Snap’s 16% Workforce Layoffs, Allbirds’s AI Pivot, Anthropic’s New Opus 4.7 Model, SpaceX IPO Index

15 Apr 2026 · 38 min · 14 chapters

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In short

The episode covers four business/AI stories plus index and AI-talent themes. Snap cuts 16% of its workforce (~1,000 people) citing AI efficiencies; co-executive editor Martin Pierce calls it “performative,” arguing Snap already has free-cash-flow profitability and hasn’t shown plans to spin off Spectacles. Allbirds pivots its public shell into New Bird AI, raising about $50M to enter GPU cloud rentals; reporter Anissa Gardizi says there’s no clear “special sauce” versus existing NeoClouds, though being public may ease financing. Anthropic changes Claude Enterprise pricing: customers coming off contracts must move from subscriptions to API consumption; Kevin McLaughlin says it reduces compute “surprises,” likely reflects compute subsidy ending, and OpenAI may face similar shifts. Anthropic exec Mike Krieger steps off Figma’s board amid an AI design tool and Claude Opus 4.7; Stephanie Palazzolo flags potential competition. Crypto reporter Yueqi Yang says exchanges/custodians seek access to Anthropic’s Mythos for security testing; Fireblocks reports earlier models found vulnerabilities other firms missed. Finance editor Ken Brown discusses SpaceX IPO index inclusion risk and potential S&P 500 buying flows.

Guests

Martin Pierce, Anissa Gardizi, Kevin McLaughlin, Stephanie Palazzolo, Yueqi Yang, Ken Brown, Tony Van Winkle, Kathy Pham.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Snap's Workforce Layoffs: Analyzing the Impact

0:45 to 3:42

Discussion on Snap's 16% workforce layoffs and the implications for the company.

“We're also tracking news that an Anthropic executive stepped down from Figma's board.”

Allbirds' Pivot to AI Compute: A Bold Move

3:42 to 7:09

Exploring Allbirds' pivot towards AI compute and its implications for the brand.

“That is Martin Pierce, co-executive editor of The Information here on TITB.”

Anthropic's New Pricing Model: What It Means for Users

7:09 to 14:01

An in-depth look at Anthropic's shift to a consumption-based pricing model and its effects on customers.

“My colleagues Kevin McLaughlin and Aaron Holmes broke that story.”

Lessons from AI Industry Evolution

14:01 to 14:51

Explore the challenges and lessons AI companies can learn from older tech firms.

“has gone broadly in the software sector.”

Anthropic's Board Changes and New Tools

14:58 to 16:30

Discussing the departure of a board member and implications for Anthropic's new design tool.

“I want to bring her on to share with us what she knows.”

Claude Opus 4.7 Model Insights

16:30 to 18:07

Examining the features and improvements of Anthropic's upcoming AI model.

“I mean, you know, there are many different connections.”

Crypto Firms Brace for AI Risks

18:14 to 20:24

Crypto exchanges prepare for AI-driven cybersecurity threats as competition increases.

“Crypto exchanges are looking to bolster their defenses from possible AI threats as companies race to create the most powerful models.”

Vulnerability Detection in Crypto

20:24 to 22:51

Discussing how companies are using AI to uncover security vulnerabilities.

“So some of the companies that I talked to, Binance included, Fireblocks is another one.”

Ken Brown on SpaceX's IPO and Index Inclusion

22:51 to 26:33

Ken Brown discusses SpaceX's IPO and the financial implications of its index inclusion.

“That is Yueqi Yang, our crypto reporter, here at The Information.”

Assessing SpaceX's IPO Risks

26:33 to 28:03

Evaluating the risks SpaceX presents compared to existing companies in financial indices.

“of how much risk SpaceX carries compared to other companies in the index.”
Show all 14 chapters

The Volatility of Tech Valuations

28:03 to 29:34

Discussion on the impact of tech company volatility on investment strategies.

“And so you hear you have risky companies, high valuations, unproven businesses, like what could go wrong?”

Understanding Index Construction and Risks

29:34 to 31:08

Exploration of how indices like the S&P 500 are constructed and their associated risks.

“So I will not get into the wonkiness behind how indexes are built, but the S &P is a market cap weighted index, which means the bigger the market value of a company, the bigger the weight is in the index.”

AI's Role in Tech Companies

31:08 to 31:42

Overview of AI opportunities and challenges for tech companies and their adaptation.

