In short
The episode of The News Agents focuses mainly on Donald Trump’s claim that paracetamol (Tylenol) taken during pregnancy is linked to autism, and on UK minister Wes Streeting’s response.
Key claims
Streeting says there is no evidence linking paracetamol use in pregnancy to autism, citing a 2024 Swedish study of 2.4 million children that found no link. The hosts argue Trump’s remarks are dangerous because they may cause pregnant women to avoid pain relief, and they criticize “mainstreaming” vaccine/science skepticism associated with RFK Jr.
Notable examples
Andrew Wakefield’s MMR scare; Trump’s past bleach/disinfectant remarks during COVID briefings; autism diagnosis rising (CDC: 1 in 31 eight-year-olds vs 150 in 2007).
Guests
John, Emily, and Lewis (the show’s regular hosts).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOTrump's Unfounded Claims on Acetaminophen
0:07 to 0:21
Discussion on Trump's claims about Tylenol and autism risk.
“With plans covering stuff basic homeowners insurance usually won't.”
Trump's Unfounded Claims on Acetaminophen
0:49 to 1:49
Discussion on Trump's claims about Tylenol and autism risk.
“which is basically commonly known as Tylenol, during pregnancy can be associated with a very increased risk of autism.”
Wes Streeting's Response
1:49 to 4:05
Wes Streeting rebuffs Trump's claims about paracetamol use.
“So you're just going to go into Australian parry, are you?”
The Science Behind Paracetamol and Autism
4:05 to 5:51
Exploration of studies disproving Trump's claims about paracetamol.
“Now, you could say, well, this is the very least we could expect, given that scientifically speaking, he's clearly very, very wrong.”
Public Health and Vaccine Skepticism
5:51 to 8:03
Discussion on vaccine skepticism and public health implications.
“And just to explain, there was a study done in Sweden, 2.4 million children, which categorically showed no link between Tylenol, paracetamol and autism.”
Trump's Contradictory Stance on Vaccines
8:03 to 12:21
Analysis of Trump's historical and current views on vaccines.
“So Trump, I mean, obviously, who often sort of flips in the wind about all sorts of things and has lots of passing fancies.”
Challenges in Science Communication
12:21 to 14:00
Challenges of communicating scientific facts in a polarized environment.
“There were only 12 reporters there because there was Covid restrictions on the numbers.”
Concerns Around Medical Advice and Credibility
14:00 to 18:09
The discussion highlights the dangers of misinformation in medical contexts and the importance of clear communication from experts.
“And the danger with that is, is that it does tend to ignore concerns that people can have that.”
The Impact of Trump's Statements on Public Health
18:10 to 20:48
The hosts analyze how Trump's comments on Tylenol and autism can influence public perception and health decisions.
“Of course, we know some people are going to have an adverse reaction to Tylenol, just like some people had an adverse reaction to Covid.”
The Undermining of Trust in Scientific Institutions
20:49 to 24:47
A discussion on how political statements can erode public trust in scientific institutions and the implications for society.
“And God knows what kind of a pregnancy they or their child will have.”
Show all 15 chapters
The Undermining of Trust in Scientific Institutions
24:48 to 25:47
A discussion on how political statements can erode public trust in scientific institutions and the implications for society.
“The RFK wanted her to say about vaccine concerns.”
Farage's Immigration Policy and Its Implications
25:56 to 28:00
An overview of Nigel Farage's new immigration policy and the potential effects on long-term residents in the UK.
“It will not be for foreign-born nationals.”
Debating Immigration Policies and Farage's Strategy
28:00 to 39:56
Explore the implications of immigration policy changes and the political tactics used by figures like Nigel Farage.
“but the indefinite leave to remain status that he intends to take away from people who have had it for years.”
Argentina's Economic Challenges and Political Landscape
40:04 to 42:00
Discuss the current economic issues in Argentina and the role of Javier Milei and Donald Trump.
“I thought, hang on, but he's right wing and going to cut government spending.”
Argentina's Economic Crisis and Midterm Implications
42:00 to 43:53
Explore Argentina's IMF borrowing and its impact on U.S. politics and Trump.
“And we now learn that in the past six months, they have had to borrow from the IMF.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00A burst pipe. A dead water heater. The AC calling it quits. Who do you call? HomeServe is an easy way to handle unexpected home repairs. With plans covering stuff basic homeowners insurance usually won't. Instead of scrambling for a contractor, you make one call to get the repair process started. Join the millions of customers who trust HomeServe right now. Go to homeserve.com slash podcast for 50 % less your first year. That's homeserve.com slash podcast. Savings compared to renewal price void in Florida. This is a Global Player original podcast. Effective immediately, the FDA will be notifying physicians at the use of acetaminophen.
0:48Acetaminophen. Is that okay? which is basically commonly known as Tylenol, during pregnancy can be associated with a very increased risk of autism. Pregnant women of the world may be saved by the mere fact that Donald Trump can't even pronounce the very drug he's trying to warn them off. He has made a claim without any evidence, and I say that again without any evidence, that he believes Tylenol, a paracetamol drug in the US, is linked to autism. It isn't. But how easy is it to laugh off the words of the president? Because just by saying it, isn't he going to affect the behaviour of millions of people on the basis of, well, next to nothing?
