In short
The episode reviews a weak Friday market close after Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, focusing on rate-sensitive small caps, technical “downside reversal” signals, and stock/sector rotation.
Key claims
Warsh’s speech implied 1–2 rate hikes while emphasizing no forward guidance; inflation must return to 2%, so rates likely stay higher. The market needs to “digest” this over the weekend; early next week closes (Mon/Tue) will confirm whether weakness continues. Technically, Friday downside reversals near lows are a concern, especially for small caps (IWM/Russell 2000).
Notable examples
IWM fell ~1.4% and broke below recent support/50-day; RSP closed near lows; SPY stayed above key levels but still showed a weak reversal; Nasdaq held above the prior “line in sand” low after a strong follow-through day.
Guests
Mike Webster, senior market strategist (recurring guest). Justin Nielsen hosts (filling in for Allie Coram).
Guest backgrounds
Mike is a long-time market strategist using swing-trader and technical frameworks; Justin is the host and discusses positions in Amazon, Palantir, Nvidia, and ETFs like IGV, GDX, XLE/XOP.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOMarket Overview and Sentiments
0:45 to 1:50
Discussion on the recent market performance and sentiment surrounding rate concerns.
“a lot of uh punishment uh you know over the last few you know weeks it seemed like we were getting some traction with a really strong day yesterday.”
Jackson Hole Insights
1:50 to 4:40
In-depth analysis of the Jackson Hole speech and its implications for future rate hikes.
“Let me pull up some charts, Mike, and have you go through it.”
Technical Analysis of Indices
4:40 to 7:43
Examination of the technical indicators for various stock indices and their current status.
“Probably IWM is where you see it the most, and let's go there.”
Follow-Through Day and Market Signals
7:43 to 10:40
Discussion on the significance of follow-through days and their relationship to market trends.
“But let's circle back to the NASDAQ because there's some important things there that happened yesterday that I did want to discuss.”
Credibility of the Fed and Market Reactions
10:40 to 12:12
Insight on the Fed's credibility and its effects on market perceptions and reactions to rate hikes.
“So let's go to the interday chart to kind of see that a little bit better.”
Market Reactions to Interest Rate Hikes
14:02 to 15:10
Exploring the impact of potential interest rate hikes on market dynamics.
“But but this I just give them an A plus plus.”
Analyzing Market Patterns and Technical Indicators
15:10 to 19:25
Discussion on market patterns, follow-through days, and technical indicators.
“If we close underneath yesterday's low, I'm going to be getting concerned.”
Simplifying Market Complexity
19:25 to 22:53
Advice on focusing on market indexes rather than overanalyzing complexities.
“But your playbook is you have a downside reversal and you expect some further weakness.”
Fundamental Perspectives on Major Stocks
22:53 to 27:16
Examining the fundamentals of major tech stocks and their market movements.
“But no one's talking about it when it doesn't correlate.”
Outlook for the Software Sector ETF
27:16 to 28:00
Analysis of the software sector ETF and its current market position.
“Are they like looking like they're rolling over?”
Show all 28 chapters
Market Shifts: Focus on Mega-Caps
28:00 to 29:54
Discussion on the rotation of investments towards mega-cap stocks and specific ETFs like IGV.
“And so that's what you want for the megas, for at least the big boys and girls with the hundreds of billions of dollars to invest to go hide in.”
Software Sector Analysis
29:54 to 31:30
Analysis of the software sector's performance, particularly Microsoft and CRM, and their earnings.
“where it's like, okay, this is the sector that is going to take the baton and run.”
Gold and Silver Market Insights
31:30 to 33:30
Insights on gold and silver markets, including GDX and the implications for trends.
“But I'm very encouraged with the software space because in general, it seems like that's where the money is flowing at this moment.”
Biotech Sector Review
33:30 to 36:14
Discussion on the biotech sector's recent performance, including challenges and news affecting stocks.
“And I think there was some news that came out today.”
Amazon's Recovery and Market Sentiment
36:14 to 38:16
Discussion of Amazon's recent performance and its significance for market trends.
“with amazon um good look here i again i do have a position on this we put it on swing trader um Look, this is one that I'd played before, and this was a punishing move down.”
Palantir and Future Market Expectations
38:16 to 42:02
Review of Palantir's stock performance and its potential moving forward in the market.
“it should have gotten given those solid numbers that it had.”
Market Trends and Non-Correlated Assets
42:07 to 43:56
Learn about identifying non-correlated assets and their importance in trading strategies.
“that have been kind of going down like this, but then formed a base and are moving up.”
NVIDIA's Recent Performance and Market Analysis
43:57 to 46:00
Discussion on NVIDIA's stock performance and its impact on market trends.
“That came down, undercut the lows, not a good look.”
Breakout Studies and Market Implications
46:01 to 48:23
Explore breakout studies and their implications on trading decisions and market behavior.
“So when you have a breakout, and I've done lots of studies on this, and an old friend of mine from the 90s and old PM, Adam O 'Neill, had done a study on the day after breakout.”
Upcoming Market Week and Trading Expectations
48:24 to 49:23
Discussion on market expectations for the upcoming week and strategies to adopt.
“But we wanted to talk about it to watch it and see if this ends up setting up for you and it gives you an entry.”
Technical Analysis of SPY and NASDAQ
49:24 to 51:14
Insights into the technical analysis of SPY and NASDAQ and their market signals.
“And to your point on NVIDIA, those stellar numbers, those stellar growth numbers are not coming off of small numbers.”
Understanding Regression Lines in Market Trends
51:15 to 53:18
Learn about the use of regression lines for analyzing market trends and signals.
“wick that gives you a sense of not necessarily stalling because of the position that it's in, but just a weak close.”
Key Levels to Watch in the Market
53:19 to 55:59
Identify important levels to monitor in SPY and NASDAQ for future trading decisions.
“You're saying, okay, that trend is over.”
Interpreting the Webinacci Indicator
56:00 to 57:29
Learn how to use the Webinacci indicator to analyze market trends.
“Okay, so here is Coach bought me that mute button for when I have to cough.”
Understanding Moving Averages
57:30 to 58:49
Discover the significance of moving averages in determining market sentiment.
“And that one has been pretty much pinned up near the top most of this time.”
Low vs. 21-Day Exponential
58:50 to 1:01:10
Explore how to assess market trends using the 21-day exponential moving average.
“And when your low is above your 21 day for a long period of time, then you should be bullish.”
High Off Indicator Insights
1:01:11 to 1:03:40
Learn how to use the Off High Indicator to evaluate market health.
“were you, like four and a half ATRs off your high.”
Key Takeaways and Market Rotation
1:03:41 to 1:05:24
Understand the current market conditions and potential areas for investment.