“That is Ken Brown, our senior finance editor here at The Information on TI-TV.”

Training the Next Generation in AI

31:42 to 38:10

Insights on preparing young professionals for AI roles and the skills needed.

“the full conversation on YouTube, but I want to share a piece of that discussion around training the next generation of AI talent, here is that conversation.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:13Stephanie Palazzolo:Welcome, everyone, to The Information's TI TV. My name is Akash Pastracha. It is Wednesday, April 15th. Before we kick off the show, I want to do a special shout-out to a new billboard up now in Times Square, thanks to our sponsorship with the New York Stock Exchange. Check it out if you are in New York City. It'll be up for the next two weeks. First up today on the show, we have got Snap Layoffs and Allbirds AI Compute Pivot. We'll dig into both of those stories with our newsroom. We'll then discuss exclusive reporting from the information around how Anthropic is changing its pricing structure.

0:46Stephanie Palazzolo:We're also tracking news that an Anthropic executive stepped down from Figma's board. The timing of that is not so coincidental. We'll talk about that shortly. We've got our crypto reporter coming on to talk about her story. Our senior finance editor is coming on to talk SpaceX and the business of stock indices. And we will wrap the show with a special roundtable with our partner, Adobe. It's going to be a busy show, but a fun one. So let's get right on into it. Snap is cutting 16 % of its workforce, about 1 ,000 people citing AI efficiencies. I want to bring on co-executive editor Martin Pierce for his thoughts.

1:22Stephanie Palazzolo:Martin, welcome back to the show. What do you think? I think this is performative. Snap, this is not going to help Snap. This company just does not have the scale to survive. I mean, just to give you an example, Evan Spiegel in the post announcing this says that this will cut costs and enable or it will clear the path for Snap to achieve or to improve or achieve maybe net profitability. profitability. Why that is important is SNAP is already profitable on the only metric that really counts, free cash flow. Net income is a accounting fiction. So this is just ridiculous. It doesn't mean anything.

2:08Okay.

2:09Stephanie Palazzolo:How does this align or not align with this whole spectacles push that they're making? Did we get any details about that? No. I mean, and also, I mean, the thing to remember is that at the end of last month, an activist investor which has bought into Snap called on the company to cut costs to reduce the number of employees and also to spin off that Spectacles business. So Snap has done the easiest thing that it can do, which is to cut employees. It is not given any indication of its plans to spin off the Spectacles business, which is Evan Spiegel's, you know, prize, you know, prize thing, prize.

2:51project uh until unless he does something like that he's not really serious about fixing snap's

2:58Stephanie Palazzolo:problem so okay last question for you martin i mean you know we have talked on the show about how meta has used ai to very much um reinforce its advertising business do we have any sense uh here if ai is helping snap sell more ads at all is that a story that's happening um i don't know whether AI is helping them. Maybe. I mean, advertising is the part of their operation, which is not doing that well. They did say today that AI will help them operate without as many people, which is what everybody is talking about. So I think that's where AI is really helping them. Great. Well, Martin, I want to thank you for coming on.

3:42Stephanie Palazzolo:That is Martin Pierce, co-executive editor of The Information here on TITB. Allbirds is pivoting to AI Compute. This is the shoe company whose stock has taken a beating over the past few years. Shares are up more than fourfold this morning. I want to bring on Anissa Gardese, our cloud and compute reporter at The Information to break it all down. Anissa, welcome back to the show. Did you ever think we would see the day i didn't um this is not something that i probably could have predicted um but maybe now we have to look at distressed public assets and wonder whether they're going to pivot to gpu cloud um rentals so i guess it will be on my radar from this point moving forward so i mean let's just make it clear for people what exactly is all birds trying to do here what's its strategy?

4:33Allbirds announced that after essentially selling its core shoe business, that it is going to raise money and pivot the public shell company to a new firm called New Bird AI. And what they're planning to do with those funds, they're planning to raise around 50 million is to get into the GPU cloud game. So they might buy GPUs and rent them out to other people and, you know, completely pivot what the public company does.

5:01Stephanie Palazzolo:So this is basically like a smaller version of a core weave or a nebbiest type of NeoCloud offering. Is that the idea? You're right. So a lot of the existing GPU cloud providers were in a different business before they pivoted to AI cloud. But I think the big difference here is that, you know, the pivot from Bitcoin mining and renting out servers to Bitcoin miners to then renting out servers to AI developers is a little more similar than this pivot, which we're seeing right now, which, you know, this new bird AI company has really nothing to do with the original Allbirds public company. And I mean, you've written about all these NeoCloud companies at length.