1:49Welcome to The News Agents.
1:54The News Agents. It's John. It's Emily. It's Lewis.
1:58Lewis Goodall:Go on, say that again. It's John. Yes. It's John, mate. G'day. G'day. How you doing? I'm fine. So you're just going to go into Australian parry, are you? Yeah, exactly. Are you going to make jokes about where's my bush hat with the corks hanging down? Don't talk about your bush hat. Don't talk about anything like that. We got the Tim Tams. You don't need to hear those words from you. We got the macadamias. We did not get the kangaroo. No. Where's my wallaby? Well, next time, next time. Kangaroo steaks. Very good, actually. I've had one. Yeah. Yeah. So Tylenol in America, what we call paracetamol in the UK, is now on Donald Trump's hit list.
2:34And whilst there have been the odd study which says that, you know, a huge usage of paracetamol during pregnancy could cause problems, this doesn't seem to be based on any scientific fact whatsoever. Yet the leader of America, who has support of 35, 40 percent of the population who think he can do no wrong, is now pronouncing into a really dangerous territory on advice of what causes autism, on what babies should have in terms of jabs, which is going to cause chaos. And the health professionals in America are so alarmed at what he said. Not just in America. This is Wes Streeting, who was speaking on Lorraine this morning, having to rebuff literally the leader of the free world.
3:19There's been an awful lot of concern over remarks that Donald Trump made about the link between pregnant women taking paracetamol. And it's really, we've had so many calls from people, they're frightened, they're scared. Pregnant women are saying, what's going to happen? You know, they're worried. What's the NHS advice?
3:34Lewis Goodall:I've just got to be really clear about this. There is no evidence to link the use of paracetamol by pregnant women to autism in their children. None. In fact, a major study was done back in 2024 in Sweden involving 2.4 million children and it did not uphold those claims. so I would just say to people watching don't pay any attention whatsoever to what Donald Trump says about medicines in fact don't even take my word for it as a politician, listen to British doctors, British scientists the NHS I thought that was actually, just on the politics before we talk about the science, I thought that was extremely striking from streeting, it has been very rare since the Trump inauguration in January, it has been very very rare to hear a British government minister unequivocally say that Donald Trump is wrong about anything.
4:31Lewis Goodall:Now, you could say, well, this is the very least we could expect, given that scientifically speaking, he's clearly very, very wrong. But he made it very personal there. He said, you shouldn't listen to what Donald Trump has got to say about science. Very, very striking, considering how generally British government ministers under Keir Starmer have been very, very reluctant to criticise the president. And the fact he said, don't just take it from me, I think speaks to a wider question, which is Trump is clearly playing into something. And to put this in perspective, this theory was sort of pushed by his health secretary, RFK Jr., who has been toying around the edges of what creates autism, what has sort of fuelled autism in the US.
5:11is it that autism has grown exponentially or is it that the diagnosis of autism and what it actually constitutes has grown? And we have seen a series of policy changes from RFK in the last sort of few weeks around, for example, the MMR vaccine and whether that should be given to newborns. He said not around the hepatitis jab and whether that should be given to newborns. And he said not. And the Tylenol study is him trying to weave together tiny bits of sort of hearsay and studies that have been done over years that have not proved anything conclusively and handed it to the president who's now said it on the podium.
5:53And just to explain, there was a study done in Sweden, 2.4 million children, which categorically showed no link between Tylenol, paracetamol and autism. that was done literally just over a year ago. But I think the real problem with this story, and that's something that we're kind of discovering, is even the coverage of it is problematic. Because as soon as you start putting those words together, you know, in a headline, in an article, on a podcast, Tylenol, autism, all the rest of it, you will worry people, as Lorraine said. Pregnant women are incredibly vulnerable already because they feel like they carry so much responsibility, so much kind of pre-birth guilt on what is happening to their child in the womb, that anything that suggests they might be about to do something wrong makes you panic.
6:45And, you know, I've done it myself. When my kids were born, I had my babies. It was just in the wake of the Andrew Wakefield MMR. Absolute scandal. He was the first person to say. He was the first person. And I got terrified about giving the kids the jug. Is it OK? Is it all right? You know, I read the news, I read evidence, I look at data and I was still in that position where I was suddenly unsure of the ground beneath my feet because it's like a worm in your brain. It starts to implant something that starts to make you feel guilty. I think the thing that is so hard to compute is that if you look over history of public health, I mean, the vaccine programme, the vaccine against polio.
