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Podcast Episode Summary: Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on AI Strategy & New CTO, Microsoft’s Anthropic Deal | Jan 14, 2026
Overview In this episode of The Information's TITV, host Akash Pasricha engages with Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky regarding recent developments at Airbnb including the appointment of a new CTO, the integration of AI into their platform, and the overall state of the company. The episode also touches on Microsoft’s evolving relationship with Anthropic, the launch of a new tech bank, and discussions surrounding proposed wealth taxes affecting billionaires in California.
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Episode Highlights
- Airbnb's New CTO and AI Integration
- Ahmad Al-Dahle has been appointed as Airbnb's new Chief Technology Officer.
- Chesky articulates a vision for utilizing AI to enhance efficiency across all departments of Airbnb, including:
- Customer service: 15% reduction in customer service contacts through AI.
- Streamlining operations: AI will assist in creating listings, managing hosts, and more.
Key Points
- AI's Role: Chesky believes AI will revolutionize travel experiences and intends to integrate it into every function of the company.
- Enhanced Customer Service: AI implementation targets complex customer service interactions to improve response rates and customer satisfaction.
- Future Vision: Airbnb aims to become a "real-world connections app" by leveraging advanced AI technologies.
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- Financial Growth and Business Diversification
- Chesky discusses the current status of Airbnb’s growth, highlighting that while profitability remains strong, growth has been decelerating.
- Focus on new business avenues such as:
- Experiences: Seen as a potential multibillion-dollar opportunity.
- Services: Aiming to provide services like personal chefs and trainers.
- Hotels: Acknowledging the large market for hotels which could also generate significant revenue.
Key Takeaways
- Growth Strategy: Airbnb is optimistic about increasing revenue through diversification and geographic expansion.
- Market Potential: 70% of Airbnb’s revenue comes from only five countries, indicating significant growth opportunities in global markets.
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- Microsoft’s Partnership with Anthropic
- Discussion with reporter Aaron Holmes reveals that Microsoft is set to spend $500 million annually on Anthropic’s models.
- Microsoft is incentivizing sales of Anthropic models just as they do with OpenAI's offerings.
Important Details
- AI Model Usage: Microsoft is integrating Anthropic models into various products including Office 365 and GitHub Copilot.
- Mutual Benefit: The partnership is fostering a reciprocal relationship where both companies benefit from their respective services and products.
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- Launch of a New Tech Bank
- Door Bank, an upcoming tech-focused bank, aims to cater to tech and crypto sectors, with backing from notable tech figures.
- The bank is addressing gaps in the market for underserved tech industries.
Discussion Points
- Need for Innovation: Proponents argue that existing banks have outdated systems not suited for modern technological demands.
- Regulatory Risks: Concerns surrounding the regulatory landscape, particularly in relation to crypto, may pose challenges for the new bank.
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- Wealth Tax Proposal in California
- Conversation with data journalist Shane Burke reveals a survey indicating that about one-third of Californians are considering leaving the state, particularly in light of a proposed 5% wealth tax on billionaires.
- Results show a split opinion on the tax, with half of respondents opposing it.
Insights
- Migration Trends: Potential destinations include Texas and Florida, which offer tax incentives.
- Economic Sentiment: Concerns exist regarding the tax's impact on California's economy and its tech industry.
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Conclusion This episode of The Information’s TITV provides valuable insights into the evolving technology landscape through the lens of Airbnb's strategies, Microsoft's partnerships, and the financial challenges posed by emerging tech banks and potential legislative changes. With a focus on leveraging AI for growth and addressing market needs, the discussions highlight the dynamic interplay between innovation, regulation, and economic factors.
For more information, tune in to TITV every weekday at 10 AM PT / 1 PM ET or visit [The Information](https://www.theinformation.com/titv) for on-demand content.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOAirbnb's New CTO and AI Integration
1:10 to 1:53
Discussion on Airbnb's new CTO and how AI will be integrated into the company.
“The company said today that Ahmad al-Dali, who previously was a top AI executive at Meta, is taking the job.”
AI's Role in Airbnb Customer Service
1:53 to 3:47
Brian Chesky explains the use of AI in customer service and improving efficiency.
“So, look, you wrote a memo to employees introducing Ahmad al-Dali as your new CTO.”
AI Enhancements for Airbnb Listings
3:47 to 5:35
Exploration of how AI can simplify the creation of listings on Airbnb.
“We're a new school company, and we're using the latest, greatest tools.”
Measuring AI ROI in Airbnb
5:35 to 7:37
Brian discusses how Airbnb quantifies the ROI of AI initiatives.
“What are some of the things that you could see AI automating on that vector of working with the supply?”
Airbnb's Growth Strategy and Market Challenges
7:37 to 9:51
Insights into Airbnb's growth trajectory and potential new business avenues.
“Those would be probably the three most important.”
Challenges and Opportunities in Services
9:51 to 12:20
Discussion on the challenges of offering services and experiences on Airbnb.
“So I'm just trying to get a picture of where those businesses are right now.”
Future of Advertising in the AI Era
12:20 to 14:00
Brian shares his views on advertising strategies in an AI-driven market.
“So if you type in Paris and experience, you'll see that's what I think a future marketplace can look like.”
Navigating AI Search and Advertising
14:00 to 14:50
Explore the challenges of integrating advertising with AI-driven search.
“But we are now going to be living in a world of AI search.”
Understanding AI Consumer Models
14:50 to 16:30
Learn about the challenges of monetizing AI in consumer markets versus enterprise.
“I don't think, generally speaking, people have figured out how to make money on AI consumer.”
Trust and User Experience in AI
16:30 to 18:20
Discuss the importance of user trust in AI interactions and advertising.
“So I think it's really important for a chatbot that people trust the chatbot.”