5:44Stephanie Palazzolo:You know, is there any differentiation strategy here for Allbirds, let alone anyone else in the industry? As far as I can tell, this NewBird AI company doesn't seem to have a particular special sauce that I think will catapult it ahead of the existing NeoClouds. The main thing that I can point out is that they're a public company, and so it might be easier for them to get financing, and they might just become a GPU financing company. But I don't think there are too many similarities between the original company and what they're planning to do now. So maybe this will just be, you know, okay. Let's be clear.

6:23Stephanie Palazzolo:Let's be clear. I mean, there's going to be people on the floor building these facilities and they're probably going to be wearing the shoes. So, I mean, there's that, right? They might be able to move faster in between the rack. Did you have the shoes? I did not consider that. Do you have the shoes? I don't have the shoes. Okay. I'm wearing them. Before my time. I might consider selling them now that they'll be clearly a relic. Okay, well, Anissa, I want to thank you for coming on. It is certainly a fun story, and I'm waiting for the CoreWeave Allbirds acquisition. I think maybe that could be in the cards, but we'll have to see.

7:03Stephanie Palazzolo:That is Anissa Gardizi, our cloud and compute reporter, here at The Information. Anthropic is making a big change to its pricing model as usage of its products ramps up. My colleagues Kevin McLaughlin and Aaron Holmes broke that story. I want to bring on Kevin to tell us more about it. Kevin, welcome back to the show. It's great to have you here. It's great to be here, Josh. Okay, so what do we know about this new pricing model? So it's a little bit nuanced, and I see some little bit of misconceptions in the response to our story. So to be clear, Anthropic started moving some of its subscription plans to a consumption-based model from subscriptions last November.

7:43What we reported on was specifically about Claude Enterprise, which is a formerly a subscription-based offering for companies with 150 or more employees, which included advanced security controls, administrative controls, things like that. And so earlier this year, Anthropic changed its policy so that when customers of Claude Enterprise would come off of their contracts, they wouldn't be able to sign up or continue on subscriptions. they would have to switch over to the consumption-based model, which is using the Anthropic API. So Anthropic didn't announce the change. And so it's sort of becoming apparent to some CIOs now as they have these discussions with Anthropic and seem to be suddenly realizing, hey, we can't buy AI the way we've been buying it in the past.

8:33Stephanie Palazzolo:So I just want to get a couple of details clear here. So when you say Claude Enterprise, this includes Claude Code? Because I know there's the whole API business, and then there's sort of the classic Claude chatbot. What are we exactly talking about here? Sure. Claude Enterprise is basically everything but the kitchen sink. It's got Claude Code. It's got co-work. And as I mentioned before, enterprise versions of products typically include things that companies need to do to adhere to regulatory compliance. and other factors and to be more secure as they're operating. So this is specifically about the Cloud Enterprise product.

9:13Stephanie Palazzolo:Okay. And so in the end, I mean, this is likely to be more expensive for most of these customers or what's our guess? Yeah. So essentially what's happening is the subscriptions that Anthropica's often previously used to come with a bundle of compute. and in many cases, you know, companies would be able to just use and operate. That was enough for their needs. But in other cases, you had power users that were coming up and hitting the limits on those subscriptions. And so what Anthropic told us is that they want to make it sort of equivalent for everyone. And so, you know, there won't be cases where power users are getting error messages saying, hey, you got to pause your work for two hours because you're out of capacity.

9:58And similarly, in some cases, there were users that were not using all the capacity that they were allotted. And so, you know, that was sort of a situation for customers as well. So Anthropics' stance is that having it be based on the API makes everything more predictable. There's no more surprises, and customers are getting exactly what they're paying for.

10:19Stephanie Palazzolo:Now, that's how it's supposed to work in theory. Do we have any sense for how customers are actually reacting to this on the ground? You know, I actually talked to several, it's kind of interesting, ISVs that are sort of customers of Anthropic and in some cases competitors doing AI coding, they were already on the API. So it wasn't a case where they had a jarring change. I think the change is really sort of specifically about, say, you know, insurance companies. If you're a CIO in an insurance company, you would be on cloud enterprise and you are equipping your developers with AI in this fashion.