7:24And my mother died a few years ago. She'd had polio. She suffered with it her whole life. It's bloody awful. The idea that this vaccine came along, which prevented polio spreading. It was fantastic. The MMR vaccine has seen a massive reduction in measles and mumps and all those other debilitating diseases, which can kill in children, has been an amazing thing. Which is killing in Texas, in children. Exactly. So the idea that you find one little report that says there may be a problem with it and you cling to that rather than the body of evidence is something that i find so interesting about the pathology of america in conspiracy theory land where you distrust what any expert says and if you've got 500 people saying 500 leading medical professionals saying this is okay and you get one saying oh it could be bloody dangerous you believe the person who's saying
8:18Lewis Goodall:it's bloody dangerous it's mad i think it's very interesting that trump has been um so interested in this subject for so long. So Trump, I mean, obviously, who often sort of flips in the wind about all sorts of things and has lots of passing fancies. I mean, I actually wasn't aware until reading about it this morning that Trump's interest in autism goes back to at least 2007. You know, he was hosting leaders of kind of advocacy groups who were themselves, even at that time, sceptical about the interplay between vaccines or the suggestion that there's an interplay between vaccines and autism. Down in Mar-a-Lago in 2007, you know, this is something that he has sort of been consistently interested in and obsessed about.
8:56Lewis Goodall:And indeed now, of course, he is flanked. And the fact he was doing this from the Roosevelt Room in the White House, flanked by RFK, his health secretary, who himself, of course, is perhaps the most famous vaccine sceptic slash vaccine conspiracy theorist in the world, is extremely telling because this thing that was once niche, this scepticism about vaccines, this sort of that was confined to kind of the fringes of politics, has obviously become deeply mainstreamed within the right of American politics, but also in our own country as well. I mean, RFK, before he was confirmed by the Senate, told everyone what he was going to do and what he believed.
9:37We knew about his vaccine scepticism. We knew about the rabbit holes of his health conspiracies. The whole movement is called Make America Healthy Again, which so far seems to have basically led to a measles outbreak, as I said, in Texas, and to moves that will now make it infinitely harder for health professionals to give newborn babies jabs that can save them from very serious diseases. And yet he was still confirmed in the job. It's kind of on a lot of people's shoulders, this. You know, there was no moment at which he said, oh, well, actually, there was a moment where he said, I still believe in vaccines, I think.
10:17But he broadly brought to the table the whole of MAGA conspiracy into that role. And everyone was like, well, we've got to give him a chance.
10:27Lewis Goodall:But then there's that irony, isn't it, that it was Trump more than anybody else. If you if you had to point to a singular kind of policy achievement, the first Trump administration, it was Operation Warp Speed. It was Operation Warp Speed, which was the programme which developed and unveiled at speed the vaccine. So as ever with the COVID vaccine, so as ever with Trump, there is that contradiction and paradox that he both kind of surfs in these waters. But also he himself, arguably, is most responsible for the very thing that so many. He had Fauci. I mean, he had Anthony Fauci, who he obviously then turned into enemy number one.
10:58Lewis Goodall:But he wanted it at that time because that's what he saw as the key to reopening and putting COVID to bed, which it was. But he was also doing things like kind of advancing the drug hydroxychloroquine, which is an anti-malarial, anti-rheumatic drug for treating Covid. And people started taking hydroxychloroquine with the consequence that they were suddenly having a heart arrhythmia. And there were all sorts of other side effects from it. It was never a drug that was meant for curing Covid or dealing with Covid. I think this is the moment that we have to remind our listeners and our viewers of bleach.
11:27So, supposing we hit the body with a tremendous, whether it's ultraviolet or just very powerful light, and I think you said that hasn't been checked, but you're going to test it. And then I said, supposing you brought the light inside the body, which you can do either through the skin or in some other way. And I think you said you're going to test that, too. Sounds interesting. Right, and then I see the disinfectant where it knocks it out in a minute, one minute. And is there a way we can do something like that by injection inside or almost a cleaning? Because you see it gets on the lungs and it does a tremendous number on the lungs.
12:11So it'd be interesting to check that. So that you're going to have to use medical doctors with. But it sounds interesting to me. Yeah, a bit of swallowing the old bleach there. Swallowing on a bit of bleach. Yeah, I was in the room for that briefing. There were only 12 reporters there because there was Covid restrictions on the numbers. And I had arranged to go backstage into the White House afterwards to speak to the press secretary about something. And I pulled the door that leads into lower press in the White House. And there was this council of war going on because clearly they had recognised what an utter fuck up it was of what Trump had just said.
12:42and that night I went back to my home and got an email from the press secretary of the biggest bleach manufacturer in America a company that makes Clorox saying essentially whatever you do do not listen to the president of the United States of America when he's advising you to take bleach inside your body and you know I can imagine that if you're the comms director for a bleach company you're normally writing press releases about the new peach scented bleach that we're bringing out for this spring and instead of which you had this guy having to write a press release saying please don't swallow please don't listen to the president please don't swallow any bleach don't swallow anything that we make or that he says yeah exactly completely i do think though
13:23Lewis Goodall:with this there is i think there was a lesson for those of us and the side of politics and the media who want to kind of report responsibly and want to and believe in expertise which is this which is i think one of the problems with having people like trump and then the kind of like mainstreaming of kind of conspiracy laden discourse about science and vaccines. And so one of the problems is, is that quite naturally we in the media who do not believe that and believe in, you know, trying to get the correct facts and evidence out there. Naturally, then sort of the natural reaction is to then sort of almost swing in unequivocally behind the idea that science is sort of complete.