Show all 26 chapters
Integration Prospects with OpenAI
18:20 to 19:50
Hear Brian Chesky's views on integrating with AI technologies and platforms.
“But right now, again, I'll just say this.”
Advice for Aspiring Entrepreneurs
19:50 to 21:40
Brian shares insights on starting consumer-focused AI companies.
“New exclusive reporting from the information today reveals just how much Microsoft is spending on Anthropic.”
Microsoft's Investment in Anthropic
23:20 to 25:50
Details on Microsoft's financial commitment and collaboration with Anthropic.
“At the same time, Microsoft does already have access to reuse OpenAI's models for free.”
The Role of Inference Providers
25:50 to 27:30
Discussion on the emergence and significance of inference providers in AI.
“So look, I just want to make this clear.”
Business Model and Future of Base10
27:30 to 28:00
Understanding Base10's business model and vision for the future.
“or they want to use an open source model and they need to be able to run those models.”
Exploring Open Source AI Models and Business Model
28:00 to 29:40
Learn about the future of AI with open source and customizable models.
“They're our partners too, but we're trying to make something a bit more specialized, a bit more user-friendly, and a bit more fast and scalable.”
The Future of AI Inference Across Applications
29:40 to 31:20
Understand how inference varies across different AI applications.
“the thing that stands out to me is that we all got exposed to AI through ChatGPT and through these chat interfaces.”
Challenges in Chip Upgrades for AI Models
31:20 to 33:00
Discover the complexities of upgrading AI chips and their implications.
“maybe two, three years from now, do you see there being sort of a segmentation in maybe base 10 is the inference provider for a specific type of application or a specific type of content that needs to be generated?”
The Launch of Erbador Bank: A New Tech-Focused Institution
34:40 to 36:20
Get insights into the launch of a new tech bank and its founders.
“Well, Tuhan, I want to thank you for joining us on the show.”
Assessing the Need for a New Banking Model
36:20 to 38:00
Explore the rationale behind launching a new bank in today's economy.
“They would argue that there are underserved parts of the economy in tech, for example, and in particular, crypto is underserved and needs banking.”
Understanding the Risks and Competitions in Banking
38:00 to 39:40
Learn about the challenges new banks face in lending and regulations.
“They were a relatively capital light business.”
Introduction to California's Billionaire Tax Proposal
42:00 to 42:32
The segment discusses a proposed 5% tax on billionaires in California and its potential impact.
“It would place a one-time 5 % tax on Californians worth more than a billion dollars.”
Survey Results on Californians' Feelings
42:32 to 43:19
The discussion focuses on a survey conducted to gauge Californians' opinions on moving due to the new tax.
“Joining me now to discuss the results is Shane Burke, our senior data journalist here at The Information.”
Analyzing Survey Responses
43:19 to 44:38
The hosts analyze the survey responses regarding potential relocation and preferences for tax-free states.
“We also wanted to know their thoughts on that billionaire's tax.”
Conclusions from the Survey Data
44:38 to 45:56
Discussion of the loyalty of Californians to their state despite tax concerns and insights on their potential move.
“There are people who pay to read in-depth coverage on tech.”
Closing Thoughts with Shane Burke
45:56 to 46:49
The hosts thank Shane Burke and reflect on the interesting survey results, promising future discussions.
“Like when you saw the data, were you like, you know, I'm trying to understand what to make of it, I guess.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:13Welcome, everyone, to the information's TI TV. My name is Akash Paswitcha. It is Wednesday, January 14th. Today on the show, I am talking to Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky about the company's new chief technology officer that he announced today. I'm also talking to him about the current state of Airbnb's business, where it's going, and how he is integrating AI. We'll then get into some exclusive reporting from the information around Microsoft's growing relationship with Anthropic. It is Wednesday, which means it is time to discuss our weekly finance newsletter. The topic for today, how one new tech bank with a name plucked from J.R.R.
0:53Tolkien's Middle Earth is trying to shake up finance. Excited for that conversation. And we will end with a segment about how a new proposed billionaire tax in the Golden State may or may not impact Californians' desire to leave the state. It is a fun show, so let's get right on into things. Airbnb has a new CTO. The company said today that Ahmad al-Dali, who previously was a top AI executive at Meta, is taking the job. I sat down with Airbnb co-founder and CEO Brian Chesky to talk about how he plans to further integrate AI into the Airbnb platform and how he's thinking about the future of his business as the stock has basically been flat over the past few years.
1:37I also got some details about the current state of Airbnb's experiences, services, and hotels business lines, which he is betting on to re-accelerate top-line growth at the company. Here is that conversation. Brian Chesky, welcome to TITV. It's great to have you here. Well, thank you for having me. So, look, you wrote a memo to employees introducing Ahmad al-Dali as your new CTO. and before we get going, the first thing that jumped out to me was that you wrote, he grew up in Winnipeg, Canada, one of the coldest places in the world. And I just wanted to share, I was also born in Winnipeg, so I can confirm.
2:18Is that, can I confirm that? Oh, it's true. I mean, it is cold, but. The coldest place I've ever been was Calgary. I got off the airplane and Calgary with a jacket. My friend picked me up and gave me a jacket to put over my jacket. And I've heard Winnipeg's colder than Calgary. They have to plug in their cars at night. That's how cold it is. But it's a great hockey town, and I know you're a hockey fan. I love hockey, and I grew up in a place not quite as cold as Winnipeg and upstate New York, but it was kind of near Buffalo. So kind of familiar with snow and cold in hockey. There you go. Great.