10:57And now you're having to sort of switch to this new model. I don't think it's like the costs are going to go up, but in reality, Anthropik has been subsidizing its compute in order to build market share. And, you know, Anthropik is no longer operating at a startup upscale this is a major enterprise software vendor and you know as it grows up so to speak uh anthropic is just sort of shifting and and maturing and pricing its products in the same

11:27Stephanie Palazzolo:way as these other companies do right I mean I mean that's sort of my reaction to your story was this was kind of inevitable right I mean this is how most of these products go is that you get a lot of venture funding and you subsidize it you get traction and then you realize how much it actually costs to run the thing profitably. And so I think a lot of people expected this to happen. I guess just extending this a bit though, Kevin, you know, we are at a point here where AI adoption is not what people thought. And that was with the subsidized products. And now we're at a point where the products maybe aren't as secure, as good as people hoped.

12:03Stephanie Palazzolo:I'm not talking necessarily about Claude here. I'm talking about AI altogether. But maybe the products weren't as good as we thought. They're probably going to get more expensive. I mean, this doesn't seem like great news for the whole AI adoption story altogether. I guess you could say that, but in some sense, I think everyone knew this was coming, and it's certainly not surprising. I think if you're anthropic, the time to rip off the Band-Aid is now because you've got wildly popular products like Cloud Code and now Cloud Cowork, which the latter is opening up AI to users that are not developers and other types of users within organizations.

12:42And so their usage is skyrocketing. If people like the product, they're not going to run away if the price goes up. I don't think they will. And we spoke with a licensing expert in the story who said exactly that. People are not running away because they like the products and they think they're getting value. Okay.

13:01Stephanie Palazzolo:So let's now turn to other competitors in the story here. Is Is there any way that you think OpenAI could leverage this at all and gain market share? Sure. OpenAI recently introduced a new$100 per user per month subscription. I think it was last week it was announced. It is pretty clearly an attempt to sort of capitalize on any anxiety that Anthropik customers, enterprise customers might feel. But in reality, OpenAI is going to eventually have to do the same thing. There's no way that they're just going to be able to forever say, okay, well, you know, you can keep buying subscriptions for us forever and it comes with a set amount of compute.

13:43It won't be long before OpenAI is doing exactly the same thing.

13:47Stephanie Palazzolo:And last question for you, Kevin. I mean, we've seen consumption-based pricing play out with public enterprise software companies and enterprise software at large. as you sort of think about how that shift from seat-based pricing to consumption-based pricing has gone broadly in the software sector. Are there any lessons you think that Anthropic and eventually OpenAI can learn from those older companies per se? Yeah, I think the lessons, I mean, in some cases, the lessons are very hard to learn and you have to learn it after there's a backlash from users. I don't think that that's going to be the case here because, again, as I mentioned before, if companies are getting value from AI, they're going to pay more and they're going to keep buying those products.

14:33And they might complain about it on Twitter, but in reality, or X, but in reality, they need AI and AI is helping them transform their businesses. And cost is obviously an issue, but I don't think it's going to be a deal breaker for most customers. Great.

14:51Stephanie Palazzolo:Well, Kevin, I want to thank you for coming on. That is Kevin McLaughlin, our enterprise software reporter here at The Information. In other Anthropic news, there is a new model on the way, according to an exclusive report from my colleague Stephanie Palazzolo. I want to bring her on to share with us what she knows. Stephanie, welcome back to the show. I want to talk to you very quickly. We saw the news that an Anthropic executive has left the Figma board. Is that a coincidence here? Walk me through what you made of that. Yeah, so we don't know what the exact connection is, but I would say the timing is definitely a little bit suspicious.

15:28So that exec was Mike Krieger, who is actually a co-founder of Instagram and originally joined Anthropic a couple years back to be its chief product officer. But then at the beginning of this year announced that he's kind of shifting positions within Anthropic to lead its labs project. And so essentially, you know, we learned this morning that he has stepped down from the board of Figma, which is a design startup. And yeah, I think that the interesting connection here is that this is coming pretty shortly after we broke news that Anthropic is working on its own design tool for startups. Sorry, own AI-powered design tool for its customers that it can release as soon as this week or even today.

16:12And so obviously, I think there's a potential risk of competition there for companies like Figma. And so I think that could explain why Mike decided to step down from the board yesterday.

