

8:36But when they start going down through those moving averages, especially the last moving average that we have on there, that's when I say, OK, this stock, this move is done. They can come back. Like when we did studies for Bill, when Charles and I did them, there was only like 12 % of them that would come back to lead again as another model book stock. It doesn't mean it can't go and have another move higher, but only 12 % would then go to be another monster move up. So that could happen, but really some base billing, some chopping around is what you would expect. Now, you can get some good news out of the, you know, out of the blue.

9:21Those estimates are huge, but that's also why it's gone up so much. So we use the technicals to get us out of something. And so that's a whole topic. We could do a whole hour on this, so we won't. Let's look at Micron 2. I'm sorry, you know, I say let's move on and then I throw something out. So this one is holding up better. I'm sorry, I stepped on your toes, Allie. What were you saying?

9:43Mike Webster:No, I was just saying it's important and it really adds, you know, a piece of the mosaic. There you go. I love that word. So with this one holding up better, and this, our good friend, Chris Gessel has been riding this monster, this, I think the entire move up there is hedging a lot. But still, the Micron is looking better from the lens of looking at that RS line. So you always want to look at the RS line versus those moving averages on there. That's something I invented. It's quick, quicksand, Grateful Dead if you want to look them up. And it's still above that one, which let's go to DRAM, which is the ETF that kind of captures this space.

10:27This one doesn't have a lot of history, but still it's underneath those, the moving averages that it does have enough history on. So let's toggle over to the daily for a second. because this is really where all the focus has been. There's some other stocks, but it's really been about this space going through so much destruction. Once it couldn't hold the 50-day, then you were in a different position where the 50-day became your ceiling. First, it's your floor, then it becomes your ceiling. So this, and I don't want to keep going to other stocks, but I'll just say this. We don't have to go there, but you can pull up the NASDAQ while we do this.

11:06This Qualcomm back in 1999, which is something that we've been talking a lot about, that topped at the end of 1999, the beginning of January, but the market still continued higher, much higher through the first part of March. So just because we've lost Santisk and potentially Micron for now, that doesn't mean that we can't move higher. So now we're going to look back at the most important instrument from the growth standpoint, the NASDAQ composite. So here, where are we? We're looking for a follow-through day on the NASDAQ. You can make a strong argument that you don't need one for the S &P 500 because the S &P 500 really hasn't had that same type of damage.

11:48We just recently had the power trend end on that, but it ended in a very graceful way where the 21-day just crossed below the 50-day just kind of gently. And so that could start back up. What do we need for that? We need the 21 day to be above the 50 day for five consecutive days and the low to be above the 21 day for 10 consecutive days. So we needed two, three weeks worth of good action before the power trend would turn back on. But this doesn't look terrible, right? It did look terrible two days ago at the low. Like if we were having this conversation at that point, I'd say, yeah, you probably, you know, you're going to need a follow through day in here, which is a much bigger topic than you think.

12:32And that's why I also use the moving averages. So it's an or statement for me. It's not a has to be a follow through day. It's an or. It's either you either get a follow through day or you get through your trend. What is the name of my checklist?

12:49Mike Webster:Trend change checklist. checklist. Say it four more times. Trend change checklist, trend change checklist. You got it. I like to say it one time. I got to come up with better names. So with that, if you're not familiar with it, let's go back to the current day on this because we have one on the checklist. So the first thing is you want to get your close above your moving average. In this case, the 21 day as well as the 50 day. Use a 21 day, the 50, the 200, any moving average you want. You want the eight day exponential, the five-day simple. Doesn't matter. Works the same. Get a close above the moving average is your first part of the checklist.

13:27Next is to get your low above that moving average and close up on the day. We don't have that yet. Hopefully, we get that early next week. Then your low above it for three or more consecutive days and closing up on it. That completes the checklist. That's just the bare minimum of what you need to get that ball rolling. Now, let's go back to the NASDAQ. I know we're all over the place, but there's a lot of things going on. Yesterday, we got the ball rolling with that big update, right? And this was part of that news. I think it was pretty much all around the news that happened that there was everyone watching probably knows the story even better than we do, but you can Google it or you can go on wherever, go on our site.

14:11I'm sure we've got stories about it, of this big hedge fund that was focused on AI that It was just highly leveraged, highly levered, four to one is from what I heard, both long and short, and got a margin call that they couldn't handle. And so Citadel had to go in and buy it from them. So Citadel, people are making out to be bad guys. They're not. They're providing liquidity. If there wasn't a Citadel or someone similar to take that off someone's hands who couldn't handle the leverage, then we'd be in a really bad situation in the market. So it's good to have folks like that. And look, this guy just got carried away.

14:50We all make mistakes. He's 24 or something like that. And I made worse mistakes when I was 24 than that. I just didn't have, you know,$40 billion to run like he was doing. So I think he's still up like 80 % for the years. We're not crying for him. But it brought the market down because think about what was going on. It's all about the psychology. People knew that he was trying to shop around this big order. It was clear that there was somebody was, and he probably wasn't the only one, but just the one that we see in the news, that was over levered in this space that was going through a very significant correction.

15:30And so they were getting margin calls. And so you either have to put up more capital or you need to sell. And as you get forced selling, it's a big poker game. People can see it. And that's why things were falling all over the place. Now you mix in with that, the new type of option environment that we have, as well as ETFs and options on ETFs. You get this crazy volatility because it's kind of like the tail wagging the dog, so to speak. So that's all this chop that we've had in there. Now we know why, or at least we believe that we know why. And so psychologically, people can kind of just move forward.

16:12And that's what we were talking about this morning on IBD Live and talking about the long-term capital. So it's probably a good time to go to that 1998 example that we were discussing on air. And who should watch IBD Live?

