In short
The episode is a political breakdown of UK Labour leader Keir Starmer refusing to resign after roughly 80 Labour MPs called for him to go and demanded a timetable for leadership change. Hosts Maitlis and Lewis argue Starmer’s defiance is either “courageous” or “crazy,” and that cabinet resignations (notably Jess Phillips) signal MPs believe Starmer lacks ideology, makes few arguments, and causes “rudderlessness” that blocks progress. They claim the pressure is linked to Wes Streeting’s faction: Streeting is portrayed as trying to force a leadership contest (“now or never”) via resignations, while Starmer challenges him to step up. Notable examples include Starmer’s cabinet meeting focusing on Iran war and cost pressures, and ministers publicly stressing no leadership trigger. Andy Burnham is discussed as a likely challenger; Burnham’s potential seat selection/by-election is framed as a possible route to delay or reshape outcomes.
Guests
none (hosts only).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOPolitical Landscape Overview
0:48 to 2:28
Discussion on the current political climate surrounding Keir Starmer.
“39 % and 61 % fewer calories than regular plain bagels and noodles, respectively.”
Prime Minister's Defiance
2:28 to 4:23
Analysis of the Prime Minister's refusal to step down amid criticism.
“And we're recording this at about two o 'clock in the afternoon.”
Jess Phillips' Resignation Impact
4:23 to 6:38
Exploring Jess Phillips' resignation and its implications for the Labour Party.
“She said, you talk about the need for an argument, but you didn't make one.”
Starmer's Leadership Context
6:38 to 8:00
Dissecting Starmer's leadership amid calls for resignation and factionalism.
“We don't want you to fight the next election.”
Potential Challenges Ahead
8:00 to 9:20
Discussion on potential leadership challenges and internal party dynamics.
“Yeah, I think this is that we said yesterday that this is very unusual for the Labour Party.”
West Streeting's Dilemma
9:20 to 12:12
Examination of West Streeting's position and choices within the party.
Future of the Labour Party
12:12 to 14:00
Insights into the future trajectory of the Labour Party amidst chaos.
“or of campaigning has been tell people what you feel, show them your passion, show them you care, show them where it really hurts and then do something about it.”
Starmer's Leadership Dilemma
14:00 to 21:06
Explore the complexities surrounding Keir Starmer's leadership amid party chaos.
“And actually, it's quite depressing, actually.”
Challenges Ahead for Starmer
22:50 to 28:04
Discuss the upcoming challenges faced by Starmer, including potential leadership contests.
“39 % and 61 % fewer calories than regular plain bagels and noodles, respectively.”
Starmer's Political Strategy: Clinging to Power
28:04 to 31:28
Explore Keir Starmer's motivations and strategies for maintaining his leadership amid political challenges.
“And I guess, you know, if you're Starmer, the last thing you want is to feel that you won this, you know, huge majority and you've basically been kicked out by 80 of them with 24 hours to go.”
Show all 14 chapters
Historical Comparisons: Starmer and Past Leaders
31:28 to 35:05
Discuss comparisons between Starmer's leadership style and those of previous Prime Ministers.
“I mean, just to go back to your comparison with Boris Johnson, I guess the point with Boris Johnson was he left no doubt in anyone's mind that he wanted to be prime minister.”
The Challenge of Democratic Stability
35:05 to 39:52
Analyze the implications of frequent leadership changes on the UK's democratic stability and public perception.
“was to the Labour Party, that his job rests on the confidence of his MPs.”
Urgency for Change: A Call for Action
39:52 to 40:38
Highlight the pressing need for the Labour Party to adopt a clear argument and act decisively.
“Ask yourself, what are your best people spending their time on right now?”
The Challenge of Democratic Stability
40:38 to 41:04
Analyze the implications of frequent leadership changes on the UK's democratic stability and public perception.
“Expense reports, receipt chasing, month-end close that takes weeks.”
Transcript
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0:39Shop now at Hero.co. Use code IHART for 10 % off. That's H-E-R-O dot C-O. All figures per serving. See nutrition info on Hero.co. 39 % and 61 % fewer calories than regular plain bagels and noodles, respectively. Calorie content has been reduced from 270 to 130 and 200 to 80 calories per serving for plain bagels and noodles, respectively. Data accurate as of 2-20-26.
1:27Lewis Goodall:A lot of the people who have called on him to go are basically Wes's people. Streeting has pulled the lever. Now or never, is he going to go for it? What happens now? The tone, it feels, has shifted even throughout the morning. I mean, I also think... I think Darren James had a really different... Wes Streeting! Wes Streeting, did you call on Starmer to resign? Lisa Nandy! And here we have Lisa Nandy. West Streeting is being asked for comment. West Streeting has said nothing for days. So is West Streeting at the centre of whatever movement is currently going on? And is the Prime Minister waiting for him to challenge?