16:23Stephanie Palazzolo:Well, and it's also making me think about how many more board changes we could see, given just how interconnected the AI sectors and sort of the old school enterprise software sectors are in terms of board members. I mean, you know, there are many different connections. But, you know, I do want to talk to you about the design tool. So you broke the news that they're releasing this new tool, and then they have a new model coming up. What do we know about the new model? Yeah, so the new model is going to be Claude Opus 4.7, which, you know, at this point, it's very hard to keep track of all the what specific point we're on with every single new model release.

17:07But this is essentially going to be Anthropics' next flagship model, although this isn't the same as their Claude Mythos model, which is this kind of secretive, super high-powered model that they've been talking about for a little bit that's currently in testing phases with early partners. So again, this model could be released as soon as this week.

17:29Stephanie Palazzolo:Okay, and so it's not the Mythos model, but do we have any idea, you know, what this 4.7 iteration is supposed to be better at? Yeah, so, you know, we're not exactly sure, but I would guess that based off of the timing of this model being released around the same time as the AI design tool, I imagine that it'll probably be better at kind of coming up with designs and editing presentations and websites and landing pages and that sort of thing. So I think there'll probably be a lot of improvements there, along I'm sure with things like coding, which obviously has been a really big focus for the company.

18:06Great.

18:07Stephanie Palazzolo:Well, Stephanie, I want to thank you for coming on. That is Stephanie Palazzolo, our AI reporter, here at The Information. Crypto exchanges are looking to bolster their defenses from possible AI threats as companies race to create the most powerful models. Our crypto reporter Yueqi Yang wrote about this story and she published that piece this week. I want to get her now to explain to us what she learned. Yueqi, welcome back to the show. It's great to have you here. Hey, Akash. What was the biggest takeaway in your reporting, Yueqi? So my biggest takeaway is that crypto companies, including the major crypto exchanges, custodians such as Coinbase, they're rushing to prepare for the arrival of powerful AI models, especially coming out of Anthropic, because these models are expected to increase cybersecurity risk.

18:59And they are getting in touch and seeking access to preview the Anthropic mythos model because they wanted to be able to prepare for it.

19:09Stephanie Palazzolo:And so who is getting access to this mythos model? Because we've talked about this on the show. I mean, it's not available for public release. It's only very specific institutions that are getting access to it. Is it crypto firms? Is it banks? I mean, who is it? Yeah, so from my research and reporting, crypto companies are not part of the first group of companies that are getting access to Anthropik's model. And Anthropik seems to have prioritized the biggest tech companies, the big banks. We know that Amazon, J.P. Morgan, Goldman Sachs, These are the kind of companies that are already getting access to it, and they're testing their model to try to find vulnerabilities in their systems.

19:56But crypto companies are also trying to get access to it, but they're not having success yet, at least from the reporting that I've done. And it is important for crypto companies to try to stay on top of this because they guard billions of dollars of client assets. And they're also very concerned about any potential threat that could come from these powerful AI models.

20:23Stephanie Palazzolo:But you did write that Binance is testing some new models. Yes. So some of the companies that I talked to, Binance included, Fireblocks is another one. They're testing commercially available models from Anthropic. So these are the earlier models. And Fireblocks told me that even just on the basis of the prior anthropic model, they're already seeing huge implications from it. The model was able to detect vulnerabilities that no other security audit firms were able to find for Fireblocks. And Fireblocks has already fixed the vulnerabilities detected by the model. You know, I have to do some research on this, but I'm sort of wondering, you know, we hear so much about the attacks.

21:10Stephanie Palazzolo:against crypto exchanges, crypto wallet companies, for example. They're very highly publicized. I'm sure that banks see the same number of attacks, if not more, just given the scale of these banks. We don't hear about them as much, probably because their defenses are probably a bit better and it's not as shiny as crypto. But I mean, I've got to imagine that given the extent of the hacks that we've seen in crypto, I mean, I'm not saying that they should get access to mythos, but it would do them some good to have some of these cutting-edge AI defense systems to protect against this stuff, right?

21:46Yeah, that's exactly right. Crypto companies are high-profile targets for hackers, especially nation-state actors. Even just this month, there's been a few high-profile hacks in crypto. There's this one decentralized crypto platform called Drift that was hacked by people that they believe were acting on behalf of North Korea. And this is actually done through social engineering. So the bad actors were people who met in person with the Drift team at crypto conferences and built relationships with them over the course of six months and eventually got into their system. So yeah, so crypto companies historically have a problem with hacks.