16:27Mike Webster:Everyone. It's so fun. It is a lot of fun. So here was the follow-through day back in 1998. Now I'm using this as a precedent loosely. Like this is as loose as I'll ever get. Loosey-goosey with the precedent thing. But I'm trying to find things in the late 90s that mesh with our current market as a way of explaining things. So looking at this as either a three waves down or a double bottom is really both. But we tend to look at it as a double bottom. And what happened with long-term capital blowing up, and if you're not aware of that, just go and Google it after the show. And some really smart guys got over-leveraged.

17:08And things that weren't supposed to happen happened. That happens in the market more than you think. And they blew up and they needed a bailout. But that happened in late September. And then we took another leg down. So if you're going to use the precedent, you kind of have to use both sides of it is that, you know, you could have more weakness, even though we're feeling better now that we've lifted for a couple of days. But at least with the long term capital, you can't take the good side of it without the bad side. The, you know, the other side was it took another leg down and it really took the Fed to get in there to change things with some emergency meetings and movements and everything.

17:49and this ignited what ended up being the move up to the March of 2000 top. So this is a very important one to study. You could study it for days and still have more. So we'll just go over the highlights. What you're looking for now would be something like this, a follow-through day. That happens on your fourth day or after. So that was, you had your bottom day, which was day one because it was upside reversal. then you end up having to wait for a follow-on move on the fourth day or after so day one two three four five your your fifth day was up enough for it to be a follow-through day it's kind of like my checklist but that's just the one thing that bill had then let's just move forward um a week to see how this checklist ends up working so then the next day you get the first thing on there close above your 21 day.

18:43Then several days later, you get your, or the next day you get your low above it, closing up on the day. Then three consecutive days with your low above it and closing up on the day. And that was, then you get your next thing on the 50 day and so on. And just rinse and repeat as Scott likes to say, let's just go out to December just to kind of jump ahead. So this is the move that it had. And what you've got to remember in here is that as that's happening, you need to be flexible and not fight the market. And I go, oh my God, I remember last week when things were so terrible. If the market shifts, you need to shift with it.

19:24And unfortunately, we've got a bad price in there when it comes down to$17.66. That didn't happen. So it's unfortunate, it needs to be fixed But it's from our data provider, not from our end And so with this move, if you were waiting for a pullback You never got that pullback And so I just caution people, because I see it all the time People say, oh, things are too extended, I want a pullback And they get the pullback, and they don't want the pullback So it's tricky, it really is But you have that follow-through day Then you went through my checklist on the 21 day. You went through the checklist on the 50 day.

20:03You went through your checklist on your 200 day. And along the way, you're doing other things like taking out marked highs, which was something that Charles, Justin and I came up with as a buy signal for the market school. So you had all these triggering, but still you'd have people that were still in this terrible mindset of, oh, my gosh, long term capital just blew up. The Fed's doing the wrong stuff. Just be flexible. Now, let's go to Charles Schwab, which was one of Bill's best stocks during this time. And this is the point of this. Look down where you would have wanted to buy it out of that.

20:40Yeah, out of that cup with handle and right there. And what is the date on there? the day before that one. The 12th or the 9th. Okay, so let's do something. Let's go to the NASDAQ. Actually change it to there so we can see what the Schwab looks like there, which is why I always say do a change date. Look at how much this chart is going to change from this nice constructive to this wide and loose thing. It's all scaling, folks. And so with this is actually a beautiful cup with handle. If you spend enough time with it, And it had positive divergence. That is the key for today, positive divergence.

21:20The market continued to go down, and this one didn't. In the handle portion of this, it ended up holding up better than what the market did. So let's toggle over to the NASDAQ on the same date. And look, so the market is only one day off the bottom, and Schwab was going through its first pivot on there. It's alternative pivot. And so you want to be open to buying things before a follow through day because Bill would do that. But the system is before you get really meaningfully involved with anything, you wait for a follow through day. And so how do you translate that into this current market? Well, with S &P is holding up.

22:08So it does give you the green light to be buying things. But you really, until we get a follow through day on the NASDAQ, I would say you want to stay away from anything in any big way there and really demand things to be pretty much picture perfect. And there's nothing wrong at all with just saying, hey, I'm just going to wait for a follow through day because we might get another leg down. I wouldn't, you know, it just depends on how much risk you want to take because there are so many cross currents in the chop that we've had over the last, you know, really since the top there has just been so reminiscent of October to April where you just can lose a lot because there was all these setups and then they fail.

22:53And then all these setups and they fail. We're going to make our money during a power trend. And that's where the bulk of, you know, I think all of us, you know, the progress we made was during the power trend. And this other portion of it is where you get chopped up. So you want to be on the very careful side. But this is day two. Just to be clear, our bottom day here was day zero. So that low becomes very important. You can't trade under that even on an interday basis. But day one is yesterday. Today is day two. Monday is day three. Tuesday is day four. So on Tuesday or after, you could end up getting a follow-through day as long as you're up enough, which right now is just 1%.

23:43I'll double check with Justin on Monday. It might have gone up to 1.25, but I think it's still at our 1 % level. and that's not a big threshold to go over. And we don't want it to be a big threshold. We just want it to be as high as it really needs to be, but not any higher. So that's where we are on the follow-through day watch. You know, it's kind of like storm watch. It's follow-through day watch. But toggle over to the RSP. You go, why do you need a follow-through day? You're at new highs, essentially. So you don't need one here. That's where the conundrum is. You know, so it's really, if you're trading normal, non-NASDAQ, non-AI stocks, kind of good to go.

24:25If you're wanting to trade the AI-related names, I would wait for the NASDAQ to have a follow-through. Does that make sense? Absolutely.

