In short
Mohnish Pabrai discusses Berkshire Hathaway’s transition from Warren Buffett to Greg Abel, CEO/shareholder alignment (including Abel’s ~$25M compensation), why investors sell winners too early, and how to think about long time horizons (S&P 500 vs Berkshire vs international indexes). He also covers concentration risk management, Turkey/“micro beats macro,” and lessons from his Frontline investment that later rose ~200x.
Guest backgrounds
Mohnish Pabrai is an investor and founder of Pabrai Funds and the Pabrai Wagons ETF. Host is Stig Brodersen (The Investor’s Podcast). Other voices include Preston Pysh (mentioned) and references to Berkshire figures Greg Abel and Ajit Jain.
Key claims
Abel is “underpaid” relative to value created; Berkshire’s operating model is a “middle ground” between Buffett’s delegation and Abel’s team-based oversight. The biggest investor mistake is exiting great businesses when fairly/only moderately priced. Over very long periods, hold a diversified set of a few broad indexes (e.g., S&P 500, Berkshire, and international). Concentrated portfolios can be sized safely relative to net worth.
Notable examples
Frontline (bought, doubled, sold early; later ~200x); Ipsco (cash-rich, sold after price moved); Console Energy/Alpha/Warrior (coal bets discussed); Berkshire vs S&P “4% rule” and winner-run patience; Turkey investments (manager quality over macro).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOBerkshire Hathaway's Leadership Transition
0:45 to 3:56
Discussion on Greg Abel's leadership style compared to Warren Buffett's.
“We focus on understanding businesses and intrinsic value, investing accordingly, and sharing everything we learn with you.”
The Impact of Executive Pay on Shareholders
3:56 to 6:41
Exploration of CEO compensation structures and their implications for shareholders.
“It can be an advantage to leave these managers alone, but it also has a lot of disadvantages.”
Investing Philosophy: Concentration vs. Diversification
6:41 to 9:36
Insights into investment strategies, the importance of patience, and the pitfalls of selling winners too early.
“Preston Pysh, MD, It's interesting, Manish, that you had mentioned that best in buying the study.”
Long-Term Investment Strategies
9:36 to 12:29
Discussion on how to approach investments for future generations and the role of indices.
“He was telling people that you think Jamie's overpaid at$30 million.”
Delegation and Management Styles
12:29 to 14:01
Mohnish Pabrai shares thoughts on managing his team and the challenges of delegation.
“and then the S &P 500 has this built-in mechanism where it recycles out the bad companies and includes some good companies.”
Delegating Responsibilities and Personal Preferences
14:01 to 17:06
Explore the importance of delegation in leadership and personal preferences in management.
“And then the irony of life is that you build your own company, you build your team, and then all of a sudden you get this entangled in the same admin stuff that you're trying to escape.”
The Motivation Behind Pabrai Wagons ETF
17:07 to 18:54
Learn about Mohnish Pabrai's motivations for creating the Pabrai Wagons ETF and its impact.
“So if we continue in this framework of choosing, let's call the simplicity over complexity, could you talk to us about why you set up the Pabrai Wagons ETF and how that adds to your daily happiness?”
Criticism and the Inner Scorecard
18:55 to 21:19
Understand Mohnish Pabrai's approach to criticism and the importance of an inner scorecard.
“feedback just not get to you whenever people are unhappy about whatever people are unhappy about?”
Navigating Complex Problems in Investing
25:35 to 28:05
Discuss the challenges of solving complex problems in investing and the significance of decision-making.
“One of the things I've been thinking a lot about with this whole Buffett and Manga framework is this idea of it's really difficult to solve hard problems.”
Long Tail Risk in Investing through Poker Analogy
28:05 to 29:01
Learn how poker strategies can relate to understanding investment risks.
“invested in, there is no real advantage the leader of Turkey is going to get by trying to go in and mess with those companies.”
Show all 26 chapters
Concentration in Investment Portfolios
29:01 to 30:58
Discover the importance of concentration versus diversification in investments.
“And then there was this Dol Bronson, this old poker legend, he said, well, whenever you played in Texas back in the day, even if you had the nuts, someone would pull out a gun, and then he would just take your money.”
The Risks of Diversification Mindset
30:58 to 32:46
Explore why many investors fear concentration despite the benefits seen in successful investors.
“You don't need to listen to the helpers.”
Learning from Great Fund Managers
32:46 to 34:32
Understand how successful fund managers handle stock positions and the implications.
“worth or whatever in copyright funds, and then you are diversified.”
Resilience Comparison: Constellation vs. Walmart
34:32 to 36:26
Analyze the resilience of Constellation software compared to Walmart's business model.
“and the guy is compounding and he's doing his thing, and Mark Leonard, he now has cancer, he stepped away, he's the chairman, did not take a base salary.”
Lessons from the Frontline Investment
36:26 to 37:51
Reflect on investment experiences and the lessons learned from earlier investments.
“talk about one of your older investments.”
Meeting Michael Burry: Insights from the Epicenter of CDSs
37:51 to 39:27
Gain insights into the financial crisis through a meeting with investor Michael Burry.
“And then I saw it go up, you know, 200x after that or more, right?”
A Humorous Reflection on Investment Decisions
39:27 to 42:00
Hear a humorous take on past investment choices and the lessons they impart.
“sermon, everything will be obvious to him.”
Investing Insights from Ipsco to Consol Energy
42:00 to 45:51
Learn about Mohnish Pabrai's investment strategies and experiences with Ipsco and Consol Energy.
“You know, I knew the frontline trip was not to, hey, I'm going to make you some money.”
The Last Meeting with Charlie Munger
45:51 to 49:50
Mohnish shares poignant memories of his final interactions with Charlie Munger and their investment discussions.
“So I look at Consul Energy and the guy's right.”
Lessons on Investment Decisions
53:12 to 56:00
Mohnish discusses lessons learned from past investments and the importance of holding onto great companies.
“I'm going to make an ambitious bridge here, Manis, because people think that they're getting an investing show whenever they listen to you, but you also give good marriage advice.”
The Importance of Concentration in Investing
56:00 to 59:00
Learn how a small allocation in a strong business can outperform a diversified portfolio.
“It was 2 % allocation to Walmart out of 50 stocks.”
Darwinian Principles in Investing
59:00 to 1:01:00
Explore how Darwin's theories on survival can be applied to investing and capital growth.
“And I think I'm probably the only one of your investors in Powered Funds who wants you to be more concentrated, because I have this bias where I feel the highest conviction ideas, and that's what you're doing personally.”
Lessons from Guy on Life and Investing
1:01:00 to 1:04:50
Hear personal stories that highlight key lessons learned from friendship and investing.