2:50Okay. Well, let's get into it. So I want to understand how a mod fits into your vision for AI at Airbnb, because you've said publicly that you want Airbnb to be the real world connections app in an AI world. You've also talked about how models will become commoditized in the long run, will become something like electricity. And you're already using AI in many of your customer service tools on your platform. And so the question I want to start off with is, how is Ahmad going to help you extend AI throughout the rest of the company? I mean, three things. Number one, you know, the most fundamental thing is AI is this great workflow technology to make everyone more efficient doing their jobs.
3:36And I think, obviously, software engineering is being revolutionized to AI. But basically, every single function of company, from legal to finance to design to marketing, could be benefited from AI tools. So I wanted to be one of those companies that started before Genove AI where we're not an old school company. We're a new school company, and we're using the latest, greatest tools. That's number one. That's just fundamental. Number two, a lot of people talk about agentic AI, and one of the most common use cases is travel, a travel agent. We decided to start with the hardest part of AI with Airbnb, which is customer service.
4:10And so now 15 % of our, you know, we were able to reduce our contacts in English by 15 % by having the AI do customer service. That's really, really hard to do. It's one thing to say, where should I travel? It's another thing to say, I'm locked out. Can you help me? And so we want to take that customer service agent and bring it up funnel. And ultimately, you know, I don't think we're going to live in a world where you just use one agent, one chatbot to do everything. I don't think you're going to want a thousand agents that just like you don't want it. You can't have a thousand friends. You don't have just one person in your life.
4:43And so I do think some specialization will benefit and not too much specialization. What we're going to specializing in is traveling and living. If you want to travel or live somewhere, you're going to go to Airbnb and we're going to be able to use the same models as the Frontier Model companies because we can license those models. But we're going to specialize. We're going to tune them and train them for our use case. We're going to design these really great interfaces that married Airbnb's design with Frontier Technology to be able to help you travel and live anywhere. The other point I'll just say is a very small percent of Airbnb is the app that you see in YouBook.
5:20A large part of Airbnb is managing 5 million hosts, having 5 million hosts in our community, handling over approximately$100 billion, going through our app in nearly every country in the world, trying to keep people safe every night, handling tens of millions. What are some of the things that you could see AI automating on that vector of working with the supply? Well, creating a listing is probably the most obvious one, right? You can, in the future, basically just add your address or even just say, my current location is I'm home. We can then scrape an MLS. We could basically create your listing for you.
5:58If there aren't photos, you could take photos. AI could use computer visioning to then take the photos, write the description. it could verify the amenities exist at that property. So creating a listing would be significantly easier. That's just one example. There's like dozens and dozens of examples like that. And so I wonder how you think about ROI in this AI area. Is it quantifying time savings either for your own workforce or for the people who are putting their homes up to be listed on the platform? Is that something you quantify? Do you think about increasing revenue if you're getting more bookings, being able to use a chat interface?
6:37I mean, how do you quantify ROI for AI? Probably three things. First is just being able to move faster and deliver more features. For example, if every engineer is using AI tooling and you create like double the efficiency, then you can essentially ship features at twice the rate and that will, of course, lead to a lot more growth. So that's on the tooling. On customer service, you can reduce customer service contacts. That, of course, if an AI agent can essentially handle a ticket, that saves a lot of money in the workforce. But also, if it can respond faster, you can recover the customer and pass the savings on to the customer.
7:13The third thing is just essentially making it a better store for you. So making it easier to find the right booking increases conversion of supplies. So as conversion increases of traffic, revenue goes up. So shipping features faster, reducing customer service, increasing revenue by increasing conversion. Those would be kind of like three really big ROI metrics. Again, there's probably dozens. Those would be probably the three most important. So it leads me into sort of a broader discussion I wanted to have with you about the business at large. I mean, if you look at the growth trajectory for the business, you guys have no problem with profitability.
7:49It's very strong there. Growth is decelerating and the stock has very much been flat. And the solution to this, you've said, is experiences, services, and hotels in the long run could be multibillion-dollar businesses. Where are those businesses right now in terms of revenue? One thing I want to say is growth had been decelerating, and now it's re-accelerating. In our most recent Q3, we showed acceleration from Q2. We haven't reported a Q4 results yet. But I'm very optimistic. Q4 was guided to 7 % to 10 % around the same as the current quarter, right? Yeah, and I can't obviously comment on the results.
8:27Our earnings call is in, I think, four weeks. But we are optimistic that over the coming years, we'll be able to accelerate growth in Airbnb. And how are we going to do that? A few things. Number one, creating new businesses. So you asked about experiences. Experiences, we are really optimistic, could be a multibillion-dollar business. Services. There is no Amazon for services. Whether you want a chef or you want a personal trainer or masseuse, We think that could be very popular for travelers and eventually locals. Hotels. People don't realize how big the hotel industry is. Google and Meta are essentially advertising companies.
9:01They're in the advertising industry. The advertising industry is smaller, I believe, than the hotel industry. So we do not need a large market share of hotels to have a huge business. Hotels will absolutely be a multi-billion dollar business. One example, there were over 400 million searches for New York City on Airbnb last year, 400 million. Airbnb is essentially banned in New York. Adding hotels, we can make quite a bit of revenue in New York. So there's a lot of these businesses. And what we want to do is release more and more businesses every year. So we think there's a lot of growth of those new businesses.
9:33But in our core business, just one more comment. 70 % of our business and our core business is in only five countries, U.S., Canada, Australia, U.K., and France. There's a couple hundred other countries in the world that can still grow in our core business. So there's still a lot of growth. And for that reason, I think we can reaccelerate. So I'm just trying to get a picture of where those businesses are right now. I mean, we look at experiences. I mean, how much revenue is experiences generating for the company right now? They're all very, very early. We don't report on a segment basis, so I can't share what those are.