“Yeah, so you did a great job with that summary.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:10Hello and welcome to another episode of the Stock Market Today video. It's Justin Nielsen here. I am filling in for Allie Coram as she celebrates her daughter's birthday. So happy birthday, Chloe. And today is August 28th, 2026. And of course, joining me as he typically does on a Friday afternoon, it's Mike Webster, our senior market strategist. How you doing, Mike? good and happy birthday to chloe i know she's watching
0:37because uh yeah what maybe if she's in trouble i guess that's the time out you know that'll teach you a lesson um well man we had quite a week uh after a lot of uh punishment uh you know over the last few you know weeks it seemed like we were getting some traction with a really strong day yesterday. And then, of course, we had today's kind of rate concerns as Fed Chair Warsh was speaking at Jackson Hole. And let's get right into it. So we'll cover, of course, a few of the stocks that are on our radar, including Amazon. I do have a position in that. Palantir, I do have a position in that. And NVIDIA, I do have a position in that.
1:24And they're all on Swing Trader as well. So that's one of the reasons why I have positions in all of those. Taking a quick roundup of the indexes, the S &P 500 was down about a quarter percent. The Nasdaq Composite down about half a percent. The Nasdaq 100, a little bit more, with a seven-tenths of a percent decline. The Dow Jones, basically flat. And the Russell 2000, and taking it on the chin with a 1.4 % decline. Let me pull up some charts, Mike, and have you go through it. Because as much as yesterday was a great looking day, downside reversal today, cause for concern? Yes and no at the same time.
2:08So the jury is still out. you know it's a cause for concern whenever you have a downside reversal on a Friday closing essentially at the lows not what you want but putting it in the context of of where we are um I still think this is a win for the week uh but it's just a terrible way to to um to go into the weekend uh frankly I don't think any of us wanted to but in the context of the news from from Jackson Hole, even though it was very subtle, but we could talk about that in a little bit. But, you know, selling off with that made sense. Going up on the NVIDIA numbers yesterday made sense. I have a position in that as well as the other stocks you mentioned earlier.
2:56So as we get through, we'll kind of get the context of everything. But to answer your question, kind of like on the fence until next week, I really think early next week will tell us a lot, not necessarily Monday's open, but by the time Monday's close or even Tuesday goes around, it has a chance to digest the Fed kind of, well, I'll just get into it. I mean, it might as well. Might as well, because it is the most important thing. So the Jackson Hole speech today, I give him an A plus. I thought he did a bang up job. I'm a huge fan of him now. Now I've watched his hearings. Every chance I get, I watch it.
3:39And I listened to days about three or four times. I wasn't able to 100 % focus on it because I was working. The first go through, it just seemed like a non-event. And that's what everyone, I think, was banking on, that today was going to be a non-event. But if you really kind of read through the lines there in a deep way, he basically handed out one to two rate hikes. while he was saying at the same time he doesn't want to give any forward guidance because he wants total flexibility which is really his whole message which i wholeheartedly agree with is just let the data speak for itself and then when they have to do something to do it rather than the fed kind of leading the market and and uh he he talked about that is basically you know if the fed is leading the market and the market is giving messages to the fed it gets all basically dirty and so he kind of wants this hands off but if you pay attention to him saying that he was definitely going to um go you know get inflation down to two percent that that is essentially his report card um and then there's really no excuses no alibis you know i'm paraphrasing and he at the end of the speech he was talking about basically the economy is pretty much fine employment is pretty much fine but inflation for a long time has been over their two percent target and they want to get it down there so what does that mean well they've got to raise rates so i don't think it was a huge surprise to the market but it was enough of a surprise if you look at the fed funds futures they've moved a lot and whenever that moves a lot it you know so many things are connected to that that it impacts everything and then it impacts the stock market as it should.
5:32Probably IWM is where you see it the most, and let's go there. They tend to be a little bit more rate sensitive. And look, with inflation being where it's at, you want a Fed to go in there and do what it needs to do. It's not pleasant, but it's better than letting it get out of control. So him basically saying that they're going to get this done is going to impact anything that's rate sensitive. And there's one of the places, that's a really bad look going into a weekend closing. You were tight. It was looking nice. Then you fall well below its recent support as well as your 50-day closing underneath it going into the weekend.
6:16That's not what you want to see. I mean, luckily that's not on SPIRE or the Qs or NASDAQ or the RSP, But still, that's not what we like to see. And you can see that RS line falling off a cliff there. So small caps are not where it's at. Let's go over to the RSP because that had a weaker than normal close. It's not broken, but it's just this is how we like to look at your average stock. Down 0.34, so not that big of a deal, but still closing at the low. It's still above its 21 day, but kind of gives you that feeling that it wants to move lower. But we had a couple days recently where it closed near the low and then we just moved higher.
6:58So it's not like a deal breaker. When we look at the regression lines, we'll see that that's still in play and still fine there, but not a good look. Let's go over to SPY, which I do have a position and a related thing there. And this one, again, I mean, downside reversal on a Friday. Fridays is the most important close. And why is that? Because technicians historically have always used weekly charts as well as monthly charts. So a monthly chart is more important than a weekly, and a weekly is more important than a daily, and daily is more important than an interday and so on. So this is not a good way to end the week, but it stayed above yesterday's close or low, and that's important.
7:46And it also stayed above the 21 day. But let's circle back to the NASDAQ because there's some important things there that happened yesterday that I did want to discuss. Now, we did not, I don't want to confuse people. We were not in a position where we needed a follow through technically because the S &P is in a power trend, not a very powerful power trend, as Chris Gessel mentioned this morning, and he was right, but it is in a power trend, kind of on the ropes, but it is. And it already had its follow-through day, even though we didn't really need one on SPY. So when you have a follow-through on any of the major indexes, you no longer have to look for one on others.
8:31but with the nasdaq we had that fall three day in spirit um if you could mark to that so that didn't have volume higher than the prior um than the prior day so that's why it was in spirit but it was um there was a clear as far as through my eyes it was a it was yeah you might want to just delete the volume completely yeah and then add it back it seems like uh yeah go into active just no go there you go okay but it seems to be turning off and on i don't know why let's see let's see if that does it okay so when we had that follow-through day in spirit the thing with the follow-through day is is they're they're a buy signal um by itself and then there's a sell signal associated with it if you close below the low of the follow-through day it's a sell signal and we had that so it kind of negated it itself so you had a buy signal then you had the sell signal so you're back where you started uh so i was looking for another fall through even though we needed didn't need one and yesterday looked like a very classic fall through day if we hadn't already had one and if we were looking for one that would have been a classic one as far as i'm concerned it wasn't too far out from the low it was a gap above the 21 day closing at the highs in kind of a classic position.
9:54So I was looking at that as a follow through day in the family of follow through days, you can call it whatever you want. So with that, the line in the sand becomes the low of that day again. And we didn't go below that today. You can go below it on an interday basis. You just don't want to close below it. And it really becomes this gray area because there's a gap up there. So it's like, which low do you go with and your eyes kind of go with the low of the bar. But the reality is you go with the close from the day before is really your low. But the work that you and I did was pretty much once they get there and close underneath the bar, like 90 % of them were failing ultimately anyway.