“And you're typically in trouble whenever you're listening to someone who's talking about first principles, because they seem to go in all kinds of directions whenever you do.”
Memorable Experiences and Connections
1:04:50 to 1:10:05
Discover the meaningful connections formed through shared experiences and travel.
“thing that you learned from Guy, both whenever it comes to investing, but also about living a good life?”
A Travel Experience Worth Sharing
1:10:05 to 1:10:56
Listeners will hear about a unique travel experience that highlights personal joy and connection.
“Like there was tea coming every 45 minutes.”
Reflections on Relationships and Influence
1:10:56 to 1:11:26
The conversation explores the impactful relationships and mutual admiration between the host and guest.
“And I felt many times when I'm doing something, he'll make some comment and I'll say, what?”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00You're listening to TIP. On today's episode, I'm joined by Mohnish Pabrai for our annual conversation published over the Berkshire Hathaway weekend. We talk about what birdshare might look like under Greg Abel and why$25 million in annual compensation is a bargain for shareholders. Later in the episode, we discuss the biggest mistake investors make, selling the winners too early. Mohnish has a story about his frontline investment he sold that later ran up 200x and what that taught him about patience and compounding. We also touched on concentration, the S &P 500 versus Berkshire over the next decade and the next century.
0:35And then we end with my favorite part of the conversation. Manish tells us this beautiful story about his friendship with Guy Spear.
0:58Stig Brodersen:opportunities. We focus on understanding businesses and intrinsic value, investing accordingly, and sharing everything we learn with you. This show is not investment advice. It's intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed by hosts and guests are solely their own, and they may have investments in the securities discussed. Now for your host, Stig Brodersen.
1:29Stig Brodersen You're listening to The Investor's Podcast. I'm your host, Stig Brodersen. And today I'm here with no other than Manis Parai. Manis, welcome to our annual banter here that will be published over the Berkshire weekend.
1:45Stig Brodersen:Manis Parai Stig Brodersen I always look forward to this. It's like the pregame tailgate party. So always a pleasure to be here with you. Stig Brodersen Wonderful. Trey Lockerbie, MPH & So, Manu, since this is the Berkshire weekend, I wanted to ask you a few questions about the company. Now, Greg Abel has arguably been running the operating businesses since 2018, whenever he became the vice chairman of non-insurance operations. And I think it's safe to say that Greg is more hands-on, whereas Buffett was inclined to, I think he said, delegate almost to the part of abdication. So which CEO approach would you prefer if you were a Berkshire shareholder?
2:25Stig Brodersen:Well, Charlie Munger said that Greg is better than Warren in some important ways. And he never went further to describe what those... But I thought about what he might have meant. And so Greg is in Des Moines, Iowa, and he has a team, maybe more now, but he has a team of about 30 people who are between him and the businesses. So he has put in a lot of very smart people to help him basically look at these companies. And for Warren, it was easier because he bought these businesses one at a time, right? And he got to know them one at a time. So like, for example, when he bought Seas Candy, there were very few operating subsidiaries.
3:23Stig Brodersen:And Warren spent an inordinate amount of time on Seas, an inordinate amount of time on Coke, and on Buffalo News, and so on. Now, Greg doesn't have that luxury because when he comes in, there's like 80-plus businesses plus Mormon Group has hundreds of businesses inside that. So he's never going to be able to know the businesses as well as Warren does. And the second thing is Warren's persona was not to get involved. And so the Berkshire companies for decades have been undermanaged. It can be an advantage to leave these managers alone, but it also has a lot of disadvantages. So I think Greg got a nice middle ground in the sense that he's not overbearing in your face, but at the same time, if he clearly sees that a manager is not delivering, not the right person, etc., he is going to act on that.
4:23Stig Brodersen:I think we are going to be seeing of kind of tighter operations, most of the acquisitions Warren did, did not work well for Berkshire. Okay. Let that sink in stick.
4:42Stig Brodersen:Because, you know, we're talking about God here. Okay. So, I mean, I would have some conversations with Charlie and I would tell him, you know, Charlie, I hate retail. You know, I wrote a chapter in my first book about how much I hate retail. He says to me, well, all the subsequent furniture companies we bought after Nebraska Furniture Mart and all the subsequent jewelers we bought after Borsheims are so useless. I'm with you, Monish. I think if Charlie had his way, Berkshire would have had a much smaller retail footprint than they ended up with. Warren himself has said, I think it was a 22 or 23 letter, where he said that 12 ideas over 58 years or something have led to the creation of Bookshow.
5:35Stig Brodersen:Warren has made more than, I would guess, somewhere between 300 to 400 investments or buying companies in those almost six decades. It's a 3 % or 4 % hit rate. That's the beautiful thing about this business. Now, the interesting thing about 4 % is that if we go back for the last 90 years, in the US stock market, about 4 % of the businesses have delivered all the returns in the market. The other 96 % have barely matched bonds or inflation. They haven't done much. So the funny thing is what's happened in the bigger market and what's happened inside Berkshire have been very similar in terms of the percentages.
6:27Stig Brodersen:Of course, in the case of Berkshire, the home runs have been so big that they've trounced the markets. But it's humbling for all of us as investors to know that most of the time when we act, the odds are stacked against us. Preston Pysh, MD, It's interesting, Manish, that you had mentioned that best in buying the study. We had him on the show and talked to him about it. And then he made this comment, and I hope he'll forgive me for saying this, because I actually think it came across in a really nice way. But he said something, and I'm going to put the quote, and he said something along the lines of, I've been speaking with a lot of stock investors, and they want to make money out of my study.
7:02And I'm not really sure what to do about that. And I was like, have you met stock investors? Yeah, of course. They're looking at your research and like, how do I make money up? And he was just more like, that's such an interesting finding. Let me see if I can get funding for another research project. And I was like, yes, welcome to the world of finance. You know, another question here, you were very kind here going into, before we hit record, you're like, you have a tough job. You have to come up with questions no one has asked before. Trey Lockerbie, Ph.D.: But the good thing here is that now with the transition to Greg, that part is going to be new because we haven't had this transition before with Berkshire.
7:41But I can't help but ask you about the$25 million annual compensation now. Trey Lockerbie, Ph.D.: And I think together with a lot of other Berkshire shareholders, I was curious about what Buffett would come up with as this is how a CEO should be compensated. And so it's all base. And then I don't know if Buffett has nudged Abel or probably not, but he takes his entire compensation after tax and then buy Berkshire in the open market. If you were on the board, if you were God, how would you incentivize Greg Abel to align him most with shareholders?