10:08But I would say that experience is a little ahead of services, service a little ahead of hotels. and I think each of them will take a few years. Like we basically put a horizon of three to five years for these to be multi-billion dollar businesses. But Experiences is the one most likely to hit a billion dollars in your mind first in terms of revenue and contribution to the business. That's interesting. Maybe not. It's the furthest along because it already existed. And so there was already a higher revenue base. That being said, the TAM, the Total Adjustable Market Hotels is the largest obvious one.
10:42And then services is super binary. Services could be a medium business or a massive business. And the real question on services is whether or not locals book service in their own cities. If they don't, it's a good business. If they do, it's a hugely successful business. And I wonder what you say to, I mean, we've had other travel entrepreneurs on the show, and we've talked a little bit about experiences and services. And the challenge that they have talked about is that it's hard to get people. Services is a bit separate from booking hotels or booking a trip. I mean, it's almost a category on its own.
11:21And you've talked a little bit about how you segment customers in Paris and L.A., people visiting, people living there. But what's the biggest challenge right now getting people to, A, offer services? I mean, is it a supply issue? Is it a demand issue? What's the bottleneck right now? The bottleneck is absolutely not supply. We're inundated with supply for people requesting services and experiences. And I presume that that's only going to increase. I mean, I can't predict what's going to happen with AI, but with more and more jobs being automated, I think more and more people are going to go to the service industry.
11:56And I think the vast majority of hosting opportunities aren't going to be automated AI. So I think that increasingly people are going to be looking to Airbnb to become hosts. I think the bottleneck is awareness that we have services, awareness that we have experiences, that you can trust that they're high quality. So it's really just a matter of people being exposed, using them, and then word of mouth increasing. Experiences are going really, really well. In Paris, for example, we decided to focus on Paris for experiences. That is growing very, very quickly. So if you type in Paris and experience, you'll see that's what I think a future marketplace can look like.
12:29One thing that's surprising is that Parisians are booking experiences in Paris. That I wasn't expecting. They're working really, really well. On services, we really focused on Los Angeles. You type LA, you'll see a really robust store for services. It's working in LA. So we're now bringing it to cities all over the world. We just launched grocery stocking and airport pickup. Those are working out really, really well. So you get to an Airbnb. We have an integration with Instacart where you can have groceries stocked in your fridge. That's very convenient. And then in Europe, Uber is not always allowed in an airport.
13:01It's really hard. So we worked with some local companies in Europe to be able to do welcome pickups where we do this really simple integration. The driver has flight information. They can pick up the airport and take it to Airbnb. As you think about getting the revenue growth rate up to that 20 % mark that you've said that you hope to get the business to, I mean, advertising is one easy way. If you sell ads, that's one way you could sort of juice the revenue growth. Why not just start there? I think advertising is another multi-billion dollar business. It's at least a billion dollars. And so the question is, why not start there?
13:36Well, the reason not to start there is, number one, it's not the most perishable opportunity. I love this Jeff Bezos framework that you can do anything, but just start with the things that are most perishable. And I think the most perishable things are going into new service categories. I think there's a real opportunity for us to do that. The second thing is there's the old model of ads within search results pre-AI, like the Google model of adding ads. But we are now going to be living in a world of AI search. And so we want to design ads for an AI native search world. And no one's really figured out how to do that.
14:08And we might be one of those people to try to figure that out. So we don't want to create ads for the old world. We want to create an ad unit for the new world. So we're waiting to get AI search right before we think about doing ads. How do you think that plays out? You come from a design background. I have so many questions for you about what designing a good customer experience looks like with advertising, which is the way that a lot of these platforms are going to have to generate and monetize more revenue. What does a good customer experience look like from a design perspective with ads? Talk a little bit about that.
14:47Let me just back up and say something about the whole ecosystem of consumer, then I'll talk about ads. I don't think, generally speaking, people have figured out how to make money on AI consumer. I think AI enterprise is going really, really well. On the board of Y Combinator, the vast majority of startups are enterprise. Very few companies are applying for consumer. And I think what we've seen is it makes sense. Models, the queries are fairly expensive, but you can pay for them with enterprise. I think with consumer, there have to be one of three models to make money consumer, either advertising, paid subscriptions, or essentially e-commerce transactions.
15:25I think Airbnb is one really good model because we have a very high-tick dollar, so you can make a lot of money in every transaction. So we can afford to invest quite a lot in AI from a transaction increase standpoint. If it increases conversion, that's great. I think advertising, though, is probably inevitable for a lot of chatbots. And then the question is two questions. One, does the company optimize for engagement or not? Two, do people distrust the results if ads are delivered? So in Google search results, I never distrusted Google search results because the ads were on top. I said, okay, well, those are ads.
15:58They're clearly ads. The things below them are what Google suggests. So we never distrusted it. With AI, it's really important that the questions, people no longer distrust the veracity of information. And I think that's a design challenge. and how I would solve that, I haven't totally, we're in the middle of figuring that out. But I think that's the biggest problem. The second, which is not our problem, we don't need to optimize for engagement. But I think it's really, really important that a company's North Star is user experience, not engagement. Because when engagement's the North Star, then I think suddenly the company becomes the customer.
16:31So I think it's really important for a chatbot that people trust the chatbot. And so therefore, you just have to make sure that it's not compromised at all. Would you ever integrate more with OpenAI? Absolutely. I say that knowing that you're friends and knowing that you've said that the models aren't there or maybe the interface is not there yet. They're not there yet, but I think they'll get there. And when they get there, we'd love to integrate. Listen, like other travel can be decided to like integrate with chat GPT. And I told Stan, we don't need to be the first. We just need to be the best.