24:33Mike Webster:And I think there's a reason why you guys chose the NASDAQ versus the S &P 500 to create market school, because as growth style traders, a lot of our stocks will trade more in step with the NASDAQ than the S &P 500, not in all cases. But I think thinking about this bifurcated market makes sense. If the kind of stocks that you're trading are ones that have come under pressure, then looking at those signals on the NASDAQ makes sense instead of, oh, well, the S &P is fine, so I can trade all the AI stuff. So looking at the index level, but also the individual leadership, I do think is important. And then in terms of the precedents, I think what is sort of the benefit of the trend change checklist and the power trend combined with the power of precedent analysis is we don't know if we are going to get another power trend soon or if it's more of that 1999 period that we've talked about before where it is that chop higher.

25:39Mike Webster:But I think that, you know, having that incremental approach and knowing when to get more aggressive and, you know, experts like you talk about that a lot on IBD Live, you know, we'll be able to adjust in real time our expectations. Man, that was so well said. We can just end the show right now. Not at all. I'm going to go have dinner. Okay. No, we have more to get to. So let's move on. Over 60 years, Medline has demonstrated a track record of delivering consistent growth. Today, Medline is proudly NASDAQ listed and is the largest provider of medical surgical products and supply chain solutions serving all points of care.

26:22Mike Webster:See how Medline makes healthcare run better at Medline.com. So that's a great framework here for us to continue. you. You did look at Sandus and the DRAM ETF, so I don't think we need to look at this too much more. But, you know, the fact that we did reverse lower here today, I think also does show the risk of, you know, this had an explosive move higher off of a low in Thursday's session, right, up 16%. So some aggressive traders out there may have said, all right, I'm going to go in guns a-blazing this morning, right? And then you get this reversal. So risk management, definitely very key. And again, layering that individual stock analysis with how the indexes are doing to know how safe or not the waters are in various sectors.

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27:18I was so scared when I saw JAWS, man. I didn't want to take a bath or a shower or get in a pool or anything, but I'm sorry. Why do you get me on these tangents, Allie? We've got a show you do. This is serious business, man.

27:32Mike Webster:So serious. Well, you know what's seriously interesting here is the CIBR Cybersecurity ETF. We've been keeping a very close watch on this since the early May timeframe. This has, and even more recently, as a lot of the chip leadership has come under pressure, we've been, I would say, pretty impressed by this subset in software as a tech growth area that has been holding up pretty well. Has it been tricky over the last couple of months? Yes. But taking that step back where it's positioned now is pretty interesting. Yeah. So this is kind of a sweet spot, right? Because it has the growth potential, maybe not as the DRAM space, but it still has the growth potential with the whole AI and build out and everything to have a really large move.

28:31Let's go to the weekly just to kind of see that kind of a bigger stance. And I toggle back and forth between this one as well as HAC. You know, we could stick on this one. And they're very, very similar, a little bit different differences here and there. But this is still very early on in a move. And with the same scaling that you've got on there, let's go back to Micron, which whether this one comes back or not or is done, no one can say that this hasn't had a large move. It's had a massive move. Same thing with the Sandisk and any of the other ones in this space. whereas you look at go back to the CIBR and go wow this is hasn't been a dog but it hasn't really participated for a while it was it was being a dog and that was because some of the stuff like let's pull up IGV which is a broader based um software and that is you know that that one was terrible there was a few trades in there like swing trades but it's really been terrible just kind of the mix of what's in there.

29:38So the CIBR is one, and let's go back to the CIBR on a daily. And this is where I think you can be searching for some merchandise because it had a breakout failure out of a mini cup or flat base, whatever you want to call it, but then got support at a rising 50 day, exactly where you would want it to get support. And then it lifted today and closed near the highs versus what we saw with the DRAMs of the world. So this is telling you where the money is currently flowing and also where it got support. So when the market was falling apart on Thursday or Wednesday, this one held up relatively well considering the carnage that was out there.

30:22In fact, let's pull up the cues for a second, just as a contrast. I mean, look at what was happening there. So in the general same space, meaning tech, that one was just falling apart, couldn't catch a bid to save its life. And then you've got this. So that's relative strength. And it's kind of like what we were talking about with Charles Schwab in 98. It has a higher low than before. And it's not picture perfect, but it's in the spirit of which things have held up better. And it's a technique that I borrowed from Bill. He didn't use it very often, but I started using it a lot where he would point to two different levels on a chart.

31:09We used it a lot in 09. That helped. But it was a tool that he would just take out of his toolbox every once in a while, just kind of like a shakeout plus three that we're going to talk about in a little bit. Not something he would use on a regular basis. Most of the time, he would just rely on the RS line. But Schwab and AOL were different. Yeah.

31:30Mike Webster:So in addition to looking at how either a stock or an ETF performed on Wednesday, for example, kind of taking that step back and looking at what recently undercut the early June lows versus what's holding up better versus its early June lows. Exactly. Okay. Next on the list, let's take a look. You mentioned ShakeOut Plus 3, so let's go there. Yeah, why not? How's that sound? Okay, let's go to Google Parent Alphabet. I'll remove some of my older markups. Today, up 6.7%. We had this huge gap down on earnings not too long ago here, Webby, but the stock making a stand and getting above some notable levels.

32:16Yeah, so I wanted to point, we talked about this on IBD Live this morning, which those who know or watch it, I'm back on my normal schedule at Monday, Wednesdays and Fridays until further notice. I was down to one week because of some projects, but now I'm back on the Monday, Wednesday, Friday. It's a very enjoyable show on Tuesdays and Thursdays when you don't have to hear me babble. So with this one, we were talking about that tool that you take out of the toolbox every once in a while. It's that odd-shaped hex wrench that you got, the left-handed monkey wrench, whatever, in there that you don't use very often.