8:14Stig Brodersen:Robert Leonard Well, for the last several years, both Greg and Ajit have been vice-chairmen, and they've both every year gotten exactly the same amount of compensation down to the last dollar. And I think the reason Warren and Charlie did that is to avoid envy and avoid anything. I mean, even though these two guys are very high quality individuals, they didn't want to go anywhere near the envy kicking in or whatever else. And so Greg has been paid 20-odd million for several years. And Warren has said about Ajit that many times when he's paid him, he felt he left out a zero.
9:00Stig Brodersen:Ajit is responsible single-handedly for creating more than$100 billion, maybe$150 billion in value for Berkshire shareholders. So we can never compensate him enough. I mean, in the sense that if Berkshire paid him something like$30 billion or something, then it might be appropriate. But they haven't paid anywhere near that. And I think one time there was some hue and cry about Jamie Dimon's compensation. And I think Jamie was making like$25 or$30 million. And Warren said, anytime Jamie wants to come to Berkshire, I'm happy to double it. Okay. He was telling people that you think Jamie's overpaid at$30 million.
9:42Stig Brodersen:Well, I'm willing to give him$60 million base salary tomorrow without even defining what he'd be doing for us. Okay. So Greg is seriously underpaid. Ajit is seriously underpaid. Also, you have to understand, Greg had a significant stake in Berkshire Hathaway Energy. And that got sold to Berkshire. So Greg's net worth, I think, is somewhere between$700 million and a billion, somewhere in that range. So between us girls, not much of his net worth is in Berkshire. If I look at Ajit, for example, Ajit has been taking his salary after expenses, whatever else, and just buying Berkshire stock, and he's been doing it for decades.
10:31Stig Brodersen:So I would say that I don't know what Ajit's net worth is, but I would guess that maybe 80 % or more of his investment, maybe even 90 % of more of his investments would be in Berkshire Hathaway. So Greg is plenty diversified. I think he came up with putting the money into Berkshire stock on his own because I think he felt it's appropriate thing to do. He's not at Berkshire for a paycheck. Greg is very smart. He doesn't need to work another day in his life. And any number of people will pay him multiples of that to work for them. Yeah. I like that you say that, Amanesh. And it's important for a number like that not to stand alone.
11:13It's very difficult to be like, it's 25 million a lot. And if you do compare it to what other Fortune 10 CEOs are making, well, we can go on the rabbit hole in terms of what the shareholder -
11:24Stig Brodersen:Well, I'm just saying, look at Sundar's compensation. Look at Satya's compensation. I mean, look at those hired guns in those companies. And Sundar is like more than 500 million, I think, and might be underpaid. So Manish, I've been watching your videos for a very long time, as you know, and starting your work for a long time. And you used to say to people, unless they wanted to invest and do the hard work themselves, that they could buy the S &P 500 or an index, whatever. And I've heard you recently talk more about not to give people a hot stock tip, but you talk more about perhaps with the valuation of the S &P 500, look at Berkshire, for example.
12:07Again, not as a hot stock tip, but more as in, hey, it's super diversified, it's well-managed, it's a reasonable valuation, so on and so forth. But I wanted to tweak a bit of a question here because let's say over the next 10 years, I think most people in the value investing community would be like, yeah, sure, Berkshire or the S &P 500. What if we said over the next 50 or 100 years, meaning the fingerprints of Buffett and Munger would slowly fade away, of Greg Abel for that matter, and then the S &P 500 has this built-in mechanism where it recycles out the bad companies and includes some good companies.
12:40So if I put you on the spot today, I know it's purely theoretical, for grandkids, they had to hold it for 50 or 100 years. Should they be holding S &P 500 or Berkshire?
12:50Stig Brodersen:I think when you go to such a long period, I would switch from a single holding to maybe around four. So I would say you could do the S &P one-fourth, you could do Berkshire one-fourth, and I would like to get some good broad international index, which has more exposure to Asia and China and others like that. So I would just make it more like four, right between four indices like that, and Berkshire being one of them. Okay. That makes sense. Manish, we previously here on the show talked about how you like to play single player games. And one example is that you didn't want to run TransTech because you felt you were herding cats.
13:41And I was speaking with your team here before our interview, and they asked me to include a disclaimer about me being an investor in Power right funds, which is perfectly fine. I'll be happy to include all the disclaimers I need to. But one of the reasons why I started my own company was because I didn't want to deal with all the politics and bureaucracy of being in the corporate world. And then the irony of life is that you build your own company, you build your team, and then all of a sudden you get this entangled in the same admin stuff that you're trying to escape. And I can't figure out if it's similar to being a retailer, and then you have to accept that there's just a small amount of string kits.
14:18is just the cost of doing business. But then I was thinking, ask Manish, because he already thought about this. How much of your life can you structure around not having any admin stuff? And how much can you truly delegate to a team?
14:32Stig Brodersen:Yeah. So I try to keep it front and center that Manish is not going to do well if he's lost in a team. And so thankfully, I have a few very gifted people in the company. I have delegated to the point of abdication to them. Just to tell you how much I just don't care for this stuff is we use a software package to do our reviews for our people. It does a 360 review, so it sends information to peers, superiors, subordinates, everything. And then, you know, all of that gets pulled together and then we can, you know, it gives us a kind of combined report of what the person thinks and what all these people above or below him think as well.
15:26Stig Brodersen:Right. And they send it to me as well to fill out for at least the people who are directly reporting to me. And I've never filled it out. because that's just not Monish. So, whenever I go there, I tell them, I'm sorry, I just can't go here. And here's my three sentences about what's going on with this person. Warm regards. Okay. And that's it. So, I try not to get involved in things that I don't like. right? And I mean, I'm probably not being fair to those individuals because they would probably appreciate more granularity with me about what is going on, but it's just not me, you know? And so, I really don't want to spend my time on reviews.
16:22Stig Brodersen:I mean, I hate reviews. I don't like to think about, you know, compensation changes and I have no problem with the change. I just don't want to spend brain cells on. And so thankfully, I've been able to keep our team without going deep into that area, which I would just not like to do. You live a good life, my friend. I think in your case, like I said, because you have more things than when you started, I think you can set things up in a way that can work better for you. So you have to think about what does Stig love to do, what does Stig not love to do, and who else can do what Stig doesn't love to do, and then just go with that.
17:06Well said. So if we continue in this framework of choosing, let's call the simplicity over complexity, could you talk to us about why you set up the Pabrai Wagons ETF and how that adds to your daily happiness? Yeah.
17:20Stig Brodersen:So our minimums in Pabrai funds are very high. Funds are over a billion dollars. It's multiple millions. It's just a very small sliver of folks that it would appeal to, and it's very concentrated and so on. I always felt like we had so many people interested in wanting to invest, et cetera, and really had no way to serve them. And I don't like to be elitist about it. So I really like the ETF because it allows us to work with Joe Public and also work with Joe Public around the world, which is great. So that was one of the big motivations. Man, you're such a good person. I spoke with a friend here the other day.