13:58Lewis Goodall:And there's one scientific explanation. And the danger with that is, is that it does tend to ignore concerns that people can have that. and I'm not saying this is true in this case, but it has been true in the past, that science can be wrong and that there are plenty and plenty of examples in the past of where doctors or medical experts or whatever have said things which later turned out to be true. You know, we covered one earlier in the year on this show about sodium valparate. Sodium valparate, which was a drug which was prescribed to women who had epilepsy and were consistently told there was no danger to your baby, et cetera, et cetera.
14:30Lewis Goodall:And it turned out, actually, there was a profound danger both to the woman and to the baby themselves. I think the danger can be that when those things then do happen, it allows those who are sceptical or the conspiracy theorists to say, ah, you see, it is part of this sort of big conspiracy. So I do think that both politicians and the media have to find a kind of language which is sympathetic to those who are not down the rabbit hole but can have concerns and at the same time basically recognise expertise where it exists. I think that is a challenge. I disagree. And I'll tell you why I disagree, because I think what we saw, for example, recently was when Trump bought federal troops on the streets of Washington and is now spreading further afield.
15:09The Democrats were caught in the headlights. I mean, I remember that piece we talk about Maureen Dowd, who said, oh, well, you know, the Democrats do have to recognize there's a lot of crime and don't play down crime because otherwise, you know, we just feed into people's worries that we don't understand it. it's a very very different thing if scientists are talking about a link between autism and Tylenol if there are credible voices talking about a link between autism and Tylenol
15:36Lewis Goodall:then I think we take it off and I'm not saying it's credible but there are some scientists who would say that there is a precautionary principle involved and it's best used a precautionary principle I mean I'm just saying that I think that's dangerous I think the trouble is and I've been looking at the New York Times reporting now which is like oh well there was this study and this study and this study and this study, but they didn't make up to that study. Like if I was a pregnant woman and I was suddenly seeing everyone talking about this and enlarging it and amplifying it, and I keep on seeing the word Tylenol everywhere and I keep on seeing autism, that's going to freak me out.
16:07I mean, that line from Trump, right? And just to put this in context, if you have a fever as a pregnant woman and you don't take pain killers, you don't try and abate the fever, you are probably doing much, much more harm to your unborn baby than if you leave it. And his advice was to tough it out. I mean, I don't know what kind of macho shtick he's playing, but I just think it's very confusing. I think you have to be really categoric when something like this happens and say, this is not true, there is no evidence to support it. Fine, go off and do your scientific investigation. Talk about autism, talk about the rise, talk about things that are behind it, but be really, really clear when it comes to something like this that you are not trying to lead people off to go and investigate.
16:52Isn't the problem that you get today is that you've either got to talk in purely black or purely white. And there are times when you do need nuance. Of course, there are going to be side effects with drugs. All sorts of every drug that exists that's on the market will have some side effects for certain types of people. But that's not a side effect. I mean, you cannot say that autism, you know, that a drug that leads to autism is a side effect. That would be that would be enough to take it off the market forever. But going back to, you know, the kind of introduction of the Covid vaccine, it was the record fast time in which the vaccine was produced.
17:27It was legitimate that there were some concerns among people. I wanted to get the vaccine as soon as I bloody could. I wanted to protect myself from, you know, getting Covid because of, you know, the various risk factors, etc, etc, etc. And so I was very, very keen. You know, I I believed in it. But when you start to question and people say you're being ludicrous and you're being a conspiracy theorist, I don't think that wins anyone over. I think that you've got to somehow kind of have a language which says, look, for the overwhelming majority, it's going to be absolutely safe. And for the small number of side effects, my God, not having a vaccine would be far worse.
18:03I don't think anyone's not saying that, though, are they? I mean, even West Streeting was very cautious. He says there is no evidence linking it. And I think that's the form of language you use. Of course, we know some people are going to have an adverse reaction to Tylenol, just like some people had an adverse reaction to Covid. Of course, we understand that, you know, even something that is 99 percent great, one percent of a whole population is a hell of a lot.
18:27Lewis Goodall:But I think in the Covid period in particular, because there was such understandable willingness and an understandable desire from governments to get as many people vaccinated as possible. I think the language which was used at the time, which was basically so absolutist, did open up a space for the conspiracy theories of the world. I think it would have actually been better to be more straightforward at the time. And for politicians, not so much the scientists, but the politicians as well, to sort of hold people's hand a little bit more. Because, look, I think people who honestly have got some problem, and as there are among the MAGA crowd in particular, vaccines which have been around for, in some cases, centuries, whether it's the polio vaccines you were saying, John, or whatever it happens to be.
19:06Lewis Goodall:That is one thing. You know, that is clearly crazy. There has been so much evidence literally across population after population across literally decades. It is nonsense. But with newer vaccines, I mean, the COVID vaccine was brought forward in record time. And I'm not surprised that there were people who were a little bit sceptical about it. And I think that it should have been OK within the public discourse to express that. And I think one of the other problems is a bit like the autism stuff. As always, Trump slightly alights upon some kernel of truth, right? which is that it is true to say that autism diagnoses have been going up.
