In short
The episode argues that Donald Trump’s political style mirrors WWE wrestling storytelling—good vs evil, “foreign heel” villains, trash talk, crowd chants, and kayfabe (plausible fantasy). It also discusses how platforming celebrity and populist “unfalsifiable” promises can reduce accountability, using examples like Trump’s WrestleMania persona and the Butler, Pennsylvania fist-pump as “character creation” (silhouette/gesture). A second segment shifts to UK politics, focusing on recent immigration and economic figures and Labour’s messaging challenge.
Guests/backgrounds
Munya Chawdhury (actor/comedian/satirist; host of Channel 4’s Wrestling with Trump; co-argues the wrestling-to-Trump thesis). Brian Idol (interviewed in the documentary; comments on the fist-pump instinct). “Josie Reisman” is cited (SAS; proposes “neo-kayfabe”).
Key claims
Trump’s “story” matters more than truth; neo-kayfabe makes him hard to disprove; populism thrives on simple fixes during uncertainty; Labour must communicate immigration success despite public perception gaps.
Notable examples
Hulk Hogan vs Iron Sheik as “foreign heel”; Trump’s 2007 Vince McMahon quote; Trump’s WrestleMania involvement; Butler fist-pump; UK net migration down to 171,000 (2025) and asylum hotel numbers down by a third.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOWrestling's Influence on Trump's Image
2:50 to 4:32
Discussion on how wrestling shaped Trump's character and political narrative.
“Bear with us, because we have been talking about Donald Trump pretty much as a world non-stop for the last 10 years.”
Trump's Love for Wrestling and Its Impact
4:32 to 6:04
Analyzing Trump's deep connection to wrestling and the effect on his political strategies.
“I mean, I thought you were going to say everything you know about wrestling comes from Lewis, which would have been an absolute huge.”
The Mechanics of Wrestling in Politics
6:04 to 7:54
Exploring the parallels between wrestling tactics and Trump's political maneuvers.
“to really embed himself in wrestling culture.”
Neo Kayfabe: The New Political Reality
7:54 to 10:28
Introducing the concept of 'neo kayfabe' and its implications in modern politics.
“And is SmackDown also from the crowd themselves?”
The Cultural Appeal of Trump and Wrestling
10:28 to 14:01
Examining the cultural similarities between Trump and his supporters through wrestling.
“You're totally an impression and you're like, I'm not even going to try it.”
The Wrestling Influence on Trump's Political Style
14:01 to 17:18
Explore how Trump adopted WWE tactics in his political persona.
“That's a fantastic case study for Trump.”
The Mechanics of Populism in Politics
17:19 to 21:41
Discuss the nature of populism and its appeal in uncertain times.
“And he said, because red turns to green.”
Farage and the Legacy of Brexit
21:42 to 24:38
Analyze the impact of Farage's populism and Brexit on UK politics.
“I know how to fix immigration, you do that.”
The Role of Leadership in Times of Crisis
24:39 to 27:38
Examine the challenges politicians face in navigating crises and public perception.
“It's almost as if you have to be that sacrificial lamb because the scale of the burden to which you're trying to reduce can't be fixed quickly.”
Recent Developments in UK Immigration Policy
27:40 to 28:00
Review the latest statistics and policies surrounding UK immigration.
“In fact, he's had quite a lot of good news recently on the policy front, which we might talk about, but this relates to immigration.”
Show all 19 chapters
Recent UK Immigration Trends
28:00 to 29:22
Explore the latest figures on immigration in the UK, including declines in asylum seekers and overall migration numbers.
“That is the lowest level actually since 2012, if you exclude Covid, if you include Covid, then since 2021.”
Government's Immigration Record
29:22 to 31:04
Discuss the government's record on immigration and the implications of recent policy changes.
“Taken together, they're a very strong package.”
The Emigration Issue
31:04 to 33:54
Analyze the reasons behind the rising number of emigrants from the UK and its implications on public perception.
“If your immigration number is falling, your net immigration number is falling because so many people are leaving, it does beg the question, why are so many Brits now leaving the country?”
Political Relevance of Immigration
33:54 to 36:15
Examine how immigration figures have affected political narratives and public concern over time.
“And you get people in the care sector saying, well, we can't fill these places and we've got a social care crisis.”
Labour's Messaging Challenge
36:15 to 37:53
Discuss the Labour Party's challenges in communicating their immigration stance and the need for effective storytelling.
“These are all, I guess, incremental, but they are about the direction of travel.”
Government's Recent Successes
37:53 to 39:39
Highlight recent positive economic news and the government's approach to leveraging these successes in politics.
“This should be an extraordinarily good week for him all round when he can point to one, two, three.”
Public Confidence and Spending
39:39 to 42:00
Explore the current financial confidence of the public and how it affects spending and economic growth.
“And yes, it's true to say that the newspapers, they always put on the front pages, the right wing papers, when immigration's up, they never put it on when it's down.”
Public Perception of Immigration
42:00 to 44:04
Exploring the disconnect between public perception and government communication on immigration issues.
“Fewer than one in five expected immigration to fall, which does tell you something about how poorly the government has managed to, and the Labour Party has managed to, communicate that message.”
George Woodward's Political Journey
44:13 to 45:55
Highlighting George Woodward's rise in politics and his views on immigration.
“Well, before we go, a little bit of good news.”
