In short
How IKEA keeps furniture affordable amid inflation, tariffs, and energy shocks while staying profitable, including price-cut decisions, renewable-energy “hedging,” and store strategy.
Guest backgrounds
Juvencio Maestu, CEO of the Inca Group (IKEA retail franchise responsible for ~90% of IKEA sales). Spanish; started at IKEA in 2001 as a store manager, later ran IKEA India and served as CFO. Joined during COVID-era retail disruptions.
Key claims
IKEA “sides with the many” by lowering prices (e.g., umbrellas when it’s raining). In 2024, IKEA cut prices ~10% at a cost of ~€2B revenue, then regained growth in 2025 (visits up; top line up 1.3%). Tariffs: after 25% tariffs on upholstered wooden furniture/kitchen cabinets, IKEA raised prices ~9%, but avoids “panic” and plans step-by-step.
Notable examples
2022–23 inflation-driven price increases; 2024 reversal; US tariff response; renewable energy investment (€7.5B committed, €4.2B invested) producing about double electricity use; hot dog as a low-price quality icon; omnichannel with ~30% sales online; city-center store mistakes (too small range/size) corrected.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOJuvencio Maestu's Journey and IKEA's Challenges
3:37 to 7:48
Discover Juvencio's journey at IKEA and the company's response to inflation.
“In 2001, Juvencio Maestu got his first job at IKEA.”
Tariffs, Supply Chain, and Energy Management
7:49 to 12:10
Understand how tariffs and renewable energy investments affect IKEA's operations.
“And then it's difficult to find the here and now balance, but this is what we are paid for.”
Personal Insights and Consumer Trends
12:13 to 14:00
Gain insight into Juvencio's favorite IKEA food item and changing consumer dynamics.
“And I ask Covencio what his favorite item from the IKEA restaurant is.”
IKEA's Strategy on Affordability
14:00 to 15:07
Discover how IKEA prioritizes affordability over premium offerings.
“And are you trying to change any of your offerings to try to go after more affluent customers?”
Urban Expansion and Store Formats
15:07 to 16:00
Learn about IKEA's strategy to open smaller stores in urban areas.
“What we add is we try to increase the value for money and also to increase the quality at a lower price or at a value for money.”
Learning from Mistakes in Expansion
16:00 to 17:53
Explore the lessons IKEA learned from past store expansions.
“Yeah, we are doing, as I said before, we are operating an omnichannel company.”
Personal Insights on IKEA Furniture
17:53 to 19:58
Hear personal anecdotes about living with IKEA products.
“What were some of the mistakes with that earlier expansion?”
Vision for the Future of IKEA
19:58 to 21:14
Understand IKEA's long-term vision and key principles for the future.
“So my last question is, one of the things that the founder of IKEA I think famously told your predecessor in this job was that you need to be thinking 200 years out into the future.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:04For years, consumers and businesses have been struggling to keep up with the rising costs of everything. Inflation, tariffs, and now high energy prices have added up to harsh economic headwinds. This is making life hard for a company like IKEA, which has a stated mission of keeping prices low.
0:24Juvencio Maeztu:It's not that the world is getting more affordable, it's the opposite. And the majority of the people, the many people, you know, are struggling to kind of the end of the month. So that's why affordability and to get value for money, it's even higher in the agenda. That's Juvencio Maestu, the CEO of the Inca Group, the largest IKEA retailer in the world. Last week, I spoke with him about how IKEA is meeting its customers at this moment. We have a say normally that we sell umbrellas in IKEA, and we normally reduce the price of the umbrella when it's actually rainy. So we like to do a bit the opposite, because it's in the times that you have to really stretch yourself to be closer to the customer.
1:17Lowering prices for umbrellas when it's raining. In the world of capitalism, it's kind of counterintuitive. The challenge before Juvencio is making sure IKEA can deliver on his promise of affordable prices while still keeping the company profitable. Welcome to The Journal, our show about money, business, and power. I'm Ryan Knudsen. It's Thursday, April 30th. Coming up on the show, a conversation on staying affordable in unpredictable times with IKEA's Juvencio Maestu.