10:38So we kind of look at both. You know, I look at both. But so it held above that. So let's go to the interday chart to kind of see that a little bit better. Yeah. five minute yeah five minute works okay and i really liked how and i think you mentioned this on live today that you know how yesterday it built it was building all day which was really nice powerful action and you had that kind of late in the day kind of sell off you know but it was a gradual like just grind lower and then you went back closing near the highs i mean that's as ideal of intraday as you want. Now, today wasn't started off ideal because we took out the morning highs.
11:24I was all excited about that, that we're going to rip into the close. Well, you know what? I think what happened is the same thing I was doing, the rest of the players were doing. Like they listened to his speech the first time and it seemed like, oh, it was a non-event. But then if you really paid attention to what he was getting at, it was like, no, he's going to be raising, he's going to be pushing to raise rates or at least hinting without hinting. And he's purposely trying to not hint because that's his whole message, but he was doing what he was doing. He was like reading poker and the guy was like all happy about his cards or all upset about his cards.
12:00I mean, you could tell what was going down. And then we closed underneath the open. We closed underneath the morning lows. Like that is not the way, like that is just a bad tape. The only thing that was good about it was it wasn't a waterfall sell-off after the initial sell. It kind of like you sold off and then you kind of stabilized. So it could have been worse, but it wasn't good. It really wasn't. And so that's kind of where we stand. So now let's go back to the daily. And what are we looking for? And it's kind of funny because, you know, as you said, it's like one of those things where everyone was applauding Warsh, the credibility, you know, that he's, you know, giving to the Fed and, you know, kind of following through on what he says, you know, because inflation has been so important and, you know, it hasn't gotten there.
12:49So there's the that aspect that the market is applauding. But at the same time, whoa, rate hikes aren't good for the market. Yeah. You know, I think we got what we wanted, but that's not what we wanted. Yeah. It's very funny. It is. The other thing, and this is not a political show and it never will be. We don't talk politics, but sometimes you just got to call things the way they are. There was a lot of debate about him coming in there because they were afraid that President Trump had wanted rates lower and everyone just thought he's just going to do what he wanted. And this is just showing that he is the Fed that both sides, the red and the blue and anywhere in between, wants.
13:37They want a Fed who is just going to do what they should do. So I think he gained a ton of credibility and kind of separated himself out from the White House. And look, every president wants lower rates. There's nothing about, you know, there's nothing unique about every president, whether you're red or blue, wants a great economy. As long as they're in office. You know, when they're not in office, then it's like, no, that's that's, you know, long term. Yeah. You can't blame them. But but this I just give them an A plus plus. I think he's just doing a great job until he doesn't. I'm just going to call it the way I see it.
14:12So but in the short term, interest rates going up, I think the market just needs to digest that over the weekend. We I think everyone's going to be kind of putting in their spreadsheets. okay, we're going to have probably two more hikes between now and the end of the year, or at least one between now and the end of the year. And what does that do to the math on everything? And you're going to see certain groups sell off, like what we saw with the IWM. And then other ones that are going to be able to buck that. And what is going to be able to buck that? Companies that aren't as reliant on money, on borrowing money.
14:49If you've got a huge amount of cash and you don't need that to borrow, then you're going to have a huge advantage over someone who's got to be levered and just, you know, half a half base, you know, or 50 basis points makes a big difference to them. And so we'll see. And I think we kind of have to wait and see how we we close on Monday and Tuesday to get a sense. If we close underneath yesterday's low, I'm going to be getting concerned. Because that'll all be underneath the 21 day as well. Right. And I just kind of want to, you know, go back and, you know, kind of give the contrast here. Because with our April follow-through day, that again, didn't have the volume, but we, you know, had the dollar volume.
15:38And it really just went on a tear from there. It was the kind of lockout rally. if you didn't buy early and you waited for more evidence, you just what could you do? You were just sitting there waiting and kind of crying as it went up without you. Now, recently, we keep on showing strength, you know, a gap up and we just don't get the follow through. Right. We just don't get the follow up strength. So here we have a nice gap up. This is the day you want to act on. And downside reversal. This most recent follow through day that we got on August 4th, downside reversal afterwards, you pop into a new high ground or recent high ground.
16:20What happens? Immediately reversal. And then today is a reversal from yesterday. So, I mean, it feels like there's this pattern which you don't want to I guess you don't want to get too used to. either way, right? You know, Bill used to always refer to the John Wooden story of, hey, you fake, you know, left one time and you fake left again and then you go right. And, you know, you just got to wonder, is that what the market is doing? As soon as you get used to it doing this one thing, is it going to go the other way? But certainly today felt like, oh, this is the same old market that we've been seeing for a while.
16:56Yeah, I think the technical term in Edwards and McGee is a whack-a-mole okay you know like i'll have to reread that section yes um that's what it feels like i'm just wired to keep thinking it's going to act normal for better or worse and i think bill was kind of the same way that way and it can be frustrating because you you have a set of rules and a set of indicators a system and you just follow it and then sometimes it's just these frustrating times like October to April was frustrating every just like what you were saying every time it looked good like it should go higher went lower every you know it would go lower fast and that's what we've been seeing so but which rules are you you're going to use you got to use what's in you know the ones you believe in the ones I believe in the most are the 21 day we're still above the 21 day our low is still above the 21 day and let's kind of we'll go review my little checklist briefly on that.
18:02When we get above a moving average or a marked high or an area of resistance, and it works the same in reverse. First, you want to get above it. And that's your first signal. That was yesterday. Then you want to get your low above that item. In this case, the 21-day moving average, the green line, and close up. That's your second part of your checklist. And your third part, the hardest part is to have your low above that, that area three for at least three consecutive days and then close up. And so we're on day two. So on Monday, if we can stay above the 21 day and close up, then we have that third thing in the checklist.
18:44And you can just visualize how that would look good with a low being still above the green line and closing up on the day. Let's go over to SPY to kind of get that same sense because we were close to that. Although our low was just barely above it. So we were getting our low above it for a few days, but then we closed down on the day with that downside reversal. So again, on Monday, we could be in that situation if we have an up day and we don't gap down to the point Because whenever you have a downside reversal, my go-to is you're going to have two and a half days of pain. It doesn't always happen that way.
19:22Sometimes you have a downside reversal and you gap up the next day. Let's let that happen. But your playbook is you have a downside reversal and you expect some further weakness. Standard is a two and a half days. Of course, they don't all play out like that, but you want to have some sort of expectation. So that would mean we would come underneath the 21 day, probably close underneath the follow through day in spirit and all, and then be back to the drawing board. That's what it's set up for on the daily. Let's hope that that doesn't happen. But, you know, it hasn't happened yet, but that's the setup.