Transcript
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1:02This is a Global Player original podcast. We made this connection between what we see in the wrestling world. If you smell what the rock is cooking. And how that has formed Trump, right, publicly, his image. When you're creating a character, what you want to do is you want to create a character so distinguishable that you could recognise him from their silhouette. You know, Trump has a silhouette. you know from the quiff from the weird t-rex hands and the jerking off of imaginary ghosts when he's dancing you know that is a level why are you here let me put it very simply vince i'm taller than you i'm better looking than you i think i think i'm stronger than you
1:56and I'm here to challenge you to a match in WrestleMania. That is Donald Trump speaking to Vince McMahon at the WWE in 2007, a full decade before he became president. He is telling a fantasy, a story to the wrestling crowd there that he has now managed to tell to America. We spend a lot of time thinking about how Trump thinks what he thinks. What if all of Trump's thinking basically comes down to the fake reality that is wrestling? What if we're living in Trump's wrestling political world? That is the view of actor and comedian Monia Chihuahua, who thinks to understand Trump, all you really need to do is understand WWE.
2:50Welcome to The News Agents.
2:59It's Maitlis. It's Lewis. And wrestling. Bear with us, because we have been talking about Donald Trump pretty much as a world non-stop for the last 10 years. We've run out of superlatives. We've run out of theories. We've run out of descriptions. But there is a way of seeing Trump through the lens of something he loves. It is a world that is pretty much make believe. It is pretty much fantasy and it is extremely, extremely wealthy. And it is the world of wrestling. WWE. In many ways, 10 years on, we've run out of superlatives for Donald Trump. We've run out of names for Donald Trump, but we haven't given up trying to explain where he gets his thing from.
3:52Is that a good way of putting it? I'm looking at Munya right now. Munya Chihuahua, who is, as many of you will know, satirist, comedian, but also now the host of a new show on Channel 4 called Wrestling with Trump. and I have to say that everything I know about wrestling comes from Margot's Got Money Problems, which if you haven't read it, is an absolutely brilliant book, which is all about the kind of setup of wrestling in our real world. And you've essentially, Munya, kind of made this connection between what we see in the wrestling world and how that has formed Trump, right, publicly, his image.
4:31A hundred percent. I mean, I thought you were going to say everything you know about wrestling comes from Lewis, which would have been an absolute huge. It wouldn't take long now, to be honest. Well, we haven't got time for that, haven't we? I love Hulk. Mr. Hogan, what a man. So, yes, the documentary is a thesis, which is to say, look, we all know what Trump's doing all the time. We're totally saturated. But so often we're looking for the why. Why is he doing it? And so, you know, you can go to such a cerebral level with it and an intellectual analysis of this man, of this enigma. Or you could just pose a question, is Trump just, like so many young men, someone who absolutely adored wrestling and then decided to violate the golden rule of wrestling, which is don't try this at home.
5:16Trying at home, then in the White House, then on the global stage. We should say when you're right, in case people aren't aware, I mean, he really did love wrestling. Absolutely. I mean, he was genuinely, I mean, there were WWE action figures of Trump, right? Because he was sort of part of the fixture. He would turn up, he would sometimes take part in the wrestling matches you know he you know wrestlers like trump because he was he was good to them he hosted wrestlemanias in his buildings he flew out their families people who couldn't afford the tickets to go to wrestlemania we speak to a hall of fame of british beefcake who just speaks about liking trump because he'd take them all out for steak dinners you know he did the dance of you know just courting these wrestlers and then obviously he took part in a WrestleMania against Vince McMahon.
5:58Second, well, at one point, the most viewed pay-per-view of all time. And he's a WWE Hall of Famer. He's jumped through all the hoops and all the initiations to really embed himself in wrestling culture. But if we want to get really sort of over the top and intellectualise this, right? Part of the wrestling thing is that you set up, I mean, the fakeness of it, you set up good and evil. You set up characters. You have the face and you have the heel. You have the triumphant person who's going to succeed and you have the evil man who's going to be vanquished. And actually, people understand that about wrestling, right?
6:37They know that they're seeing stuff that is not real. It's not a real fight. It is a kind of, it is a dance of a performance. And I guess that speaks to what Trump does with politics, that he's never going to try and sort of bring people together. There's always got to be a goody and a baddy. Absolutely. You nail on the head. You know, wrestling is very pantomime, you know. But the thing I will say is that to you, because the matches are quite short to earn that sort of violent catharsis, you really need to weave this this web of storytelling and the devices they use. They do to to do that. They used to do that.
7:14Sorry. Things you mentioned, like the foreign heel. You know, this isn't just WrestleMania you're watching. This is a threat to American existence. It's Hulk Hogan versus the Iron Sheik, who coincidentally was an Iranian-American villain from back then. The ice immigration thing is part of the wrestling story already. You could argue that is a foreign heel arc. That is America trying to protect a threat to its way of life. So you've got the foreign heel mechanic. You've got the smack talk, which is, you know, no one's paying money to see the rock and stone called Steve Austin enter a compliment battle.
7:46You know, I need to hear the worst things you could conceivably say about another human being. then I'm going to pay to tune in and watch you beat the crap out of each other. And is SmackDown also from the crowd themselves? Like when they are chanting, when they are screaming, when they are, you know, demanding, you know, whether it's USA or lock her up or, you know, out or whatever, that comes from the crowd as well, doesn't it? Well, absolutely. Because the baby face or the hero within a wrestling match isn't there to be supported. They're there to be lionised. You know, they're there to be idolised.