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22:30Some of these are social engineering. Some of these are just vulnerabilities with your system. So now they have this new threat that they need to take consideration. And that's coming from AI models.

22:42Stephanie Palazzolo:Well, this is certainly one of the more logical ways that I think crypto could overlap with the AI sector. So I appreciate you coming on to explain it to us. That is Yueqi Yang, our crypto reporter, here at The Information. The Information Senior Finance Editor, Ken Brown, has a column out today about why he's watching SpaceX's IPO and specifically why he's watching which indices the company could get added to. I want to bring him on to explain why. Ken, welcome back to the show. It's great to have you here. Hi, Kosh. Okay, so Ken, I want to take us back to a job that you had years ago at the Wall Street Journal.

23:20Stephanie Palazzolo:You were a stock picker? Tell us about this job. I tried. So in the old days, the editor of the Wall Street Journal used to pick the stocks that ended up in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which was 30 stocks. Now, the editor of the Wall Street Journal is a busy person. And so I was running the finance coverage there and the job fell to me. So I was sitting there saying when we needed to change a stock or wanted to change a stock out of the Dow, not that frequent, that was my job. And how do you decide what to put in the Dow Jones Industrial Average? Well, you know, there was a dartboard and no, no, no.

24:04So, you know, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is supposed to represent the U.S. economy. So and by the name industrial, it historically had been industrials and retailers and other things. But that proved to be challenging because for a while it was underrepresented in tech. It was underrepresented in financials and it was underrepresented in health care. So that was one of the things that I had to work on. Okay.

24:34Stephanie Palazzolo:And so now take us to present day. What does all this have to do with the SpaceX IPO coming up? Exactly. So one of the things I did or me and my colleagues did was add some financials to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. And this was in the 2000s. And we all know how the 2000 ended. So the last stocks that I put in or I helped put in before the financial crisis was Bank of America. But we had added AIG and Citigroup and others before that. And so that had been a boom time for financial. Stocks had gone up. The housing boom was on. Mortgages were booming and banks were doing really well. And we know what happened.

25:13The banks fell apart. Insurers fell apart like AIG. They were bailed out by the government. And one of the things we did during the financial crisis was pull Citigroup and AIG out of the Dow because they had been bailed out by the government. So why does it matter now? Well, tech has been on this same path, right? It has boomed for a decade. These giant companies have done well. AI has triggered another boom. And so when SpaceX goes public, they are trying desperately, Elon Musk is trying to get SpaceX into the indexes. Why is that important? Because there is about$20 trillion linked to just the S &P 500.

25:53And if SpaceX, by my numbers, is about 2 % of that, then that's a lot of money. That's about$400 billion of buying that you would get for SpaceX, which boosts the price, which raises the valuation and all those things. And so he really wants to be in the index. And all I'm saying is this has been a boom time in tech. you're adding stocks to an index in the past these seemed like sure things and they weren't and they ended up having ripple effects through the whole financial system so as someone then who

26:27Stephanie Palazzolo:has studied and and created the makeup of these indices in the past i mean what's your assessment of how much risk SpaceX carries compared to other companies in the index. I mean, it's kind of a unique beast, but I wonder if there's any precedent for a company like this being added? Well, not really. I mean, this is a money-losing company. This is a company, I mean, it's a mishmash, right? Because it's space, the launch business, there's the satellite Starlink, the satellite tech telecom business then there's uh xai the the um ai business and there's x which was twitter right so it's a real mishmash of musk creep musk musk things um and yeah it is a very risky company it's losing a ton of money it's burning a ton of money um it's really not clear what the path to profitability is i mean stocks that typically were added especially at this size were never this risky.

27:31You look at the other giants. So this stock, you know, when you run the numbers, this stock would probably be roughly in the top 10 of the S &P sitting right behind Tesla, of all things. And if you look at the valuations of the big stocks above it, Microsoft, Google, Meta, all those things, they're a little rich, but they're not crazy expensive, but they make huge profits. I mean, these are like epic, fantastic, profitable companies. And then you go down to Tesla and then you go down to SpaceX and Tesla makes money, but SpaceX doesn't. But the valuations are off the charts compared to everything else.

