Everything wrong with Keir Starmer’s media strategy - and how to fix it

28 Aug 2025 · 39 min · 11 chapters

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In short

The News Agents episode argues Labour/Keir Starmer’s government is failing to command the political agenda because its communications strategy is outdated, timid, and message-light. It claims the government creates a vacuum on major stories—especially small boats—allowing Nigel Farage and the radical right to dominate digital and broadcast coverage. It cites a July welfare-reform controversy and August “absence” despite thousands of press officers, plus ministers giving vague, non-committal answers (e.g., Nick Thomas-Simmons). A notable example is Rylan on BBC “This Morning” repeating talking points with perceived inaccuracies, amplified because Labour offered no counter-narrative or fact-checking. The hosts say Starmer’s “show, don’t tell” approach and an anodyne social-media tone (e.g., “future built in classrooms…”) fail to go viral. They also discuss Tony Blair’s role in White House Gaza talks, debating whether a two-state solution is feasible given Netanyahu’s coalition.

Guests

none mentioned in the transcript (no named interviewee); only a referenced prior studio appearance by minister Nick Thomas-Simmons.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

The Communication Crisis of the Labour Government

0:50 to 2:16

Discussion on the failures in communication strategy of the Labour government and its impact on public perception.

“And we thought we'd have this discussion because we were talking last night and thinking about the summer, the political summer, which is, of course, nearly over.”

Government's Missed Opportunities in August

2:16 to 4:24

Analyzing how the government failed to seize opportunities for effective communication during the summer.

“We saw the kind of terrible sight of Rachel Reeves in tears at prime minister's questions.”

Public Figures and Media Dynamics

4:24 to 9:30

Exploring how public figures like Rylan discuss immigration and how it reflects the government's communication failures.

“we keep coming back to again and again, in British domestic terms anyway?”

Critique of Keir Starmer's Communication Style

9:30 to 13:00

Critique of Keir Starmer's approach to media and its outdated nature compared to modern political needs.

“where they are not even, it feels to me, trying to direct the flow of conversation.”

The Importance of Media Engagement

13:00 to 14:02

Discussion on the necessity for politicians to engage with the media regularly to command the narrative.

“But the other thing is, is their entire tone feels so brittle and so old fashioned.”

Media Strategy and Accessibility

14:02 to 16:42

Discussing Keir Starmer's media strategy and the need for increased visibility.

“Today on BBC News, they were talking about how Keir Starmer is having fired the principal private secretary at number 10 Downing Street.”

Modern Communications in Politics

16:42 to 20:28

Exploring the shift in political communication and the importance of engaging content.

“Well, then Keir Starmer ought to be the one saying, hang on, guys, this isn't right.”

The Need for Aggressive Messaging

20:28 to 21:59

Highlighting the necessity for a more aggressive and engaging political narrative.

“and I think they would be wrong to say we're the government.”

Crafting a Clear Political Message

21:59 to 25:58

Discussing the importance of a coherent and impactful message for Starmer.

“I mean, we've got an interest in saying this, but this should be.”

Revisiting Political Communication Challenges

25:58 to 28:00

Analyzing the challenges in Starmer's communication and the need for focus.

“and burned through emphases that they're putting on.”
Show all 11 chapters

Blair's Role in Middle East Negotiations

28:00 to 36:50

Discusses Tony Blair's involvement in Middle East peace efforts as well as the dynamics of current political relationships.

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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:01This is a Global Player original podcast.

0:05Jon Sopel:Next week, we are being promised a reshuffle and a reset for the Labour government, that it's going to be a new page turned, a new start, a fresh beginning. But there are some mighty problems for them to confront. Will any reset, any reshuffle, any new policy really make the difference in resurrecting Keir Starmer's government fortunes if they can't sort out one central question, one question that John and I, in one form or another, feel like we've been discussing all summer. What is wrong with the government's communications and what can they do to finally sort it out? Welcome to The News Agents.

0:56The News Agents. It's John. It's Lewis. And we thought we'd have this discussion because we were talking last night and thinking about the summer, the political summer, which is, of course, nearly over. Parliament's back next week. Prime Minister's back from his holiday. And it's occurred to us that in a way, John and I, over the last four weeks, we've sort of been having, in amidst all of the different events that have taken place, it has been quite a busy summer in different ways. But in the midst of all of that, we've kind of been orbiting around, skirting around one conversation again and again and again, which is how can it be?