8:17What your icon says, you wear on your shirt, you hold on your sign. Or on your cap. Or on your cap. And so, you know, as an audience, you're there to parrot the hero, realistically. And so at these rallies, of course, the parallel drawn is what Trump says they say. And his protection, his armour against that is the third device, which is the kayfabe, which is the dancing on the lines of plausibility. Is this person saying something that I should truly believe or is it all part of the pantomime? If a pledge... So this sort of, it's almost like a fantasy world, an invented world, right? Correct.
8:48so in the world of politics the reason that that's so dangerous is in wrestling kayfabe is just a lubricant to the storytelling but in in politics especially at a time when people are so desperate we cling on to everything that's said and so if you make a pledge or a policy in which it sounds bogus and ludicrous if you pull it off you're a hero because there's a one in a billion chance of you being able to do that but if it falls flat you just turn around and say well obviously i didn't mean it and then the only the the dum-dum in that situation is anyone who believed it so as a politician in that sense you're unfalsifiable if you can't be falsified you can't be wrong and if you're not wrong why should we remove you from power but do you think his whole understanding or projection of truth comes from the wrestling world which is like well it doesn't have to be that true it just has to be a story yes and actually i'm going to drop you a little newsagent exclusive because you've heard of k about time right you've heard of kayfabe there is a sas called josie reisman who suggests that trump may have created this symbiotic mutation of kayfabe called neo kayfabe right now the idea here is gel or something i've got some on now actually um so in wrestling you tell predominantly the truth but then there's a couple of there's a couple of lies scattered in there okay and we're sort of digging out to find them neo kayfabe is this idea that everything you say is a lie and once in a while you might tell the truth and supposedly according to josey this is what trump does and so it leaves us as the electorate or as journalists, you know, sniffing around like truffle pigs, trying to find out what is the real thing we're meant to run with here?
10:22What's not part of the pantomime? And within that confusion, there's no accountability. Yeah, I've heard a few people sort of make this wrestling analogy with Trump or analysis. That is good as me. I was supposed to do it. I know, yeah, absolutely. You're a wrestling fan. You're totally an impression and you're like, I'm not even going to try it. But like, what made you, but it's obviously really captivated. you what in doing the documentary what sort of extra did you want to kind of push on that analogy what what what extra do you think we can learn from it that we might not have understood before that's a really great question i think number one is the idea of platforming you know what i mean that is kind of implicit within the storytelling of the doc but the people we put on these stages just be aware of what they can learn and be aware of how that alters perception even subtly amongst people wrestling fans who voted because you know many many people watch wrestling even in the documentary we opened by saying you know there's a billion viewerships in a billion households some people who knew nothing about trump or his policies or his manifesto would have just been like oh that's the guy i saw shave vince uh vince mcmahon's head at wrestlemania i love that match all right cool i'll go bait i'll go on that gut feeling we are guilty of it here you know even with Farage and Amisalep, you know, that is that was an enormous platform for him.
11:42And, you know, it makes me worry every time I see these names announced alongside these shows. You know, Donald Trump was on The Apprentice. Thank God he was never, you know, for example, on a love island, even though he loves islands. And it's almost like, you know, you put you put them in front of these eyeballs and you have to know that not everyone is going to do their research before utilizing their democratic token of voting. And so if all you do is play to the kind of base instincts of, oh, I like that person when they're on telly or I don't like them, that's the risk you want, an informed voting.
12:10But the wrestling as well, right? I mean, it does speak to something true about Trump, right? Which is that sometimes, like, it has been tried with him. And it's tried sometimes with Farage and other sort of similar political figures to be like, this guy's nothing like you. You know, he's so rich. He's a plutocrat. He's got nothing in common with your life. And, like, that is true in lots of ways, you know, in an economic analysis. But in a cultural analysis, in lots of ways, Trump is quite similar to a lot of his voters, right? In the sense that he genuinely clearly likes wrestling. He sort of embodies a lot of the kind of moors and the kind of cultural kind of proclivities of a lot of those people in a way that, let's be honest, Kamala Harris isn't going to like wrestling.
12:45You know, like Dems are like... No, but a lot of rich people like wrestling. I mean, just look at the prices. You know, if you go to a WWE match, those tickets cost thousands and thousands of dollars, right? This is, you know, there are some things that are kind of spit and sawdust and they're in your local place, but this is big money stuff. So, you know, I think Trump probably loves it because a lot of celebrities love it and a lot of money goes into it. I think he could be both, right? I mean, he could probably love it. But also just because, frankly, it's because it's the kind of culture that appeals to him.
13:13Almost certainly way more, I would imagine, than, say, going for a night on Broadway and watching, I don't know, an Alice Hemingway. Let's throw another spanner in the works, another gold spanner in the works, because as well as enjoying the sort of gladiatorial aspect of wrestling, you know, wrestling has broad appeal in its sense because, you know, we have this primal urge for violence. and so many people will have enjoyed wrestling. Remember that wrestling was a fantastic business model for Trump as well. He takes a sideways glance at Vince McMahon, who is a billionaire, right? He is cashier.
13:41He's bringing these enormous ratings. And then when ratings fall, Vince McMahon goes, OK, you know what I'm going to do? I'm going to make myself the bad guy. I'm going to make myself the main event. I'm going to weave storylines where I might be involved in an incest storyline or I might put my wife into an induced coma so that I can have an affair with a WWE diva. utilising controversy to bring in numbers like the WWE never saw, right? That's a fantastic case study for Trump. You know, there's no way that Trump would not have looked at Vince as someone rising in parallel during the era of Reaganomics and gone, I need me some of that.