2:11Lewis Goodall:Prime Minister told his Cabinet colleagues this morning, in no uncertain terms, that he is going nowhere. Has Keir Starmer faced down his critics? Welcome to the News Agents.
2:27Lewis Goodall:The News Agents. It's Maitlis. It's Lewis. And we're recording this at about two o 'clock in the afternoon. So by definition... Fools that we are. It turns out podcast isn't absolutely ideal for rolling news. Nonetheless, a lot of that has happened since we were last with you. And doubtless a lot is going to happen next as well. So where we are as of right now is that the Prime Minister, The thing that we've really learned since we last spoke to you was that there was a strong possibility that the prime minister would respond to the 80 or so MPs who have called on him at some point, not all saying right now, but at some point to go to set out a timetable who say they no longer have confidence in him.
3:09Lewis Goodall:It was entirely possible and credible that he would have gone to cabinet this morning and said, I've listened to the parliamentary party. Here's my timetable. I'm not going right now, but maybe by party conference. We now know that the Prime Minister is not doing that. He has basically said to his cabinet and his party, if you want me out of the door, I will be doing so, kicking and screaming to the last. He says he will not step down and that no leadership contest has been triggered. We understand from this cabinet meeting that the Prime Minister basically said, started the meeting by saying that he was aware of some of the disquiet, but this was a very serious meeting about substance including what is going on with the Iran war, cost pressures and so on and that if anybody had a problem or wanted to say something to him about his leadership they could do so after the meeting.
4:01Lewis Goodall:We then understand that the Prime Minister scarpered pretty quickly and it was very clear that if anyone did have a problem they weren't able to speak to him after cabinet. After that time Jess Phillips the safeguarding minister, very widely respected inside the Labour Party, became the second minister to resign, talking about catastrophic mistakes made by the government that followed or followed on from another minister early in the morning. And Jess Phillips' letter was particularly devastating, I think, because it set out in detail, not so much the ideological problems with the prime minister, but something you hear again and again, which is that the prime minister doesn't have an ideology to begin with, which is impeding the government.
4:39She said, you talk about the need for an argument,
4:42Lewis Goodall:but you didn't make one. The desire not to have an argument means we rarely have an argument, leaving opportunities for progress stalled and delayed. And in that, I can tell you, she's speaking for a lot of Labour MPs. Look, I think the Jess Phillips letter changes this conversation and this whole scenario more than possibly anything else in the last 24 hours. And we'll come on to analysing a little bit more what she says and the force of her words. But just to go back to that moment, really, that I think surprised many in Keir Starmer's own party and cabinet, this defiance by the Prime Minister himself, which either looks incredibly ballsy or it looks really tineered.
5:31And I think, yeah, I mean, I think a lot of people will be saying, I didn't know he had it in him to stick it out. Now, I don't think that Starmer can be unaware, frankly, of those 80 voices that are saying go or go now or set out a timetable. But I think there are two things going on. One is 80 sounds like a huge number until you put it in the context of his majority, which is what, 400 odd, 403. and you're looking at him saying, well, that's 20%, but look, maybe I owe the 80, something else. There is 80 % of my parliamentary party that is not doing that. And I think there is a certain logic to what he's doing, which is to say, show me the challenger, because I don't see the challenger right now.
6:23If you want to challenge me, then put a challenger in front of me and I will fight that person. But at the moment, there are 80 people in his party who are saying versions of we don't think you're good enough. We don't think you will last. We don't want you to fight the next election. And we think you should go. But what they're not all saying is, here's the alternative. Here's the person that we all support. And here's the date we want you to go. And I think that level of chaos and confusion and sort of, you know, mixed messaging in a way is giving Keir Starmer for now the courage or the stubbornness to say, I'm just not moving.
7:08And I guess that is where Starmer really has a point, right? Because, you know, there is a Labour Party which is frankly looking balkanised without him. There are factions that want to pull towards Andy Burnham. There are factions that want to see a sort of Raina Burnham car. There are factions that think where streeting should go and should go now. And he's the sort of, you know, more to the right of the party, somebody who could act much more quickly because he's in Parliament. And actually, what you suddenly understand about Starmer is it's not what he stood for ideologically. It's the fact that he was the sticking plaster to the party.
7:48He got the party into a position where it was elected because anyone could paint what they thought he might represent on top of him. He glued it together. He held it together. And as soon as the Stama plaster is ripped off, what you actually see is under the stone all the various directions the Labour Party could now pull in.