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3:37In 2001, Juvencio Maestu got his first job at IKEA. He was a store manager in Spain, where he's from. He worked his way up the ranks over the last 25 years, running IKEA India and becoming CFO. Last November, Juvencio became CEO of the Inca Group, the retail franchise in charge of around 90 % of IKEA's sales. Since the pandemic, Juvencio has had a front row seat to the difficulties facing retail, and he's been in charge of leading IKEA through it. The first challenge IKEA had to face was inflation. As inflation rose in 2022 and 2023, IKEA had to make the uncomfortable decision to raise prices.
4:17But then, in 2024, when inflation was still pretty high, IKEA and all of its 12 franchises decided to lower prices by around 10%. Juvencio told me that that decision cost his company about 2 billion euros in revenue.
4:33Juvencio Maeztu:We could have chosen to keep 2 billion in the bottom line, but we decided to pass 2 billion to the many consumers. And the point was that we came from the COVID crisis, from the war in Ukraine, from the challenge in the supply chain, and then the whole industry and the whole society was increasing the cost. And then we were not immune to that and we were suffering also that. And then at some point we said, we need to reverse this cycle. We need to side with many people because we are pretty anchored in the vision that we have. Avencio says that that's what cutting the price of umbrellas when it's raining looks like in practice.
5:16Juvencio Maeztu:We give the mandate to every storeman in the world that feel free to reduce the price of umbrellas. Why? Because it's a signal that we need to be closer to the many consumers when they need the most, rather than take advantage of them. And then, of course, you have to find the formula and the business model that you can keep a healthy company going on. we are not maximizing benefits. We are maximizing low price for the consumers. And then of course we have to operate a company that is healthy in the long time. So IKEA made these price cuts and drew in more shoppers, but it also resulted in sales falling by about 5%.
5:59I mean, you mentioned that you have to do this and maintain a healthy business, but how healthy is it for a business for sales to fall?
6:08Juvencio Maeztu:Yeah, that was in year 24. In year 25, we managed to increase both the number of customers as well as increasing the top line. So we increased 1.3 % in both. We achieved 4.1 million visits online, but also we achieved 736 million physical visits to a care store. So our physical visits increase. So in 2014, it was a conscious decision because normally the price reduction we did were not compensating fully the top line, but it was by design, and we are really happy we are able to take that decision. In 2025, IKEA and the rest of the global economy got another big shock when President Trump instituted a wide range of tariffs.
7:00If you recall, the administration put tariffs on nearly everything coming into the United States. And on top of that, Trump put an additional 25 % tariffs on upholstered wooden furniture products and kitchen cabinets. In response, IKEA increased the price of its products by around 9 % on average. How difficult of a decision was that?
7:21Juvencio Maeztu:It's very difficult. The same that when you have this aftermath of the COVID situation, that it was painful when everything goes up. It was painful at that time to accept that we had to increase prices. That's why in 2024 we decided, as we discussed before, to reverse the whole thing and to reduce prices by 2 billion euros across the many markets in the world. And then it's difficult to find the here and now balance, but this is what we are paid for. So now most of President Trump's tariffs have been ruled illegal by the Supreme Court, although he's trying to re-implement them through different legal justifications.
8:05And then there's also a pretty significant tariff on furniture that still remains in place. So how are you planning for that as a business in this environment when tariffs are kind of on again, off again?
8:17Juvencio Maeztu:You know, you cannot lead a company in the short term. And then that's what I said before. you need to keep really the determination to keep offering lower prices in US and in other markets happening all over. That's why on the short term we are normally not panicking in increasing up or decreasing down. So we are trying to wait and to see how things develop and to take a step by step. And the reality is that it was right that we didn't increase that much. And now this is also so consistent with the situation we have. And this has been seen in a positive way by the consumer in the U.S., in other markets, that IKEA is siding with the many when they need the most.
9:06Another thing I wanted to ask Vencio about was the war in Iran. In response to attacks by the U.S. and Israel, Iran has closed off the Strait of Hormuz, cutting off a vital supply of oil to the global economy and sending energy prices skyrocketing. But Juvencio told me that this challenge has been a lot easier to manage. In fact, IKEA has been able to kind of shrug it off because of how much it's invested in renewable energy. Can you take me back to the moment when you first saw that the Strait of Hormuz was going to close? What was the first thing that ran through your mind?