14:14So I could be a bad guy and earn just as much as being a good guy and being a winner. Exactly. It's a really twisted form of operant conditioning whereby wrestling and the WWE universe rewards you for the wrong things. Smack talk is a good thing. Being someone to a pulp is a good thing. Having this binary good versus evil storyline, that's a good thing. How do you shake that off in your next endeavour, which happens to be a few years down the line of the presidency? In the documentary, you raise that moment after Butler, Pennsylvania. That sort of photo that is in all our minds now of Trump, a man who was shot at from the crowd and ducked and was surrounded by security and then sort of emerges with his fist brandished.
14:59Do you think that comes straight from the wrestling handbook? Does it? Well, I think that there's a risk there of being conspiratorial, but the guy that I'm speaking to, Brian Idol, is more convinced that actually the instinct, maybe not the gesture, because there's only a few ways a man can fist pump, right? There's only a few remixes to that motion. Have you seen Lewis? The fist pumps of Lewis Goodall. That's a crazy part. Honestly. That needs to be the biography. I don't do it because they affect people around me so profoundly when it happens that it's just too unsettling for them. That's why Sokol's not here.
15:33But I would hazard to say this. It's more about the instinct and the impulse in that moment of thinking, should I run for cover if my life is at risk? Or do I capitalise on a moment of fear and panic and hysteria and turn it into a storyline? I also want to talk about this idea of the silhouette. in comedy I always misattribute this to Sasha Baron Cohen I'm not sure if he did say this but when you're creating a character what you want to do is you want to you want to create a character so distinguishable that you could recognize him from their silhouette with Sasha Baron Cohen's characters you've got the Ali G in his hand signs throwing up his gang signs Borat with the big hair you know Trump has a silhouette you know Trump from the quiff from the weird t-rex hands and the jerking off of imaginary ghosts when he's dancing.
16:19You know, that is a level. Again, much like John Sopel. That is a flex of being able to say, you don't even need to see my face, but you know who I am. And so that fist pump for Trump, if I show you that silhouette, you know what event it pertains to. And so it's part of his character creation. But do you think there's enough, does all that thought go into it? Yes. Well, I mean, this is the thing. if he's a wrestling fan if you watch wrestling for long enough you pick up these things you know what the rock what the people's eyebrow looks like when the rock does it you know how to imitate his finishing moves wait did you just go I do know what he looks like I know what the rock it's like this kind of like it's like this kind of like you know he does a little like no that's straight contemplation it's not bad is it it's alright wasn't it I never thought we'd get that hey look it's Thursday so what are those millenniums even if it is even if it was whether it was subconscious or overt there is something to be said which is and this is crazy we didn't include this but this was one of the best nuggets of the documentary bo james who is a local wrestler that we meet talks about this technique they used to do in wrestling which is blading you had a blade in your wrist straps and then you take a particularly big bump like you know move and you just cut your forehead i used to say to a man why did you do this because you tell me some stories once he swallowed the blade by mistake he had to eat a load of bread to make sure it didn't cut him on the inside i said why run the risk?
17:39And he said, because red turns to green. Red turns to green. Green money. Oh my God. So look, okay, now. I was going to, I was just going to say, I was just going to, does any of this transfer to UK politics? I mean, do you see UK politicians either, they might not sort of know consciously they're starting to echo kind of like wrestling kind of mores or moments. Sort of quite Matt Hancock, isn't it? Yeah, but they're sort of doing it subliminally because they're learning from Trump, so it's all just a bit vicarious. Do you see it in UK politics? Right, So yeah, I would not say that UK politicians are learning from wrestling, but they're learning from wrestling by learning from Trump.
18:14Yeah. Trump is a fantastic role model to people like Farage because what he has achieved, you know, from it from by objective standards, you know, he's made himself richer than ever. You know, he's maybe the most powerful leader in the world. And he's done it by this sort of non-conventional, very heel skewing playbook, which is to with the trash talking, with all the wrong ingredients to being a leader. And so for somebody whose base instincts perhaps aren't as valiant as we'd expect from a politician, it's great to know that there's a cheat code to still landing as prime minister or leader of a country by doing the wrong things, by playing a little dirty.
18:51Let me flip the question around then. If you're a Democrat or if you're a Trump opponent, are you thinking, Jesus, if I if I need to play politics in America in 2026, I need to work out what my fight is or what my sign is or what my silhouette is. You can't just go, oh, I think I might try and block that bill. Right. I mean, that doesn't feel a comfortable place for us to end up with democracy. No, no, no. We should never get to that point. Of course, look, I would like more than lemon and herb caliber politicians. You know, it's good to have a little bit of flair about you. You know, you guys recently discussing Andy Burnham, we were just talking about slightly more aura, OK, than Akia Stammer, for example.
19:28It's helpful. But remember the golden rule of wrestling, which is don't try this at home. if we copy and paste the you know one of the ground rules of wrestling which is there's no middle ground there's only good versus evil we've got a problem because then it means that accountability becomes the enemy because i'm asking you a question i'm challenging you just like you guys are talking about uh massey and cassidy and all of a sudden i need to be booted out because i'm a threat to your existence as leader no even now if i ask questions about farage and these five these five million pound donations it's not necessarily because i'm asking because I'm his enemy and I want to fight reform voters.
20:02I'm just asking because I'm saying, right, okay, if this guy is going to be in charge in a few years' time, I just want some accountability. What do you think of Farage? I think that my biggest problem with Farage actually doesn't come from a place that you would necessarily anticipate it to come from. You know, I think a lot of people look at me and they think, you know, he's a guy who's from Zimbabwe. I'm actually from Derby, right? It's more on an objective level of leadership, which is, I don't know how much good this man actually wants to do for people because what is at stake for him as a leader by the time faraj becomes prime minister which looks very likely he will be in my i would guess richer than he's ever been more popular than he's ever been and more the most credible he's ever been interpreted as a politician right he's already won we're talking about the loser who sat in the corner of the class waving his brexit flag who no one took seriously and now he's achieved all of these things that never in a million years did we think he could do?