1:31How is it that we've got this government, a government with a huge majority in the House of Commons? It's still in just about year one, early part of year two in office. It should be commanding, albeit it's got these very difficult circumstances. Yeah, sure. But we've rarely had a government with all of that, all those things on its side. And yet it has felt so embattled, so unwilling or unable to command the conversation. And we think that part of that is about its communication strategy or perhaps lack of communication strategy, a strategy which is perhaps a little bit out of time and a bit out of date.

2:09And so we thought that we'd have this discussion about why that is and what might be done to improve it.

2:16Jon Sopel:So if you think back to July, if your kind of mind hasn't been addled by too many Negronis or Aperol spritzes over the summer holidays, to think back that in July we had the government getting into a huge amount of trouble over its welfare reform proposals. We saw the kind of terrible sight of Rachel Reeves in tears at prime minister's questions. And there was this talk that there was going to be a reset. There was going to be a clearer focus. We were going to see a more kind of, I don't know whether polished is the right word, but a more concentrated effort to communicate what it is that this government is about.

2:51Jon Sopel:Now, they have appointed someone to be a permanent secretary of communications at a senior civil servant level, David Dinsmore, who used to be the editor of the Sun newspaper. And he is coming in to grapple this. Now, you know, in terms of communication skills, you've been at the Sun newspaper. You know a lot about journalism. You know a lot about what makes a story. I mean, whether you can bring all the different parts of the civil service together and kind of make them sort of sing to your tune is another question. But it's been striking just how little the government has felt to be on the front foot.

3:26Jon Sopel:Now, it's August. These are when people go away on their holidays and try and recharge their batteries. But it's an opportunity which Nigel Farage, we've seen, has been taking advantage of. And yet the government, for the thousands of publicity and press officers that are employed by the civil service, what have they been doing? I think it's extraordinary. And I know for a fact, I think we both know from different conversations we've had over the summer, that frustration with the kind of government's communications absence is felt by very senior people at the top of the government and around the government.

4:00And like you say, John, it is summer, but summer's also an opportunity. It's an opportunity for the government, which has the bully pulpit of politics, to be able to command the agenda. And I think what we've seen over this course of this summer is an exact embodiment of the way that the government handles its communications, how it can create a vacuum and allow others to command it instead. Because what the government has done, what's the main conversation that we've been having basically all summer, we keep coming back to again and again, in British domestic terms anyway? Well, it's about small boats.

4:31And it's about the kind of sense of powerlessness that the government seems to have about small boats. Can you think of a single moment, a single day, when you and I have been working for all of August, can you think of a single day or a single moment where the government has been on the front foot on that story? Can you think of a single day where the government has planned to do something, where it has done anything, some pictures, some events, some press statement, some anything about how it's got on the front foot and how it's tackling that problem? I can't think of one. And the net result is what happens is you allow the Farages of the world, and not just the Farages, even worse than the Farages, the kind of radical right, far right force of this world, to command both the digital and traditional broadcast press opinion.

5:16And I think that's bizarre, if nothing else.

5:19Jon Sopel:Well, you know, I have to be careful how I tread here. Because yesterday we had the minister responsible for EU relations, Nick Thomas Simmons, in the studio. And we love it that ministers want to come on the podcast. But I suppose I was left with this sort of nagging doubt after we had done the interview. and after we had had a lot of obfuscation and evasion and an ability to crisply engage with some of the issues about yeah i do agree with that and we've got to change that or no we're not going to change that because x y or z it just kind of was very vague and the feedback we got from our audience on social media was geez this is why politicians are losing the public you know it was just wasn't a clear answer to any question what and i suppose if you can't answer those questions to put a minister up to for the morning round to go around the various broadcasting studios what do you achieve if you have nothing to say and you're just playing a dead bat to everything i just think it turns people off i think you do need to have some answers so the net result of basically the government not exactly leaving the pitch because as you say they still come on every morning on the morning round and whatever and you know they're still there but the net result of them having little to say or anything new to say or frankly to just re-announce means that the conversation is not of their making the way that i could tell this there was a clip that did the round yesterday that i thought was very interesting and this was of rylan uh you know the well-known television presenter yeah he was on this morning and normally this morning is not the place where you know matters of high politics are that often discussed they do have politicians on from time to time but it's you know it's not that sort of show rylan ended up doing this clip talking about small boats and talking about basically how he feels that it's got out of control and rehearsing many of the talking points that we've seen litigated all summer here's just a small bit of that clip this country is built on immigration legal immigration you know that a lot of the nurses the doctors that have saved my mum's life have come over here from other countries are They're living a great life.