18:11He's executive of a public company. And every time there was something going on, there's always someone with five shares screaming at him about how unhappy they are. And after I sort of like have gone through the motions with him, I was like, that's why you work in private companies. That's why you don't want that exposure. And so that was why I don't think that reflects well on me. I think it reflects really well on you that you're saying you could sort of like have this gated wall garden, but you don't want to just deal with that. You also want to open up to the public. And perhaps it's because you have a thicker skin than me, but I would imagine you get a lot more feedback just by numbers because now you open up to a lot more people.
18:52Or does that not faze you? Or does that feedback just not get to you whenever people are unhappy about whatever people are unhappy about?
19:01Stig Brodersen:Well, one of the mental models that is very front and center for me is that I run into people who criticize Gandhi, who criticize Buffett, who criticize all kinds of people who are, from my perspective, great or phenomenal. So if they can criticize Gandhi, then who am I? Like Buffett says, we can choose to live our life with the inner scorecard or an outer scorecard. And it's really important to live by an inner scorecard. So you are not going to silence the critics. And the critics will say all kinds of things and they may be fair or unfair or whatever. But I love Teddy Roosevelt's quote about the man in the arena, which it is not the critic who counts.
19:51Stig Brodersen:And I have that quote right here on my wall. I'm just going to read you a couple of parts of it, right? A subcredit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs, who comes up short again and again. That's very important. Who comes up short again and again. He's human. He's not perfect. He's not always able to prevail because there is no effort without error or shortcoming, but who does actually strive to do the deeds, who knows great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself in a worthy cause, who at the best knows in the end the triumphs of high achievement and who at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly so that his place shall never be those cold and timid souls who neither know victory nor defeat.
20:53Okay. So I just think that to me, it's all about the man in the arena, you know, and the man in
21:01Stig Brodersen:the arena is not perfect. He comes up short. He's bloodied and scarred and whatever, but he keeps persevering, ignores the critics. I think that's our job is we don't need to be in a walled garden. We can be in the open. I mean, Munger and Buffett have been in an open field with all kinds of people saying all kinds of things about him. People criticize Warren all the time. I think, Yeah, the outer scorecard, inner scorecard, those are great models to have. Let's take a quick break and hear from today's sponsors. All right. I want you guys to imagine spending three days in Oslo at the height of the summer.
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25:35You know, I love that you say that. One of the things I've been thinking a lot about with this whole Buffett and Manga framework is this idea of it's really difficult to solve hard problems. So one of the best ways is just to complete it to avoid them. But then at the same time, they're all also things you want to take on. You know, it's sort of like you always want to make sure that you keep your promises. And you know, one way to do that is not to make any promises, but it's also a poor life if you don't make promises to people that you really care for. But then you also have the struggle, but the struggle is where the meat is.
26:09That's still the good part. It's wonderful. If I can go back to, this sounds very operational after. This is a wonderful quote that you just listed up and here I am. But I know you invest in a lot of emerging countries. This is one of the many wonderful reasons why I like to invest with you. But do you ever have any issues withdrawing money from those countries?
26:29Stig Brodersen:Well, our investments really very heavily are in one country outside the US, which is Turkey. I was drawn to Turkey because it was screening cheap, but we didn't invest in these businesses because we wanted Turkish exposure. We invested in these businesses because they were exceptional businesses available at cigar butt prices. And I think one thing to keep in mind is that for most businesses, almost all businesses, the micro is going to trump the macro. So how well we do with our Turkish businesses is probably 95 % dependent on what the managers of those businesses do and what is the nature of the markets they are serving.
27:20Stig Brodersen:It's really things inside and around the business. Very little has to do with the macro. So anytime I bring up some Turkish business to someone, they'll say, what about Erdogan? Right? And quite frankly, that the focus on going after the leadership of a company, a country, as being your number one factor you're concerned about is very myopic. I mean, the important thing is, what is the quality of these managers? What is the quality of the business? What is the size of the market? How well are they executing? I think those are much more important questions because usually, I mean, the companies we've invested in, there is no real advantage the leader of Turkey is going to get by trying to go in and mess with those companies.
28:15Stig Brodersen:It's just, he's got other fish to fry. So it's always important to focus around and inside the business. Preston Pysh, MD Okay. That makes sense. You know, I'm always trying to figure out some of that long tail risk. And one story that stuck with me, I used to play a lot of poker back in the day. And there was one story that always sits with me, and I think it's applicable to investing. And so for a guy who's been banned in Vegas, I thought you would appreciate this story. but so it's about in poker. So in poker, you can have the so-called nuts, so that's the best hand. And so you can say that in life, nothing is zero or 100%, but then you can be like, hey, but in poker, if you have the nuts, you have the best hand.
29:01So what is your risk? And then there was this Dol Bronson, this old poker legend, he said, well, whenever you played in Texas back in the day, even if you had the nuts, someone would pull out a gun, and then he would just take your money. So even 100 % is not 100%, just so you know. So the reason why I mentioned that, that was sort of like where I came from. I was thinking, I understand the thesis or like to think so in Turkey.
29:26Stig Brodersen:And I was like, is there like a long - I told my investors, and you've probably read this, but I said, look, if you are invested in any of the Pabrai funds, and they're very concentrated, in some cases, one stock is more than half the fund. And I said that, if you have less than 20 % of your net worth with me, you have nothing to be concerned about. Okay. And if you have more than 20 % of your net worth with me, you can trim the position. In fact, I recommend you trim it. Right? So if someone has one-fifth of their assets with Pabrai funds, and when you look through those one-fifth, probably no more than 10%, 12 % of their net worth is in one particular company, that's plenty of diversification.
30:12Stig Brodersen:I mean, let's put it this way. Walmart went public in, I think, 1970 or 72. I think maybe 72 they went public. So it's been, what, 28 and 26, so like, you know, 54 years since they've been public. The heirs of Sam Walton own more than what they owned in terms of the percentage of Walmart that they own today versus when it IPO, because Walmart has bought back shares, 46 % of the company is owned by family members, 56 years after the IPO. And they are not diversified. Pabrai funds is diversified. Okay. The Walton family is not diversified, but the Walton family would be far worse off if they had listened to the helpers.
31:06Stig Brodersen:You don't need to listen to the helpers. The helpers are just helping themselves. The reality is that most entrepreneurs and most people who have become billionaires have, through that journey, had 90%, 95%, 99 % of their net worth in a single stock. They don't lose sleep over it. We somehow accept that some couple running a Chinese restaurant has 90 % of everything in the restaurant. They're just busy working. It's not even liquid. They don't lose sleep over it. And here we have a portfolio that we can buy and sell every day, and we want to own one of everything. I mean, that just makes no sense.