28:06And so you hear you have risky companies, high valuations, unproven businesses, like what could go wrong?

28:13Stephanie Palazzolo:Well, and it does kind of lead me to another observation here, which is that, I mean, yes, some of the bigger companies can be more volatile. That's not always the case. I mean, depends on what the multiple is, right? Like you said, the big tech companies, you know, some of their valuations are quite reasonable. But when you have the biggest top 10 companies, for example, that are so volatile, I mean, I can only imagine what impact that has on people's own portfolios. Because let's face it, I mean, people just want to buy the market at the end of the day, right? Well, yeah, and that's not a bad strategy.

28:47But, you know, a third of the S &P 500 is tech now. So, like, that's a lot. And, you know, the industry has essentially been, for the past couple of years, one big bet on AI. And on the positive side, it's been, you know, the giant companies and all the AI companies. On the other side, it's been the software companies getting hammered, right, by the risks of AI to their businesses. So, like, that's a lot of companies and a big part of the index that's really being driven by one thing. And so you index, one of the beauties of indexing is you get instant diversification really cheap. And the problem is you're getting less diversification now and you're getting a big bet on AI and the fact that it's going to be profitable and keep growing.

29:34Stephanie Palazzolo:hmm and so last question for you ken you know is there do you see any change coming for you know these indices and the ways in which they they decide on their constituents i mean it's obviously changed since when you were picking them but uh you know is there opportunity for it to improve here uh you know make things a little more balanced maybe factor in the volatility the betas of these companies at all? Right. So I will not get into the wonkiness behind how indexes are built, but the S &P is a market cap weighted index, which means the bigger the market value of a company, the bigger the weight is in the index.

30:13And, you know, the problem with that is you essentially buy the last few years winners, right? When a stock goes up a lot, it has a bigger portion of the index. And that's what you're buying when you buy the index. Now, if you buy it over time and you average in and you hold it for a long time, you're going to be fine. But that's a problem. So there's a whole bunch of other indexes that let people do things different ways. I mean, there's a well-known index that's the equal weighted S &P 500, where every one of the 500 stocks is weighted the same. So, you know, some little company or not little, but, you know, relatively unknown company is weighted the same as Microsoft or NVIDIA.

30:49And so then you get real diversification. Now, you know, you don't have the winners keep going up, but, you know, there's ways to do it. So, yeah, I mean, the S &P 500 is very risky right now because of the market cap weighting. But, you know, there are ways if investors want to look to avoid that.

31:07Stephanie Palazzolo:Great. Well, Ken, I want to thank you for coming on. That is Ken Brown, our senior finance editor here at The Information on TI-TV. AI is certainly an opportunity for tech companies, but they also have to be thoughtful about where and how to apply it. TITV and Adobe have partnered on a recurring series of roundtable discussions called The Shift to look at how those decisions are being made. I had a wide-ranging conversation with Tony Van Winkle, VP of DigitalX and co-chair of AI at Adobe, and Kathy Pham, VP of AI at Open Technology at Workday, one of Adobe's partners. You can catch the full conversation on YouTube, but I want to share a piece of that discussion around training the next generation of AI talent, here is that conversation.

31:52What's been interesting for us through AI at Adobe, we have had situations where the early adopters of AI are some of the most junior people in the organization, and they become ambassadors for AI across the teams. And what's been beautiful for me to see, Akash, is how this technology has enabled early career ambassadors to really shine. And I've seen this through promotion, through advancement, through giving them opportunities of exposure when we're thinking about what kind of impact you want to make in the organization. How does that happen, Tony?

32:36Stephanie Palazzolo:I'm so curious here because, you know, I want to put myself in the perspective of college graduates, people coming out of school right now, right? The game is very much changing. They hear about these opportunities, but if I'm a young person, I mean, what do I do to take advantage of it? How do I make sure I'm getting the promotion? What's your advice to that? Yeah, it's really, I love this question because there's this myth that AI somehow stops us from hiring early career people or stops opportunities for people who are in their early career. And what we found through our research is that AI literacy, let's make sure that people not only know how to think through and use AI, along with that efficacy, think about resilience, critical thinking, creativity, which we believe is very much a human capability that we should all have, and then responsible use.