19:58And if it does something better than that, then it's exceeded our expectation. Then it would be a slightly positive expectation breaker. So if we gap up and hold and never go lower and go back to NASDAQ because that one looks so much worse than SPY, frankly. So just visualize a gap up and not looking back and not being anywhere near today's low. That would be a positive expectation breaker, a reason to get more bullish. But we're not there yet. And your expectation is a gap down to at least the 21 day on Monday. Mm hmm. It's probably worth taking a look real quick just at some of those yields.
20:41Not something that you typically look at, but the 10 year treasury yield, of course, seeing, you know, quite a rise. tyx the 30 year um you know that was uh you know up you know not as much but it had a little bit more of a test there and of course uh the dollar uh which you know is i mean it affects a lot of commodities and everything else like that um that had quite a rise uh today so uh those are all elements and as you mentioned iwm in particular uh those small cap stocks are particularly sensitive to interest rate hikes because they tend to have more debt and you make that debt more expensive.
21:23That's going to affect their bottom line. Just a little something on that. Go back to SPY for a second. The way that you explained it is the way the entire world looks at the market. They look at all of the different things because they impact it. The cost of money impacts every last little thing. What the currency is doing impacts every last little thing. The yield curve impacts every last little thing. But what I learned from Bill, and you learned it as well, because it was a big part of how he looked at things, is to try to keep things as simple as possible. Because what will happen is sometimes the market will look right, but the bond market, for whatever reason, you know, is going in a direction that it shouldn't and it confuses you.
22:13And that happens way more often than you would think. And so what he would do is say, hey, look, there is a lot smarter people out there. He never thought he was the smartest person in the world. There's big organizations with, you know, deep analysts, you know, like hundreds and hundreds of analysts, really smart people. Now they've got AI to lean on. They're looking at all of these things, and that should be reflected in the price of what he cares about, what he's actually trading. So in this case, or looking at, and that would be the SPY or the NASDAQ. And so I think most people should do it that way.
22:49That's the way I do it. Yes, I'm aware of what the bond market is doing. But, you know, there are so many times when I'll look at it and go, you know, the bond market is doing a certain thing that means that the stock market should go down. But no one's talking about it when it doesn't correlate. But when it makes it their case for them, they bring it up. When it doesn't, they don't. So I just keep it simple. Just look at the instrument in question. Yeah, no, that's a very good point. It's always easy, you know, when that correlation, you know, is in line to say, oh, well, that's why this is happening.
23:22But then when it's not, what do you do? So at the end of the day, to just kind of boil that whole thing down is, well, just look at the indexes, look at the markets, look at the stocks themselves, rather than trying to figure out the why so much. You know, look at the fish, you know, as it were from how to make money in stocks. I also want to just real quickly, you know, take a look at we mentioned RSP, but QQE was also a little bit more negative. This is the equal weighted NASDAQ 100. So, you know, that was down almost a full percent, definitely undercutting the lows of yesterday and, you know, coming pretty close to the close of two days prior.
24:05You know, one of the things that was actually a little bit on the stronger side today was the Magnificent Seven. So this is the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF. MAGS is the ticker symbol. While it didn't have a great close, this was still up seven tenths of a percent. So some of the weakness was actually masked by these huge companies with large market caps, heavy weightings in the indexes, kind of cushioning the blow a little bit, if you will. Yeah, it felt like, and I've got a place on my screen that I'm watching all day that has the mega caps. And I was shocked that almost all of them were green, but then the rest of my screen was red.
24:48and it just felt like this contrast that what's been happening a lot lately where it was like the average stock as we saw through the RSP was doing fine but most of the megas were running into trouble or at least a few of them each day were and now it seemed like, okay, they kind of switched gears and for the most part going over into the megas. Like let's look at Microsoft for a second because I think that one, you know, It was one that had been left for dead for a while, formed that base, had that nice gap up, and then formed this kind of sideways thing. And we don't have to get into it, but the fundamentals on this one are just stellar.
25:31Go to the weekly for a second. And it's good when you have some of the most important stocks from a market cap standpoint that have an earnings line like that that have been doing nothing for a long period of time. So if you're a big institution and you're like, okay, I'm going to sell off my SanDisk and my Micron and Seagates and all of those things and the NBISs of the world, and I'm going to go into something that I feel more comfortable with. And then moving into like Apple was up today too, but I think Microsoft relative to the, um, the rest of the mags of, you know, looks the best from a fundamental standpoint, or at least one of the best, which is that stable earnings.
26:17It looks sustainable. Um, and just how tight that earnings line is, is just so, so stable on there. You can see that with the earning stability rate of four. So the more of those that you have, I think, the better. And you just go to Apple for a second. So the fundamentals of the Apple don't look anything as good as this. But still, from memory, it was positive on the day. Did it not come up? The hamster. Oh, there we go. Okay. Okay. There. And, oh, well, the earnings line looks pretty good, too. Just not as stable as what the Microsoft was. And you can go through all the megas. Earning stability at five is not bad.
27:00Yeah, that's really good. It was better than I was remembering, man. But they get you stuck in their ecosystem, that's for sure. I'm there. But what I like to do for, you know, I look at the indexes, but then I'll look at like the top 25 or 50 of the stocks in the index to kind of get a sense of what are the bulk of them doing? Are they like looking like they're rolling over? Or let's go to Sandus for a second. And let's say this was the biggest market cap out there. I'd be concerned because it looks like it wants to go lower, right? Or at least just all over the place. There's no stability in there, even though the earnings line is just going at this pace that is just unsustainable.
27:48But even if it continues like that, the price of it doesn't look anything like an Apple or Microsoft or even a Google that is kind of dead right now, but at least it's not falling apart. And so that's what you want for the megas, for at least the big boys and girls with the hundreds of billions of dollars to invest to go hide in. And clearly they sold off the small caps and were putting the money to work in the megas. I also wanted to just bring up, since we talked about Microsoft, let's just also take a look at IGV. Microsoft is one of the top holdings in there, nearly 10%. And kind of a good look here for the software, tech software sector ETF.
28:37You know, nice breakout yesterday, held the bulk of the gains. I do have a position in this myself. as I'm sure you do as well, Mike. But yeah, it's on swing trader. So yeah, holding above that 108, 06. I think this is one of the most, yes, I have a position in it. I think it was one of the most important charts out there right now. If this was a normal market, because a normal market would be like, okay, this rotation is starting in to this one. And we did put it, you know, it was a perfect setup. You had a base within a base. You had a shakeout down to the 21 day with an upside reversal. And then, of course, I was going into earnings and the CRMs and things that really brought that up.
