The arrest is history: Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor

0:03Gregg Carlstrom: The Economist.

0:10Gregg Carlstrom: Hello and welcome to The Intelligence from The Economist. I'm your host, Jason Palmer. Every weekday, we provide a fresh perspective on the events shaping your world.

0:24Gregg Carlstrom: Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are both Gulf monarchies with vast oil and gas reserves, both stable American allies that have had common cause for decades. But they're having a tiff, one that could be bad news well outside the region. And Jesse Jackson had an incredibly inclusive vision for America's Democratic Party, for the country itself. Our obituaries editor says he campaigned for more than a half century from the moment he witnessed the assassination of Martin Luther King Jr.

1:03But first...

1:10Gregg Carlstrom: I think it's fair to say that most Britons love a little scuttlebutt about the royal family. Indiscretions and peccadillos and petty squabbles, it's all a reminder of their very human failings. They are no better than us, kind of thing. But the king's brother, Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, he is responsible for way more scuttlebutt than the public bargained for, perhaps most of all the accusations of Virginia Giuffre, who claimed that Jeffrey Epstein forced her to have sex with Mr. Mountbatten-Windsor. Just one of the events that have led to him being stripped of his titles and gently nudged out of his house.

1:45Gregg Carlstrom: As the Epstein-filed dumps have kept coming, Andrew's name and image keep cropping up. And yesterday, on his 66th birthday, the cops came knocking. It's really an event without precedent.

2:00Sonny Loughran: Sonny Loughran is a Britain writer at The Economist. If you look at the papers today, the pictures of Andrew leaving the police station are plastered all over the front pages, which I think gives you some sense of just how massive this is in Britain.

2:14Gregg Carlstrom: so mr mountbatten windsor was arrested under what charges what's going on

2:20Sonny Loughran: so crucially he hasn't been charged the investigation is ongoing and the crown prosecution service will assess the evidence to decide whether a charge can be brought forward in time that could take a while but the timing and the fact that he's being investigated for misconduct in public office suggests that this is related to the latest batch of epstein files released by the US Department of Justice. They appear to show Andrew during his time as Britain's trade envoy passing confidential documents to Jeffrey Epstein, which isn't allowed. Those kind of documents are generally covered by the Official Secrets Act and trade envoys are charged with keeping them confidential.

2:54Sonny Loughran: We should also say that Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor has consistently denied wrongdoing in regards with his relationship with Epstein. Having been released from the police station yesterday, Andrew returned to the King's Estate in Sandringham, but Thames Valley Police say they are set to resume searches at the Royal Lodge, Andrew's former home in Berkshire.

3:11Gregg Carlstrom: But whether or not charges are eventually pressed, the idea that this has happened at all is pretty striking.

3:18Sonny Loughran: Yes, it's very unusual. In 2002, Princess Anne became the first member of the House of Windsor to be convicted of a criminal offence after her dog bit two children in a Windsor park. But she was never arrested and paid only a small fine. The last time this son of a monarch was arrested was in 1685. that was James Scott, the first Duke of Monmouth. But he was the illegitimate son of Charles II and thus never in line for the throne, unlike Andrew, who is eighth in line. The last proper role to be detained was Charles I, who was charged with treason and tyranny, having been defeated in the English Civil War and beheaded in 1649.

3:57Gregg Carlstrom: Now, I think it stands to reason that Mr Mountbatten-Windsor will not be beheaded, but this is the law taking its course, I guess.

4:05Sonny Loughran: Yes, I don't think he'll be beheaded, but he could still face a serious sentence. So Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor is under investigation for misconduct in public office, which is a notoriously difficult offence to convict someone of. The vast majority of those convicted for misconduct in public office are prison guards and police officers. No politician or high-level public official has ever been convicted. But if he is convicted, the max sentence is life. On some level, his arrest is a sign of things working as they should. None of the powerful Americans implicated in the Epstein files have yet been arrested.