8:06Lewis Goodall:Yeah, I think this is that we said yesterday that this is very unusual for the Labour Party. historically speaking it is you know the Labour Party does doesn't usually remove its leaders or even try remove its leaders from with with kind of direct challenge and and you're absolutely right Emily I think the defining characteristic at the moment it's very clear what Starmer is doing he's basically saying in particular to Wes Streeting because everyone knows that a lot of the people who have called on him to go so far or have or who have resigned not all are basically Wes's people And so the suspicion within the cabinet, it's more than the suspicion really, is that this is basically part of a...
8:46Lewis Goodall:Streeting has pulled the lever. We were saying yesterday, it's now or never. Is he going to go for it? He is going for it up to a point. He's getting his people to resign bit by bit, to inflict maximum damage, to do that and to try and remove the Prime Minister and have a contest before Burnham can get back into Parliament. He's clearly decided to make that decision. What Starmer has clearly decided to do today is to say, OK, you're doing that. Well, face me down, face me down. And he's challenging Streeting to challenge him to basically go over the top himself, something that clearly Streeting would prefer not to do.
9:19Lewis Goodall:He'd rather inflict on Starmer death by a thousand cuts via all of these resignations. Streeting therefore has got a decision to make this afternoon and my understanding is that when I said that ministers including Streeting try to get a meeting with Starmer immediately after Cabinet my understanding as of now at about 2 o 'clock is that various different ministers are securing meetings and have insisted on going to see the Prime Minister this afternoon so Keir Starmer did not want to have that conversation first thing this morning but one way or another it is being imposed upon him and i would just say this like there's a lot of um and i kind of understand it to some extent there's a lot of like criticism particularly online about the media on days like today which is like is this all a sort of frothy westminster media concoction and don't get me wrong i'm the first one to have some criticisms about the way you know the media the lobby cover politics and sometimes i get the kind of like excitement soap opera thing can be a bit trying but the media has not created this story if we're zooming back now and Jess Phillips summed it up if we're just zooming back for a second and asking why is the Prime Minister in this position it's not fundamentally because the media have decided to try and get him out the reason the Prime Minister's in this position and the Jess Phillips letter summed it up very well is that lots of his own colleagues from cabinet level down have concluded that he is not capable of doing this job and what is unusual about this as a kind of putsch is that normally if this were to occur in any governing party it would kind of be factional there would be a clear faction that was trying to displace another faction that's not the case in this case for two reasons one is that keir starman never really had a faction really he was always a kind of curiously a factional politician it was one of the it's one of his problems right now he doesn't have that many defenders he had some as we saw outside of the cabinet this morning but he doesn't have that many but secondly what you hear and i've heard this so much over the last six months, 12 months, 18 months, from SPADs and ministers and MPs from across the factions of the Labour Party, they just say, we never hear anything from Keir, we don't know what he wants us to do, we don't know where he wants to lead us, and that, if you're asking me exactly to sum up or distill why we've ended up in this situation, it is because of that is the sense of complete rudderlessness from across the factions and a sense that Starmer politically doesn't have the chops to lead them out of this situation.
11:50Yeah, and Jess Phillips' letter really made that case very starkly. I'll read you one line. She says, The desire not to have an argument means we rarely make an argument. Labour governments come around rarely. I know you care deeply, but deeds, not words, are what matter. Which I think speaks to that exact point. In other words, the Jess Phillips' style of governing, really, or of campaigning has been tell people what you feel, show them your passion, show them you care, show them where it really hurts and then do something about it. And back to the sticking plaster position, Starmer basically sort of wants things to be calm, you know, sort of, I mean, this is the point of incrementalism, isn't it?
12:36You won't see me moving, you know, and people have said, we don't see you moving and we don't see any choice. Look, I think to the factualism point, this is where it gets really interesting because West Streeting, you know, as you've described, is in a sort of, he's in a choose-your-own-adventure children's book now, right? Where it's... Go to page 56. Go to page 56. Do you launch your bid to be Prime Minister? Go to page 56, but you might lose your job forever and be out of government? Game over. Or do you show your loyalty? Turn to page 37, but risk ceding ground to Andy Burnham. You can see that for West Streeting, everything is resting on it.
13:12And he wants to be the loyal sort of foot soldier, the person who steps up rather than the person who wields the knife. But just last night, Alex Wickham from Bloomberg was reporting this kind of threat, essentially, on the part of what he calls the soft left, that if Wes Streeting did trigger a leadership context, he would not be safe. And this is the text or the email he got sent. If Wes thinks he can pull off some kind of stitch up to avoid a fair process that will have no legitimacy, even if he briefly ends up in office, we would challenge him at the first opportunity. He'd be lucky to outlast a lettuce.