29:21But there were a lot in the group. It was like almost throw a dart at the group and lots of them were ripping yesterday. Not all of them went in the right direction today. But on balance, the IGV is kind of where it's at right now. And go to the weekly, because it looks like this one could have legs. to really run. But I will just, and I've got a position in it. So I'm not talking my book. What I'm saying to myself is like, yes, but that's what every other sector has looked like recently, where it's like, okay, this is the sector that is going to take the baton and run. And then they stumble for one reason or another.
30:03Now, the good thing on this is we talked about Microsoft that looks like it has legs. Go to CRM, which is another one in this. They had the big move this week and we can stay on the weekly because this has been a dog for a long period of time and the earnings have still been there and accelerating. And when it goes out of a base like that, what happens is over time, a stock is going to do what its earnings line does. So if it's earnings line is erratic, it's going to be erratic. If the earnings line is going like this, eventually they match on balance, they will follow what the earnings are doing.
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30:41If the earnings line rolls over, it's going to do, it's going to end up doing that. There is a lag there, but still given enough time, that's what you'll see. So I think there's a lot of potential here because so many people have ridden off this space and they could be right. And this just could be a little short squeeze that, that rolls over. But I think there's enough of them go to service now you know similar look not as good of numbers on there but the similar type of thing that it was it was left for dead and now it's it's coming back and there's a number of them there now the only difference is these the earnings just don't look anything like the crm or like the the apple or the microsoft that we we looked at so you know that doesn't have to move up.
31:28But we'll see how it plays out. But I'm very encouraged with the software space because in general, it seems like that's where the money is flowing at this moment. But hopefully it's not a whack-a-mole situation. Right. A couple other areas that have been showing strength that have been getting a lot of attention. Wanted to get your comments on gold. So this is the gold miners GDX. I do have a position here still and not a good look. Again, some very classic tight action here right where you wanted to see it. But the kind of break above recent lows and down below 100, not as great. Yeah. And this isn't as much of a whack-a-mole situation as it is.
32:15This is like a double bottom or a cup that's forming, you know, you can look at it both ways. It's either a double bottom that's forming a handle or a cup with a high handle. And so you would expect further weakness on this and that would be normal and natural. Now it's just going to end up following, you know, pretty much what gold does. I mean, that's what it does, but silver had a really bad close when I go to silver because they tend to trade together. And I mean, has really, that's a really ugly look an outside day running into the 200 day you know coming down like that like i if i was just looking at the gdx alone and it wasn't tied to gold and and to a lesser extent much lesser extent silver um and let's go to gold the gld that um i'd just be like oh it's just going to go and drift down and and form a little handle but when you've got to look like that that's not that doesn't look good to me what do you think no yeah i i was not pleased so i i ended up doing some selling on in my position but i still have a little bit left uh of my gdx that is um let's go to one more sector and then we'll move on xbi because xbi you know just for the whack-a-mole thing because that was looking so good yeah and that's why i'm kind of tempering my enthusiasm with the IGV, even though I went kind of heavy there, or very heavy, just to be frank, that this is what I'm concerned with.
33:48This was looking fine. And I think there was some news that came out today. I didn't get a chance to read it, but then it just, that fell out of bed. And it could also be the interest rates impacting it as well. But I think there was a Wall Street Journal article that someone told me about. I just didn't get a chance to read it. And just so folks know, on MarketServe, you can go to news and there it is right there. China is a threat to biotech's massive bull run that was published in the Wall Street Journal. So, yeah, something we were talking about on IBD Live this morning. Definitely worth a read just to kind of get a sense of what's happening.
34:24I'm going to throw one more sector at you. Sure, why not? Just because we covered gold. Why not cover the black gold with oil? Here's XLE. Let's go to the OIH because I think that one was looking even better from memory. Yeah, I mean, I just like the look of this one better. And pull up SLB, I think that had a pretty good day today, if I'm not mistaken. And yeah, I mean, look at that chart. Looks great. Now, obviously, you know, it's tied to all the news out of, you know, Iran and D.C. and everything. So that's what scares me about this area. But if you're just playing off the chart, that's a solid breakout.
35:07You know, it was not a solid breakout yesterday, but it followed on today in a solid way. I mean, that looks good. And there's a lot of, you know, stocks in that group that have been trading nicely. And so I'm open to that space. Go to XOP. I think that one looked okay as well, if I'm not mistaken. Yeah. And that one actually in some ways looks better than the other ones because it's sitting up there on top of the 21 day up near new high grounds and doesn't look like it's setting up to be bought. But if you're in it, it looks fine as long as it stays above this week's low. I think you ride that trend because it's a double bottom with a high handle.
35:53It was a double bottom with a lower double bottom handle. now it's moved up to form like right either a handle up on top or just another structure so it looks like it wants to go higher but man that news is i don't know how to predict it do you know what's going to happen next week with iran i'll tell you in a month okay so um very good uh let's go ahead and get to some of our stocks that we're going to cover and let's start with amazon um good look here i again i do have a position on this we put it on swing trader um Look, this is one that I'd played before, and this was a punishing move down.
36:31Very, you know, very against expectations. But it did kind of stabilize a little bit, although I was not pleased with, again, I didn't have a position yesterday. And it just looked like it could go even lower. But that kind of all turned around today. What do you think? Well, I have a position as well. It was stocks, as Bill used to say, they either wear you out or they scare you out. And this one wore me out. Like, just on my watch list, I had traded it, you know, post-gap and all of that and then, you know, got out of it because it wasn't working out. but I was still had it on my watch list because I was like okay this is such a key stock because one because it's a mega cap and because of its reactions on on that earnings you know that was very typical for Amazon if you go back in the history of Amazon and for some reason Netflix they have these weird things where they would kind of gap up from the low of their bases and then go for a long run throughout their history and so I was like oh it's going to happen all over again and I was really hot and heavy on it.
37:42And then it was just this, you know, like grind lower. And then finally yesterday, I'm like, I'm just going to take this off my watch list. And then this morning we're on live and all of a sudden, cause I didn't have it on my list anymore to see. And all of a sudden you brought it up and it was up. I'm like, are you kidding me, man? Are you finally taken off? So it's kind of, that's how the way the market works is like they, they finally gets you worn out and then they go. So then we ended up putting on swing trader and I've bought it as well. I think this will be a good tell for the market because this got as bad as it should have gotten given those solid numbers that it had.
38:20This should be the beginning of a move higher. It doesn't mean it's going to happen, but you want to look at a stock or an index and be able to have a clear expectation of what normal and natural would be. What would be normal and natural for this one would be to just move higher next week, regardless of what the market's going to do. Let's see if that ends up happening. I don't know. Let's hope for our sake, since we both have some, I don't think it's too late to be bought here. And I think if some people wanted to wait for even more to buy it, they could, that's not really my style, but if you wanted to wait for the marked high, the 274.75, which is, yeah, right there, you can wait for that.