7:29They're paying into this tax system. They're helping this country thrive. I find it absolutely insane that all these people, one, are risking their lives coming across the channel like that they are. But two, when they get here, it does seem, and I think this is why a lot of Labour voters as well are now sitting there going, there's something wrong here. It seems, welcome, come on in. This is the narrative we're being fed. Here's the hotel. Here's the phones. Here's the iPad. Here's the NHS in reception of your hotel. Here's three meals a day. Here's a games room in the hotel. Have a lovely time and welcome And then there's people that have lived here all their lives that are struggling Yeah, they're hot that how homeless let's not even discuss our homeless that people living on the streets Veterans all of this, you know, this isn't me getting on my soapbox because let me be honest Everyone's gonna have an opinion about this and you're gonna upset someone some which way I believe that something major needs to be done about this.

8:24The money that it's costing us, the amount of people that are in this country that we have no idea who they are, what they've done, what they're capable of, and clearly we see a lot of it in the press at the moment, some of what some are doing, it's not all, what some are doing to people in this country. How can, if I turn up at Heathrow Airport as a British citizen and I've left my passport in Spain, I've got to stand at that airport and won't be let in and got to get this, but if I arrive on a boat in Calais, I get taken to a four-star hotel. Now, I thought what was so revealing about that, A, the fact that they're talking about it, the way that Rylan is talking about it.

8:58I'm not saying I disagree with him about everything. I don't. And I think in many ways, what he's talking about will resonate with a lot of people and some of it is certainly reasonable. He's also rehearsing some of the inaccuracies which have flooded the zone over the course of the summer. I mean, the actual truth is, you'll usually get, if you're an asylum seeker, you'll get£50 for each person in your household. You're not particularly likely to go to four or five-star hotels. Wells, you know, we all know that in many ways the life, the lot that an asylum seeker has is not a happy one. But nonetheless, he's rehearsing that.

9:27And one of the reasons that is the case is because the government have allowed a space to open where they are not even, it feels to me, trying to direct the flow of conversation. Now, the government might not be able to have total success in doing that, but there have been no counter narratives. There have been no counter arguments made. There have been no attempts really to even fact check some of this stuff. And so as a result, what happens is most people are not connected with or paying attention to the day to day politics in the way that we are. But when you have day after day, week after the week, the government sort of stepping back from that and the agenda being what it is, you end up with it being discussed on this morning by well-known television presenters talking in that way.

10:07Jon Sopel:No, we pointed out earlier on this week when Nigel Farage made his big speech on immigration and kind of they were going to deport illegal immigrants, that Downing Street's reaction was not to contradict him saying it was an invasion that was taking place. It was like Downing Street didn't want to say anything that might result in a fight with Nigel Farage. And if you are just going to say, I'm not sure what we can say. We'll just talk about the small bits of progress, incremental bits of progress we've made. I'm afraid you're going to lose the room. The room is not going to be paying attention.

10:45Jon Sopel:And I suspect that Ryland, for factual inaccuracies, though there may have been the, you know, in politics, perception is reality. and what Ryland was saying yesterday will chime with an awful lot of people. I think it was more nuanced as well. It wasn't saying he was anti-immigrant. I mean, he was saying that this country, the greatness of this country has been built on immigration and the people in the health service who've saved his mother's life, who have come from abroad. So I don't think he should be... He's exactly the sort of person the government needs to be talking to. Completely. Not an ideologue.

11:14He's exactly the sort of, I would say, probably where a median voter kind of is.

11:18Jon Sopel:So the easy answer to this discussion is to say or the i think facile answer is to say well whoever is in charge of press and communications at the government is doing a bad job because we're talking about government communications being wrong i was very struck by a senior minister i spoke to he said the downing street operation is like this he said you've got a lot of people high on power because they're in downing street and low on knowledge because they don't know what Keir Starmer himself thinks or wants. And I think that is a critical point right now for this government, that if you're going to be sailing in a certain direction, you want the captain on the deck to be saying, right, this is where we are heading.

12:03Well, this is absolutely central and key, which is that in order to sell a message, you've got to have a message. And in order to have communications, you've got to have something to communicate. And very often, and this is felt at the very top of the government, And Keir Starmer is not someone, we've talked about it many times, he's not someone who wants to articulate a vision. He wants to show rather than tell. And as I've said many times, you've said many times, it is simply not an adequate prospectus in modern politics. You have to be showing and telling all of the time. And to be honest, as disparaging as it might be, the telling is often more important in modern politics than the showing.