19:38Lewis Goodall:One in 31 American eight-year-olds have an autism diagnosis today, according to the CDC. In 2007, the number was 150. I think right-thinking forces in the media and in politics should be okay to talk about that, to talk about the multifactorial reasons why that might be, because not doing so basically allows people like Trump to come along with nonsense conspiracy. I don't think anyone's not doing it. I mean, that's the point about this. Nobody is saying, oh, don't be silly. there's no problem with autism or there's, you know, you're kind of exaggerating. I mean, obviously, as I said at the beginning, we don't know whether that is a wider diagnosis or a wider understanding of autism or if it's a greater number of cases.
20:16That's still unknown. But I think the idea that, you know, scientists haven't been looking at this, that they haven't been running studies, that they haven't been trying out drugs, that they haven't been. I mean, obviously, you don't try out medical tests on pregnant women. But the idea that this hasn't been going on makes it sound like, you know, scientists are going down this blind alley of thinking everything's fine all the time. It's not. But when the leader of America stands up and makes that link, I think you have to be really clear that you're not kind of getting pulled down into his place.
20:47Because honestly, if you go online now and you just see Tylenol, autism, Tylenol, I guarantee you, I guarantee you there will be women who decide today that they will not take painkillers for their entire pregnancy. And God knows what kind of a pregnancy they or their child will have. Look, it was the height of irresponsibility to frame it and phrase it in the way that he did in a White House briefing that span out of control, predictably, and him saying stuff that was way beyond probably what had been agreed before they went into the room. He just said to pregnant women, Tylenol, do not take it.
21:21Now, there is no medical research which says do not take it. None at all. And yet the power of the presidency is that a huge number of people are going to be affected by all of that. And it is so classic Donald Trump, isn't it? That on so many things where there is just maybe a kernel of truth, a small snippet of something there. and he alights on it and thinks this is I've discovered something new and the power of the presidency being put to ill use which I think I mean if you're an American now you know what's going to happen to Tylenol sales will that be a good thing or a bad thing it will be a bad thing
21:59Lewis Goodall:it's also part of his overall shtick isn't it right I thought one of the most revealing parts of his conference yesterday was when he sort of started talking about Tylenol and then said I'm going to say it look I'm going to say it as if someone had been stopping him saying it or as if it was a kind of this great truth and that is central to trump's politics right the the and that's actually where he's really come unstuck with the sort of the epstein files and everything like that his whole he works best or his politics works best when he tries to portray himself as some sort of conduit from the public sticking it to the establishment the scientific establishment whatever it happens to be revealing some hidden truth that they've hidden from you and that was at least part of what yesterday was about and i think the global nature of it i mean i think the Lorraine clip shows that really clearly, that it's not Trump speaking to the American public.
22:45You can't contain that in a border. You can't contain that to America. As soon as he says that, we're all going, oh, what's the Tylenol equivalent? Oh, is that paracetamol? Is that the same drug? Is that the one? Have we got that? What would we be said? It's going on everywhere now. It's going on throughout the world now. People are now looking at whether they should not be taking painkillers in pregnancy. Look, I remember debates when I was in Washington about what should be put on the news where Donald Trump has again claimed that the 2020 election was stolen from him. And I would always ring up the news desk in London and say, you can't write it like that.
23:18You've got to say he didn't and with no evidence, make it clear. But as soon as you've got the claim, even with and with no evidence over the 2020 election. Yeah, it led to the ghastliness of January the 6th and the social disruption that that caused. And it was terrible in and of itself. But this is of a far more serious nature where you are playing with millions of people's health by saying something that has no factual basis for it. And that is genuinely playing with people's lives. I think it is all part of the same thing. I mean, you know, on the one hand, this is about direct consequences to people's health.
Read the full transcript
23:57And the election claim is about people's votes and American democracy. And I think it all ties into the same question, which is like fundamentally the one action that Trump is doing in office is undoing the repository of truth. Not to say, Lewis, to your point, totally that you can go and do your studies. You can go and check things out. You can go and try and work out what is the driver if there is one driver behind autism. Of course, we need to get to the bottom of that. Not that you shut down medical questions, but that you take what used to be a repository of truth and you basically make people feel that they just don't know.
24:38They just don't know. Oh, I thought I knew that, but I'm not sure. Oh, I thought the Bureau of Labour Statistics were the right figures for Labour Statistics, but I'm not sure. I mean, the CDC, the head of the CDC, the director of the CDC stepped down because she was being pushed to say things that were not true. The RFK wanted her to say about vaccine concerns. Right. So you're basically undoing the belief that people had in the institutions they trusted to tell the truth. And of course, for more on that story and the concern from the science community around President Trump's announcement, And LBC will have all the reaction from America and back here at home.
25:17You can listen on our free Global Player app.
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26:00The News Agents. Welfare will be for UK citizens only. It will not be for foreign-born nationals. Indeed, we'll become like most normal countries in the world. And in particular, what we're focusing on this morning is the Boris wave. The Boris wave, after his huge victory in 2019, and I think the millions that came in the years of his premiership, represents the greatest betrayal of democratic wishes, certainly in anyone's living memory.