32:55Like cups and handles are your hammers and flat bases are your screwdrivers, so to speak. So some people would be looking at this and going, oh, I want to short it. I totally see that. And that's actually a good thing because it's at a level that coming up against a declining 50-day, that's a classic place where folks like to short if it fails there, especially if it just goes up a little bit and fails there but doesn't quite get up to the 375.27. So a continued of lower highs. So you want to be careful about that. But how would Bill get into this if he wanted to? This is a tool he'd only use if he really loved the fundamentals of a stock.

33:37It wouldn't be for a run-of-the-mill stock. So let's go over the weekly and see how terrible that looks on a weekly. Like that base, if you do a week-by-week base analysis on there, just total junk, total trash. So again, this is a concept for something that if he saw those earnings, assuming those earnings are right at that 294 coming up from a 22 to 35, a little deceleration to 31, then to 82, to 294. Those are massive numbers, and you do have a general pickup on the sales as well. So those are really, really big numbers. Maybe that's why I was holding up so much and was baked in there. But if he was trying to get in here, this is how we would do it.

34:23So let's go to the daily and walk through a ShakeOut Plus 3. ShakeOut Plus 3 is something that he got from Livermore, Jesse Livermore. And it was his interpretation of Jesse Livermore's work. The way Phil interpreted it was if you're in a base building period and you hit a low, In this case, the 330-20 where she marked, that then becomes an important line in the sand. If you penetrate it on the downside, which it did there on the gap, you don't buy it there, and you don't buy it when it gets back up to that number. But if it gets back up to that low plus three points, then you would buy it there with the shakeout plus three rule.

35:01The concept is it was basing something, forced it out of that base, but it was kind of like an oops, oh, let me get back up into this trend and move higher. And that's a technique that he would use every couple years or so, not very often. So he would do it on$30 to$60 stocks. And occasionally he'd say, oh, well, this is a$15 stock, so I'm going to drop it down to$1.50 or it's a$100 stock, so I'm going to make an adjustment. And when you're OCD and on the spectrum, that doesn't fly. It's got to be black or white for folks like me. So it is, I thought about that for a long time. I'm like, well, that makes no sense.

35:37I'm going to change that to a percentage. Three bucks on a$30 stock is 10 % and on a$60 stock is 5%. So I said, let's just use those. Five to 10 % on top of that low. This is very simple. Your base building, if you hit a low, you bounce up from there. You undercut that low. if you move up from that original low, the 330 plus 5 to 10%, that is a buy point, a shakeout plus three modified. So I did the math this morning. Hopefully I did the math right. It was on air. 346.71 was 5 % and 363, can't read my own writing and change, was 10%. So you don't just go and buy it through that level because this is out of thin air.

36:265 to 10 % is out of thin air, just kind of like three bucks was out of thin air. So you look for an area on the chart where it's going through some sort of resistance that matches up with those. So the highs from two days ago, that pretty much matched up with that. So that's where you could have been buying this. Then obviously you never want your stop loss to be more than 7%. In this case, I would put it back down to the high of that day there, which was essentially the low of today for your trade. And could the shorts come in here and pound it? Absolutely. It's Google. So it's probably going to happen on a slower scale, but that's how you would get into something like this.

37:11If you wanted to get into it before a traditional area, like a traditional area is really going to be more like 400 or so, because it's not really a double bottom. The 375-27 would be your pivot if you're looking at it as a double bottom, but that would be a stretch.

37:31Mike Webster:And maybe one day when we're talking about these shakeout patterns, we will just immediately say shakeout plus 5 % to 10%. You know I'm just messing with you. But instead of the whole Livermore backstory back in your day. Well, when I was a kid, I used to go to school. And so if you want more on this concept, on my Webby 5150 YouTube channel, I believe it was number 38 was my ShakeOut Plus 3. So if I didn't do it long enough and you want two hours on the subject. Yeah. Give us more. Give us more. Fusion powers the sun and stars. General Fusion is working to bring the zero-carbon abundant energy source to Earth.

38:17Mike Webster:As global electricity demand surges, Fusion has the potential to deliver clean, scalable power for a growing world. Proudly NASDAQ listed, General Fusion is the first publicly traded pure-play fusion energy company in the world. With its magnetized target fusion technology and operational demonstration machine, General Fusion is advancing toward commercialization, targeting a first-of-a-kind fusion plant around 2035. Learn more at GeneralFusion.com. All right, good stuff. Okay, so next we have to talk about another mega cap name, and that's Amazon. What an impressive reaction to earnings in Friday's regular session.

38:52Mike Webster:The stock up over 15%, heavy volume, really making a comeback here, Webby. The numbers were fantastic. Really impressive to see here as well. triple digit bottom line growth, quite the acceleration for a couple of quarters in a row here now. Also, top line growth accelerated up 20%. So this stock coming roaring back. And this closed well today, too. So I know that was something that you wanted to see is, okay, how does this stock close today? And how does it act from here, a potential tell for the market? Yeah, I bought this probably in the last half an hour of the day. I wanted to buy it at the open, but we've been dealing with such chop.

39:39I just didn't want to take that risk. We didn't put it on Swing Trader just because the stop on it would have had to have been so wide from where we put it on that a 3 % to 4 % stop, we could have easily gotten chopped up in there. So we'll be watching it to see if it tightens up and gives another entry. But I'm looking at this as a double bottom in spirit, where your first bottom was a 225.55, and then the second bottom was this week. I don't think it quite got down there, but the whole concept of the double bottom is something scary on that second leg. yes it could have gone lower didn't quite get it but it's in the the spirit of it as far as i'm concerned and then you have this big news with with earnings and it's something you can understand so the um bezos really i know he's not like running things anymore but did such a great job with this company setting it up for the long term of he always had a mission of just looking out years and years and years, not quarters.