17:04I don't need a race to it. The SDK, like three things. Number one, it was a little bit hard to discover Airbnb in the chatbot. Now it's becoming more easy. You didn't have to install it. Number two, there was a lot of latency. So it took many, many seconds to load. Three, 90 % of people when they book an Airbnb, they send a message. They have to verify their identity. So there were just some interface things we needed to be able to do an integration. But we are absolutely interested in showing up in ChatGPT and Gemini and others. I don't think they're an existential threat at all. I think two things can coexist.
17:40I think what can coexist is we can win from specialization, but also some people are going to start their travel inspiration at chatbots and they can continue it on Airbnb. So I think both can coexist. And as long as your experience is great, we will do it. But we're not one of those companies that wants to be the first to integrate. We want to be the best integration. Right. I want to ask you quickly before you go, Brian, there are a lot of budding entrepreneurs in our audience that look up to you. If you weren't building Airbnb right now, what business would you be building? I would do something with consumer AI.
18:15I don't know. I mean, I could give you a bunch of categories that I think are really interesting. But right now, again, I'll just say this. A lot of people are afraid to create consumer AI companies. When I joined Y Combinator, almost every company was a consumer company. The App Store had just launched, and everyone was making apps for regular people. Now, almost every single person is creating an enterprise AI company. It makes sense, but the vast majority of the economy is not gonna be enterprise, it's gonna be consumer. The biggest companies in the world are gonna be the companies that touch the most lives.
18:48And the companies that touch the most lives daily living are gonna be consumers. So my advice to entrepreneurs is don't be afraid to start a consumer company. It's possibly harder. It's a little more of a hits business. It's more marketing than sales, a little harder to control. But don't be afraid of it because AI has not changed daily life yet. And it won't change daily life until a proliferation of consumer apps come. Now, what would they be? I think health is interesting. I think education is interesting. I think e-commerce is really interesting. E-commerce is a great business model, right?
19:20We talked about there's not a lot of business models for consumer AI. E-commerce is a business model. So these would be really obvious spaces. Right. All right. Well, Brian, I want to thank you for coming on the show. We really appreciate it. It was a great discussion and hope to have you back again soon. I hope to. I hope this is the first of many interviews. Great. Well, that is Brian Chesky, the CEO of Airbnb here on TI TV. Thank you very much.
19:48Okay. Microsoft is growing its relationship with Anthropic. New exclusive reporting from the information today reveals just how much Microsoft is spending on Anthropic. I want bring on Aaron Holmes, one of the reporters on that story, to talk about what we've learned. Aaron, welcome back to the show. It's great to have you here. Thank you for having me. So what did we learn about Microsoft's work with Anthropic? Yeah, so I mean, over the past year, we've seen Microsoft and Anthropic get a lot closer, even though OpenAI remains Microsoft's most important AI partner and provider. And specifically, that's looked like Microsoft becoming one of Anthropic's biggest customers, spending on track to spend more than$500 million annually on Anthropics models.
20:33And we've also learned that Microsoft is now incentivizing its salespeople to sell Anthropics models on Azure, just as much as it incentivizes them to sell OpenAI's models. And beyond that, I think Anthropics is also starting to even get more involved in helping Microsoft build products that use its models. So across the board, these companies are getting a lot closer. Now, you reported that Anthropic is on pace to spend$500 million annually with Microsoft, and that would make it one of Anthropic's biggest customers. Did I have that right? Yeah. Anthropic is spending the money on Microsoft. No, Microsoft is spending the money on Anthropic.
21:14Yes. Microsoft is spending$500 million annually on Anthropics models. At the same time, Anthropics did commit earlier or late last year to spend billions of dollars on Azure cloud services. So the money is going both ways. But yeah, I mean, the money that Microsoft is spending on Anthropics is pretty significant for the startup. Anthropics projected that it was, you know, going to make in the realm of$7 to$9 billion in revenue last year. So this is pretty significant that it's getting this much from Microsoft. Now, one of the questions I wanted to understand here is what types of models is this?
21:51Because Microsoft obviously has an expansive suite of products. Are these coding models? Are these large language models? What are they buying from Anthropic? Yeah, so as of the$500 million annualized figure, Most of that was coming from coding models, which Microsoft was using to power AI agent coding features in its GitHub Copilot software. And since then, the amount that Microsoft is spending has actually probably grown a lot because they've started to also add Anthropik models to other AI products like Office 365 Copilot and Security Copilot. So at this point, it's really across the board that Microsoft is using different Anthropik models for different types of AI products.
22:36Is Anthropic reciprocating? Are they spending with Microsoft? They are. So they, you know, Microsoft also invested$5 billion in Anthropic in September. And around that time, Anthropic said that they would commit to spend several billion dollars on renting cloud servers from Microsoft. And they also said, you know, they might contract several more gigawatts of cloud server space in the coming years. Although it's hard to know exactly what that means. But yeah, basically both of the companies have now become large customers of one another. And who do you think has the leverage in this relationship?
23:16Yeah, I mean, with all of the ways that money is changing hands back and forth, it's a little hard to say who's benefiting more. But I think my take is probably that Anthropic is getting the most out of this right now because they really want to grow their enterprise business and getting access to customers of Microsoft's Azure cloud service is a way to massively expand their potential universe of customers. At the same time, Microsoft does already have access to reuse OpenAI's models for free. So it maybe doesn't need Anthropic quite as much as Anthropic needs Microsoft. But regardless, it is obvious that both companies are benefiting a lot from this partnership.
23:57And I want to end off with a chart that I would encourage people to look at in the story. You basically mapped all the ways in which the AI model companies and the cloud providers and companies like NVIDIA and Meta, the ways in which they are doing deals with each other. And it's a great matrix. My takeaway from that is everyone's working with everybody. My question for you is, is that inevitable? Do you see it as a risk? What do you make of that? Yeah, I mean, I think in some ways this was inevitable, especially when you look at cloud providers like Microsoft, Google and AWS who want to have customers on their platforms using all models and they don't want customers to have to use a different cloud provider to seek out different models.