20:58And so for me, him being prime minister is just the icing on the cake. It's just a side quest for him. And so in that first term, no matter, even if he rips apart the few remaining infrastructures we have working for Britain and plunges us into social and economic turmoil, even more so than now. So what? What expense is that to him? Especially because most of his career is behind him. Why do you think, though, he's got such following? I mean, he's got more TikTok followers than every other British end people together. particularly obviously amongst young people. Why do you think he has such purchase?
21:29Because that's populism. It's populism and it derives so strongly from for anyone who doesn't understand it I began understanding it by just understanding the word popular and what makes you popular at a time of uncertainty and desperation is simple answers. I know how to fix immigration, you do that. I know how to fix the economy, you do that. But don't you think it's funny that we are watching Trump in real time and we're watching the American people kind of find out what Trump is like in real time I mean, we're seeing his own ratings now, favourability ratings. I think it's like 28 % on affordability stuff, really low.
22:02And yet you're still saying, well, actually, we're going to bring that model here and it's going to be the same thing. I mean, why do you think we're not able to kind of go, oh, that doesn't seem to be working out so well there? Because a lot of British people, even reform voters, hate Trump. Why aren't they making that connection? well because for well for a start we've not anywhere near enough put the burners on farage for for brexit you know the difference i suppose he's such an interesting case study because you know populism often works by basically speculating what you would do if you were brought within proximity to power yeah and so you know for an extent to an extent you're unfalsifiable because you're so far away no one can ever prove whether or not you can do those things obviously Brexit was the love child of Farage he was the one saying look guys trust me if you do this it will change your lives and then via the Conservatives Brexit did happen this golden egg thing that he said I will live and down this this this policy this idea and it failed and no one no one has interrogated him over that because it was sort of under the cloak of the Conservatives so he's one of those rare instances where he's a populist who actually had a shot at creating real political policy and it didn't work but no one wants to attack him because as you guys have mentioned before if you attack Brexit as a decision on the part of voters you risk alienating them and making them sound like listen aha you got it wrong and you know Keir Starmer's the least likely to want to do that and since you mentioned Starmer now there's a man who probably doesn't have a silhouette is that his problem?
23:34he has no cultural imprint like it's hard something we've talked about on the show a lot are you saying he's not a wrestling fan? It's one of those things, but if he was a wrestling fan, right, you'd never believe he was. Much like, as he talks about football, he's like, I absolutely love The Undertaker. You know, like, no one's going to believe him talking about that, right? So, like, is that the problem? He doesn't have an imprint or a silhouette? Well, we go from, you know, being in America during the documentary to going to a Tuesday drinking club just in honour of Donald Trump. We met the Triumph Trump's Day Tuesdays drinking club.
24:05A weekly gathering of MAGA fans who get battered every Tuesday for Trump. I can't imagine a Starmer Sunday Slurp Club, right? No one's wearing his face on their T-shirt. But Lewis, actually, I don't know whether that is necessarily... That's not a bad thing, really. No, no. Is it? I don't know if that is a bad thing. But what I would say is that I think it's almost like a slight paradigm shift in that because of the economic financial shit show we are, how deep and how viscous a quagmire that is, I think any politician who gets into who's in power now and for the foreseeable is going to be unpopular.
24:40It's almost as if you have to be that sacrificial lamb because the scale of the burden to which you're trying to reduce can't be fixed quickly. So it's almost like viewing leadership as this huge axe that you use just to take as best a bloody swing as you can at that tree trunk, pass it on to the next one. But any politician entering the race saying, we're going to ride into the sunset on the back of my bright white shining horse, it's just not going to happen. Well, that's what Burnham's doing. That's what Streeting's doing. So you're not impressed by him. Well, no, no, but if it gets him into power, so long as the intention is, well, look, I know the task at hand.
25:12And to be honest, at the end of these four years, I probably won't be very popular. But that's fine because I've started to reduce this problem and get us out of this deficit doom loop. I take it. If Andy Burnham were a wrestler, if Wes Streeting were a wrestler, if Andy Burnham were a wrestler. Well, we did have someone called the British Bulldog, who I think was Canadian. Johnson would be gutted not to do that. He'd have to be called the Burn, wouldn't he? Is there not one? Is there not the Northerner? Burn, baby, Burnham. What do they call him? The King of the North? King of the North. That's quite interesting.
25:40That's catchy. And streeting? He belongs to the streets. That phrase I know won't resonate with you. What makes you say that, Munya? No, you have never used the term belongs to the streets. I'm always talking about belonging to the streets. I have to say, Munya. That's crazy. I never thought I'd hear that term. I'm always saying, John Sopel, you belong to the streets, my friend. That is crazy. You're actually starting a rivalry. The mean streets of Sydney. Correct, yes. Yeah, you two are going to be... Just near Bondi Beach. You and John Stoeple, WrestleMania this year. I'll take him down. You get full marks for news agents' knowledge.