26:38Lewis Goodall:So that was Nigel Farage speaking yesterday with their latest announcement saying that they will save 234 billion, this would be a reformed government, by banning foreigners, people who have indefinite leave to remain in the UK, so permanent residency basically, but not citizens, from claiming benefits. He argued that if he did this, it would reverse, as you heard there, the so-called Boris wave, as he's calling it, the sort of big, big wave of post-COVID immigration that we saw. But they've had to clarify today that perhaps they wouldn't quite save the massive 234 billion that they suggested because he said that there would be at least now reform saying an initial exemption for the 4 million EU citizens who have permanent settled status in the UK.
27:21Lewis Goodall:So the policy would initially be limited to 431 ,000 non-EU migrants. So if you consider that's quite a small number and then consider actually how many of those even claim benefits or work-related benefits in the first place, you can easily see how that massive 234 billion figure could quite quickly be whittled down substantially. There were a lot of questions in yesterday's press conference that the reform leader was either unwilling or simply unable to answer. And what I think lies at the heart of this is not what he is projecting doing in the future, but the indefinite leave to remain status that he intends to take away from people who have had it for years.
28:11In other words, if you came to this country many years ago, if you had children, if you then retired, what happens to you? Like, do you get kicked out? Do you get your status revoked and then are you deported? Do your children, as a result of that, no longer have their citizenship, no longer have their eligibility? What if you are on a pension? What if you are retired? You're no longer working. You've been used to claiming your pension. You've contributed to the tax system in the UK. You've worked. You've stopped. You're now on a pension. Do you still get kicked out? Do you lose that benefit? There were so many moments in that press conference where Farage had to return to his description of the Boris wave.
28:57And in a way, that's what he wanted it to be about. He wants it to say, you know, I'm sticking this to the Tories. I'm sticking it on the Tories. This is about a post-Brexit, you could argue post-Covid world in which Boris Johnson, as prime minister massively increased the number of people that were allowed to immigrate into the country after freedom of movement was stopped because we frankly didn't have enough people to run the health service or anything that was going on you know hospitality or the rest of it and so he's trying to stick it to boris johnson but there are so many questions now about what happens if you literally revoke the status of people who thought it was all you know settled.
29:35But doesn't this take us to the territory where is reform really preparing to be a party of government with well-costed detailed analysis of everything that it's doing or is it trying to make an argument and its argument is yeah we're going to be much tougher on foreigners than the other two are and if you're debating our figures just like the 350 pounds a week side of the bus on the side of the bus we're winning because that's what we want we want to have 350 million yeah 350 million and that was you know a ridiculous number it was kind of very tendentious in the extreme and so we're seeing the same tactics played again and it's the donald trump playbook you don't worry about the detail you tell people what they want to hear which is we're going to be much tougher on foreigners and we're not going to give the people these welfare benefits and you don't worry
30:23Lewis Goodall:about the detail too much yeah but i think that is all completely right and farage is playing that trick again and he knows that if you're arguing about it on some level he's winning which i think therefore makes the response the political response to it the most important thing and what i found strike i mean because i mean it worked for farage yesterday right it's actually the week of lib dem conference third largest party in the house of commons biggest third largest force in the house of commons for a century and what were most of the news talking about well it was farage's announcement so it's sort of working and therefore the response is really important and i thought that the labor response which rachel reeves came out with yesterday chancellor where she basically said oh these figures don't really add up i think exactly encapsulated and summed up precise the problem you talk about john the 2016 problem which is that was the remain campaign's response which was like oh no it's not really 350 million a week it's actually you know net they send us some it's a gross figure blah blah blah blah but actually the figure therefore had worked i think that what this does though is if labor and other forces wanted to open up a battle about this i think this is a bit of overreach from them because it's actually a very good emotional argument to respond to and political argument to respond to because yes it is true that I'm sure if you polled this it would poll pretty well I think it's also true that if you then say and then start to make a political argument which so far this government seems so unwilling very often to do against which is to say okay you want to take indefinite leave to remain you want to take people who've been here as you were saying Emily for five years for 10 years for 15 years or longer you know people's wives their husbands their mums their dads their brothers-in-law their sisters-in-law the teachers, the care workers, etc, etc, etc, your neighbours.
31:55Lewis Goodall:You really want to be the sort of country that deports those people? What kind of, you know, Farage loves to talk about a sense of fair play. There is a very, very strong and I think a universally, you know, quite universally held belief, I'm sure, in the country that that would not strike people as fair play. What people want is a sense of fairness about immigration. They want a sense of control. They don't like the lawlessness they're seeing at the border, the so-called illegal immigration. Fine, but for people who've been here already, I think that is a pretty strong open goal for Labour or whoever to try and score into, to actually start getting on the attack on some of this stuff for once.
32:28A hundred percent. And not only the kind of like, do you want to be this kind of country, which to your point is right. They don't. I don't think people do like that idea that you're just deporting people who never thought that they were going to be asked about. And they pay taxes, by the way. Who've paid taxes, who've raised their children, who fed into communities. Who volunteer, who are part of the community. But also who work in jobs that we desperately need them to work in. Right. I mean, the other missed goal is Labour not saying, can we just check what would actually happen to our health system?