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24:47And we've also seen Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella talking about how he thinks models will become commoditized, essentially, that in the future, all different model providers will essentially be able to offer the same type of intelligence. And it won't matter as much which model is underlying a specific tool. That hasn't happened yet, but I think that that is sort of the strategy that we're seeing from the cloud providers in a macro way. Great. Well, Aaron, I want to thank you for coming on. That is Aaron Holmes, our Microsoft reporter here at The Information. Okay, the AI boom has given rise to a new class of companies called inference providers.
25:28As AI applications rely on models and on compute, inference providers are becoming more and more important to the story. One big fish in that arena is Base 10, a company that was last valued at$2.15 billion last year. I want to bring on co-founder and CEO of Base10, Tuhin Srivastava, to talk about the future of his business. Tuhin, welcome to the show. It's great to have you here. Hi, gosh. How are you? Thanks for having me. I'm doing great. Thanks for joining us. I'm excited for the conversation here. So look, I just want to make this clear. So you are not a cloud provider and you're not building the models.
26:05You connect the two. Is that right? That's right. We sit on top of it. The way that we think about the world is that there will be a lot of models in the world. They're all going to need to run somewhere. And they're going to need some specialized software to be able to run in production. So, you know, we're kind of that middleware that sits between, you know, all these different clouds that we work with. Today, we sit on around 10 different clouds and the folks building models. And today, we power some of the fastest-growing companies in the world. Think about like Abrams, OpenEvidence, Clay, Cursor.
26:35They all run production workloads with Base 10. And yeah, that's exactly where we sit. And so help me understand this. I mean, if I am building an AI application and I want access to models, I mean, one way to do it is I could just go straight to the companies like OpenAI or Anthropic, and I could say, hey, I'm just going to use your API and get access to the models that way. but the other way to do it is you go through you guys. The third way, and I'm just trying to understand how you differentiate yourself here. The third way is I could just go to the cloud providers and they give me access to all these models as well, right?
27:17Yeah, so look, the way I think about it is we actually work with a special class of models, which are open source and custom models. So a lot of customers are using OpenAnanthropic and then they find some specialized use kits or they want to use an open source model and they need to be able to run those models. So they've got three choices really. You can go to a cloud provider, you can build it yourself or you can go to an inference provider like Base 10. What we try to provide is all that abstraction you need to be able to run this in production at scale that's performance, that's very fast, that's scalable.
27:49So as you scale your traffic up 10x, 100x, 1000x, it kind of scales with you and it will give you a great developer experience so you can do that. And yes, the clouds do provide that. They're our partners too, but we're trying to make something a bit more specialized, a bit more user-friendly, and a bit more fast and scalable. But these are all open source models. All these interest providers... They're open source or they're fine-tuned or RL models is how I describe it. So it's like, you know, models that you are taking off the shelf or models you are customizing to your use case. Okay. And then what is the business model for Base 10?
28:24How do you make money? Yeah, so we basically make... um money based on usage so like the more you use these models the more the more revenue we make and you know ideally the more our customers make too um and so we're very very aligned with how our customers make money you you bought this company parsed last month i don't i hope it's i don't know if it's parsed or parsed but yeah it was a company you bought we reported it in the information why did you decide to do that acquisition yeah so look what we think is that there's gonna the future is you know not just gonna be closed models it's gonna be open source models and custom models.
28:59And then PAST is a really responsible learning company that basically allows companies to bring their own data, take some base models, and come up with a custom model that is better and faster for their particular use case for those customers. So we think that is very much the future or where these models are going. And the PAST team, they're a small team based out of the UK and San Francisco. They were a customer of ours, and we saw a massive synergy in terms of enabling customers to be able to bring inference workloads to Base 10. As you think about the work that needs to be done in AI now, the thing that stands out to me is that we all got exposed to AI through ChatGPT and through these chat interfaces.
29:48Then AI-generated images came along. That turned into audio, which turned into video. So now you have the models that eventually will have to power robots and the physical world as well. But the thing that I am hoping you can help me understand here is when we think about inference, is inference the same across all of those applications? Or might it be that video, for example, requires more inference? Is it a different type of inference? Explain that to us. Yeah, so it's all somewhat dependent on the architectures of the models and where they need to run. And so all the architectures of the model are slightly different.
30:31So for example, video models are predominantly built on diffusion transformers, which are a bit more computer intensive than transformers today. So they need different frameworks and different runtimes. When you talk about robots, a lot of those need to run on edge. So what that means is running on the robot itself. And so, again, that's very different than a cloud inference service. You know, we are very, very focused on Club One cloud inference and to abstract away from any modality. So, you know, we work with audio workloads. We work with image workloads, video workloads, language workloads, VLNs now.
31:05And so, you know, we're kind of agnostic to that, but they all require slightly different, I'd say, software and runtimes to make them work, you know, efficiently, reliably, performantly, for the end customer. But I'm curious, looking at this space, maybe two, three years from now, do you see there being sort of a segmentation in maybe base 10 is the inference provider for a specific type of application or a specific type of content that needs to be generated? Might that be the way it plays out? It could be. Look, I'd love for that to be the way it plays out. That's very self-serving of me. I think inference is a broad category.
31:51Inference is a very large market. As you've heard, how many CEOs have you now heard say inference is the largest market? And so I do think that - How many CEOs have I heard? I don't know. I mean, I think Jensen said it. I think Satya said it. Jensen said, okay. I think Satya said it too. So, but the point being that, you know, it is a big enough market that there will be specialized use cases of inference. We want to power as many of them as possible. Today, we are very, very focused on real-time production inference, kind of abstract, regardless of modality. That might change over time, but, you know, we do think it's a massive market, a massive opportunity.