26:14Really? Yeah. Can I say something? Just sprinkled in. Lovely. Real politician trick, that. You just listened to the last episode and then mentioned it repeatedly. The penultimate. Very good. I shouldn't say this, but do you know that there's... On my Notes app, this is Glaze Central. Sorry? Yeah, don't Google that. You get the transcript. No, no. I write a list of words that Lewis uses that I don't understand. do you want to know how I got on there self-flagellation alright Mr. Viscous bloody quagmire I'm taking no lectures from this guy back to the streets son back to the streets with you pal thank you thanks for coming in absolute pleasure really fun felicitations to you do I win the donut
27:01when people turn to telehealth or weight loss they're looking for real support that's why more people are choosing orderlymeds.com. Orderly Meds connects you with real doctors and access to proven GLP-1 medications like semaglutide and terzeptatide. No guessing, just a more supportive experience and all shipped directly to your door in discreet packaging. Do your research, ask questions, then visit orderlymeds.com slash podcast for an exclusive offer. That's orderlymeds.com slash podcast. Individual results may vary. Not medical advice, eligibility required. See site for details.
Read the full transcript
27:39So the Prime Minister had some good news today. In fact, he's had quite a lot of good news recently on the policy front, which we might talk about, but this relates to immigration. Figures came out this morning from the Office for National Statistics which said that net migration to the UK, so the difference between the number of people coming in versus leaving every year, fell to 171 ,000 in 2025. That is the lowest level actually since 2012, if you exclude Covid, if you include Covid, then since 2021. The figure reached a peak of 944 ,000 at its peak, now down to fewer than 171 ,000. And there's also good news, and that's the regular migration, the number of people arriving legally.
28:25Also good news on so-called illegal migration, people coming in small boats and via other means. The actual number of people claiming asylum in the UK is down 12 % on the year and the number of asylum seekers in hotels was down by a third compared to the peak. So on almost every level, immigration coming down. The Prime Minister was asked about it this morning. Very pleased to see the migration figures this morning come down significantly. And that's obviously on the top of the news about waiting lists last week where we had a record drop in waiting lists. And, of course, the news about growth, the money we've got in our economy, the fastest growing economy in the G7.
29:07So that's all really good news within about a week or so. And, of course, today we're announcing cost of living package for the summer for families. So I'm really proud that we're getting on and delivering. Thank you very much. Is it all too little too late, do you think, Prime Minister? No, this is really good delivery. This is really significant. So I'm very, very pleased. All of those figures are good news. Taken together, they're a very strong package. And are you willing to take on Andy Burnham in a leadership contest? I mean, as discussed earlier, he does not sell that with bombast, but the figures are absolutely extraordinary.
29:36This is a drop of 47 percent year on year. This is amongst non-EU nationals. And if you look at the number in terms of asylum seekers living in hotels whilst those claims are processed, and don't forget how much of our content was sort of spent talking about the protests and the asylum hotels and the kind of counter protests. And that was really such a sort of vocal part of our politics for so long. That number has also fallen by a third to just under 21 ,000. Now, I'm sure there'll be people saying that's still 21 ,000 too many or that is still 171 ,000 immigrants too many because, frankly, there are people who would like it to be absolutely, you know, net zero.
30:26But actually, from where this country has come from, and let's be frank, it wasn't all done under Labour. I think the whole process was started under Rishi Sunak. Part of it was curbs to how long students could stay. And part of it was curbs to who could come into the country as a spouse and what they had to earn to do so. But if you want to judge this government by their immigration record, this would be an extraordinary moment to do so because they have essentially done something nobody, I think, thought a year ago they could pull off, which is a cut in half of those immigration numbers. yeah it's down by 50 pretty much on the year um which obviously labour can uh take credit for um if you look as well when you drill down into the figures further still about 813 000 long-term migrants arrived in the uk last year and of the 627 000 non-eu arrivals roughly half of those came to study so again if you actually drill down into the figures most people although we include them in the migration figures most people often do look at students not really as migrants in the in the typical sense so again you can see that you know when you actually drill down into the figures the numbers of people actually coming to work and take up jobs is at a low level particularly by comparison to previous years and can I just say one thing obviously the biggest figure in all this which we shouldn't ignore is the number of people who are leaving which sits at 640 ,000 Now, you could argue that that is not great, actually.
32:01If your immigration number is falling, your net immigration number is falling because so many people are leaving, it does beg the question, why are so many Brits now leaving the country? Is it because, you know, we keep hearing this. Young people think that this doesn't have enough going for them or there aren't enough jobs or they worry that they're not going to have the sort of standard of living that their parents had or all the rest of it. Is that driving the emigration out of this country? and that is, you know, pretty high, 640 ,000 people. That is clearly three times the number that are coming in right now.
32:35So I guess that is part of the whole kind of question, the equation that we are looking at. But where this takes us, and I think this is probably the next question, is what happens to Shabana Mahmood, the Home Secretary's reforms now? Does the Labour Party say, yay, we like what she's doing, you know, carry on doing that? Or does the Labour Party, does the Parliamentary Party say, well if things are going well you know in brackets if if this is already being achieved then you can drop your next level which was starting to change the rules around a definite leave to remain whereby you had to double the length of time that you were in the country before you could actually claim that and there might there may now be a pushback in terms of you know labour policy as to whether they want to go ahead with that or not yeah i mean just in terms of course of the people leaving the country not all of those people will be brits i mean some of them will be migrants themselves who have been here and have decided to go.
33:29So it's a sort of the emigration picture, which a lot of the right are focusing on, suggesting that there's this huge sort of emigration of British nationals. I mean, there has been some, and there has been a bit of a worrying trend of some younger people going abroad. Perhaps not surprising when you consider the youth unemployment problem that we've got in the country, which is getting worse at the moment. But very often these are migrants or students who've finished their studies and they go abroad. I think that, and of course we should say as well, that, you know, as ever with policy, there are trade-offs.