39:02You can wait for the normal high, the 278.56. You know, there's other places in there that you could wait for, but, you know, as far as I'm concerned, the expectation is for it to move higher. So if that's your expectation, you get on board and you have a stop. So where's my stop? Today's low. If I wanted to be even more forgiving with it, it would be yesterday's low. But, you know, certainly today's low on a closing basis, I would have to be out because then it would be an expectation breaker. Yeah, makes sense. And then let's also go ahead and take a look. We talked a lot about software and the strength there.
39:41One of the top, you know, one of the top names in IGV is also, in addition to Microsoft and Palo Alto, Palantir. Getting above this little shelf, if you will, that it popped its head above last week and now a little bit extra on there. I mean, not a big move, but considering how a lot of things closed, holding up very nicely. Yeah, I have a position in this. And I do have a position as well. We have to repeat it each time. Yeah, I know. I'm sorry. It gets old for us too. So with this, just kind of shows you how frustrating the market is. It had that nice gap up on earnings and then that move a couple of days after that.
40:29And then I had this little kind of loose shelf. And in there, it just kept on like looking like it was going to go. So you jump on it and then it would just like go down enough that you're like, okay, I got to exit and get back in. And it's done that, you know, I could see one, two, three, four, five times, you know, at least four times in there where that happened. I was trying it every time. And then, you know, then you had to give it another shot. It's not easy. Like just because you'll buy a stock bag doesn't mean it's like, especially in an environment like this where you get chopped, just keep going back into it.
41:03But there's a reason for this one. Let's go to the weekly on this one. Kind of like the ones we were discussing before is it had fallen out of favor for a while. And those are where I'm gravitating towards right now. because the ones that are kind of running into more trouble right now are the ones that ran up so much already. And I think even if, I don't know what they're going to do, if they're going to digest or just move up or they're done, but I'd rather go into things that look like this with solid fundamentals. Look along the bottom. Look at those numbers are just massive. And that earnings line, that green earnings line is just going straight through the roof.
41:44So if the price is going to follow the earnings, eventually it'll go up like that assuming that the earnings don't end up rolling over that doesn't mean that you're going to be able to withstand the volatility but at least you have an expectation that that it's kind of gravity pulling it towards wherever the the earnings line is so it's going to pull it up but um you know so these are the ones that i like all the ones that we talked about that have been kind of going down like this, but then formed a base and are moving up. That's the look that at least then you have an expectation that they should move higher rather than guessing your favorite DRAM stock.
42:26Is it going to work out right now? Because I think that even if they work out, it'll probably shake you out before they go higher. So I'd rather play with a higher probability one. And I don't like that it didn't go up much, like you were saying, but at least it wasn't down with so many other stocks were down today. And go back to the daily. The other tell that you try, you're always looking for tells. And you always want to try to find a non-correlated asset. That is like the most important thing in the market. If you can find something that is truly non-correlated, and especially when there's panic and blood in the street that is non-correlated, whether it's going with the direction of the other stuff you're trading or not, Preferably not, actually, for a non-correlated.
43:12That's what you want. And by this being so tight, the spread on there and being essentially flat, let's just call it flat on the day, versus let's go to the Qs. And I have a position in the TQQ. With this one, you know, a wider spread closing at the low is a completely different look. So, again, just kind of not trading in line with that, but in a positive way. So non-correlation is a good thing, especially for your portfolio. And, you know, especially when that's relative strength, right? You know, you see relative strength on Palantir, of course, because even though flat on a day like today is positive, right?
43:54Yep, good point. Absolutely. Well, something that wasn't flat, unfortunately, is NVIDIA. That came down, undercut the lows, not a good look. Again, I still do have a position in this. Give us your thoughts. Yeah, I have a position as well. I did something really rare and I did buy it before the earnings. It's not something I normally do. I didn't do it in a huge way, but I did it bigger than I wanted. But I thought, let's go to the weekly again. And this was off of Fundamental Play, that same kind of playbook, but a little different than the other ones. Because the other ones we were looking at, the Microsofts and the Palantirs, they had those downtrends or the CRMs had a major downtrend where this was just kind of stair stepping higher, meaning you were just forming a base and then it would move higher and form another base, sometimes undercut the last one.
44:47And that was very reminiscent of Cisco back in the nineties. Cause if you looked at Cisco in the nineties and we don't have to go there, that it would form all these bases. Like you'd step back on a monthly and go, Oh my God, all you needed to do was just buy Cisco and just sit with it. But then if you looked at it on a daily basis, you're like, wow, that would have been really hard because it traded a lot like that. Ultimately, it would go higher, but man, it would wear and scare you out nonstop. So it was going sideways. RS line had been going sideways, but the price had been moving higher and built this nice little base.
45:21And really it's about the fundamentals on the bottom. I mean, look at those, just the acceleration on the sales. I just, I've never seen anything like that. Like Those types of numbers, that steady acceleration with the big numbers, all the zeros that they're putting after that. And I think this is the largest market cap. If not, it's close to it. I think it's the largest market cap one out there. And to put numbers like that on the board, it should go higher. It doesn't mean it's going to go higher. Today has kind of freaked me out a little bit that it didn't go higher with those types of numbers.
45:58It was getting hit as hard. But let's go to the daily and see what we'll kind of walk through that. So when you have a breakout, and I've done lots of studies on this, and an old friend of mine from the 90s and old PM, Adam O 'Neill, had done a study on the day after breakout. And they would look ugly and horrible. and he told me he's like look this you know study it it it ends up working out that you can have an ugly day the day after a huge breakout you just don't want to close underneath the low of the breakout day uh now so this is where it's a touch of gray it closed underneath the the opening low um but it didn't close under the the true range so it's kind of in between so you kind of split the difference and go, okay, you know, we backed away with some of our position on, on, on swing trader.
46:54If it was a run in the middle of stock, we would have just sold the whole thing, but we kept half of it because of that, because, you know, because of the fundamentals and that solid breakout that it had. And this is kind of the poster child for AI from a quality standpoint. If you're a big institution and you, you go hide an NVIDIA and it doesn't work out, you're not going to get in trouble you go hide and sandus now or micron now and it rolls over you're going to have to pay the price for that so this is kind of one of those places just like cisco back in the day or microsoft way back in the day in the 90s or even home depot or dell there were certain ones that you could kind of just get away with or ibm any of the blue chips back in the right you know like before we were born time you know or when we were little babies.
47:45So now you're a grandpa and all, so you're getting old. But anyway, to wrap this one up, what do we expect? Not for the weakness on Monday, like this would be because what happens is after a big gap up, you can have that ugly day. Now, it doesn't mean it has to go up through today's high, but what would be normal and natural would be at least something, you know, maybe going sideways and then giving you a new entry. So if you're not in it right now, don't buy it. Why does it jump in front of that freight train? You had earnings come out, gapped up, and then it had this terrible day down 4.5%. But we wanted to talk about it to watch it and see if this ends up setting up for you and it gives you an entry.