31:56No, I think it's a good point. And there was this expression, the cup is already full, which basically means that people already have an idea of how the world is. And so actually, I was having a conversation with Guy about this some time ago, and we talked about you and your portfolio. And he talked about how concentrated you were, not in a bad way, but he just does it a different way, as I'm sure you know. And my rebuttal to that was because Guy's thinking someone would put all his wealth into, let's say, copyright funds, which is probably, if you are not an investor, you probably want money to be fully invested in copyright funds.
32:39If you're an investor in Berkshire Hathaway, you want Buffett to be fully invested in Berkshire Hathaway, but you can size accordingly. If you feel it's too much, put 10 % in or 3 % of your net worth or whatever in copyright funds, and then you are diversified. And I think a lot of people are missing that whenever they're looking, oh, look at the concentration here. Yes, but what is your true exposure of that? And it probably comes from this feeling of control where we feel like if things are going well, we feel like it's okay. Oh, Minus is just doing his thing. But if we get something back and it's, oh, that doesn't look as...
33:14It's different if you run your own restaurant, you can just feel, I can just do this differently, but I can't control what's going on in Turkey or whatever.
33:22Stig Brodersen:So... I was reading one of the investment letters of an investment manager who shall go nameless. They were very early to invest in Constellation software. Mark Leonard, too. Unbelievably great manager, built a great business, et cetera. Constellation has compounded at 30 plus percent, 35 percent since they went public, whatever. These guys were invested early, et cetera. up. Anytime the consultation position got to 10 % or more in this fund, they trim it. In my opinion, a great fund manager should, after 20 or 30 years, end up with 95 % in one stock. Because what Warren has told us with the 4 % rule, that's like a law of physics, is it is very difficult to find companies like Constellation.
34:20Stig Brodersen:Constellation is a very rare company, just like the company I have in Turkey, Races, is a very rare company. And so when you find yourself in the happy position of owning it, owning a small portion of it, and the guy is compounding and he's doing his thing, and Mark Leonard, he now has cancer, he stepped away, he's the chairman, did not take a base salary. No bonus, no base salary. And he flew commercial. Then he said that, I'm too old for commercial. I need to fly business. So what he told the company is, I'm going to be flying business, but I'm going to be paying personally. So the company used to pay for his coach travel.
35:04Stig Brodersen:Now the company pays nothing and he travels business. I mean, look at the ethics of the manager. Okay. And the other thing is, so when I look at a business like Constellation, I actually see a business like Constellation as far less risky than a business like Walmart. I think Constellation is a more resilient business than Walmart because it is 1 ,000 businesses in one. I mean, Walmart is also many businesses than one, but not 1 ,000. By the time you get to the sixth or seventh business of Walmart, the rest may be very small. Walmart is an exceptional company as well. But just if you look at resilience, I would bet, for me, Constellation is more resilient.
35:57Stig Brodersen:When we are investors, investment managers running a portfolio, and these people who have invested in Constellation, they're listening to every conference call, and reading every annual letter, they know that company cold, and they know how good that company is. And to me, it is desecration of the temple. When you sit there and say, it's not going to go over 10%, the temple just got desecrated. Manish, I want to take the opportunity to talk about one of your older investments. It's actually, it's the frontline investment back from the fall of 2002. And you might be thinking, that's such a ridiculous question.
36:39Is that really because Steg really wants to co-op with brand new questions? Is that why we're talking about something that happened 24 years ago? No, that's actually not why. I think, to be fair, one of the reasons is that I think that there's some similarity to the whole Metcol thesis. But anyways, one of the things that asset managers love to talk about is their eras whenever they, if I put you on here a bit on the spot money is where they say, oh, I sold out too early. I only made 55 % on frontline. I could have made 100x on that. And so sometimes SMN just like to talk about their emissions.
37:14Preston Pyshysh But I think I wanted to talk about it, and I'm a bit sneaky about it, so please forgive me for this. Preston Pyshysh But beyond the lesson of exiting too early with a wonderful business case here, what key insights or principles did you take away from the frontline investment that have influenced how you approach similar opportunities today?
37:33Stig Brodersen:So as you know, with the frontline story, and just to give your listener the cliff notes version of it is that I bought a stock with basically no downside. Very quickly, I doubled my money and patted myself on the back and exited. And then I saw it go up, you know, 200x after that or more, right? Now, in the fall of 2008, you know, God loves Monish a lot. And the proof of that is that in the fall of 2008, I was going to make a trip to San Jose, California. And I was saying, oh, you know, I'm in San Jose, have some time, who can I meet? And I see that Michael Burry lives in San Jose, California.
38:19Stig Brodersen:and I don't know Michael Burry very well, but I sent him an email and I said, Michael, you know, this is Monish. You may or may not know me, but I would love to meet you in your office if you have some time. And he says, come on over. Okay. And so it's like September 2008 or something. So I go to Michael Burry's office, which you saw in the big short, you know, the short his office, his office looks like that, all these papers all over and all that. And as soon as I go into his office, he launches into CDSs. Okay. And he's going, picking up all these things. Like literally, he didn't even say, hi, Monish, welcome, whatever.
38:54Stig Brodersen:He just goes straight into CDS. And God, who loves me so much, brought me to the epicenter of CDSs. Okay. There's no human on the planet who could have explained CDSs to me and the whole, you know, housing market implosion, et cetera, which is going to happen in the future better than Michael Burry. And it's going so far above my head so far. And so poor God, he thought Monish is a capable guy. And he said, if I just send him to Mecca and show him the sermon, everything will be obvious to him. Of course, God did not understand how dumb I am. Okay. Now, so, you know, this whole frontline thing happened and, you know, I got a double and I went up 200x.
39:47Stig Brodersen:Last year, I happened to have a trip to Norway. I'd never been to Norway in my life. I'm at this conference for offshore drillers, whatever, in Norway. That's where I went. They say that we have a field trip, which is not on the schedule. If you guys want to go on the field trip. The field trip is to the headquarters of Frontline.
40:15Stig Brodersen:So I said, you know, God has a sense of humor. Okay. I said, I'm going to go on this field trip because I know that's why he brought me to Norway, not for the offshore drillers. He wants to rub my nose in. He wants to rub my nose It wasn't my mistake. So I go to the headquarters of Frontline and we go into, and you know, it was an out-of-body experience. So when I go into the headquarters of Frontline, it's very high-end Persian rugs. It's very ornate, extremely ornate, old school, mahogany interiors and all that, but they have a lot of art all over the place. And they have a lot of ships, replicas of ships.
41:03Stig Brodersen:Those replicas of ships, they're like four feet, five feet. There's a VLCC. These are the very large crude carriers, which went up 200x. I'm walking around and seeing that I owned 2 % of all of this.