33:56I mean, one of the ways in which the government have really drilled down and managed to sort of reduce immigration in this way is they've reduced quite severely the number of visas they're giving to people in the care sector, for example. And you get people in the care sector saying, well, we can't fill these places and we've got a social care crisis. So there's always trade-offs with this sort of stuff. I think the other thing, of course, to say is that it's interesting to consider how this will play politically. Because on the one hand, what you can say, and we have got evidence now, that salience in terms of immigration, how much do voters care about it, does seem to have been dropping down the polling.
34:29So pollsters ask, what are the big issues you care about? There was a period a couple of years ago, perhaps unsurprisingly, when that migration was at nearly a million, when in poll after poll, migration was at the very top of the tree in terms of concern for the public. Well, salience comes when it's the thing that you worry about most, which is normally the thing that either politicians are talking about most, i.e. reform and virage, or you actually notice it and feel it. Indeed so. But that has been ticking down over the last few months and immigration is no longer at the top. The economy is at the top.
34:58Interesting to consider whether that might be might be one of the reasons why reform, although they did very well, of course, in those local elections, it's true to say that their polling trend over the course of the last six months or so has been on the down. They've been getting less popular. It does tend to be. We've got enough experience to say now that when migration is at the top of the news agenda day after day after day, Farage tends to have something to say about that and he tends to become more popular. They have less to say about the economy. There is, of course, one caveat to that, though, which is that, as we've discussed on this show before, stats are stats and they're fine.
35:32But as the Prime Minister himself said the other day, spreadsheets are fine, but you need to tell a story. And even when there is evidence to show that even when immigration is going down, the public still think it's going up. So polls which were conducted over the course of the last year, when migration was going down, you ask the public is migration going up or down they'll tell you it's going up and that also tells us why it's so important for certainly labour politicians to get the message out there that they've had this success story in its own terms that they've done what they said they were going to do which is reduce migration now whether you can ever please the ferragers of this world is another question because they'll just say what needs to be even fewer but nonetheless you do have to land that message with the public otherwise they'll just listen to snake oil salesmen who are telling you that it's going up when it's completely and this is a real moment that was why i mean just to go back to those comments from kirstama any other politician would have had you know frankly the metaphorical bunting out at that point there would have been champagne pops and and cake um and i think they would have landed something that said you've asked us you've told us this matters to you we've shown you we can do it right something that was very very simple and that really drove the point home and I think there is still work to be done on that messaging.
36:45But in the overall look of what's happened in the last two weeks, you have to say it's been really weird because this time a week ago, we were in the middle of what felt like the absolute frenzy, right, of a leadership contest that could have seen at one point Keir Starmer virtually removed overnight, right? There was a point on Monday and Tuesday where we thought things could happen so quickly, particularly if where streeting had had the numbers and was prepared to make the challenge that things could literally have sort of accelerated into a place where we just didn't know who was going to be prime minister by the end of the week and then this time this week we have got hugely beneficial immigration figures for the government we've got growth figures we've got i mean fair to say the unemployment figures that it came out are worse we've got lower inflation figures.
37:36These are all, I guess, incremental, but they are about the direction of travel. And so there is a story here that if Keir Starmer was possibly a better storyteller, he could weave together into something that really shored up his position right now. You know, his team's just won the league. You know, he's an Arsenal fan. This should be an extraordinarily good week for him all round when he can point to one, two, three. We did it on immigration we're doing it on growth we've got a handle on this you know and you start to say that that should be a sort of blank canvas for somebody to go look at this this is actually working it couldn't all have happened in the first two months of my government but it is happening after the first two and a half years yeah i mean like look um i think you could make an argument that this week has been one of the best weeks on just on paper in terms of figures and news stories it's been one of the best weeks for any government possibly since the Cameron government I mean you've mentioned it Emily, you've got the best growth in G7, now I think the government are a bit reluctant to major on that too much because they know that the next growth figures will take account of the Iran war.
38:44The first quarter for some reason is always good and is always revised upwards Yeah there's two things going on, there's like for some reason which is basically statistical our growth tends to be sort of tends to come at the start of the year and the first quarter is good but also of course that quarter doesn't take into to account the Iran war, and the next quarter will. So I think they're a bit reluctant to major on it too much. But nonetheless, best growth figures in G7, inflation down, waiting list down at the sharpest rate since 2008, immigration halved, and if you're a Labour person, you can say rail and steel have been, you know, continue on their progress to nationalisation.
39:16And that's a great thing. And I don't know, I sort of think, I put this to a Labour person and I said, well, why? I understand that about the political pressures, but given Starmer is in such a hole, Surely this is a great moment to come out fighting, come out swinging. Do your billboards. Imagine if Johnson had had that news. Completely. Imagine if Trump had had that news. You'd never hear the end of it. You'd never have heard the end of it. And yes, you've got a hostile media. And yes, it's true to say that the newspapers, they always put on the front pages, the right wing papers, when immigration's up, they never put it on when it's down.
39:46Yeah, you've got... So all the more reason to get out there and sing that song. And shout about it. And instead, again, they've got the Chancellor out there talking about the price of biscuits. I do think, again, there's something going wrong with that number 10 media grid. I did put this to someone and they were like, I think, Lewis, I'm afraid if you speak to number 10 at the moment, it almost feels like they've given up. But this is a moment, if Starmer has any hope of surviving, I don't think he sounded like he'd given up. Not him personally, but the sort of, if you were thinking, right, how do we keep the Prime Minister in office?