32:32And yes, there will be specialized players, but there is a big place for a general purpose platform for inference. Do you guys buy your own chips? No, we don't. So we work with 10 clouds kind of underneath the hood. So, and we provide one of the core insights here, I think it's starting base 10, that inference is a multi-cloud problem. You need resiliency for outages on clouds. And so, you know, our customers are able to benefit from that resiliency because we kind of sit on top of 10 different clouds. The reason I'm asking is because one of the questions I wanted to ask you is about these newer chips that are coming out.
33:11We just saw earlier this month, NVIDIA unveiled more details about its Rubin family of chips. And I've been thinking about the switching costs that customers may undergo when going from one chip to another, let alone within one company. I mean, you know, if you want to switch from NVIDIA to another chip, That's another switching cost. I mean, how hard is it to upgrade a chip, to switch out a chip? Are customers having any difficulty with it from what you're hearing? Well, ideally, your inference provider can help you with things like that. You know, what we try. And like, you know, when you go from one NVIDIA family to another NVIDIA family, so from Hopper to Blackwell, say now you go to Rubin, you know, we are doing a lot of that legwork to make sure these models can run very well on those new chips.
34:00And so, yes, it is challenging. And yes, there are issues that come up with that. But also, you know, that is why the specialized software layer for imprint exists. What are some of the challenges there, switching? Look, they just have different, you know, they have different hardware. And like some of these models are very, very finicky. And getting them running with the right throughput and optimized for that chip type. So you're taking advantage of that hardware is challenging. And we've seen that with every kind of family where a chip comes out and it takes maybe a month, two months, six months at times to basically get that chip dialed in for a workload.
34:39Right. Well, Tuhan, I want to thank you for joining us on the show. It was a great conversation. That is Tuhan Srivastava, the co-founder and CEO of Base10 here on TITV. Okay. A new digital bank is drawing the focus of the financial world as it prepares to open after getting conditional approval from regulators in Washington last year. Joining me now with the story in our weekly finance column is our finance editor, Ken Brown. Ken, welcome back to the show. Happy Wednesday. Happy Wednesday. Hi, Akash. I should open every Wednesday segment with that. Happy Wednesday, because we only see you on Wednesdays.
35:14That's a special day. Okay. What is the new bank that you wrote about, Ken? The new bank is called Erbador Bank. Ah, see, I made you say the name. It is, it's a new tech bank started by a bunch of big name tech folks. It is, it was approved by the federal government late last year, and it raised a ton of money and it is, you know, getting ready to launch. And why does the world need a new bank? Who's launching this bank? Ah, there's the question. So it's being launched. Palmer Luckey is a big backer. Joe Lonsdale is a backer. Why does we need? America does not need more banks. The banking business, especially the midsize and small banking business, is a tough business.
36:06There's not been a lot of growth. The number of banks in this country has fallen by half in the last decade or so, mostly through mergers, not failures. They just disappear. And so it is a question. They would argue that there are underserved parts of the economy in tech, for example, and in particular, crypto is underserved and needs banking. And these folks are going to come in with a new bank that has, you know, all kinds of zippy technology, not legacy technology. And they are going to fill a need. And that's how they're going to make money. So I'm just trying to understand when you say zippy technology and broadly speaking, I mean, a bank that is more crypto friendly, more tech forward, better suited for AI and defense companies.
36:55What are the types of services or products that they might offer or even tools that might help those companies that a traditional bank might not? Well, so it's hard to say, right, because traditional banks can do a lot of things. I mean, one of the things they say is traditional banks, even when they do crypto, for example, they have these old systems. And so they're trying to paste this new technology or the new money system onto the old technology. And that is causing problems. It's limiting the amount of customers they can take. We've seen examples of that. So they say we can do this better.
37:32It's interesting. I'm a little skeptical because a lot of banks, because it's not such a great business, They're all trying new stuff and they're all investing. And so they are going to be able to handle some of this stuff. And more and more banks are moving in this direction. So will there be a need? It's not really clear. In terms of companies, you know, tech has changed a lot in the last decade. We know that as well. But, you know, it used to be mostly software companies and they didn't need a lot of cash. They were a relatively capital light business. Now, between defense tech and AI and other stuff, people need capital.
38:10And when you need capital, you need loans, things like that. You need more banking. And so banking is not just for your payroll and stuff anymore. It really is a need. And so if these guys can come in and make loans that serve some of these industries where the traditional banks may be wary, then that could be a benefit too. And would these loans necessarily be riskier loans? So this bank is really trying to be a safe bank. So if you remember, Silicon Valley Bank failed in 2023, three years ago, and it really freaks people out in Silicon Valley. And so they want to be very, very safe. So they're not going to make huge loans relative to the deposits they have.
38:55They're going to have very safe assets. But they can do stuff if they if they understand an industry better than, you know, some other bank somewhere, then maybe they can make a loan that's safe. But, you know, but what would be considered risky by somebody else? I mean, with banking, you just don't know. I mean, banks don't fail in a year or two. Banks fail, you know, five years when the loans don't get paid back. So you just don't know. I mean, one of the lines in the banking industry always is, you know, the scariest thing in the world is a very fast growing bank. It means they're making a lot of loans.
39:32And so, you know, three years from now, you see how successful they were. What do you see as some of the challenges that could face this bank, either from a regulatory perspective, from a business perspective? You said at the outset that you were skeptical. Walk me through that a bit. Well, so, I mean, banks are eager to lend. And so that is one thing. The other thing is there's a whole huge world that's grown up in the past decade of private debt. And there is a ton of money out there looking for places to go. So the bread and butter business of banks is lending and it's a pretty competitive space.