32:59Can we just check what would happen to our care homes? Can we just check how many restaurants? Do you remember the time we went to Clacton? Right. I mean, this was when you two are always there. I have to say it's a great beach. You might as well buy a house or get someone else to buy one for you. Yeah, maybe your wife. Yeah. But the point is that we can't actually fill most of those jobs anyway. And they're not making the economic argument, which is how much we need, how much we desperately rely on people to fill the jobs that Brits don't want to do. Right. Again, a missed goal. I mean, you talk about Ed Davey being overlooked.
33:31And I mean, his speech is this afternoon where I think he's going to not least call on on scientists who don't want to work under the kind of craziness of the Trump administration to come over here. which sounds like a bloody good idea. You know, we missed out on two contracts with pharmaceutical companies last week, one with Merck, a really big contract. I think AstraZeneca was the other one. You know, if we are offering scientists a place where they can work without interference or without the sort of RFK anti-vax world, then I think that should be a sort of a plus and a thing we can reach to.
34:03But the other thing that Ed Davey said was, hang on a sec, we didn't have any of the illegal immigration problems of small boats before you gave us Brexit? Before we used to have the Dublin Agreement, before we had returns agreements, before we had good relationships with the EU, all the rest of it, there wasn't a small boats problem. Do you remember when you first heard the term small boats? We didn't really see them, definitely not in their numbers until after Brexit. So do we see a change in argument from Labour at the conference about how to deal with Farage? I mean, you were talking about the Liberal Democrat conference and yesterday they spent most of the day talking about Nigel Farage, which I'm sure he absolutely loved do Labour start to make this argument, the counter argument to, in exactly the terms that you set out Lewis or do they continue to say?
34:51They have to be visceral don't they? They have to be emotional about this If the argument is purely well I don't think your sums quite add up and you put a plus there when it should be a times or you know and your equals aren't in the long face, then it's just about kind of who's doing the right maths administrative problem.
35:06Lewis Goodall:I mean like that's what they say I mean you've got the PM spokesperson saying that he thought that the Prime Minister thought that it was unworkable, unrealistic and unfunded. Labour Chair Anatoly just saying it's half-baked and rely on discredited numbers. That critique implies that if it could be made to work, then it would be a good idea. So you need, as ever, we circle back to this stuff. You need a moral argument, a moral and political argument, which apparently, I mean, there is reporting today that I'm not quite sure who's going to do it on the Friday before conference, but Keir Starmer's going to make a speech on Friday, precisely where he tries to turn, to make that turn to making a more direct kind of moral and political argument against Farage.
35:44Lewis Goodall:There's one other thing as well, by the way, that like, and you hear this as well, just this is a point of information and fact, which I didn't really hear much in the reporting or the sort of fact checking on it yesterday. Farage kept saying that if we move to this system where we didn't really have indefinite leave to remain and we move to a system where people with ILR or foreign born people weren't allowed access to benefits and so on, that's just moving to like every other part of the world. That's just nonsense. Like virtually every other European country and actually most countries, you know, equivalent countries to us around the world have an equivalent of indefinite leave to a permanent settled status in America, like green cards or whatever it happens to be.
36:17Lewis Goodall:Cartes de Residence in France, you know, it's the same thing. And usually because it implies that you've been there for quite a long time and are making some sort of contribution, usually that will give you at least some, if not near full access to social security, welfare benefits, whatever it happens to be. So this actually we would be moving to be an outlier in a system like this, not moving towards where the rest of the world is. I think there is something like Italy I'm thinking of. A friend of mine has lived there, you know, worked there, telegraphed for a long time. And actually you cannot become a citizen very easily.
36:48So I think there is a difference between whatever you are granted, which I think, you know, would still give you benefits, whether it's, you know, maternity benefits at work or whatever, but not actually make you a citizen. but this is kind of an unrolling of everything that you thought you had signed off right yeah
37:05Lewis Goodall:well i mean look there are some countries around the world have like contributory systems where you have to pay a certain amount in before you can get stuff out and that's fine you know we've never had that we've had a more sort of universal based system so you could change the system and so on but then to sort of start to carve out exemptions for certain people there's a perfectly legitimate argument that you could say that with things like social housing council housing you might want to give priority to people who've been here for longer rather than just new arrivals i I think that's a perfectly legitimate argument.
37:29But that already happens.
37:30Lewis Goodall:Well, it depends if you've got kids. Yeah, but I mean, yes. I mean, the idea that people, you know, turn up here in a small boat and then get handed a massive house, I don't think it's true, is it? No, it's not. But I mean, there may be occasions if you've got a lot of children and whatever else. Sometimes you, yeah, you jump into the queue, which I think is, and that's a perfectly legitimate argument. Yeah, I agree with that. But this idea that somehow Britain is unique in having a kind of settled status or permanent residency or indefinite leave to remain, which gives you access to certain benefits.
37:58Lewis Goodall:It's just nonsense, just for the birds. So do Labour jump into the space, right? If reform are kind of leapfrogging to there, but their sums don't add up, and they haven't made the case for actually how badly it's going to hurt the economy, do Labour jump into the space and go, we're going to do a bit of that? Or do they refute it? Because I think at the moment they're in the business of... It feels undecided, doesn't it? It feels like they don't really know yet what the best way... I mean, this goes back to that, you know, that line from a couple of weeks back. Farage is right. Don't vote for him.