12:36Because the way the current media environment is, you have got to be everywhere all the time. What I find amazing about Starmer and about the way that they do communications is that it feels to me as if it feels very often like from another age. It feels to me not only is it from another age in a sense that they don't understand that so much of modern politics is content rather than communications. We can talk about that more. But the other thing is, is their entire tone feels so brittle and so old fashioned. We saw it with Nick Thomas Simmons yesterday. It feels like a sort of late 20th century interview style where they're so afraid of saying anything.

13:15It is like, as I was saying yesterday, they're constantly in the crouch position. Doing the media is just something to be got through, to be endured. And hopefully you can get to the end of it without fucking up, without making a mistake. That is a completely, in my view, antiquated way of looking at the media. Trump, for all of his problems. Exactly. I was going to talk about that. For all of his being a deeply unsatisfactory and in many ways immoral kind of political figure in all these ways, he shows the way. He makes mistake after mistake or creates fiasco after fiasco in interview after interview.

13:47You know what he does? He just does another one half an hour later. He does another one an hour later because he knows that he has the bully pulpit. And actually, the more media you do, the more interviews you do, the more you allow people to get out there. Actually, the less each individual interview matters. but the net result of it is that you and your party command the agenda hour after hour day after day that is why you see trump who is the ultimate incarnation of this sort of politics for good or real that is why you see trump never missing an opportunity to talk to the media when he's on air force one what is he doing he's just hanging out there cameras are there starmer i'm afraid i know he won't like this because he doesn't like a lot of modern british politicians they don't like talking to the media it makes them nervous he thinks a lot of us are really facile i would agree with quite a lot of that but i'm afraid starman needs to be talking to the media more than he does probably all of the time because that is the way that the government commands the agenda rather than when was the last time we heard from him when was the last time we

14:44Jon Sopel:saw him yeah we saw him last week in america at the white house with that meeting that was taking place with european leaders and donald trump about what happens next with ukraine and you wonder whether and this is something else we've spoken about on the podcast whether kia stama is so overwhelmed by the kind of weight of international issues on the agenda that he just hasn't had time to focus this but if you look at trump he floods the zone there is endless communication and he's carried on exactly where he left off you know when i was in there which was that he couldn't walk past a camera or a microphone without stopping to chat and it made him very accessible you'd get four or five different stories of him walking out onto the south lawn before getting on marine one to go to andrews air force base where he'd just go up and down the line of us reporters answering all our questions and creating a kind of news blizzard of stuff that he has just put out there and with this government you think okay well they'll do the morning round just something else And this is a micro example.

15:50Jon Sopel:Today on BBC News, they were talking about how Keir Starmer is having fired the principal private secretary at number 10 Downing Street. Or this person is being moved because they didn't do the job properly. Now, one, when have I ever heard about the slagging off of a senior civil servant in that way? The principal private secretary at number 10 Downing Street is normally kind of the creme de la creme of what the civil service has to offer. But I've spoken to someone who's pretty well connected to how this government is communicating. And this person says to me, oh, well, I think it was probably briefed by someone junior.

16:29Jon Sopel:They've got a very high regard for her. Well, if you're communicating stuff that the prime minister himself doesn't believe. And we've seen that, you know, over all sorts of ministers where briefings have gone out that Keir Starmer is at odds with X or Y. And then we find out, no, they're not. Well, then Keir Starmer ought to be the one saying, hang on, guys, this isn't right. I don't want any of this. It's him who's got to set the course on this. Well, yeah. When I say that their entire tone is kind of old fashioned, I mean that in not just their interview style, but even the way that they do even their digital content.

17:02right and i said before we said it talked about it last week you know my view is is that modern communications is not really communications it's content you've got to really stop thinking about what journalists are writing and when i can take them out for lunch and try and influence them no just make sure your content is electric and spellbinding and gets everybody talking and then everything flows from that as robert jenrich whether you like him or not has shown he's commanded the content and that has commanded the communications because then everyone suddenly is like oh look he's dominating the conversation he's everywhere he's going to be the next conservative party leader etc etc tweet that the pm's account put out last week said this britain's future is being built right now in classrooms youth clubs and communities across the country through our plan for change we're giving our young people the opportunities they deserve so they can thrive it is so anodyne it's so boring it's so nebulous it's so meaningless you know like people just don't engage with politics in that way anymore right i was talking to a cabinet minister long ago and they were saying they've got quite a small department they've got hundreds of press officers in their department 200 press officers or people who work for the wider press and i couldn't i couldn't believe it he said well i don't know i can't believe it either and you sort of sat there and thinking well what i cannot remember the last bit of government communications that i saw that had any kind of visceral quality had any kind of virality to it had any means of sort of spreading around and it is not hard to do this stuff what you really need is to get some great 20-somethings who just understand social media.