41:24Stig Brodersen:Fredrickson did all of that. Then I go, There's a door that opens and it's right on the harbor. I mean, it's the most beautiful building right on the harbor, all these boats and everything. Such a nice office. I said, God wanted you to see this Monash. He didn't want you to die just knowing that it was a 200x, whatever. All those VLCC, everything got paid by a tiny rounding error of the returns on that investment. And so I like the way God has a sense of humor with me. You know, I knew the frontline trip was not to, hey, I'm going to make you some money. It was like, hey, I took you to the altar.
42:10Stig Brodersen:You decided not to get married. And I want to show you what could have been if you had gotten married. I love it. So you wanted to know, I'm sorry, the similarity between frontline and what? What were you saying? the Metcol thesis. Yeah. So actually the Metcol thesis is more similar to a company called Ipsco than it is to Frontline. And you may recall that Ipsco was a Canadian steelmaker. And this was a beautiful math game. It's like playing blackjack in Vegas. Okay. What a blessed life. I wake up one morning, I look at Ipsco. Ipsco is a Canadian company with a$40 stock price. They have$15 a share in cash on their balance sheet, no debt.
43:03Stig Brodersen:They have publicly announced that for the next two years, they're going to produce $15 a share of cash flow each of the next two years. If you just hold the stock for two years, you have$45 in cash. Stock is currently at$40. Plant, equipment, inventory, everything free. Okay. What's not to like about that? Then, of course, the issue was that in year three, it's a cyclical business. They make tubular steel. Cash flows could be negative. They could go below zero. But I said, why entertain such morose thoughts? okay, let's just hold the stock for two years and see what happens. I want to see Mr. Market price this thing at$40 when there's$45 of cash on the balance sheet.
43:52Stig Brodersen:So I put 10 % of the funds in Ibsco. One year goes by and the company announces the third year is also going to be $15 a share. Now we are at$60 on the balance sheet. The stock price by now has moved to about $90, which is a little bit more reasonable than the stupid$40 we're sitting at. Now, when it's sitting at$90, I'm thinking, Monash, we have long-term gains. We have a double. well done, and we need to be out of here. While I'm going through these thoughts, I wake up one day and I see the stock is at$1.55 a share. It jumped from$90 to$1.55 because some Swedish company came in and offered$1.60 a share.
44:44Stig Brodersen:Now, Mark Twain says that truth is stranger than fiction because fiction has to make sense. Why that Swedish company didn't make an offer of$50 when it was$40 a share is something I will never understand. But they did offer the $160. One femtosecond after I read that, I exited my position. I've always had great nostalgia about Ipsco. Then on Twitter, where about 260 ,000 of my close friends hang out, one of my close friends on Twitter post, hey, Monish, this console energy position by David Einhorn looks like your Ipsco bet. I read that and say, oh, God, he still loves me so much. Because now through Twitter and through X, he gives me what he's thinking.
45:45Stig Brodersen:So anytime someone says something like Ipsco, I'm going to look at it. Such a beautiful experience. No downside. So I look at Consul Energy and the guy's right. It looks very similar to Ipsco. They are forward selling. They've got visibility in the future. It's not as clean as Ipsco. Ipsco was just with a bow on it. It was just picture perfect. You couldn't do. This was not as clean as that, but it was very favorable risk reward because of what the stock price was, what the cash flows were coming in and so on. And so I said, hallelujah, Ipsos is back. And we don't need to think much. We already have that framework in the head.
46:31Stig Brodersen:So I went in and bought console and I started studying the coal business. Then I find that on the MetCole side, Consul was Thermal Coal, they're a very good company. But on the MetCole side, it's even more favorable. So, I switched the bet from Consul to Alpha and Warrior. Then, one month before Charlie Munger passed away. I had never in all the years I was friends with Charlie Munger ever requested that he meet me. I always met him when he wanted to meet. So he would say, Monish, come for dinner. I'd come. I'd never ask for anything. He's too busy. But that year in 23, for the first time, I was feeling that I need to meet Charlie.
47:26Stig Brodersen:So I reached out to his assistant and said, I'd really like to connect with Charlie. She said, oh, here's some dates and weekends, whatever. What do you want to do? I picked a Saturday and I flew from Austin to meet Charlie. It turned out that exactly four weeks after that, he passed away. We had what was to be our last meal together in October 2023. When I'm talking to Charlie, console energy comes up. Charlie says that he's invested in console. This was in May of 2023. And I told Charlie, we both bought the same stock, a coal company, within two weeks of each other, without ever having spoken to each other about it.
48:16Stig Brodersen:So I said, how strange is that? So he says, Monish, it was bound to happen. I'm glad, glad Charlie felt like that, like bound to happen. Why is he saying that? But then I told Charlie in October. I said, Charlie, I was orgasmic about console. But then I ran into Alpha, Alpha Meteorological Resource. And it was even better than console. So I said, I'm going to send you a write-up on alpha, and I think you should switch. You should switch from console to alpha. So I sent him the write-up. And six days before he passed away, the Tuesday before Thanksgiving, he was still buying alpha stock. What I love about Charlie is he's 99.9 years old and it's irrelevant what his life expectancy is.
49:09Stig Brodersen:He's still excited to make bets. And so he was buying alpha literally till he passed away. And so, I mean, I think these are these are just great bets because no one wants to be in coal. It's a four-lettered word, and people don't want to even spend time thinking about it. And that's all okay with me. No problem. Let's take a quick break and hear from today's sponsors.
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52:55Stig Brodersen:I love that over 10 ,000 companies from startups to big enterprises trust Vanta to handle this stuff so they can focus on what actually moves the needle. Get started today at vanta.com slash tip. All right, back to the show. I'm going to make an ambitious bridge here, Manis, because people think that they're getting an investing show whenever they listen to you, but you also give good marriage advice. And one of the things that you, for example, have told me is that remember that the mistress is not always better than the wife. I just think the one line in itself is just like, Why did I ask? But anyways, it was one of the things you said to me.
53:38So I'm going to send one back to you that you should not go back to your ex-girlfriend unless it's for the right reasons and not for the wrong reasons. And the reason why I came to think of that, and I know it's a bit of a stretch here, but I was looking at frontline, I was looking at the Metcol, and I had this idea of this supply opportunity whenever the demand goes parabolic and the supply can't go online, and then what happens, and so on and so forth. And then it dawned to me, whenever someone like Manish would double his money, but lose out on a 200-bagger, is there something lingering where we all know that we shouldn't be making the money back the way that we lost it, or whatever metaphorical way you want to put that?