48:35It's still above the 21-day, barely, and certainly above yesterday's or the day before's close. So it's not underneath, you know, because it really, if you, you know, if you had a blue marker that you could do vertically for yesterday, it's not underneath the true low of the day, but it is underneath that, that other one. So not a good look. I do think that this ends up having big implications for the, for the general market, certainly the Qs and the NASDAQ on how this one ends up playing. So we'll end up saying, well, it's going to be a long weekend. Not a long weekend in terms of a holiday. The market is open on Monday.
49:19I can't believe you thought the market was going to be closed. Silly me. Well, I'm going to turn things over to you for your charts. And to your point on NVIDIA, those stellar numbers, those stellar growth numbers are not coming off of small numbers. Like it's not like coming off of there's a lot of zeros behind that. They make a billion dollars a day. Like that's that's where they're at now. Oh, I didn't I did not know that stat. Wow. That is crazy. And I will just clear the air in case I forget. I was the one who thought Monday was going to be a holiday. I really did. OK, so now we're going to do the we're going to go through all of my charts and we're kind of just letting each one that we look at kind of paint a picture.
50:05um in isolation and then we'll step back and kind of look at it from a mosaic standpoint of what to expect so this is the bob we are take a step back look at a larger time frame this is a weekly of spy and we are um we're just looking at the candles and trying to get some information so what is this telling us wow it's really tricky because if you just looked at the the body the blue part, they're like, oh, that looks pretty good. But then if you look at that top wick, you've got a longer top wick than your bottom wick. And to me, that tells you either sideways or down because it's kind of another way of looking at stalling.
50:47But then you look at it in context with the prior week and, oh, well, you held the lows essentially there. So if you look at it in the context of that sideways, if you just look at the bar, you're thinking more lower or an inside bar. So that's just one chart. We will see what the next one is. So now you've got the NASDAQ. Now with this one, we have that same problem with the larger top wick than your bottom wick that gives you a sense of not necessarily stalling because of the position that it's in, but just a weak close. But to me, this one actually looks better because you shook out underneath last week's low, and then you close up above it, which gives you this implied thing of moving higher or at least sideways.
51:37We'll go to the next one and see what that tells us. Now we've got the regression lines, but they're still too short to end up using right now. But I just wanted to put them on there. By short, we need at least 50 days. We'd like to have at at least 34 days before we draw these on there. But I just thought I'd draw them early and just get a sense of what's going on. So it doesn't look as bad when you look at it through this lens. But again, we just don't have as much data as we'd like. Same thing here with the NASDAQ, doesn't look as bad. And I'm starting this off at the bottom there on July 29th.
52:18Let's go over to the RSP though, because this one is interesting. This one has held its channel the whole time. We started this one off on April 8th on the follow through and went out 50 days and stopped it. So that's on June 16th. So that these lines, and this is just a regression analysis and we don't have to get into all of it there, but the white line is your regression line or your line of best fit. And it's holding that and it's still tracking that. What it can do, as it did over here, is fall outside your minus one standard deviation, which is your solid green line. That happens all the time.
52:57But then it's what happens after that that is your clue. If it goes underneath that and then stays under there, which let's look at SPY again for a second to just kind of show how that works. over here during this one, it was in this trend, then fell out of it. And then it was living under it for three or four days at that point when it's living underneath it, meaning your high isn't even going up to the solid green line. You're saying, okay, that trend is over. And of course, that's exactly what happened there. Let's look and see on the NASDAQ. And this happened, works really, really well. Same thing here.
53:34Once it fell out of it a few days, it was out underneath it. Okay, that trend is done. So with that in mind, with this RSP, we're still in there. We could come under here for a day or two, but you just don't want to be under here for three or more days. And at that point, that trend would be over. Eventually, this trend, it's so tight, It will be over, but right now it's still intact. Now we'll switch over to our 50 % retracement. I'm still using the old levels from the high and low in June, and we're still above that. So that's a good thing. Look at the NASDAQ. Still using the high from June and then the low here from July, and at least we're in the northern hemisphere.
54:23and so that's a good thing but we would really prefer to be above there the way spy is okay now we're going to move over to our levels to watch let's blow this up a little bit so the green is where we tried to go through today which was the old high from over here on the fourth and it got turned away so that's not a good look you would have wanted to close above it, obviously. But I could have put another line at these lows here, but I didn't want it to be too cluttered. So we're going with the low from this day as our first line in the sand, the 760-28. Our important level is really the low of the third there.
55:06Going below that would really have a bad look because it would be significantly underneath your 21 day as well as underneath your 50 day and then giving all of that back. So at that point, that should really kind of be a solid line. That's your major line in the sand. And you've got the ones below it that we talk about often enough. Same thing here on the NASDAQ. With this, it doesn't look as good as SPY as we've talked about before. So with this, I mean, you could say today's high you would want to go through, these highs you would want to go through, which are about the same level. And certainly this low here on the 24th is an important one.
55:53And just one sec.
55:58Did my mute button work? It did. Oh, awesome. Thank you, Coach. Okay, so here is Coach bought me that mute button for when I have to cough. This is my Webinacci indicator. Very, very simple. There's a bunch of moving averages. I use the FIB numbers on there. So like three, five, eight, and so on. That's what all these lines are on here, all the rainbow of colors. And then the white line is your current, just the current price. And what I do down at the bottom, and this is how you interpret this, is you just look at each one of those. if a three, if your three day moving average is above your five day moving average, you get a plus one.
56:42If your five is above your eight, it gets a plus one. If your five is above the 13, it gets plus one and so on. So you just tally up all of those. It's a way of saying, are they trending and stacked nicely? Like over here, when it's this accordion during this time, it's going to be at its max level, which with these calculations, the max level is 45. That's telling you you're pinned to your top. And it helps you in a way of just kind of giving you reality so you can't argue with it. You're either trending nicely or you're not. And through this lens, you're at a 45. You're trending nicely. Now, it might not feel like it, but that's just the reality through this lens and why we don't just look at one thing.
57:27We look at several. Let's take a look at the NASA It's a composite. That's back up to 45 now as well. And let's look at the RSP. And that one has been pretty much pinned up near the top most of this time. And it did kind of come down a little bit. So now we're down to a 43. For fun, let's look at the IWM. And that's all the way down into kind of getting into trouble going through its yellow line at 35. So that's more of a concern. Let's look at IGV. I haven't looked at that. And so this one is moved up. So it kind of completely different position. And again, I have a position in it. This one is at 44 now.
58:12So almost, or really should be, yeah, there must be one that's not on top of the other one. But so it's almost all stacked nicely. We'll move to the next thing. and this is just keeping it very simple the just using the 21 day and i like to focus on is my low above the 21 day or is it my high stuck underneath the 21 day and when i'm confused with everything else which happens a lot to all of us myself included some of us admitted some of us don't i will just look at this one because it just cleans everything up and i can just say what is reality? Am I too bullish? Am I too bearish? And when your low is above your 21 day for a long period of time, then you should be bullish.