13:52So it's all very well saying that Starmer doesn't represent a factionalism. But make no mistake, as soon as Starmer is not in the picture, yes, the gloves are off and it looks really ugly. And actually, it's quite depressing, actually. As soon as you stand back, you realise that you are in a place where there is the potential for the party to absolutely pull themselves apart by the roots. And I think that also explains why Starmer is looking out now and saying they are readying the Mao. They are getting the prince's carriage ready. They are getting Black Rod and all the kind of, you know, pomp and circumstance ready for my speech tomorrow.
14:37The king will deliver my policy priorities to Parliament. How ridiculous would it look if I actually allowed this chaos to sort of, you know, upend what I was actually trying to get done? And so I think there is something in Starmer's position for now, which is I cannot afford to become part of the psychodrama that I got elected to stop. It's as simple as that. Do not make me part of the chaos of whatever this party wants to do. I will not play that game.
15:08Lewis Goodall:Yeah. Yes. Although I suppose the less charitable interpretation, of course, is that, you know, Starmer is the Labour Boris Johnson in this situation. You know, I mean, he's decided and it's a lot like that day when Boris Johnson had all these MPs and ministers resigning and he was in front of the select committee and it was all happening. And he said, you know, well, they may hate me, but I don't care. And he has got a very substantial part of his parliamentary party now. And we know, look, if it's 80, we all know that privately there's going to be far more. there are I know for a fact that there are you know cabinet ministers again from across the factions who are as we speak literally doing everything they can to persuade the prime minister to resign or if not to force him out of office and ultimately Keir Starmer is a guy who who did say you know um country before party and he might have convinced himself and I can understand how he might have convinced himself this but he may have convinced himself that he's the stability But the truth is his colleagues believe that he is the instability, that his lack of politics, his lack of direction, his lack of momentum, his lack of ability, in their view, to do the job is what is causing the lack of authority for Labour to govern.
16:19Lewis Goodall:Now, you're absolutely right to say, Emily, that, of course, you take rid of him, you open a Pandora's box. Who knows what happens? And there's inter-Nissan warfare. I mean, I saw John MacDonald tweeting today. I call for time for serious discussion, no precipitous coup and fully democratic process. Instead, Wes Streeting has launched a coup for fear of a democratic process whilst candidates are blocked. Handing leadership to Mandelson's protégé is a gift to reform. Like this could be rabid and rancid. And Wes actually hasn't opened his mouth. No, not yet. That's the funny thing. He is the missing voice in all this.
16:50You know, he's barely been seen. He hasn't had his meeting with Starmer. You know, he's the man who, as far as we know, everyone is expecting to act, expecting to hear from. and who knows by the time you're listening to this, maybe that will have changed. But so far as we're recording at 20 past two, we've heard nothing.
17:06Lewis Goodall:We've heard nothing. We've heard nothing. I mean, who we did hear from, of course, was quite an extraordinary scene at the end of Cabinet first thing this morning. And this so rarely happens. I mean, people will know, you know, Cabinet ministers going into Cabinet, coming out of Cabinet, they get, you know, hollered at by our colleagues who are sort of standing there and asking them questions and they normally never answer, or if they do answer, it's always just a short one word, you know, a statement of loyalty or whatever. They walk past without stopping. They walk past without stopping. They don't go over to the huddle.
17:37Lewis Goodall:Are you supporting the Prime Minister? Very much. Thumbs up. Environment Secretary? Absolutely. But this time, after Cabinet, a selection of different Cabinet ministers, including, of course, the Prime Minister. If the Prime Minister has a Nadine Doris, I think we can say, it is Steve Reid and the Housing Secretary. and he came out following with a series of his colleagues, very unusually after Cabinet, going to speak to you directly in a short series of interviews, speak to the press and give their view about what just happened in Cabinet. Highly unusual. Listen to this. The Prime Minister has my full support.
18:12The Labour Party has a process for triggering a leadership election. That has not happened. So we all intend to get on with our jobs
18:20Lewis Goodall:and that's what I'm going to do. So that's Steve Reid and he was followed by Pat McFadden, He's followed by the science secretary, Liz Kendall. He's founded by the leader of the House of Lords, Jenny Chapman. All stalwart allies, including actually intriguingly as well, Peter Kyle as well, the business secretary who came out, who's quite a close ally, actually, of West Street. He surprised people by coming out about the prime minister. Here he is. And what did everyone say when Keir Starmer said a leadership race had not been triggered? Well, it's the fact. We've had a very purposeful cabinet meeting talking about the big issues facing our economy and society.