4:40Sonny Loughran: The son of Queen Elizabeth II has. And history is full of royals who got away with things that would have put their subjects behind bars. So on some level, this is progress. And on Thursday, the king promised to help with any investigation, saying that the law must take its course. But it's definitely not a good look for the monarchy. And there could be more damaging reports to come. Police are still assessing whether to investigate separate allegations that Jeffrey Epstein trafficked a woman to the Royal Windsor estate to have sex with Andrew. And there are big questions about just how much Andrew's aides and security officers knew and enabled his relationship with Epstein.

5:15Sonny Loughran: Even the late Queen, who reportedly loaned Andrew millions to help settle his case with Virginia Giuffre, may not escape criticism.

5:23Gregg Carlstrom: And as you say, in a more general sense, this is not a good look for the monarchy. after quite a long period of bad looks.

5:30Sonny Loughran: Yes, well, Republicans certainly sense an opportunity, and they're quite optimistic that this scandal threatens the institution of monarchy itself. It's obviously a moment of weakness, but that's quite ambitious. Without getting too much into the political theory, the monarchy exists to provide a kind of national myth and spectacle. Sometimes that means deifying the royals. Other times it means reviling them. Scandal is a feature of monarchy, not a bug. so I think we should be careful with the idea that any one scandal can really damage the monarchy in the way abolitionists hope saying that we just don't know what this investigation is going to turn up and it could still get a lot worse for the House of Windsor Sonny thanks very much for your time Cheers Jason

6:30Jason Palmer: Saudi Arabia and the UAE are the two biggest economies in the Arab world. They're the two biggest powers in the Gulf. They've been allies for decades with economies that are very tightly linked.

6:42Gregg Carlstrom: Greg Karlstrom is a Middle East correspondent for The Economist.

6:46Jason Palmer: And yet, over the past few months, they have fallen into a steadily worsening spat, one that is going to have consequences for the region and perhaps beyond.

6:58Gregg Carlstrom: So what's the source of the spat, Greg?

7:01Jason Palmer: It's been brewing for years. And as always in the Gulf, these things are both political and personal. The political part of it is divergent approaches to foreign policy. The Saudis have become increasingly frustrated with the UAE because the UAE has been supporting rebel groups and separatist movements and other non-state actors across the Middle East. We've seen that in Yemen, Sudan, Somalia, and other places in the Middle East and the Horn of Africa. And the Saudis feel like that is undermining and weakening states and central governments in the region. The counter-argument from the UAE is that many of these states are weak to begin with, and they would rather work with separatists or rebel groups if they're strong and reasonably effective at controlling territory, the UAE would rather work with them than work with weak central governments.

7:54Jason Palmer: And very often, this is a proxy for a dispute over political Islam. The UAE hates Islamist groups like the Muslim Brotherhood, and so it always backs their opposite numbers, whereas the Saudis are more willing to work with Islamists. There's also, I think a level of personal animosity growing between Mohammed bin Salman, the Saudi crown prince, and Mohammed bin Zayed, who is the president of the UAE. Ten years ago, when MBS was first coming onto the scene in Saudi Arabia, they were very closely aligned. But we've gotten to a point now where MBS thinks Saudi Arabia is the biggest country in the Gulf.

8:32Jason Palmer: It should be calling the shots and the Emiratis should follow behind. Whereas I think MBZ and Abu Dhabi resent taking orders from the Saudis, he feels like his country ought to be able to have its own independent foreign policy.

8:46Gregg Carlstrom: And you said that the spat could have implications for the region and beyond. What are the effects closer to home?

8:51Jason Palmer: The most immediate concern is for business people in both countries. The economic ties between these two countries are very, very tight. Trade is worth about$31 billion a year. Saudi Arabia and the UAE are both among the largest export markets for one another. And the concern is that as relations deteriorate, business is going to get harder. I've heard from diplomats who say that in speaking to companies in the region, they've heard stories of trucks being held up at the border coming into Saudi Arabia from the UAE, the Saudis delaying customs approval recently. They've heard from companies in the UAE that can't get Saudi visas for employees who need to come to Saudi Arabia on business trips.

9:35Jason Palmer: None of this is catastrophic yet, right? But executives are starting to draw up contingency plans in case things get worse.