40:08The other risk is, yeah, when you're handling crypto, I mean, if you know, crypto needs to be connected to the to the U.S. financial system, especially stable coins, which have gotten a huge boost following the stable coin law last summer. The problem is, you know, stable coins, you know, open you up to all kinds of issues around sanctions and around, you know, know your customer rules. And the banking industry is very nervous about that stuff. And so they may be taking on a risk that other banks won't take just because of regulatory risk. And then we're in a very friendly environment from a regulatory perspective, especially crypto.
40:49though, that may not stay true. That may change. It may change in this administration if there are problems. It may change in the next administration. And so that's a risk that they take. They may be, you know, come three years from now, they may be seen as an outlier and really get nailed on a regulatory stuff. Yeah. Well, I mean, and this is the point that Brian Chesky, he didn't echo the point today. But as I was watching some of his past interviews in preparation for the conversation today. I mean, he made this point. He said, look, tech people go one way, another way, depending on the administration.
41:26Stuff could change in two years, and then what? What are you going to do? You're going to reverse course? So I think it's definitely going to be interesting to play out. Ken, it was a great call, and I want to thank you for coming on and discussing it with us. That is Ken Brown, our finance editor, here at The Information. Okay, in the tech world, California is still the center of gravity. It is home to Silicon Valley and the industry's biggest players, but it also consistently ranks as one of the states with the highest costs of living and taxes. Tensions are rising with a new proposed wealth tax on billionaires.
42:03It would place a one-time 5 % tax on Californians worth more than a billion dollars. It is still in its early stages, but the proposal has attracted a lot of attention, especially from people who say that it will backfire by driving wealth out of California and discouraging new founders. To get a pulse on where our readers in California stand on this issue, we ran a survey to ask them if they were considering leaving and if so, to where. Joining me now to discuss the results is Shane Burke, our senior data journalist here at The Information. nation. Shane, welcome to the show. It's great to have you here.
42:41Hey, Tosh. How's it going? First time on the show, and we're going to bring you back more and more, I've decided. Yeah, I know. It's like catching a rare Pokemon or something.
42:52Well, you're much cooler than any of the Pokemons, although I was a Pokemon fan growing up, so some of them are pretty cool. Anyway, let's put it aside. All right, let's talk about the data here. So why did we decide to run the story in the first place? Yeah, so as you said, we just wanted to get a pulse on how people were feeling about California, our readers specifically in California, and if they were interested in moving. We also wanted to know their thoughts on that billionaire's tax. tax. We asked it in a way so that we would have their answer to whether they were interested in moving or not before asking about the billionaire's tax, just so we wouldn't lead them with that and get them thinking about taxes first.
43:35But yeah, we just wanted to see how they're feeling in this really interesting time. And so what were the results? What did we find? Yeah, so about a third of them would be interested in leaving California, but that's really would they move. So it's not necessarily that they will move. Of those people, it's pretty clear that they're eyeing tax-free destinations, like income tax and capital gains tax-free destinations. Texas ranks first with Austin mentioned a few times, as well as Florida, that's second. Miami gets mentioned. And I think Nevada. Yeah, Nevada's third, which also falls in that bucket.
44:25Yeah. And how many people responded to the survey? It was 374 respondents. And these respondents are our readers. So it's worth mentioning that there are a specific sample of people. There are people who pay to read in-depth coverage on tech. so it gets at like a direction of tech professionals tech executives um you know that sort of group and tell me a little bit about what your conclusions were as you looked at this data yeah um so i didn't mention but about half of them don't support the billionaires tax about a third of them do the rest aren't sure um and yeah there's the the chart for that but i um so my conclusions on the data i would say first it's clear that they're very loyal to california our readers um which makes sense especially given like what like group they are but the ones who are considering going somewhere else it would be for tax reasons um maybe a lower cost of living But these places all have like a chiller pace of life too.
45:36So, you know, it's a mix of all of that. And even though they're not planning on leaving, they don't necessarily support this billionaire's tax. It's about, you know, half of them don't. But also a third of them do support it. So that's not a small number either. Did it surprise you at all? Like when you saw the data, were you like, you know, I'm trying to understand what to make of it, I guess. Yeah. So I guess I was kind of surprised at how loyal. I mean, the question was, would you move? And I think a lot of people are down to move. But I also think that I was surprised at the states falling in line with those income tax-free states.
46:29as a New Yorker, I thought more of them would mention us, you know? Right. Great. Well, Shane, I want to thank you for coming on. It was some interesting survey results, and we'll have you back on to discuss more of your reporting in the future. That is Shane Burke, our senior data journalist here at The Information. That does it for today's show. A reminder that we are on this stream Monday through Friday at 10 a.m. Pacific, 1 p.m. Eastern. I want to thank you all for tuning in. We really do appreciate your viewership. I am already excited for our next show tomorrow. Have a great rest of your Wednesday.
47:04Bye-bye for now.
From the publisher
Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky talks with TITV Host Akash Pasricha about the company's new CTO Ahmad Al-Dahle and how AI will revolutionize the travel experience. We also talk with Aaron Holmes about Microsoft’s growing $500 million relationship with Anthropic and Baseten CEO Tuhin Srivastava about its role in the booming AI inference market. Additionally, we get into the launch of the tech-focused Door Bank with Ken Brown, and we end with Shane Burke discussing whether a proposed wealth tax is pushing billionaires out of California.
Articles discussed on this episode:
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/californians-want-texas-top-destination
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/microsofts-spending-anthropic-ai-pace-hit-500-million
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/upstart-tech-bank-trying-shake-finance
https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/airbnb-hires-former-meta-ai-leader-cto
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