18:54Nothing has been triggered. I'm about to go off to Brussels to continue working with Brussels to deepen the relationship, to benefit Britain. We are working hard on the big issues that are facing the country. And Kyr is showing really steadfast leadership. What all those comments after cabinet had in common was that they told us that the meeting in cabinet was not about the leadership context, not about the 80. It was about the war in Iran. It was about the cost of living. It was about energy. And as you've heard, they all want to get on with the job. And I think that speaks to two things. One, that Keir Starmer clearly opened that meeting by saying, right, we're not talking about that.
19:35We've got to get on and govern. And there is probably an imperative for those around the cabinet table not to look like they are part of a psychodrama. So, of course, they want to say, you know, in the interest of the country, I'm still going to Brussels. I'm still looking at this. I'm still trying to bring down the cost of living. We should say, you know, in parentheses that the guilt yields have already shot up to a 10 year high just on the back of this instability. So I think one of the lines that Starmer will have been pressing on all his colleagues was don't become the problem that this country doesn't need right now, which is more inflation, more instability, more raises in the cost of living.
20:16And of course, you're right. You know, Keir Starmer is in this curious position where he is at once the author of his own terrible election results and the person who believes that he can solve things. And if there is a challenge, if somebody comes to him with a challenge of 81, whatever, people who support them, Keir Starmer is automatically on the ballot. and he has now told sources that he thinks he can win a leadership contest. So this is the unknown. You're saying there's 80 and maybe many more who privately agree with the 80 and Starmer is clearly thinking, well, there could be loads more who are loyal who don't want me to go for precisely these reasons.
20:57They think that I'm halfway through a term and yeah, it's all gone to shit because that's what happens in the midterms, but I need to be given the chance to stick at it. And there is one more theory, which we're going to talk about after the break, which is that he has come to some kind of arrangement in his own mind. But it's not now.
21:22From a range of trusted voices and award-winning journalists. Good morning, I'm Nick Ferrari. It's time to get to your calls. Find out the latest news and hear every side of the story. So just as I take responsibility for the results, I also take responsibility for delivering the change that we promise for a stronger and fairer Britain that we must build. Now he's still toast. He's just wasting our time now. The words of two in a growing list of Labour MPs whose patience with the Prime Minister has run dry. Is there anything he said or can say to make you want him to stay? Listen on our free Global Player app or the LBC app.
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23:09What I'm doing is setting out the response, the direction that we need to take, and the acknowledgement that in the world we live in now, we need a bigger response than 2024. It is a different world. And an acknowledgement that this isn't the first shock the country's been through with the Iran conflict. We've had plenty of those in the last 20 years. But every time, the government of the day has tried to get back to a status quo that doesn't work. And we're not going to do that this time. That is the urgent task facing our country. We were elected into office to change this country, to bring about the change that is needed.
23:48The frustration that has been spoken about is a frustration of at least 20 years, if not more. That is what we're charged with changing. That is what we will change. In relation to Andy Burnham, obviously, any future decision is for the NEC. Andy's doing a great job as mayor in Manchester. And I actually work really well with Andy. So that is Keir Starmer being asked a very direct question, which he is incapable, frankly, of answering directly. Correctly. The question is, will you let Andy Burnham fight another Labour seat or will you at the top of the NEC, the Labour Executive Committee, try and block it?
24:25And Keir Starmer notably cannot actually confront that elephant that is staring everyone in the room, which is Andy Burnham wants to come in and challenge you. And so he goes on this waffle of like, well, it's about the NEC. It's not about me. Well, you know, let's see what happens. I work very well with Burnham, which I think gets to the frustration that many in his party feel about him kind of taking you around the houses instead of answering something directly. But there is a lot hanging on what actually happens if Burnham finds a seat to fight. And it just so happens that this morning we learnt that Andy Burnham had taken a train from Manchester to Euston.
25:06Good luck. Yeah, exactly. Which is a 12 minutes over. We'll expect him in about two weeks then. Exactly. I think they actually saw him arrive, which suggests he probably left yesterday. I mean, presumably left yesterday before he saw that Keir was defiantly staying. But I wonder if there's a world in which there is a kind of an accommodation that Starmer realises that Andy Burnham could win a seat and thinks, well, I'm going to buy myself six months. I'm going to have a chat. I'm going to say, give me six months. Let me stay in the job. Let me work something out until conference or after conference.
25:40And then, you know, you do you.