9:44Gregg Carlstrom: And what about as regards conflicts in the region, the degree to which the spat is because each state doesn't like the way the other one is dealing with conflicts?

9:53Jason Palmer: So we saw this most recently in Yemen around Christmas. Now, Saudi Arabia and the UAE for many years had been on the same side in Yemen. They invaded the country in 2015 after the Houthis, an Iranian-backed militia, seized large chunks of territory. The Saudis and the Emiratis and some other countries fought together. But they've really had a falling out over the past few months after a group known as the Southern Transitional Council, which is a separatist group that wants to re-establish South Yemen as an independent state. Once on a major offensive back in December, they seized a lot of territory from forces backed by the Saudis.

10:32Jason Palmer: Now, the Southerners are backed by the UAE. And so this mapped onto the proxy conflict between the two countries. The Saudis were unhappy about this. They saw it as a threat to their security, having this UAE-backed separatist movement getting awfully close to their borders. And so they started carrying out airstrikes against the separatists. They forced the UAE to withdraw entirely from Yemen. They've pushed back the STC for now. But the fact that you had in December, Saudi jets bombing an armed shipment from the UAE in Yemen was the first direct conflict between these two countries. And it was a sign of just how bad things have become.

11:11Gregg Carlstrom: But given that both these countries do have entanglements much further afield, how much is this a battle between the two of them and a battle that sets things unstable elsewhere?

11:20Jason Palmer: I've heard about two particular areas of concern in recent weeks. One of them is the Horn of Africa. The UAE has invested quite a lot in relations with Ethiopia over the past two years. They're very close to Abe's government in Ethiopia, whereas the Saudis have aligned themselves with Eritrea. Now, Ethiopia and Eritrea already somewhat at daggers drawn. the Ethiopians are looking for access to a port on the Red Sea somewhere because they're a landlocked country. They are accusing the Eritreans of helping to foment ethnic conflict inside of Ethiopia. So they're on bad terms. And then you add to it this competition between their foreign backers, the Saudis and the Emiratis.

12:04Jason Palmer: And there's a fear that we may see greater conflict in the Horn of Africa. And then the other country that I hear people worrying about is Syria. The Saudis have invested quite a lot in supporting Ahmed Sharar's government. Of course, the interim president who took power after the Assad regime fell in 2024. The UAE, on the other hand, is very skeptical of the Sharar government because he is an Islamist. He used to be a jihadist. And again, the UAE hates anyone who comes from an Islamist background. So there's a fear that if things get bad between the Saudis and the Emiratis, that that conflict may play out in Syria, that perhaps the UAE might look for partners to work with who are not the central government in Syria.

12:47Jason Palmer: So again, the concern is that this won't stay limited to the Gulf, that in a region that is already quite unstable, this conflict between the two Gulf heavyweights will have consequences elsewhere.

12:58Gregg Carlstrom: And is the fear of that kind of spread of instability enough to help de-escalate things? Do you have a sense that this might be self-limiting in some way, or is this only getting hotter and hotter?

13:07Jason Palmer: It seems to be the latter so far. There's been no shortage of efforts to mediate. Qatar, somewhat ironically, which was blockaded by Saudi Arabia and the UAE nine years ago, is now trying to mediate the conflict between Saudi and the UAE. There's also been a flurry of diplomacy from Egypt, from Bahrain, from Turkey, but they don't seem to have made any progress. And my understanding is that the top leaders from Saudi and the UAE essentially have not spoken since the end of December. So this is going to come down to whether you can convince the two of them to bury the hatchet and go back to having a functional relationship.

13:47Jason Palmer: And so far, there are no signs of that.

13:50Gregg Carlstrom: Greg, thanks very much for joining us.

13:51Jason Palmer: Thank you, Jason.

14:09Ann Wroe: Jesse Jackson heard the crack of the gun, and then he saw the impact, blood gushing out of the neck and jaw of Martin Luther King, and the way he fell to the ground on the balcony of the Lorraine Motel in Memphis, Tennessee, on April the 4th, 1968.