18:29That is where politics, whether we like it or not, is being prosecuted nowadays. And one of the reasons our politics at the moment, go back to that first question we started with, one of the reasons this government feels so rudderless and buffeted around by the right, by the radical right, is because right now, particularly on certain sites, they are owning social media. They are owning the content machine, right? You need an alternative, a centre-left, progressive, whatever. You need an alternative viral voice. I mean, just in terms of that aggression, like, I'm going to be a bit crude here. People might not like this.

18:59But, for example, you know, your mum might be listening and you're going to get into a lot of trouble. Mum, I'm sorry. Please turn your ears away now. I actually think that they started to get onto something on the online safety debate when it was brought in and you had Farage going on about it and the radical right going, this is a disgrace. We're turning into the Stasi, all of this nonsense. And then they came out with those tweets and stuff about basically and those articles basically suggesting that he was on the side of Jimmy Savile and all this. Now, that was a bad idea just because of some of the previous stories that people have tried to link Jimmy Savile with what happened to him and Keir Starmer.

19:30So that was a bad idea. But it was on the right lines in the sense that they could do with being more politically aggressive. So if I were them, and again, it's a little bit crude, but I would have been much more inclined to say something or put out a gif or do something or send West Street out there to say, you know what, the thing about Nigel Farage is he's more interested in having a wank instead of being able to know. No, no, but seriously, instead of actually putting your idea and looking after our kids, that's what I would have said. You know, you send someone to say something as that or to masturbate or to look at porn.

19:58You know, I know it's crude. I don't really like it. As you know, I don't really like this sort of crudeness in politics. But imagine that would have got everybody talking. It would have dominated, dominated the online space. And it would have actually had, honestly, it would have had, it would have also been adverting to a central truth, which is that their side cares more about sort of quite kind of like rarefied bits of online freedom. We care more about looking after kids and making sure they're not looking at porn. It's crude, but it will get people talking.

20:27Jon Sopel:So this is where, you know, I think that the government would say in its defence, and I think they would be wrong to say we're the government. We can't communicate like that. We mustn't be the ones who are kind of debasing the coinage in political discourse. well look at what has happened in washington dc look at the way the trump administration is communicating and some of it is absolutely heinous and there are terrible things going on but in terms of the communication they are keeping their supporters on board they are keeping their base happy they are doing the things that they said they would do in a way that is punchy and aggressive and it's kind of pugilistic almost in the way that they are going about it and as you say what you get on the social media accounts and the tweet you just read out is a classic of its genre is just blah it's just vanilla blandness that could be a badly written press release from the 1970s yeah no exactly and i think that we are again i mean we might not like these developments in modern politics and how sort of more crass things have become.

21:38In the attention economy that we're living in, how much louder and more crass and brash you might have to be to get your political message across. But that is the political media world that we're living in. And if Starmer doesn't want to be, I mean, as I say, I think the way that it could improve things is by, A, doing more media, not less. And that is all media, by the way. Why are they still bothering? I mean, we've got an interest in saying this, but this should be. See, what my frustration is, is that actually... Feeding an old-fashioned beast that doesn't move any dials. No. And, like, my frustration is, I actually think that all this new media world, as sort of slightly scary and a bit worrying as it can be sometimes, I think of all the parties, it's the biggest opportunity for the Labour Party.

22:18Because the Labour Party historically has struggled with a complete lack of established media buy-in from the newspapers, which translates to the broadcasters and the BBC because they're afraid of the newspapers, right? They have a lot of hostility from the traditional right-wing press. That is something this government has had in spades. It's not even had a honeymoon in the way that even normally a Labour government has. It's had direct hostility from the press, from the Daily Mail, from the Sun, from the Rothermirs and the Murdoch, from day one. But suddenly those newspapers have never mattered less.