54:23But how do you protect your own bias against saying, I should have had a 200-bagger in front line, and now I see the same thing in this thesis or whatever. And so now I want to make that bet because now I learned the framework. And so you're making those bets for the right reasons. How do you protect against yourself and only take the good from your past experiences and not the bad?
54:44Stig Brodersen:Well, I think that's a wonderful question and it's a very important question. So one of the lessons that took me many decades to learn is not to sell a good company or a great company when it's fairly priced or even overpriced. I was always trying to sell things at 90 % of fair value. That was a very bad framework to have because we don't know what actual fair value is for a great business. Only when it gets egregiously overpriced, there's no way you can justify it, is when you can consider exiting the business because of the 4 % rule. What Warren has shown us and what the stock market has shown us is that the true great compounders are few and far between.
55:35Stig Brodersen:They are going to end up in your portfolio. Your job, when it ends up in your portfolio, is not to be trigger happy. The reality of investing is that this is a very forgiving business. So let's say, for example, there's some controversy whether Walmart was part of the Nifty 50 or not in the 1970s. Let's take the case it was part of the Nifty 50. It was 2 % allocation to Walmart out of 50 stocks. And let's say the other 49 stocks went to zero. So we made a$100 ,000 bet in 1970 or whatever, or 1972, and 98 ,000 of that has gone to zero. So all the companies that were there, which some of them were very good companies like McDonald's and Coke and all of that, let's say they all went to zero.
56:27Stig Brodersen:And you only had the 2 % that you invested in Walmart. If you carried that till today, you blew out the S &P. So you blew out the S &P with 98 % error rate, holding on to just one business. Because that one business outperformed the S &P by so much that it outperformed significantly. So there's a very strong asymmetry here where the winners can be truly spectacular winners. So it's not so much that if you hold on to five companies, that it may have been better to sell three of them. You don't need to be optimized. You own all five, and that allows you to own the one or two that just go spectacular.
57:16Stig Brodersen:So, the important thing is that not to get cute. So, for example, if you look at our Wagons Fund, we have the Constellation businesses in there, the Mark Leonard Constellation businesses. They have a good future. I have no crystal ball that tells me what those companies look like 10 or 20 years from now, but I want to let them run. I want to let them run. We have the coal companies. I also don't know what those look like 10, 20 years from now. We want to let those run too. It looks favorable. We want to let them run. We have some Turkish bets in there too, like Reza, et cetera. We want to let them run.
58:00I think that when you put enough of these things
58:03Stig Brodersen:which have great characteristics, the world is a messy place. Things will come from left field. We don't know what happens to these different companies at what point. But it's almost inconceivable that all of them fall apart. That Constellation falls apart, and the cold beds fall apart, and Turkey falls apart, and our offshore drillers fall apart. Everything falls apart. In fact, I just can't see that. I can see that maybe one or two of them might have some issues, but I don't see it across the board. So we don't need to be right to the fourth decimal. We also don't need to know which one of these is going to be the one.
58:48Stig Brodersen:They're all there. Let them all run. Let them go do their thing. We just watch in the sidelines, see what happens. And that's it. So whenever you're saying that, you're mentioning Walmart and saying the 50 stocks, you need to hold on, and it's a 2 % position. And I think I'm probably the only one of your investors in Powered Funds who wants you to be more concentrated, because I have this bias where I feel the highest conviction ideas, and that's what you're doing personally. I only have five stocks, probably because I don't understand a lot of things. And so I have a bias towards concentration.
59:23But then to your point, if you have 50 stocks and then just 2 % allocation, you just hold on for 50 years, and then it beats the S &P 500 if the 49 others go to zero. How do you think about position sizing? Are you thinking differently about the 10 by 10 framework, for example, in copyright funds, and that we talked about in the past, or how should we square the circle?
59:46Stig Brodersen:Well, the ETF laws and rules require plenty of diversification, much more diversification than I would naturally. That's my natural bent. So we are not going to have large positions there, which is fine. In Pabrai funds, we've never wanted to put more than 10 % into anything. That's also fine. Basically, I think at the end of the day, if you've got a spectacular winner, it's going to take care of itself even with a small position size, as long as you don't trim, as long as you don't desecrate the temple, we're all fine. We don't need to go all in with a big conviction, the winners are going to get there.
1:00:30Stig Brodersen:No matter where they start out, they'll get there. So just be relaxed and patient, and they'll be fine. In fact, that's exactly what happens in index investing. We don't get to see what's happening with the sausage factory, how the sausage is made with the index. But effectively, what's happening in the index is that it keeps the winners for a very long time. and those few 4 % or 5 % of companies are driving the whole end result. Preston Pysh, MD, PhD I'm looking at all these mental models and trying to figure out how to go back to first principles. And you're typically in trouble whenever you're listening to someone who's talking about first principles, because they seem to go in all kinds of directions whenever you do.
1:01:10But I was trying to think about Darwin and what he taught us about survival adaptation. And I wanted to give you that framework, and please feel free to question the premise in the first place, but have you learned anything from Darwin about how to avoid ruin and compound capital in investing?
1:01:29Stig Brodersen:Well, there's a wonderful book written by a great investor called Polak Prasad, called What I Learned from Darwin About Investing. And it's one of the best investment books I ever read. I think it's a wonderful book. And in fact, I learned a lot from Polak. and pullock is a interesting guy he he lives in singapore and he runs a fund it's i think about about five billion or so i don't think they're taking new capital in he's posted his entire portfolio on their home page and basically there's no movement in that portfolio if they buy a company they're married to the company they might do five years of research before they buy a company But once they buy the company, they're pretty much all in forever.
1:02:15Stig Brodersen:It's a very wonderful framework where they think of themselves as owners of these businesses. These are businesses with truly exceptional corporate governance, very well-run businesses. They can be very basic businesses, but they're really well-run. I think Darwin says that the species that survive are not the strongest or the biggest, but he says the ones that are the fittest. It's survival of the fittest. I think that applies to investments big time. So, if we look at a company like, let's say, you look at a company like Microsoft, I mean, the evolution that business has gone through over the last six decades or whatever they've been around is unbelievable.
1:03:13Stig Brodersen:I mean, they've continuously reinvented themselves. And each time they've reinvented, I mean, Microsoft was threatened with extinction so many times. If they had not zigzagged, they would have gone extinct like everyone else did. That's an example of a business that's a very fit business. Even though it was a big business, what was important was the fitness of the business. When we look at business like Walmart, for example. That's also a very fit business because they've been so fanatical about delivering value to their customers and efficiency and taking costs out of the system and all of that, that they've taken out everyone and built their footprint.