33:42When we think about things like critical thinking, this is where understanding what the outputs and the outcomes, what good looks like, we need to frame that up for our organization. So by setting goals that says, hey, the outcome that I want is a faster time to market for my products. So how do we point people at looking to how we basically collapse and condense that process? of design, to prototype, to coding, to quality checks, to an available beta or a release of a product. The opportunity for this next generation is the currency is impact. So go and ask the questions about what problems do we need to solve in the enterprise?

34:34And that'll link you to an opportunity where you can show your skills. I have to add to this too, because I live I live in the world where I've been teaching a class for eight years, and that ranges from the undergrads and the same undergrads and mid-career to folks who are almost at retirement. And they're reentering the workforce in different levels. And there was also a piece that came out, I think it was a week or two ago. and it was around how those, excuse me, a piece came out several years ago, sorry, a week ago, where those around the ages of like 14 to 29, Gen Z, if you will, are pushing back a little bit, not on the use of AI, but like, yo, I want to really internalize and learn skills and be able to use the technology.

35:19So when they're in a world where it's like, you must use all these tools all the time, where actually it's interesting, We're seeing both the excitement for the usage, but also like an internal reflection almost of, I get that you're giving me all these things that this other generation has built, but I also want to make sure I don't miss out and learn and develop these skills before I use them. So, Kashi mentioned, you know, how do we measure performance reviews at the company level? But on an individual level, a call for all of us, right? How do we think about how much to bring in and what agency and control and usage of these technologies do we want?

35:56Because we're seeing folks push back and ask those questions while equally being excited, too, because there's a fear of losing these basic skills, losing the ability to hone the craft and be experts.

36:09Stephanie Palazzolo:So, Kathy, if I hear you, what you're saying basically is we've got to teach AI as best we can, but there's also a little bit of like, well, if I'm being told that I have to learn this, it's not as cool as if I were to just learn it on my own, tinker around with it with my friends outside of class, in college. I mean, there's sort of a balance between how instructive we are or how instructive enterprises are. And then sort of, I don't know, Tony, maybe what sort of seeds we just, you know, we make the tools a little easier to use and we just say, hopefully people learn how to use it. Yeah, you know, we just had something called AI Day.

36:53And it was a way, the entire company, this was an opportunity to take time to learn. And, you know, to your point, play. You know, one of the metrics that I've spoken to Kathy about, and she mentioned it a little bit, which is joy in your work and honing your craft. And so if we're able to give people the right tools for the job and able to give them time to learn and quote unquote play, they'll be able to get that aha moment that Ethan Mullick talks about. And one thing that I would add to this, Akash, is storytelling. How powerful is storytelling when you can get in front of your peers, get in front of leadership and talk about not only what you learned, but the impact or the potential impact that this could make for the organization.

37:46So give people time to play.

37:50Stephanie Palazzolo:That does it for today's show. A reminder, we are on this stream Monday through Friday at 10 a.m. Pacific, 1 p.m. Eastern. If you can't make it then, episodes are available on theinformation.com, our YouTube channel, or wherever you get your podcasts. Make sure to follow us on social media on X, Instagram, and TikTok. I'm already excited for our next show tomorrow. Have a great rest of your Wednesday. Bye-bye for now.

From the publisher

The Information’s Martin Peers discusses why Snap’s 16% workforce reduction is a performative move rather than a strategic fix. Anissa Gardizy breaks down Allbirds' surprising pivot from footwear to GPU cloud rentals. Kevin McLaughlin explains Anthropic’s shift to consumption-based pricing for enterprise customers. Stephanie Palazzolo reveals details on Anthropic’s upcoming Opus 4.7 model and its new AI design tool. Yueqi Yang reports on how crypto firms are racing to defend against AI-driven cybersecurity threats. Ken Brown analyzes the financial implications of a potential SpaceX IPO and its inclusion in major stock indices. Finally, Adobe VP Digital EX and Co-Chair AI Toni Vanwinkle and Workday VP of AI and Open Technology at Workday Kathy Pham join a roundtable to discuss upskilling talent and measuring AI efficacy in the enterprise.


Articles discussed on this episode: 

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/anthropic-changes-pricing-bill-firms-based-ai-use-amid-compute-crunch

https://www.theinformation.com/newsletters/the-information-finance/helped-pick-stocks-dow-watching-spacex-ipo-carefully

https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/allbirds-pivot-ai-chips

https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/snap-lays-16-workforce

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/crypto-firms-seek-access-anthropics-mythos-shoring-defenses


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