58:59And if your high is stuck underneath it for a long period of time, you should be bearish. And then with this, it's just a little bit above it. And we're going to circle back to this in a second with our Webby RSI. Before we do that, we'll just look at the NASDAQ, the same thing. So we've got our low above it for two days. now i'm gonna switch over to that web ersi chart and it's right now okay so here is spy with um the web ersi and that's the little histogram at the bottom and it it looks complicated but it's not all this is is just measuring your low versus your 21 day exponential and then it just expresses it in average true range or an atr and when you have a nice trend you'll get this wall of blue Let me, you know, kind of zoom out a little bit.
59:48Like over here, you had the nice wall of blue or in this time frame and midnight 25, you had that wall of blue where you're just moving up there nicely. So now we're getting brick by brick. We're getting, we're starting to build. It's just not very powerful, but we are getting, you know, each one of these histograms higher than the last, at least over the last four days because we didn't have one. Then we had a tiny baby one. And now we have two bars that are expanding. So we'd like to see that at least get up to one, if not be on there quickly. And we will look at the NASDAQ. This one, you know, we've got two bars on there.
1:00:29So it is a start. You got to start somewhere. Now we will switch over to the off high indicator, Bob Marley off high indicator. And this is just measuring your low versus how far off your highs you are using the low of the bar and also expressing ATRs. So the green area is within four ATRs of your high. The yellow area is four to eight. And then beyond that, then you start running into trouble into red. So with this, and we're using the VOO for SPI because SPI had a bad print in there for one of its lows. And what you're doing is saying, okay, once it hits a substantial low, like it did here on the 8th or 9th of June, that at that point you were, what were you, like four and a half ATRs off your high.
1:01:24So on further pullbacks, you want to stay above that or at least at that level. Sometimes it'll go slightly below it, but you don't want a major breach of that level. That's just telling you it's healthy and normal. think of it this way it tested it once and then anything that tests it less than that is normal and natural anything that that tests it more than that four and a half atrs that's when the the market is running into trouble and you can see that over here um during this time frame it was pretty much staying up in this area of like three and a half atrs then it started getting a little bit worse which was a little worrisome but then you moved up near highs and then you saw this kind of fall out of bed.
1:02:09And it's just another way of kind of protecting you by looking at that to just make sure you're living in reality. Let's look at the NASDAQ. This one is a bad look from that standpoint in that you hit a low here about two and a half percent, give or take. Then you went all the way down to five. So you doubled it. Then you went lower. So it is The broadening would be one way that you could say it's just getting bigger and you don't want to see that. It's good that this one held up, but still that damage there, you know, it needs some time to repair. Let's see what the IWM is looking like. So this one, well, we're still early because today was just your break.
1:02:53But if this continues lower, you just don't want it being, you know, more than this three and a half that we had over there in May. And I think that's all she wrote. Well, good wrap up. A lot of things to consider. And again, as you said, I think the big takeaway here is we're a little bit in a wait and see, you know, right now. We just really have to kind of get a little bit more data to determine, is it back to the whack-a-mole that we've been seeing over the last few months here? Or is this truly something that we can pull out of and continue the trend? And especially some areas are looking better than others.
1:03:33some possible rotation of software being one of the big beneficiaries right now. But yeah, any closing thoughts? Yeah, so you did a great job with that summary. And I would just say, I would really keep an eye on that software area because it does, especially the ones, the CRMs, the ServiceNows and the Microsofts and all of those, that it looks like the money is rotating into and it just starting a move or even an Amazon. on it and you can search i mean there is so many good ones you can just do like with your screening you can look for like um really good high eps rating and not so much the other stuff to just get quality ones in that space and look at the sales as well and start paying attention if you use market surge look at that earnings line and really put that as part of and it's on a weekly only.
1:04:28Just put that as part of your routine and start thinking in terms of the stock wants to follow its price eventually. And it's a slow move, but if you're trading something, the earnings are rolling over, you really better know what you're doing. Is there something that's changing in the future because are the estimates going to be coming back? But you really want to be careful with those, but the ones that are accelerating, that's kind of your best merchandise. I do grade my stocks all the time. We talk about that on IBD Live as well as on here. It's a big part of what I do. And I've been asked a lot, like, hey, could you do a video on it?
1:05:09So I finally did it, thinking it was going to be a three-day weekend. So I have it queued up to go because I was like, oh, this is a perfect one for a three-day weekend that isn't here. And so that drops tomorrow on my YouTube channel, Webby5150, How to Grade a Stock. I think it's a really good one. I think you'll get a lot out of it. And so hopefully watch it. And happy birthday to Chloe. And how's Grandpa Saint doing? How's your little one? Yeah, my little one-year-old granddaughter is learning how to climb stairs. Oh, that's scary. Oh, I'm scared. I watched I I was babysitting her yesterday and that's that's that's what we did all day was just you know up and down the stairs.
1:05:52Me right behind her of course. Oh yeah as long as you're there it's a blast watching how excited they get. And by the end I mean after we did it a number of times man she was zipping up those stairs quick you know. Oh that's awesome. But she's very pleased with herself and then I was trying to teach her how to you know when she goes down the stairs to sit on her butt. You know she just wants to you know go stand up and you know do that. I'm like, no, no, let's sit on your butt and scooch, scooch, you know. So, yeah, we'll work on that a little bit. So, yeah, fun stuff. Fun time. Well, enjoy your concert tonight.
1:06:25Have a good time. Buddy Guy. Oh, my gosh. He's 90 years old. If he's making another round, man, he's one of the best entertainers that has ever lived. If he comes to your town, make sure you go see him. You will not regret it. And yeah, I got to get out of here and head out. So peace out. Well, thanks for the insights. We really appreciate it. That's going to wrap it up for us this day, this week, actually. And we'll see you all back on IBD Live on Monday, August 31st. We'll see how the month plays out, how it ends. And we'll, of course, be watching very closely to see how the market reacts and whether or not those rate cuts determine that, hey, you know, we're going to have to go sideways for a little bit longer, or can we pull out?
1:07:14So we will see and hope you join us on IBD Live 10 minutes before the market open. And we go a full 100 minutes into the market session. Join us for that if you haven't already. Investors.com slash IBD Live. Join the podcast that Webby talked about with his Webby 5150. The Webby rambles on. And then also Jim Ropel was on the Investing with IBD podcast this week. so check that out a lot of uh thoughts on gold biotechs uh and uh you know everything else but a lot of setups that he was noting uh so very interesting this was before yesterday's action so lots of great stuff lots of important content for you to take a look at over the weekend hope you all enjoy it take care everybody
1:08:13This show is for informational and educational purposes only, and nothing should be construed as a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any securities. Any securities and investment strategies discussed may not be suitable for all investors. Make sure to consider consulting with your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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