1:04:04Stig Brodersen:So yes, we want to have the fittest businesses. One of the definitions of fitness is lack of leverage. So when you look at these businesses, you want to see management teams that have the ability to zigzag. And you have a capital structure that allows you the freedom to zigzag. And so I think, yeah, there's a lot of things that you can learn from Darwin that you can apply in the corporate world, which would be helpful. Preston Pyshko Well, let's jump from Darwin and then to our friend Guy. I think Guy would appreciate that we make that jump, but especially in this tricky situation. But I wanted to round off the episode by asking you, Manish, what's the most important thing that you learned from Guy, both whenever it comes to investing, but also about living a good life?
1:04:56Manish Barsky Yeah.
1:04:57Stig Brodersen:Well, first of all, Well, Guy's situation is very unfortunate, very sad, actually. I was so heartbroken, probably still heartbroken. Guy and I are very different people. I would have never predicted that someone like him would be my best friend. I mean, we are so different in how we think about things. I recently wrote a letter to Guy, an old-fashioned letter. I told him that I've often wondered, why do we have a connection? Why do I feel such a strong connection with you? Why do you feel such a strong connection with you? I told him that I concluded that it was because he sees me. You remember the Avatar movie?
1:05:54Stig Brodersen:I see you. You don't remember, Stig. You have to go back and see the movie again. Okay. You've got too much going on. You watch the movie. So, in the movie, there's a point, and they bring it up several points where they make the comment, I see you. And I see you is very deep. And what I was trying to, what I felt with Guy, I still feel is he gets me in a way almost no one gets me. And I get him in a way almost nobody gets him. So I told him, Guy, I think the reason we have this connection is because you see me and I see you. And I remember that one time, Guy and I were going to take an overnight train in India from Mumbai to Delhi.
1:06:55Stig Brodersen:The train leaves at around 4 p.m. from Mumbai and it gets into Delhi around 10 o 'clock in the morning. It's an overnight train. And it's a beautiful train. is the Rajdhani. It's a very nice train. He and I had a two-person private compartment. I told him, Guy, I want to just tell you something, just when the journey was about to start. I said, You see that there's that button there? That's a bell. I said, When you press that bell, the butler is going to show up, and the butler will do whatever you want. but I said that I want you, the first time you press that bell, to drown the butler in cash.
1:07:43Stig Brodersen:I said, the first time you press the bell, don't ask him for anything. Just hand over. And I said, drowning in cash in India,$25 is enough. Okay. He's almost going to have a cardiac at that point. So I said, just ring the bell. So he rings the bell. The butler shows up. Guy gives him the 25. And I'm going to take a little detour for a second before I can continue the story. another friend of mine who used to be an engineer installing cellular networks in Africa. He used to work for AT &T. So they'd go to different African countries and he was in charge. So he said that one time he went to Ghana, okay?
1:08:32Stig Brodersen:And they always put him up in the best hotel, Accra, right on the ocean, beautiful hotel, right? So he says that the porter carrying my luggage to go to my villa, I gave him a dollar,$1 tip. And the guy looked at the dollar and he said, he gave me a full military salute. And he said, no one has ever given me that type of salute or that type of respect ever in my life. So he said, I gave him another dollar and said, can you please do it again? He said, I was giving away a lot of dollars because of the salute. And he said, It was awesome. So anyway, coming back to Guy. And so the guy shows up, gives him the$25.
1:09:18Stig Brodersen:He's like, he's almost died. It's like almost half his month's salary or something. And he said, yes, sir. What can I do for you? So Guy says, nothing right now, please. This was just, we just wanted to say that we're so happy to have you, etc. And the guy couldn't believe. He couldn't believe that we had called him. Thank you. And I said, now, Guy, feel free to ring that bell as often as you want. Okay. And he's going to drop everyone else and be here. Okay. Now, Guy loves to have tea, right? And I said, don't you want some tea, Guy? He says, yeah. So in that 17-hour journey, Guy must have rung that bell like 30 times.
1:10:04Stig Brodersen:Okay. Like there was tea coming every 45 minutes. And then, you know, he's FaceTiming his wife, Lori. He's in an orgasmic state, okay? He's in an orgasmic state in a third world country with a train, whatever. And he's telling his wife, Lori, that in the compartment, we don't have to go to a dining car. In the compartment, they bring me my tea, they bring me biscuits, they bring me this, bring me that. And then I tell him it's slightly cold, they bring me a new one, this, that, whatever. And then he says, for dinner, white tablecloth, everything in our suite, right? And I think he's continuously FaceTiming his wife, telling her this, that, whatever else is going on.
1:10:42And I told Guy, Guy, I see if you were traveling with anyone else, they would not be able to
1:10:50Stig Brodersen:understand what's really going to get you excited. And so that was just a wonderful experience. And I felt many times when I'm doing something, he'll make some comment and I'll say, what? He's looking straight into me. He knows exactly what I need. It was just so beautiful. Wonderful. I see you. Watch the movie again. You said Avatar, didn't you? Avatar, yeah. Yeah, yeah. Go out and watch Avatar. Let that be the final words for this episode. Manish, thank you. Thank you so much for your service to the value investing community. And how poetic that you say all these wonderful things about Guy. I'm sure he would say the same thing about you.
1:11:36And we published this over the Berkshire weekend. Any concluding remarks here before I let you go?
1:11:43Stig Brodersen:Well, you know, Stig, I always enjoy our conversations. And you always impress me so much because every time I'm thinking, Stig is going to have such a hard time. You know, he's asked me everything already. Poor guy has to watch so many hours of videos and all that. But you outdo yourself each time. It's so much fun. Thank you so much. Oh, thank you so much for saying so. All right. We'll see you soon.
1:12:33Stig Brodersen:guarantee of future results. Listeners should do their own research and consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. Nothing on this show is a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any security or other financial product. Hosts, guests, and the Investor's Podcast Network may hold positions in securities discussed and may change those positions at any time without notice. References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and the Investor's Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them. Copyright by the Investor's Podcast Network.
1:13:02Stig Brodersen:All rights reserved. .
From the publisher
On today’s show, Stig Brodersen talks with legendary value investor Mohnish Pabrai. Since its inception in 1999, one dollar invested in the flagship fund would have grown to $17.29, compared with $6.29 for the S&P 500. In the special interview, you can join Mohnish and Stig’s discussion on Berkshire Hathaway, investing mistakes, and the importance of letting winners run.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:53 - Whether Greg Abel’s compensation is fair
00:05:21 - Why most investments fail, and why that’s okay (the “4% rule”)
00:11:40 - Whether to own Berkshire Hathaway or the S&P500 over the next century
00:28:23 - Why Stig thinks that Mohnish diversifies too much
00:31:04 - Why good asset managers should eventually have 95% of their portfolio in one stock
00:36:21 - How Mohnish met Michael Burry
01:04:50 - What Mohnish learned from his best friend Guy Spier
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
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