38:30Yeah, exactly.
38:31Lewis Goodall:That is what they keep circling around. They still haven't decided. And maybe we'll get more clues on Friday and at Labour conference. They haven't decided whether or not to basically argue that Farage is wrong and we should go in a different route or whether Farage is right. It's just that he's cack handed and useless and a dangerous person. I mean, on the basis of the response to this. Yeah. You know, they're saying Farage is nearly right. Don't vote for him. Yeah. We'll be back in just a moment with events in Argentina not going well. Don't cry.
39:24Lewis Goodall:Find out what the story means for you. Listen on our free Global Player app or the new LBC app. LBC, leading Britain's conversation. A burst pipe, a dead water heater, the AC calling it quits. Who do you call? HomeServe is an easy way to handle unexpected home repairs. With plans covering stuff, basic homeowners insurance usually won't. Instead of scrambling for a contractor, you make one call to get the repair process started. Join the millions of customers who trust HomeServe right now. Go to homeserve.com slash podcast for 50 % less your first year. That's homeserve.com slash podcast. Savings compared to renewal price.
40:03Void in Florida.
40:08The News Agents.
40:19the man who wielded the chainsaw as part of an election campaign to bring argentina back from the people one javier millet elected president two years ago is now having to go, I'm going to use this phrase because we love it so much, cap in hand to the US administration to ask for help with Argentina's debt. I thought, hang on, but he's right wing and going to cut government spending. It's only socialists who go cap in hand and need bailouts. Well, to coin a Thatcher phrase, he's run out of other people's money. which is so ironic given how javier mille is being held up as the person who was going to get argentina's spending under control he was going to solidify the position of the peso in you know currency markets and instead of which uh donald trump is going to bail out argentina because donald trump likes javier mille and javier mille likes donald trump i mean mille i mean this is just
41:24Lewis Goodall:for people who aren't familiar with him, I mean, Millet has been the kind of poster child of the sort of populist right. And not just sort of populism, because he's a kind of almost sort of neo-Uber Thatcherite. You know, he's someone who has basically come in and said, I'm this, you know, libertarian. I'm going to slash government spending. He's abolished a load of government departments. He said it's going to restore economic stability to Argentina, which is for many decades sort of teetered in and out of crisis and has repeatedly, having initially had a little bit of success in terms of growth and so on in the first two years, been repeatedly held up as the model for others to follow.
41:53Lewis Goodall:So it turns out not so much now. Yeah, I mean, beloved of Liz Truss, beloved of Elon Musk. When Elon Musk appeared on stage at CPAC just before his Doge team, SWAT team sort of landed, it was Millay that he was trying to emulate. And we now learn that in the past six months, they have had to borrow from the IMF. Argentina accounts for a third of all the IMF's lending. and why this is I guess particularly significant is that he faces midterms about a month from now he's in New York today at the UN General Assembly he's meeting with Trump later to kind of get the you know whatever not really backhanded because it's so up front but you've got the prospect of a man that they all hailed as leading the way being an utter disaster so Trump can't afford to let him sink.
42:48Besant, Scott Besant, can't afford to let him sink. They can't see the midterms go against Millay. Otherwise, everyone starts turning around and going, so what, wait, what are you, what, he's failed now, so why are we doing the same thing? Where does it leave Liz Truss? Where does it leave all the economic libertarians who have been saying this is the way forward to better growth in the economy? But also, where does this leave America first and not interfering and slashing foreign aid, which is, I thought, what the message was from Donald Trump. And just the contrast between what's happening with Argentina's neighbour, Brazil, where Donald Trump is imposing 50 % tariffs, not because of any trading irregularities, but because the Supreme Court in Brazil wants to imprison Jair Bolsonaro, another one of Donald Trump's mates, for trying to overturn the results of the election in Brazil, compared to what's happening in Buenos Aires, where Donald Trump is saying, yeah, you want cash, we'll give you cash.
43:43we will bring you any news of the Malay Trump meeting in New York overnight
43:48Lewis Goodall:I had no idea we'd be keeping such a close eye on the Argentinian Piso now you're back John you call it foreign aid but it isn't really it's domestic aid I mean that's the point isn't it it's propping up your own government with your own cronies to make what you're doing seem okay did you just say I'm always worried about the Argentinian Piso you've got some big investments in Buenos Aires huge huge that BBC pension of yours Argentine wine now we're talking Malbec we must make sure that Malbec production keeps flowing we'll see you tomorrow bye bye bye for now
From the publisher
The US president is pushing his health secretary’s latest conspiracy theory from the White House. This one links a paracetamol painkiller with autism in pregnant women - a claim which has been discredited by numerous large scale studies and scientists. But is the damage already done? Today our own health secretary took to the television to warn women not to listen to the US president. How damaging will Trump’s words be? And is it all part of a larger movement to discredit science and expertise?
Later, Reform UK are being told their "numbers don’t add up" on their latest plans for mass deportation. Is that the only push back the government has to offer? Have they ceded the argument by merely talking about the maths?
And lastly, why is America having to bail out Argentina when they’ve all been praising President Milei's immense cost cutting capabilities?
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