40:44And so it always threw Wall Street off. But every once in a while, when they want to turn their dials to just really kind of crank up the EPS, they can. And look at this, 575, 242. Those are huge. That's huge acceleration. And given enough time, stocks follow their earnings. So this should move higher. It doesn't mean that it'll do it without wiggling me out, but it should move higher given how it closed in the tape that we've had recently. And the other thing is, it's kind of the sweet spot of you get boxes multiple times a week. I get boxes multiple times a week from Amazon. I've got Amazon products all over the house and the Lexas of the world and everything.

41:31And they do great work as far as I'm concerned. But then they have the AWS, which we use at work. The programmers use at work, and I've used it indirectly for years. So they're benefiting from that side, the AI that way, but also from the retail side of things. So it's something that you can understand. let's go to the monthly chart for a second. And something that really has a lot of potential. I mean, this has been a monster for a long period of time, but you can see times where it just kind of just the RS line doesn't see a lot of white space in between the RS line and its moving averages. When you get that white space, that's when it's truly leading.

42:15And so it hasn't led for a long time, but it has had times where it really leads the market and times where it does this thing where these weird double bottoms, if you go through its history, Netflix and Amazon both had a lot of these kind of weird double bottoms, typically to break out on an earnings announcement. So it's got a lot going for it. We'll see if most likely gets stopped out of the trade. So what to expect from it? What would be normal and natural is on Monday to kind of have an inside day. What I'd like for it to do is to go through 280, but I always just kind of look at the negative side first.

42:56The negative side would be an inside day and it could being up as much as it was up today. It could just end up stopping me out, hoping that it doesn't take out today's low, you know, because then if it does that, then you don't know how much lower it would end up getting, but if it does kick me out of this trade, I'll be looking for an upside reversal if it drifts down to buy it off of there. Now, if it doesn't, to make it a meaningful position, if it can just go in tight here for a week or not even that much and give you something to trade against, yeah, some tight action in there to give you a tighter stop, that would be ideal.

43:39at that point, I'd probably exit it in my personal account and buy it or put it on Swing Trader and then buy it back because we can't put things on Swing Trader if we own it. But I think this is probably the best looking setup out there right now. But let's go to Dell because before I'd left on vacation, this was the one that was looking the best. And I would say that again, given the same information, it was your best looking stock at the time out there and it didn't end up working out. So just because you think something is the best one out there, if it doesn't end up working out, it tells you something about the market.

44:15When that one failed, it was giving us a lot of information and the market did end up doing what it said. The market ended up going down because when the best stock can't work out, you've got problems. Good thing with Amazon is the earnings are behind it, so that risk is off the table. So I think we have one more stock.

44:37Mike Webster:We do, and then we will get to Webby's charts. So we already looked at the cybersecurity ETF. Here's a look at one of the individual names in the cyberspace, and that is CrowdStrike. Shares were up 3 % today. A little tricky over the last couple of months. Some swing trade possibilities in here. The recent slide did send it down to the 50-day line. It is bouncing here. Webby, what's your take? Yeah, yesterday would have been a better buy point, you know, with the upside reversal going through the 50-day, but it didn't quite take out the day before as high. So you could have bought some yesterday and added to it today as it was going through there and adding some more as it's going through the 21-day.

45:23So it's a little bit out of there, but if you use the 50-day as your stop on this. I think it's viable. I'm not a huge fan of the constant selling on down to the 50-day, but that was happening all around the world or in this entire space. So I would really just rather go with a HAC or a CIBR, but instead of this particular one, because if this works, The whole sector is probably, you know, you've got Pan W, which is the basic same look to it. So there's a lot in this space that it's its first pullback to the 50-day and bill it off and say that that's kind of a gift that you want to take advantage of.

46:13Exactly. Just don't look at it in its mouth.

46:16Mike Webster:Yeah. And I also do like the relative strength line. You do have that expansion above the moving averages. And I think what makes this stand out versus Palo Alto right now would be the fundamentals, right? So we have great acceleration, solid top line growth, most recent quarter up 26%, earnings up 51%. So we like that as well, in addition to that support at a rising 10-week. Yeah, and you had some earnings come out in the group, like the FTNT had earnings. It was kind of weird action there. The Okta is trying to find support at its 50-day, but it's a little wild. So it's not the crowd strike isn't a lone wolf.

47:02And that's what we don't want to be trading the lone wolf. We want to be either buying the sector or through a hack or CIBR or a similar. A bug, I think, is I haven't looked at it in a while. But anyway, the sector ETF or just going for the best stock. That's what Bill would say. Find the best stock in a group and buy that one. Don't buy the number two or the number three. And so there's just different approaches. So, yeah, I might split the difference and buy a CIBR as well as an equal size position in the CrowdStrike. We'll see how next week plays out.

47:40Mike Webster:All right. Sounds good. Over to you, Webby, in your charts. All right. Let's see if these work. See if you remember how to do this. I know, right? It's been so long. Just kidding. Can you see it? Okay. So let me go over to, we're going to do our Bob Weir, take a step back and look at the weekly candles. Now, nothing is foolproof. This looks like a freaking great candle, right, Allie? Yeah. Right. So, but this one over here looked like a great candle too, but it didn't end up working out. So nothing is foolproof, but you just deal with the instruments you have and the knowledge you have at the time and trade it accordingly.

48:21So why is this so good? You've got this tiny little, and I'll blow this up a little bit more. You've got this tiny little body there that's blue, meaning that you closed a little bit higher than the open. And you traded all the way down here, undercutting the lows of last week, which had undercut the lows of the prior week. So you have this massive shakeout and then closing up. But your highs, the expectation based off of this chart alone is that you move higher next week. But we do the mosaic and we'll look at all of these things. Same thing with the NASDAQ. This looks great from this lens. You've got the very similar candle that we had on SPY.