40:12These aren't a bad set of foundations at all on which to try and build that. But if you've got to do that, you've got to prove to the party at large and the parliamentary party that you can sing that song. And this morning we had him just outside Downing Street doing that. no sort of media event around it. And they would have known what was coming. And frankly, sending out the Chancellor, who was one of their worst media performers, talking about, you know, cuts in VAT and the price of biscuits. Yeah, and getting heckled. I tell you something, one extra thing. And I was talking to a fairly senior banker and economist the other night.
40:43And they said, do you know what? Nobody talks about this, but there is currently shed loads of money knocking around in people's accounts and savings. This is full savings as a result of COVID. You know, money from Covid has not been spent. The saving rates in the private sector are at the highest they've been for a long time. In other words, there was that huge transfer from the public sector in furlough to the private sector. We never really spent the Covid money because it was impossible during Covid. And a lot of people have kept hold of those savings. Curiously enough, though, they are in cash.
41:17What does that tell you? It tells you that people have money but are nervous about investing. They are nervous about spending it. They do not want to rely on it actually being there. So it's kind of it's being used, you know, as a buffer, as a nest egg rather than as something that they can put back into the economy as investment or as something to sort of generate more growth. And I think that is a kind of question at the moment that there is, you know, there is clearly stuff that can be done if people feel confident, but they're not feeling confident, which goes back to the messaging. Get the messaging out, make people feel there is something they can start investing in and they will.
41:53Just on the perception gap that I mentioned, I mean, actually polling just published today by British Future, which is a think tank, shows that despite the sharp drop in migration, even over the past year, never mind the figures that we've just had, but even before that, 50 % of the public said that it had increased and expected it to rise again this year. Fewer than one in five expected immigration to fall, which does tell you something about how poorly the government has managed to, and the Labour Party has managed to, communicate that message. And whether it's Starmer, whether it's Burnham or whoever.
42:23And interesting that, as you say, Andy Burnham is suggesting that he will stick to Shabana Mahmood's immigration reforms. Whoever it is, they've got to sell that message. Yeah, it is asymmetric politics. And as Muni was just telling us, you know, if Nigel Farage appears on I'm a Celebrity and manages to talk directly to people and talk on a mainstream kind of family viewing show about how terrible immigration is, that's the message that people are going to hear. They're not going to hear a doorstep by the prime minister on the day that these things come out. Right. We will be back with more just after this.
43:03From a range of trusted voices and award-winning journalists. Good morning, I'm Nick Ferrari. It's time to get to your calls. Find out the latest news and hear every side of the story. So just as I take responsibility for the results, I also take responsibility for delivering the change that we promise for a stronger and fairer Britain that we must build. Nah, he's still toast. He's just wasting our time now. The words of two in a growing list of Labour MPs whose patience with the Prime Minister has run dry. is there anything he said or can say to make you want him to stay? Listen on our free Global Player app or the LBC app.
43:39LBC, leading Britain's conversation. When people turn to healthcare for weight loss, they're looking for real support. That's why more people are choosing orderlymeds.com. Orderly Meds connects you with real doctors and access to proven GLP-1 medications like semaglutide and terzepatide. No guessing, just a more supportive experience. and all shipped directly to your door in discreet packaging. Do your research. Ask questions. Then visit orderlymeds.com slash podcast for an exclusive offer. That's orderlymeds.com slash podcast. Individual results may vary. Not medical advice. Eligibility required.
44:12See site for details.
44:20Well, before we go, a little bit of good news. We like to keep you up to date on some of the characters that we meet over the years, out and about on the news agents. And we have a special, and we have some job news about George Woodward. Now, you might remember George. We met him on the roads of Wigan not long ago during the general election in June 2024. He had some interesting thoughts as an aspiring reform MP in that election on the immigration problems we've got in this country. Just listen to this. What makes you want to stand for reform? I'm passionate about this country. and I think reform represents a real change and we can fix things going forward.
45:01You weren't involved with the party before, the sort of Brexit party or UKIP or any of the other iterations? Only as a voter, no volunteering, no involvement at all. It's my first delve into politics. What was it that made you decide that you wanted to get involved? It was the state of the country, I think. Mainly migration is what drives me to get involved. I think I had a moment last year, I was coming through an airport and I was at the arrivals, you know, the British border and I was like, wow, you know, there's a lot of people coming in here and we need to re-examine this, you know. What, at the airport?
45:30Yeah, yeah. A lot of those are really tourists, presumably, or British people coming back from abroad on holiday. Some of them, yeah. Some of them, absolutely. Some not, so you can tell. Lots of people at the airport. Well, some good news for George. He's just become the leader of St. Helens Borough Council, in charge of a budget of over£200 million a year. congratulations George and good luck St Helens we'll see you tomorrow bye bye this has been a Global Player original production
From the publisher
Before he was ever taken seriously as a politician, Donald Trump was very much taken seriously in the world of wrestling.
His relationship with WWE stretches back as far as the 1980s - he went on to headline Wrestlemania and even challenged founder Vince McMahon to a match during a running feud.
But what if wrestling was where Trump learned how to win the White House? Reality-defying performances, smack talk, and stunts are, after all, quintessentially Trumpian techniques.
Munya Chawawa thinks that Trump's origin story in politics might start in the ring - and came into the studio to discuss why.
Later, it was announced today that net migration has fallen by almost half, to its lowest level since the Covid pandemic. But will Keir Starmer be able to claim any credit for it?
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