22:51Suddenly there's this whole world where you can command. you can find a whole new media ecosystem of podcasts of youtube of online digital life where you can talk directly to people and also there are all of these new channels that are popping up that don't have that hostility yeah so that fragmentation is a tremendous opportunity for you that they are just not exploiting because they're still stuck in these old-fashioned ways of thinking of course

23:16Jon Sopel:i agree with absolutely everything but then you're saying in politics you need to be a character you You need to be a personality. You need to be able to kind of project this stuff in a way that Trump does, in a way that Boris Johnson did, in a way that other leaders who have got that sort of, you know, flair for self publicity have got. And I just think the trouble is, what would be a tweet from Keir Starmer that would feel authentic? I mean, I think that, you know, Trump's great appeal is the authenticity, the comedy, the brutality that, you know, when you read something from Trump on Truth Social, you know, it's his voice.

23:56Jon Sopel:You know he's written it because it's got spelling mistakes. There are grammatical errors. There are full stops. It was, it's demotic. It's kind of, you know, slightly nuts. But you know it's him. And that is what gives it its power because you're hearing directly. What would be the authentic message you would hear from Keir Starmer and think, oh, wow, bloody well said, mate. Well, yeah, I mean, I think that's fair. I think there are things, though. I mean, he's actually, as politicians go, he's actually a politician. He's one of the most egoless politicians, actually, that I've met. Well, is that a good thing or a bad thing?

24:25Well, I think it could be a good thing or a bad thing, but it does allow you to be quite self-deprecating and it could allow you to be a little bit more lean into that side of yourself than other politicians can be. Two, I think, even if... Also, it doesn't always have to be Starmer who's doing this. He's got this reshoffer coming up, right? So it's not going to be the major figures, but some of them... You know, my main thing, if I were Starmer right now, advising Starmer, would be like, yeah, of course, kind of, you know, ministerial competence matters and we want people in the departments, but we've got to think far more about who are the best communicators we've got and who we're sending out all the time.

24:55We need better communication. And we're not just on the traditional grounds, whatever, but on the digital side, on the content side. What can we be doing? Who are the people out there who can, if it's not the prime minister, who are the people out there who are spreading that message? And that's the third thing is, it goes back to what you said, John, is like, and what is the message? Now, my understanding is that this summer, this autumn, they're going to like major on fairness and this sort of themes of fairness. Again, this worries me because I just think that, again, this is a very nebulous concept, fairness.

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25:23and I've heard many speeches from Starmer where he's tried to kind of flesh it out, whatever, and I know, you know, his instincts are good ones on lots of these. If you're trying to fashion a message around Starmer, it should be something that actually leans into one of his strengths. So, for example, what about security? For all of... Starmer's biggest asset, probably against some of these characters, is his stability and the fact he is Mr. Security, both international and at home. Why not lean into that in a scared world? Something that actually means... A word that means something to someone.

25:53and then thread it across government communications. One of the problems of the Starmer project from the beginning is they have burned through ideas and burned through emphases that they're putting on. I mean, you know, even in the time since he's become prime minister, he's burned through them. They need to find one and stick to it. Because as we've seen, all, if you don't do that, people don't hear it.

26:13Jon Sopel:Well, look, a year ago, and you were right to say kind of early on in the podcast that we're only just about into the second year. It was the missions. it was going to be a mission driven government what the fuck is that i i don't know what a mission driven government is i follow politics closely could i name the missions now no i couldn't can anyone else in britain name what the missions are and what they actually mean in real terms no haven't been heard of since and so this idea that we are going to be a mission driven government came it went no one remembers anything about it and on to the next thing now look the fact that Keir Starmer has now got a permanent secretary in charge of communications maybe that will make a difference it shows and I know that you know people went in and spoke to Keir Starmer about this and what the government needs to do to communicate properly and I know one of the people who went in there to speak to him about all this stuff look it's great but you've again it's just focusing on what that message is and at the moment as we sit here at the end of August with a new political term about to start i'm still not clear at all what it is