49:02It looks like it wants to move higher. Now let's move over to the regressions. This is something that's a regression on the NASDAQ. This one died. This regression line died over here. So now we're waiting for a new one. Same thing with Spy. We're waiting for a new one. And next week, I'll do something on the RSP. In fact, let me see. What was the date? Here, let's just do this. Let's do this for now. I'm going to just do it on the fly. Do it on the fly and we'll see. We'll at least do, where are my regression lines? Okay. So we're going to just, we'll pick it from here and we'll just go out. I'm not doing the exact 50 days, but I'm doing, you know, rough, broad strokes to see this.

49:50Mike Webster:In the spirit of. In the spirit of doing things right. So this is, and you can see it's pretty much in that channel versus like, let's go over to Spy and say that, let's say we were to put one on over here. Now it's not enough time, but if we were to use this low or let's even use this low over here and did it to here, we're in a downtrend. downtrend is sideways. So it's just something that a technique that I like to use that just kind of helps me kind of see the trends. And am I really seeing it the way, am I seeing it the way I want to see it or am I seeing it reality? And this is just how the math works out.

50:33Okay. So we're going to move on to the next thing. This is our 50 % retracement. And this is, we're just using the highs and lows from June. And we're back in the northern hemisphere. So that is a good thing as far as this particular indicator. And let's look at the NASDAQ. We're still in the lower hemisphere. And I changed this and I moved it down to this low. But let's do both of them on there. Let's see. Let's do it the old way with this line. So even if we were using the old high and low, this high and this low here, we're still in the southern hemisphere. So that's something that we need to work on or it needs to work on.

51:17Now we've got SPY with our updated lines on here. And there I had a lot more on here and I tried to remove a bunch just to not clutter it up. So let's just kind of get into the ones that are the most important. This line here, actually, you know, We could bring it down to here. The original one was with this low over here from April. But at this point, since we made a stand here, you know, I would say this low becomes very important. Then the same thing with the low here.

51:50Mike Webster:The Wednesday low for our podcast listeners. There you go. And this thing right here that I'm pointing to, Allie, is really important. You've got to see it. That right there. Yeah, that right there, that thing. so then the last one is the 702 which is our final line in the sand here um and uh that oops was going the wrong way let's back out a little oh no we've got one even further this their final final line in the sand we won't be in the market down there 67146 which is the low from uh the the follow-through day back in april but really if you were to come underneath this uh level of the 702.28, which is the low from mid-April, like April 21st, coinciding with your 200-day, we'd be in a world of pain, something we would rather not be in.

52:42So let's look at the NASDAQ composite. So on here, the green lines are lines that we want to get through. And again, there's a million of them on here. You can just pick and choose whichever ones you want. This one, I left the May 19th low to get through, which is the$25 ,701. That's our first level that we want to be able to close above, not just get above. And then for our audio listeners who should really be watching, but it's okay. I understand you got to drive sometimes. So the low from this week ends up being very important. And of course, the low from the follow through day, same as the S &P.

53:26Now let's go to my really cool, what did I call it? The Webinachi. Thanks, Julie, for that name out in Hawaii. So this is very simple. And I have a webbing rambles on on this. I don't remember what number it is that explains how to use this if you want more details. But it's essentially the white line is our current day action. That's just a one day line on there. and the other ones are Fibonacci moving averages. And they just, you wanna see them stacked properly. And so I just built this simple indicator down here that just counts how many of the slow moving or the shorter term moving averages are above the longer term moving averages.

54:07So think of it this way. You've got a three day, a five day and an eight day and a bunch of other ones in there. If the three day is above the five day, you get one point. If the five day is above the eight, you get a point and so on. So those tallies them up. It maxes out at 45. And so that's this blue line here. So we're looking at the trend of that. So if we've turned back up, we're not at 45 yet, but that's fine. We're back going up in a really nice way. And if this continues, you'll get them stacked up nicely like we had in the power trend. We'll just toggle over to the RSP for a second. And you can see this is what you want it to look like, where it's still pegged at that 45, you know, dip down for a little bit, but you're still right up there.

54:55Let's go over to the NASDAQ. So quite different here. It's got a lot more work to go. It's currently...

55:03Mike Webster:It's seeing RSP. There we go. Okay. So with this one, it's still down there at 24. forward. It's got a long way to go, but at least it's moving in the right direction. Now we're going to toggle over to your favorite one. So interpret this for me. What are we looking at? We are looking at the SPY Daily with the 21 only. They keep a simple chart and the S &P is back above of the 21-day. I like seeing this. So it's a step in the right direction of our trend change checklist. We also are breaking a downtrend. I mean, I know that's looking at the price versus the 21-day moving average. But I know you said into the end of the session, you were putting on a position.

55:58Mike Webster:I as well, I put on a little bit of a 2X S &P ETF because I like those moves back above the 50-day, and I think it's a great way to manage risk. I think that's one of the great—something you use on individual stocks as well, and I think you do a great job with that. Was it ANF was your big one that you were buying through the 50-day the first time? No, I wasn't buying that one through the 50-day. I'll have to—Palantir was one that I bought like that. Yeah, you should do a next time you go on to Justin's podcast. You should talk about that because that's a great technique that you use. Bill would have shot you for it.

56:41I know that for a fact, but it's OK. We are going to because I use it now, too, because he can't shoot me. OK, so let's go to we miss him daily. That was just a joke. Didn't come out the right way. So now here's the NASDAQ. So what do you think about this one with the 21-day?