Read the full transcript
25:42Lewis Goodall:Yeah, I mean, I think as I said yesterday, I think that I thought that the way that Starmer could definitely guarantee himself by himself some time survival in the job is by in answer in that clip yesterday to will you let Burnham stand again? there was a play for him which was to say look um you know when we he was asked before when he tried before we had local elections coming we didn't want the distraction of a by-election then party funds would have been diverted but now those are out the way i mean look i still think it would be good if he stayed and fulfilled his promise to the people of manchester but if he wants to seek selection if a by-election were to come up i'm not going to stand in his way that would have called off the burnham dogs in parliament it would have given them, all those MPs who want Burnham, including members of the Cabinet, it would have given them, it would have brought them on side to Starmer and frankly he would have bought himself loads of time because he would be able to say, well, you know, you've got to have a by-election, you've got to move the writ for a by-election, that could be a month's time, then Burnham's got to win the by-election at which point Starmer could turn around and go fantastic Andy, you're backing Parliament, here's a Cabinet job for you.
26:50Lewis Goodall:Is Burnham going to turn that down and launch a leadership election on day one? You know, it could have bought Starmer a load of time. Wes might have still gone for him anyway, but still it would have complicated the picture. Who knows? Maybe that option is not entirely closed. You know, there is, as ever in politics, there are sort of, you know, temporary alliances, which can be fought and secured. And who knows? That might actually work weirdly for Burnham and Starmer at this time. And I do notice there's been some reporting which says that a source to close to Andy Burnham is suggesting that there is an imminent announcement of a Greater Manchester to seat.
27:24Lewis Goodall:This is only half an hour ago. Source indicates an announcement would likely be either today or tomorrow. And if that is true, then again, Starmer's going to have a choice to make. Does he open up a war on yet another front against the Burnham lot? Which looks terrified. Which then really does burn through his options, or does he, as I say, seek a temporary accommodation with the Burnham faction, which guarantees in the short term, potentially, his own survival as Prime Minister? Yeah, and who gets to choose the timing of that by-election? Is it something that happens in the summer? Is there then some kind of leadership kind of contest that happens in a sort of normal summer recess as opposed to right in the middle of a parliamentary term?
28:05And I guess, you know, if you're Starmer, the last thing you want is to feel that you won this, you know, huge majority and you've basically been kicked out by 80 of them with 24 hours to go. So in a way, we shouldn't be surprised that he's clinging on because any day that he manages to stay on changes potentially the outcome, right? They always do.
28:31Lewis Goodall:Promises always do. Always do, right? If he manages to fight, you know, for his own position again in a summer election contest, that could happen. If he manages to make it go all the way to conference and there is something that feels more like a kind of, I don't know, a handing over a sort of a calmer baton passing? Does he feel less like Labour has left the nation another psychodrama? Maybe that's important. But I guess to the point that you just raised, which is what does a safe seat look like now? I mean, I was listening to Graham Stringer, who is, you know, up in that neck of the woods. And he was asked, would you give up your seat for Andy Burnham?
29:09He said, no, I would not. I made a contribution. I made a promise to the electorate that I would stay there and I don't want to see a reform Manchester mayor right so there are all these other questions which is if Burnham steps down does the metropolitan mayor become you know open to the whims of populism to some you know a big reform beast so on the basis of the results we saw anything could happen and also you're looking at possibly I mean I can't think of another example of it the person going for that safe safe seat would be basically saying you are about to choose whether you want me as your prime minister we will have never seen a right never seen right so if you are green reform tories you are going all out to stop this person because you don't want labor to feel any more stable in position right you don't want burnham to be basically walking to number 10 and that's what it would be so how do they do they coalesce around one single challenger?
30:06Do they basically make it impossible for him to win that by-election? I don't know. But I think there are, you know, if you're Starmer now, you're thinking any of these sort of perilous questions are worth playing for time.
30:19Lewis Goodall:Well, indeed. I mean, the only thing that I think that there would have ever been anything quite like it is you have to go all the way back to the 60s and you had a guy called Patrick Gordon Walker who unexpectedly loses his seat in 1964. Labour Party basically manipulates a by-election to come along to try and put him in and he loses it. He loses it because, you know, the voters don't necessarily like the feeling of kind of being played. That said, Burnham, and this is why I think it would be a great play for Starmer, which is you go, look, Andy, if you think you can do it, take it away, mate.
30:47Lewis Goodall:You know, and that either neutralizes him because, of course, if Burnham were to go for it and lose, that is it. That's Andy Burnham's political career over. Now, maybe Starmer gets blamed for that. Who knows? But ultimately, that's the that's the role of the dice. And I suppose for Burnham, it's not that much of a risk, because if you take it as red, which we must, that he wants to be Prime Minister at any cost. This is the only way for him to do it, right? So it's really, yes, he may end up being humiliated by losing that by-election, but it is the only route back to Parliament. And you're right, Emily, we'll have never seen anything like it because we would never have seen a by-election where quite literally the electors, the 70 ,000, 80 ,000 electors of that seat will have the opportunity to basically decide whether this guy becomes Prime Minister or not.