27:36Jon Sopel:so for the past few days we've been aware that there was going to be some kind of White House summit, thinking about what Gaza could look like the day after. The day when the fighting stops and the rebuilding begins and there is a new dawn or whatever it is for the strip of land to the south of Israel, where there's been so much fighting and so much suffering. And then I go, wow, really? When I heard the news that Tony Blair was part of the discussions, our former prime minister now tony blair when he stopped being prime minister was head of the quartet group and spent an awful lot of time in israel trying to work out a way towards peace and the quartet group was the eu un us and russia and he spent years trying to work out what would be a durable peace since when we have had donald trump come along in his second term and we know that advert that he put out saying you know gaza strip could become this playground for the rich you know and he put out that video that someone else had made but it was kind of pretty insulting it was you know dollars raining down from heaven hotels people sitting by swimming pools him and netanyahu next to each other on a beach lounger it was all kind of slightly ridiculous and tony blair is there advising or as part of the discussion and you kind of think well what is he advising what is he discussing the tony blair institute is being rather coy about it saying it wants to be he wants a good life for gaza and the gaza so he's not talking about expelling all palestinians from the territory apparently but we don't know much more we don't know whether he's there with the foreign offices blessing or not no i mean he had a good relationship with jared kushner during the sort of first trump administration and he went to jared and new vanker's wedding there you go one Blair ally has told the financial signs for him it's about getting back to a two state solution I mean what's intriguing about this I mean obviously Blair remains extremely well connected in the Middle East he has obviously been involved as you say John with the peace process if it still exists for a very long time and it's interesting I mean one cannot imagine that Blair is there without number 10's blessing and consent right I mean because you know Peter Mandelson is in Washington is our ambassador Jonathan Powell who used to be Blair's chief of staff is now Keir Starmer's national security advisor so you know there's high level Blairite influence at the heart of this government I mean the band is back together that band is very much back together so it would and you know Blair and Starmer talk I think a lot so you know I think impossible to imagine that Blair would imperil that relationship if suddenly Starmer were surprised to discover that he was in the White House.

30:27But fascinating that, you know, all these years on, that Blair is still a player in these matters at the heart of the White House. Back there again.

30:34Jon Sopel:He was a player in Trump's first term. And I didn't realise the full extent of it. I was out in Washington. And the day we got news that the Abraham Accords had been signed and we were saying, you know, we got a statement from the White House, there's going to be a big announcement on the Middle East. And I thought, yeah, yeah, yeah, whatever. And then I thought, bloody hell, it is a big announcement. You know, the UAE and Bahrain were going to start diplomatic relations with the state of israel you thought this is big potatoes and arguably what was the spark for october the 7th and the hamas attack on israel was the fear of hamas that the saudi arabians were also about to recognize israel and that the plight of the palestinians would be utterly marginalized between the powerful rich wealthy emirati states doing a deal with israel that cuts out palestinian concerns and you wonder whether some similar forces are at play here where you've probably got the saudis on board the qataris on board the egyptians on board tony blair on board maybe the israelis on board and you wonder what kind of future that will leave for the palestinians if there is some kind of deal that is agreed to i suppose what blair calculates and what the europeans continue to calculate is that the only person who has a hope of reining Netanyahu in and pulling the plug on this operation which is more and more abhorrent the forcible displacement of so many Afghazans, the establishment of a camp from which these people will not, Khazans will not be able to leave on the ruins of Rafa City, all of this is Trump himself.

32:08Trump at the moment who is obsessed with the idea of bringing peace to different parts of the world curiously uninterested at least on the surface in bringing peace to the one place he probably has most ability to affect that piece, which is Gaza and Israel. And so any influence, I suppose, that can be brought to bear on that is a good thing. I suppose the only thing is, is that, you know, this source close to Blair saying, for him it's getting back to a two-state solution. You can just about imagine a world where Trump manages to convince Netanyahu to stop the full invasion of Gaza, which is going on at the moment.

32:41It is much harder to imagine a world where anyone, even Trump, can convince Netanyahu, even if Trump wanted to, to get to anything that could credibly be anywhere close to a two-state solution. I mean, when I hear people talk about the two-state solution now, I mean, it's almost like hearing someone talk about the League of Nations or something. It's starting to feel like a sort of artefact of a kind of geopolitical world long past the sort of 20th century concept. And I don't know, it feels to me pretty deluded when you consider how extreme the forces in Netanyahu government are. Exactly. I think, you know, I think it's right that the only way there is going to be a durable peace

33:17Jon Sopel:is a two-state solution, but how you achieve it right now seems to be utterly impossible. There's the practical politics of this. If Netanyahu agreed with Tony Blair and Donald Trump next week, yeah, we'll have a two-state solution, his government falls immediately. You know, Ben Gavir and Smotrich are out. They don't want a two-state solution. They want a one-state solution. They want the West Bank. They want Gaza. They want it to be part of greater Israel. So that is just not going to happen. I also think on a wider level, the trauma for Israelis of October the 7th is profound. And they think, oh, can we really have a two state solution?