57:04Mike Webster:Still need to conquer it. Still need to conquer it. So I think that that's very important. And we did have a period where we couldn't hold above it and find support consistently. You know, we had a lot of that chop. So I'd also like to see that 21-day line start rising, get back in an uptrend. So it's super important to see that next week, that 21-day. Cool. So that gets us into our next area. Let's see if these charts will work for me.

57:38Okay, let's see. Can you see my WebE RSI? I can. Can you explain to them what the WebE RSI is since it'll take me a half an hour? Yeah.

57:47Mike Webster:So we are looking at, well, the blue would be the low versus the 21-day expressed in ATRs. And then when you're beneath the 21-day, it's the high versus the 21-day expressed in ATRs. Is that correct? Yeah, and I was having to shut some stuff down because I was having some computer problems. So yes, the blue and what you want to see is a wall of blue like we had in the powertrain. And that is just showing you, like you said, in terms of ATRs, how much that low is versus the 21-day. Once you get underneath it, rather than having the first one, I built this indicator, I had it go negative. but it just takes up too much space on the screen.

58:35So I just flipped it up with a different, those are basically negative numbers, but you just flipped it the other way. So that's where it's in the burnt orange color, where it's just, that's what you don't want to see. You don't want to see a wall of that because it means your high is stuck underneath it. The little squiggly line on there, that's something else for another topic for another day, but it's your high versus the 10 day simple, but not something we're talking about today. You can see where the power trend turned off there, where the green shaded area ended. And it's just very nice, calm way that happens sometime.

59:12It typically happens when they're going to turn back on again, if you look throughout history. So that's a good thing, but it's not back on yet. So what do we have right now? We don't even have a brick in the wall. Pink Floyd is not happy with us. We need at least a brick in the wall. And that means our low above the 21-day, And that'll at least get a little blue sliver in there, our first brick in this blue wall that we want. We will see how that pans out. Let's take a look at the NASDAQ. And it was building a little bit of the wrong color wall there. And now we're back down.

59:49Mike Webster:I'm still seeing SPY for some reason. Wow, that is crazy because I've got, do you see it yet? Oh, it's just a delay? Yeah. Do you see the IXIC yet? No, I don't, but maybe. It's showing up on my end. There we go. Now I see it. Wow, it's a real delay. And yes, Musk, if you're listening, you know, I'm going to probably be going back to spectrum. Oh, my God. My upload speeds are killing me. I tried, people. I really tried. Yeah, he's tried everything. But this is the Webby RSI on here. We need to get above the 21 day for this to do anything for us. Next thing we're going to look at, we're going to actually look at the VOO for this one.

1:00:32This is the Bob Marley off high indicator. Do you tell me when you can see it on your end?

1:00:37Mike Webster:I see it, yeah. Okay. So this is a very important one for this environment that we're in. This is critical and is actually a very good thing. What are we looking at? We are looking at the low versus how far off the highs the low has gotten in terms of ATRs. So our first major pullback that we had here that ended in, looks like June 9th, that was down about almost four and a half ATRs off the high. So that kind of set the stage for future pullbacks that you didn't want it to go down more than that. So the next two pullbacks we had were shallower in terms of ATRs and pretty much right in line with each other.

1:01:26So it's telling you it's normal. This pullback on the VOO or S &P is normal and natural and healthy. We'll also look at the RSP, very normal and natural there. But now let's look over at the NASDAQ. Not good. Can you see the NASDAQ? yeah okay so this is exactly what you don't want to see it's kind of like a quicksand in a different way where you hit one low then you hit a lower low then you hit a lower low and there's no you know there's no end in sight until you have a low that's higher so just being frank about it this looks terrible on the nasdaq from this lens but that's also why you know that's why we were looking at so many different charts and we do it in this mosaic thing.

1:02:18We'd look at the one chart in isolation and say, okay, this is that one part of the puzzle, and then look at everything else. Now, unlike what a lot of technical analysts will do and the ones that Bill weren't a fan of, is they would look at a million different indicators based off of a million different things. They would look at VIX, they'd look at put to call, they use stochastics and MACDs and And normal RSIs and why I named my RSI what I did, you know, is kind of for those funny reasons. They would look at all these things and then just confuse you to death because they're all lots of times advanced decline line and this and that and the other thing.

1:02:57And McClellan and not saying any of those in isolation aren't some of them might be relevant. but the problem is they contradict each other because they're measuring different things. Whereas all of these things are measuring the same thing. It's only using the price information, open, high, low, or close or combination of those. That's it, period. No volume, nothing else. So it's just a bunch of different ways of looking at the same data set. And that's what I would suggest people do. You don't have to look at it my way through this, but find your, maybe you really like stochastics. Charles Harris does a great job using stochastics.

1:03:40Maybe that's your thing. Use it, but then I would just use it on that one instrument that you're doing. Don't do it on a bunch of different things. Just do it maybe NASDAQ and S &P. Just keep it simple that way. But I would say, try to just use things like moving averages and RS lines and keep things as as simple as possible. So where does that leave us? We have some good things with the S &P going back. We both have positions in now, both about above the 50-day and above the 21-day. That's our first part of our checklist. We want to see early next week our low to get above the 21-day and close up.

1:04:19Same thing on the 50-day. That would be great. And tell us, okay, we're going to incrementally get back in a little bit deeper. We want to see a follow-through day on the NASDAQ. That's very important for that AI-themed space. But I'll tell you, I did a lot of screening yesterday and today because I'd been away and I had my laptop shut down while I was away. And it was really interesting, especially when you look at it on a daily and a weekly, because I was just on my laptop for a couple months. And so I was only looking at dailies. And when you look at a daily and a weekly together, which is what if you use market surge, that's what I suggest people do have a daily up and then a weekly up and you can just click a little button that links the charts and you can do even more than that.