14:27Gregg Carlstrom: Anne Rowe is our obituaries editor.

14:31Ann Wroe: Jesse Jackson's first thought was to race up the stairs to the balcony and try to make King listen to him. He said he was the last person to hear King say anything. All the aides had rushed to help, but it was Jesse Jackson, fired up with righteous anger and grief, who raced off to his base in Chicago and told an audience on the Today Show that he was wearing the sweater still marked with King's blood. And that, just as there'd been a crucifixion, there was going to be a resurrection. And he implied that he was going to be the man in charge of it. He immediately seized the mantle of King. He was very sure that what the civil rights cause needed was leadership.

15:23Ann Wroe: If it did not have its great founder, then it must have him, because he, he implied, was the man who had the discipline, the will, even the divine inspiration to get his people closer to the promised land.

15:45Twice in 1984 and 1988, he ran for the presidency of the United States.

15:52Ann Wroe: He was the first black man to do so from a major party. His platform was partly the old left liberal ideas of taxing the rich, spending the money on social programs. But also he had this vision of an America that could behave rather as Jesus commanded in the Sermon on the Mount. an America that would clothe the naked, feed the hungry, house the homeless, and prefer the human race to the nuclear race. His other great vision was of America as a great rainbow, a huge, diverse nation in which everybody ought to be working together, especially all those poor and dispossessed who he wanted to see brought into the centre of politics.

16:49Ann Wroe: All these people should be working together to find common ground. And he was especially fond of this image of diversity by thinking of the quilts that his grandmother used to make. She would take any odd patches of sacking or cotton or silk or gabardine and bind them together with a strong thread to make a wonderfully warm and embracing, ever-expanding blanket to keep the family warm.

17:29Ann Wroe: The quilt also referred to his own story of his growing up in poverty in Greenville, South Carolina. His father had abandoned him because he was born to a teenage mother out of wedlock. His stepfather barely acknowledged him, so he was brought up mostly by his grandmother who had sewed the quilts. They lived in a shack in a slum and he was very keen on emphasising the poverty of his background. What he didn't mention so much was that he was quite esteemed as a clever boy and someone who was actually going to go somewhere. He could talk a hole through a billy goat, said one of his friends. He had a great power with words.

18:20Ann Wroe: Eventually, in 2008, the path was laid by Jesse Jackson for the election of America's first African-American president in Barack Obama. And Obama's style, his wonderful rhetoric, his slogan, yes we can and his appeal distinctly his pitch to the minorities dispossessed African Americans his direct appeal to them was the result of the path that Jesse Jackson had laid down before. He always saw himself as a trailblazer but he also as he grew older began to get a little bit more able to work with the institutions that had thoroughly annoyed him before. He learned to work in more subtle ways with capitalists and also with institutions that were still doggedly white.

19:18Ann Wroe: He refused to hold hate in his heart against these people. He liked to think of his heart as full of boundless love that could win everyone over.

19:32Ann Wroe: He was a preacher, first and foremost, a man who spoke persuasively about God's plan for his people. And when more modern movements sprang up among African Americans, for example, Black Lives Matter, he was not too much impressed with those. He felt they were carrying on the same story of protest, but in too negative a way. There was too much hate in it. Many people did think that he was mostly acting to enhance himself, that he was a bit of an egoist, but he never stopped campaigning. He couldn't get out of his head that image he had seen on April 4, 1968, when Martin Luther King was shot on the balcony.

20:22Ann Wroe: When he talked about it later, he sometimes had to pause. He was struggling for breath. From that moment, he had really never stopped campaigning. but still that resurrection he had wanted to see had not come to pass. The comfort he had, however, was that he felt God had not finished with him yet.

20:48Gregg Carlstrom: Anne Rowe on Jesse Jackson, who's died aged 84.

21:29Gregg Carlstrom: Transcription by CastingWords This week, we take a deeply reported look at an extraordinary revolution in Nepal. Last year, the government banned social media sites, and the country's young people, already fed up with their dim prospects, weren't having it. Their protests ultimately led to the fall of the government, so those young people elected another one on a social media site.