9:39Juvencio Maeztu:The first thing, here we go again. That was the first after so many crises. But it's a good reminder that the importance of finding the merging point in between sustainability and affordability. Why do I say this? For example, in Inca, we have committed to invest 7.5 billion euros in renewable energy, mostly powered by solar and wind. And then we have invested already 4.2 billion. And then when we had the crisis and the war in Ukraine, that the oil in Europe at that time was depending too much on the oil coming from Russia. And then the prices went up massively. And because we were producing energy ourselves, it was a kind of a macro hedging.
10:34Juvencio Maeztu:So we didn't have the impact of high cost of energy. What energy does IKEA produce itself? It's basically electricity from wind and from solar. We produce double the energy we consume today. So there is energy that we give back to the grid, but also the renewable heating and cooling, which is normally the highest CO2 emissions, so heating and cooling. there. So we have invested massively in retrofitting existing buildings to have renewable heating and cooling. And also any new building has to come with that. So what is happening? So when the cost of the energy goes up, then it doesn't go up for us because we are self-sufficient, but also we plug in excess of energy.
11:24Juvencio Maeztu:We produce double than we consume. We plug it to the grid. So with this latest energy shock with the closing of the Strait of Hormuz, was that a bigger deal just for the cost, for the pressure to put on your consumers rather than the pressure it put on IKEA specifically? No, of course. Indirectly, this is from the energy point of view. And then when oil goes high, it's not only energy. Oil is used for many other components in the world. And then it's affecting the food system with the fertilizer. It's affecting the transport of the containers with the fuel consumption of the boats. So at the end of the day, oil is also affecting overall economies in general.
12:10After the break, we talk about the stores. And I ask Covencio what his favorite item from the IKEA restaurant is. And here's a hint. It's not the meatballs. We'll be right back.
12:39You've worked at IKEA for a very long time, so you must have a lot of experience with this. What is your favorite item on the IKEA restaurant menu?
12:51Juvencio Maeztu:In the IKEA restaurant? You know what? Everybody's tempted to say the meatballs, but I would say the hot dog. Why? Because it reminds me of two important things. One is the importance of keeping good quality with low price. And the whole IKEA hot dog is an icon for low price. But also, I was fortunate to spend time with Invar Kampra, the founder. And we used to spend days starting at 5 in the morning until 10 in the evening, walking the store and discussing topics with only a couple of hot dogs in the middle of the day. So it reminds me the importance of being grounded in reality. One thing that we've been reporting on the Wall Street Journal is that there is, the way the American consumer is changing is that there's actually a lot more wealthy Americans than there used to be.
13:46And some of the stratification that you're seeing in the economy is because there are more wealthy consumers. And so a lot of businesses are trying to tailor their offerings to those wealthy consumers. Are you seeing that also in your stores? And are you trying to change any of your offerings to try to go after more affluent customers?
14:07Juvencio Maeztu:I like to say that for us, the big KPI is not top line in revenue. And then as a consequence, bottom line in profit. The big KPI is in how many homes we are present. In how many homes. Why? Because to deliver to the vision or a better life for the many people, it's the many that you need to give an answer to. And the many people are normally struggling to come to an end of the month. So it can be very tempted to compensate cost with higher prices. But that's why we have in our DNA that we start with a price. And then based on that, you have to design the rest of the cost structure of the company.
14:58Juvencio Maeztu:It's important we don't deviate from that. So you're not trying to add new offerings at the higher end of the market? No. What we add is we try to increase the value for money and also to increase the quality at a lower price or at a value for money. And I keep insisting, I was fortunate to live in Asia as well. And then, you know, I said before, when you have money, when you don't have money, you need long-lasting articles. Because you have to give more value to the little money you have. So that's why you need to combine quality and low price. IKEA historically has these massive stores that are out on the edges of big cities that are oftentimes like you need to dedicate like half a day to go out there.
15:55But now in the recent years, IKEA has been opening up smaller stores, more in urban centers. Can you talk a bit about that strategy? Why are you doing that?