1:05:03But I would start off with a daily and a weekly and play through the growth to 50 that way. focus in on the earnings line on the weekly charts. And I'm seeing so many stocks that have been pretty much dead as a doornail for a while with maybe a slight upward bias that the earnings line looks great. And when I studied, you know, the 1974, 73, 74 bear market going into 75, that was one of the things that I noticed that you had all these stocks that were just getting killed because of the market, but yet their earnings continued. And then when the market lifted, it allowed those to really do what we call PE expansion.

1:05:43Have a big move is another way of putting it. So there are lots of spaces outside of our normal growth that look good. Restaurants are starting to look interesting. Insurance stocks, there's some of them that look interesting. It's normally just a place to hide. But I'm seeing enough in the insurance as well as banks that look good. And that's probably because of the yield curve and everything. But without getting into that, you just want to look at where is money flowing. A lot of travel stocks and some oil stocks that look good. I don't like trading oil stocks because you could get hit by a tweet.

1:06:21But, you know, you get hit by a tweet with anything. But it's good to know that it's not all just about Sandisk and Micron and those. There's plenty of other stocks to be trading. So I would do a lot of screening or just save yourself time and use. What should people use if they want to save time?

1:06:41Mike Webster:The Growth 250 is pretty great. There you go. The Growth 250. So with that, before we get distracted, Allie, what's going on with Chloe? We need an update. You missed a lot. Has it been like a month? It's been like three Fridays, I think, at least. Yeah. Well, she is just. Is she in college yet? I know. I can't believe how much she has grown. She's 11 months now. And her communication skills are very impressive. Really? Yeah. She knows a lot of words now. A lot of B words, like, you know, sponsored by the letter B. That's something that Justin always says, I feel like. Like if we have stocks that are same letter, but at any rate, so baby was her first word.

1:07:34Mike Webster:Wow. A couple of weeks ago, but she says bye-bye and waves. Oh, wow. So she's also communicating with her hands, but yeah, she has a lot of, I would say a pretty good vocabulary for her age, knows quite a few words, a flashcard of a ball, and she, you know, ball, and, bear and all sorts of blocks. Balloon. She's learning balloon. That's a tough one. But she knows what a balloon, we say, where's the balloon in shul? Oh, cool. We have like a little hot air balloon in her nursery. So, yeah, she, you know, books, that's probably her most said word. She loves reading books. Oh, that's awesome. Now, she's been in the water, right, this summer?

1:08:25Mike Webster:Yeah, she's such a water baby. Oh, awesome. Loves the pool, loves taking baths. So we've had a lot of fun with that. But she's learning baby sign language too. And you said you recommended learning the baby sign language so she can ask for more food. So do you remember this one? No, we haven't done that. We haven't done that one. What is that? It's milk. Yeah, I know that. It's a cracker, I think. What is this, Nana Nana Boo Boo? No, I think it's either father or mother. Oh, is it? Yeah. People are yelling at, no, it's Apple. I don't, I used to know all of them. I used to know all of it. For young parents out there, there was this thing called signing time.

1:09:07I don't know if I sent it to you, but it was someone's so signing times. And it was, we used to have them on DVDs. Those are those things that you put in the computer and taught the kids how to do sign language. It's so helpful. It cuts down on the frustration, you know?

1:09:25Mike Webster:Yeah, and they're so smart. She's picked it up really quickly. So, yeah, but her verbal communication is pretty great. And then you also— Just like her mommy. Aw. Well, you'd also be impressed by—she can sing. She's— Oh, wow. She's singing. She's learned to sing on pitch. And she knows three—parts of three songs. And she can kind of go ahead. Are you teaching her the one that when you were in labor and that great story about that song? No, I need to teach her that one, our wedding song. But no, they're more kid kind of songs. But yeah, part of the lyric is, I adore you. and uh so yeah so she can basically say i adore and i earlier i told her you're adorable and so she started singing the song oh my god that's awesome i love that you're like what she's on pitch this is so crazy so so she must get that from your side of the family right because you and your brothers are all good singers is your hubby a good singer he is the athlete in the brain Yeah.

1:10:45Mike Webster:But he, my, my mom sings to her all day, every day. So we're so lucky. Well, we're all living through you, through you guys, through this show. Every Friday, the highlight of my week is I get to hear the latest. Yeah. Her, her waving and clapping and all the little words are so cute. Yeah. And her little personality is coming out. So it's so fun. Enjoy it. It goes by quickly. It does. It does. I know. Are we all wrapped up on the stock stuff? Or was there anything else that we, I didn't have the Q &A up. I assume we probably answered all the questions. Everyone has gone to sleep now. Yes, I think so.

1:11:29I think that's it for now.

1:11:31Mike Webster:We will be back though. Thank you, Webby. We'll see you next week. Webby and I will be back Monday morning on IBD Live. And the conversation will continue there. investors.com slash IABD live for all the details. So we'll see you there. And then we'll also see you Monday back here after the close.

1:12:04Mike Webster:This show is for informational and educational purposes only, and nothing should be construed as a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any securities. Any securities and investment strategies discussed may not be suitable for all investors. Make sure to consider consulting with your financial advisor before making investment decisions. Fusion powers the sun and stars. General Fusion is working to bring the zero-carbon abundant energy source to Earth. As global electricity demand surges, Fusion has the potential to deliver clean, scalable power for a growing world. Proudly NASDAQ listed, General Fusion is the first publicly traded pure play fusion energy company in the world.

1:12:39Mike Webster:With its magnetized target fusion technology and operational demonstration machine, General Fusion is advancing toward commercialization, targeting a first-of-a-kind fusion plant around 2035. Learn more at generalfusion.com.

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Alissa Coram and Mike Webster walk through Friday’s market action with key stocks to watch in Stock Market Today.


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