31:27Lewis Goodall:It will be a historic first. I mean, just to go back to your comparison with Boris Johnson, I guess the point with Boris Johnson was he left no doubt in anyone's mind that he wanted to be prime minister. I mean, what was it from the age of about four? You know, I think. And he did all this, you know, if the ball comes on the back of the scrum, blah, blah, blah. But essentially, we were never in any doubt. David Cameron was never in any doubt that Boris was constantly trying to Boris Johnson was constantly trying to to to target his job. I think this time round, what is complicated is that in both Burnham and West Streeting, you have weirdly more of a timidity, right?
32:09They don't quite have that brashness to just smack through anything in their way and say, I'm seizing the crown, it's mine. And, you know, be really interesting to see at 2.35 whether West Streeting goes for it today. Because if he doesn't, it's not going to happen tomorrow. tomorrow's the King's speech, and if Burnham really has got something sorted for the next couple of weeks, then that's kind of it. So I'm feeling like, you know, this is sort of make or break for West Streeting, really, for this first round, isn't it?
32:40Lewis Goodall:I think that's right. I think it all depends on what happens this afternoon in terms of further ministerial resignation. I'll say two things. I mean, you think, just to go back to the Jess Phillips thing, if we think that Jess Phillips is an ally or a supporter of West Streeting, then presumably her resignation was meant to sort of you know push him out the door right and yes i think is very much her own person so i wouldn't be surprised if she was not necessarily involved involved in that but she's you know an ally of of west streeting i mean again just to go back to um what we're saying before about um cabinet ministers trying to meet with the prime minister my understanding i've just heard just sat here from from someone i'm hearing that now the prime minister is again refusing to meet some of these ministers so he is it is literally for keir starmer at the moment, see no evil, hear no evil.
33:26Lewis Goodall:He does not want to end up in a position where he's sat across the table from ministers that he knows will tell him the game is up. But the thing about that is that can only last for so long. He can't give them the run around forever. And he does have, and I do think the comparisons with Johnson are opposite. I mean, it doesn't feel like it is because you don't think of Keir Starmer as someone with loads of self-regard. You don't think about him. He's such a more sort of mild-mannered, mealy-mouthed character. But both men, and I suppose most prime ministers because to get to that level of politics, you kind of have to have it.
33:55Lewis Goodall:He has an ironclad self-belief. He always has done. I mean, that's the irony. Isn't that the absolute irony? If he had that same ironclad belief in the actual policies that he was espousing, in big, bold measures, in the things that he was selling, in his ability to communicate all that stuff, we probably wouldn't be where we are. No, but that is why, you know, the detractors of Keir Starmer, you might think this is uncharitable but their view is that that's exactly what is the worst thing about the guy which is that he has this tremendous sense of self-belief and belief and many of them would say self-regard but he doesn't have the ideas to back that up and what you call that basically is someone purely with ambition and and that is the criticism that people used to make about Boris Johnson that he was a chameleon that he was all about himself he wasn't about the ideas he wasn't about the party and these people believe and I've heard this put in explicit terms in the last 24 hours, that the guy is deeply selfish, that he's all about himself.
34:54Lewis Goodall:And he's just like Boris Johnson in the sense that, you know, he is taking a kind of presidential mandate from the general election, which does not belong to him. That the authority and the mandate that was given was to the Labour Party, that his job rests on the confidence of his MPs. And these people would see it as very arrogant to basically turn around to those MPs in the cabinet and say, I don't care what you think, I'm staying. that is not our constitutional system and we do have to say amelie we talk a lot about those like years and the tory years of how unprecedented it was and in so many ways it was and prime ministers hanging on and politics in turmoil we never even saw the craziness of what we're about to see tomorrow right which is this is all happening you've already alluded to it on the eve of a state opening of parliament of a king's speech where the whole of westminster the whole of the british establishment the crown in parliament is going to descend on parliament in their flummery with all the pomp and the circumstance and the rest of it in their finest, silliest ermine.
35:50Lewis Goodall:And they're all going to sit around and listen to a King's speech, basically written by the Prime Minister, number 10, full of proposals which rest on the idea of the government having the authority to implement those proposals when we know full well that a quarter of the parliamentary Labour Party is rebelling. We've got cabinet ministers who are actively trying to remove the Prime Minister and therefore an open question as to whether any of this stuff is ever going to get implemented. Yeah. And I guess I would just switch that on its head and say you call it arrogance. But if you're Keir Starmer and you realise that this would be the seventh defenestration since Brexit, it is absurd.