16:02Juvencio Maeztu:Yeah, we are doing, as I said before, we are operating an omnichannel company. 30 % of the IKEA sales are online today, which is remarkable, that number. But in an only channel world, the IKEA store will be at the backbone of IKEA. Why? Because the IKEA store is cementing. The inspiration is cementing. The life at home is cementing the experience. Again, we will keep having the big blue stores, the big ones. as you mentioned, but also we are opening a smaller site in city centres and we are doing across all the world. And then what we try to do is to make a mix in an area, in a big city where you can have big IKEA stores and medium-sized IKEA stores, but also with good services and good that no matter how you shop at IKEA, that you can have the services available for you.
17:05What do you think the city stores need to have? Because I recall that IKEA has opened some and closed some over the past few years. So what is the balance that you're trying? What are you finding doesn't work?
17:16Juvencio Maeztu:Our founder used to say that we have to reward the mistakes. I said to him, Inbar, what about, because he was very, very proud in saying we have to reward and to give a prize to the people who make mistakes. And then tell me more, can we allow too many mistakes? And he said, you have to do many mistakes, but don't do the same mistake twice, he used to say. The point here is that, of course, we have been trying and then it took some years until we have found the model. So every mistake is a massive source of learning and inspirations. What were some of the mistakes with that earlier expansion? Yeah, the mistake, for example, that we ended up with a small selection of cash and carry articles.
18:02Juvencio Maeztu:Because we take the assumption that you go to the Sydney Center, everybody can look around and they can order with the app online. Yeah, we did that. And then customers were asking, okay, I want to still take product from here. Why do I have to buy this online? There's a plate right here. Can I not just bring it home? I need it. Exactly. So what is the right balance? So range allocation was one. The second one is the size. To a small was cheaper from the real estate, but it was not good enough. And then what is the right balance? But also it's all the operations in order to secure that you can end up with the right click and collect, for example.
18:44Juvencio Maeztu:Customers also, some of them can order online and you can collect in the stores. So it's mixing the operational. It's basically an operational part that we have found now. So you decided, you realized that you need the stores inside the cities to still be a bit bigger than they had been initially. Exactly. They had to be a bit bigger. And then we have found the right formula now. How much of the furniture in your house is from IKEA? I have done 14 moves in my life. I've been in many places with IKEA. That's a lot of trips to IKEA. Exactly. Around 50%, 56 % I would say is IKEA, and around 40 % is not.
19:23Juvencio Maeztu:And there is always things that remain with us. For example, beds, the mattresses in IKEA are phenomenal. Or for example, the wardrobes. For example, the kitchen. in any of the 14 houses I have lived, you will always find this type of furniture. Why isn't 100 % of what you own in your house from Ikea? No, because of course, you also want to add some personality that is complementing. And I am not a fundamentalist. 100 % has to be. So 60%, I feel good enough. So my last question is, one of the things that the founder of IKEA I think famously told your predecessor in this job was that you need to be thinking 200 years out into the future.
20:15If you were to think do you think that way? 200 years out into the future? And if so what are you seeing 200 years out? Yes.
20:23Juvencio Maeztu:First nobody knows what you're going to have in 200 years. But it was actually pretty much ingrained in Inver's mindset that you need to be obsessed and determined to keep the low-term thinking. And you know what? Regardless how the robotics work, how AI will work, in which planet we'll be living, regardless of all the things... IKEA stores on Mars, perhaps. It would be fantastic. But regardless of all the things, there are fundamental things that I believe will not change. A, that the home will be the most important place in the world. One. Two, the importance of having affordable and fantastic furnishing to make your life better.
21:11Juvencio Maeztu:Whatever is that furnishing. And third, is the human connection that is needed. Because the more we develop technology in the world, the more we need to develop the relationship and the human connection. And these three things, I think, they will never change. Well, Vencio, thank you for this human connection that we've had today from across the Atlantic Ocean. Thank you, Ryan. A pleasure talking with you. Take care. All right. Take care. That's all for today. Thursday, April 30th. The Journal is a co-production of Spotify and The Wall Street Journal. If you like our show, follow us on Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
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From the publisher
Tariffs, inflation and an energy crisis have driven up the cost of nearly every consumer good. Despite those economic headwinds, IKEA has tried to keep its furniture affordable. Juvencio Maeztu is the CEO of the Ingka Group, IKEA’s largest franchise, and he explains how the company is making the numbers work. Ryan Knutson hosts.
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