33:56Jon Sopel:Can we really believe that there will be can we accept security guarantees? I think it's harder than ever. And, you know, frankly, would Palestinians, after what they've been through in the last two years, want to be a state which is absolutely neutered living by an Israel that they think has ruined their lives? I think it's fair to say that trust is low on both sides. I think it's also reflective, right, of kind of the Blair's MO of doing politics, right? He's always had a tremendous belief, often justified, although there are limits to it, in his own power of political persuasion, right? That he is sort of has a unique ability to unlock things using his personal relationships, his personal charisma, his personal charm, his contacts that other politicians can't.

34:38And sometimes, obviously, that has been very effective, obviously, perhaps most notably of all during the Good Friday process. but then other times very much not. I mean, the truth is you talk about the Quartet, John, you know, when he was appointed to that. Blair, I mean, maybe he was always the wrong person to do this given his particular history in the Middle East. But nonetheless, you know, he has been at this for a long time. And not just him, other politicians of immense personal charm. Bill Clinton, for example, who probably got closer than anybody else did in 2000 in actually getting a deal.

35:07This is a process which ultimately is so structural, which is so historic, which is so dominated by people long dead and events long past and ideas and religion and so on that it makes it almost impervious to the personal abilities i think of any one particular politician to affect change yeah absolutely i

35:27Jon Sopel:think that there is you know blair can be quite messianic you know i'm a man of destiny and i'm the one who can deliver this and this is as you say over northern ireland he pulled it off and they were incredibly clever in the way that they did the northern ireland peace thing which was essentially to kind of all the stuff about you know disarming the ira and stuff like that they parked and said well we'll come back to that but the fundamentals was to get the agreement and they got it with that comes a determination which you've got to admire i remember hearing i think it was from liam fox when he was defense secretary that he was in some middle east country staying with the british ambassador in that country and there in the visitors book above his name was just a signature which said Blair comma Jerusalem.

36:12Jon Sopel:And it was like Blair of Jerusalem, you know, like Lawrence of Arabia. He saw himself as this figure that was the voice of the Middle East. And he, you know, Fox said to me, it was remarkable that Blair had signed the book in that way. That is mad. That is mad. Oh, well, best of luck with your endeavours back in the Middle East. look you know you godspeed to anyone who can try and kind of you know bring some peace i just i just love that our um our editor has written this up part two and the title for this section is what's blair up to in the white house which i kind of feel like we're in some repeat at almost any point for the last 30 years there we are good luck tony we'll be back just after this

37:08Well, John, you know when I went to Las Vegas and San Francisco and I promised you something about AI? Well, I thought it was just a holiday. Lads, stay out. No, no, no, no, no, no, no. It's coming. So we're going to have, tomorrow on the show, we're going to have the first of two episodes we're doing about AI and how it's going to transform economy, but actually more germanely, our politics, because that's the thing that we think has not been thought about enough and which needs to be thought about more. So the first of two episodes, one will be, which we're going to get tomorrow, an interview with a very senior figure at Anthropic.

37:37Anthropic one of the big AI organisations and actually the organisation which is speaking out most about the dangers economic dangers and political dangers as well. Lots of opportunities but it is an absolutely fascinating conversation and the week after we'll bring you our full report about how it's transforming the United States. It's going to transform the UK as well and everywhere else for that matter. Have you asked

37:58Jon Sopel:ChatGPT or something like that to write one of your outros where John Sopel is having his toes manicured in wherever. Well, it just mainly says, I've actually just done it, and it actually says John Sopal is most known for telling his own listeners to fuck off on a regular basis. So I can get it to thread that in if you'd like. No. No, no, I'll get to forget that. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. This is a Global Player original podcast.

From the publisher

There's news today of a Downing Street shakeup and speculation too about a ministerial reshuffle next week. Parliament returns on Monday, with Labour MPs hoping that the new term will bring with it a chance to rejuvenate a government that has plummeted in the polls and a party that seems almost mutinous.

This summer, Nigel Farage has planted himself at the centre of the news agenda - with regular press conference, media stunts and interventions. Labour ministers have been doing the round too - but they seem to have less to say in recent weeks than the Reform leader,

Amidst all the talk of a reset, Jon and Lewis break down where Labour's media strategy is going wrong - and what Keir Starmer needs to do to win the messaging war.

Visit our new website for more analysis and interviews from the team: https://www.thenewsagents.co.uk/

The News Agents is brought to you by HSBC UK - https://www.hsbc.co.uk/

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