36:31It makes us into a national joke. If we cannot as a nation hold on to a prime minister more than 18 months, then we have we have gone down a route where we don't really know how to get democratic stability or stable democracy back again. and exactly on the eve of the King's Speech, exactly when you've got things to do and you've got two wars and you've got growing inflation and you've got people screaming because their lives are getting worse, not better. Why on earth would you want to be part of another psychodrama which you had promised to end? And I suppose, you know, from where he's standing, you can either say, well, it's deeply narcissistic not to go or you can say, it's the only responsible thing to do right now.
37:14It's the only responsible thing to do. That's what Boris Johnson would have said.
37:17Lewis Goodall:And that's what Theresa May would have said. That's even what Liz Truss would have said. But it wasn't wrong that any of them went, was it? Well, I guess this is the first time that a different party is in power. And you're right. You know, I think I think the point about Johnson and and May and Truss was it was cumulative. Right. Right. And Starmer would say they had 14 years. Right. They had 14 years and I've had one and a bit, one in 10 months. So surely you just want to see what might happen. I think that he would say that and he might say that but ultimately his colleagues and you know listeners viewers you or I might have views about it but I go back to the same point which is that the same thing that you hear again and again from the people who know him best and work with him best say that politically speaking they don't he can't do the job just one like vignette of that I was speaking to someone who, you know, is instinctively friendly to Starmer a couple of weeks ago.
38:20Lewis Goodall:And they said, we never hear from number 10. We never hear from the prime minister. We don't know what he wants us to do. Civil servants say the same thing. And whether you think he's a decent man or he's not a decent man, whether you think he's got a great sense of self, of public service or whether you think he's got a great sense of self-regard. the uniformity with which you hear those stories which i've heard those stories has certainly given me pause to reconsider what i think i know and understand about the guy because it is true to say these are i do hear the the criticism that like we're becoming a bit of a joke country i do hear the criticism that we can't seem to hold on to prime ministers i do hear the criticism that the media are addicted to the kind of crack cocaine of the endless kind of like political turmoil but at the same time it's the Labour Party is not instinctively predisposed to do this stuff as we've been saying and the fact that it is happening I think does tell you something about what these people who work most closely with him how they assess Starmer's performance in the job and on the basis of those election results we saw the other day they are all scared that both in terms of delivering change but also in terms of convincing the public that they won't turn to a reform government about which these Labour MPs are terrified, it is forcing them to do things that they would not normally do.
39:39Lewis Goodall:And so they're thinking a bit of instability now, yes, but it's worth the risk to avoid what they increasingly think is a certainty, which is that Starmer leads them to defeat, not just to the Tories, which they would hate, but to Nigel Farage and reform. Yeah, and I think that's why so much comes back to that line from Jess Phillips, who I have to say has made the case more eloquently than anyone I've really heard in the last week this idea of just choose an argument and have the argument she mirrors an FDR quote used by Josh Simons another Labour MP at the weekend who said it's better to do something than do nothing and I think that's probably where we are now you know as a nation we need to see things shift and we need to see a passion and an argument and a communication of what that is now.
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41:14Lewis Goodall:So, quarters of three by the time we finish recording, as we say bit of a hostage to fortune I think we're more of a hostage to fortune maybe than at any time in the three and a half years I think don't say that we might be hostage to fortune again yeah yeah we've got the blindfold on we've got the gun to the temple do you know the good news or the bad news is that we will be back very shortly as in tomorrow this is a great asset of the daily podcast yeah exactly so we will be back and who knows where we'll be by then maybe we'll be on the newsagent's fifth prime minister by then or at least well on our way I think it would be we started at the very end of Johnson correlation not coralsation Johnson Trust yeah exactly it's our fault Johnson Trust Sunak Johnson Starmel yeah 6th there you go there you go can't wait we'll see you tomorrow bye bye back tomorrow bye this has been a Global Player original production
From the publisher
Anyone who thought Keir Starmer was about to succumb to pressure from the 80 strong list of MPs who turned against him were in for a shock this morning when they found a PM defiant and refusing to even discuss a leadership challenge. Can he hold them off? Is his position more or less perilous today? And what is Andy Burnham doing at Euston?
Jess Philips has become the most senior minister to resign - leaving a devastating letter in her wake. Will the King's speech stop the political regicide for 24 hours? Or are Starmer’s critics just building up steam?
The News Agents is a Global Production.
The News Agents is brought to you by HSBC UK - https://www.hsbc.co.uk/
